15/12/2017 BBC Business Live


15/12/2017

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This is Business Live from BBC News

with Alice Baxter and David Eades.

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The end of an empire -

Rupert Murdoch's Fox

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sells its entertainment business

to Disney in a 52 billion dollar

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deal Live from London,

that's our top story on Friday

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the 15th of December.

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A long-rumoured deal for Disney

to acquire the bulk of 21st century

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Fox's assets becomes reality.

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We'll discuss what this sharp shift

means for this man Rupert Murdoch,

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Hello.

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This is Breakfast, with

Charlie Stayt and Naga Munchetty.

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First, our main story.

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Brexit negotiations will reach a key

milestone today when EU leaders

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Also in the programme can

the stellar bull market of 2017

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continue into the end of the year?

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We'll discuss the likelihood

of a Santa Rally.

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And keeping a close eye on markets

where the festive cheer

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seems somewhat lacking

from the traditional Santa Rally

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we're used to seeing in December

with global stocks in downbeat mood.

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And we'll be getting

the inside track on all the big

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stories of the week with our

economics editor Kamal Ahmed

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who will talk us through the latest

rise in US interest rates and how

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Brexit talks are

moving towards trade.

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Just use the hashtag BBCBizLive.

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Is it right that banks are reining

in their spending?

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Hello and welcome to Business Live.

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We start with one of

the biggest deals the media

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industry has ever seen.

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The Walt Disney company has agreed

to buy the entertainment business

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of Rupert Murdoch's Twenty-First

Century Fox.

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The deal is worth a whopping

$52.4 billion in shares.

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Disney's already the world's top

entertainment company -

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this will give it an even bigger

arsenal of movies and shows

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in its battles with online

streaming services like

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Netflix and Amazon.

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The purchase includes

the pan-European pay TV operator Sky

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which reaches 23m homes in five

countries as well as Fox's film

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and television studios.

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The deal will see Rupert Murdoch

and his family as well as other Fox

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shareholders take a 25% stake

in the larger Disney thanks

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to more than half a billion

new shares being issued.

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Our business correspondent

Theo Leggett joins us.

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Let's start with the wine? What is

in for both them? -- let's start

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with why this is happening.

It wants

to get its hands on the 21st century

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Fox back catalogue of movies, some

of the entertainment assets. It

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becomes a bigger entertainment

company and has more scale. For the

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Fox side of the equation, it is an

acknowledgement that the media

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market is changing. Fox goes back to

what it knows best, concentrating on

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assets where there is a market for

live broadcast television, sports

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and news. In other areas of

entertainment, people prefer to get

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their television and films on

demand. It is a competitive market,

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so Fox seems to have taken a

decision that doesn't want to become

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embroiled in that very competitive

content supply market. It would

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prefer to concentrate on the true

broadcast assets of news sport.

It

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is not often that you see Rupert

Murdoch take a step back. Is this a

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reflection of the fact that he's 86

and it is maybe not time to keep

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acquiring and acquiring.

It looks

like a pragmatic business decision.

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The murders have decided that they

cannot continue doing the two

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pronged approach of entertainment

and news. As you say, he is 86, and

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maybe he is taking a little step

back. -- the Murdochs. There is an

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element of that. Also, it seems to

be abandoning the element of the

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elastic planning, having a huge

empire that would be passed under

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the control of the Murdoch children.

It is all change. It does seem that

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the kind of dynastic situation we

had with Murdoch assets may not

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happen now.

It is not a done deal

yet?

No, it needs to be cleared by

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competition regulators. If they put

a spanner in the works, which they

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might - large media deals have been

vetoed or changed in the past - it

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would cost a lot of money.

Thank

you, Theo.

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Let's take a look at some of

the other stories making the news.

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Ryanair, the world's fifth biggest

airline by passenger numbers, says

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it will recognise pilot unions for

the first time since it was founded

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32 years ago. The airline says it

hopes it. Pilots holding a strike

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that was scheduled for later today

over pay and conditions. Earlier

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this year, Ryanair had to cancel

20,000 flights after messing up the

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league schedule for pilots.

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Britain's most senior military

officer has warned that vital

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communication cables that run along

the seabed could be at risk

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of being cut by the Russian navy.

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During a speech in London Sir

Stuart Peach warned that

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could have a potentially

'catastrophic' effect

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on international trade

and the British economy.

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Is

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Good morning.

