20/11/2017 Beyond 100 Days

You're watching Beyond 100 Days.

Europe's island of political

stability suddenly

looks a bit less calm.

Angela Merkel has been at the helm

in Berlin for 13 years.

Can we imagine Europe without her?

The German Chancellor says she'd

rather face fresh elections than run

a minority government

after coalition talks collapse.

Europe say it is ready to offer

Britain an ambitious free trade

deal, so long as they pay

the bill on the way out.

President Mugabe will face charges

that he let his wife usurp power,

as his own party moves

to impeach him.

Also on the programme: Women dying

in childbirth should be

a thing of the past,

and things are improving,

though not it seems in Texas.

The bond that underpins the success

and stability of the Royal family.

The Queen and Prince Phillip

celebrating 70 years of marriage.

Get in touch with us

using the hashtag beyond100days.

Hello.

I'm Katty Kay in Washington,

Christian Fraser is in London.

And Berlin is in chaos.

Throughout the years

of financial crisis,

the rise of populism and Brexit,

Germany has been a beacon

of stability in Europe.

Angela Merkel, the steady

hand in turbulent times.

Some even called her

the new leader of the Free World.

But suddenly the Chancellor looks

vulnerable and German

politics is a mess.

Her coalition talks fell apart last

night when the pro business FDP

party decided to pull out.

So what now?

The breakdown in negotiations raises

the possibility of a snap election.

Though for now President

Walter Steinmeir has told

the parties to get back to work

to try to find some compromise.

The longer it goes on, the greater

the uncertainty for Mrs Merkel.

From Berlin Jenny Hill reports.

She promised Germany

a government for Christmas.

Instead, Angela Merkel has delivered

an unprecedented political crisis.

Not much to applaud.

In the early hours of this morning,

Mrs Merkel admitted

she couldn't form a government.

TRANSLATION: I, as the acting

Chancellor, will do everything

to lead the country

through these difficult weeks.

Later, crisis talks

with the German president.

This country may yet have to go

back to the ballot box.

What's uncertain is

whether Mrs Merkel's party

would want her to lead them

into a fresh election.

TRANSLATION: This is

the moment for all involved

to reflect and reconsider.

All parties elected to parliament

are there to serve the common good.

I expect them to be

open to discussion,

to create a government

in the very near future.

But German politics,

German voters, have changed.

The far right now

sits in Parliament.

A weakened Mrs Merkel

doesn't have many options.

TRANSLATION: It's time for a change.

Someone else should be in charge.

She's out of new ideas.

TRANSLATION: She's

close to the people.

She tries to represent the interests

of different parts of society.

She doesn't always

succeed but she tries.

Political uncertainty,

economic disquiet.

Mrs Merkel cancelled a meeting

with the Dutch leader today.

Little time for foreign policy now.

Dwindling influence

perhaps in the future.

It's rare, unprecedented even,

for there to be such

confusion at the heart

of the German government.

But this is a leadership

crisis, too.

They call it the Merkel Dammerung -

the twilight of Merkel.

Her demise is often

wrongly predicted.

This time, though, there is a sense

that the lights are starting to go

out on the Merkel era.

From a country which stands

for stability, a sudden hesitation

in the heart of Europe.

Jenny Hill, BBC News, Berlin.

Moritz Koch is senior

correspondent with Handelsblatt

and joins us now from Berlin.

I imagine the best way that Angela

Merkel could put all of these

questions to rest is to call a snap

election and almost turn it into a

referendum on her leadership.

Yes.

Well, the problem with that is that

she is not the one who can make that

decision. It is actually the

president, Walter Steinmeir. He

first has called on all political

parties to reconsider and see

whether they can find some common

ground and do form a government. He

was speaking also to his party, the

social Democrats, that have formed a

coalition with Angela Merkel in the

last four years but have ruled out

that they will join this Merkel

government again. Now the pressure

is on and the party so far is still

resisting so the scenario that we

have new elections in the end seems

likely, but they will have to be

called by Frank-Walter Steinmeir and

not by Angela Merkel.

It seems the

breaking point in the negotiation

was something that has plagued

Angela Merkel for two years, that is

the level of migration.

Yes, that

was one of the main points that was

contested between the three parties,

the Liberal Democrats, the Green

party and the conservative bloc of

Angela Merkel. However, in the end,

there was quite some progress and

both the Green party and the

Conservatives claim that it would

have been possible to form a

government. The Liberal Democrats

were the one who quit. They probably

just thought that they will be just

fine when we will have re-elections

and so they yesterday put party

before country.

You have said that

this feels in Germany today like the

beginning of the end of the Angela

Merkel era, are you prepared to put

a time frame on that?

