Browse content similar to 08/02/2016. Check below for episodes and series from the same categories and more!
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That American election - it's time for Round 2. | :00:00. | :00:09. | |
Tonight, we're in New Hampshire, watching momentum gather for Bernie | :00:10. | :00:12. | |
I ask Hillary Clinton what she makes of it. | :00:13. | :00:19. | |
Can you just explain for us how you understand the momentum towards | :00:20. | :00:27. | |
Bernie, at the moment? Well, you know, I - let me start by saying, I | :00:28. | :00:32. | |
am really happy to see so many young people involved in the political | :00:33. | :00:33. | |
process. Back in the other big | :00:34. | :00:35. | |
contest of 2016 - Europe. The head of the international crime | :00:36. | :00:40. | |
fighters Europol tells us why If UK is no longer a member | :00:41. | :00:42. | |
of the EU, it wouldn't have the same access to that well regulated, | :00:43. | :00:48. | |
well developed capability. I think, therefore, it would make it | :00:49. | :00:50. | |
harder for Britain to fight The great debate on Europe - | :00:51. | :00:53. | |
how would Mrs Thatcher vote in the referendum, and is it | :00:54. | :01:04. | |
sensible to even speculate Two people close to her tell | :01:05. | :01:06. | |
us what they think. Yes, the state votes tomorrow in its | :01:07. | :01:17. | |
presidential election primary. You will be reminded over the next | :01:18. | :01:25. | |
48 hours that the state slogan is Live Free or Die, | :01:26. | :01:28. | |
and it is a state where the hopes of some of the trailing candidates | :01:29. | :01:31. | |
will surely be brutally murdered. But watch the results carefully, | :01:32. | :01:36. | |
because most new presidents - with the some recent exceptions - | :01:37. | :01:40. | |
have risen to that office after winning the New | :01:41. | :01:44. | |
Hampshire contest. Emily is in Manchester, | :01:45. | :01:47. | |
New Hampshire. Good evening from New Hampshire, | :01:48. | :01:53. | |
where voters are preparing to head for the polls in the first | :01:54. | :01:56. | |
primary of the US election. Over the past few weeks, | :01:57. | :01:59. | |
momentum has been gathering for Bernie Sanders, whose soaring | :02:00. | :02:02. | |
lead over Hillary Clinton brought out a sharp rebuke from | :02:03. | :02:07. | |
Bill Clinton this weekend. The Vermont senator believes | :02:08. | :02:11. | |
in new politics and has begun to attract young, | :02:12. | :02:16. | |
female voters in droves. America's answer to Jereym Corbyn | :02:17. | :02:20. | |
with a Brooklyn accent. Tonight, we ask if the momentum | :02:21. | :02:24. | |
is particular to this state or if the revolution of the left | :02:25. | :02:30. | |
speaks to a wider dissatisfaction with American politcs and the need | :02:31. | :02:37. | |
for long-term change. We start tonight in Sanders' home | :02:38. | :02:40. | |
state, neighbouring Vermont. There are different ways | :02:41. | :02:46. | |
of expressing your commitment to a candidate - the T-shirt, | :02:47. | :02:49. | |
the bumper sticker and then A permanent tattoo | :02:50. | :02:52. | |
of his head on your skin. Here in Bernie Sanders' | :02:53. | :02:58. | |
home state of Vermont, they are offering them free to any | :02:59. | :03:01. | |
supporter who wants one. Sure enough, his fans - | :03:02. | :03:04. | |
let's call them Sandernistas - It's Jenny's turn - | :03:05. | :03:09. | |
she's a psychology student I never voted in a presidential | :03:10. | :03:15. | |
election before. I think that even if he doesn't get | :03:16. | :03:20. | |
the nomination, I think that this is just the beginning | :03:21. | :03:23. | |
of something very, very large. "Bernie's got my back", | :03:24. | :03:26. | |
Danika tells me. She peels off the | :03:27. | :03:32. | |
platter to show me. You don't worry that | :03:33. | :03:34. | |
a tattoo is for life, No, I think actually - | :03:35. | :03:38. | |
to me, because he is such a brave person and, like, his message | :03:39. | :03:44. | |
and what he is doing is so iconic The boss has done more than 70 | :03:45. | :03:47. | |
this past week. Have you had any really bizarre | :03:48. | :03:52. | |
requests? A middle finger, and just recently | :03:53. | :03:55. | |
someone wanted the It's a little darker | :03:56. | :04:01. | |
than our lightest roast. It's not just tattoos, | :04:02. | :04:08. | |
it's coffee too. The Capital Grounds Cafe | :04:09. | :04:13. | |
is marketing a new flavour they call They give away 20% of what they make | :04:14. | :04:16. | |
to Sanders' veterans. They come in and buy bags, | :04:17. | :04:21. | |
bags and bags every day. What is striking is the absence | :04:22. | :04:26. | |
a party machine behind all this. It's grass roots activism | :04:27. | :04:30. | |
as its most radical. Small businesses who hear Sanders | :04:31. | :04:32. | |
looking out for them Sanders is the man with | :04:33. | :04:35. | |
the momentum right now. His brand of socialism - | :04:36. | :04:40. | |
anti-Wall Street, pro-income equality and cannabis legalisation - | :04:41. | :04:42. | |
appeals to the young The same kind of crowd that voted | :04:43. | :04:45. | |
for Jeremy Corbyn back in September. With his shock of dishevelled hair | :04:46. | :04:52. | |
and specs, he is embraced - or cultivated - as the grumpy | :04:53. | :04:55. | |
Jewish Brooklyn boy out of Seinfeld. Indeed, its creator Larry David | :04:56. | :05:01. | |
frequently impersonates him. The skit on the satirical | :05:02. | :05:07. | |
Saturday Night Live show plays to the perception his voter base | :05:08. | :05:17. | |
is largely Caucasian. The population of New Hampshire, | :05:18. | :05:20. | |
where he has a massive lead, And that is something | :05:21. | :05:23. | |
Hillary Clinton wants This is her last Town Hall | :05:24. | :05:31. | |
appearance before New Hampshire A stage-managed affair that is meant | :05:32. | :05:36. | |
to seem folksy. For half an hour ahead of the event, | :05:37. | :05:42. | |
