Episode 1 Your Money and How They Spend It


Episode 1

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Transcript


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Spending has been Britain's national obsession.

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There's nothing we've liked better than to splash a bit of cash.

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The richer we've got, the more we've all fallen in love with spending.

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And you know what?

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So have our politicians.

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Only now the party's over.

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We're feeling the pinch

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and our politicians are facing some hard choices.

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In this series I'm out to get us talking about your money

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and how they spend it. We'll examine who gets what and why.

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-So do you want to give her the money?

-Actually, no.

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Oh, you don't want to give old people the money?!

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-I thought you said you did.

-Old working class people.

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And I'll be showing what bang you get for your buck.

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The cost to you -

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a mere £5 billion.

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C'mon! We'll find out who forks out the most in tax...

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..and explore the bizarre way the system actually works.

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They have VAT but they don't have VAT,

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but that's not a biscuit it's a cake.

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It's as clear as mud, isn't it? It really, really is.

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I'll be finding out why spending's set to keep rising.

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Well, there's not many people coming to you saying,

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"Here's what we can stop doing." There's a lot of people queuing up

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saying "Here's what we can start doing,

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"here's somewhere else to spend our money."

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And how politicians keep getting into tangles over tax.

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Talking about tax and politics is like talking about sex in public.

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Everyone knows it's around, but they don't like to talk about it.

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We'll be discovering why politicians keep fooling themselves

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that the economy will always be plain sailing.

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But what they and what we amateur sailors have to know

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is that it can all change incredibly fast.

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Right now, we're facing the biggest spending squeeze

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since the Second World War.

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Tonight, we find out how on earth we got here.

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If you've ever wondered how politicians

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spend your money or why they spend it in the way they do,

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follow me - we'll find out.

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I'm on a mission to get us talking about how we spend,

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and where better to start than one of Britain's shopping temples -

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Manchester's Trafford Centre.

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I've got something in my briefcase which means

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I've had to borrow a security guard.

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It's full of your money.

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That's right, yours.

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This is how much the government spends

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on behalf of every family each year.

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About £20?!

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About £20?

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'£20! Well, how much do you reckon?'

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-I've got something for you here.

-Oh, yeah!

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-This is for you. Your money.

-Lovely.

-How much is there?

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£4,000?

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£5,000? £10,000?

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£20,000?

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£22,000. That's yours.

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-Ah, lovely.

-It's a lot of money!

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-Oh, I know. Taxpayers' money.

-Yes.

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-Oh, my God!

-Is that a bit tempting?

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Yes, it's nice.

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Am I making you think "I'd like some of that"?

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-Do they spend it well?

-I wouldn't say so, no.

-Why not?

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Cos we don't see much of it.

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It would definitely help in my life.

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Actually, it wouldn't. It's all fake I'm afraid.

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I'll still take it!

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You see, while we all hear a lot about cuts,

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we don't have a clear idea about what the government

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actually spends on us.

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So let's start with that £22,000 I've been hawking around.

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Where does it all go?

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Add all those £22,000s up together

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and you get a pretty eye-watering amount - £692 billion.

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Now there are seven big budgets

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which make up more than three quarters of all government spending.

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Let's have a look at them.

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There's transport, law and order,

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defence and, at the moment, bigger than them all, debt interest.

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But the three really big ones are these.

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Education - that's about £2,800 per family.

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In total, over £90 billion.

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Health - that's about £3,800 per family

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or in total about £121 billion.

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And then Social Security, the whopper, £194 billion.

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For every family, that's just over £6,000.

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That, of course, isn't just benefits for the unemployed or disabled

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but the big pension bill as well.

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Now let's ignore the deficit for a moment.

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The big problem facing politicians long term is that those big bills

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just keep rising.

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This is Spitalfields Market in London,

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where, once a month, pensioners gather for a tea dance.

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Many here are over 80 -

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glorious proof that we are living longer, often healthier lives

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but ones, let's face it, with higher bills attached.

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First things first though. Could I make it onto Strictly?

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I haven't a clue where I'm going. You're very good at leading.

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'In 1901, there were just 60,000 people aged 85 or over.'

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You can't, you just know it in your head!

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'Now there are 1.5 million, 25 times as many.

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'And that figure is set to double in the next 20 years.

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'There'll be 3 million over 85 year olds.'

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Am I learning?

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'What we're all learning is just how expensive that will be.'

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You're getting there!

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I can now feel the rhythm, I'm not sure what I'm doing with my...

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-Oh!

-Sorry.

-Sorry, my fault.

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In 50 years' time, we're forecast to be spending £80 billion more

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each year just to cope with our ageing population.

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That's more than double the defence budget.

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If you had to hold up cards like they do on Strictly?

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-On your dancing?

-My dancing.

-You can't dance.

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-No?

-Oh, don't say that.

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-No, he can't.

-No?(!)

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I didn't tread on your toes too often?

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No, you didn't tread on my toes at all. You were a perfect gentleman.

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Thank you very much.

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Now with so many people living to a good age,

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do you ever think where the money will come from to pay for it?

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No, I don't worry about that because I'll be six feet under by then!

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It's my problem, you mean?

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I think our children have that worry, not us.

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It's going to get more pricey, isn't it,

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-with so many people living older?

-Yes, it certainly is.

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But I'm not that anxious to go anywhere yet!

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I'm going to hang on as long as possible,

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and I hope everyone else does.

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Mind you, we've worked a lot of years,

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-and we've paid in a lot of years.

-Yeah.

-All of us.

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Even if you dance as badly as I do, you leave the tea dance

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at Spitalfields feeling pretty good.

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It's a celebration of growing older, rather than people moping about it.

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And yet as our politicians try to keep in step

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with our ever-ageing population, they find themselves

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getting into a tangle too.

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You see, politicians find it very hard to cut back

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on spending on the elderly so let me tell you a story.

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It's about winter fuel allowance, a new benefit introduced

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by Labour in 1997 at a cost

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of £268 million in today's money.

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The winter fuel allowance, when it was introduced,

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was intended as just a little bit of extra help.

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£20 a year for every pensioner, regardless of how wealthy they were.

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But that was soon to change when Gordon Brown was accused of being

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a miser when he introduced an increase in the weekly pension

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of just 75p.

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The fury that that produced

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confirmed what every politician knows -

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there is nothing so terrifying as a pensioner who feels wronged.

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Tony Blair even dubbed them "like Rottweilers on speed."

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Britain's pensioners went into battle over the 75p rise.

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Oh, it was an insult wasn't it?

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Absolute insult to all of us.

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Norah Knight was so angry about this year's 75p pension rise

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she sent it back to Gordon Brown in the form of a cheque.

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Then to add insult to injury,

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she was astounded to find the Treasury cashed her cheque.

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And when pensioners start hijacking buses you know you're in trouble.

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ALL: What do we want, pensions rights!

