20/01/2016 BBC Business Live


20/01/2016

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This is Business Live from BBC News with Ben Thompson and Sally Bundock.

:00:00.:00:09.

The world's business leaders are more pessimistic

:00:10.:00:12.

about the global economy as the annual meeting

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of the World Economic Forum kicks off in Davos.

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Live from London, that's our top story on Wednesday, 20th January.

:00:18.:00:35.

The slowdown in China, falling commodity prices

:00:36.:00:39.

and political instability are all fuelling the fall in confidence.

:00:40.:00:43.

We'll be live in Davos with the latest.

:00:44.:00:49.

Also in the programme, shares in Netflix surge as the video

:00:50.:00:51.

streaming firm signs up a record number of customers.

:00:52.:00:54.

Asian markets had a torrid session and it's left

:00:55.:01:05.

Asian markets had a torrid session and it's left European markets

:01:06.:01:08.

looking like this at the open.

:01:09.:01:09.

And in the growing online video market what will

:01:10.:01:13.

Will you be watching video in 360 degrees?

:01:14.:01:15.

Wistia is starting to do it, we'll ask the founder all about it.

:01:16.:01:21.

A report looks at ways of dealing with plastic waste. Can you

:01:22.:01:28.

completely eliminate plastic waste and recycle everything? Use the

:01:29.:01:32.

hashtag, BBC Biz Live. We are starting in that little

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Swiss Alpine town of Davos. As the annual meeting

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of the biggest names in global Confidence in the global economy

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is falling and it's getting worse. New figures from

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PriceWaterhouseCoopers show that 27% of chief executives thought global

:01:55.:01:59.

growth would improve over the next It's all being blamed the slowdown

:02:00.:02:02.

in China and slump Taking a look at oil,

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you can see Brent Crude prices have fallen more

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than 70% over the past 18 months A raft of other commodities have

:02:22.:02:24.

also been affected by the slump. Steel prices fell more

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than 35% last year. In the UK earlier this week,

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Tata steel announced a further 1,000 jobs would go as the

:02:35.:02:37.

firm battles high Joining me now from Davos is Russian

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business oligarch and billionaire, He's the main shareholder

:02:40.:02:45.

and the Chief Executive of Thank you very much for being on the

:02:46.:02:57.

programme. We've mentioned the key issues on the minds of those with

:02:58.:03:01.

you in Davos this year. From your point of view, what is the most

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poignant issue that needs to be tackled?

:03:07.:03:11.

Well, I think that the world has a lot of changes and a lot of

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opportunities and it is very important for us to understand

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better how to combine both how to address the challenges, but in order

:03:21.:03:23.

to regain growth in the global economy and the economies of

:03:24.:03:26.

specific countries like Russia. Many do agree that the outlook this

:03:27.:03:31.

year for the global economy is worse than we originally thought. The

:03:32.:03:35.

start of the year in terms of markets is very bad. The outlook for

:03:36.:03:40.

rush extra is very bleak indeed. Many are arguing your economy is

:03:41.:03:43.

going to have a particularly tough time.

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Just before I'd like to faem size Russia demonstrated strong

:03:55.:03:58.

resilience to the head wind in the economy despite more than two times

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depression of national currency, we have only 12% or 15% inflation rate.

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We have got decline in GDP m Russia, but what is good about Russia is

:04:13.:04:23.

that I hope that we are reaching new equilibrium and we could expect

:04:24.:04:27.

growth in the Russian economy again based on the fundamentals of Russia,

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it is a large country, a large population, with a lot of smart

:04:32.:04:34.

people which is very, very important, I think that on the back

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of this, we could expect growth. A big cushion, how big the growth will

:04:41.:04:45.

be so far we have a lot of structural problems as well to

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address and we should be providing remember forms in our country. The

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Russian economic ministry is in agreement with the IMF saying there

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won't be growth in Russia this year. The oil price continues to go down

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and that really affects your economy and let's talk about the steel

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price, you have been the Chief Executive since 1996. How are you

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weathering the fall in the price of steel in Russia?

