03/10/2016: Conservative Party Conference Daily Politics


03/10/2016: Conservative Party Conference

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Welcome to a sunny Birmingham where in half an hour

:00:07.:00:09.

the new Chancellor - Philip Hammond - will make his

:00:10.:00:11.

Why is he ditching George Osborne's budget deficit targets?

:00:12.:00:50.

Philip Hammond will tell the Conference that he's easing off

:00:51.:01:00.

the pace of deficit reduction and plans to borrow more to invest.

:01:01.:01:03.

But what's changed in the economy to justify this change

:01:04.:01:06.

The Chancellor will pledge ?3 billion of public money

:01:07.:01:11.

But is this all new money, how many new homes and will it be

:01:12.:01:17.

anywhere near enough to solve the housing crisis?

:01:18.:01:22.

"A country that works for everyone" that's the motto emblazoned all over

:01:23.:01:26.

the Conference centre here - but how can Theresa May's

:01:27.:01:29.

ambitious rhetoric on social justice be achieved?

:01:30.:01:34.

And they've been a little reluctant to come to me -

:01:35.:01:38.

so we sent our Adam out to hunt down the three Brexiteers.

:01:39.:01:43.

. John Fox, have you been told to keep a low profile? -- doctor Fox.

:01:44.:01:51.

It looks like a low profile to me! All that coming up

:01:52.:01:55.

in the next two hours in this Daily Politics

:01:56.:01:58.

Conference Special. Philip Hammond, the new Chancellor,

:01:59.:02:08.

will get to his feet in half an hour. We will bring you that live

:02:09.:02:12.

and uninterrupted. Here with me now though -

:02:13.:02:17.

two of the best political minds here to chew over the news

:02:18.:02:20.

from Conference so far. They have put large amounts of money

:02:21.:02:27.

in my bank account for me to say that! LAUGHTER

:02:28.:02:28.

The Guardian's Political Editor Anushka Asthana and the Times

:02:29.:02:30.

Yesterday we had the Brexit announcement yesterday, the Prime

:02:31.:02:38.

Minister is hoping that will go away today, but where are we now?

:02:39.:02:43.

Regarding Brexit. Theresa May is a very popular woman with the right of

:02:44.:02:49.

her party and if you read it today with the Daily Mail, this lady's not

:02:50.:02:54.

for turning. They did not take very long to mentioning her steel capped

:02:55.:02:59.

shoes, I notice. What did she actually say? She said immigration

:03:00.:03:04.

is going to be a priority, something we knew, she said the European court

:03:05.:03:10.

of justice will be, as well, but she let herself open after that, we

:03:11.:03:13.

don't really know what the Brexit deal is going to look like that we

:03:14.:03:18.

will be pushing for. We do know, even though they won't say it about

:03:19.:03:21.

when we add up everything that has been said, we will not fall under

:03:22.:03:27.

the jurisdiction of the ECJ and we want a free trade deal and we want

:03:28.:03:31.

the end of free movement. We are out of the single market in the sense of

:03:32.:03:36.

being a member, even though we will have access, but they know we can't

:03:37.:03:42.

stay in it. That is right. What she is doing something David Cameron

:03:43.:03:45.

didn't do when he was trying to renegotiate our relationship with

:03:46.:03:49.

the European Union, he never said if you don't give me a good deal on

:03:50.:03:53.

prepared to say to the British people we should leave. Theresa May

:03:54.:03:59.

is saying to, our European counterparts, if you don't give me

:04:00.:04:04.

anything, we are still going. She is saying she still going to deliver on

:04:05.:04:08.

her promise to control borders. What she is hoping the European leaders

:04:09.:04:11.

will give us is a better deal than some of the critics think at the

:04:12.:04:16.

moment. She is going to ask for the moment to begin with. I think she

:04:17.:04:21.

will still ask to be in the single market, despite not meeting any of

:04:22.:04:27.

the criteria -- ask for the moon. Is there any concern, when it comes to

:04:28.:04:35.

putting this repeal of the European community's act through Parliament

:04:36.:04:41.

that she will be in trouble? I don't think MPs in Parliament will vote

:04:42.:04:44.

against the idea of repealing the European Community 's act because

:04:45.:04:48.

everyone knows there has been a referendum and everyone knows what

:04:49.:04:52.

the outcome was. MPs will not be churlish not to say they will vote

:04:53.:04:55.

against that as an idea, but what this allows people to do is to amend

:04:56.:05:01.

the legislation as it goes to Parliament and maybe to cause a bit

:05:02.:05:06.

of trouble. This boat will only happen after Article 50 is

:05:07.:05:10.

triggered, Britain is already on the debate about -- this vote.

:05:11.:05:16.

Parliament will not in that vote be able to stop Brexit from happening,

:05:17.:05:19.

they would just be able to potentially amend its character.

:05:20.:05:26.

Very strong words from Theresa May, saying that MPs cannot have a vote

:05:27.:05:30.

on trigger 50. What about in the House of Lords? It is six to just

:05:31.:05:40.

one in favour of Remain. It is not off the agenda, there is plenty of

:05:41.:05:46.

pretext, if her agenda is being frustrated by anyone, you are right

:05:47.:05:50.

to highlight the House of Lords, but she can go to an election and said

:05:51.:05:55.

she wants a mandate to deliver her social and Brexit agenda. Lots

:05:56.:06:09.

of course the government is hoping we will stop talking about Brexit

:06:10.:06:14.

for the duration of this conference. So the Chancellor Philip Hammond has

:06:15.:06:21.

said that he'll ease off But what do Conference goers

:06:22.:06:23.

here think about progress We sent Adam out with

:06:24.:06:26.

his balls to find out. When George Osborne was Chancellor

:06:27.:06:34.

he was all about driving down the deficit and even getting the public

:06:35.:06:38.

finances into surplus but Philip Hammond seems less bothered, but

:06:39.:06:42.

what about people at the conference? Do they want to ease off with

:06:43.:06:48.

deficit reduction? Hang up the phone and do the mood box. One of the

:06:49.:06:54.

Brexit ministers will stop I will go for ease off because of Brexit.

:06:55.:07:01.

Before that I was crackdown. I think George Osborne did a good job, but

:07:02.:07:06.

many people look at him and they don't like him. Was he a bit

:07:07.:07:13.

obsessed with cuts? Maybe. I'm going to stop you there, Andrea, would you

:07:14.:07:20.

like to have a go at The Daily Politics, would you like to have a

:07:21.:07:26.

go at The Daily Politics, would you like to have a go at The Daily

:07:27.:07:29.

Politics, would you like to have a go at The Daily Politics, would you

:07:30.:07:32.

like to have a go at The Daily Politics balls? Are you politely

:07:33.:07:35.

dismissing my balls? You cannot run a country on a deficit budget. We

:07:36.:07:43.

need to finish what we have started. I suppose you are allowed to read

:07:44.:07:46.

that now he has gone. You weren't allowed to read that last year.

:07:47.:07:54.

Thank you very much. Cracked on. Is there more that can be cut from the

:07:55.:08:02.

public finances? Yes. Such as? Some areas of the health service. You

:08:03.:08:08.

want to cut the NHS? No, but I want to cut the administrators. George

:08:09.:08:17.

Osborne has the edge, I think. Should we have a surplus for 2020?

:08:18.:08:24.

If we can, definitely. Don't abandon the target and keep going. Why are

:08:25.:08:30.

you watching that Boris Johnson speech when you could be doing The

:08:31.:08:37.

Daily Politics balls? Are ministers able to do this without Prime

:08:38.:08:42.

Minister real authority gritter Mark of course. -- primer ministerial

:08:43.:08:53.

authority? What does this mean? It is about the deficit reduction. We

:08:54.:09:01.

have got to crack on. It is time to ease off on the austerity, we have

:09:02.:09:06.

more important things on the table. Deficit reduction? Crack on. When do

:09:07.:09:14.

you want it gone by? As soon as possible. Philip Hammond, the party

:09:15.:09:20.

faithful have issued their instructions, many want you to get

:09:21.:09:24.

on with cracking on with getting it down. STUDIO: There we go. We do

:09:25.:09:34.

need to do our research the famous People's budget which led to a huge

:09:35.:09:39.

stand-off with the House of Lords, it was not Campbell Bannon, he died

:09:40.:09:45.

in 1905, it was Asquith who was the Liberal leader in 1909. But Campbell

:09:46.:09:51.

Bannon did put some of the changes in place. Asquith's famous words,

:09:52.:09:58.

what were they? Keep your eye on Paisley, that's the way the country

:09:59.:10:02.

will go, I'm not sure you can say that now. No. Philip Hammond has a

:10:03.:10:09.

difficult juggling act, he has to do a change in direction but he has got

:10:10.:10:13.

to give convincing reasons pick up the vat different, -- to give

:10:14.:10:23.

convincing reasons, and it can't be that different after what has gone

:10:24.:10:26.

on over six years. We are still spending too much on day-to-day

:10:27.:10:30.

expenses, current expenditure, but I would ease off on squeezing capital

:10:31.:10:34.

spending, with global borrowing rates so low it makes sense to

:10:35.:10:40.

borrow long-term to improve our roads and railways. Cabinet spending

:10:41.:10:47.

is down. Exactly. George Osborne was wearing his high viz jackets, but he

:10:48.:10:52.

cut capital spending and we weren't investing for the long term, but I

:10:53.:10:55.

think it is important that we change in the post Brexit world, many

:10:56.:10:59.

people on the left feel we have become the sweatshop of Europe,

:11:00.:11:03.

workers' rights will be thrown out of the window and we become a highly

:11:04.:11:09.

deregulated low tax, no rights workforce, but I think what we are

:11:10.:11:13.

seeing from Theresa May and Philip Hammond is a different vision, high

:11:14.:11:17.

infrastructure and high skills and high investment. Almost as though at

:11:18.:11:22.

the time we are leaving the European Union we are becoming more European

:11:23.:11:27.

and more Christian Democratic in how we construct our policy. Didn't Ed

:11:28.:11:37.

Balls want to borrow to invest? Quite similar to John McDonnell,

:11:38.:11:42.

there has been a continuation. He wanted to borrow for everything, not

:11:43.:11:44.

just investment, that is the difference. We talk about

:11:45.:11:48.

politicians wanting to have their cake and eat it, and I think Philip

:11:49.:11:52.

Hammond would have taken two balls and put them in both holes if he had

:11:53.:11:58.

done that. He will say they want to ease off, no more targets, but on

:11:59.:12:02.

the other hand he will say they will crack on with fiscal consolidation

:12:03.:12:08.

and this is about messaging, Philip Hammond did not think targets were

:12:09.:12:12.

good idea and I think we will see a change in tone from George Osborne's

:12:13.:12:17.

days. Not long to wait. Thank you for being with me this morning.

:12:18.:12:20.

So, the Chancellor Philip Hammond will be getting to his feet

:12:21.:12:23.

in the conference hall to deliver his set-piece speech

:12:24.:12:25.

So what do we know about what he's likely to say?

:12:26.:12:31.

There has been an overnight briefing.

:12:32.:12:33.

Mr Hammond, who as Foreign Secretary, was in favour of Remain,

:12:34.:12:36.

warned this morning of an economic "rollercoaster" as Britain

:12:37.:12:38.

He insisted the UK Economy is "very strong going into this period"

:12:39.:12:48.

but that there needed to be a "realistic expectation

:12:49.:12:54.

of the turbulence" once Article 50 is triggered which Theresa May said

:12:55.:12:57.

yesterday would happen by the end of March next year.

:12:58.:13:01.

In his speech today, the Chancellor will confirm

:13:02.:13:04.

that the government is abandoning his predecessor,

:13:05.:13:07.

George Osborne's, fiscal target to get the UK budget

:13:08.:13:10.

And that this new fiscal framework will be set out

:13:11.:13:18.

in the Autumn Statement in November for the "new circumstances

:13:19.:13:20.

Mr Hammond will also launch a ?3 billion Home Building Fund

:13:21.:13:25.

for England, to build 25,000 extra homes over the next four years

:13:26.:13:30.

and a further 200,000 houses in the longterm.

:13:31.:13:38.

The move has been seen as a signal that the Government will allow

:13:39.:13:45.

for greater borrowing to boost the economy if needed during the two

:13:46.:13:48.

years to 2019 that the UK will have to reach a deal with the EU.

:13:49.:13:57.

I've been joined by the minister for digital policy and ally

:13:58.:13:59.

of the former Chancellor George Osborne, Matt Hancock.

:14:00.:14:03.

Welcome back to the programme. Why is he abandoning George Osborne's

:14:04.:14:12.

targets? Clearly things have changed and the economy has changed and

:14:13.:14:15.

there was a vote for Brexit and this is a perfectly reasonable response

:14:16.:14:21.

to that. George Osborne said if we voted for Brexit there would have to

:14:22.:14:24.

be a punishment budget, what happened? Circumstances have changed

:14:25.:14:29.

and we have seen what has happened in the economy over the summer and

:14:30.:14:33.

the appropriate response, we have seen that in monetary policy, the

:14:34.:14:41.

cut in interest rates, and clearly given the uncertainty and the

:14:42.:14:43.

challenges, it is more difficult to get to that point. The punishment

:14:44.:14:50.

budget threat was wrong? I don't think it is worth going through the

:14:51.:14:54.

referendum. I think it is. You said all manner of things would happen,

:14:55.:14:58.

you said we would have a punishment budget if we left, but we haven't

:14:59.:15:02.

had a punishment budget, and the physical targets are going to be

:15:03.:15:05.

loosened if anything, so that was just plain wrong -- fiscal targets.

