The Comet's Tale


The Comet's Tale

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On the edge of space,

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halfway to the nearest star, there is a vast cloud of debris,

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lumps of rock and ice

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that have drifted on the edge of our solar system for four billion years.

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They are among the most mysterious objects in the universe.

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Sometimes they are sent into the heart of our solar system,

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where they are transformed into the blazing stars we call comets.

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For centuries, our ancestors were in awe of comets.

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They were messengers from the gods...

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..carrying the power of life and death.

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It's only now, as we have the power to uncover the comet's secrets,

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that we are discovering that those ancestors were right all along.

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The comet's tale is a story

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that really CAN tell us about life, the universe and everything.

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About once every ten years, a really bright comet lights up the skies.

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Some are bright enough to be seen in broad daylight.

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Others unfurl their tails across half the sky.

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They appear from nowhere, and just as suddenly disappear.

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It's little wonder that throughout history

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people have tried to explain their significance

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and the effects they have on the Earth.

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As far back as the second century BC,

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the Chinese had taken the trouble to classify comets

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into 29 separate types.

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The shapes they saw were so striking

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they have penetrated human consciousness.

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Many other societies explained the sudden appearance of comets

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through their mythology.

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Comets marked the presence of gods in the skies.

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Comets are recorded in myths globally.

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Almost every population in the world talks about dragons...

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..things that fall from the sky, stones and iron falling from the heavens...

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..giants with a single eye in their head...

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..wizards and things like that, that can be interpreted as comets.

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If you look hard enough,

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comets can even be found in the most famous folk stories.

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When you peel away all of the layers from the King Arthur story,

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what you're left with is a local lord

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who was left in Britain after the Romans had retreated.

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And that doesn't explain why or how

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he became such a huge figure in English folklore.

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There's another possibility, and this is that Arthur may have been a comet.

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When Arthur has a battle, he takes his sword out,

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and that sword shines with the light of 30 torches.

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And, generally, Arthur's battles occur

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at times of known meteor showers.

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And in those battles, there's widespread destruction.

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In one of the battles, 11 countries get destroyed,

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and that's characteristic of what you might expect from a comet,

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and it's difficult to explain in human terms.

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Was King Arthur really a comet?

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It's an idea that requires quite a stretch of the imagination.

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But comets were often depicted as fiery swords.

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Perhaps the myths were created to help people

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interpret events in the sky that they couldn't otherwise explain.

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Whether you believe all the interpretations or not,

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there is no doubt that comets were the subject of deep superstition.

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The reason was simple.

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In times when the movement of the stars and planets

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was used to predict the future,

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the sudden appearance of something unusual was a dangerous omen.

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In the medieval world,

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philosophers and astronomers thought that everything further away from us

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than the moon is was perfect.

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Out there, beyond the moon, nothing ever changed.

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And comets just don't look like that.

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Comets look like fiery signs moving across our sky.

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They were threats to the idea

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of a perfect, calm, orderly universe.

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Perhaps they were guided by God,

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in order to send signs to humanity of God's purposes.

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When comets passed,

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astrologers almost automatically predicted great transformation,

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the death of kings, war, invasion, plague or famine.

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Not everyone viewed them with foreboding.

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Genghis Khan saw comets as a personal message

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telling him to fulfil his destiny and wage war across Asia and Europe.

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To William the Conqueror, the appearance of a comet in 1066

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was such an auspicious sign, it was immortalised on the Bayeux Tapestry.

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But for the Saxons, the comet was definitely a harbinger of doom.

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For centuries, all explanations of comets

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relied on superstition and astrology.

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It finally took the greatest mind of them all

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to make scientific sense of them.

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In 1680, a particularly bright comet

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caught the attention of Isaac Newton.

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It was a fascination that was to change the way we understand the universe.

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"On November 19th, at half past four in the morning in Cambridge,

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"the comet was seen by some young man.

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"And on the same day, at five in the morning,

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"at Boston in New England,

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"the comet was also observed."

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What was extraordinary about this comet was that

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it was visible in the sky, it was very bright,

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you could see it and October and November of 1680,

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and then it disappeared behind the sun.

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And then another comet appeared from behind the sun,

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in December, at the end of the year,

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and was visible right through to March of 1681.

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So the big question is, is this one comet or two?

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If it's one comet, then it's bent a lot near the sun.

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Here's a diagram that Newton himself made

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of the path of the comet, if it's one comet.

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You see here that it was approaching the orbit of the Earth and the sun

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in October and November of 1680,

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and then it disappears behind the sun, and reappeared in December

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and it stayed visible through February and March of 1681.

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For the sun to bend the path of a comet this much,

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Newton realised that there had to be an unseen force at work.

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He called it gravity...

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..an idea which didn't come from an apple falling from a tree,

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but from a comet passing behind the sun.

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It was by thinking about this puzzle,

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that Newton began to formulate the idea of gravitation.

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Before 1681, Newton had no notion of universal gravitation.

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Newton, between 1681 and 1684, began to suppose that comets come back,

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that they're therefore like planets, because they move in closed orbits,

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that you should be able to calculate the shape of the orbit,

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that you could, in fact, predict when comets come back.

