18/03/2016 Newsnight


18/03/2016

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Ian Duncan Smith has resigned from the government this evening,

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over benefit cuts, the end of his six years reign as work

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At the last Budget he'd cheered government policy

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So, is his exit a full-blown crisis for the government,

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Five arrested in Brussels - Paris attacker Salah Abdeslam among

:00:24.:00:34.

We'll piece together today's events, and ask whether the authorities can

:00:35.:00:38.

And on tonight's Artsnight - artist Ryan Gander explores the art

:00:39.:00:43.

Art isn't a stronghold of the elite, it's everywhere. It surrounds us.

:00:44.:01:01.

It was at 9:00pm this evening, the news dropped without warning.

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Iain Duncan Smith has resigned from the cabinet.

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His resignation letter stuck the knife into George Osborne,

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and indeed, twisted it around a bit too.

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Now it had obviously been a fraught day,

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earlier in the evening, there had been signs

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of a significant U-turn on those unpopular cuts to benefits

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for people with disabilities - the personal independence

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The cuts were meant to make a ?1.3 billion saving.

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But according to Mr Duncan Smith's resignation letter,

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He didn't like them, and didn't like them even more

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for the fact they were accompanied by tax cuts for the better off.

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That have a brief chat to BBC political editor Laura Kuenssberg,

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who is in Downing Street. Take us through the letter, what you make of

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it, the substance and tone. Well, it's an absolute zinger of a

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resignation letter. He believed very strongly in the changes being made

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in welfare under his leadership at the DWP over the last six years, but

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in his view, these latest proposed cuts to the payments for many

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disabled people were simply a step too far. They were, in his view, the

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wrong balance, striking the wrong balance. He makes a very interesting

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point. Politically this will hurt. He suggests the government now has

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the balance of cuts the wrong way round, they are looking in the wrong

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places and hitting the wrong people. He dares the government to explain

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why they've been hitting people at the bottom end and the younger

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generation instead, protecting pensioners at the top end. The most

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striking and damaging line of all in this letter is saved for the very,

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very end. He casts doubt on the government's main assertion they've

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made time and time again since they've been in charge in 2010, he

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questions whether or not we are really all in this together. That is

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a senior figure in government walking out in protest and,

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essentially, questioning the government's main motivation. Every

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line is almost full of some bitterness. There has been bad blood

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between him and George Osborne for some time now. Very briefly, that is

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what he said, is there anything unsaid that is going on tonight?

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Naz of course there always is in politics. In this case there is

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something glaringly missing from the resignation letter. Iain Duncan

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Smith is one of the most prominent Eurosceptics, he has a big role in

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obtaining for us to leave the European Union. For some people

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inside government, they are pointing very much to that as part of his

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motivation. This will pour fuel on the already fiery debate inside the

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Conservative Party over whether or not we should stay or leave the EU.

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Senior MPs I've spoken to close to Iain Duncan Smith say, however, it's

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just not the case. He feels he was forced into these reforms he was

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then feeling he was being forced to defend them. When it emerged today

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the government was going to jump the reforms altogether, you felt it was

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a step too far. This will make a difference to the bad blood already

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there over the EU. That think that anger, that's David Cameron has been

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struggling to contain inside his party. No question, the timing of

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the debate around the EU referendum is absolutely part of this, too.

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Well to discuss all of this is Tim Montgomerie, from the Times

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newspaper, who was a speech writer for Iain Duncan Smith and founded

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the Centre for Social Justice with him, and also Jonathan

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Freedland, columnist from the Guardian, and Anne McElvoy

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Good evening to you all. Tim, what is going through his mind tonight? I

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think you have to judge it by the content of the letter that he wrote

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to the Prime Minister. He has been struggling for a long time with an

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imbalance of cuts that he's being asked to make. Huge part of the

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welfare budget, particularly for pensioners, said in universal

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benefits like child benefit have been ruled out of being touched by

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the Prime Minister and by the Chancellor. I think Iain Duncan

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Smith has, as he says, been a team player, tried to make cuts on the

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working poor and younger families. He feels it has gone on too far.

