28/02/2016 Sunday Politics Scotland


28/02/2016

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Morning, folks. Welcome to the Sunday Politics.

:00:35.:00:38.

The Prime Minister rams home his claim that leaving

:00:39.:00:40.

the European Union puts jobs, security, even

:00:41.:00:42.

Many Tories don't like his arguments - or his tone.

:00:43.:00:47.

David Cameron's mentor and former Tory leader Michael Howard will be

:00:48.:00:51.

here to tell us why he thinks it's safe for Britain to leave,

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and Labour big beast Alan Johnson will make the case for staying in.

:00:56.:01:00.

Labour's not exactly united when it comes to renewing Trident.

:01:01.:01:04.

That didn't stop Jeremy Corbyn telling protestors yesterday

:01:05.:01:07.

that he believes in a nuclear-free Britain.

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Following the death of young Conservative activist

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Elliott Johnson amid allegations of bullying within the party,

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we've spoken to one of those close to the centre of the story

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Who are these people who aren't the lead or threatened? Nobody has come

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forward and there is evidence I didn't do those things.

:01:36.:01:36.

Coming up on Sunday Politics Scotland:

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rally in London yesterday, the GMB challenges Labour to say

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where the replacement jobs of its members will come from.

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All that to come - and with me for the duration,

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three journalists who show as much consensus on the big political

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For balance I should say they fall out as often as Jeremy Corbyn's

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It's Nick Watt, Isabel Oakshott and Janan Ganesh.

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And speaking of cabinet unity, there's a distinct lack

:02:11.:02:12.

of it in this morning's papers

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of campaigning since David Cameron announced that a referendum

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on Britain's EU membership will take place on the 23rd of June.

:02:18.:02:20.

The Fleet Street hounds have caught the scent of a good old-fashioned

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Conservative feud over Europe, and with the party and the cabinet

:02:24.:02:25.

divided over whether Britain should stay or go, they're not

:02:26.:02:28.

The Sunday Times says David Cameron has been warned

:02:29.:02:31.

that he'll face a leadership challenge if he doesn't call a halt

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to so-called 'blue on blue' attacks on fellow Conservatives.

:02:35.:02:36.

The Sunday Telegraph reports on the 'battle of wills'

:02:37.:02:38.

between the two sides with pieces by David Cameron

:02:39.:02:43.

and Iain Duncan Smith, who says 'they can sack me

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The Observer leads with Number 10's main message,

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which is to say that a British exit would spark decades

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And the Mail on Sunday says the Tory feud turned really

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nasty after Foreign Secretary Philip Hammond had what it called

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So it seems fair to say that relations between David Cameron

:03:09.:03:12.

and eurosceptics in his party aren't exactly cordial.

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The welfare secretary Iain Duncan Smith, he's one

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of the cabinet ministers arguing to leave, was asked about it

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You don't think the Prime Minister is much of a patriot, do you? This

:03:19.:03:31.

is not about personalities. They in campaign's whole strategy seems to

:03:32.:03:37.

be about, it is terrible, it is about saying that we are too small,

:03:38.:03:41.

too inconsequential and we cannot do what we want. I don't know why

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anybody would want to run a country like this. This country is the

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greatest honour. I think probably the first time a cabinet minister

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has been asked if the Prime Minister is a patriot and he does not reply

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yes. Is Mr Cameron getting the tone and the content of this right? I

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think he made a big mistake earlier this week when he lashed out at

:04:04.:04:07.

Boris Johnson in the Commons. I think there was a degree of over

:04:08.:04:11.

interpreting those comments, and I understand that there was a fuss

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about whether or not he had slighted Boris Johnson's personal life with a

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reference to knowing couples that had divorced. Mr Cameron thought he

:04:21.:04:24.

had Boris in the bag. He was certainly bruised by that. The

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comment on marriage went over Doris's aired, so there was a bit of

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over interpreting by people on all sides. -- over progress's aired. But

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if Cameron is being called to stop these attacks, he is the one who

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started them. Europe is just another word for division in the Tory Party

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but it almost seems like the manner and the tone of what the prime

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ministers saying, he is almost going out of his way to upset those

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opposed to him. I disagree. I think the grievances in the papers today

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are spurious. It has not been a blue on blue campaign so far, not a huge

:05:06.:05:09.

amount of animosity and poison so far although it is early days. Do

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they expect him not to play the economic risk card? Do they expect

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him to go through the next four mums using the single most devastating

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line of attack he has against the other side, which is the unknown

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economic has heard of taking a punt on Brexit? But that argument would

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be true even if he had brought back the store from Brussels or brought

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back nothing from Brussels. The economic argument is that this could

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be a profound shock to the world economy. That is either true or not

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true, regardless of the settlement. But that is not the given reason for

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their frustration with him. At the moment they are focusing on the tone

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and negativity. And you don't feel like they have the right to be

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aggrieved? No. It would be bizarre Prime Minister to lead a campaign in

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favour of staying in without deploying his most effective weapon.

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And what Mr Osborne is doing with this argument is have one very

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simple, crude argument in the general election, that Labour was

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not credible, and in this campaign that it is a leap in the dark. He

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needs to be careful. The idea that the world economy is going to tank

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because Britain leaves the European Union, that Britain leaving the

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union is up there with the Chinese fall in growth, it is absurd. What

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did George Osborne do? Equalled the G20 finance ministers to write that

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into their conclusions. Yes, it will be a challenge for the British

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economy if we leave the European Union, but the idea that it is up

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there as a global risk that will lead to some great world economic

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depression, I think he needs to be careful. He has to ensure that what

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he does has credibility and I am not sure that passes the test. What

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annoys a lot of the Tories is that they are using arguments about

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staying in which I've always been true, regardless of whether or not

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the settlement makes any difference. To say that if we came out, there

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would be a profound economic shock, that is true regardless of the

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settlement. I think that is what annoys the Eurosceptics. They are

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using arguments that were true six months ago. And many of the

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arguments are very thin. David Cameron has written for the

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Telegraph today saying that he can describe exactly what people will be

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voting for if they vote to stay in. It is the status quo, it is not very

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difficult to describe that. It is very frustrating for Eurosceptics

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that there is this constant spurious claim by the In campaign that they

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cannot describe what Out looks like. They describe what it looks like

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everyday. The problem is that it is under article 50 of the Lisbon

:07:46.:07:49.

Treaty that exit people cannot guarantee the deal. They can say it

:07:50.:07:52.

might be this or that but they cannot guarantee it because we are

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out of the European Council the moment we press the button. You

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wonder whether either side can guarantee what the country will be

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like whether we stay in or come out. We have a pretty good idea of who

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will be fighting on which site. Both the Leave and the Remain camps

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have their own big figures, and they wasted little time

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in putting aside old loyalties Let's have a look at some of the big

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moments of the week. I have known a number of couples

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who have begun divorce proceedings but I do not know any who have begun

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divorce proceedings in order This open border does not allow us

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to check and control people who may come and we have seen what has

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happened in Paris where they spent ages planning and plotting

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so who is to say it is not beyond the wit of man that those

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might already be thinking about it? Today almost 200 of Britain's

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biggest firms including 36 on the FTSE 100 index published

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a letter warning that so-called Brexit would put

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the economy at risk. We have a great opportunity now

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to strike new deals for Britain to be the hub of new trading

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arrangements around the world and to have a fantastic new future

:09:12.:09:13.

so that is what I am going for. In my judgment as Chancellor leaving

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the EU would represent a profound economic shock for our country,

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for all of us and I am going to do everything I can to

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prevent that happening. The European Court of Justice

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interprets the European Union treaties and until this agreement

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is embodied in treaty change then the European Court of Justice is not

:09:30.:09:31.

bound by this agreement. You saw there a few of

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the Conservative allies David Cameron has failed to persuade

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of the case for remaining in the EU, and now I'm joined by another one -

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the former party leader, Tory peer and leave

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campaign Michael Howard. Welcome to the programme. Let's

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start on this idea of a second referendum. You have indicated that

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a vote to leave could jolt the rest of the EU into giving us a better

:09:59.:10:02.

and bigger and more compounds of deal. That could trigger a second

:10:03.:10:06.

referendum. Mr Cameron says that is fiction and Boris Johnson now says

:10:07.:10:11.

the same. Are you sticking to that? Yes. I cannot guarantee that would

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happen but it is a possibility. Everybody who wants us to vote

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Remain is going to say it is for the birds, and I understand that. There

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want us to vote to remain. Mr Johnson is saying that, too. And I

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don't agree with him. We have reached the same conclusion by

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different routes. The European Union has form on this. They have done it

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before in relation to Ireland and has form on this. They have done it

:10:40.:10:42.