:15:06.:15:12.

What matters is how we respond to policy now. The report you told us

:15:13.:15:19.

in the past is unreliable, then it covers how we look at what you tell

:15:20.:15:26.

us in the present and future? It is only fair to admit that the

:15:27.:15:28.

punishment budget was a huge mistake and is unnecessary even though we

:15:29.:15:34.

voted to leave? What the Chancellor has set out in what we have heard

:15:35.:15:37.

about this morning, he was talking about this morning, how you respond

:15:38.:15:42.

to the circumstances now. Things have changed. On this point, there

:15:43.:15:48.

is an important question of how the economy responds given Brexit and

:15:49.:15:55.

there are signs that has not been as bad as the independent forecasters

:15:56.:15:58.

predicted and I think that is good news. What has changed?

:15:59.:16:05.

You say the fiscal targets have been changed because the economy's

:16:06.:16:11.

changed. In what way has the economy changed in the 100 days since we

:16:12.:16:15.

voted to leave? The forecasts are going back to where they were before

:16:16.:16:20.

June 23rd, so what's changed? Some of them have come off. There has

:16:21.:16:24.

been a rebound after that. I think that's good. The jobs numbers have

:16:25.:16:29.

been good. If you look at, for instance, the services sector. Rose

:16:30.:16:35.

in July? Fell very sharply in July then rose again. Back in August?

:16:36.:16:40.

You've got to look at what's actually happening in the economy

:16:41.:16:44.

and then you've got to set fiscal policy according to that. But before

:16:45.:16:49.

the referendum, the consensus forecast was that the economy would

:16:50.:16:54.

grow by around 2% this year. 100 days into the Brexit process, the

:16:55.:16:59.

consensus forecast is back at 2% so I ask you on the broad macro

:17:00.:17:03.

economic figures, what has changed to justify a change in the targets?

:17:04.:17:08.

The forecasts for next year are lower than they were before the

:17:09.:17:11.

vote. That is a change. And if you think about it, you've got to set

:17:12.:17:15.

fiscal policy according to what is expected to happen. So we'll receive

:17:16.:17:20.

the forecast from the Office for Budget Responsibility ahead of the

:17:21.:17:23.

Autumn Statement and that's what you've got to use as the basis.

:17:24.:17:27.

Look, when the circumstances change in economics, you then have to set

:17:28.:17:31.

your policy according to your best assessment of the circumstances.

:17:32.:17:36.

People making the forecasts that the economy will slow next year are the

:17:37.:17:40.

same people that made the forecasts that it would slow in the immediate

:17:41.:17:43.

aftermath of June 23rd, they were wrong. Well, according to the

:17:44.:17:48.

figures and surveys, there was a big dip in July. Now, there has been a

:17:49.:17:52.

rebound, but I think that's good news and now we've got to assess

:17:53.:17:57.

things, according to where we are. If you start to reassess the deficit

:17:58.:18:02.

figures, doesn't that mean all that six years of relentless emphasis on

:18:03.:18:06.

deficit reduction, in the end you were inflicting pain on the British

:18:07.:18:10.

people that wasn't necessary? No. I think that's completely wrong. The

:18:11.:18:13.

reason it's wrong is that the deficit is down by two thirds

:18:14.:18:22.

already. It was at a historic high. It was wholly unsustainable. It's

:18:23.:18:26.

still unsustainably high now, still needs to come down, but we always

:18:27.:18:30.

said the pace at which you bring that down should be set by economic

:18:31.:18:35.

circumstances and what is possible. The new Chancellor is making an

:18:36.:18:39.

assessment on the new economic figures, given the new facts, and

:18:40.:18:45.

then we'll set that out. So the deficit will continue to come down?

:18:46.:18:50.

I certainly hope so. Where else are you going to cut if you are going to

:18:51.:18:53.

increase spending on infrastructure investment? The deficit was already

:18:54.:19:00.

projected to fall because it's been coming down from 10% of GDP, down by

:19:01.:19:05.

two thirds, it was projected to go down further than that. I'm sure

:19:06.:19:08.

we'll get the full figures in the Autumn Statement. But what the

:19:09.:19:13.

Chancellor was saying today was that the pre-Brexit proposal to be able

:19:14.:19:21.

to read surplus is not going to be possible. He's been very clear that

:19:22.:19:25.

the deficit needs to come down. He's also going to spend more though. If

:19:26.:19:29.

you thought you had to get the deficit down because if you didn't

:19:30.:19:35.

you would pay a penalty in the bond markets but it turns out in this

:19:36.:19:39.

strange time of QE you don't pay a penalty? I put that the other way

:19:40.:19:43.

around. Because we have the clear commitment, political will and

:19:44.:19:48.

determination to get it down, that's why those bond rates have remained

:19:49.:19:52.

low or one of the reasons. Countries with far worse fiscal positions than

:19:53.:19:58.

us, far bigger percentage of their GDP into national debt, they are

:19:59.:20:02.

borrowing just as cheaply as we are? There were hardly any countries that

:20:03.:20:06.

had far worse fiscal positions than us. National debt is 135% of GDP.

:20:07.:20:12.

They borrowed a bit more expensively than us. There has been no penalty

:20:13.:20:19.

for those who've had more expensive fiscal policies? That's not true.

:20:20.:20:25.

Italy's deficit was smaller than us at the start of the process, it's

:20:26.:20:29.

now bigger. And they are borrowing cheaply? No. We had several years in

:20:30.:20:37.

which we had a potential crisis in the borrowing rate when the cost of

:20:38.:20:46.

its borrowing were much, much higher higher than us because we have got a

:20:47.:20:49.

plan and they didn't. The fact is, you are now telling us that we'll be

:20:50.:20:55.

able to borrow more than planned, to borrow to invest, and we won't pay a

:20:56.:20:59.

penalty in the bond markets and we can still borrow just as cheaply as

:21:00.:21:07.

we have? Correct. Correct? That's not exactly how I put it. You have

:21:08.:21:12.

to have a sustainable fiscal position. The current level is still

:21:13.:21:16.

sustainable and it still needs to come down. Ed Balls campaigned on

:21:17.:21:25.

this in 2015, he wanted to borrow more to invest, that's what you want

:21:26.:21:28.

to do? There is a difference in two important ways. One is of scale, we

:21:29.:21:33.

haven't heard the full details from the Chancellor yet, I'm sure we'll

:21:34.:21:36.

cut to him in a minute, but the second is a determination. We have

:21:37.:21:40.

proved over and over again that we are willing to take the decisions

:21:41.:21:44.

necessary to make sure we have sustainable public finances. We have

:21:45.:21:50.

discussed this many times. I am absolutely clear in our

:21:51.:21:53.

determination to have sustainable public finances. This is Ed Balls

:21:54.:21:59.

light isn't it? No. No. You are going to borrow, he was going to

:22:00.:22:04.

borrow, he may have borrowed not quite as much. You deny that you

:22:05.:22:08.

could do that in the election campaign, you said we couldn't

:22:09.:22:12.

borrow more to invest? No. The distinction is, we have got the

:22:13.:22:15.

political will and plan to bring the deficit down. The Ed Balls plan? The

:22:16.:22:20.

plan according to Labour was not to get there at all. ?3 billion for new

:22:21.:22:26.

home-building, how much of that is new money? Well, you will see where

:22:27.:22:30.

the money comes from set out in detail in the Autumn Statement. But

:22:31.:22:36.

this is money that wasn't in the budget for house building before if

:22:37.:22:40.

that's what you mean. ?2 billion is being borrowed? Well, ultimately...

:22:41.:22:44.

Which you told us you couldn't do, borrow to build? No. This is about

:22:45.:22:49.

getting money into house building. By borrowing? It's one of the most

:22:50.:22:53.

important things we can do is getting house building... We know

:22:54.:22:57.

that, why didn't you do it before? We had a whole series of different

:22:58.:23:01.

policies in this area. Which have worked? We are going to take a

:23:02.:23:06.

slightly different approach, using public sector land. And using the

:23:07.:23:09.

public sector balance sheet to pay for it. When you take the measures

:23:10.:23:15.

together, I've seen figures, but how many new homes a year will this

:23:16.:23:20.

produce? The aim of these packages specifically is to get just over

:23:21.:23:25.

200,000 new homes. Per year? And over... We have also got to make

:23:26.:23:30.

sure that at the same time, the private sector house building gets

:23:31.:23:35.

going faster than it has been. This will be private sector housing won't

:23:36.:23:45.

it? Part of it is on public sector land and using the public and

:23:46.:23:50.

private balance sheets. Owned by land builders, that is incredibly

:23:51.:23:54.

important. So 200,000 houses a year? Just over in total. That is what

:23:55.:23:59.

David Cameron pledged when he became Prime Minister. What did he achieve?

:24:00.:24:04.

In terms of starts, the starts... Completions? What is the average

:24:05.:24:08.

completion rate under the Cameron years. Why don't you tell me?

:24:09.:24:14.

123,000. Exactly. That's the average over the six years. So nowhere near

:24:15.:24:19.

200,000? No. It was incredibly difficult at first because we were

:24:20.:24:22.

still in the throes of the great recession. Actually that figure came

:24:23.:24:27.

up and the fact that, of course, the starts figure improves before the

:24:28.:24:32.

completions figure by its nature and that figure had got up to pre-crash

:24:33.:24:38.

levels. Actually it hasn't. After six years of Conservative

:24:39.:24:41.

Government, how many houses did we complete in the last fiscal year? I

:24:42.:24:46.

haven't got that figure in my head. 145,000. Right so it's gone up. Way

:24:47.:24:53.

behind. Still the lowest completion figures since the 1920s. That's not

:24:54.:24:58.

actually right. Because what you've got to look at is how fast we have

:24:59.:25:05.

managed to get the starts in housing going because that's going to

:25:06.:25:07.

foreshadow completions in nine months or a year when the houses get

:25:08.:25:17.

done. The starts in the year to June 2016 for 144,000, which is actually

:25:18.:25:23.

lower than the 145,000 you managed to complete the previous year so the

:25:24.:25:28.

starts are not starting up. We should have an injection of more

:25:29.:25:32.

support to get more house-building and to bring more house builders on

:25:33.:25:35.

instead of just the big ones that we've got at the moment. I've got

:25:36.:25:40.

that, I understand that. Yes. But Gordon Brown made the same promises,

:25:41.:25:45.

Tony Blair made them, 200,000 houses a year, I mean the Blair Brown

:25:46.:25:48.

averages are better than yours but not great. Brown 136,000

:25:49.:25:54.

completions, Blair was 148,000 completions. No-one, politicians

:25:55.:25:59.

again and again tell me we'll get to 200,000, we never get it, we still

:26:00.:26:05.

get these incredibly historic low completions and I don't understand

:26:06.:26:08.

why what's being announced today is really going to make any difference

:26:09.:26:12.

to that? What I don't understand is this argument that because it's

:26:13.:26:15.

difficult we shouldn't try. Of course we should. Making sure that

:26:16.:26:20.

we get that level of house building up is important. There's a huge

:26:21.:26:24.

amount of work that's gone into it. And this is a slightly different

:26:25.:26:27.

approach because all of that approach that you talked about in

:26:28.:26:32.

the past was all based on trying to incentivise on the private side and

:26:33.:26:36.

then some local authority and Housing Association building. This

:26:37.:26:38.

is using the central Government balance sheet in a new way. Sure.

:26:39.:26:43.

Are you going to build a lot of new council houses? We have built far

:26:44.:26:47.

more... But they didn't build any. Are you going to build a lot of

:26:48.:26:52.

them? There is a combination of council houses, yes, also Housing

:26:53.:26:56.

Association and social housing and then houses, private sector houses

:26:57.:26:59.

for people to buy. It's good to have you back on. We

:27:00.:27:04.

have run out of time. When do you think you will return to frontline

:27:05.:27:08.

politics? Who? You. I'm having a whale of a time. That's different

:27:09.:27:12.

from frontline politics. I'm on the Daily Politics, Andrew. You're

:27:13.:27:16.

always on the Daily Politics! You're always on that. It was delightful to

:27:17.:27:20.

see you again, thank you Matt Hancock, who is the Minister for

:27:21.:27:25.

Digital policy these days! Whatever that means. Anyway, shall we have a

:27:26.:27:29.

look in the hall and see what is going on. The Transport Secretary

:27:30.:27:37.

Chris Grayling is making his speech. He's reconfirmed the Government's

:27:38.:27:42.

commitment to HS II and, given that we are in Birmingham, he's pledged

:27:43.:27:47.

?12 billion towards the transport component of the so-called Midlands

:27:48.:27:52.

Engine. ?12 billion, where's that come from? The north is the northern

:27:53.:27:57.

powerhouse, the Midlands has the Midlands engine. We'll have to see

:27:58.:28:01.

what Lincolnshire gets next or Cumberland! We shall see. Anyway, we

:28:02.:28:07.

are joined by Laura Kuenssberg, Paul Johnson of the IFS also. Welcome to

:28:08.:28:12.

you both. I don't know if you heard my interview with Matt Hancock

:28:13.:28:19.

there, but how much of this change in deficit reduction targets cast a

:28:20.:28:23.

shadow over all the previous emphasis on deficit reduction?

:28:24.:28:26.