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It's one thing to make cuts for deficit reduction, but as his letter

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said, it's completely different if you are making those cuts to fund

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tax cuts for the better off or capital gains tax. You are taking

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the letter at face value. I think we have to, there may be other reasons,

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but there is a lot of moral force to this letter and it chimes with a lot

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of people who feel, to quote the letter, the promise was, we are all

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in this together. And, actually, it is working age families at the

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bottom of the pile who are yet again been asked to bear the brunt of

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posterity. It's interesting, a lot of critics to the left, who've grown

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to not like him very much over the last six years of his reign there,

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they will say, why are you going this way? There's been a lot of this

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over the last six years and you suddenly popped out, particularly

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just in the run-up to an EU referendum, which will make them

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suspicious if something about Brexit. You could easily make the

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argument he could have gone over other cuts, over tax credits last

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year. I think that the difference is the use of these cuts to help fund

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cuts for better off people. That really is a step too far. The others

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like detail is this is the day the policy he is resigning over was

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going to be junked. It's very odd to resign over policy the government

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has abandoned. The timing perhaps wasn't completely ideal in that

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respect. But I think the wider point of the letter, that cuts are still

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coming down the pipeline and are focused on the working age, young

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families, that is still very resonant. IQ taking the letter at

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face value or do you think there is something else going on? -- are you

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taking. It's what Iain Duncan Smith really believes, I don't think there

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is any sort of hokum, trying to cover something up. There is a

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permissive environment in the Conservative Party as a result of

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the referendum and a deep split in the Conservative Party which goes

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back... Pretty much forever... But Iain Duncan Smith is one of those

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people from the 90s onwards who has been a great Eurosceptic. This is

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their moment in the run-up to a possible Brexit. All sorts of things

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that maybe would have just about held together, got patched together,

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like those family rows. Once you start one, the others tend to come

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up. That's really what is going on here. People say what he's trying to

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do... The letter is so barbed comment doesn't mention George

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Osborne particularly, but it's so obviously aimed at him. People say

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he's trying to betray himself as the nice guy, for exit, the Chancellor,

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who wants to remain, as the evil... People will find it rich of Iain

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Duncan Smith to criticise Osborne from the left. They will say, you

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are the person who has been implementing these cuts, some of

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them very severe. The test of fitness to work imposed on the

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disabled. He's been seen as extremely harsh by disability

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groups. They find that now of all times he discovers it's too much for

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him. He is shocked to discover there is this harsh policy from the

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government and he's quitting just as it's dropped. Of course people are

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going to be sceptical and ask that because Dean you always ask in

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politics, why now? Is tolerated lots before now. Now three months ahead

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of the referendum he feels it's time to really launch an exit at the man

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who is leading the outcome pain. Is this full-blown crisis or

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containable to one policy over this benefit cut, which has been junked?

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And one man? It feels like, judging from the tweets of all the people

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coming out in support of him, the usual suspects on the Brexit side of

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the party, it feels like it's igniting something, is that right?

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This is an historic time for the Conservative Party. I don't want to

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make a prediction in a world where Donald Trump could be the next

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president, it's a world full of surprises. I think the Conservative

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Party could easily split over this Brexit bait, not just because of the

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nature of the huge divide it represents philosophically, but the

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way it is being fought. -- Brexit debate. There is unhappiness on both

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sides at the emphasis the Prime Minister is putting on fear, for

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example. Other people on the site that supports staying in the EU

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worries about the tactics of some of the people wanting to come out.

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There is also a sense, this is why this letter is imported, the

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weakness of the leading party means the Conservative Party could be in

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government for a long time. -- weakness of the Labour Party. Iain

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Duncan Smith says unless the Conservative Party is a truly one

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nation party that balances the cuts and tax policy so they are fair to

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everyone in society, it risks squandering that opportunity to be

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the natural party of government again. The difficulty with that is,

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it's such a complex landscape within the Conservative Party. When Iain

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Duncan Smith says, in the letter, he could just about have gone along

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with this if it hadn't been for the fact he thought the budget was too

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nice to high earners... This is someone on the right of the party.