Denmark. The very things that make it certain that we would thrive as

:10:43.:10:48.

an independent country, the fact that we are the fifth biggest

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economy in the world, the strongest military power in Europe, the fact

:10:52.:10:56.

that we are the second-biggest contributor to the European Union

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budget, those things would mean that we would be sorely missed if we left

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and that is why I think the countries in Europe, the European

:11:03.:11:07.

leaders would say that if we voted to leave, let's have some more talks

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and let's think again. Would they? Brexit, I think, if it happens would

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happen at a time of what is clearly crisis for the EU, perhaps the worst

:11:18.:11:21.

crisis in its history. If it responded by giving us everything

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that the Eurosceptics wanted, there could be a rush to the door by other

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countries. Why would the EU risk that? The very fact they are in a

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crisis means they need us all the more. I cannot guarantee that they

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would. It is an unknown. There is a chance of that but if they don't

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come back, if all we are left with is the current under formed European

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Union, I think we are better out than in. OK. Turning to the

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economics. Last week we saw some of Britain's biggest companies,

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household names, warning against the dangers of leaving the EU for jobs

:12:03.:12:07.

and investment. Why should the British people not listen to them?

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First of all, they were a minority even of the bosses of the FTSE 100

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companies. Moore did not sign them signed. Secondly, don't take it from

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me, take it from someone with real authority, someone like Mervyn King,

:12:24.:12:27.

the former governor of the Bank of England, who pointed out yesterday

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that we ought to take what these people say with a pinch of salt.

:12:31.:12:33.

Many of them were strong adherence of us joining the euro and predicted

:12:34.:12:38.

economic disaster for us if we did not. But not all of them. How many

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FTSE 100 chief executives are on your side? I don't know. But many

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business people are, particularly small business people. And

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particularly business people who do most of their business with

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countries outside of the EU and who are very hampered in doing so by the

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rules to which we are in thrall. The kind of people who signed this

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letter saying we should stay in, they are also the same kind of

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people who signed the same kind of letters backing the Tories come

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election time. If you want us to listen to them, when it suits you,

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but not when they don't agree with you? They can be right about one

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thing without being right about another. He wants to pick them up

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when it suits you and disparage them when it doesn't. Can I make a point

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about this? I think we are in danger of looking at these issues through

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the wrong end of the telescope. If we leave, there are some things that

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I can absolutely guarantee. Number one, we will have our democracy

:13:45.:13:48.

restored, our courts and our Parliament will no longer be

:13:49.:13:50.

subservient to the European Union. Number two, as part of that, we will

:13:51.:13:53.

recover control of our borders and Number two, as part of that, we will

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we will have control over who comes in and who doesn't. Number three, we

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will no longer have to contribute billions of pounds a year to the

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EU's budget. Those are certainties, indisputable. The onus is on those

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who wish us to remain 2.2 similar indisputable arguments which

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outweigh those and so far I have not seen them. But does it not worry you

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that all of our allies in the G20 want us to stay in. Only President

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Putin among world leaders once asked to leave? Does that not cause you

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concerned? The British people are the best people to decide what is in

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our interest. You could also site the Attorney General of the United

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States, who said that of the European Union was undermining the

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intelligence sharing that is so crucial in our fight against

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terrorism and crime. So now, it is the British people who are the best

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people to decide what is in our interest. The Prime Minister says

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there are 3 million jobs that depend in some way on our trade in the

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European Union. He says we would not go training -- we would go on

:15:09.:15:16.

trading with the EU, if we left, but would the trade be at the same

:15:17.:15:19.

level? How many of these jobs would be truly safe? Can you answer that

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question? They want to continue trading with us and we are the

:15:24.:15:27.

biggest export market for the rest of the European Union. And we run a

:15:28.:15:32.

great deficit on trade with them so it is very much in their interest to

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continue to trade with us. We could do some jobs, couldn't wake Umax --

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we could lose. I do not think the Germans would not continue selling

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as BMWs, or the French wine. If they want to continue to have access to

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our market, we need to make sure we have access to theirs. It is in our

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mutual interest. You say that all 3 million jobs are guaranteed? I

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cannot offer you any guarantees and neither can the banister. The great

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arts profit of integration as he did very well, when he said that if the

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British do not want to sign up to further integration in the European

:16:15.:16:17.

Union, we can have a very friendly relationship with them, we can sign

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up to a free-trade agreement with them and that would be the way

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forward. Let me show you what the current

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Home Secretary who is the longest serving Home Secretary says:

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I have great respect for her, I don't quite know why she says that.

:16:43.:16:50.

I believe that we can continue to have a very good and constructive

:16:51.:16:56.

working relationship with the member states of the EU on security matters

:16:57.:17:02.

if we leave. The reason I say that is simply this, we contribute a

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great deal to that relationship, our intelligence services are the best

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in Europe. They want the help we can give them and so there is absolutely

:17:11.:17:15.

no reason whatsoever why we should not continue to have a close

:17:16.:17:19.

relationship with them on these matters on an intergovernmental

:17:20.:17:24.

basis. The declaration of the European Council, which I know you

:17:25.:17:30.

have read as carefully as I have, says in terms, national security is

:17:31.:17:33.

our responsibility of the nation states. One thing we would not have

:17:34.:17:38.

access to is the European arrest warrant. We could come to an

:17:39.:17:42.

agreement on that. Let's say what you said on that:

:17:43.:17:50.

it wouldn't be if we left. It could, because we could easily reach an

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agreement with the Europeans that the essentials of the European

:17:59.:18:02.

arrest warrant continued in force. Not all my friends on the leading

:18:03.:18:07.

side with that that I think it would be possible to reach such an

:18:08.:18:12.

agreement. No other non-EU member has use of the arrest warrant. No

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relationship as we are. We don't relationship as we are. We don't

:18:19.:18:25.

know. It was used to bring back one of the failed London bombers from

:18:26.:18:30.

Italy and it came back quickly and the arrest warrant. He is now in

:18:31.:18:36.

jail, how would we do that? That is why I was in favour of it at the

:18:37.:18:41.

time and I think because we offer so much to our European neighbours in

:18:42.:18:44.

terms of the capacity which we bring to these issues they would be keen

:18:45.:18:50.

to continue in that sort of arrangement with us if we left the

:18:51.:18:55.

European Union. Let me show you what Rob Wainwright, the head of Europe

:18:56.:19:15.

all -- Europol said. The head of Europol, British, the longest

:19:16.:19:20.

serving Home Secretary, both think that our security would be more at

:19:21.:19:27.

risk. And the Attorney General of the United States accuses the

:19:28.:19:30.

European Union of undermining the fight against terrorism and I think

:19:31.:19:38.

in all of these issues we need to have some self confidence and self

:19:39.:19:43.

belief. We are a big country, an important country and we have a huge

:19:44.:19:47.

amount to offer in terms of cooperation with our neighbours. It

:19:48.:19:51.

is in the interest to continue to cooperate with us and I have no

:19:52.:19:55.

doubt we could reach perfectly satisfactory arrangements with them

:19:56.:20:00.

if we voted to leave. Finally, Mr Cameron was once your special

:20:01.:20:05.

adviser, you were his mentor and you told his mother one day that he

:20:06.:20:09.

would be Prime Minister, what did he say when you told him you are

:20:10.:20:14.

joining the league side? We had a difficult conversation, I find it

:20:15.:20:17.

difficult to be on the opposite side of the argument to David Cameron. He

:20:18.:20:23.

was very disappointed I had come to this conclusion and I understand and

:20:24.:20:28.

respect that. Michael Howard, thank you for being with

:20:29.:20:32.

So that's the case for leaving put by an elder statesman

:20:33.:20:35.