Things have genuinely changed and, of course, the testify sit's come

:28:27.:28:32.

down by an awful lot -- deficit's come down. By the original plan it

:28:33.:28:36.

was meant to have gone now all together. That was down to the

:28:37.:28:40.

economy not going anywhere near as well as hoped. What's happening now

:28:41.:28:45.

is that we've got a huge amount of uncertainty over the economy over

:28:46.:28:50.

the next three or four years, but actually the next ten or 20 years,

:28:51.:28:56.

so to say that you are going to have a specific target given that

:28:57.:28:58.

uncertainty, it's appropriate to move away from that, as indeed

:28:59.:29:02.

George Osborne said he'd do. I'm sure we are still going to get some

:29:03.:29:06.

focus on concerns about the total level of deficit and debt. Exactly

:29:07.:29:11.

how that is couched, it remains to be seen. The amount of money from

:29:12.:29:17.

the Midlands Engine is ?12 million, not ?12 billion! Quite a difference.

:29:18.:29:25.

Sorry to have raised the hopes of the Birmingham people. Probably a

:29:26.:29:30.

heart attack in Manchester! Mr Hammond has a difficult balancing

:29:31.:29:33.

act, I suggest, Laura on two fronts today. He has to make a change in

:29:34.:29:39.

policy, a change in emphasis on fiscal stance from his predecessor,

:29:40.:29:45.

but at the same time, that is one thing, the other thing is he can't

:29:46.:29:49.

really tell us what he has in store until the Autumn Statement on

:29:50.:29:52.

November 23rd? Absolutely and he's constricted in that sense on both

:29:53.:29:56.

sides. In his nature, he's a very different kind of politician. Over

:29:57.:29:59.

the years we have gotten used to the Chancellor's speech being a huge

:30:00.:30:03.

event, the Chancellor had his own hat stuffed full of his own rabbits,

:30:04.:30:08.

he enjoyed revealing things with a flourish towards the end of the

:30:09.:30:11.

speech, rounded that too and in a sense George Osborne carried on that

:30:12.:30:14.

tradition, with the Chancellor having almost as big a day as the

:30:15.:30:20.

Prime Minister's speech. But he's not that kind of character, it's

:30:21.:30:25.

partly because he has to keep his goodies for the statement. The data

:30:26.:30:30.

about the post-referendum is only just starting to trickle in so they

:30:31.:30:33.

are not sure what position they'll be at the end of November. It's a

:30:34.:30:36.

measure of the fact this is a different Government. He's a

:30:37.:30:39.

different kind of politician, Theresa May is a different kind of

:30:40.:30:43.

politician, flash is out, if you like, but Philip Hammond is

:30:44.:30:46.

nonetheless very determined, as we have seen from this morning, to

:30:47.:30:50.

basically sketch out a different path. Targets are out, frameworks

:30:51.:30:55.

are in and politically, maybe not practically, but politically that is

:30:56.:30:56.

very different. Infrastructure spending is the new

:30:57.:31:08.

buzzword. Whereas infrastructure spending can improve the long-term

:31:09.:31:11.

supply side performance of the economy, in terms of Keynesian pump

:31:12.:31:16.

priming it doesn't have much of a speedy impact? That is broadly

:31:17.:31:22.

right, and the important thing about the infrastructure and improving the

:31:23.:31:27.

long-term economy, it is a long-term think governments can have a big

:31:28.:31:31.

effect on our productivity, but not next year, maybe in ten years,

:31:32.:31:35.

because these things take a while. In terms of pump priming, these

:31:36.:31:41.

projects take a long time to happen. If you look back at the last Labour

:31:42.:31:45.

government, every year they were missing by billions the amount they

:31:46.:31:48.

were hoping to spend on infrastructure, they just couldn't

:31:49.:31:51.

get the money out of the door, and we actually don't know, even if you

:31:52.:31:56.

wanted to pump prime, we don't know if this is the next couple of years

:31:57.:32:00.

when you want to pump prime or it is a longer-term thing when we actually

:32:01.:32:05.

come out of the European Union. Theresa May has been out this

:32:06.:32:10.

morning in Birmingham and was visiting a building site,

:32:11.:32:14.

politicians have a special like of building sites. The whole city is

:32:15.:32:19.

undergoing a massive renovation programme. Not wearing high

:32:20.:32:26.

visibility jackets, there, unlike the previous Chancellor. There she

:32:27.:32:37.

is. I'm told this is the new HSBC headquarters. The big bag coming to

:32:38.:32:45.

the Midlands. One of the interesting things, in the speech from savage

:32:46.:32:50.

avid and what will be undermined by Philip Hammond, something broader,

:32:51.:32:55.

ministers are on the one for policies which will be able to show

:32:56.:32:59.

a difference before the next general election -- on the hunt.

:33:00.:33:04.

Infrastructure promises have been scattered around like confetti in

:33:05.:33:07.

the last couple of years and everyone thinks it is a good idea,

:33:08.:33:11.

who doesn't think we should invest in the future of the country? The

:33:12.:33:16.

problem is it takes years to make a tangible difference in terms of jobs

:33:17.:33:20.

and a tangible difference in terms of the lines of voters, and

:33:21.:33:25.

ministers have a sense that they are not just looking for the right thing

:33:26.:33:28.

to do, but things they believe they can show progress on before the next

:33:29.:33:33.

general election. That is what is behind some of the announcements

:33:34.:33:39.

from Sajid Javid, they want to be able to do things they can show

:33:40.:33:47.

progress on, which is not easy. Mr Obama said they were shovel ready

:33:48.:33:51.

jobs, but then he had problems showing them. That is the

:33:52.:33:59.

difficulty. The Chancellor is being introduced, so I may interrupt you,

:34:00.:34:03.

but it seems you can widen the deficit and allow for slower deficit

:34:04.:34:06.

reduction and you pay no penalty in the bond markets which we would not

:34:07.:34:11.

have thought ten years ago. In large degree that is a reflection of the

:34:12.:34:14.

weakness of the world economy, people are looking for what they

:34:15.:34:24.

consider to be a relatively safe market, sovereign debt, despite the

:34:25.:34:27.

relatively high level of deficit, it still looks very safe relative to

:34:28.:34:32.

the uncertainties that surround the rest of the UK economy and the

:34:33.:34:37.

international, me. In terms of the change to go for investment in order

:34:38.:34:40.

to be able to spend cash which is not a change from the previous

:34:41.:34:45.

administration, even though George Osborne said he might go down this

:34:46.:34:49.

path. Philip Hammond and Theresa May have not woken up thinking, we are

:34:50.:34:52.

now going to be full throttle Keynesians, they are not huge

:34:53.:34:58.

converts to massive borrowings, to massive projects, and I understand

:34:59.:35:02.

it will be relatively small, ?2 billion borrowing for housing and

:35:03.:35:08.

equivalent amounts for other projects, and so this is a change,

:35:09.:35:13.

but this is not a 180 degrees flip for them to be pursuing a different

:35:14.:35:19.

economic philosophy. With housing committee to get the planning

:35:20.:35:24.

permissions, that can happen quickly, you can employ a lot of

:35:25.:35:28.

people and people have new houses and they buy a new kitchen -- with

:35:29.:35:33.

housing, you can get the planning permissions. It is what happened and

:35:34.:35:42.

helped the 1930s in this STUDIO: -- in this country. Planning

:35:43.:35:47.

permission is the problem. It is easing up little, no government has

:35:48.:35:50.

come anywhere near meeting the targets they have set themselves so

:35:51.:35:56.

there are constraints, but you can probably build housing more quickly

:35:57.:36:02.

than you can build a big New Road. Or a high-speed railway. It has a

:36:03.:36:07.

political problem for this party, because of the demand for more new

:36:08.:36:12.

homes which is greatest in the Tory Home Counties shires. Indeed. The

:36:13.:36:20.

new Communities Secretary Sajid Javid was addressing Tory

:36:21.:36:22.

councillors last but, maybe not reading them the riot act, but he is

:36:23.:36:28.

pretty determined to say to the foot shoulders and -- the soldiers, -- to

:36:29.:36:38.

the foot soldiers, he says they have got to be not as controlling and

:36:39.:36:43.

protective of the parts of the country that you represent. We have

:36:44.:36:46.

heard this on politicians before. Many times. You lose count of the

:36:47.:36:51.

number of times this has been said, but I suspect late in the year there

:36:52.:36:56.

might be more legislation, another housing white Paper, perhaps, that

:36:57.:36:59.

will go further in easing up planning restrictions. There has

:37:00.:37:06.

been a bit of change, but nowhere near enough if the government is to

:37:07.:37:13.

get anywhere near its target. They are way behind the target, this must

:37:14.:37:16.

be the longest introduction of the Chancellor of the Exchequer in

:37:17.:37:22.

living memory. The MP introducing him is still talking. Would it

:37:23.:37:28.

matter if in the Autumn Statement he doesn't set a date for a surplus?

:37:29.:37:32.

Would anyone care? Is it not more important that the markets CB

:37:33.:37:37.

deficit gets smaller and smaller, and the surplus was a kind of George

:37:38.:37:44.

Osborne conceit. -- see the deficit. I think you are right, given the

:37:45.:37:48.

uncertainty it would be a mistake to say we will get to surplus in 2020

:37:49.:37:55.

or 2023, but he can set out a path and an ambition and he can say that

:37:56.:38:01.

we will come as George Osborne did, we will aim in five years' time to

:38:02.:38:05.

be getting to surplus but if the economy changes we will adjust what

:38:06.:38:09.

we are trying to achieve and push it further out. Is the Prime Minister

:38:10.:38:14.

going to get away and stop talking about Brexit question what can they

:38:15.:38:21.

not help themselves? It will be interesting to see a Philip Hammond

:38:22.:38:23.

addresses it in any detail, but I don't think he will. It is

:38:24.:38:27.

overshadowing everything at this conference, no question. It was a

:38:28.:38:31.

cute political ploy for Theresa May to give a speech yesterday, a

:38:32.:38:36.

long-time aide Tory leader has done that on the first aid conference, --

:38:37.:38:43.

a long time since a Tory leader has done that on the first day of

:38:44.:38:47.

conference. Her plan was to get that out of the way, but that is all the

:38:48.:38:52.

chat. People are saying, did she really mean it yesterday when she

:38:53.:38:57.

said there would be a hard Brexit? Party leaders always say what they

:38:58.:39:02.

need at that moment. Of course they do. At last, here we go. Into the

:39:03.:39:09.

conference call for the Chancellor of the Exchequer, Philip Hammond, to

:39:10.:39:13.

give his first address to the Tory party faithful at the annual

:39:14.:39:15.

conference in his new position as Chancellor. This is Philip Hammond.

:39:16.:39:25.

Amanda, you held off a ferociously pincer movement in Cannock Chase

:39:26.:39:31.

annual result was one of the highlights of that result last May

:39:32.:39:34.

and we congratulate you on a fantastic achievement. APPLAUSE

:39:35.:39:43.

It is great to be back in Birmingham and a privilege to address this

:39:44.:39:46.

conference as Chancellor of the Exchequer. And I don't think I'm

:39:47.:39:52.

giving away any state secrets in admitting that I just might have

:39:53.:39:57.

hoped to have been a Treasury minister a bit earlier in my

:39:58.:40:03.

political career. In fact having been shadow chief secretary for

:40:04.:40:07.

three years until the 2010 general election, I rather suspect that that

:40:08.:40:13.

infamous note from Liam Byrne, you remember the one, dear Chief

:40:14.:40:19.

secretary, I'm afraid there's no money, I rather think that note was

:40:20.:40:27.

meant for me, but it went to David Laws, who published it, and is now

:40:28.:40:31.

trying to get it back. It became the shortest political suicide note in

:40:32.:40:37.

history, perhaps. Liam Byrne, your message to your successor was an

:40:38.:40:42.

admission of Labour's abject failure. APPLAUSE

:40:43.:40:52.

I will let you into a secret, my predecessor didn't leave me a note.

:40:53.:40:59.

But if he had this is what it would have said, dear Chancellor,

:41:00.:41:06.

employment is up, wages are rising, the deficit is down and income tax

:41:07.:41:11.

has been cut for tens images of people, that is the Conservative

:41:12.:41:14.

record, and that is the difference Conservative leader makes. APPLAUSE

:41:15.:41:29.

Anyway, I got to the Treasury in the end. I'm delighted to have such an

:41:30.:41:37.

excellent team supporting me. David Gauke as chief secretary, J Ellison

:41:38.:41:47.

as chief financial secretary, Simon Kirby, ably supported by Steve

:41:48.:41:54.

Barclay the Commons whips. Please give them a big round of applause.

:41:55.:41:56.

APPLAUSE I went down to the Bank of England

:41:57.:42:06.

last week to check on the gold reserves, what is left of them. You

:42:07.:42:11.

remember Gordon Brown sold half of them off at the bottom of the

:42:12.:42:18.

market, losing British taxpayers a staggering ?7 billion in the

:42:19.:42:21.

process, another example of Labour's failure. We last met in this hall

:42:22.:42:29.

two years ago on The Eagles the fight of our political lives -- two

:42:30.:42:37.

years ago on the eve of the fight. There was our Conservative vision of

:42:38.:42:45.

a future, with the economy moving forward, and Labour's offer with a

:42:46.:42:49.

vision of Britain going back to the old days of tax, spend, and waste.

:42:50.:42:55.

It is a credit to your hard work and the good sense of the British people

:42:56.:43:00.

that we won that fight and we should not forget the debt is party owes to

:43:01.:43:06.

the man who led us out of opposition and into coalition and then on to

:43:07.:43:08.

form the first Conservative government in 18 years. Our former

:43:09.:43:13.

leader and Prime Minister David Cameron. APPLAUSE

:43:14.:43:31.

