10/03/2014 Newsnight


10/03/2014

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With a victim of domestic violence, what are the chances of your

:00:08.:00:13.

attacker ending up in court. The truth is, it depends where you live.

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When I didn't do anything about it, it gave him a green light to come

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back the following weekend and the next weekend. The crime prevention

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minister faces the shadow Home Secretary? In an age when they say

:00:26.:00:31.

we are all under surveillance, how can an enormous airliner with 200

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people on board simply vanish. The ex-wife of the king of Saudi Arabia,

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tells us her daughters are being kept prisoner in the gulf.

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To be attacked is one thing, to be attacked within your home is

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another. To be attacked, often repeatedly in your own home, by

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someone with whom you have been in an intimate relationship is a

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special class of crime. The police forces of England and Wales say they

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have been making a conscientious effort to improve wait they deal

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with these cases, yet some seem to be trying harder than others. It

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wasn't home to me. It wasn't a home, to me it was a prison. It was a

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place I was being kept, I was being assaulted. Home should be where the

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heart is, not the hurt. But for too many women and some men violence

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behind closed doors is the norm. Claire Baker was terroristised by

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her partner, then she says the police let her down. I locked myself

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in the bathroom and called the police and waited for them to turn

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up. I was staying in the bathroom and screaming, just come, just

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somebody help me. Because he was so bad to me I always had it in my mind

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that he was going to go too far and he perhaps was going to kill me. How

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did the police help you or not? It was just luck of the draw on the

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day. If an officer turned up who knew anything about domestic

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violence they were really good to me. Some of the officers were

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absolutely brilliant to me. And then other officers they just treated it

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really as it was nothing. In Warwickshire, nearby where eventual

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conviction rights for domestic violence are high. Only a fraction

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of reported incidents get to court in the first place. There are

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significant differences, the darker colours where fewer cases are

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referred to prosecutors. This is about so much more than

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numbers. This is about what happens to women who are brave enough to

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come forward when they have been hurt. And what happens next is all

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too often dictated by where they live This isn't to do with the

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profile of the case but the issue in that local area. Whether the Chief

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Constable says it is important, whether all of the Sergeants that

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they are responsible for. Whether it is the constables feeling it is

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their responsibility to deliver access to justice to women. They

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make a difference. How do police forces like Warwickshire, who refer

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such a small portion of cases to prosecutors explain themselves. We

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have strongly encouraged senior detectives, professional experienced

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people, to really look at each individual case, work with the

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officer investigating that case. As I said, arrive at the right outcome

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for the victim. Doesn't that mean though that crimes are going

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unpunished? Not at all. The thing is that a court appearance for a victim

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is a painful and traumatic experience. We need to have a

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realistic prospect that if we go to court that we are going to have that

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criminal justice outcome and the perpetrator does receive justice.

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What though can justify you referring 3% of domestic violence

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cases and a force like Cheshire referring more than 30%? If a case

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is right to take to court, and the CPS support that, we will do that. I

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don't want give any impression that we are going soft on people who

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commit such horrendous crimes. One insider told me resources at the CPS

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are part of the problem. Every agency is suffering, they said, and

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cuts mean they have to go after cases where there is a higher chance

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of conviction, inevitably that means others get left by the way side. The

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Association of Chief Police Officers admits there are variations. They

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told us we have substantially improved with investment in

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specialist officers... Claire has rebuilt her life now,

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with the help of the local Women's Aid. Her ex-partner was eventually

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convicted. Me believes she suffered longer than she had to. I felt like

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he had come back time after time because when they didn't do anything

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about it, it gave him a green light to come back the following weekend,

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and the next weekend. With an uneven patchwork of police approaches

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around the country, she may not be the only one. We speak to Norman

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Baker the Home Office Minister shortly first I'm joined by Yvette

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Cooper, the shadow Home Secretary. These figures are based on a lot of

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work by the Labour Party. What do you conclude is the reason the

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picture is so patchy. I think there is two problems, first is the wide

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variation between forces, the second is that the picture has been getting

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worse across the country. So you have got a drop in the level of

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convictions and the level of referrals, in six out of seven

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forces, as well as this wide variation. And I think there is just

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not national standards in place for dealing with such a serious crime

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and there needs to be. Were there national standards in place when you

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were in office? I think we had done a lot of work to make improvements,

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for example around introducing specialist domestic violence courts.

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I don't think there were national standards in place, that is why this

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is the next step we need to have those national standards in place.

