01/11/2016 The Papers

Hello and welcome to our look ahead to what the papers

With me are Hugo Rifkind, columnist for The Times,

Welcome to you both. Let's kick off by showing you the front pages we

have at the moment. The Times says Donald Trump has seized the lead for

the White House according to one new poll.

The Metro leads with the story of the Iranian asylum seeker who has

made it to Britain after paddling from France in a canoe.

He was eight miles off the Kent coast when he was picked up

The Financial Times says the Chancellor of the Exchequer,

Philip Hammond, is seeking the approval of cabinet colleagues

to abandon rigid financial targets in his Autumn Statement,

in case he needs to protect the economy from Brexit fall-out.

The Telegraph leads on what it says was fury after MPs voted

to re-appoint Keith Vaz to an important committee

Mr Vaz resigned from the committee only weeks ago after a sex scandal.

The Guardian says white families are being urged to move to areas

of ethnic diversity, to avoid segregation

The Mirror reports Dale Cregan, who is in secure hospital for committing

four murders is living the life of luxury eating pizza and going

kayaking. Let's start off with the Guardian. You go, on their front

page, the battle for Mosul. Iraqi troops going into the city for the

first time. It has been an Islamic stronghold for the last couple of

years. How significant think this is? Very significant. It is part of

a big push into Iraq. It is not just that they are about to retake the

city, it is also sunny tribal fighters and Shia militias around

the other side of the city preventing Islamic State fighters

from fleeing into the desert. They are not just trying to retake

territory, they are trying to have a final big push to squash the Islamic

State. It is interesting, this is obviously happening in der Rice at a

very media friendly way. They are keen for the eyes of the world to be

on this -- in der Rice say it, a very media friendly way. In Iraqi it

is possible to see this. In Syria the fight against Islamic State is

only a small part of the fight. There are Assad forces against

Syrian rebel forces. Here, it is sense of an invading army we are

talking about 600,000 people who have not been able to flee. We are

talking about a very large death toll, I think, because we are

already seeing reports from people who are living in the city 's and we

have been used to smart bombs and surgical strikes in previous wars in

the middle east, but in this case it will be not quite hand-to-hand but

it will be door-to-door, street to street and this is the real worry.

An awful lot of civilians who have nothing to do the fighting will be

killed. The Guardian also, the main story is the ethnic divide in

British cities is growing rapidly. They are talking about ethnic

segregation in towns and cities. Usually we are talking about

minorities who do not want to integrate into the majorities and

people of Asian backgrounds and Afro-Caribbean 's should integrate.

But here we are talking about a report from a professor who did a

landmark report after the Bradford riots in 2001 and he says large

numbers of white people are leaving our inner-city urban areas by a

colossal numbers and in some parts of the country like Slough, the

white population fell from the gate .3% in 1991 down to 34.5% -- 50 8.3%

in 99 to one. In black perm just 7.8% of the population is white --

in black burn, just 7.8% of the population is white. He is not

putting this down to white flight and distrust of foreigners. He

thinks it might be to do with other reasons. A sense that you want to be

in the countryside, it might be to do with other motivations like house

prices. Is it a changing face of Britain, do you think? What is

interesting is when you have increasing segregation, it does seem

to be to do with white community is leaving for whatever reason. Some of

the numbers you get further down, it seems to be particularly a case

where you have small white communities. Perhaps white

communities do not like being part of small white communities. We have

a 60% white community they are staying put. Some of the numbers you

have a drop from 30% to 7% in two decades. That is very significant.

There is some kind of trend but it does not say what the trend is. Who

knows. Let's go to America. They have one opinion poll which I

mentioned in our look ahead, this is one old giving trump lead after so

many polls which have shown him way behind Hillary Clinton. Is that

significant or is it a blip? It is probably both! It is making him look

stronger than he is. There are no new allegations against Hillary

Clinton. They are poorly understood and not substantial. What has

happened is the FBI said they had new lines of enquiry into what had

been an investigation that they had closed because they had uncovered

new e-mails. They may not even be new. A different cache of e-mails.

