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Morning, folks. Welcome to yet another week of conference specials. | :00:36. | :00:44. | |
The Tories are in Manchester this year for their annual party shindig. | :00:44. | :00:47. | |
That's the queue for the hottest ticket in town, the Chancellor's | :00:47. | :00:54. | |
speech to conference. Maybe they are all sitting down already! He's | :00:54. | :00:58. | |
speech to conference. Maybe they are expected to take to the stage in | :00:58. | :01:01. | |
about 20 minutes' time, with a tough message for the long term unemployed | :01:01. | :01:05. | |
and a few sweeteners for the hardworking. Everybody loves a hard | :01:05. | :01:09. | |
worker! With all the economic indicators | :01:09. | :01:11. | |
worker! suggesting the economy's on the up, | :01:11. | :01:14. | |
he might even put a smile on his face. But don't hold your breath. | :01:14. | :01:17. | |
We'll be carrying George Osborne's speech live and uninterrupted. | :01:17. | :01:20. | |
His boss is looking happy, down to his shirt sleeves. He's got a tall | :01:20. | :01:24. | |
order ahead of him if wants an outright majority at the next | :01:24. | :01:28. | |
election. We'll be asking, does he stand a chance? | :01:28. | :01:33. | |
He looks like a nice chap but is this man the Conservatives' | :01:33. | :01:36. | |
deadliest enemy ever? We'll be talking pacts with UKIP. | :01:36. | :01:41. | |
And it seems David Cameron doesn't like our Adam's balls. | :01:41. | :01:51. | |
Who has got more balls, you or Mrs Thatcher? | :01:51. | :01:57. | |
All that in the next hour, and with us for the duration is the former | :01:57. | :02:00. | |
Conservative Party chairman, Norman Fowler. -- in the next hour and a | :02:00. | :02:04. | |
half. Welcome. This conference season has been notable for the | :02:04. | :02:07. | |
number of new policies which have been announced. The Liberal | :02:07. | :02:10. | |
Democrats and Labour both set out new ideas which they hope will form | :02:10. | :02:14. | |
part of their campaigns for the next election, and the Conservatives are | :02:14. | :02:17. | |
no different. They're trying to woo voters who want to get on in the | :02:17. | :02:21. | |
game of life. David Cameron wants to encourage marriage, and has made | :02:21. | :02:24. | |
good on his promise to recognise it in the tax system. Married and | :02:24. | :02:29. | |
civilly partnered couples will be able to share some of their unused | :02:29. | :02:32. | |
personal income tax allowance, potentially worth up to £200 a year. | :02:32. | :02:37. | |
The PM also says he wants to help potentially worth up to £200 a year. | :02:37. | :02:42. | |
people buy their own home. So phase two of the Government's Help to Buy | :02:42. | :02:45. | |
scheme will come into effect this week, three months ahead of | :02:45. | :02:48. | |
schedule, offering government loans of up to 20% of a home's value to | :02:48. | :02:53. | |
help people raise a deposit. But for people who are still jobless after | :02:53. | :02:56. | |
two years on the existing work programme, the government's new help | :02:56. | :03:00. | |
to work will mean a tougher regime as a condition for staying on | :03:00. | :03:05. | |
benefits. -- be Government's new Help to Work. One option will be | :03:06. | :03:10. | |
community work placements, like cleaning up litter. This morning the | :03:10. | :03:13. | |
Chancellor, George Osborne, said that the long term unemployed should | :03:13. | :03:16. | |
be taking up the jobs which are being created. And that is why we | :03:16. | :03:24. | |
are saying, look, you will not be able to do nothing in return for | :03:24. | :03:29. | |
your benefit any more. You will have to either turn up at the Jobcentre | :03:29. | :03:33. | |
everyday or you will have to undertake community work, or you | :03:33. | :03:36. | |
will have to get help for some underlying problem you might have | :03:37. | :03:41. | |
like a drug addiction or illiteracy. We will not leave behind any more a | :03:41. | :03:45. | |
generation on long-term unemployment, we will do everything | :03:45. | :03:48. | |
we can to help them into work. Norman Fowler, compassionate | :03:48. | :03:54. | |
conservatism, and is now the US style tough love? It is a variation | :03:54. | :03:59. | |
of the old American workfare scheme, which has been around for some time. | :04:00. | :04:05. | |
I think it is sensible, as far as younger people are concerned. Young | :04:05. | :04:10. | |
people who refuse all offers to go back to work. We have more problems | :04:10. | :04:14. | |
people who refuse all offers to go with older people, and particularly | :04:14. | :04:18. | |
when it comes to some things that have been mentioned like drug use. | :04:18. | :04:22. | |
The idea that you will have a sudden policy that will take them off drugs | :04:22. | :04:31. | |
does not work, we all know that. As a general policy, I think it is a | :04:31. | :04:35. | |
good idea. It sounds like it has a few holes in it? Any policy of that | :04:35. | :04:42. | |
kind has a few questions, obviously. One of the questions is about who, | :04:42. | :04:49. | |
indeed, it covers. In the vast majority of cases, I think it will | :04:49. | :04:55. | |
work well. These people have been unemployed for a long time, | :04:55. | :05:00. | |
obviously there will be a number of shysters in there as well, but a lot | :05:00. | :05:04. | |
just have not been able to get work, they are the most vulnerable in some | :05:04. | :05:09. | |
of the poorest in society. Will we really say, if you don't do what we | :05:09. | :05:12. | |
want, we will take your benefits away and threw them on to the | :05:13. | :05:18. | |
streets? You will have to have tough sanctions of one kind. You put one | :05:18. | :05:23. | |
group, the other group are the ones working on the black economy. When I | :05:23. | :05:27. | |
was doing the employment job, there were lots of people working on the | :05:27. | :05:31. | |
black economy and claiming unemployment benefit at the same | :05:31. | :05:36. | |
time. I think you have to look at that. I don't think you will be able | :05:36. | :05:40. | |
to wave a magic wand and everything will go, it does not matter who is | :05:40. | :05:45. | |
in power, but doing it this way is a very sensible step to having a | :05:45. | :05:50. | |
policy as far as long-term unemployment is concerned. You don't | :05:50. | :05:55. | |
want people in their 20s to remain unemployed for the rest of their | :05:55. | :05:58. | |
life, basically. George Osborne will be taking to | :05:58. | :06:01. | |
stage in about 15 minutes' time. We're joined now by the Treasury | :06:01. | :06:08. | |
Minister, David Gauke. Treasury Secretary, the previous big flagship | :06:08. | :06:15. | |
scheme of this coalition, welfare to work, has not worked, so why will | :06:15. | :06:23. | |
this? The work programme has been effective. Something like 72 per | :06:23. | :06:27. | |
cent of those who have been on it have come off benefits at one point | :06:27. | :06:31. | |
or other. We are except that there are those who, having gone through | :06:31. | :06:35. | |
the work programme, are still unemployed and we need something in | :06:35. | :06:40. | |
place to ensure that we have something to address that. I think | :06:40. | :06:44. | |
it is perfectly reasonable in those circumstances to identify one in | :06:44. | :06:51. | |
three routes whereby people make themselves available to work. On the | :06:51. | :06:58. | |
welfare to work scheme, in the first year, according to the Department | :06:58. | :07:02. | |
running it, the scheme was so bad that it was worse than doing things. | :07:02. | :07:06. | |
People who weren't part of the scheme got more jobs than those who | :07:06. | :07:12. | |
work part. In the years two 13, you failed to hit your minimum targets. | :07:12. | :07:20. | |
-- two and three. Why will this work better? That is not a fair | :07:20. | :07:26. | |
representation. The work programme is focused on those most difficult | :07:26. | :07:31. | |
to get back to work. Evidence is emerging that more people are | :07:31. | :07:34. | |
working as a consequence of the programme, so I don't accept that. | :07:34. | :07:39. | |
But nonetheless, at the end of a two year work programme there is an | :07:39. | :07:43. | |
issue that there will still be people unemployed, and it is right | :07:43. | :07:47. | |
that we put in place something that is fair to the general taxpayer who | :07:47. | :07:53. | |
are funding the benefits, after all, but which is also a route through | :07:53. | :07:57. | |
which the long-term unemployed put something back into society and get | :07:57. | :08:03. | |
habits of working. And where more intensive help is necessary, that | :08:03. | :08:08. | |
help should be provided. And if they don't take that help, you will take | :08:08. | :08:13. | |
benefits away from some of the poorest and most vulnerable in | :08:13. | :08:19. | |
society? Yes, because it isn't right that people who receive benefits do | :08:19. | :08:23. | |
nothing in response. I think it is per fairly reasonable to say that | :08:23. | :08:29. | |
you can only receive jobseeker's allowance if you do something, and | :08:29. | :08:33. | |
either that is attending Jobcentres, demonstrating that you are looking | :08:33. | :08:38. | |
for work, or community work for 30 hours a week plus ten hours a week | :08:38. | :08:44. | |
looking for work, or we provide mandatory support to deal with | :08:44. | :08:48. | |
issues such as drug or alcohol dependency or a literacy or | :08:48. | :08:52. | |
whatever. And if they end up on the streets, that will be a price worth | :08:52. | :08:58. | |
paying for your policy? We are saying that you can continue to | :08:58. | :09:01. | |
receive support, but with conditions. I don't think it is in | :09:01. | :09:06. | |
reasonable when tax payers' money is being spent supporting people who | :09:06. | :09:08. | |
reasonable when tax payers' money is have been unemployed for three years | :09:08. | :09:14. | |
or more, to say that we can get the -- give them the support but we | :09:14. | :09:19. | |
expect something in return. Wages have failed to keep pace with prices | :09:19. | :09:23. | |
since you have been in coalition. Labour would help freeze energy | :09:23. | :09:28. | |
prices to help cope with the cost of living, what would you do? We are | :09:28. | :09:33. | |
taking lots of measures to help in terms of increasing the personal | :09:33. | :09:37. | |
allowance, taking people out of income tax, freezing council tax, | :09:37. | :09:44. | |
freezing fuel duty, there is a long list of things. But living standards | :09:44. | :09:46. | |
are still being squeezed, what else list of things. But living standards | :09:46. | :09:51. | |
would you do? You can't divorce a discussion about living standards, | :09:51. | :09:55. | |
and I accept that these are difficult times for many people, | :09:55. | :09:59. | |
from the state of the economy. We have got to have a strong economy, | :09:59. | :10:02. | |
get economic growth, deal with the long-term issues that we are faced | :10:02. | :10:08. | |
with, such as high levels of borrowing, and we need to bring that | :10:08. | :10:13. | |
