02/10/2016 The Papers


02/10/2016

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Hello and welcome to our look ahead to what the papers will be

:00:14.:00:17.

With me are the political commentator James Millar

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Tomorrow's front pages: Theresa May's speech dominates

:00:23.:00:29.

The Financial Times says Mrs May has given the clearest indication yet

:00:30.:00:36.

that Britain will break away from the EU single market.

:00:37.:00:39.

The i says the speech was a hard Brexit plan,

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representing an end to the UK's single market membership.

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The Metro also leads on Brexit, and Mrs May's promise to push

:00:45.:00:47.

for continuing free trade with the bloc.

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The Telegraph focuses on Mrs May's pledge to look beyond Europe

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to China and India, as well as a policy announcement

:00:53.:01:00.

tomorrow to invest ?5 billion to build new homes.

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And the Guardian notes the pointed response to Mrs May

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from the European Council, which said it would prepare

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to safeguard the EU's interests in the negotiations next year.

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The Daily Mail says Mrs May's speech was a message to remainers that

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The Mirror says Sam Allardyce could move to a new job in America.

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And the Times says EU leaders have rejected the Prime Minister's appeal

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for immediate talks about Britain's new deal, heightening fears

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OK, so let's begin. Welcome to you both. And that 10:30pm we focused a

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lot on Brexit and Theresa May's speech and we will turn to the Sun,

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and it is their march to freedom, as they call it. Obviously different

:02:11.:02:15.

papers are going to receive Theresa May's talk about Brexit differently,

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and the Sun is seeing it as Theresa May setting March 21 2019 as the

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date of our independence from the EU, perhaps becoming a national

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holiday if the Sun has anything to do with it. For a paper that wanted

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to leave they seem quite happy with the terms of a Brexit which she

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clearly set out today, which is for a hard Brexit. It seems that she is

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saying that Britain should exit the single market, and that the freedom

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that we would gain from that would outweigh the financial difficulties

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of doing so. Welcoming this hard Brexit, there are different opinions

:03:06.:03:09.

on hard and soft Brexit but they are very keen. I like it because there

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is a skill in summing up the story in four paragraphs, which is what

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they have done. One of the quotes says Mrs May says let's show the

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country we mean business, which alongside Brexit means Brexit, what

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does that actually mean? Did we not mean business before? She has done a

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fine line in soundbites so far. This is the first time we have heard her

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speak on this, and she warned she wasn't going to be pushed into

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making further comment until she was ready, until she got closer to the

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day and things firmed up as well. But the EU also responded. What do

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you think they were saying when they will safeguard their interests is?

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That is the most telling part of the four paragraphs, the one in which

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the EU Council chief, Donald Tusk, says they will safeguard their

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interests. Inevitably they will do what is best for them. That is what

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happens in negotiating situation. There is no reason to be nice to us,

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and no reason to expect that they will. They are taking the shine off

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that idea that the UK will have some sort of special status or magic

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capacity to get a deal that it wants. For some time now the EU has

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been saying, well, no, you won't. You can't, we are not going to do

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that. It seems like today they are really just reiterating. It is not

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everyone in the Conservative Party who are saying, it is the people who

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wanted to stay in saying maybe we need to pedal back of it. No, a lot

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of people who... I think even for the people who want to leave, there

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are different ways of leaving. What Mrs May has done today is outline a

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version of leave that is going to upset a lot of people, and not just

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the people who wanted to remain. It has upset a lot of business

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sections, it is going to upset people within her own government and

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what worries me about this style of Brexit is that, actually, a

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Conservative MP wrote today in the Guardian that it was Brexit

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fundamentalism. He talked about it being a romanticised vision of

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Britain, a country of imperialist chauvinism. What worries me about

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this is that it is almost as though the leavers have become a little bit

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drunk on free-market fundamentalism which they always wanted. Because

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actually what they could do is make business even more deregulated that

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is at the moment, and that is kind of what we always wanted. That is

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what I am worried about with this kind of hard Brexit, that that is

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the vision that they want, a much more deregulated version which is

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going to be worse for small businesses, for... And others have

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been speaking on this as well. It is a fundamental problem with

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referendums, there was nothing about immigration or staying in the single

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market or all these major issues. As you say it is an opportunity for

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people to start projecting what they think people are voting for on to

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whatever will happen next spring in the negotiations. The Times's

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headline is the rejection by EU leaders of the hard Brexit talks.

