Winds The Weather


Winds

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# Let him blow, let him blow

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# From the east to the west.

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# I love you the best. #

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Wind.

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The British get a lot of it.

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Our language is full of wind and the words that we use to describe it are kind of windy words.

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Windbag, whistle down the wind, wind of change, it's an ill wind.

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We can't see the wind.

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But we can feel it...

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and see its effects.

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I was frightened stiff because it was something I couldn't control.

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So how did we discover what causes the winds?

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Where they come from? Why they change?

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How to forecast them, how to harness them.

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Scientists are learning to predict the slightest breeze,

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and the fastest tornado.

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Although we understand the wind,

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will we ever control it?

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# From the east to the west

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# I love you the best. #

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Air is invisible...

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until it moves, then we call it wind.

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Once, we believed the wind was a punishment from the gods.

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Then science explained the wind.

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It took over 1,000 years to put the pieces together.

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But now we know.

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It is the interaction of temperature, pressure and the Earth's rotation.

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It's a complex cocktail.

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Wind is moving air,

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so we are standing on the Earth's surface

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and if the air moves past us, then we call that wind.

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The atmosphere moves far more in some places than in others.

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We British get a lot of movement, a lot of wind.

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Why is that?

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We're right on the eastern seaboard

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of a major ocean and this puts us right at the end of the storm tracks.

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The storms form in the western part of the Atlantic generally,

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and they come across and then, of course, we get hit by them.

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And the first port of call for the Atlantic winds

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is an island in the Hebrides, off the west coast of Scotland.

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This is Tiree, the windiest place in the British Isles.

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Maybe not today, but don't be fooled.

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You step out of the front door

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and if you're not leaning forwards at 45 degrees

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you're going to be blown over.

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It's a different experience altogether and most people coming up here

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who haven't experienced that kind of wind before are very welcome to come up here in December, January

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and February, and you won't know what you're in for until you do actually experience it.

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Tiree is an island formed from windborne sand. There are few trees here.

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It's so flat and low there's nothing to stop the winds as they rush onto mainland Britain.

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And once the wind arrives, we never know quite what to expect.

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It can be playful, exhilarating,

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buffeting, and threatening.

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What begins as a whisper

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can become a shout, and the shout a scream.

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The wind blows good fortune as well as bad.

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On February the 5th 1941, off the Isle of Eriskay in the Hebrides,

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a ship called the SS Politician was blown onto the rocks.

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Aboard her were 22,000 cases of finest scotch whisky.

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There was a war on and you couldn't get whisky for love nor money.

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But the west wind delivered 264,000 bottles to the islanders.

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They liberated 84,000 before custom officials blew the wreck sky high.

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It's an ill wind, they say.

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But how can the wind disperse a fleet or deliver crates of whisky?

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The first clue comes to us from the seafaring Greeks.

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Aristotle proposed that the winds were "exhalations"

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caused by the sun's effect on the Earth.

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During the day, where the sun hit dry land,

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Aristotle said there would be warm, dry exhalations.

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Where the sun hit water, or snow, cool, moist exhalations.

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According to Aristotle, each evening these large blocks of warm and cool air would mingle

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as in a gentle breeze, or wrestle and clash like two warring gods.

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Today, scientists recognise the meeting of warm and cold air as a front.

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The way that the atmosphere organises this is it brings warm and cold air to close proximity,

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and this is what we call a front.

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So you have a front forming where there is a very sharp gradient in temperature.

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In the laboratory, it's possible to simulate a simple

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cold front just by adding salt and dye to water at one end of a tank.

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Cold air, represented by the blue water, is denser and heavier than warm air.

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When a cold front pushes forward, the warmer air rises over it.

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The movement of warm and cold air at the fronts gives us much of the wind we experience.

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The greater the temperature difference at a front, the stronger the wind.

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And Aristotle was right.

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It is the sun that drives the circulation of these air masses.

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The cause of the wind is actually the sun in the first place.

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That's what starts it all off.

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The sun comes and it stirs it all up and it creates temperature contrasts and we get wind.

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Britain is an exciting place to live, in terms of the weather.

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Perhaps if you were in a more continental location, you'd tend to get hot summers

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and cold winters, but you wouldn't get the variety of fronts that we see from day to day in our weather.

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# Stormy weather

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# since Monday night... #

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Exciting, perhaps.

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But some of us tend to take these fronts and winds rather personally.

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Paul Rose is an explorer and sailor.

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He knows what it's like to be on the receiving end of the wind.

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I've been in situations in my life

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when I'm pretty certain that wind's out to get me and has a personality!

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No matter how much rational and science thinking you might have,

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that the wind is completely impersonal...

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Forget it, because when you're really up against it, you're pretty sure it's out to get you.

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Some believe the wind is heaven-sent.

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Others are sure it comes from elsewhere.

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My mother's favourite phrase was, even if it was only slightly breezy,

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she'd say, "This wind is straight from Siberia."

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And that's interesting, the idea that somehow the wind has come from somewhere else to torment us.

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The Greeks blamed the gods for their torment.

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Zephyrus was the friendly god.

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He was the one who had the pleasant breezes.

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He's wearing light clothing, smiling, bringing in bowls of fruit.

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You have Kaikias, he's got a great big sort of shield and it's full of hailstones.

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That's the vicious north-easter that sweeps down.

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The Greeks were fascinated by the winds.

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They're called arrogant,

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wild,

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uncontrollable, vicious.