:05:14.:05:20.

Definitely have a very serious situation. The global steel industry

:05:21.:05:29.

has a ratio below 70% which leads to a significant price decline like you

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have alluded and we see the same in Russia, but I see a lot of strength

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in the Russian steel industry being cost effective and we invested a lot

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to improve our quality and product mix. I do believe that the Russian

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companies are comparative in the global scale, but decline in our

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economy and we saw a decline in steel con tumption and it is a

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problem, but I would say the majority of Russian steel companies

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are a bit down. They are sustainable and we have high margins. I still

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hope that we could sustain this turmoil, but the situation is tough.

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Coming back to your previous question, as I said at the

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beginning, I think that there should be some opportunities for us and as

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long as we reach equilibrium. All right. We appreciate your time.

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He is executive chairman of the World Steel Forum. It is very

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interesting to get his thoughts on that story.

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Don't forget to head to our website to get much more

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Video streaming company Netflix says customer numbers are up more

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The firm said it signed up a record 5.6 million customers in the three

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months to December, bringing total member numbers to just

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Mining giant, BHP Billiton, has cut its iron ore production

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forecast for the year to June, reducing its earlier estimate

:07:32.:07:34.

The company says it can't foresee a recovery in iron ore or coal

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prices in the next few years, but is more hopeful of a bounce back

:07:41.:07:44.

Let's look at the Business Live page. There will be a lot of very

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interesting insightful interviews and analysis coming from Davos. It

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talks about the fact that the European markets are falling. There

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is another story about UK debt as well. An interesting map if you live

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in the UK, do take a look at this. These are the key debt hotspots in

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the UK. It is a real problem. A real worry.

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People suffering from the problem of debt and that spiral of debt that

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many people find themselves in when they are struggling to pay back what

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they owe. Details are on the website.

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It's been a terrible session for Asian markets.

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Charlotte Glennie is in Singapore with the details.

:08:42.:08:46.

Talk us through what happened. It has been another grim day for

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markets here in Asia with stocks sliding in response to and the Asian

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stocks slumped to new four year lows. Japan fell 3.7%. That was

:09:05.:09:13.

meaning that it is particularically in bear market territory. Some of

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the billingest losers including Sony, whose shares fell 8% and there

:09:19.:09:24.

were big losses for the Soft Bank Group. The Hang Seng had a big loss,

:09:25.:09:33.

3.8% at closing. South coronary's Cost scoop bee had a bad day. A

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negative picture here in Asia. Tokyo stocks closed 3.7% after US

:09:38.:09:41.

crude prices hit new 12-year lows amid continuing worries

:09:42.:09:49.

about the state Those Chinese growth

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figures yesterday not Despite still being within

:09:52.:09:56.

the target, they mark The Nikkei extended its decline

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beyond 20% from its June high, officially putting it

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in bear territory. In the UK yesterday,

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the Governor of the Bank of England warned of the uncertainty and urged

:10:06.:10:18.

caution for the year ahead. He also refused to be drawn

:10:19.:10:20.

on a date for a likely rise in interest rates with markets now

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pushing back their predictions So what is Wall Street

:10:25.:10:26.

watching today? Goldman Sachs reports earnings for

:10:27.:10:43.

the last quarter of 2015. And while the bank would like to concentrate

:10:44.:10:46.

on its bright future, it is its murky past that is a concern for

:10:47.:10:51.

investors. So the strong performance of its business advising and

:10:52.:10:54.

financing corporate take-overs is likely to be overshadowed by its

:10:55.:10:58.

legal difficulties and costs. Just last week, Goldman Sachs announced

:10:59.:11:04.

it would pay over $5 billion to settle claims that it misled

:11:05.:11:07.

investors in mortgage backed securities. The settlement was

:11:08.:11:11.

expected, but it is likely to have a significant impact on Goldman

:11:12.:11:14.