they have been trying to fill the camera shot behind her | :05:43. | :05:48. | |
with young Asian and black faces - a subliminal reminder of how much | :05:49. | :05:51. | |
wider her appeal base is. I'm still trying to work out | :05:52. | :05:53. | |
whether the questions are all planted when suddenly | :05:54. | :05:57. | |
she chooses me. Can you just explain for us how | :05:58. | :06:00. | |
you understand the momentum Let me start by saying I am really | :06:01. | :06:02. | |
happy to see so many young people I know Senator Sanders has a very | :06:03. | :06:08. | |
big base of young voters, and they are not supporting me, | :06:09. | :06:17. | |
and I just want any of you, and others that you know, | :06:18. | :06:21. | |
to know I am supporting you. Her husband, the former President, | :06:22. | :06:27. | |
wasn't quite so measured, taking aim at Sanders | :06:28. | :06:30. | |
and his supporters, and his Secretary of | :06:31. | :06:32. | |
State Madeleine Albright then chastised young women | :06:33. | :06:35. | |
for not choosing Hilary. Just remember, there is a special | :06:36. | :06:39. | |
place in hell for women These attacks tell you they | :06:40. | :06:42. | |
are spooked by Sanders, and although no-one will say | :06:43. | :06:52. | |
the words out loud, they worry he may be having the same effect | :06:53. | :06:55. | |
on the young and disaffected that In many states, if you declare | :06:56. | :06:58. | |
as an independent voter you can't vote for a Republican or Democrats | :06:59. | :07:03. | |
in the primary contest, but in New Hampshire | :07:04. | :07:06. | |
that is not the care. As an independent, you can go along | :07:07. | :07:11. | |
on the day and vote for which ever In other words, this particular | :07:12. | :07:17. | |
contest has that whole And it's estimated that as many | :07:18. | :07:21. | |
as 40% could be independents here. As with Obama, it's all | :07:22. | :07:26. | |
about whether Sanders can When you talk to Bernie | :07:27. | :07:28. | |
supporters here in Vermont, they say it's not a fad, a passing | :07:29. | :07:34. | |
phase, they like what he has done to the state here as Senator | :07:35. | :07:37. | |
Sanders, and they feel whether or not he wins | :07:38. | :07:40. | |
the nomination, the movement behind And don't forget New Hampshire | :07:41. | :07:43. | |
is Sanders's backyard. A large block of that progressive | :07:44. | :07:49. | |
white vote and people But from here, the race gets faster, | :07:50. | :07:52. | |
and much more racially diverse. Whether the people of South Carolina | :07:53. | :08:01. | |
will be so ready to feel the burn, well, that is where things start | :08:02. | :08:05. | |
to get interesting. Before we get to South Carolina, | :08:06. | :08:12. | |
there's the voting right here. Well, I'm joined now | :08:13. | :08:17. | |
by Nomiki Konst, a Democratic Party analyst and founder | :08:18. | :08:21. | |
of the anti-corruption group The Accountability Project, | :08:22. | :08:23. | |
who describes herself Also here in New Hampshire we have | :08:24. | :08:26. | |
Joe Klein, political columnist for Time magazine and long-time | :08:27. | :08:30. | |
observer of the Clinton family. Starting with you, you heard | :08:31. | :08:36. | |
Madeleine Allbright's line where she said there is a special circle of | :08:37. | :08:40. | |
hell reserved for women who don't work to help women. She was talking | :08:41. | :08:45. | |
to those Sanders' supporters who are female. I respect Madeleine all | :08:46. | :08:52. | |
bright. She's a crusader for women all around the world. I enjoy that | :08:53. | :08:56. | |
quote when it's used in different ways. I don't think that's the right | :08:57. | :09:02. | |
setting. Other Hillary supporters have said that has well. The problem | :09:03. | :09:06. | |
with the millennium femme nists is that they don't feel included in the | :09:07. | :09:09. | |
process. They feel that the institution of the Democratic Party | :09:10. | :09:12. | |
has been running candidates that are out of touch with their concerns and | :09:13. | :09:16. | |
their needs and they weren't there to fight for them in key moments, | :09:17. | :09:20. | |
because they were more concerned with winning, more concerned with | :09:21. | :09:23. | |
working with the other side. Working with the other side is very | :09:24. | :09:26. | |
important, but you have to have a back bone. So, from my perspective | :09:27. | :09:33. | |
as a Bernie supporters, I support him because he's attacking the root | :09:34. | :09:38. | |
cause of income inequality, the root cause of gender inequality. That's | :09:39. | :09:41. | |
Wall Street. They're campaigning against equal pay. When you see the | :09:42. | :09:46. | |
big guns coming out, Clinton, Allbright, Hillary Clinton doesn't | :09:47. | :09:49. | |
need those people... Is she a big gun? I thought what she said is | :09:50. | :09:54. | |
outrageous. She wouldn't say that about Marine Le Pen would she? She | :09:55. | :10:02. | |
was just saying it about Bernie and about Hillary. Feminism has been the | :10:03. | :10:06. | |
most successful political movement in my lifetime. We're going to see a | :10:07. | :10:13. | |
woman president before very long. Women are markedly | :10:14. | :10:15. | |
woman president before very long. I can tell you that. To even - | :10:16. | :10:20. | |
that's so 25 years ago what she said. Why are the women, I know the | :10:21. | :10:27. | |
tattoo parlour is not represented, but a lot of young women coming in | :10:28. | :10:31. | |
and they're all talking about Bernie Sanders, not Hillary Clinton, when | :10:32. | :10:36. | |
Shh... It should be -- should be "her moment". Millenniums are very | :10:37. | :10:41. | |
familiar with her. She's been part of their lives since they were born. | :10:42. | :10:46. | |
They are looking for a woman to rise up. It would be important for the | :10:47. | :10:50. | |
Democratic Party to take note. We need a bench of women, not just one | :10:51. | :10:57. | |
