Browse content similar to 03/10/2016. Check below for episodes and series from the same categories and more!
Line | From | To | |
---|---|---|---|
So, they're here, but are they clear as to what they do now? | :00:16. | :00:18. | |
That's the question for the Conservatives, | :00:19. | :00:20. | |
A new Prime Minister, a new zeal to change | :00:21. | :00:30. | |
Things, but with an in-tray overloaded by Brexit. This is where | :00:31. | :00:35. | |
Theresa May's vision begins to take shape. Let's keep working, to make | :00:36. | :00:41. | |
Britain a country that works not for a privileged few, but for everyone | :00:42. | :00:44. | |
in this great country. We'll try and fathom | :00:45. | :00:49. | |
out what that means. And with hard Brexit on the cards, | :00:50. | :00:51. | |
we'll get our heads around We want to take part in the... What | :00:52. | :01:10. | |
does that mean? It means the act we'll have is worthless. | :01:11. | :01:17. | |
Hello, welcome to Birmingham, and the Conservative Party Conference. | :01:18. | :01:21. | |
Now, if this party has anything, it is a capacity to reinvent itself | :01:22. | :01:24. | |
when the conditions demand it, and we are potentially in the midst | :01:25. | :01:27. | |
of one of its historic transmogrifications | :01:28. | :01:31. | |
Obviously, Doctor Who can do that kind of thing | :01:32. | :01:36. | |
in a matter of seconds, it takes the Conservatives rather longer. | :01:37. | :01:38. | |
So what this conference is about, is working out whether the change | :01:39. | :01:41. | |
is real, and if it is, sketching in the new look | :01:42. | :01:44. | |
of the party, with a little more definition than we've had up to now. | :01:45. | :01:49. | |
But what a journey the party has taken in the 14 years | :01:50. | :01:52. | |
since Theresa May first made a name for herself. | :01:53. | :01:58. | |
Not just any Government, a majority of | :01:59. | :02:13. | |
So, here we all are in 2016, the party trying | :02:14. | :02:23. | |
not to be overwhelmed by Brexit and to looked in control. | :02:24. | :02:26. | |
The Cameron era was itself a break from the past | :02:27. | :02:34. | |
and most people understood what he was at least | :02:35. | :02:38. | |
trying to achieve, a | :02:39. | :02:40. | |
more liberal party, in touch with modern | :02:41. | :02:42. | |
centre, wave from the party's forays elsewhere on the right. | :02:43. | :02:47. | |
Now, we're obviously at a big juncture. | :02:48. | :02:51. | |
But it's much harder to find the precise term | :02:52. | :02:53. | |
Party activists have, kind of, cottoned on to the concept. | :02:54. | :03:05. | |
Is that a new idea for the Conservative Party, | :03:06. | :03:10. | |
No, we've always been a party for everyone. | :03:11. | :03:15. | |
But how is it different from previous Tory parties? | :03:16. | :03:18. | |
Still got the same bit of pragmatism but a bit | :03:19. | :03:20. | |
I think there also a degree of populism about it, as well. | :03:21. | :03:28. | |
It's holding the centre and holding the right at the same time. | :03:29. | :03:30. | |
I don't think Cameron was against working | :03:31. | :03:34. | |
He was a fabulous Prime Minister, as well. | :03:35. | :03:38. | |
She's trying to make the Conservative Party the true | :03:39. | :03:40. | |
I wonder, out of the security zone into the country that will soon, | :03:41. | :03:54. | |
hopefully, be working for everyone, and the public are still working out | :03:55. | :04:02. | |
To be honest with you, I found that we | :04:03. | :04:07. | |
have a new Prime Minister about a day ago. | :04:08. | :04:09. | |
A country that works for everyone, | :04:10. | :04:16. | |
they are saying that a lot, have you heard that line? | :04:17. | :04:19. | |
But you could almost say it's a recycled line, I don't think she's | :04:20. | :04:23. | |
the first person to say that or something of that nature. | :04:24. | :04:26. | |
It's the dream of lots of politicians, that | :04:27. | :04:28. | |
And if you take out the Brexit issue, | :04:29. | :04:31. | |
there's quite a bit of that about Theresa May's pitch, right now. | :04:32. | :04:34. | |
However, it's impossible to believe that there is a coalition that | :04:35. | :04:36. | |
really covers 100% of public opinion. | :04:37. | :04:39. | |
At some point over this conference or over the next year, as | :04:40. | :04:42. | |
we understand what Theresa May is about, she'll have to define what | :04:43. | :04:46. | |
she's against as much as what she's for. | :04:47. | :04:54. | |
Now, apart from working out how to make a country work | :04:55. | :04:56. | |
for everybody, the party has to deal with that other issue: Brexit. | :04:57. | :04:59. | |
Perhaps the biggest news that we have had since | :05:00. | :05:02. | |
the referendum was in Theresa May's first conference speech yesterday, | :05:03. | :05:04. | |
which suggested Britain is heading for a clear | :05:05. | :05:07. | |
Put it this way, the speech knocked the pound down to new lows. | :05:08. | :05:15. | |
Ideally, the leadership don't want Brexit to be the only talking point | :05:16. | :05:18. | |
here, which is why they tried to get it out the way yesterday, | :05:19. | :05:21. | |
but let's face it, it is the main talking point. | :05:22. | :05:24. | |
Let's deal with it now, and some of the other issues | :05:25. | :05:26. | |
with our two specialist editors: political editor, Nick Watt, | :05:27. | :05:29. | |
Nick, first of all, something we know we're going to get tomorrow, a | :05:30. | :05:36. | |
rather interesting announcement. That's right. There's going to be a | :05:37. | :05:40. | |
major announcement by Theresa May and Sir Michael Fallon. They're | :05:41. | :05:45. | |
going to pledge to end what they're calling the vexatious industry of | :05:46. | :05:47. | |
claims against British soldiers. They're going to say in future | :05:48. | :05:52. | |
conflicts, the UK will seek to derogate from two articles from the | :05:53. | :05:56. | |
European Convention on Human Rights, article, two the right to life, | :05:57. | :06:01. | |