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And for this, the gods got so sick of them that they had them put

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under a king, Aeolus, and walled up in a cavern under a mountain.

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There they all are, like an army sort of forming ranks, and when

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the doors open in the mountainside, out they go and hell breaks loose.

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It wasn't the gods that broke loose on the night of January 15th, 1968.

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What began with a cold front in the Caribbean

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ended with an almighty storm across northern Scotland.

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Wind gusts of 117mph were recorded on Tiree.

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On the Ayrshire coast, it woke a young girl.

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I could hear just this huge rushing noise outside of my bedroom window,

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and it sounded just like a steam train whooshing past.

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And then the storm force wind howled up the River Clyde.

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There it met the high tenements of Glasgow.

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Willy Mackie was just 21 years old, and living with his parents.

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Back in 1968, I stayed at 555 Dumbarton Rd,

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which was actually here.

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About three in the morning, there was a bang at the door

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and it was the neighbour across the landing.

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He shouted, "You'll need to get out quick because the building's falling down."

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All the people that stayed in the building ran into the middle of Dumbarton Rd.

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So we assembled there and did a head-count and found there was four people missing.

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That's what left of the chimney, which was about 15ft tall.

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And the wind blew the whole of that chimney over onto our roof

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and then from there, that chimney went straight through all the front bedrooms, right into the basement.

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But the wind didn't stop in Glasgow.

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It carried on, reaching the outskirts of Edinburgh.

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To come back after all these years...

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I found that difficult.

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That's very difficult, seeing the name. That's very difficult.

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Elsie Greenan, was also 21 in 1968.

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She'd recently married and was living with her parents in Northcote Place, Edinburgh.

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Her tenement building is now demolished.

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It's the first time she's returned to the area for many years.

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Roughly six o'clock in the morning, there was a huge, huge whooshing noise.

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It was just horrendous.

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Just this terrible, terrible noise.

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And I got up and switched the light on, and what had happened was the chimney in the kitchen

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had been blown over and the soot had come down the chimney in the kitchen and was all over the carpet.

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So my first thought was, "Oh, my God, Mum's new carpet."

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I went through to tell her.

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And when I opened the bedroom door,

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there was just nothing there,

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except this huge... huge pile of rubble.

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No ceiling. And the wind was unbelievable. It was awful.

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You don't think, when you're looking in on it, they're dead.

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You think they're under there and they're OK.

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But Elsie's parents were dead.

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Willy Mackie's neighbours were killed.

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In all, 20 people died, and the scars remain.

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To this day, if it's an exceptionally high wind, I mean a real high wind, I'm still nervous.

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I can, believe it or not, still taste the dust from that night.

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I can still smell it. I can still taste it.

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It's a thing that's never, never left me in all these years.

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By the morning of January 15th, the warring masses of warm and cold air left Glasgow in pieces.

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80,000 homes damaged by the winds.

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The next day, when we were watching the news and we heard

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about all the people that died, I just wanted to understand.

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"Well, how could wind be so strong, that it could blow down roofs, how it could kill people?"

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And I just became very fascinated about how the weather could be so severe

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that it could bring such devastation.

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You never think that a solid-built, as you think,

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tenement in Edinburgh,

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that this is going to happen.

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It's a freak, freak accident,

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you know,

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but put down as an act of God.

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So how CAN wind be so destructive?

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What makes it so powerful?

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We learnt from Aristotle that air currents move in part because of temperature differences,

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but there's something else.

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Air has weight,

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and it was this discovery that revolutionised our understanding of what makes the wind blow.

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Above my head at this moment, there's a lot of atmosphere,

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and it's pressing down on my head about...

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probably about half a ton on my head.

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Now, it might sometimes feel like that in the morning, but in general,

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one does not feel there's half a ton on your head, so why not?

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I mean, on my finger there's...there's a sort of huge amount of atmosphere pressing

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down on my finger, but there's also atmosphere pressing up on my finger, here, from the other side,

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so we don't feel it because it's pressing in in all directions. That's why call it pressure.

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It took a young Italian scientist to realise that air has weight.

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He wrote, memorably, "We live submerged at the bottom of an ocean of air."

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Evangelista Torricelli is an Italian experimentalist, a physicist,

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and he's working in the early 1640s.

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Torricelli's experiment was very simple,

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a glass test tube filled with mercury and a dish also filled with mercury.

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Then Torricelli turned the test tube upside down.

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Insert the bottom of the tube into a dish of mercury and stand it upright.

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Well, always... "Ptcch!" The mercury level drops.

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Some of the mercury slid down the tube, but instead of it all

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gushing out into the dish, most of it stayed in the glass column.

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Something was holding up the mercury.

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Torricelli concluded that it must be air pressure.

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The weight of the air on the surface of the mercury in the dish

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was squeezing the mercury up into the column and holding it in position.

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Torricelli noted that the column of mercury rose and fell within the tube.

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The higher the pressure, the more the column rose.

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In time, he was able to relate the movement

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of the mercury to weather patterns.

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High pressure signalled settled, fair weather.

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Low pressure warned of turbulence and storms.

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Wind is the movement of air from high pressure to low pressure.

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The air having weight feels perfectly natural to me, particularly as a sailor.

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The wind really does go from high pressure to low pressure.

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But it was Torricelli who figured it out.

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He actually invented what we think of as the barometer.