It is very

hard to say. She has said that she

will not resign and so far there is

no one in her party who will

challenge her. The party has

actually rallied around her in the

last couple of hours. When we do

have re-elections Angela Merkel will

be the one who will lead the

Christian Democrats into these

elections. The question is just that

nobody really has an answer to is

how will these new election results

make it any easier for Angela Merkel

to form a government? The only party

right now that is seen as a clear

winner of all of this chaos is the

far right AFTA.

Thank you very much

for joining us. I guess that will be

the concern throughout Europe,

because this is not just about

German stability. Angela Merkel is

as much about European stability and

even global stability. She is big

leading light here in Washington

when they talk about European

stability. People can barely imagine

Germany without doubt.

Yes, through

the financial crisis and the

problems with Greece. This picture

is from 2007 and these other people

she has seen off. There is George W

Bush and Nicholas Sarkozy there and

Putin is still there, interestingly,

just to the right of Nicholas that

those the. That shows how long she

has lasted. It has been relative

calm and prosperity at home. That is

the big test for the voters if she

were to turn it into a referendum.

Do they want to risk all of that?

Remember where they came from when

she came to power. The economy was

not all in great shape. There are

outside factors as well and it is

not all down to her.

But this is a

dangerous time to hold a referendum.

Call one at your peril!

How much should Theresa May pay

to the European Union

for a future trade deal.

Is it money owed, or is it a ransom?

How much should Theresa May pay

to the European Union

There is speculation today

that the Prime Minister is planning

to double the 20 billion

euros her government has

already offered to the EU.

And there are some in her party

who don't like it, not one bit.

On Sunday Chancellor Philip Hammond

said the UK would come up

with proposals in time

for the crunch summit

in mid-December though

he has promised Britain

will negotiate hard.

The prize could be the most

ambitious free trade agreement

Europe has ever signed.

But that would depend, said EU chief

negotiator Michel Barnier,

on an orderly withdrawal.

Those who claim that the UK should

cherry pick apart of the single

market must stop this contradiction.

The single market is a package with

four indivisible freedoms, common

rules, institutions and enforcement

structures. You can know these rules

very well, like the back of its

hands.

We're joined now from Westminster

by our Chief Political

Correspondent Vicki Young,

but first our Europe Correspondent

Damian Grammaticas is in Brussels.

They have voted in the last few

hours to award some of the big

agencies that are currently in

London to other cities. This is

Brexit in process.

Yes, you are

right. It is the first tangible sign

of what drugs it will involve. It is

the disentangling of these two sides

and the European banking authority,

it is a couple of hundred staff

overseeing the stability of European

banks, the decision made by a secret

ballot of European ministers here in

Brussels this evening, that will be

going to Paris. Dublin were bidding

for that and they lost out. The

other agency is much bigger, the

European medicines authority, which

coordinates the approval and the

marketing of new medicines across

the EU and 900 staff there will be

moving from London to Amsterdam.

Interestingly that came down to a

tie between Milan and Italy -- Milan

in Italy and Amsterdam and it had to

be decided by the drawing of lots

and it will take a considerable

amount of staff and with it the drug

companies who have large conferences

and 40,000 hotel rooms a year are

books by that agency. Those will all

be going to Amsterdam and it is

aside that the EU side is

progressing preparations for Brexit.

Michel Barnier is sitting here and

looking at the UK still deciding

what it wants to do about paying the

bills as it leaves.

The stories we

are hearing of a possible 40 billion

euros. Are you hearing anything more

on that? When will we know? How will

it go down?

There has been a meeting

this afternoon in Downing Street the

senior cabinet ministers and Theresa

May and we understand that they were

discussing exactly what they are

going to do to progress to that next

stage. Will they in principle say

that they will pay some more?

Theresa May has already said she is

prepared to pay £18 billion which

covers this budget period for the EU

and she says that nobody else in the

EU will be out of pocket because

Britain is leaving. We have had a

one line reaction from Downing

Street and I cannot promise you it

will tell you much. It says it

remains our position that nothing is

agreed until everything is agreed in

negotiations with the EU. The Prime

Minister said this morning that the

UK and the EU should step forward

together. There are some that feel

it is right to pay some more money,

even those who were maybe on the

Brexit side of the argument, but

they would argue that it does need

to be tied to the deal that we

eventually end up with. It is

conditional money and it will not

just be handed over with nothing in

return.

People talk about the Prime

Minister as being we and not knowing

where she's going, but if you had

said 18 months ago that we were

going to have a two year transition

and we would pay 40 billion euros,

she would have been out of a job

within a week.

It is step-by-step.