article five, the right to liberty. They will invoke article 15, which | :06:02. | :06:05. | |
says you can do this in times of emergency, or indeed in times of | :06:06. | :06:08. | |
conflict. Big announcement by them. Obviously, it will only apply in | :06:09. | :06:13. | |
future conflicts. The Iraq historical allegations team, whose | :06:14. | :06:17. | |
work is due to complete in 2019, will carry on, interestingly going | :06:18. | :06:20. | |
down very well with some of the newspapers that have campaigned on | :06:21. | :06:22. | |
this. European convention, nothing to do with the EU actually. This is | :06:23. | :06:28. | |
a different thing. OK, sticking on the non-Brexit stuff. Chris, policy | :06:29. | :06:34. | |
issues. Tomorrow we've got education, health. Yeah, health | :06:35. | :06:39. | |
first of all. Something that it's an awkward topic, the NHS is going | :06:40. | :06:42. | |
through a financial crisis. But they've found something they can | :06:43. | :06:46. | |
unite the party around. They want to reduce immigration pressures from | :06:47. | :06:50. | |
the NHS by increasing the number of doctors we train domestically in the | :06:51. | :06:55. | |
UK. At the moment we bring in about 1,000 doctors into the UK a year, we | :06:56. | :07:02. | |
train about 6,000 on our own. We go up to 7,500, so in principle we | :07:03. | :07:07. | |
could be self-sufficient. They can't talk about grammar schools very much | :07:08. | :07:09. | |
because there's an open consultation. The Government has to | :07:10. | :07:12. | |
legally wait for that to go through before they can really announce | :07:13. | :07:16. | |
anything. They're announcing these six action areas where they're going | :07:17. | :07:19. | |
to pilot new projects. These are areas of the country where education | :07:20. | :07:24. | |
isn't terribly great at the moment. They are Blackpool, Derby, Norwich, | :07:25. | :07:27. | |
Oldham, Scarborough and west Somerset. These are places that will | :07:28. | :07:31. | |
pilot new ideas so that the success we've seen in London can be emulated | :07:32. | :07:36. | |
elsewhere. Quite a bit going on. However, every time you get into a | :07:37. | :07:39. | |
conversation here, you drift away and then you come back to Brexit. | :07:40. | :07:45. | |
Let's talk about Brexit. We've had quite a lot here, yesterday and | :07:46. | :07:49. | |
today. What do you make of the announcements so far. We finally | :07:50. | :07:53. | |
have a time table for the process to begin to take us out. You mention | :07:54. | :07:56. | |
about soft or hard Brexit. They are banned. Theresa May says that's a | :07:57. | :08:02. | |
false dichotomy. I said softer not harder. You pass the test. Talking | :08:03. | :08:08. | |
to ministers, it does feel that our submarine Prime Minister in broad | :08:09. | :08:11. | |
daylight has done two things that perhaps people haven't noticed. | :08:12. | :08:16. | |
Firstly, on the style of those negotiations, she's signalling that | :08:17. | :08:19. | |
it will be really hard line. The message they want to get out to the | :08:20. | :08:23. | |
rest of the EU is that the UK would not be scared, would not be fearful | :08:24. | :08:28. | |
of leaving at the end of those negotiations without agreement. | :08:29. | :08:31. | |
You'll know a guillotine comes down after two years. What they want to | :08:32. | :08:35. | |
say is they don't want EU leaders to have the ability to prolong that if | :08:36. | :08:38. | |
we're showing fear. On style, hard line. On the substance of the | :08:39. | :08:42. | |
negotiation, Theresa May hasn't actually said a great deal more. | :08:43. | :08:45. | |
Controlled immigration, the UK will set its own laws. No more than that. | :08:46. | :08:49. | |
She's leaving the substance quite open. How united, you tell me, we've | :08:50. | :08:56. | |
all had some conversations here, how united do you think the party is? At | :08:57. | :09:02. | |
one level ministers are united. There's agreement that there's | :09:03. | :09:04. | |
clarity on the process to take us out. In broad daylight, yesterday | :09:05. | :09:09. | |
Boris Johnson said, "I don't believe leaving the EU will disadvantage us | :09:10. | :09:14. | |
in any way." Today a very stern message from Philip Hammond about | :09:15. | :09:16. | |
the challenge of those negotiations and saying he would do whatever it | :09:17. | :09:21. | |
takes to protect the UK from the turbulence of those negotiations. | :09:22. | :09:26. | |
There is real concern in the treasure that the -- treasurery that | :09:27. | :09:33. | |
the Brexiteers are not to the challenge. With minister has been | :09:34. | :09:36. | |
heard to remark that the Prime Minister has an incredible grasp of | :09:37. | :09:41. | |
the detail and is realistic. Of the three Brexiteers the senior official | :09:42. | :09:45. | |
has been heard to say, "They are away with the fairies." A true | :09:46. | :09:54. | |
European city with attractions to rival the finest found on the | :09:55. | :09:59. | |
continent. So where better for the Tory family to discuss its favourite | :10:00. | :10:04. | |
subject. On day one of the Conservative Conference on Sunday, | :10:05. | :10:08. | |
Theresa May finally set out a time table for Britain's Brexit | :10:09. | :10:16. | |
negotiations. Thank you. The time for Philip Hammond to offer a | :10:17. | :10:19. | |
sobering message about those negotiations. It is equally clear to | :10:20. | :10:24. | |
me that the British people did not vote on June 23 to become poorer or | :10:25. | :10:31. | |
less secure. So our task is clear, repat reiate our sovereignty, | :10:32. | :10:34. | |
control our borders and seize the opportunities that the wider world | :10:35. | :10:38. | |
has to offer, but do all of this while protecting our economy, our | :10:39. | :10:42. | |
jobs and our living standards. The international trade secretary, Liam | :10:43. | :10:47. | |
Fox, one of the Cabinet's three Brexiteers, was more optimistic. We | :10:48. | :10:50. | |