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We have been calling for them for several years now. As you know it

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was almost impossible to get this sort of information when you were in

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office, wasn't it? No, that's not true actually. If you look at

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particularly the issues around referrals and convictions, those

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were increasing as a result of a lot of hard work that was done between

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the police, the CPS, and leadership by a Labour Government introducing

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specialist prosecutors, introducing specialist teams and stronger

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training. The big problem is it has gone backwards. The problems when

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you were in office were more difficult? We have done it with

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Freedom of Information requests, and identified this information exactly

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because we think there is a serious problem. And the Government is not

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doing enough. If you had this level of violence at football matches, and

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there would be national outcry, there isn't because it takes place

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behind the net curtains. This Government brought in publication of

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the rape statistics wasn't it? No, in fact they haven't. The Government

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hasn't produced a lot of this information. So look it is important

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to have it, and we think you ought to provide more of this information

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on a consistent basis because that would help improve standards across

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the country. There is a real problem here, as your report said, that

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people don't feel they are getting the support they need. Victims are

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not getting the support they need in such a horrible crime and it is

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getting worse. Since the election you have had an 11 pest increase %

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increase in domestic violence cases being reported, and an 11% drop in

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the number of convictions for domestic violence. You have

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perpetrators of abuse getting away with it. Is it better that police

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officers exercise their judgment? Of course police officers have to

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exercise judgment every day of the week. But at the moment you are

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seeing such wide variations, I think we need national standards in place

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about support for victims, about the way in which the police need to

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respond, and the Government so far refused to do that. We also think we

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should have a national commissioner in place to deal with domestic and

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sexual violence because there are similar problems around rape cases.

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And you can give a guarantee, can you, that under a Labour Government

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there would be no more of the pattern of the closure of Rape

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Crisis centres that we saw when Labour was last in power? If you

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think about all of the work that the Labour Government did. On both rape

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and domestic violence, we had for example a 45% increase in rape

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convictions, there was a lot of work that was very good, was it enough?

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No of course it wasn't. Because you had serious crimes like this. And

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Rape Crisis Centres closed on your woke didn't they? There was a lot of

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support for victims, the independent advisers on domestic violence and

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rape as well. You want to do more, and in fact the clock has been

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turning back instead of going further. You can give that

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guarantee? You know I'm not going to set out funding for things in the

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next parliament at this stage. At this stage. It is a test of your

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commitment? We have said our commitment is to have national

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standards for domestic violence, sexual violence, dealing with rape

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cases and a national commissioner in place who could make sure that those

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standards are enforced. Because I do think that you need national

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leadership on this. And Teresa May hasn't done anything to spot this

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deterioration in action against such serious crimes, particularly against

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women. Although domestic violence includes women as well. Thank you

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very much. Now Norman Baker who is the crime prevention minister is

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with us. What is your explanation for the fact that picture are so

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patchy? They are, and that is one of the reasons why the Home Secretary

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and I have asked the Inspector of Constabulary to look at all 43

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forces in England and Wales to examine why it is patchy and why the

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domestic violence rates are different. That work is on going, it

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is completely produced soon with a proper comment from HMRC. You were

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unaware of it before today? Of course not. That is why the Home

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Secretary and I commissioned the work. We recognised there was an

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issue of disparity across the country. There are a number of

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possible explanations, it is possible different forces are

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looking at it in different ways, and crimes are being recorded under a

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different heading, violence and not domestic violence. HMRC is looking

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into that and referral process. When did you commission the research?

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Last year. How many years did it take to realise there was a patchy

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picture? That is not fair, there is a huge amount of work going on in

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the Home Office since 2010. The Home Secretary has been very good on

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these issues, I have to say. We have seen the roll out of Claire's Law,

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the disclosure orders to protect women from potentially violent

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partners and the protection orders to allow the sort of person in your

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film to be able to stay in your house and the perpetrator be removed

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from it rather than her leaving it. There is an action plan we published

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an updated version on Saturdayed, for International Women's Day. Why

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does it take the Labour Party or the House of Commons library to go

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through a Freedom of Information exercise to find out much of the

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information? It doesn't. It has done? No, it will be published hash

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on this -- later on this month with a commentary per force, so people

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can look at individual forces and see what they are doing, rather than

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taking figures, I'm not blaming Yvette and her team. That is patchy,

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we want a full proper analysis, and that will be coming forward. What do

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you make then of the argument that police forces and the Crown

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Prosecution Service are under pressure that wasn't previously

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there before you took office? They are under pressure from ministers to

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deal with domestic violence properly, they are under pressure

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from us to deal with rape properly. That is a pressure I accept. It has

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nothing to do with resources? If you are asking about resources, crime

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has gone down 10% under this Government. We have seen violent

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crime go down as well. That is measured not simply by police

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recorded crime but also the official independent crime survey of England

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and Wales. And the police have fewer crimes to deal with. There is the

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digitalisation of the police force, so less paperwork to do. I don't

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think resources is the issue here. The issue is perhaps a culture thing

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in each force, which HMRC will get to the bottom of. You are in favour

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of policemen exercising judgment aren't you? Of course. When they

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exercise judgment you are going to get discrepancies? You will get

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differences. But if the difference is significant it is perfectly

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proper and right for the Government to ask the proper body n this case

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the Inspector of Constabulary to look at the differences and find out

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the reason. And whether or not some women and indeed men for that matter

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are not being given the support they have been given by the system. The

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rescuers searching for the traces of the malaisian airliner which

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disappeared are still criss-crossing the sea south of Vietnam, it is now

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three days since the aircraft disappeared. Three days since 239

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hum beings vanished. In an age we are all subject to surveillance and

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personal phones emit GPS signals, how can such a thing happen. It is

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not unprecedented but it is highly unusual.