Sachs's profits which are forecast to fall slightly. On Wednesday, the

:11:15.:11:18.

latest inflation data for the US economy is released. Consumer prices

:11:19.:11:22.

are expected to have risen slightly in December.

:11:23.:11:29.

Mike Amey is managing director and portfolio manager at Pimco

:11:30.:11:31.

So what's on your mind this morning, given the sea of red we've shown

:11:32.:11:41.

you? The overnight news, yesterday, we had seen hopes of stabilisation

:11:42.:11:47.

really across the European markets which got, you know, dampened

:11:48.:11:52.

significantly overnight. So I think the issue for us as investors is

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really whether this, you know, this is a bout of volatility or whether

:11:58.:12:02.

this is the harbinger of something more serious? Our view is this is a

:12:03.:12:08.

bout of volatility rather than a serious downturn in markets and you

:12:09.:12:11.

know one that could bring the economy down as well. In the past

:12:12.:12:16.

we've talked about emerging markets making up for slowdown ins developed

:12:17.:12:20.

economies. It seems we are getting it from both sides. Developed

:12:21.:12:24.

economies are struggling to do much and we heard the governor of the

:12:25.:12:32.

Bank of England saying for people to be aware of uncertainty. Where is

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the best place to put money? Where are people moving money to? In the

:12:37.:12:40.

developed markets because what you are seeing is that, you know, this

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has been a multiyear transition, that countries such as the UK and

:12:46.:12:49.

the US are getting better. It is a bumpy ride, but generally things are

:12:50.:12:52.

getting better. Wages are going up for example. In the emerging

:12:53.:12:57.

markets, we're going in the other direction. Japan in a bear market,

:12:58.:13:02.

that's 20% fall from the peak for shares. How significant is that? I

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know the Japanese yen is so strong because it is a safe haven, that

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doesn't help? I think that's a reflection of nervousness. Japan,

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the yen tends to go up when peel are nervous and that's what we are

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seeing. That's another example of how nervy people are at the moment.

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Thank you. We shall see you later. Still on edge, everybody.

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Still to come: You've heard of YouTube, you might have heard

:13:27.:13:29.

of Vimeo, but have you heard of Wistia?

:13:30.:13:31.

It's the third largest website for video sharing and gives

:13:32.:13:33.

businesses an insight into who's watching and why.

:13:34.:13:36.

We'll get the inside track from the founder of Wistia about how

:13:37.:13:39.

2016 could be the year of virtual reality and 360 degree video.

:13:40.:13:42.

You're with Business Live from BBC News.

:13:43.:13:51.

Here in the UK, there's more reaction to those heavy job losses

:13:52.:13:54.

A special taskforce is being set up to help those

:13:55.:14:03.

particularly in South Wales affected by the closures.

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It comes after more than 1,000 job losses

:14:06.:14:07.

were announced by steel giant Tata, most of them at its plant in Port

:14:08.:14:10.

This morning, Sheffield Forgemasters has also announced plans to cut

:14:11.:14:14.

Hywel Griffiths is our Wales Correspondent.

:14:15.:14:16.

He's at the Welsh National Assembly in Cardiff.

:14:17.:14:18.

What does this task force hope to achieve?

:14:19.:14:29.

Well, in the first place, they have to find them, help them find other

:14:30.:14:35.

employment. That could mean retraining or possibly helping some

:14:36.:14:39.

grants to stay within the steel industry in another part of it, but

:14:40.:14:45.

while people want some job safeguarded, within Tata, they need

:14:46.:14:49.

to look outside of the work, because 750 jobs in Port Talbot supported by

:14:50.:14:53.

1200 jobs across South Wales. It is a problem for the whole region. Now,

:14:54.:14:56.

they will also want to see action, not just here in Wales, but on a

:14:57.:15:00.

global level because everyone knows what built up here is a perfect

:15:01.:15:04.

storm, so cheap Chinese steel, the high energy costs in the UK, the

:15:05.:15:09.

strength of the pound is making it uncompetitive in terms of exports.