down and start addressing debt. All of these are important. There is an | :10:13. | :10:19. | |
idea that you can sin has separate the issue of living standards from | :10:19. | :10:24. | |
where the economy is and making the right issue for the economy -- you | :10:24. | :10:29. | |
can somehow separate. It is wrong. Labour have lost the big economic | :10:29. | :10:33. | |
argument and they want to move onto something else. Living standards | :10:33. | :10:37. | |
matter, but it is as the consequence of a strong economy that we get | :10:37. | :10:43. | |
these rises in living standards. Labour will freeze gas and | :10:43. | :10:49. | |
electricity prices, you have cut the tax on beer, so that is OK? As far | :10:49. | :10:58. | |
as Labour's policy on freezing electricity prices, you know as well | :10:58. | :11:03. | |
side to the flaws in that policy. We have two look at some of the | :11:03. | :11:08. | |
long-term pressures, to look at the causes. We can debate for a very | :11:08. | :11:13. | |
long time the flaws in Labour's policy, but we have increased the | :11:13. | :11:19. | |
personal allowance and that has made a very big difference. £700 cash | :11:19. | :11:24. | |
difference to millions of taxpayers, that is real help. The | :11:24. | :11:30. | |
Prime Minister promised that he would legislate to put everybody on | :11:30. | :11:35. | |
the lowest tariff. What happened to that? It has not happened. We are | :11:35. | :11:44. | |
doing that. You are not. We are legislating in order to ensure that | :11:44. | :11:49. | |
happens. That we get the lowest tariff provided to consumers. That | :11:49. | :11:56. | |
is genuine. I have looked at the legislation, it does not promise and | :11:56. | :12:02. | |
does not force the energy companies to put everybody on the lowest | :12:02. | :12:05. | |
tariff, which is what the Prime Minister promised. We are ensuring | :12:05. | :12:12. | |
that everybody is put on the lowest tariff. That is the approach we are | :12:12. | :12:16. | |
taking, that is on top of a whole range of measures. Energy prices, | :12:16. | :12:24. | |
Labour are committed to a decarbonisation target by 2013, that | :12:24. | :12:30. | |
will put £125 on energy bills. It is not helping to address energy costs | :12:30. | :12:36. | |
in the long-term. So you will cut green levies? Lou Mark Roe we are | :12:36. | :12:41. | |
not committed to the decarbonisation target, it would act to electricity | :12:41. | :12:48. | |
prices. We will hear from Ed Miliband that they will freeze | :12:48. | :12:57. | |
energy prices, it is not coherent. When, by law, will everybody be on | :12:57. | :13:04. | |
the lowest tariff? I can't give you a date for that. That is the policy | :13:04. | :13:08. | |
we are approaching. Why not? Our a date for that. That is the policy | :13:08. | :13:13. | |
bills are about to go up this autumn. British Gas is threatening | :13:13. | :13:19. | |
huge rises. The only direct solution is to put us on the lowest tariff. I | :13:19. | :13:22. | |
don't think the legislation does that, by the way, but I would like a | :13:22. | :13:27. | |
date from you as to when that will happen, because people will suffer | :13:27. | :13:33. | |
this winter. I will not give you a date here and now. I will check the | :13:33. | :13:37. | |
position on that. The reality is that if we are going to get | :13:37. | :13:39. | |
position on that. The reality is long-term energy prices down, not | :13:39. | :13:44. | |
just for 20 months but 20 years, we need to ensure there is proper | :13:44. | :13:49. | |
competition, we need to ensure... Why haven't you done that? We are | :13:49. | :13:55. | |
always looking at what we can do. Let me ask you this, if you are | :13:55. | :14:01. | |
trying to improve competition, why is it that base energy prices for | :14:01. | :14:05. | |
gas and electricity before you add the green levies and taxes, why are | :14:05. | :14:11. | |
they in Britain among the highest base prices in Europe? If you have a | :14:11. | :14:15. | |
competitive energy market? If you base prices in Europe? If you have a | :14:15. | :14:22. | |
look at energy prices as a whole, the UK is pretty well mid-table. We | :14:22. | :14:24. | |
look at energy prices as a whole, don't have particularly high... That | :14:24. | :14:31. | |
is after tax. Before tax, our base energy prices are the highest. If | :14:31. | :14:39. | |
you look at the overall position, the UK doesn't have the highest. | :14:39. | :14:43. | |
They are higher than we would like and we want to make sure we get | :14:43. | :14:49. | |
competition and we don't impose a decarbonisation target that will | :14:49. | :14:52. | |
make things worse. A freeze, as we heard last week, if anything, is | :14:52. | :14:59. | |
likely to result in energy companies jacking up prices rather than | :14:59. | :15:03. | |
reducing them. It is not a sustainable approach and the | :15:03. | :15:06. | |
government is doing a lot for living standards but we cannot divorce it | :15:06. | :15:10. | |
from the big economic argument, how do we get growth and deal with the | :15:10. | :15:19. | |
deficit? There is a problem here for the Conservatives, Norman. You can | :15:19. | :15:22. | |
have your view on the economics of freezing energy prices, but it is | :15:22. | :15:27. | |
good politics, whichever way you look at it. The Conservatives, from | :15:27. | :15:31. | |
that performance, have nothing specific to counter it, other than a | :15:31. | :15:37. | |
general "the economy is recovering and living standards will rise when | :15:37. | :15:47. | |
it does" . Yes, but Ed Miliband has opened an opportunity for the | :15:47. | :15:51. | |
Conservative Party here, because he has gone back to the 1970s - price | :15:51. | :15:57. | |
control, price regulation, all of that. You and I remember that sort | :15:57. | :16:01. | |
of thing and the apparatus that went with it. That has put clear blue | :16:01. | :16:07. | |
water between the two parties. It gives an enormous opportunity to the | :16:07. | :16:13. | |
Tory party. But in the 1970s, you had Roy Hattersley running a price | :16:13. | :16:17. | |
commission, trying to control the price of sugar and tea and all the | :16:17. | :16:22. | |
rest. Even he admits that that was nonsense. That is not what Labour | :16:22. | :16:25. | |
are proposing. They are saying the energy market does not work. The | :16:25. | :16:30. | |
energy minister said so as well. So let's have a 20 month freeze on | :16:30. | :16:35. | |
energy prices while we get the market to work. And there there will | :16:35. | :16:39. | |
be a 20 month freeze on some other price. But the energy market is a | :16:39. | :16:51. | |
cartel. But it is a complete contrast in the way the two parties | :16:51. | :16:55. | |
would look at the position. I accept that there has been a response from | :16:55. | :17:00. | |
the government to Ed Miliband, but if you go forward a few months, you | :17:00. | :17:05. | |
will find that that is not how the public feel about it. They don't | :17:05. | :17:16. | |
want to go back to price controls. They have seen energy prices rise in | :17:16. | :17:24. | |
real terms by 40% since 2007. And of course, we are not in control of | :17:24. | :17:29. | |
that and neither are the energy companies, but they say that when | :17:29. | :17:32. | |
the wholesale price of gas goes up, their bills go up. When the price | :17:32. | :17:37. | |
comes down, their bills don't go down, so it is a popular thing to | :17:37. | :17:40. | |
say there something wrong with the market if prices are that sticky. | :17:40. | :17:46. | |
Let's freeze them for a brief period and sort out the market. It is | :17:46. | :17:57. | |
immediate and popular, but does the government start intervening in the | :17:57. | :18:01. | |
market? I am not saying the market is working perfectly, but there are | :18:01. | :18:09. | |
different ways of tackling that. Which the coalition is not doing. | :18:09. | :18:12. | |
The minister could tell is nothing they are doing to improve the energy | :18:12. | :18:17. | |
market. But you gave him a very tough interview. He was a treasure | :18:17. | :18:23. | |
in minister. Are the Treasury across everything? You can't expect to be | :18:23. | :18:34. | |
an expert on everything. He is running the country. My point is | :18:34. | :18:44. | |
that there is a big contrast in the way the two parties are looking at | :18:44. | :18:48. | |
it, whether you go with a market approach or government intervention. | :18:48. | :18:56. | |
You are still very lively. Time for our daily quiz. The question is, | :18:56. | :19:00. | |
which Tory cabinet Minister has spent time at a £2500 fat farm in | :19:00. | :19:09. | |
Austria? Was it George Osborne, Eric Pickles, Patrick McLoughlin or | :19:09. | :19:14. | |
Michael Gove? At the end of the show, Norman will give us the | :19:14. | :19:25. | |
correct answer. Will I? So, what is the mood like in beautiful | :19:25. | :19:29. | |
Manchester? Who better to tell us than two of Fleet Street's finest? | :19:29. | :19:32. | |
Sadly, they were not available. Instead with, we have the | :19:33. | :19:38. | |
Spectator's James Forsyth and Rachel Sylvester from the Times. Rachel, | :19:38. | :19:48. | |
are they talking a lot about the possibility of a constituency by | :19:48. | :19:52. | |
constituency electoral pact with UKIP? Nigel Farage is here today, so | :19:52. | :19:58. | |
UKIP are dominating the whole thing. I don't think the Tories have worked | :19:58. | :20:01. | |
out how to deal with him and the way in which local MPs will want to make | :20:01. | :20:06. | |
deals with UKIP. We interviewed George Osborne last week, and he | :20:06. | :20:11. | |
said the Tories had to win an overall majority. But he would not | :20:11. | :20:16. | |
go into what would happen if an individual MP made a deal. He would | :20:16. | :20:20. | |
not say whether or not they would be sacked. They are trying to work out | :20:21. | :20:27. | |
what is realistic. It is a rum do, James, if a leader of a minor party | :20:27. | :20:32. | |
can come to the giant Tory party and dominate events even though he is | :20:32. | :20:37. | |
not allowed in the conference? UKIP is only part of the problem the | :20:37. | :20:42. | |
Tories have to deal with, but if you go to a fringe, it is what the | :20:42. | :20:47. | |
activists want to talk about. The reason for that is, you have seen | :20:47. | :20:52. | |
Tory activists going over to UKIP. They all know someone who now votes | :20:52. | :20:58. | |
UKIP. That is why it is creating a problem. I think to be's | :20:58. | :21:05. | |
intervention by Nigel Farage is actually a weakness. He is admitting | :21:05. | :21:10. | |
that the best UKIP can hope for is to come top in the European | :21:10. | :21:14. | |
elections. He is saying, if we come top in the European elections, I | :21:14. | :21:23. | |
will pull the dogs off after that. It is creating a strangely retro | :21:23. | :21:26. | |
atmosphere here. It is all marriage, tax allowances. There is Maggie beer | :21:26. | :21:37. | |
for sale. The Tories are almost caught in the headlights of UKIP, | :21:37. | :21:40. | |