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The then Chancellor Gordon Brown

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decided to throw money at the problem.

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And winter fuel allowance went up...

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The winter allowance is currently paid to all 8 million

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elderly households at £20.

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I've decided to raise it to £100.

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..and up...

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It will be paid not at £150,

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but at £200 for every...

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CRIES OF DISCONTENT

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..for every pensioner household.

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..and up...

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For this year, for those over 70, on top of the winter fuel payment,

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we will pay an additional £100 to each household.

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So by 2004, the cost had risen to...

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£2.3 billion, eight times more than it originally cost.

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With fuel bills rising you might say, "Why not?"

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But can we really afford to keep giving it to everyone,

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no matter how rich they are?

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I've got £200 here, right.

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I want to know is it a good idea that the government

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gives £200 to old people for winter fuel allowance.

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-Is that a good idea?

-Old people should be prioritised

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cos they don't work, and the pension is not really a good rate.

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-So give them this money?

-Yeah, absolutely, yeah.

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-So do you want to give her the money?

-Actually, no.

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Oh, you don't want to give old people the money?

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-I thought you did want to give them money?

-Old working class people.

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-How about him?

-Definitely not.

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-Don't give him the money.

-Him?

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No way. These people are like, very wealthy.

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-Definitely.

-Definitely a good idea?

-Yeah. Heat or eat.

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Should he get the £200?

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-I suppose it has to be means tested, I suppose.

-What about her?

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-No.

-Or him?

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I think they're quite well off.

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They shouldn't get the £200?

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Umm... When you put it like that I suppose, no.

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So we like the idea of spending on the elderly,

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but we're not so sure about handouts to those who don't need them.

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And some wealthy pensioners agree, like nightclub impresario,

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Peter Stringfellow,

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a man so outraged by getting the money,

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he went to the trouble of trying to send it back.

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She's the big lady herself.

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-So Peter, you're 70?

-71st year.

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-Not short of a bob or two?

-No.

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-More than one house?

-Two.

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-More than one nightclub?

-Three.

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Pay yourself enough to earn top rate tax?

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Not too short of half a million a year.

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Half a million pounds a year.

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So how important is getting £200 a year from the government?

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It's embarrassing to me.

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I don't ask for it, I don't expect it,

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it was not something that I knew was going to come along.

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You wanted the government to give you the chance to say no?

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Yes I did. Eventually, I got a letter back from them

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saying you will not be receiving it in future!

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"However, if you change your mind please let us know

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"and then we'll reinstate it."

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But that's not what I wanted.

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I wanted them to change the whole policy of not giving it

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to people who don't need it.

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I think the problem with winter fuel allowance, it's indiscriminate

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it's not targeted, it's not means tested so your actually giving

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a reasonably significant amount of money overall

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to people who didn't need it.

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-Why did it happen then?

-It happened because we have a great sympathy for the elderly.

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We wanted and we pledged to create dignity for people in their old age.

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You were in a hole as a government?

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You'd increased the pension by 75p.

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We had also shot ourselves in the foot one year.

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by giving a very modest increase in the state pension

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and there was inevitably a great backlash against that

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so there was a bit of politics in this.

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A bit of politics which comes at a very high price

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and doesn't target money on those who need it most.

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Even those who worked closely with Gordon Brown at Number 10

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think it's not the best way to spend our money.

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If you go and ask Treasury officials,

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they'd love to take away fuel allowance.

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It would be first on their list.

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So why hasn't it been cut?

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Politics.

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Because older people vote more than younger people.

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They mobilise themselves. They want to defend their benefits.

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And, you know, it's very, very hard in those circumstances

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to confront them with the loss of a benefit,

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and so, whatever the mandarins say, whatever the number crunchers say,

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whatever policy wonks say, it comes down to a political judgement.

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In the dying hours of last year's general election campaign,

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David Cameron had to make exactly that judgement.

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Labour's election supremos were targeting him,

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claiming he'd axe benefits for the elderly.

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The question was - how would he react?

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David Cameron's whole strategy in changing the face

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of the Conservative party was to say "We're caring."

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So it's very difficult for them to repeal measures like

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the winter fuel allowance cos you can imagine not only we as the opposition,

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but many others, would come down on him like a tonne of bricks.

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Let me say very clearly to pensioners.

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If you have a Conservative government,

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your winter fuel allowance, your bus pass, your pension credit,

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your free TV licence, all these things are safe.

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You can read my lips, that is a promise from my heart.

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Can I ask you a personal question?

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Do you get the winter fuel allowance?

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I get the winter fuel allowance.

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I have a Government car, so I don't get value for money

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out of my pensioner's bus pass, but I regard them as tax rebates.

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Is it sensible giving people with a reasonable amount of money,

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tax-free sums?

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I think we have to demonstrate our commitment to pensioners

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and it's a message to pensioners that the Government

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does have regard to the fact that pensioners are entitled

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to various benefits. And we discussed it before the election,

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we announced it before the election. It's an election promise we're keeping.

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The reason that first Labour and then Conservative ministers

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carried on spending billions of pounds on a policy

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they've got doubts about is because they saw it

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as a powerful political symbol

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of how much they cared about the elderly.

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The money that's still being spent on the winter fuel allowance

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is not short of the amount that's been cut

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from the university budget forcing the trebling of tuition fees.

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Students may protest, they may even riot,

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but politicians are much more scared of their grannies.

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And if politicians daren't mess with spending on the elderly,

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just imagine how wary they are of touching

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the biggest sacred cow of them all - the NHS.

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It all goes back to a summer's day just after the war,

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in a suburb just outside Manchester.

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It's been big, bold decisions to do things together

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that have really driven up public spending.

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A little over 60 years ago, here at the Trafford General Hospital,

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the then Minister Of Health, Aneurin Bevan, launched the NHS.

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It gave Britain, he said, "the moral leadership of the world."

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It also gave Britain a mighty big bill.

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Nye Bevan and the other founders of the NHS thought we'd get healthier

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so demand would fall. In fact, spending on the health service

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has catapulted from £11 billion in today's money

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to eleven times that much now - £121 billion.

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One of the things that people often missed,

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was the way the demand to spend money would grow,

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particularly because we're so much better off than we used to be.

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In 1955 we spent 3% of national income on the health service.

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Now we spend nearly 9%

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and there's been a steady growth year after year,

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decade after decade,

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an extra 1% of national income each decade, and after a little while,

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those one percents of national income

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add up to an awful lot of money.

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Ever since that day here in Trafford in 1948,

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the NHS has been so much more than a mere way of organising healthcare.

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It's been a love affair,

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it's been, if you like, the closest this country gets

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to a national religion.

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And politicians know, therefore, they have to keep on paying

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to keep the faith.

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It's very expensive, and all wealthy states spend an ever higher

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proportion of their wealth on health care.

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Even if you're running it with iron discipline,

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it will cost you more, health.

