24/04/2017 BBC Business Live


24/04/2017

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This is Business Live from BBC News with Ben Bland and Sally Bundock.

:00:00.:00:11.

And then there were two - the final candidates

:00:12.:00:14.

for the French presidency, Emmanuel Macron and Marine Le Pen,

:00:15.:00:18.

have been chosen, but what economic challenges will the winner face?

:00:19.:00:21.

Live from London, that's our top story on Monday, 24th April.

:00:22.:00:42.

The candidates of both mainstream political parties in France have

:00:43.:00:45.

urged their supporters to back Emmanuel Macron for the presidency,

:00:46.:00:49.

after they were eliminated in the first round,

:00:50.:00:53.

but is he the man to to supercharge the French economy?

:00:54.:00:56.

China shuts down 29 plants and puts another 40 on warning.

:00:57.:01:10.

Here is how the markets look. Very strong, especially in Paris.

:01:11.:01:24.

And we'll be getting the inside track on a business that's

:01:25.:01:26.

been able to draw on the artistic talents of its founder.

:01:27.:01:29.

We're going to be speaking to co-founder and creative director

:01:30.:01:31.

Today we want to know, as UK politicians consider offering

:01:32.:01:42.

a price cap on energy bills, we want to know - what purchases

:01:43.:01:45.

would you like to see a price cap on?

:01:46.:01:47.

Centrist Emmanuel Macron has gone through to the second

:01:48.:02:04.

round of the French election, where he will face far-right

:02:05.:02:07.

Mr Macron, a former banker, is seen as a political

:02:08.:02:12.

outsider, having never run an election campaign before.

:02:13.:02:18.

The euro rose by 2% on the news - its highest level in five months -

:02:19.:02:22.

before giving up some ground this morning.

:02:23.:02:23.

Investors had worried that far-left Jean-Luc Melenchon

:02:24.:02:27.

would beat Mr Macron, giving voters a choice between two

:02:28.:02:30.

Macron is now considered to be the favorite to win the second

:02:31.:02:37.

round ballot and markets have warmed to his pledge to lower corporate

:02:38.:02:40.

taxes while lightening the administrative burden on firms.

:02:41.:02:42.

However, economic problems and challenges remain for whoever

:02:43.:02:46.

Top of the list, France's unemployment rate

:02:47.:02:53.

is running at around 10%, which is more than twice the rate

:02:54.:02:56.

So, how have global markets reacted to the results?

:02:57.:03:06.

Theo Leggett is at Berenberg Bank

:03:07.:03:07.

So the euro is soaring and now share markets in Europe are soaring too?

:03:08.:03:23.

Absolutely. The currency is up, and so are the share markets, and it's

:03:24.:03:26.

easy to see why. This isn't about what has happened in the first round

:03:27.:03:31.

of the presidential election as opposed to what has not happened. We

:03:32.:03:35.

now know we will not see a second-round run-off between the far

:03:36.:03:38.

right candidate Marine Le Pen of the National Front and Jean-Luc

:03:39.:03:41.

Melenchon, the hard left candidate who models his economic policies on

:03:42.:03:45.

those of people like the later Venezuelan leader Hugo Chavez. For

:03:46.:03:50.

business people, that was seen as the nightmare scenario, two

:03:51.:03:53.

Eurosceptic candidates, one of whom wanted to take France out of the

:03:54.:03:56.

euro, and a candidate who favoured extremely high taxation for the rich

:03:57.:04:01.

and a lot of state intervention in industry. That hasn't happened. The

:04:02.:04:05.

run-off will be between Emmanuel Macron, the centrist reformist

:04:06.:04:06.

candidate, and Marine Le Pen. In that scenario, nearly every poll

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puts Emmanuel Macron, and you can see what that has done on the

:04:15.:04:19.

markets. This is the Paris stock exchange. As you can see, at the

:04:20.:04:26.

open was up more than 5%. It is telling off a bit, but nevertheless,

:04:27.:04:30.

