06/06/2016 The Papers

Hello and welcome to our look ahead to what the papers will be

With me are Helen Joyce, the International Editor

at the Economist and Craig Woodhouse, The Chief political

Tomorrow's front pages, starting with The Financial Times,

which is leading with investor uncertainty over a possible Brexit

along with signs that the US Federal Reserve might hold off

raising rates until after the EU referendum.

The Metro has more on the arrest of a French national in Ukraine,

suspected of plotting a large scale terrorist attack at the Euro

The front page of the I features pro-Europe MPs who may try to use

the House of Commons to keep Britain in the single market,

even if the Leave campaign is successful.

The Telegraph's top story is a warning from the justice

minister, who says criminals from Europe have been able to stay

in the UK because they've used EU rules to avoid deportation.

It's one of several papers to show the former Chelsea first team doctor

Eva Carneiro arriving at her employment tribunal.

The Express leads with what it says is a boost for the Leave campaign,

it says some bookmakers have shortened the odds of Britain

The Guardian's main headline is the expectation that Tony Blair

will defend his decision to join the invasion of Iraq

ahead of the publication of the Chilcot inquiry report.

The Times has more on the possibility that pro-Europe

MPs could defy a Brexit poll victory.

And the Daily Mail has the story of a drug which has been

fast-tracked in the US to help combat breast cancer,

but has been held back in the UK, the Mail blames what it says

The Metro, Euro 2016 Terror plot smashed. A Frenchman stopped on the

border between Ukraine and Poland. Apparently a far right sympathiser

who had dodgy intense -- terror? You would think so, with this amount of

TNT. All credit to those who manage to foil their support. Not the

threat that is top of your mind, these far right groups. Security

people have said that terrorists are all finding out things from their --

each other. Getting the weapons is an issue, this is why it was this

particular border. I think that Ukraine would be a good place to be

doing shopping for those dodgy goods. Yes, you say that far right

terrorists are not at the top of everybody's list of those who might

be wanting to interrupt this tournament, but the French officials

are saying he may just be wanted on charges of arms smuggling, and not

actually on any plot is connected to Euro 2016? Yes, it is worrying for

any football fans going over for the tournament. Whether or not he was

planning to do it himself or help someone else, it is amazing how

quickly our perceptions on terror threats can change. I wonder what it

has put in the minds of fans that were planning to go over there.

Everyone wants the tournament to go on, but there will be some

nervousness in Paris now. Indeed. The EU referendum, I know you want

it! I don't know what I'm going to do in 17 days when it's all gone

away! The Times, the remaining's strategy on Brexit will be to

somehow keep us in the single market. Is that possible? The short

answer is, bubbly not, but that won't stop them from training. There

are only about a MPs who are against it -- 140 MPs. How can we get the

best version of a Brexit for ourselves? They have said that they

will try and vote in the House of Commons to keep the UK in the single

market. That would be a tariff free trading zone. This is bad from a

Brexit point of view, because that would have the free movement of

people, which is something we want to get rid of. Personally, I think

they would get sorted out the ballot box if they tried to do this. To try

this would be crazy. But isn't this... The remaining brigade, isn't

this them shooting themselves in the foot potentially? One of British

people's biggest concerns is the British economy and leaving the

single market. If we could leave the EU and still be part of the single

market, wouldn't they think it was a good idea? I think that people think

they can do that anyway, they just don't want to. You couldn't be doing

this every day, getting up and making these arguments. They do have

a point in that, what we are being offered on the exit side is the most

fluid thing imaginable. Will it be from Norway, Switzerland, Albania?

You could say, here is a model for what might happen if we had a Brexit

and we could make it happen. At a Brexit is about leaving the single

market, isn't it? Well... They would say, we couldn't work of the

Norwegian or the Albanian or Swedish model, we are working from the

British model. It would involve negotiating without being in the

room with the European powers. But we will have to see how we negotiate

ourselves in 18 days time. I can see that you are excited already! Janet

Yellen apparently voted the third most important person on the planet.

