14/05/2014 Daily Politics


14/05/2014

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Morning folks, welcome to the Daily Politics.

:00:38.:00:41.

A prominent youth member of UKIP quits

:00:42.:00:42.

the party claiming it has descended into a form of "racist populism."

:00:43.:00:46.

Sanya-Jeet Thandi, seen here in last year's UKIP

:00:47.:00:47.

election broadcast, says the party's direction is "terrifying."

:00:48.:00:49.

We'll speak to UKIP's Director of Communications.

:00:50.:00:51.

At one time he was ahead in the polls and a win

:00:52.:00:55.

So has Ed Miliband's electoral strategy gone a bit flat?

:00:56.:01:00.

Who will be on the front foot at Prime Minister's Questions?

:01:01.:01:03.

We'll have all the action live at midday.

:01:04.:01:05.

And, no it's not a B movie, it's a campaign video from

:01:06.:01:08.

Their leader will be here to explain all.

:01:09.:01:47.

And with us for this televisual feast are two

:01:48.:01:53.

subterranean creatures that don't often see the light of day.

:01:54.:01:57.

The Policing Minister, Damian Green and the Shadow

:01:58.:01:58.

Now another day, another UKIP headline.

:01:59.:02:07.

A prominent Asian youth member has quit the party claiming that it has

:02:08.:02:10.

descended into a "form of racist populism."

:02:11.:02:12.

Sanya-Jeet Thandi, who's 21, wrote on a blog for the Guardian website

:02:13.:02:16.

that the party was turning the election into a game of us and them.

:02:17.:02:19.

Three years ago Miss Thandi was described by Nigel Farage

:02:20.:02:24.

Here they are appearing together in an official UKIP video.

:02:25.:02:36.

You are 18 and a rising star in the party. One of the other things that

:02:37.:02:45.

has often been said and in the early days of UKIP's existence, the BBC

:02:46.:02:51.

encourage this, we start out with this idea that if you believe in the

:02:52.:02:56.

United Kingdom and leave we should not governed from Europe, that this

:02:57.:03:04.

was white only? People say it is white only, it is ridiculous. We

:03:05.:03:07.

have Greek members, and Turkish. With is us now is Patrick O'Flynn,

:03:08.:03:15.

UKIP's Director of Communications and a UKIP candidate in the East of

:03:16.:03:19.

England in the forthcoming European This is your rising star? She was on

:03:20.:03:36.

Channel four News singing the praises of UKIP's policy saying it

:03:37.:03:44.

did not discriminate people from EU countries and other countries around

:03:45.:03:49.

the world. I am curious about that. Young people are free to join and

:03:50.:03:57.

leave parties as they want. I do think it is a bit shabby of her to

:03:58.:04:03.

be one week did bend our immigration policy and then throw the racist

:04:04.:04:13.

words in the mix. Have you asked her what has turned her? I have never

:04:14.:04:19.

had a conversation with her in my life, I did send a tweet

:04:20.:04:22.

congratulating her on Channel four News. I thought she was one of your

:04:23.:04:30.

rising stars? She was a prominent member, she has been concentrating

:04:31.:04:35.

on her studies. As recently as last week she did seem to be singing the

:04:36.:04:40.

praises of our immigration policy. Maybe you have been neglecting her.

:04:41.:04:48.

You do have priorities in life and our priority is the European

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elections. You are in here having to talk about it, the media on the

:04:57.:05:01.

left, the right and the Centre are talking about it. It follows from a

:05:02.:05:07.

coast of people saying inappropriate things in your party. It follows

:05:08.:05:13.

from you trying to make out you had a moment last week when you had

:05:14.:05:16.

members from various grounds all showing. It was a nice picture, this

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has blown it out of the water. Did you see the poll at the weekend

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which showed in the European elections, 16% of people from

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non-white backgrounds will be voting UKIP. I'd ain't we are making great

:05:30.:05:36.

strides in the ethnic community. Why can't you hold onto this bright,

:05:37.:05:42.

young star of which is politics? You can hold onto these things on an

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individual basis. You have chosen a candidate who has rather strange

:05:50.:05:58.

views on homosexuality. Those views are evolving. He said it in 2012,

:05:59.:06:07.

not that long ago, not the dark ages of the 50s. I think it was when he

:06:08.:06:14.

was a conservative, now he is in UKIP he is more relaxed. You have

:06:15.:06:20.

chosen another former Conservative to run in Grimsby who once said she

:06:21.:06:23.

wanted to send all of the immigrants back home. You are talking about

:06:24.:06:30.

Victoria it -- Victoria Ayling who said she wanted to send away the

:06:31.:06:38.

illegal immigrants. There has not been an announcement of the

:06:39.:06:47.

candidate. It is death by 1000 cuts. The polls say we are rising.

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Politicians tell me there is only one poll that matters. They do look

:06:54.:06:59.

at these polls very carefully. But every time you tell us it is just a

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couple of rotten apples and you are getting rid of them, something else

:07:07.:07:11.

jumps out to cause you major embarrassment. Our party has more

:07:12.:07:17.

than doubled the membership. We are on 37,000 and will have more to say

:07:18.:07:21.

on benchmarks soon. We have what Drew pulled our voting intentions.

:07:22.:07:30.

We have growing pains. I know it is something novel in British politics

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pause these guys have shrinking pains. She said in the Guardian that

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the reason she supported UKIP stemmed from liberal I hear, smaller

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taxes, and on immigration policy that was fair equal opportunities.

:07:48.:07:51.

Maybe she should have joined the Conservatives. But you have not

:07:52.:07:56.

delivered either. Sounds like she is eminently qualified with sound

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instincts to join the Conservative Party and I encourage her to do so.

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Have you had talks with her? Nope, I first learned of her existence over

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the past few months. So the Tories... I am only saying I

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haven't. Far as I know she has done this on her own. Would you like to

:08:23.:08:30.

have talks with her? I am interested in talking to people. Every time a

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UKIP councillor, MEP or candidate opens their mouth there seems to be

:08:39.:08:45.

another problem. Godfrey Bloom accusing women being sluts for

:08:46.:08:50.

failing to clean behind the fridge. His flatmate in Brussels has told us

:08:51.:08:55.

what he thinks of women. Patrick excuses the views on homosexuality

:08:56.:09:00.

with the excuse he is 70. What age has got to do with it. He is

:09:01.:09:08.

entitled to have his views. What has age got to do with it? Demographics

:09:09.:09:14.

show that older people are less comfortable with homosexuality. The

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point he is making, and it is fair enough, no matter how often these

:09:23.:09:26.

things happen, how often we in the media pounce on them, UKIP's ratings

:09:27.:09:36.

are not being touched? Patrick has talked about its growing pains

:09:37.:09:42.

because they are going from a small base to a less small base. They are

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attracting people, former members of the National front who are joining

:09:47.:09:56.

UKIP. Patrick was the director of communications when Andre Lamb

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picks, whose vile views were exposed on Twitter. They do not have a

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conversation with him as well? No one outside of UKIP either in the

:10:06.:10:09.

media or in other parties understand why all of this debt can be thrown

:10:10.:10:13.

at them but they are still doing well.