woman or three women. I agree on some points, are superior, but we | :10:58. | :11:01. | |
have a lot of work to do. Similar to LGBT issues. They've had a very | :11:02. | :11:06. | |
successful campaign. Women have been fighting for 25 years who aren't | :11:07. | :11:11. | |
ready to move over. I want to talk about the actual campaign. We're | :11:12. | :11:17. | |
hearing now from politicalo, that Bill Clinton and Hillary Clinton are | :11:18. | :11:20. | |
not happy with the way it's going, there's going to be strategy | :11:21. | :11:24. | |
changes. That's never happened before (! ) Every single campaign. | :11:25. | :11:29. | |
What they're talking about is some dissatisfaction with their pollster. | :11:30. | :11:33. | |
They fired their pollster in the last election. They go through | :11:34. | :11:37. | |
pollsters the way through people go through underwear. This is a pretty | :11:38. | :11:43. | |
classic Clinton campaign. The problem, her big problem is this: | :11:44. | :11:50. | |
She was, when she was in her youth, she was the moral equivalent of a | :11:51. | :11:55. | |
Bernie Sanders supporter. She supported George McGovern. She | :11:56. | :12:01. | |
worked for him in Texas. I asked her what would you, how would you | :12:02. | :12:04. | |
convince the younger version of yourself to vote for you now? And it | :12:05. | :12:11. | |
isn't an easy answer. Her strengths is the fact that she works like a | :12:12. | :12:16. | |
dog. She knows an awful lot. She knows the world in a way that Bernie | :12:17. | :12:20. | |
doesn't. And those are tough things to get across to younger people. Is | :12:21. | :12:24. | |
this the beginning of a game changer? When we talk about | :12:25. | :12:28. | |
momentum, this is the kind of momentum that we saw for Obama in | :12:29. | :12:32. | |
2008, reaching voters that nobody had reached before. But the | :12:33. | :12:36. | |
difference is that Barack Obama was a moderate. Hillary was to his left | :12:37. | :12:43. | |
on health care, if you remember. In this case, we'll see what happens. | :12:44. | :12:48. | |
I've seen this happen once in my lifetime, that was George McGovern. | :12:49. | :12:53. | |
As a result the Democratic Party was ruined for 20 years. The difference | :12:54. | :12:57. | |
is there, just to make note, the country was a much more conservative | :12:58. | :13:02. | |
country in the 60s. Today the country is more progressive on | :13:03. | :13:05. | |
social issues. That's where the cue for the Democratic Party is. They | :13:06. | :13:09. | |
need to move further to the left, not start at the middle and | :13:10. | :13:13. | |
negotiate to the left. I think social issues are not what this | :13:14. | :13:16. | |
campaign will be about. The Republicans are moving to the left | :13:17. | :13:20. | |
on things like gay marriage, scurrying to the left. What we have | :13:21. | :13:28. | |
to be thinking about is how do you counteract a nativist, | :13:29. | :13:30. | |
anti-immigrant, anti-Muslim movement. Just over there, Donald | :13:31. | :13:34. | |
Trump's having a rally tonight and there are going to be thousands of | :13:35. | :13:38. | |
people there. Do you think that's where the Republican nomination is | :13:39. | :13:43. | |
going to end up? I don't know if he can win it. They have about a third | :13:44. | :13:46. | |
of their constituents in his corner. The rest of the party will have to | :13:47. | :13:49. | |
consolidate against that. I think that whoever gets the nomination is | :13:50. | :13:54. | |
going to move in that direction toward a kind of nativist, | :13:55. | :14:00. | |
anti-immigrant, no nothing, what the movement has historically been | :14:01. | :14:04. | |
called here -- know nothing. Do we think we will see Michael Bloomberg | :14:05. | :14:12. | |
enter the race? There's only one thing that he would do if he came | :14:13. | :14:18. | |
into this race, if it was Trump versus Bernie sort of race, he would | :14:19. | :14:22. | |
elect Donald Trump president. That would truly be tragic. I don't know | :14:23. | :14:27. | |
about that. Nothing is worse than having two billionaires in the race | :14:28. | :14:31. | |
talking about income inequality. Good point. Hey, I won one! In six | :14:32. | :14:41. | |
hours' time, the polls open here. There are tiny places, about 35 | :14:42. | :14:45. | |
voters in all there, but they will be the first ones to go to the polls | :14:46. | :14:48. | |
and those results will probably be in by the time you wake up tomorrow | :14:49. | :14:50. | |
morning. David Cameron's reported pro-EU | :14:51. | :14:53. | |
referendum campaign is apparently going to focus on security - | :14:54. | :14:55. | |
or scaring the hell out of people Today, for example, he said EU | :14:56. | :14:58. | |
withdrawal could help terrorists by undermining European | :14:59. | :15:05. | |
security co-operation. Not that the campaign has started | :15:06. | :15:09. | |
yet, you understand. Now it so happens that the man | :15:10. | :15:12. | |
responsible for security cooperation He's a Brit called Rob Wainright, | :15:13. | :15:14. | |
and he's the director of Europol, But before we got on to that, | :15:15. | :15:19. | |
we discussed a more down-to-earth problem on his mind, | :15:20. | :15:39. | |
the small matter of big banknotes - The issue is: Who are | :15:40. | :15:42. | |
high-denomination notes for, except drug dealers, | :15:43. | :15:45. | |
money launderers, human traffickers and | :15:46. | :15:47. | |
organised criminals? Today, an eminent former banker | :15:48. | :15:49. | |
published a paper arguing These high-denomination banknotes | :15:50. | :15:51. | |
are no longer used very much They're used for a tiny | :15:52. | :15:57. | |
percentage of transactions. However, they are the preferred | :15:58. | :16:03. | |
means of payment for criminals, tax evaders, terrorists | :16:04. | :16:08. | |
and those who are giving No-one can say | :16:09. | :16:10. | |
they weren't warned. Whereas a million quid in 50 pound | :16:11. | :16:17. | |