and the danger is that they are alienating more centrist voters who | :21:40. | :21:44. | |
would otherwise be attracted to them, those who were originally | :21:44. | :21:47. | |
attracted to the more compassionate conservatism that David Cameron | :21:47. | :21:53. | |
offered. James, you are about to become a dad, you will need one of | :21:53. | :22:02. | |
those iron baby T-shirts. I think you will see the Tories trying to | :22:02. | :22:06. | |
mix up these messages designed to appeal to UKIP voters, whether on | :22:06. | :22:11. | |
the European Commission of human rights, combined with more centrist | :22:11. | :22:14. | |
messages on health and education. The big challenge for Tories is what | :22:15. | :22:18. | |
to do about the cost of living. George Osborne is trying to say it | :22:18. | :22:21. | |
is really about the economy and that you can't trust Labour with the cost | :22:22. | :22:26. | |
of living. But if you talk to the Tories here from the most marginal | :22:26. | :22:31. | |
seats, they will say this energy price freeze announcement has cut | :22:31. | :22:35. | |
through, and they need a better response to that. Rachel, at least | :22:35. | :22:45. | |
Labour has come up with something specific and easily understood. If | :22:45. | :22:50. | |
you vote for Labour, your energy prices will not rise for 20 months. | :22:50. | :22:55. | |
You go have a debate about before or after that, but the 20 months, they | :22:55. | :22:59. | |
are frozen. Is it enough for the Conservatives to talk in general | :22:59. | :23:05. | |
terms by saying with an economic recovery, you're living standards | :23:05. | :23:10. | |
will recover? It is a bit vague. I don't think it is enough. It is all | :23:10. | :23:14. | |
very well going on about a global raise, but if people are hobbling to | :23:14. | :23:18. | |
the corner shop to get a pint of milk, they don't care about a global | :23:18. | :23:22. | |
raise will stop there sometimes a lack of urgency in the way they talk | :23:22. | :23:27. | |
about the cost of living issues. They need to understand that people | :23:27. | :23:31. | |
asked ugly. They say they understand, but they have not | :23:31. | :23:35. | |
demonstrated that people are struggling in their policies. These | :23:35. | :23:40. | |
speeches are leaked so far in advance that we already know what is | :23:40. | :23:44. | |
in them, but has he got something up his sleeve? Mr Miliband had the | :23:44. | :23:49. | |
energy freeze up his sleeve for the last minute. Do we get is a prize to | :23:49. | :23:56. | |
keep is interested? He will want to emphasise the welfare issue. The | :23:56. | :24:02. | |
Tories can't do fairness through tax cuts, so they will try and do it | :24:02. | :24:07. | |
through rebalancing the system and ending be something for nothing | :24:07. | :24:10. | |
culture. George Osborne is taken with how popular the benefits cap | :24:10. | :24:14. | |
has been, and he is looking for a repeat of that success. Rachel, what | :24:14. | :24:19. | |
is the overall mood that? The Conservatives have had a good | :24:20. | :24:21. | |
summer, partly because Labour had a Conservatives have had a good | :24:21. | :24:25. | |
bad summer. The economy is recovering on a broad range of | :24:25. | :24:29. | |
indicators, but they still face this index all mountain to climb for an | :24:30. | :24:31. | |
indicators, but they still face this overall majority. So are they | :24:31. | :24:37. | |
confident, depressed? Do they think it could be another hung parliament? | :24:37. | :24:42. | |
They seem a bit thrown in. They were thrown by the Ed Miliband | :24:43. | :24:44. | |
announcement on price freezes. They thrown by the Ed Miliband | :24:44. | :24:49. | |
are convinced that it is wrong, but they don't seem to know how to deal | :24:49. | :24:52. | |
with it tactically. They are thrown by the UKIP threat, and the feeling | :24:52. | :25:02. | |
is slightly dis- combo dilated. -- this combo plate. That is a good | :25:02. | :25:07. | |
American word. The Tory party is not sure to celebrate the fact that | :25:07. | :25:11. | |
there is now clear red water between them and Labour or whether the | :25:11. | :25:17. | |
centre ground has shifted so that they need to be careful about how to | :25:17. | :25:23. | |
respond to Ed Miliband. The announcement on price freezes is | :25:23. | :25:29. | |
clearly politically popular. Cameron is also trying to reassure his party | :25:29. | :25:32. | |
that he really does want image are the. He will have to get the message | :25:32. | :25:39. | |
across that he is not just banking on another coalition with Nick Clegg | :25:39. | :25:44. | |
and will really try to win. So they are talking about things they know | :25:44. | :25:48. | |
the Lib Dems will not agree on, like the human rights act. It is also | :25:48. | :25:50. | |
about, whose side are you on? David the human rights act. It is also | :25:50. | :25:56. | |
Cameron was worried that the Tories would be seen as being on the side | :25:56. | :25:58. | |
Cameron was worried that the Tories of the big energy companies rather | :25:58. | :25:59. | |
than the consumer. It is about of the big energy companies rather | :25:59. | :26:05. | |
showing that you are on the side of the hard-working families, misspelt, | :26:05. | :26:14. | |
as my colleague noted. But can they demonstrate that with their | :26:14. | :26:19. | |
speeches, that they are on the side of ordinary people, rather than the | :26:19. | :26:25. | |
wealthy elite? Or big business, the energy companies and the banks and | :26:25. | :26:30. | |
the wealthy donors who support the Tory party? James, should we read | :26:30. | :26:36. | |
anything into the fact that it is George Osborne making the | :26:36. | :26:41. | |
announcement, not Iain Duncan Smith, the welfare secretary? George | :26:41. | :26:47. | |
Osborne is a man with political ambitions and he knows this will be | :26:47. | :26:51. | |
popular with the country. He is dammed if he is going to let someone | :26:51. | :26:58. | |
else have it. And MP said to me this morning, by George, George's stock | :26:58. | :27:03. | |
is rising. Perhaps people wrote him off a year ago, but now he is | :27:04. | :27:08. | |
gaining popularity in the party. If he can be the man who takes the | :27:08. | :27:12. | |
credit for a recovery, he will be back in the running for the | :27:12. | :27:16. | |
leadership. But the Tory leadership is a marathon, not a sprint. With | :27:16. | :27:20. | |
the omnishambles Budget, George Osborne over. He has now dusted | :27:20. | :27:24. | |
himself down and he will be a contender when Cameron decides to | :27:24. | :27:29. | |
go. But that depends on the Tories winning the next election. Osborne | :27:29. | :27:33. | |
and Cameron's fortunes are so in extra doubly linked that if the | :27:33. | :27:36. | |
Tories lose the election in 2015, that is the end for George Osborne. | :27:36. | :27:41. | |
But if the Tories win that overall majority, there will not be a | :27:41. | :27:45. | |
leadership contest, according to Mrs Cameron, because she says she wants | :27:45. | :27:46. | |
leadership contest, according to Mrs her husband to stay in power until | :27:46. | :27:51. | |
2020, and she is a powerful woman. I don't think any prime minister who | :27:51. | :27:57. | |
has just won his first overall majority would want to stand down | :27:57. | :28:01. | |
straight. Cameron would want to keep going. But is he the prime minister | :28:01. | :28:08. | |
who finally manages to leave the stage with the crowd wanting more? | :28:08. | :28:13. | |
If he does win a second term, the European referendum will be an | :28:13. | :28:21. | |
obvious sticking point. If he wins that, he will be able to say, I have | :28:21. | :28:23. | |
settled the historic question of that, he will be able to say, I have | :28:24. | :28:28. | |
Britain's relationship with Europe. That might be the time for him to | :28:28. | :28:33. | |
retire. I would not read too much into the 2020 comment. But he would | :28:33. | :28:38. | |
also have to resign if he gets an overall majority, he goes to | :28:38. | :28:43. | |
Europe, the renegotiations are not successful, he has a referendum in | :28:43. | :28:46. | |
which little changes with our relationship with Brussels, and he | :28:46. | :28:51. | |
loses the referendum? Then he is toast, is neat? The referendum | :28:51. | :28:55. | |
pledge may come back to bite on. It may keep the right-wingers happy for | :28:55. | :29:02. | |
now, but in the end, he will have to be in the yes camp and say that he | :29:02. | :29:08. | |
has got adequate reforms from Europe. And a lot of his party will | :29:08. | :29:13. | |
want to be in the no camp. So it could end up dividing the Tory party | :29:13. | :29:18. | |
in an attempt to bring unity in the short term. You have got to think, | :29:18. | :29:27. | |
how much back does Brussels -- how much back from Brussels does David | :29:27. | :29:30. | |
Cameron needs to get to stay in the EU? That is an awful lot, and it | :29:30. | :29:35. | |
might be more than is on offer. James, is it possible that some | :29:35. | :29:41. | |
individual Tory MPs on the very Eurosceptic wing will try to do a | :29:41. | :29:48. | |
constituency deal with UKIP? I think you will see a handful of them do a | :29:48. | :29:54. | |
deal with UKIP. You will see a lot more of them make a play to UKIP | :29:54. | :29:59. | |
voters, saying, I will be campaigning for Britain to leave in | :29:59. | :30:04. | |
the referendum, so vote for me. It will be like 1997, when you saw Tory | :30:04. | :30:09. | |
MPs who had a particular referendum party problem, including David | :30:09. | :30:16. | |
Cameron. And the Conservative Party HQ turned a blind eye. And will UKIP | :30:16. | :30:21. | |
have enough candidates to stand people in every seat? They will have | :30:21. | :30:24. | |
to choose the constituencies where they have a hope of doing reasonably | :30:25. | :30:46. | |
well. You would have thought they might back off from some | :30:46. | :30:48. | |
constituencies where there are very tough, Eurosceptic Tory MPs. I know | :30:48. | :30:51. | |
you want to see the Chancellor in action. Karren Brady is still | :30:51. | :30:53. | |
talking. But is why the Chancellor is ten minutes late on his allotted | :30:53. | :30:56. | |
time to speak. If you could ask the wind-up, we would be grateful. Other | :30:56. | :31:04. | |
than the leader's speech, the Chancellor's speech is usually the | :31:04. | :31:12. | |
biggest? Like you, I am intrigued that it is the Chancellor making | :31:12. | :31:13. | |
biggest? Like you, I am intrigued this big announcement about | :31:13. | :31:19. | |
welfare. You would have been mightily annoyed if you're | :31:19. | :31:22. | |
Chancellor had taken that away from you? I think I might have been. I | :31:22. | :31:27. | |
think Nigel Lawson and I would have had yet another of our periodic | :31:27. | :31:34. | |
disagreements. I'm intrigued by that. I was also intrigued by what | :31:34. | :31:39. | |
everyone is saying about UKIP. Frankly, we have been around this | :31:39. | :31:47. | |
course before with the Liberals, the Referendum Party and a bit with the | :31:47. | :31:52. | |