:10:14.:10:22.

Now, new figures released this morning show that a total

:10:23.:10:24.

of 140,000 Romanians and Bulgarians were being employed in the UK in the

:10:25.:10:27.

That number is down slightly on the total number being employed

:10:28.:10:33.

However, there has been a rise in the numbers

:10:34.:10:36.

These are the first set of employment figures since Bulgarians

:10:37.:10:41.

and Romanians gained the same rights to work in the UK as other EU

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Here's David Freeman from the Office of National Statistics speaking

:10:46.:10:49.

The number of people born in Bulgaria and Romania working in the

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UK is 140,000. We compared these figures from a year ago and last

:11:11.:11:15.

year there were 112 thousand Romanians and Bulgarians in

:11:16.:11:22.

employment. If you look at the total number of people born abroad who

:11:23.:11:26.

work in the UK, that increased to 172,000. The main impact on that

:11:27.:11:33.

change is from the eight countries that joined the European Union in

:11:34.:11:43.

2004. UKIP have said when the gates were opened in January two

:11:44.:11:48.

Bulgarians and Romanians on January the 1st they would come

:11:49.:11:54.

thousand. You got it very wrong? Nope, we didn't. The figure is down

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on Nope, we didn't. The figure is down

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doubt, Sir Andrew Green's central projection of about 50,000 more a

:12:06.:12:09.

year. Nigel Farage said this in his debates with Nick Clegg, he wasn't

:12:10.:12:13.

talking about debates with Nick Clegg, he wasn't

:12:14.:12:24.

400 million people. If you look at workers from

:12:25.:12:30.

400 million people. If you look at the year. From the eight other

:12:31.:12:33.

countries, 74,000 were in the first quarter of the country alone. It

:12:34.:12:38.

countries, 74,000 were in the first out of control. Nigel Farage, on

:12:39.:12:38.

question out of control. Nigel Farage, on

:12:39.:12:43.

doors, we are talking about when the restriction is lifted, the emphasis

:12:44.:12:49.

was put on that, he said opened the doors to 29 million vulgarians and

:12:50.:12:56.

Romanians. It is only 4% came, that with the over a million people.

:12:57.:13:02.

Romanians. It is only 4% came, that number is down. Since those

:13:03.:13:04.

restrictions were lifted because that is what UKIP talked about. You

:13:05.:13:10.

restrictions were lifted because were wrong. Based on one

:13:11.:13:17.

restrictions were lifted because benchmark. We are

:13:18.:13:18.

restrictions were lifted because predicting a very big, long-term

:13:19.:13:20.

rise in Romanian and Bulgarian rise in Romanian and Bulgarian

:13:21.:13:33.

David Cameron cannot fulfil his promise of getting net migration

:13:34.:13:37.

down. It is just going to go up and promise of getting net migration

:13:38.:13:40.

that is a betrayal of the British people.

:13:41.:13:44.

that is a betrayal of the British answer that in a minute. But on the

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that is a betrayal of the British have hundreds and thousands of Olga

:13:51.:13:55.

Aryans and Romanians. That was wrong. We are going to have hundreds

:13:56.:14:00.

and thousands of them. He is ignoring it. They started

:14:01.:14:06.

scaremongering in the run-up to January the 1st. They have been

:14:07.:14:10.

proved wrong and decided to go for broke and continue to

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scaremongering. They are not scaremongering from the number of

:14:16.:14:25.

immigrants from the eight countries. When the previous government did not

:14:26.:14:30.

have transitional controls, that is the lessons we learned. That is why

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we put controls on Romania and Bulgaria and we have not had a

:14:37.:14:42.

similar problem. Underlying this, it comes out as part of the

:14:43.:14:45.

unemployment statistics, we have more people in work than ever before

:14:46.:14:51.

and 75% of the new jobs are being taken by British citizens. That

:14:52.:14:56.

figure was 55% at the end of the Labour government. We will have to

:14:57.:14:57.

leave it there. Now, we've talked a lot

:14:58.:15:02.

on this programme about ?gurus?. Oh yes, we keep up with all

:15:03.:15:06.

the hot political trends. This week Labour's new guru is

:15:07.:15:07.

in town. He's called David Axelrod

:15:08.:15:09.

and he helped Barack Obama win two He's been hired to give Ed Miliband

:15:10.:15:12.

strategic advice between now But judging by the latest polls

:15:13.:15:18.

on this side of the pond he might have his work cut out performing the

:15:19.:15:21.

same magic for the labour leader. As always at times like this

:15:22.:15:25.

JoCo is on hand to explain why. chief -- former campaign chief David

:15:26.:15:57.

Axelrod has arrived in the UK. With a year to go until the general

:15:58.:16:00.

election, Labour is watching its once healthy lead in the polls

:16:01.:16:06.

slowly narrow. The BBC's poll of polls up until April, shows April

:16:07.:16:09.

now only four percentage points ahead.

:16:10.:16:23.

One of those polls found that Miliband's leadership rating

:16:24.:16:29.

was lower than Nick Clegg's. Whilst that's miserable reading

:16:30.:16:34.

for Miliband's election man it's still not good enough

:16:35.:16:37.

for a successful Cameron campaign. For the Conservatives to gain an

:16:38.:16:40.

overall majority it's thought they need to be 11 percentage points

:16:41.:16:44.

ahead of Labour by the election. There is however a big electoral

:16:45.:16:48.

wildcard - Scotland, where Labour currently have 41 out of 59 MPs.

:16:49.:16:53.

If Scotland votes yes to independence it would force everyone

:16:54.:16:55.

to radically recalculate their electoral mathematics.

:16:56.:16:59.

Let's speak now to Joe Twyman, he's director

:17:00.:16:59.

of political research at YouGov. Welcome to the programme. If you

:17:00.:17:10.

were David Axelrod, what would you be thinking? I would think I have

:17:11.:17:17.

got an awful lot of money and I have got a big job to do. This time last

:17:18.:17:21.

year, Labour were ten points ahead and now it is pretty much neck and

:17:22.:17:25.

neck depending on which poll you look at. But both parties are only

:17:26.:17:30.

on 34% of the vote and you are not going to win a majority in the

:17:31.:17:33.

general election with that share. That could lead to a very

:17:34.:17:37.

interesting situation come this time next year when Labour win the most

:17:38.:17:42.

seats but the Conservatives win the most votes in a hung parliament. And

:17:43.:17:50.

then who knows what happens. Do you think these two latest polls which

:17:51.:17:52.

put the Conservatives two points ahead, is that part of a pattern

:17:53.:17:55.

which will increase or will it go back, do you think, let's look at

:17:56.:18:00.

the Sunday Times poll at the weekend which found Labour ahead? Individual

:18:01.:18:05.

polls are interesting but what is really important is the long-term

:18:06.:18:09.

trends over months or years. Some people will say it is the European

:18:10.:18:14.

elections coming up so polls are always slightly odd, but what we are

:18:15.:18:18.

seeing in terms of longer term trends going back to the election,

:18:19.:18:24.

is the decline of that gap. And the Conservatives moving ever closer to

:18:25.:18:28.

