Browse content similar to 12/06/2012. Check below for episodes and series from the same categories and more!
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Good afternoon, welcome to the Daily Politics. Are church and | :00:42. | :00:46. | |
state heading for a messy divorce over gay marriage? The Church of | :00:46. | :00:48. | |
England has this morning issued a highly critical response to the | :00:48. | :00:51. | |
Government's plans to allow gay couples in England and Wales to | :00:51. | :00:53. | |
marry, warning that the legislation could undermine the church's | :00:53. | :00:58. | |
established status. The UN says it's gravely concerned | :00:58. | :01:02. | |
about the escalation of violence in Syria. We'll be talking to former | :01:02. | :01:06. | |
Liberal Democrat Leader, Paddy Ashdown. | :01:06. | :01:09. | |
Cricketing hero, Ian Botham, steps up to the crease to deal with a | :01:09. | :01:12. | |
problem that's stumped politicians. He'll be with us later in the | :01:12. | :01:14. | |
programme. And feeling blue? Is the bad | :01:14. | :01:18. | |
weather getting you down? We'll be asking if we can blame the Prime | :01:18. | :01:25. | |
Minister. All that in the next hour and with | :01:25. | :01:28. | |
us for the whole programme today is the chair of the Equality and Human | :01:28. | :01:35. | |
Rights Commission, Trevor Phillips. Welcome to the programme. Good | :01:35. | :01:40. | |
afternoon. Now first this morning let's talk about health because | :01:40. | :01:42. | |
later today ministers will confirm that doctors and NHS managers will | :01:42. | :01:45. | |
be banned by law from denying older patients treatment simply on the | :01:45. | :01:48. | |
grounds of their age. It follows a series of reports showing that | :01:48. | :01:51. | |
older people often suffer sub- standard care and uneven treatment | :01:51. | :01:58. | |
in the NHS and the social care system. Is this something you | :01:58. | :02:05. | |
support? It is terrific and long overdue. The original argument was | :02:05. | :02:10. | |
it you introduced age discretion legislation it would move Dr's | :02:10. | :02:15. | |
discretion. But you have to have some protection for people who are | :02:15. | :02:21. | |
older. On top of that, what you cannot have, which existed in the | :02:21. | :02:25. | |
health service, our blanket rules that say people over a certain age | :02:25. | :02:28. | |
may not have some treatment it you would give automatically to | :02:28. | :02:35. | |
somebody under that age. So you have treatments denied to a fit 65- | :02:35. | :02:39. | |
year-old, who can run 10 miles a day, to an unfit for two year-old | :02:39. | :02:44. | |
who can barely walk to the shops. It is a reasonable approach and it | :02:44. | :02:49. | |
is long overdue. Is it the case a lot of the distressing images we | :02:49. | :02:54. | |
have seen are about a general lack of care and dignity being given to | :02:54. | :02:59. | |
older people, rather than them being denied clinical treatment? | :02:59. | :03:06. | |
is true, particularly in the social care arena. In the home care | :03:06. | :03:11. | |
inquiry, which showed people were being given 15 minute slots and | :03:11. | :03:18. | |
they were being left in their dirty garments and all of that. What is | :03:18. | :03:24. | |
also true, some bits of the system have policies, and those policies | :03:24. | :03:28. | |
say in a blanket way, let's not look at the individual, let's say | :03:28. | :03:33. | |
if you are over 50, you cannot have this liver treatment. So there is | :03:33. | :03:38. | |
evidence those policies exist? Exactly. What we're saying is we | :03:38. | :03:43. | |
have to look at the individual. you think it will open floodgates | :03:43. | :03:47. | |
of legal action, people saying I was not offered that treatment and | :03:47. | :03:53. | |
I am 65 and they should have been? I don't believe that for a second. | :03:53. | :03:57. | |
Most people trust their doctors and this says, doctor's exercise their | :03:57. | :04:01. | |
discretion but they do have to think of the individual in front of | :04:02. | :04:04. | |
them, rather than the birth certificate. | :04:04. | :04:08. | |
Now, gay marriage. The Church of England has today responded to the | :04:08. | :04:10. | |
government's consultation on same- sex marriages saying that the | :04:10. | :04:12. | |
proposals would dilute an institution, vastly important to a | :04:12. | :04:16. | |
healthy society. The Government launched their consultation earlier | :04:16. | :04:21. | |
this year looking to make same-sex marriage legal by 2015. The | :04:21. | :04:23. | |
proposed legislation would allow same-sex couples to marry in a | :04:23. | :04:26. | |
registry office or civil ceremony but the ban on marrying in a | :04:26. | :04:30. | |
religious service would not change. The Home Office has insisted that | :04:30. | :04:33. | |
no religious organisation would be forced to conduct weddings. However, | :04:33. | :04:35. | |
today the Church of England has responded to the Government's | :04:35. | :04:39. | |
consultation, saying that the proposed legislation is shallow. | :04:39. | :04:42. | |
They worry that keeping the ban on marrying same-sex couples in | :04:42. | :04:46. | |
religious services would not survive legal challenges. Gay | :04:46. | :04:49. | |
Rights campaigners have accused the church of scaremongering. Support | :04:49. | :04:52. | |
for same-sex marriage was seen as a cornerstone of David Cameron's new | :04:52. | :04:56. | |
direction for the Conservative Party. However, the issue has | :04:56. | :04:59. | |
proved divisive for backbench Tories with MP Peter Bone, calling | :04:59. | :05:05. | |
the proposals "completely nuts". I'm joined now from Norwich by the | :05:05. | :05:07. | |
Bishop of Norwich, the Right Reverend Graham James, and here in | :05:07. | :05:16. | |
the studio with me is Labour MP Chris Bryant. Graham James, why do | :05:16. | :05:20. | |
you think the consequence of same- sex marriage would have a big | :05:20. | :05:24. | |
impact on society? Want are the things the Government consultation | :05:24. | :05:28. | |
paper suggests is there is a distinction between civil marriage | :05:28. | :05:33. | |
and religious marriage. This is a new distinction in English law. | :05:33. | :05:37. | |
Marriage is a centuries-old institution which has always been | :05:37. | :05:43. | |
defined as the Union as one man and one woman. That goes back before | :05:43. | :05:49. | |
church and state. One of the things we fear is two different | :05:49. | :05:53. | |
understandings of marriage creates a whole host of new minorities in | :05:53. | :05:59. | |
society. So including one group, that is those who want same-sex | :05:59. | :06:04. | |
marriage, will inevitably create a division in our understanding of | :06:04. | :06:09. | |
marriage, which is meant to be a unifying factor within society. | :06:10. | :06:15. | |
this is about equality, essentially. That is what the supporters of this | :06:15. | :06:19. | |
proposal want to see. Surely that saw it is, and extension of equal | :06:20. | :06:25. | |
rights, same-sex couples want to have that heterosexual couples | :06:25. | :06:31. | |
have? We also have civil partnerships and same-sex marriage | :06:31. | :06:36. | |
wouldn't give any greater rights to same-sex partners. One of the | :06:36. | :06:39. | |
things that is clear in our documents is we support civil | :06:39. | :06:45. | |
partnerships. We do want stable, permanent, faithful relationships | :06:45. | :06:51. | |
between same-sex couples in society, as it strengthens society. The | :06:51. | :06:56. | |
distinction in marriage is the sexual union of a man and a woman. | :06:56. | :07:00. | |
The ceremony does not marry someone, it is the sexual union that creates | :07:00. | :07:05. | |
the marriage which is why we have a annulment in civil law and | :07:05. | :07:09. | |
determined by consummation. One of the things in the consultation is a | :07:09. | :07:15. | |
failure to define how this would work across same-sex couples and | :07:15. | :07:20. | |
heterosexual couples and that is left to case law to determined. | :07:20. | :07:26. | |