that is a relief rally. Banking stocks are doing well. That it

:04:31.:04:36.

because the risk premium on bonds is going down, so bond yields are going

:04:37.:04:40.

to go up. Things are more settled. But let's not forget that there are

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two weeks to go before the second round of the presidential election

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and although Emmanuel Macron does look like the clear winner according

:04:47.:04:52.

to polls taken today, you can never guarantee anything. And that is the

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point. Once this relief rally tails off and people think ahead to May

:04:58.:05:05.

the 7th, people may wonder what a new government may look like. Even

:05:06.:05:09.

if Emmanuel Macron gets the job, it may be an unusual coalition in

:05:10.:05:14.

France. Absolutely. You have to remember where Emmanuel Macron has

:05:15.:05:17.

come from. His movement was only created about a year ago, and it is

:05:18.:05:22.

a coalition of different interests. It doesn't have a formal party

:05:23.:05:26.

structure and in a few weeks' time, France will go to the polls again

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for parliamentary elections. Emmanuel Macron, if he is president,

:05:31.:05:35.

will have to work with the winner of that election. He will have to work

:05:36.:05:39.

with a Prime Minister to get his policies enacted. He does have a

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certain level of endorsement from the Republicans and from the more

:05:43.:05:46.

mainstream Socialists at the moment, but once he is in power and once

:05:47.:05:50.

they are forming a parliament, if he doesn't manage to get enough of his

:05:51.:05:56.

own support, he may find it difficult to enact the platform of

:05:57.:06:02.

hope he has been setting out over the last year. He may find that the

:06:03.:06:06.

reality of life as president is different from the rhetoric of the

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campaign. Theo, thank you very much. Let's show you Paris right now, a

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beautiful morning as a new day begins. Everyone is of course now

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looking ahead to make the seventh and the two candidates that remain.

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We will have more on that later on Business Live. Some of the news now.

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Luxury shoemaker Jimmy Choo has put itself up for sale, announcing on

:06:40.:06:43.

Monday that it is seeking offers. The company, which floated in London

:06:44.:06:48.

in October 2014, has seen sales growth slow, reporting a 2% rise

:06:49.:06:55.

last year compared to 7% in 2015 and 12% in 2014. HSBC recently

:06:56.:07:00.

downgraded Jimmy Choo to hold from Help To Buy as it felt both sales

:07:01.:07:04.

and profits had fallen short. But medical devices and health care

:07:05.:07:08.

giant Philips has posted a big jump in first-quarter profits after

:07:09.:07:13.

spinning off its lighting business last year. Profits soared to $280

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million for the three months to the end of March compared with around 40

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million the same time last year. Corp profits were up by 18% higher

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than expected, $480 million. Sales were up 2%.

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US medical equipment supplier Becton Dickinson is to acquire a health

:07:35.:07:43.

care equipment manufacturer. The acquisition costs will be paid

:07:44.:07:46.

roughly half in cash and debt and the other half by issuing new

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shares. It comes two years after Becton Dickinson acquired another

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company for $12 billion. Some interesting news came out of China

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today. Nearly 30 steel firms that have had their production licences

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revoked for not meeting industry requirements. Robin Brant is in

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evidence of fresh consolidation evidence of fresh consolidation

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within China's mammoth steel industry, and also evidence of a

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further clamp-down by the further clamp-down by the

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authorities on those firms that refuse to comply with emergency

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measures when the pollution gets bad in the north of the country, where

:08:31.:08:34.

the steel industry is centred. Let me give you a few statistics that

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show you how big the steel industry is in China. China is trying to move

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60%, the majority of its production base, into the hands of ten much

:08:44.:08:47.

bigger companies. That was supposed to happen two years ago, but has

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been pushed back to 2025. Historically, the industry here has

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been about small-scale production companies. Around 300 of some 630

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firms have been closed in recent years, so that shows you how serious

:09:05.:09:08.

China is about consolidating the industry. It is trying to move 100

:09:09.:09:12.

million tonnes of production every year from what is currently churned

:09:13.:09:16.

out. This all comes amidst further evidence from the US that Donald

:09:17.:09:21.