Labour. That is worrying if you are Labour strategist because that has

:18:29.:18:31.

to be changed if you're going to be successful at the ballot box. Thank

:18:32.:18:34.

you. And thanks, John-macro. --

:18:35.:18:38.

John-macro. Mary we find out that Mr Miliband's

:18:39.:18:54.

personal ratings are below Gordon Brown's. What is going on? Polls go

:18:55.:19:00.

up and they go down. We do not pay too much attention to polls. You

:19:01.:19:06.

do, you spend a lot of money in the Labour Party. I do not know what

:19:07.:19:13.

David Axelrod does but I know Ed Miliband's leadership has inspired

:19:14.:19:15.

thousands of people to join the Labour Party and to rejoin the

:19:16.:19:20.

Labour Party. We have thousands of people out talking to people on the

:19:21.:19:26.

doorstep. I think there is a UKIP effect. What would that be? A vote

:19:27.:19:33.

for UKIP is a vote for none of the above, it is a protest vote. I think

:19:34.:19:38.

we will not see that affect as strongly at the general election.

:19:39.:19:42.

There is no doubt at the European elections that UKIP has sent a mass

:19:43.:19:47.

mailing out to people. I can see why that would affect the state of the

:19:48.:19:51.

parties if you are right, but I do not understand how that would affect

:19:52.:19:58.

the public's assessment of Mr Miliband as a leader. We have had

:19:59.:20:01.

Taylor advised debates, Nigel Farage and Nick Clegg -- televised debates.

:20:02.:20:09.

People have seen a lot of those people. When people meet Ed Miliband

:20:10.:20:13.

and they listen to his policies and when they meet him and they see him,

:20:14.:20:20.

people see his charisma, see his leadership... His charisma? Yes, his

:20:21.:20:27.

charisma, he's charismatic. When you look at the trend in these polls,

:20:28.:20:33.

the more the British people see Ed Miliband, the less they like what

:20:34.:20:38.

they see. His poll ratings have got consistently worse over the last two

:20:39.:20:44.

years. When people look at the policies Ed Miliband has formulated

:20:45.:20:49.

for our party, whether it is 25 hours a week for childcare to help

:20:50.:20:53.

working people get a job and help their families, whether it is the

:20:54.:20:58.

gas and electricity price freeze, derided by the Conservatives and now

:20:59.:21:03.

imitated by them... Each of these policies on Rome, they are pretty

:21:04.:21:08.

popular in the country, so why therefore has Labour's poll lead all

:21:09.:21:14.

disappeared? There is an argument about whether it has disappeared. It

:21:15.:21:24.

has certainly narrowed. There is a coalition government, there is a

:21:25.:21:28.

media focus on David Cameron and Nick Clegg. That is where most of

:21:29.:21:32.

the media attention is focused. The great media personality is Nigel

:21:33.:21:38.

Farage who has never knowingly photographed without a pint of beer

:21:39.:21:42.

and a cigarette in his hand. Is Ed Miliband charismatic? He is. Mrs

:21:43.:21:54.

Miliband thinks he is charismatic. I do. People like him,

:21:55.:21:59.

Miliband thinks he is charismatic. I him, he is sincere. It just may be

:22:00.:22:05.

that your fundamental pitch is not gelling with the British people. But

:22:06.:22:10.

when you talk about a cost of living crisis, and I emphasise the word

:22:11.:22:14.

crisis as opposed to cost of living problems, people think times have

:22:15.:22:19.

been tough, it is not easy, we have to tighten our belts but it is not a

:22:20.:22:26.

crisis. It is a crisis. When you have a million people relying on

:22:27.:22:30.

food hand-outs, when you have children and elderly people being

:22:31.:22:33.

thrust into poverty, people look around them in their towns and

:22:34.:22:36.

cities and they think, my child will not be able to go to university with

:22:37.:22:40.

the tuition fees, they will not be able to afford their own home and

:22:41.:22:44.

they see a government that is interested in tax cuts for the very

:22:45.:22:48.

rich at the top, not helping people at the bottom to have a hand up. We

:22:49.:22:57.

have just had yet again very good unemployment figures coming out, it

:22:58.:23:00.

is at the lowest in Europe after Germany, if there is a cost of

:23:01.:23:07.

living crisis, why are retail sales in the shops so strong and why is

:23:08.:23:13.

every consumer confidence index rising? If you are one of the

:23:14.:23:18.

850,000 young people who has not got a job, there is a crisis. We know

:23:19.:23:23.

the scarring effects of long-term unemployment and older women and

:23:24.:23:31.

young people. Hold on, almost 300,000 of those people are

:23:32.:23:36.

university students. These consumer confidence indices and retail sales

:23:37.:23:39.

are driven by people on average incomes. So if there is a cost of

:23:40.:23:44.

living crisis for the average person in this country, why are retail

:23:45.:23:47.

sales so strong and why figures are the figures, there may

:23:48.:23:59.

be students but they are trying to pay their way through university to

:24:00.:24:03.

minimise the debts they will come out with after university. And our

:24:04.:24:08.

confidence question, people in the south-east of seeing the house

:24:09.:24:13.

prices rise. There is an issue about consumer spending is being fuelled

:24:14.:24:16.

by people who feel they are richer because that house price is going

:24:17.:24:18.

up. That is not the case. These are national and they break them down

:24:19.:24:23.

regionally and national and they break them down

:24:24.:24:26.

every region. No people in national and they break them down

:24:27.:24:32.

Tamworth that I have been speaking to, do not feel confident. They are

:24:33.:24:39.

not splashing a load of cash and consumer durables. It is not a

:24:40.:24:42.

recovery being felt across consumer durables. It is not a

:24:43.:24:45.

United Kingdom. It is interesting if that is true that it is not being

:24:46.:24:50.

reflected in the polls. The best you can hope for is to be the largest

:24:51.:24:56.

party again, isn't it? No, Labour had a lead of 16%. You think you can

:24:57.:25:06.

have an 11% lead over Labour? Well the polls move. They do not move

:25:07.:25:11.

like Krakatoa! You really think you can get an 11% lead? What are you

:25:12.:25:18.

one these days? I am looking at the economy. I am looking at the figures

:25:19.:25:22.

we have had today. Falling youth unemployment. Mary has a cheek to

:25:23.:25:28.

dog at 850,000, I spent days in opposition talking about a million

:25:29.:25:34.

people under the age of 24. 150,000 fewer of them are out of work than

:25:35.:25:38.

they used to be. You could get that 11 point lead, it would be

:25:39.:25:43.

conceivable if it was not for something called UKIP and you do not

:25:44.:25:46.

know how to handle UKIP. Every time you come up with a policy or an

:25:47.:25:50.

approach or a policy or an approach or strategy towards them rises in

:25:51.:25:55.

the polls. We have seen what has happened in the run-up to the

:25:56.:25:59.

