17/06/2016 Weather for the Week Ahead


17/06/2016

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Hello. I suspect if we did an opinion poll on this week's weather,

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most of us would be in the 'miserable' camp.

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It's been awful...but not for all.

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Look at this lovely picture

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from Guernsey.

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In fact, we've seen beautiful sunshine

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across the Northern Isles this week.

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But for many

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the shower clouds gathered

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and, when they came,

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they came with intensity.

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They've brought localised flooding

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in places too.

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The low pressure responsible

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is drifting away.

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High pressure is set to build

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and quieten things down

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as we move towards the weekend.

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It's only a fleeting glance.

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Further lows await in the wings,

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ready to arrive

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for the start of a new working week.

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For Friday, there's potential

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for rain.

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Some of it light and patchy,

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drifting south and east

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out of eastern Scotland

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and into north-east England.

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We'll see thundery downpours

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across England and Wales.

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They should be further south

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and east, compared to recent days.

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Some of them will be heavy.

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Possibility again of localised flooding.

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The further north and west you go,

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the best of the brightness

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you will see on Friday.

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The showers will ease Friday

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through to Saturday,

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but we'll still see

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the legacy of low cloud and drizzle

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filtering in off the North Sea

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and spilling south and east.

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It could be a disappointing start

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first thing in the morning

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across the south-east on Saturday.

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Be patient.

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The weather will improve.

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Brightness and sunshine

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will push through out to the west.

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That's where we're likely to see

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the best of the weather on Saturday.

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Highest values of 12-18 degrees.

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A good deal of dry weather.

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As we go into Sunday,

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it looks like we'll see

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a weak weather front

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pushing in from the north and west.

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By now, just a band of cloud

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with maybe some isolated showers.

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But that means that eastern areas

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may see more sun

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for the second half of the weekend.

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As a consequence,

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we'll see temperatures a degree or so higher

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with a south-westerly wind taking over.

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Highs of 12 to 20 degrees.

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That's 68 Fahrenheit.

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That weather front moves through on Monday

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bringing some wet and windy weather

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for a time, with showers pushing in.

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The wind still coming from a south-westerly direction,

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so it's a milder source. 17-20 degrees.

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If you keep the sunshine,

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you might see temperatures into the low 20s.

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The front clears through,

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Monday into Tuesday.

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Still rather breezy into the north-west.

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Still the potential for showers on Tuesday.

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It looks like we'll see outbreaks of showers

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easing away, improving again

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to more sunshine coming through.

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Highs likely of 17-22 degrees.

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That's 72 Fahrenheit.

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If we move out of Tuesday

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to the 6-10 day period,

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we keep that high potentially

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down to the south,

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but always the risk

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of tightly squeezed isobars

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into the north and west,

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and low pressures moving in.

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And it looks as though the jet stream will start to be

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more of a key player.

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It's been fairly weak and flabby in recent days,

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but it looks likely to sandwich itself through

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the spine of the country, with low pressure to the north,

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and that will keep things pretty unsettled...

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High pressure to the south, which potentially could give us

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some drier weather.

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However, if the jet stream has more of a defined kink to it,

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the 6-10 day period will still keep the low pressure up to

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the north-west, but we could drive in more warm, humid air from

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the near continent, and we all know what that could potentially lead to.

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Yes, it could stay more unsettled and windy,

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but, despite it being warm,

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we could see the potential for some thundery activity in the south-east.

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A lot of uncertainty. We'll firm up as and when.

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Their own war heroes are arming themselves to march on the palace.

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Your friends are trouble.

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Oh, no! Fire!

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