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There's no other area at all where public spending is like that.

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In Canada, when they had a huge deficit, this is what they did.

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That used to be a hospital.

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Can you imagine them blowing one up here, in Britain?

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Health's sacred status with us voters

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means our politicians wouldn't dare.

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Not that they wouldn't want to.

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For years the medical advice to them has been that having fewer hospitals

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would save money which could be better spent and that's not all...

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Closing hospitals is quite definitely a way

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to get better healthcare particularly with new drugs,

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with new technology and we can do operations -

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cataract operations you can do in a local GP surgery.

0:19:480:19:52

No-one goes and stays in hospital to the degree they did.

0:19:520:19:56

But there's one thing that stops that happening. It's you and me.

0:19:580:20:02

This is the King George Hospital in Ilford, east of London.

0:20:030:20:06

Local NHS bosses want to shut its maternity and A&E units

0:20:060:20:11

and move them to a hospital in Romford, a few miles up the road.

0:20:110:20:14

But in a local church hall,

0:20:150:20:17

residents are gathering to fight the proposals.

0:20:170:20:20

It's massive, it's a really big issue.

0:20:210:20:24

Everyone sees it as a money saving exercise.

0:20:240:20:27

Saving money first, giving good health service second.

0:20:270:20:30

That's the crux of the matter really.

0:20:300:20:32

I'm not going to say economical with the truth.

0:20:320:20:35

They told us it's nothing to do with money. Of course it's about money.

0:20:350:20:39

34,000 residents signed a petition against closing

0:20:420:20:46

parts of King George Hospital.

0:20:460:20:48

Many of us like our services local

0:20:480:20:51

and we want to keep them that way.

0:20:510:20:53

And the first proposals they came up with...

0:20:530:20:56

And so do the local MPs.

0:20:560:20:58

Labour and Tories are united in backing this campaign.

0:20:580:21:01

And if we keep together, we keep up the campaign, we will succeed.

0:21:030:21:06

In opposition, David Cameron promised a bare knuckle fight

0:21:090:21:13

to save district hospitals.

0:21:130:21:16

I think it's ridiculous that at a time

0:21:160:21:18

when the population is growing, when more people are at A&E units,

0:21:180:21:22

when more babies are being born,

0:21:220:21:24

when our health needs are getting greater,

0:21:240:21:26

that we're shutting down maternity units

0:21:260:21:28

and accident and emergency units.

0:21:280:21:30

The government says the days of the district general hospital are over.

0:21:300:21:34

I completely disagree.

0:21:340:21:35

But now he's in government, David Cameron

0:21:380:21:40

has, in the last few weeks, approved the closure of A&E

0:21:400:21:44

and maternity units not just at King George's

0:21:440:21:48

but another London hospital.

0:21:480:21:49

The decision there has been debated for 17 years.

0:21:490:21:53

It all takes so long

0:21:530:21:55

because politicians hate to be seen to close hospitals.

0:21:550:21:59

I've lost count of the numbers of Members Of Parliament

0:22:020:22:05

that would say to me,

0:22:050:22:06

"I understand completely why you're doing this,

0:22:060:22:09

"I understand all the clinical arguments and I understand

0:22:090:22:12

"and sympathise with all of those but you must understand

0:22:120:22:15

"publicly I have to take this position."

0:22:150:22:17

I have to fight to keep my hospital open?

0:22:170:22:19

I have to fight, and be seen to fight, to keep my hospital open.

0:22:190:22:23

So fear of us, the voters,

0:22:270:22:29

helps push up spending on the essentials like pensions and health.

0:22:290:22:34

And then there are all those extra little things that are nice to have.

0:22:340:22:38

Like money for culture and the arts.

0:22:380:22:42

People used to all go to Margate for fun and frolics at the seaside.

0:22:490:22:53

As of late, though, this bit of the Kent coast has been better

0:22:580:23:02

known for its deprivation, and high rate of unemployment.

0:23:020:23:06

Yet what's this? A brand new art gallery.

0:23:080:23:12

The new Turner Contemporary, opened earlier this year.

0:23:120:23:15

A dazzling addition to the sea front costing £14 million of public money.

0:23:150:23:20

Its sparse, but striking displays have already

0:23:230:23:27

pulled in over 260,000 visitors.

0:23:270:23:30

And they've put Margate back on the map.

0:23:300:23:34

Victoria Pomery is the gallery's director.

0:23:340:23:38

What a spectacular view it is.

0:23:380:23:40

You must at times see the real poverty there is here,

0:23:400:23:44

how, in a sense, do you argue to yourself the reason why

0:23:440:23:48

people in very low paid jobs should pay their taxes

0:23:480:23:51

to build what is in a sense a real luxury?

0:23:510:23:56

I don't see the Arts as a luxury,

0:23:560:23:58

I see the Arts as integral to our lives,

0:23:580:24:01

all of our lives, whoever we are. And, for me, it's really important

0:24:010:24:06

that everyone can access fantastic art that makes them think

0:24:060:24:10

in different ways about themselves and the world they live in.

0:24:100:24:14

Isn't this, in the end, just a bit of fluff?

0:24:140:24:16

I don't think this is fluff at all.

0:24:160:24:19

I think this is serious, we are really ambitious,

0:24:190:24:22

we want to be part of Margate's history and part of its future,

0:24:220:24:26

and we feel we can really help and support the wider regeneration

0:24:260:24:30

and renewal of this area.

0:24:300:24:32

But not everyone's so sure. Some locals deeply resent the gallery.

0:24:320:24:37

Dawn McLarren is a local mum,

0:24:400:24:43

who thinks the money was desperately needed elsewhere.

0:24:430:24:46

I've got a son, he's 17, he's about to leave college,

0:24:460:24:51

he's got no work, no opportunity here whatsoever.

0:24:510:24:55

And nothing to do.

0:24:550:24:57

How do you feel about public money going to that new gallery?

0:24:570:25:01

Very angry. Very, very, angry.

0:25:020:25:06

But around the sea front there are a few new shops and cafes opening up.

0:25:060:25:11

Just maybe the first signs of long-awaited regeneration.

0:25:110:25:14

Ian Driver is a local councillor.

0:25:140:25:19

I do think if you look at this in the long term -

0:25:190:25:22

three, four, five years down the road,

0:25:220:25:25

it will be creating more jobs and people will feel the benefit of it.

0:25:250:25:29

Whether you regard the Turner Contemporary

0:25:290:25:32

as a glorious gallery that can revive a town,

0:25:320:25:35

or a vast and overpriced seaside shed,

0:25:350:25:38

it is one symbol of what the surge in public spending

0:25:380:25:42

in the New Labour years actually paid for.

0:25:420:25:46

The cost of building it has been met.

0:25:460:25:49

But the costs of running it, though far from vast,

0:25:490:25:52

is yet one more addition to the national accounts.