:15:10.:15:13.

They will want, noises made here in South Wales, that will be heard over

:15:14.:15:15.

in Mumbai so that there is some kind in Mumbai so that there is some kind

:15:16.:15:19.

of strength in the industry moving forward and some sort of security

:15:20.:15:23.

for those who want to stay in the industry. Hywel, thank you.

:15:24.:15:30.

South Wales so badly affected by the job closures and losses that were

:15:31.:15:37.

announced today. The Financial Times has a picture of Davos but it has a

:15:38.:15:42.

story about the Financial Conduct Authority, mentioning that George

:15:43.:15:45.

Osborne is in Davos on right now but it is the chairman of the FCA who

:15:46.:15:49.

will be grilled by MPs on the Treasury Select Committee today

:15:50.:15:55.

about a review into the culture of Britain's banks that was quietly

:15:56.:15:59.

dropped. Some comment in this article about the fact that

:16:00.:16:04.

actually, the events going on at the FCA around the time of the general

:16:05.:16:07.

election with regards to the pressure put on banks caused a shift

:16:08.:16:12.

and they want to know why. Interesting to watch that later.

:16:13.:16:16.

More interesting because Davos is normally dominated by talks of

:16:17.:16:20.

bankers and now it is about regulators. We will have full

:16:21.:16:22.

coverage on the BBC. You're watching Business Live.

:16:23.:16:28.

Our top story: The world's business leaders

:16:29.:16:30.

are more pessimistic about the global economy -

:16:31.:16:32.

as the annual meeting of the World Economic Forum

:16:33.:16:34.

kicks off in Davos. Full coverage on that is online from

:16:35.:16:47.

our team of correspondence on the ground at the event.

:16:48.:16:48.

Online video has changed lots of things.

:16:49.:16:52.

Not least how we consume TV and movies.

:16:53.:16:58.

But businesses are also using it to tap into new markets

:16:59.:17:02.

By 2017, it's predicted nearly 70% of all internet consumption will be

:17:03.:17:08.

The biggest video site is YouTube, followed by Vimeo, a favourite

:17:09.:17:15.

amongst creative types, and then Wistia.

:17:16.:17:19.

Wistia is geared towards companies because it provides marketing tools

:17:20.:17:22.

and analysis using a so-called heatmap, so you know if the people

:17:23.:17:25.

you're targeting are actually watching your videos.

:17:26.:17:29.

It's also making inroads into the virtual reality and 360

:17:30.:17:36.

degree technology, which is tipped to be the next big thing.

:17:37.:17:57.

He joins us now. Welcome to the programme. While we are chatting,

:17:58.:18:00.

Ben is going to get this going. No pressure, I'm going to get this to

:18:01.:18:07.

work! Firstly, tell us how this started because your company has

:18:08.:18:12.

been around for quite some time. We started almost ten years ago,

:18:13.:18:16.

Brendan and I started it in his bedroom in a ten person House in

:18:17.:18:21.

payment, Massachusetts. Straight out of university? It was the year out

:18:22.:18:26.

of school and university. I want to clarify that to get a sense of your

:18:27.:18:34.

age. And Americanism. You were very young! Thank you! You kick this off,

:18:35.:18:35.

where did the idea come from? We that online video was changing. I

:18:36.:18:38.

was paying close attention to YouTube and I have a background in

:18:39.:18:46.

film and had tried to get my videos online for a long time. The game

:18:47.:18:50.

changing thing about YouTube was that they were encoding for you so

:18:51.:18:53.

you did not have to be technical to make online video work. When we saw

:18:54.:18:55.

that, we knew it video and if there was any time for

:18:56.:19:00.