notes has the bulk of say, A million quid in euros | :16:18. | :16:26. | |
will be smaller than one. Crime fighters like Europol's Rob | :16:27. | :16:29. | |
Wainright think it's an important issue - as he explained when I sat | :16:30. | :16:37. | |
down with him earlier. Why does anyone need a 500 euro | :16:38. | :16:41. | |
note, given that most of us have I would be surprised | :16:42. | :16:44. | |
if many of the viewers have seen one or done a business | :16:45. | :16:48. | |
transaction in one. To be fair, in some eurozone | :16:49. | :16:49. | |
countries like Germany, there is a different cultural | :16:50. | :16:52. | |
background and practise That doesn't explain why, | :16:53. | :16:53. | |
when we are moving to generally a cashless economy, the amount | :16:54. | :16:58. | |
of 500 euro notes that have been produced and circulated | :16:59. | :17:00. | |
is still increasing year on year, and accounts for one third | :17:01. | :17:03. | |
of the value of all euro You know, these are big issues | :17:04. | :17:05. | |
to be explained away. You must be a bit annoyed | :17:06. | :17:10. | |
about Luxembourg in particular, I think produced almost | :17:11. | :17:16. | |
twice its GDP in 500 euro That is an extraordinary bit of note | :17:17. | :17:19. | |
issue by Luxembourg. Our report showed that, | :17:20. | :17:25. | |
but across the eurozone as a whole, you know, we didn't really get | :17:26. | :17:27. | |
information that satisfied us as to what the legitimate use was, | :17:28. | :17:30. | |
while we are getting more and more evidence of the way | :17:31. | :17:34. | |
in which criminals are using it in particular, so I think serious | :17:35. | :17:38. | |
questions are being asked. A lot of evidence now, | :17:39. | :17:43. | |
and I hope the European Central Bank will take a long hard | :17:44. | :17:46. | |
look at this issue. It is interesting that we got | :17:47. | :17:48. | |
into this in the first place, though, because it was predicted | :17:49. | :17:51. | |
by some, it was talked about that this was going to be | :17:52. | :17:54. | |
something that would happen, you were creating something much | :17:55. | :17:56. | |
bigger than the 100 dollar bill, which might have been the currency | :17:57. | :17:59. | |
of choice until the euro came along, It is odd that the Europeans allowed | :18:00. | :18:02. | |
this to happen. What I am presenting is simply | :18:03. | :18:07. | |
the view from the police world, about how we see this as something | :18:08. | :18:13. | |
that is definitely facilitating criminal, | :18:14. | :18:16. | |
and to a certain extent activity. Terrorism, obviously, | :18:17. | :18:20. | |
a global phenomenon. In Europe there are National Police | :18:21. | :18:23. | |
forces and then Europol sits But you don't have the power | :18:24. | :18:26. | |
to arrest people, do you? No, instead we provide | :18:27. | :18:33. | |
an intelligence gateway that connects over 600 different agencies | :18:34. | :18:35. | |
exchanging intelligence That allows us to track better | :18:36. | :18:39. | |
what is increasingly Britain is in the early stage | :18:40. | :18:43. | |
of a debate about whether it should be in the European Union, | :18:44. | :18:49. | |
and one of the reasons many people don't want to be is they feel | :18:50. | :18:52. | |
there is a creeping pace So you are saying, if we stay in, | :18:53. | :18:55. | |
you do not think it will happen, that we will get a European police | :18:56. | :19:00. | |
force, that British voters will not be able to control | :19:01. | :19:03. | |
or have any sway over? No, we have just reformed Europol | :19:04. | :19:08. | |
and given it a new legal framework and it is not as a European FBI, | :19:09. | :19:11. | |
it is something that is very operational in nature, | :19:12. | :19:15. | |
in terms of giving them tools that the national authorities need | :19:16. | :19:17. | |
to fight fight crime and terrorism. You know, and the current | :19:18. | :19:20. | |
British Government has consciously opted into that new version | :19:21. | :19:22. | |
of European police force - European police cross-border | :19:23. | :19:24. | |
cooperation centre, because it has decided that is what it needs | :19:25. | :19:26. | |
in the face of an increased international threat | :19:27. | :19:29. | |
from terrorism and crime. David Cameron has warned that | :19:30. | :19:39. | |
Britain might lose information on what I think he called | :19:40. | :19:41. | |
"terrorists running round Europe". I think what the Prime Minister's | :19:42. | :19:44. | |
referring to, of course, is the extent to which over the last | :19:45. | :19:51. | |
three or four decades there has developed in Europe a sophisticated | :19:52. | :19:55. | |
architecture for sharing intelligence, and co-operating | :19:56. | :19:57. | |
in the fight against Europol alone, we are helping | :19:58. | :19:59. | |
to co-ordinate 40,000 cases I think if the UK is no | :20:00. | :20:06. | |
longer a member of the UK, it wouldn't have the same access | :20:07. | :20:10. | |
to that well-regulated, I think, therefore, it would make it | :20:11. | :20:12. | |
harder for Britain to fight I am sure Britain can respond | :20:13. | :20:18. | |
with alternative arrangements, but they will be more costly, | :20:19. | :20:21. | |
and they will not be as effective, I think that is probably | :20:22. | :20:24. | |
what the Prime Minister is saying. There has been some talk | :20:25. | :20:30. | |
about the Norwegian model of not The Norwegians, they are not | :20:31. | :20:33. | |
full members of Europol but they have an association | :20:34. | :20:36. | |
agreement with Europol that puts Well, certainly not in the middle, | :20:37. | :20:38. | |
at the periphery, because they are not full members, | :20:39. | :20:47. | |
so they don't have direct access to database in the way the UK | :20:48. | :20:49. | |
currently has, they are not leading any intelligence projects, | :20:50. | :20:52. | |
they don't have people So you know, it's a model | :20:53. | :20:54. | |