0:25:520:25:56

Arts spending for the whole of England is... £447 million.

0:25:580:26:04

A drop in the ocean of public spending,

0:26:040:26:06

and a lot less than winter fuel allowance.

0:26:060:26:09

But when it comes to how governments spend your money,

0:26:090:26:12

it's all the little things that add up.

0:26:120:26:16

People are always coming up with innumerable small demands,

0:26:160:26:20

and they say if this money was used imaginatively it does

0:26:200:26:23

an immense amount of political good.

0:26:230:26:26

All the time you get people saying,

0:26:260:26:28

"I know money's tight but could we just spend a little?"

0:26:280:26:31

Well, there's not many people coming to you saying,

0:26:310:26:33

"Here's what we can stop doing."

0:26:330:26:35

There's people queuing outside your door saying,

0:26:350:26:38

"Here's what we can start doing, here's somewhere else to spend our money."

0:26:380:26:41

If that was balanced by one queue of people saying,

0:26:410:26:44

"Let's save money here," and another queue of people saying,

0:26:440:26:47

"Let's spend it here,"

0:26:470:26:49

it might be a bit easier to be a government minister.

0:26:490:26:52

Ministers can expect a headline, a cheer even,

0:26:530:26:56

when they announce a new way to spend public money.

0:26:560:26:59

But there's all too often a big and rather expensive gap

0:26:590:27:03

between their promises and cold, hard reality.

0:27:030:27:07

Welcome to the fire control centre for the North East of England,

0:27:070:27:12

built to keep us all safer in the event not just of fires,

0:27:120:27:16

but floods and terrorist attacks.

0:27:160:27:19

Using the latest technology, satellites even,

0:27:190:27:23

to keep track of fire engines.

0:27:230:27:25

And what's more, we were told, it would improve efficiency, too.

0:27:250:27:29

Just one problem.

0:27:290:27:30

The technology didn't work, the building behind me is empty.

0:27:300:27:35

At a cost to you of £97,000 a month.

0:27:350:27:41

For the next 24 years.

0:27:410:27:44

And there are eight others like it around the country.

0:27:440:27:48

The cost? More than England's Arts Budget.

0:27:480:27:52

£469 million.

0:27:520:27:55

For which you get in return... Nothing.

0:27:550:27:59

It's just the most vivid example of a long list of projects

0:28:010:28:04

where the original idea sounded good,

0:28:040:28:07

but which have been hopelessly mismanaged.

0:28:070:28:09

From the Typhoon jet which came in £3.5 billion over budget,

0:28:090:28:14

to the doomed NHS IT project.

0:28:140:28:18

It's cost billions of pounds of taxpayers money,

0:28:180:28:21

but it doesn't work.

0:28:210:28:22

It cost at least £6 billion and counting.

0:28:220:28:26

You should not be afraid, as you would in your own household

0:28:270:28:30

or your own business, to say do we actually need to do this?

0:28:300:28:34

Is this new, exciting project or pilot that we're setting up,

0:28:340:28:38

is it going to make any difference to the way people behave,

0:28:380:28:42

or the way in which they live?

0:28:420:28:43

Sometimes we've not asked those tough questions

0:28:430:28:46

in the way that we should.

0:28:460:28:47

Now whether it's avoiding waste,

0:28:470:28:50

or controlling the insatiable demand for public services,

0:28:500:28:54

or deciding what not to do at all requires...

0:28:540:28:59

well, self control.

0:28:590:29:01

There are three things which I have engaged in

0:29:020:29:06

which have a remarkable lot in common.

0:29:060:29:08

One of them is bringing up children, another is dieting,

0:29:080:29:14

which I've also done, and the third is controlling public expenditure.

0:29:140:29:18

And in each case, an important part of the art

0:29:180:29:22

or the skill whatever it is,

0:29:220:29:24

is the ability to say no and to stick to it.

0:29:240:29:28

This is the essence of what the Treasury's about.

0:29:280:29:31

If the Treasury had a motto, it would be the single word "no",

0:29:310:29:34

and it needs to be.

0:29:340:29:35

But the failure of governments to say no has had consequences.

0:29:390:29:43

They keep spending money they haven't really got.

0:29:430:29:47

It's how we've ended up with a deficit.

0:29:470:29:50

Britain has got a problem, a very big problem. And it's this.

0:29:520:29:57

Last year, the government raised £549 billion in tax.

0:29:570:30:03

But spent £692 billion.

0:30:030:30:07

Leaving a deficit, or a gap, of £143 billion.

0:30:070:30:13

But now, just take a look at this.

0:30:130:30:16

Here is government spending since the Second World War.

0:30:160:30:19

It's measured as a percentage of the economy as whole,

0:30:190:30:23

or GDP - Gross Domestic Product.

0:30:230:30:25

The peaks are recessions. And you can see them here for the mid-'70s,

0:30:250:30:32

for the mid-'80s, the early '90s and then finally

0:30:320:30:36

for the banking crisis of three years ago,

0:30:360:30:40

which helped create the largest deficit since the war.

0:30:400:30:43

Now let's add a line for taxes,

0:30:430:30:46

measured in exactly the same way as a share of the economy.

0:30:460:30:50

Look how often spending is higher than tax.

0:30:500:30:53

In other words how often the economy is in the red, in good or bad times,

0:30:530:30:57

whether there's a Labour or a Conservative government.

0:30:570:31:01

Deficits have been the name of the game

0:31:010:31:04

for pretty much all of the past half century.

0:31:040:31:07

Even so, today's deficit is a whopper.

0:31:070:31:10

It may date from the banking crisis,

0:31:100:31:13

but the last Labour government had been spending more

0:31:130:31:16

than it got in taxes for six years running up to then.

0:31:160:31:19

Gordon Brown used to say that he was borrowing to invest.

0:31:190:31:23

But his critics said he should have been saving for a rainy day.

0:31:230:31:27

The reason we keep running up deficits

0:31:300:31:33

is not just that politicians can't say no.

0:31:330:31:36

It's that sometimes they behave like every day

0:31:360:31:40

will be a day when the sun is shining.

0:31:400:31:43

It's a mistake that pretty much anybody really could make,

0:31:430:31:47

and it's best explained perhaps by something I like to do,

0:31:470:31:52

or try to do, when I'm not covering politics.

0:31:520:31:55

You see, think of our politicians as sailors, just like me today.

0:31:590:32:03

They've got to judge the conditions as they decide how to spend,

0:32:030:32:07

and keep an eye out for storms on the horizon.

0:32:070:32:12

It's beautiful out here on the water,

0:32:140:32:16

and when economic conditions are this good,

0:32:160:32:19

no wonder our politicians are tempted to set a course

0:32:190:32:23

to carry on increasing spending, as if it will always be this way.

0:32:230:32:27

After all, the sun is out, the wind is in our sails.