Let's turn now to an elder statesman of the Labour Party -

:20:36.:20:38.

although he's a fresh-faced one - it's Alan Johnson and he is leading

:20:39.:20:42.

the Labour In for Britain Group, and he's in Hull.

:20:43.:20:44.

Your side of the argument stresses the risks and uncertainties of

:20:45.:20:56.

leaving the EU, do you accept there are risks and uncertainties with

:20:57.:21:03.

staying? No. Not in the sense that Michael Howard was suggesting. I

:21:04.:21:07.

thought what he said was wrong, he said he could guarantee we would not

:21:08.:21:11.

be contributing to the European Union and could guarantee there

:21:12.:21:14.

would not be free movement but he cannot. If we take the Norway option

:21:15.:21:19.

which many of those on the leading site promote then we would indeed be

:21:20.:21:23.

paying them, Norway is the 10th biggest contributor. They have free

:21:24.:21:30.

movement. Why would we have to follow what Norway does? They are a

:21:31.:21:35.

small economy and we are the second largest in Europe? I am just saying

:21:36.:21:39.

that there are other options, the Swiss option once again. Michael

:21:40.:21:44.

cannot guarantee it. We are the fifth biggest economy, we were the

:21:45.:21:51.

fourth when we were in government, but people say that only leaving

:21:52.:21:54.

side but they do not equate it at all with 41 years of membership of

:21:55.:21:59.

the EU. Part of that economic strength, I am in Hull where there

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is the biggest investment any where in the world by Siemens, billions of

:22:08.:22:15.

pounds and 1000 jobs. They are building wind turbines for offshore

:22:16.:22:21.

Britain. It was fierce competition, if you take... They are building

:22:22.:22:30.

stuff Britain, why would they not do it here? If you take Britain outside

:22:31.:22:35.

the EU you have all kinds of uncertainties and all kinds of

:22:36.:22:42.

possible barriers. The Society of motor manufacturers point out that

:22:43.:22:46.

whilst sales to China and Russia have declined their sales to Europe

:22:47.:22:49.

are up by 10% because we don't pay any tariffs to export into Europe.

:22:50.:22:58.

The other point I wanted to mention was that Michael was part of a

:22:59.:23:01.

government which opted out of something called the social chapter,

:23:02.:23:06.

basic protection for workers. In this huge market, the biggest

:23:07.:23:11.

commercial market, bigger than China and America, there are protections

:23:12.:23:15.

for workers. Michael opted out of those and I believe that he and many

:23:16.:23:20.

others think that is good to not have those protections. We opted

:23:21.:23:25.

back in. For us those protections for workers, to avoid this country

:23:26.:23:29.

becoming a race to the bottom, anything goes kind of free-market

:23:30.:23:36.

experiment, are very important. Hold on, why couldn't the British

:23:37.:23:40.

government, why wouldn't a British government outside the EU replicate

:23:41.:23:43.

these rights if it was so minded, what would stop us from doing that

:23:44.:23:49.

if the government got the democratic will of the British people? The

:23:50.:23:53.

first point is as I have explained that a British government chose not

:23:54.:23:57.

to do that. That was Alex Goode British government. The British

:23:58.:24:01.

government that we were part of opted into those arrangements. There

:24:02.:24:07.

is nothing to suggest in the history of Conservative government that if

:24:08.:24:10.

we left the EU that they would opt into all this. That would be a

:24:11.:24:15.

matter for the British people to choose if they wanted that

:24:16.:24:19.

government. If we let the EU at the next election Labour would promise

:24:20.:24:25.

four weeks paid leave, rights for workers, paid maternity at the next

:24:26.:24:28.

election and if that is what the British people want they will vote

:24:29.:24:33.

for you? The people who want us to leave, the argument I am making, is

:24:34.:24:37.

that the people who want us to leave consider all of that to be red tape.

:24:38.:24:43.

They consider all of that to be bureaucracy. We believe in that kind

:24:44.:24:47.

of market that there has to be protection for consumers, for the

:24:48.:24:51.

environment and for workers. That is an important part of what Europe

:24:52.:24:58.

gives us. Non-EU countries, Norway, Australia, Canada, Iceland, they all

:24:59.:25:02.

score highly even on the trade unionist global workers rights

:25:03.:25:07.

index. Why wouldn't an independent UK, if voters were so minded to do

:25:08.:25:11.

so and I don't see any mainstream politician saying they would want to

:25:12.:25:13.

take away four weeks paid leave, why politician saying they would want to

:25:14.:25:21.

does it need Europe to do it? That's a very good question. In this

:25:22.:25:30.

country alone, it is a political consensus in countries like Norway

:25:31.:25:34.

and Sweden that there should be decent basic rights for workers. In

:25:35.:25:37.

this country it is an election issue. Why shouldn't it be an

:25:38.:25:49.

election issue? I believe if you are trading into this huge market and

:25:50.:25:53.

have got all those opportunities to trade then one aspect of that must

:25:54.:25:56.

be that you don't undercut each other on the basis of terms and

:25:57.:26:02.

conditions. I believe it's an essential part of being in Europe

:26:03.:26:05.

and that is why it is an important part of our campaign to maintain

:26:06.:26:11.

those rights and protections. Moving on to immigration, people are

:26:12.:26:14.

concerned about the scale of it, is there anything in the settlement of

:26:15.:26:17.

David Cameron that'll make a material difference to immigration

:26:18.:26:22.

from the EU? Yes there is, it is very underrated nice to. Two points

:26:23.:26:30.

which were negotiated by Theresa May that were not in the package that we

:26:31.:26:35.

saw in the Donald Tusk exchange were very important. First of all

:26:36.:26:39.

tackling sham marriages and secondly to say that people coming into this

:26:40.:26:43.

country who we suspect might be engaged in the future in activities

:26:44.:26:49.

we would find criminal or perhaps terrorism, that we can stop them

:26:50.:26:53.

coming in. That is important, at the moment it is based on what we know,

:26:54.:26:59.

not on what we predict. Sham marriages with their largely to the

:27:00.:27:03.

subcontinent and is very little to do with Europe. You asked me for two

:27:04.:27:08.

things... I don't know what difference it would make to the

:27:09.:27:14.

numbers, it is about 100 is to 5000 per year net migration coming to

:27:15.:27:17.

this country and it will continue at that level if we stay in want it?

:27:18.:27:28.

There is nothing we can do about net EU migration at that level.

:27:29.:27:33.

Absolutely. I have said that before. It was David Cameron's package. In

:27:34.:27:39.

fairness of people making contributions before taking

:27:40.:27:41.

working-class tax credits but I never thought this was a draw for

:27:42.:27:46.

people to come -- taking working tax credits. We can do something to stop

:27:47.:27:52.

the expectation and we don't need the rest of Europe to do that, I

:27:53.:27:58.

think David Cameron was right, you are right about free movement within

:27:59.:28:02.

the European Union but people are worried about movement coming from

:28:03.:28:06.

outside the European Union and outside the European Union ourselves

:28:07.:28:10.

I think we would be weaker. Not just because we'll would the protection

:28:11.:28:15.

of the Dublin accord -- not just because we will lose. The most

:28:16.:28:20.

honourable point is Calais to Dover and that operation of the Border

:28:21.:28:25.

Force moving to Calais, the mayor comes over and says teacher border

:28:26.:28:32.

backed every couple of months. That is between France and Britain, it is

:28:33.:28:36.

nothing to do with the European Union. This is the point and I think

:28:37.:28:41.

this is what Michael missed, if we wrench ourselves away from the

:28:42.:28:48.

European Union after 41 years of membership, does anyone think there

:28:49.:28:52.

will be huge goodwill out there for Britain? Here is another point about

:28:53.:28:59.

French politics, the French presidential right wing campaigns

:29:00.:29:03.

who might well win next year are saying they will get rid of it even

:29:04.:29:08.

if we stay in the European Union. There you are. So what is the point?

:29:09.:29:15.

Nothing to do with the EU. I don't think anybody doubt that if we left

:29:16.:29:21.

the EU it would seriously bring into jeopardy that arrangement and that

:29:22.:29:26.

is the most vulnerable entry point. Jeremy Corbyn believes we should not

:29:27.:29:31.

look upon immigration as a problem. Jeremy Corbyn believes we should not

:29:32.:29:36.

