02/10/2016 The Papers


02/10/2016

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Hello and welcome to our look ahead to what the papers will be

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With me are the political commentator James Millar

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The Financial Times says Mrs May has given the clearest indication yet

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that Britain will break away from the single market.

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Brexit is leading the i's front page too, who are summing up the PM's

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first major speech on Britain's decision to leave the European Union

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The Metro also leads on Brexit and Mrs May's decision

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to fire the starting gun on Article 50 by March 2017,

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highlighting the Prime Minister's comments that there will be "no opt

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The Telegraph are highlighting a quote from Theresa May that

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"we must look beyond Europe" as well as a pledge,

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announced by Government ministers, to dedicate ?5 million

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And, in addition to Brexit, the Guardian have also made

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room for the referendum result in Hungary.

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Starting with Brexit, any of you watch the speech is life today? Bits

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and pieces. After the event. The Financial Times says it is her first

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significant speech on the subject, it is her first speech on the

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subject since she became Prime Minister. She said Brexit means

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Brexit. Did you take it as hard Brexit? Yes, although she says there

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is no such thing, but she means there is only one thing, a hard

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Brexit. According to the Financial Times, her team deny that what she

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said means that Britain wants to leave the single market, but what

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she said about wanting control on immigration and not wanting to be

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under the jurisdiction of the European Court, both those are the

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pillars of remaining within a single market, so by default she has said,

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we are going, and those things are more important to us than being in a

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single market, which will cause grave concern not only within her

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own front bench and party, but also business and the opposition in

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parliament. But which goes down a treat with her members, which may be

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why it she said it, because it went down a storm in the hall. Outside

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the hall, her backbenchers, you mentioned the opposition, it is Tim

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Farron of the Liberal Democrats that is quoted in the Financial Times,

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saying it is a disaster for British jobs, business and economy, and

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there is no sign of Labour or the SNP, the more significant opposition

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parties in terms of parliamentary reticent Asian. Nicola Sturgeon

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tweeted her displeasure, she said that Theresa May had completely...

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For somebody who was keen on keeping Britain United, she kind of said the

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opposite. They went and met early on, there was mutual respect in a

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room of her's mutual respect. In a room of her own supporters, she said

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Holyrood can get lost. She has no time for divisive nationalists, and

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there is no opt out from Brexit. She has backed Nicola Sturgeon into a

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corner. It is a game of poker. The Guardian picks up on the hard Brexit

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line. What they have picked up on it a bit of reaction from Europe, from

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the EU. It is quoting Donald Tusk, the head of the European Council,

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his response on Twitter was, once it is triggered... First of all, relief

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that we have said when we will trigger it, but he has also said

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that once the article is triggered, the EU will engage to safeguard its

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interests, which of course will happen, why would it do anything

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different? We can expect an inflexible and uncompromising

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approach. It is pointed but it is entirely obvious. He tweeted it out,

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as did Nicola Sturgeon. A very new thing. Senior figures tweeting their

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response. They seem to have embraced social media. They have no choice in

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the matter! The Metro, Theresa May to fired the starting gun by the end

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of March, putting Britain on course to be out of the EU by 2019. It

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sounds so simple! It will be fine, we will just go! The IFS says the

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economy will shrink by 5%, but it will be all right! It is not that

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much of a surprise, the timescale. I have spoken to various people in the

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EU, they said, they have got to be out by May 2019, because that is

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when there are European Parliament elections. It looks like Theresa May

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has signed up to that timescale. It is a nice headline, good work! It is

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a bit of fun. The independent goes into the party. Although they have

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made a lot about the reception that she received at the conference,

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better than Jeremy Corbyn received at their conference... I don't know,

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his went down well also. But they said a lot of the problems are still

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there. A lot of the problems are still here. This is what they say.

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Who is not happy within the party? 80 pro-EU Tories, apparently,

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including a senior PR. She has a slim majority, she could not afford

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to hack off large chunks of her party, so that will be interesting.