European elections. People traditionally use European elections

:26:00.:26:03.

as a free kick. We have seen the Green Party get 15% in the European

:26:04.:26:10.

election and more or less disappear for decades. People behave

:26:11.:26:14.

differently than general elections. I do not think it is a great

:26:15.:26:16.

predictor of a general election. OK. Now as you know here

:26:17.:26:23.

at the BBC we like to cover all the Yesterday Jo had an opera singer

:26:24.:26:27.

performing some arias in the studio. But we also like to reflect the

:26:28.:26:31.

fringe pastimes that might still The government's been thinking

:26:32.:26:35.

about one such event - something The top minds at the Home Office

:26:36.:26:40.

have written a report looking at the benefits of keeping the pubs open

:26:41.:26:46.

during this competition, which is Are you sure you don't mean

:26:47.:26:49.

the Olympics? Anyway, the report says England has

:26:50.:26:56.

a 54% chance of getting past the group stage,

:26:57.:26:59.

whatever that is, and an 11% chance So it sounds like the England team,

:27:00.:27:05.

whoever they are, won't be bringing They do however have

:27:06.:27:13.

a good chance of winning the Cup And you won't have to go to Brazil

:27:14.:27:23.

to do it. We'll remind you how to enter

:27:24.:27:34.

in a minute, but let's see if you can remember when this happened -

:27:35.:27:37.

and just a warning there is some Nice music. I liked it. To be in

:27:38.:29:26.

with a chance of winning a mug, send your answer to our e-mail address.

:29:27.:29:32.

Full terms and conditions are online.

:29:33.:29:34.

It is coming up to midday here. Big Ben is behind me. I love that shot!

:29:35.:29:43.

And in front of me is Nick Robinson of the BBC here for Prime Minister's

:29:44.:29:46.

Questions. They are becoming quite rare these days because I think

:29:47.:29:49.

after today there will not be one next week because Parliament has

:29:50.:29:53.

nothing to do. They are all off to the seaside. Then it is the Whitsun

:29:54.:29:57.

holiday so they will get two weeks. And then when they come back there

:29:58.:29:59.

will be the week go now. I have had meetings with ministerial

:30:00.:30:31.

colleagues and others and in addition to my duties in this House,

:30:32.:30:35.

I will have further meetings later. The UK has 104 billionaires, London

:30:36.:30:42.

has 72 billionaires. Wes Brown Wales and the valleys is in the top

:30:43.:30:57.

poorest regions in Europe. Why is Lord Mandelson intensely relaxed

:30:58.:30:59.

about people getting filthy rich. What is worthwhile is the massive

:31:00.:31:05.

fall in unemployment and the increase in employment we have seen

:31:06.:31:07.

across the country. In terms of Wales, unemployment has fallen by

:31:08.:31:16.

5000 in the last quarter and fallen by 25,000 in the last election. In

:31:17.:31:22.

terms of making sure the richest in our country pay their taxes, we see

:31:23.:31:28.

the richest 1% paying a greater percentage of income tax than ever

:31:29.:31:33.

they did under Labour. What we are seeing is abroad based recovery and

:31:34.:31:39.

I want to make sure everyone in our country can benefit and that is why

:31:40.:31:44.

we are cutting taxes and keep people from paying income tax. At the end

:31:45.:31:56.

of November, a director of the Stagecoach company acquired Manston

:31:57.:31:59.

airport in my constituency for ?1. On budget day, she announced she was

:32:00.:32:05.

going into consultation with the view to closing an airport which is

:32:06.:32:11.

worth hundreds of jobs, and major diversion field and a search and

:32:12.:32:14.

rescue base. Since then we have sought to find a buyer. Last night

:32:15.:32:18.

the river oak company, who already have airport interests put in a

:32:19.:32:26.

realistic offer to keep the airport open, save jobs and develop the

:32:27.:32:33.

business. At present the owners are reluctant. I don't expect my right

:32:34.:32:37.

honourable friend to engage in commercial negotiations, but will he

:32:38.:32:48.

ensure that the CAA operating licence remains open, the airport

:32:49.:32:56.

remains open and further discussions are held and will he encourage those

:32:57.:33:02.

discussions to take ways? I know my honourable friend has been fighting

:33:03.:33:04.

hard with the honourable member about the future of Manston airport

:33:05.:33:05.

and recognise it has played an important role in the local economy.

:33:06.:33:06.

The future of the airport remains the responsibility of the owner, but

:33:07.:33:11.

I think it is important the government is engaged. I know the

:33:12.:33:15.

Transport Secretary is engaged and will be talking to the owner about

:33:16.:33:20.

this issue and contacting the potential purchasers. In

:33:21.:33:24.

this issue and contacting the they had to make a commercial

:33:25.:33:25.

decision but the government will do everything it can to help.

:33:26.:33:38.

I welcome the fall in unemployment. For all of those people who have

:33:39.:33:47.

found work it is good for them and good for their families. Following

:33:48.:33:57.

the appearance of Pfizer at the select committee yesterday, can the

:33:58.:34:01.

Prime Minister tell us what assurances he is seeking from them

:34:02.:34:08.

and their takeover of AstraZeneca. These are jobs he predict did would

:34:09.:34:12.

never come to Britain and would never be there all stop but it is

:34:13.:34:18.

important because what we see is the largest quarterly increase of people

:34:19.:34:25.

in work, 280,000. We see unemployment is coming down, youth

:34:26.:34:28.

unemployment is coming down and long-term youth unemployment coming

:34:29.:34:36.

down with long-term economic plan working, we see the number of

:34:37.:34:39.

vacancies going up. Honourable members may be interested to know,

:34:40.:34:48.

three quarters of the new jobs over year have gone to UK nationals and

:34:49.:34:51.

also, the employment of Romanians and Olga Aryans went down in the

:34:52.:34:53.

first three months of this year, following the lifting of the

:34:54.:35:00.

controls, which I think is notable. In terms of Pfizer and AstraZeneca

:35:01.:35:10.

this government has been cleared to get stuck in to seek a possible

:35:11.:35:13.

guarantees on British jobs, investment and British science. We

:35:14.:35:17.

discussed this last week and one of the most important things is the

:35:18.:35:21.

right honourable gentleman was asked for a meeting with Pfizer, but said

:35:22.:35:26.

he was too busy politically campaigning. He put party politics

:35:27.:35:34.

ahead of the national interests. I am not going to take any lectures

:35:35.:35:44.

from the guy who was negotiating with Pfizer over the heads of the

:35:45.:35:50.

board of AstraZeneca. Pfizer does not need a PR man, they have got the

:35:51.:35:58.

Prime Minister. Now, for all sides of the House, the appearance of

:35:59.:36:03.

Pfizer at a select committee raises more questions than answers about

:36:04.:36:09.

so-called assurances. The head of Pfizer said there would be a fall in

:36:10.:36:13.

research and development spending as a result of the takeover. Has the

:36:14.:36:21.

Prime Minister got assurances these cuts will not take place in the UK?

:36:22.:36:27.

What is the way of getting those guarantees? Is it getting stuck in

:36:28.:36:31.

with Pfizer and AstraZeneca, battling for the British interest?

:36:32.:36:38.

Or, is it standing back like he has done, doing nothing apart from

:36:39.:36:40.

playing politics. I am clear what the British interest is, it is

:36:41.:36:47.