Trump is concerned about steel dumping and anti-competitive

:09:22.:09:24.

measures. The president announced a new probe on Thursday. But the US

:09:25.:09:28.

and EU have concerns about China's mammoth steel industry.

:09:29.:09:36.

Thank you, Robin. Let's look at the markets. Investors are cheering the

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news that Emmanuel Macron came out ahead in the first round of France's

:09:41.:09:50.

presidential election. The euro is strengthening against the yen. That

:09:51.:09:59.

makes exports cheaper to foreign buyers. Let's show you the European

:10:00.:10:03.

markets. Really interesting, particularly in Paris. Investors are

:10:04.:10:08.

clearly pleased with the outcome of the French poll. The euro reached

:10:09.:10:13.

its highest level against the dollar for five months.

:10:14.:10:15.

sentiment can also be seen in the sentiment can also be seen in the

:10:16.:10:19.

bond market. The price of French bonds increased, suggesting that

:10:20.:10:22.

investors have an appetite for French government debt. That lowers

:10:23.:10:26.

the yield and has narrowed the gap between French bonds and German

:10:27.:10:30.

bonds. Here is Michelle Fleury. Earning season continues this week.

:10:31.:10:36.

Three companies will all be reporting. T mobile is the number

:10:37.:10:43.

three American wireless carrier. It managed to attract new customers and

:10:44.:10:46.

also managed to secure a book of broadcast airwaves in a government

:10:47.:10:50.

auction, making T mobile some stiff competition. Meanwhile, Halliburton

:10:51.:10:55.

is the world's number two oilfield services provider and while oil

:10:56.:11:00.

prices are picking up, the cost of reactivating Will Riggs and

:11:01.:11:03.

equipment is putting pressure on earnings. Finally, Star Wars and

:11:04.:11:08.

Disney Princess dolls gave Hasbro a big boost this time last year.

:11:09.:11:14.

Comparatively, though, it will be hard for the toymaker to meet and

:11:15.:11:21.

beat the numbers from a year ago. That was Michelle, giving us a heads

:11:22.:11:24.

up on what is ahead in the US. We have the head of multi-asset is at

:11:25.:11:30.

Royal London asset management with us. Trevor, are you with the share

:11:31.:11:34.

markets and the euro and cheering the outcome of Sunday's election in

:11:35.:11:41.

France? It is a positive outcome. One way to look at is that 40% of

:11:42.:11:45.

voters voted for somebody who was anti-euro, so that was a bullet

:11:46.:11:51.

missed the markets, because if France were seriously considering

:11:52.:11:54.

leaving the euro, there would be all sorts of financial stress. You might

:11:55.:11:57.

say Marine Le Pen is through to the second round and she is one of these

:11:58.:12:01.

people who also thinks the euro is not a good idea, but the polls have

:12:02.:12:07.

Mac run on 65% versus her 35%, and the polls were pretty accurate in

:12:08.:12:12.

the first round, so the markets are taking the good news early. People

:12:13.:12:18.

feel there is a more centrist candidate. So it is not just the

:12:19.:12:23.

equities market, it is the bonds and the euro reflecting that as well. It

:12:24.:12:29.

is. You saw those three areas of stress, which are resolved at the

:12:30.:12:32.

moment. There will be some nervousness in the next few weeks

:12:33.:12:36.

ahead of the next round, but most of the good news has been factored in

:12:37.:12:41.

early. This is probably the first of several summer stories. We are

:12:42.:12:44.

heading into the summer period, when the economic activity around the

:12:45.:12:48.

world tends to be quieter and the markets are more fragile. I think we

:12:49.:12:55.

will see a focus on China and the potential US shutdown is the next

:12:56.:13:01.

stories. Those stories are in the papers and cover will return for

:13:02.:13:06.

that later. More still to come. We were here from the co-founder of a

:13:07.:13:14.

company who had the inspiration for award-winning greeting cards while

:13:15.:13:17.

