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Spending has been Britain's national obsession. | 0:00:03 | 0:00:06 | |
There's nothing we've liked better than to splash a bit of cash. | 0:00:06 | 0:00:11 | |
The richer we've got, the more we've all fallen in love with spending. | 0:00:11 | 0:00:17 | |
And you know what? | 0:00:17 | 0:00:18 | |
So have our politicians. | 0:00:18 | 0:00:21 | |
Only now the party's over. | 0:00:23 | 0:00:26 | |
We're feeling the pinch | 0:00:26 | 0:00:28 | |
and our politicians are facing some hard choices. | 0:00:28 | 0:00:32 | |
In this series I'm out to get us talking about your money | 0:00:32 | 0:00:36 | |
and how they spend it. We'll examine who gets what and why. | 0:00:36 | 0:00:40 | |
-So do you want to give her the money? -Actually, no. | 0:00:40 | 0:00:44 | |
Oh, you don't want to give old people the money?! | 0:00:44 | 0:00:46 | |
-I thought you said you did. -Old working class people. | 0:00:46 | 0:00:49 | |
And I'll be showing what bang you get for your buck. | 0:00:49 | 0:00:53 | |
The cost to you - | 0:00:53 | 0:00:54 | |
a mere £5 billion. | 0:00:54 | 0:00:57 | |
C'mon! We'll find out who forks out the most in tax... | 0:00:58 | 0:01:02 | |
..and explore the bizarre way the system actually works. | 0:01:04 | 0:01:08 | |
They have VAT but they don't have VAT, | 0:01:08 | 0:01:10 | |
but that's not a biscuit it's a cake. | 0:01:10 | 0:01:12 | |
It's as clear as mud, isn't it? It really, really is. | 0:01:12 | 0:01:15 | |
I'll be finding out why spending's set to keep rising. | 0:01:15 | 0:01:19 | |
Well, there's not many people coming to you saying, | 0:01:19 | 0:01:22 | |
"Here's what we can stop doing." There's a lot of people queuing up | 0:01:22 | 0:01:26 | |
saying "Here's what we can start doing, | 0:01:26 | 0:01:28 | |
"here's somewhere else to spend our money." | 0:01:28 | 0:01:30 | |
And how politicians keep getting into tangles over tax. | 0:01:33 | 0:01:38 | |
Talking about tax and politics is like talking about sex in public. | 0:01:38 | 0:01:42 | |
Everyone knows it's around, but they don't like to talk about it. | 0:01:42 | 0:01:45 | |
We'll be discovering why politicians keep fooling themselves | 0:01:45 | 0:01:49 | |
that the economy will always be plain sailing. | 0:01:49 | 0:01:53 | |
But what they and what we amateur sailors have to know | 0:01:53 | 0:01:57 | |
is that it can all change incredibly fast. | 0:01:57 | 0:02:01 | |
Right now, we're facing the biggest spending squeeze | 0:02:03 | 0:02:06 | |
since the Second World War. | 0:02:06 | 0:02:08 | |
Tonight, we find out how on earth we got here. | 0:02:08 | 0:02:11 | |
If you've ever wondered how politicians | 0:02:12 | 0:02:15 | |
spend your money or why they spend it in the way they do, | 0:02:15 | 0:02:19 | |
follow me - we'll find out. | 0:02:19 | 0:02:22 | |
I'm on a mission to get us talking about how we spend, | 0:02:36 | 0:02:39 | |
and where better to start than one of Britain's shopping temples - | 0:02:39 | 0:02:43 | |
Manchester's Trafford Centre. | 0:02:43 | 0:02:45 | |
I've got something in my briefcase which means | 0:02:45 | 0:02:48 | |
I've had to borrow a security guard. | 0:02:48 | 0:02:50 | |
It's full of your money. | 0:02:50 | 0:02:53 | |
That's right, yours. | 0:02:53 | 0:02:56 | |
This is how much the government spends | 0:02:56 | 0:03:00 | |
on behalf of every family each year. | 0:03:00 | 0:03:02 | |
About £20?! | 0:03:02 | 0:03:04 | |
About £20? | 0:03:04 | 0:03:06 | |
'£20! Well, how much do you reckon?' | 0:03:06 | 0:03:09 | |
-I've got something for you here. -Oh, yeah! | 0:03:11 | 0:03:13 | |
-This is for you. Your money. -Lovely. -How much is there? | 0:03:13 | 0:03:17 | |
£4,000? | 0:03:17 | 0:03:19 | |
£5,000? £10,000? | 0:03:19 | 0:03:21 | |
£20,000? | 0:03:21 | 0:03:23 | |
£22,000. That's yours. | 0:03:24 | 0:03:26 | |
-Ah, lovely. -It's a lot of money! | 0:03:26 | 0:03:28 | |
-Oh, I know. Taxpayers' money. -Yes. | 0:03:28 | 0:03:31 | |
-Oh, my God! -Is that a bit tempting? | 0:03:31 | 0:03:33 | |
Yes, it's nice. | 0:03:33 | 0:03:35 | |
Am I making you think "I'd like some of that"? | 0:03:35 | 0:03:37 | |
-Do they spend it well? -I wouldn't say so, no. -Why not? | 0:03:37 | 0:03:40 | |
Cos we don't see much of it. | 0:03:40 | 0:03:42 | |
It would definitely help in my life. | 0:03:42 | 0:03:44 | |
Actually, it wouldn't. It's all fake I'm afraid. | 0:03:44 | 0:03:47 | |
I'll still take it! | 0:03:47 | 0:03:49 | |
You see, while we all hear a lot about cuts, | 0:03:51 | 0:03:54 | |
we don't have a clear idea about what the government | 0:03:54 | 0:03:57 | |
actually spends on us. | 0:03:57 | 0:03:59 | |
So let's start with that £22,000 I've been hawking around. | 0:04:03 | 0:04:08 | |
Where does it all go? | 0:04:08 | 0:04:10 | |
Add all those £22,000s up together | 0:04:12 | 0:04:15 | |
and you get a pretty eye-watering amount - £692 billion. | 0:04:15 | 0:04:20 | |
Now there are seven big budgets | 0:04:20 | 0:04:22 | |
which make up more than three quarters of all government spending. | 0:04:22 | 0:04:26 | |
Let's have a look at them. | 0:04:26 | 0:04:27 | |
There's transport, law and order, | 0:04:27 | 0:04:29 | |
defence and, at the moment, bigger than them all, debt interest. | 0:04:29 | 0:04:34 | |
But the three really big ones are these. | 0:04:34 | 0:04:37 | |
Education - that's about £2,800 per family. | 0:04:37 | 0:04:42 | |
In total, over £90 billion. | 0:04:42 | 0:04:46 | |
Health - that's about £3,800 per family | 0:04:46 | 0:04:50 | |
or in total about £121 billion. | 0:04:50 | 0:04:53 | |
And then Social Security, the whopper, £194 billion. | 0:04:53 | 0:04:58 | |
For every family, that's just over £6,000. | 0:04:58 | 0:05:03 | |
That, of course, isn't just benefits for the unemployed or disabled | 0:05:03 | 0:05:06 | |
but the big pension bill as well. | 0:05:06 | 0:05:08 | |
Now let's ignore the deficit for a moment. | 0:05:10 | 0:05:12 | |
The big problem facing politicians long term is that those big bills | 0:05:12 | 0:05:17 | |
just keep rising. | 0:05:17 | 0:05:20 | |
This is Spitalfields Market in London, | 0:05:25 | 0:05:29 | |
where, once a month, pensioners gather for a tea dance. | 0:05:29 | 0:05:33 | |
Many here are over 80 - | 0:05:35 | 0:05:37 | |
glorious proof that we are living longer, often healthier lives | 0:05:37 | 0:05:41 | |
but ones, let's face it, with higher bills attached. | 0:05:41 | 0:05:45 | |
First things first though. Could I make it onto Strictly? | 0:05:49 | 0:05:52 | |
I haven't a clue where I'm going. You're very good at leading. | 0:05:56 | 0:05:59 | |
'In 1901, there were just 60,000 people aged 85 or over.' | 0:05:59 | 0:06:04 | |
You can't, you just know it in your head! | 0:06:09 | 0:06:11 | |
'Now there are 1.5 million, 25 times as many. | 0:06:11 | 0:06:15 | |
'And that figure is set to double in the next 20 years. | 0:06:15 | 0:06:18 | |
'There'll be 3 million over 85 year olds.' | 0:06:18 | 0:06:21 | |
Am I learning? | 0:06:24 | 0:06:26 | |
'What we're all learning is just how expensive that will be.' | 0:06:27 | 0:06:31 | |
You're getting there! | 0:06:33 | 0:06:35 | |
I can now feel the rhythm, I'm not sure what I'm doing with my... | 0:06:35 | 0:06:39 | |
-Oh! -Sorry. -Sorry, my fault. | 0:06:39 | 0:06:42 | |
In 50 years' time, we're forecast to be spending £80 billion more | 0:06:42 | 0:06:47 | |
each year just to cope with our ageing population. | 0:06:47 | 0:06:50 | |
That's more than double the defence budget. | 0:06:50 | 0:06:53 | |
If you had to hold up cards like they do on Strictly? | 0:06:59 | 0:07:01 | |
-On your dancing? -My dancing. -You can't dance. | 0:07:01 | 0:07:04 | |
-No? -Oh, don't say that. | 0:07:04 | 0:07:06 | |
-No, he can't. -No?(!) | 0:07:06 | 0:07:08 | |
I didn't tread on your toes too often? | 0:07:08 | 0:07:10 | |
No, you didn't tread on my toes at all. You were a perfect gentleman. | 0:07:10 | 0:07:13 | |
Thank you very much. | 0:07:13 | 0:07:15 | |
Now with so many people living to a good age, | 0:07:15 | 0:07:17 | |
do you ever think where the money will come from to pay for it? | 0:07:17 | 0:07:21 | |
No, I don't worry about that because I'll be six feet under by then! | 0:07:21 | 0:07:24 | |
It's my problem, you mean? | 0:07:24 | 0:07:26 | |
I think our children have that worry, not us. | 0:07:26 | 0:07:29 | |
It's going to get more pricey, isn't it, | 0:07:29 | 0:07:31 | |
-with so many people living older? -Yes, it certainly is. | 0:07:31 | 0:07:35 | |
But I'm not that anxious to go anywhere yet! | 0:07:35 | 0:07:38 | |
I'm going to hang on as long as possible, | 0:07:38 | 0:07:41 | |
and I hope everyone else does. | 0:07:41 | 0:07:42 | |