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Where are we? That's another question. We've gone through the

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looking Glass of it. It's going to be a bit of a problem. I feel you

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should put in some word of defence for George Osborne here. It's easy

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on a night like this to say, you see what happens, you put on these

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disability cuts, now look. We've heard a rising bill on this.

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Governments, going back to new Labour... Disability benefit cuts to

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fund tax cuts for the well of. It was because for the top rate of tax

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to come down from 50p to 45 D. E tolerated that before. We've got a

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figure on the right attacking the figure associated with compassionate

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conservatism and modernisation, saying, this is too much for me.

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That is why you feel it's about Brexit. You've got this odd thing

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going on, partly to do with the weakness of labour. Government and

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opposition are happening within the Conservative Party. It's the sort of

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thing George Osborne could have got away with before but half the people

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behind him as he gave the budget wanted him to fail, wanted him to

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trip up, because he is the leader of In. Is this schism in the party at

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the end of the road is it repairable the referendum... Is, David

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Cameron's departure date will have to come forward, is not in the

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position, if it is likely he wins the Brexit election, he will not be

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able to heal this. The Chancellor is toxic on lots of these issues. I

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think a new leader will be necessary to heal divisions. Inside of the

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party? Early in the parliament. Polls suggest it wouldn't be risk he

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couldn't do a healing role. Cameron has allowed Osborne to be the

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lightning rod and hate figure of In. Cameron isn't even here, playing the

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statesman figure. This attack goes to Cameron as well as Osborne. I

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mean, he's put up his hands and said, there are a lot of people.

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They recently have want to do continue with the Cameron- Osborne

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duo at the top of the Conservative Party. This is an extremely

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significant moment for them. Geoffrey Howe, the attack on

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Margaret Thatcher, these things come round, teams to be an eternal

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recurrence. It begins to look like the beginning of an endgame, doesn't

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it? Osborne has had the most appalling week. This has to be worse

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than omnishambles. He was going to be all right after the budget! And

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now look. Again, is it what you would call the tin ear, he doesn't

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get 1 billion pounds from disabled people is a lot of money. It's like

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the disabled tax credit row from last, the fact he has repeated it

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with an even more vulnerable group. People feel the disabled are the one

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group, most of all, that deserve help from the welfare state. Taking

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from the poor to give to the rich is one thing, but even the Sheriff of

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Nottingham didn't take from the disabled and sick to give to the

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rich. Capital gains tax sounded so bad. People were selling their

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shares in Osborne as soon as he sat down on Wednesday. It's got much

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worse. You can't keep making mistakes like this. If you are the

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great strategic genius as he presenting cells politically, his

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image has been, I may not look like that popular figure on TV but I am a

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strategic wizard. Yet he's done the tax credit reversal, similar to...

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Praising the Google tax deal, another humiliation. He's running

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out of lives. Your luck does run out as Chancellor. Remember, he's been

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an absolutely commanding figure in this period, an architect of the

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Tory election victory. Your luck does run out as Chancellor. It

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hinges on the Office for Budget Responsibility. When it goes well

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his stock rises. Not only that, the OBE are as a life of its own in

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national politics. -- the OBR. Tim was reflecting, that absolutely

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driven feeling Osborne has that he has to at least prove he is right in

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the long run, it's now beginning to trip him up. Does it make any

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difference to the referendum itself? Does it bolster the leave camp,

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possibly even the remain camp? It does matter how much standing

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David Cameron has in the country. He is the lead person selling EU

:15:23.:15:33.

membership to the people. If this makes a difference, every time he

:15:34.:15:38.

tries to sell the EU, people look at him slightly differently. It is not

:15:39.:15:44.

helpful... I think the damage is around George Osborne. He is the

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toxic figure, the hard-faced man. He was booed at the Paralympics, he is

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having another go at this table people now. I don't think much of

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that rubs off on Cameron. That is all we have time for. Thank you.

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Just over four months since the Paris attacks,

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Salah Abdesalm Europe's most wanted man, for his role in those

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Along with an accomplice, and three people in a family who had

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Right in a flat in Molenbeek, Abdesalm's home

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Secunder Kermani has been in Molenbeek in recent days,

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Dramatic scenes on the streets of Molenbeek in Brussels,

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as authorities closed in on one of Europe's's most wanted men.

