21/05/2014 The Papers

premiership play`off final and in rugby, news regarding two of

England's fly halves. Welcome to our look ahead at what

the papers will be bringing us tomorrow. With me on Beth Rigby and

John Kampfner. Let us have a look at some of the front pages. Starting

with the Financial Times. The Bank of England is close to raising

interest rates. The Daily Telegraph is reporting

that 15 million British users of eBay have to change their passwords

after a security breach. The Independent is wondering if

David Cameron and Boris Johnson will be stars of the European elections.

The Guardian says an internal Liberal Democrat briefing paper is

warning senior officials that the party could be completely wiped out

in the European elections. The Metro also leads on the bridge

of eBay users online. `` breach. The Daily Mail says Russian

diplomats will demand an explanation from the Foreign Office after Prince

Charles reportedly likened Vladimir Putin to Adolf Hitler. The Express

says more than half a month's rainfall could fall tomorrow. The

worst weather being experienced in the south.

The Times as is at least 400 people a night are sent home from hospital

between 11pm and 6am to relieve pressure on wards.

Starting with a big event, the elections. UKIP polled to win the

European elections. A disaster for the Tories and Lib Dems. We were

pondering if the Sun has lost its Mojo. It is not bad. Moving swiftly

on, one of the interesting things he had when it does the breakdown of

the vote, if you add together the vote of the two main parties, that

is less than 50%. When was the last time that happened? The two

recognised main political parties got less than 50% in any national

vote. If you add in projected turnout, which is likely, what is

the proportion of people who actively cast their ballots for

either of the two main parties, it really does throw into question not

just two comes out that well on Thursday night, but generally the

state of our politics. People are fed up and this uncharted, they feel

this affect it. `` this uncharted. The Sun says that if they do come on

top, it has been labour or UKIP who would top, they would be the first

party to top eight national ballot without having a single local MP.

This is going to be a really seminal moment in British politics. People

are very disillusioned out there. They are turning to UKIP. People in

the north of England, heartland labour voters, they are turning to

UKIP. In the south`east we seek disaffected Tory voters are turning

to UKIP. The question is whether Nigel Farage can go to areas where

they have a show of strength and turn this from a European election

success into something bigger. The three main political parties are the

very worried that he might be able to do that. The challenge will be to

try and keep the parties together. I think MPs are going to be spooked.

You are going to be looking to the 2015 election nervously. It is quite

late on in the day for them to topple their leaders. They have got

to try and keep the parties under control. Find a strategy that might

win. I suspect there are very few people in the wider public who would

be able to name another UKIP representative. Anyone else. This

party has been built on the shoulders of one man. More to the

point, everybody who does, a number of figures who have tried to attach

themselves, have got themselves and the party into trouble. They racist,

they this, are they not? It produces a bad headline. Over the last few

months, Fleet Street has got its teeth in. Before they saw him as an

amusing pantomime artist. They are doing proper reporting on him and

his people. Every story. It is like, the more that she is attacked

by what he calls the established elite media, the more it plays into

this whole image of the man against the establishment. I know they are

very different animals, but why did it not work for Sarah Pailin? Why

has it worked so well for Nigel Farage? We are talking about a

different set of circumstance, but that sense that he is an outsider,

that he is attacking the establishment, tapping into that

sense that people feel disenfranchised. She included

because of all kinds of things. `` imploded. Nobody is thinking that

Nigel Farage will be deputy. Nigel Farage claimed he was tired and put

forward other reasons for what he said. Talking about remaining is the

way that he did. `` Romanians. None of that has affected him. The point

about Nigel Farage is you cannot take him out of the context where he

is operating. He is operating in a postrecession country were people

have been feeling really pressed. We are only just coming through that.

It is a crisis that has thrown the entire European project into doubt.