She has signalled that the reserve will sit tight on whether or not to

raise interest rates until the referendum vote? All markets hate

uncertainty more than anything else. Well, some of them love it, because

it could be your chance to make a fast buck. But in general, nobody

wants to set policy when things are going in different directions every

day. We don't know how much reliance we should put on the polls. You

don't know whether you should make a decision today and keep them moving

parts stationary. The referendum debate is dominating everything in

the UK. This whole discussion has much more to do with the abysmal

jobs figures that came out the other day. I think that the moving parts

argument does the -- does make sense. There are two movements to

any currency movement, the larger ones and the minute movements that

clever people are able to make --2 elements. This does seem to be the

consensus opinion that the economy will go down. The art there is a lot

of daily News, different polls. People trading will react fast and

we see these enormous spikes and volatility. I don't know what an

average Brit is, but your average voter, would they see this story

about interest rates and wonder, is this something to worry about? Are

they taking it in? I don't think so. A lot of people resent having to

make this choice. It is not something they were thinking about.

Now they are being forced to think about it. In many cases, they don't

know what to think about. That is not to try and belittle anyone, but

this is not high in the concerns of most voters. We don't do referendum

is very often heal. It came out of nowhere in terms of coming to the

ordinary person. -- here. It is not a simple decision. The way you are

likely to vote depends enormously on what job you do in all sorts of

different things. I think to a certain extent MPs are in an awful

position. They are under pressure to declare which way they are going to

vote, but if you are speaking to a fisherman in your constituency, the

advice he would give them in this referendum would be completely

different to, say, and exporting business. The equation is not the

same for everybody. What of the things that happens as we approach a

general election, the polls didn't do great last year, but they weren't

wildly out... We don't have a context for these polls, this one we

don't know what the turnout will be. People haven't registered or

decided. We were saying this, people don't generally say, I don't know

who I am going to vote for. But all the time in this referendum, people

say that. Explain why this referendum is happening now. Explain

it. David Cameron promised it to keep a lid on his backbench Tories.

So it's about a Tory argument. European killers and rapists can't

be deported? This is a dossier, the justice minister is presenting this

tomorrow. He is in the 20 worst criminals who are still in Britain.

You cannot get rid of them. It is quite complicated and relates to how

long they have been in this country and the level of crime against them.

If they have been here for a long time, you... It includes a guy who

stabbed a head teacher to death. Most people would remember that.

There is an attempt from the wrecks campaign to fight back at this idea

that staying in the EU would make borders safe. We have some unsavoury

characters clogging up our jails and on our streets. But there is the

European Arrest Warrant, which speeds up the deportation of

criminals. Also, you have the... I'd completely forgotten my train of

thought. You also have the fact that, as one exception to free

movement of people, you can stop people at the border. Is an example

of how difficult this decision is. You wonder how many rapists there

are in the country, are we getting rid of our own rapists? You have to

weigh that up against currency movements and trade... There's very

painful. I don't think people appreciate it. Other newspapers

doing a good enough job of explaining this -- are the

newspapers? People are still saying, I haven't got any facts. People say

they want facts, but there actually many facts because we are talking

about the future. It is two different versions of the future. It

is a very complicated decision. People want facts but there aren't

any. Last year we kicked out about 4500 European criminals. Each side

says, we got these out! The other side says, we let them in in the

first place. They want certainty that doesn't exist. They want to be

pointed in the right direction. Everything is pointing in a

different direction, it is really about feelings.

The middle classes to short of cash to pay they ?500...?

Three things that break down suddenly, including

It is to think someone can't replace these things

if they are middle class without going into debt borrowing.

It just shows you the result of several

years of wage stagnation and people may be having using money

for the last six or eight years during

difficult times when they have put something by.

Using whatever savings they might have had.

It is a real bread and butter issue. It shows the indebtedness. Household

debt is spiralling to ludicrous levels. People haven't learnt their

lessons. He will borrowing too much on credit cards and credit to pay

for other things. You are really struggling to make ends meet. It is

as much of a headache for the Bank of England as the rest of it.

Defining the middle class by people doing pretty nice jobs. That is

quite impressive. OK, just briefly, vegetable was a hot potato for the

BBC. That is vegetable... Riveting. I did not know these words were in

play in the 1920s. Apparently, you could say she as in skiing. This is

what the Norwegian say. That is silly! These were news to me. I did

not know Koeman was a possibility. So, vegetable. Nobody says

vegetable. It is like saying Wednesday. Bonkers. Thank you so

much. Stay with us. Much more on BBC News. You can read a detailed review

of all the papers seven days a week on BBC's website. You can see us

with each night's edition of the papers hosted on the page shortly

after we have finished. Many thanks to my guests. Goodbye.

James Patterson is the world's biggest selling author.

He is best-known for his thrillers but has written science fiction,

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