Dudley Laugher home with a newborn. You with Business Live from BBC

:13:18.:13:19.

News. The price of property

:13:20.:13:32.

in the UK continues to rise. Online housing portal Rightmove says

:13:33.:13:35.

that the prices of homes coming to the market is up

:13:36.:13:40.

1.1% on last month. of 2.2% is the lowest it's

:13:41.:13:43.

been for four years - Tell us more about what has been

:13:44.:13:58.

going on. What can we read from between the lines? It seems to be

:13:59.:14:05.

good news for property markets. Obviously, house prices have

:14:06.:14:10.

increased and are up 2% annually, the highest rises we have ever seen.

:14:11.:14:15.

But as you say, house prices are rising but at lower levels than we

:14:16.:14:18.

would expect at this time of year. So that is one way of looking at the

:14:19.:14:23.

health of the housing market. But what really matters is transaction

:14:24.:14:29.

levels. At Rightmove, we can see the point where houses are agreed as

:14:30.:14:32.

opposed to when transactions are being done, and we can see that

:14:33.:14:35.

sales are agreed at the highest level we have seen for over a

:14:36.:14:38.

decade, so it is good news for a healthy housing market. But still

:14:39.:14:45.

quite tough for those trying to get on the property ladder. Yes, and

:14:46.:14:51.

every month we look at the numbers and it has been difficult for

:14:52.:14:55.

first-time buyers for a long time. But prices have increased 6.5% in

:14:56.:14:59.

the first time buyer sector, which shows the first time buyers have

:15:00.:15:05.

been buying. We have also seen the impact of the 3% stamp duty for

:15:06.:15:09.

investors, which has pulled investors out of the property

:15:10.:15:13.

market. They typically by one-bedroom properties, the same as

:15:14.:15:16.

first-time buyers, so they are getting out of the way and the

:15:17.:15:19.

market has freed up space for first-time buyers, who are buying in

:15:20.:15:24.

such numbers that prices are starting to rise again.

:15:25.:15:29.

More detail about that on the Business Live page. A lot of other

:15:30.:15:35.

stories that we can't fit in this programme. We are always running out

:15:36.:15:45.

of time here. Goals in merger talks. It is in

:15:46.:15:51.

take-over talks with rival, Power League.

:15:52.:15:56.

You can read more about that on the live page.

:15:57.:16:09.

The final round of the French

:16:10.:16:17.

presidential election will be between the centrist politician,

:16:18.:16:19.

Emmanuel Macron, and the far-right National Front leader,

:16:20.:16:21.

That vote will take place in a fortnight.

:16:22.:16:25.

A quick look at how markets are faring.

:16:26.:16:30.

In France, it is up, up and away, up nearly 3.5%. Yes, that positive

:16:31.:16:39.

sentiment, investors going back into risk mode and also being seen in the

:16:40.:16:43.

strength of the euro against the dollar and the yen and also yields

:16:44.:16:49.

on French Government debt, French bonds coming down and narrowing the

:16:50.:16:51.

debt. Now let's get the inside track

:16:52.:16:54.

from a woman with quite Hanna Dale is a zoology graduate

:16:55.:16:57.

who became an investment banker. But her true calling lay elsewhere,

:16:58.:17:11.

on a crowded kitchen table she began drawing and painting,

:17:12.:17:14.

initially to have something to do Someone suggested she try her hand

:17:15.:17:16.

at greeting cards as her depictions The business now sells cards,

:17:17.:17:20.

stationery and gifts Hannah Dale is co-founder

:17:21.:17:23.

and creative director She has littered across the table

:17:24.:17:45.

her goods. We have got greeting cards, diaries and cushions, it is

:17:46.:17:50.

kind of more offing into all sorts of things, but I'm fascinated by

:17:51.:17:55.

studying zoology and becoming an investment banker and now running

:17:56.:17:58.

your own company. Talk us through that journey? Yes, I never really

:17:59.:18:02.

imagined that this is where it would end up, but in some strange way

:18:03.:18:07.

having painting animals and having the business background from work at

:18:08.:18:10.

the bank actually both have contributed to having a successful

:18:11.:18:14.

business. I think the card business really started out as something, a

:18:15.:18:20.

necessity really. I was in Lincolnshire. I had a young family.

