31/05/2017 100 Days+


31/05/2017

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Welcome to the historic city of Cambridge where in just half

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an hour seven political parties will take part in a

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We're live in the spin room at the Cambridge Union -

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and we're counting down to the start of the BBC Election Debate 2017.

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On a glorious and sunny evening in Cambridge.

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The historic setting of the Senate House

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at the University of Cambridge is the venue for this special event

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And here on the BBC News Channel we'll bring you every moment.

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Including all the reaction from the spin room afterwards.

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Inside the venue the stage is set after several days of preparation.

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The neo-classical hall normally used for Graduation ceremonies will host

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a mixture of party leaders and senior politicians

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from the Conservatives, Labour, Liberal Democrats,

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SNP, UKIP, Plaid Cymru, and the Greens.

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Jeremy Corbyn's last-minute decision to take part was unexpected -

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he made that call at lunchtime - challenging Theresa May to join him.

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The Prime Minister - visiting the West Country today -

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said she preferred to be meeting voters on the campaign trail.

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And that she would stick to her guns and not take part in that Cambridge

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debate this evening. Net Security in Afghanistan has

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worsened significantly since Nato and it is combination in 2014 and

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British troops pulled out of Helmand. In the first three months

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of this year and, more than 700 civilians were killed in attacks.

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American commanders now won thousands of extra troops to help

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strengthen Afghan forces. Of Donald Trump agrees to this, Britain could

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also bolster its 500 strong presence. It's still not clear what

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the exact target was of this devastating bomb, or who was behind

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it. The Taliban, who had been gaining ground from government

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forces, have denied involvement in one of the worst attacks that Kabul

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has ever seen. At the BBC we are all remembering

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Mohammed Nazir and his family. Joining me to discuss the bombing is

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the former ambassador to Afghanistan. Commiserations on your

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home country, too. It looks like this was not Islamic State that

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launched this attack. Some part of the Taliban or perhaps the network,

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what do you read into who did this? The Afghan intelligence have issued

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a statement that alleges that a network carried out the attack. If

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this turns out to be correct, given the close connection between the

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network in Pakistan, it raises very serious questions about the policy

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towards Pakistan. With this attack which we the United States, because

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it is a terror group and on our list of terror groups, the issue comes

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with what needs to be done. This is really a quantitative chain. The

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numbers are horrific. The size of the bomb is enormous. Maybe 400 plus

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wounded, and I'm sure that the death toll will go up. That raises the

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issue of can we continue approaching Pakistan on the network issue the

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way we have, or is there a need for a new approach. I think this would

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be one of the issues that the Trump administration, which is reviewing

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its policy, will have to with. The President is wearing at the moment

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whether to send another 3-5000 troops to join those already there.

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How much impact would that have on what Caroline was talking about, the

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gradual deterioration in this country leading up to this? I think

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the number of troops that are to be sent, the commanders have asked for

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those, it is to prevent the worsening of the situation. It will

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not bring about victory, but it will prevent the situation from getting

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worse, two in a sense prevent the worsening. Could prevent something

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like this? No, we're talking overall. That happens in the context

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of the worsening military situation which would suffer huge withdrawal

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of the number of foreign troops. The Afghans have been taking

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responsibility for the war. They are taking lots of casualties in the

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Taliban would like to break the force. The that hasn't been broken

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but it needs, according to our military leader, somehow. I think

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that is important. What's important is to deal with the issue of

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centuries now. Given what has happened. As long as there is a safe

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haven across the border in Pakistan, this will take a long time to do. He

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said it was time for America to perhaps review its relationship with

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Pakistan and how it deals with the network. What are you thinking of

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needs to change? What I think is we need to put more negative pressure

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and Pakistan. But also more positive incentives be provided. More pain,

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more game. Both because what we've done so far, incremental

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engagements, sometimes pressure has not produced results. If we send

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more troops, we need to some diplomats to engage and to find a