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It is fascinating, we went into the Labour conference thinking it would

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be a disaster, and it was but quite as bad, and you go into the Tory

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conference thinking that Theresa May is fairly confident, but we may, at

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the other side thinking that the Tories are in is equal a mess as

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Labour. I am glad they have picked up on this, because we have focused

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on Labour being this United, but if you got the goods of the tips, -- if

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you look at the Conservatives, her front bench, if they are going to

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follow up on what they have said, they don't want to leave the single

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market, that is what they have said. This is a really big split. I don't

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know how she is going to bring them with her in this hard Brexit that

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she has announced. Did you listen back to Boris Johnson? Don't be

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laughing! Is a serious matter! Getting used to Boris Johnson as

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Foreign Secretary! His hair looks tidy. We were discussing, why has

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she done this? If she went for a soft Brexit, people like Boris

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Johnson and Liam Fox would go off on one. If she talks up a hard Brexit,

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people like Amber Road, Sergei Javad, they are not going to go off

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the handle. It maybe gives you a hint to why she has done it this

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way. They might cause trouble in other ways. It depends. People like

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Philip Hammond have said clearly they think leaving the single market

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would be a mistake. Philip Hammond is not a man who has ever flown off

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the handle in his life! Maybe not publicly, but in terms of the

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Government's position, and what we going to negotiate for, if the

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majority of the party to think that a single market hard Brexit would be

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a mistake, it will be in testing to see how this plays out, and the

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opposition party will mobilise and unify. The Labour Party can agree

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that they do want access to the single market. The Tories say hard

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or soft Brexit, the EU would not have accepted anything but the hard

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option, but they? The EU is pragmatic above all things, and they

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will find answers that suit them, essentially. Hard Brexit might well

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be what they were after and what they might get, but there is an

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issue of Germany selling BMWs in Britain, they do everywhere, that is

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not how you make these deals, but lots of EU businesses want access to

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Britain. Theresa May said there will be give and take. The CBI said there

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is not enough details yet. They were not really reassured by what they

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had heard. That is what has come up. The reason may have said she will

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not provide a running commentary, and that is true, you don't want to

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give away the hand you are playing, but it raises questions for

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Parliament. If they are not pretty to any of this, how is that going to

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play out in dry constitutional terms? Let's turn to what could have

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been interesting for the EU, events in Hungary. Turning back to the

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Guardian. It looks like he is in trouble. It is a good day for the

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EU, they have got a timescale out of Theresa May, and this referendum on

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whether Hungary should accept 1294 refugees... It is not much. The

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people who voted voted for it, but most people did not vote, so it does

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not stand. In a country of 8 million eligible voters, less than 50%

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turned up. 95% said they are not going to agree, of the 45%. It is

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not as if they were talking about major numbers anyway, and it is not

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as though... They have not even accepted that many, they have

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approved a tiny percentage of applications. A lot of them not

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wanting to stay in Hungary. A lot of them say, you are not that great

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anyway, you are not welcoming, so we will move on. It has been a transit

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place. It is a sign of The Times, even on those terms... He is trying

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to stand up to the EU, is part of the point of it. It did not work.

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Could he risk doing that? He relies on the EU for so much, it is a big

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risk. Most people decided not to take the risk. He can maybe do that,

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but if you are a normal person in Hungary, you don't want to take the

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risk, because Hungary benefits from the EU. Finally, going back to the

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Financial Times. On demand TV switches off, National Grid Spike to

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put kettle on after show. We often hear about these spikes. They

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describe it as a British phenomenon, whereby there would be a surge on

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the National Grid because people would be rushing off to turn on the

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kettle either in advertising breaks or because they are watching the BBC

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and it is not in the ad break but it is at the end of a programme, but

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now people are not watching programmes lied so much anymore,

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there is OnDemand, iPlayer, so that is not happening anymore. I think it

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is a fantastic story. It drops in nuggets like grid managers used to

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get the radio Times survey could see if any blockbusters were coming. It

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makes sense. My kids don't watch TV, they watch YouTube and iPlayer. You

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think, of course. It makes you wonder about how they connect

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viewing figures. Because everybody is going back to watch something at

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a later time or a later date. The BBC is collecting the figures from

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the kettle statistics from the National Grid, not the other way

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round! The best bit is the last paragraph. They were expecting a

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surge at the end of The Great British Bake Off, but it did not

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come, because the next programme had ten baby pandas on the screen, so

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people carried on watching. Baby pandas have featured a lot! We will

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leave it there for now. We have another one at 1130 PM.

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Stay with us here on BBC News. We will have more on the Prime

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Minister's timetable for leaving the EU at 11pm, as set out at the

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Conservative Party conference in Birmingham earlier today.

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Next, Meet The Author.

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