There is a whole host of things that are ill-thought out. A Home | :07:26. | :07:30. | |
Office has said no religious organisation will be forced to | :07:30. | :07:35. | |
conduct those same-sex marriages? But there will be a redefinition of | :07:36. | :07:39. | |
marriage for everyone. At the moment, within the Church of | :07:39. | :07:44. | |
England people have a right to be married in their parish church, and | :07:44. | :07:48. | |
Church of England clergy are in effect, registrars. We are not | :07:48. | :07:51. | |
confident that if there was a challenge when the legal definition | :07:52. | :07:57. | |
of marriage is altered to the position that the Government's | :07:57. | :08:02. | |
assurances could withstand. Chris Bryant, two understandings of | :08:02. | :08:06. | |
marriage, basically there would be two definitions, it wouldn't be the | :08:06. | :08:12. | |
sexual union of a man and woman? is depressing that the Church of | :08:13. | :08:18. | |
England, the big issue to have a row with the Government about it is | :08:18. | :08:25. | |
not about the NHS, it is about same-sex and the quality Coulstock | :08:25. | :08:28. | |
but it is a shame the Church of England cannot get its history | :08:28. | :08:33. | |
right. Civil marriage was introduced in the 17th century and | :08:33. | :08:37. | |
the Church of England was restored at the Restoration and did not | :08:37. | :08:45. | |
object to it. The Church of England did choose to oppose the law, but | :08:45. | :08:50. | |
subsequently said it was right to change the law. When marriage was | :08:51. | :08:55. | |
concede that the woman was a chattel of the husband at the | :08:55. | :08:58. | |
Church maintain that. When we tried to change that, the Church of | :08:58. | :09:05. | |
England opposed it. But they now accept that marriage has changed in | :09:05. | :09:12. | |
every generation. What about them, the claim that civil partnerships, | :09:12. | :09:16. | |
which the Church supports, are enough? The bizarre thing is, one | :09:16. | :09:21. | |
bishop this morning was maintaining the bishops had supported civil | :09:21. | :09:27. | |
partnerships. Completely untrue. 6- 1, they voted against it in the | :09:27. | :09:37. | |
House of Lords. Secondly, we now have a situation where you can have | :09:37. | :09:40. | |
a civil partnership in a church, if the Church chooses to allow that to | :09:40. | :09:46. | |
happen, but you cannot have a marriage! It is ludicrous. Graham | :09:46. | :09:50. | |
James, there wasn't the widespread support for civil partnerships in | :09:50. | :09:55. | |
the first place, and marriage has evolved over the centuries? | :09:55. | :09:59. | |
Undoubtedly, marriage and vaults over the centuries. It is feasible | :09:59. | :10:06. | |
for marriage to a golf further. What we are saying is the present | :10:06. | :10:10. | |
consultation raises a good many issues about the nature of marriage | :10:10. | :10:19. | |
that we want answered. It simply isn't the case that there had been | :10:19. | :10:23. | |
two different understandings of marriage. The Church's | :10:24. | :10:27. | |
understanding a mistake's understanding has been the same. | :10:27. | :10:33. | |
am sorry, that is factually and legally wrong. The understanding of | :10:33. | :10:40. | |
civil marriage is different from the sacraments of marriage. I | :10:40. | :10:47. | |
disagree with you as an Anglican, albeit a boycotting Anglican | :10:47. | :10:52. | |
because of the Church's stance on these issues. I do hope you do | :10:52. | :10:56. | |
change, just like the Church changed on slavery. The sacrament | :10:56. | :11:02. | |
of marriage, should be free for you to keep as such. What they don't | :11:02. | :11:07. | |
understand is why the Church does not support commitment, made in law | :11:07. | :11:17. | |
and in a ceremony, which is the same difference same-sex allows. | :11:17. | :11:22. | |
view is at the moment, civil partnerships allowed the stable, | :11:22. | :11:25. | |
permanent and faithful relationships to be recognised in | :11:25. | :11:28. | |
the law. A change in our understanding of marriage affects | :11:28. | :11:37. | |
us all. For the state to change immediately, an age-old institution | :11:37. | :11:41. | |
which has been the union of one man and one woman, without very careful | :11:41. | :11:48. | |
thought about the consequences, then we need to think much further. | :11:48. | :11:53. | |
His Graham James out of touch and representing and out of touch, old | :11:53. | :12:01. | |
fashioned view? Or is this I threat to the church? I would never say | :12:01. | :12:07. | |
Graham James is out of touch. But I do think the arguments being made | :12:07. | :12:10. | |
marks something different. The submission this morning helps. What | :12:10. | :12:16. | |
the Church is worried about is not so much homosexuality, it is the | :12:16. | :12:20. | |
status of the Church. The Government is offering choice for | :12:20. | :12:24. | |
the first time. The only choice that won't be available to anybody | :12:24. | :12:30. | |
is to force a vicar, Coychurch to conduct a same-sex union. Except | :12:30. | :12:33. | |
they are worried about legal challenges? I can say with | :12:34. | :12:38. | |
authority, we the Commission do not believe the European Court would | :12:38. | :12:45. | |
ever take that view, all case law says the opposite. And this would | :12:45. | :12:51. | |
never support a challenge. But the issue, which is Graham James | :12:51. | :12:55. | |
raising, should be discussed. That is the question of the change in | :12:55. | :12:59. | |
the status of the Church. 500 years ago, the state said to the church, | :12:59. | :13:04. | |
you are in charge of deciding what marriage is. Now parliaments are | :13:04. | :13:13. | |
saying, we decide what marriage is. That is a reasonable thing. I don't | :13:13. | :13:16. | |
think it has to lead to disestablishment. I do think the | :13:16. | :13:23. | |
Church getting into a pickle about this removes, if you like, the | :13:23. | :13:27. | |
Church's role as being a spiritual guide. Fighting to be the agent of | :13:27. | :13:30. | |
the state, doesn't seem to be the right place for the Church of | :13:30. | :13:35. | |
England. The Church of England was created by Parliament, Cromwell | :13:35. | :13:42. | |
took it through the House of Lords and Parliament. We disagree on how | :13:42. | :13:46. | |
and when the Church of England was created. At the Church of England | :13:46. | :13:52. | |
would be cutting off its nose to spite its face ellipsis with this | :13:52. | :13:55. | |
argument by saying it is the biggest change in 500 years. My | :13:55. | :13:59. | |
hope they would do exactly what they did after they voted to keep | :13:59. | :14:04. | |
slavery in place, 30 years later they apologised. Politically, will | :14:04. | :14:09. | |
it be voted on? They have made a commitment, but with the opposition | :14:09. | :14:15. | |
coming through? I am sure a bill will be presented. Whether it is a | :14:15. | :14:21. | |
private member's bill from somebody, which will probably be heavily | :14:21. | :14:25. | |
supported in the House of Commons, and similarly in the House of Lords. | :14:25. | :14:29. | |
But we will have to deal with the bishops of both. What a warning, | :14:29. | :14:35. | |
Graham James. We will end on that. Plans to make it tougher for | :14:35. | :14:38. | |
relatives of those living in the UK to migrate here were announced in | :14:38. | :14:41. | |
the Commons yesterday. The Home Secretary, Theresa May said that in | :14:41. | :14:44. | |
2010, 18% of all non EU immigration was through the family route and | :14:44. | :14:47. | |
she claimed that in the past sham marriages were widespread. However | :14:47. | :14:51. | |
the debate wasn't as well attended as it might have been and some | :14:51. | :14:54. | |
suggested a certain football game may have had something to do with | :14:54. | :15:04. | |
:15:04. | :15:05. | ||
In 2010, family immigration accounted for approximately 18% of | :15:05. | :15:10. | |
all non EU immigration to the UK, around 54,000 people out of 300,000. | :15:10. | :15:13. | |