British jobs, British science, writ -ish research and development and I

:36:48.:36:53.

will do our bit link I can to receive those guarantees. 175,000

:36:54.:37:02.

employed in life sciences in our country because we encourage

:37:03.:37:09.

investments. Companies have chosen to come and invest here because it

:37:10.:37:13.

is a great country to come and do business. The problem is, his

:37:14.:37:20.

assurances are vague, have caveats and are inappropriate. Not my words

:37:21.:37:27.

but the words of the Presidents of the Royal Society. His assurances

:37:28.:37:29.

are useless and there is no guarantee on research and

:37:30.:37:35.

development. The head of Pfizer said yesterday, " there will be job cuts

:37:36.:37:41.

somewhere". Has he got an assurance these job cuts will not take place

:37:42.:37:48.

in the UK? We have assurances on the percentage of research and

:37:49.:37:53.

development that will happen here, investment in Cambridge, investment

:37:54.:37:57.

in Macclesfield. If he is arguing, do we want further assurances? Yes

:37:58.:38:01.

we do. Do we want to make sure those jobs stay here? Yes we do do we want

:38:02.:38:08.

more investment in British universities and science? Yes we do.

:38:09.:38:15.

I say, get stuck in, negotiate hard, fight for Britain. He says, play

:38:16.:38:21.

politics and put that before the national interest. His negotiations

:38:22.:38:29.

aren't working. They are worthless. On research and development, on

:38:30.:38:33.

jobs, he has no answers. What about the possible carving up of the

:38:34.:38:39.

merged company? Nobody wants a company to be bought, split up and

:38:40.:38:42.

sold off. Has he got assurances that won't happen in the course of this

:38:43.:38:48.

takeover? We want a good out, or British investment and jobs. We know

:38:49.:38:53.

what happens if you take the approach of the Labour Party. Let's

:38:54.:38:59.

remember Kraft and Cadburys. We had wonderful speeches about locking

:39:00.:39:06.

investments and then complete and abject surrender and the closure

:39:07.:39:09.

plans under Labour. We have learned the lessons of the mistakes Labour

:39:10.:39:15.

made. We are operating under the framework they left us, which he

:39:16.:39:19.

wrote while he was at the Treasury. We will get results for British

:39:20.:39:24.

science and investment by being engaged rather than standing off and

:39:25.:39:32.

playing politics. He sold off Royal Mail at a knock-down price and the

:39:33.:39:37.

Chancellor's Westman made a killing. That is what happens with his

:39:38.:39:41.

assurances. The truth is, he cannot give us a guarantee because the

:39:42.:39:50.

chief executive says, " he wants to conserve the option a la tea of

:39:51.:39:54.

splitting up the company and flogging it off". Last week the

:39:55.:39:59.

Prime Minister said he would judge the takeover on British jobs,

:40:00.:40:01.

British investment and British science. But he cannot offer

:40:02.:40:08.

assurances on any of those things. Isn't it obvious we should have a

:40:09.:40:12.

proper test of the public interest and if the deal does not pass, we

:40:13.:40:18.

should lock it. He raises this issue about the public interest test.

:40:19.:40:22.

Which party, which government and which individual, when he was in the

:40:23.:40:28.

Treasury writing the rules, got rid of that test? It was the right

:40:29.:40:31.

honourable gentleman. That is what we see on a day when unemployment is

:40:32.:40:37.

down, when more people are in work. He will try any trick, rather than

:40:38.:40:47.

to talk about what is happening in our economy. The country is getting

:40:48.:40:55.

stronger, he is getting weaker. He may not think it is important to

:40:56.:40:59.

talk about a company that is 2% of UK experts and which 30,000 jobs

:41:00.:41:01.

depend. It is crucial to our national interests. And the truth

:41:02.:41:06.

is, he is not powerless, he is the Prime Minister. He can act on a

:41:07.:41:10.

public interest test. We're talking about one of our most important

:41:11.:41:16.

companies. Nobody is certain about his assurances and he is calling

:41:17.:41:20.

back on the old idea that the market knows best and does not need rest.

:41:21.:41:26.

From Royal Mail to AstraZeneca, this is a Prime Minister whose ideology

:41:27.:41:32.

means he cannot stand up for the national interests. If the things

:41:33.:41:36.

these companies are important, why didn't he meet with them rather than

:41:37.:41:42.

go canvassing. He put his own party political interest ahead of the

:41:43.:41:46.

national interest. He fails to understand with measure British

:41:47.:41:51.

interest in British science, jobs and investment. But we measure it on

:41:52.:41:55.

us being a country open to overseas investment. There is a reason

:41:56.:42:00.

companies are coming here to make cars, build trains, make new drugs

:42:01.:42:05.

in our company is because we cut taxes, welcome investments, we are

:42:06.:42:11.

growing our economy and we have more people in work. We will not take a

:42:12.:42:18.

lecture from the party that brought this economy to its knees. I am sure

:42:19.:42:27.

the honourable gentleman is delighted to be greeted. The sun is

:42:28.:42:34.

shining and people are preparing to come to Cornwall for their holiday.

:42:35.:42:40.

When they arrive they will see some of the recent storm damage still has

:42:41.:42:45.

not been put right. Cornwall doesn't just need a long-term, economic

:42:46.:42:51.

plan. We need help today. Will he meet with me to see what more can be

:42:52.:42:57.

done? I am happy to go on discussing with Cornish MPs and with the

:42:58.:43:01.

council to make sure we do every thing to help Cornwall back onto its

:43:02.:43:06.

feet after the storms. I have said the money is under the scheme, so

:43:07.:43:10.

all of the emergency funding that Cornwall had to spend, it had

:43:11.:43:15.

claimed back. It still has time to work on that claim. We have

:43:16.:43:20.

increased the amount of money going through the Environment Agency to

:43:21.:43:24.

repair storm damage. There is an opportunity for Cornwall to have

:43:25.:43:29.

somebody as well. I am sure people are preparing to go to Cornwall and

:43:30.:43:32.

when they get there they will have a very good time. This week the Public

:43:33.:43:37.

Accounts Committee criticised the MoD for failing to account for a one

:43:38.:43:43.

2p underspend, and went on to say this might result in higher spending

:43:44.:43:48.

in future years. Does the Prime Minister think he is right he has

:43:49.:43:54.

balanced the books at the MoD? I remember coming government where we

:43:55.:43:58.

were left with a 38 William pounds black hole. If the criticism is the

:43:59.:44:02.

Secretary of State is careful with the pounds and the pennies and

:44:03.:44:06.

making sure there is an underspend, that can be carried forward into

:44:07.:44:09.

further investment to make sure we have the best investment for the

:44:10.:44:13.

troops, I suspect he may plead guilty. Stevenage continuously the

:44:14.:44:27.

economic recovery. It shows our long-term economic plan is working.

:44:28.:44:32.

economic recovery. It shows our Will the Prime Minister join with

:44:33.:44:34.

economic recovery. It shows our in congratulating the

:44:35.:44:37.

economic recovery. It shows our institutions and businesses in my

:44:38.:44:38.

constituency that have increased apprenticeship starts to over 800

:44:39.:44:47.

apprenticeship starts now? My honourable friend is right. In

:44:48.:44:51.