Do you agree in the context of this debate about Europe? Only in the

:29:37.:29:44.

sense that it is not the driving force, people don't come here, they

:29:45.:29:48.

come here to work by and large, they don't come here to claim benefits.

:29:49.:29:55.

In that respect I do. I think as Jeremy accepts the exploitation

:29:56.:29:58.

which comes with it needs to be addressed. So to be clear the scale

:29:59.:30:06.

of immigration if we stay in the EU does not change. It might do. I will

:30:07.:30:10.

tell you why it might do, I was Home Secretary before Theresa May, the

:30:11.:30:18.

net migration figure was around 165,000, very low. Because we had

:30:19.:30:22.

just gone through the collapse of Liman brothers and the economy was

:30:23.:30:26.

doing badly. If we come out of the EU and are in such a state as far as

:30:27.:30:32.

our economy is concerned it might stop people wanting to come here.

:30:33.:30:37.

OK, you said we have the best lyrics, meaning your side, but we

:30:38.:30:41.

are still struggling to put them to music, why can't you find the right

:30:42.:30:48.

chin? What I meant by that is they have simplistic let's regain the

:30:49.:30:54.

borders and regain our sovereign three and it's quite a complex

:30:55.:31:00.

argument to say actually we have got the best of both worlds. Yes we have

:31:01.:31:04.

some sovereign tree into Europe but that gives us influence over other

:31:05.:31:11.

member states and gives us a louder voice and a more powerful voice in

:31:12.:31:17.

the rest of the world. We will give you that, you love your music so we

:31:18.:31:24.

will give you time to find a tune until we meet again. Alan Johnson,

:31:25.:31:26.

thank you. Let's turn now to the bullying

:31:27.:31:30.

allegations surrounding the death of young Conservative

:31:31.:31:32.

activist Elliott Johnson. An inquest is due to open this week

:31:33.:31:34.

after the 21-year-old was found dead It's thought he took his own life

:31:35.:31:37.

weeks after raising allegations about the way he was being treated

:31:38.:31:41.

in the Conservatives' youth wing. He left behind a suicide note naming

:31:42.:31:44.

two other activists. Today, one of them, a man

:31:45.:31:51.

called Andre Walker, speaks out about his relationship

:31:52.:31:57.

with Elliott Johnson and the bullying allegations

:31:58.:31:59.

for the first time. For nearly six months

:32:00.:32:00.

a grieving family, friends, colleagues and the media have been

:32:01.:32:10.

trying to fathom why a young conservative activist,

:32:11.:32:12.

21-year-old Elliot Johnson, lay down on a railway line

:32:13.:32:13.

and took his own life. The student vote

:32:14.:32:16.

is really important. Just months before, he had been

:32:17.:32:19.

an enthusiastic volunteer for Road We are going to be deciding

:32:20.:32:22.

the general election. This was the brainchild of a former

:32:23.:32:25.

Conservative candidate, Mark Clarke, that would bus young

:32:26.:32:29.

conservatives around the country to campaign on doorsteps

:32:30.:32:32.

during the 2015 general election. Are you going to help change

:32:33.:32:36.

the future of our country? Since the death of Elliott,

:32:37.:32:56.

lurid headlines have reported complaints

:32:57.:32:58.

being made against Mr Clarke of bullying, sexual impropriety

:32:59.:32:59.

and blackmail in relation All of which Mr Clarke

:33:00.:33:02.

vigorously denies. Accusations of a Conservative

:33:03.:33:05.

cover-up have led to the resignation of former party co-chairman

:33:06.:33:08.

Grant Shapps, pressure on the current chairman

:33:09.:33:09.

Lord Feldman, Mr Clarke banned from the party for life,

:33:10.:33:12.

and an internal party investigation underway already widely criticised

:33:13.:33:15.

by the Johnson family. Elliott left a note to be read

:33:16.:33:19.

after his death directly accusing Mr Clarke of bullying him

:33:20.:33:22.

and another person, The note was not all that Elliott

:33:23.:33:24.

left, there was also a secret recording of a night at a pub

:33:25.:33:33.

with all three of them in which Andre Walker appears

:33:34.:33:37.

aggressive and threatening over an official complaint Elliott

:33:38.:33:40.

was going to make about Mr Clarke. In the six months which have

:33:41.:34:01.

followed, Andre Walker has been portrayed in the media

:34:02.:34:07.

as Mr Clarke's henchmen, ready to strongarm those

:34:08.:34:09.

who stood in his way. Now in his first interview Mr Walker

:34:10.:34:20.

gives his side of events nature of his friendship

:34:21.:34:23.

with Elliot Johnson. The Andre Walker that the public has

:34:24.:34:26.

seen so far in relation to this story, is that an Andre

:34:27.:34:29.

Walker you recognise? If I take you back to the day

:34:30.:34:31.

that the covert recording took place, Elliott asked me to come

:34:32.:34:35.

with him to meet with Mark Clarke which was a meeting that he wanted

:34:36.:34:38.

to discuss the problems they had. I met Elliott beforehand and we went

:34:39.:34:41.

to the pub together and met Mark. What you hear is me getting

:34:42.:34:45.

frustrated partway through What you don't hear,

:34:46.:34:47.

what wasn't released to most of the media was at the end Elliott

:34:48.:34:51.

inviting me back to his place because I had missed the last train

:34:52.:34:54.

and us leaving the pub together. If you look at that secret

:34:55.:34:59.

recording, it sounds like you are some kind of hatchet

:35:00.:35:01.

man for Mark Clarke. I think everyone who is fat

:35:02.:35:07.

and from the North of England and involved in politics gets

:35:08.:35:14.

accused of being a bruiser and it is something I never took

:35:15.:35:16.

particularly seriously, I don't recognise the criticism

:35:17.:35:19.

and I think the media has called almost everyone I have ever met

:35:20.:35:24.

in politics and who are these people that I bullied

:35:25.:35:27.

or threatened or harangued? Nobody has come forward,

:35:28.:35:29.

in fact there is plenty of evidence that I didn't do any

:35:30.:35:31.

of those things. What was the nature

:35:32.:35:33.

of the relationship So, Mark Clarke introduced me

:35:34.:35:35.

to Elliott because we both had We hit it off straightaway

:35:36.:35:39.

and the relationship started It lasted until the day he died,

:35:40.:35:42.

as far as I was concerned. The reason I have been coy

:35:43.:35:50.

about that is I know that saying I'm very sorry about that

:35:51.:35:53.

and it is not my intention to go out We have got to discuss this issue,

:35:54.:35:58.

we have to discuss the issue of homophobia and why people,

:35:59.:36:03.

even as close to him as me were not told about the mental

:36:04.:36:06.

health problems. This is a reference

:36:07.:36:07.

to a British Transport Police report prepared ahead of this weeks

:36:08.:36:10.

inquest seen by Mr Walker. The Daily Mail has reported that it

:36:11.:36:19.

suggests: But also that Elliot

:36:20.:36:29.

Johnson had made previous health issues relating

:36:30.:36:31.

to his being accepted as gay. Speaking to the BBC in response

:36:32.:36:37.

to the story, his father denies It is not relevant, Elliott

:36:38.:36:40.

took his life because he had been bullied and picked on generally

:36:41.:36:49.

by certain persons and let down by other organisations around

:36:50.:36:53.

the Conservative Party. He was treated badly,

:36:54.:36:55.

that is why he took his life. He was treated appallingly by people

:36:56.:37:01.

and organisations and we want to make sure that he receives

:37:02.:37:10.

justice for what happened to him. Many of Andre Walker's old friends

:37:11.:37:12.

have blamed him and shunned him. He says that has prevented him

:37:13.:37:15.

from being able to grieve. I was not able to go

:37:16.:37:18.

to the funeral service. Because of the things

:37:19.:37:20.

which were said about me. That was very hurtful

:37:21.:37:22.

because I would have liked Similarly I don't know where

:37:23.:37:25.