1997 election, which was not spectacularly successful, when | :31:52. | :31:55. | |
people said we will divide in the party. I think as far as UKIP is | :31:55. | :32:03. | |
concerned, it makes no sense for us to go into any kind of alliance | :32:03. | :32:06. | |
locally, nationally or anywhere else, because it gives | :32:06. | :32:10. | |
respectability to UKIP. We are talking about the right-wing of the | :32:11. | :32:15. | |
Conservative Party, that any alliance with UKIP brings into play | :32:15. | :32:21. | |
the centre and the left of the Conservative Party. They will not | :32:21. | :32:25. | |
want that, people like me don't want that. If you were still party | :32:25. | :32:30. | |
chairman and you learned that a right-wing, Eurosceptic Tory MP was | :32:30. | :32:34. | |
doing an electoral pact with UKIP, what would you do? Bring him in, say | :32:35. | :32:40. | |
it is an accept the book and if he continued, you would have to get rid | :32:41. | :32:45. | |
of him, it is that straightforward -- bring him in, say it is not | :32:45. | :32:51. | |
acceptable. Here is George Osborne at last. | :32:51. | :33:02. | |
Thank you, Karren Brady, that was a brilliant introduction. You're | :33:02. | :33:09. | |
hired! At every party conference, since the | :33:09. | :33:14. | |
election, as we have gathered, the At every party conference, since the | :33:15. | :33:19. | |
question for us, the question for me, the question for our country, | :33:19. | :33:26. | |
has, is economic plan working? They are not asking that question now. | :33:26. | :33:33. | |
The deficit down by a surge, exports doubled to China, taxpayers' money | :33:33. | :33:40. | |
back from the banks, not going in. 1.4 million new jobs created by | :33:40. | :33:45. | |
businesses, 1000 new jobs announced in this city today. Our plan is | :33:45. | :33:57. | |
working. We held our nerve in the face of | :33:57. | :34:02. | |
huge pressure. Now Britain is turning a corner. And that is down | :34:02. | :34:10. | |
to the resolve and the sacrifice of the people of this country. And, for | :34:10. | :34:16. | |
that, we owe the British people a huge, heartfelt thank you. Thanks to | :34:16. | :34:26. | |
you, Britain is on the right track. So now families working hard to get | :34:26. | :34:31. | |
on, anxious about the future, are asking these questions start can we | :34:31. | :34:36. | |
make the recovery last? Will I feel it in my pocket? My approach has | :34:36. | :34:41. | |
always been to be straight with people. So let me answer these | :34:41. | :34:46. | |
questions directly. Yes, we can make the recovery a lasting one. But it | :34:46. | :34:52. | |
won't happen by it self. We have to deal with our debts and see through | :34:52. | :34:58. | |
our plan. Yes, if the recovery is sustained, then families. To feel | :34:58. | :35:02. | |
better off. Because what matters most for living standards are jobs | :35:02. | :35:07. | |
and lower mortgage rates and lower taxes. Family finances will not be | :35:07. | :35:16. | |
transformed overnight, because Britain was made much poorer by the | :35:16. | :35:21. | |
crash. That is what happens when you get a catastrophic failure of | :35:21. | :35:25. | |
economic policy of the kind we saw under Labour, when no one prepares | :35:25. | :35:28. | |
economic policy of the kind we saw in the boom for the bust, when the | :35:28. | :35:32. | |
banks get bailed out and when government budget spiral out of | :35:32. | :35:34. | |
control. We will never let that government budget spiral out of | :35:34. | :35:37. | |
happen to our country again. APPLAUSE | :35:37. | :35:47. | |
I share non-offer personal as I saw from the Leader of the Opposition | :35:47. | :35:54. | |
last week. For him, the global free market equates to a race to the | :35:54. | :36:00. | |
bottom, with the games being shared among a small and smaller group. -- | :36:00. | :36:08. | |
the gain being shared. That is the argument that Karl Marx made in Das | :36:08. | :36:19. | |
L. It is what socialist beliefs, but socialism brings this about and it | :36:19. | :36:22. | |
is the historic work of this party to put it right. Because attempts | :36:22. | :36:30. | |
is the historic work of this party crisis and confiscate wealth crush | :36:30. | :36:35. | |
endeavour and blight aspiration. And the people who suffer are not the | :36:36. | :36:40. | |
rich but the hundreds and thousands put out of work, the millions made | :36:40. | :36:46. | |
poorer, the generation whose lives are blighted. It is working people | :36:46. | :36:50. | |
who pay the price when the economy is ruined. That is what Labour did | :36:50. | :36:56. | |
to the workers, and the British people will never let them forget | :36:56. | :37:02. | |
it. And so, by contrast, I'm an optimist | :37:02. | :37:09. | |
about the world. I'm a believer in freedom and free markets. I see the | :37:09. | :37:17. | |
global economy growing. I see hundreds of people in places like | :37:17. | :37:20. | |
India and China leaving grinding poverty to join it. That is | :37:20. | :37:26. | |
something to celebrate. It doesn't have to be a threat to this country. | :37:26. | :37:32. | |
It is a huge opportunity. But we have to understand that the Wealth | :37:32. | :37:35. | |
of nations depends on some basic truths. Jobs are only created when | :37:35. | :37:43. | |
people build businesses that are successful and can expand. Exports | :37:43. | :37:45. | |
only happen if those businesses are making things that others in the | :37:45. | :37:49. | |
only happen if those businesses are world wants to buy. Investment only | :37:49. | :37:54. | |
flows if your country is a more attractive place to do business than | :37:54. | :37:55. | |
flows if your country is a more other countries. And the wealth this | :37:55. | :37:59. | |
creates could be spread widely across the nation, but only when | :37:59. | :38:04. | |
every child gets a good education, when each adult has the incentive to | :38:04. | :38:08. | |
every child gets a good education, work and every family gets to keep | :38:08. | :38:13. | |
more of what they earn. And to achieve all these things, you need | :38:13. | :38:19. | |
to get the fundamentals right. The economic stability, sound public | :38:19. | :38:23. | |
finances, says banks, excellent schools and colleges, competitive | :38:24. | :38:29. | |
taxes, amazing science, welfare that works. There is no short cuts to any | :38:29. | :38:34. | |
of these things, just the hard graft of putting right what went so badly | :38:34. | :38:38. | |
wrong and forging a new attitude in this country that says, we are not | :38:38. | :38:43. | |
afraid of the future, because we intend to shape it. | :38:43. | :38:55. | |
So there is no feeling at this conference of a task completed or a | :38:55. | :39:03. | |
victory one. We know it is not over. Until we fix the addiction to debts | :39:03. | :39:07. | |
that got this country into this mess in the first place, it is not over. | :39:07. | :39:12. | |
Until we can help hard-working people to own a home, save and start | :39:12. | :39:17. | |
a business. Until we have helped the long-term unemployed, it is not | :39:17. | :39:19. | |
over. Until there is real faith that long-term unemployed, it is not | :39:19. | :39:23. | |
our children's lives will be better than our own, it is not over. The | :39:23. | :39:28. | |
battle to turn Britain around is not even close to being over, and we | :39:28. | :39:31. | |
will finish what we have started. APPLAUSE | :39:31. | :39:43. | |
What I offer is a serious plan for a grown-up country. An economic plan | :39:43. | :39:50. | |
What I offer is a serious plan for a for hard-working people that will | :39:50. | :39:55. | |
create jobs, keep mortgage rates low, let people keep more of their | :39:55. | :40:00. | |
income, tax-free. It is the only route to better living standards. | :40:00. | :40:06. | |
Without a credible economic plan, you don't have a living standards | :40:06. | :40:11. | |
plan. We understand that there can be no recovery for all if there is | :40:11. | :40:18. | |
no recovery at all. In Italy, the deadlock in Washington this week, | :40:18. | :40:23. | |
these are stark reminders that the debt crisis is not over. And yet the | :40:23. | :40:31. | |
last fortnight has shown there is no serious plan coming from any other | :40:31. | :40:39. | |
party. The liberal Democrats were jostling for position. I have to | :40:39. | :40:43. | |
tell you today, and click has informed us of his intention to form | :40:43. | :40:48. | |
a new coalition. For the first time, he is intending to create a | :40:48. | :40:52. | |
full working relationship with Vince Cable. | :40:52. | :40:52. | |
LAUGHTER Mind you, at their conference, Vince | :40:52. | :41:04. | |
Cable did something that was undeniably Tory. If I had been | :41:04. | :41:07. | |
there, I wouldn't have turned about the Lib Dem economic debate either! | :41:07. | :41:12. | |
At least they had an economic debate. Labour's economic | :41:12. | :41:17. | |
At least they had an economic announcements amounted to declaring | :41:17. | :41:22. | |
war on enterprise, tax rise on business and an apprenticeship | :41:22. | :41:24. | |
policy that turned out to be illegal. And then there was the | :41:24. | :41:30. | |
energy announcement that completely unravelled. Now, any politician | :41:30. | :41:35. | |
would love to tell you that they can wave a magic wand and freeze your | :41:35. | :41:40. | |
energy bill, everyone wants cheaper energy. That is why we are | :41:40. | :41:43. | |
legislating to put everyone on the cheapest tariff. But I will tell you | :41:44. | :41:48. | |
what happens when you draw up policy on the back of a fag packet - | :41:48. | :41:54. | |
companies will just jack up their prices before, so in the short-term, | :41:54. | :41:57. | |
prices go up, and companies would prices before, so in the short-term, | :41:57. | :41:59. | |
not invest this country and build the power station we need so, in the | :41:59. | :42:06. | |
long term, prices go up. That is Labour 's offer - get hammered with | :42:06. | :42:11. | |
high prices now, high prices later, higher prices for all. Don't worry, | :42:11. | :42:17. | |
there will be a phoney freeze on prices in between. How should I put | :42:17. | :42:19. | |
it? Britain can do better than that. Perhaps with all this talk of | :42:19. | :42:32. | |
blackouts, we have been a bit unfair on Ed Miliband's leadership. We used | :42:33. | :42:36. | |
blackouts, we have been a bit unfair to think light is on, but nobody's | :42:36. | :42:41. | |
home. Turns out we were only half right. | :42:41. | :42:46. | |
LAUGHTER . | :42:46. | :42:50. | |
Now, I remember when we were in opposition. We made commitments and | :42:50. | :42:53. | |
unworkable promises to abolish things like student fees. We felt | :42:53. | :42:59. | |
good at conferences like this. And then we lost elections. In David | :42:59. | :43:03. | |
Cameron got us to face the truth about the way we had come to be | :43:03. | :43:08. | |
seen. He forced us to be credible, to reach out to all parts of | :43:08. | :43:13. | |
society. Last week, Labour didn't do that. They retreated. Ed Miliband | :43:13. | :43:22. | |