-- are ever a time for couple of kids who did not know what they were

:19:01.:19:05.

doing to jump into a market where everyone knew what they were doing,

:19:06.:19:07.

this was the place to start. I'm playing with this 360 degrees video,

:19:08.:19:11.

which allows you to watch a video and you can look wherever you want,

:19:12.:19:15.

I can control it and show people around. I'm just looking around an

:19:16.:19:20.

office. These are our offices in Cambridge, Massachusetts. Talk us

:19:21.:19:25.

through the application is something like this. I imagine is state agents

:19:26.:19:32.

would be a great use because you can -- estate agents would be a great

:19:33.:19:34.

use because you can look around houses you want to buy better than

:19:35.:19:39.

in two-dimensional photos. And we have an office dog! 306 D degree

:19:40.:19:44.

video lets you see the space in a totally immersive way and it lets

:19:45.:19:49.

the controller see what they want to see. -- 360. You can look around and

:19:50.:19:54.

see Lenny and try to get a sense of what the desks are like, whatever

:19:55.:19:57.

you think is important you can figure out your cell. It looks

:19:58.:20:02.

pretty empty. You have got people working for you! We do. There you

:20:03.:20:07.

go. This is from about a year ago. The office is pretty full now. Any

:20:08.:20:13.

time there is a tonne of rich, visually complexes stuff, that is

:20:14.:20:18.

when it works well. In terms of the business model, if someone wants to

:20:19.:20:22.

use your services, we pay you a feed and you have got some 200,000

:20:23.:20:26.

customers at the moment. -- we pay you a fee. They all pay, presumably

:20:27.:20:31.

and that is how it works. It is a fairly straightforward business

:20:32.:20:34.

model. Very straightforward, you can get started for free and use the

:20:35.:20:38.

tools to figure out what you want to do, and per month, you get more

:20:39.:20:43.

advanced stuff and it scales to a large audience. You will pay more

:20:44.:20:47.

for a bigger audience but it is all month by month payment. You touched

:20:48.:20:51.

on the 360 degrees video and you have the virtual reality headset

:20:52.:20:54.

with you that lets you do other things as well. It strikes me that

:20:55.:20:58.

it might be technology that in a couple of years, we will go back --

:20:59.:21:03.

look back and it will look very old, the big headsets. How much money is

:21:04.:21:07.

being invested in something which is still untried and untested? Is very

:21:08.:21:13.

early days. This headset is a phone which is pretty amazing. It is $100.

:21:14.:21:19.

A very small percentage of people have this but there's a huge amount

:21:20.:21:23.

of money being invested. No one knows what the final application of

:21:24.:21:26.

360 video will be that allows it to take off but the production has

:21:27.:21:29.

changed dramatically which is amazing for me. We shot that video

:21:30.:21:38.

last year with 40 GoPros, with a rig, and we had to stick it all

:21:39.:21:41.

together manually. Now there's a camera that you can put on the

:21:42.:21:45.

table, and it has two macro lenses with 180 degrees each so you can

:21:46.:21:49.

record extremely quickly. We will see application starting to take off

:21:50.:21:53.

in the next year. We are out of time which is a shame because there is so

:21:54.:21:56.

much to talk about. Thank you for joining us. We have got a real sense

:21:57.:22:00.

of where you are and the dog was lovely! Amongst all the things I

:22:01.:22:04.

never thought I would expect Dooley use say on this programme, "Oh, you

:22:05.:22:10.

have a dog is quiet, is one of them. -- you have a dog".

:22:11.:22:13.

In a moment, we'll take a look through the Business Pages but first

:22:14.:22:16.

here's a quick reminder of how to get in touch with us.

:22:17.:22:18.

The business Life pages where you can stay ahead of the breaking news

:22:19.:22:22.

and keep up-to-date with the latest details, with insight and analysis

:22:23.:22:25.

from the BBC's team of editors, right around the world. We want to

:22:26.:22:31.

hear from you. Get involved on the BBC Business Live web page. On

:22:32.:22:38.