Mind you, we've worked a lot of years, | 0:07:42 | 0:07:45 | |
-and we've paid in a lot of years. -Yeah. -All of us. | 0:07:45 | 0:07:49 | |
Even if you dance as badly as I do, you leave the tea dance | 0:07:55 | 0:07:59 | |
at Spitalfields feeling pretty good. | 0:07:59 | 0:08:02 | |
It's a celebration of growing older, rather than people moping about it. | 0:08:02 | 0:08:06 | |
And yet as our politicians try to keep in step | 0:08:06 | 0:08:09 | |
with our ever-ageing population, they find themselves | 0:08:09 | 0:08:13 | |
getting into a tangle too. | 0:08:13 | 0:08:15 | |
You see, politicians find it very hard to cut back | 0:08:19 | 0:08:23 | |
on spending on the elderly so let me tell you a story. | 0:08:23 | 0:08:27 | |
It's about winter fuel allowance, a new benefit introduced | 0:08:27 | 0:08:31 | |
by Labour in 1997 at a cost | 0:08:31 | 0:08:34 | |
of £268 million in today's money. | 0:08:34 | 0:08:38 | |
The winter fuel allowance, when it was introduced, | 0:08:38 | 0:08:41 | |
was intended as just a little bit of extra help. | 0:08:41 | 0:08:43 | |
£20 a year for every pensioner, regardless of how wealthy they were. | 0:08:43 | 0:08:47 | |
But that was soon to change when Gordon Brown was accused of being | 0:08:47 | 0:08:51 | |
a miser when he introduced an increase in the weekly pension | 0:08:51 | 0:08:56 | |
of just 75p. | 0:08:56 | 0:08:59 | |
The fury that that produced | 0:08:59 | 0:09:00 | |
confirmed what every politician knows - | 0:09:00 | 0:09:02 | |
there is nothing so terrifying as a pensioner who feels wronged. | 0:09:02 | 0:09:08 | |
Tony Blair even dubbed them "like Rottweilers on speed." | 0:09:08 | 0:09:14 | |
Britain's pensioners went into battle over the 75p rise. | 0:09:15 | 0:09:20 | |
Oh, it was an insult wasn't it? | 0:09:20 | 0:09:23 | |
Absolute insult to all of us. | 0:09:23 | 0:09:26 | |
Norah Knight was so angry about this year's 75p pension rise | 0:09:26 | 0:09:30 | |
she sent it back to Gordon Brown in the form of a cheque. | 0:09:30 | 0:09:34 | |
Then to add insult to injury, | 0:09:34 | 0:09:37 | |
she was astounded to find the Treasury cashed her cheque. | 0:09:37 | 0:09:40 | |
And when pensioners start hijacking buses you know you're in trouble. | 0:09:40 | 0:09:45 | |
ALL: What do we want, pensions rights! | 0:09:45 | 0:09:48 | |
The then Chancellor Gordon Brown | 0:09:48 | 0:09:51 | |
decided to throw money at the problem. | 0:09:51 | 0:09:53 | |
And winter fuel allowance went up... | 0:09:53 | 0:09:56 | |
The winter allowance is currently paid to all 8 million | 0:09:56 | 0:10:00 | |
elderly households at £20. | 0:10:00 | 0:10:03 | |
I've decided to raise it to £100. | 0:10:03 | 0:10:07 | |
..and up... | 0:10:07 | 0:10:09 | |
It will be paid not at £150, | 0:10:09 | 0:10:12 | |
but at £200 for every... | 0:10:12 | 0:10:13 | |
CRIES OF DISCONTENT | 0:10:13 | 0:10:16 | |
..for every pensioner household. | 0:10:16 | 0:10:18 | |
..and up... | 0:10:18 | 0:10:19 | |
For this year, for those over 70, on top of the winter fuel payment, | 0:10:19 | 0:10:23 | |
we will pay an additional £100 to each household. | 0:10:23 | 0:10:27 | |
So by 2004, the cost had risen to... | 0:10:30 | 0:10:35 | |
£2.3 billion, eight times more than it originally cost. | 0:10:35 | 0:10:40 | |
With fuel bills rising you might say, "Why not?" | 0:10:43 | 0:10:46 | |
But can we really afford to keep giving it to everyone, | 0:10:46 | 0:10:50 | |
no matter how rich they are? | 0:10:50 | 0:10:52 | |
I've got £200 here, right. | 0:10:52 | 0:10:54 | |
I want to know is it a good idea that the government | 0:10:54 | 0:10:57 | |
gives £200 to old people for winter fuel allowance. | 0:10:57 | 0:11:00 | |
-Is that a good idea? -Old people should be prioritised | 0:11:00 | 0:11:02 | |
cos they don't work, and the pension is not really a good rate. | 0:11:02 | 0:11:05 | |
-So give them this money? -Yeah, absolutely, yeah. | 0:11:05 | 0:11:08 | |
-So do you want to give her the money? -Actually, no. | 0:11:08 | 0:11:11 | |
Oh, you don't want to give old people the money? | 0:11:11 | 0:11:13 | |
-I thought you did want to give them money? -Old working class people. | 0:11:13 | 0:11:16 | |
-How about him? -Definitely not. | 0:11:16 | 0:11:18 | |
-Don't give him the money. -Him? | 0:11:18 | 0:11:20 | |
No way. These people are like, very wealthy. | 0:11:20 | 0:11:23 | |
-Definitely. -Definitely a good idea? -Yeah. Heat or eat. | 0:11:23 | 0:11:26 | |
Should he get the £200? | 0:11:26 | 0:11:28 | |
-I suppose it has to be means tested, I suppose. -What about her? | 0:11:28 | 0:11:32 | |
-No. -Or him? | 0:11:32 | 0:11:35 | |
I think they're quite well off. | 0:11:35 | 0:11:36 | |
They shouldn't get the £200? | 0:11:36 | 0:11:39 | |
Umm... When you put it like that I suppose, no. | 0:11:39 | 0:11:41 | |
So we like the idea of spending on the elderly, | 0:11:43 | 0:11:46 | |
but we're not so sure about handouts to those who don't need them. | 0:11:46 | 0:11:50 | |
And some wealthy pensioners agree, like nightclub impresario, | 0:11:52 | 0:11:56 | |
Peter Stringfellow, | 0:11:56 | 0:11:57 | |
a man so outraged by getting the money, | 0:11:57 | 0:12:00 | |
he went to the trouble of trying to send it back. | 0:12:00 | 0:12:04 | |
She's the big lady herself. | 0:12:04 | 0:12:06 | |
-So Peter, you're 70? -71st year. | 0:12:06 | 0:12:09 | |
-Not short of a bob or two? -No. | 0:12:09 | 0:12:12 | |
-More than one house? -Two. | 0:12:12 | 0:12:14 | |
-More than one nightclub? -Three. | 0:12:14 | 0:12:17 | |
Pay yourself enough to earn top rate tax? | 0:12:17 | 0:12:20 | |
Not too short of half a million a year. | 0:12:20 | 0:12:22 | |
Half a million pounds a year. | 0:12:22 | 0:12:23 | |
So how important is getting £200 a year from the government? | 0:12:23 | 0:12:27 | |
It's embarrassing to me. | 0:12:27 | 0:12:29 | |
I don't ask for it, I don't expect it, | 0:12:29 | 0:12:31 | |
it was not something that I knew was going to come along. | 0:12:31 | 0:12:35 | |
You wanted the government to give you the chance to say no? | 0:12:35 | 0:12:39 | |
Yes I did. Eventually, I got a letter back from them | 0:12:39 | 0:12:43 | |
saying you will not be receiving it in future! | 0:12:43 | 0:12:47 | |
"However, if you change your mind please let us know | 0:12:47 | 0:12:51 | |
"and then we'll reinstate it." | 0:12:51 | 0:12:52 | |
But that's not what I wanted. | 0:12:52 | 0:12:54 | |
I wanted them to change the whole policy of not giving it | 0:12:54 | 0:12:58 | |
to people who don't need it. | 0:12:58 | 0:12:59 | |
I think the problem with winter fuel allowance, it's indiscriminate | 0:13:02 | 0:13:06 | |
it's not targeted, it's not means tested so your actually giving | 0:13:06 | 0:13:10 | |
a reasonably significant amount of money overall | 0:13:10 | 0:13:15 | |
to people who didn't need it. | 0:13:15 | 0:13:17 | |
-Why did it happen then? -It happened because we have a great sympathy for the elderly. | 0:13:17 | 0:13:22 | |
We wanted and we pledged to create dignity for people in their old age. | 0:13:22 | 0:13:28 | |
You were in a hole as a government? | 0:13:28 | 0:13:30 | |
You'd increased the pension by 75p. | 0:13:30 | 0:13:32 | |
We had also shot ourselves in the foot one year. | 0:13:32 | 0:13:34 | |
by giving a very modest increase in the state pension | 0:13:34 | 0:13:40 | |
and there was inevitably a great backlash against that | 0:13:40 | 0:13:44 | |
so there was a bit of politics in this. | 0:13:44 | 0:13:48 | |
A bit of politics which comes at a very high price | 0:13:50 | 0:13:52 | |
and doesn't target money on those who need it most. | 0:13:52 | 0:13:57 | |
Even those who worked closely with Gordon Brown at Number 10 | 0:13:57 | 0:14:01 | |
think it's not the best way to spend our money. | 0:14:01 | 0:14:05 | |
If you go and ask Treasury officials, | 0:14:05 | 0:14:07 | |
they'd love to take away fuel allowance. | 0:14:07 | 0:14:09 | |
It would be first on their list. | 0:14:09 | 0:14:11 | |
So why hasn't it been cut? | 0:14:11 | 0:14:13 | |
Politics. | 0:14:13 | 0:14:14 | |
Because older people vote more than younger people. | 0:14:14 | 0:14:18 | |
They mobilise themselves. They want to defend their benefits. | 0:14:18 | 0:14:21 | |
And, you know, it's very, very hard in those circumstances | 0:14:21 | 0:14:24 | |
to confront them with the loss of a benefit, | 0:14:24 | 0:14:27 | |
and so, whatever the mandarins say, whatever the number crunchers say, | 0:14:27 | 0:14:31 | |
whatever policy wonks say, it comes down to a political judgement. | 0:14:31 | 0:14:35 | |
In the dying hours of last year's general election campaign, | 0:14:35 | 0:14:39 | |
David Cameron had to make exactly that judgement. | 0:14:39 | 0:14:43 | |