They are approaching it from a different direction. The mere fact

that this investigation is ongoing seems to be hitting the Clinton

campaign hard. Whether that will last, who knows? It is volatile. Is

it enough to give Donald Trump victory? No, he will have to get

every single angry white man, every single angry white woman, all the

uneducated people he likes, get rid of all the Hispanic votes, there is

it easy reports that African-Americans have less

enthusiasm for Hillary Clinton then Barack Obama which is expected. I

think the African-American community will come out in huge numbers. The

Telegraph has this story about Keith Vaz. He was mired in scandal but he

has bounced back. He is on another parliamentary committee. They say

there is theory, I think it is the paper which is furious. 200 and

something MPs voted to allow Keith Vaz to be on this committee, seven

voted against so it was a major majority. It is not really about

Keith Vaz this. There is a convention that MPs do not oppose

party appointees select committees and they are trying to preserve

that. In which case, we will not any more about it! Let's go to the

Financial Times. They are talking about if the effects of Brexit could

rise. This is about the abandonment of his predecessor. He is talking

about a modest fiscal stimulus. He wants to loosen the rules. We are

hearing about this in other areas of government as well. It is about not

expecting rabbits out of hats and he wants head room in case Brexit will

hit growth. That will surprise some of the Brexit peers who have said

all the plans have been brilliant but he wants to take a long view.

Hammond is the interesting figure of the government. He is the softest

Brexiteer and he will not pull a rabbit out of the hat. He wants

people to know what will be in his announcement before he makes it. So

we are seeing the rabbit. It has already been cooked a lot of

metaphors about rabbits, I don't think I follow them all. And

Australia does not like doctors any more. -- do not need doctors any

more. If you think about going to Australia they do not need you.

There had been a rush of British doctors applying to work in

Australia after the junior doctors strikes. Australia is now full up

with doctors. They require no more British doctors. They have a lot

there already so they don't need any more? That is pretty much the

situation. Now the Guardian has a story about car insurance. They look

through your Facebook account to see what sort of driver you might be?

This is Admiral and they stressed it is not a compulsory scheme. It will

offer discounts to people whose Facebook posts demonstrate they are

good, sensible, that you are thinking people. We are talking

about mainly first-time drivers. They will look at character traits

like writing in short, con sais sentences and making arrangements to

meet people at a set time or place in so saying whatever, wherever

which shows you will be devil may care. You will drive too fast. You

can't be trusted! It is a bit intrusive? It is not compulsory. It

does not matter because you can opt to pay more and not allow your

insurer to do this. It is this nudge where you are expecting to disclose

it. The strong incentive is to do this stuff because there is a

financial penalty if you don't. And maybe you do need to be careful

about what you do post on Facebook. Employers apparently go through your

younger life on Facebook, pictures of you getting drunk and maybe think

they will not hire you on that basis. I think more and more schools

will be telling young people to be careful about their online digital

footprint and it may bite you. Online digital footprint, that is

what I should have said, that is the terminology! I am a millennial, do

you know?! Not really! We are almost at the Times which has this

extraordinary story about Lord Heseltine and the curious incident

of the dog and Lord Heseltine. You go, tell us the story. This is my

favourite story of the day. This morning, the magazine Tatler has an

interview with Michael Heseltine in which he appeared to have claimed

that earlier in his life he strangled to death his mother's

Alsatian. This was back in the 1960s. Sounds like a headline you

use to get on the day-to-day. This was an enormous fuss for a few hours

earlier this morning. It then emerged he had strangled the

Alsatian but not to death. He merely calmed it down by strangling it

which apparently you can do because it had bitten him. His wife was

pregnant and he was worried that his wife. If you bite Michael has all

time he will strangle you! And then he will get the vet to put you down.

It is a great newspaper story. Plays into the sense of tar sand through

the jungle fighting lions and political assassinations and canine

assassinations -- Parvin. Dog bites man is not a story, man throttles

dog is a story. A lot of people may be upset about the idea of a pet dog

being strangled. He did appear to say earlier this month that he and

his wife shot 350 grey squirrels over the course of six months which

is a lot. But no dogs. And Tatler have clarified the story. They

accept he did not kill the dog that day. He merely hurt it. It was a vet

the next bed. You really should not laugh for that story. Hugo and

Henry, thank you for being with us. Don't forget all the front pages

are online on the BBC News website where you can read a detailed review

of the papers. It's all there for you -

seven days a week at bbc.co.uk/papers -

and you can see us there too - with each night's edition

of The Papers being posted on the page shortly

after we've finished. Well, it is time to get the thicker

coats out. There is colder weather on the way. We will certainly feel

that over the next few days. The warm weather we had