0:32:270:32:32

But what they, and what we amateur sailors have to know,

0:32:320:32:36

is it can all change incredibly fast,

0:32:360:32:40

and then we're in real trouble.

0:32:400:32:44

And that's what our politicians can forget -

0:32:460:32:49

how fast the weather can turn, how bad the storms can be.

0:32:490:32:53

And it's not just the last Labour government

0:32:530:32:55

because the Tories did it too.

0:32:550:32:57

-Well?

-Five and 15. Working for you now, working for you now.

0:33:070:33:11

Remember the late '80s?

0:33:110:33:13

The economy was booming, the City was taking off,

0:33:130:33:17

and the then Conservative government made a classic mistake.

0:33:170:33:21

They thought it would go on forever, and increased spending.

0:33:210:33:25

'The mistake they made was they thought'

0:33:250:33:29

that the tax revenue that was coming from an overheated economy,

0:33:290:33:32

was coming from an economy that was working extraordinarily well.

0:33:320:33:36

So they thought it would always be there.

0:33:360:33:39

The analogy would be a naive young adult

0:33:390:33:41

who thinks that because they've had a fabulous year in their business,

0:33:410:33:45

it's going to be like that forever.

0:33:450:33:47

And so they take on much larger liabilities than they really should,

0:33:470:33:51

and they repent at their leisure.

0:33:510:33:53

By the early '90s, the Conservatives had a new Prime Minister.

0:33:550:33:59

But then came a recession which pushed spending up

0:33:590:34:03

and tax revenues down.

0:34:030:34:05

By 1993, they had a deficit of £50 billion.

0:34:050:34:09

We made a mistake in the late '80s.

0:34:130:34:15

It was a tiny wobble compared with what's happened

0:34:150:34:18

in the last five years,

0:34:180:34:19

I have to say. A difference of degree. But a bit of the same thing.

0:34:190:34:23

It's been done by many countries.

0:34:230:34:25

It's been done by Britain frequently, ever since the war.

0:34:250:34:28

And guess what? Barely 10 years later, the Labour Government

0:34:300:34:34

would make exactly the same mistake, only in Technicolour.

0:34:340:34:39

After two years restraint, spending roared away.

0:34:390:34:42

We had to spend more money as a country

0:34:440:34:46

because health is a matter of decency,

0:34:460:34:48

education is a matter of our future.

0:34:480:34:51

Now it's sometimes difficult to remember

0:34:510:34:53

when you look at new hospitals,

0:34:530:34:54

new schools around the country now that they had to be paid for.

0:34:540:34:58

And while the economy boomed and the taxes rolled in,

0:35:000:35:03

all seemed well.

0:35:030:35:05

In the middle of the boom they misjudged it.

0:35:070:35:10

The boom produced great tax revenues,

0:35:100:35:13

any government could borrow as much money as it liked.

0:35:130:35:16

People like me or Vince Cable moaning away about deficit and debt

0:35:160:35:20

were regarded as old-fashioned, we were the miserables

0:35:200:35:23

who didn't understand new politics, the new economic model.

0:35:230:35:27

But the government had missed something crucial about where

0:35:290:35:32

a hefty chunk of all that money was coming from.

0:35:320:35:36

Over the last 30 years,

0:35:400:35:42

the Treasury has benefited from two vast windfalls -

0:35:420:35:45

not just North Sea Oil, but also the one that people often forget -

0:35:450:35:50

the City of London, generating billions of pounds which the Government can spend.

0:35:500:35:56

There is, of course, one major difference,

0:35:560:35:58

which the last Labour Government was to discover.

0:35:580:36:01

North Sea oil runs out very slowly,

0:36:010:36:04

whereas the flow of cash from the City can run out just like that.

0:36:040:36:09

The big problem we had is that we were

0:36:120:36:14

very dependent on a flow of revenue from one particular source

0:36:140:36:17

and that was the financial services industry,

0:36:170:36:20

a volatile sector that when it goes wrong goes very wrong.

0:36:200:36:23

Whenever you're quite dependent on one source,

0:36:230:36:26

and this is something which had been building up for decades,

0:36:260:36:29

then you do have to ask yourself what if?

0:36:290:36:31

What if it stops, or what if it slows down?

0:36:310:36:33

What's your fall back position?

0:36:330:36:35

In the summer of 2008, his "what if" moment arrived.

0:36:370:36:41

The British economy was teetering on the brink of recession.

0:36:410:36:45

Alistair Darling took top Treasury civil servants away

0:36:450:36:49

for the day to Dorneywood, the Chancellor's official country house.

0:36:490:36:54

It's an oasis of calm, really, and I wanted us

0:36:540:36:57

to sit down and take stock.

0:36:570:36:59

We were sitting in an armchair overlooking these delightful gardens

0:36:590:37:04

in southern England and we were talking about this,

0:37:040:37:07

and the secretary said you know, borrowing could hit £100 billion.

0:37:070:37:11

When you start talking about £100 billion,

0:37:110:37:13

you know, that is serious money.

0:37:130:37:15

That is when you think, this is bad.

0:37:150:37:18

-Was there an intake of breath?

-Well, there was amongst some.

0:37:180:37:21

-A shaking of heads.

-I'd just come back from a Leonard Cohen concert

0:37:210:37:25

so actually I was in quite a gloomy frame of mind anyway!

0:37:250:37:28

So I thought, fair enough, we'll just have to deal with it.

0:37:280:37:32

# Dance me to your beauty

0:37:330:37:35

# With a burning violin

0:37:350:37:39

# Dance me through the panic

0:37:390:37:42

# Till I'm gathered safely in. #

0:37:420:37:46

What had looked like a downturn had became a crash.

0:37:460:37:50

The deficit would grow much larger than £100 billion

0:37:500:37:54

and ministers would spend even more, trying to avert disaster.

0:37:540:37:58

Spend now and pay later, Labour's plan to avoid a long recession.

0:37:580:38:03

The country would soon want to know how it could all be paid for.

0:38:030:38:08

What happened when the financial crisis struck, is that we knew

0:38:080:38:12

immediately we had to accelerate out of the storm or be buried in it.

0:38:120:38:15

The public were quite frightened of those telephone number figures that

0:38:150:38:20

they saw, you know, on those

0:38:200:38:21

BBC News reports at 10 o'clock.

0:38:210:38:24

And they thought, hold on a moment,

0:38:240:38:26

we've got to do something about this,

0:38:260:38:29

otherwise we're going to be saddling future generations with

0:38:290:38:32

a colossal amount of debt, and that is not the responsible thing to do.

0:38:320:38:35

But for many months, Gordon Brown instructed his ministers

0:38:370:38:41

not to even talk about the drastic measures which were sure to

0:38:410:38:44

be needed to tackle the deficit.

0:38:440:38:46

Gordon's nervousness was that it would just sound like cuts.