Labour's election supremos were targeting him, | 0:14:43 | 0:14:47 | |
claiming he'd axe benefits for the elderly. | 0:14:47 | 0:14:49 | |
The question was - how would he react? | 0:14:49 | 0:14:54 | |
David Cameron's whole strategy in changing the face | 0:14:54 | 0:14:57 | |
of the Conservative party was to say "We're caring." | 0:14:57 | 0:15:00 | |
So it's very difficult for them to repeal measures like | 0:15:00 | 0:15:04 | |
the winter fuel allowance cos you can imagine not only we as the opposition, | 0:15:04 | 0:15:07 | |
but many others, would come down on him like a tonne of bricks. | 0:15:07 | 0:15:10 | |
Let me say very clearly to pensioners. | 0:15:10 | 0:15:13 | |
If you have a Conservative government, | 0:15:13 | 0:15:15 | |
your winter fuel allowance, your bus pass, your pension credit, | 0:15:15 | 0:15:20 | |
your free TV licence, all these things are safe. | 0:15:20 | 0:15:24 | |
You can read my lips, that is a promise from my heart. | 0:15:24 | 0:15:27 | |
Can I ask you a personal question? | 0:15:29 | 0:15:31 | |
Do you get the winter fuel allowance? | 0:15:31 | 0:15:33 | |
I get the winter fuel allowance. | 0:15:33 | 0:15:35 | |
I have a Government car, so I don't get value for money | 0:15:35 | 0:15:38 | |
out of my pensioner's bus pass, but I regard them as tax rebates. | 0:15:38 | 0:15:42 | |
Is it sensible giving people with a reasonable amount of money, | 0:15:42 | 0:15:45 | |
tax-free sums? | 0:15:45 | 0:15:47 | |
I think we have to demonstrate our commitment to pensioners | 0:15:47 | 0:15:50 | |
and it's a message to pensioners that the Government | 0:15:50 | 0:15:53 | |
does have regard to the fact that pensioners are entitled | 0:15:53 | 0:15:57 | |
to various benefits. And we discussed it before the election, | 0:15:57 | 0:16:00 | |
we announced it before the election. It's an election promise we're keeping. | 0:16:00 | 0:16:04 | |
The reason that first Labour and then Conservative ministers | 0:16:07 | 0:16:11 | |
carried on spending billions of pounds on a policy | 0:16:11 | 0:16:14 | |
they've got doubts about is because they saw it | 0:16:14 | 0:16:17 | |
as a powerful political symbol | 0:16:17 | 0:16:20 | |
of how much they cared about the elderly. | 0:16:20 | 0:16:23 | |
The money that's still being spent on the winter fuel allowance | 0:16:23 | 0:16:26 | |
is not short of the amount that's been cut | 0:16:26 | 0:16:29 | |
from the university budget forcing the trebling of tuition fees. | 0:16:29 | 0:16:34 | |
Students may protest, they may even riot, | 0:16:34 | 0:16:37 | |
but politicians are much more scared of their grannies. | 0:16:37 | 0:16:42 | |
And if politicians daren't mess with spending on the elderly, | 0:16:44 | 0:16:48 | |
just imagine how wary they are of touching | 0:16:48 | 0:16:51 | |
the biggest sacred cow of them all - the NHS. | 0:16:51 | 0:16:54 | |
It all goes back to a summer's day just after the war, | 0:16:55 | 0:16:58 | |
in a suburb just outside Manchester. | 0:16:58 | 0:17:01 | |
It's been big, bold decisions to do things together | 0:17:01 | 0:17:05 | |
that have really driven up public spending. | 0:17:05 | 0:17:08 | |
A little over 60 years ago, here at the Trafford General Hospital, | 0:17:08 | 0:17:12 | |
the then Minister Of Health, Aneurin Bevan, launched the NHS. | 0:17:12 | 0:17:17 | |
It gave Britain, he said, "the moral leadership of the world." | 0:17:17 | 0:17:21 | |
It also gave Britain a mighty big bill. | 0:17:21 | 0:17:24 | |
Nye Bevan and the other founders of the NHS thought we'd get healthier | 0:17:27 | 0:17:31 | |
so demand would fall. In fact, spending on the health service | 0:17:31 | 0:17:35 | |
has catapulted from £11 billion in today's money | 0:17:35 | 0:17:39 | |
to eleven times that much now - £121 billion. | 0:17:39 | 0:17:46 | |
One of the things that people often missed, | 0:17:47 | 0:17:50 | |
was the way the demand to spend money would grow, | 0:17:50 | 0:17:53 | |
particularly because we're so much better off than we used to be. | 0:17:53 | 0:17:56 | |
In 1955 we spent 3% of national income on the health service. | 0:17:56 | 0:18:00 | |
Now we spend nearly 9% | 0:18:00 | 0:18:02 | |
and there's been a steady growth year after year, | 0:18:02 | 0:18:05 | |
decade after decade, | 0:18:05 | 0:18:06 | |
an extra 1% of national income each decade, and after a little while, | 0:18:06 | 0:18:10 | |
those one percents of national income | 0:18:10 | 0:18:12 | |
add up to an awful lot of money. | 0:18:12 | 0:18:14 | |
Ever since that day here in Trafford in 1948, | 0:18:16 | 0:18:20 | |
the NHS has been so much more than a mere way of organising healthcare. | 0:18:20 | 0:18:25 | |
It's been a love affair, | 0:18:25 | 0:18:26 | |
it's been, if you like, the closest this country gets | 0:18:26 | 0:18:29 | |
to a national religion. | 0:18:29 | 0:18:32 | |
And politicians know, therefore, they have to keep on paying | 0:18:32 | 0:18:36 | |
to keep the faith. | 0:18:36 | 0:18:38 | |
It's very expensive, and all wealthy states spend an ever higher | 0:18:38 | 0:18:44 | |
proportion of their wealth on health care. | 0:18:44 | 0:18:47 | |
Even if you're running it with iron discipline, | 0:18:47 | 0:18:50 | |
it will cost you more, health. | 0:18:50 | 0:18:53 | |
There's no other area at all where public spending is like that. | 0:18:53 | 0:18:56 | |
In Canada, when they had a huge deficit, this is what they did. | 0:18:58 | 0:19:02 | |
That used to be a hospital. | 0:19:10 | 0:19:12 | |
Can you imagine them blowing one up here, in Britain? | 0:19:14 | 0:19:18 | |
Health's sacred status with us voters | 0:19:21 | 0:19:23 | |
means our politicians wouldn't dare. | 0:19:23 | 0:19:27 | |
Not that they wouldn't want to. | 0:19:27 | 0:19:29 | |
For years the medical advice to them has been that having fewer hospitals | 0:19:29 | 0:19:33 | |
would save money which could be better spent and that's not all... | 0:19:33 | 0:19:38 | |
Closing hospitals is quite definitely a way | 0:19:38 | 0:19:40 | |
to get better healthcare particularly with new drugs, | 0:19:40 | 0:19:44 | |
with new technology and we can do operations - | 0:19:44 | 0:19:48 | |
cataract operations you can do in a local GP surgery. | 0:19:48 | 0:19:52 | |
No-one goes and stays in hospital to the degree they did. | 0:19:52 | 0:19:56 | |
But there's one thing that stops that happening. It's you and me. | 0:19:58 | 0:20:02 | |
This is the King George Hospital in Ilford, east of London. | 0:20:03 | 0:20:06 | |
Local NHS bosses want to shut its maternity and A&E units | 0:20:06 | 0:20:11 | |
and move them to a hospital in Romford, a few miles up the road. | 0:20:11 | 0:20:14 | |
But in a local church hall, | 0:20:15 | 0:20:17 | |
residents are gathering to fight the proposals. | 0:20:17 | 0:20:20 | |
It's massive, it's a really big issue. | 0:20:21 | 0:20:24 | |
Everyone sees it as a money saving exercise. | 0:20:24 | 0:20:27 | |
Saving money first, giving good health service second. | 0:20:27 | 0:20:30 | |
That's the crux of the matter really. | 0:20:30 | 0:20:32 | |
I'm not going to say economical with the truth. | 0:20:32 | 0:20:35 | |
They told us it's nothing to do with money. Of course it's about money. | 0:20:35 | 0:20:39 | |
34,000 residents signed a petition against closing | 0:20:42 | 0:20:46 | |
parts of King George Hospital. | 0:20:46 | 0:20:48 | |
Many of us like our services local | 0:20:48 | 0:20:51 | |
and we want to keep them that way. | 0:20:51 | 0:20:53 | |
And the first proposals they came up with... | 0:20:53 | 0:20:56 | |
And so do the local MPs. | 0:20:56 | 0:20:58 | |
Labour and Tories are united in backing this campaign. | 0:20:58 | 0:21:01 | |
And if we keep together, we keep up the campaign, we will succeed. | 0:21:03 | 0:21:06 | |
In opposition, David Cameron promised a bare knuckle fight | 0:21:09 | 0:21:13 | |
to save district hospitals. | 0:21:13 | 0:21:16 | |
I think it's ridiculous that at a time | 0:21:16 | 0:21:18 | |
when the population is growing, when more people are at A&E units, | 0:21:18 | 0:21:22 | |
when more babies are being born, | 0:21:22 | 0:21:24 | |
when our health needs are getting greater, | 0:21:24 | 0:21:26 | |
that we're shutting down maternity units | 0:21:26 | 0:21:28 | |
and accident and emergency units. | 0:21:28 | 0:21:30 | |
The government says the days of the district general hospital are over. | 0:21:30 | 0:21:34 | |
I completely disagree. | 0:21:34 | 0:21:35 | |
But now he's in government, David Cameron | 0:21:38 | 0:21:40 | |
has, in the last few weeks, approved the closure of A&E | 0:21:40 | 0:21:44 | |
and maternity units not just at King George's | 0:21:44 | 0:21:48 | |
but another London hospital. | 0:21:48 | 0:21:49 | |