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European Union leaders are expected

to give formal approval today

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for the Brexit negotiations to move

on to the next stage

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at their summit in Brussels.

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They will cover the future

relationship once the UK leaves.

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Meanwhile the head of

the British Chambers

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of Commerce Adam Marshall has told

the BBC that the focus for business

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remains on what the outcome

of the while process will be ,

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as they want certainty over

their future trading relationships.

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Japan has increased the number of

entities in the asset freeze

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sanctions against North Korea. We

can get the latest from Monica

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Miller, who is in Singapore.

Monica...

They have added 19

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additional North Korean companies to

that list. This brings the total to

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56 organisations and 62 individuals.

The businesses include banks, and

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other businesses. It comes after

repeated threats from Pyongyang's

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missile programme. A Japanese

official earlier today said there is

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a lack of progress on important

issues. The companies have been

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subject to US sanctions which went

into effect last January, and this

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move is timed to coincide with a

meeting on the nuclear programme

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that will be chaired in New York

later today.

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Let's stay in the region where Asian

shares have erased some earlier

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modest gains on Friday

with sentiment dented

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by Wall Street's weakness

on concerns about the progress

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Is

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of US tax reform.

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On Thursday all major US stock

indexes fell with the S&P 500 down

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the most in a month.

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And the ripple out effect of that

drop in stocks was felt in Asia

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where Chinese shares slumped,

and Japan's Nikkei stock index

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finished 0.6% lower -

that's its lowest in more

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than a week - with mobile firms

extending a sell-off.

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The index is down 1.1% for the week.

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Meanwhile here in Europe stocks

are continuing the downbeat trend

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with all major stocks opening

in the red.

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And Samira has the details about

what's ahead on Wall Street Today.

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All eyes will continue

to focus on Washington

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and the Republican tax plan.

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On Wednesday, the House

and Senate Republican leaders said

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they had reached an agreement

on a merged version

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of their tax bill.

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Republicans plan to unveil

the final bill on Friday,

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with the aim of voting

on the legislation early next week

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and delivering it to President Trump

for signing before Christmas.

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Also happening on Friday,

the Federal Reserve's report

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on industrial production is likely

to show a gain of 0.3% in November,

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after surging 0.9% the prior month.

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Joining us is Lawrence Gosling,

editor-in-chief of Investment Week.

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good morning to you. Let's talk

about what's happening on the market

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at the moment, because traditionally

at this time of year, we used to

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seeing something called a Santa

rally. What is that?

In the run-up

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to Christmas, a lot of the major

stock markets bounce quite strongly.

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It's about 2.5% on average. 18 out

of the last 25 years, the FTSE has

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gone up over this period.

Had it

gone humbug this year?

It is like

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the snow in London, it seems to be

melting away in the last few days.

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It is profit-taking, actually.

Investors have had a good year and

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for many of them it is surprising

how strong the markets have been, so

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they are taking money off the table.

Is it as simple as that? They are

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profit taking now, but how long can

this last? We will head into January

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and things will switch round.

There

is an undercurrent of nervousness in

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the market. Because it has been very

good this year, and you look at

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forecasts for 2018, people are

thinking that it can't be as good as

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this again. It is partly

profit-taking, partly get back a

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little bit of cash in case the New

Year starts in a rocky way.

The Dow

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Jones is up 24% since the start of

the year. An analyst that you were

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talking to earlier in the day,

David, was saying that he did see a

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burly imminent correction in the

States, but he felt that -- a fairly

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imminent correction.

In Europe it is

probably stronger than in the US,

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but it is because the US has risen

so strongly. Some of the big tech

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companies still have a way to go.

On

tax reforms in the States, how many

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times have we been waiting for the

blockage to be cleared? That clearly

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is also frightening number of

people, isn't it? And that across

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the piece, across the globe.

People

are beginning to crunch the numbers

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and see that actually a lot of this

cash may come back to the US, allow

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the

but a lot of US companies might

be worse off than they currently are

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under the proposals, which makes

people nervous. Thank you for that,

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Lawrence. We will talk later about

Christmas party and other things.

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Still to come...

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Our economics editor Kamal Ahmed

will talk us through all the big

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stories of the week including

the increase in US interest rates.

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You're with Business

Live from BBC News.

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Rupert Murdoch's Sky TV channel

appears to have made

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peace with its rival,

the telecoms giant BT.

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It has spent billions in recent

years buying Premier League

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and Champions League football rights

to compete with Sky.