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I haven't got a barometer on this boat but I've been on enough boats where you look at it and sure enough

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the pressure's dropping, and it's dropping a lot.

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And immediately you think, "There's strong winds coming."

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Strong winds mean trouble ahead for sailors.

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But if they don't know the storm is coming, it can be disastrous.

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Storms have even changed the course of British history.

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In 1588, the Spanish Armada, in retreat from the English Navy,

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was desperate to sail round Britain's north-west coast.

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Violent westerly winds dashed them onto the rocky shores of Scotland and Ireland

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and destroyed half the entire fleet.

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The wind destroyed five times as many ships as did the English.

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Queen Elizabeth I, quick to claim divine intervention, had medals struck with the legend

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"He blew with His winds & they were scattered."

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Her archenemy Philip of Spain said, ruefully,

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"I sent the Armada against men, not the winds and waves of God."

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It was a low pressure system blowing in from the Atlantic that scuppered the Armada.

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If the barometer had been invented in 1588,

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they would have seen the mercury dropping and sailed for shelter.

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In Torricelli's day, the rise and fall of the mercury was measured in inches.

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Today, meteorologists measure pressure in millibars.

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These differences in pressure are not actually all that huge.

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The mean pressure at the surface of the Earth is a 1,000 millibars or so

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and you don't get much more than, say 30 millibars' difference either side of that.

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The swings of pressure are surprisingly small to generate all that we experience as weather.

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The variations in pressure are small,

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but they occur in a very narrow space called the troposphere.

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The troposphere is a narrow band of air,

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so thin that if the planet was the size of a beach ball and you were to wrap the beach ball in cling film,

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that's how thin the troposphere is.

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And because it's so thin and narrow, it amplifies the effect of pressure changes.

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And all the many forms of wind occur there,

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between the stratosphere and the sea.

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The air moves because the pressure is different.

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High pressure on one side, low pressure on the other,

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and so it moves, it accelerates towards the low pressure, so that's why air starts to move.

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But it can move very rapidly because of the temperature contrasts around

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and because of the rotating planet that we live on, planet Earth.

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So, wind is just air trying to move from high pressure to low pressure,

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sucked and blown around with a constant unpredictability.

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In turn, tragedy and comedy.

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We can see what this movement of air does, but the wind is invisible.

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We can't see the wind...or can we?

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We can't see the wind with our eyes of course,

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because the air's transparent, so we have to find some way of sensing the wind,

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and that means we have to bounce something off the air.

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We have to get the air to give us a signal.

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One way of doing that is to use VHF radar.

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At this facility in the Welsh hills, Professor Vaughan and his team use radar to track the wind.

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Basically, what this field of aerials does

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is it transmits a pulse of radar energy,

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and as this very loud pulse, which shouts very loudly into the atmosphere,

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and then it listens very intently for a very faint echo, and that's basically what this thing does.

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The radar tracks turbulent air.

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The returning echo provides a measurement of wind speed and direction.

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So, shouting at the heavens is not the waste of time it may once have been.

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Professor Vaughan gets answers, radar echoes that give us a picture of the winds.

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Well, what you've got here is a day's worth of measurements from the radar.

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This was a day when we would have had a front.

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That's a warm front there.

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And similarly, on this side, we would have had a cold front coming along.

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What we're looking at is a section through the troposphere,

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a constantly unfolding picture of temperature and pressure

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within the thin atmospheric membrane that wraps our planet.

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We're measuring winds, we're measuring the structure of the atmosphere, and we're

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measuring it all 24/7, and we're measuring it every two minutes.

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So that's what this thing can do for us.

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An up-to-the-minute picture for the movement of winds.

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Today, sophisticated radar reveals the wind.

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In the 17th century, merchants were desperate for ways to make the winds visible.

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The world had been opened up by great adventurers such as Columbus and Magellan.

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Now vast fortunes beckoned for those who could master the winds and rule the waves.

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Sailors needed their own picture of the wind.

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They all had very little to go on, very little indeed, and in fact,

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knowledge of wind direction and prevailing winds that we call trade winds,

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was a closely guarded secret, because if you found them and your enemy, if you like,

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didn't have them, you'd have an advantage.

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Mariners were using the trade winds to cross the great oceans.

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At the equator, the winds blow from east to west.

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But when the ships sailed north, the winds changed direction.

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The mariners needed the winds to be mapped.

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But a young British genius asked a more fundamental question about the winds.

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His name was Edmund Halley.

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He's one of the great exotics of science, no doubt about it.

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Halley has travelled quite a lot.

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He's already been on an expedition to St Helena in the South Atlantic,

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so he's travelled through the trade wind zones and some of the most complex storm systems of the world.

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On his travels, Halley made systematic observations

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of wind patterns in both the northern and southern hemispheres.

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He puzzled over the behaviour of the winds.

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Why, for instance, in the northern hemisphere,

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is the predominant wind pattern from the north to the equator,

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and the south, from the south to the equator?

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There's this great vortex somehow, in two hemispheres.

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Halley reasoned that the sun must be playing a part.

0:25:010:25:05

Could it be that there was a hot spot on the Earth's surface where the sun is directly overhead?

0:25:050:25:10

In the course of a day, this rotates completely around the world,

0:25:100:25:15

and as it does this, you have a column of air constantly rising underneath the sun.

0:25:150:25:22

Halley argued that this constantly rising column of air would move towards the poles.

0:25:260:25:31

Cold air from the poles would move in to take its place.