But today, my friends, we meet on the eve of a different challenge. No

:43:32.:43:39.

less daunting and no less crucial to the future of our country. That vote

:43:40.:43:46.

on the 23rd of June, the first of its kind anywhere in Europe, was a

:43:47.:43:50.

defining moment, not just of this Parliament, but of this generation.

:43:51.:43:56.

The moment when the British people decided to change direction and map

:43:57.:44:01.

out a new path for our country's future. Whichever side of the

:44:02.:44:06.

arguing we were on we should not forget this, only one mainstream

:44:07.:44:11.

political party was prepared to give the British people their say and

:44:12.:44:17.

only one party delivered that referendum and only one party

:44:18.:44:23.

unhesitatingly accepted the result. This great party, the Conservative

:44:24.:44:24.

Party. APPLAUSE That result in June gave clear voice

:44:25.:44:41.

to a desire by the British people for an end to political union and

:44:42.:44:46.

the restoration of control. Control, that keyword. Control over the roles

:44:47.:44:53.

and regulations that govern their lives, control over who can live and

:44:54.:44:58.

work in their country, and control over how their money is spent. And I

:44:59.:45:04.

can reassure the British people of this, that message has been received

:45:05.:45:13.

loud and clear. No ifs and buts, no second referendum, we are leaving

:45:14.:45:14.

the European Union. APPLAUSE But it is equally clear to me that

:45:15.:45:28.

the British people did not vote on June 23rd to become poorer or less

:45:29.:45:36.

secure. So our task is clear. Repatriate our sovereignty, control

:45:37.:45:38.

our borders and seize the opportunities that the wider world

:45:39.:45:43.

has to offer. But do all of this while protecting our economy, our

:45:44.:45:47.

jobs and our living standards. Now, the message may be simple, but I can

:45:48.:45:52.

assure you, the process will be complex. Successful negotiation with

:45:53.:46:02.

the EU 27 will demand patience, experience, meticulous planning and

:46:03.:46:06.

steely resolution. And I know of no-one better equipped to guide us

:46:07.:46:09.

through these negotiations than our brilliant new Prime Minister,

:46:10.:46:14.

Theresa May! APPLAUSE.

:46:15.:46:29.

We should approach these negotiations with self-confidence.

:46:30.:46:35.

Our economy is the fifth largest in the world. Our nation is built upon

:46:36.:46:41.

a history of global trade. Our people are responsible for some of

:46:42.:46:46.

the most significant inventions and discoveries of history. So no-one

:46:47.:46:51.

should be in any doubt that we have the skills, the ingenuity and

:46:52.:46:55.

determination to make a success of Brexit. Starting from a position of

:46:56.:47:02.

strength. And thanks in no small part to the onningions of my

:47:03.:47:07.

predecessor, we enter these negotiations with an economy that is

:47:08.:47:14.

fundamentally robust. It's easy to forget, six years on, the scale of

:47:15.:47:20.

the legacy of Labour's great recession that we inherited in 2010.

:47:21.:47:24.

Turmoil in the markets, a banking system still reeling from the

:47:25.:47:30.

crisis, a deficit of more than 10% of GDP, the highest in our peacetime

:47:31.:47:36.

history, an economy on the brink. It was the decisions that George

:47:37.:47:40.

Osborne took in those early days that pulled us back from the

:47:41.:47:45.

precipice and set us on a course to recovery. The tough early choices...

:47:46.:47:47.

APPLAUSE. Those tough early choices and the

:47:48.:48:05.

doggedness in sticking with them delivered that intangible but

:48:06.:48:06.

indispensable commodity - credibility. Credibility in the

:48:07.:48:12.

markets that helped secure record low borrowing costs, incredibility

:48:13.:48:16.

with business, securing the investment that supported our

:48:17.:48:20.

recovery. And the results are clear for all of us to see. 2.7 million

:48:21.:48:27.

people more in work today under a Conservative Government than in 2010

:48:28.:48:31.

under Labour. Did we hear that achievement being

:48:32.:48:34.

Lauded in Liverpool last week? Of course not. Because Corbyn's Labour

:48:35.:48:42.

Party has abandoned the agenda of working people deserted the middle

:48:43.:48:46.

ground of British politics in favour of the socialist ideaology of the

:48:47.:48:52.

Metropolitan left-wing elite. Leaving us, the Conservatives, as

:48:53.:48:55.

the true party of British working people.

:48:56.:48:57.

APPLAUSE. Of course, for much of his time as

:48:58.:49:13.

Chancellor, George Osborne faced Ed Balls across the despatch box.

:49:14.:49:18.

Remember Ed Balls? I know you remember him from Saturday night,

:49:19.:49:22.

I'm asking if you remember him in his more minor role as Shadow

:49:23.:49:27.

Chancellor? ! By the way, you know Ed wasn't their first choice for

:49:28.:49:31.

Strictly, they were going to ask Corbyn to do it but then someone

:49:32.:49:37.

told them he had two left feet! LAUGHTER.

:49:38.:49:46.

I watched Ed on Saturday night. I don't want to sound like Craig Revel

:49:47.:49:53.

Horwood but I have to say, I think his charleston is probably better

:49:54.:49:57.

than his economic analysis. Because he told us back then that

:49:58.:50:02.

our policies would push the economy into recession, but he was wrong.

:50:03.:50:08.

Since 2010, Britain has grown faster than any other economy in the G7. He

:50:09.:50:13.

said, we would never replace lost public sector jobs with new private

:50:14.:50:19.

sector jobs, but we did. Not one for one, but seven for one.

:50:20.:50:23.

And that's not all. We got our deficit down by nearly two thirds,

:50:24.:50:28.

we cut the welfare bill, we have kept mortgage rates low protecting

:50:29.:50:31.

millions of homeowners through difficult times, we have cut income

:50:32.:50:35.

tax for 30 million people and taken four million low-paid workers out of

:50:36.:50:40.

income tax all together. I say, not bad for an economy that looked out

:50:41.:50:44.

for the count when we took it over in 2010 and a record of which this

:50:45.:50:49.

party can be justly proud. APPLAUSE.

:50:50.:51:01.

But we cannot rest on our laurels. We must look to the future, to the

:51:02.:51:09.

economic challenges ahead. Let's start with the immediate challenge.

:51:10.:51:14.

The markets have calmed since the reference dumb vote and many of the

:51:15.:51:19.

recent data have been better than expected.

:51:20.:51:25.

That is the underlying strength of our economy. But there is no room

:51:26.:51:32.

for complacency. Many businesses which trade with the EU are

:51:33.:51:38.

uncertain Tebbit a what lie -- about what lies ahead.

:51:39.:51:44.

About the deal that will be done, about the changes they'll have to

:51:45.:51:49.

make to adapt to the post-Brexit world and about what it will all

:51:50.:51:53.

mean for their employees, their company, their business model.

:51:54.:51:59.

I understand their concerns. Business, after all, hates

:52:00.:52:02.

uncertainty. But let me repeat the pledge of the

:52:03.:52:08.

Prime Minister yesterday. As we negotiate our exit from the EU and

:52:09.:52:13.

our future relationship with it, this Government will fight for the

:52:14.:52:18.

best possible deal for British business and British workers, the

:52:19.:52:23.

best possible access to European markets for our manufacturing and

:52:24.:52:28.

services industries and the best possible freedoms for our

:52:29.:52:33.

entrepreneurs and global exporters ensuring that Britain after Brexit

:52:34.:52:36.

will remain one of the best places in the world for a business to

:52:37.:52:41.

invest, to innovate and to grow. APPLAUSE.

:52:42.:52:53.

The independent Bank of England successfully cut interest rates to

:52:54.:52:57.

restore confidence in the wake of the vote. But as the economy

:52:58.:53:02.

responds over the coming months, fiscal policy may also have a role

:53:03.:53:06.

to play. So let me be clear. Throughout the

:53:07.:53:11.

negotiating process, we are ready to take whatever steps are necessary to

:53:12.:53:15.

protect this economy from turbulence. And when the process is

:53:16.:53:21.

over, we are ready to provide support to British businesses as

:53:22.:53:25.

they are just to -- they adjust to life outside the EU. Because Brexit

:53:26.:53:30.

does mean Brexit and we are going to make a success of it.

:53:31.:53:39.

In the meantime, I can offer some additional certainty to British

:53:40.:53:46.

business and other organisations bidding to receive EU funding while

:53:47.:53:51.

we are still a member. I've already guaranteed the funding for projects

:53:52.:53:54.

signed prior to this year's Autumn Statement. Today, I can go further.

:53:55.:54:01.

The Treasury will offer a guarantee to bidders whose projects meet UK

:54:02.:54:06.

priorities and value for money criteria, that if they secure

:54:07.:54:11.

multiyear EU funding before we exit, we will guarantee those payments

:54:12.:54:15.

after Britain has left the EU, protecting British jobs and

:54:16.:54:17.

businesses after Brexit. APPLAUSE.

:54:18.:54:28.

As Conservatives, we know, of course, that no-one owes us a

:54:29.:54:35.

living. But a country has to live within its means. A fundamental part

:54:36.:54:40.

of maintaining our global competitiveness is getting our

:54:41.:54:46.

public finances back in order. We should of course be proud of our

:54:47.:54:50.

achievements in fiscal consolidation, but the work we began

:54:51.:54:57.

in 2010 is not finished. The deficit remains unsustainable. And the

:54:58.:55:02.

decision to leave the EU has introduced new fiscal uncertainty.

:55:03.:55:08.

Last year, the Government borrowed ?1 in every ?10 we spent. And piling

:55:09.:55:15.

up debt for our children and our grandchildren is not only

:55:16.:55:22.

unsustainable, it's unfair. And more, it's downright unconservative.

:55:23.:55:27.

The British people elected us on a promise to restore fiscal discipline

:55:28.:55:30.

and that is exactly what we are going to do. But we will do it in a

:55:31.:55:37.

pragmatic way, in a way that reflects the new circumstances we

:55:38.:55:40.

face. The fiscal policies that George Osborne set out were the

:55:41.:55:45.

right ones for that time. But when times change, we must change with

:55:46.:55:48.

them. So we will no longer target a

:55:49.:55:52.

surplus at the end of this Parliament.

:55:53.:55:58.

But make no mistake, the task of fiscal consolidation must continue.

:55:59.:56:06.

It must happen within the context of a clear, credible fiscal framework

:56:07.:56:10.

that will control today's expenditure, deliver value for money

:56:11.:56:12.

and get Britain back living within our mens.

:56:13.:56:18.

At the Autumn Statement in November, I will set our our plan to deliver

:56:19.:56:24.

long-term fiscal sustainability while responding to the consequences

:56:25.:56:29.

of short-term uncertainty and recognising the need for investment

:56:30.:56:34.

to build an economy that works for everyone, a new plan for the new

:56:35.:56:40.

circumstances Britain faces. A Conservative Government

:56:41.:56:45.

demonstrating the flexibility, the common-sense and pragmatism that's

:56:46.:56:49.

made our party the most successful political party in British history.

:56:50.:57:02.

APPLAUSE. Now, contrast this balanced

:57:03.:57:06.

responsible approach with the shambles of Labour in Liverpool last

:57:07.:57:09.

week. In denial about their record in

:57:10.:57:15.

office, deluded about the state of the public finances today, not once

:57:16.:57:20.

did Jeremy Corbyn apologise for the mess that Labour left behind.

:57:21.:57:24.

On the contrary, his Shadow secretary says their mistake was not

:57:25.:57:29.

to have spent more. If you think their past record is bad, let's look

:57:30.:57:34.

at their plans for Britain's future. Corbyn's big idea is to spend an

:57:35.:57:43.

extra half a trillion pounds. That's 7,700 for every man, woman and child

:57:44.:57:47.

in the UK. I just hope he remembers when he

:57:48.:57:50.

goes to bed at night to water the magic money tree.

:57:51.:57:55.

Now look, we could speculate as to how Labour would pay for a spending

:57:56.:57:59.

splurge on this scale, but fortunately, we don't have to.

:58:00.:58:05.

Because we have the answer. From Labour's last Shadow Chancellor,

:58:06.:58:09.

Chris Lesley. This is what he said last week about how Labour would

:58:10.:58:15.

fund Corbyn's plan. You'd have to double income tax, you would have to

:58:16.:58:20.

double national insurance, you would have to double council tax and you

:58:21.:58:24.

would have to double VAT as well. So there we have it. From the mouth

:58:25.:58:30.

of one of their own. Labour condemned as totally unfit to govern

:58:31.:58:35.

this country. APPLAUSE.

:58:36.:58:46.

With nothing to offer the hard-working people of Britain, and,

:58:47.:58:53.

as always, it would be the poorest and the most vulnerable who would

:58:54.:58:58.

pay the biggest price. So, my friends, we in this party have a

:58:59.:59:05.

great and solemn responsibility because we alone carry the burden of

:59:06.:59:12.

ensuring that Labour can never again wreck the British economy. The

:59:13.:59:17.

Conservative commitment is to build a country and an economy that works

:59:18.:59:22.

for everyone, to raise our living standards and grow our national

:59:23.:59:25.

wealth. Not just for today, but for future

:59:26.:59:29.

generations too. We know how to do that, we

:59:30.:59:33.

Conservatives, we have proved it time and time again.

:59:34.:59:39.

Cleaning up Labour's mess. We'll do it by making the British

:59:40.:59:44.

economy the most outward looking, most dynamic, most competitive

:59:45.:59:48.

high-wage, high-skilled low-tax economy in the world.

:59:49.:59:53.

