02/05/2016 Weather for the Week Ahead


02/05/2016

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Many of us were glad to see the back of the month of April.

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We had everything bar the kitchen sink

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thrown at us last week, didn't we?

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Yes, we had rain, we had hail, even some snow,

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as depicted by this fabulous weather-watcher's picture,

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and widespread frost across the country.

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However, change of month, change of weather type

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and with this week we are going to gradually see a warming trend.

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Perhaps into the weekend, temperatures into the low 20s -

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way above the average for this time of year.

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More on that in just a moment.

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Let's get back to the here and now and for the remainder of

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Bank Holiday Monday it looks likely that we will continue to see

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some wet and windy weather pushing in from the west,

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driving its way steadily south and east.

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Some of that rain heavy on west-facing slopes

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and the winds pretty strong as well.

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Ahead of it, it'll stay dry for most of the day with rain

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arriving in the south-east corner by the end of the afternoon.

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Behind it, a trail of showers

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making its way across Northern Ireland into parts of Scotland,

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some of those showers quite intense but it will be milder than of late.

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A slice of sunshine as the rain starts to ease

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and not too many showers across northern England,

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Wales and the south-west,

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our weather front by the middle of the afternoon sitting through

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Lincolnshire down into East Anglia and the south-east corner.

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But those temperatures still on the mild side.

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Now, the rain will ease away through the night and behind

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we will see clearer skies across England

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and Wales but the winds still remain a feature to the north and west.

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We'll still keep some showers, some of them wintry

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for a time through the night and they will

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continue into Tuesday with high pressure building slowly but surely.

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Highs generally on Tuesday of around 10 to 16 degrees,

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a good deal of dry weather in the story.

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The high pressure then moves across England and Wales,

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allows for clearer skies

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and a chilly night into the start of Wednesday morning

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but pushes the weather front up into the north-west.

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Most of the unsettled weather will sit here.

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But that does mean that there is a potential,

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first thing on Wednesday, to see a light frost,

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perhaps the last of the frost we will see for quite some time.

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But there will be some lovely spells of sunshine across England

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and Wales and with a southerly wind,

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temperatures will recover to highs of 17 degrees.

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Wetter and windier weather continues up into the north-west

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and that frontal system will slowly edge its way south

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and east during Thursday but almost dying off in situ, really -

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a band of cloud, the odd spot or two of rain by then.

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Showers and breezy following on behind, dry, sunny and pleasantly

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warm by now with highs of 19 to 20 degrees not out of the question.

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As we move out of Thursday into Friday, we've got

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high pressure centred over to Scandinavia and this area of

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low pressure down into the south-west near Spain and Portugal.

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The position of that low could be quite interesting as to whether

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or how much it allows warm, moist air to move up from Africa.

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But it does look on Friday as though things will stay relatively quiet,

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relatively dry and relatively warm, really,

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with highs of 20 degrees,

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possibly warmer still as we move into Saturday.

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But always the risk of the threat of perhaps something a little

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more thundery as we move into the start of the weekend.

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So this trend looks likely to continue

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into the 8 to 10 day period, with high pressure into Scandinavia,

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low down into the south-west and that's allowing that

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warm, humid air to push up,

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but maybe also responsible for sparking off a few

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thundery downpours as those temperatures reach the mid-20s,

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potentially, into that 6 to 10 day period.

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So, a lot to look forward to over the next few days.

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