10/08/2016 Weather for the Week Ahead

Hello there, from a touch of frost to oppressive heat,

via some heavy rain and some pleasant sunshine, it's all in

this forecast, so stay tuned over the next three and a half minutes.

Certainly, a coolish feel to things first thing on Wednesday,

yes, a touch of frost in one or two Scottish glens,

pretty unusual for the time of the year,

and we've got these fronts pushing in off the Atlantic and they are

going to cloud things up with time after a bright start for many.

One of two showers across eastern counties,

but the main event is further west,

damp and dreary across Northern Ireland and this damp weather

will then extend its way eastwards into western parts of Scotland.

A bit of brightness holding on across easternmost areas.

But under the cloud cover, it will feel disappointingly cool,

temperatures in many of these western areas stuck in the

mid-teens at best. This is mid-afternoon.

The cloud spreading across England and Wales,

some of that dampness turning up towards the western coast but

further east it should be mostly dry bar the odd shower

and some brightness holding on across the south-east, here the

best of the temperatures nudging 20 degrees in one or two places.

Now, the fronts continue to move eastwards overnight

and it does mean a rather damp start here, actually, on Thursday.

I think the rain will tend to ease off, so most of us improving

but I'm afraid across the north-west of Scotland it keeps on raining,

some persistent and heavy rain here.

Some warm sunshine developing, though, further south on Thursday.

But I'm going to concentrate on the far north-west,

because here we are going to see some heavy and persistent

rain through Thursday and perhaps into Friday, some places

seeing 100mm or more across the north-west Highlands.

And it's still raining here on Friday morning.

And a very strong wind too. A day of contrasts,

because down across the south and east of the country it will

feel very pleasant, with temperatures up into the mid-20s.

It would be quite as warm as that as we start the weekend,

because this front, this cold front will edge its way southwards.

Not much rain on it, the front dying a death,

it's getting squashed out by high pressure.

But a band of cloud and the odd shower perhaps for a time.

Behind that, brighter skies, a better day for the west of Scotland,

though there will be the odd shower,

quite a fresh field here, quite warm and muggy across the south.

Now, the cloud will break up on Sunday, so even here we will

see some sunshine. For most it's going to be a feel-good sort of day.

High teens, low 20s across the board, with fairly light winds.

To sum up this weekend, looking good if you've got outdoor plans,

some sunshine, most of us

will stay dry and it will feel pleasantly warm,

not too warm for most of us through this weekend.

That could change.

Our computer models are gaining some kind of consensus here.

Most of them are indicating that temperatures will be on the rise

through the early part of next week,

just how hot it gets is still open to some question.

But the message is, we are going to see much, much warmer weather

coming up from the south, actually, during the early part of next week.

Here come those hot winds, exactly how hot it gets, as I say,

still open to some question but potentially most computer models

do indicate that around 30 degrees is possible.

It's going to turn quite warm, quite muggy as well,

that combination of heat and humidity

will start to spark some thunderstorms initially

coming in from the south-west.

Now, the question is, how long does the heat last?

And again, most computer models indicate that it's not going to

last long, it starts to cool again as that thundery breakdown comes in

from the south-west later on in the week.

So to sum up next week, heat and humidity, then a thundery breakdown

around about the middle of the week, before it turns fresher again later.

I'll update you again tomorrow.