of membership, but as I said earlier, certainly not one | :20:55. | :20:58. | |
that is as effective as the one that the UK and other member | :20:59. | :21:01. | |
states currently enjoy. Are you going to be public about how | :21:02. | :21:04. | |
you will vote in the referendum? I think people listening | :21:05. | :21:08. | |
to you will probably draw their own conclusions | :21:09. | :21:10. | |
and believe they know how you will vote, but will you be | :21:11. | :21:12. | |
public, or will you stand back This is not about me, | :21:13. | :21:15. | |
this is about the future of Britain in Europe, | :21:16. | :21:20. | |
and in this particular part of it, about making sure | :21:21. | :21:22. | |
that we have the most secure platform to protect British | :21:23. | :21:25. | |
businesses, and citizens from ever more dangerous threats of terrorism | :21:26. | :21:27. | |
and other forms of serious crime. Of course I will be voting | :21:28. | :21:30. | |
for the UK to remain part of the EU because of what I see on an every | :21:31. | :21:34. | |
day basis about the benefits, and particularly in my world, | :21:35. | :21:37. | |
that the UK is getting from the EU. Rob Wainwright, thanks | :21:38. | :21:43. | |
for your company. You might have thought the Syrian | :21:44. | :21:49. | |
war had reached a kind of stalemate. Well, in the last few days, | :21:50. | :21:52. | |
things have changed. With Russian help, the Assad | :21:53. | :21:54. | |
government has made gains, and it is causing problems | :21:55. | :21:56. | |
for refugees, for Turkey, where they want to escape | :21:57. | :21:58. | |
to and possibly for Europe beyond. Our diplomatic editor, Mark Urban, | :21:59. | :22:01. | |
reports on the changing situation In fighting round Aleppo, Syria's | :22:02. | :22:18. | |
biggest city, President Assad's forces have been making progress. | :22:19. | :22:23. | |
Supported by hundreds of Russian air strikes, they have taken the | :22:24. | :22:26. | |
initiative just as diplomacy has stalled. | :22:27. | :22:33. | |
We saw during the last week, during the last several days they have | :22:34. | :22:38. | |
basically waited to the failure of the negotiation process, I can | :22:39. | :22:42. | |
assume within a certain time period, if the Russians managed to, well, to | :22:43. | :22:48. | |
put enough military pressure on this Saudi supported opposition, and if | :22:49. | :22:52. | |
they agree to launch a negotiation process, probably we will see the | :22:53. | :22:55. | |
intensity of fighting on the ground going down. | :22:56. | :22:59. | |
Since last autumn, the Syrian Army, with Russian air support has been | :23:00. | :23:03. | |
engaging in a multi-pronged offensive. By November, they had | :23:04. | :23:07. | |
broken through to an air base south-east of Aleppo, in January | :23:08. | :23:11. | |
they started making gains in a province and a couple of days ago, | :23:12. | :23:17. | |
cut the rebel corridor into Aleppo. All of this bombing and ground | :23:18. | :23:21. | |
fighting has led hundreds of thousands to leave their homes, some | :23:22. | :23:25. | |
estimates put it as high as three-quarters of a million people, | :23:26. | :23:28. | |
with anything up to ?100,000 thousand moving in the past week. | :23:29. | :23:36. | |
Week. Into an area south of Turkey. That all exacerbates tensions | :23:37. | :23:39. | |
between their Government and Russia. Since the Downing of Russian plane | :23:40. | :23:45. | |
by Turkey, because of its violation of the Turkish airspace last | :23:46. | :23:52. | |
October, the relationship between Ankara and Moscow has become | :23:53. | :23:58. | |
confrontational. So much so, it is now functioning as a dePacteau safe | :23:59. | :24:03. | |
zone against Turkey. That is limiting Turkey's ability to project | :24:04. | :24:10. | |
power across the border. As for how many people are trapped, between | :24:11. | :24:13. | |
advancing pro Assad forces on the Turkish border, it is certainly in | :24:14. | :24:19. | |
the tens of thousands. Turkey has stopped them coming in, caught | :24:20. | :24:23. | |
between this fresh humanitarian crisis, and apprenticeship to stop | :24:24. | :24:31. | |
refugees moving on to Europe. Chancellor Merkel visiting Turkey | :24:32. | :24:34. | |
today, vented her frustration with the Syrian Government, and its | :24:35. | :24:40. | |
Russian backers. TRANSLATION: We are now over the | :24:41. | :24:44. | |
last few days not only appalled by shocked by the human suffering is of | :24:45. | :24:48. | |
tens of thousands of people through bombing attack, and also bombing | :24:49. | :24:51. | |
attacks originating from the Russian side. | :24:52. | :24:58. | |
As to what people are fleeing, the UN panel today reported on gross | :24:59. | :25:02. | |
human rights abuses by all sides in the Syrian conflict. It accused the | :25:03. | :25:07. | |
Government of crimes against humanity and called for sanctions | :25:08. | :25:12. | |
against senior Syrian officials. The mass scale of deaths suggests that | :25:13. | :25:19. | |
the Government of Syria is responsible for acts that amount to | :25:20. | :25:23. | |
crimes against humanity. Turkey may well have to open its border to let | :25:24. | :25:28. | |
in the new wave of refugees, ideas of establishing a safe haven inside | :25:29. | :25:32. | |
Syria long favoured by the Turkish Government now seem to have been | :25:33. | :25:37. | |
forgotten. There is a very real risk that creating that type of buffer | :25:38. | :25:42. | |
zone could spark conflict between Turkey and Russia R We are dealing | :25:43. | :25:47. | |
with two political systems headed by the leaders who sometimes are led | :25:48. | :25:52. | |
not by the logic of the event, not by the pragmatism, but I would say | :25:53. | :25:57. | |
by the way, how they feel, by their passion. | :25:58. | :26:03. | |
There are some, in western foreign defence ministries who privately | :26:04. | :26:08. | |