That is the point. People like Boris

Johnson, the Foreign Secretary, the

idea of Britain handing over

billions of pounds is a pretty

sensitive subject because he went

around the country on a bus say we

would be getting lots money back,

but the argument from some on the

Brexit side is that the UK

contribute a net amount of about £10

billion a year so in that context,

yes, £40 billion sounds like a huge

amount of money but over several

years we would have contributed even

more than that so for some it is the

prize at the end that is worth it

and what Britain and Theresa May

really wants now is to get to that

next stage and start talking about

the transition period and then to

start talking about the future trade

deal.

Damian, while we have you

here, we started the programme with

the news from Germany and Angela

Merkel. How do Ho woes at home

playing to these negotiations?

I

think they do not at this stage.

They sit aside. The negotiations are

going on in Brussels and the mandate

already agreed that Angela Merkel

and the other EU leaders has been

passed to the EU negotiators here

and they are working according to

that. Where it could have an impact

is down the line in a few weeks or a

couple of months. Two or three

months. If there are still political

difficulties in Germany. Even at

that stage then Angela Merkel would

still be, even if she was overseeing

an election process or something,

she would be in a position to take

significant decisions. Interestingly

this evening, in response to what

Vicky was saying, those ministers

that were meeting here in Brussels

have said that they have called

again on the UK to give more precise

details about what the UK is going

to say -- pay, and very soon. They

are under huge pressure.

They want

to know what that divorce Bill will

pay.

Robert Mugabe faces impeachment

and the process could be over

in as little as two days.

The 93-year-old leader

has lost the confidence

of his own Zanu PF party,

war veterans, the

military and students.

The only real question is why

he is so determined to cling

to power in the face

of so much oppostion.

It is now a matter of

when not if he will go.

A draft motion of that impeachment

document has been leaked,

and it blames Mr Mugabe for what it

calls an unprecedented

economic tailspin.

From Harare our Africa

editor Fergal Keane.

At party headquarters,

the shreds of better days.

Piece by piece,

Robert Mugabe is going.

His MPs gathered to begin legal

process of impeachment,

removing him from office

by Parliamentary vote, and telling

as it could happen in days.

We expect the motion

to be moved tomorrow,

a committee to be set up tomorrow,

and hopefully by Wednesday we expect

that we should be able

to vote in Parliament.

In the audience a First Lady

in waiting the wife of the man

whom the party wants as president.

With your husband become president?

I have not committed on that.

Everybody is waiting to see him?

I am also waiting to see him!

Thank you very much.

You can hear the emotions

are building here, and this

is a Parliamentary party set

on getting rid of Robert Mugabe.

They share that ambition

with the people of Zimbabwe

and with the military.

Listen, when the people

have spoken, that is it.

The country is still absorbing last

night's extraordinary

presidential speech,

with it's soothing musical

introduction and absence of any

talk of resignation.

He appeared detached from reality,

talking about presiding

over a party congress.

The question is when the generals

allow this to happen.

Partly this is to do

with a changed Africa.

The old days of shooting

leaders are gone.

This human rights lawyer

was once persecuted

by Robert Mugabe and imprisoned.

She says those opposed to him

wants to be seen to be

acting within the law.

It has always been, you make

the law, you justify it on the basis

that this is the law.

And this is in line with

the Zimbabwean way of doing things.

Give it respectability

by making it law.

However bad it is.

Impeachment is not just about

removing Robert Mugabe quickly.

It's about the quest

for legitimacy of those

who will rule this country next.

Fergal Keane, BBC News, Harare.

The army chief in Zimbabwe has just

held a news conference and he has

said that Robert Mugabe has agreed

to rake the stalemate.

We have made

further consultation with the

president to agree on a road map on

the country. The Zimbabwe defence

and security services are encouraged

by new developments which include

conduct between the president and

the former vice president, comrades

Emmerson Mnangagwa. He is expected

in the country shortly.

Watch this

space.

President Trump is increasing

pressure on North Korea.

Today he designated the country

a state sponsor of terrorism

and said the US will announce

more sanctions tomorrow.

The move appears to be largely

symbolic since the communist state

is already the most

sanctioned in the world.

Mr Trump said North Korea should

have been added to the short list

of countries that sponsor terror

a long time ago, but in practice

the US already treats

Pyongyang as a pariah.

The United States is designating

North Korea as a state sponsor of

terrorism. This designation will

impose further sanctions and

penalties on North Korea and related

persons and it supports our maximum

pressure campaign to isolate the

murderous regime.

Jon Sobel is in the studio with us.

Is this significant or is it just

rhetorical?