The decision there has been debated for 17 years. | 0:21:49 | 0:21:53 | |
It all takes so long | 0:21:53 | 0:21:55 | |
because politicians hate to be seen to close hospitals. | 0:21:55 | 0:21:59 | |
I've lost count of the numbers of Members Of Parliament | 0:22:02 | 0:22:05 | |
that would say to me, | 0:22:05 | 0:22:06 | |
"I understand completely why you're doing this, | 0:22:06 | 0:22:09 | |
"I understand all the clinical arguments and I understand | 0:22:09 | 0:22:12 | |
"and sympathise with all of those but you must understand | 0:22:12 | 0:22:15 | |
"publicly I have to take this position." | 0:22:15 | 0:22:17 | |
I have to fight to keep my hospital open? | 0:22:17 | 0:22:19 | |
I have to fight, and be seen to fight, to keep my hospital open. | 0:22:19 | 0:22:23 | |
So fear of us, the voters, | 0:22:27 | 0:22:29 | |
helps push up spending on the essentials like pensions and health. | 0:22:29 | 0:22:34 | |
And then there are all those extra little things that are nice to have. | 0:22:34 | 0:22:38 | |
Like money for culture and the arts. | 0:22:38 | 0:22:42 | |
People used to all go to Margate for fun and frolics at the seaside. | 0:22:49 | 0:22:53 | |
As of late, though, this bit of the Kent coast has been better | 0:22:58 | 0:23:02 | |
known for its deprivation, and high rate of unemployment. | 0:23:02 | 0:23:06 | |
Yet what's this? A brand new art gallery. | 0:23:08 | 0:23:12 | |
The new Turner Contemporary, opened earlier this year. | 0:23:12 | 0:23:15 | |
A dazzling addition to the sea front costing £14 million of public money. | 0:23:15 | 0:23:20 | |
Its sparse, but striking displays have already | 0:23:23 | 0:23:27 | |
pulled in over 260,000 visitors. | 0:23:27 | 0:23:30 | |
And they've put Margate back on the map. | 0:23:30 | 0:23:34 | |
Victoria Pomery is the gallery's director. | 0:23:34 | 0:23:38 | |
What a spectacular view it is. | 0:23:38 | 0:23:40 | |
You must at times see the real poverty there is here, | 0:23:40 | 0:23:44 | |
how, in a sense, do you argue to yourself the reason why | 0:23:44 | 0:23:48 | |
people in very low paid jobs should pay their taxes | 0:23:48 | 0:23:51 | |
to build what is in a sense a real luxury? | 0:23:51 | 0:23:56 | |
I don't see the Arts as a luxury, | 0:23:56 | 0:23:58 | |
I see the Arts as integral to our lives, | 0:23:58 | 0:24:01 | |
all of our lives, whoever we are. And, for me, it's really important | 0:24:01 | 0:24:06 | |
that everyone can access fantastic art that makes them think | 0:24:06 | 0:24:10 | |
in different ways about themselves and the world they live in. | 0:24:10 | 0:24:14 | |
Isn't this, in the end, just a bit of fluff? | 0:24:14 | 0:24:16 | |
I don't think this is fluff at all. | 0:24:16 | 0:24:19 | |
I think this is serious, we are really ambitious, | 0:24:19 | 0:24:22 | |
we want to be part of Margate's history and part of its future, | 0:24:22 | 0:24:26 | |
and we feel we can really help and support the wider regeneration | 0:24:26 | 0:24:30 | |
and renewal of this area. | 0:24:30 | 0:24:32 | |
But not everyone's so sure. Some locals deeply resent the gallery. | 0:24:32 | 0:24:37 | |
Dawn McLarren is a local mum, | 0:24:40 | 0:24:43 | |
who thinks the money was desperately needed elsewhere. | 0:24:43 | 0:24:46 | |
I've got a son, he's 17, he's about to leave college, | 0:24:46 | 0:24:51 | |
he's got no work, no opportunity here whatsoever. | 0:24:51 | 0:24:55 | |
And nothing to do. | 0:24:55 | 0:24:57 | |
How do you feel about public money going to that new gallery? | 0:24:57 | 0:25:01 | |
Very angry. Very, very, angry. | 0:25:02 | 0:25:06 | |
But around the sea front there are a few new shops and cafes opening up. | 0:25:06 | 0:25:11 | |
Just maybe the first signs of long-awaited regeneration. | 0:25:11 | 0:25:14 | |
Ian Driver is a local councillor. | 0:25:14 | 0:25:19 | |
I do think if you look at this in the long term - | 0:25:19 | 0:25:22 | |
three, four, five years down the road, | 0:25:22 | 0:25:25 | |
it will be creating more jobs and people will feel the benefit of it. | 0:25:25 | 0:25:29 | |
Whether you regard the Turner Contemporary | 0:25:29 | 0:25:32 | |
as a glorious gallery that can revive a town, | 0:25:32 | 0:25:35 | |
or a vast and overpriced seaside shed, | 0:25:35 | 0:25:38 | |
it is one symbol of what the surge in public spending | 0:25:38 | 0:25:42 | |
in the New Labour years actually paid for. | 0:25:42 | 0:25:46 | |
The cost of building it has been met. | 0:25:46 | 0:25:49 | |
But the costs of running it, though far from vast, | 0:25:49 | 0:25:52 | |
is yet one more addition to the national accounts. | 0:25:52 | 0:25:56 | |
Arts spending for the whole of England is... £447 million. | 0:25:58 | 0:26:04 | |
A drop in the ocean of public spending, | 0:26:04 | 0:26:06 | |
and a lot less than winter fuel allowance. | 0:26:06 | 0:26:09 | |
But when it comes to how governments spend your money, | 0:26:09 | 0:26:12 | |
it's all the little things that add up. | 0:26:12 | 0:26:16 | |
People are always coming up with innumerable small demands, | 0:26:16 | 0:26:20 | |
and they say if this money was used imaginatively it does | 0:26:20 | 0:26:23 | |
an immense amount of political good. | 0:26:23 | 0:26:26 | |
All the time you get people saying, | 0:26:26 | 0:26:28 | |
"I know money's tight but could we just spend a little?" | 0:26:28 | 0:26:31 | |
Well, there's not many people coming to you saying, | 0:26:31 | 0:26:33 | |
"Here's what we can stop doing." | 0:26:33 | 0:26:35 | |
There's people queuing outside your door saying, | 0:26:35 | 0:26:38 | |
"Here's what we can start doing, here's somewhere else to spend our money." | 0:26:38 | 0:26:41 | |
If that was balanced by one queue of people saying, | 0:26:41 | 0:26:44 | |
"Let's save money here," and another queue of people saying, | 0:26:44 | 0:26:47 | |
"Let's spend it here," | 0:26:47 | 0:26:49 | |
it might be a bit easier to be a government minister. | 0:26:49 | 0:26:52 | |
Ministers can expect a headline, a cheer even, | 0:26:53 | 0:26:56 | |
when they announce a new way to spend public money. | 0:26:56 | 0:26:59 | |
But there's all too often a big and rather expensive gap | 0:26:59 | 0:27:03 | |
between their promises and cold, hard reality. | 0:27:03 | 0:27:07 | |
Welcome to the fire control centre for the North East of England, | 0:27:07 | 0:27:12 | |
built to keep us all safer in the event not just of fires, | 0:27:12 | 0:27:16 | |
but floods and terrorist attacks. | 0:27:16 | 0:27:19 | |
Using the latest technology, satellites even, | 0:27:19 | 0:27:23 | |
to keep track of fire engines. | 0:27:23 | 0:27:25 | |
And what's more, we were told, it would improve efficiency, too. | 0:27:25 | 0:27:29 | |
Just one problem. | 0:27:29 | 0:27:30 | |
The technology didn't work, the building behind me is empty. | 0:27:30 | 0:27:35 | |
At a cost to you of £97,000 a month. | 0:27:35 | 0:27:41 | |
For the next 24 years. | 0:27:41 | 0:27:44 | |
And there are eight others like it around the country. | 0:27:44 | 0:27:48 | |
The cost? More than England's Arts Budget. | 0:27:48 | 0:27:52 | |
£469 million. | 0:27:52 | 0:27:55 | |
For which you get in return... Nothing. | 0:27:55 | 0:27:59 | |
It's just the most vivid example of a long list of projects | 0:28:01 | 0:28:04 | |
where the original idea sounded good, | 0:28:04 | 0:28:07 | |
but which have been hopelessly mismanaged. | 0:28:07 | 0:28:09 | |
From the Typhoon jet which came in £3.5 billion over budget, | 0:28:09 | 0:28:14 | |
to the doomed NHS IT project. | 0:28:14 | 0:28:18 | |
It's cost billions of pounds of taxpayers money, | 0:28:18 | 0:28:21 | |
but it doesn't work. | 0:28:21 | 0:28:22 | |
It cost at least £6 billion and counting. | 0:28:22 | 0:28:26 | |
You should not be afraid, as you would in your own household | 0:28:27 | 0:28:30 | |
or your own business, to say do we actually need to do this? | 0:28:30 | 0:28:34 | |
Is this new, exciting project or pilot that we're setting up, | 0:28:34 | 0:28:38 | |
is it going to make any difference to the way people behave, | 0:28:38 | 0:28:42 | |
or the way in which they live? | 0:28:42 | 0:28:43 | |
Sometimes we've not asked those tough questions | 0:28:43 | 0:28:46 | |
in the way that we should. | 0:28:46 | 0:28:47 | |
Now whether it's avoiding waste, | 0:28:47 | 0:28:50 | |
or controlling the insatiable demand for public services, | 0:28:50 | 0:28:54 | |
or deciding what not to do at all requires... | 0:28:54 | 0:28:59 | |
well, self control. | 0:28:59 | 0:29:01 | |
There are three things which I have engaged in | 0:29:02 | 0:29:06 | |
which have a remarkable lot in common. | 0:29:06 | 0:29:08 | |
One of them is bringing up children, another is dieting, | 0:29:08 | 0:29:14 | |