But like the rest of the immigration system it has not been | :15:13. | :15:17. | |
regulated effectively for many years. Sham marriages have been | :15:17. | :15:19. | |
widespread, people have been allowed to settle in Britain | :15:19. | :15:23. | |
without being able to speak English and they have not been rules in | :15:24. | :15:27. | |
place to stop migrants becoming a burden on the taxpayer. We are | :15:27. | :15:32. | |
changing all of that. The UK needs a system for family migration | :15:32. | :15:36. | |
underpinned by three simple principles. One, that those who | :15:36. | :15:40. | |
come here should come on the basis of a genuine relationship. Two, | :15:40. | :15:44. | |
that migrants should be able to pay their way and three, that they are | :15:44. | :15:47. | |
able to integrate into bridges society. We agree that stronger | :15:47. | :15:51. | |
safeguards are needed for the taxpayer of family migration. If | :15:51. | :15:54. | |
people want to make this country their home, they should contribute | :15:54. | :15:58. | |
and not be a burden on public funds, but it isn't clear that the vexed | :15:58. | :16:04. | |
weighed to protect the taxpayer is to focus solely on sponsors salary. | :16:04. | :16:08. | |
In the current economic climate, someone on 40,000 today could lose | :16:08. | :16:11. | |
their job next month and then there's no way to protect the | :16:11. | :16:14. | |
taxpayer. It also doesn't take account of the foreign partner's | :16:14. | :16:19. | |
income and may have a differential impact on women. Can she explain | :16:19. | :16:22. | |
why the Government will do a consulting on a bond which could | :16:22. | :16:26. | |
have been used to protect the taxpayer if someone did need public | :16:26. | :16:33. | |
funds later on? The effect of this change will be directed against the | :16:33. | :16:39. | |
British Asian community, not illegal immigrants, settled | :16:39. | :16:42. | |
Britain's who are here, pay their taxes and contribute to this | :16:42. | :16:47. | |
country. I really don't believe that the British Home Secretary | :16:48. | :16:52. | |
should be determining who a spouse of a British citizen should be | :16:53. | :17:00. | |
based on an arbitrary limit and -- an arbitrary financial limit. | :17:00. | :17:03. | |
congratulate the Secretary of State on bringing forward one of the most | :17:03. | :17:07. | |
important announcements of this session. So important I'm here to | :17:07. | :17:10. | |
ask a question rather than watching England against France! There's a | :17:10. | :17:15. | |
lack of public confidence in our immigration system. I'm doing my | :17:15. | :17:19. | |
bit! Is it not the case that the best way to tackle this lack of | :17:19. | :17:23. | |
confidence is to bring these sorts of measures forward that strengthen | :17:23. | :17:28. | |
public confidence by strong and robust Innovation? Can I thank my | :17:28. | :17:30. | |
honourable friend for his commitment to this issue such that | :17:30. | :17:37. | |
he is in the chamber. I notice there have been one or two levers | :17:37. | :17:41. | |
since the statements started which may have something to do with what | :17:41. | :17:47. | |
is happening in Ukraine! reference to the Football! | :17:47. | :17:49. | |
Damian Green, the Minister responsible for immigration, joins | :17:49. | :17:52. | |
us now and Chris Bryant, who's a shadow Home Office minister, is | :17:52. | :17:57. | |
still with us. Is this purely about numbers, knocking down the number | :17:57. | :18:01. | |
of people coming here from non EU countries so that you can hit the | :18:01. | :18:06. | |
target you set? It does help us to hit the target, but it is mostly | :18:06. | :18:10. | |
about two things. Fairness and cohesion. The fairness in that we | :18:10. | :18:15. | |
don't think people think it is fair that you can come here and in the | :18:15. | :18:19. | |
full expectation from day one that you can live off benefits. Is there | :18:19. | :18:23. | |
evidence to show what numbers of people who are from non-EU | :18:23. | :18:27. | |
countries marrying British Simpsons -- citizens are sponge of the | :18:27. | :18:31. | |
state? For migration Advisory Committee on whose independent | :18:31. | :18:36. | |
report we based the figure of 18,600 as a minimum income level | :18:36. | :18:41. | |
say that is the level at which you stop being dependent on benefits. | :18:41. | :18:49. | |
About 45% of those applying for marriage are coming in at below | :18:49. | :18:55. | |
that level. That doesn't answer the question. How many people... The | :18:55. | :18:58. | |
Government statistics I've seen say foreign-born people are less than | :18:58. | :19:03. | |
half as likely to claim benefits as bone born here. Those are people | :19:03. | :19:09. | |
coming here to work. You would expect them... How many? Nearly | :19:09. | :19:17. | |
half of those who come, under the marriage route, are eligible and up | :19:18. | :19:22. | |
at an income level where they can get income related benefits. | :19:22. | :19:26. | |
eligible. How many of them do claim? The vast majority. You don't | :19:26. | :19:31. | |
know. We do, we have the assessment coming up tomorrow. The amount | :19:31. | :19:38. | |
saved to the taxpayer is �700 million. The critics will say those | :19:38. | :19:40. | |
proposals would exclude something like two-thirds of British people | :19:41. | :19:45. | |
from living in the UK as a couple if they marry and non EU national | :19:45. | :19:53. | |
by setting it at that 18,700. People -- not enough people | :19:53. | :19:57. | |
turnover that. You will be persecuting the poor. | :19:57. | :20:01. | |
persecuting anyone. They will have to split up or they will have to | :20:01. | :20:05. | |
move abroad. This is a new definition of persecution. You | :20:05. | :20:08. | |
don't have the absolute right to come from anywhere in the world and | :20:08. | :20:14. | |
on day one of arriving in Britain, live off benefits. Why are you | :20:14. | :20:23. | |
pitching it at 18,700? Because that is the point at which people are | :20:23. | :20:27. | |
not going to be living off income related benefits. It is an | :20:27. | :20:32. | |
absolutely clear point. We were offered by the migration of | :20:32. | :20:36. | |
advisory figure a higher figure. They suggested 25,500, which would | :20:36. | :20:41. | |
be the point at which people become net economic beneficiaries. We took | :20:41. | :20:44. | |
the low level because we thought this was fair. This is a fair | :20:44. | :20:48. | |
policies. There's one point I do agree with. Somebody coming to this | :20:48. | :20:53. | |
country should not expect to live off the British taxpayer. Somebody | :20:53. | :20:58. | |
sponsoring, whether a partner or a dependant of any kind, coming into | :20:58. | :21:02. | |
this country should be able to prove that person isn't going to be | :21:02. | :21:08. | |
a burden on the taxpayer. You would support that level? The question I | :21:08. | :21:11. | |
have is about the many anomalies I think this will set up an by | :21:11. | :21:15. | |
relying only on the salary of the sponsor, whether you introduced | :21:15. | :21:19. | |
some injustices and don't sort out the problem. In the present | :21:19. | :21:23. | |
economic circumstances, you can be on �40,000 today and earning | :21:23. | :21:27. | |
nothing in two weeks' time because you could be made redundant. How | :21:27. | :21:31. | |
have you protected the taxpayer from the partner of that person? | :21:31. | :21:36. | |
Let's say you what a British army veteran, you are disabled, you want | :21:36. | :21:41. | |
to marry an American who is earning $100,000 a year, is going to come | :21:41. | :21:46. | |
to the UK and the moment they arrive, they will start earning | :21:46. | :21:49. | |
�80,000 a year but that salary is not allowed to be included. Isn't | :21:49. | :21:55. | |
it? Christian do his homework. This doesn't apply to the military. They | :21:55. | :21:59. | |
are covered under a different part of the immigration laws. This is | :21:59. | :22:06. | |
changing the immigration laws... The army... The broad thrust of | :22:06. | :22:10. | |