We do it by making sure that after our EI exit, we continue to attract

:59:54.:59:57.

the brightest and the best, the highest skilled and the most dynamic

:59:58.:00:02.

entrepreneurs, scientists, engineers and managers from around the world,

:00:03.:00:07.

building a strong and vibrant economy as the bedrock of our strong

:00:08.:00:13.

and vibrant society. A Conservative vision of the future of Britain. And

:00:14.:00:19.

I'll tell you this, it's a million miles away from the la-la land

:00:20.:00:23.

Labour was describing in Liverpool last week.

:00:24.:00:27.

To deliver that strong economy requires long-term sustainable

:00:28.:00:35.

growth. And long-term sustainable growth requires us to raise the

:00:36.:00:40.

national productivity. Before you switch off, I know productivity

:00:41.:00:44.

doesn't necessarily set political pulses racing but bear with me while

:00:45.:00:49.

I try to convince you that it should. How about this? You probably

:00:50.:00:54.

know that the national productivity is lower than that of the United

:00:55.:00:58.

States and Germany, and maybe you even feel resigned to that fact. But

:00:59.:01:05.

did you know that it is lower than France and Italy, as well. Had you

:01:06.:01:10.

made the connection about what that means in the real world, because

:01:11.:01:15.

what it means is that millions of British workers are working longer

:01:16.:01:19.

hours for lower pay than their counterparts in Europe and the

:01:20.:01:23.

United States and that has to change if we are going to build an economy

:01:24.:01:28.

that works for everyone. If we raised our productivity by just 1%,

:01:29.:01:39.

every year, within a decade we would add ?250 billion to the size of our

:01:40.:01:44.

economy, ?9,000 for every household in Britain. Productivity should set

:01:45.:01:54.

political pulses racing. It is a decades-old problems swept under the

:01:55.:01:59.

carpet for too long. But under this government we are going to put this

:02:00.:02:02.

in the spotlight, right at the forefront of our policy agenda and

:02:03.:02:06.

at the heart of our industrial strategy. We know where to start.

:02:07.:02:13.

Our productivity performance in this country is grossly uneven. Still too

:02:14.:02:18.

reliant on a few key sectors and still too focused on London and the

:02:19.:02:24.

south-east. The good news is, we know how to do productivity, parts

:02:25.:02:28.

of London have the highest productivity in Europe. The bad

:02:29.:02:35.

news, the productivity gap between the capital and the second, third

:02:36.:02:39.

and fourth cities is greater than in any other major economy in the

:02:40.:02:46.

world. And closing that gap will be key to Britain's future outside the

:02:47.:02:50.

EU. That is why we are doing regional devolution deals and why

:02:51.:02:55.

tackling those regional differences will be one of the key drivers for

:02:56.:02:59.

the industrial strategy that Greg Clark is developing now. And there

:03:00.:03:06.

is the skills challenge, we've made huge progress over the last six

:03:07.:03:10.

years, how many people in this room ten years ago would have believed

:03:11.:03:18.

that in every year since 2014, maths would be the most popular A-level

:03:19.:03:21.

subject in English schools? But it was. That is a tribute to

:03:22.:03:27.

Conservative education reforms. APPLAUSE

:03:28.:03:36.

Despite that progress, there is a huge gap between our skills base and

:03:37.:03:44.

that of our key competitors. It is holding people back from achieving

:03:45.:03:48.

their full potential and it is holding our nation back in the

:03:49.:03:54.

global race. And there's more. Our stock of public infrastructure bang

:03:55.:04:01.

which is near the bottom of the developed countries league table

:04:02.:04:06.

after decades of underinvestment -- languishes near the bottom. All of

:04:07.:04:12.

this must change to build an economy which works for everyone. We need to

:04:13.:04:18.

close that gap with careful targeted public investment in high-value

:04:19.:04:24.

infrastructure and encouragement of more private business investment in

:04:25.:04:28.

British enterprises. If we are going to see economic growth distributed

:04:29.:04:32.

more evenly across the regions and sectors of our economy, and more

:04:33.:04:37.

fairly between the generations, there's another big challenge that

:04:38.:04:42.

needs to be tackled. The on affordability of housing. Because

:04:43.:04:48.

despite the action we have taken, fewer and fewer young people are

:04:49.:04:52.

able to afford to get their foot on the first rung of the housing ladder

:04:53.:04:58.

and buy their own home. Quite simply we are not building enough new

:04:59.:05:01.

homes. This is a long-term challenge. But there are short-term

:05:02.:05:07.

measures we can take and the package that Sajid Javid announced earlier,

:05:08.:05:12.

?3 billion home-builders fund and the 2 billion is proud of new

:05:13.:05:18.

investment for construction on public land is a clear demonstration

:05:19.:05:20.

of this government's determination to tackle this challenge using

:05:21.:05:26.

everything at our disposal because making housing more affordable will

:05:27.:05:32.

be a vital part of building a country that works for everyone. And

:05:33.:05:37.

this government is determined that the dream of home ownership should

:05:38.:05:45.

be for the many and not for the few. Making sure that we have world-class

:05:46.:05:49.

infrastructure is vital to maintaining our competitiveness but

:05:50.:05:55.

it is a very long-term agenda. One that can be and often has been

:05:56.:05:59.

knocked off course by short-term political considerations. That is

:06:00.:06:04.

why we announce the national infrastructure commission, to define

:06:05.:06:09.

independently the nation's long-term infrastructure needs and to

:06:10.:06:13.

prioritise and plan and to test value for money and to make sure

:06:14.:06:17.

that every penny spent on infrastructure is properly targeted

:06:18.:06:25.

to deliver maximum benefit. And today I recommit to putting the

:06:26.:06:29.

commission at the very heart of our plans to renew and expand Britain's

:06:30.:06:33.

infrastructure, making sure that it is long-term economics and not

:06:34.:06:39.

short-term politics, that drives Britain's vital infrastructure

:06:40.:06:44.

investment. Part of Britain's productivity transformation will,

:06:45.:06:52.

from innovation. -- will come from. The new technologies which are right

:06:53.:06:59.

now making their way from university labs and facilities into early stage

:07:00.:07:01.

production, offer Britain a much bigger prize than incremental

:07:02.:07:07.

productivity improvements. Because at the cutting edge of many of these

:07:08.:07:13.

new technologies UK is becoming a world leader once again. Not just in

:07:14.:07:18.

the science but in the application of it. And in the innovation that

:07:19.:07:25.

follows. Over the last few years unnoticed by most of us,

:07:26.:07:29.

entrepreneurs and scientists from home and abroad have been turning

:07:30.:07:32.

Britain into a hub of tech innovation. Global businesses have

:07:33.:07:38.

followed, hungry for the inventions and innovations they are generating.

:07:39.:07:43.

Developing technologies that will change fundamentally the way we work

:07:44.:07:50.

and the way we live. Driverless cars, the internet of things,

:07:51.:07:55.

artificial intelligence, 3-D printing, Virtual reality, advanced

:07:56.:08:01.

robotics, I will be honest, I had no idea until a few weeks ago just how

:08:02.:08:07.

much I don't know. And I had even less idea how much I still wouldn't

:08:08.:08:13.

be able to understand even when clever people had explained it to

:08:14.:08:17.

me, but the truth is, this is the future, our future and our

:08:18.:08:23.

children's future. A whole new world that really would have sounded like

:08:24.:08:26.

science-fiction just a few years ago, but is now a reality taking

:08:27.:08:33.

shape in laboratories and incubators and factories across Britain, there

:08:34.:08:38.

is a once in a generation opportunity for Britain to cement

:08:39.:08:41.

its role as a leader in tech innovation. My ambition is clear, I

:08:42.:08:49.

want to see what is invented here developed here, I want to see what

:08:50.:08:53.

is developed here produced here, I want to see jobs and profits, and

:08:54.:08:59.

yes I want to see tax receipts here in Britain. APPLAUSE

:09:00.:09:09.

I want to see the fruit of British genius being harvested here in

:09:10.:09:17.

Britain as we move into a fourth Industrial Revolution, creating

:09:18.:09:23.

jobs, wealth, and success to future proof our economy post Brexit. We

:09:24.:09:27.

are well placed to do it. More competitive than ever. Up to seventh

:09:28.:09:32.

place in the world league table last year, from tenth the year before. We

:09:33.:09:38.

have world leading universities and research institutes, a trusted legal

:09:39.:09:43.

system and an advantageous time zone, the English-language, our

:09:44.:09:48.

secret and unfair advantage. And vibrant markets. A 20% we have one

:09:49.:09:53.

of the world's most competitive corporation tax rates and as it

:09:54.:10:00.

falls to 17% by the end of this Parliament it will be more

:10:01.:10:05.

attractive still. Of course this explosion of creativity and

:10:06.:10:07.

innovation that I've spoken about hasn't happened solely or even

:10:08.:10:11.

mainly because of government policy but it could easily be snuffed out

:10:12.:10:19.

by the wrong government policy. We must carefully maintained the

:10:20.:10:21.

conditions that have brought this activity to Britain in the first

:10:22.:10:26.

place. Including the ability to attract the brightest and best to

:10:27.:10:30.

work here in our high-tech industries. And where we see that

:10:31.:10:36.

there are government interventions that work we should be prepared to

:10:37.:10:42.

make them, so today I can announce another ?220 million of support to

:10:43.:10:47.

tech innovation spread across two initiatives. ?100 million to extend

:10:48.:10:57.

the biomedical fund which takes revolutionary science from the lab

:10:58.:11:01.

and delivers it to health care interventions and a further ?120

:11:02.:11:06.

billion to nurture the tech transfer offices which put universities and

:11:07.:11:10.

entrepreneurs together to get the science out of the lab and into the

:11:11.:11:16.

factory, that is a Conservative government investing in Britain's

:11:17.:11:16.

future. I've made my argument that we will

:11:17.:11:35.

not overcome Britain's productivity challenge unless we overcome the gap

:11:36.:11:42.

between cities and regions, but this is about politics, as well, because

:11:43.:11:47.

one of the key messages of the referendum campaign was that large

:11:48.:11:50.

parts of our country feel left behind. They see the country getting

:11:51.:11:55.

richer but they don't feel part of that success. A dangerous divide is

:11:56.:12:01.

opening up between those who believe they have a stake in the economy and

:12:02.:12:07.

those who don't. It is one of the central missions of this government

:12:08.:12:12.

to tackle that divide, to see the benefits of growth provided more

:12:13.:12:18.

equally across the regions and generations, and a key part of this

:12:19.:12:22.

agenda is harnessing the economic power of our cities. The Northern

:12:23.:12:28.

Powerhouse project takes a visionary approach, linking the great cities

:12:29.:12:32.

of the North into a coherent economic entity, an interconnected

:12:33.:12:42.

region that live as growth by making it easier and cheaper for and

:12:43.:12:44.

individuals to move goods come people and ideas. I want to pledge

:12:45.:12:52.

to you today that the Treasury under my leadership will continue to drive

:12:53.:12:55.

the Northern Powerhouse project, working in partnership with local

:12:56.:13:01.

leaders to see it deliver its potential for people in the North.

:13:02.:13:06.

But I also want to tell you that our ambition is not limited to the

:13:07.:13:11.

Northern Powerhouse. We want to create the conditions for success in

:13:12.:13:14.

the north, the South, and everywhere in between. There is nowhere more

:13:15.:13:19.

ripe to benefit from a similar approach than the Midlands. The

:13:20.:13:26.

Midlands engine with its hub in Birmingham powers 11.7 million lives

:13:27.:13:32.

generates ?220 billion for our economy and produces 18% of UK goods

:13:33.:13:39.

exports, more than a fifth of our total manufacturing output. In this

:13:40.:13:44.

great region there are 320,000 more people in work than there were in

:13:45.:13:50.

2010. But both productivity and economic growth have lagged behind

:13:51.:13:56.

the UK average. We have developed our long-term economic plan for the

:13:57.:14:01.

Midlands and is already delivering. But we can and we will do more. We

:14:02.:14:06.

are working with the West Midlands combined authority on a second

:14:07.:14:09.

devolution deal to include new powers on transport, criminal

:14:10.:14:15.

justice, data, planning and skills. With Andy Street, our fantastic

:14:16.:14:19.

mayoral candidate for the West Midlands, now in place, a great

:14:20.:14:25.

future is within the region's rasp, at the very released I can promise

:14:26.:14:29.

you this, this region will never be knowingly undersold -- grasp.

:14:30.:14:32.

APPLAUSE The Northern Powerhouse, the

:14:33.:14:47.

Midlands engine, two great projects that can be emulated across written.

:14:48.:14:53.

Indeed, I suspect the limiting factor might only be our ability to

:14:54.:14:57.

think of snappy titles for new regional projects -- across Britain.

:14:58.:15:02.