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And that is exactly what he and his friend Edmund Halley set out to do.

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If they could use the theory of gravitation

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to predict the return of a comet,

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they would not only prove Newton's theory,

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but also show that comets were not omens or supernatural signs,

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but predictable, orbiting bodies like the planets.

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Halley collated tables of all the comet observations he could find,

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looking for similarities in their behaviour -

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what direction they came from,

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how close they got to the sun.

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At last he found three comets

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whose descriptions were almost identical,

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one recorded in 1531, one in 1607,

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and one he had observed himself in 1682.

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Each appearance was separated by 75 years.

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Convinced that these three sightings were of the same comet,

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Halley made a public prediction that it would return again

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in late 1758 or early 1759.

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It was an extraordinary piece of scientific bravado for the time.

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Neither Newton or Halley lived to see the prediction fulfilled.

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But when, on Boxing Day 1758,

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a comet was spotted in Germany, it was greeted with jubilation

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and as a triumph of science over the supernatural.

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Tracing back through the historical records,

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Comet Halley could be found reappearing like clockwork.

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This Babylonian tablet records its appearance in 164 BC.

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The comets that Genghis Khan and William the Conqueror saw

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weren't messengers from God, but the regular appearances of Comet Halley.

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'A once-in-a-lifetime meeting tonight, live on BBC1.

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'After its latest visit to Earth, Halley's Comet is already on course

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'back towards the icy wastes of outer space. In an attempt...'

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The last time it visited in 1986, it was greeted like an old friend.

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Around the world, people were transfixed, as the probe Giotto

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beamed back the first live pictures of a comet nucleus.

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It was the last we'll see of Comet Halley until 2061.

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Perhaps the most surprising thing about comets

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is that, 300 years after Newton and Halley,

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despite all that we now know about them,

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comets still have the power

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to capture and control people's imaginations.

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In 1997, a bright comet called Hale-Bopp

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suddenly appeared in the skies.

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It captivated sky-watchers around the world.

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It was particularly keenly watched

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by a cult in California known as Heaven's Gate.

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They believed that the comet was concealing a spaceship

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that had come to take them to another, better world.

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At this point, this is considered a mass suicide investigation.

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So deep was their conviction,

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that, as the comet came closest to the Earth,

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all 39 members poisoned themselves,

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believing that in taking their own lives,

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they would free their souls to board the spaceship.

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It seems no matter how far science progresses,

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comets can still hold the power of life and death.

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What is true, as we are now discovering scientifically,

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is that comets have had a profound effect on life on Earth.

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One of the reasons they retain so much power over us

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is that they seem to appear out of nowhere.

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On the island of La Palma in the Canaries,

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Alan Fitzsimmons is trying to unlock the comet's secrets.

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Here we have the William Herschel Telescope,

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4.2 metres of astronomical loveliness,

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all ready and waiting to spot a few of these comets.

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It may seem odd to use such a powerful telescope to observe comets,

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the brightest objects in the night sky,

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but the scientists want to study the comet's nucleus.

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To do that they must see them before they start producing their tails,

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when they are further away than Jupiter.

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The nucleus is tiny, just a few kilometres across,

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and in the vastness of space, they are incredibly difficult to spot.

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They only reflect, on average, 4% of the light that hits them,

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and a piece of coal reflects 8% of the light that hits it, so...

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a comet nucleus is twice as dark as a lump of coal.

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So we're trying to see these things from the feeble amount of sunlight

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they reflect out beyond Jupiter. It's not an easy thing to try and attempt to do.

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Oh, my God!

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That's it. That's it! HE LAUGHS

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-Oh, fantastic stuff!

-Another one.

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Yep, yep, another one in the bag! Happy days.

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I do love this job, you know.

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This tiny moving blob of light is the comet's nucleus,

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a delicate lump of rock and ice floating slowly through space.

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The most powerful telescopes pick them up

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as they drift through the outer planets.

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But their orbits suggest they come from much further into space,

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far beyond the realm of the planets.

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Finding exactly where they come from hasn't been easy.

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Since the 1940s, astronomers have been looking

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for a huge reservoir of comets called the Kuiper Belt,

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which they believed lay beyond Neptune.

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The only problem was, no-one could find it.

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No matter how hard they looked,

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the only object anyone could see out there

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was the ex-planet Pluto.

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By the end of the 1980s,

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almost everyone had given up looking,

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apart from two maverick astronomers on Hawaii.

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I don't intentionally do things that are different,

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but I do...

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try to be sceptical of everything,

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because I think that's essential for science.

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So if you just buy into the prevailing wisdom,

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then all you can ever do is confirm what's already known.

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In 1987, Dave Jewitt and Jane Luu

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set up at the Mauna Kea observatory in Hawaii

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to stare into empty space...

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using up precious telescope time, finding nothing at all.

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At first, I couldn't get money to support any of this,

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because it seemed, I guess, so speculative or so crazy,

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and so instead I used money from other sources, probably illegally.

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Everyone, even their colleagues, thought they were mad.

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They started asking, "When are you going to stop?

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"You've been doing it for years and still haven't found anything.