Stevenage unemployment has fallen by 24% over the last year which shows

:44:52.:45:03.

our economic plan is working and every one of those people is not

:45:04.:45:38.

just a They have zero hour contracts which do not pay enough to pay the

:45:39.:45:44.

rent. Unemployment in Stockton has fallen over the last year. If he

:45:45.:45:49.

looks at the unemployment figures, he will see that the number of

:45:50.:45:52.

people in part-time work he will see that the number of

:45:53.:45:57.

full-time work has fallen increasingly. People are able to

:45:58.:46:00.

find the full-time work that they want. There is an increase in people

:46:01.:46:05.

claiming housing benefit because there is an increase in people who

:46:06.:46:08.

are in work. That is what is happening in our country, we are

:46:09.:46:14.

getting people back to work. Mr Speaker, thousands of people in

:46:15.:46:18.

my constituency are forced to use the NHS in Wales said they will be

:46:19.:46:23.

concerned about yesterday's report which showed serious failings in the

:46:24.:46:31.

care of fail older people at two NHS hospitals in Wales -- frail older

:46:32.:46:36.

people. Don't the people of Wales and my constituency deserve better?

:46:37.:46:40.

As I understand it these are very concerning reports which do need to

:46:41.:46:44.

be studied because the NHS in Wales is not in a good state. We have had

:46:45.:46:50.

an 8% cut in the budget. The last time A targets were met in Wales

:46:51.:46:56.

was in 2009. The last time the urgent cancer treatment target was

:46:57.:47:01.

met was in 2008. We really season problems in the NHS in Wales and

:47:02.:47:05.

frankly the Labour Party are chatting to each other on the front

:47:06.:47:09.

bench and they should be getting a grip of this issue and sorting out

:47:10.:47:13.

the NHS. The Pfizer boss did give assurances

:47:14.:47:17.

to the business committee yesterday. He gave an absolute

:47:18.:47:22.

assurance that any takeover of AstraZeneca would result in a fall

:47:23.:47:26.

in research and development into new drugs in the UK. The AstraZeneca

:47:27.:47:33.

boss said it could put lives at risk. How can any Prime Minister

:47:34.:47:37.

worth the title not immediately conclude that the right thing to do

:47:38.:47:40.

in the national interest is to call this in? As I explained to his right

:47:41.:47:46.

honourable friend, we are operating under the legal framework put in

:47:47.:47:50.

place by the Government he was a member of. I actually think, when he

:47:51.:47:53.

looks at The Record of what was said yesterday, I think you will find

:47:54.:47:56.

that the quotes he gives are not accurate. Does the Prime Minister

:47:57.:48:04.

agree that the building of vital roads like the A5 M1 link Dunstable

:48:05.:48:10.

Northern bypass will create even more jobs and that continued

:48:11.:48:13.

infrastructure investment like this is a key part of our long-term

:48:14.:48:22.

economic plan? I agree. I have spent some time in his constituency stuck

:48:23.:48:27.

on the A5 and I know how much it does need this remedial work done.

:48:28.:48:32.

It is absolutely vital for this part of our country. We are investing

:48:33.:48:37.

more in our railways since any time since the Victorian times and we are

:48:38.:48:42.

investing more on our roads since the 1970s. It is keyed to the

:48:43.:48:46.

success of our long-term economic plan.

:48:47.:48:49.

Is there a good reason why the promised will not condemn the tax

:48:50.:48:54.

affairs of Tory supporting Gary Barlow as morally wrong? I could not

:48:55.:48:59.

be clearer that I condemn all of these progressive tax avoidance

:49:00.:49:02.

schemes. And more than just condemning them, this government has

:49:03.:49:07.

taken legislative action to say to people, to coin a phrase, we want

:49:08.:49:12.

your money for good. Mr William Cash. Order, order! Lets

:49:13.:49:21.

have a respectful silence for Mr William Cash.

:49:22.:49:29.

Thank you, Mr Speaker. My right honourable friend will know that my

:49:30.:49:33.

international do on gender equality act came into force last night. Will

:49:34.:49:40.

he note that this will protect women and girls throughout the world and

:49:41.:49:46.

furthermore that particularly in places like Nigeria and Syria, it

:49:47.:49:51.

provides an opportunity to be able to do whatever we can to relieve

:49:52.:49:55.

their tragedy. Will he be good enough to have a word with the

:49:56.:50:00.

secretary of the, our excellent Secretary of State for International

:50:01.:50:03.

development and do whatever we can to use that act to help those people

:50:04.:50:08.

who are being severely afflicted? I am sure the whole house will want to

:50:09.:50:14.

join me in amending this honourable gentleman for his bill and getting

:50:15.:50:17.

this important measure on the statute book. This year, Britain is

:50:18.:50:22.

taking some huge steps forward, using the power of our aid budget to

:50:23.:50:27.

really try and drive change in our world, to end forever the scandals

:50:28.:50:33.

of forced and early marriage and female genital mutilation. We are in

:50:34.:50:37.

a really strong position to drive change on this. He mentioned Nigeria

:50:38.:50:41.

and I can announce today that we have offered Nigeria further

:50:42.:50:45.

assistance in terms of surveillance aircraft and the team to work with

:50:46.:50:50.

US experts to analyse information on the girls' location. As I said last

:50:51.:50:55.

week, this is an act of pure evil, the world is coming together not

:50:56.:50:59.

just to condemn it but to help the Nigerians find these girls.

:51:00.:51:06.

50,499 ambulances have been waiting in queues of at least half an hour

:51:07.:51:12.

at accident and emergency units up and down the country. What is he

:51:13.:51:17.

going to do about it? What we are doing about it is making sure the

:51:18.:51:21.

?12.7 billion extra that we are putting into the NHS, unlike the

:51:22.:51:27.

Labour NHS cut in Wales, is going to good use and we can actually see in

:51:28.:51:33.

our NHS, we have 1.2 million more people attending accident and

:51:34.:51:36.

emergency and over this winter period, we met our targets for

:51:37.:51:41.

accident and emergency. I remember the last time the Labour leader

:51:42.:51:46.

raised our hospitals at Prime Minister's Questions. It was back in

:51:47.:51:51.

November. He has not had a word to say about it since! He predicted a

:51:52.:51:55.

winter crisis, he sat there day after day dying for it to happen. It

:51:56.:51:59.

did not happen because we have a strong NHS with more doctors and

:52:00.:52:09.

nurses serving our country. The Prime Minister is well aware of

:52:10.:52:13.

the wonderful work done by the Royal British Legion centre with our brave

:52:14.:52:18.

servicemen and women who have been injured in conflict through adaptive

:52:19.:52:23.

sports and adventurous training. At the end of this month, I will be

:52:24.:52:28.

joining a team from the centre with the honourable members for Bass

:52:29.:52:33.

North, chat and Aylesford, to raise awareness of this wonderful work and

:52:34.:52:36.

will the Prime Minister wish us every success in this aim? I will

:52:37.:52:42.

certainly wish the honourable gentleman from across the House, the

:52:43.:52:49.

honourable gentlemen and ladies. I wish them well. The Royal British

:52:50.:52:53.