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settlement of the Afghan Pakistan issues that lead to sanctuary, which

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must and -- which lead to sanctions. We are already looking at the

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longest war in American history. Thank you very much and

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commiserations to the people of Afghanistan and in Kabul this

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morning. Multiple American press reports say

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Donald Trump is on the verge of pulling the US out

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of the Paris climate agreement. The President himself

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says he'll decide when Behind the scenes White House staff

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hint that he could still So until the formal decision

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we are on hold, on what could be one of Mr Trump's most consequential

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acts as President. "I will be announcing my decision

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on the Paris Accord So we wait, but as we do

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so it is worth looking at what US withdrawal would mean

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both for climate change Joining us now from New York

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is Christine Todd Whitman, who served as head of

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the Environmental Protection Agency How serious would it be if America

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pulled out of the accord? First of all, it's a little bit like the way

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we disengage. They've been doing a lot of them

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back on environmental regulations. But how he does it and whether he

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puts any language in that allows for some wiggle room, I think will tell

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a big story. We can no longer be at the table when these issues are

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discussed. And if we think we need to have a voice here to talk about

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what is a terribly important issue for the rest of the world, we're not

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going to be there. And it's also frankly an economic disadvantage to

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companies because they have to function in the real world. And

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frankly, the good news for the environment, is you have still

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almost 200 countries, even if the United States dropped the accord and

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their participation, who have made commitments. Hopefully they will go

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ahead and they will stay. That Abebe Bikila. You've written about the

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risk of the country stepping in. -- that will be the big key. I don't

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know if it is coincidence, but yesterday the Indian Prime Minister

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went to Berlin to meet Angela Merkel and today the Chinese Prime Minister

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went to Berlin to meet Angela Merkel. They are talking about the

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issue of climate change. What happens to the vacuum that is

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created if America withdraws on this particular issue? Nature hates a

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vacuum, and others fulfil it. We will not be there and it will be a

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detriment to our ability to innovate and be the head of technology the

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way we have been passed. It's harmful for the world and to the

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United States because of the consequences of climate change.

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We've got to understand we're not going to stop it, but the whole

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purpose is to slow the rate of change to a point where we can

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figure out how to deal with it. We've got to learn how to

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accommodate it, and we could possibly roll it back that would be

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great. The win going to stop it because the world has changed and so

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has the climate since it was formed. -- were not going to stop it because

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the world has changed. We're driving nature to a point where it can no

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longer accommodate and handle the amount we are pumping into the

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atmosphere. Frankly for the United States and for Europe, this is very

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destabilising. It is a national security issue because of what

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happened when you have severe droughts, for instance, in the sub

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Sahara. And already populations are nomadic, they can no longer keep

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their herds going, there is no water. They're moving into towns and

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cities where there are no jobs for them, nobody is prepared for them,

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and they'll prime recruiting areas for the Taliban and four Isis. This

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has ramifications well beyond the Sea level rise above the east coast

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of the Arctic. How concerned are you that other countries, if America

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does pull out this week, and we are still waiting for the President's

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final decision, how concerned are you that other countries might on

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their own emissions targets as a result? Actually, I'm not that

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concerned because frankly the ship has left the harbour. We're already

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doing a lot of this country not to any regular Tory demands or owner of

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burdens put on companies, but companies have figured out this is

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what works. -- not to any regular Tory demands. It's good for the

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environment and I've already doing it. Utilities are investing in green

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power and renewable power, or nuclear. Nuclear is starting to drop

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off the table. But from Trump if he wants to have jobs, to promote

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nuclear is a big job creator as a hiatus until the renewables are

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ready to become based power. You said earlier that climate change is

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caused by human activity, human activity influences climate change.

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It's not clear that the White House agrees with you and believe that.

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How dangerous is that? To me, that's very dangerous. Because what that's

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doing is denying science. In Sinai the vast majority of scientistss.