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as authorities closed in on one of Europe's most wanted men.

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Salah Abdeslam was reportedly shot in the leg and arrested along

:16:40.:16:42.

with an alleged accomplice and three members

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Police had been searching for him ever since the attacks in Paris last

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November and he is now likely to be extradited to France.

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In the past, some there had accused Belgian

:16:52.:16:53.

security services of intelligence failures.

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This evening the French president praised their work

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TRANSLATION: I have a special thought for the victims

:17:01.:17:08.

of the attacks on the 13th of November in Paris.

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Because Salah Abdeslam is directly connected to the preparation,

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organisation and, I have to say, the perpetration of these attacks.

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I also think of the families who have been looking

:17:27.:17:29.

Salah Abdeslam was a former petty criminal from the Brussels district

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He drove the attackers to Paris and, according to some reports,

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took an active part in what had happened there.

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His brother was one of those firing at people in the bars and cafes

:17:43.:17:45.

He was picked up by two friends, who drove

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Incredibly, they were stopped three times at police

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checkpoints, but were allowed to continue.

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The next day, those two friends who had picked him up were arrested

:18:04.:18:06.

in dramatic fashion, despite an international manhunt

:18:07.:18:08.

Until a raid earlier this week in Brussels

:18:09.:18:12.

suburb where police found his fingerprints.

:18:13.:18:14.

One man was killed, two others escaped.

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One may have been Salah, but today he was finally

:18:18.:18:19.

Clearly, catching someone like this alive,

:18:20.:18:24.

who was involved in the plot against Paris, who was probably

:18:25.:18:27.

meant to die giving that attack, which means he was really a key part

:18:28.:18:32.

of the fabric of the operation means he will have

:18:33.:18:34.

a real insight into the broader networks around them,

:18:35.:18:37.

into the people who supplied them with

:18:38.:18:39.

weapons, the people who helped them make the bombs,

:18:40.:18:43.

From an intelligence perspective, this is a huge victory.

:18:44.:18:50.

Salah had been a childhood friend of the organiser of the Paris

:18:51.:18:52.

Who else in IS, whether in Europe or Syria, was involved

:18:53.:18:57.

in the attacks, will be a key question to explore.

:18:58.:19:03.

As will the network who helped Salah hideout for so long.

:19:04.:19:07.

Molenbeek where he grew up and where he was captured has gained

:19:08.:19:09.

what many residents see as an unfair reputation as a centre of extremism.

:19:10.:19:19.

This man runs one of the oldest youth centres. He said with a Distin

:19:20.:19:28.

fries population, it is the perfect place to hide. You should know that

:19:29.:19:39.

there is a high density population. 8000 new inhabitants every year. And

:19:40.:19:48.

8000 leaving. There were tense scenes in Molenbeek to light. Most

:19:49.:19:51.

oppose extremism, but also many have a troubled relationship with the

:19:52.:19:59.

police. These raids were a success for the Belgian authorities, but as

:20:00.:20:03.

they discover more behind the Paris attacks, they will be looking to

:20:04.:20:07.

prevent other attacks happening. What was his role on November the

:20:08.:20:24.

13th? I have spent quite a bit of time in Molenbeek and I have met

:20:25.:20:29.

many of Salah Abdesalm's friends. They cannot comprehend his role in

:20:30.:20:35.

the attacks. His brother said he had seen him watching jihad videos. But

:20:36.:20:40.

his friends, it had been a shock to them. They would say the fact he

:20:41.:20:45.

didn't end up dead on the night of the attack shows he had second

:20:46.:20:49.

thoughts about his involvement. But he played a key role in the

:20:50.:20:54.

logistics, he rented cars, rented one of the safe houses that was used

:20:55.:21:00.

to manufacture the suicide belts that were detonated. One of the most

:21:01.:21:05.

interesting aspects is the anger in Molenbeek tonight. Interpret that,

:21:06.:21:12.

it is not complicit with Isis, what is going on? Molenbeek has a high

:21:13.:21:22.

Muslim population. They resent the presence of the international media

:21:23.:21:25.

been camped out there portraying it as the Jihadi capital of Europe.