will continue to push the case for Britain as a great place to do | :10:51. | :10:57. | |
business. Now in case any of you haven't noticed, the sky didn't fall | :10:58. | :11:03. | |
down on 24th June. Theresa May wants to be remembered as the Prime | :11:04. | :11:05. | |
Minister who delivered on the wishes of the British people in the EU | :11:06. | :11:10. | |
referendum. But what really drove her to the top was a determination | :11:11. | :11:15. | |
to tackle what she's described as the burning injustices faced by the | :11:16. | :11:18. | |
poor and to champion the struggling classes. That is quite an ambitious | :11:19. | :11:25. | |
agenda, even without Brexit. But one former colleague of Theresa May, who | :11:26. | :11:31. | |
was passed over in the recent reshuffle, believes Governments can | :11:32. | :11:34. | |
ride two horses. This is partly what informs the way she suggested we're | :11:35. | :11:37. | |
going to do the Brexit process, which is to pass this bill that will | :11:38. | :11:42. | |
mean the moment we leave we have control over everything, but not | :11:43. | :11:44. | |
saying that you're going to change every single rule and regulation | :11:45. | :11:49. | |
over that process. I think that would be a capacity problem for | :11:50. | :11:53. | |
Government. The way she's set it out means we can make sure we deliver | :11:54. | :11:57. | |
that decision correctly. One long-standing supporter believes she | :11:58. | :12:00. | |
could even book a place in history. All things being equal, she should | :12:01. | :12:04. | |
have a pretty good run at 2020. She could be our Prime Minister for | :12:05. | :12:08. | |
close on nine years, even before the election of 2025. So I actually | :12:09. | :12:13. | |
believe that she will have a chance of successfully negotiating our | :12:14. | :12:21. | |
Brexit from the EU and at the same time, the the social reforms and | :12:22. | :12:23. | |
other factors important to her. She'll have a chance to do both. | :12:24. | :12:31. | |
Lord Ashcroftish yewed a note -- Ashcroft issued a note of caution. | :12:32. | :12:34. | |
Can Theresa May as the Prime Minister want to get involved in the | :12:35. | :12:45. | |
minutie in all she's trying to do. That will depend on her ministers of | :12:46. | :12:49. | |
state in the areas you talk about - can she trust them? Can she rely on | :12:50. | :12:55. | |
them? The three wise men, or the Brexiteers to friends, will be busy | :12:56. | :12:59. | |
over the next few years, but one of their supporters believes other | :13:00. | :13:01. | |
ministers will have plenty of time on their hands to focus on the Prime | :13:02. | :13:11. | |
Minister's domestic agenda. The EU stuff and article 50s will be the | :13:12. | :13:15. | |
lawyers. We're not going to comment on it, which I find reassuring, | :13:16. | :13:19. | |
actually we'll be able to get on with the day-to-day stuff. One | :13:20. | :13:26. | |
Remain supporter believes Brexit will drown out everything else. If | :13:27. | :13:29. | |
we push through with Brexit, it will take up most of the band width | :13:30. | :13:34. | |
probably for five years. That will limit what Government can do. There | :13:35. | :13:38. | |
are interesting ideas on grammar schools and housing and so on. The | :13:39. | :13:41. | |
Government will carry on being a Government, it will talk about other | :13:42. | :13:45. | |
things. But Brexit will touch so many areas of life and Government | :13:46. | :13:49. | |
activity, that it is going to dominate the agenda. Theresa May | :13:50. | :13:53. | |
says she can and indeed must deliver her two goals. In her mind they are | :13:54. | :13:58. | |
linked because the voters who took Britain out of the EU were crying | :13:59. | :14:00. | |
out for change. Well, one rare point of continuity | :14:01. | :14:05. | |
between David Cameron and Theresa May is that they both | :14:06. | :14:07. | |
wanted this man in the Treasury. David Gauke, now Chief Secretary | :14:08. | :14:11. | |
to the Treasury, joins me now. Welcome to the programme. A lot of | :14:12. | :14:19. | |
people interpreted Theresa May's speech yesterday as forget the | :14:20. | :14:22. | |
single market, we are not going to be in it. We will have access to it, | :14:23. | :14:26. | |
but we won't be in it. Is that your interpretation? What she was saying | :14:27. | :14:30. | |
is that one lesson we have to learn from the referendum result in June | :14:31. | :14:35. | |
is that first of all, very obviously, we have to leave the | :14:36. | :14:39. | |
European Union, but secondly, that a lot of the votes for Leave were | :14:40. | :14:43. | |
driven by concern about immigration and that we have to respond to that. | :14:44. | :14:47. | |
In particular, the sense that we don't set our own rules when it | :14:48. | :14:52. | |
comes to migration. I think that was very clearly a lesson that she has | :14:53. | :14:57. | |
taken from the referendum result. I think, she's very clear that we need | :14:58. | :15:02. | |
to ensure that the economy is strong, that we have access to be | :15:03. | :15:05. | |
able to trade goods and services with the European Union. What that | :15:06. | :15:10. | |
particular model would be, I think, is something for the negotiations. | :15:11. | :15:14. | |
We probably need to get away from the very simple, you know, is it a | :15:15. | :15:17. | |
Norway model, Canada model or anything of that sort. I don't want | :15:18. | :15:22. | |
to be simplistic about it, but basically, full membership of the | :15:23. | :15:26. | |
single market, we've said goodbye to that some time ago yeah. That is not | :15:27. | :15:30. | |
going to happen. And not even on a Norwegian scale. We're going to be | :15:31. | :15:34. | |
much more selective in our relationship than that? | :15:35. | :15:40. | |
Well, I think we will go into the negotiations with those two, if you | :15:41. | :15:47. | |
like, overarching objectives. Now, trying to get the best possible deal | :15:48. | :15:51. | |
that we will get. I didn't think it makes sense too, kind of, take a | :15:52. | :15:55. | |