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Now the companies say

they have signed a deal

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to supply their most popular

channels to each other's platforms.

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So BT customers will be able to get

Sky sports and its US drama shows,

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and BT will make its sports channels

available to Sky

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satellite customers.

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The deal is expected

to start in 2019.

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Michael Hewson is a Senior Market

Analyst at CMC Markets Michael,

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how significant is this deal?

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Interesting timing, given the Disney

acquisition of Sky, and it looks

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like a better deal for BT than four

Sky, given that ultimately, BT will

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get much more content in return. I

can't help thinking there was

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something wider at play here. Early

next year, the Premier League and

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Champions League rights come up for

auction, and BT and sky tend to go

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head-to-head. I think these

particular rights could gain the

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attention of companies like Amazon

and potentially Netflix, and I think

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there is a concern that maybe, in

going head-to-head with each other,

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they could artificially drive the

price higher than it needs to be.

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And I think maybe there is a tacit

acceptance between the two that if

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they cross sell each other's

content, the price may not go so

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high.

I subscribe to Sky but not to

BT, and I was thinking, this is

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great news, but it is not until

2019, is it?

Indeed, and that is

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partially one of the reasons why

they have waited until then. The

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Premier League and Champions League

rights come up for renewal in 2018,

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the early part of next year, body

2018-19 season. For me, this makes

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sense, because football is not cheap

and it has come away from

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terrestrial TV. I think there needs

to be an acceptance that if you

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drive the price too high, you drive

the audience away.

Michael, really

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good to talk to you. Michael Hewson

from CMC markets.

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Just looking at what is happening on

our business like page. We have a

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story running about person in

executive, one of

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-- Persimmon executives being fired.

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You're watching Business Live.

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Our top story:

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It's the end of an empire -

Rupert Murdoch's Fox

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sells its entertainment business

to Disney, in a $52 billion deal.

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Disney takes home the 20th

Century Fox movie and TV studio,

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21st Century Fox's cable

channels and more.

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While Fox keeps Fox broadcast

network, the local TV stations it

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owns and a few other pieces.

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A quick look at how

markets are faring.

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After our long discussion about the

rally that normally happens this

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time of year. A strengthening pound

and the FTSE currently just opening

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in the red slightly, downbeat in

Frankfurt and Paris. Taking a cue

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from what we saw in Asia and Wall

Street overnight.

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And now let's get the inside track

on all the big economics

0:15:520:15:55

stories of the week.

0:15:550:15:56

One that's being felt around

the world is the increase

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in US interest rates.

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There's also been more

Brexit machinations.

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When isn't there? Our economics

editor is here. We will. To wit the

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big deal, 52 billion. It is a huge

sum of money. Who do you think

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stands to benefit most from this?

Both share prices went up yesterday

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on both sides of this deal. Rupert

Murdoch, it is back to basics. News

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and sport in America. Maybe not

quite enough room now for Lachlan

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and James to have a bit of that

business so maybe James Murdoch is

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now flirting with what he might do

with Disney. But the big corporates

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story is Disney. Disney have really

looked at bulking up. Bob Eiger was

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in London earlier this week for the

premiere of the new Star Wars movie,

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sat next to Prince William and

Prince Harry and he must have

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thought, I bought Lucas films a few

years ago for $4 billion, look at

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the franchise I have got now. He has

now made in much bigger bet with Fox

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Movies and Disney has decided

clearly that Hollywood content

0:17:070:17:12

dominance is the most important part

of their business. But he has a huge

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fight on his hands with the big new

social media providers, Facebook and

0:17:150:17:23

Netflix with direct streaming,

Amazon itself. And Netflix and

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Amazon are not in profit mode at the

moment, Disney shareholders want

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profit. Even though Disney has made

this huge deal, he has got some

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really serious competitors.

Let's

talk about what happened in the

0:17:350:17:40

States this week. A major event. The

fifth interest rate hike that we

0:17:400:17:45

have seen since the financial

crisis. Probably the last of Jeannot

0:17:450:17:52

yell and's tenure, what are the

ramifications?

The big story is

0:17:520:17:57

global. It is about global growth.

She said it is the first time since

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the financial crisis we have seen

synchronised growth in America,

0:18:050:18:09

across the lot of Europe and in

Asia. And there is some motion that

0:18:090:18:13

might lead to the slightly

overheating economies. And that was

0:18:130:18:18

the third interest rate rise of this

year. That the Fed has put in place.