Elliott's final resting place is, I would like to visit it,

:37:26.:37:28.

whether that is going to be possible The one memorial service I was able

:37:29.:37:31.

to go to somebody screamed at me and I was effectively thrown out

:37:32.:37:38.

which has just made it impossible for me to pay my respects in the way

:37:39.:37:42.

that I feel I ought to. How would you describe Elliott

:37:43.:37:45.

as a person? He was great fun, we used to go out

:37:46.:37:48.

and have a real laugh and I think that this sort of sad life

:37:49.:37:53.

which people have characterised him as having in London where it was all

:37:54.:37:56.

very depressing and he didn't have many friends and people

:37:57.:38:06.

were bullying him on a day-to-day basis, to my mind is surely not him

:38:07.:38:09.

at all and I think it is sad that It's just gone 11.35am,

:38:10.:38:13.

you're watching the Sunday Politics. We say goodbye to viewers

:38:14.:38:16.

in Scotland who leave us now It's just gone 11:35pm.

:38:17.:38:58.

You're watching the Sunday Politics. We say goodbye to viewers

:38:59.:38:59.

in Scotland, who leave us now Good morning and welcome

:39:00.:39:02.

to Sunday Politics Scotland. As anti-Trident protesters rallied

:39:03.:39:10.

in London yesterday, the GMB union issued a challenge

:39:11.:39:13.

to the Labour leadership over jobs. We'll speak to Labour MSP

:39:14.:39:16.

Neil Findlay and the union's The Liberal Democrats claim

:39:17.:39:34.

the party has punched We'll watch their leader

:39:35.:39:36.

Willie Rennie float like a butterfly Professor Tom Devine was a prominent

:39:37.:39:40.

Yes supporter during the referendum. We'll ask him if he's

:39:41.:39:42.

changed his mind. When the Labour party elected

:39:43.:39:48.

Jeremy Corbyn as its leader last September, you might have been

:39:49.:39:50.

forgiven for thinking the big unions But on Thursday the GMB issued

:39:51.:39:53.

a direct challenge to the Labour leader over the renewal of Trident,

:39:54.:39:57.

accusing him of being irresponsible to talk about scrapping the nuclear

:39:58.:40:00.

missile system without addressing the implications for

:40:01.:40:02.

jobs and communities. The union, which represents

:40:03.:40:04.

civilian defence workers, Yesterday, Mr Corbyn addressed

:40:05.:40:06.

an anti-Trident protest The union, which represents

:40:07.:40:09.

civilian defence workers, Yesterday, Mr Corbyn addressed

:40:10.:40:10.

an anti-Trident protest in central London, along

:40:11.:40:14.

with the First Minister, The Scottish Labour Party has also

:40:15.:40:30.

rejected the renewal of Trident. Here is Neil Findlay speaking at

:40:31.:40:35.

that time. I have opposed nuclear weapons all my life, I am a member

:40:36.:40:40.

of CND and make the edition is clear. I want to see small

:40:41.:40:47.

businesses around Faslane oppose Trident, I want nationalists,

:40:48.:40:53.

liberals, Greens and I even want Tories to join the campaign against

:40:54.:40:59.

Trident. I spoke to Neil Findlay in Grangemouth and began by asking if

:41:00.:41:02.

it was right that the Labour feeder spoke at that anti-Trident rally.

:41:03.:41:10.

Jeremy has had a long-standing queue on nuclear weapons since his first

:41:11.:41:16.

logical thought, he has been very involved in the peace movement and

:41:17.:41:18.

the campaign for nuclear disarmament. You argue against

:41:19.:41:33.

Labour Party policy? Jeremy was consistent in putting across his

:41:34.:41:37.

view, a QC has held for decades and you would be the first person to

:41:38.:41:41.

criticise him had he not spoken out on an issue that he has campaigned

:41:42.:41:46.

so passionately about over the years. A consistent line he has

:41:47.:41:53.

taken but the party is having a big debate over the future of the

:41:54.:41:57.

nuclear weapon system and many other people will express their views in

:41:58.:42:01.

that debate, it is healthy and democratic, but other parties who do

:42:02.:42:07.

not have healthy debate, they have a line given by the top and everybody

:42:08.:42:13.

is supposed to fall into line. Is it OK for the deputy leader, Tom

:42:14.:42:18.

Watson, to suggest he will back David Cameron and vote for the

:42:19.:42:22.

renewal of Trident no matter what the Labour review decides? Lets see

:42:23.:42:28.

what the review does decide and not pre-empt what that review is and

:42:29.:42:33.

what comes out of that review. We should all indicate with that

:42:34.:42:38.

debate, we encourage people to put across their Duke and I look forward

:42:39.:42:42.

to that debate going on over the next while until we come up with a

:42:43.:42:49.

position. That does not answer my question, you as a party have to

:42:50.:42:54.

accept it is up to conscience which way we vote on nuclear weapons.

:42:55.:42:58.

There is no way when you have your leader standing in a rally with

:42:59.:43:04.

Nicola Sturgeon campaigning against Labour policy, should Labour decided

:43:05.:43:08.

to be against nuclear weapons, you cannot argue individual members

:43:09.:43:15.

should not vote for them. Let's see what comes out under review. This is

:43:16.:43:22.

not about that, I am suggesting there is no way Labour can't demand

:43:23.:43:27.

its own MPs vote in line with party policy no matter what the outcome of

:43:28.:43:33.

your review. For some people that will be a conscience issue, it

:43:34.:43:39.

always has been a conscience issue for some people and they may take

:43:40.:43:43.

that decision but the party is in the process of having a review, it

:43:44.:43:48.

will report and we will move forward on that basis. The Scottish

:43:49.:43:52.

Secretary of the GMB said people like you are, and I quote,

:43:53.:44:00.

professional poseurs and armchair generals playing their student

:44:01.:44:03.

politics as they sip lactase in Hollywood and Islington. I don't

:44:04.:44:09.

know what the last eight copies are alike in Grangemouth but you get the

:44:10.:44:17.

point. -- lactase. I am not a big fan of those but Gary Smith is

:44:18.:44:22.

entitled to defend members' positions. This is a serious debate

:44:23.:44:30.

that is taking place, he is entitled to put across his views in that and

:44:31.:44:38.

I welcome that but I think it is an unfortunate choice of language. Many

:44:39.:44:43.

people involved in this debate have had decades of commitment to the

:44:44.:44:48.

trade union movement and the greatest advocates of trade unionism

:44:49.:44:52.

and that type of language is unhelpful. He would say, my language

:44:53.:45:00.

may or may not be unhelpful, that is academic, you are threatening my

:45:01.:45:06.

members' jobs. The jobs issue is critical in this debate and I said

:45:07.:45:12.

so when I spoke at the Labour Party conference, the jobs issue is the

:45:13.:45:16.

biggest issue we have to wrestle with because I am not in the

:45:17.:45:20.

business of putting any one out at work, so we have to look at how we

:45:21.:45:24.

maintain those skills and those jobs, highly skilled people in the

:45:25.:45:29.

defence sector. You have no grounds to do that. Wait, how we keep them

:45:30.:45:35.

in work and provide them with a future is a critical element. You

:45:36.:45:43.

have no credible plan to do that. If we look at what happened in other

:45:44.:45:47.

places, for example the US went naval bases closed there was a

:45:48.:45:53.

diversification process that front on further employment and the ST UC

:45:54.:46:00.

and others have advised a similar process. They would not be

:46:01.:46:04.

advocating that type of process to put Gary Smith and the GMB members

:46:05.:46:10.

to work, that is not the business we are in. On Europe, have you decided

:46:11.:46:17.

which side you were on in the referendum? I am watching the debate

:46:18.:46:23.

carefully. I've personally, since I came into politics have been

:46:24.:46:28.

chronicled of the anti-democratic way the EU operates but at this

:46:29.:46:33.

stage I have not made up my mind how to vote in the referendum, but I

:46:34.:46:39.

would find it impossible to campaign alongside some of the characters who

:46:40.:46:45.

are joining forces in this referendum, Nigel Farage and Boris

:46:46.:46:48.

Johnson and people like that, I would find that impossible, and I

:46:49.:46:54.

would be uncomfortable campaigning alongside David Cameron, so why do

:46:55.:46:59.

not see myself taking an active role on either side of the campaign but I

:47:00.:47:04.

will make my decision on how I vote nearer the time. But you must have

:47:05.:47:07.

made up your mind. It is not as if nearer the time. But you must have

:47:08.:47:13.

it is a sudden issue, we have been in the EU since 1973. We have, all

:47:14.:47:19.

my life we have been in it but there are issues and in relation to what

:47:20.:47:28.