0:38:490:38:53

He didn't want to sue the "c word" at all, did he, the word cuts?

0:38:540:38:57

We had so many discussions about this,

0:38:570:39:01

more than I can care to remember,

0:39:010:39:05

until we got to his TUC speech in September of 2009.

0:39:050:39:10

And he used the word "cuts" not once,

0:39:100:39:12

not twice, I think it was something like seven or eight times.

0:39:120:39:16

Labour will cut costs, cut inefficiencies,

0:39:160:39:19

cut unnecessary programmes and cut lower priority budgets.

0:39:190:39:23

And he came back from Brighton or wherever it was

0:39:230:39:26

and said, "OK, satisfied?"

0:39:260:39:27

It was too late.

0:39:290:39:30

By then the sheer size of the deficit had damaged

0:39:300:39:34

Gordon Brown's economic credibility

0:39:340:39:37

and handed the argument to his enemies.

0:39:370:39:39

It was the biggest loss of control over fiscal policy and tax

0:39:390:39:44

and spending that anybody now living can remember.

0:39:440:39:46

By the time of the last general election,

0:39:470:39:50

Britain had the biggest deficit since the war - £160 billion.

0:39:500:39:56

You do need to just keep your eye

0:39:580:39:59

on how much you are actually spending,

0:39:590:40:02

the what if question, what if this slows down, how much margin have you got?

0:40:020:40:05

But I have to say that there may have been people around

0:40:050:40:08

who said spend less, but the majority, and certainly it

0:40:080:40:11

was a political consensus, maybe that was a bad thing,

0:40:110:40:14

but political consensus was that we should be spending more, not less.

0:40:140:40:18

Not any more.

0:40:210:40:23

A new government has ushered in a new age of austerity.

0:40:230:40:26

Are the cuts going to hurt, Chancellor?

0:40:290:40:31

This is a dramatic change of political and economic strategy,

0:40:310:40:35

and, like the last Chancellor, he can only wait and watch and hope.

0:40:350:40:39

We have moved from an era when choices could be avoided

0:40:430:40:46

to one where they simply have to be made.

0:40:460:40:48

The decisions we make will affect every single person in this country.

0:40:530:40:57

And the effects of those decisions will stay with us for years.

0:40:570:41:02

Every day we hear about cuts to pensions, pay, services -

0:41:040:41:10

all choices about who gets what.

0:41:100:41:11

But some questions are still considered too explosive to ask,

0:41:200:41:24

like why if you live in some parts of Britain,

0:41:240:41:26

you'll get more spent on you than people in other parts.

0:41:260:41:30

Take Scotland -

0:41:350:41:38

public spending is, on average, £10,212 per head.

0:41:380:41:43

Whereas in England, it's £8,588.

0:41:430:41:48

That's a gap of £1,624 - just under 20%.

0:41:500:41:55

So what difference does that extra money make?

0:41:580:42:01

Well, one possible answer can be found here at Edinburgh University.

0:42:010:42:05

It's Freshers Fair - where you can sign up to

0:42:050:42:08

anything from tribal drumming to pole dancing -

0:42:080:42:12

however much you pay to come here in tuition fees, which, of course,

0:42:120:42:16

depends on where you're from.

0:42:160:42:18

I'm Anna, and I'm from Yorkshire,

0:42:180:42:20

and I pay at the moment about £1,700 a year.

0:42:200:42:22

I'm Matthew, originally from London, and I spend the same.

0:42:220:42:26

I'm Matt, I'm from Edinburgh, and I pay nothing at all.

0:42:260:42:29

-And looking very pleased.

-Looking very pleased!

0:42:290:42:32

You have to preside over a student body where some pay and some don't.

0:42:320:42:36

Yes, we have huge conflicts and we have inequalities of fee level,

0:42:360:42:40

but it shouldn't result in inequalities of educational provision

0:42:400:42:43

and that's what we're making sure remains frontline.

0:42:430:42:46

And it's not just the difference between Scots and English people?

0:42:460:42:50

Not at all, it's the difference between Scots and English,

0:42:500:42:53

also Europeans still get it for free,

0:42:530:42:55

even though the English are paying, because of the EU,

0:42:550:42:58

and international students pay through-the-roof fees to be here.

0:42:580:43:02

There are huge inequalities that I don't think should exist.

0:43:020:43:05

But those inequalities are going to get starker as fees rise.

0:43:060:43:10

English and Northern Irish students arriving here next year could

0:43:100:43:14

face a bill up to £36,000 more overall

0:43:140:43:18

than their Scottish or European friends.

0:43:180:43:22

Welsh students will pay less than that, but more than the Scots.

0:43:220:43:27

And tuition fees are just one example of what Scots seem to get

0:43:310:43:35

which the rest of Britain doesn't - is that unfair,

0:43:350:43:38

or just a consequence of devolution?

0:43:380:43:40

What is your message to an English parent who says

0:43:420:43:45

my child goes to Edinburgh University and pays £9,000,

0:43:450:43:49

a Scot doesn't pay that, a Pole doesn't pay that, how's that fair?

0:43:490:43:53

I would change your government at Westminster.

0:43:530:43:55

When I was an MP at Westminster I voted

0:43:550:43:57

against the Labour Government introducing tuition fees.

0:43:570:44:01

If I was still an MP at Westminster,

0:44:010:44:02

I'd have voted against the Tory and Liberal Government introducing it.

0:44:020:44:06

I cannot dictate the politics of England.

0:44:060:44:08

But the parent might say,

0:44:080:44:09

it's my English taxes that are paying for Alex Salmond

0:44:090:44:12

to dole out money to stop tuition fees in Scotland?

0:44:120:44:15

The Scottish parent might say Scottish revenue

0:44:150:44:17

keeps the United Kingdom Treasury afloat.

0:44:170:44:19

In other words, North Sea oil.

0:44:210:44:24

Scots, Alex Salmond is saying, pay more in as well as getting more out.

0:44:240:44:28

As do, incidentally, people in London.

0:44:280:44:31

The maths is more complex than it first appears.

0:44:340:44:36

There is no simple fact when it comes to measuring

0:44:400:44:43

the difference between spending in Scotland and in England.

0:44:430:44:47

There are arguments about how to measure need,

0:44:470:44:50

how to take into account geography and our old friend,

0:44:500:44:54

the contribution of oil revenues.

0:44:540:44:56

There is, though, one simple fact about politics in Westminster.

0:44:560:45:01

For more than 30 years, politicians, Labour and Conservative,

0:45:010:45:05

haven't dared look again at the numbers.

0:45:050:45:08

They haven't dared ask the question because they fear the consequences.

0:45:080:45:13

The amount different nations in the UK get is

0:45:160:45:18

determined by a formula dreamt up in Whitehall way back in the 1970s.

0:45:180:45:23

Because it was an issue then, too.

