10/12/2016 Click - Short Edition


10/12/2016

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Now on BBC News, it's time for Click.

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This week, mapping the poorest parts of the world.

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Inside a shopper's mind.

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And, hands up who is not flying the plane?

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Thanks for the information.

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Pay attention.

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We are living in interesting times.

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There are things happening in artificial intelligence right

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now that will fundamentally change our world.

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Soon, machines will learn to do our jobs.

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They will learn to walk.

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They will learn to drive.

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And at that point, things get very interesting.

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We'll talk more about the consequences of an automated

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society in a few minutes but, after thinking, walking and driving,

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have you ever wondered how hard it would be for a computer to fly?

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I'm not talking about drones that can fly between points, follow

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a target or perform circus tricks.

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I'm talking about aircraft that could intelligently

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decide on a flight plan, just as a human would.

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And that is what Mark has been hunting down.

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Here at BAE Systems in Woolton in Lancashire, they are used

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to the roar of jet engines.

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They built and have tested Eurofighter Typhoons here.

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Today, however, I am going to take a flight in an aircraft that is much

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slower than a Typhoon.

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This is a Jetstream 31, a small passenger aircraft.

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It's a design from the 1980s but it's currently used by BAE

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Systems as a flying test-bed for technology which could lead

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to fully autonomous aircraft.

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Maureen McCue is head of research here.

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Tried and tested.

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Very well flown and understood aircraft from the outside,

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but on the inside, it's filled with the latest technology.

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That technology will eventually allow this aircraft to fly

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itself autonomously.

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Today, they are testing the plane's ability to detect and avoid

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clouds as well as testing its satellite communication systems.

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But take-off and landing will still be handled by human

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pilots and the plane will be remotely controlled

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at some points, too.

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How does this fit into the autonomous equation?

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At the moment, it's effectively a remotely controlled aircraft.

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It is, and really, with autonomous operations,

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you need to progressively expand the boundary.

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You can't start with such a big bang right out at the full range

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of capability of operations.

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This humble looking outbuilding houses the grand station.

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Here, a pilot will remotely fly the plane and he can ensure it

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will react to instructions from air traffic control.

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I would expect to see a joystick and images coming

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through from the cockpit but you're not going to be flying

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like that at all, are you?

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No, everything is through the numbers that you can see there.

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Altitude, speed.

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Time for take-off.

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These flights are taking place in uncongested airspace.

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Today, we will be flying over the Irish Sea.

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One minute to handover point.

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To help fly itself, this aircraft uses data from satellites

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as well as identifying radio signals broadcast by other aeroplanes, so it

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knows who it's in the sky with.

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It is also fitted with a camera that can see other air

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users, even if there are not warning signals.

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So right now, the pilots aren't actually flying the aircraft.

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This gentleman right here is.

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From that 15-year-old Dell laptop that's running Windows XP.

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At this point, the aircraft is flying autonomously with a human

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watching what it's doing.

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Handing control of the computing over to the autopilot in the back

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and once established on the route, I can hand the computing

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over to Clive on the ground by the satellite.

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So that little shed-like building we were in earlier with Clive

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in front of the computer, he is now flying the aircraft.

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Over the course of the testing of this aircraft, it's going to have

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to perform a variety of different, complex tasks.

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For instance, it's going to have to recognise and avoid bad weather.

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Not just weather, but other aeroplanes too.

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It will eventually be able to select a safe landing spot

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and touchdown by itself.

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Today, we can't really test its weather detection

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abilities, though, as, unusually for the UK,

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we have a cloudless sky.

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BAE suggests that autonomous aircraft could be used

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to perform dirty, dangerous or repetitive tasks.

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But could this technology be introduced into

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commercial air travel?

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At the moment all commercial aircraft have a set number of crew.

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There are programmes in existence looking at how you reduce crew

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either planned from the outset or, in the case of an emergency,

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you've got the autonomous system as a fallback so that you can

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still have perhaps a two-crewed aircraft on a certain length

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of flight but one of the crew happens to be an autonomous helper

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as opposed to a real person.

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We're going to end up in the Hudson.

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I'm sorry, say that again.

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But what happens when things go wrong?

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This is the captain.

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Brace for impact.

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While aerospace manufacturers are exploring the possibilities

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of fewer cockpit crew, what do commercial pilots think?

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To find out, we paid the British Airline Pilots Association a visit.

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Many decades of looking at aviation has brought us to the position

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where we have come to the conclusion it's best to have two

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pilots in the cockpit, because if you reduce that to one,

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the problem you've got then is you've got no one to cross check

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each other's decisions.

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Take for example, the miracle on the Hudson.