:18:21.:18:25.

I was qualified as a stockbroker. This wasn't a lot of call for a

:18:26.:18:30.

stockbroker in Lincolnshire. I tried a few things. I was really

:18:31.:18:37.

struggling. You were what some people might call a mumprener. But

:18:38.:18:45.

it is something that many have done, career women who have had children,

:18:46.:18:48.

who can't see their way back into their previous job, starting a

:18:49.:18:53.

company? Absolutely, yes. For me it felt like the only option to have

:18:54.:18:56.

something that I could fit around the family that was also going to be

:18:57.:19:03.

challenging and exciting. I wonder if there are any other mumpreners

:19:04.:19:10.

out there, what's the one bit of advice you wish you had been given?

:19:11.:19:14.

Just really go for it is the best advice. It is a great time to start

:19:15.:19:20.

a business because although your hands are full, you have got a young

:19:21.:19:25.

baby and coping with that, it is a natural break from work so it is a

:19:26.:19:28.

good time to try a few different things and the nice thing about

:19:29.:19:31.

greeting cards, it didn't really require a lot of investment. So it

:19:32.:19:36.

was a fairly low risk thing for me to try and as it started to snowball

:19:37.:19:39.

and take off and the cards did well, we started to expand into different

:19:40.:19:43.

products and it really grew organically from there. It is it has

:19:44.:19:49.

grown organically, you have got 25 people working at your company. It

:19:50.:19:53.

is a sizeable business for greetings cards, but it is not on the scale of

:19:54.:19:58.

some companies out there. No. Talk us through your process and how you

:19:59.:20:02.

want to try and grow more organically and more successfully

:20:03.:20:05.

and then what are you going to do because you've got three children

:20:06.:20:09.

now, you arks tremly busy? The children are getting easier as

:20:10.:20:13.

they're going to school and giving me a bit more free time, but it has

:20:14.:20:18.

expanded because of the nature of designs lent themselves to our

:20:19.:20:21.

products, that's been a key part of our growth. So we moved into the

:20:22.:20:26.

stationary and moved in the diaries and through licensing, the designs

:20:27.:20:33.

appear on Royal Western mugs. They are sold in some pretty significant

:20:34.:20:37.

retail nears the UK which is key, isn't it? We supply 1500 independent

:20:38.:20:42.

stockists across the UK. That's our core market. Through the licence

:20:43.:20:47.

with Royal Worcester, their mugs are stocked at John Lewis and we export

:20:48.:20:50.

over the world. We launched in the US a couple of years ago and that's

:20:51.:20:53.

going really well. So, there are lots of avenues of growth really,

:20:54.:20:56.

but product development is really key and we've just moved into home

:20:57.:21:01.

furnishings doing a range of fabrics. This is a new scar of which

:21:02.:21:06.

is hot off the press. It is the first sample and that's launching

:21:07.:21:10.

later in the year. There are lots of plans for new product development.

:21:11.:21:14.

It started with your artistic designs. Are you still the person

:21:15.:21:17.

behind the designs we see on the mugs and the cards? Yes, I do all

:21:18.:21:21.

the artwork. Having the staff that we have got supporting on the

:21:22.:21:26.

administrative side and helping on all aspects of the business enables

:21:27.:21:29.

me to focus on the artwork and developing that and keeping it fresh

:21:30.:21:35.

and hopefully giving people, giving shops a newness and fresh designs

:21:36.:21:44.

and keeping the displays. I get the impression you are still loving it?

:21:45.:21:48.

I don't feel like I go to work. It is really brilliant. Hanna, thank

:21:49.:21:53.

you for coming in. We appreciate it. Thanks.

:21:54.:21:56.