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The hours pass and still no sign of Malaysian Airlines flight. Hours of

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anger and uncertainty for families with nowhere to go. Couped up in a

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Beijing hotel until they and we know what happened to the 239 passengers

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and crew. At the moment there are just questions. In many cases what

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sounds like heart-breakingly defiant optimisim. TRANSLATION: Our hearts

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are hanging in the air. We hope our Government can put some pressure on

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them to increase their efforts to save them. Meanwhile the Chinese

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Government is sending out increasingly impatient criticism of

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the search effort by both Malaysia and Vietnam. How is it possible that

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we don't know what happened to this plane? If it exploded in midair US

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spy satellites, that notice the smallest flare of a missile launch,

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would have expected to see a flash. Sources have confirmed they have

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gone back over the images and found nothing. If the aircraft came down

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in one piece it should have been visible to radar, and the crew,

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should, in theory would have had time to issue a distress call. To

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add to the riddle the plane was fitted with the next generation of

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satellite tracking systems. Called ADSB, the plane gets its position

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from a GPs a GPS satellite, it broadcasts this speed and altitude

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and other data to anyone with the right receiver. In time air traffic

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control authorities will move from ground-based radar systems to ADSB.

:16:09.:16:13.

At the moment it is used by flight tracking websites who admit they

:16:14.:16:16.

don't have enough ground stations in the area to give a complete picture.

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We have one receiver close to Malaysia, and we have one receiver

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in hoe cheat Ho Chi Min, and in the best conditions we would like to

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have a receiver every 50-100kms to get really good coverage. What of

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the flight data recorders? If the plane crashed into the sea the boxes

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should be sending out sonar pings to guide recovery. But the right

:16:52.:16:57.

receiver are needed to hear them. It may take days to get vessels on to

:16:58.:17:02.

the research grid. In the case of the Air France flight that crashed

:17:03.:17:06.

in the Atlantic on route from Rio to Paris in 2009, the recorders weren't

:17:07.:17:11.

found for nearly two years, and then only found using mathematical

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modelling. We used something bald basing search theory, it was

:17:21.:17:24.

developed during World War II to search for German submarines. This

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pulls together information, each piece of information has

:17:30.:17:33.

uncertainties and some conflicts in it. And there is a mathematical

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theory for a way to account for the uncertainties properly, combine all

:17:39.:17:40.

this information to get the best estimate for the location of the

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wreck. Meanwhile there are just uncertainties, families with nothing

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to do but hope and pray. With us now is Professor Grahamrate Braithwaite

:17:55.:18:07.

from Cranfield University. It is not normal? It is incredibly unusual,

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there have been aircraft that have been difficult to find. It will be

:18:11.:18:14.

found eventually? That is essential. An aircraft like the 777 is used

:18:15.:18:18.

across the world, a very popular aircraft type and there is no way we

:18:19.:18:22.

would accept not finding this aircraft. Even if it takes years it

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will be done. Could it take years? It is conceivable it could take that

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time to recover wreckage, we saw that in the Air France 447 accident

:18:32.:18:36.

a few years ago. It is unlikely. If it is sound something will be found

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relatively quickly. Have you got a theory about how it could suddenly

:18:43.:18:46.

disappear? There is a few explanations for it. But in my

:18:47.:18:49.

discipline of accident investigation you have to be very careful about

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coming up with theories so early on, because that easily turns into

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speculation. So it is essential to keep an open find about what may

:18:58.:19:02.

have happened here. Clearly it lost contact and clearly it did so in a

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way that didn't give many clues as it lost contact. It tells you

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something about there are lots of possibilities at this stage. I was

:19:13.:19:15.

under the impression that modern planes constantly emitted a signal,

:19:16.:19:19.

is that correct? There is a lot of data leaving an aircraft. Not all of

:19:20.:19:22.

it is there leaving it the whole time to tell you where it is.

:19:23.:19:25.

Particularly if you are flying over an ocean where there are not the

:19:26.:19:28.

ground stations to receive that data. If you multiply that by how

:19:29.:19:33.

many aircraft flying at any one time, that is a huge amount of data.

:19:34.:19:37.

It is not transmitting location all of the time. Can pilots switch it

:19:38.:19:42.

off? It is possible to disable some of that information on t aircraft.

:19:43.:19:45.

