11/08/2014 Weather for the Week Ahead


11/08/2014

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Hello. The remnants of Hurricane Bertha will still be

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making themselves felt into the morning,

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particularly across parts of north-east Scotland.

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With rain piling in across the northern Grampians,

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the Met Office have an amber weather warning across Moray and Speyside.

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Up to 100mm, four inches of rain possible here in 24 hours

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so flooding potential is there.

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Across eastern Scotland and north-east of England

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very strong winds to start the day, that could cause

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problems on the roads, bridges and potentially some of the airports.

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Wherever you are, a blustery start to Monday morning but away

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from the persistent rain in northern Scotland, elsewhere bright skies,

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a few showers around, particularly across southern and western parts.

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They will continue through the day.

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Being driven eastwards quite smartly on the strong west to

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north-westerly breeze.

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Across the South, some of the showers will come with hail and thunder.

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Only one or two avoiding the showers completely across southern

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counties of England and Wales.

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Temperatures way down on what we have been used to,

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only reaching around 20-21 in London, pushing 70 Fahrenheit.

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There will be parts of east and north Wales

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and parts of the north Midlands, even parts of north-east England

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will see few showers and one or two will avoid them altogether.

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It will still be very windy here.

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A better day for Northern Ireland, sunshine and showers,

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as is the case in southern Scotland.

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The rain easing off in northern areas of Scotland

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but more persistent rain there in the western Highlands,

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as it will be through the night and into Tuesday morning.

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We still see a low spiralling away, just pushing into the Norwegian Sea.

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We have showers still forming into southern and western parts

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but temperatures are a little bit more comfortable.

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That could be a welcome relief for those who have been struggling

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with sleeping by night.

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As we go into Tuesday, we are still focusing on the low, it is

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this weather front around it which will be the focus for some

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more persistent rain, particularly across parts of western Scotland.

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That will edge its way southwards ever so slightly.

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Some breaks in the rain, particularly to the east of high ground

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but turning wetter to the east of Northern Ireland

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and northern England later.

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Still lots of showers, particularly for Wales and the South West.

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This is where they will be most frequent and heaviest.

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Further east, fewer showers.

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A lot of you will stay dry and bright for a good part of the day,

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even if it is just a case of one passing shower.

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Temperatures 15-20 Celsius.

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21 Celsius still lower than you would probably hope for on an August

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afternoon.

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Into Wednesday, the low continues to move northwards and eastwards.

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A more north-westerly flow across the country,

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this means that southern

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and eastern areas are more likely to stay largely dry throughout

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the day and a little bit warmer,

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23 Celsius in the south-east corner, fresher towards the North.

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Just about anyone could see a shower.

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Into Thursday, the showers could be more focused through

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north-eastern parts of Scotland,

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maybe longer spells of rain before that pushes off into the North Sea.

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Again it is the South West and Wales where the atmosphere is

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ripe for frequent showers, some heavy and thundery.

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Showers turn lighter further north, winds lighter as well by Thursday.

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But the reason the showers are starting to lose their oomph is

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we have this area of high pressure in the Atlantic trying to

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nose its way in. Put a bit of a cap on the atmosphere,

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the shower clouds cannot build up quite so much.

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So fewer showers, more in the way of dryer and brighter

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weather, particularly across southern and western parts.

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More of you will stay dry for longer during the day, if not all day long.

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Temperatures, though, still a little bit on the disappointing side.

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From Saturday through to the following Tuesday,

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this is the general set-up as we see it.

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Most likely to have low pressure towards Scandinavia,

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high pressure to the south-west of us.

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Still keeping a north-westerly air, it is potential that

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low pressure could be a little bit further west.

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If it is, there will be more rain across northern areas

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but the emphasis at the moment looks to be largely dry,

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a few showers around, tending to be lighter with the driest

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warmest weather towards the far South and the West.

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We will of course keep you updated on how that pans out on the BBC

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weather website.

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I'm Jo Brand and I'm serving up an Extra Slice of Bake Off action

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with a panel of celebrity fans.

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I'll shine a spotlight on all the goings-on in the tent -

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