0:25:310:25:35

Halley had discovered that it's the sun that drives the circulation of air around the globe.

0:25:370:25:42

Basically, it's the sun.

0:25:420:25:44

We get our weather from the sun and the sun heats the equator more than it heats the pole,

0:25:440:25:49

so it sets up a temperature gradient.

0:25:490:25:52

This temperature gradient then drives the weather systems.

0:25:520:25:56

What they're trying to do, these weather systems, is to take heat from the equator to the pole, so

0:25:560:26:01

our poles are a lot warmer than they would be if there wasn't circulation

0:26:010:26:06

in the atmosphere and in the ocean bringing heat in from the equator.

0:26:060:26:09

Edmund Halley is chiefly remembered for discovering a comet that bears his name.

0:26:090:26:14

But his discovery that the sun is the engine of the winds is just as significant.

0:26:140:26:20

He basically gets it right by 1690, and I think that is utterly amazing.

0:26:200:26:27

From the data he gathered from the world's oceans, Halley made detailed notes on wind direction and speed.

0:26:290:26:36

The result was the first ever wind charts,

0:26:360:26:39

described as "a masterpiece of practical navigation."

0:26:390:26:43

His charts were detailed and accurate.

0:26:430:26:46

They gave mariners and merchants THE picture of the winds that they needed.

0:26:460:26:51

Halley was correct that the sun generated the circulation of air.

0:26:510:26:55

But that's not enough to explain the direction of the winds.

0:26:550:26:59

It would take another 50 more years and another British genius

0:26:590:27:03

to understand that there was an additional force that drove the wind.

0:27:030:27:06

The 18th century was the golden age of the amateur scientist.

0:27:110:27:15

One such was George Hadley, so amateur no image of him exists.

0:27:180:27:24

But in 1735, this unknown set out to solve the riddle of why the great

0:27:240:27:29

winds of the world blew in different directions.

0:27:290:27:32

Hadley accepted Halley's idea that air circulated between the poles and

0:27:320:27:37

the equator, but realised that there had to be a second force at play.

0:27:370:27:42

Something more than the sun was making the wind go sideways.

0:27:420:27:46

And then he got it.

0:27:480:27:50

Wind direction comes from the rotation of the Earth.

0:27:500:27:54

The impact of this rotation on the atmosphere is known as the Coriolis force.

0:27:540:28:00

The Coriolis force...

0:28:010:28:03

Ahhh!

0:28:030:28:05

That's such a naughty question!

0:28:050:28:08

Right, OK...

0:28:080:28:11

The Coriolis effect.

0:28:110:28:13

It's a difficult thing to understand, I think.

0:28:130:28:15

It's to the left... Oh, is it to the right?

0:28:150:28:18

-I always get it wrong.

-Ummm...

0:28:180:28:20

Ask that to Brian Hoskins.

0:28:220:28:24

If you're on a roundabout, in the park...

0:28:240:28:28

..and I throw a ball at you, straight at you...

0:28:280:28:31

..it'll appear to the person on the roundabout, if you like, that the ball follows a curved path.

0:28:310:28:38

In fact, the ball is travelling straight.

0:28:380:28:40

The Coriolis force is linked to the spinning of the Earth...

0:28:400:28:45

When you're on a rotating system and you start to move, there's all sorts of different things happen and you

0:28:450:28:51

tend to be flung off at right angles to the way you want to go, and that's what the Coriolis force is.

0:28:510:28:56

It's saying, "OK, you want to go to that direction? I want you to go that direction."

0:28:560:29:00

George Hadley could only write about the impact of the Earth's rotation on the winds.

0:29:000:29:05

Professor Hoskins has found ways of showing us.

0:29:050:29:09

Here we've got an old satellite dish which we've painted black,

0:29:090:29:14

and if I put a ball bearing on this,

0:29:140:29:17

it's just as you'd expect.

0:29:170:29:19

It rolls towards the middle.

0:29:190:29:21

Gravity pulls it down towards the middle, there.

0:29:210:29:24

Professor Hoskins spins the dish to simulate the rotation of the Earth.

0:29:240:29:29

To witness the effect of this rotation on a travelling object,

0:29:290:29:33

he has set up a revolving camera above the dish.

0:29:330:29:36

The ballbearing represents the air moving across the Earth's surface.

0:29:360:29:40

Clearly, the ball is travelling backwards and forwards,

0:29:420:29:46

but the revolving camera shows that it is going in circles as well.

0:29:460:29:51

You can see from here, it's almost rotating with the dish,

0:29:510:29:54

but when you look on there, what you see relative to this camera that's rotating with it,

0:29:540:29:59

it's going round almost in circles, snaking on itself.

0:29:590:30:03

This simple experiment demonstrates that air is spun around by the earth's rotation.

0:30:050:30:10

The reason that it's complicated is because the earth is spinning

0:30:100:30:14

and the spinning means you can't just take warm air from the Equator and just move it to the Poles.

0:30:140:30:21

A second demonstration shows why air can't move in a straight line from the Equator to the Pole.

0:30:270:30:33

Particles of aluminium are suspended in water.

0:30:330:30:36

This is like a polar view of the planet and its weather.

0:30:360:30:41

The centre, the pole, is cooled.

0:30:410:30:44

The outside, the equator, is heated.

0:30:440:30:48

Now this world revolves.

0:30:480:30:50

The tiny flakes of aluminium make the invisible visible.