Twitter, we are at BBC Business and we are on Facebook on BBC Business

:22:39.:22:45.

News. On TV and online, whenever you need to know. We asked you earlier

:22:46.:22:53.

about the cost of recycling past it. You will understand why in it

:22:54.:22:57.

because it is in papers. Let's talk about some tweets. "I Think as we

:22:58.:23:03.

keep investing in renewable energy research, we will be at a stage

:23:04.:23:06.

where we can recycle everything". Another says," as researching energy

:23:07.:23:12.

and new technological advances allows us to do much more, prevent

:23:13.:23:15.

environmental disaster". One from Singapore says," there are

:23:16.:23:19.

successful experiment using melted plastic bags on the road", a good

:23:20.:23:28.

example of using things in other applications.

:23:29.:23:29.

Put some meat on the bone, the secret end to plastic recycling. The

:23:30.:23:39.

report is talking about the challenge that we face. This

:23:40.:23:43.

particular reports suggest the amount of plastic in the oceans will

:23:44.:23:47.

be the same as the amount of sea life, basically, by 2050, on current

:23:48.:23:52.

projections so this is clearly a major problem. The challenge is

:23:53.:23:55.

there is not one unifying entity which provides a focal point. Ellen

:23:56.:24:02.

MacArthur, the famous sailor, with her foundation, has volunteered to

:24:03.:24:05.

be the focal point. Hopefully what this can do is bring together the

:24:06.:24:09.

interests of the parties and make some progress. The fact is there is

:24:10.:24:13.

a statistic on this really surprised me, this research is being unveiled

:24:14.:24:18.

in Davos and says after a single use, 95% of all plastic packaging

:24:19.:24:22.

material, an industry worth $120 billion, is lost. We are soon be

:24:23.:24:26.

throwing away $120 billion worth of investment. And that is the

:24:27.:24:30.

Challenge Cup it is not just that we are throwing it away, it is a

:24:31.:24:34.

detrimental use as well. It is not just that we are producing it and

:24:35.:24:37.

not using it, we are producing it and it is killing marine life. This

:24:38.:24:43.

that a foundation, a charity, this that a foundation, a charity, this

:24:44.:24:47.

is the Ellen MacArthur Foundation, is trying to push the World Economic

:24:48.:24:51.

Forum in Davos. There are so many agendas. Why aren't you there? Two

:24:52.:24:57.

reasons, first it is very expensive to get there. It is not cheap to get

:24:58.:25:01.

there or get a ticket to be a part of it. Or display there. Beer,

:25:02.:25:08.

pizza, coffee, hot chocolate is all expensive. And the Sammut is and

:25:09.:25:13.

begets. The pound has been weaker of late so that is not why we are

:25:14.:25:18.

there. To be honest, we are fortunate, we are a large

:25:19.:25:20.

organisation so we are in the fortunate situation that we can

:25:21.:25:23.

speak to the Steve executives and business leaders outside of these

:25:24.:25:26.

forums. We have a one-to-one relationship. We touched on Davos at

:25:27.:25:32.

the top in terms of the theme. If there was one thing you could pick

:25:33.:25:36.

out, what world leaders should be talking about, what would it be? I

:25:37.:25:42.

think the key challenge is the outlook for China, to be honest.

:25:43.:25:46.

Genuinely, what we have got, the Western world does not know what the

:25:47.:25:50.

Chinese are trying to do and some coordination would be great. --

:25:51.:25:54.

generally, what we have got. Thank you for joining us.

:25:55.:25:55.

There will be more business news throughout the day on the BBC Live

:25:56.:26:00.

web page and on World Business Report.

:26:01.:26:02.

Much milder weather at the weekend but until then, more of this kind of

:26:03.:26:15.

thing. Glorious if you can wear plenty of layers in the sunshine, it

:26:16.:26:17.

feels fantastic.

:26:18.:26:19.

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