0:18:180:18:25

Interest rates still pretty low by

historic standards, but the

0:18:250:18:28

suggestion is there will be three

more next year. It is a signal, with

0:18:280:18:33

the big fiscal stimulus possibly

coming to the American economy with

0:18:330:18:37

the Trump tax plans, but still quite

low inflation, but it shows the

0:18:370:18:42

American economy has reached that

escape philosophy and is starting to

0:18:420:18:45

grow. But the global story is global

growth, we are in pretty good

0:18:450:18:49

territory at the moment on that.

A

question about Brexit. It has been

0:18:490:18:53

an extraordinary week from Theresa

May getting a deal, moving to later

0:18:530:18:59

today we will get clearance, the

green light for transition and trade

0:18:590:19:05

talks. But even in the last few

minutes, I noticed that the

0:19:050:19:08

Commission President Jean

Claude-Juncker making it clear it is

0:19:080:19:12

going to get tougher yet.

It is

going to get tougher and we are now

0:19:120:19:16

likely to move into discussions

about the implementation phase, what

0:19:160:19:20

does Britain do between getting a

free trade deal if Britain does get

0:19:200:19:23

that and leaving the European Union

in 2019? Jean Claude-Juncker has

0:19:230:19:28

said things will get tougher. When

things get tougher for both sites.

0:19:280:19:33

In the trade negotiations, the EU 27

will have different priorities, with

0:19:330:19:40

new Poland, France or Germany,

Sweden, they have their own issues.

0:19:400:19:44

I think the British and believes if

you can get into the trade

0:19:440:19:50

negotiations, the EU 27 unity we saw

drawing withdrawal may be something

0:19:500:19:55

else.

Looking after their own

interests could be harder. Thank you

0:19:550:19:58

very much indeed.

Many thanks.

0:19:580:20:01

The Last Jedi - the latest

instalment in the Star Wars

0:20:010:20:04

saga opens in theatres

worldwide this weekend.

0:20:040:20:08

It's already projected to be

the highest grossing movie of 2017.

0:20:080:20:13

The Star Wars franchise has been

around for 40 years,

0:20:130:20:23

reaping in more than $30 billion

in sales from merchandise

0:20:230:20:26

and corporate tie-ups.

0:20:260:20:27

How will the last Jedi boost

the Star Wars economy?

0:20:270:20:29

Our business reporter, Tim McDonald,

is at an installation

0:20:290:20:31

along Singapore's most

famous shopping district.

0:20:310:20:33

Well, behind me is

the next Wing Fighter.

0:20:330:20:35

It's been a fixture of Star Wars

since the very first movie.

0:20:350:20:38

It's part of a big installation

here on Orchard Road, which is

0:20:380:20:41

Singapore's prime shopping district.

0:20:410:20:43

And it really does give you a sense

0:20:430:20:45

of the reach - culturally

and business-wise - of the Star Wars

0:20:450:20:48

franchise.

0:20:480:20:49

After all, it's a week and a half

out from Christmas and we

0:20:490:20:52

don't hear any Christmas carols

here, it's Star Wars music.

0:20:520:20:56

Why have you stolen Christmas?

0:20:560:20:59

Well, the new Star Wars

film is expected to take

0:21:010:21:04

in something like $400

million at the box office

0:21:040:21:06

on the first weekend alone.

0:21:060:21:08

Now, that would make

any studio happy.

0:21:080:21:10

But when it comes to business,

that's just the tip of

0:21:100:21:13

the iceberg.

0:21:130:21:14

Star Wars content is expected

to feature heavily in

0:21:140:21:16

Disney's new streaming

service, which is expected

0:21:160:21:18

to go online in 2019

and

0:21:180:21:19

go toe to toe with the existing big

players, Netflix and Amazon Prime.

0:21:190:21:25

And in addition to that, there's

always the merchandising, which has

0:21:250:21:28

always been a very big slice

of the Star Wars business.

0:21:280:21:33

Now, we can see this

new Stormtrooper.

0:21:330:21:35

He's been updated with

a racing stripe and some

0:21:350:21:37

different shoulder pads.

0:21:370:21:38

So, that should give

the collectors plenty of

0:21:380:21:41

new figurines to find at the shops.

0:21:410:21:44

So, with all that money coming

in the door, we can expect

0:21:440:21:47

perhaps a few more Jedi, many more

Stormtroopers, and maybe even an

0:21:470:21:50

exploding Death Star or two.