But be assured we have passed a tipping point in devolution in this

:15:03.:15:08.

country, a decisive and irreversible shift in the economic and political

:15:09.:15:12.

power balance. Britain's economy will be the better and the bigger

:15:13.:15:17.

for it. Conference, the British people have made a bold decision,

:15:18.:15:25.

and our party trusted them with the nation's future in a referendum. And

:15:26.:15:31.

now they trust us to deliver on their decision. We will not let them

:15:32.:15:38.

down. We are going to leave the European Union to repatriate our

:15:39.:15:42.

laws, to assert the supremacy of our courts, to control our borders, but

:15:43.:15:47.

we are not going to turn our backs on the nations of Europe. Let us

:15:48.:15:52.

resolve that as we leave their union, we will remain the best of

:15:53.:15:58.

neighbours but the closest of trade associates and the strongest of

:15:59.:16:02.

security partners. But our economic future must not be defined by Brexit

:16:03.:16:09.

alone. So as we tread that path, to becoming an independent sovereign

:16:10.:16:15.

country once again, and forge a new and exciting role for our nation in

:16:16.:16:23.

the world let us resolve to tackle the challenges at home with renewed

:16:24.:16:27.

vigour, dealing with the deficit, raising our productivity, the

:16:28.:16:31.

balancing our economy and rebuilding our infrastructure. And making sure

:16:32.:16:38.

that everyone in every part of our country can contribute and benefit

:16:39.:16:40.

from the growth that follows. Standing tall, attracting the best

:16:41.:16:56.

to deliver the vibrant successful economy that will mean when future

:16:57.:17:00.

generations look back on our decision in 2016, they'll see, not

:17:01.:17:05.

the end of an era, but the beginning of a new age. Not a country turning

:17:06.:17:15.

inward but a nation reaching out, decisively, confidently to grasp new

:17:16.:17:21.

opportunities, a bigger, better, greater Britain, truly a country

:17:22.:17:28.

that works for everyone. Thank you. APPLAUSE.

:17:29.:17:34.

STUDIO: The Chancellor Philip Hammond finishes his first key note

:17:35.:17:38.

address to the Tory Party Conference as Chancellor. It was a pretty long

:17:39.:17:44.

speech, short on anything new or any new announcements. Maybe he's saving

:17:45.:17:48.

them all up for the Autumn Statement on November 23rd. He boasted about

:17:49.:17:53.

the recovery that had occurred under this Government. He said the

:17:54.:17:57.

Conservatives were the true party of the British working people. He said

:17:58.:18:01.

a divide was opening up between those who were doing well out of the

:18:02.:18:05.

economy and those who weren't. It remains to be soon what is going to

:18:06.:18:09.

be done about that. He had a swipe at Ed Balls who, of course, is now

:18:10.:18:13.

more famous as a dancer than a Shadow Chancellor. He had a few

:18:14.:18:18.

things to say about fiscal policy. He confirmed what we already know,

:18:19.:18:23.

that they are no longer aiming for a surplus in the national budget by

:18:24.:18:27.

2020. Indeed, it could be that they'll drop the very idea of aiming

:18:28.:18:33.

for a surplus, but he did talk about fiscal sustainability which suggests

:18:34.:18:37.

he still hopes that the deficit over time will continue to come down. I

:18:38.:18:42.

guess it means the deficit never came down anything as quickly as Mr

:18:43.:18:45.

Osborne first told us it would in 2010. He then moved to a new more

:18:46.:18:52.

slower reduction for 2015 to 2020, now Mr Hammond I think is probably

:18:53.:18:55.

moving to stage three of deficit reduction which means it will be

:18:56.:19:00.

even slower than stage two under Mr Osborne. He did say that he was

:19:01.:19:05.

going to look to invest in various areas as well. He's already

:19:06.:19:08.

announced something on housing, which don't know yet what else, but

:19:09.:19:13.

he did say we had to do that. He spent some time on productivity and

:19:14.:19:17.

I suppose we'll think with an increase investment may address that

:19:18.:19:26.

poll. Paul Johnson from the Institute for Fiscal Studies, have I

:19:27.:19:30.

missed anything out? Nothing terribly new. We knew he wasn't

:19:31.:19:36.

going to aim for the surplus in 2020 and he's given us no sense of what

:19:37.:19:40.

the new fiscal rule will be. That doesn't surprise me, it will come in

:19:41.:19:44.

the Autumn Statement in November. He's dealing with uncertainty. He

:19:45.:19:49.

focussed on productivity, it's what underlies wage growth, he gave us

:19:50.:19:54.

some sums there, saying if you increase productivity 1% a year, you

:19:55.:19:57.

get hundreds of billions after ten years, absolutely true, the problem

:19:58.:20:01.

of course is how do you deliver that productivity. How does Government

:20:02.:20:05.

deliver it too? How indeed. He was right about some things. It does

:20:06.:20:10.

depend on skills, infrastructure and building and some things Governments

:20:11.:20:12.

have decided notlet to do in the past. We could have had a decision

:20:13.:20:16.

about a runway a lot quicker which would have been good for

:20:17.:20:19.

productivity. You can build extra roads but people don't like them.

:20:20.:20:23.

You can build extra houses on green fields but people don't like them.

:20:24.:20:27.

All these are good for productivity. So there are big decisions to take

:20:28.:20:30.

there. He said something interesting. He did focus and

:20:31.:20:35.

re-affirm George Osborne's commitment to devolution and to

:20:36.:20:40.

giving additional powers to local authorities and to regions. I think

:20:41.:20:44.

that was quite for me a big part of what he said. There is no, it would

:20:45.:20:49.

seem, going back from what I think we'll see over time as quite a big

:20:50.:20:52.

change in the way we run our economy and politics. Maybe if he really

:20:53.:20:55.

believeded in devolution he'd move the Treasury to Manchester? ! He

:20:56.:20:59.

would but... Then you would have a whole different view of the world.

:21:00.:21:03.

Parliament seems to be moving out of its building soon, they could move

:21:04.:21:09.

the whole that bang up there! In the broad sweep of things, we don't know

:21:10.:21:17.

how much he'll slow down, he's going to slow down the pace of deficit

:21:18.:21:25.

reduction? That is my guess. Let's remember, if the economy grows a bit

:21:26.:21:30.

less quickly than was hoped in March, even to he follows through

:21:31.:21:32.

exactly with George Osborne's spending cuts and so on on, we still

:21:33.:21:36.

won't get to a budget southern plus, so simply saying we are not going to

:21:37.:21:39.

get there doesn't tell us anything about the scale of any other change.

:21:40.:21:43.

There's clearly some indication of what looked like some really quite

:21:44.:21:46.

modest increases in spending on house building and so on which might

:21:47.:21:49.

help both in the short run and the long run, but I think we are going

:21:50.:21:55.

toff to wait until the Autumn Statement on November 20rd to find

:21:56.:22:00.

out more detail -- 23rd November. If I were him, I would still be waiting

:22:01.:22:03.

for more news on the economy over the next year to 18 months. To see

:22:04.:22:09.

which way it's going? Yes. Exactly. We don't know the course of the

:22:10.:22:13.

economy yet. We could forecast it going up and down and changing all

:22:14.:22:17.

the time. It's a little unfair to have a crack at Ed Balls, is it not,

:22:18.:22:21.

when his overall fiscal policy now sounds a little like Ed Balls? Well,

:22:22.:22:27.

the last Labour manifesto suggested aiming for what essentially would be

:22:28.:22:31.

a ?20 billion or ?30 billion deficit by the end of the Parliament because

:22:32.:22:35.

they would have been happy to borrow to invest. The Chancellor didn't say

:22:36.:22:39.

that is what he was aiming for, but he's certainly pushing in that kind

:22:40.:22:44.

of direction. Thanks for being with us. Pf pf

:22:45.:22:50.

Yesterday Pf pf was Brexit day here at Conference.

:22:51.:22:53.

We learned of course that Article 50 will be triggered before March next

:22:54.:22:57.

year, starting the formal two-year process of negotiations.

:22:58.:23:00.

And there'll be a vote in Parliament next spring confirming that Britain

:23:01.:23:05.

will leave at the end of that process, the Great Repeal Bill

:23:06.:23:08.

Adam was listening to the speeches and trying to get some

:23:09.:23:15.

answers from the ministers in charge of Brexit.

:23:16.:23:22.

Here is our Adam. APPLAUSE.

:23:23.:23:29.

. A speech from the Prime Minister on a Sunday at Tory conference! Most

:23:30.:23:33.

unusual. Must be something big like when she'll start the legal process

:23:34.:23:38.

of leaving the EU. Let me be absolutely clear. There'll

:23:39.:23:42.

be no unnecessary delays in invoking Article 50. We will invoke it when

:23:43.:23:46.

we are ready and we will be ready soon.

:23:47.:23:50.

We will invoke Article 50 no later than the end of March next year.

:23:51.:23:56.

APPLAUSE. And Brexit means Brexit which means

:23:57.:24:00.

what exactly? We voted to leave the European Union

:24:01.:24:04.

and become a fully independent sovereign country. We will do what

:24:05.:24:09.

independent sovereign countries do. We will decide for ourselves how we

:24:10.:24:14.

control immigration, and we'll be free to pass our own laws. But we

:24:15.:24:20.

will seek the best deal possible as we negotiate a new agreement with

:24:21.:24:22.

the European Union. APPLAUSE.

:24:23.:24:27.

Then there was the big we veal, the Great Repeal Bill. We'll soon put

:24:28.:24:33.

before Parliament a Great Repeal Bill which will remove from the

:24:34.:24:39.

statute bobbing once and for all the European Communities Act.

:24:40.:24:48.

This historic Bill which will be included in the next Queen's Speech

:24:49.:24:52.

will mean the 1972 Act, the legislation that gives direct effect

:24:53.:24:57.

to all EU law in Britain will no longer apply from the date upon

:24:58.:25:01.

which we formally leave the European Union. And its effect will be clear.

:25:02.:25:06.

What about the three Brexit ears, the trio of Government ministers who

:25:07.:25:10.

had to draw up the detailed plans for all of this? David Davis, the

:25:11.:25:15.

Brexit secretary, Liam Fox the international trade secretary and

:25:16.:25:18.

Boris Johnson, the Foreign Secretary. Rumour is they have been

:25:19.:25:21.

told to bite their tongues and not talk to the media much this week.

:25:22.:25:26.

We'll see. Dr Fox, are you keep ago

:25:27.:25:30.

low-profile, have you been told to? Does this look like a low-profile to

:25:31.:25:35.

you? Are you going to come on the programme? Not at the moment. Are

:25:36.:25:39.

you allowed to do interviews. People are saying you have been sat on and

:25:40.:25:42.

you are not allowed to talk to the media? Who, me? Quite fast there,

:25:43.:25:49.

David Davis! No proper interview bus two out of the three did give

:25:50.:25:54.

speeches as part of Brexit Sunday. I know some people suggest we should

:25:55.:25:59.

ignore the rules, tear up the treaties, I say that's not how

:26:00.:26:02.

Britain behaves. What kind of message would that send

:26:03.:26:07.

to the rest of the world? If we want to be treated with good will, we

:26:08.:26:14.

must act with good will. I think that vote on June 23rd, I

:26:15.:26:21.

think that was a vote for economic and political freedom and freedom

:26:22.:26:25.

for this country. APPLAUSE.

:26:26.:26:30.

And, at a packed fringe event, Liam Fox revealed he shed a tear on

:26:31.:26:33.

referendum night when he realised his side had won.

:26:34.:26:38.

That was Brexit Sunday, the Tories just hope this conference doesn't

:26:39.:26:42.

turn into Brexit Monday, Brexit Tuesday and Brexit Wednesday too.

:26:43.:26:47.

Our Adam reporting there. We are joined by our guests now.

:26:48.:27:05.

Dominic Grieve, we know when Article 50 will be triggered and we know the

:27:06.:27:10.

1972 Act, everything in that will be put on to the British stat due book.

:27:11.:27:14.

Are you happy with that approach? Putting the 72 Act on to the statute

:27:15.:27:20.

book, it's indispensable if we are leaving but it doesn't answer the

:27:21.:27:24.

question for business about what the relationship with the EU from

:27:25.:27:28.

outside will be thereafter. Bear in mind that the moment we put it in

:27:29.:27:33.

the statute book, after we leave, divergence will start to occur

:27:34.:27:37.

immediately. I think the key issue for business is, what will be the

:27:38.:27:41.

framework of our relations with the EU from outside of it which will

:27:42.:27:47.

enable them to carry on trading. So in a sense, the great Repeal Act is

:27:48.:27:52.

I think important, but it's not the central part of Brexit. When do we

:27:53.:27:59.

get to know, Bernard Jenkin, even a rough idea of what our relationship

:28:00.:28:03.

will be with the single market once we've left? If we have talks and

:28:04.:28:15.

reach constructive agreement, we'll tidy up all the things like

:28:16.:28:22.

agriculture, fishing data and mobile telephones and civil aviation, but

:28:23.:28:27.

hope will 'll also be an interim agreement to keep the tariffs at

:28:28.:28:33.

zero, to keep the services sector open on both sides, so that we have

:28:34.:28:37.

to time to develop a comprehensive economic partnership over a much

:28:38.:28:42.

longer period. The European Union's problem is two fold. First of all,

:28:43.:28:47.

they tend to take a very long time to develop trading relationships. I

:28:48.:28:51.

mean, how long has TTIP been doing and how long has it taken to do the

:28:52.:28:58.

that nayedian deal, six years, a very long time -- Canadian deal. It

:28:59.:29:02.

requires Norwich Union any morety and ratification by all member

:29:03.:29:18.

states. We can't -- unanimity. What do you say? I don't disagree about

:29:19.:29:23.

the sort of frustrations that we may encounter in the course of

:29:24.:29:27.

negotiating Brexit. But the bottom line is that we are in meshed

:29:28.:29:33.

economically with our European partners -- enmeshed. Unless we want

:29:34.:29:40.

a chaotic Brexit at the end of it, meaning we refer to a WTO

:29:41.:29:45.

membership, we are going to have to build structures which will fetter

:29:46.:29:49.

us to some extent. It doesn't matter how you do it that,'s how

:29:50.:29:51.

international relations are conducted. I always worry that

:29:52.:29:56.

there's an element of fantasy about Brexit, but somehow this wonderful

:29:57.:30:00.

moment comes, you have the Great Repeal Bill, the day comes when we

:30:01.:30:05.

leave and suddenly there is a brave new world, there isn't. It's a world

:30:06.:30:09.

of complex, commercial relationships underpinned by new treaties, just as

:30:10.:30:16.

we had old treaties, and whilst it's true the new treaties may not be

:30:17.:30:19.