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"Maybe there isn't anything out there."

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Eventually, their bloody-minded persistence paid off.

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After five years and over 400 hours observing,

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there was a small, moving anomaly on one of their pictures.

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He said, "Jane, come take a look at this,"

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and we saw something and it was moving at about the right speed

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we would expect a distant solar-system object would move.

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We were pretty excited about that,

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because we hadn't seen any other candidate object so good.

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It was just the first positive sign that we'd got after five years.

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This was it. At last they'd found the first Kuiper Belt object.

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They named it, catchily, "1992 QB1".

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Since then, over 1,000 Kuiper Belt objects have been found,

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quietly orbiting in the dark reaches beyond Neptune.

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But there are thought to be up to six billion potential comets here,

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orbiting in a belt three billion kilometres wide.

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Occasionally they collide...

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..and one is sent tumbling into the inner solar system,

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to become what we call a "short-period comet".

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Short-period comets orbit the sun frequently,

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and their orbital paths bring them back around the sun

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perhaps once every 10 or 20 years or so.

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And these are the objects that we believe

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have come from this trans-Neptunian region,

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just beyond the realm of the giant planets.

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Comet Halley is the most famous of the short-period comets.

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But there is another sort of comet,

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one whose orbit can be thousands, or even millions of years long.

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They come from far beyond the Kuiper Belt,

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from an almost mythical place called the Oort Cloud.

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The long-period comets, as the name suggests, take a really long time

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to go round the sun, perhaps anywhere between 200 years

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and a million years to go around once.

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And these are the objects that tell us that the Oort Cloud exists,

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stretching out tremendous distances towards the nearest stars.

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This is the very edge of the solar system,

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halfway to the nearest star,

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50,000 times further from the sun than the Earth.

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Here, trillions of comets cling tenuously to the sun's gravity.

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We now think that the Oort Cloud was formed

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during the violent formation of the solar system.

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As the planets formed and their gravity increased,

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they catapulted chunks of debris into space.

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Some of it collected in the Oort Cloud,

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where it has been ever since.

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They've been out there in deep freeze, in deep space,

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and so, by studying comets,

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we're studying the formation and the evolution of our solar system.

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But studying the comets isn't easy.

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The Oort Cloud is so far away,

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and the objects in it so tiny, that we'll never be able to see it.

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But luckily for the astronomers,

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sometimes something happens that sends them tumbling towards us.

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All cloud objects become comets,

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not through the action of anything to do with our sun,

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but through the action of other stars, generally.

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Our sun is just one of 100,000 million stars

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that form our Milky Way galaxy,

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the Milky Way that you can see on a clear, dark, moonless night.

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And they're all moving in slightly different directions

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with slightly different velocities, and occasionally,

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a star will come close enough to our Oort Cloud

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that it will perturb some of those comets out there.

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Some of them will be thrown into interstellar space, never to return.

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But some fraction of them will be nudged inwards into our solar system.

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Until recently, it was assumed that our solar system

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was isolated from the rest of space

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by the vast distances surrounding it.

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It's because we see comets that we now know

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what happens around the Earth

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is driven by the movement of distant stars.

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This is one of the great discoveries of the last 20 years.

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Astronomers as a whole

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have increasingly begun to recognise that the solar system,

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not just the Earth, is open to its galactic environment.

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That's a very important change of mindset

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than our ancestors, even our parents probably had.

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Comets coming from the Oort Cloud are bringing with them

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a message from outer space, quite literally.

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Once pushed out from the Oort Cloud,

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these long-period comets start the two-light-year journey

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towards the sun.

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They drift through space, silently and unseen,

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for tens, even hundreds of thousands of years.

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But as they pass Jupiter, just 400 million miles away,

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they light up, and start to produce their tails.

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All of a sudden, we can see them.

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And we can also reach them.

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A number of missions have been sent

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to investigate comets at close quarters.

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The probe Deep Impact was sent

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to rendezvous with the comet Tempel 1,

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testing its strength and density by crashing into it.

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The Stardust mission flew past the Comet Wild 2...

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capturing grains of dust from its tail

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that it brought back to Earth.

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CONFIRMATION ON RADIO

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APPLAUSE

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'All stations, the main chute is open, we're coming down slowly.'

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These bits of dust have been unchanged

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since the formation of the solar system,

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and can tell us exactly what comets are made of.

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Perhaps surprisingly, the basic building blocks of comets

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aren't at all exotic. In fact, they're remarkably mundane.

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I'm going to show you a really neat demonstration

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of how to make a cometary nucleus

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using some relatively simple things you can find in the average house.

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To start with, I'll add some water.

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The second major constituent of a comet is the dark organic materials,

0:28:160:28:21

the rubble and the crud and so on. To replicate that, I've got some soil.

0:28:210:28:26

We also need to think about other ingredients that are in there.

0:28:260:28:30

There are quite complex chemicals, organic chemicals.

0:28:300:28:33

We can replicate that by putting in this soy sauce.

0:28:330:28:36

No-one's suggesting there's actually soy sauce in a comet,

0:28:360:28:39

but again, it's really nice analogue for it.

0:28:390:28:42

So I'll give it a good glug, more than you'd use in an average dish.