Cameron has negotiated, some of which is appalling, but bigger

:47:29.:47:34.

issues at stake about democracy, accountability and hope the EU

:47:35.:47:37.

operates and I will take my time to make up my mind. We had Alan, sorry,

:47:38.:47:50.

John Mills from Labour Leave on this programme saying he would organise a

:47:51.:47:53.

Labour campaign to leave the EU, what if he asks you to join in? I

:47:54.:48:02.

will listen to all sides in the debate but I do not think I will be

:48:03.:48:10.

taking a front for centre role. I have more local issues to deal with,

:48:11.:48:15.

the small matter of a Scottish election and that is concentrating

:48:16.:48:19.

my mind and all my energies are being put into working hard in the

:48:20.:48:25.

constituency where I am standing and that will be my focus.

:48:26.:48:28.

Listening to that was Gary Smith, who is the Scottish organiser

:48:29.:48:31.

You stand accused of unfortunate use of language. How would you recover

:48:32.:48:44.

from that? This debate over Trident is an indulgent debate played by

:48:45.:48:48.

people who were happy doing student politics. This position was hatched

:48:49.:48:56.

in Islington and Holyrood and the whole Scottish political elite is in

:48:57.:49:01.

direct confrontation with the organised working class. I would

:49:02.:49:06.

rather see Labour politicians like Neil Findlay and Jeremy Corbyn

:49:07.:49:12.

attacking Nicola Sturgeon and her government's record, thousands of

:49:13.:49:16.

jobs being cut, services to the first Scots cut, unemployment

:49:17.:49:21.

rising, no response to what is happening in oil and gas, no

:49:22.:49:26.

opportunities for young people, these are the issues we should be

:49:27.:49:29.

talking about rather than something they have no control over like

:49:30.:49:35.

Trident. But I am not sure it is fair to call someone like Neil

:49:36.:49:40.

Findlay a student politician. This is student politics, an indulgent

:49:41.:49:46.

debate, these are the logical poseurs who rather than talk about

:49:47.:49:51.

real issues and real concerns of working class communities are

:49:52.:49:55.

happier on marches threatening to sack workers in Scotland, and the

:49:56.:49:59.

workers who will go if Trident wasn't renewed or not just at the

:50:00.:50:03.

low workload, it would be at BAE Systems. I had a member marching

:50:04.:50:10.

when Rosyth was privatised by Dutch, Neil Findlay was on those marches

:50:11.:50:15.

and I remember when John major tried to close it and now Labour

:50:16.:50:21.

politicians, rather than challenging the nationalist record on jobs, are

:50:22.:50:26.

marching to have these places closed because the workers on the Upper

:50:27.:50:31.

Clyde will be redeployed to Baron Furnace and hundreds of them are

:50:32.:50:35.

already there because they have big gaps in the work programme. This is

:50:36.:50:38.

an infantile debate. There is something very odd going on

:50:39.:50:49.

here because the readers wanted a left-wing Labour Party and now they

:50:50.:50:54.

have got it they are accused of going on to student politicians. 1%

:50:55.:51:00.

of the eligible trade union vote went to Jeremy Corbyn so this was

:51:01.:51:04.

never an argument, it is not for me to comment on his leadership as an

:51:05.:51:09.

entirety but this was never a working class movement, let's not

:51:10.:51:13.

kid ourselves on. What we have now is in effect a middle-class elite or

:51:14.:51:18.

that Holyrood and Islington going head-to-head with organised working

:51:19.:51:20.

class because they are trying to head-to-head with organised working

:51:21.:51:23.

throw our members out of jobs at the upper Clyde, precise and the lower

:51:24.:51:29.

Clyde. If they do decide that the Labour Party to be against Trident

:51:30.:51:35.

free new bull it seems possible even likely, is there anything you can do

:51:36.:51:41.

about it? What is awful is we have the leader of the Labour Party

:51:42.:51:44.

speaking against his own party policy. It is an inconvenient truth

:51:45.:51:48.

for a meal and others that we have party policy. If they change the

:51:49.:51:53.

Wallasey it will make no difference. What we have said through this whole

:51:54.:51:57.

debate is Trident renewal is going ahead. It is happening, creating

:51:58.:52:02.

jobs at the lower Clyde, we have hundreds of people already working

:52:03.:52:06.

on the Spotlight side, it is good news for jobs on the Opera Clyde, it

:52:07.:52:11.

will not make any change whatsoever and that is why Labour should be

:52:12.:52:15.

concentrating on the issues of the day, John Swinney 's cuts budget.

:52:16.:52:20.

Let me say this, Nicola Sturgeon says this will be able he can be

:52:21.:52:23.

issued during the Scottish election while that is diversely politics and

:52:24.:52:30.

I will be writing to Sturgeon tomorrow about workers from her own

:52:31.:52:36.

constituency and down at Faslane and Coulport as well. If Labour were

:52:37.:52:41.

down the coast as Jeremy Corbyn Monts, with that affect the union

:52:42.:52:46.

support for the Labour Party? It would not make a difference in terms

:52:47.:52:49.

of jobs which is the crucial issue for us. The union then of course

:52:50.:52:53.

would take a decision on our relationship with the party but I

:52:54.:53:01.

keep say this. You would not drop your readership of the Labour Party?

:53:02.:53:03.

keep say this. You would not drop That would be an issue of debate.

:53:04.:53:07.

Neal Finlay and others should be talking about the job crisis in

:53:08.:53:13.

Scotland, the lack of opportunity for working people. You have heard

:53:14.:53:17.

what he had to say about finding alternative jobs, what do you think

:53:18.:53:20.

about that? They have not come alternative jobs, what do you think

:53:21.:53:24.

with credible alternative employment and we have lost faith in demolition

:53:25.:53:28.

and these politicians are now expecting us to trust them to find

:53:29.:53:34.

alternative work? The only proposals that are an alternative to Trident

:53:35.:53:38.

has come from Corbin saying we should build it without missiles and

:53:39.:53:46.

Livingston saying let's invest the money instead in the arts. What are

:53:47.:53:53.

they going to do? Get the ship rights to the waiters? Give them a

:53:54.:53:57.

box of Koreans and a colouring in book? How are they going to feed

:53:58.:54:01.

their families and keep a roof over their head? -- crayons. Obviously we

:54:02.:54:11.

don't like to see people lose their jobs but weapons of mass disruption

:54:12.:54:15.

is a bigger issue than that. It is not about whether the people who

:54:16.:54:18.

make them more uninvolved with them lose their jobs but it is a much

:54:19.:54:23.

bigger issue. You can have your principles but could also have

:54:24.:54:25.

consequences and those against the Trident renewal programme either in

:54:26.:54:30.

direct conflict with workers and working communities in Scotland.

:54:31.:54:35.

Thank you, we will have to leave it there.

:54:36.:54:37.

There was a time when the Liberal Democrats were big

:54:38.:54:39.

The party has served in government at Westminster and Holyrood,

:54:40.:54:43.

but more recently has suffered heavy losses at the hands

:54:44.:54:45.

They used their spring conference in Edinburgh this weekend to attempt

:54:46.:54:49.

to sell their message of fairness to the voters.

:54:50.:54:51.

But with just a few months until the Scottish election,

:54:52.:54:53.

will the public buy it, or are the Lib Dems still

:54:54.:54:56.

Our reporter Andrew Black went to find out.

:54:57.:55:16.

Politics, it's a brutal old game and that's a lesson the Lib Dems have

:55:17.:55:23.

had to learn the lad -- hard way. Recently it seems the Scottish Lib

:55:24.:55:29.

Dems haven't even fully reflect on public opinion. That hasn't always

:55:30.:55:35.

been the case. After all, this was a party which used to be in power,

:55:36.:55:40.

both in Holyrood and Westminster, it has now been reduced to one Scottish

:55:41.:55:48.