this, you'd do agree with. I agree with the principle, but I wonder | :22:11. | :22:13. | |
whether there isn't a different -- different way of doing it rather | :22:13. | :22:17. | |
than relying on salary. Somebody commits to laying down a certain | :22:17. | :22:21. | |
amount of money, which I think some people, in particular in poorer | :22:21. | :22:26. | |
parts of the country, might be able to raise, which then does protect | :22:26. | :22:30. | |
the taxpayer better. You would not be able to redeem it until you had | :22:30. | :22:38. | |
had three or five years without claiming benefits. The problem, I | :22:38. | :22:43. | |
looked at the bond when I was doing Chris's job, the problem is that it | :22:43. | :22:47. | |
is an expensive visa only available to the very rich and slightly dodgy | :22:47. | :22:55. | |
who want to bring relatives in. Where would you set the Bond level? | :22:55. | :22:59. | |
As you didn't declare which rate you would pitch it at in opposition, | :22:59. | :23:04. | |
I will not do that now. Is this quite a brave move by the | :23:04. | :23:07. | |
Government to come out and set a bar to achieve some of the things | :23:07. | :23:12. | |
they want to do to stop people coming here, on day one and | :23:12. | :23:17. | |
claiming benefits? Everybody agrees that the cheating issue is one we | :23:17. | :23:22. | |
have to tackle. I don't think this will make a blind bit of difference. | :23:22. | :23:28. | |
In terms of the numbers of people coming over? By the way, 18,600, | :23:28. | :23:33. | |
the cost of the average wedding is not far short of that these days. I | :23:33. | :23:37. | |
would be very surprised... I can see the political arguments about | :23:37. | :23:42. | |
this and the Government wants to send a signal. But I would be very, | :23:42. | :23:52. | |
very surprised. If it doesn't achieve what you want, which is to | :23:52. | :23:56. | |
bring down those numbers and help economically... It will not do | :23:56. | :24:06. | |
anything for the economics. best estimates, the Immigration | :24:06. | :24:09. | |
Advisory Committee thinks the number of visas issues will be | :24:10. | :24:15. | |
13,000 fewer. It is not huge numbers. The family route is a | :24:15. | :24:21. | |
relatively small part of the Overall numbers. The vast majority | :24:21. | :24:26. | |
are students. Sham marriages is quite a big issue. Sham marriages | :24:26. | :24:33. | |
is a huge issue, as is forced marriages. In percentage terms, | :24:33. | :24:39. | |
about two-thirds of immigrants come under student visas, that is why we | :24:39. | :24:45. | |
took action... But it will harm settled Asian families here. | :24:45. | :24:50. | |
think it will cause some anxiety. The problem is... I understand what | :24:50. | :24:54. | |
you want to do and nobody is going to accuse the Government of bad | :24:54. | :24:58. | |
faith, but the question is, will it make a huge difference? We will see | :24:58. | :25:03. | |
in a couple of years. Does it send the right sort of message? The | :25:03. | :25:07. | |
Overall message is a problem one. Employers talk about this all the | :25:07. | :25:13. | |
time. Britain is beginning to feel like it is shut for business. We | :25:13. | :25:17. | |
need clever people. Some of these will be husbands and wives. That is | :25:17. | :25:22. | |
why there's a problem about the British woman in particular, | :25:22. | :25:28. | |
because of the pay gap differential, who marries... It is only her | :25:28. | :25:32. | |
salary that is able to be considered. She marries somebody | :25:32. | :25:35. | |
who is earning well abroad and is intending to come to this country | :25:35. | :25:41. | |
and has a guaranteed job in this country on way more than the 18,500 | :25:41. | :25:45. | |
the Government is considering, and that is not able to be considered. | :25:45. | :25:51. | |
That person can come in on a work visa. It has got nothing to do with | :25:51. | :25:56. | |
employment. If people can come here to do a graduate level job... | :25:56. | :26:00. | |
not heard that way abroad, you know that, that is the problem. Thank | :26:00. | :26:03. | |
you. Now, it was a certain former prime | :26:03. | :26:06. | |
minister who spoke nostalgically about warm beer, old maids cycling | :26:06. | :26:09. | |
to Holy Communion and long shadows on cricket grounds. Well, I can't | :26:09. | :26:12. | |
speak for the maids or the beer, but cricket isn't all about village | :26:12. | :26:16. | |
greens or, come to that, summer weather. It can be played anywhere, | :26:16. | :26:18. | |
in any weather, and there's apparently a message for Cameron's | :26:18. | :26:21. | |
"Big Society". It's being played right here, under a soggy Big Ben, | :26:21. | :26:25. | |
today. To explain all, we have Home Office minister Crispin Blunt and | :26:25. | :26:33. | |
none other than Sir Ian Botham. Ian Botham, what is it you're doing? | :26:33. | :26:38. | |
How does it work? It is very simple. There are so many of these multi- | :26:38. | :26:42. | |
games areas around the country that get used we believe at an average | :26:43. | :26:47. | |
of one hour per day. They are dormant for long periods of time. | :26:47. | :26:52. | |
We are trying to bring in a very raw basic level form of the game of | :26:52. | :26:56. | |
cricket, which needs six people to play it in one of these can find | :26:56. | :27:02. | |
areas, or a gymnasium, or village hall. It can be played anywhere. | :27:02. | :27:07. | |
You play it in this area, you rotate all the time. Everyone Batts, | :27:07. | :27:12. | |
everyone bulls and everyone, more importantly, umpires the game as | :27:12. | :27:16. | |
well as fielding. It is total involvement and it is done and | :27:16. | :27:20. | |
dusted in an hour. We're trying to get away from a lot of kids | :27:20. | :27:24. | |
impressions of cricket, which is that you stand at fine leg, you are | :27:24. | :27:28. | |
there for most of the day, you don't get a bowl or bat... Isn't | :27:28. | :27:36. | |
that true?! That is the advantage of being an all-rounder! We wanted | :27:36. | :27:42. | |
to show them that you can have this great game. You don't need pads or | :27:42. | :27:46. | |
all of the equipment. You need a bat and a synthetic ball. It is | :27:46. | :27:51. | |
cheap and easy to do. Be it is making it more accessible. As well | :27:51. | :27:54. | |
as what you've said about standing there for hours waiting, you need | :27:54. | :27:59. | |
quite a big space to do it and this will work against that. Yes. We are | :27:59. | :28:01. | |
trying to give opportunities to people who would not have an | :28:01. | :28:05. | |
opportunity. We have had guys who have never picked up a cricket bat | :28:05. | :28:08. | |
and within 15 minutes they know the rules and a loving the game. | :28:08. | :28:17. | |
that because it is seen as more of a posh sport? Possibly. But also | :28:17. | :28:21. | |
the fact that you do need a bigger area, you need 21 other people to | :28:21. | :28:25. | |
play and you need all of the equipment, then a couple of umpires. | :28:25. | :28:30. | |
It takes some organisation. This doesn't. What's not to like about | :28:30. | :28:36. | |
this? Not very much not to like! What is quite good for the Prison | :28:36. | :28:40. | |
Service is it fits into the kind of spaces that are available in prison. | :28:40. | :28:44. | |
Ian alighted on what I think is the real benefit, which is the umpire's | :28:44. | :28:49. | |
role. All of the players rotate around and it is the social effect | :28:49. | :28:52. | |
of people learning how to take responsibility for their decisions | :28:52. | :28:55. | |
and then taking decisions themselves and receiving decisions | :28:56. | :29:00. | |
and learning to accept them. There's a rather exciting social | :29:00. | :29:04. | |
ethic about this, all of which sits with the ethics around cricket as | :29:04. | :29:11. | |
well. It has a big potential benefit for offenders as well as | :29:11. | :29:15. | |
society as a whole. You think it will go as far as helping to | :29:15. | :29:25. | |
:29:25. | :29:26. | ||
rehabilitate offenders are? Not on its own. If you have an activity in | :29:26. | :29:30. | |