which I've also done, and the third is controlling public expenditure. | 0:29:14 | 0:29:18 | |
And in each case, an important part of the art | 0:29:18 | 0:29:22 | |
or the skill whatever it is, | 0:29:22 | 0:29:24 | |
is the ability to say no and to stick to it. | 0:29:24 | 0:29:28 | |
This is the essence of what the Treasury's about. | 0:29:28 | 0:29:31 | |
If the Treasury had a motto, it would be the single word "no", | 0:29:31 | 0:29:34 | |
and it needs to be. | 0:29:34 | 0:29:35 | |
But the failure of governments to say no has had consequences. | 0:29:39 | 0:29:43 | |
They keep spending money they haven't really got. | 0:29:43 | 0:29:47 | |
It's how we've ended up with a deficit. | 0:29:47 | 0:29:50 | |
Britain has got a problem, a very big problem. And it's this. | 0:29:52 | 0:29:57 | |
Last year, the government raised £549 billion in tax. | 0:29:57 | 0:30:03 | |
But spent £692 billion. | 0:30:03 | 0:30:07 | |
Leaving a deficit, or a gap, of £143 billion. | 0:30:07 | 0:30:13 | |
But now, just take a look at this. | 0:30:13 | 0:30:16 | |
Here is government spending since the Second World War. | 0:30:16 | 0:30:19 | |
It's measured as a percentage of the economy as whole, | 0:30:19 | 0:30:23 | |
or GDP - Gross Domestic Product. | 0:30:23 | 0:30:25 | |
The peaks are recessions. And you can see them here for the mid-'70s, | 0:30:25 | 0:30:32 | |
for the mid-'80s, the early '90s and then finally | 0:30:32 | 0:30:36 | |
for the banking crisis of three years ago, | 0:30:36 | 0:30:40 | |
which helped create the largest deficit since the war. | 0:30:40 | 0:30:43 | |
Now let's add a line for taxes, | 0:30:43 | 0:30:46 | |
measured in exactly the same way as a share of the economy. | 0:30:46 | 0:30:50 | |
Look how often spending is higher than tax. | 0:30:50 | 0:30:53 | |
In other words how often the economy is in the red, in good or bad times, | 0:30:53 | 0:30:57 | |
whether there's a Labour or a Conservative government. | 0:30:57 | 0:31:01 | |
Deficits have been the name of the game | 0:31:01 | 0:31:04 | |
for pretty much all of the past half century. | 0:31:04 | 0:31:07 | |
Even so, today's deficit is a whopper. | 0:31:07 | 0:31:10 | |
It may date from the banking crisis, | 0:31:10 | 0:31:13 | |
but the last Labour government had been spending more | 0:31:13 | 0:31:16 | |
than it got in taxes for six years running up to then. | 0:31:16 | 0:31:19 | |
Gordon Brown used to say that he was borrowing to invest. | 0:31:19 | 0:31:23 | |
But his critics said he should have been saving for a rainy day. | 0:31:23 | 0:31:27 | |
The reason we keep running up deficits | 0:31:30 | 0:31:33 | |
is not just that politicians can't say no. | 0:31:33 | 0:31:36 | |
It's that sometimes they behave like every day | 0:31:36 | 0:31:40 | |
will be a day when the sun is shining. | 0:31:40 | 0:31:43 | |
It's a mistake that pretty much anybody really could make, | 0:31:43 | 0:31:47 | |
and it's best explained perhaps by something I like to do, | 0:31:47 | 0:31:52 | |
or try to do, when I'm not covering politics. | 0:31:52 | 0:31:55 | |
You see, think of our politicians as sailors, just like me today. | 0:31:59 | 0:32:03 | |
They've got to judge the conditions as they decide how to spend, | 0:32:03 | 0:32:07 | |
and keep an eye out for storms on the horizon. | 0:32:07 | 0:32:12 | |
It's beautiful out here on the water, | 0:32:14 | 0:32:16 | |
and when economic conditions are this good, | 0:32:16 | 0:32:19 | |
no wonder our politicians are tempted to set a course | 0:32:19 | 0:32:23 | |
to carry on increasing spending, as if it will always be this way. | 0:32:23 | 0:32:27 | |
After all, the sun is out, the wind is in our sails. | 0:32:27 | 0:32:32 | |
But what they, and what we amateur sailors have to know, | 0:32:32 | 0:32:36 | |
is it can all change incredibly fast, | 0:32:36 | 0:32:40 | |
and then we're in real trouble. | 0:32:40 | 0:32:44 | |
And that's what our politicians can forget - | 0:32:46 | 0:32:49 | |
how fast the weather can turn, how bad the storms can be. | 0:32:49 | 0:32:53 | |
And it's not just the last Labour government | 0:32:53 | 0:32:55 | |
because the Tories did it too. | 0:32:55 | 0:32:57 | |
-Well? -Five and 15. Working for you now, working for you now. | 0:33:07 | 0:33:11 | |
Remember the late '80s? | 0:33:11 | 0:33:13 | |
The economy was booming, the City was taking off, | 0:33:13 | 0:33:17 | |
and the then Conservative government made a classic mistake. | 0:33:17 | 0:33:21 | |
They thought it would go on forever, and increased spending. | 0:33:21 | 0:33:25 | |
'The mistake they made was they thought' | 0:33:25 | 0:33:29 | |
that the tax revenue that was coming from an overheated economy, | 0:33:29 | 0:33:32 | |
was coming from an economy that was working extraordinarily well. | 0:33:32 | 0:33:36 | |
So they thought it would always be there. | 0:33:36 | 0:33:39 | |
The analogy would be a naive young adult | 0:33:39 | 0:33:41 | |
who thinks that because they've had a fabulous year in their business, | 0:33:41 | 0:33:45 | |
it's going to be like that forever. | 0:33:45 | 0:33:47 | |
And so they take on much larger liabilities than they really should, | 0:33:47 | 0:33:51 | |
and they repent at their leisure. | 0:33:51 | 0:33:53 | |
By the early '90s, the Conservatives had a new Prime Minister. | 0:33:55 | 0:33:59 | |
But then came a recession which pushed spending up | 0:33:59 | 0:34:03 | |
and tax revenues down. | 0:34:03 | 0:34:05 | |
By 1993, they had a deficit of £50 billion. | 0:34:05 | 0:34:09 | |
We made a mistake in the late '80s. | 0:34:13 | 0:34:15 | |
It was a tiny wobble compared with what's happened | 0:34:15 | 0:34:18 | |
in the last five years, | 0:34:18 | 0:34:19 | |
I have to say. A difference of degree. But a bit of the same thing. | 0:34:19 | 0:34:23 | |
It's been done by many countries. | 0:34:23 | 0:34:25 | |
It's been done by Britain frequently, ever since the war. | 0:34:25 | 0:34:28 | |
And guess what? Barely 10 years later, the Labour Government | 0:34:30 | 0:34:34 | |
would make exactly the same mistake, only in Technicolour. | 0:34:34 | 0:34:39 | |
After two years restraint, spending roared away. | 0:34:39 | 0:34:42 | |
We had to spend more money as a country | 0:34:44 | 0:34:46 | |
because health is a matter of decency, | 0:34:46 | 0:34:48 | |
education is a matter of our future. | 0:34:48 | 0:34:51 | |
Now it's sometimes difficult to remember | 0:34:51 | 0:34:53 | |
when you look at new hospitals, | 0:34:53 | 0:34:54 | |
new schools around the country now that they had to be paid for. | 0:34:54 | 0:34:58 | |
And while the economy boomed and the taxes rolled in, | 0:35:00 | 0:35:03 | |
all seemed well. | 0:35:03 | 0:35:05 | |
In the middle of the boom they misjudged it. | 0:35:07 | 0:35:10 | |
The boom produced great tax revenues, | 0:35:10 | 0:35:13 | |
any government could borrow as much money as it liked. | 0:35:13 | 0:35:16 | |
People like me or Vince Cable moaning away about deficit and debt | 0:35:16 | 0:35:20 | |
were regarded as old-fashioned, we were the miserables | 0:35:20 | 0:35:23 | |
who didn't understand new politics, the new economic model. | 0:35:23 | 0:35:27 | |
But the government had missed something crucial about where | 0:35:29 | 0:35:32 | |
a hefty chunk of all that money was coming from. | 0:35:32 | 0:35:36 | |
Over the last 30 years, | 0:35:40 | 0:35:42 | |
the Treasury has benefited from two vast windfalls - | 0:35:42 | 0:35:45 | |
not just North Sea Oil, but also the one that people often forget - | 0:35:45 | 0:35:50 | |
the City of London, generating billions of pounds which the Government can spend. | 0:35:50 | 0:35:56 | |
There is, of course, one major difference, | 0:35:56 | 0:35:58 | |
which the last Labour Government was to discover. | 0:35:58 | 0:36:01 | |
North Sea oil runs out very slowly, | 0:36:01 | 0:36:04 | |
whereas the flow of cash from the City can run out just like that. | 0:36:04 | 0:36:09 | |
The big problem we had is that we were | 0:36:12 | 0:36:14 | |
very dependent on a flow of revenue from one particular source | 0:36:14 | 0:36:17 | |
and that was the financial services industry, | 0:36:17 | 0:36:20 | |
a volatile sector that when it goes wrong goes very wrong. | 0:36:20 | 0:36:23 | |
Whenever you're quite dependent on one source, | 0:36:23 | 0:36:26 | |
and this is something which had been building up for decades, | 0:36:26 | 0:36:29 | |
then you do have to ask yourself what if? | 0:36:29 | 0:36:31 | |
What if it stops, or what if it slows down? | 0:36:31 | 0:36:33 | |
What's your fall back position? | 0:36:33 | 0:36:35 | |
In the summer of 2008, his "what if" moment arrived. | 0:36:37 | 0:36:41 | |
