01/06/2017 100 Days+

In just an hour, we'll know President Trump's decision

Will he withdraw entirely, stay in, or craft some middle ground?

There are huge consequences, for America and the world.

From Berlin to Beijing, they are urging Mr Trump today not

It's also important that the American society,

all other societies and the business community, mobilise themselves

to preserve the Paris Agreement as a central piece to guarantee

the future of our children and grandchildren.

And, one week today, UK voters head to the polls.

With the race tightening, we'll hear what's driving this election.

Welcome to 100 Days+. I'm Katty Kay in Washington.

In an hour, we will find out if America First really

Or, to be more precise, America in the company

If President Trump pulls out of the Paris climate accord,

that's who the US will join as the only countries

in the world not to have signed the landmark 2015 agreement.

It will signal a withdrawal of American leadership on perhaps

the most critical issue of our time, with enormous implications

for the future of the planet, politics and jobs worldwide.

Under it, countries committed to capping global warming

at 2 degrees Celcius with an "endeavour to limit" temperature

Rich countries also agreed to provide "climate finance" to help

They pledged $100 billion a year by 2020, many countries wanted more.

Today, the top ten greenhouse gas emitters make up over 70%

of total emissions, China overtook America

as the world's biggest emitter in 2007.

For more on the announcement, we can speak to

will he keep his campaign pledge to the important constituency, the

blue-collar workers in the industrial heartland, who believed

his rhetoric that the climate accord is killing their jobs. More widely

to Republican constituencies who believe it is a bad deal and puts

them at economic disadvantage. Does he listen to everybody else backing

him to stay in the accord? International allies, the UN head,

the Pope, large parts of the business community in America, some

White House advisers, even his daughter are worried about the

possibility of removing the Americans from the accord, not least

because of the environment, but also because the benighted States would

be isolated. And its global leadership will be affected. There

has been some discussion of possible middle ground, not completely

pulling out, but with re-negotiating the targets that the United States

will keep. It is not clear where that is going. It will not only be

Americans watching, that is for sure. It will be people around the

world. Those are the voices that the White House and the president is

listening to. We will know in an hour. We will bring full coverage to

you on the BBC across the world. Well, among the American officials

who were key in getting the US sign on to the climate agreement

in Paris was Ernest Moniz. He served as President

Obama's secretary of You were the grandfather of this

deal, you got it on the table in Paris. Secretary Kerry was the lead

negotiator. How are you feeling today? The prospect of America

pulling out of a deal that you worked so hard to see come together.

First of all, I am curious to see what the announcement will be. But

if the United States, if the president announces, polls out of

the Paris Agreement, it would be a terrible mistake on many grounds.

Fundamentally, it is rejecting science. It is adding to, and

unfortunately, increasing loss of confidence in the ability of the

United States in meeting agreements. And especially when combined with

the budget, the first budget, the president put forward to Congress.

Frankly, it will undermine our competitiveness in a multitrillion

dollar arena energy economy. What about the counter argument on the

science, we don't really need the Paris accord anyway, because market

forces mean that America is emitting less and less as it is. The reality

is, we are well on our way towards the Paris target. It has nothing to

do with climate policy at the moment. But I would take the

opposite conclusion, natural gas and renewable growth in the United

States has got us down 12-14%. Other countries, who have made comparable

or stronger commitments, don't have that advantage of an abundance of

natural gas. Why is this a bad deal? I have never heard it explained, I

just hear the words that it is a bad deal. After Kyoto, the issue was,

the emerging economies are not in here. The Paris deal puts them in

here. We don't have flexibility. We have flexibility. We are doing quite

well in this direction. However, we do need Paris. We do need to have

policy that will guide us. I remind you, not just to the Paris goals,

but even more carbon reduction is required. Clearly the people in the

United States that objects do so two France, they don't like America not

having sovereignty over its own climate deals. And the workers who

are employed in the fossil fuels industries, whether it is coal or

oil, feel the agreement might cost them their jobs. First of all, there

is no evidence that today has been experiencing job loss, quite the

contrary. We know there have been substantial losses in coal mining,

which started long before this. It is technology, it is mechanisation,

and most recently it is in fact the abundance of natural gas that has

displaced coal as a market phenomenon on. That is the reality.