hope Russia's backing of President Assad might finely brings the Civil | :26:09. | :26:12. | |
War to an end. So far it is up to the suffering without a clear | :26:13. | :26:15. | |
The Daily Mail writer Peter Oborne has just returned from Syria's | :26:16. | :26:18. | |
largest city - or once largest - Aleppo. | :26:19. | :26:20. | |
He's written vividly about the destruction | :26:21. | :26:21. | |
and destitution he found there, and he's with me now. | :26:22. | :26:28. | |
Thank you for coming in. We have some of the photos which we will | :26:29. | :26:35. | |
show awe you speak, but it is amazing you can get in and find a | :26:36. | :26:39. | |
hotel to stay in when you are there Yes, it is a difficult journey from | :26:40. | :26:44. | |
Damascus but they have re-opened the road in. They have lifted the siege | :26:45. | :26:49. | |
of Aleppo, you are able to get in, and there is a hotel called the pull | :26:50. | :26:54. | |
man hotel, freezing cold, very damp, I was the only guest there, apart | :26:55. | :27:03. | |
from a French TV journalist, and no hot water. There is electricity | :27:04. | :27:08. | |
about eight hours a day I reckoned. The internet doesn't work so you are | :27:09. | :27:14. | |
pretty isolated. The population of Aleppo is, it has plummeted. It is | :27:15. | :27:17. | |
less than half what it was. It is shocking. You get a sense of a city | :27:18. | :27:25. | |
where the population has gone, and particularly among the Christians, | :27:26. | :27:30. | |
down from about 200,000, before the crisis, wonderful ancient Christian | :27:31. | :27:32. | |
community going down. We are looking at some of the pictures there. The | :27:33. | :27:39. | |
rubble left. Empty streets. My regime minder took that. I wandered | :27:40. | :27:45. | |
round. The Christian population down from 200,000 to about 20,000. I | :27:46. | :27:52. | |
talked to the pastors, desperate to get their congregations to stay, and | :27:53. | :27:56. | |
the imams desperate to get them to stay but it is very hard. Who has | :27:57. | :28:00. | |
stayed? There are still hundreds of thousands of people in Aleppo, who | :28:01. | :28:06. | |
are they? Almost everybody seems to be a government employee, teachers, | :28:07. | :28:12. | |
lots and lots of refugees, from the east of the city, who fled news a or | :28:13. | :28:16. | |
the Free Syrian Army. They fled the rebels to get into the Government | :28:17. | :28:22. | |
part. Aleppo university, there are 20 great big dormitory block, 17 are | :28:23. | :28:28. | |
full of refugees, ten or 20 to a little room for two people, and I | :28:29. | :28:34. | |
wandered round there. So like Agatha Christie's hotel where she wrote her | :28:35. | :28:40. | |
novel, the Baron Hotel the refugee, they have harrowing stories. You | :28:41. | :28:45. | |
said no basic amenities in your hotel. What about important | :28:46. | :28:51. | |
amenities like drinking water? Yes, there is no water, running water | :28:52. | :28:56. | |
coming into Aleppo. It is the plant has been stopped by Isis, and so | :28:57. | :29:03. | |
what you see everywhere is digging wells, people carting water round, | :29:04. | :29:07. | |
and, it is a huge expense, because you have to buy it from the private | :29:08. | :29:11. | |
sector because state water has gone. You say the siege, it is not under | :29:12. | :29:15. | |
siege, because people think of Aleppo being under siege but it has | :29:16. | :29:19. | |
not. It has been reported widely. What has happened, this is the urn | :29:20. | :29:23. | |
thing point probably of the war s that the Turkish border, the supply | :29:24. | :29:28. | |
line to Isis, news racks, to the Jihadi groups and the FSA has been | :29:29. | :29:34. | |
blocked and it has been encircled by the Syrian army, plus with the great | :29:35. | :29:40. | |
help from the Russian, and so it is alnews a is under siege now, instead | :29:41. | :29:46. | |
of the other way round, and, Aleppo was under siege most of the winner, | :29:47. | :29:50. | |
nobody reported that, you couldn't get in or out from Damascus or | :29:51. | :29:55. | |
anywhere else. Now it is suddenly, the, the opposition forces who are | :29:56. | :29:59. | |
being besieged, that becomes a story, it tells you which side the | :30:00. | :30:00. | |
media has been on. You met an interesting journalist | :30:01. | :30:08. | |
when you were there, tell us his story. Yes a wonderful old boy. I | :30:09. | :30:14. | |
asked, "Where's the newspaper? I was told there's one paper left. There | :30:15. | :30:20. | |
had been 35. This old boy started out in 1960, 35 papers. I went into | :30:21. | :30:27. | |
his office, up some old smelly stairs. He said, his story was, it | :30:28. | :30:35. | |
was a daily paper, flourishing before the war. A weekly paper then, | :30:36. | :30:40. | |
paper shortages. The journalists started to get threatened. They go | :30:41. | :30:44. | |
on the net. There's no internet. Right and they told me they do it | :30:45. | :30:49. | |
through 3 G, that's beyond me. It's a mobile thing. You go there, you | :30:50. | :30:55. | |
see it with your own eyes, we've been hearing about it, in just a few | :30:56. | :30:59. | |
sentences, has it changed your view of anything, your way of looking at | :31:00. | :31:06. | |
the conflict at all? You meet these amazing stories of heroism, for | :31:07. | :31:10. | |
instance, I went to the Education Department. I met this teacher. She | :31:11. | :31:16. | |
spent five days making her journey which before the war had taken 40 | :31:17. | :31:23. | |
minutes to get from east Aleppo and, to get her wages. She was going to | :31:24. | :31:28. | |
go back. Isis-held area. She said Syrian forces were advancing and | :31:29. | :31:32. | |
will shortly reach it. She said, "I will be held along with my husband | :31:33. | :31:36. | |
and children as a human shield." And she was going back. The heroism, I | :31:37. | :31:41. | |
felt, just the stoicism and bravery and you're always meeting - the | :31:42. | :31:44. | |