0:45:230:45:26

Last year, for every £100 the state spent on every Englishman,

0:45:270:45:30

it spent a much larger share, £119, on every Scot.

0:45:300:45:35

TV programmes may have changed,

0:45:350:45:37

but the size of the gap has stayed the same.

0:45:370:45:40

So why doesn't the Treasury do anything about it?

0:45:400:45:43

We haven't looked at how much Scotland gets,

0:45:470:45:50

Wales gets, England gets,

0:45:500:45:51

and probably we need to do so.

0:45:510:45:53

Why haven't we done so over the last 20 or 30 years?

0:45:530:45:56

Probably because governments

0:45:560:45:58

have been very frightened about opening up this tin,

0:45:580:46:02

and what would be a very complex calculation, particularly against

0:46:020:46:05

a background of independence movements, most notably in Scotland.

0:46:050:46:10

Couldn't you call that bribery?

0:46:100:46:11

We give you money and you won't vote for independence.

0:46:110:46:14

I don't think that they would necessarily call it bribery.

0:46:140:46:17

They might choose to do so.

0:46:170:46:19

I tell you one reason the Treasury aren't keen to re-open this.

0:46:200:46:23

It's you. They think you're going to make Scotland independent,

0:46:230:46:26

they think if they look at these figures that there'll be

0:46:260:46:29

a break of the union, and they don't want it to happen.

0:46:290:46:32

I was brought up to believe there were three great lies in life.

0:46:320:46:35

One is, "The cheque's in the post."

0:46:350:46:37

The second is, "Darling, I'll respect you in the morning."

0:46:370:46:40

And the third is, "I'm from the London Treasury

0:46:400:46:43

"and I want to help Scotland."

0:46:430:46:44

We in Scotland are prepared to raise all our own money

0:46:440:46:48

and govern all our own spending with no subsidies from anyone

0:46:480:46:53

as long as people in England do exactly the same thing.

0:46:530:46:56

And if England raises its own money,

0:46:560:46:58

governs its own spending, Scotland does the same, then that is

0:46:580:47:02

the essence of a happy relationship on these islands forever and a day.

0:47:020:47:06

Westminster politicians may have shied away from some tough choices.

0:47:110:47:15

But the ones they have made are revealing something else -

0:47:150:47:19

how dependent some parts of Britain have become in recent years on

0:47:190:47:24

public spending - and how much they stand to lose now it's being cut.

0:47:240:47:30

My next stop is Durham.

0:47:320:47:34

PIPES PLAY

0:47:370:47:38

BRASS BAND PLAYS

0:47:470:47:49

I've come here along with 50,000 other people

0:47:520:47:55

for one of the North East's great traditions.

0:47:550:47:58

The wonderful sights and sounds of the annual Durham Miners' Gala

0:48:030:48:07

are meant to be much more than merely a celebration

0:48:070:48:10

of Britain's industrial past, they're meant to be a campaign,

0:48:100:48:15

a live one, for political causes.

0:48:150:48:17

And yet what they remind us is how few industrial jobs are left

0:48:170:48:21

here in the North East, how many depend directly on public spending.

0:48:210:48:26

Take the Durham Miners' Association Brass Band.

0:48:330:48:38

There are still a few ex-miners in it,

0:48:380:48:41

but more than half are public sector workers.

0:48:410:48:44

From Kevin, who works in environmental health,

0:48:440:48:46

to Julie, who's in further education.

0:48:460:48:50

Since the mines closed in the '80s, governments,

0:48:510:48:54

first Tory then Labour,

0:48:540:48:56

tried to compensate by creating public sector jobs.

0:48:560:49:00

It did work for a while.

0:49:000:49:02

But it's left some people here exposed now that spending is being cut.

0:49:020:49:07

Ian Lavery used to be a miner.

0:49:080:49:11

He's now a local MP, his constituency covers Morpeth,

0:49:110:49:14

the town with more public sector workers than anywhere else in Britain.

0:49:140:49:18

In my constituency we've got lots and lots,

0:49:180:49:21

more than 50% work in the public sector, and, of course,

0:49:210:49:25

we've got more than 50% of women

0:49:250:49:27

working in the public sector as well.

0:49:270:49:29

You're saying more than half your constituents

0:49:290:49:32

work in the public sector.

0:49:320:49:34

You must wonder sometimes,

0:49:340:49:36

there can't be enough money being raised to pay for more than half

0:49:360:49:39

the people to get jobs that aren't being created through wealth creation.

0:49:390:49:43

These jobs are valued jobs, these are jobs are much needed,

0:49:430:49:46

and they've got to be paid for by the public purse.

0:49:460:49:49

-But who pays for that?

-The taxpayer.

0:49:490:49:52

Who pays for that?

0:49:520:49:53

Me, you, everybody else.

0:49:530:49:55

And who wants the public services? Me, you, and everybody else,

0:49:550:49:59

we want the good public services.

0:49:590:50:01

We need, to survive, we need good public services.

0:50:010:50:04

The problem is that

0:50:060:50:08

when the money runs out those public sector jobs go.

0:50:080:50:12

Unemployment here in the North East is already higher

0:50:120:50:15

and rising faster than anywhere else.

0:50:150:50:17

Politicians talk of re-balancing the economy.

0:50:170:50:22

It's easily said, but for the Durham Miners' Association Band,

0:50:220:50:26

you're talking about their livelihoods.

0:50:260:50:29

It's not really our fault that those heavy industries have gone.

0:50:310:50:35

We go where the jobs are and now the jobs are in the public sector.

0:50:350:50:38

And for some reason we're being told now that we're parasites,

0:50:380:50:42

we're bleeding the country dry, the spin goes against us.

0:50:420:50:46

I don't really know why, but as far as we're concerned,

0:50:460:50:49

we just want a job to earn a living to raise our families.

0:50:490:50:52

For those who lived through the closure of the pits in the 1980s,

0:50:540:50:58

like one-time colliery worker Julie, painful memories are being stirred.

0:50:580:51:02

Does it feel like you're going through it all again,

0:51:020:51:05

you lost all these jobs in the '80s, didn't you?

0:51:050:51:08

Yes, exactly the same.

0:51:080:51:11

I mean, I now work in a further education college

0:51:110:51:14

and the cutbacks for funding mean that the budgets for next year

0:51:140:51:19

are going to be much less and as a result they've got to cut staff.

0:51:190:51:23

It feels...it's friend against friend going for the same job.

0:51:230:51:30

People and communities in Britain

0:51:330:51:35

have built their lives around politicians' decisions

0:51:350:51:38

to spend public money - no wonder cutting it hurts.

0:51:380:51:43

There is, of course, a fierce debate about the speed

0:51:480:51:51

and depth of spending cuts and the impact they're having

0:51:510:51:56

not just on people but on Britain's stuttering recovery.

0:51:560:52:00

The Government and the opposition may profoundly disagree about that,

0:52:000:52:05

but they agree that we just might need

0:52:050:52:09

to dig ourselves out of trouble.