That is not going to be reversed. What we need to do, and we did in

the Obama administration, instead, we put $6 billion into play to

develop the technologies that would allow coal to be used in a low

carbon world. Let's look forward, let's develop the technologies,

let's use our innovation, and then we can have all of the above

involved. Spent hours sitting around the table with global counterparts

discussing the issues of climate change. If resident John pulled out,

do you think other countries will decide they don't need to stick to

their image and targets? I don't believe that. I believe there is no

going back. We are going to a low carbon future. That has been made

loud and clear by American business leaders. They say, we are not going

to make investments in a high carbon future. Investments last decades.

The states and cities are moving forward. We are going forward. All

this does, if in fact we pull out, all this will do is make it harder

and more expensive for the United States to play, and will diminish

our competitiveness in that future market. Thank you for coming in.

President Trump has a lot of supporters here

Among them is Phil Kerpen, president of American Commitment,

a group dedicated to free markets and economic growth.

You were hearing the deck with Terry, Ernest Moniz, saying that

America loses nothing by being in the Paris accord, and gains the

advantage that emerging countries are in a global accord as well. What

do you make of that? Yeah, that's highly inaccurate. In fact, the cost

to the United States is considerable. This agreement will be

used as a pretext for litigation, to force the clean power plan to come

into effect. It has meant higher electricity prices. There is a

direct cash transfer in the agreement, $100 billion per year

from the advanced countries do the developing world. The lion's share

of that will come from the United States if we remain in the

agreement. We will be paying higher energy prices, and paying more

foreign aid abroad. Two big losses for the American people. But in

terms of jobs, as you know, most economists seem to believe that the

job growth that comes from the renewable industry is actually equal

to any job losses that there might be in the fossil fuel industry.

Though it's not a job loser, being part of the Paris accord. It's a big

job loser on an economy work bases. It takes a lot more labour to

produce energy from renewables than it does from fossil sources, because

they are much less efficient and productive. If you spend more and

have more labour-intensive production and higher energy prices,

you may employ more people in the energy sector, but it will be harder

to employ people in manufacturing and the other sectors of the economy

that consume energy, as well as being more expensive for individual

consumers as world. The economy wide impact of energy prices is very

negative indeed. This idea that we have brought the developing world

into it, and this is the framework, it ignores the reality on the

ground. First, commitments made in India and China, they do not limit

emissions levels. They will not meet the promises that they have made.

India has 370 coal power plant in the planning stages. It is

impossible to meet their Paris commitments with that plan. They

won't meet the promises they have made. Germany has had their image

and increase in age of the last two years. What is making countries

angry about the president right now, instead of ignoring his commitment,

because there is no enforcement in this agreement, he is doing this the

honest way and saying we will withdraw from this because we will

not meet the obligation. That is a much better form of leadership,

being honest, than what we are seeing from other countries. Thank

you for joining us. And underlining the splits in

the Republican part on this issue, this was the tweet from former

Republican presidential "Affirmation of the #ParisAgreement

is not only about the climate, it is also about America

remaining the global leader." Ron, is this about science and jobs

and the economy, or is it about American leadership in the world?