Whether you would lose everything that might come down to some very

:19:46.:19:49.

bad luck or a more determined action. So for example one of the

:19:50.:19:54.

things if the aircraft had crashed that they might look for is a

:19:55.:19:57.

locator beacon that should be activated by the crash or entry to

:19:58.:20:01.

water. That beacon can be damaged by an accident. It could be unlucky

:20:02.:20:05.

there and lose the signal before it can be picked up. People always talk

:20:06.:20:12.

in these circumstances about the black box flight recorder as being

:20:13.:20:15.

the thing that would explain to you, although after the event. We saw in

:20:16.:20:19.

the piece there that it took a couple of years or something before

:20:20.:20:24.

they found those off, they are not plaque of course, -- black or

:20:25.:20:30.

anything, off the France flight? I would anticipate they would be

:20:31.:20:33.

found. They emit a signal that should last for 30 days, maybe as

:20:34.:20:37.

long as 90 days. You have to get close to it to pick it up, depending

:20:38.:20:45.

on the depth, defending on the temperature of the ocean, it might

:20:46.:20:50.

be an area close to five miles. You need to know where to look before

:20:51.:21:00.

picking the beacon up. What happens then? Depending on the depth of the

:21:01.:21:04.

water they are likely to send down a remote low-operated vehicle which

:21:05.:21:08.

can recover the recorder and pull it out of the wreckage of the aircraft

:21:09.:21:13.

if it is not separated. Assuming the recorders are working and assuming

:21:14.:21:16.

nobody tried to disable them, that should tell you about what happened

:21:17.:21:20.

on the flight. It isn't the panaseer, it doesn't all tell you

:21:21.:21:26.

the answer. Have you come across cases where they weren't working or

:21:27.:21:30.

had been disabled? There were cases where some of the perameters weren't

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working. Modern flight data recorders could record hundreds if

:21:35.:21:38.

not thousands of perameters, it is possible some perameters aren't

:21:39.:21:41.

working. Usually there is enough of a picture to tell you the answer.

:21:42.:21:46.

There was a previous case involving Silk Air a few years ago, where the

:21:47.:21:50.

circuit breaker was pulled in flight to disable the flight data recorder

:21:51.:21:54.

before the aircraft crashed. That told us what was going Onyango the

:21:55.:21:58.

aircraft. This is kind of modern nightmare, isn't it, that you get on

:21:59.:22:02.

a plane and you may never be seen again and nobody knows what happened

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to you, it is extremely rare isn't it? It is, after the Air France

:22:08.:22:13.

accident there was an analysis of how likely an event, where the

:22:14.:22:15.

aircraft that was difficult to find would be, and the demand -- estimate

:22:16.:22:26.

of that was ten years, and we have another one in two or three years.

:22:27.:22:30.

Perhaps there won't be another for 15 years? Let's hope that is the

:22:31.:22:35.

case. It is hardly news to say that Saudi Arabia is one of the most

:22:36.:22:38.

male-dominated societies in the world. Women aren't even supposed to

:22:39.:22:43.

drive cars there. King Abdullah has promised women will be allowed a

:22:44.:22:46.

vote of sorts next year. But his former wife has now claimed that her

:22:47.:22:50.

daughters are being kept under a form of house arrest there. She told

:22:51.:22:57.

the Sunday Times that her daughters are under constant surveillance and

:22:58.:23:01.

appeal for their release. She has agreed to speak us to about the

:23:02.:23:04.

allegations earlier this evening, but she didn't want her identity to

:23:05.:23:12.

be revealed. What do you know about the conditions your daughters are

:23:13.:23:20.

kept in? Very bad conditions, two of them I don't know if you read about

:23:21.:23:28.

that, they are in a terrible state of health. Hala is completely

:23:29.:23:35.

destroyed, anorexic, she needs help, she lives alone and in that villa.

:23:36.:23:41.

The last time she called me a few weeks ago she told me, mummy, I

:23:42.:23:50.

don't have anyone, I'm hungry. No-one is preparing. She said no,

:23:51.:23:58.

no, I have food but I don't want to eat. It is like ready food, junk

:23:59.:24:03.

food or whatever it is. I don't know really what it is. But I know the

:24:04.:24:11.

situation for a woman nobody is helping, if they don't buy you food,

:24:12.:24:16.

bring you food, you can never eat even that. They are not able to go

:24:17.:24:27.

out shopping? I know very well about two of them can go shopping. They

:24:28.:24:33.

can go shopping, but they are not really imprisoned are they? It

:24:34.:24:37.

depends how you look at it. If you only allowed this and then going out

:24:38.:24:45.

so that they will make your trip unbearable so that's it. Basically

:24:46.:24:51.

even a doctor they cannot have the choice to go to. They can't travel,

:24:52.:24:59.

they can't move, if they decide that they will do a trip, they can't do

:25:00.:25:05.

it. Those people who follow them they are not for the safety. And

:25:06.:25:11.

they are just to make the situation terrible for them. Do you know why

:25:12.:25:18.

they are being treated like this? Yeah, yeah. As I have told you, you

:25:19.:25:22.

are owned. For me I was divorced and I didn't go back. Plus he didn't

:25:23.:25:29.

find, I was always obeying his orders. Don't trouble, I was

:25:30.:25:38.

divorced. But he still insisted that if he doesn't want me to travel, he

:25:39.:25:45.

says no, and that means no. Basically I... Have they tried to

:25:46.:25:56.

leave the country? No, how? I suppose they would ask for

:25:57.:25:59.

passports? They asked many times to come and see me, they were refused.

:26:00.:26:08.