position whereby you say this one is really important, this one, we will | :15:56. | :15:59. | |
do what we can but it is secondary. You are immediately weakening your | :16:00. | :16:02. | |
negotiating power. That is not how you go into negotiation, you go in | :16:03. | :16:09. | |
seeking the best on both runs and seek to achieve it. Why do you think | :16:10. | :16:12. | |
the pound fell when Theresa May spoke yesterday? You mentioned I | :16:13. | :16:16. | |
have been a Treasury minister for a while and one good rule for a | :16:17. | :16:19. | |
Treasury minister is not to talk or speculate about sterling. I probably | :16:20. | :16:23. | |
shouldn't get into that. Look, the markets are, move around, from one | :16:24. | :16:31. | |
issue or another. You know, obviously... Policy in this area is | :16:32. | :16:34. | |
going to affect sterling, there are many other factors as well. It is | :16:35. | :16:38. | |
probably best as a Treasury minister not to get drawn into it. Hinting, | :16:39. | :16:43. | |
though you may be trying. It was interesting that the Chancellor, | :16:44. | :16:46. | |
Philip Hammond on the radio this morning did suggest that the central | :16:47. | :16:50. | |
estimate of Brexit, this is the Treasury estimate, is that we will | :16:51. | :16:54. | |
be permanently 4% poorer. Not tomorrow but over the years, we will | :16:55. | :16:58. | |
be 4% behind where we would otherwise be, that is the long run | :16:59. | :17:02. | |
picture. Is that the official government view? When it comes to | :17:03. | :17:08. | |
economic forecasts, obviously, the Treasury made an assessment earlier | :17:09. | :17:12. | |
this year as to it. An assessment based on a number of factors. It | :17:13. | :17:17. | |
partly depends on the nature of the relationship we have with the | :17:18. | :17:22. | |
European Union and it depends on various factors. The short-term | :17:23. | :17:31. | |
estimate they made white ... Was that the one from the George Osborne | :17:32. | :17:36. | |
Treasury dossier on costs of Brexit? Is that the figure he was talking | :17:37. | :17:41. | |
about? I didn't hear his interview, I do not know the context in which | :17:42. | :17:46. | |
Philip Hammond said that. But before percent is what he is quoting from | :17:47. | :17:50. | |
the dossier? It depends on which model we go down. -- but the 4%. | :17:51. | :17:56. | |
There was analysis from the Treasury earlier this year that suggested | :17:57. | :17:59. | |
there are some long-term impacts. For those of us in government, our | :18:00. | :18:04. | |
job is to get on with implementing what the British people have | :18:05. | :18:11. | |
decided. To make a success of it. If you like, has the Treasury worked at | :18:12. | :18:15. | |
the differences between those models? I recollect, back in April, | :18:16. | :18:19. | |
the Treasury view was if you are in the single market, expected to be 4% | :18:20. | :18:25. | |
poorer. EA option, we won't go into the details. If you go for a lesser | :18:26. | :18:29. | |
Brexit, hard of Brexit, the costs go up to 6% or 8% of national income. | :18:30. | :18:36. | |
We should be chewing over those figures, shouldn't we? If you like, | :18:37. | :18:40. | |
these are the prices on the menu that is being chosen by our | :18:41. | :18:43. | |
government, selected by our government, the option from the | :18:44. | :18:48. | |
menu. The point I I would make, the Treasury did the analysis earlier | :18:49. | :18:51. | |
this year. Hasn't gone back and redone the analysis. Staggered by | :18:52. | :18:56. | |
the analysis. Philip Hammond was quoting it this morning. I suppose I | :18:57. | :19:01. | |
was surprised the analysis done in the heat of the referendum was now | :19:02. | :19:05. | |
being quoted by the Chancellor as the government view of the effect of | :19:06. | :19:10. | |
Brexit. As I say, didn't hear exactly what Philip said. But there | :19:11. | :19:15. | |
are some challenges that we face, as a consequence of Brexit. But I come | :19:16. | :19:19. | |
back to this point about, you know, we are now in this position of | :19:20. | :19:25. | |
negotiating a new relationship. This is an unprecedented situation. We | :19:26. | :19:28. | |
need to find the best possible deal we can get. These are... Just brave | :19:29. | :19:35. | |
faced words. Can you think of any other action the government has | :19:36. | :19:39. | |
taken that would make us permanently 4% poorer? Other than going to a | :19:40. | :19:43. | |
world war? We had a referendum and we have to respect the result, the | :19:44. | :19:47. | |
British people have decided we have left the European union -- we have | :19:48. | :19:50. | |
left. If we are going to make a success of it, which is what the | :19:51. | :19:54. | |
government is determined to do. Then we need to get the best possible | :19:55. | :19:58. | |
deal. That means... I come back to this point. You come back but we | :19:59. | :20:06. | |
need the information as to what the costs are believing the single | :20:07. | :20:08. | |
market or going to the WTO rules. There is no point having this | :20:09. | :20:10. | |
discussion and everybody clapping Theresa May saying we will make a | :20:11. | :20:14. | |
success of it if you are busy doing work that makes us 2% poorer for | :20:15. | :20:18. | |
eternity. This is big stuff, isn't it? The point is that a decision has | :20:19. | :20:23. | |
been made and we need to implement. On the perspective of all of the | :20:24. | :20:26. | |
government, we want to do this in a way that is as economically | :20:27. | :20:30. | |
successful for the country. That means, if you like, trying to | :20:31. | :20:34. | |
ameliorate some of the downsides. Looking at some of the ways we can | :20:35. | :20:38. | |
access European markets for goods and. Yeah. It also means that we | :20:39. | :20:43. | |
look at the potential opportunities for Brexit in terms of potential | :20:44. | :20:48. | |
trade deals with other countries. And being a beacon for free trade, | :20:49. | :20:54. | |