MP and a handful of MSPs. Now the Lib Dems have done what every

:55:49.:55:52.

political party does when it's on the ropes, launched a fightback. At

:55:53.:56:00.

times signs of this fightback were always evident. That said, Lib Dem

:56:01.:56:09.

leader, Willie Rennie, said his party, despite small numbers, has

:56:10.:56:11.

helped the Scottish Government to account on key issues like policing.

:56:12.:56:17.

That's the kind of record, he says, will stand the Lib Dem is in good

:56:18.:56:20.

stead ahead of the Scottish election. We can be the best again

:56:21.:56:27.

if we are bold, bright, liberal and green. If you want change, one thing

:56:28.:56:32.

is to be better, if you want to get Scotland's fit for the future, if

:56:33.:56:36.

you want Scotland to be the best again, that the Liberal Democrats.

:56:37.:56:44.

That was a message which seemed to go down well with Lib Dem

:56:45.:56:50.

supporters. Hard work to do. A lot of brothers and the a lot of teeth

:56:51.:56:54.

in Willie Rennie, he is very, very popular. This is the first time the

:56:55.:57:02.

Lib Dems have suffered since me but I think it is important to remember

:57:03.:57:04.

that we can always come back. I I think it is important to remember

:57:05.:57:09.

couldn't be anything else. I am liberal to my back on. So, how does

:57:10.:57:17.

Willie Rennie reverses fortunes? One of his big ideas is to add a penny

:57:18.:57:24.

to income tax, raising money to boost education. Holyrood is one

:57:25.:57:31.

thing but Lib Dems in Scotland also have a role to play in aiding the

:57:32.:57:38.

party revival across the UK. You deserve victory but you will not get

:57:39.:57:43.

it by accident, only by fighting with passion, belief, discipline and

:57:44.:57:50.

energy. Get out there, get on the doorsteps, rain, wind, maybe even

:57:51.:57:55.

shine, victory is there to be one, Scotland meet you to win. So, can

:57:56.:58:02.

the Scottish Liberal Democrats delivers some glitz to a brand once

:58:03.:58:08.

more popular than it is now? All that, of course, is up to the

:58:09.:58:10.

supporters. Willie Rennie joins me now

:58:11.:58:12.

from our Edinburgh studio. Willie Rennie, we will talk about

:58:13.:58:21.

the election any moment but I wanted to ask, the Lib Dems were critical

:58:22.:58:25.

of the fiscal framework deal done this week, can you explain exactly

:58:26.:58:31.

why? The real issue is that whilst there is a cash agreement for the

:58:32.:58:35.

next five years we do not know what the arrangement is going to be after

:58:36.:58:39.

that. The conditions might not be as favourable for Scotland at that

:58:40.:58:46.

time. While she's also, in Nicola Sturgeon, has embedded the Treasury

:58:47.:58:49.

model which she is very critical of fiscal part of the fiscal framework,

:58:50.:58:54.

it is very difficult to get something out of a framework when it

:58:55.:58:56.

has already been established in the framework that actually to have an

:58:57.:59:02.

open blank sheet which we would have advocated. We would have preferred

:59:03.:59:06.

to have the Treasury model out of the fiscal framework now rather than

:59:07.:59:08.

having all the arguments again in five years' time. You are worried

:59:09.:59:14.

she has sold the past as it were? Yes, I don't think it sets itself up

:59:15.:59:20.

well for a debate in five years' time over this. It is good she

:59:21.:59:24.

managed to get the cash agreement which was helpful for Scotland but

:59:25.:59:28.

it is just this big argument in five years' time which I don't think

:59:29.:59:34.

helps Scotland. You'd ideas for the election, pupil premium, you want to

:59:35.:59:37.

have one in Scotland and it was a Lib Dem policy in England. Is there

:59:38.:59:42.

any hard evidence it has made a blind bit of difference? It has. The

:59:43.:59:46.

evidence has shown that the attainment gap has closed by five

:59:47.:59:52.

centage points in just reuse. That is as a result of direct financial

:59:53.:59:57.

support for extra tuition, on work support. The inspectors have shown

:59:58.:00:03.

it's made a difference. Particularly in primary school. The evidence for

:00:04.:00:07.

secondary is not as strong but for primary school it is strong. Can I

:00:08.:00:13.

just read from a report from the National Audit Office in last year

:00:14.:00:16.

it says the pupil premium has yet to have any identifiable effect and I

:00:17.:00:19.

it says the pupil premium has yet to quote, since the attainment gap has

:00:20.:00:21.

it says the pupil premium has yet to narrowed since 2011 it remains wide

:00:22.:00:25.

and at this stage the significance of the improvements remains unclear.

:00:26.:00:29.

He said it also had considerable potential to make a big impact.

:00:30.:00:33.

Which is not the same thing is actually having had an effect. The

:00:34.:00:38.

closure of the attainment gap is quite clear, others have identified

:00:39.:00:44.

it has closed the attainment gap I providing direct support for

:00:45.:00:47.

children who need extra help at school. Let me put you what the

:00:48.:00:56.

dangers C. EU guv call last year found that less than half of

:00:57.:01:01.

teachers. The pupil premium help disadvantaged children. A

:01:02.:01:06.

considerable number thought it did help disadvantaged children is the

:01:07.:01:09.

opposite side of that too so I think it is pretty clear to making a big

:01:10.:01:13.

difference. Another point and you would have to concede that by some

:01:14.:01:17.

measures, particularly on A-levels, the evidence is that the attainment

:01:18.:01:21.

gap in England has actually increased over the past few years. I

:01:22.:01:24.

except by wider measures it has closed slightly but by other

:01:25.:01:32.

measures it has increased. I have already said the difference in

:01:33.:01:34.

secondary is not the same of them primary. We have started this

:01:35.:01:38.

programme in the last four years so we have yet to see the full benefit

:01:39.:01:41.

of investing in primary school and in later years. It is at least

:01:42.:01:48.

unbeatable? It is debatable but the evidence from a number of people has

:01:49.:01:53.

shown that it has been a significant difference closing the attainment

:01:54.:01:59.

gap in primary schools. That will feed through to the secondary

:02:00.:02:02.

schools and make a big difference in later years. The problem is that if

:02:03.:02:09.

it is debatable and not straightforward, the problem is you

:02:10.:02:14.

want us all to pay more tax for it. This is part of what we want more

:02:15.:02:20.

tax board. I would disagree with your description of the pupil

:02:21.:02:23.

premium I think it is much more certain than that. If you want

:02:24.:02:29.

people to pay more tax you must have witty uncontroversial evidence that

:02:30.:02:32.

what they are to pay tax board will make a difference. It is providing

:02:33.:02:38.

for kids from disadvantaged backgrounds, you are say that will

:02:39.:02:42.

cause a problem but I think investing in children when they need

:02:43.:02:46.

it most is what we need to do to make a big difference to people in

:02:47.:02:52.

Scotland. It is a massive cut to our education system, they have done it

:02:53.:02:55.

to colleges already and have not been able to feed through to the

:02:56.:03:00.

nursery education and now they are to slash budgets in schools and I

:03:01.:03:03.

want to go in the opposite direction. Why do our taxes have to

:03:04.:03:08.

go up? In the UK Government you did not put tax up to pay for it? You

:03:09.:03:15.

had a much more difficult position in the UK in 2011 than you have in

:03:16.:03:20.

Scotland now. We managed to find it in the south. There has been no

:03:21.:03:25.

indication they are trying to find the money to invest in education and

:03:26.:03:28.

therefore we will put our money where our mouth is. Why not find the

:03:29.:03:31.

money somewhere else? Budgets and where our mouth is. Why not find the

:03:32.:03:36.

incredibly tight, we believe it is cut to the core and we also believe

:03:37.:03:40.

we should be reinvesting in children at this time and with a modest

:03:41.:03:45.

increase of 1p on income tax we can have a big effect. Another thing

:03:46.:03:51.

will be to end dressed in colleges, in nursery education. I do not

:03:52.:03:52.

understand why you need to put tax in nursery education. I do not

:03:53.:03:56.

up. You have conceded given the budget passed this year 17 slash 18

:03:57.:04:07.

with the B time it would make a difference. Assuming you do it would

:04:08.:04:13.

be 17/ 18. You could shuffle spending around, take money from

:04:14.:04:18.

reserves, it is probably some flexibility by that time to transfer

:04:19.:04:21.

some capital budgets to borrowing and to use the money to... For your

:04:22.:04:28.

pupil premium. Why do you have to put people's taxes up? You made it

:04:29.:04:33.

sound very easily that you can just shuffle a few things around and

:04:34.:04:37.

magically create different call money but it does not work quite

:04:38.:04:41.

that. The Conservatives are promoting massive cuts to the

:04:42.:04:44.