Legion plays a key part in standing up for our veterans and their

:52:54.:52:57.

interests and making sure we raise money and serve them properly. We

:52:58.:53:00.

work very closely with them in government. The Battle Back centre

:53:01.:53:08.

is an extraordinary facility. I wish you well and hope the fundraising

:53:09.:53:12.

goes well. When the Prime Minister goes up to

:53:13.:53:16.

Scotland this week, when he explained to our agricultural

:53:17.:53:19.

producers in rural countries, wide by 2019 we will be receiving the

:53:20.:53:24.

lower-level -- lowest level per hectare, not only of any country in

:53:25.:53:32.

the UK but in the whole EU? What I will be explaining on my trip is how

:53:33.:53:39.

Scotland is better off inside the United Kingdom, that we have all of

:53:40.:53:43.

the negotiating power of the UK around the table to get a good deal

:53:44.:53:47.

for Scotland, whereas an independent Scotland would have to queue up

:53:48.:53:51.

behind other countries to get back into the European Union and

:53:52.:53:55.

specifically on agriculture, because of the hard work of my right

:53:56.:53:58.

honourable friend the agriculture secretary, we're actually making

:53:59.:54:02.

sure that there will be extra support for Scottish farmers

:54:03.:54:05.

absolutely in line with what the Scottish

:54:06.:54:07.

absolutely in line with what the for. Richard Harrington.

:54:08.:54:14.

According to the Watford Chamber of Commerce, this year Watford will

:54:15.:54:16.

benefit from a total of ?1.5 Commerce, this year Watford will

:54:17.:54:20.

in new investment. Already started, we have got a new road, two train

:54:21.:54:26.

stations, two secondary schools being refitted and we have a

:54:27.:54:31.

brand-new UTC. To cap all of that, today that has been an announcement

:54:32.:54:37.

that unemployment is 667 less than a year ago. But I am very concerned

:54:38.:54:43.

that this continues. I would like to ask the Prime Minister what his

:54:44.:54:45.

strategy is to make sure this continues. If he takes my advice, Mr

:54:46.:54:48.

Speaker, he will continues. If he takes my advice, Mr

:54:49.:54:56.

something that is one long-term, two economic. First of all, can I say to

:54:57.:55:02.

my honourable friend how well commit is that unemployment in Watford over

:55:03.:55:07.

the last year has fallen by 30%. We are getting the people of Watford

:55:08.:55:13.

back to work and cutting unemployment. What he says in terms

:55:14.:55:16.

of the important investment with the rail link and the two new stations

:55:17.:55:20.

and re-building new schools are absolutely vital. The long-term plan

:55:21.:55:24.

is not just about jobs and cutting taxes, as important as those are, it

:55:25.:55:29.

is also about supporting business and small business in particular, by

:55:30.:55:34.

building the infrastructure we need. Because we have taken difficult

:55:35.:55:37.

long-term decisions, we have been able to put this investment into our

:55:38.:55:40.

roads and railways. able to put this investment into our

:55:41.:55:49.

able to see a GP within 48 hours was not a priority. Does this Prime

:55:50.:55:56.

Minister regret this? If you listen to the Royal College of GPs, they

:55:57.:56:01.

are saying there is something like 40 million more GP appointments

:56:02.:56:06.

since 2010. The patients survey always quoted by Labour ministers

:56:07.:56:11.

when they were in government says 93% of people say appointments in

:56:12.:56:14.

the GP system are convenient. Frankly, I want more. As the father

:56:15.:56:19.

of three young children, I know how important it is to get timely GP

:56:20.:56:24.

appointments. That is why we are training 5000 more GPs. We have

:56:25.:56:28.

named GP for frail and elderly people. We have a thousand GP

:56:29.:56:33.

centres which now open 8am to 8pm and at weekends. I tell you what I

:56:34.:56:38.

do regret. I regret the fact the last Labour government signed a

:56:39.:56:41.

contract with GPs which meant they did not have to offer a service out

:56:42.:56:45.

of hours or at weekends. Because of the investment we are putting into

:56:46.:56:50.

the NHS, actually, we are providing better services. If he is wondering

:56:51.:56:55.

about the idea of a 48-hour target, he might ask why Labour scrapped one

:56:56.:57:02.

in Wales. Nigel Evans. Ribble Valley Council has recently

:57:03.:57:07.

approved its core strategy. Will he reassure local councillors that this

:57:08.:57:11.

will now give them extra power to protect those areas within the

:57:12.:57:16.

Ribble Valley that are not already earmarked for development. And will

:57:17.:57:19.

he come and visit the Ribble Valley and see for himself why the Ribble

:57:20.:57:23.

Valley is consistently voted one of the best places to live in the

:57:24.:57:26.

United Kingdom and why local people want to keep it that way. I look

:57:27.:57:34.

forward to visiting my honourable friend's constituency and broader

:57:35.:57:36.

constituencies in Lancashire as well. I think the assurance I can

:57:37.:57:41.

give him is this. When local councils put in place their local

:57:42.:57:44.

plan, they will have far greater ability to determine how much

:57:45.:57:48.

housing, what sort of housing and where it goes. That is what we are

:57:49.:57:51.

trying to put in place and the faster local councils can put

:57:52.:57:54.

implants the more power and responsibility they will have.

:57:55.:57:59.

As the Prime Minister has acknowledged, the number of people

:58:00.:58:02.

who are in work but have to claim housing benefit to make ends meet is

:58:03.:58:06.

growing, but the cost of that will be an extra ?5 billion over the

:58:07.:58:10.

course of this Parliament. Does the Prime Minister consider that a sign

:58:11.:58:15.

of success? The most important thing we have done in respect to housing

:58:16.:58:18.

benefit is to put a cap on it. When we claim to office there were

:58:19.:58:24.

families claiming 60, 70, ?80,000. When we put the cap on housing

:58:25.:58:28.

benefit, what was the Labour reaction? It was to vote against it.

:58:29.:58:32.

When we said housing benefit should not be paid in respect of spare

:58:33.:58:36.

rooms that people are not using, what was Labour's attitude? To

:58:37.:58:42.

oppose it. The good news from his seat is, here is something which is

:58:43.:58:46.

not going up, it is unemployment and it is down 31% in his constituency.

:58:47.:58:53.

Some of those people in work are claiming housing benefit but because

:58:54.:58:56.

of this government's long-term economic plan, more of his

:58:57.:58:59.

constituents are in work and earning. Mr Andrew Percy.

:59:00.:59:07.

Extra flood defence funding for the Humber area following the tidal

:59:08.:59:11.

surge in December was most welcome but many of my constituents are

:59:12.:59:14.

still out of their homes and there is concern that we get the 300

:59:15.:59:17.

million which is needed over the next five years. MPs are working

:59:18.:59:22.

across party on this. Will the prime Minster meet with us so we can meet

:59:23.:59:29.

with him to discuss the high risk of flooding? I had an experience of

:59:30.:59:36.

very positive and good meetings with members of Parliament for Humberside

:59:37.:59:40.

on a cross-party basis. We worked very hard to make sure the Siemens

:59:41.:59:44.

investment went into a hole which is going to bring not just jobs to that

:59:45.:59:49.

factory but a whole new industry and supply chain into the area --

:59:50.:59:54.

investment went into Hull. I will make sure we do all we can to

:59:55.:59:59.

protect people's homes and businesses.