doctors were wonderful in the hospital. You meet these incredible | :31:45. | :31:45. | |
people. Thank you very much. Celebrity endorsement | :31:46. | :31:49. | |
is likely to play some part But what about the endorsements | :31:50. | :31:51. | |
from beyond the grave? A strange battle has opened up | :31:52. | :31:56. | |
on how Margaret Thatcher would vote It was prompted by a piece | :31:57. | :31:59. | |
in the Sunday Times from her former The debate maybe gives us more | :32:00. | :32:04. | |
insight into the opinions of those arguing about it, than of | :32:05. | :32:13. | |
the Iron Lady herself. Our political editor, | :32:14. | :32:15. | |
David Grossman, has been looking Trying to work out what Kier Hardy | :32:16. | :32:25. | |
would have made of Twitter or basha kan castle's view of the Qatar World | :32:26. | :32:30. | |
Cup seems like a dull parlour game. One deceased boll Titian's view of | :32:31. | :32:37. | |
-- politician's view of matters is now sought. If you want to own a bit | :32:38. | :32:41. | |
of Mrs Thatcher history you could worse than this place, her London | :32:42. | :32:44. | |
residence after she left Downing Street. On the market for something | :32:45. | :32:49. | |
like ?30 million. But her political legacy is priceless, worth far more | :32:50. | :32:54. | |
to the remain campaign and leave campaign, each side in the | :32:55. | :32:58. | |
referendum wants to claim that she would have voted their way. Writing | :32:59. | :33:03. | |
in the Sunday Times yesterday, her former advisor suggested she might | :33:04. | :33:07. | |
have raged more mightily during the negotiations than David Cameron, but | :33:08. | :33:10. | |
ultimately she would have gone along with what is on offer, indeed | :33:11. | :33:14. | |
negotiated something similar herself in. Reply, Lord young, who served in | :33:15. | :33:19. | |
Mrs Thatcher's Cabinet said, "If Margaret were with us today she may | :33:20. | :33:27. | |
not lead Brexit, she may cajole the campaign leaders to get their act | :33:28. | :33:30. | |
together and when the day came would vote out." So what's the truth? Who | :33:31. | :33:36. | |
better to adjudicate than the man she chose to write her story. As her | :33:37. | :33:41. | |
biographer, I always make sure never to say what Margaret Thatcher would | :33:42. | :33:44. | |
have done because I don't know. What I do know is what she did do. It's | :33:45. | :33:48. | |
interesting that people want to raise this question all the time. I | :33:49. | :33:54. | |
understand why. Because she went on a long journey about Europe, which | :33:55. | :34:00. | |
had many rocky places and pit falls. She learned a lot. She changed her | :34:01. | :34:06. | |
mind quite a lot. The starting point of that journey found form in | :34:07. | :34:11. | |
knitwear, campaigning here in 1975 for Britain to stay in what was then | :34:12. | :34:16. | |
the European economic community. It's very fitting that you should | :34:17. | :34:21. | |
keep an all-night vigil, under the statue of Sir Winston Churchill, the | :34:22. | :34:26. | |
first person to have the great vision of working together for peace | :34:27. | :34:33. | |
in Europe. But as the European project became more about political | :34:34. | :34:38. | |
union and pooled sovereignty, Margaret Thatcher famously resisted. | :34:39. | :34:46. | |
No, no, no. She came very much to dislike European methods of doing | :34:47. | :34:49. | |
business. She thought this is a male club. This is a load of men having | :34:50. | :34:54. | |
dinner to decide everything, the fate of the people. You don't know | :34:55. | :34:58. | |
what department she is. I tell you, you don't know what department she | :34:59. | :35:04. | |
is. Her lecture before the first course, caused some surprise... I | :35:05. | :35:09. | |
made mistakes and I learned to fight. And I win. She became opposed | :35:10. | :35:19. | |
to the single currency and advocated a wider and looser European Union, | :35:20. | :35:25. | |
incorporating the newly emancipated Eastern Bloc countries. She never | :35:26. | :35:29. | |
advocated leaving the European Community as it was then, the whole | :35:30. | :35:33. | |
time she was in office. She did advocate that after she left office, | :35:34. | :35:37. | |
only privately. She said it to me, for example, and to many others. She | :35:38. | :35:41. | |
was advised that at that stage of her career, it would be too | :35:42. | :35:45. | |
explosive and difficult and she was too old and not terribly well and | :35:46. | :35:49. | |
all that sort of thing, it was really too late. But this is what | :35:50. | :35:53. | |
she came to believe. That contrasts between how she felt in office and | :35:54. | :35:59. | |
how she felt after retiring is an interesting one. Why does this | :36:00. | :36:04. | |
matter in in the crowd to wave off Margaret Thatcher from central | :36:05. | :36:08. | |
office on her last visit as PM was a young David Cameron. He cheered her | :36:09. | :36:14. | |
enthusiastically then. But plenty of his party's activists and supporters | :36:15. | :36:18. | |
now still trust her instincts on Europe more than his. So summoning | :36:19. | :36:23. | |
up a Thatcher endorsement for his deal would be precious indeed. | :36:24. | :36:28. | |
With me now are Lord Powell, private secretary and advisor | :36:29. | :36:31. | |
on foreign affairs and defense to Margaret Thatcher from 1983-91, | :36:32. | :36:36. | |
and Annunziata Rees-Mogg, a Eurosceptic and Conservative Party | :36:37. | :36:39. | |
Good evening. Some have criticised you for Daning to say what she would | :36:40. | :36:53. | |
have thought when none of us really know. You have to admit, none of us | :36:54. | :36:58. | |
knows. Anyone bothered to read my article, the third sentence says, | :36:59. | :37:02. | |
"we can't possibly know" it's not as though I didn't realise that. A | :37:03. | :37:06. | |
Cabinet minister said to me, look, I can't go along with this. Margaret | :37:07. | :37:09. | |