Scottish budget and we want to do something about it. We have done

:04:45.:04:48.

much more than when we were in government at Westminster. I want to

:04:49.:04:52.

invest money and people agree with me.

:04:53.:04:59.

The reserve being held at the moment is just ?9 million. ?500 million of

:05:00.:05:14.

cuts are coming to our schools and it will impact on every year, that

:05:15.:05:19.

is not think schools can put up with when we are falling down the

:05:20.:05:24.

international league tables of educational performance. We used to

:05:25.:05:30.

have them best educational system in the world and now we're just above

:05:31.:05:35.

average. That is not nearly good enough and that is why I want to

:05:36.:05:40.

make Abe the Wallasey offer. It is important and you cannot just

:05:41.:05:45.

dismiss it as shuffling around to magic of money. I didn't dismiss it,

:05:46.:05:50.

I suggested there might be other ways of winding the money. There's

:05:51.:05:56.

also a macro economic reason for not putting taxes up, every economist

:05:57.:06:02.

says we are heading for a slowdown, surely the last thing you want to do

:06:03.:06:07.

is take money out of the economy. You want to get the right talents of

:06:08.:06:13.

tax and spend and you ignore the economic impact of investing in

:06:14.:06:17.

education. There are massive skills gaps, businesses are crying out for

:06:18.:06:23.

skilled workers. I am not ignorant that, the SMB say the art investing

:06:24.:06:29.

in education, just not what you have come up with. They are slashing

:06:30.:06:35.

budgets to colleges, they have butchered the college sector in

:06:36.:06:40.

recent years and I want to put that right. We need business is with

:06:41.:06:46.

skilled people to create jobs to pay the taxes that will keep the economy

:06:47.:06:53.

on track. If we ignore that side of the balance sheet we will be in even

:06:54.:06:58.

worse economic conditions than now. I want to ask you about Alistair

:06:59.:07:03.

Carmichael, would you be happy for him to be a candidate for the

:07:04.:07:08.

Liberal Democrats in a future election? We are sometime or from

:07:09.:07:13.

that decision. Alistair will make his own might up but in the meantime

:07:14.:07:18.

he is getting on with representing people. But the Liberal Democrats

:07:19.:07:27.

pose as being the honest people, cleaner, straightforward, what you

:07:28.:07:32.

see is what you get, but you have already experienced a new terminal

:07:33.:07:35.

collapse of voters because of tuition fees and the Alistair

:07:36.:07:40.

Carmichael situation isn't helping. It is not good in to say it is up to

:07:41.:07:48.

Alistair Carmichael, it is up to the leader of the party that wants to be

:07:49.:07:53.

different from other parties. I have an election campaign to fight in a

:07:54.:07:57.

few weeks, I will discuss Alistair's future with him after that. The

:07:58.:08:02.

election is four years away. I am trying to get on and grow the number

:08:03.:08:08.

of Liberal Democrats in the Scottish Parliament, we need strong Liberal

:08:09.:08:15.

Democrats to stand up on education and mental health, issues that evil

:08:16.:08:21.

are crying out for a proper political debate on and it is my job

:08:22.:08:27.

to put that case so Scotland can be the best again. We will have that

:08:28.:08:32.

discussion later. Willie Rennie, thank you.

:08:33.:08:40.

I almost said retired historian that he is about to publish a new book.

:08:41.:08:51.

was an outspoken supporter of the Yes side

:08:52.:08:54.

Now he says that the SNP hasn't addressed the economic weaknesses

:08:55.:08:57.

of its case to become an independent nation,

:08:58.:09:00.

and that Brexit shouldn't be the catalyst

:09:01.:09:01.

Well, he's here with me in the studio to answer that.

:09:02.:09:06.

You haven't changed your mind, have you? Not on the principle of

:09:07.:09:11.

independence, to change my mind after that after all the

:09:12.:09:14.

soul-searching in 2014 would lack credibility. But you did say if

:09:15.:09:20.

there was another one, let's say Britain voted to leave Europe and

:09:21.:09:25.

there was another referendum, you said you would abstain. The

:09:26.:09:31.

intellectual case for another referendum at the moment does not

:09:32.:09:37.

stand up. My concern in terms of somebody who voted for independence

:09:38.:09:40.

a couple of years ago is that such a move would be counter-productive,

:09:41.:09:47.

and it might result in the parking of this major issue for the future

:09:48.:09:51.

of this country for a very long time in the future because there is no

:09:52.:09:56.

evidence at the moment, there may be in opinion polls to come, but there

:09:57.:10:01.

is no evidence at the moment that there is yet the clear breakthrough

:10:02.:10:07.

for the Yes vote that I think is necessary for a rerun of September

:10:08.:10:13.

2014. But if they did have another referendum, to abstain is hardly

:10:14.:10:17.

helpful to the cause. Abstain means, the reason I said that is because

:10:18.:10:22.

they are not convinced there should be such a thing. If it comes to the

:10:23.:10:27.

point and things seem to be changing as we go down that road, clearly I

:10:28.:10:32.

will have to rethink my position, but we're a long way from that now

:10:33.:10:36.

because all the signs are, despite the current league that the out

:10:37.:10:42.

campaign has in England, I think it is highly likely there will be no

:10:43.:10:50.

Brexit. If there was, if we did leave the EU, one of your points is

:10:51.:10:54.

that you think from your research for your book that the European,

:10:55.:11:02.

joining the EU was one of the things that bound England and Scotland were

:11:03.:11:10.

loosely, so could the UK outside the EU actually re-forged the UK? It

:11:11.:11:17.

could inflame and stimulate some of those elements of the border which

:11:18.:11:22.

are totally opposed even to devilish and, because the elements south of

:11:23.:11:29.

the border who were so extreme, your skip X, they have little time for

:11:30.:11:34.

Scottish devolution, far less independence. What side are you

:11:35.:11:41.

taking in the Brexit debate? Personally I want to stay in because

:11:42.:11:47.

I think isolation in this particular juncture in world or European

:11:48.:11:53.

history is not a good idea. Like most people I have major criticisms

:11:54.:11:57.

to make of the huge and giving your rocker says. -- burgeoning

:11:58.:12:04.

bureaucracies. But you clearly do not think people in Scotland feel

:12:05.:12:09.

strongly enough that if the UK vote to leave, that would change the

:12:10.:12:17.

odds. I think the issue of Scottish independence is more fundamental.

:12:18.:12:22.

But you don't think people will say they will vote for independence

:12:23.:12:24.

because written votes to leave Europe. The future is not my period

:12:25.:12:31.

so to say that is speculation. At the moment there is no evidence that

:12:32.:12:37.

forwards it would produce a huge surge of commitment to independence.

:12:38.:12:42.

There seems to have been little discussion about the weaknesses in

:12:43.:12:47.

the Yes campaign, for example the issue of currency. There has been no

:12:48.:12:52.

debate since the referendum. Two reasons why I would urge caution in

:12:53.:13:00.

terms of what Nicola Sturgeon said, that almost automatically Brexit

:13:01.:13:04.

would result in another referendum on Scottish independence. The first

:13:05.:13:10.

is what we have discussed, the electoral dynamic for independence,

:13:11.:13:14.

a clear-cut majority over a period of time does not yet exist. That

:13:15.:13:20.

second think this what you have just brought up, the intellectual

:13:21.:13:24.

problem. The intellectual defence of the end of Hendon 's position has

:13:25.:13:30.

not yet sorted out. There has been no one tent made that I am aware of

:13:31.:13:35.

to address these major issues you talked about like that aren't say,

:13:36.:13:41.

like future Scottish economic development, especially since the

:13:42.:13:45.

fiscal position in this country has deteriorated since December 2014.

:13:46.:13:48.

I'll be back at the same time next week.

:13:49.:13:53.

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