if you like. To see what is the best way in which we can address the new | :20:55. | :20:57. | |
situation. That is what we are determined to do. But the starting | :20:58. | :21:02. | |
point has to be the British people voting to leave and we have to | :21:03. | :21:07. | |
leave. Theresa May has set out, not red lines, everything is negotiable, | :21:08. | :21:12. | |
she mentioned immigration, taking back control of the European Court | :21:13. | :21:15. | |
of Justice. We can't be bossed around by a foreign court. She | :21:16. | :21:19. | |
didn't mention in the speech yesterday, we will not be paying a | :21:20. | :21:23. | |
penny to the European Union, if you like, in a subscription fee. Yeah. | :21:24. | :21:30. | |
Can I take it that we may come as a possible result for this | :21:31. | :21:33. | |
negotiation, on the table, is some negotiation that we may pay them a | :21:34. | :21:38. | |
fee? For example, better access to the market. So, we will give some | :21:39. | :21:42. | |
things, take some things, give some money and get things in return? | :21:43. | :21:46. | |
Again, I come back to a point I made earlier. You go into a negotiation, | :21:47. | :21:51. | |
you don't come up with a list of things that you say, here are the | :21:52. | :21:58. | |
things we are going to concede... She came up with the list, it was in | :21:59. | :22:01. | |
the speech! Trying to over analyse and saying, if something is included | :22:02. | :22:04. | |
in the speech than we are really serious about it but if there is a | :22:05. | :22:07. | |
speech that doesn't make reference to something else that we are ready | :22:08. | :22:11. | |
to concede on it. I mean, I could stop you doing that, but that | :22:12. | :22:14. | |
doesn't seem to be a sensible way for me to think of negotiating. To | :22:15. | :22:18. | |
summarise our Brexit conversation so far, we know diddly squat about | :22:19. | :22:23. | |
what's going to happen. But, that's not necessarily a bad thing, because | :22:24. | :22:29. | |
obviously we want to keep everything open. There is a lot to play for and | :22:30. | :22:32. | |
we will not rush it. What is the best way to get the best deal? Not | :22:33. | :22:35. | |
to lay it all out, hold back information, frustrating though it | :22:36. | :22:39. | |
may be for journalists. But imagine a Mac I understand that. It is | :22:40. | :22:43. | |
important for the country, given the prices for various options. There | :22:44. | :22:47. | |
will no doubt be a very full debate when we reached the end of this | :22:48. | :22:51. | |
conclusion. Let's go onto, very briefly, this domestic agenda. | :22:52. | :22:55. | |
Theresa May seems to be quite ambitious for change in the country, | :22:56. | :22:59. | |
she wants to become if you like, a more industrial policy for example. | :23:00. | :23:03. | |
Helping people who perhaps don't have so much money in their pocket. | :23:04. | :23:07. | |
Should we take it that that agenda is going to cost a little extra | :23:08. | :23:12. | |
money. So, over time, we might have to raise taxes, somehow? Or is it | :23:13. | :23:16. | |
possible you can deliver that agenda without spending a penny more than | :23:17. | :23:18. | |
anyone had talked about spending? Your question, I suspect, relates to | :23:19. | :23:28. | |
the statement that Philip said, today, that other people said in the | :23:29. | :23:33. | |
past, we are not aiming for the 2020 surplus. There are a couple of | :23:34. | :23:37. | |
elements to that. Firstly, if the economy does slow over the course of | :23:38. | :23:43. | |
the next few years, following Brexit referendum, tax receipts would be | :23:44. | :23:46. | |
lower than the other would be. Then we need to borrow more. I wasn't | :23:47. | :23:49. | |
asking about that at all. I was asking about... Do you think Theresa | :23:50. | :23:54. | |
May can deliver this ambitious social agenda she has been talking | :23:55. | :23:58. | |
about? Can that be delivered in the medium to long-term without raising | :23:59. | :24:02. | |
a bit of extra money? Has she got in her head and agenda costs nothing? I | :24:03. | :24:07. | |
was going to turn to the second element of this. OK. It was very | :24:08. | :24:12. | |
clear from the Chancellor's speech today that we are looking at, for | :24:13. | :24:17. | |
example, ways in which we spend money on economic infrastructure. | :24:18. | :24:24. | |
That has a very good rate of return. Robust contribution towards the | :24:25. | :24:27. | |
economy. Looking at ways in which perhaps we could do more of that, | :24:28. | :24:31. | |
given that, actually, we are able to borrow very cheaply at the moment. | :24:32. | :24:38. | |
But there is a particular driver for improving productivity. Now, those | :24:39. | :24:42. | |
are, if you like other measures that fit, perhaps, with what you are | :24:43. | :24:46. | |
talking about. That sort of Theresa May agenda. There might be scope for | :24:47. | :24:52. | |
us to do more in those areas, about driving up productivity, making sure | :24:53. | :24:55. | |
that the economy is strong in every part of the country. You know, | :24:56. | :24:59. | |
making a country that works for everyone. You know, all of that is | :25:00. | :25:03. | |
part of our thinking. That in the short term, maybe we need a bit more | :25:04. | :25:07. | |
flexibility. Nice to talk to you, thank you. | :25:08. | :25:08. | |
Well, we just tried to shed a little light on what the Government's | :25:09. | :25:11. | |
position is on some crucial aspects of the Brexit negotiations. | :25:12. | :25:14. | |
We'll leave it to you to decide how successfully. | :25:15. | :25:16. | |
But, the truth is that there is a heady mixture of conflict, | :25:17. | :25:19. | |
confusion and contradiction around this Conference about | :25:20. | :25:21. | |
We sent Lewis Goodall to quiz the great and the good | :25:22. | :25:25. | |
MUSIC: Word Up! by Cameo. | :25:26. | :25:32. | |
Brexit is the word of the year, the subject of virtually every | :25:33. | :25:35. | |