I think it is both. In 1998 North

Korea was taken of the sponsor of

terrorism less because it was seen

that progress was being made and

progress was being made in talks

about North Korea not getting

nuclear weapons. Now, clearly, it is

a sign that Donald Trump things that

is a waste of time. He does want to

maximise the pressure so let us see

what the sanctions are tomorrow. It

also means that other countries are

put under more pressure not to

trade. It comes after Donald Trump

was congratulating other presidents

on their behaviour according to

North Korea. Talking of wire and

fury of weapons being locked and

loaded but there has not been a

ballistic missile test since that by

North Korea so maybe some of this is

having an impact.

The air force

commander who is ultimately

responsible for launching a nuclear

strike, he has been speaking in

Halifax, Nova Scotia, and he was

asked the question whether he could

stop Donald Trump launching a

nuclear strike if you disagreed with

him.

The way the process works is

simple. I provide advice to

presidents and he tells me what to

do and if it is illegal, guess what

will happen, I will tell him it is

illegal and he will ask me what will

be illegal and we will come up with

options about how the military can

respond in those situations. That is

how it will work and it is not quite

that complicated.

It is the timing

and the context of

what he saying that is important.

I

think Donald Trump was probably

slightly less than thrilled to hear

one of his air force commander

saying that if he was given an

illegal order by the president he

would ignore it. I do not think that

is the kind of language that

normally endears you do this

president, but it is a sign that

there are checks and balances in the

US system and every now and again

the people who are those checks and

balances to unfettered power will

sometimes push back and say, look,

this is all thought through. Do not

think that just because there is an

unorthodox president in the White

House that everything has changed.

Whether you are the judiciary or the

legislature or the commanders of the

Armed Forces, every now and again

there has just been a little

shoulder barge back in the

direction, to say, no, there is only

so much that we will take.

Stay with

us.

It's Thanksgiving week in America,

a time the country pauses

in a moment of gratitude.

Something President Trump seems

to feel he's not getting enough of.

Specifically from a group of US

basketball players he helped free

from a Chinese jail.

In a tweet flurry this weekend,

Mr Trump said the father of one

of the players was so unaccepting

of what he'd done that he should

have left the players in prison.

It is unusual for a President

to demand thanks for

helping Americans abroad.

Why do I even need to say that?!

Why do I even need to say that?!

Perhaps it's his way of winding down

ahead of the holiday.

Tomorrow, he heads down

to his Mar-a-Lago golf resort

in Palm Beach for a few days break

and he's got bigger things

than ungrateful basketball players

to reflect on while he's there.

Jon is flying down with him.

Is this just a chance to have a trip

on Air Force One and pick up a few

sweets?

Yes. You do not expect me to

work, do you? I am just there for

the sweets!

About these basketball

players, does Donald Trump write a

tweet like that and think it will

get his critics are the real froth

with American diplomacy and it is to

do with Battersea -- gratitude

towards the President. Or is he

really wondering whether thanks is?

I think it is just instinct. He

thinks he has done a great thing and

people should be writing if to say

thank you letters for him. Forget

the consumer side of it that if you

are the head of any country and your

nation 's citizens are held in

prison then broadly speaking

consular history is that you want to

bring them home. It seems now there

is a new proviso when it that you

want to bring them home but only if

they write a huge thank you letter,

and I don't think he calculated if

it would enrage the liberal media,

he just instinctively fired that we

doubt, knowing it would appeal to

his base, which he duly did, and

probably would enrage liberal media,

which it did as well, but I think it

was instinct rather than calculation

that got him to do that. But is part

of what we have come to expect from

Donald Trump, and has the polarising

effect that you would imagine. I

would just say that trying to stand

back is not part of any

representative of any organisation

that he had a big success story to

report from China, that he had three

people out of potentially a lot of

trouble after they had apparently

gone shoplifting in a store.

Success. Why turn into a controversy

like this?

Why India? Questions we

often ask about this president at

the moment.

But he likes the chaos.

It might also be that his base likes

the fact that he is tough and he

wants to be thanked for something

that he did but I think, as John

says, it is probably not that

strategic.

There is one person that

Donald Trump is not

likely to give thanks to.

Actually two.

One is Barack Obama.

The other is this man,

Chance the Rapper.

I feel like we are all going to die.

Comeback Barack Obama! We want you

back somehow. I need you in my life.

Comeback Barack Obama!

I like that.

This is really about world War.

I found that. It was a spoof. It was

your Thanksgiving gift.

People are

going to start thing we are trendy

if we have wrappers on the

programme.

This is Beyond 100

Days from the BBC.

Coming up for viewers on the BBC

News Channel and BBC World News:

Storms in the Southern Atlantic

are hindering the search

for an Argentinian submarine

missing for five days.

And Lebanon's Prime Minister says

he will return home late this week.

We'll get the story

behind his absence.

That's still to come.

That's still to come.

Cloudy and damp for many of us today

but the lucky few had some sunshine.