custody, where we do insist that people make time for physical | :29:30. | :29:33. | |
activity in custody, if you have an activity that they want to do and | :29:33. | :29:38. | |
get engaged with, and has a social benefit in terms of relationships | :29:38. | :29:41. | |
they make and have to make through the game, so much the better. | :29:42. | :29:46. | |
you agree with that, Ian Botham? Can't have positive effects in the | :29:46. | :29:50. | |
way you have described it, in terms of sharing roles and then somebody | :29:50. | :29:54. | |
adjudicating, even in a prison environment? Year. It is unique as | :29:54. | :29:58. | |
well. You are playing for yourself, but you are playing with five other | :29:58. | :30:04. | |
people. You have to police it as well as play. There's no point in | :30:04. | :30:07. | |
thinking I don't like that guy over there, so why would give him out. | :30:07. | :30:12. | |
By the time the other five have dealt with you, you will be in a | :30:12. | :30:17. | |
minor situation. It gives you a bit of that. It is disciplined, but it | :30:17. | :30:22. | |
is having fun with discipline. The other thing, I would much rather | :30:22. | :30:25. | |
get the kids off the streets and the Street corners and get them | :30:25. | :30:30. | |
into this. It is instant. You play for yourself, you put your scoring | :30:30. | :30:34. | |
on your iPhone or BlackBerry and it goes to the national grid and then | :30:34. | :30:38. | |
it will come back and say you are now number two in Westminster, | :30:38. | :30:43. | |
number 36 in Middlesex another 200 in the UK. That is how we see it | :30:43. | :30:49. | |
going. It will build up and then you'll have regional finals. It | :30:49. | :30:54. | |
will expand and once they get the bug, the kids will go for it. | :30:54. | :30:58. | |
think it will take off in that way? Not being a cricket expert myself, | :30:58. | :31:03. | |
it is interesting seeing you defining it in that terms. I think | :31:03. | :31:07. | |
it will. I believe it will end up being international, not just in | :31:07. | :31:11. | |
this country. There's talk about it in Australia already, there's a lot | :31:11. | :31:16. | |
of interest over there. I think it is magnificent, everybody wants to | :31:16. | :31:26. | |
:31:26. | :31:28. | ||
Presumably sport is played in prison, why would this make a | :31:28. | :31:34. | |
particular difference? It can adapt to the kind of spaces available for | :31:34. | :31:38. | |
physical activity in prison. Then you have the rules and | :31:38. | :31:43. | |
responsibility so round it. That's why I think it will work in custody. | :31:43. | :31:47. | |
Every prison is different, and every prison governor or have to | :31:47. | :31:51. | |
make a decision on what resources they have available to spend and | :31:51. | :31:54. | |
whether it stacks up against the other things he wants the prisoners | :31:54. | :32:00. | |
to do. But what is more interesting is the wider benefit, getting | :32:00. | :32:05. | |
cricket in two parts of the community. As a cricket fan, I | :32:05. | :32:11. | |
appreciate that possibility. Before you go off, Ian Botham, slightly | :32:11. | :32:16. | |
related, will England beat South Africa in the test? Yes. That was | :32:16. | :32:21. | |
nice and short. Crispin Blunt, this is unrelated but it is the current | :32:21. | :32:26. | |
story, your reaction to the same- sex marriages and the Church's | :32:26. | :32:31. | |
response? The coverage I have seen on the position of the Church of | :32:31. | :32:38. | |
England is they seem very split on this issue. I was speaking this | :32:38. | :32:42. | |
morning on this. The Government have come forward with proposals | :32:42. | :32:47. | |
designed to protect the position of all the churches, they will be | :32:47. | :32:51. | |
prescribed from offering same-sex marriage. I think that position may | :32:51. | :32:56. | |
have some legal difficulties of its own. I don't think anybody would | :32:56. | :33:01. | |
tolerate a position where religions are being forced to conduct same- | :33:01. | :33:08. | |
sex marriages, it has to be a matter for them. The Government is | :33:08. | :33:12. | |
proposing the state recognised the quality of marriage, and inequality | :33:12. | :33:18. | |
is not acceptable. One thing I want to say about the England and South | :33:18. | :33:23. | |
Africa series - something to think about - you have the two best | :33:23. | :33:26. | |
bowlers, Dale Steyn and Jimmy Anderson and they will be competing | :33:27. | :33:34. | |
against each other. That will be fascinating in itself. | :33:34. | :33:37. | |
Our guest of the day Sir Trevor Philips, is standing down from his | :33:37. | :33:40. | |
job as chair of the Equalities and Human Rights Commission this year. | :33:40. | :33:44. | |
The Government are taking the opportunity to "refocus" the role. | :33:44. | :33:47. | |
But that's not the only thing that they're changing when it comes to | :33:47. | :33:56. | |
equalities legislation. Here's Adam. The nine so-called protected | :33:56. | :33:59. | |
characteristics, discrimination based on any of them is illegal | :33:59. | :34:05. | |
under the qualities act of 2010. But the Government say they will | :34:05. | :34:09. | |
repeal some of that legislation, such as employment tribunals losing | :34:09. | :34:16. | |
the power in ordering businesses to make changes to their whole | :34:16. | :34:20. | |
organisation over one case. Businesses will no longer be | :34:21. | :34:25. | |
responsible if an employee is harassed by a third party. | :34:25. | :34:28. | |
Employees will lose the right to request information from their | :34:29. | :34:34. | |
employers if they think they have been discriminated against. That is | :34:34. | :34:39. | |
a step and the right direction for entrepreneur, James Caan. He says | :34:39. | :34:44. | |
most cases of false claims brought by employees affected by the | :34:44. | :34:48. | |
recession. Ilott then go because the business is declining and you | :34:48. | :34:53. | |
have to reduce costs. When you look to let the individual go because | :34:53. | :34:57. | |
she wants the company to survive, the employee will go to a lawyer | :34:57. | :35:02. | |
and come up with some reason saying, you're letting me go because it is | :35:02. | :35:07. | |
not because the business is not there, it is because of my colour, | :35:07. | :35:12. | |
Mike Reid, my race and religion. one of his companies, the reason is | :35:12. | :35:18. | |
say they have a diverse workforce is nothing to do with equality laws. | :35:18. | :35:21. | |
With the freedom of Labour, increased individuals coming in | :35:21. | :35:25. | |
from different cultures it adds benefit to the economy. I think it | :35:25. | :35:29. | |
is something that has been wonderful as a company. We have | :35:29. | :35:34. | |
done it without the legislation. The public sector will be affected, | :35:34. | :35:38. | |
the Government is considering whether to scrap the law that says | :35:38. | :35:43. | |
all public bodies, such as schools and hospitals have a general duty | :35:43. | :35:48. | |
to foster a quality, which would be a big change. All of this appals | :35:48. | :35:54. | |
Labour. I think it is death by a 1000 cuts of a quality protection | :35:54. | :35:59. | |
in this country. Whether it is repealing some of the existing | :35:59. | :36:05. | |
legislation, or not going ahead with things we expected, light | :36:06. | :36:09. | |
legislating to outlaw age discrimination, watering down | :36:09. | :36:12. | |
provisions and making it more difficult for employees and | :36:12. | :36:16. | |
consumers to exercise their right and get support. The Commission is | :36:16. | :36:22. | |
reviewing the role and funding of the Equality and Human Rights | :36:22. | :36:27. | |
Commission, the watchdog that oversees all this. | :36:27. | :36:37. | |
:36:37. | :36:38. | ||
And we're joined now by the Conservative MP, Nadine Zahawi. I | :36:38. | :36:47. | |
think I elevated to to Sir Trevor Phillips. I am just a common man. | :36:47. | :36:52. | |
This is nothing to do with equalities laws, what do you say | :36:52. | :36:57. | |
about that? I wish that was true. It never occurs to that individual | :36:57. | :37:02. | |