The King told them either you marry or die? His other daughters are free

:26:09.:26:13.

to go wherever they want without escorts I know this, I used to come

:26:14.:26:19.

here, travel, go anywhere without anyone. Is it true they are actually

:26:20.:26:26.

imprisoned or held in a palace? Yes. I call it this, when you are locked,

:26:27.:26:32.

your gate is locked from the outside, that means you are

:26:33.:26:41.

imprisoned. You will understand it doesn't sound very grim this prison?

:26:42.:26:45.

It doesn't. For a woman to be not allowed to live normally day and

:26:46.:26:55.

night, watched, I don't know, what do you mean by that, you can't

:26:56.:26:58.

travel, you can't go to see your mother. You make it sound as if they

:26:59.:27:04.

are being held hostage They are. If you return they will be freed? If

:27:05.:27:09.

that is true I will go now. If you can go with me I will go to it and

:27:10.:27:16.

get them. What is the physical condition of your daughters? You

:27:17.:27:27.

mean health wise? Very bad, one is anorexic, complaining from many,

:27:28.:27:33.

many things. I would like not to air what I know of her situation.

:27:34.:27:38.

Because I don't want to harm my own daughter. But she is in a bad

:27:39.:27:43.

health. And the other one is in bad health. The third, the second. And

:27:44.:27:51.

their mental condition? This is what psychologically they are not well.

:27:52.:28:05.

They are left out any treament He's the king, he has all the money to

:28:06.:28:19.

get the best doctors for those two girls. I don't know. We contacted

:28:20.:28:28.

the Saudi embassy about the allegations you just heard and we

:28:29.:28:32.

are extending an invitation for someone to appear on the programme

:28:33.:28:37.

or supply a statement. We were told the embassy doesn't comment on

:28:38.:28:39.

private matters and this is a private matter. There will be yet

:28:40.:28:43.

another meeting tomorrow as much of the western world bonders what it

:28:44.:28:46.

can do about the growing tensions between Russia and Ukraine. There is

:28:47.:28:51.

to be a referendum this weekend to determine whether the crime ma

:28:52.:28:58.

Crimea should stay in the Ukraine for go back to Russia. And David

:28:59.:29:02.

Cameron called it farcical. The Polish Foreign Minister was in the

:29:03.:29:07.

UK to meet William Hague to discuss their response to rising tensions

:29:08.:29:11.

today. Afterwards I asked him why Europe refuses to recognise the

:29:12.:29:16.

referendum? It is under gun point with the presence of foreign troops

:29:17.:29:22.

on Crimea's soil and without the regular electoral rolls, and without

:29:23.:29:26.

the supervision of international bodies. And in violation of

:29:27.:29:31.

Ukraine's constitution. But the definition of nationality is surely

:29:32.:29:36.

the wishes of the people, isn't it? Yes, but we all have constitutions.

:29:37.:29:40.

You are going to have a referendum in Scotland, but it is done by

:29:41.:29:45.

consensus, not by breaking existing law. Wouldn't you allow the

:29:46.:29:51.

possibility that there comes a point when national borders become

:29:52.:29:58.

incoherent? Well, that is exactly the principle at stake. I think

:29:59.:30:07.

after World War ll and the Cold War we have agreed in the international

:30:08.:30:13.

community that when there are ethnic disputes across national boundaries,

:30:14.:30:16.

we try to overcome the boundaries and fulfil the rights of citizens

:30:17.:30:21.

without changing boundaries by force. Which is how the Second World

:30:22.:30:25.

War started. You have done it in Ulster, it has been done all over

:30:26.:30:31.

Europe, and it can be done, provided you use institutions that we have

:30:32.:30:41.

created for those purposes. But it is -- but its international position

:30:42.:30:46.

has changed since the Second World War, but there is no reason it

:30:47.:30:52.

should change again? Ukraine has voluntarily given up nuclear

:30:53.:30:54.

weapons, and received guaranteed from the United States, UK and

:30:55.:31:01.

Russia of her independence. T viability of her borders and

:31:02.:31:06.

freedoms from pressures, for example trade boycotts. Think of what signal

:31:07.:31:13.

would be sent to places like North Korea and Iran of the value of our

:31:14.:31:21.

guarantees in return for dropping nuclear ambitions if we don't

:31:22.:31:25.

protect the territorial integrity of Ukraine. If the majority of people

:31:26.:31:31.

in Crimea say they wish to be part of Russia, who are we to deny that?

:31:32.:31:37.

If the majority of Crimea have an issue with the Ukrainian Government

:31:38.:31:45.

there are ways by the Ukrainian constitutions to do that. If they

:31:46.:31:49.

wanted more autonomy in Ukraine, I think that is something that the

:31:50.:31:53.

Ukrainian Government would consider. We are not talking about autonomy

:31:54.:31:57.

within Ukraine, we are talking about the wish to belong to another

:31:58.:32:04.

country? Well Britain has had those dilemmas before. And you have to be

:32:05.:32:07.

very careful how to handle it. If the majority of people in the

:32:08.:32:12.

Falkland Islands, for example, expressed a wish to become begin

:32:13.:32:19.