The British economy was teetering on the brink of recession. | 0:36:41 | 0:36:45 | |
Alistair Darling took top Treasury civil servants away | 0:36:45 | 0:36:49 | |
for the day to Dorneywood, the Chancellor's official country house. | 0:36:49 | 0:36:54 | |
It's an oasis of calm, really, and I wanted us | 0:36:54 | 0:36:57 | |
to sit down and take stock. | 0:36:57 | 0:36:59 | |
We were sitting in an armchair overlooking these delightful gardens | 0:36:59 | 0:37:04 | |
in southern England and we were talking about this, | 0:37:04 | 0:37:07 | |
and the secretary said you know, borrowing could hit £100 billion. | 0:37:07 | 0:37:11 | |
When you start talking about £100 billion, | 0:37:11 | 0:37:13 | |
you know, that is serious money. | 0:37:13 | 0:37:15 | |
That is when you think, this is bad. | 0:37:15 | 0:37:18 | |
-Was there an intake of breath? -Well, there was amongst some. | 0:37:18 | 0:37:21 | |
-A shaking of heads. -I'd just come back from a Leonard Cohen concert | 0:37:21 | 0:37:25 | |
so actually I was in quite a gloomy frame of mind anyway! | 0:37:25 | 0:37:28 | |
So I thought, fair enough, we'll just have to deal with it. | 0:37:28 | 0:37:32 | |
# Dance me to your beauty | 0:37:33 | 0:37:35 | |
# With a burning violin | 0:37:35 | 0:37:39 | |
# Dance me through the panic | 0:37:39 | 0:37:42 | |
# Till I'm gathered safely in. # | 0:37:42 | 0:37:46 | |
What had looked like a downturn had became a crash. | 0:37:46 | 0:37:50 | |
The deficit would grow much larger than £100 billion | 0:37:50 | 0:37:54 | |
and ministers would spend even more, trying to avert disaster. | 0:37:54 | 0:37:58 | |
Spend now and pay later, Labour's plan to avoid a long recession. | 0:37:58 | 0:38:03 | |
The country would soon want to know how it could all be paid for. | 0:38:03 | 0:38:08 | |
What happened when the financial crisis struck, is that we knew | 0:38:08 | 0:38:12 | |
immediately we had to accelerate out of the storm or be buried in it. | 0:38:12 | 0:38:15 | |
The public were quite frightened of those telephone number figures that | 0:38:15 | 0:38:20 | |
they saw, you know, on those | 0:38:20 | 0:38:21 | |
BBC News reports at 10 o'clock. | 0:38:21 | 0:38:24 | |
And they thought, hold on a moment, | 0:38:24 | 0:38:26 | |
we've got to do something about this, | 0:38:26 | 0:38:29 | |
otherwise we're going to be saddling future generations with | 0:38:29 | 0:38:32 | |
a colossal amount of debt, and that is not the responsible thing to do. | 0:38:32 | 0:38:35 | |
But for many months, Gordon Brown instructed his ministers | 0:38:37 | 0:38:41 | |
not to even talk about the drastic measures which were sure to | 0:38:41 | 0:38:44 | |
be needed to tackle the deficit. | 0:38:44 | 0:38:46 | |
Gordon's nervousness was that it would just sound like cuts. | 0:38:49 | 0:38:53 | |
He didn't want to sue the "c word" at all, did he, the word cuts? | 0:38:54 | 0:38:57 | |
We had so many discussions about this, | 0:38:57 | 0:39:01 | |
more than I can care to remember, | 0:39:01 | 0:39:05 | |
until we got to his TUC speech in September of 2009. | 0:39:05 | 0:39:10 | |
And he used the word "cuts" not once, | 0:39:10 | 0:39:12 | |
not twice, I think it was something like seven or eight times. | 0:39:12 | 0:39:16 | |
Labour will cut costs, cut inefficiencies, | 0:39:16 | 0:39:19 | |
cut unnecessary programmes and cut lower priority budgets. | 0:39:19 | 0:39:23 | |
And he came back from Brighton or wherever it was | 0:39:23 | 0:39:26 | |
and said, "OK, satisfied?" | 0:39:26 | 0:39:27 | |
It was too late. | 0:39:29 | 0:39:30 | |
By then the sheer size of the deficit had damaged | 0:39:30 | 0:39:34 | |
Gordon Brown's economic credibility | 0:39:34 | 0:39:37 | |
and handed the argument to his enemies. | 0:39:37 | 0:39:39 | |
It was the biggest loss of control over fiscal policy and tax | 0:39:39 | 0:39:44 | |
and spending that anybody now living can remember. | 0:39:44 | 0:39:46 | |
By the time of the last general election, | 0:39:47 | 0:39:50 | |
Britain had the biggest deficit since the war - £160 billion. | 0:39:50 | 0:39:56 | |
You do need to just keep your eye | 0:39:58 | 0:39:59 | |
on how much you are actually spending, | 0:39:59 | 0:40:02 | |
the what if question, what if this slows down, how much margin have you got? | 0:40:02 | 0:40:05 | |
But I have to say that there may have been people around | 0:40:05 | 0:40:08 | |
who said spend less, but the majority, and certainly it | 0:40:08 | 0:40:11 | |
was a political consensus, maybe that was a bad thing, | 0:40:11 | 0:40:14 | |
but political consensus was that we should be spending more, not less. | 0:40:14 | 0:40:18 | |
Not any more. | 0:40:21 | 0:40:23 | |
A new government has ushered in a new age of austerity. | 0:40:23 | 0:40:26 | |
Are the cuts going to hurt, Chancellor? | 0:40:29 | 0:40:31 | |
This is a dramatic change of political and economic strategy, | 0:40:31 | 0:40:35 | |
and, like the last Chancellor, he can only wait and watch and hope. | 0:40:35 | 0:40:39 | |
We have moved from an era when choices could be avoided | 0:40:43 | 0:40:46 | |
to one where they simply have to be made. | 0:40:46 | 0:40:48 | |
The decisions we make will affect every single person in this country. | 0:40:53 | 0:40:57 | |
And the effects of those decisions will stay with us for years. | 0:40:57 | 0:41:02 | |
Every day we hear about cuts to pensions, pay, services - | 0:41:04 | 0:41:10 | |
all choices about who gets what. | 0:41:10 | 0:41:11 | |
But some questions are still considered too explosive to ask, | 0:41:20 | 0:41:24 | |
like why if you live in some parts of Britain, | 0:41:24 | 0:41:26 | |
you'll get more spent on you than people in other parts. | 0:41:26 | 0:41:30 | |
Take Scotland - | 0:41:35 | 0:41:38 | |
public spending is, on average, £10,212 per head. | 0:41:38 | 0:41:43 | |
Whereas in England, it's £8,588. | 0:41:43 | 0:41:48 | |
That's a gap of £1,624 - just under 20%. | 0:41:50 | 0:41:55 | |
So what difference does that extra money make? | 0:41:58 | 0:42:01 | |
Well, one possible answer can be found here at Edinburgh University. | 0:42:01 | 0:42:05 | |
It's Freshers Fair - where you can sign up to | 0:42:05 | 0:42:08 | |
anything from tribal drumming to pole dancing - | 0:42:08 | 0:42:12 | |
however much you pay to come here in tuition fees, which, of course, | 0:42:12 | 0:42:16 | |
depends on where you're from. | 0:42:16 | 0:42:18 | |
I'm Anna, and I'm from Yorkshire, | 0:42:18 | 0:42:20 | |
and I pay at the moment about £1,700 a year. | 0:42:20 | 0:42:22 | |
I'm Matthew, originally from London, and I spend the same. | 0:42:22 | 0:42:26 | |
I'm Matt, I'm from Edinburgh, and I pay nothing at all. | 0:42:26 | 0:42:29 | |
-And looking very pleased. -Looking very pleased! | 0:42:29 | 0:42:32 | |
You have to preside over a student body where some pay and some don't. | 0:42:32 | 0:42:36 | |
Yes, we have huge conflicts and we have inequalities of fee level, | 0:42:36 | 0:42:40 | |
but it shouldn't result in inequalities of educational provision | 0:42:40 | 0:42:43 | |
and that's what we're making sure remains frontline. | 0:42:43 | 0:42:46 | |
And it's not just the difference between Scots and English people? | 0:42:46 | 0:42:50 | |
Not at all, it's the difference between Scots and English, | 0:42:50 | 0:42:53 | |
also Europeans still get it for free, | 0:42:53 | 0:42:55 | |
even though the English are paying, because of the EU, | 0:42:55 | 0:42:58 | |
and international students pay through-the-roof fees to be here. | 0:42:58 | 0:43:02 | |
There are huge inequalities that I don't think should exist. | 0:43:02 | 0:43:05 | |
But those inequalities are going to get starker as fees rise. | 0:43:06 | 0:43:10 | |
English and Northern Irish students arriving here next year could | 0:43:10 | 0:43:14 | |
face a bill up to £36,000 more overall | 0:43:14 | 0:43:18 | |
than their Scottish or European friends. | 0:43:18 | 0:43:22 | |
Welsh students will pay less than that, but more than the Scots. | 0:43:22 | 0:43:27 | |
And tuition fees are just one example of what Scots seem to get | 0:43:31 | 0:43:35 | |
which the rest of Britain doesn't - is that unfair, | 0:43:35 | 0:43:38 | |
or just a consequence of devolution? | 0:43:38 | 0:43:40 | |
What is your message to an English parent who says | 0:43:42 | 0:43:45 | |
my child goes to Edinburgh University and pays £9,000, | 0:43:45 | 0:43:49 | |
a Scot doesn't pay that, a Pole doesn't pay that, how's that fair? | 0:43:49 | 0:43:53 | |
I would change your government at Westminster. | 0:43:53 | 0:43:55 | |
When I was an MP at Westminster I voted | 0:43:55 | 0:43:57 | |
against the Labour Government introducing tuition fees. | 0:43:57 | 0:44:01 | |
If I was still an MP at Westminster, | 0:44:01 | 0:44:02 | |