said he could make all of our problems disappear and send a cheque | :43:22. | :43:23. | |
said he could make all of our in the post. It is not based on | :43:23. | :43:25. | |
truth. More borrowing and more debt in the post. It is not based on | :43:25. | :43:32. | |
remains their economic policy. But they no longer dare talk to the | :43:33. | :43:37. | |
British people about it. Instead, they would much rather talk about | :43:37. | :43:41. | |
the cost of living, as if the cost of living was somehow detached from | :43:41. | :43:47. | |
the performance of the economy. You ask the citizens of Greece what | :43:47. | :43:50. | |
happens to living standards when the economy fails. He asks on with a | :43:50. | :43:52. | |
happens to living standards when the mortgage what happens to their | :43:52. | :43:54. | |
happens to living standards when the living standards when mortgage rates | :43:54. | :43:59. | |
go up -- you ask someone with a mortgage. Just a 1 cent rise means | :43:59. | :44:05. | |
an extra £1000 on the average bill. You ask the citizens of this country | :44:05. | :44:09. | |
what would be disastrous for living standards and they would say higher | :44:09. | :44:14. | |
borrowing, higher welfare costs, higher taxes. These are not the | :44:14. | :44:17. | |
solution is to lower living standards, they are the cause of | :44:17. | :44:19. | |
them. This country is paying a very, very | :44:19. | :44:33. | |
high price for that lesson. If you want to know the consequences of an | :44:33. | :44:39. | |
Ed Miliband premiership, just look at a plan of the man who knows him | :44:39. | :44:49. | |
best, his brother. David Miliband - one, leave Parliament, two, leave | :44:49. | :44:55. | |
politics, three, leave the country, four dedicate your life to | :44:55. | :45:05. | |
international rescue. David and Ed Miliband, the greatest | :45:05. | :45:10. | |
sibling rivalry since the Bible. Kane and not very able. Now, our own | :45:10. | :45:18. | |
sibling rivalry since the Bible. rescue mission for the British | :45:18. | :45:19. | |
economy is far from complete. People rescue mission for the British | :45:19. | :45:25. | |
know the difference between a quick fix from and a credible economic | :45:25. | :45:30. | |
argument. Here is our serious plan for a grown-up country. First, sound | :45:30. | :45:36. | |
money. The bedrock of any sustained recovery and improved living | :45:36. | :45:41. | |
standards is economic stability. That is what the hard work and the | :45:41. | :45:45. | |
sacrifice of the last three years has been about. In that time, they | :45:45. | :45:51. | |
brought the deficit down by a third, and the British public know that | :45:51. | :45:55. | |
whoever is elected will face some very hard choices. Let me tell you | :45:55. | :46:02. | |
about the principles I bring to that task. Our country's problem is not | :46:02. | :46:07. | |
that it taxes too little, it is that its government spends too much. | :46:07. | :46:21. | |
While no responsible Chancellor ever rules out tax changes, I think it | :46:21. | :46:25. | |
can be done by reducing spending and capping welfare, not by raising | :46:25. | :46:31. | |
taxes. Surely the lesson of the last arcade is that it is not enough to | :46:31. | :46:35. | |
clean up the mess after it has happened will stop you have got to | :46:35. | :46:39. | |
take action before it happens. It should be obvious to anyone that in | :46:39. | :46:44. | |
the years running up to the crash, this country should have been | :46:44. | :46:47. | |
running a budget surplus. That is what we mean when we say they did | :46:47. | :46:52. | |
not fix the roof when the sun was shining. Let us never make that same | :46:52. | :47:02. | |
mistake again. Never again should anyone doing my job be so foolish | :47:02. | :47:07. | |
are so deluded, as to believe they have abolished the age-old cycle of | :47:07. | :47:14. | |
boom and bust. When we have dealt with Labour's deficit, we will have | :47:14. | :47:20. | |
a surplus in good times as insurance against difficult times ahead. And | :47:20. | :47:31. | |
provided that the recovery is sustained, our goal is to achieve | :47:31. | :47:36. | |
that surplus in the next Parliament. That will bear down on our debts, | :47:36. | :47:41. | |
prepare us for the next rainy day. It will require discipline and | :47:41. | :47:44. | |
spending control, because if we want to protect the things we care about, | :47:44. | :47:48. | |
like generous tensions and decent health care, and buying the best | :47:48. | :47:54. | |
equipment for the brave men and women who fight in our armed forces, | :47:54. | :47:58. | |
all of us have to confront the costs of modern government and cap working | :47:58. | :48:05. | |
age welfare bills. And only if we properly controlled public | :48:05. | :48:07. | |
expenditure will we be able to keep lowering taxes are hard-working | :48:07. | :48:13. | |
people in a way that lasts. I have never been for tax cuts that are | :48:13. | :48:19. | |
borrowed. I want low taxes that are paid for. We will also go on | :48:19. | :48:24. | |
investing in the essential infrastructure of our country, the | :48:24. | :48:29. | |
roads and railways and science and communications that are the backbone | :48:29. | :48:39. | |
of the future economy. So we should commit, alongside to running a | :48:39. | :48:41. | |
surplus and capping welfare, to grow our capital spending at least in | :48:41. | :48:44. | |
line with our national income. These principles will form the foundation | :48:44. | :48:45. | |
line with our national income. These of our public finance policy. I will | :48:46. | :48:52. | |
set out the details next year. For those who ask, is this necessary? , | :48:52. | :48:58. | |
I say, what is the alternative? To run a deficit for ever? To leave our | :48:58. | :49:04. | |
children with our debts? To leave Britain perilously exposed the next | :49:04. | :49:09. | |
time the storm comes? This crisis took us to the brink. If we don't | :49:09. | :49:14. | |
reduce our debts, the next could push us over. Let's learn from the | :49:14. | :49:18. | |
mistakes that got him phew into this mess. Let us about, never again. | :49:18. | :49:24. | |
This time, we will run a surplus and fix the roof when the sun shines. | :49:24. | :49:39. | |
First, our plan secures sound public finances. Second, it supports the | :49:40. | :49:44. | |
aspirations of hard-working people and let them keep more of the money | :49:44. | :49:51. | |
they earn. We are increasing to £10,000 the amount you can earn | :49:51. | :49:54. | |
before you pay a penny of income tax. That is a real achievement, | :49:55. | :50:00. | |
delivered in budget after budget by tax. That is a real achievement, | :50:00. | :50:03. | |
a Conservative Chancellor of the Exchequer. The Liberal Democrats | :50:03. | :50:13. | |
like to point out that during the election, David Cameron said he | :50:13. | :50:15. | |
like to point out that during the would love to increase the tax | :50:15. | :50:19. | |
allowance, but warned that it was not easy to afford. He did say that, | :50:19. | :50:25. | |
and he was right. The difficult thing is not increasing the tax free | :50:26. | :50:29. | |
allowance, the difficult thing is paying for it, but we have done it. | :50:29. | :50:35. | |
The result, and income tax cuts for 25 million people, equivalent to a | :50:36. | :50:39. | |
rise of almost 10% in the national minimum wage. Real money in | :50:39. | :50:44. | |
people's pockets. For we are the party of hard-working people. To | :50:44. | :50:50. | |
anyone who questions that, I say, go to the workplaces of Britain, like | :50:50. | :50:55. | |
the huge Morrisons in Sittingbourne. Meet the forklift truck drivers | :50:55. | :51:01. | |
there. Go to the war button factory. Meet the people who work | :51:01. | :51:07. | |
all hours. Hard-working people, better off because of Conservative | :51:07. | :51:12. | |
tax cuts. These are the people we stand alongside. And because we are | :51:12. | :51:25. | |
getting the public finances back under control, we have been able to | :51:25. | :51:30. | |
help in other ways, too. Freezing council tax, cutting beer duty, | :51:30. | :51:35. | |
tax-free childcare. Thanks to our prime minister, now a £1000 married | :51:35. | :51:41. | |
couple's allowance, two, a conservative is made and more than | :51:41. | :51:51. | |
delivered. -- a Conservative promise made and delivered. We have cut fuel | :51:51. | :51:57. | |
duty, abolished Labour's fuel escalator. I can tell you today that | :51:57. | :52:01. | |
provided we can find the savings to pay for it, I want to freeze fuel | :52:01. | :52:05. | |
duty for the rest of this Parliament. Conservatives don't just | :52:06. | :52:09. | |
talk about being on the side of hard-working people, we show it be | :52:09. | :52:13. | |
in day out in the policies we deliver. | :52:13. | :52:25. | |
Now, people aspire to keep more of their income tax-free. And many | :52:25. | :52:30. | |
aspire to run their own business and work for themselves. My parents | :52:30. | :52:38. | |
planned carefully, took a risk, set up a small manufacturing company | :52:38. | :52:39. | |
planned carefully, took a risk, set more than 40 years ago. The company | :52:39. | :52:47. | |
grew, they employed more people. In the life of the family business, the | :52:47. | :52:52. | |
orders won, the exports, these were the backdrop of my childhood. I am | :52:52. | :52:57. | |
hugely proud of what my parents achieved, and I am proud that they | :52:57. | :53:11. | |
are in this hall today. And you should know this about me. I will | :53:11. | :53:16. | |
always be on the side of those who use their savings, take a risk, put | :53:16. | :53:21. | |
everything on the line to set up their own company. Labour increased | :53:21. | :53:26. | |
small business tax, I have cut it. Labour were extending business rates | :53:27. | :53:31. | |
to the smallest firms, I have exempted them. Now our new | :53:31. | :53:34. | |
employment allowance will take a third of all businesses out of | :53:34. | :53:38. | |
paying national insurance altogether. We Conservatives are | :53:38. | :53:42. | |
nothing if we are not the party of small business, and that is the way | :53:42. | :53:55. | |
it is going to stay. And we are the party of homeownership, to. I am the | :53:55. | :54:02. | |
first person to say we must be vigilant in avoiding the mistakes of | :54:02. | :54:06. | |
the past. That is why I gave to the Bank of England the powers to stop | :54:06. | :54:09. | |
dangerous housing bubbles emerging. Bank of England the powers to stop | :54:09. | :54:13. | |
But too many people asked ill being denied the dream of owning their own | :54:13. | :54:18. | |
home -- they are still being denied. So instead of starting the next | :54:18. | :54:25. | |
phase of home buying next year, we are starting it next week. There are | :54:25. | :54:28. | |
some people, many living in the richest parts of London, who say we | :54:29. | :54:32. | |
shouldn't be doing these things. I have this to say. Take your | :54:32. | :54:39. | |
arguments down the road to where house prices have fallen for the | :54:39. | :54:43. | |
