24/12/2016 Weather for the Week Ahead

Hello again. There are some big changes in the weather pattern

as we head towards New Year but the next few days continues

this very boisterous weather, if you like.

Strong jet stream picking up areas of low pressure.

Another storm is going to develop out in the Atlantic

from this area of cloud,

that's going to be Storm Conor.

More recently, of course, we've been battered,

especially in the north and west by Storm Barbara.

That, though, is blowing away

the centre of low pressure,

moving away from the UK.

Still a lot of isobars on the chart

so it will be very windy once again.

And through the night into Christmas Eve,

we're going to find lots of showers

continuing across the north,

blustery winds too, and some more snow

in the hills and mountains of Scotland again

so really, pretty atrocious weather here.

It could be quite icy as well.

Further south, skies will clear,

the winds won't be as strong,

it will be a little on the chilly side.

More windy weather though

across northern parts of the UK

on Christmas Eve and more frequent showers.

Again, wintry in Scotland,

a few showers for England and Wales

but much drier as you head

further south and east, sunshine.

Temperatures may be in double figures,

it'll feel much colder further north

though with all that wet and windy weather

and rain arrives in the north-west later on.

That will move northwards during the night.

Christmas Day morning though

will be extremely mild -

13, 14, even 15 degrees.

But there will be a lot of cloud,

there'll be some really gusty winds,

especially over into the east of high ground,

and this weather front will focus

a band of thicker cloud and rain,

that will move its way slowly southwards.

Ahead of it, the mild air continues

to the north where it gets cold enough

for some wintry showers in the north of Scotland

later on Christmas Day so, belatedly,

it may be a white Christmas

but only probably in the north of Scotland.

That colder air comes in behind that cold front,

pushing away all the mild air.

Got to focus, though, on the area of low pressure

that's to the north of Scotland -

that, of course, by Boxing Day,

will be Conor, Storm Conor,

and it's on Boxing Day that

it's going to be closest to the UK.

You can see how it just spins round a little bit

and just hits the far north-east of Scotland.

It's here we have the amber wind warning.

By Boxing Day, 80mph winds or so.

Very gusty winds for the rest of Scotland,

quite a few wintry showers too.

Further south, it's much drier

and the winds won't be as strong either.

As we head into Tuesday,

we're all again in that colder air

but across northern parts of the UK,

it may not feel quite as cold by Tuesday

because the wind won't be as strong by then.

Conor long gone and instead

we're building up high pressure

from the near continent from the south,

settling things down,

bringing a lot more dry weather and some sunshine

and the winds will be lighter as well.

The position of the high will be crucial.

Nearer the centre of the high pressure

in the south-east of the UK,

we may have some frost and some fog,

hopefully a bit of sunshine as well,

but as you head more towards

the north-west, things will be different.

So nearer the centre of the high pressure, this is where the

winds will be lighter, we've got the threat of frost and fog.

Further north and west though, we'll have a much stronger wind,

it's going to be pretty mild,

but it means much more cloud and across the north-west,

there could be some weather fronts just bringing some spells of

thicker cloud and rain as well.

Now, as we head towards New Year,

this is where we get a significant change

because the high pressure then gets pushed away down much further south,

fades away, and instead,

behind a weather front that's coming down to bring some rain,

we get some northerly winds

so it'll be colder, cleaner air

but there may be a few wintry showers.

Goodbye.