0:21:500:21:53

Timothy McDonald,

BBC News, Singapore.

0:21:530:22:00

What other business

stories has the media been

0:22:000:22:02

taking an interest in?

0:22:020:22:03

Lawrence Gosling is joining

us again to discuss.

0:22:030:22:11

This is double-edged. Vladimir Putin

says he wants to be President again,

0:22:110:22:15

he has been President forever and

who would like to be forever more!

0:22:150:22:18

And at the same time as he is saying

that, we have got this

0:22:180:22:23

extraordinary, the most senior

military figure in the UK saying we

0:22:230:22:26

have got to look after our internet

cables, communications cables on the

0:22:260:22:31

sea bed, because the Russians will

be out to cut them.

Putin is at the

0:22:310:22:36

start of his election process and

said he would not start an arms race

0:22:360:22:39

again with America. And the Guardian

is reporting the student Peach, the

0:22:390:22:47

chief of the British defence staff,

saying it is not so much about arms

0:22:470:22:52

but cutting the cables that give the

connective world we live in. And if

0:22:520:22:56

you go back to 2013 when Russia

annexed Crimea, one of the first

0:22:560:23:02

things it did was cut the cable so

that part of the world was

0:23:020:23:06

disconnected from the West.

It is a

big statement to say they will do

0:23:060:23:11

it. That is essentially what he has

said.

Yes, and there is plenty of

0:23:110:23:15

evidence and Sir Stuart Peach taught

about this yesterday, anecdotes of

0:23:150:23:19

Russian boats and submarines

dangerously close to cables. Nothing

0:23:190:23:26

that they were doing. It does not

take too much of a week to suggest

0:23:260:23:31

they could be looking at how easy it

is to cut cables or intercept

0:23:310:23:35

messages as well which is

interesting.

And staying on Putin,

0:23:350:23:40

he is going to stand again, we knew

that he would, as an independent

0:23:400:23:44

candidate this time, what difference

that makes. How much would it shake

0:23:440:23:48

up markets and their view on Russia

if there was a sense of a genuine

0:23:480:23:54

opposition?

The Russian stock market

is one of the few that has

0:23:540:23:59

underperformed and lost money this

year so if Putin was to lose this

0:23:590:24:05

election, it would probably be seen

as positive for the Russian stock

0:24:050:24:09

market and potentially the economy

as well. The economy has serious

0:24:090:24:13

challenges, they have a declining

birth rate, it is not a large

0:24:130:24:17

population in the first place.

Putin

claims that is no longer a problem.

0:24:170:24:22

You cannot immediately turned down a

declining birth rate in which is

0:24:220:24:25

largely to do with the general

economic state of the country.

It

0:24:250:24:31

was three hours and 42 minutes.

Yes,

and that was short for him!

Let's

0:24:310:24:36

talk about Christmas parties, we are

getting into the season. My husband

0:24:360:24:40

had his yesterday and you had yours

this week.

On Wednesday night

0:24:400:24:43

comedians. Three Waters Gosling!

Yes, I was really living it up

0:24:430:24:50

because I was getting up early so

three glasses of water for me.

We

0:24:500:24:56

are glad to hear it. We are on the

same page. At the beginning, we

0:24:560:24:59

treated our viewers, asking opinions

about their views on office parties,

0:24:590:25:05

good idea or bad idea? We have been

inundated, I love this. I met my

0:25:050:25:11

wife at such a party so I vote yes.

Which is pretty great.

0:25:110:25:16

That could have gone either way!

You have got a couple. Yes, I love

0:25:160:25:21

this, bad idea, he wants to get

dressed up to party with your

0:25:210:25:24

co-workers and bosses you already

see too much of?

Yes, fair point.

0:25:240:25:29

This is important, the big parties

are generally long gone unless you

0:25:290:25:34

pay to go to one, now replaced with

modest Christmas lunch and a couple

0:25:340:25:38

of glasses of white wine.

Is that

bad? Very fair, ours was very

0:25:380:25:42

modest. The papers talk about the

tech companies and big media

0:25:420:25:48

companies having huge parties.

Rather than the financials and banks

0:25:480:25:51

which are reining in their spending.

In fairness to the banks, they had

0:25:510:25:55

been doing it since the financial

crisis, as they quite rightly

0:25:550:25:58

should. A taxpayer does not want

their money spent on Christmas

0:25:580:26:01

parties.

We have to go now for our

champagne breakfast!

0:26:010:26:05

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