:21:26.:21:28.

That is what explains that. To discuss the wider

:21:29.:21:38.

implications of today's events, we're joined by Professor Peter

:21:39.:21:41.

Neumann from King's College's Centre for the study of Radicalisation

:21:42.:21:42.

and Political Violence. To what extent does capturing him

:21:43.:21:51.

alive help the authorities? Potentially he might talk, but we

:21:52.:21:58.

don't know that yet. There is a potential disadvantage because of

:21:59.:22:02.

course, Isis has an incentive to perhaps even try to blackmail

:22:03.:22:09.

Belgium to release him. It is absolutely unpredictable what will

:22:10.:22:13.

happen in the next days and weeks. If he talks, it will be a huge

:22:14.:22:18.

opportunity, but there is no guarantee he will. What does this

:22:19.:22:22.

say about ice is that he was in Molenbeek. He could have gone to

:22:23.:22:27.

Syria, the big network, but he hadn't? It is interesting, because

:22:28.:22:35.

his brother died in the attacks. One of his school friends was the

:22:36.:22:39.

mastermind of the attacks. Despite this being such a transnational

:22:40.:22:45.

phenomenon, it is also a very small local phenomenon. A lot of people

:22:46.:22:49.

are closely related to each other. The fact he stayed in that place for

:22:50.:22:55.

four months. If you were the most wanted man in Europe, maybe you

:22:56.:22:59.

would enqueue shouldn't be in the obvious place. The fact he stayed

:23:00.:23:02.

there proves how provincial and local some of this movement can be.

:23:03.:23:08.

The fact he was under their noses, what does that tell us about the

:23:09.:23:16.

authorities? Was it a success they got him, but a failure because he

:23:17.:23:21.

was always in Molenbeek? It is a success. Well Jim is the most effect

:23:22.:23:26.

that country relative to population size in Europe. Its security

:23:27.:23:30.

agencies were not built for the numbers of people they now have to

:23:31.:23:34.

deal with. Second point, this was a part of Brussels that had been

:23:35.:23:39.

abandoned by the state, by the Muslim communities and it is clear

:23:40.:23:42.

that the authorities did not penetrate that part of their own

:23:43.:23:52.

city at all. What about the European authorities, are they working

:23:53.:23:54.

together a love? Are they able to deal with what is going on? After

:23:55.:24:01.

Paris, something 's happened. But there are still some big things that

:24:02.:24:06.

need to be fixed. To this day there isn't a single database accessible

:24:07.:24:10.

to every European country that contains the names of every foreign

:24:11.:24:15.

fighter, every potential terrorist. It is still possible, even after

:24:16.:24:20.

Paris, for people to come back from Syria, returned to their own

:24:21.:24:24.

countries are via other countries, because their countries don't have a

:24:25.:24:26.

proper way of exchanging information. Peter, thank you very

:24:27.:24:28.

much. Latin America is having

:24:29.:24:31.

an extraordinary year - socialism in that continent has

:24:32.:24:33.

been in the ascendancy, Venezuela in economic crisis,

:24:34.:24:36.

Socialist Cuba coming And, a socialist government

:24:37.:24:40.

in Brazil in the midst The Brazil crisis is the one

:24:41.:24:44.

that is reaching fever Demonstrations and

:24:45.:24:47.

counter-demonstrations, The scandal concerns construction

:24:48.:24:49.

company bribes paid to the state oil company, finding their way

:24:50.:24:52.

to senior political figures. It's now ensnared the revered former

:24:53.:24:56.

President, Lula da Silva. An extraordinary tale -

:24:57.:25:01.

Gabriel Gatehouse reports. Lula da Silva, seventh son of a

:25:02.:25:17.

literate farm workers, a former shoeshine boy turned president.

:25:18.:25:21.

Credited with lifting millions of people out of poverty. He left

:25:22.:25:26.

office five years ago with an approval rating of 90%. In Brazil

:25:27.:25:35.

Lula said in the 1980s, when up for man steals, he goes to jail. When a

:25:36.:25:41.

rich man steals, he becomes a minister. Now, the man himself

:25:42.:25:44.

stands accused of doing exactly that, falling foul of his own savage

:25:45.:25:51.

critique of the system. Last Sunday, more than a million people across

:25:52.:25:55.