who said that. The situation we are in now, is different to 20 years | :37:02. | :37:07. | |
ago, when discrimination of various kinds, not just race, but gender | :37:07. | :37:12. | |
and disability will comment. The law isn't the be all and end all, | :37:12. | :37:16. | |
but it changes the atmosphere and the climate. Without the law we | :37:16. | :37:20. | |
would still be seeing the kind of discrimination we saw in the 80s. | :37:20. | :37:23. | |
That would mean people who currently contribute to companies | :37:23. | :37:27. | |
like that one would feel shut out of the labour market, and probably | :37:27. | :37:31. | |
would be. They were major changes in terms of the way people were | :37:31. | :37:38. | |
employed, and the workforce as it looks now. Do you think, although | :37:38. | :37:42. | |
this is a well-motivated, it is a burden on business? It is promoted | :37:42. | :37:47. | |
by a lot of noisy people who don't employed any body, and don't work | :37:47. | :37:52. | |
with employers. As a matter of fact, this proposition, it is all very | :37:52. | :37:58. | |
difficult and so on, over six years since the Equality and Human Rights | :37:58. | :38:04. | |
Commission has been in business, Dino amid times we have prosecuted? | :38:04. | :38:10. | |
Tell us. Three times. And we have settled it before going to court. | :38:10. | :38:16. | |
So the idea of employees being forced into court all the time is | :38:16. | :38:21. | |
nonsense. The Government should remove the anxiety small employers | :38:21. | :38:27. | |
have about an. People from ethnic minorities and disabled people. And | :38:27. | :38:34. | |
particularly women of child-bearing age. Your average hairdresser | :38:34. | :38:38. | |
thinks they will run into trouble. But there is no possibility if they | :38:38. | :38:42. | |
can do themselves sensibly. It would be great if we could help | :38:42. | :38:48. | |
people do with it. Do you accept that? It is the rhetoric that has | :38:48. | :38:53. | |
frightened employers into thinking it's legislation and the qualities | :38:53. | :38:56. | |
legislation that will make it difficult for them to hire and fire | :38:56. | :39:02. | |
people, for example? I think he has a good point, there is a lot of | :39:02. | :39:07. | |
misconception around employing women. As soon as they fall | :39:07. | :39:13. | |
pregnant there is an enormous additional cost to small businesses. | :39:13. | :39:18. | |
There has been a piece in the Times, going over the numbers. When you | :39:18. | :39:25. | |
talk to small businesses, there is this urban myth these things cost | :39:25. | :39:33. | |
an enormous amount of money. On the other hand, when you do conducts | :39:33. | :39:38. | |
surveys, and round tribunals, which is a different area, when they feel | :39:38. | :39:42. | |
the cost of tribunals, the time it takes that maybe there is better | :39:42. | :39:48. | |
ways of doing it. Trevor says not many people are dealt with in that | :39:48. | :39:54. | |
way? That is the concern, rather than cases coming to? It has | :39:54. | :39:59. | |
nothing to do with the qualities legislation, it is sorting out the | :39:59. | :40:03. | |
machinery of the employment tribunal system. Precisely, and the | :40:03. | :40:07. | |
settlement agreement Vince Cable was talking about is positive. An | :40:07. | :40:11. | |
employer can offer a settlement to an employee, if they do not accept | :40:11. | :40:17. | |
a one to go to the tribunal, the tribunal won't take that settlement | :40:17. | :40:20. | |
into account. It is better and faster than the compromise | :40:20. | :40:25. | |
agreement we have now, which is suited to larger employers. Do you | :40:25. | :40:29. | |
accept the legislation is not a burden on business, not a | :40:29. | :40:34. | |
significant burden? Some of it is, because some of the conversation we | :40:34. | :40:41. | |
have had back, for example, the third party discrimination is the | :40:41. | :40:46. | |
responsibility of the employer. So some of it is. The work Trevor has | :40:46. | :40:51. | |
done is incredibly valuable, but to refocus the organisation and to | :40:51. | :40:55. | |
tighten its budget is the right thing to do. This requirement on | :40:55. | :41:00. | |
public bodies to have an equality duty, to make sure anything they do | :41:00. | :41:06. | |
has some equality duty in it, was described by death by 1000 cuts | :41:06. | :41:09. | |
because the Government is repealing it. Is it necessary to have it | :41:09. | :41:16. | |
there? It is, I wish the Government would use it more effectively. | :41:16. | :41:20. | |
Their case for deficit reduction would be aided if they used it more | :41:20. | :41:25. | |
effectively. We have done an assessment of the 2010 spending | :41:25. | :41:29. | |
review and published a few weeks ago. One of the things we | :41:29. | :41:34. | |
discovered, the Government tried very hard and they did do very well. | :41:34. | :41:41. | |
But one of the things that was interesting, people premium, 2.5 | :41:41. | :41:45. | |
billion a year, it did not do a gender impact assessment. If they | :41:45. | :41:49. | |
had, what would have been revealed is the real problem is not all poor | :41:49. | :41:55. | |
children. It is mainly boys of a particular ethnic group. They could | :41:55. | :42:03. | |
have cut the bill of the pupil premium by 50% had they done a | :42:03. | :42:07. | |
proper assessment. Also, it is so the Government makes better | :42:07. | :42:11. | |
decisions. What is happening now is the Government is, in a way, | :42:11. | :42:15. | |
because it wants to receive -- wave a flag on how it is helping | :42:16. | :42:20. | |
businesses, it is taking away the tool to make better decisions and | :42:21. | :42:26. | |
spend less of the public's hard- earned money. Do you think the | :42:26. | :42:29. | |
Government has an agenda that it basically wants to abolish the | :42:29. | :42:34. | |
Commission? Not true. The Government wants to focus the | :42:35. | :42:41. | |
Commission on the strategic aims, tighten the board. Bring on board | :42:41. | :42:45. | |
members that have a business background, so there is a closer | :42:45. | :42:49. | |
understanding and focus it on the things it does really well. Take it | :42:49. | :42:56. | |
away from conciliation services, which is a necessary. | :42:56. | :43:02. | |
As the violence in Syria continues, the UN reports say Syrian troops | :43:02. | :43:09. | |
have tortured children and use them as human shields on tanks. The UN | :43:09. | :43:14. | |
Secretary-General, Ban Ki-Moon is concerned that the violence has | :43:14. | :43:19. | |
intensified across Syria over the past couple of days. William Hague | :43:19. | :43:23. | |
is visiting Pakistan, but made the statements and said military | :43:23. | :43:27. | |
intervention was not being considered and there was hope for | :43:27. | :43:32. | |
some kind of peaceful transition. Each day reports emerge of savage | :43:32. | :43:37. | |
crimes. The Syrian military are bombarding towns with heavy | :43:37. | :43:41. | |
weaponry, and then releasing militia groups to murder civilians | :43:41. | :43:47. | |
in their homes. It is reminiscent of the Balkans in the 1990s. Two | :43:47. | :43:53. | |
weeks ago in Houla, 108 civilians died in this manner including | :43:53. | :44:01. | |
children. A similar atrocity was committed last week in Qubair. Un | :44:01. | :44:05. | |
monitors attempting to report on these events have been shot at and | :44:05. | :44:13. | |
obstructed. These grotesque crimes have eliminated to the world, the | :44:13. | :44:18. | |
nature of Syria and the regime. It is to break the spirit of | :44:18. | :44:23. | |
opposition in Syria and tried to reassert control. This is as futile | :44:23. | :44:28. | |
as it is morally reprehensible. By branding their opponents terrace | :44:28. | :44:32. | |
and using tanks, the regime is driving Syrians to take up arms to | :44:32. | :44:38. | |
defend their homes and by singling out particular communities it is | :44:38. | :44:44. | |
inflaming sectarian tension. We are joined by Lord Ashdown. William | :44:44. | :44:47. | |