Thatcher would never have agrowed to it. That made me sit down and think. | :37:10. | :37:13. | |
I'm in the a member of any campaign. I'm not for, against. I'm not a | :37:14. | :37:17. | |
political party member. I just thought about. It I thought about | :37:18. | :37:21. | |
her history in Europe. Much of it came out in your film. She was in | :37:22. | :37:25. | |
the Government that took us into Europe. She led the Conservative | :37:26. | :37:31. | |
Party campaign to stay in Europe at the last referendum. She could have | :37:32. | :37:35. | |
decided then we should come out. No, she was enthusiastic, in favour. For | :37:36. | :37:40. | |
12 years as Prime Minister she fought, by God how she fought, to | :37:41. | :37:43. | |
get advantages for Britain in Europe and change Europe in ways that | :37:44. | :37:47. | |
suited Britain. It's not really very surprising that one thinks that | :37:48. | :37:50. | |
maybe she would opt to stay in Europe and go on trying to change it | :37:51. | :37:54. | |
for the better. For the record, are you going to vote or support the | :37:55. | :37:57. | |
remain side in the campaign? I don't know. I will see what's on offer. I | :37:58. | :38:05. | |
had assumed you were really learning your opinion of the referendum. | :38:06. | :38:08. | |
No-one's interested in my opinion, but I thought they might be | :38:09. | :38:10. | |
interested in what might be Margaret Thatcher's. Do you buy what we've | :38:11. | :38:14. | |
just heard? I don't think we can know. I agrow | :38:15. | :38:16. | |
just heard? I don't think we can sentence, I don't think we should | :38:17. | :38:20. | |
invoke the dead, whether it's Churchill, Maggie Thatcher or other | :38:21. | :38:23. | |
wonderful politicians in this country or on the other side if you | :38:24. | :38:28. | |
want to invoke that Hitler wanted a united Europe. These are ridiculous | :38:29. | :38:32. | |
things that we just can't know. How should she have voted? Let's think | :38:33. | :38:38. | |
of Thatcherism as an ethos, not just what she thought, how should a | :38:39. | :38:43. | |
Thatcherite vote? In my view of Thatcher's legacy is to believe this | :38:44. | :38:47. | |
the sovereignty of our nation and the freedom of the individual. And | :38:48. | :38:52. | |
to believe incredibly strongly in democracy. In my view, you cannot | :38:53. | :39:00. | |
have democracy without a demos and Europe has no dome hose to back up a | :39:01. | :39:04. | |
democracy. We have to lock out for our own nation and have this | :39:05. | :39:08. | |
referendum where one man, one vote and see what the result S A couple | :39:09. | :39:14. | |
of comments, I think you're being a little severe. We frequently cite | :39:15. | :39:20. | |
19th century politician's views on foreign policy issues. We cite | :39:21. | :39:27. | |
Canning... We saw Mr Thatcher invoking... It's totally | :39:28. | :39:33. | |
permissible. I think quoting someone and speculating as to what they | :39:34. | :39:37. | |
would do in different situations are two very different things. In some | :39:38. | :39:41. | |
ways isn't it interesting, because if you see the EU as a free trade | :39:42. | :39:50. | |
thing, with a lot of what people, Thatcher's disposition would say is | :39:51. | :39:54. | |
annoying baggage, but free trade thing. Or you might see it as a lot | :39:55. | :39:59. | |
of annoying baggage with a bit of free trade. Is that the schism | :40:00. | :40:03. | |
between different this afternoonerites? I think it's -- | :40:04. | :40:08. | |
Thatcherites. I think it's more pernicious. It's a lack of | :40:09. | :40:13. | |
democratic answerability. It's a superpower trying to control our | :40:14. | :40:17. | |
nation. It's removing our freedom to control our borders, ultimately it | :40:18. | :40:22. | |
will remove our controls on our own financial systems and the ever | :40:23. | :40:25. | |
closer union has not been removed from the treaties under this | :40:26. | :40:29. | |
renegotiation. It is there and that's the direction Europe will be | :40:30. | :40:33. | |
heading. I think Margaret Thatcher saw being in Europe largely as | :40:34. | :40:37. | |
strategic terms. Particularly at a time when we were threatened by the | :40:38. | :40:41. | |
Soviet Union. She believed in drawing together the European | :40:42. | :40:46. | |
countries. Of course in Nato for defence purposes, but in EU to be | :40:47. | :40:50. | |
sure we didn't go to war with each other again in the future and we | :40:51. | :40:54. | |
were a solid block. That was a sensible thing to add to the trade | :40:55. | :40:58. | |
aspect of. It she saw it as an organisation which produced specific | :40:59. | :41:01. | |
advantages for Britain. She would now, I believe, see that we have | :41:02. | :41:07. | |
managed to get out of so many of the unpleasant bits of Europe, the | :41:08. | :41:10. | |
things that you object to. You know, we are not in the single currency. | :41:11. | :41:16. | |
We are not in the Schengen union. We are only about half members any way. | :41:17. | :41:21. | |
Why such a great objection to being semidetached members. Can I ask a | :41:22. | :41:26. | |
quick question on the issue of, could there be a British | :41:27. | :41:28. | |
Parliamentary block on issues coming out of the EU. Boris Johnson seems | :41:29. | :41:33. | |
behind that. Does that work? I don't believe it can work, no. It's a | :41:34. | :41:38. | |
chalice that the faithful have sought for a long time. The fact is, | :41:39. | :41:42. | |
if we reach agreements, they are international agreements, they're | :41:43. | :41:44. | |
binding agreements, they're registered with the UN. Sadly, I | :41:45. | :41:49. | |
think in terms of law, then - You can't pick and choose. Parliament | :41:50. | :41:54. | |
remains supreme. They could denounce the treaty and we could exit. You | :41:55. | :41:58. | |
can't have bits of it. Thank you both very much. | :41:59. | :42:08. | |
James O'Brien is here tomorrow. Until then, very good night. | :42:09. | :42:10. |