0:30:530:30:57

For water, think air.

0:30:590:31:02

Rotation spins the particles around as they journey from the warm part of the apparatus to the cold.

0:31:020:31:09

Just as moving air is spun as it travels from the Equator to the Pole.

0:31:090:31:14

This is the air swirling around the planet.

0:31:160:31:19

The wind in a state of chaos.

0:31:190:31:22

George Hadley had worked it out.

0:31:250:31:27

There were not one, but two elemental forces to the wind.

0:31:290:31:33

The sun, which heats the air at the Equator, and the rotation of the earth,

0:31:360:31:41

which bends and twists the air as it journeys towards the Poles.

0:31:410:31:45

The planet is locked into a constant struggle to balance temperature and pressure

0:31:520:31:57

while subject to the forces of the earth's rotation.

0:31:570:31:59

We experience these warring forces as wind.

0:32:020:32:05

This is a picture of a hurricane.

0:32:140:32:17

The coriolis force is spinning it in an anti-clockwise direction.

0:32:170:32:21

Hurricanes are the whirlpools of the air - feeding on heat and turning it into wind energy.

0:32:210:32:28

Hurricanes themselves grow over the sea because they need the energy

0:32:280:32:34

that they obtain from the sea to make them grow.

0:32:340:32:37

They have to have a sea temperature of at least 27 degrees Celsius.

0:32:370:32:42

In the Mexican Gulf, the sea is warm - so hot it's like high octane fuel to a passing hurricane.

0:32:420:32:49

In 2005, a deadly hurricane struck the United States -

0:32:530:32:57

Hurricane Katrina, in which almost 2,000 people lost their lives,

0:32:570:33:02

was the costliest natural disaster in US history.

0:33:020:33:06

For eight days, Katrina journeyed around the Gulf of Mexico, gathering strength and wreaking havoc.

0:33:110:33:17

There is another kind of rotational wind that causes havoc - the tornado.

0:33:230:33:28

The formation of tornados happens in a completely different way from hurricanes.

0:33:280:33:34

They're much smaller features to start off with

0:33:360:33:39

and they also form out of one particular cloud which is called a cumulonimbus cloud.

0:33:390:33:44

Now, if those clouds build high enough and have enough energy,

0:33:460:33:51

then they will spawn what we call funnel clouds, which come out of the base of those clouds

0:33:510:33:58

and once they touch the ground they become tornados.

0:33:580:34:01

Britain gets lots of tornados.

0:34:010:34:04

One year saw over 150.

0:34:040:34:06

In relation to its area, Britain has the highest number of reported tornados in the world.

0:34:060:34:11

This is the seaside resort of Bognor Regis.

0:34:190:34:23

On 28 October 2000, late in the afternoon, a tornado ripped through the town.

0:34:230:34:29

A tornado wind can reach speeds of 300mph.

0:34:400:34:44

Anything in its path is swept aside or dashed to pieces.

0:34:440:34:47

Tornados cut a swathe of destruction and terror.

0:34:470:34:52

All these bricks started hitting the door and I've run out screaming. I thought the kitchen had blown up.

0:34:520:34:57

No-one was hurt...

0:34:580:35:01

..until the tornado reached the Riverside Caravan Centre.

0:35:030:35:06

I was just leaving the park, coming down the front drive,

0:35:080:35:12

and I heard a really, really loud crash.

0:35:120:35:15

I looked in my mirror and I saw a tornado go across the back of the road.

0:35:150:35:22

Dorothy Allwright was directly in its path.

0:35:220:35:27

I saw what I thought was a bush.

0:35:270:35:30

It had come out of a bin or something, just coming across the car park.

0:35:300:35:36

And then all of a sudden, something...hit the caravan.

0:35:360:35:42

I can only describe it as a graunching noise.

0:35:420:35:45

And that must have been the chains, because the caravan was well chained down.

0:35:450:35:52

The chains started to snap, and then up in the air we went.

0:35:520:35:57

I can remember screaming as we were moving,

0:35:580:36:03

and then all of a sudden down we must have plopped.

0:36:030:36:08

The tornado ripped Dorothy's caravan from the ground, spun it in the air

0:36:080:36:13

and slammed it down on top of that of her neighbour.

0:36:130:36:16

Everything started to go haywire. I think panic mode came in.

0:36:160:36:21

Petrified.

0:36:210:36:22

I could just remember screaming, "What is happening?"

0:36:220:36:26

It then went past the first caravan, did no damage to that at all,

0:36:260:36:32

came across the fun-pool that we see here and picked all the water up.

0:36:320:36:37

It seemed to suck it up as it went passed.

0:36:370:36:40

I could see it in my car mirror throwing the water everywhere

0:36:400:36:44

as it went through those caravans there and went. Just left the site.

0:36:440:36:48

The emergency services rescued Dorothy, her friend and her two dogs from the mangled wreck.

0:36:500:36:57

I was frightened stiff because it was something that I couldn't control.

0:36:570:37:03

Tornados can spring up in a matter of minutes and can disappear just as quickly.

0:37:110:37:16

Until now, they've been impossible to predict.

0:37:160:37:20

But at a research establishment in Chilbolton, Hampshire,

0:37:320:37:35

scientists on the frontier of weather forecasting are about to change that.

0:37:350:37:40

Sensitive radar is being used to predict the formation of highly dangerous winds.

0:37:400:37:46

And they're doing it in an ingenious way,

0:37:460:37:49

turning a problem of 50 years ago into a solution.