All of the above. When you look at the fact that the United States is

committing itself to an accord that is not a treaty, it gives a lot of

people on Capitol Hill concern. If it is such a monumental agreement,

as people have said, why didn't the United States submitted to the

Senate for ratification? Why did we not have hearings on it? Why did we

not reject it will ratify it? I was going to ask the point, this impacts

America come the perception of America around the world. America on

a critical issue has decided to withdraw leadership. Something a lot

of people had wondered if the president would actually do. How

would you respond to that? Is it a concern of yours? You have questions

about the Paris accord in America, are you concerned about the

leadership issue? I am. Perception is reality. The perception here is

that the United States would be pulling away from 195 plus other

countries in the world, and not leading on an issue. Mr Trump might

not agree on the science, and he might not agree on America's role,

but I am worried how America will be perceived as a global leader, which

we always have been. Frankly, it looks like we might have an American

president, since he doesn't believe that climate change exists,

therefore America doesn't believe that. That sends a very interesting

signal. Stay with us. Breaking news now. Reports coming in from the

Philippines of gunfire and explosions outside a complex in the

capital Manila. It is situated next to the International Airport. Fire

trucks and police have gone to the area, when we get more on it, we

will bring you it as the story develops in the Philippines. Back to

the Paris accord is now. Nature and politics both abhor

a vacuum and if America cedes leadership on climate change,

other country's will step in. Angela Merkel today described

Paris as an "essetial" accord. A leaked statement from the EU

and China shows they are already planning a joint announcement

maintaining their And Beijing, the world's biggest

polluter, promises to stick to the terms of the accord,

whatever Mr Trump does. TRANSLATION: China will continue

to implement promises made in the Paris agreement,

to move towards the 2030 goals step But of course, we also hope to do

this incorporation with others. The Europeans will also taking more

of a leadership role on the issue. Laurence Tubiana was the French

ambassador for climate negotiations that led to the Paris Agreement.

She joins from Paris. Thank you for joining us. How much

of a blow will this actually be to the Paris accords if America pulls

out? Of course, it's a big deception, because the US has had a

key role in drafting this agreement together with many others. So on

that side, it's a pity. And it's a pity, essentially, for US society,

US diplomacy, but frankly, when I look at the reaction all over the

world, from Europe, from China, from even BGE six countries recently in

Taormina, again, the elements really of what Prime Minister Rudy said

recently in saying again, certainly tomorrow in France, really there is

an overwhelming recommitment of every country to the Paris

Agreement. I don't think this is really a blow, meaning it is a pity.