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Who exactly are they referring to hear? The Sun has given the positive

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take, this is a more negative approach. They claimed that Angela

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Merkel and other EU leaders have offered instant opposition to this

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hard Brexit idea. Again, it comes back to what Donald Tusk said, which

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is we will look after our interests, and Angela Merkel is the bigger

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player there. One of the fascinating things in this is that Mrs May says

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she wants to give British companies the maximum freedom to trade and

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operate in the single market. That would involve staying in the EU,

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that would be the maximum freedom, isn't it? There are not really any

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clear answers, it is fair to say. The Telegraph also leading with

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Europe, we must look beyond Europe and looking to China and India. At

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that is the thing. You know, they are going to have to find some way

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to reassure British businesses, how far trade is in the European single

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market -- half our trade is in the European single market and for

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companies based here they will be worried about how that will be

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replaced and how it can be replaced quickly enough for them to actually

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make up the loss that they would presumably in curb by being taken

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out of the single market. And so far we haven't seen any signs from any

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other country that we would be given any kind of preferential treatment,

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or that there would be any sort of fast track negotiation with them.

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Well, no, hang on. We have already agreed to start scoping discussions

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with Australia and New Zealand, the mighty power houses that and New

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Zealand. That is 2% our trade. And the scoping out is really... That is

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a done deal, isn't it? Makes it so much better. The key headline is we

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must look beyond Europe, she is talking about trade and also talking

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to the party, saying we must shut up about Europe. That is why she had to

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make the speech at the first-ever conference, telling the party to

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stop speaking about Europe but that is never going to happen because

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stories like nothing more than assessing about Europe. Another

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announced that we heard was the ?5 billion, it looks like we are going

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to get more building, new houses, a possible solution to the housing

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crisis. I don't think it is a solution to the housing crisis.

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25,000 homes by 2020. I am no expert in building houses but that is 8000

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houses a year. I don't know how long it takes to build a house. I like to

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-- the line that there will be 200,000 houses in the longer term.

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It is a daft promise. What's interesting about this is it seems

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very clearly to be following the Labour Party lead on this because

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Jeremy Corbyn's main platform was housing. They have pledged to build

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1 million homes in five years and make half of them council houses. I

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think when it comes to evidence talk about building houses, the first

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thing you think is are they going to be affordable? The ones we are

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seeing built at the moment clearly are not, for one, and your

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definition of affordable is completely out of range for most of

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the population. Getting on the housing ladder is impossible,

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whether it is a new house or current stock. Which is why the Labour Party

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are saying half of our homes will be social housing, which makes more

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sense in terms of solving the crisis pulls up the communities Secretary,

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Sajid Javvid, says it is a community concern. He clearly wants to tackle

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this. -- Sajid Javid. And Donald Trump is looming yet again, the gift

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that keeps giving. He is apparently a genius, according to his

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republican backers. Having not paid any tax for a long time, they are

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not denying this leads to the New York Times that he hasn't paid any

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tax but he is a genius for avoiding tax. Rudy Giuliani has gone on TV to

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say he is a genius for not paying his taxes. It is incredible how this

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plays out. You would think people would be incredibly annoyed with

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millionaires evading tax or avoiding tax, sorry, not evading. But to be

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able to spin it as a great thing, you know, our potential future

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president... He doesn't pay tax, what a genius! They have decided

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that they will vote for him and nothing is going to change their

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opinion, supporters of Trump. But we have until November so let's see

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what transpires between now and then.

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Thank you, James Millar and Rachel Shabi.

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Coming up next, it is The Film Review.

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