0:37:490:37:53

In the early days of radar development,

0:37:550:37:59

progress was bedevilled by unexplained interference the boffins dubbed "angels".

0:37:590:38:03

The angels, as it turned out, were birds and insects

0:38:030:38:07

and that's what gave rise, half a century later, to the Chilbolton Project.

0:38:070:38:12

These scientists are trying to dramatically improve forecasting by close observation of nature.

0:38:140:38:21

What they're observing are insects.

0:38:210:38:24

Why do we need to look at the insects?

0:38:250:38:27

The insects are sitting there and they follow the wind.

0:38:270:38:31

The reason they go up in in the morning is to get a free ride

0:38:310:38:35

so they can follow the wind and migrate across the country.

0:38:350:38:38

On 28 July 2005, the Chilbolton radar was tracking insects.

0:38:420:38:47

Starting early in the morning, scientists watched a compelling story unfold on screen.

0:38:490:38:54

It ended with a tornado.

0:38:540:38:57

So this is the picture from the radar at 10-10.15 in the morning.

0:38:570:39:04

And this is a low level sweep so it's a map over the country.

0:39:040:39:07

Here's the radar in the middle, and out to about 40 or 50 kilometres in each direction

0:39:070:39:13

we're getting this very low level signal here and these are associated with insects.

0:39:130:39:18

The radar signal not only detects the insects, it also tracks their course.

0:39:200:39:26

Insects act as tracers for the wind's direction and speed.

0:39:260:39:31

These insects, you can see there's a lot of them here, so we're getting the winds,

0:39:310:39:36

every 100 metres or so we're getting a velocity of the wind.

0:39:360:39:39

Based on these observations, Professor Illingworth makes some predictions.

0:39:420:39:47

So we've got a way of measuring the air flow using the insects.

0:39:470:39:52

Can you see the insects formed in lines here?

0:39:520:39:56

This is where we're expecting to get rows of clouds forming.

0:39:560:40:01

By noon, storm-clouds have formed and they're heading north to Birmingham.

0:40:010:40:07

Later on the satellite picture, can you see that rows of clouds have formed in that direction?

0:40:070:40:13

That's from the satellite.

0:40:130:40:15

Now we've left the insects far behind. This satellite image shows a developing storm.

0:40:150:40:23

There's a much more power being reflected here, an enormous amount where it's white.

0:40:230:40:27

That's a very intense storm.

0:40:270:40:30

This is at 2.30pm, and indeed it was about 3pm, that's where the tornado developed over Birmingham.

0:40:300:40:38

Oh! There goes a roof!

0:40:380:40:41

In the space of five hours, what began with a swarm of insects ended with this.

0:40:410:40:48

The strongest tornado to hit the UK for 30 years.

0:40:480:40:51

It caused £40 million worth of damage and 19 injuries.

0:40:510:40:57

By tracking insects first thing in the morning, the Chilbolton radar

0:40:570:41:01

anticipated the Birmingham tornado two hours ahead of time.

0:41:010:41:05

The system was only being tested that day. So no warning was given.

0:41:060:41:11

Soon it will be in regular use.

0:41:110:41:14

The idea is that in a couple of years the insect winds will be measured by these radars over the UK

0:41:150:41:21

and at 10am in the morning on the day when it's forecast

0:41:210:41:25

that thunderstorms will break out somewhere over southern England,

0:41:250:41:30

this measurement of the winds will be put into the model,

0:41:300:41:33

therefore you'll be able to have a couple more hours more specific warning

0:41:330:41:38

of precisely where the storms are going to break out.

0:41:380:41:41

'And now the shipping forecast issued by the Met Office.

0:41:410:41:44

'Here are your forecasts for the next 24 hours.

0:41:440:41:47

-'Viking, variable, becoming cyclonic...'

-The familiar litany of the shipping forecast.

0:41:470:41:53

Required listening for those at sea.

0:41:530:41:56

Wherever the wind is and no matter how strong, we will be warned using a simple scale.

0:41:560:42:02

The Beaufort Scale.

0:42:020:42:04

Throughout history, scientists endeavoured to give us a picture of the wind.

0:42:080:42:13

Rear Admiral Sir Francis Beaufort decided to put it into words.

0:42:130:42:18

If you have a method,

0:42:180:42:20

an elegant method to talk about conditions,

0:42:200:42:25

and you can just do it in one word or one number,

0:42:250:42:29

it means if you pass the signals by flag or sound signals

0:42:290:42:33

or indeed on the radio, you don't have to have long, complex conversations.

0:42:330:42:37

Beaufort translated the winds in all their complexities of mood directly into mariner-speak.

0:42:370:42:44

Wind force one - light air of sufficient to give steerage way.

0:42:480:42:54

Force two - light breeze.

0:42:540:42:56

Force three - gentle breeze,

0:42:560:42:59

that in which a man of war with all sails set would go in smooth water from three to four knots.

0:42:590:43:05

And finally force 12 - hurricane,

0:43:080:43:11

on which no canvas can withstand.

0:43:110:43:14

The Beaufort Scale became the international standard for wind measurement and remains so today.

0:43:170:43:24

If I was on the radio now

0:43:240:43:26

and the communication was maybe noisy or was a long way and the signal was a bit weak,

0:43:260:43:33

I could pass on to somebody my local weather observation,

0:43:330:43:37

and say it's gusting force four and anyone in the world would know exactly what these conditions were.