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Captain Salinger.

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When the aircraft lost both its engines, the pilots had

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to have a discussion and they decided their only course

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of action was to land on the river.

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No computer can be programmed to do that.

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The flight testing of autonomous aircraft continues but the debate

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about regulating them and how they are going to be used has

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really only just begun.

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That was Mark and this is Tim Harford, columnist

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for the Financial Times and Tim, you've written a book about how

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the systems that we now rely on can sometimes backfire.

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What do you make of the idea of planes that might only need one

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pilot or even no human pilots?

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It's exciting, isn't it?

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And of course, auto pilots have made planes safer

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but what worries me is, what happens when

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something goes wrong?

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No system is perfect, including a system where

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the humans fly the plane.

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I guess when it goes wrong, it has two hand back

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to the human in the cockpit.

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Autopilot hands back to the human in the cockpit but then what?

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The human is out of practice, the human is not used to flying

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the plane and because the autopilot has failed, it's probably

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in an unusual situation.

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There was a worrying example of this a few years ago.

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An Air France crash over the Atlantic Ocean.

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The plane was flying quite high above a storm.

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The autopilot disconnected and the pilots just weren't used

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to flying at high altitude.

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They were only used to operating the plane on take-off and landing

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and they flew a perfectly good plane into the Atlantic Ocean

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because they were confused about what was happening.

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They killed everybody on board, an absolute tragedy, and this

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is the paradox of automation.

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The autopilots are normally so safe, so reliable,

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that when they fail, the pilots find

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themselves so confused.

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I guess the next question is, what about autonomous cars?

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We have been talking about how they will blissfully drive us around

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and we won't have to take control.

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I suppose for the foreseeable future, they won't be good enough

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to be 100% reliable?

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I guess they'll never be 100% reliable but the model

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where if it's confused, it hands back to the human,

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it's not going to work.

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You are there with your bagel, your coffee, your newspaper.

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You look up, there's a bus coming towards you, and the car goes,

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autopilot disengaged, human take control, it clearly not

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going to work in that way.

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What makes more sense is for the human to be driving

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and for the computer to be watching out for a dangerous situation,

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for the computer to take over if there's a problem.

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Humans get bored, get distracted, lose their skills.

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None of these things happened to computers.

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But I guess we are in an extended period of time before the far future

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happens and computers drive and fly us.

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We've got possibly decades if not a century of being in this

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interim period where, if there is a problem,

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we are going to end up blaming them for this really unusual,

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weird crash that a human wouldn't have made.

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Yes, and I think a glimpse of that is where we are asking

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the computers to make a decision not about planes or cars but about,

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for example, who'll get a promotion or who gets a special deal in a shop

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or who gets arrested for shoplifting because the computer

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recognises your face.

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We are already asking computers to make this sort of decision

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and the lesson of the paradox of automation is that we need to be

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much more savvy about the fact that computers do make mistakes

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and we need to take this seriously.

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Thank you very much, Tim.

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Thank you.

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Don't trust the machines.

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Hello and welcome to The Week In Tech.

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It was the week that inventor Haiyan Zhang developed a smart

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wristband to help people with Parkinson's disease

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draw in a straight line.

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The device's in-built motors vibrate to distract

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the user and reduce tremors.

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It was also the week that we discovered queueing

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at the shops and using those beyond infuriating self-service

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checkouts could soon be a thing of the past.

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Amazon has unveiled a sci-fi store in Seattle that uses your smartphone

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and advanced technologies like deep learning, computer vision and sensor

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fusion to automatically detect when products are taken

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off its shelves.

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When you're done, you can simply trot off and then wait

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for that gargantuan virtual receipt to follow.

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And if you feel like you're forever stuck in traffic,

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Audi has rolled out an update to make every second count.

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Its new traffic light information feature tells drivers exactly how

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long they'll have to wait behind a red signal before it turns

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green and the length of time it will stay green.

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It works by connecting directly to the city's

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traffic management centre.

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And finally, robotic research has reached new heights, literally.

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This hopping mad bot developed at UC Berkley cannot only jump a meter off

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the ground but can then again jump off objects to reach

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even greater heights.

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Inspired by the agility of bushbabies, researchers hope

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it can one day identify jumping spots for itself.

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Also in the news, the news.

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Which these days isn't guaranteed to be true.

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In the run-up to the US election, for example, the Speaker

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of the House of Representatives did not get naked, the Pope did not

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endorse Donald Trump and he did not win the popular vote,

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but these stories, from websites posing as real news sites,

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were heavily shared on Facebook.

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Of course, it doesn't help that in 2016, the real news sounds

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sounds just as made up.