I'd have voted against the Tory and Liberal Government introducing it. | 0:44:02 | 0:44:06 | |
I cannot dictate the politics of England. | 0:44:06 | 0:44:08 | |
But the parent might say, | 0:44:08 | 0:44:09 | |
it's my English taxes that are paying for Alex Salmond | 0:44:09 | 0:44:12 | |
to dole out money to stop tuition fees in Scotland? | 0:44:12 | 0:44:15 | |
The Scottish parent might say Scottish revenue | 0:44:15 | 0:44:17 | |
keeps the United Kingdom Treasury afloat. | 0:44:17 | 0:44:19 | |
In other words, North Sea oil. | 0:44:21 | 0:44:24 | |
Scots, Alex Salmond is saying, pay more in as well as getting more out. | 0:44:24 | 0:44:28 | |
As do, incidentally, people in London. | 0:44:28 | 0:44:31 | |
The maths is more complex than it first appears. | 0:44:34 | 0:44:36 | |
There is no simple fact when it comes to measuring | 0:44:40 | 0:44:43 | |
the difference between spending in Scotland and in England. | 0:44:43 | 0:44:47 | |
There are arguments about how to measure need, | 0:44:47 | 0:44:50 | |
how to take into account geography and our old friend, | 0:44:50 | 0:44:54 | |
the contribution of oil revenues. | 0:44:54 | 0:44:56 | |
There is, though, one simple fact about politics in Westminster. | 0:44:56 | 0:45:01 | |
For more than 30 years, politicians, Labour and Conservative, | 0:45:01 | 0:45:05 | |
haven't dared look again at the numbers. | 0:45:05 | 0:45:08 | |
They haven't dared ask the question because they fear the consequences. | 0:45:08 | 0:45:13 | |
The amount different nations in the UK get is | 0:45:16 | 0:45:18 | |
determined by a formula dreamt up in Whitehall way back in the 1970s. | 0:45:18 | 0:45:23 | |
Because it was an issue then, too. | 0:45:23 | 0:45:26 | |
Last year, for every £100 the state spent on every Englishman, | 0:45:27 | 0:45:30 | |
it spent a much larger share, £119, on every Scot. | 0:45:30 | 0:45:35 | |
TV programmes may have changed, | 0:45:35 | 0:45:37 | |
but the size of the gap has stayed the same. | 0:45:37 | 0:45:40 | |
So why doesn't the Treasury do anything about it? | 0:45:40 | 0:45:43 | |
We haven't looked at how much Scotland gets, | 0:45:47 | 0:45:50 | |
Wales gets, England gets, | 0:45:50 | 0:45:51 | |
and probably we need to do so. | 0:45:51 | 0:45:53 | |
Why haven't we done so over the last 20 or 30 years? | 0:45:53 | 0:45:56 | |
Probably because governments | 0:45:56 | 0:45:58 | |
have been very frightened about opening up this tin, | 0:45:58 | 0:46:02 | |
and what would be a very complex calculation, particularly against | 0:46:02 | 0:46:05 | |
a background of independence movements, most notably in Scotland. | 0:46:05 | 0:46:10 | |
Couldn't you call that bribery? | 0:46:10 | 0:46:11 | |
We give you money and you won't vote for independence. | 0:46:11 | 0:46:14 | |
I don't think that they would necessarily call it bribery. | 0:46:14 | 0:46:17 | |
They might choose to do so. | 0:46:17 | 0:46:19 | |
I tell you one reason the Treasury aren't keen to re-open this. | 0:46:20 | 0:46:23 | |
It's you. They think you're going to make Scotland independent, | 0:46:23 | 0:46:26 | |
they think if they look at these figures that there'll be | 0:46:26 | 0:46:29 | |
a break of the union, and they don't want it to happen. | 0:46:29 | 0:46:32 | |
I was brought up to believe there were three great lies in life. | 0:46:32 | 0:46:35 | |
One is, "The cheque's in the post." | 0:46:35 | 0:46:37 | |
The second is, "Darling, I'll respect you in the morning." | 0:46:37 | 0:46:40 | |
And the third is, "I'm from the London Treasury | 0:46:40 | 0:46:43 | |
"and I want to help Scotland." | 0:46:43 | 0:46:44 | |
We in Scotland are prepared to raise all our own money | 0:46:44 | 0:46:48 | |
and govern all our own spending with no subsidies from anyone | 0:46:48 | 0:46:53 | |
as long as people in England do exactly the same thing. | 0:46:53 | 0:46:56 | |
And if England raises its own money, | 0:46:56 | 0:46:58 | |
governs its own spending, Scotland does the same, then that is | 0:46:58 | 0:47:02 | |
the essence of a happy relationship on these islands forever and a day. | 0:47:02 | 0:47:06 | |
Westminster politicians may have shied away from some tough choices. | 0:47:11 | 0:47:15 | |
But the ones they have made are revealing something else - | 0:47:15 | 0:47:19 | |
how dependent some parts of Britain have become in recent years on | 0:47:19 | 0:47:24 | |
public spending - and how much they stand to lose now it's being cut. | 0:47:24 | 0:47:30 | |
My next stop is Durham. | 0:47:32 | 0:47:34 | |
PIPES PLAY | 0:47:37 | 0:47:38 | |
BRASS BAND PLAYS | 0:47:47 | 0:47:49 | |
I've come here along with 50,000 other people | 0:47:52 | 0:47:55 | |
for one of the North East's great traditions. | 0:47:55 | 0:47:58 | |
The wonderful sights and sounds of the annual Durham Miners' Gala | 0:48:03 | 0:48:07 | |
are meant to be much more than merely a celebration | 0:48:07 | 0:48:10 | |
of Britain's industrial past, they're meant to be a campaign, | 0:48:10 | 0:48:15 | |
a live one, for political causes. | 0:48:15 | 0:48:17 | |
And yet what they remind us is how few industrial jobs are left | 0:48:17 | 0:48:21 | |
here in the North East, how many depend directly on public spending. | 0:48:21 | 0:48:26 | |
Take the Durham Miners' Association Brass Band. | 0:48:33 | 0:48:38 | |
There are still a few ex-miners in it, | 0:48:38 | 0:48:41 | |
but more than half are public sector workers. | 0:48:41 | 0:48:44 | |
From Kevin, who works in environmental health, | 0:48:44 | 0:48:46 | |
to Julie, who's in further education. | 0:48:46 | 0:48:50 | |
Since the mines closed in the '80s, governments, | 0:48:51 | 0:48:54 | |
first Tory then Labour, | 0:48:54 | 0:48:56 | |
tried to compensate by creating public sector jobs. | 0:48:56 | 0:49:00 | |
It did work for a while. | 0:49:00 | 0:49:02 | |
But it's left some people here exposed now that spending is being cut. | 0:49:02 | 0:49:07 | |
Ian Lavery used to be a miner. | 0:49:08 | 0:49:11 | |
He's now a local MP, his constituency covers Morpeth, | 0:49:11 | 0:49:14 | |
the town with more public sector workers than anywhere else in Britain. | 0:49:14 | 0:49:18 | |
In my constituency we've got lots and lots, | 0:49:18 | 0:49:21 | |
more than 50% work in the public sector, and, of course, | 0:49:21 | 0:49:25 | |
we've got more than 50% of women | 0:49:25 | 0:49:27 | |
working in the public sector as well. | 0:49:27 | 0:49:29 | |
You're saying more than half your constituents | 0:49:29 | 0:49:32 | |
work in the public sector. | 0:49:32 | 0:49:34 | |
You must wonder sometimes, | 0:49:34 | 0:49:36 | |
there can't be enough money being raised to pay for more than half | 0:49:36 | 0:49:39 | |
the people to get jobs that aren't being created through wealth creation. | 0:49:39 | 0:49:43 | |
These jobs are valued jobs, these are jobs are much needed, | 0:49:43 | 0:49:46 | |
and they've got to be paid for by the public purse. | 0:49:46 | 0:49:49 | |
-But who pays for that? -The taxpayer. | 0:49:49 | 0:49:52 | |
Who pays for that? | 0:49:52 | 0:49:53 | |
Me, you, everybody else. | 0:49:53 | 0:49:55 | |
And who wants the public services? Me, you, and everybody else, | 0:49:55 | 0:49:59 | |
we want the good public services. | 0:49:59 | 0:50:01 | |
We need, to survive, we need good public services. | 0:50:01 | 0:50:04 | |
The problem is that | 0:50:06 | 0:50:08 | |
when the money runs out those public sector jobs go. | 0:50:08 | 0:50:12 | |
Unemployment here in the North East is already higher | 0:50:12 | 0:50:15 | |
and rising faster than anywhere else. | 0:50:15 | 0:50:17 | |
Politicians talk of re-balancing the economy. | 0:50:17 | 0:50:22 | |
It's easily said, but for the Durham Miners' Association Band, | 0:50:22 | 0:50:26 | |
you're talking about their livelihoods. | 0:50:26 | 0:50:29 | |
It's not really our fault that those heavy industries have gone. | 0:50:31 | 0:50:35 | |
We go where the jobs are and now the jobs are in the public sector. | 0:50:35 | 0:50:38 | |
And for some reason we're being told now that we're parasites, | 0:50:38 | 0:50:42 | |
we're bleeding the country dry, the spin goes against us. | 0:50:42 | 0:50:46 | |
I don't really know why, but as far as we're concerned, | 0:50:46 | 0:50:49 | |
we just want a job to earn a living to raise our families. | 0:50:49 | 0:50:52 | |
For those who lived through the closure of the pits in the 1980s, | 0:50:54 | 0:50:58 | |
like one-time colliery worker Julie, painful memories are being stirred. | 0:50:58 | 0:51:02 | |
Does it feel like you're going through it all again, | 0:51:02 | 0:51:05 | |
you lost all these jobs in the '80s, didn't you? | 0:51:05 | 0:51:08 | |
Yes, exactly the same. | 0:51:08 | 0:51:11 | |