0:43:370:43:43

The Beaufort scale went on to be interpreted for landlubbers.

0:43:430:43:48

Moderate breeze. Wind raises dust and loose paper.

0:43:480:43:52

And even appeared in France in a slightly more Gallic form.

0:43:520:43:56

Force 12. Les enfants moins de six ans volent.

0:43:560:44:01

Children less than six fly.

0:44:010:44:04

Francis Beaufort was pivotal in putting a young Charles Darwin on board the HMS Beagle,

0:44:080:44:13

captained by Robert Fitzroy.

0:44:130:44:16

They set sail in the summer of 1831.

0:44:160:44:19

It was a voyage that would change history.

0:44:190:44:24

People often forget what that expedition was for.

0:44:240:44:27

The real purpose of the expedition was for meteorological, magnetic and oceanographic purposes.

0:44:270:44:34

How did the great forces of the world work together?

0:44:340:44:39

Especially in those places where HMS Beagle spent so much of her time, off South America -

0:44:390:44:45

some of the bleakest, most devastating seas in the world.

0:44:450:44:50

What did the winds do there?

0:44:500:44:52

So in many ways, the Beagle actually starts off as a geophysical and meteorological expedition.

0:44:520:44:58

Evolution is a sideshow.

0:44:580:45:01

As a meteorological expedition it was a triumph.

0:45:050:45:09

On his return, Robert Fitzroy was chosen to head up a new, experimental government department.

0:45:090:45:15

The British Meteorology Office was born,

0:45:150:45:18

familiar to us as the Met Office.

0:45:180:45:21

The Met Office starts as a way of coordinating all the information about weather for Britain,

0:45:210:45:28

for Europe, and especially, of course, for the Navy and for the merchant marine.

0:45:280:45:35

Britain was developing the biggest merchant marine on the face of the earth by the 1840s.

0:45:350:45:41

Steam ships of course were coming in, but most of the traffic globally was still under sail,

0:45:410:45:47

so the merchants of places like London, Liverpool, Newcastle wanted the most accurate data they could

0:45:470:45:54

for how to understand what was happening basically at sea and how to make sense of it.

0:45:540:46:00

Fitzroy didn't waste a minute.

0:46:020:46:04

He asked ships' captains to feed-back wind and weather information from all over the globe,

0:46:040:46:10

where possible using the newly invented telegraph.

0:46:100:46:13

CLICKING

0:46:130:46:15

And he put the data to good use.

0:46:150:46:18

In 1860, Fitzroy issued the first "weather forecast".

0:46:180:46:23

Within a year, weather forecasts were a daily feature of the press.

0:46:230:46:29

The British public were learning to read the wind.

0:46:290:46:32

Meteorology was a craze.

0:46:350:46:37

Weather forecasting attracted the learned and the eccentric alike.

0:46:370:46:41

None more eccentric than the inventor of the Tempest Prognosticator.

0:46:410:46:46

Created by George Merryweather, it consists of 12 glass jars each containing a leech.

0:46:530:46:59

At the top of each jar there is a piece of whalebone attached to a chain.

0:46:590:47:03

Each chain is attached to a hammer.

0:47:060:47:08

Dr Merryweather thought that leeches were sensitive to atmospheric pressure.

0:47:080:47:13

If the pressure fell, they would climb from their private lagoons,

0:47:130:47:17

dislodge the whalebone, pull on the chain and ring the bell.

0:47:170:47:22

Merryweather sought government funding for the project

0:47:220:47:26

in order to establish a national grid of leech barometers.

0:47:260:47:30

He didn't get it.

0:47:300:47:31

The Met Office wisely put its trust in Robert Fitzroy instead.

0:47:340:47:38

Sciences like meteorology and engineering were the new articles of faith in the Victorian age.

0:47:410:47:47

The wind was a spur to both.

0:47:470:47:49

While science predicted the winds, engineers built structures to defy them.

0:47:490:47:54

The Tay Bridge was one such structure.

0:47:570:48:00

When it opened for business in June 1878, it was the longest bridge in the world, over two miles long.

0:48:000:48:07

The poet William McGonegal wrote in celebration.

0:48:070:48:11

Beautiful new railway bridge of the silvery Tay

0:48:110:48:14

with your strong brick piers and buttresses in so grand array

0:48:140:48:18

and your thirteen central girders which seem to my eye strong enough all windy storms to defy.

0:48:180:48:25

The engineer who built this bridge, Thomas Bouch, believed he had the measure of the wind.

0:48:290:48:34

He was wrong.

0:48:340:48:37

On 28th December 1879, an almighty storm blew in from the Atlantic.

0:48:370:48:43

First it hit Tiree.

0:48:430:48:45

The old household was down by the shore there, very near the shore edge.

0:48:470:48:53

The tide and the wind got up so much

0:48:530:48:56

that eventually they had to abandon the house.

0:48:560:48:59

They had to come out in the storm and make their way up the lane between the crofts here.

0:48:590:49:05

They must've been on their hands and knees

0:49:050:49:08

because the old grand-uncle described how, as they were coming up, a barrel flew over their head.

0:49:080:49:14

And that was the same night that the Tay Bridge disaster occurred.

0:49:140:49:19

28th December 1879.

0:49:190:49:22

When these violent winds reached the Tay Bridge, they tore into the structure at right angles.

0:49:280:49:33

The centre section collapsed, taking with it a train running along its single track.

