28/05/2016 Weather for the Week Ahead

Hello. Some complications remain with the forecast for the bank holiday weekend,

particularly with regards to Monday.

But, overall, for many of us, there's some fine weather to be had,

largely dry through good chunks of the weekend,

and when the sun is out, it will be warm.

True, there will be a sprinkling of thunderstorms around and then,

the question marks about Monday -

it does look as though there will be some rain heading to the east.

Further west, we've seen the thunderstorms during Friday

and again on Saturday, likely to see some heavy,

thundery downpours developing, particularly in the afternoon.

As it brightens up, it could spark some intense storms

over parts of Wales and southern counties of England.

Some torrential downpours possible.

Parts of Northern Ireland and West of Scotland may also see a downpour.

Many places dry and brightening up after a grey start.

22 in the sunshine, cooler on the North Sea coast

where some places will stay rather grey.

Now, those heavy showers will continue to trudge further north

during Saturday evening,

slowly fizzling out through the early hours of Sunday morning.

So, many places start Sunday dry but wherever we've had a downpour,

it leaves a lot of moisture

so there could be a lot of mist and low cloud hanging around.

There's not a lot of wind to shift that mist

because the pressure pattern is pretty slack across the UK.

Weak area of high pressure dominating, this area

of low pressure is a significant player,

though, as we go into Sunday and Monday.

On Sunday, there is the potential for it to throw some rain

late in the day across the far south-east.

But, for many, Sunday is dry again, quite a lot of cloud in places,

particularly the East Coast, but most of us seeing some sunshine.

Not as many showers for Wales and south-west England.

There will be some heavy ones, chiefly in the far north-west.

And, again, in the sunshine, 20 degrees or more,

noticeably cooler on the easternmost coast.

And then, that area of low pressure.

If you were with me yesterday, we were talking about the uncertainty -

just how far in is that area of low pressure going to get?

Where will the rain reach during the course of Monday?

The computer models are getting a better handle on this

and so the outlook now is that across parts of eastern England,

that low pressure will be bringing cloud

and some outbreaks of rain and an increasing breeze, too.

Cloud thrown up generally across eastern areas,

slowly moving west, but for much of western Britain,

Monday looks like a half decent day.

Temperatures in the sunny spells, 19 or 20 Celsius.

Now, the low will drift across the UK

at some point during Monday night and into Tuesday,

and that will dominate the weather,

certainly across England and Wales during Tuesday,

bringing a lot of cloud and outbreaks of rain.

Further north, high pressure is trying to build in,

there could well still be a few showers around

but with the winds coming from the east, western Scotland

could see some decent temperatures with a bit of sunshine.

Those eastern areas - always susceptible to breeze from the North Sea.

With this set-up, high pressure across the north,

low pressure to the south,

we will continue to feed in those easterly winds.

So, it's always going to be cooler in the east.

The best of any brightness across the west.

And that's how we look for much of next week.

We start the week with low pressure bringing cloud and rain,

particularly across England and Wales.

Slowly, that will fail and fade and drift to the south

and the high pressure to the north will become the dominant feature.

But it could be a slow old process.

The best of the dry and the bright weather likely across Scotland

and Northern Ireland as that high builds in.

With the flow coming around the high and around the low,

the winds are always going to be coming in from the North Sea.

Now, that is never going to be a warm wind direction

so the outlook well into next week, no heatwave, staying cool.

It will dry up as that low pressure system clears away.

The best of the bright weather will be across western areas

away from those winds and probably some of the warmest conditions, too.

Goodbye.

CROW CAWS

# The whole world sitting on a ticking bomb...

You should leave the monastery immediately.

# The whole world sitting on a ticking bomb...

You do not realise the danger.

You are many things, Aramis, but a monk is not one of them.