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But anyway, it's made events like the Trust Hack here in London

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even more timely and urgent.

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Here, journalists and technologists from large news organisations

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are workshopping ways to help readers tell the difference

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from well-researched journalism, propaganda, advertising,

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satire and complete hogwash.

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The thought is to provide images like icons back-up materials

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that the public could see connected to a piece of news and then it

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would send a signal back to the news distribution platform like Google

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or Twitter so that they can identify quality news out of the fake news

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and elevate it in search and social.

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There are already projects afoot to try to flag up stories on sites

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known to generate fake news like this plug-in

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but the ideas here are not about blacklisting sites or producing

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automated fact-checking systems.

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Both would be massive undertakings and would themselves provoke cries

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of bias and censorship.

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This is more about letting news organisations prove to their readers

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that they are trustworthy.

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The journals of the Washington Post, I work with some amazing people.

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We produce really great stuff and they remain really

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committed to continuing that.

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The tools that we are building here are just a way for us

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to communicate that we are putting in the effort,

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where our stuff is coming from, who we are talking to.

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We have access to great sources.

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We are trying to create something that would easily allow audiences

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to verify for themselves what sources we have used.

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You'd be able to click and see, who did we talk to,

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and you'd click on that.

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Readers want to feel like journals are being held accountable to them

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and this is a way of doing that.

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We are showing our work.

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Other ideas here include ways to fight information bias

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by surfacing articles that support the opposite side of an argument

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or to check the likelihood of truth by finding similar articles

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by other outlets.

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Many think the reputation of the journalists themselves plays

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a big part in the trustworthiness of reporting.

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Italian newspaper La Stampa is suggesting a system

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where an author is assigned a unique identifier that shows

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their piece can be trusted.

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Come on.

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Best platform goes to...

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La Stampa.

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The best ideas won a small prize at the end of the day but it's

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the taking part that counts here.

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The hope is that this part-Google funded initiative may lead

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to a system that helps news outlet stories rank high up on search

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engines and social media.

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That said, I can't help wondering if that is actually something that

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platforms like Google and Facebook really want.

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Do you think they care what it is they serve to us or do

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you think, really, as long as you click on it, that's

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what they're interested in?

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How do we know the motivations of any company?

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Money.

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These companies make their money through people clicking

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on the adverts, so do you think any of the large companies care

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what it is they present to you?

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Based on my conversations with them, I think they do.

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The argument would be if they start being perceived as not caring

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about the information that's sent out there,

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that damages their reputation.

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Yes, it may be that the truth will out, not because of a desire

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for the facts, but because everyone, readers and news aggregators,

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ultimately don't want to lose face.

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More and more people are shopping online but still at this time

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of year, the high street seems pretty chaotic and the retailers

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want to make sure it stays that way.

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So they are trying to create some more engaging experiences.

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But do they help us or are they just a distraction?

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Here in London's Covent Garden, 140 shops and restaurants are taking

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part in creating one huge augmented reality experience.

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With the help of AR app Blipper, things come to life.

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It may not have created the personalised shopping experience

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I dreamt up, but there were some promotional offers presented

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as virtual Christmas presents almost around the tree.

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A reindeer hunt and a giant reindeer you can take a selfie with,

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if the mood takes you.

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I have to say, it wasn't quite as cutting-edge as I'd hoped

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but I suppose it's a bit of light-hearted fun.

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Rather more purposefully, the signs in windows can be scanned

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using image recognition, taking you to online content,

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partly the sort of stuff you'd be able to look at from your sofa

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but with a few extras to boot.

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Then came our trip to London's Westfield where augmented

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reality has had a makeover.

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We've seen technology like this before but now it's actually

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on the shop floor here at Charlotte Tilbury.

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This is what's known as the Magic Mirror and this

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is what it does.

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You choose a lipstick and in real-time, you will see

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your face transformed.

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Bright red lips, although it doesn't seem to have any around the edges,

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I think that looks all right.

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I've tried the Rimmel app that does something similar on your phone

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and you can buy things through it, but here you can do it in the store

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with assistants all around and a whole shop of products that

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you can test, smell, and after you see what your face

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looks like on here, you might want to have a go to check that

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you can do it yourself that well.

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Meanwhile, here at this eBay event, they are taking things

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a step further.

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They want to get inside your mind.

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The data on this screen represents what is apparently visitors

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emotional responses to products.

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Using what they call facial coding, the camera looks for reactions

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which these guys reckon you have when you do online shopping.

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Nice but don't know who I'd give it to.

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Interesting.

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That's ridiculous.

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And I've been told to overact my reactions.

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Oh, that's cute.