Now, in this modern 24/7 work culture, work-life balance

:21:57.:21:58.

can be hard to manage, but for Harvey Bowden,

:21:59.:22:01.

Chief Executive of a leading UK water softener firm,

:22:02.:22:03.

putting family first has been central to his business ethos.

:22:04.:22:07.

Building a business takes an awful amount of energy and time, but don't

:22:08.:22:10.

I made a decision early on that the most important thing

:22:11.:22:35.

for me was the family, not just building a big business,

:22:36.:22:38.

but having a business that was big enough,

:22:39.:22:49.

but to spend time with the children as we were raising them,

:22:50.:22:52.

if you want to be a family man, you've got to spend the time to do

:22:53.:22:56.

it so I used to get my diary and write down all the school

:22:57.:22:59.

holidays and take the family down to Cornwall for 13 weeks a year

:23:00.:23:02.

which seems incredible, but I used to work like hell

:23:03.:23:05.

during the other 39 weeks to make up for it.

:23:06.:23:07.

Actually, get your diary and write in the school holidays

:23:08.:23:09.

Working is exciting. It's fun.

:23:10.:23:12.

It's interesting and it keeps you going, but so are children.

:23:13.:23:14.

If you spend as much energy with the children

:23:15.:23:17.

as you do with the business, you'll have a great time.

:23:18.:23:19.

Some more top tips for you on Business Live.

:23:20.:23:36.

We asked you what you'd like to see a price cap on? Percy says a price

:23:37.:23:48.

cap on tobacco and alcohol and Louise saying a price cap on rent

:23:49.:23:54.

and council tax. Ryan wants a price cap on cable channels and

:23:55.:23:58.

broadcasters what they charge. Oh, controversial, thanks, Ryan. Trevor,

:23:59.:24:04.

let's talk about the stories we were discussing earlier. Donald Trump and

:24:05.:24:10.

the prospect of a fiscal cliff going over the edge again the we remember

:24:11.:24:13.

it well from the Obama administration? We do. Every now and

:24:14.:24:17.

then you need to have official permission to increase Government

:24:18.:24:21.

debt beyond a certain point and there is a stand-off coming here, I

:24:22.:24:27.

hesitate to say a Mexican stand-off about the Mexican border wall.

:24:28.:24:29.

Donald Trump says the budget should include money for the wall. The

:24:30.:24:32.

Democrats don't want that and you can end up with a situation where

:24:33.:24:36.

the Government shuts down and they stop paying federal employees and

:24:37.:24:39.

this kind of thing does concern the markets because some of that

:24:40.:24:44.

spending is on infrastructure and wages which help the economy. A risk

:24:45.:24:50.

there for Friday, but again, one of these classic Donald Trump

:24:51.:24:54.

stand-offs. The way to avoid these cliffs is doing a compromise. It is

:24:55.:25:03.

which side is prepared to budge? Donald Trump hasn't shown a lot of

:25:04.:25:09.

compromise. Uber's boss is in the press again. This is in the New York

:25:10.:25:13.

Times. The viewers would have to read this one to appreciate it. But

:25:14.:25:16.

it talks about the fact that he's playing with fire? He is a big risk

:25:17.:25:22.

taker. He always pushes regulatory and legal boundaries to try and get

:25:23.:25:28.

Uber into new areas. The strength of the CEO is heing willing to run

:25:29.:25:34.

through walls to get things done and his negative is, he is willing to

:25:35.:25:37.

run through walls to get things done. Uber is doing well, but they

:25:38.:25:43.

might push things too far and then things come back again. To find

:25:44.:25:46.

where the line is, sometimes you have to cross it and row back a bit.

:25:47.:25:51.

Without that spirit perhaps these companies wouldn't thrive as they

:25:52.:25:55.

would. The best advice is always be nice to everyone. Awh, bless you.

:25:56.:26:01.

Trevor, you can come back! That's the thought of the day. Have

:26:02.:26:02.

a good day. See you soon. Hello. All parts of the British

:26:03.:26:11.

Isles are set

:26:12.:26:12.

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