It is deceitful. I'm sorry for this big achievement, I'm sorry for them

the US in particular, but I think the train has left the station. If

you listen to all the other experts around the table early on, I think

the train really is there. The modernity, the transformation of the

local economy is irreversible. That is what is written in the

declaration between EU and China. I think it is a pity because, the US

has the lead in technology, and capacity to lead on that aspect. But

now, I think the ball will move on with other countries, and other

directions. It is a pity for the US economy in particular. We haven't

had an announcement is yet, we will announce it in 45 minutes time, if

President Trump surprises us all and said America is staying in the Paris

climate accords, how much better off we'll plan it be? Oh, anyway, I will

be happy, because it is a collective endeavour. The withdrawal of the US,

anyway, will slow the movement, of course. So it's very important that

the US stays, and the US with all its capacity, to help other

countries, and to show were dirty and the transformation of the

economy. So it would be very, very good news. I will be listening to it

later on, but in the case not, I do think it's a blow for the Paris

Agreement. The Paris Agreement demonstrated resilience, not only

because of government, because of the capacity of many other

stakeholders that was the conception of Paris, really having a City, the

states, the businesses, really committing to the global growth of

Paris and the trans-formation. That is really there, and I think the

wave is amplified by the reaction of the US announcement today. Thank you

for joining us. I want to pick up on something that has been talked

about, actually, if President Trump says that America is pulling out of

the Paris accord, the truth is that states and cities are already doing

a lot to reduce emissions. We have California, the governor of

California who told the BBC that they are going to stay on the path

and Wilma Ghost Lake themselves with China and Europeans. You also heard

that New York would maintain the Paris Agreement. We hear the United

States is abdicating leadership, we have heard that there were no

Republican voices in Paris in the accord. I wonder whether this is

truly speaking for the entire United States government and us as a

democracy, or whether it speaks for the Democratic party. Look at the

number of American businesses, Rex Tillerson, the Secretary of State,

who is a Republican, has also said that America should stay in the

Paris accord. Two different things. The negotiation in December, 2015,

it was all Democrats. You may have many CEOs. If it was a bipartisan

party that went to Paris, we may not have what we are having to date? You

had 22 Republicans saying they were rejecting it. Split sides. Thank

you. There have been other things going on in Washington as we wait

for the Paris announcement. The former FBI director,

James Comey, is to testify next Thursday before

a Senate Intelligence committee investigating allegations

of Russian interference Mr Comey, who was fired

by the President last month, is expected to testify

on conversations he had with President Trump about

dropping the FBI's investigation into his then National Security

Adviser, Michael Flynn, We will bring you all about when it

comes. Donald Trump has decided not to move

the US embassy in Israel The President signed

the legal waiver that keeps The White House says Donald Trump

remains committed to eventually moving the embassy to Jerusalem,

but the delay is intended to maximise the chances

of negotiating a peace deal Pakistan has rejected Afghan

allegations that it was involved Pakistan was accused of supporting

the Afghan-affiliated Haqqani network, which

the Afghan intelligence service No armed group has

officially claimed 90 people died in the bombing,

which struck in Kabul's The British politician,

Nigel Farage, who's a Trump ally and the driving force behind last

year's Brexit referendum, has described as hysterical,

reports that he too is a person of interest

in the FBI investigation. He said it was extremely

doubtful he could be a person of interest since he had

no connections to Russia. A week today Brits will decide

who they want to run their country, and negotiate their departure

from the European Union. It was supposed to be a slam dunk

of a victory for the Conservative but right now Theresa May's party

is only just ahead So with seven days to go, is it

starting to look like a real race. Today, out on the campaign trail,

both the Prime Minister and Jeremy Corbyn focused

on the big issue, Brexit. I'm confident that we can fulfil

the promise of Brexit together, and build a Britain that is stronger,

fairer, and even more prosperous Theresa May says no deal

is better than a bad deal. Let's be clear, no deal

is in fact a bad deal. One area of the UK that voted

to leave the European Union was Cornwall in the South West

of England, despite it receiving millions of dollars in EU subsidies.

Ros Atkins is there for us. What are they making of the election

in Cornwall and how the polls are tightening? Hi to all of you

watching, Brexit as you mentioned is a huge political issue here. One of

the key consequences of a positive vote for Brexit was that lots of

people that supported the Ukip party are considering switching

allegiances to the Conservatives, the national polls have suggested

this could be happening as well. That is one lived for the

Conservatives. The counter is that at the last election, the

Conservatives in Cornwall got a clean sweep. All six constituencies

went blue. The Lib Dems say, vote for us, we will give you a second

referendum once the Brexit deal is negotiated. For those people in

Cornwall but don't want Brexit do happen, that is proving attractive.

The key dynamic here is, how can the Tories shore up their position, and

how much progress can the Lib Dems may? I am sure you were watching the

debate last night, Theresa May wasn't there. Have you heard any

voters in Cornwall complaining that she wasn't there? Or did she think

her stand in Amber Rudd did a good job? I will tell you a couple of

things directly relevant to that, if we bring the camera around, this

beautiful beach in Falmouth. You have picked the nicest place! It was

full of tourists and locals enjoying the sunshine. We spent half an hour,

me and a couple of producers, trying to find anyone on this beach who

watched that debate. We have failed to. Which told me that perhaps, a

lot of ordinary people don't engage in big, media events in the same way

that the media does. The second interesting conversation I had...

God forbid! One man sitting behind a windbreak said, I am fed up with

Theresa May for not showing up. I am a conservative. I feel she should

have done it. I have not been impressed by her performance in this

campaign, but I am still going to vote for her despite those

reservations. That's the challenge, by most commentators's

acknowledgement, Jeremy Corbyn has had a strong campaign, but that

there is an as is airily mean he has done enough to persuade gentlemen --

but that doesn't necessarily mean. Whether voters do that will very

much decide the outcome of the election. We will find out in a

week's time. I hope you make sure that you peek equally de Ligt

locations through the British Isles through the next week. I wouldn't

want you to see you anywhere rainy. God forbid it rains X Mac I will do.

See you soon. An update on the breaking news out

of the Philippines a few minutes ago, there have been gunfire and

explosions outside a shopping complex in the capital Manila.

Employees have fled the scene, and spoke of a masked gunmen on the

second floor of one hotel who was firing at guests. Reuters said that

police are now in full control of the situation. We will bring you

that constantly as the story unfolds. I want to bring one back

in. You have been with me all week, it has been an incredibly busy week

in Washington. As we get to the end of the week, and we have the

President's announcement coming up, and we have talked through the week

about the Russian investigations, it occurs to me that there is a common

theme, Americans leadership in the world is under scrutiny, almost like

never before. What can the president do to prove the perception of

America right now? I think he needs to project leadership and have a

strong sense of purpose of what it means for him to be president of the

United States, what is his vision? How does he articulated? And can he

get people to follow him? We have seen tweets and a lot of odd

statements coming out of the White House, which seems very

dysfunctional, and frankly, doesn't have a coherent message. He need

adult supervision to help him in the White House, for him to do those

tasks. Great to have you in the studio. I have had a lot of fun.

Christian is back on Monday, back from the South of France, we will

keep one, too, though. You are watching 100 days plus, have a great

weekend. See you on Monday. There is a change to the weather on

the way and