meeting, argument and drink-fuelled piece of idle gossip at conference. | :25:36. | :25:41. | |
But what about all the other Brexit terms we barely gave | :25:42. | :25:43. | |
a moment's thought to, before the referendum result? | :25:44. | :25:45. | |
The Prime Minister is terribly fond of reminding us that | :25:46. | :25:51. | |
Brexit means Brexit, but within that, what do | :25:52. | :25:55. | |
Do you know your common market from the common agricultural policy, | :25:56. | :25:59. | |
Well, we thought we would help you out by commissioning our very | :26:00. | :26:03. | |
And ask Conservative Party members, ministers and MPs | :26:04. | :26:06. | |
MUSIC: Word Up! By Cameo. | :26:07. | :26:09. | |
Do you think we should stay in the single market? | :26:10. | :26:12. | |
Why not? It's disastrous. | :26:13. | :26:14. | |
We should do much better by ourselves. | :26:15. | :26:20. | |
It's very important to trade, but we are negotiating right now, | :26:21. | :26:23. | |
so it's kind of important to not talk about what we want | :26:24. | :26:26. | |
Sajid Javid, hello, I just want your thoughts are on staying | :26:27. | :26:33. | |
in the single market, do you think we ought to? | :26:34. | :26:35. | |
No, no, it's great to have you here, you're one | :26:36. | :26:39. | |
MUSIC: Word Up! By Cameo. | :26:40. | :26:42. | |
Sorry, have you got ten seconds for Newsnight? | :26:43. | :26:44. | |
No, no, no. I'm busy, thank you. | :26:45. | :26:46. | |
We're just wondering, we're trying to tell the public | :26:47. | :26:49. | |
what the single market is and the custom unions, | :26:50. | :26:52. | |
What's the difference is between the single market | :26:53. | :26:57. | |
I could, yes, very easily, but it would take about 15 minutes. | :26:58. | :27:02. | |
15 minutes?! Surely not! | :27:03. | :27:03. | |
Do you know what the customs union is? | :27:04. | :27:05. | |
I do know what these things are, it's my job to know what these | :27:06. | :27:08. | |
things are, but I don't think, you know, they are not terminology | :27:09. | :27:11. | |
Could you explain to us what the customs union is? | :27:12. | :27:17. | |
I could explain what the customs union is, what the single market is, | :27:18. | :27:20. | |
I could explain to you what people think hard Brexit is, soft Brexit. | :27:21. | :27:23. | |
But I think these terms are not the terms... | :27:24. | :27:25. | |
For the benefit of us, could you explain? | :27:26. | :27:27. | |
Well, you know what they are, which is why... | :27:28. | :27:33. | |
The customs union is a free-trade area between the member states | :27:34. | :27:36. | |
MUSIC: Word Up! By Cameo. | :27:37. | :27:55. | |
Yes, I do. Can you explain? | :27:56. | :27:58. | |
I'm not going to do one of your pub quiz operations, | :27:59. | :28:01. | |
Equivalence? Yeah. | :28:02. | :28:05. | |
Well, as a word, it means it should be the equivalent of something. | :28:06. | :28:08. | |
I think it's got a specific European Union context. | :28:09. | :28:12. | |
Well, there's a lot of European stuff that nobody knows | :28:13. | :28:15. | |
Well, it's having reglatory standards that are more or less | :28:16. | :28:21. | |
But it's not the same as being governed strictly | :28:22. | :28:24. | |
or uniformly, absolutely by the EU rules. | :28:25. | :28:27. | |
At the end of a long day's search, the dictionary remains, | :28:28. | :28:41. | |
For all our sakes's we better hope the politicians | :28:42. | :28:48. | |
For a limited time only, it will be tariff free. | :28:49. | :28:53. | |
So, what kind of Conservative Party is being presented here and is it | :28:54. | :28:57. | |
one that will prove more or, at least, as popular | :28:58. | :28:59. | |
than the Cameron-Osborne vintage that won an election just last year? | :29:00. | :29:03. | |
With me here are three people who've seen more Conferences | :29:04. | :29:08. | |
than they might care to admit: Danny Finkelstein, Conservative peer | :29:09. | :29:14. | |
and columnist for the Times, Andrew Rawnsley, from the Observer, | :29:15. | :29:16. | |
and Jenni Russell, also from the Times. | :29:17. | :29:21. | |
And Heidi Allen, Conservative MP. Last year, you were complaining | :29:22. | :29:26. | |
about posh boys in charge of this place, weren't you? You must be | :29:27. | :29:31. | |
delighted, you must think Theresa May is... She has made me cry once | :29:32. | :29:37. | |
already. When? Her first speech on the steps of number ten, I thought, | :29:38. | :29:40. | |
somebody seems to be speaking for the little man. That made me | :29:41. | :29:45. | |
excited. Is this a new party or is this the words have changed? It is | :29:46. | :29:53. | |
like any new branding, we have a new chief exec in charge, the words are | :29:54. | :29:56. | |
great. I am optimistic and hopeful. I have seen a few early signs, the | :29:57. | :29:58. | |
changes to E S A, long-term claimants will no longer get tested | :29:59. | :30:02. | |
again. A great start but I want to see more of that. | :30:03. | :30:05. | |
Do you think this is a sharp contrast? There are changes. We | :30:06. | :30:11. | |
concentrate on the changes and can miss the big picture. The Government | :30:12. | :30:14. | |
is in the same situation, maybe even a bit more of a difficult situation | :30:15. | :30:20. | |
to the one that we were in before, after the general election and after | :30:21. | :30:24. | |
the Brexit referendum. It's still a Government with a small majority. | :30:25. | :30:26. | |
It's still a Government that doesn't have any money. Now on top of that, | :30:27. | :30:30. | |
they have to achieve Brexit. One of the things that we do, we lock at | :30:31. | :30:34. | |
the differences by looking at the disposition of the party. The other | :30:35. | :30:38. | |
thing to look at is the situation. The situation has very many | :30:39. | :30:41. | |
similarities. Along with inheriting David Cameron's office, Theresa | :30:42. | :30:45. | |
May's inherited David Cameron's problems as well. Yes, of course, | :30:46. | :30:49. | |