last five years. Take your arguments to Bury or Morecambe, where young | :54:43. | :54:47. | |
working couples are still living at home with their parents. Take your | :54:47. | :54:48. | |
working couples are still living at arguments to our great towns and | :54:49. | :54:52. | |
cities where there are families who have saved for years, earning decent | :54:52. | :54:57. | |
salaries, who can afford mortgage repayments, but can't possibly | :54:57. | :55:02. | |
afford it deposit being asked by the banks these days. Take your | :55:02. | :55:05. | |
arguments to those families and say this policy is not right, you | :55:05. | :55:10. | |
shouldn't be allowed to buy your own home. I will tell you what they will | :55:10. | :55:12. | |
shouldn't be allowed to buy your own say back. It is all right for you, | :55:12. | :55:16. | |
you have got your own home. We have been saving for years, what about | :55:16. | :55:20. | |
us? I know whose side this party is on. We are the party of love -- the | :55:20. | :55:40. | |
party of aspiration, and now the party of the Cameron's help to buy. | :55:40. | :55:45. | |
We are the party of homeownership, and we are going to let the country | :55:45. | :55:47. | |
We are the party of homeownership, know it. We will also make sure no | :55:47. | :55:58. | |
one is left behind as our economy recovers. Our goal is nothing short | :55:58. | :56:05. | |
of a recovery for all. That is the third part of our economic plan. | :56:05. | :56:10. | |
Lectures from the left on fairness, frankly, stick in the throat. Under | :56:10. | :56:14. | |
their government, the richest paid frankly, stick in the throat. Under | :56:14. | :56:17. | |
lower tax rates than their cleaners on tax avoidance boomed, inequality | :56:17. | :56:23. | |
increased, youth unemployment doubled, the gap between the north | :56:23. | :56:26. | |
and south grew and the number of households where no one worked | :56:26. | :56:30. | |
reached record levels. Fair? That was the fairest government of all. | :56:30. | :56:38. | |
-- the un-fairest government of all. Contrast that with what we have | :56:38. | :56:48. | |
done. When I say we, I mean we Conservatives. I sit at that cabinet | :56:48. | :56:55. | |
table, and I know who has really put forward the policies that are | :56:55. | :56:58. | |
delivering a fairer society. The pupil premium to support the most | :56:58. | :57:00. | |
disadvantaged children, that was Michael Gove's idea, front and | :57:00. | :57:06. | |
centre of the last Conservative manifesto. Our commitment on | :57:06. | :57:10. | |
international aid, delivered by Andrew Mitchell and Justin | :57:10. | :57:13. | |
Greening. Action on domestic violence, that is Theresa May. The | :57:13. | :57:17. | |
International campaign to get raped recognised as a war crime, led by | :57:17. | :57:22. | |
William Hague. New care standards for the elderly - Jeremy Hunt. The | :57:22. | :57:25. | |
anti-avoidance measures in budget after budget, they are the | :57:25. | :57:29. | |
painstaking work of our Conservative Treasury team, David Gauke and his | :57:29. | :57:36. | |
colleagues. Rights for gay people, the biggest rise in the state | :57:36. | :57:40. | |
pension, all delivered by Conservatives in government. And the | :57:40. | :57:43. | |
overhaul of our entire welfare system, making sure work always | :57:43. | :57:47. | |
pays, that is Iain Duncan Smith's life mission. These are all | :57:47. | :58:05. | |
achievements of a modern, reformed Conservative Party that we have | :58:05. | :58:10. | |
worked so hard together to create. But as we change our party and | :58:10. | :58:15. | |
govern our country, there is more to do. I am part of a generation of | :58:15. | :58:21. | |
Conservatives that came after the great struggles of the 1980s. That | :58:21. | :58:26. | |
government rescued the country from eight tales bling -- a tailspin into | :58:26. | :58:33. | |
decline. It renewed the foundations of cities like Manchester, but we | :58:33. | :58:34. | |
decline. It renewed the foundations should not pretend we got every | :58:34. | :58:39. | |
thing right. Old problems were solved, but new problems emerged. In | :58:39. | :58:43. | |
some parts of the country, workless nurse took hold and we did not do | :58:43. | :58:49. | |
enough to stop that -- workless nests. As a local member of | :58:49. | :58:51. | |
Parliament, I know some parts of the north of England, we still have to | :58:51. | :58:57. | |
work hard to overcome long memories of people who thought we did not | :58:57. | :58:59. | |
work hard to overcome long memories care. Labour made the problem of | :58:59. | :59:04. | |
welfare dependency worse. By the time they left office, 5 million | :59:04. | :59:09. | |
people were on out of work benefits. What a waste of life and talent, a | :59:09. | :59:13. | |
generation of people recycled through the job centre, collecting | :59:13. | :59:19. | |
their dole cheques year in year out. No one seemed to notice. And opened | :59:19. | :59:22. | |
or immigration policy meant those No one seemed to notice. And opened | :59:22. | :59:26. | |
running the country did not care, because there was always an | :59:26. | :59:28. | |
uncontrolled supplier of low skilled labour from abroad. Well, never | :59:28. | :59:34. | |
again. We have capped benefits and our work programme is getting people | :59:34. | :59:37. | |
into jobs. We have cut immigration by a third. What about the long-term | :59:37. | :59:45. | |
unemployed? Let us pledge here that we will not abandon them, as | :59:45. | :59:50. | |
previous governments did. Today, I can tell you about a new approach we | :59:50. | :59:55. | |
are calling helped to work. The first time, all long-term unemployed | :59:55. | :59:59. | |
people who are capable of work will be required to do something in | :59:59. | :00:02. | |
return for their benefits and to help them find work. They will do | :00:02. | :00:08. | |
useful work, putting something back into their community, making meals | :00:08. | :00:12. | |
for the elderly, clearing up litter, working for a local charity. Others | :00:12. | :00:13. | |
for the elderly, clearing up litter, will be made to attend a job centre | :00:13. | :00:18. | |
every working day. For those with underlying problems like drug | :00:18. | :00:22. | |
addiction and illiteracy, there will be an intensive regime of support. | :00:22. | :00:24. | |
addiction and illiteracy, there will No one will be it gnawed or left | :00:24. | :00:30. | |
without help. But no one will get something for nothing. Help to work, | :00:30. | :00:37. | |
and return, work for the dole. A fair welfare system is fair to those | :00:37. | :00:40. | |
who need it and fair to those who pay for it, too. | :00:40. | :00:53. | |
? la economic plan, sound finance, backing aspiration, no one left | :00:53. | :01:03. | |
behind, invested in the future -- our economic plan is. I am | :01:03. | :01:11. | |
drivelling to China, and when you visit metropolises like there's it | :01:11. | :01:14. | |
is hard not to be in awe of the scale of what is happening there, | :01:14. | :01:21. | |
the ambition and the drive. -- I am travelling to China. Some people say | :01:21. | :01:25. | |
that China is the sweatshop of the world and we should not compete, but | :01:25. | :01:30. | |
China is also now a huge market for our exports and a home of | :01:30. | :01:37. | |
innovation. This is a huge challenge for our country. If we get it right, | :01:37. | :01:40. | |
it is the key to our future prosperity. This is what the debate | :01:40. | :01:45. | |
about living standards is really all about. I don't want to see other | :01:45. | :01:50. | |
nations pushing the frontiers of science and invention and commerce | :01:50. | :01:51. | |
and explain to my children, that science and invention and commerce | :01:51. | :01:55. | |
used to be our country. I don't want to look back and say that I was part | :01:55. | :02:01. | |
of a generation that gave up and that we are poorer as a result. I | :02:01. | :02:04. | |
of a generation that gave up and don't have to be. The other day I | :02:04. | :02:07. | |
went to meet the people building a car that will travel at 1000 miles | :02:07. | :02:13. | |
an hour and break the land speed record. It is not being built in | :02:13. | :02:18. | |
Boston by some huge American defence company, it is not being built in | :02:19. | :02:23. | |
Beijing by the Chinese government. It is called the Bloodhound, built | :02:23. | :02:28. | |
in Bristol by British engineers, British apprentices and British | :02:28. | :02:34. | |
companies. That is why I say we are in charge of our own destiny. In | :02:34. | :02:42. | |
this great Railway Hall, can you imagine the Nation of Islam barred | :02:42. | :02:44. | |
in being able imagine the Nation of Islam barred | :02:44. | :05:17. | |
in being able We are at our best when we are optimists. We are at our | :05:17. | :05:25. | |
best when we have faith that our country's better days lie not behind | :05:25. | :05:28. | |
us, but ahead. We have fought hard battles these last three years, held | :05:28. | :05:35. | |
our nerve when all around, people urged us to give in. And I want | :05:35. | :05:39. | |
people to look back at these years and say yes, these were years of | :05:39. | :05:45. | |
difficult cuts and sacrifice, but this was also the time when I bought | :05:45. | :05:49. | |
my first home, set up my business, when our country invested in the | :05:49. | :05:53. | |
things that matter for our future. These were the years when we laid | :05:53. | :05:57. | |
the sound economic foundations on which better living standards are | :05:57. | :06:01. | |
built, the sound foundations without which better living standards cannot | :06:01. | :06:05. | |
be built. This is the time for a serious plan for a grown-up | :06:06. | :06:10. | |
country. We are turning Britain around and we say to the people of | :06:10. | :06:14. | |
this nation, we rescued the economy together, we will recover together, | :06:14. | :06:19. | |
and together, we will share in the rewards, for the Sun has started to | :06:19. | :06:22. | |
rise above the hill and the future looks brighter than it did just a | :06:22. | :06:26. | |
few dark years ago. Thank you very much. STUDIO: George Osborne | :06:26. | :06:44. | |
finishes his annual address to the Tory party faithful. He spoke for | :06:44. | :06:46. | |
finishes his annual address to the just over 35 minutes is. He offered | :06:46. | :06:51. | |
a serious plan for a grown-up country. He reminded not just the | :06:51. | :06:57. | |
Labour Party, but the Liberal Democrats that the debt crisis was | :06:57. | :07:03. | |
not over. He slipped in a little attack on Vince Cable, and I guess | :07:03. | :07:07. | |
that is because Mr Cable attacked the Tories a couple of weeks ago. | :07:07. | :07:17. | |
Interestingly, he promised that in the good years of a Conservative | :07:17. | :07:20. | |
government they would run a surplus rather than a smaller deficit. We | :07:20. | :07:23. | |
will look at how that might work. At rather than a smaller deficit. We | :07:23. | :07:27. | |
the moment they predict deficits for as far as the eye will see, but he | :07:27. | :07:33. | |