Raing litted bay the European Court of Justice so we escape some of the

:30:20.:30:24.

mechanisms of the EU, actually it will be replaced by new apparatus,

:30:25.:30:28.

just as the international relations commercially with other states

:30:29.:30:30.

outied the EU is regulated at present. He doesn't seem to think

:30:31.:30:34.

it's worth a candle in other words? He was on the other side of the

:30:35.:30:39.

debate. The point is that we could have a much simpler and more

:30:40.:30:42.

straightforward relationship. The model might be the kind of

:30:43.:30:46.

relationship that Canada has with the United States. The United States

:30:47.:30:50.

Supreme Court doesn't make laws in Canada, the congress doesn't make

:30:51.:30:53.

laws in can dasmt It's a Free Trade Agreement. Is that what you would

:30:54.:30:56.

like? Yes, that is what we want. What is wrong with that? Nothing.

:30:57.:31:01.

But if you look at the reality of the Canadian US Free Trade Agreement

:31:02.:31:06.

because of the preponderance of economic power on one side of that

:31:07.:31:10.

equation, it's one which ultimately gets driven by the larger partner.

:31:11.:31:15.

You can't escape that. There is no pressure in Canada to come out. If

:31:16.:31:21.

anything, the pressure is in America to do it away.

:31:22.:31:26.

It is vital to their national interests, but when we voted to

:31:27.:31:33.

leave, I myself have never quite seen it as independent data --

:31:34.:31:38.

Independence Day, because it seems to me we live in an independent

:31:39.:31:44.

world, and what some people aspire to with Brexit is unlikely to be

:31:45.:31:47.

realised and so we have got the hard-headed and pragmatic about what

:31:48.:31:51.

we want to achieve and how we achieve it. We Road need to submit

:31:52.:31:59.

to the European court of justice as we do at the moment, that will give

:32:00.:32:05.

us our independence -- we won't need to submit. We will need to decide

:32:06.:32:13.

for ourselves. United Kingdom imports far more from the Europeans

:32:14.:32:19.

than we export and so they have a huge vested interest. Yes, we had

:32:20.:32:23.

that in the campaign, but from everything you say, you accept that

:32:24.:32:31.

if you don't want to be... You want to end freedom of movement. You are

:32:32.:32:38.

not going to be a member of the single market. That's impossible

:32:39.:32:45.

now? Yes, no doubt about it. You replace it with a free trade

:32:46.:32:49.

agreement? Yes, that might take some time. The interim arrangement might

:32:50.:32:54.

not be for me agreed, we might just say, until we have a agreement we

:32:55.:32:58.

will keep our tariffs at zero and keep our borders open for such and

:32:59.:33:06.

such. If we said we are open, you can carry on trading with us and

:33:07.:33:11.

selling your stuff tariff free, but then they say, no, we are going to

:33:12.:33:17.

put up tariffs, what is the European Union going to look like? It will

:33:18.:33:34.

destroy the British kind as to. -- car industry. It is perfectly

:33:35.:33:41.

reasonable that we are offsetting, if we are raising that revenue, we

:33:42.:33:49.

are spending on making this a very attractive country for investment.

:33:50.:33:55.

Subsidies? But subsidies. Increasing training grants, grants for research

:33:56.:34:00.

and element, many positive things we can do within the state aid rules.

:34:01.:34:05.

Our biggest individual export country is the United States, and we

:34:06.:34:07.

don't have a free-trade agreement with them. Our rules are already

:34:08.:34:15.

very enmeshed with Europe, could we not move quite quickly if there was

:34:16.:34:19.

goodwill on both sides to do a free-trade agreement? That is

:34:20.:34:23.

possible, and I would be very much in favour of trying to achieve it,

:34:24.:34:31.

but... You accept we can't be in the single market as a member? We could

:34:32.:34:38.

be if we are prepared to accept the restraints, but I understand it

:34:39.:34:42.

might be possible for us to negotiate a status for the United

:34:43.:34:44.

Kingdom which is somewhat different for other countries, all those

:34:45.:34:50.

things are possible. You can't be in the single market without being

:34:51.:34:57.

subject to the ECJ? You would be subject to what is in effect the

:34:58.:35:01.

younger brother of the ECJ and you would lose the influence in the

:35:02.:35:08.

formulation of the regulations. I'm a pragmatist, but the reality of

:35:09.:35:11.

trade and mutual interdependency is that you have to accept a framework

:35:12.:35:16.

of rules and if you don't the question is, what will the economic

:35:17.:35:22.

consequences be, and in my constituency I have companies there

:35:23.:35:27.

because they have access to the single market and if they don't have

:35:28.:35:30.

access to the single market they will move away. They will have

:35:31.:35:34.

access, but they don't know what terms, so why should any

:35:35.:35:39.

multinational at the moment, wondering where to expand next,

:35:40.:35:44.

bring their foreign investment to Britain until everything you have

:35:45.:35:48.

been talking about has been resolved? That is why there will be

:35:49.:35:55.

pressure not so much on hard and soft, but quick, and click means

:35:56.:35:59.

simple and simple means not getting involved in unanimity provisions, it

:36:00.:36:07.

means offering a unilateral deal to the EU, pending a longer-term deal,

:36:08.:36:13.

but it also means gives the few giving assurances to investors. We

:36:14.:36:20.

could call that the make the Chancellor Philip Hammond said

:36:21.:36:35.

he was hoping to break with austerity policies to an extent,

:36:36.:36:39.

from his predecessor, but by how much we don't know, we have got to

:36:40.:36:45.

wait for the Autumn Statement. The British people elected us on a

:36:46.:36:49.

promise to restore fiscal discipline and that is exactly what we are

:36:50.:36:53.

going to do. But we will do it in a pragmatic way. In a way which

:36:54.:36:57.

reflects the new circumstances we face. The fiscal policies George

:36:58.:37:02.

Osborne set out were the right ones for that time. But when times

:37:03.:37:08.

change, we must change with them. So we will no longer target a surplus

:37:09.:37:13.

at the end of this Parliament. But make no mistake the task of fiscal

:37:14.:37:24.

consolidation must continue. Right. That was the Chancellor and are now

:37:25.:37:31.

joined -- I'm now joined by David Gauke. The Chancellor boasted about

:37:32.:37:35.

the recovery that has happened under this government, but the fact is,

:37:36.:37:42.

GDP per capita has barely moved in the last six years. It is the case

:37:43.:37:49.

that of the G-7 countries GDP as a whole has grown fast in the UK than

:37:50.:37:54.

any other. Partly because of the amount of immigration that has taken

:37:55.:37:58.

place, that you have said you will stop. If you divide the GDB by the

:37:59.:38:04.

number of people in the country, compared to 2010, it has barely

:38:05.:38:11.

grown at all -- GDP. We inherited a difficult set of challenges in terms

:38:12.:38:15.

of the public finances and in terms of the after-shocks of the financial

:38:16.:38:21.

crisis and the Eurozone crisis which had a significant impact upon the

:38:22.:38:26.

us. Over that period we have seen a large creation of the number of jobs

:38:27.:38:37.

and GDP growth has been significant. But not per head. We were faced with

:38:38.:38:43.

problems of the year is own crisis in 2012 and the after effects of the

:38:44.:38:48.

financial shocks which meant funding for businesses was very difficult --

:38:49.:38:53.

the problems of the Eurozone crisis in 2012. UK has been growing

:38:54.:38:58.

strongly by any measure you want to look at. But not by GDP per head,

:38:59.:39:04.

that is my point. One of the reasons is that for most of the time you

:39:05.:39:09.

have been in power real wages have fallen, they have not grown, so

:39:10.:39:14.

people have been overall worse off in terms of the money they have

:39:15.:39:17.

raised in Germany and France, where real wages have risen. To some

:39:18.:39:27.

extent, if you are making a comparison with France and Germany,

:39:28.:39:32.

real wages in the context where we have seen a very substantial

:39:33.:39:34.

increase in the Labour force, which has not been the case in France and

:39:35.:39:38.

Germany in the same way, so there has been away in which there has

:39:39.:39:43.

been a trade-off between the two. It begs the question, what do we do

:39:44.:39:47.

about it? As Paul Johnson said, if you want to drive up real wages this

:39:48.:39:55.

is about driving up productivity and much of the speech today from Philip

:39:56.:39:58.

Hammond was about how we can improve productivity, that is a long-term

:39:59.:40:01.

challenge and we have taken steps over the last six years but there is

:40:02.:40:07.

more to do. So far with no impact. If you are looking at improving the

:40:08.:40:13.

skills base, that is something which isn't going to be a matter which is

:40:14.:40:20.

solved in three, four, five, even six years, that's a long-term

:40:21.:40:25.

project. If we are looking at encouraging more investment in the

:40:26.:40:29.

UK and our policies on corporation tax for example have attracted more

:40:30.:40:32.

investment to the UK, but the benefits of that investment is

:40:33.:40:34.

something you see over a long period of time. Because something is

:40:35.:40:40.

long-term, it doesn't mean that governments should not focus on it.

:40:41.:40:45.

You might expect to see glimmers of progress, but UK productivity per

:40:46.:40:50.

hour has not changed since 2007. It has not moved now in nine years. One

:40:51.:40:59.

of the particular factors, you have used 2007 as a base point, it is a

:41:00.:41:07.

reasonable point to make. The hit of the financial crisis on our

:41:08.:41:10.

productivity was very considerable and continues to be considerable.

:41:11.:41:15.

The question is, how do we improve our productivity which marked the

:41:16.:41:19.

focus on our infrastructure and skills and attracting investment to

:41:20.:41:24.

the UK, that has got to be the way forward. But you have slashed

:41:25.:41:33.

infrastructure spending. We inherited a reduction in

:41:34.:41:37.

infrastructure spending. Of course. But as a bit -- centage of GDP it in

:41:38.:41:46.

fact declined to little bit and compare to other countries it is

:41:47.:41:50.

rather small -- but as a percentage of GDP. If you look at government

:41:51.:41:56.

spending in infrastructure and along with PPP, the UK is comparator with

:41:57.:42:00.

other countries, but there is more we need to do to encourage private

:42:01.:42:03.

sector investment in infrastructure, but the reality is the government...

:42:04.:42:10.

If you look at transport, we have a set actual increase in the roads

:42:11.:42:13.

budget over the course of this Parliament, it will be increasing by

:42:14.:42:17.

three times over this period, we are investing more in the railways, for

:42:18.:42:23.

any time since Victorian times, and so we are increasing expenditure

:42:24.:42:28.

especially in that high-value infrastructure where there is good

:42:29.:42:32.

economic return. What the Chancellor made reference to today, his

:42:33.:42:36.

enthusiasm to look at ways in which we can do that consistent with a

:42:37.:42:40.

commitment to getting the public finances under control. How can you

:42:41.:42:45.

be the self-styled workers party win 6 million working people in this

:42:46.:42:48.

country are less than the living wage? We are in a position where we

:42:49.:42:54.

have created a lot of jobs in this country and we have brought in the

:42:55.:42:57.

national living wage and that is providing a significant pay rise to

:42:58.:43:05.

millions of people. We have cut taxes for the low paid and taken

:43:06.:43:10.

millions out of income tax. 6 million people earning less than the

:43:11.:43:15.

living wage, defined as ?9 15 in London and ?7 85 elsewhere in the

:43:16.:43:22.

UK. Not much money for people at this conference, but 6 million

:43:23.:43:26.

people earn less than that. That can't be right for a self-styled

:43:27.:43:31.

workers party. What you do about it? That is your job. I will answer it.

:43:32.:43:37.

You make sure those people pay less in tax and you make sure you have a

:43:38.:43:44.

higher national living wage then you would otherwise do, but I come back

:43:45.:43:50.

to this point, if we want to have a high wage, high skill economy, we

:43:51.:43:54.

have got to make sure we have the environment to improve our skills

:43:55.:43:59.

and our infrastructure, and it is very important, that we are a

:44:00.:44:02.

country which continues to create jobs. Our record in the last six

:44:03.:44:07.

years over job creation as a country is extremely strong by any

:44:08.:44:13.

standards, historical or international, and it is good that

:44:14.:44:17.

we are not a society that is played with mass unemployment. But again,

:44:18.:44:23.

you are the self-styled workers party, Philip Hammond said this and

:44:24.:44:28.

Theresa May said at yesterday, but UK workers in fact work longer hours

:44:29.:44:34.

for less pay than the other... The original EU 15, so what is the

:44:35.:44:41.

workers party doing about that? The reason why that is the case, as the

:44:42.:44:45.

Chancellor made clear, that is because our productivity levels are

:44:46.:44:49.

not as high as a number of our competitors. It comes back to this

:44:50.:44:56.

point, sometimes worthy... Philip made the point about it will not set

:44:57.:45:00.

the pulses racing, but how do we improve productivity as a nation.

:45:01.:45:04.