0:28:420:28:45

We can add a little ammonia, in this case, in these smelling salts.

0:28:470:28:50

Just bash a few crystals in. What it really does, more than anything,

0:28:510:28:54

is just make the comet a little smellier.

0:28:540:28:57

There we go.

0:28:570:28:59

Now, the other ingredient we're going add into this comet

0:28:590:29:02

is carbon dioxide, or what you more commonly know as dry ice.

0:29:020:29:06

You get a fairly violent reaction,

0:29:110:29:14

because the dry ice is meeting water,

0:29:140:29:17

which is about 80 or probably 100 degrees warmer.

0:29:170:29:20

You can see the carbon dioxide turning to gas.

0:29:200:29:23

Just give that a good squeeze and see how we're doing.

0:29:230:29:28

That's really bubbling away violently now.

0:29:290:29:32

And that looks good.

0:29:330:29:35

This dirty snowball

0:29:390:29:41

is a surprisingly accurate model of a comet nucleus.

0:29:410:29:44

And as it warms up, it starts to behave exactly as real comet does.

0:29:440:29:51

It produces a tail.

0:29:510:29:53

You can see a beautiful - one of the best I've seen doing this -

0:29:530:29:57

a beautiful jet coming out here, and that's exactly what happens

0:29:570:30:00

when a cometary nucleus gets near the sun.

0:30:000:30:03

Near the surface particularly, you see ice turning to gas,

0:30:030:30:07

because there's no pressure in space to allow it to exist as a liquid.

0:30:070:30:11

And so the frozen carbon dioxide, the frozen water,

0:30:110:30:14

the other chemicals in a comet become gas-like and they jet out.

0:30:140:30:18

In the vacuum of space, the escaping gas blows dust from the surface,

0:30:230:30:28

and the debris builds up into a vast halo, called a coma.

0:30:280:30:34

A single comet nucleus can produce a coma

0:30:360:30:39

over a million kilometres across, bigger than the sun.

0:30:390:30:44

It would expand for ever,

0:30:490:30:51

if it wasn't for the pressure waves emitted from the sun

0:30:510:30:54

that shape the coma into the comet's dramatic twin tails,

0:30:540:30:59

one made of dust, and one made of gas.

0:30:590:31:02

Which is why, no matter what direction the comet is travelling,

0:31:040:31:08

the tails always point away from the sun.

0:31:080:31:12

The longest tails can be half a billion kilometres long,

0:31:170:31:21

and stretch halfway across the solar system.

0:31:210:31:23

It's a grand display, one of the greatest shows in the universe,

0:31:280:31:32

though it is a sign that, after four billion years,

0:31:320:31:36

the comet is dying.

0:31:360:31:39

The fact that we see them now as active comets

0:31:390:31:43

means they have only a few thousand years left in their current orbits.

0:31:430:31:49

So you can imagine, if you likened that

0:31:490:31:53

to the lifetime of a human being,

0:31:530:31:55

we're seeing the last few seconds of the lifetime of the comet.

0:31:550:31:59

Every second, they are losing tonnes of dust and ice.

0:31:590:32:06

Each time it goes round the sun,

0:32:060:32:09

the comet nucleus shrinks.

0:32:090:32:12

Most only have enough fuel for 1,000 revolutions around the sun.

0:32:120:32:17

Even a large comet like Halley will only last another 150,000 years.

0:32:180:32:24

And then, as their fuel supplies are exhausted, they die.

0:32:240:32:29

Some perish as they crash into the sun.

0:32:310:32:34

And some disintegrate,

0:32:400:32:43

eventually turning into dust,

0:32:430:32:46

dust we see as shooting stars as they enter the atmosphere.

0:32:460:32:51

But not all of them disintegrate to dust.

0:32:560:32:58

Some of them leave a more substantial skeleton

0:33:060:33:09

drifting through space.

0:33:090:33:12

We predict there should be hundreds, or maybe even thousands,

0:33:120:33:18

of dead comets which still haven't yet been found.

0:33:180:33:21

If the comet fades to dust and nothing else,

0:33:210:33:24

then in a way they're not dangerous.

0:33:240:33:27

But if they leave behind big chunks, hundreds of metres across possibly,

0:33:270:33:32

then those objects could come through the atmosphere

0:33:320:33:35

with some devastating consequences on the ground.

0:33:350:33:38

Is the Earth really in danger from comets?

0:33:400:33:43

Although big, they are incredibly fragile,

0:33:430:33:47

no more substantial than cigarette ash.

0:33:470:33:51

Still, some think a comparatively small chunk of comet

0:33:510:33:54

could cause a global catastrophe.

0:33:540:33:57

Mike Baillie is a paleoecologist,

0:34:150:34:19

who's found the evidence of an ecological disaster

0:34:190:34:22

in the fields of Northern Ireland.

0:34:220:34:24

20-odd years ago, the farmer, when this field was being drained,

0:34:240:34:29

found that these oaks were effectively floating to the surface,

0:34:290:34:32

the land was shrinking round them.

0:34:320:34:34

So he got a digger in, pulled them out and pushed them into a heap.