This Weather Watch picture is from

Leicestershire earlier and it shows

a lot of blue sky. It was quite warm

in places and Flintshire had

temperatures up to 17. For many of

us it is a dull and misty and murky

night to come. Rain working through

Northern Ireland and northern

England are pushing into Scotland

tonight. A wet start in the central

belt. In Scotland there is still win

triggers over the tops of the hills

as the wet weather moves in.

Tomorrow morning for a large part of

England and were they will be dry

but drizzly and places. Essentially

dry with plenty of cloud and those

temperatures widely into double

figures. Very mild. In Northern

Ireland the overnight rain pulls

away and poor visibility over the

tops of the Pennines. Low Cloutier

so some of the hills will be

shrouded in fog. In Scotland there

was quite a bit of wet weather to

begin the day with surface water and

snow on the roads. There is not much

of an improvement here as the rain

continues to age its way to the

north. A wet day in northern

Scotland. The rain pushes into Wales

and West Dinnington through the day

and it leaves the central area dry.

Writer breaks and if you see the

sunshine temperatures will be

higher. Some outbreaks of rain

around as we go through Tuesday

night and into Wednesday morning and

through Tuesday into Tuesday night

the winds will pick up, initially

cost the north and west of the UK

but widely blustery on Wednesday. In

camera and Lancashire we could see

50 millimetres of rain or even more

into the hills and it is the north

and west of the UK that sees most of

the wet weather on Wednesday. Some

sunny spells and the south-east and

we see the highest temperatures

here. As we go towards the end of

the week the isobars are changing

direction and going more towards the

north and the North West. It means

colder areas feeding its way back

south across the UK and into

Scotland, Northern Ireland and

England but on Saturday the colder

air should have reached all the way

south across the UK once again. As

that process takes place there will

be showers around but it will be

brighter with the sudden coming

back.

This is Beyond 100 Days,

with me Katty Kay in Washington.

Christian Fraser's in London.

Our top stories.

Angela Merkel is in a battle

for her political survival.

She says she would prefer a snap

election to trying to leading

in a minority government.

The EU continues to talk

tough on Brexit terms.

We'll speak to the leader

of Estonia shortly.

They currently hold

the EU presidency.

Coming up in the next half hour.

The desperate hunt for the Argentine

submarine that has been

missing for five days.

Celebrating a platinum anniversary,

the Queen and Duke of Edinburgh

marks 70 years of married life.

Let us know your thoughts

by using the hashtag

Beyond One Hundred Days.

Estonia - just 1.3 million people -

currently holds the rotating

presidency of the EU Council.

A chance for a small

state to have a big voice

within the EU institutions.

Estonia is one of the Baltic states

that borders Russia.

It's a Nato member.

Always wary of Moscow's

ambitions within the region.

Since the takeover in Crimea,

Nato has increased operations

across mainland Europe.

There are 4,000 Nato troops

in the Baltic States.

So Europe's security a key theme

of Estonia's presidency -

and of course Brexit.

Joining us now from Tallinn is the

Estonian President Kersti Kaljulaid.

President, thank you for joining us.

I was wondering what you were making

since it is the news of the day from

Germany, of the impact of Angela

Merkel's coalition talks falling

apart on European stability.

Good

evening, I would trust German people

and German democracy to find the

best possible solution for German

people and also for Europe. I am

sure they are capable of finding

what is best for the future of

Germany.

On other stories, since you

now have the presidency of the EU

Council, the question of how much

Britain should pay in its divorce

bill on the Brexit negotiations,

where do you fall on this? Do you

have a number in mind, is there

something you would push Britain to

give?

The European Union Council

Presidency has in this process one

responsibility, to organise a summit

of heads of states on the proposal

of chief negotiator Michel Barnier

to discuss whether sufficient

progress has been achieved. We do

not have too come up with a concrete

proposal, nevertheless, I would say

we are hoping there will be a

complete proposal from the British

side on the table in the next couple

of weeks because that would be the

last chance to find a possibility to

declare sufficient progress. It

would make us happy to have moved

forward with this process, but it is

not in our hands.

Theresa May has

made it clear security particularly

for the Baltic countries is not at

stake in the Brexit negotiations,

but you must be somewhat fearful if

Britain is pressed too hard, they

might walk away from the table and

countries in Eastern Europe want a

close relationship with Europe and

particularly Britain's military.

All

European nations want to have a

close relationship with Great

Britain. We were very sorry and sad

to learn the news that there has

been a vote for Brexit, but it was

the decision of the British people

and it will not ruin the

relationship between our country and

Great Britain. If I come to the

question of Nato troops in Estonia,

it cannot be looked at in this way

that Nato is protecting the Baltic

states, or UK troops are here to

protect Baltic states. You cannot

divide security. It is Nato

territory and we as a country have

put up 0.2% of GDP to provide cross

nation support and we are grateful

for the UK to be our framework

nation and grateful for French and

Danish soldiers wearing the armband

for our allies, I am, now stationed.