Argentinian, we should respect that? The Argentinians invaded and you

:32:20.:32:22.

sent a task force to take the islands back. Pause there are ways

:32:23.:32:27.

-- because there are ways of doing it by law and there are completely

:32:28.:32:31.

unacceptable ways. Because the majority of the people in the

:32:32.:32:35.

Falkland Islands resisted the invasion? We have no idea what the

:32:36.:32:40.

majority of the people of Crimea want, they have not been asked and

:32:41.:32:43.

it is unlikely they will be democratically asked. There is

:32:44.:32:47.

clearly a demand among some people in Crimea not to be part of Ukraine?

:32:48.:32:53.

There may be some, but there are ways that you can express that

:32:54.:32:57.

constitutionally. What better way of judging that than by holding a

:32:58.:33:02.

referendum? It can be done provided it is legal. Not at the point of a

:33:03.:33:08.

foreign gun. Supposing this referendum goes ahead, and it gives,

:33:09.:33:11.

you say it would be unfairly conducted and it gives a result you

:33:12.:33:21.

don't like. What then? Well, I think Russia will, the European Council

:33:22.:33:26.

has decided that there will be consequences, and we are all very

:33:27.:33:29.

reluctant about it. Because we all have commercial relationships with

:33:30.:33:35.

Russia, but the principle of not changing borders by force is an

:33:36.:33:42.

important one. And the European Council has decided that just like

:33:43.:33:47.

the United States Europe will impose a visa ban and asset freezes. Will

:33:48.:33:53.

they go any further than that? I think if Russia invaded mainland

:33:54.:33:59.

Ukraine they would go further. You would accept the invasion of Crimea?

:34:00.:34:03.

No the whole conversation is you trying to accept the invasion of

:34:04.:34:07.

Crimea. I don't understand why it is any business of our's in this

:34:08.:34:14.

country? Because you had leaders who said that these are far way

:34:15.:34:17.

countries of which we know little and we know how it ended. Thank you

:34:18.:34:24.

very much. Paul Brinkley served as the United States deputy under

:34:25.:34:29.

secretary of defence under both the Bush and Obama administrations and

:34:30.:34:32.

is here now. During the time when you were at the Department of

:34:33.:34:36.

Defence, did you ever envisage this sort of situation? In a way you know

:34:37.:34:41.

one of the things we are not talking very much about is what motivates

:34:42.:34:47.

perhaps people in Crimea to seek an alternative governing structure.

:34:48.:34:51.

What motivates people in the Ukraine who recently underwent these events

:34:52.:34:56.

in Kiev to seek an alternati governing structure. What I was

:34:57.:34:59.

personally involved with during those two administrations had to do

:35:00.:35:02.

with the economic underpinnings that lead to conditions that because

:35:03.:35:06.

these rifts to form in the first place. It is interesting if you look

:35:07.:35:10.

at Ukraine's economy, since the fall of the Iron Curtain, it has lagged

:35:11.:35:17.

every other post-Soviet era economy. 06% of the G -- 60% of the

:35:18.:35:21.

neighbouring countries per capita compared to other countries. And if

:35:22.:35:26.

you look at Crimea in the Ukraine you have the same statistical

:35:27.:35:31.

phenomenon. The average cry mean has relative income, 60% of the citizens

:35:32.:35:36.

of the Ukraine. It is interesting to me how the economic disparity in an

:35:37.:35:41.

age of information, when people see neighbouring countries and

:35:42.:35:44.

prosperity emerging in neighbouring countries, it creates a level of

:35:45.:35:48.

frustration that leads n my opinion, to these rifts. The rifts can be

:35:49.:35:53.

sectarian, as we see in the Middle East and central Asia, they can be

:35:54.:35:58.

ethnic, as we are seeing emerge in a place like Ukraine. At the root of

:35:59.:36:02.

them is an absence of economic development, and an access to

:36:03.:36:07.

opportunity, that a population feel seems fair relative to what its

:36:08.:36:11.

neighbours, or its international partners are experiencing. When you

:36:12.:36:14.

look at how the west is struggling to make sense of this and to

:36:15.:36:19.

determine how to respond and you look at the way in which President

:36:20.:36:24.

Obama was wrong-footed over Syria, then sites he has had here about

:36:25.:36:30.

what to d about Ukraine, what do you conclude about American power? I

:36:31.:36:32.

don't know that you conclude anything about American power, but I

:36:33.:36:38.

do think we are going through a period that I think will get more

:36:39.:36:42.

intense in the next few years. We spent a trillion dollars on the

:36:43.:36:45.

effort in Iraq, and the blood of thousands of our young men and

:36:46.:36:50.

women, and thousands and hundreds of British young men and women. A $700

:36:51.:36:58.

billion exercise in Afghanistan, not ending as well as we thought it

:36:59.:37:02.

would be. For us to be intropective on how we engage in foreign policy

:37:03.:37:06.

conflicts perhaps is not to be unexpected of our country. I think

:37:07.:37:11.

it is rational. And I think you also have to look at how we positioned

:37:12.:37:16.

ourselves as "the west", not just the United States but Europeans. In

:37:17.:37:19.