0:34:340:34:38

And then in a flat area like this, it's a handy windbreak

0:34:380:34:41

for sheltering animals, so that the farmers leave them,

0:34:410:34:44

and it means that we have access to some ancient trees.

0:34:440:34:49

Some of these oaks are thousands of years old,

0:34:520:34:56

preserved perfectly in the oxygen-free conditions of the Irish peat bogs.

0:34:560:35:01

By sampling tens of thousands of trees,

0:35:010:35:04

Professor Baillie has built a year-by-year record

0:35:040:35:07

of the Irish environment for the past 7,500 years.

0:35:070:35:11

What he has found encoded in the annual rings

0:35:140:35:17

is that the trees sometimes mysteriously stopped growing.

0:35:170:35:22

This tree went from a period of extended, perfectly good,

0:35:220:35:26

what we would regard as normal growth.

0:35:260:35:29

When we get to this year, which is the year 540,

0:35:290:35:32

there is a damage scar, and its growth

0:35:320:35:34

was radically changed in character thereafter.

0:35:340:35:37

When the same pattern emerged in many of the Irish trees,

0:35:390:35:42

it was initially dismissed as the effects of savage storm

0:35:420:35:46

that struck Ireland in 540.

0:35:460:35:48

What caused a complete turnaround in this story

0:35:550:35:58

was when we found that this same dated event

0:35:580:36:02

occurs from Mongolia, Siberia, Northern Sweden,

0:36:020:36:07

across Northern Europe, North America and South America.

0:36:070:36:10

This was the realisation that this was a global event.

0:36:100:36:14

Here was evidence of a worldwide catastrophe in 540 AD.

0:36:150:36:20

What could have caused such a widespread disaster?

0:36:200:36:23

There was one obvious suspect.

0:36:230:36:26

The biggest volcanic eruptions

0:36:310:36:34

blast so much ash into the upper atmosphere

0:36:340:36:37

that it spreads around the world,

0:36:370:36:40

blocking out the sun's rays.

0:36:400:36:42

The eruption of Mount Pinatubo in 1991

0:36:480:36:51

caused global temperatures to fall

0:36:510:36:53

by over half a degree for the next two years.

0:36:530:36:55

It's the same pattern that is seen in the 540 event.

0:36:560:37:01

But volcanic eruptions also leave another trace...

0:37:030:37:07

a layer of sulphuric acid

0:37:090:37:11

that is frozen into the Greenland ice sheets.

0:37:110:37:15

But the samples taken from deep within the ice

0:37:180:37:21

show no acid spike in 540.

0:37:210:37:24

Whatever stopped the trees growing, it wasn't a volcano.

0:37:240:37:29

If you've a global environmental event

0:37:310:37:33

and it wasn't caused by a volcano,

0:37:330:37:35

what's the next most likely explanation?

0:37:350:37:37

And you're allowed to ask the question,

0:37:370:37:40

"Could it have been some sort of loading from space?

0:37:400:37:42

"Could it be an extra-terrestrial event?"

0:37:420:37:45

And as soon as you start even asking that question,

0:37:450:37:49

you realise that the most likely sort of event you'd be talking about

0:37:490:37:52

would be some sort of brush with a comet.

0:37:520:37:54

In theory, a lump of comet just 300 metres across

0:37:580:38:04

could affect the global climate.

0:38:040:38:06

As it hit the atmosphere at over 20,000 kilometres an hour,

0:38:110:38:15

it would burst into flame....

0:38:150:38:17

and blow itself to bits while still kilometres above the ground,

0:38:190:38:23

spreading a shroud of dust around the world

0:38:230:38:26

that could block out the sun.

0:38:260:38:28

It's an event they call an airburst.

0:38:310:38:35

And there is much more recent evidence

0:38:370:38:39

that suggests these events do happen.

0:38:390:38:42

On June 30th 1908, a huge explosion

0:38:480:38:51

tore through the forests of Tunguska, Siberia.

0:38:510:38:56

No-one witnessed the explosion itself...

0:38:560:38:59

..but it threw up clouds of dust that reflected so much light

0:39:060:39:10

they could be seen as far away as London.

0:39:100:39:13

It was so bright, the story goes, people played cricket at midnight,

0:39:210:39:25

and people were able to read newsprint.

0:39:250:39:27

That gives you an idea of how much dust must have been liberated

0:39:290:39:34

very, very high into the atmosphere, which was illuminating the ground,

0:39:340:39:38

even as far away as London is from where the impact actually happened.

0:39:380:39:42

It was 20 years before the Russians mounted an expedition to the site.

0:39:490:39:53

What they found astounded them.

0:39:530:39:56

60 million trees across an area the size of London

0:40:010:40:06

had been levelled.

0:40:060:40:08

Puzzled, the Russian scientists performed a set of experiments

0:40:100:40:14

to try and figure out what could have caused such devastation.

0:40:140:40:19

The only explanation was that the explosion was caused

0:40:190:40:23

by an extraterrestrial object, just 60 metres across,

0:40:230:40:26

running into the upper atmosphere.

0:40:260:40:28

This was just a small airburst,

0:40:280:40:31

but it showed the amount of damage that could be done.