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You have over 70% of scientists who are saying humans are having an

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impact. You could argue that environmentalists made a mistake at

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the beginning by saying human caused climate change, because we don't. We

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exacerbate a natural phenomenon. By overlooking the nuance, it gives

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people a way to escape and say we don't have a role, and there is much

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more we need to know. Frankly, there is more we need to know. That's why

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it's so important we continue our investment in science and basic

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research. There is more we need to know as we deal with the

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consequences. But we know what those consequences will be because

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scientists will tell you, ever increasing storms, severity, it's

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going to be a real problem in real-world terms for people when you

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have flooding and have to move populations. When you have two

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repair damage. This is something that has real economic consequences

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as well as security implications. Thank you very much for joining the

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programme. And with me again today

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is our political analyst Ron Christie, who formerly worked

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in the administration I should have pointed out, Christie

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is a Republican who served in the same administration that you did.

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But clearly she does not agree with what the President, according to the

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ports, is planning to do. There is a big rift in the Republican party as

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to whether or not we should be investing in climate change

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research, whether or not this is real. But I look at this and think

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it's fascinating. Donald Trump received a letter from 22 US

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senators who said, Mr President, pull out of this accord. One of the

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reasons they said we should pull out because they believe this is a

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treaty that should go to the United States Senate and be ratified or

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rejected by the Senate. Then you have people like Governor Whitman

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who were fleeing the United States has to be before. White and various

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big American companies, including American oil company. ExxonMobil is

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at the top of the list. Our Secretary of State is very much in

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favour of us staying in the accord. What the President needs to do is

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wait whether or not this is a treaty versus how does he continue to

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liaise with our allies abroad. This is important to our European allies.

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Is there a way he can appease his Republican base at home, while at

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the same time keeping his European allies. How important is this? This

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is huge. This is one of the store will promises he made. He said he

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was going to pull out of some of the agreements, like the Paris

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crumb-macro agreement. This is the first and foremost point of attack

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that he wants to go after. Certainly because he doesn't want America tied

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by international agreements. He doesn't like big international

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treaties. Donald Trump's former national

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security advisor Michael Flynn will reportedly be turning over some

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of the documents that the Senate Intelligence Committee was seeking

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in their probe into Russian interference during

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the presidential election. It comes as the inquiry widens

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and more people are being asked to provide documents or information

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pertinent to the investigation. Ron Christie has a bit of experience

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with these matters and luckily Why on earth would you not cooperate

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with an investigation on this scale? Precisely. In politics I perception

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is reality. There is a perception out there that if you have documents

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and you're not turning them over, you're not cooperate, you might have

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something to hide. In America we have our fifth Amendment against

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self-incrimination. Perhaps these say that from a political point of

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view, it looks terrible. Jack Abramoff, a disgraced lobbyist, he

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had forged billing records. They claimed that Ronald and Dick Cheney

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had half an forged document. What I didn't know we have got to a dodgy

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guest. -- maybe not the guy I thought you were! I have to tell

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you, it's a very daunting process. You're sitting in a room, you're

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flanked by lawyers representing the White House. On the other side there

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were lawyers representing Capitol Hill. If you have nothing to hide,

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you have nothing to worry about. It's very intimidating being in that

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setting. I went through it. I fully cooperated. There was nothing there.

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I would encourage others involved to do the same. You heard it here, if

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you are not cooperating, perhaps you should.

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Now, it's usually what spokes people do say which gets us talking,

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but it was the pause at yesterday's State Department which

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This was Acting Assistant Secretary Stuart Jones when asked

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You characterise Saudi Arabia's commitment to democracy? Do you

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agree it is a barrier against extremism? Um...

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I think what I would say is that... At this meeting... We were able to

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make significant progress. Why have they sent Stuart Jones out

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there without an answer about democracy in Saudi Arabia when they

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have just come back from a trip to Saudi Arabia? First and foremost,

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there is a reason why he is the acting assistant secretary. If

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you're coming back from Saudi Arabia, you can't and do something

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that fundamental and basic to the region of the world, why are you

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taking the podium? And most importantly, why can't you think of

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an answer in 20 seconds. 20 seconds! This should be a no-brainer for him.