Hague has said there are similarities with the Balkans, | :44:48. | :44:54. | |
Bosnia, military militia killing civilians. Do you agree with that? | :44:54. | :45:00. | |
Yes, up to a point. I know there. He is trying to make, it is a valid | :45:00. | :45:08. | |
point, there are horrors going on there. But I suspect dark deeds are | :45:08. | :45:12. | |
going on which both sides. In Bosnia we could have acted, but we | :45:12. | :45:18. | |
chose not to, foolishly. In Syria, I think we cannot act, even though | :45:18. | :45:23. | |
we would like to. The reason is, we cannot get unanimity in the | :45:23. | :45:27. | |
Security Council, and that is essential. We cannot act without | :45:27. | :45:34. | |
that. But on a humanitarian basis? No, the truth is the days when the | :45:34. | :45:38. | |
West was powerful enough to treat the Security Council with cavalier | :45:38. | :45:43. | |
regard are over. I think there will be many who will be pleased about | :45:43. | :45:53. | |
:45:53. | :46:00. | ||
In Libya, we played very canny diplomacy. We made sure those who | :46:00. | :46:04. | |
led the charge were the regional voices, especially the Arabs. | :46:04. | :46:08. | |
Secondly, we concentrated on humanitarian intervention, to save | :46:08. | :46:13. | |
those suffering rather than regime change. This time it seems to me we | :46:13. | :46:16. | |
have gone back to the old practice of making it easiest for the | :46:16. | :46:20. | |
Russians to cast their veto by making this led by the West and | :46:20. | :46:27. | |
making it about regime change. The result is that we've got ourselves | :46:27. | :46:33. | |
into an impasse we did not need to get into. But we are where we are | :46:33. | :46:38. | |
now and we have to decide what we do next. That is how we got here. | :46:38. | :46:41. | |
Do you think that if the Government and other governments had played it | :46:41. | :46:45. | |
differently, the Russians would be on board in some way to put | :46:45. | :46:53. | |
pressure on? That is a legitimate question. I think clever modern | :46:53. | :46:57. | |
diplomacy is about making it as difficult as possible for the | :46:58. | :47:04. | |
Russians to disagree. And the Chinese. If we had had this led by | :47:04. | :47:09. | |
Arab forces, especially Turkey, and if we had had it about humanitarian | :47:09. | :47:12. | |
intervention rather than removal of the one from the Russians had got, | :47:12. | :47:15. | |
we would have made it more difficult for them to cut their | :47:15. | :47:23. | |
veto. It would have been... Do you believe in the Kofi Annan plan? | :47:23. | :47:32. | |
think it is over now. The really dangerous situation we have got | :47:32. | :47:35. | |
ourselves into, we need to learn the lessons of Libya. We are living | :47:36. | :47:40. | |
in a different age. We need to be more canny about our diplomacy. It | :47:40. | :47:43. | |
was led by the Americans, not by William Hague, but it was still | :47:43. | :47:48. | |
wrong. They did talk about regime change with Colonel Gaddafi. No one | :47:48. | :47:57. | |
ever said he would stay end any post. If I may gently suggest to | :47:57. | :48:00. | |
you that you are wrong. We deliberately did not say it was | :48:00. | :48:04. | |
about regime change. The Security Council resolution did not go that | :48:04. | :48:09. | |
far. We were careful to say it is about humanitarian intervention. | :48:09. | :48:12. | |
Everybody knew that at the end of that process Gaddafi had to go, but | :48:12. | :48:17. | |
we started with a humanitarian intervention. What about this | :48:17. | :48:20. | |
Russian suggestion for an international conference? Is that | :48:20. | :48:23. | |
them just playing with the international community or do you | :48:23. | :48:28. | |
think there's a genuine mood in Russia because of the terrible | :48:28. | :48:33. | |
images from Homs and Houla? Although they will not come out | :48:33. | :48:36. | |
blatantly against their ally, they do want something to be done and of | :48:36. | :48:40. | |
course also said Iran should be part of that. I think it is playing | :48:40. | :48:44. | |
for time. When you're in these situations, you have to go every | :48:44. | :48:48. | |
last mile for peace. We have to take them at base value. It would | :48:48. | :48:53. | |
be foolish to reject that option, but I guess the Russians are trying | :48:53. | :49:00. | |
to play for time. Where we are now, the impacts can only be broken when | :49:00. | :49:04. | |
the Russians change their position. The danger of this impasse is not | :49:04. | :49:09. | |
just that the killing goes on in Syria, it is that this develops and | :49:09. | :49:12. | |
to work wider war which engulfs the whole of the Middle East and that | :49:12. | :49:18. | |
is the danger. What would tip that over the edge? We've seen these | :49:19. | :49:23. | |
dreadful massacres. Lebanon. When it starts to spread into Lebanon... | :49:23. | :49:29. | |
You now have Saudi Arabia arming the rebels. Many of these are now | :49:29. | :49:34. | |
Sunni, Shea conflicts within Syria. If that tips over into Lebanon, a | :49:34. | :49:40. | |
widening conflict is a real possibility. Matt Seaton called the | :49:40. | :49:47. | |
first and second world wars the European civil wars. -- mousy tone. | :49:47. | :49:52. | |
In order for that not to happen, his William Hague right, if it is | :49:52. | :49:56. | |
how you interpret it, to suggest that if the best efforts might fail, | :49:56. | :50:00. | |
that they will have to consider other options? Do you see that as | :50:00. | :50:04. | |
in suggesting that military intervention may at some point be | :50:04. | :50:09. | |
necessary? In diplomacy you never say what you are not going to do. | :50:09. | :50:13. | |
We all know that absent a shift in the Russian position, and in the | :50:13. | :50:18. | |
Chinese position, a military intervention by the West would be | :50:18. | :50:21. | |
unfeasible in the present circumstances. If we are clever, we | :50:21. | :50:25. | |
might try to resuscitate the Arab voice, bring Turkey into this. If | :50:25. | :50:30. | |
we could put Turkey up front, there would be different. But you are | :50:31. | :50:34. | |
straight back into Sunni and Shia factions. From the impasse we are | :50:35. | :50:39. | |
now in, there are very few ways out of this absent the Russians | :50:39. | :50:41. | |
realising they are not doing themselves any good by supporting | :50:41. | :50:48. | |
Assad. Pretty gloomy and bleak. certainly is. That is international | :50:48. | :50:51. | |
politics for you. Another day, another former prime minister in | :50:51. | :50:56. | |
the dock. It must be the Leveson Inquiry. This morning it was the | :50:56. | :50:59. | |
turn of John Major who acknowledged he had been given a rough ride by | :50:59. | :51:02. | |
the press when he was in power. He was asked about a lunch he had | :51:02. | :51:06. | |
before Rupert Murdoch -- with Rupert Murdoch just before the 1994 | :51:06. | :51:14. | |
election. It became apparent in discussions that Mr Murdoch said | :51:14. | :51:18. | |
that he really didn't like a European policies. This was no | :51:18. | :51:24. | |
surprise to me. He didn't like our European policies and he wished me | :51:24. | :51:29. | |
to change our European policies. If we couldn't change our European | :51:29. | :51:33. | |
policies, his papers could not and would not support the Conservative | :51:33. | :51:38. | |
government. As I recall, he used the word we when referring to his | :51:38. | :51:43. | |
newspapers. He did not make the usual nod towards editorial | :51:43. | :51:48. | |
independence. It is not very often someone sits in front of a prime | :51:48. | :51:51. | |
minister answers to a Prime Minister, I would like you to | :51:51. | :51:57. | |
change of policy and if you don't change your policy, my organisation | :51:57. | :52:02. | |
can't support you. People may often think that, they may often react | :52:02. | :52:06. | |
that way, but it is not often do that point is put to a prime | :52:06. | :52:09. | |
minister in that fashion. James Landale has been following the | :52:09. | :52:15. | |