0:52:090:52:11

You may well think that they spend your money pouring it

0:52:130:52:16

into great holes in the ground.

0:52:160:52:19

Well, you know what? You'd be right.

0:52:190:52:21

This, though, is no ordinary hole in the ground.

0:52:210:52:23

It is the largest construction site in Europe.

0:52:230:52:27

This is going to be the new Canary Wharf station

0:52:270:52:31

on London's biggest train set - Crossrail.

0:52:310:52:33

The cost to you? A mere £5 billion.

0:52:350:52:39

And that's just a fraction of the overall cost -

0:52:420:52:46

£14 billion.

0:52:460:52:48

So why spend huge sums on infrastructure, rail lines, roads, bridges,

0:52:480:52:53

at a time when so many in the public sector are losing their jobs?

0:52:530:52:58

One fervent believer in why infrastructure matters is

0:52:590:53:03

Crossrail's chairman, Terry Morgan.

0:53:030:53:07

We are on this extraordinary site,

0:53:070:53:09

that's where it will all happen soon, is it?

0:53:090:53:11

It does. Late in 2012,

0:53:110:53:13

we're going to see some tunnel boring machines come out through that circle

0:53:130:53:17

and will appear in this fantastic new station

0:53:170:53:20

called Canary Wharf.

0:53:200:53:22

Sometimes it's very difficult to explain to people,

0:53:220:53:25

what do you get for 14.8 billion?

0:53:250:53:27

You get eight stations like this,

0:53:270:53:29

you get 20 kilometres of two tubes the size you can see behind you.

0:53:290:53:34

You get an awful lot of new track, new jobs,

0:53:340:53:37

new trains, new stations, huge amount of investment that nobody can see.

0:53:370:53:42

But I could get nurses, teachers, schools, hospitals,

0:53:420:53:45

better public sector pensions.

0:53:450:53:47

Why do I want a bloody great hole in the ground?

0:53:470:53:49

Infrastructure investment is a long-term investment.

0:53:490:53:52

There's a role for schools, there's a role for hospitals.

0:53:520:53:55

It's a question of how you get the right balance about short-term decisions

0:53:550:53:59

and long-term decisions that says we've invested for the future.

0:53:590:54:03

In the last recession in the 1990s,

0:54:040:54:06

there were drastic cuts to infrastructure spending.

0:54:060:54:09

Now, on all sides, politicians want to avoid repeating that mistake.

0:54:090:54:14

It's so vital that you do keep up the pressure

0:54:160:54:19

for investment in infrastructure.

0:54:190:54:21

At its peak, there'll be 14,000 people employed in Crossrail.

0:54:210:54:25

We've got a Crossrail Academy being constructed

0:54:250:54:28

which will train many, many thousands of young people

0:54:280:54:32

in vital engineering skills.

0:54:320:54:34

These things generate employment and employment of all kinds.

0:54:340:54:38

Unless you invest in things that are going to deliver long-term growth,

0:54:380:54:42

you will pay a long-term price.

0:54:420:54:43

Few would disagree with that.

0:54:440:54:46

Investment spending is due to be much higher

0:54:460:54:49

than in the last recession,

0:54:490:54:50

but it's still going be to halved over the next five years.

0:54:500:54:54

Even whilst the Government protects big projects like Crossrail,

0:54:540:54:59

many smaller ones have been cancelled.

0:54:590:55:02

Whenever politicians run out of cash, it's mighty tempting for them

0:55:050:55:09

to stop spending on infrastructure for the future so they don't

0:55:090:55:12

have to cut the spending on people in the here and now.

0:55:120:55:16

And the reason's pretty obvious, if you think about it.

0:55:160:55:19

Whoever heard of a cancelled bridge writing to the paper to complain,

0:55:190:55:23

or a road that isn't being built calling a radio phone in?

0:55:230:55:28

You see, infrastructure may be important,

0:55:280:55:31

but it doesn't have a vote.

0:55:310:55:33

In this film, I've tried to reveal how all too often,

0:55:370:55:39

raw electoral politics can determine how they spend your money.

0:55:390:55:43

We've seen the impact that has on ever rising budgets,

0:55:450:55:50

for pensions and for health,

0:55:500:55:52

on where in Britain your money goes, and on how deficits happen.

0:55:520:55:58

Though the cuts have generated sound and fury,

0:56:000:56:04

they haven't made us ask the really big questions we now need to ask.

0:56:040:56:08

It would be nice to think, but probably naive, that come the next election

0:56:080:56:13

you could have a sensible discussion about these things.

0:56:130:56:16

If you want to have top class education,

0:56:160:56:20

which we need in the future, if you want a railway system that works,

0:56:200:56:23

if you want to make sure that there's care for your elderly parents,

0:56:230:56:27

then at some point, somewhere, it's going to have to be paid for.

0:56:270:56:30

We need a more honest debate,

0:56:300:56:33

because the spending pressures aren't going away.

0:56:330:56:36

Politicians need to take us seriously. They need to say to us,

0:56:380:56:41

we do an awful lot of things that you want us to do for you,

0:56:410:56:44

but those things are things that are costing more and more.

0:56:440:56:47

You're living longer, there's more that we can do with health care.

0:56:470:56:50

You want better and better education so we can compete in the world.

0:56:500:56:54

You want law and order that looks after you, that protects you.

0:56:540:56:57

You want a defence service that can do what you want us to do in the world.

0:56:570:57:01

Well, you've got to pay for it

0:57:010:57:02

and these things will get more expensive.

0:57:020:57:05

For years, politicians have offered us an impossible mix -

0:57:060:57:10

increased spending, but lower taxes at the same time.

0:57:100:57:14

It's a mix we voters tell them we want, it's a mix which

0:57:140:57:18

has helped to contribute to the sort of mess we're in today.

0:57:180:57:22

A more grown-up choice would be to say either you've got to do

0:57:220:57:25

more for yourselves, or you're going to have to pay the bill.

0:57:250:57:29

But, as we'll see next time, there's nothing politicians fear more

0:57:290:57:34

than telling us our taxes are going up.

0:57:340:57:37

The rich don't want to pay more.

0:57:370:57:39

I think taxes are totally voluntary for the very rich.

0:57:390:57:43

The rest of us feel we're taxed enough already.

0:57:430:57:46

I feel we haven't got any more to give.

0:57:460:57:48

Come on!

0:57:480:57:50

And when politicians try to find other ways to raise tax,

0:57:500:57:54

they face impossible odds.

0:57:540:57:55

If someone can think of a popular tax,

0:57:580:58:00

then they should phone up and let us know.

0:58:000:58:02

Next time on Your Money And How They Spend It, the trouble with tax.

0:58:020:58:07

Subtitles by Red Bee Media Ltd

0:58:250:58:28

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0:58:280:58:30

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