she has a different approach. I've always thought of her of being in | :30:50. | :30:53. | |
the modernising tradition. She would say she was an early moderniser. I | :30:54. | :30:58. | |
regarded her at the beginning of the process of modernisation as an ally. | :30:59. | :31:01. | |
She has a different focus. When David Cameron took over it was about | :31:02. | :31:04. | |
shifting the aimth of the Conservative Party to a | :31:05. | :31:08. | |
forward-facing. She's looking at a different thing, which is can the | :31:09. | :31:11. | |
Conservative Party appeal more broadly. It's a different emphasis. | :31:12. | :31:15. | |
I think by concentrating only on the differences you miss quite a lot. It | :31:16. | :31:22. | |
feels like, I mean a lot of people have said this, she is where Ed | :31:23. | :31:26. | |
Miliband was, or the chatter is around Ed Miliband before the last | :31:27. | :31:30. | |
election. Yes, one of her favourite things is, she did that in the first | :31:31. | :31:33. | |
speech which Heidi mentioned outside Number Ten and she's done it in | :31:34. | :31:42. | |
every major, important speech on her domestic ambitions, talking about | :31:43. | :31:45. | |
managing and people echo Ed Miliband's squeezed middle or | :31:46. | :31:48. | |
perhaps the less well remembered, Nick Clegg's alarm clock Britain. I | :31:49. | :31:53. | |
think she is probably onto something, which is actually | :31:54. | :31:56. | |
historically served the Conservatives well when they've got | :31:57. | :32:00. | |
it right electorally, which is people who are in work, but on | :32:01. | :32:05. | |
relatively low wages and the Conservatives often recruit when | :32:06. | :32:08. | |
they've been successful that part of population. Or some of them into | :32:09. | :32:12. | |
their coalition. Of course, the test and this is the really crucial thing | :32:13. | :32:17. | |
for those people and everybody else looking at her, is do you translate | :32:18. | :32:20. | |
the nice words about them into any sort of policy. So far Brexit apart, | :32:21. | :32:26. | |
in terms of solid policy, we've had grammar schools, which many people, | :32:27. | :32:30. | |
including many Tories, think is a rather bizarre diversion. Actually | :32:31. | :32:33. | |
if she was serious and you translated the things she said about | :32:34. | :32:37. | |
what she wants to do for that part of society into policy, it would | :32:38. | :32:42. | |
actually give the ingredients for quiet a radically different Toryism | :32:43. | :32:45. | |
which would mean taking on vested interests in the Conservative Party | :32:46. | :32:49. | |
itself. For me the most interesting thing she's done is appoint Matthew | :32:50. | :32:53. | |
Taylor, who ran the policy unit under Tony Blair to investigate the | :32:54. | :32:58. | |
workings of the labour market, the gig economy, the zero hours. Maybe | :32:59. | :33:03. | |
there is a sort of thing, the centre left and the kind of the right | :33:04. | :33:07. | |
getting together to preserve the status quo and fending off Corbyn | :33:08. | :33:12. | |
and the more extreme left, is that a way of looking at it? That's an | :33:13. | :33:17. | |
important target for her to hit. As the economy's changed, more and more | :33:18. | :33:21. | |
of us are in the insecure economy. That probably drove Brexit. A great | :33:22. | :33:25. | |
many people at the bottom thinking their lives had no structure. The | :33:26. | :33:29. | |
question is, will she do anything that's actually coherent about that? | :33:30. | :33:33. | |
I was interviewing Iain Duncan Smith this afternoon. He was saying that | :33:34. | :33:39. | |
the single most, biggest mistake that Cameron and Osborne made about | :33:40. | :33:42. | |
the poor was not raising the level at which you can earn under | :33:43. | :33:45. | |
universal credit before you start having benefits taken away. Forget | :33:46. | :33:50. | |
the talk about social justice and so on, the single thing that Theresa | :33:51. | :33:54. | |
May should be doing is putting an enormous amount of money is to | :33:55. | :33:59. | |
ensure when universal credit comes in poorer people keep more incomes. | :34:00. | :34:04. | |
That would put a few billions... You're all nodding. The money has to | :34:05. | :34:10. | |
come from somewhere. I'm not sure that's going to be possible. | :34:11. | :34:14. | |
However, first I thought this thing of governing the country for those | :34:15. | :34:18. | |
who are just about managing was for David Moyes. I realised over time | :34:19. | :34:22. | |
she is aiming at a different audience. It does mean, it is a | :34:23. | :34:27. | |
change of emphasis. It will mean more emphasis on Government and what | :34:28. | :34:33. | |
Government can do. The Conservative policy's emphasis has shifted from | :34:34. | :34:39. | |
how to cut Government, cut taxes, to thinking, look Government spends 40% | :34:40. | :34:41. | |
of our national income what can it do. That will be her emphasis. It | :34:42. | :34:48. | |
will challenge vested interests. The fantastic tension here is that if | :34:49. | :34:51. | |
everybody thinks if we're going to leave the European Union we will be | :34:52. | :34:55. | |
substantially poorer. And the people most likely to be hit are at the | :34:56. | :35:02. | |
bottom. That's her problem. Heidi, go on. It's 350 million per week for | :35:03. | :35:08. | |
the NHS remember. That cash is there. You've brought us onto the | :35:09. | :35:12. | |
subject of whether the party is united under Theresa May. Because | :35:13. | :35:17. | |
everybody thinks she's great. Everybody I've spoken to. On Brexit, | :35:18. | :35:20. | |
there is a division waiting to erupt. People say it's obviously | :35:21. | :35:24. | |
bonkers. We're about to do something really stupid. No, I don't know, I | :35:25. | :35:29. | |
think... You think that. It's too early to know whether it's complete | :35:30. | :35:34. | |
peace and harmony, mostly because we haven't been back in Parliament for | :35:35. | :35:38. | |