terms of strategic levers the Russians have significant strategic

:37:20.:37:23.

levers that are at play here. Whether they are energy plies

:37:24.:37:27.

supplies to Europe, and -- energy supplies to Europe and financial

:37:28.:37:30.

integration that has taken place and risks to both western and Russian

:37:31.:37:34.

economy that make it much, much more complex to react in the way we might

:37:35.:37:40.

have in years past. You raise Iraq and Afghanistan, what went wrong

:37:41.:37:44.

there? I think for us in Afghanistan, and we are seeing this

:37:45.:37:47.

play out. We have lost sight of something very important in the

:37:48.:37:51.

west. We believed that if we created democratic institutions that all

:37:52.:37:55.

good things would follow. I find this a loss of understanding of our

:37:56.:38:01.

own history in the rest. Democratic institutions were built on economic

:38:02.:38:04.

foundations, they created middle-class prosperity and gave

:38:05.:38:09.

citizenry a stake in those institutions. Afghan GDP today is

:38:10.:38:13.

minimal. The institutions we have worked so hard to establish are

:38:14.:38:17.

almost completely dependant on foreign aid today. I'm very

:38:18.:38:22.

concerned that as we draw down our presence in Afghanistan, and the

:38:23.:38:27.

international community disengaged, we have created a house of cards in

:38:28.:38:31.

Afghanistan because we have lost sight of the economic foundations

:38:32.:38:35.

that are so important. If we believe democratic institutions are

:38:36.:38:40.

desirable, we need to be equally as passionate about creating economic

:38:41.:38:43.

opportunity and a basis for the institutions to rest upon. I wonder

:38:44.:38:48.

what conclusion you draw about the par be a spring and American support

:38:49.:38:51.

for that? I think there is significant American support, but it

:38:52.:38:54.

is also struggling for all the reasons we have said, if you look at

:38:55.:38:58.

Egypt today. The number one problem is economic. You hear it across the

:38:59.:39:05.

piece. It is 80 million people, half very young, frustrated, no

:39:06.:39:08.

opportunity. What do you have that when you have that mix? You have

:39:09.:39:13.

unrest, you have civil discord, and democratic institutions are not

:39:14.:39:16.

sustainable in those circumstances. Those are complicated problems to

:39:17.:39:20.

solve and we struggle to solve them because they are not easy and they

:39:21.:39:25.

are country-specific. Every country has a set of human assets and

:39:26.:39:29.

natural resources that have to be assessed. To approach the problem as

:39:30.:39:34.

we have from the last deck taped, strictly militarily and in terms of

:39:35.:39:38.

the US engagments in the region, the jury is in. We can look at the

:39:39.:39:44.

results and see that adjustment to our foreign policy is overdue.

:39:45.:39:57.

Litarily and in terms of the US engagments in the region, the jury

:39:58.:40:00.

is in. We can look at the results and see that adjustment to our

:40:01.:40:02.

foreign policy is overdue. Do you think the foreign policy you were

:40:03.:40:05.

involved in was wrong? The roles replayed, businessmen who worked in

:40:06.:40:08.

Iraq, Pakistan, to begin to create economic opportunity. That was a

:40:09.:40:12.

very difficult slog, because within my Government institutionally those

:40:13.:40:18.

economic development activities are viewed as emerging from structural

:40:19.:40:23.

implementation of rule of law, democratic institutions. I think

:40:24.:40:27.

that's upside down. And I think we have learned painful lessons from

:40:28.:40:34.

this. Thank you. It is a serious and embarrassing condition which could

:40:35.:40:37.

affect any woman who gives birth. You may not have heard of it,

:40:38.:40:40.

because in a healthy country like our's, it can be avoided or treated

:40:41.:40:45.

quickly and effectively. Yet in the developing world an estimated two

:40:46.:40:52.

million people suffer from T it is called obstetric fistula, it leaves

:40:53.:40:58.

women constantly leaking urine or worse. The BBC's global health

:40:59.:41:04.

correspondent has been to central Uganda. You won't be surprised to

:41:05.:41:08.

learn that her report contains graphic images and details.

:41:09.:41:23.

Crowds are gathering to see local celebrities coming to town. These

:41:24.:41:30.

radio DJs broadcasting throughout the region are just the warm-up act

:41:31.:41:37.

though. The headliners are missionaries from the hospital, here

:41:38.:41:42.

to talk about a condition called obstetric fistula, it is where often

:41:43.:41:46.

younger, smaller mothers develop a hole in their bladder caused by

:41:47.:41:50.

their baby getting stuck in the birth canal during delivery. The

:41:51.:41:55.

woman is left leaking urine constantly. If they gave birth in a

:41:56.:42:00.

hospital rather than at home these problems could be avoided. Most

:42:01.:42:07.

women can't afford to. This community is being told there is a

:42:08.:42:11.

solution for a lucky few who have the condition. For the next two

:42:12.:42:16.

weeks doctors from the UK are offering free fistula repair

:42:17.:42:23.

surgery. Selina and her mum heard the radio show and have arrived at

:42:24.:42:28.