0:49:330:49:39

75 people were on board.

0:49:460:49:48

75 lives were lost.

0:49:480:49:51

It remains the worst structural disaster in British history.

0:49:510:49:56

The bridge he so admired now in ruins, the poet McGonegal took up his pen again.

0:49:560:50:03

Twas about seven o'clock at night and the wind blew with all its might

0:50:030:50:07

and the rain came pouring down and the dark clouds seemed to frown

0:50:070:50:11

and the demon of the air seemed to say, "I'll blow down the Bridge of Tay."

0:50:110:50:16

And you can feel the wind blowing through those verses, I think, anyway.

0:50:160:50:20

150 miles to the west, on Tiree, the islanders and their ancient crofts rode out the winds.

0:50:280:50:35

They, and their homes, have evolved with the wind.

0:50:350:50:40

The old thatched cottages, which were the double-walled, thick-walled house,

0:50:400:50:46

and the thatch supported on the inner of two walls.

0:50:460:50:50

When the wind strikes the outer walls,

0:50:500:50:54

it's deflected up and going over the top of the roof, going around the thatch,

0:50:540:51:00

it has an effect of holding the thatch down, rather than tearing at it or damaging it.

0:51:000:51:07

The engineers that built the Tay Bridge could have learned much from the people of Tiree.

0:51:120:51:18

Designing structures to withstand the winds has never been a simple process.

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This is the Tacoma Bridge in Washington State, USA.

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This remarkable footage captured its final moments in 1940.

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Destroyed by a 40 mile an hour wind.

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A gale, but not a hurricane.

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The Taipei 101, once the tallest building in the world, is in a Typhoon hotspot.

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It has been built to accommodate the winds.

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When they blow, the tower will bend and bounce back.

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The Tay Bridge was built to last, the Titanic was unsinkable, the Taipei Tower is typhoon-proof.

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It's not the Gods we place our faith in now, it's engineers and scientists.

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But they have their limits.

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Winds can be explained.

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Winds can be anticipated, but they can never be mastered.

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Yet the winds can be harnessed. We've done it for thousands of years.

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Now its awesome power is attracting the attention of an energy-hungry world.

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Britain has abundant supplies.

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Modern alchemists are turning wind into energy.

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It is sort of magic. When you look at a cold wind and it turns into a hot fire.

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Its marvellous. Its engineering at its best.

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Gordon Proven has been designing and making wind turbines for nearly 30 years.

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His factory in Scotland makes 20 wind turbines a week with orders from all over the world.

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It is relatively simple, but complicated to make work.

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We have wings, like the wings of an aeroplane, which rotate.

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They produce a forward force,

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so they'll rotate just like a kids windmill at the fairground.

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Then we have a shaft that goes to a direct drive generator.

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We have two plates of magnets which rotate past our windings of copper.

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When you pass a magnet past copper, you produce an electric current.

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We take that current out,

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put it into some electronics, and feed it into the grid. Easy.

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The first electricity-producing wind turbine was invented over 100 years ago.

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It was a remarkable Scottish engineer, James Blyth, who led this energy revolution.

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In 1887, Blyth successfully generated electricity from a wind turbine.

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It was a world first.

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This photograph shows his experimental turbines in front of his cottage.

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This one shows the turbine he built for the Montrose lunatic asylum.

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It generated 10 horsepower - enough to light the entire building -

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and ran for nearly 30 years.

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This is Professor Blyth's machine.

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It is giant. These things are about 4 metres in height.

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My calculations indicate that it was about 2% efficient.

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He's got too many cups. One cup is shading the other one.

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He's the first guy in the world to make an electricity-producing wind turbine,

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even though it's only a twentieth of the efficiency of our modern machines.

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It got to work and it lasted 27 years, which is fantastic.

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And its thanks to the pioneering spirit of James Blyth

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that the islanders of Tiree can harvest the wind - their most abundant asset.

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At the eastern end of the island they're planning to erect their own wind turbine.

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We've spent the last three or four years

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pulling together a plan to erect a single wind turbine,

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which will be around 900 kilowatts,

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and will be based on the far east of the island.

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And that will generate, hopefully, depending on if we're lucky,

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around £300,000 of income for the community each year.

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It's definitely something that makes life, at times here, challenging.

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To actually get a payback and use a natural resource that is completely renewable and sustainable,

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I think everyone likes the idea.

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The wind that has scoured this bleak land for thousands of years

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may one day earn this community thousand of pounds a year.

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Money galore. It buys a lot of whisky.

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So now we know.

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We know what the wind is and what causes it.

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We have weather forecasts on the TV, on the radio, on our laptops, even on our telephones.

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Our obsession with the weather is what makes us British.

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No, British weather is what makes us British.

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POP MUSIC PLAYS

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Never knowing what to wear, when to barbecue, vest or no vest - never prepared.

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The winds that blow on to our shores will bring good and ill in equal measure and we'll never know which.

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Sometimes both.

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A mixed blessing.

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Our attitude to the wind is ambivalent at the moment.

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We're living this life - in and out of aeroplanes, taxis, cars and trains, then off to work.

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The only time we might get engaged with the wind is

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when our umbrella goes inside out or your hair gets messed up.

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I'm not sure we do respect the wind enough.

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I mean, it's an incredibly powerful force of nature

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and those of us that live in Britain,

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I don't think we offer enough respect to the great winds of the earth.

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