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Whilst my results bore absolutely no correlation to what I'd liked,

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maybe they were the ones I contorted my face to the most.

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Maybe it would have worked better if I'd reacted more naturally,

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although I struggle to imagine that my face would have shown anything.

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Now, in 2015, members of the United Nations adopted a set

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of sustainable development goals.

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Number one on that list is to end poverty and to achieve that goal,

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you first need to work out where poverty exists and how

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to measure it.

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We met up with some scientists at Stamford who have that

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task in hand.

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Marshall Burke is a professor of earth systems science

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at Stanford University but he spends much of his time in Africa

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gathering poverty data.

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The way this is done is to elicit from the household a listing

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of everything they've consumed in the last week,

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the last month.

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So literally everything they've consumed.

0:20:490:20:51

Every single thing and the value of that item and then you add up

0:20:510:20:55

all these items for every single person in the household.

0:20:550:20:57

This can take hours and hours just for one single household.

0:20:570:21:00

Then you have to do this for thousands of households to get

0:21:000:21:04

a representative sample of the area.

0:21:040:21:05

It's painstaking work but Burke has teamed with computer science

0:21:050:21:08

students to test a new method.

0:21:080:21:18

Using machine learning to predict poverty data

0:21:180:21:20

by analysing satellite images.

0:21:200:21:21

But to find out whether the people living in those areas are rich

0:21:210:21:24

or poor, the researchers used a process called transferred

0:21:240:21:27

learning and this image of the Earth at night.

0:21:270:21:32

The parts of the world that are lit up are typically the wealthier parts

0:21:320:21:36

of the world.

0:21:360:21:42

So basically we use the lower resolution night-time images to help

0:21:420:21:45

us figure out what in the really high resolution daytime images

0:21:460:21:49

we should should be using and then we use that to predict poverty

0:21:490:21:52

on the ground.

0:21:520:21:58

Between 300 and 400,000 images were used to train the algorithm.

0:21:580:22:01

The algorithm will figure out what's important,

0:22:010:22:03

what it should be looking for.

0:22:030:22:05

So some of the things it finds are things that

0:22:050:22:07

you or I would recognise, things like roads,

0:22:070:22:09

urban areas, farmland.

0:22:100:22:10

Based on those features, the algorithm can predict

0:22:100:22:13

what a family owns.

0:22:130:22:14

Things like refrigerators, cars, the sum of all those assets.

0:22:140:22:16

It can also be used to predict incomes.

0:22:160:22:19

These poverty maps show the team's findings.

0:22:190:22:20

In areas marked red, people spend as little

0:22:200:22:23

as $1.5 a day.

0:22:230:22:24

In green regions like Uganda's capital, Kampala, they spent

0:22:240:22:27

closer to $8.

0:22:270:22:29

We are providing a very cheap and scalable alternatives

0:22:290:22:32

to traditional means of data collection.

0:22:320:22:34

Traditionally, you have to send people out into the field

0:22:340:22:36

with clipboards, the surveys aren't always accurate,

0:22:360:22:38

there can be corruption.

0:22:380:22:47

Like for example lots of governments where they are underperforming,

0:22:470:22:50

they don't want true surveys.

0:22:500:22:51

All we need to make our predictions are satellite images.

0:22:510:22:54

But can you draw conclusions about the economic well-being

0:22:540:22:57

of communities in Africa when you're thousands of miles away,

0:22:570:22:59

sitting at a laptop in an office at Stamford?

0:22:590:23:04

We actually have really good survey information in a few locations.

0:23:040:23:07

We can use the satellite imagery to make a prediction about poverty

0:23:070:23:10

and then we can compare that to what the survey says was actually

0:23:100:23:14

going on on the ground there.

0:23:140:23:15

So we used a couple of the really good surveys we had to validate

0:23:150:23:19

our satellite input.

0:23:190:23:20

To be a truly useful tool though, the algorithm needs an upgrade.

0:23:200:23:23

We would also like to use historical imagery so maybe we can figure out

0:23:230:23:27

how poverty dynamics work overtime and even give us the chance

0:23:270:23:30

of predicting what's going to happen in the future.

0:23:300:23:34

If you can pinpoint poverty on a map, aid could be distributed

0:23:340:23:38

more evenly, policies could be more effective.

0:23:380:23:39

People would get help faster.

0:23:390:23:41

A picture may be worth a thousand words but combining that picture

0:23:410:23:44

with artificial intelligence could make a world of difference.

0:23:440:23:47

That was Sumi and that's it for this week.

0:23:470:23:49

You can follow us on Twitter @BBCClick for backstage fun

0:23:490:23:52

and photos and extra technology news throughout the week.

0:23:520:23:58

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