19/08/2014 Weather for the Week Ahead


19/08/2014

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Hello. It looks like we'll see some changes to our weather patterns

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over the weekend into the early part of next week.

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More of that in a moment because for the next few days,

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the weather's going to be pretty similar.

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We've got this pattern set up at the moment,

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a large area of low pressure to the East,

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a big area of high pressure to the West, we're between the two.

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Follow the isobars, they head all the way up to the Arctic,

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and that is where our air is coming from.

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With these northerly winds, it's always going to remain pretty chilly.

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A fair few showers around.

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Could be a wet start across Northwest England, North Wales, the Midlands.

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That zone of showers becomes more scattered for the afternoon.

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We're just left with a sprinkling of showers,

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and for many it will be a dry and a bright afternoon,

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but with those northerly winds, it's not going to be warm.

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15 or 16 Celsius for most towns and cities,

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quite a few degrees below the average.

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Tomorrow night's going to be cold as well.

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The showers will steadily fade through the evening

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and the winds will die down, and with long clear spells,

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temperatures will be plummeting widely, even in urban areas

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down to single digits, and in rural areas up and down the UK,

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we'll be at 3 to 5 Celsius as we start Wednesday.

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Wednesday's pressure pattern still shows high pressure

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out to the West, low pressure over Scandinavia,

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so we've still got the northerly flow but there's not as many isobars

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on the chart on Wednesday, so the winds won't be as strong.

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Cold, but a potentially sunny start,

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a scattering of showers again developing,

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but for many it will stay dry.

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Maybe some more persistent rain to the Northwest later on.

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With lighter winds, it might feel a touch warmer on Wednesday,

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but those temperatures still below average,

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still most places struggling to get into the mid-teens.

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For Wednesday night and Thursday, an area of low pressure develops

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and pushes southwards, again coming down from the North.

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Where this weather front lies, that will enhance the showers.

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It looks like Northern areas see the wettest conditions on Thursday.

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Further South, many places dry and bright, just a scattering of showers,

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but again only 13 to 14 Celsius.

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Friday, that weather system is further South

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so that's where the emphasis will be,

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something a bit drier further north.

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But it's still on the cool side.

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Into the weekend, Bank Holiday for some.

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High-pressure is moving in towards the UK.

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That low-pressure disappearing across Scandinavia, so actually,

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certainly the first day of the weekend looks quite promising.

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Dry and bright, yes, a cold start, one or two scattered showers,

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chiefly in the East, but many places having sunny spells,

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and with light winds, temperatures a little bit higher.

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So for the rest of this week, the weather patterns are pretty static

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because the jet stream is fairly feeble

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and it's well to the South of the UK, allowing the colder air,

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so it stays chilly for the rest of the week

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with that mixture of sunshine and showers.

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The change comes at the weekend into the early part of next week,

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when the jet stream becomes a bit faster

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and it looks like it will be moving more directly from West to East.

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It may not be in this exact position

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but somewhere across the UK it will be driving its way in.

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When this happens, you tend to get more active areas

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of low pressure close by to the UK,

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or just to the North, and it certainly means the winds

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will be more coming in from the West rather than the North.

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It perhaps won't be as cold,

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but with low-pressure nearby, that's never going to be settled.

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These low-pressure systems coming in will continue to bring

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showers on Sunday and Monday.

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Showers mostly focused on the West with drier conditions in the East,

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and it will often be breezy, but as I said,

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it won't be quite as cold, certainly not at night. Goodbye.

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