Which hasn't changed since you came to power. These are long-term

:45:05.:45:10.

challenges, but what we saw from the Chancellor, in a very serious and

:45:11.:45:14.

thoughtful speech, was outlining ways in which we can improve that

:45:15.:45:17.

productivity and how we can make long-term decisions to make sure

:45:18.:45:21.

that the UK's productivity increases and it is true that that we benefit

:45:22.:45:23.

people's wages. Abdeslam Ab For six years, or more

:45:24.:45:31.

than six years, in the run-up to the election, your party told us that

:45:32.:45:36.

the guiding light in its welfare reforms and its attitude to the

:45:37.:45:40.

economy would be to make work pay, that if you got a job, and if you

:45:41.:45:45.

did the right thing which Mr Osborne used to say all the time, it would

:45:46.:45:52.

pay to work. And yet six years after you'd been in power, 50% of Pellow

:45:53.:45:59.

citizens who're in poverty have at least one family member in work. So

:46:00.:46:04.

in what way has that made work pay? They are working and they live in

:46:05.:46:08.

poverty? Well, what we have seen is a significant increase in the number

:46:09.:46:13.

of jobs in this country. Something like 2.7 million more jobs. But they

:46:14.:46:17.

are still in poverty? In this economy, one of the reasons why we

:46:18.:46:27.

have had this, and it's undoubtedly a success, in the last six years,

:46:28.:46:32.

employment numbers are as high as they are. One of the reasons is

:46:33.:46:36.

because welfare reform has played a part. More people are essentially

:46:37.:46:39.

seeing that it's worthwhile for them working. Now, is there still more to

:46:40.:46:43.

do, of course there is. I'm acknowledging that. It's not just a

:46:44.:46:48.

case of more to do, relative poverty, which is still the official

:46:49.:46:53.

measure of this Government, relative poverty among those in work is at

:46:54.:47:00.

record levels. Record levels. How does that make you, the workers

:47:01.:47:04.

party? The workers party are going to revolt if you carry on like this?

:47:05.:47:10.

We are seeing a reduction in the number of workless households. I

:47:11.:47:14.

understand that. My point is in-work poverty, you said work would pay.

:47:15.:47:18.

Make work pay, get a job, do the right thing and you will prosper in

:47:19.:47:27.

a Tory Britain, whereas among those who are in work, poverty, is at

:47:28.:47:32.

record levels? What we are seeing is people who previously would have

:47:33.:47:36.

been workless are now in employment. That's got to be a good thing. Now,

:47:37.:47:41.

the next challenge, if you like, is how do we ensure those people who

:47:42.:47:45.

perhaps in a previous era would have been out of work, they are now in

:47:46.:47:49.

work but not earning sufficient. The next challenge is to ensure that

:47:50.:47:53.

those people go on and earn more. Again, I come back to, how do you do

:47:54.:47:57.

that? You can improve their living standards by taking them out of

:47:58.:48:00.

income tax which we have done in four million cases. These figures

:48:01.:48:05.

take that into account? You can help them by having a national living

:48:06.:48:11.

wage whereby they are better paid and we introduced that. Taken that

:48:12.:48:14.

into account? That will increase over the course of the Parliament.

:48:15.:48:18.

But fundamentally, what you can do is ensure that we have got more

:48:19.:48:22.

people who're highly skilled and that we have a society that is more

:48:23.:48:31.

productive and that increase in product Ity ends up benefitting

:48:32.:48:37.

People who're working, that is the point the Chancellor was making. I

:48:38.:48:41.

know you can't give us any more details because we have to wait for

:48:42.:48:44.

the Autumn Statement in November. But are we going to borrow more to

:48:45.:48:48.

invest? As a Jens principle? I would make

:48:49.:48:55.

two points about the Autumn Statement -- as a general principle.

:48:56.:48:58.

The acknowledgement because of the uncertainty of the Brexit votes,

:48:59.:49:02.

it's likely tax receipts will be lower than was previously projected,

:49:03.:49:08.

so that means that we are not in a position to meet our 2019-2020

:49:09.:49:12.

surplus. So the deficit reduction will continue to increase but at a

:49:13.:49:18.

slower pace. So it might not even continue to reduce? We'll see what

:49:19.:49:21.

the Office for Budget Responsibility determines and we await their

:49:22.:49:25.

numbers. So that's the first point. The second point is that we are in a

:49:26.:49:30.

set of circumstances where interest rates are very low. The way the

:49:31.:49:35.

markets have moved, we can borrow more cheaply than previously. If

:49:36.:49:39.

there is a case for high value infrastructure, and we have to be

:49:40.:49:45.

pretty tough about this, this is not about relaxing day-to-day spending

:49:46.:49:48.

but if there is a case for high value infrastructure that allows

:49:49.:49:51.

long-term productivity, then, as the Chancellor made clear, we'll be

:49:52.:49:54.

willing to look at that. Thank you very much for coming to speak to us

:49:55.:49:58.

after the Chancellor's speech. This Autumn Statement is on November 23rd

:49:59.:50:01.

and we'll bring it all to you here on the Daily Politics on BBC Two,

:50:02.:50:08.

probably from, about 11. 30-3 o'clock. Earlier, the Communities

:50:09.:50:15.

Secretary made his speech to conference so let's have a listen to

:50:16.:50:21.

some of what Sajid Javid had to say. 1.5 million households contain at

:50:22.:50:26.

least one adult who says he or she would love to buy or rent their own

:50:27.:50:30.

home but they have simply not been able to afford to do so. Harold

:50:31.:50:36.

Macmillan put it best more than 90 years ago. Housing is not a question

:50:37.:50:41.

of conservativism or socialism, he said, it's a question of humanity.

:50:42.:50:51.

Tackling this housing short fall isn't about political expediency.

:50:52.:50:56.

It's a moral duty. It's one that falls on all of us,

:50:57.:51:02.

not just in Parliament, but on businesses, if Local Government and

:51:03.:51:08.

in local communities. I'm not afraid to stand up here and say that this

:51:09.:51:14.

country has not built enough homes. We have to be honest about it.

:51:15.:51:22.

In the last year of full records, we managed to deliver more than 170,000

:51:23.:51:27.

additional properties across England. It's not a bad number, but

:51:28.:51:32.

it's far fewer than we need. We need to do much better.

:51:33.:51:38.

Everyone agrees that we need more homes. Too many of us object to them

:51:39.:51:46.

being next to us. We have got to change that attitude.

:51:47.:51:52.

So my message today is clear - it's time to get building.

:51:53.:52:00.

APPLAUSE. There was Sajid Javid announcing

:52:01.:52:03.

beefing up the housing programme and getting the numbers behind the

:52:04.:52:11.

current rate of completion about 138,000 in England.

:52:12.:52:16.

So the motto of the conference here is "a country that

:52:17.:52:18.

works for everyone", echoing Theresa's May's

:52:19.:52:20.

on Downing Street when she first became Prime Minister.

:52:21.:52:23.

We're joined now by the former universities

:52:24.:52:25.

He's now executive chair of the Resolution Foundation,

:52:26.:52:30.

a think tank which focuses on living standards.

:52:31.:52:32.

Plenty of rhetoric about being the workers' party and a country that

:52:33.:52:43.

works for everyone. But I think you heard my interview with David Gauke,

:52:44.:52:46.

there is a long way to go to turn that rhetoric into reality? There

:52:47.:52:51.

is. David was right to say that productivity is a key part of the

:52:52.:52:54.

challenge. But there is another part of the challenge which is what Sajid

:52:55.:52:58.

was talking about, the work resolution shows housing costs are

:52:59.:53:02.

one of the big pressures on living standards for people on low incomes.

:53:03.:53:07.

The increase in the housing cost, it looks to be the equivalent of about

:53:08.:53:12.

a 14p increase in income tax. If we can get more housing built and

:53:13.:53:15.

because there is an increase in supply, see over time the cost of

:53:16.:53:19.

housing starts falling, people will feel that as an improvement in their

:53:20.:53:23.

living standards, their wages will go further, the moment low income

:53:24.:53:27.

families have to put more of their wages into rents. Both in the

:53:28.:53:32.

private and public sector. Yes. And also, I was looking at the figures

:53:33.:53:35.

and because we failed to build enough houses to meet the demand,

:53:36.:53:42.

the Housing Benefit bill has gone through the roof because people on

:53:43.:53:45.

average incomes can't afford these rents so the state has to subsidise?

:53:46.:53:50.

Yes, you are absolutely right. It's a double hit? There are more people

:53:51.:53:54.

on means tested benefits and if people go from youth into middle age

:53:55.:53:58.

and are still renters, the long-term challenge is what if you have got

:53:59.:54:02.

many pensioners who aren't owner occupiers and millions of pensioners

:54:03.:54:05.

claiming Housing Benefit so it actually makes sense in terms of

:54:06.:54:09.

getting a long-term grip on public spending to make it easier for

:54:10.:54:12.

people to own their own homes. That's why I think what Sajid said

:54:13.:54:15.

today was absolutely the right thing. Shouldn't there be massive

:54:16.:54:19.

council house building programmes? It's interesting you should say

:54:20.:54:23.

that. When I look at what the Conservative Party did in the

:54:24.:54:31.

1950s... 300,000 houses a year, Harold Macmillan Housing Minister

:54:32.:54:36.

Yes, and he did private house building and public house building,

:54:37.:54:43.

a combination. With Sajid's statement today, private building is

:54:44.:54:47.

not on itself going to get us enough houses. Some will have to be public

:54:48.:54:53.

sector building. Here in Birmingham, they put up lots of prefabs in the

:54:54.:54:58.

50s, they needed to do something to house people and we need that. Not

:54:59.:55:03.

prefabs, I assume? There is a debate about whether we can make the cost

:55:04.:55:07.

of building houses lower, that is a different story but certainly we are

:55:08.:55:09.

seeing this Government focus on getting more houses built. One issue

:55:10.:55:14.

on the housing issue, and you are right, housing is such an issue on

:55:15.:55:18.

poverty and benefits and on people's ability to get on as well, but not

:55:19.:55:22.

only do we fail to provide enough houses for our people, even we we

:55:23.:55:27.

do, we build the smallest new homes in the European Union. 76 square

:55:28.:55:32.

metres is the average size. Even in Denmark it's 137, Holland, which is

:55:33.:55:40.

so crowded they have to reclaim the sea, 115 square metres, we treat

:55:41.:55:43.

people badly in the regard. That is because the price of land is so

:55:44.:55:47.

high. The big cost of the house is the cost of the land. When you have

:55:48.:55:51.

highly restrict i planning arrangements which mean the smaller

:55:52.:55:54.

areas you can build on, that pushes up the price. Sajid said an

:55:55.:55:59.

important thing today, he's focussing on more brown field

:56:00.:56:02.

building, high streets where you have had shots in the past, perhaps

:56:03.:56:07.

that's where you can in-fill with flats, houses, places we have not

:56:08.:56:10.

assumed we can build on before, we can build there. If I had a pound

:56:11.:56:16.

for every time politicians say they would build on brown field sites, I

:56:17.:56:23.

may well be able to build on the brown field site -- able to pay for

:56:24.:56:30.

the build myself! The Brown record was poor, this

:56:31.:56:34.

Government's record is actually in many ways so far worse than pretty

:56:35.:56:42.

poor, so look, most of the demand for new homes is biggest in those

:56:43.:56:47.

areas that are run by the Tories, by the people at this conference. Yes.

:56:48.:56:51.

And they don't want to zone their land for a lot more houses so you

:56:52.:56:55.

are looking at the problem, that's the fundamental problem? I would say

:56:56.:57:00.

that where we can do more is that the policy measures have tended to

:57:01.:57:06.

be on the demand side, helping couples with the cost. We have got

:57:07.:57:10.

to get more built. If you lack at what the Government is proposing,

:57:11.:57:13.

it's going to be easier to build on public sector land. There's going to

:57:14.:57:17.

be more liberalisation of the planning regime so you can build on

:57:18.:57:23.

areas that have had empty shots and things. We can shift focus to

:57:24.:57:26.

getting more built, not just helping people with the costs by extra

:57:27.:57:33.

allowances. You heard me talking to David Gauke about the number of

:57:34.:57:36.

people in jobs, they're very much the working poor. One thing that

:57:37.:57:40.

would help the working poor? Once you are in work, making it easier to

:57:41.:57:45.

move on and move up and using the apprenticeship levy to help people

:57:46.:57:49.

into training and devolving it to local towns and cities. So local

:57:50.:57:56.

skills? Yes. Shifting people off unemployment into work, sadly too

:57:57.:57:59.

often it's low-paid, the next thing is to help them move to better paid

:58:00.:58:03.

jobs. Are you enjoying being in the think-tank rather than being in the

:58:04.:58:07.

thick of it? Well, I was in think-tanks before I was at the

:58:08.:58:12.

Centre for Policy Studies. I'm enjoying write am and we are

:58:13.:58:16.

contributing to the debate. Thank you very much for joining us on the

:58:17.:58:20.

Daily Politics conference special. That's it from us in Birmingham

:58:21.:58:24.

after two hours of broadcasting. I'll be back with highlights from

:58:25.:58:28.

today's conference, including the Chancellor's speech on BBC Two this

:58:29.:58:32.

evening just after Newsnight, around 11. 15. We'll have more live

:58:33.:58:37.

coverage here from what is still a sunny Birmingham here at the

:58:38.:58:41.

Conservative Party conference, as they move on to their second day, or

:58:42.:58:45.

is it their third. I never know if we count Sundays these days, anyway,

:58:46.:58:50.

we'll be here tomorrow building up to the big speech by the Prime

:58:51.:58:52.

Minister which will close this conference on Wednesday morning.

:58:53.:58:54.

Until then, bye.

:58:55.:58:59.

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