Brazil came out onto the streets to demonstrate against the government

:25:56.:26:03.

of Lula successor. At the heart of this story is a giant corruption

:26:04.:26:12.

scandal. Allegations of billions of dollars of Ribes involving senior

:26:13.:26:16.

officials and politicians. Now, Lula himself has been implicated. He has

:26:17.:26:22.

denied charges of money-laundering and fraud, but the allegations have

:26:23.:26:27.

set off a chain reaction. Secretly taped phone calls released to the

:26:28.:26:33.

media, appeared to show the president offering Lula a

:26:34.:26:35.

ministerial post which would shield him from prosecution.

:26:36.:26:49.

The appointment was announced and Lula was sworn in yesterday. The

:26:50.:26:59.

president herself is facing impeachment over allegations she

:27:00.:27:02.

misused public fronts to boost spending during an election

:27:03.:27:06.

campaign, warned of attempts to overthrow her government.

:27:07.:27:13.

TRANSLATION: Convulsing Brazilian society with lies and reprehensible

:27:14.:27:17.

practices, violates constitutional rights and the rights of citizens.

:27:18.:27:24.

It sets serious precedents. Kuwas begin this way. Under President

:27:25.:27:31.

Lula, Brazil was on the up. Bids to host the World Cup and the 2016 Rio

:27:32.:27:38.

Paralympics. In 2010, the economy grew by 7.5%, but since then things

:27:39.:27:44.

have gone wrong. Last year, GDP fell by 3.8%, leading to perhaps the

:27:45.:27:51.

worst recession since records began. There are all sorts of reasons for

:27:52.:27:56.

Brazil's economic woes, not all of them the government's fault.

:27:57.:28:01.

Constant stories in the media about waste and corruption surrounding the

:28:02.:28:05.

World Cup and the Olympics have feel the anger, especially among

:28:06.:28:08.

middle-class voters. The upper middle class has suffered a very

:28:09.:28:14.

significant, economic and political losses in the period of

:28:15.:28:19.

Administration in the past 13, 14 years. On the economic side, jobs

:28:20.:28:26.

for the other middle-class, paying between the minimum wages have

:28:27.:28:31.

declined by 4.5 million in this period. It is very difficult for

:28:32.:28:35.

children to do better than their parents did. The government does

:28:36.:28:41.

have its supporters, drawn chiefly from the working class. Today, they

:28:42.:28:47.

came out in force to save they are backing Lula and the president.

:28:48.:28:52.

TRANSLATION: For the first time workers have rights and benefits and

:28:53.:28:56.

the elite don't like this because they no longer have a cheap labour

:28:57.:29:01.

force and slaves. The anti-government protests might have

:29:02.:29:04.

begun as a middle-class movement. One of its leaders is a former hedge

:29:05.:29:10.

front manager. Today he told us their appeal is broadening. Over the

:29:11.:29:13.

last few days you could see absolutely everyone coming to the

:29:14.:29:19.

streets, because the outrage is penetrating all of society. It

:29:20.:29:22.

doesn't matter the social or economic level. Barack Obama once

:29:23.:29:28.

called Lula the most popular politician on earth. Now

:29:29.:29:33.

demonstrators are willing to face water canons to demand he go on

:29:34.:29:36.

trial and his hand-picked successor stand out. Brazilians are coming to

:29:37.:29:42.

the conclusion their political culture is rotten. So rotten, even

:29:43.:29:47.

their most revered heroes seem not to be immune.

:29:48.:29:51.

That's it from Newsnight, but now for Artsnight.

:29:52.:29:53.

In the last episode in this run of the series, artist Ryan Gander

:29:54.:29:57.

looks at the links between everyday life and creativity,

:29:58.:29:59.

and travels to Berlin to meet Olafur Eliasson,

:30:00.:30:02.

who famously created a giant sun in Tate Modern's Turbine Hall.

:30:03.:30:10.

Everyone has the capacity to be creative.

:30:11.:30:13.

We all do things in our lives that are artistic, whether we realise

:30:14.:30:17.

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