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He should have a fluid answer. What else can you say? I'm not going to

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pause for 20 seconds, I'm going to move swiftly on to the British

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election. Here's what usually happens

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in political debates - the opposing candidates get up

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on the stage and have AT it, while the confused viewers

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try to figure out who to vote for. But in the UK tonight,

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the leading candidate won't be The Conservative leader

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is sending a representative - though the Labour leader did a last

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minute about turn and There is a debate in Cambridge

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tonight. I don't know what she's doing this evening, but it's not far

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from London. I invite her to go to Cambridge and debate her policies,

:19:18.:19:21.

debate her record, debate their plans, debate their proposals, and

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let the public make up their minds. Public scrutiny is a very important

:19:30.:19:34.

part of any election campaign. He is now up for a head to head debate.

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Doesn't it suggest you're frightened of taking him on directly if you

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don't go, to? First of all, I've been taking

:19:43.:19:47.

Jeremy Corbyn on directly week in, week out on Prime Minister's

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question. She says she was too busy talking to

:19:51.:19:51.

voters to take place in the debate. The debate is taking

:19:52.:19:54.

place in Cambridge. The BBC's Adam Fleming

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is there and joins us How does this play for Mrs May and

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Mr Corbyn, the fact that he will be there after all? It means that

:20:09.:20:12.

Jeremy Corbyn, the Leader of the Opposition Labour Party here in the

:20:13.:20:16.

UK, has won the Prix game just by turning up. All the talk amongst the

:20:17.:20:20.

journalist here in the spin room is about how he has electrified the

:20:21.:20:26.

debate just by showing up. Actually winning the debate when he's up

:20:27.:20:28.

against six other people under the pressure of time and the pressure of

:20:29.:20:32.

questions from the audience, that is quite another matter. When it comes

:20:33.:20:36.

to be Prime Minister Theresa May, the reaction on social media with

:20:37.:20:41.

hashtags like, "May is scared" training at the moment, suggest that

:20:42.:20:49.

social media users she has made a boo-boo by not turning up. That is

:20:50.:20:53.

social media, not the electorate as a whole. The fact that Theresa May

:20:54.:20:59.

is not turning up tonight will sway virtually no one's vote when it

:21:00.:21:02.

comes to the big decision on the 8th of June. That is the message being

:21:03.:21:06.

delivered by members of the Cabinet who are the spin into my telling

:21:07.:21:09.

journalists what to think ahead of the debate. A bit of a boo-boo!

:21:10.:21:15.

Here's the latest YouGov election model - making some news today.

:21:16.:21:18.

It still predicts the Conservative Party winning,

:21:19.:21:19.

If this is accurate, the Conservatives could end up

:21:20.:21:26.

with 310 seats - that's 20 less than they have today,

:21:27.:21:28.

and 16 less than they need for an overall majority.

:21:29.:21:31.

The model suggests the vote could lead to a hung parliament.

:21:32.:21:33.

But another poll by Panel-base suggests the Conservatives have

:21:34.:21:35.

actually extended their lead to 15 percentage points.

:21:36.:21:46.

Adam, where do we stand at the moment? Theresa May have been

:21:47.:21:53.

slipping in the polls. Is that panel -based polling outliner? Welcome to

:21:54.:21:59.

the confusing world of being a British political journalist right

:22:00.:22:04.

now. The only way we really have of gauging how Republicans feeling

:22:05.:22:07.

about this election is through those opinion polls. As you've just seen,

:22:08.:22:11.

they are saying completely different things. Just a few health warnings -

:22:12.:22:15.

here is the science bit. The YouGov one isn't an opinion poll. What

:22:16.:22:19.

they're calling it is a projection where they have crunched a load of

:22:20.:22:22.