day's events. What did you make of what John Major said? It was very | :52:15. | :52:21. | |
interesting if. That excerpt was all about a meeting in the early | :52:21. | :52:25. | |
part of 1997 about one of those crucial meetings between a prime | :52:25. | :52:29. | |
minister and a media baron. There's quite a heavy debate about whether | :52:29. | :52:33. | |
or not John Major is accusing Rupert Murdoch of giving the wrong | :52:33. | :52:38. | |
evidence to the inquiry. Mr Murdoch said at one point in his evidence, | :52:38. | :52:42. | |
I've never asked anything from a prime minister and here is John | :52:42. | :52:46. | |
Major saying he asked me to change my policy. Others say what Rupert | :52:46. | :52:50. | |
Murdoch was referring to was corporate favours, very specific | :52:50. | :52:56. | |
context they were discussing the proposed acquisition of the times | :52:56. | :53:00. | |
with Margaret Thatcher. The other interesting point he has made his | :53:00. | :53:04. | |
he has given a very, very strong warning to the current generation | :53:04. | :53:08. | |
of politicians. He said he failed to reform the media, he should have | :53:08. | :53:13. | |
done, he said it was a missed opportunity. He said that today's | :53:13. | :53:16. | |
politicians are in the last chance saloon, they have to act, they | :53:17. | :53:19. | |
can't not act simply because they might want to curry favour with the | :53:19. | :53:23. | |
media baron in the future. Picking up one of your points about | :53:23. | :53:27. | |
conflicting evidence. Two perspectives. Let's listen to | :53:27. | :53:32. | |
Gordon Brown also giving evidence about a conversation or not with | :53:32. | :53:38. | |
Rupert Murdoch. You are relying on second-hand conversations that are | :53:38. | :53:42. | |
reported by people who are not participants in the events. I don't | :53:42. | :53:46. | |
take that as a serious comment about what happened. Were your | :53:46. | :53:50. | |
aides involved in using the media to force or attempt to force Mr | :53:50. | :53:56. | |
Blair's resignation in 2006? would hope not. Were they involved? | :53:56. | :54:02. | |
I would hope not. I've got no evidence of that. What do you make | :54:02. | :54:09. | |
of that form of words used by Gordon Brown? I would hope not. | :54:09. | :54:13. | |
exactly a denial. No. There's a fair amount of documentary evidence | :54:13. | :54:19. | |
of the scale of the divisions between Camp Blair and camp Brown. | :54:19. | :54:24. | |
That claim was met with a certain degree of incredulity outside the | :54:24. | :54:27. | |
court and within Westminster yesterday. I was referring to | :54:27. | :54:31. | |
something not played in that clip, but about declaring war on Rupert | :54:31. | :54:35. | |
Murdoch and this was about the allegiance which by those News | :54:35. | :54:38. | |
Corporation papers. What has the media made of that evidence from | :54:38. | :54:47. | |
Gordon Brown? They believe that there's a certain degree of history | :54:47. | :54:52. | |
being revised. The media have that view of a lot of the evidence given | :54:52. | :54:56. | |
to the live as an inquiry. A lot of it is about a lot of things that | :54:56. | :54:59. | |
happened in the past. John Major has been trying to give his account | :54:59. | :55:04. | |
of what happened during the ERM exit. One of the side bits of the | :55:05. | :55:08. | |
Leveson Inquiry has been setting the record straight, getting their | :55:08. | :55:13. | |
line across at on stuff which is already out there in all the | :55:13. | :55:17. | |
biographies that have been written since then. If you read Alastair | :55:17. | :55:21. | |
Campbell's diaries, they would give it slightly different account, | :55:21. | :55:24. | |
perhaps, a different emphasis to that which was given by Gordon | :55:24. | :55:30. | |
Brown yesterday. Yes. Difference in opinion is slightly contrary. | :55:30. | :55:35. | |
Anyway, I will leave it there. Thank you. | :55:35. | :55:40. | |
Let's talk about the weather. Over to Adam outside. | :55:40. | :55:45. | |
For once it is actually a nice day if it was February! I have got an | :55:45. | :55:48. | |
umbrella in case it rains and a couple of guests as well. We have | :55:48. | :55:53. | |
got Peter Gibbs, the busy weather presenter, and then Page, a | :55:53. | :55:58. | |
pollster. Is it really that wet? Yes. We have unrealistic | :55:58. | :56:02. | |
expectations of a British summer. British farmers are cool and often | :56:02. | :56:07. | |
quite work. It has not like this everywhere. I've just come back | :56:07. | :56:11. | |
from the north of Scotland and I've got a bit of a suntan. I flew back | :56:11. | :56:14. | |
on the same plane as Danny Alexander. It was a low-cost | :56:14. | :56:20. | |
airline. Does he have a suntan as well? Slightly. Will there be any | :56:20. | :56:24. | |
break-in this cloud? Will it dry up? A glimmer of hope for the end | :56:24. | :56:27. | |
of the month for southern and eastern parts of the UK. It should | :56:27. | :56:35. | |
get a bit warmer, but then the rain sets in across the north-west. I | :56:35. | :56:38. | |
think long-range weather forecasts are like political forecasts, they | :56:38. | :56:43. | |
can be a bit fraught. Is this just weather or is something do so -- | :56:43. | :56:47. | |
specific making it this way it? has been the jet stream. It has | :56:47. | :56:51. | |
died south over the last few weeks. It wasn't that long ago that we | :56:51. | :56:55. | |
were getting temperatures in the mid-twenties, at the end of May. We | :56:55. | :56:58. | |
have short-term memories! You have got something that looks quite | :56:58. | :57:03. | |
scientific. At Ipsos MORI we went back and crunched the numbers to | :57:03. | :57:06. | |
see if we could find any relationship between the amount of | :57:06. | :57:10. | |
rain and how people are happy with the Government. The answer is | :57:10. | :57:14. | |
there's not much relationship. It seems to depend more on what the | :57:14. | :57:19. | |
Government does rather than acts of God in terms of how it is doing. | :57:19. | :57:22. | |
Maybe on election days, a lot of rain might favour one party over | :57:23. | :57:27. | |
another, depending on how motivated their supporters are to vote. But | :57:27. | :57:32. | |
over all, no. We are a bit stoic as Brits. We are used to this weather, | :57:32. | :57:37. | |
we just get on with it. You are talking to somebody from Glasgow! | :57:37. | :57:42. | |
Is there any idea that bad weather reflects badly on politicians. It | :57:42. | :57:46. | |
is raining and I hate David Cameron! I don't think there's any | :57:46. | :57:53. | |
evidence of that. For last time he was as unpopular as he is now, he's | :57:53. | :57:56. | |
not as unpopular as some predecessors, but you will remember | :57:56. | :58:00. | |
there were floods in Yorkshire and he went off to Rwanda. That was | :58:00. | :58:04. | |
going to Rwanda rather than the floods, that was when he was in | :58:04. | :58:07. | |
opposition. Voters judge their politicians on their basic | :58:07. | :58:11. | |
competence and not the weather. think I just felt a spot of rain! | :58:11. | :58:15. | |
Back to you in the hot, dry, warm studio. | :58:15. | :58:21. | |
All right! I got the message! There don't seem to be any | :58:21. | :58:23. | |
relations between what people feel about their politicians on the | :58:23. | :58:28. | |
weather, is the wet weather getting you down? It is fantastic. Because | :58:28. | :58:32. | |
politics is dull, what do we retreat to? The weather. Anybody | :58:32. | :58:36. | |
else in the world would think, what are these people on? It is | :58:36. | :58:41. | |
important! I am extremely interested. If it matters to your | :58:41. | :58:46. | |
garden, that is a thing... I grew up in a country where it was either | :58:46. | :58:51. | |
hot and wet or hot and dry. That is really dull weather for top thank | :58:51. | :58:54. | |
you. That's all for today. Thanks to our | :58:54. | :58:57. | |
guests. The One O'Clock News is starting over on BBC One now. I'll | :58:57. | :59:00. | |
be here with Andrew at 11.30am tomorrow with all the big political | :59:00. | :59:03. |