0:40:310:40:35

All that energy of motion is converted into heat,

0:40:350:40:39

it's just like the explosion of a nuclear weapon

0:40:390:40:42

in the Earth's atmosphere.

0:40:420:40:44

One can only imagine the effects

0:40:560:40:59

if an airburst exploded over a populated area.

0:40:590:41:03

If this is the devastation comets can cause,

0:41:030:41:07

perhaps our ancestors had good reason to be afraid of them.

0:41:070:41:10

'The comet called Shoemaker-Levy, photographed...'

0:41:160:41:19

'..About to smash into the planet Jupiter...'

0:41:190:41:21

'..What could be the most dramatic astronomical event of the century...'

0:41:210:41:26

'When the comet pieces strike, it will be a massive collision...'

0:41:260:41:29

'..Crash into the planet with the force of millions of nuclear weapons.'

0:41:290:41:33

If anyone was left in any doubt of the destructive power of comets,

0:41:350:41:39

an event in 1994 would change their minds.

0:41:390:41:42

It happened 400 million miles away,

0:41:420:41:46

but, in solar system terms, it was in our backyard.

0:41:460:41:50

Comet Shoemaker-Levy 9 was discovered in 1993.

0:41:530:41:58

It had had been torn into 21 separate pieces

0:41:580:42:01

by the gravity of the planet Jupiter,

0:42:010:42:03

creating a line of debris, known as the String of Pearls,

0:42:030:42:07

that was on a collision course with the giant planet.

0:42:070:42:10

This was a unique astronomical event.

0:42:160:42:19

No-one had witnessed two solar system objects collide before.

0:42:190:42:23

As the scientists planned their observations,

0:42:250:42:28

less rational comet-fever took hold once more.

0:42:280:42:32

At the time of the comet impact,

0:42:320:42:34

we may see the bio-field around people change.

0:42:340:42:39

Some people will feel excited,

0:42:390:42:41

some may feel more depressed, we don't know.

0:42:410:42:44

We have a piece of software that tells us what the comet's impact

0:42:440:42:50

will mean for you as an individual.

0:42:500:42:52

So is it going to happen to me on that date, the 16th?

0:42:520:42:55

Maybe discard some old ways that were holding you back.

0:42:550:42:58

-July 16th, I should beware, right?

-Yeah.

0:42:580:43:02

No-one knew what effect, if any, the comet fragments,

0:43:060:43:10

just a few kilometres across, would have on such a huge planet.

0:43:100:43:14

As the comets approached,

0:43:140:43:17

the world's astronomers watched the pictures coming in,

0:43:170:43:20

and held their breath.

0:43:200:43:22

Isn't that incredible?

0:43:220:43:24

That's amazing!

0:43:250:43:27

Look! Oh, my God!

0:43:270:43:29

That's it.

0:43:290:43:31

Look at that!

0:43:310:43:32

THEY CHATTER EXCITEDLY

0:43:320:43:35

The scale of the explosions surprised everyone.

0:43:370:43:41

OK, we just blew up a section of the planet.

0:43:410:43:44

This is the southern pole here.

0:43:440:43:46

You can see there's a bright streak. See that bright streak?

0:43:460:43:50

And around the edge of the streak, there's some other stuff.

0:43:500:43:53

It was not there the day before.

0:43:530:43:57

It's a new feature on Jupiter.

0:43:570:43:59

As the comet struck the Jovian atmosphere,

0:44:030:44:07

fireballs 3,000km high erupted from the surface of the planet.

0:44:070:44:11

The biggest impact released 600 times more energy

0:44:110:44:16

than the entire world's nuclear arsenal.

0:44:160:44:18

Scars bigger than the Earth were left on the surface of Jupiter.

0:44:200:44:24

These were some of the biggest explosions

0:44:240:44:28

that had ever been witnessed.

0:44:280:44:31

It delivered, how about it? Yoo! HE LAUGHS

0:44:310:44:34

Perhaps this was not the right time to celebrate.

0:44:340:44:38

The Jupiter collision showed the enormous power

0:44:380:44:41

that could be released by a full blown impact with a comet.

0:44:410:44:45

Just imagine if it had hit the Earth.

0:44:450:44:48

It's not just fantasy.

0:45:400:45:43

Impacts this size have happened to the Earth.

0:45:430:45:46

The last time was 65 million years ago.

0:45:460:45:49

It spelled the end of the dinosaurs,

0:45:540:45:56

and wiped out half of the rest of the species on the planet.

0:45:560:46:01

Awakened to the danger, we now have projects to scan the skies

0:46:130:46:17

looking for objects that are a threat to the Earth.

0:46:170:46:20

But most of the sky surveys concentrate on finding asteroids.

0:46:250:46:30

Unlike comets, which originate in deep space,

0:46:300:46:33

asteroids mostly come from the belts between Mars and Jupiter,

0:46:330:46:37

from where they are periodically deflected

0:46:370:46:40

into an orbit that crosses the Earth's.

0:46:400:46:43

But these rogue asteroids are easy to spot,

0:46:480:46:50

and their trajectories can be plotted hundreds of years into the future...