said they will build the roof when the sun shone. He said he would | :07:33. | :07:40. | |
freeze Friel -- fuel duty for the rest of Parliament. I imagine that | :07:40. | :07:47. | |
will be good for the heavy transport industry. He unveiled his plan for | :07:47. | :07:51. | |
workfare for the long-term unemployed, which has already been | :07:51. | :07:55. | |
heavily trailed. He did not use the phrase workfare, but behind closed | :07:55. | :07:57. | |
heavily trailed. He did not use the doors or in the corridors of | :07:57. | :08:02. | |
Manchester, that is what ministers are referring to it as. And he had a | :08:03. | :08:07. | |
plug for High Speed 2. He gave no sign that, despite the lack of | :08:07. | :08:12. | |
enthusiasm from Labour and a lot of resistance on his own side, he still | :08:12. | :08:17. | |
called the high-speed train from London to Birmingham and then | :08:17. | :08:21. | |
further north a great work of engineering. Interestingly, he | :08:21. | :08:24. | |
didn't get a round of applause for that. Listening to that has been my | :08:24. | :08:30. | |
guest, Norman Fowler. What did you that. Listening to that has been my | :08:31. | :08:37. | |
make of it? The problem with all these speeches as they have been in | :08:37. | :08:41. | |
the paper for at least 24 hours beforehand. In our day, we did not | :08:42. | :08:48. | |
do it that way. So the response from the audience was that much greater. | :08:48. | :08:54. | |
If, for example, the workfare proposals had come out of a clear | :08:54. | :08:58. | |
blue sky, I think the audience would have been cheering. Why do they do | :08:58. | :09:04. | |
that? Search me, is the answer. They so often get it wrong, the people | :09:04. | :09:09. | |
who spin in advance. They get not particularly good headlines to begin | :09:09. | :09:13. | |
with, then when the announcement comes it is yesterday's news. What | :09:13. | :09:18. | |
do you make of the statement that he will run surpluses in the good | :09:18. | :09:24. | |
years? I think it is sensible. I think it was a good speech. He has | :09:24. | :09:28. | |
the great advantage of being a better speaker than most | :09:28. | :09:34. | |
chancellors. He needs a new joke writer. It is difficult in those | :09:34. | :09:39. | |
circumstances, in quite a serious speech about the economy, to bring | :09:39. | :09:43. | |
out the great Morecambe and Weiss jokes. It is not that easy to do. I | :09:43. | :09:50. | |
was not raising the bar anywhere near Morecambe and Wise, just to be | :09:50. | :09:56. | |
better. He said we have to stick up the task, that must be the message. | :09:56. | :10:00. | |
We are 15 months away from the election, how the party will be | :10:00. | :10:05. | |
judged as how they are in 15 months time, have we made progress and | :10:05. | :10:12. | |
would labour, frankly, ruin it? That will be the test. You think it was a | :10:12. | :10:15. | |
great delivery? You seemed quite hesitant. FI was being | :10:15. | :10:21. | |
supercritical, I would say he should have given more time at times, when | :10:21. | :10:27. | |
he got to the punch line, he should have delayed it a little. -- if I | :10:27. | :10:33. | |
was being supercritical. I think he is a fairly good speaker. The effect | :10:33. | :10:40. | |
of what people were saying... The affection of people for him as a | :10:40. | :10:48. | |
person has greatly increased. If David Cameron fell under a bus, you | :10:48. | :10:51. | |
would actually see him now as a successor. Really? Yellow. I think | :10:51. | :10:58. | |
so. I think he has become a much stronger and much easier to admire | :10:58. | :11:02. | |
character than he ever was before. Well, listening to Mr Osborne in our | :11:02. | :11:05. | |
Glasgow studio, is Labour's Treasury spokesperson, Cathy Jamieson. | :11:05. | :11:15. | |
Welcome. I guess whoever wins the next election, Labour or the | :11:15. | :11:18. | |
Conservatives or even a hung parliament, the long-term unemployed | :11:18. | :11:25. | |
are in for it? They will have to get out and do something? I think the | :11:25. | :11:29. | |
are in for it? They will have to get announcement today from George | :11:29. | :11:33. | |
Osborne was far less vicious than what Labour has already said. George | :11:33. | :11:36. | |
Osborne is talking about people having to turn up at the Jobcentres | :11:37. | :11:42. | |
or being forced to go out and prepare meals for the elderly etc, | :11:42. | :11:47. | |
we want to see people getting back into jobs. We have made it very | :11:47. | :11:51. | |
clear that we would have a jobs guarantee, people would have to take | :11:51. | :11:55. | |
jobs, if young people are out of work for a year or more, the | :11:55. | :12:00. | |
long-term unemployed for two years, they would be minimum wage jobs but | :12:01. | :12:04. | |
they would get help and support with the jobs search and some of the | :12:04. | :12:09. | |
issues around literacy and so on. It is not that different, really? I | :12:09. | :12:15. | |
think ours is far more ambitious than George Osborne has announced. | :12:15. | :12:19. | |
It was quite astonishing to hear him talking about getting the economy | :12:19. | :12:23. | |
back into surplus. In 2010 he promised he would have dealt with | :12:23. | :12:25. | |
back into surplus. In 2010 he the deficit by 2015, he seems to be | :12:25. | :12:30. | |
pushing that back into the next Parliament. I don't think his speech | :12:30. | :12:34. | |
today offered any hope for hard working people across the UK. You | :12:34. | :12:39. | |
are going to force the long-term unemployed to take a job, to provide | :12:39. | :12:42. | |
the job, it will be guaranteed for them. This doll is born is going to | :12:42. | :12:47. | |
force them to take a variety of things, but doing nothing is not an | :12:47. | :12:53. | |
option -- Mr Osborne is going to force them. What sanctions would you | :12:53. | :12:57. | |
have on the long-term unemployed if they refuse your force? The issue we | :12:57. | :13:02. | |
have put forward is that it would be compulsory. These would be jobs that | :13:02. | :13:08. | |
would be available for a period of six months, people would be obliged | :13:08. | :13:13. | |
to take them. What is the sanction if they don't? Similar sanctions in | :13:13. | :13:22. | |
terms of the benefits system. You would take away some of their | :13:22. | :13:28. | |
welfare? The differences we are actually offering jobs and people | :13:28. | :13:31. | |
are expected to take them because they would be proper jobs and | :13:31. | :13:35. | |
supported. What we have heard from George Osborne today is not anywhere | :13:35. | :13:39. | |
near as ambitious as what we have said we would do. What you both have | :13:39. | :13:47. | |
in common, correct me if I am wrong, is that if the long-term unemployed | :13:47. | :13:52. | |
don't do what you want, they will lose at least some of their welfare | :13:52. | :13:58. | |
payments, correct? The majority of people who have been out of work for | :13:58. | :14:02. | |
a lengthy period of time are desperate to get back into work. The | :14:02. | :14:07. | |
answer is that yes, there would be sanctions. | :14:07. | :14:13. | |
The sanctions would be withdrawal of welfare? Yes, but we would be | :14:13. | :14:17. | |
offering real jobs for a proper welfare? Yes, but we would be | :14:17. | :14:21. | |
wage, it is not just forcing people to do unpaid work for their | :14:21. | :14:25. | |
benefits, it isn't highly different and we think it is reasonable to | :14:25. | :14:30. | |
expect people to take that. -- it is highly different. I wanted to know | :14:31. | :14:36. | |
what the sanctions would be. If Labour gets into power and growth | :14:36. | :14:41. | |
returns to the economy and the economy is doing well, the way it | :14:41. | :14:46. | |
was in the middle of the last decade, would a Labour government | :14:46. | :14:53. | |
run surpluses? I think we would have to look at what is going to happen. | :14:53. | :14:57. | |
We don't know what the state of the can you will be. If it is going | :14:57. | :15:04. | |
well, would you run surpluses? In an ideal world, we want to see the | :15:04. | :15:08. | |
economy returning to that position. But this appears to be unfunded | :15:08. | :15:13. | |
promises. The announcement today on fuel duty fees, which seems to have | :15:13. | :15:17. | |
been shoehorned in at the last minute because it does not appear to | :15:17. | :15:21. | |
be funded, he can't see how he will pay for that and he will tell us | :15:21. | :15:26. | |
that some point. That does not fit with a responsible approach to the | :15:26. | :15:30. | |
economy. We are not making promises that we cannot guarantee we would | :15:30. | :15:33. | |
deliver, but we want to see growth continue. Everybody wants to see | :15:33. | :15:41. | |
that, but let me clarify. If the economy grows under labour for a | :15:41. | :15:46. | |
large number of years, as it did after 1997, under a Labour | :15:46. | :15:51. | |
government, would you run surpluses if growth continued? In an ideal | :15:51. | :15:56. | |
world, we would want to do that. Let's see what the position is, | :15:56. | :15:59. | |
world, we would want to do that. because we have no idea about the | :15:59. | :16:02. | |
state of the economy. I am not because we have no idea about the | :16:02. | :16:05. | |
asking you to run surpluses on year one, if you get four or five years, | :16:05. | :16:12. | |
would you run a surplus rather than a deficit? We want to be sure that | :16:12. | :16:15. | |
we can play some infrastructure. We did not hear much from George | :16:15. | :16:22. | |
Osborne about getting the investment for the jobs. He tries to talk a | :16:22. | :16:28. | |
good game, but today 's speech delivered far less than even I | :16:28. | :16:34. | |
expected. And I am sure that your expectations were not high! | :16:34. | :16:42. | |
Sorry, we have to move on. You know that we don't deal with history | :16:42. | :16:47. | |
much. But the Labour Party conference last week might as well | :16:47. | :16:51. | |
have been the War of the roses as far as we are concerned! | :16:51. | :16:56. | |
Tories in Manchester yesterday held a tribute to former Prime Minister, | :16:56. | :16:59. | |
Margaret Thatcher, who passed away. But can David Cameron match up to | :16:59. | :17:06. | |
her? Adam has been finding out. You can't move for tributes to the Iron | :17:06. | :17:10. | |
Lady, there is even a gift shop dedicated to her. | :17:10. | :17:14. | |
But who will Conservative Party members vote as the better leader, | :17:14. | :17:19. | |
Margaret Thatcher or David Cameron? What has she got? Guts and | :17:19. | :17:28. | |
determination. Could David Cameron do anything to swing your vote? No. | :17:28. | :17:36. | |
He messed it up on the gay vote for me. Will he have more of a legacy | :17:36. | :17:49. | |
than the Iron Lady? Probably not. With the Tories ever see the like of | :17:49. | :17:56. | |
her again? I hope so. Is there a potential Iron Lady in the Tory | :17:56. | :18:01. | |
ranks at the moment? I don't think so. Cameron is much more democratic | :18:01. | :18:08. | |
than Thatcher was. I would like to have two balls again, please. I | :18:08. | :18:13. | |