numbers and worked out what one of the scenarios that could result at

:22:23.:22:29.

the end of the election. It has quite a large margin of error. One

:22:30.:22:34.

permutation of the data shows the Conservatives gaining seats. Another

:22:35.:22:37.

permutation shows them losing even more. But the permutation which has

:22:38.:22:40.

all of the attention on the newspaper front pages today is that

:22:41.:22:45.

of a hung parliament, needing four questions to Theresa May as to

:22:46.:22:48.

whether or not she would stand down as the Tory leader if she lost

:22:49.:22:51.

seats. There are other polls which show that Theresa May is way ahead.

:22:52.:22:55.

The reason is because all the different polling companies use

:22:56.:22:58.

different methodologies. They take the raw data and then do a bit of

:22:59.:23:02.

science to come up with their projections for what that means for

:23:03.:23:05.

the country as a hole. The message that seems to be coming up is that

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we lead the Conservatives have on Labour is narrowing. The dispute is

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about how big the lead actually is. Whether it is a model or a pole, I'm

:23:17.:23:20.

sure they don't like the Tory headquarters. I covered the American

:23:21.:23:24.

election, take those polls with a big pinch of salt - my friendly

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warning. A quick look at other news from around the world now.

:23:29.:23:29.

The US military has announced that it has successfully shot down

:23:30.:23:32.

a missile similar to the one North Korea could potentially

:23:33.:23:34.

use someday to threaten the United States.

:23:35.:23:36.

and is part of a 40 billion dollar programme - in response to

:23:37.:23:41.

A French policeman who was killed in Paris during an islamist

:23:42.:23:45.

attack back in April - has been posthumously

:23:46.:23:47.

Xavier Jugele, and his living partner

:23:48.:23:50.

Etienne Cardiles were legally wed in a private ceremony

:23:51.:23:53.

attended by the former French President Francois Hollande.

:23:54.:23:55.

Mr Jugele, a gay rights activist, was shot dead

:23:56.:23:57.

It's thought to be the world's first posthumous gay wedding.

:23:58.:24:06.

NASA has unveiled daring plans to fly a probe directly

:24:07.:24:08.

The Parker Solar Probe will be launched mid-2018,

:24:09.:24:13.

and scientists hope to learn about the physics of our

:24:14.:24:15.

It will be exposed to more heat and radiation than any spacecraft -

:24:16.:24:19.

flying into temperatures exceeding 1,300 degrees Celsius.

:24:20.:24:38.

It is not like Nasa were thinking of calling a Icarus, which should be a

:24:39.:24:43.

mistake! Whether it was deliberate

:24:44.:24:47.

or a mistake - one word had That's after the President tweeted

:24:48.:24:50.

this late at night... "Despite the constant

:24:51.:24:59.

negative press covfefe". It was online for six hours before

:25:00.:25:02.

the tweet was deleted - but, by that stage "covfefe",

:25:03.:25:06.

a word which had never existed, Donald Trump eventually seemed

:25:07.:25:09.

to see the funny side - "Who can figure out the true

:25:10.:25:12.

meaning of "covfefe" ??? The Philadelphia police department

:25:13.:25:23.

always have a sense of humour... I always do drive with covfefe! If you

:25:24.:25:35.

are followers of the Twitter account Trump Draws, you've got to see this.

:25:36.:25:44.

"I Am Mr Trump, there is covfefe." Covfefe to use. Covfefe right back

:25:45.:25:48.

at you. I will bring this back, this is where you keep saying that Donald

:25:49.:25:52.

Trump has a communications problem - covfefe to him. You've been watching

:25:53.:26:01.

100 Days from BBC News. I will see you back here are tomorrow, and in

:26:02.:26:02.

the meantime, covfefe. Good evening to you. A decent day

:26:03.:26:13.

for most of us today, and we are in for a very mild night. A little

:26:14.:26:16.

misty and murky

:26:17.:26:17.

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