The issue is Brexit. And Nato

business cannot be connected.

Put

that into perspective for viewers.

Is it a concern for people in

Estonia the ambitions of President

Putin?

Estonian people know that

Nato has 100% track record in

protecting its territory and in this

sense it is not a concern, but we

are concerned we have a neighbour

who is acting unpredictably on the

international scene, who does not

respect the signatures on documents

it has signed, such as the Budapest

agreement, which should have

protected Ukraine, and we are

concerned for the future of Russian

people and economic security and

democratic processes in Russia, but

no, we are not afraid.

President,

thank you.

China has called for a ceasefire

in Myanmar's Rakhine state,

to allow the return of hundreds

of thousands of Rohingya Muslims

who've fled the area.

Some 600,000 Muslim Rohingyas have

fled Myanmar's Rakhine

state for Bangladesh,

after operations

by the Burmese army.

China has a number of important

infrastructure projects in Myanmar.

The Iraqi authorities have been

shedding light on their plans

on foreign jihadis.

They were captures as the Islamic

State group was crushed

in the north of the country.

More than a thousand women

and children will be expelled

to their countries of origin.

Most of those involved

are believed to be from Turkey,

Russia and former Soviet states.

The convicted cult

leader Charles Manson -

who orchestrated a series

of notorious murders in the 1960s -

has died in prison in California.

He was 83.

In August 1969, members of his group

killed seven people -

Manson believed the murders

would start a race war,

allowing him to seize power

When will Saad Hariri

fly back to Lebanon?

The Prime Minister resigned

from his post three weeks ago

while on a visit to Saudi Arabia.

Rumours have been circulating

that he was pressured to resign

and was held in Riyadh

against his will -

which he has denied.

Last week the president

of Lebanonsaid he would only accept

Last week the president of Lebanon

said he would only accept

Mr Hariri's resignation

if it was delivered in person

Mr Hariri flew to

Paris this weekend.

He heads to Egypt tomorrow where

he will meet with President Al-Sisi.

The latest news is that he will

travel back to Lebanon on Wednesday.

We can speak to our Chief

International Correspondent,

Lyse Doucet - she's in Riyadh.

International Correspondent,

I

International Correspondent,

I thought

International Correspondent,

I thought he

International Correspondent,

I thought he was

International Correspondent,

I thought he was going

International Correspondent,

I thought he was going to

International Correspondent,

I thought he was going to return

International Correspondent,

I thought he was going to return

last week but seemingly he has

another trip in the offing to Egypt

this time.

Interestingly, it has

become like President Trump, we only

know what Mr Hariri wants to do by

his Twitter account and he said last

week he would return to Lebanon in

the coming days and when he reached

Paris and have that lunch meeting

with President Macron, that is where

he announced he would be returning

to Lebanon on for Independence Day.

He is preparing the ground well and

no doubt he has heard from advisers

now he has met them. They prepared

the greatest welcome and an

unexpected consequence is that more

popular in Lebanon before the crisis

began. He said when he gets home, he

will make his situation known. A lot

of people waiting to find out what

that means.

It is the first time we

have spoken to you since there was

an arrest of a bunch of people in

Riyadh and as you are in the capital

of Saudi Arabia, I wonder what

you're feeling is about the

reaction. There has been nervousness

to his movements in Washington.

There seems to be the region with so

many

-- with so many mysteries. On a day

widely seen as the forced

resignation of Mr Hariri announced

in Riyadh, was also the day the

crown prince unleashed his

spectacular anti-corruption drive,

which has been widely seen as a move

against opponents and rivals as the

same time he moved against

billionaires, former government

officials who got the sack and they

are being held in a gilded prison in

five 5-star luxury hotels here and

we saw the economy minister and he

said it was in the investigators and

investigations continue and there

has been talk about deals whereby if

they give up what could be called

ill gotten gains, they will buy

their way out of freedom. One person

said it could be the equivalent of

discovering a new oilfield, by

moving against what is a small

sample of people part of the

anti-corruption drive.

He does this

with the backing of the Americans. I

am told there are Americans in

Washington who are concerned,

because as he gets rid of the

opposition around him, suddenly they

are starting to worry may be Saudi

Arabia could push limits and maybe

launch an attack?

There are many

voices coming out of Washington.