long before we've broken for recess again. She's being shrewd by talking | :35:39. | :35:43. | |
about a time scale where article 50 will be triggered. There's something | :35:44. | :35:46. | |
to give there. Most of the egos have been put to one side for now. I'm | :35:47. | :35:50. | |
sure they'll come back again. Now it's calmer. The key about Brexit, | :35:51. | :35:55. | |
nothing has yet happened. The European Union, the 27 of them who | :35:56. | :35:59. | |
will remain in the European Union when we leave have not had their | :36:00. | :36:04. | |
meeting where unanimously they have to agree what their negotiating | :36:05. | :36:08. | |
position is. We have not revealed what ours is. You haven't accepted | :36:09. | :36:13. | |
the result of the referendum. The key factor is that lots of people on | :36:14. | :36:17. | |
the remain side of the argument, like me, believe that the | :36:18. | :36:19. | |
Conservative Party asked people for their opinion and have to respect | :36:20. | :36:22. | |
that result. That is a very important part of the unity. I don't | :36:23. | :36:26. | |
agree with your interpretation. I think one of the things, by the way, | :36:27. | :36:30. | |
that will serve the Conservative Party from having a row is even if | :36:31. | :36:33. | |
some people think we should be members of the single market, we | :36:34. | :36:37. | |
won't be offered membership, so it won't come to that. This is not a | :36:38. | :36:41. | |
negotiation in which we get to decide everything. I think - Do you | :36:42. | :36:46. | |
think the Tory party's realised that? I'm not sure they have. I | :36:47. | :36:50. | |
think most people in the Conservative Party have accepted the | :36:51. | :36:54. | |
result of the referendum. Do you agree that most have accepted the | :36:55. | :36:58. | |
result of the referendum? I think within the Parliamentary party, yes. | :36:59. | :37:03. | |
I think the people, the 42% or 48% of the country probably haven't. In | :37:04. | :37:07. | |
constituencies like mine, they are still fighting very, very hard not | :37:08. | :37:12. | |
to accept it. But just going back to whether we have access to the single | :37:13. | :37:18. | |
market, I think Theresa May has it in her to get a deal that works for | :37:19. | :37:22. | |
us, a brand new deal for the UK and yes, there is negotiation that will | :37:23. | :37:25. | |
be required on both sides. She's getting out there and bidding | :37:26. | :37:28. | |
relationships. I don't want to get any more EU, go on then. You're all | :37:29. | :37:34. | |
personed on these seats. It's hard to balance. There's all this | :37:35. | :37:39. | |
revivalist enthusiasm on the platforms, when you talk to people | :37:40. | :37:42. | |
in public. The people who are worried about the consequences of | :37:43. | :37:45. | |
Brexit and the way in which it's going to make the divisions clearer | :37:46. | :37:50. | |
in a year etime are the people who are remainers, looking at the | :37:51. | :37:54. | |
economics, talking in huddled corners like Soviet Dissidents. They | :37:55. | :38:01. | |
don't dare say what they feel. Last question, does the left-right, does | :38:02. | :38:05. | |
that spectrum, every now and then people say left-right it doesn't | :38:06. | :38:09. | |
work any more. Does it not work any more? You look at Theresa May, quite | :38:10. | :38:16. | |
hard pro-gay marriage, more conservative on issues of security | :38:17. | :38:21. | |
and personal liberty. I think she will end up having something of a | :38:22. | :38:25. | |
left-right argument in the party in which she will be on the left. I | :38:26. | :38:29. | |
think this is a misinterpretation of her caused by one policy of grammar | :38:30. | :38:33. | |
schools. If you look across the piece of the emphasis she's making, | :38:34. | :38:37. | |
it's taking David Cameron's move away from Thatcherism on. One of the | :38:38. | :38:39. | |
real questions is how the Conservative Party, we haven't | :38:40. | :38:42. | |
talked about this at all, how it reacts to what's happened to the | :38:43. | :38:44. | |
Labour Party. There's two ways to look at that. One is let's have in | :38:45. | :38:51. | |
the centre ground and have that since Labour wants to go somewhere | :38:52. | :38:54. | |
else apparently. Another view, which will be prevalent among people who | :38:55. | :38:59. | |
regard themselves as more radical right, they say this is a golden | :39:00. | :39:04. | |
opportunity... To move to the right. And I think that argument is | :39:05. | :39:07. | |
unresolved. We need to leave it there. Thank you all very much. | :39:08. | :39:09. | |
We leave you with Karen Bradley, the new Culture Secretary who made | :39:10. | :39:14. | |
a passionate defence of her credentials for the job, | :39:15. | :39:16. | |
despite having been a chartered accountant in a previous life. | :39:17. | :39:18. | |
It somehow reminded us of something else, something | :39:19. | :39:21. | |
Being one means I must have no interest in the arts. | :39:22. | :39:45. | |
Accountants are, shock horror, people, to! | :39:46. | :39:53. | |
It says you are an extremely dull person. | :39:54. | :39:56. | |
Do you have any idea of what you want to be? | :39:57. | :40:01. | |
Yes, but what qualifications do you have? | :40:02. | :40:07. | |
I'm a regular at the new Vic Theatre. | :40:08. | :40:09. | |
And I have paintings by moorlands artists. | :40:10. | :40:14. | |
And it lights up and says "Lion tamer" in big red neon letters. | :40:15. | :40:17. | |
It's sad isn't it that this is what accountancy does to people. | :40:18. | :40:24. | |
The only way we can fight this terrible, debilitating | :40:25. | :40:27. | |
I only want to see my name in lights. | :40:28. | :40:36. | |
Hi there. It's a settled prospect across the UK for the next several | :40:37. | :40:43. | |
days really with high pressure and winds from the east keeping | :40:44. | :40:47. | |
rain-bearing weather fronts to the west. There will be subtle | :40:48. | :40:49. | |
variations. | :40:50. | :40:50. |