I mean, I now work in a further education college | 0:51:11 | 0:51:14 | |
and the cutbacks for funding mean that the budgets for next year | 0:51:14 | 0:51:19 | |
are going to be much less and as a result they've got to cut staff. | 0:51:19 | 0:51:23 | |
It feels...it's friend against friend going for the same job. | 0:51:23 | 0:51:30 | |
People and communities in Britain | 0:51:33 | 0:51:35 | |
have built their lives around politicians' decisions | 0:51:35 | 0:51:38 | |
to spend public money - no wonder cutting it hurts. | 0:51:38 | 0:51:43 | |
There is, of course, a fierce debate about the speed | 0:51:48 | 0:51:51 | |
and depth of spending cuts and the impact they're having | 0:51:51 | 0:51:56 | |
not just on people but on Britain's stuttering recovery. | 0:51:56 | 0:52:00 | |
The Government and the opposition may profoundly disagree about that, | 0:52:00 | 0:52:05 | |
but they agree that we just might need | 0:52:05 | 0:52:09 | |
to dig ourselves out of trouble. | 0:52:09 | 0:52:11 | |
You may well think that they spend your money pouring it | 0:52:13 | 0:52:16 | |
into great holes in the ground. | 0:52:16 | 0:52:19 | |
Well, you know what? You'd be right. | 0:52:19 | 0:52:21 | |
This, though, is no ordinary hole in the ground. | 0:52:21 | 0:52:23 | |
It is the largest construction site in Europe. | 0:52:23 | 0:52:27 | |
This is going to be the new Canary Wharf station | 0:52:27 | 0:52:31 | |
on London's biggest train set - Crossrail. | 0:52:31 | 0:52:33 | |
The cost to you? A mere £5 billion. | 0:52:35 | 0:52:39 | |
And that's just a fraction of the overall cost - | 0:52:42 | 0:52:46 | |
£14 billion. | 0:52:46 | 0:52:48 | |
So why spend huge sums on infrastructure, rail lines, roads, bridges, | 0:52:48 | 0:52:53 | |
at a time when so many in the public sector are losing their jobs? | 0:52:53 | 0:52:58 | |
One fervent believer in why infrastructure matters is | 0:52:59 | 0:53:03 | |
Crossrail's chairman, Terry Morgan. | 0:53:03 | 0:53:07 | |
We are on this extraordinary site, | 0:53:07 | 0:53:09 | |
that's where it will all happen soon, is it? | 0:53:09 | 0:53:11 | |
It does. Late in 2012, | 0:53:11 | 0:53:13 | |
we're going to see some tunnel boring machines come out through that circle | 0:53:13 | 0:53:17 | |
and will appear in this fantastic new station | 0:53:17 | 0:53:20 | |
called Canary Wharf. | 0:53:20 | 0:53:22 | |
Sometimes it's very difficult to explain to people, | 0:53:22 | 0:53:25 | |
what do you get for 14.8 billion? | 0:53:25 | 0:53:27 | |
You get eight stations like this, | 0:53:27 | 0:53:29 | |
you get 20 kilometres of two tubes the size you can see behind you. | 0:53:29 | 0:53:34 | |
You get an awful lot of new track, new jobs, | 0:53:34 | 0:53:37 | |
new trains, new stations, huge amount of investment that nobody can see. | 0:53:37 | 0:53:42 | |
But I could get nurses, teachers, schools, hospitals, | 0:53:42 | 0:53:45 | |
better public sector pensions. | 0:53:45 | 0:53:47 | |
Why do I want a bloody great hole in the ground? | 0:53:47 | 0:53:49 | |
Infrastructure investment is a long-term investment. | 0:53:49 | 0:53:52 | |
There's a role for schools, there's a role for hospitals. | 0:53:52 | 0:53:55 | |
It's a question of how you get the right balance about short-term decisions | 0:53:55 | 0:53:59 | |
and long-term decisions that says we've invested for the future. | 0:53:59 | 0:54:03 | |
In the last recession in the 1990s, | 0:54:04 | 0:54:06 | |
there were drastic cuts to infrastructure spending. | 0:54:06 | 0:54:09 | |
Now, on all sides, politicians want to avoid repeating that mistake. | 0:54:09 | 0:54:14 | |
It's so vital that you do keep up the pressure | 0:54:16 | 0:54:19 | |
for investment in infrastructure. | 0:54:19 | 0:54:21 | |
At its peak, there'll be 14,000 people employed in Crossrail. | 0:54:21 | 0:54:25 | |
We've got a Crossrail Academy being constructed | 0:54:25 | 0:54:28 | |
which will train many, many thousands of young people | 0:54:28 | 0:54:32 | |
in vital engineering skills. | 0:54:32 | 0:54:34 | |
These things generate employment and employment of all kinds. | 0:54:34 | 0:54:38 | |
Unless you invest in things that are going to deliver long-term growth, | 0:54:38 | 0:54:42 | |
you will pay a long-term price. | 0:54:42 | 0:54:43 | |
Few would disagree with that. | 0:54:44 | 0:54:46 | |
Investment spending is due to be much higher | 0:54:46 | 0:54:49 | |
than in the last recession, | 0:54:49 | 0:54:50 | |
but it's still going be to halved over the next five years. | 0:54:50 | 0:54:54 | |
Even whilst the Government protects big projects like Crossrail, | 0:54:54 | 0:54:59 | |
many smaller ones have been cancelled. | 0:54:59 | 0:55:02 | |
Whenever politicians run out of cash, it's mighty tempting for them | 0:55:05 | 0:55:09 | |
to stop spending on infrastructure for the future so they don't | 0:55:09 | 0:55:12 | |
have to cut the spending on people in the here and now. | 0:55:12 | 0:55:16 | |
And the reason's pretty obvious, if you think about it. | 0:55:16 | 0:55:19 | |
Whoever heard of a cancelled bridge writing to the paper to complain, | 0:55:19 | 0:55:23 | |
or a road that isn't being built calling a radio phone in? | 0:55:23 | 0:55:28 | |
You see, infrastructure may be important, | 0:55:28 | 0:55:31 | |
but it doesn't have a vote. | 0:55:31 | 0:55:33 | |
In this film, I've tried to reveal how all too often, | 0:55:37 | 0:55:39 | |
raw electoral politics can determine how they spend your money. | 0:55:39 | 0:55:43 | |
We've seen the impact that has on ever rising budgets, | 0:55:45 | 0:55:50 | |
for pensions and for health, | 0:55:50 | 0:55:52 | |
on where in Britain your money goes, and on how deficits happen. | 0:55:52 | 0:55:58 | |
Though the cuts have generated sound and fury, | 0:56:00 | 0:56:04 | |
they haven't made us ask the really big questions we now need to ask. | 0:56:04 | 0:56:08 | |
It would be nice to think, but probably naive, that come the next election | 0:56:08 | 0:56:13 | |
you could have a sensible discussion about these things. | 0:56:13 | 0:56:16 | |
If you want to have top class education, | 0:56:16 | 0:56:20 | |
which we need in the future, if you want a railway system that works, | 0:56:20 | 0:56:23 | |
if you want to make sure that there's care for your elderly parents, | 0:56:23 | 0:56:27 | |
then at some point, somewhere, it's going to have to be paid for. | 0:56:27 | 0:56:30 | |
We need a more honest debate, | 0:56:30 | 0:56:33 | |
because the spending pressures aren't going away. | 0:56:33 | 0:56:36 | |
Politicians need to take us seriously. They need to say to us, | 0:56:38 | 0:56:41 | |
we do an awful lot of things that you want us to do for you, | 0:56:41 | 0:56:44 | |
but those things are things that are costing more and more. | 0:56:44 | 0:56:47 | |
You're living longer, there's more that we can do with health care. | 0:56:47 | 0:56:50 | |
You want better and better education so we can compete in the world. | 0:56:50 | 0:56:54 | |
You want law and order that looks after you, that protects you. | 0:56:54 | 0:56:57 | |
You want a defence service that can do what you want us to do in the world. | 0:56:57 | 0:57:01 | |
Well, you've got to pay for it | 0:57:01 | 0:57:02 | |
and these things will get more expensive. | 0:57:02 | 0:57:05 | |
For years, politicians have offered us an impossible mix - | 0:57:06 | 0:57:10 | |
increased spending, but lower taxes at the same time. | 0:57:10 | 0:57:14 | |
It's a mix we voters tell them we want, it's a mix which | 0:57:14 | 0:57:18 | |
has helped to contribute to the sort of mess we're in today. | 0:57:18 | 0:57:22 | |
A more grown-up choice would be to say either you've got to do | 0:57:22 | 0:57:25 | |
more for yourselves, or you're going to have to pay the bill. | 0:57:25 | 0:57:29 | |
But, as we'll see next time, there's nothing politicians fear more | 0:57:29 | 0:57:34 | |
than telling us our taxes are going up. | 0:57:34 | 0:57:37 | |
The rich don't want to pay more. | 0:57:37 | 0:57:39 | |
I think taxes are totally voluntary for the very rich. | 0:57:39 | 0:57:43 | |
The rest of us feel we're taxed enough already. | 0:57:43 | 0:57:46 | |
I feel we haven't got any more to give. | 0:57:46 | 0:57:48 | |
Come on! | 0:57:48 | 0:57:50 | |
And when politicians try to find other ways to raise tax, | 0:57:50 | 0:57:54 | |
they face impossible odds. | 0:57:54 | 0:57:55 | |
If someone can think of a popular tax, | 0:57:58 | 0:58:00 | |
then they should phone up and let us know. | 0:58:00 | 0:58:02 | |
Next time on Your Money And How They Spend It, the trouble with tax. | 0:58:02 | 0:58:07 | |
Subtitles by Red Bee Media Ltd | 0:58:25 | 0:58:28 | |
E-mail [email protected] | 0:58:28 | 0:58:30 |