When I saw the Saudi Foreign

Minister I said who are you

listening to, going by the tweet

from President Trump in which he

announced the Saudis know what they

are doing, giving backing to the

crown prince and the king, all by

the press releases from the State

Department, with Rex Tillerson

warning Iran and Saudi Arabia not to

use Lebanon as a playing field. You

have heard before the tension

between different sides of the

American administration, but there

is no doubt the Saudi authorities

feel empowered by the Trump

administration and they see eye to

eye when it comes to the main threat

in the region. In their minds the

threat posed by Iran. They want

stability and more certainty for

Saudi Arabia. They want to know what

will happen as the corruption drive

on folds and what kind of strategy

is the crown prince pushing across

the region. It is more assertive and

for some minds, too aggressive.

On

this issue, particularly of Iran, is

it something you have heard around

the region, that we are in that

position because checks and balances

have gone and activities in Yemen,

with the possibility of military

action with Iran and Saudi Arabia

has increased?

There is always the

risk of war in this region and more

always the risk of the accidental

tumbling into war, when you have so

many playing fields and proxy wars

of folding, with Iraq, Syria, Yemen,

Lebanon, the Persian Gulf. The mix

of an accidental confrontation that

could quickly escalate but judging

by what we have seen, after the

forced resignation of Mr Hariri,

people asked, who will be part of

the new offensive against Lebanon,

and we quickly heard soundings from

Israel and the United States that

they did not want another war, they

did not want to fight this

militarily and the question is how

they will fight it, through trade

sanctions, financial sanctions? Will

it be a Qatar like blockade. Already

imposed on Qatar. All of the pieces

have been thrown up in the air and

nobody is sure how they will come

down.

The pieces thrown up in the

air. An interesting time in that

region. Thank you.

The Argentinian navy says

a submarine that's been missing

for five days had reported

a mechanical problem

in its final communication.

It was told to change course and go

to Mar del Plata but was lost

from satellite somewhere en route.

There are 44 crew members on board.

The United States, Britain and

Brazil are involved in the search.

They are focusing on a patch

of ocean about 300 kilometres wide,

around the point of last contact.

It is an undulating ocean floor,

so anything from a few

hundred metres to over

a thousand metres deep.

The German-built sub disappeared

in bad weather on Wednesday.

In fact, these pictures

from the Argentinian navy show

you just how big the waves

still are in that area.

We are told the sub has enough

oxygen to last around ten

days without surfacing.

So this is still a search

and rescue operation.

Eric Wertheim is a naval analyst,

and author of the Naval Institute's

Guide to Combat Fleets of The World.

He joins us from Washington. Give us

a sense of what the chances are of

finding the submarine.

It is a very

tense situation because the weather

is hampering the situation. The

biggest difficulty is where the

submarine is, and that is the

biggest challenge. There are

different scenarios involved if the

submarine can be located but the

biggest challenges locating it so

they can figure out what the problem

is and how to respond and each

minute and our that goes by, the

chances decrease if they cannot find

the submarine.

The Argentine navy is

saying there is oxygen for ten days

and it has been out of contact five

days but I understand it that every

time a sailor takes a breath, it

diminishes the supply of oxygen?

Exactly, and there are other issues

that could contribute to oxygen

issues. If there were a fire on

board, or anything like that, they

could use up a vast amount of

oxygen. Hopefully that is not the

situation and this is just a

submarine that is waiting for a

rescue attempt. As time goes by, it

gets less likely they will find it,

so everyone is aware and working as

quickly as they can to figure out

the location of the submarine.

We

were told it had a problem when it

was diverted. The chances of

survival, how dependent is it on

where they finished up on the ocean

floor, the pressure on the submarine

itself, and how easy it would be to

get them out if they found?

The

submarine has an operating depth of

about 1000 feet and if it is below

that it will not be survival much

below that because the pressure is

so intense, the hull cannot survive.

There are different methods of

deeper rescues. There are rescue

chambers that can be a drop-down. Or

individual rescue systems that can

go deep but the first problem is

locating the submarine.

It brings

back echoes of the Russian submarine

the Kirsk that went missing and the

race against time.

Unfortunately,

that was a sad situation and not

helped by the lack of request by

Russia for international assistance

and because of that, by the time the

British and Norwegian teams got to

the Kirsk, it was already too late.

Hopefully that is not the situation.

Argentina seems to have asked for

international support early, but

this is different in they are not

fully aware of the location so it

will be finding a needle in a

haystack but there is a lot of

equipment coming to bear to help

with mapping the area to get a

picture of whereabouts the submarine

could be.

Thank you.

Such a terrifying idea, these people

being in this submarine and the

oxygen supply is diminishing every

day.

This is Beyond 100 Days.

Still to come - Why is giving birth

getting more dangerous

in the United States,

when it's getting safer

almost everywhere else?