A lot of hard questions have been raced across all European countries

about the European Union, immigration. It has played into his

particular brand of politics. On to the Guardian. It is the Liberal

Democrats who could have a lot of problems as a result of UKIP's

success. Although, there will be pleased to know that in this exit

poll, in this poll on the eve of the election, it says that they are

going to get three MEPs. The poll is predicting that they will come in

behind the Greens. They will not completely be wiped out. The one

silver lining for the Lib Dems, is everybody will be factoring what

happens over the next few days. They will be working out how that will

impact on the general election. The Lib Dems are notionally going to

fight 615 seats. But if I was a seat beyond number 60, I might as well

put my feet up. They will be focusing on 40, 50, 60 seats. They

did so well in the easterly by`election. The other point I would

make about the Lib Dems in coalition is that they have been really bashed

about. They have been universally derided in the press. And yet as a

party they have remained incredibly disciplined. They are going to have

another drop in the polls, but what has been incredible has been this

show of strength and this unity they have demonstrated. It may not get

them anywhere? They could still, after all of this, it is a question

of a lot of hypotheticals, they could still be powerbrokers in a

year. It depends on the government. If they do not implode in the next

few weeks. There is not much sign, there is always wrong doings in any

political setup. But as long as that is not go farther, they will focus

on a few dozen seats. Staying with the Guardian. Police Federation. One

man who was at this speech given by Theresa May, he felt as if they were

being told off by a schoolmistress. The job of a school teacher is to

tell recalcitrant pupils off. The Police Federation has been a basket

case. It has massively failed to serve the public. Theresa May is

quite a divisive figure. I reckon 98% of the population will agree

with this message that she has given the Police Federation. Sort

yourselves out and if you do not, we will legislate. There was also this

suggestion in what she was saying, the suggestion that it is a few

rotten apples within the force. It is more than that. She is

painting... We had a look on your website and looked at how she

delivered the speech. It was incredibly powerful. She is the a

politician at the height of her power. What she could play two in

the tons of this speech, a speech that no other Home Secretary would

have dared to have done, there has been a string of scandals around the

police that has undermined their legitimacy. She is coming at it from

a strong position. Also, she is a politician that is waiting in the

wings with her eye on the leadership of the Conservative party. She wants

to make a stand. She wants to challenge the vested interests. That

is what she was doing today to great effect. I think she knows the public

are on her side. On to the Financial Times. The Bank of England is edging

closer to an early rate rise. It is not a matter of if, but when. A lot

of quarters of economic recovery, inflation is going up, property

prices are going up worryingly quickly. The Bank of England are

looking at whether or not to raise this base rate from its historically

low rate of 1.5%. This is going to be a massive moment when it happens.

What I think is interesting about this is what it means politically in

the election year. When people are getting back on their feet, everyone

is feeling a bit more comfortable. The Tories are going to fight the

election on the economic recovery. George Osborne does not want to see

interest rates go up and mortgages go up. This is going to be a smack

in the face for people who have struggled with their cost of living.

It is not up to him. They always say that the year before elections is

the worst time to do anything difficult. The Bank of England might

have thought of doing it a few months ago. Particularly in the

south`east. If they do not do it now, it will probably be a bit late.

Some would disagree that it is unsustainable. Let us end with the

Daily Telegraph. Do you buy things on eBay? I have been known to. I got

a call from my bank, saying that somebody had gone walkabout with my

credit card. Nothing to do with this. It is this whole idea of data

going astray and everybody using a few passwords. I always forget my

passwords. This is a huge story. Particularly as it is alleged in one

of the papers that it took them several months to actually tell

people. I spoke to an analyst that said he was amazed this would

happen. Considering what eBay deals with, he says it was fairly easy,

what the hackers did. The other thing that concerns me about this

story, obviously eBay owned a massive transactional firm. If you

are an eBay user, this story fills me with total trade. It would be

really interesting to see how this affects the brain. `` total dread.

`` affects the brand. They have got to under `` 200 33 million accounts.

`` 233. It is a good reminder that we do not take security seriously. I

am changing my password. I nearly taxed into my partner to tell him to

do it between paper runs. `` text into.

It has been great having you on. Thank you. Stay with us. Much more

coming up at the top of the hour. Now it is time for Sportsday.

Hello and welcome to Sportsday with me, Ore Oduba. Coming up tonight:

England's Under`17s