0:46:500:46:54

..giving scientists plenty of time

0:46:590:47:02

to devise ways to divert them so they miss us.

0:47:020:47:05

Unfortunately, avoiding an incoming comet

0:47:070:47:09

would be a very different proposition.

0:47:090:47:12

Comet impacts are likely to be more rare than asteroid impacts,

0:47:160:47:20

but they're going to be much harder

0:47:200:47:22

to mitigate against because a comet will be coming in from deep space,

0:47:220:47:27

we'll have a few years at best, a few months at worst,

0:47:270:47:30

knowledge before impact. And that may not be time enough

0:47:300:47:34

to launch a spacecraft to, to deflect the orbit.

0:47:340:47:36

People might remember a few years ago,

0:47:360:47:38

we had a fantastic comet called Comet Hale-Bopp.

0:47:380:47:41

Suddenly came out of nowhere.

0:47:410:47:43

It was about 3,000 years since it had last passed by.

0:47:430:47:49

And that was a very bright comet. And suddenly it was there in our midst.

0:47:490:47:53

We've had, recently, a comet called Comet McNaught,

0:47:530:47:56

which was a comet you could see with the naked eye.

0:47:560:47:59

Nobody had predicted the appearance of these comets.

0:47:590:48:04

You might get two, three, maybe six months' notice.

0:48:040:48:08

So, it's possible that there could be a catastrophic collision

0:48:080:48:13

with the Earth any time.

0:48:130:48:16

It's a scary prospect,

0:48:180:48:20

but perhaps not one to keep you awake at night.

0:48:200:48:25

It's estimated that the Earth will endure a Tunguska-sized impact

0:48:250:48:28

that could destroy a city, once every thousand years.

0:48:280:48:31

And an extinction level event,

0:48:360:48:39

like the one that wiped out the dinosaurs, every 100 million years.

0:48:390:48:43

And rather than being afraid of comet impacts,

0:48:530:48:55

perhaps we should be grateful for them.

0:48:550:48:57

They might be responsible for us being here at all.

0:48:570:49:01

MUSIC: "The Blue Danube Waltz" by Johann Strauss

0:49:010:49:04

Way back at the beginning of the solar system,

0:49:080:49:11

the planets were formed from the disc of debris

0:49:110:49:13

that the early sun had thrown out around it.

0:49:130:49:16

As the disc was stirred...

0:49:200:49:23

bits of dust stuck together and became boulders...

0:49:230:49:28

boulders stuck together and made asteroids...

0:49:280:49:32

..which stuck into larger clumps...

0:49:340:49:38

that became the planets.

0:49:380:49:40

It was a hot, violent process,

0:49:480:49:51

and when it was finished,

0:49:510:49:53

it left the Earth a barren and sterile place.

0:49:530:49:57

Yet within a few hundred million years,

0:50:030:50:05

the Earth was covered in oceans,

0:50:050:50:08

and life was thriving.

0:50:080:50:10

Where can it all have come from?

0:50:180:50:21

There is only one obvious source of water

0:50:210:50:24

and organic molecules in the solar system -

0:50:240:50:26

comets.

0:50:260:50:29

But to explain how the Earth was transformed

0:50:290:50:32

from a sterile boulder into the blue planet,

0:50:320:50:34

astronomers have had to propose a massive hailstorm of comets,

0:50:340:50:38

3.8 billion years ago.

0:50:380:50:41

They call it the "late heavy bombardment".

0:50:410:50:45

The solar system wasn't as we see it today,

0:50:520:50:55

there is still a lot of the stuff left over,

0:50:550:50:57

the builders' rubble from the building of the planet.

0:50:570:51:01

And Jupiter and all the other gas giants out there

0:51:010:51:04

were doing a very good job at throwing stuff inwards to the sun.

0:51:040:51:07

Some of which, unfortunately, we got in the way of,

0:51:080:51:12

or, rather, I should say fortunately for us,

0:51:120:51:14

if they really did bring the water that we see today.

0:51:140:51:17

We're talking about a bombardment of the, if you like, the proto-Earth.

0:51:170:51:22

That takes millions, or tens of millions of years,

0:51:220:51:26

with an impact rate that may have been

0:51:260:51:31

1,000 or 10,000 times what it is today.

0:51:310:51:34

The bombardment hasn't finished, it's still going on today.

0:51:400:51:43

We're not quite so aware of it,

0:51:430:51:46

because that bombardment is by tiny, tiny dust particles,

0:51:460:51:50

that float down through the atmosphere every day,

0:51:500:51:54

about 60,000 tonnes over the whole of the Earth, every year,

0:51:540:51:57

comes down as dust particles.

0:51:570:51:59

Water is bound into those mineral grains.

0:51:590:52:02

So, we're still being bombarded

0:52:020:52:05

by grains that carry water and carbon, even today.

0:52:050:52:10

It's an amazing thought that all the water and organic molecules

0:52:180:52:22

that make up every living thing on the planet

0:52:220:52:24

may have started out on a comet beyond the edge of the solar system.

0:52:240:52:29

But there are people who have taken the idea even further.