The world of tennis has been paying

tribute to one of the sports most

The world of tennis has been paying

tribute to one of the sport's most

popular personalities -

the former Wimbledon singles

champion Jana Novotna,

who's died of cancer

at the age of 49.

The All-England Club described

the Czech player as "a true champion

in all senses of the word".

Our sports correspondent David

Ornstein looks back at her life.

It is one of Wimbledon's

most enduring images.

Jana Novotna may have lost the '93

final but she won a shoulder to cry

on from the Duchess of Kent

and the hearts of

the British public.

She just told me,

Jana, you will do it.

I believe one day you will do it.

And I just became very emotional.

It was very nice.

I appreciated it, what she said.

Novotna finished runner-up again

in 1997, but a year later

she finally won the trophy.

News of her death has been met

with a mixture of shock

and an outpouring of tributes.

I can only describe her

as a ruthless competitor

on the court but utterly sweet

and charming off it.

She was such a warm person.

Always very friendly.

She would come up and smile and give

you a couple kisses.

She was really loved by everyone.

She right-hander rose

to prominence in the early '90s

and went on to become one

of the most exciting,

popular and successful

players of her generation.

She was back on the lawns

of Wimbledon as recently as 2016,

rolling back the years

in the invitational mixed doubles.

But Novotna will always be

remembered for the tears

and then the triumph,

refusing to let the setbacks

keep her down, eventually coming out

on top and writing her name

into history with a smile.

You're watching Beyond 100 Days.

It's now much safer to give birth -

and the good news is globally

the number of women dying

of pregnancy or childbirth has

nearly halved in 25 years.

But perhaps the surprising exception

is the United States.

Our North America correspondent

Aleem Maqbool reports from Texas,

where the maternal mortality rate

is rising dramatically.

Dominique Shepherd was a fashion

designer and businesswoman. Last

year shortly after giving birth to

her son in a maternity ward in

Texas, she bled to death.

My

daughter was perfectly healthy,

perfectly fine. Mentally and

physically she was perfectly fine.

Yet she did in that hospital.

Doctors came in to tell the family

they had done what they could, but

Dominique suffered massive blood

loss and could not be saved.

All you

people and my daughter did. I could

not understand it.

Dominique's son

Colin is one of the staggering

number of American children who will

never get to know their mothers. As

the rate of women dying of pregnancy

and childbirth related courses has

decreased in the rest of the

developed world, in the last 20

years it has gone up dramatically in

the US. How does this happen in a

place like Texas? Campaigners see a

link between the fact the state has

the worst record on maternal

mortality and it has the highest

proportion of people without health

insurance. For them it is about

access to medical care.

Government

officials disagree. I don't believe

that is true. I think the underlying

trend for increasing chronic disease

in this country, throughout the

entire country, is the fundamental

underlying cause for the increase in

maternal morbidity across the

nation.

Those who worked with

pregnant mothers like Darlene Fink

access to health care is definitely

a big part of the problem. And there

is massive racial disparity also.

We

are looking at the fact African

American women are dying at three

times the rate. We have to look at

what is it about this group

specifically? Is there a racial

component? People want to talk about

it. We are post-racial. We had a

black president.

But our numbers do

not bear it out. That can only

partly be explained by access to

health care. Officials say they need

more time to explain the rest. But

things are only getting worse and

the fee is without a sense of

urgency, more American women will

die before there is a plan in place

to address the problem.

Extraordinary statistics.

What do you talk about after

70 years of marriage?

Tonight the Queen and Prince Philip

will celebrate their platinum

wedding anniversary with a quiet,

private dinner at Windsor Castle.

With, I am sure, more than enough

memories to fuel the conversation.

Extraordinary to think they have

been together since 1947.

Here's a look down memory lane,

with a little a bit of Vera Lynn.

# When you are in love.

# It is the loveliest night of the

year.

The king and queen announced

that the betrothal of their dear

beloved daughter to Lieutenant

Philip mambo.

-- Philip Mountbatten.

I am so happy

that my future husband Philip is by

my side.

A song my wife place to be

every night I come home.

Not! What planet do you live? Those

photographs at the end were taken by

the celebrity photographer. Look at

Prince Philip's face. But knowing

look of the husband. Apparently the

brooch she is wearing was given to

her by Prince Philip in 1966. Do you

know what she gave him for their

70th anniversary? A special royal

honour. That night grand cross of

the Royal Victorian order. When you

are looking for a present for your

wife when you have been marriage --

been married 70 years... -- the

Knight.. Incredible to think their

were more than 100 nations that did

not exist when the Queen came to the

throne. And Prince Philip Stott

happy anniversary to them both.

A look ahead to tomorrow's show.

We will be joined by an author. Good

cold War spy stuff. Christian spent

his weekend in France reading.