the hospital. She's 17 and in constant discomfort, her underwear

:42:29.:42:32.

stuffed with rags to avoid urine dripping down her legs. Whenever she

:42:33.:42:37.

leaves the house she takes plastic sheets with her. Her story is a

:42:38.:42:41.

particular one. She fell pregnant last year. TRANSLATION: I was at

:42:42.:42:47.

school when I met my boyfriend. He would come and buy me chicken and

:42:48.:42:52.

chips, I didn't know he wanted to get me pregnant. I loved him. She

:42:53.:42:59.

was in labour at home for three days before going to hospital, Sheehy

:43:00.:43:04.

vently delivered a baby girl, who died soon afterwards. TRANSLATION: I

:43:05.:43:14.

didn't even get to hold my baby or Herrera before she died. When I see

:43:15.:43:18.

other women carrying their babies I feel so sad. Her boyfriend left her

:43:19.:43:26.

after the birth, leaving her facing a bleak futureeir babies I feel so

:43:27.:43:36.

sad. Her boyfriend left her after the birth, leaving her facing a

:43:37.:43:39.

bleak future. Before her operation she wanted to show me where she

:43:40.:43:43.

lives. We made the 60km journey. When she arrived there was an

:43:44.:43:47.

unwelcome surprise. She thinks she has seen the man who got her

:43:48.:43:50.

pregnant. She's not sure if she wants to speak to him. I think she's

:43:51.:43:55.

feeling a bit shy. She's not sure what his reaction to her will be.

:43:56.:44:09.

Let's follow her and see what happens. Is he there. Are you

:44:10.:44:18.

feeling shy? Do you want to see him? That's him? Is that him in the white

:44:19.:44:26.

shirt? OK. Reluctantly her sheepish looking ex-boyfriend is dragged out

:44:27.:44:30.

of the house by one of the missionaries. She was very young

:44:31.:44:34.

wasn't she when you got her pregnant? Because you are 23, you

:44:35.:44:41.

are a lot older than her? TRANSLATION: He wasn't aware she was

:44:42.:44:55.

so young. You didn't know she was 16? John said he did his duty by

:44:56.:45:01.

paying for her hospital bills but the relationship is over. He's now

:45:02.:45:11.

one of the lads again. Selena is offered support by some of her

:45:12.:45:14.

neighbours, but she tells me later it is all a show for the cameras,

:45:15.:45:19.

and some of these girls actually usually torment her over her

:45:20.:45:28.

condition. She says her friends treat her so badly, when they see

:45:29.:45:34.

her they tell her she stinks, she's like rubbish to them, mostly she

:45:35.:45:39.

says at home. Back at her home, watching all of this unfold is

:45:40.:45:49.

Selena's mother and she's livid. TRANSLATION: She was so healthy. She

:45:50.:45:54.

would dress so smartly and whenever she walked in the village she was

:45:55.:45:58.

the envy of everyone. Now when I see her in this condition, and the man

:45:59.:46:03.

who did this to her is stood right there. Not even asking for my

:46:04.:46:07.

forgiveness, I feel so sad and angry. It is the first day of the

:46:08.:46:21.

free fistula repair camp at the hospital. An anxious Selena is first

:46:22.:46:26.

on the list. Here it is important to find creative ways of getting the

:46:27.:46:31.

job done. Like using a surgical glove as a town the question.

:46:32.:46:43.

Tourniquet. This is complex surgeries but they have found the

:46:44.:46:46.

problem here quickly. It is just at the edge, it is about a 4cm hole,

:46:47.:46:51.

you can actually see right into the bladder there. Can you see that.

:46:52.:46:55.

Shane Duffy and his team from Chelsea and Westminster hospital in

:46:56.:46:59.

London are training Ugandan doctors here so they can eventually take

:47:00.:47:04.

over. It is important to have it tension-free. The surgery has been a

:47:05.:47:10.

success, her mother hopes she will go back to school and get her life

:47:11.:47:14.

back. Selena is looking forward to hanging out with her friends again

:47:15.:47:20.

and one day having another baby. But there are 200,000 other women living

:47:21.:47:27.

in Uganda with this condition, with only a fraction lucky enough to get

:47:28.:47:31.

treatment. These women are hoping they will be seen by the UK team

:47:32.:47:34.

before they have to leave. But there are too many to treat everyone. Many

:47:35.:47:42.

more will be left waiting, facing a lifetime of rejection, shame and

:47:43.:47:50.

humiliation. That's all for tonight. The decision of the Globe Theatre to

:47:51.:47:56.

perform Hamlet in North Korea hasn't been greeted with universal approval

:47:57.:47:59.

by human rights campaigners today. Not that the vast majority of the

:48:00.:48:03.

population will be able to see it, let alone understand western actors

:48:04.:48:10.

performing in English. We have an actor here to show us how Korean

:48:11.:48:19.

Hamlet should be done. With act two, seen two. (She speaks in Korean) #6

:48:20.:49:22.

Our weather has taken a turner dryer. A touch of frost, patchy fog

:49:23.:49:23.

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