0:52:400:52:44

They believe comets brought actual living creatures to the Earth.

0:52:440:52:49

Earth life is essentially alien life,

0:52:510:52:53

it is not a life that is indigenous to the Earth, by any means.

0:52:530:52:57

And if we evolved from that life, then I think we are the products

0:52:570:53:03

of evolution from alien life.

0:53:030:53:05

In the 1960s, astronomers Fred Hoyle and Chandra Wickramasinghe

0:53:130:53:18

proposed that the Earth was colonised by bacteria from space.

0:53:180:53:21

It was an idea called panspermia, and it's never quite gone away.

0:53:230:53:28

I think it's true to say, isn't it, that if your theory is correct,

0:53:280:53:31

life not only MAY be spread throughout the universe, it MUST be?

0:53:310:53:35

It would really be very surprising if life is not...

0:53:350:53:38

if the galaxy is not just teeming with life.

0:53:380:53:41

Since then there have been a number of strange discoveries

0:53:450:53:48

that may, or may not, back up the theory.

0:53:480:53:52

In 2001, the Indian state of Kerala was shocked by loud explosion,

0:53:520:53:59

followed by storms of blood-red rain over the next two months.

0:53:590:54:03

Local scientist Doctor Godfrey Louis

0:54:100:54:12

collected samples from all over the state and analysed them.

0:54:120:54:15

What he found was that the rain was being turned red by cells

0:54:210:54:26

the like of which he had never seen before.

0:54:260:54:28

It's quite exciting to see this.

0:54:320:54:34

They look like red blood cells but they're not.

0:54:360:54:38

Because these are having a very thick cell wall.

0:54:380:54:41

And that cell wall is not there in blood cells.

0:54:410:54:45

What made the cells even more mysterious

0:54:550:54:58

was that he could find no trace of DNA in them.

0:54:580:55:01

If that was the case, the cells were like nothing else on Earth.

0:55:010:55:08

The staggering claim is that

0:55:080:55:10

this is possibly extra-terrestrial. That's a big claim, I know,

0:55:100:55:15

but all the experiments are supporting this claim.

0:55:150:55:18

Come in, please.

0:55:210:55:23

This is some of the samples we have collected.

0:55:240:55:27

-Pretty good sample, we have...

-So, this is the real stuff?

0:55:270:55:32

-Yeah, this is the real stuff.

-It's red, for sure.

0:55:320:55:35

For Chandra Wickramasinghe, this was vital evidence

0:55:350:55:39

to back up his theory.

0:55:390:55:41

A fragment of comet must have blown up in the upper atmosphere

0:55:410:55:45

and rained extra-terrestrial bacteria down on the Earth.

0:55:450:55:49

If it is true that these are alien bugs from space,

0:55:510:55:55

then it is an absolute clear cut proof of ongoing panspermia,

0:55:550:55:59

and that would be absolutely fascinating, and I'd be over the moon!

0:55:590:56:03

But unfortunately for Wickramasinghe, there was bad news.

0:56:070:56:11

On closer inspection, the cells in the red rain

0:56:110:56:14

didn't seem so alien after all.

0:56:140:56:19

This is DNA from the red rain.

0:56:190:56:21

Wow, there is no doubt about it.

0:56:210:56:23

-No doubt about it.

-Absolutely conclusive, as far as I can see.

0:56:230:56:27

-Yeah.

-The material, when examined by astrophysicists

0:56:270:56:30

and people who are looking for evidence to support a view...

0:56:300:56:37

doesn't appear to be anything that they've ever seen before.

0:56:370:56:40

But people who actually have seen things before say,

0:56:400:56:43

"It looks like red algae to me."

0:56:430:56:45

I would tend to go with the people who have seen more things

0:56:450:56:48

in the biological kingdom, rather than those

0:56:480:56:51

who are looking to support their own ideas

0:56:510:56:54

about how the world should work without the data to back it up.

0:56:540:56:57

The journey towards the truth is always a rewarding one, I think,

0:56:570:57:01

and I saw this as a journey toward discovering a truth

0:57:010:57:05

that was quite plain to me and is becoming plainer and plainer

0:57:050:57:09

to other people now, after 30-odd years.

0:57:090:57:13

Whatever their actual role,

0:57:150:57:18

it seems comets were vital in the evolution of life on Earth.

0:57:180:57:22

And they maintain the ability to destroy it.

0:57:260:57:30

It seems our ancestors were right all along,

0:57:370:57:40

comets do carry the power of the gods.

0:57:400:57:44

Maybe that is why they still cause so much excitement

0:57:440:57:48

when they appear in the sky.

0:57:480:57:50

What's more, when astronomers turn their telescopes to other stars,

0:57:540:57:59

they see clouds of dust, the tell-tell signs of comet activity.

0:57:590:58:04

Just as comets helped bring life to our solar system,

0:58:090:58:12

they may be doing the same elsewhere.

0:58:120:58:15

Perhaps that is the next message that comets will bring us,

0:58:190:58:23

that we are not alone.

0:58:230:58:26

Subtitles by Richard J Boyle Red Bee Media Ltd

0:58:430:58:46

Email [email protected]

0:58:460:58:49

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