can't say no to Mrs Thatcher, but I have to say yes to David Cameron. | :18:13. | :18:17. | |
Most people my age don't know much about Thatcher. I am a fan. I have | :18:17. | :18:22. | |
seen every thing she has done on TV. Every clip she has done, I have seen | :18:22. | :18:30. | |
on YouTube. How do you think Mrs Thatcher would react if I thrust | :18:30. | :18:35. | |
these balls in her face? She would say, you naughty boy! The hall was | :18:35. | :18:44. | |
packed, there were people standing around the edges and there was an | :18:44. | :18:47. | |
excitement about politics. Today, that has gone. What is Cameron's | :18:47. | :18:58. | |
miners' strike? UKIP. In my opinion, someone has paid someone to put | :18:58. | :19:03. | |
balls in the Cameron box. Quite soon, the Thatcher one will be | :19:03. | :19:06. | |
overflowing. Then they will have to transfer some over to the Cameron | :19:06. | :19:12. | |
box. I see a bit of Margaret Thatcher fashion tribute going on | :19:12. | :19:17. | |
here. I looked like a granny, is that what you mean? No. Just one | :19:17. | :19:25. | |
more. I have noticed that there is a lot of Maggie memorabilia at this | :19:25. | :19:28. | |
conference. You were not taken by the Iron Lady ironing board cover? | :19:28. | :19:34. | |
Hello! No. Who is a stronger leader, Thatcher or Cameron? Both. It is an | :19:34. | :19:45. | |
Hello! No. Who is a stronger leader, either/or question, and as a | :19:45. | :19:49. | |
history, lots of people like someone else. I will go for Margaret | :19:49. | :19:54. | |
Thatcher, because she had balls. Who has got more balls, Thatcher or | :19:54. | :20:01. | |
Cameron? If David Cameron was here voting, he would vote for the person | :20:01. | :20:05. | |
I am going to vote for? Lady Thatcher, of course. Prime minister, | :20:05. | :20:10. | |
who has got more balls, you or Mrs Thatcher? Now, the prime minister | :20:10. | :20:15. | |
must have seen it as he swept through. The result of the mood box | :20:15. | :20:20. | |
is that Margaret Thatcher is more popular than he is. | :20:20. | :20:26. | |
We are now joined by the Conservative chairman, Grant | :20:26. | :20:33. | |
Shapps, from Manchester. Mr Osborne says that in the good years, he is | :20:33. | :20:38. | |
now going to run a surplus. But since you are projecting deficits as | :20:38. | :20:43. | |
far as the eye can see, it will be a long while before you get near a | :20:43. | :20:49. | |
surplus, isn't it? Well, it takes as long as it does determine the | :20:49. | :20:52. | |
economy ran from what we now know was the deepest recession this | :20:52. | :20:56. | |
country experiences the war. Twice as deep as that in America. That | :20:56. | :21:03. | |
shows how bad it was under the previous government. We are making | :21:03. | :21:05. | |
progress. We have cut a third off previous government. We are making | :21:05. | :21:09. | |
the deficit. He made clear that we are going to finish the job and then | :21:09. | :21:11. | |
make sure that when times are good, are going to finish the job and then | :21:11. | :21:15. | |
we are running a surplus so that this country can afford it when | :21:15. | :21:20. | |
there is another rainy day. So not before 2020? I don't know how long | :21:20. | :21:25. | |
there is another rainy day. So not it will take mobot you have already | :21:25. | :21:28. | |
seen the deficit reduced by a third. I hope we will have made more | :21:28. | :21:29. | |
seen the deficit reduced by a third. progress by the time we get to the | :21:29. | :21:35. | |
election in 2015. What was significant about today was that | :21:35. | :21:37. | |
George Osborne said that never again, will we have the same mistake | :21:37. | :21:42. | |
that Labour made of failing to fix the roof when the sun was shining. | :21:42. | :21:46. | |
Can we get a few corrections to what has been said? The prime minister | :21:46. | :21:53. | |
said yesterday on the BBC that 95% mortgages, which was what people | :21:53. | :21:56. | |
would get and your Help to Buy scheme, he said they were | :21:56. | :22:00. | |
commonplace. Can we get it on the record that that is not true? I can | :22:00. | :22:06. | |
tell you that mortgages went up to not just 100% of the value of the | :22:06. | :22:12. | |
property, but it went beyond. But they were not common. Actually, you | :22:12. | :22:19. | |
could often get a mortgage for 90%, sometimes 95%. Those mortgage rates | :22:19. | :22:25. | |
ran for decades without causing any difficulties. When it's beyond that | :22:25. | :22:32. | |
to 100% of the property, and you could borrow money not just to buy | :22:32. | :22:36. | |
your house but in addition, that was when it went wrong. We have | :22:36. | :22:39. | |
prevented that from happening by giving the bank of England more | :22:39. | :22:44. | |
power to stop it. The prime minister says people can't afford the | :22:44. | :22:47. | |
deposit, so you are going to help them with that because they can't | :22:47. | :22:53. | |
afford to service the mortgage. He is saying that they can afford to | :22:53. | :22:58. | |
pay for the mortgage interest rate at a time when interest rates are at | :22:58. | :23:02. | |
historic lows. They might not be able to continue to pay when | :23:02. | :23:07. | |
interest rates rise, and they will be servicing 95 cent of the value of | :23:07. | :23:16. | |
their home. At the moment, the market is oriented around 80 to 85% | :23:16. | :23:23. | |
loan to value. But you will allow them to go up to 95%. But that means | :23:23. | :23:29. | |
you need the most enormous deposit. It does not mean everyone will get | :23:29. | :23:33. | |
95%. The government will back people who want to get on the housing | :23:34. | :23:38. | |
ladder who are at the moment prevented because they don't have | :23:38. | :23:40. | |
ladder who are at the moment upto £60,000 as a deposit. You and | :23:40. | :23:47. | |
me, Andrew, and many watching this programme, we were able to get loan | :23:47. | :23:53. | |
to values of 95%. That has not been available to this generation, which | :23:53. | :23:58. | |
means that 35-year-olds, 37-year-olds are living at home with | :23:58. | :24:01. | |
mum and dad. We think people in this generation should get the same | :24:01. | :24:05. | |
opportunities as people in our generation. The only way you can | :24:05. | :24:10. | |
stop house prices going up with this government subsidy is if you build a | :24:11. | :24:16. | |
lot more, so why are housing starts under your coalition so poor? We | :24:16. | :24:20. | |
have had some of the toughest times this country has ever known. As you | :24:20. | :24:28. | |
know. Housing starts are now up. Not by much. In your first year, housing | :24:28. | :24:35. | |
starts were 109,000. In your second year, they were 110,000. In your | :24:36. | :24:44. | |
third year, they were 102,000. They are now running at a rate of | :24:44. | :24:49. | |
110,000, the same as when you came in. There has been no improvement. | :24:49. | :24:58. | |
But there will now be. When I was housing minister, there were lots of | :24:58. | :25:01. | |
factors which dictated building homes. Planning permission is one. | :25:01. | :25:07. | |
The second is the finance for people building the homes, and the third, | :25:07. | :25:10. | |
which was not dealt with until this pop lit -- policy, is making sure | :25:10. | :25:15. | |
people can get mortgages for those homes. The mortgage market was stuck | :25:15. | :25:19. | |
at only giving mortgages at a loan to value of 80%, and people were | :25:20. | :25:25. | |
having to get huge deposits together. That is why it was | :25:25. | :25:28. | |
impossible to provide housing at the speed that we needed it. The | :25:28. | :25:34. | |
pipeline suggests that there are now more starts that did not come | :25:34. | :25:41. | |
through in the figures you mention. On UKIP, if a Conservative | :25:41. | :25:45. | |
backbencher Eurosceptic decides to do a deal with UKIP at the next | :25:45. | :25:51. | |
election so that UKIP doesn't run against them, as party chairman, | :25:51. | :25:56. | |
what will you do? Our policy is of against them, as party chairman, | :25:56. | :26:02. | |
course to have a referendum on a reformed Europe in the next | :26:02. | :26:07. | |
Parliament by 2017. So all of our candidates will stand on the basis | :26:07. | :26:10. | |
that the Conservatives will give you a referendum. Secondly, we will run | :26:10. | :26:17. | |
candidates in all 650 constituencies, as we always do. | :26:17. | :26:20. | |
Thirdly, they will only ever be on the ballot paper as Conservative | :26:20. | :26:28. | |
candidates. What other parties do is their business. But if a sitting | :26:28. | :26:36. | |
Tory MP or an aspiring Tory MP does a deal to be a joint candidate with | :26:36. | :26:42. | |
UKIP, you will take them off the Tory approved list? Every person who | :26:42. | :26:52. | |
stands for this election in this country for a party has to be signed | :26:52. | :26:57. | |
off by that party to legally be the candidate. There will only be people | :26:57. | :27:02. | |
on the ballot paper described as Conservative candidates. But you | :27:02. | :27:05. | |
will disown any of your candidates who try to run with UKIP? Or I am | :27:05. | :27:11. | |
saying is that whether other parties stand is their business. We will | :27:11. | :27:17. | |
only run Conservative candidates. But if your MP is run as joint | :27:17. | :27:22. | |
candidates with UKIP, what will you do? How can they be joint if it just | :27:22. | :27:27. | |
says Conservative on the ballot paper? Whether other parties stand | :27:27. | :27:31. | |
is their business. They can only stand as Conservatives, signed off | :27:31. | :27:37. | |
by Conservatives. If Peter Bone does a deal with UKIP and runs as a joint | :27:37. | :27:41. | |
candidates, will he still be the Tory candidate? I don't understand | :27:41. | :27:46. | |
what you mean by joint candidate. You can only be the Conservative | :27:46. | :27:50. | |
candidate. Whether UKIP stand or not is their business. If people want to | :27:50. | :27:58. | |
have a referendum over Europe, I can't see any point in UKIP | :27:58. | :28:02. | |
standing. We are the people who will offer the referendum and David | :28:02. | :28:06. | |
Hamman is the only prime minister who will deliver on that. -- David | :28:06. | :28:15. | |
Cameron. Who is the Tory minister who lost all this weight at the | :28:15. | :28:18. | |
Cameron. Who is the Tory minister Austrian fat farm? Is that must be | :28:18. | :28:22. | |
Eric Pickles. No, it was Michael Gove. Maybe Mr pickles should have | :28:22. | :28:28. | |
been there, but Michael Gove lost two stone. That is it for today. | :28:28. | :28:33. | |
Thanks to all my guests. The one O'Clock News is starting on BBC | :28:33. | :28:38. | |
One. I will be here at noon tomorrow, our usual time, with more | :28:38. | :28:43. | |
from the Conservative conference from Manchester. James Landale will | :28:43. | :28:47. | |
be on BBC Two tonight with today at conference after Newsnight. Hope you | :28:47. | :28:54. | |
can join him and me tomorrow. Till then, bye-bye. Thanks for watching. | :28:54. | :29:00. |