:00:00.:59:59.

While I welcome the I hope you enjoyed that because you

:00:00.:03:06.

will not be getting another one for a long time. The two frontbenchers

:03:07.:03:10.

went backwards and forwards over Pfizer. Not a single new fact was

:03:11.:03:17.

introduced in the exchanges. They just repeated what we have heard

:03:18.:03:25.

many, many times before. Viewers did not engage and the subject matter.

:03:26.:03:33.

Actually, what they did engage and was the performances of the party

:03:34.:03:37.

leaders. Colin in Rugby said I do not know what scale politicians used

:03:38.:03:43.

to measure charisma, but it did it matter if it is the Bofors scale, Ed

:03:44.:03:48.

to measure charisma, but it did it air or possibly hot air.

:03:49.:03:54.

to measure charisma, but it did it the wild applause

:03:55.:03:57.

to measure charisma, but it did it for Ed Miliband was from the

:03:58.:03:57.

Conservative MPs. for Ed Miliband was from the

:03:58.:04:07.

long-term economic for Ed Miliband was from the

:04:08.:04:13.

but those and zero hours contracts do not think it is working. Terry

:04:14.:04:19.

Casey from Liverpool says the Prime Minister does not understand the

:04:20.:04:20.

rich are earning a lot more Minister does not understand the

:04:21.:04:29.

hence the rise in the tax. And some else accuses Ed Miliband of playing

:04:30.:04:34.

politics, if you get to me. I got lost on that one. You can explain to

:04:35.:04:44.

me later. Or all three main Westminster party is going to take

:04:45.:04:48.

the view that the European elections do not say anything about the future

:04:49.:04:54.

course in politics? The Greens did very well in 19 18, in the 1980s

:04:55.:05:03.

when Margaret Thatcher was Prime Minister, UKIP did well in the past

:05:04.:05:07.

and another leader, Robert Kilroy silk. But if there is a big turnout

:05:08.:05:37.

or whether there is a protest vote. I thought what was striking today is

:05:38.:05:44.

Ed Miliband with news on a difficult wicket, a couple of the polls have

:05:45.:05:50.

shown Labour behind and employment figures are very good. What he

:05:51.:05:56.

wanted to avoid before an election is David Cameron pointing it out and

:05:57.:05:59.

him pointing out he was scared to talk about the economy. It is better

:06:00.:06:09.

than Manning crisis polls which have turned in the wrong direction. You

:06:10.:06:18.

can talk about this long-term sustainability, but it looks like

:06:19.:06:22.

this coalition government will go to the polls in a benign economic

:06:23.:06:28.

atmosphere. The governor of the Bank of England is forecast for this

:06:29.:06:36.

year, three point -- 3.4% growth and they have raised 2015, up 3%. No one

:06:37.:06:45.

on the left or the right sort that would be a kind of background to the

:06:46.:06:53.

run up to the election? We hoped for growth earlier and when we left

:06:54.:06:57.

government growth was rising, unemployment was falling and so was

:06:58.:06:59.

inflation. All of those things changed around 2010. We had three

:07:00.:07:07.

wasted years when we did not have growth. But growth for who? Where is

:07:08.:07:12.

the recovery being felt? It is being felt in London and the south-east

:07:13.:07:16.

and we have talked about House prices. But working people are on

:07:17.:07:22.

average ?1600 worse off with council tax bills going up, food going up

:07:23.:07:31.

and rent going up. Putting a ceiling on rent rises, these are the

:07:32.:07:45.

policies people are calling out for when we go out on the doorstep. So

:07:46.:07:48.

it is a recovery for the South. Labour said if you follow these

:07:49.:07:49.

policies, they won't be growth, there won't be recovery. We are now

:07:50.:07:57.

seeing strong growth. We have cut the deficit by a third. Unemployment

:07:58.:08:03.

coming down. There is clearly a palpable recovery going on across

:08:04.:08:08.

the economy. Helping young people, at least the young unemployment

:08:09.:08:13.

figures are coming down. And the long-term economic plan is working.

:08:14.:08:20.

You say nobody predicted this would be the background to the election,

:08:21.:08:24.

George Osborne predict did it. He said we would need to go through the

:08:25.:08:27.

pain of austerity. He predict did things with a better, he did not

:08:28.:08:35.

predict 3.4% growth, which is what the banks predicted because he has

:08:36.:08:40.

to depend on the OBR figures for growth and they are consistently

:08:41.:08:47.

wrong. The OBR is not the Treasury either. George Osborne sensibly

:08:48.:08:54.

set... You know when you speak to senior Conservatives they will

:08:55.:08:59.

surprise the economy is growing by over three and a half percent. We

:09:00.:09:05.

are not surprised the economy is growing because that was the purpose

:09:06.:09:09.

of the plan. I am talking about the volume of the growth which I think

:09:10.:09:15.

has surprised all of the Westminster establishment on the left and the

:09:16.:09:19.

right. The monetary policy committee meeting this morning, which is more

:09:20.:09:26.

important than anything that happened at Prime Minister's

:09:27.:09:28.

Questions. As the bank is telling us if the economy is growing by over

:09:29.:09:35.

3%, it is a return to normality. 3% is the growth rate you get coming

:09:36.:09:39.

out of a recession and at last we have reached that. So when do

:09:40.:09:43.

interest rates return to normal? Has anybody given the thought too, the

:09:44.:09:51.

closest we get to an election, does it not become a political move for

:09:52.:09:55.

the Governor of the bank to start to change interest rates. In America

:09:56.:10:00.

the Federal Reserve tries to avoid it in a presidential year. People

:10:01.:10:08.

are stretched on their mortgages and can only afford them because

:10:09.:10:10.

interest rates have been low for so long. While growth will help lots of

:10:11.:10:16.

people, the rise in interest rates will help savers but will hurt

:10:17.:10:24.

people with mortgages and push some over the edge. The governor was

:10:25.:10:29.

signalling interest rate rises would come sooner than he originally

:10:30.:10:35.

thought, but they will be gradual. I suspect if he thinks it has got to

:10:36.:10:40.

be done, they will try to do it slowly and steadily rather than

:10:41.:10:46.

waiting and waiting and doing it at one go. But it will be a big event,

:10:47.:10:57.

even if it is only 25 basis points, it is the turning of the cycle, the

:10:58.:11:00.

day he does that. What I cannot work out is, will he really do that this

:11:01.:11:09.

side of voting day? The hint is, he is given the upgrading of economic

:11:10.:11:15.

forecasts. But the interesting thing is, compared with him and his

:11:16.:11:23.

predecessor, Mervyn King, he was a politician first. He was a Canadian

:11:24.:11:27.

politician before he ran the Canadian central bank. He will be

:11:28.:11:33.

aware of the political sensitivity of putting up interest rates. But if

:11:34.:11:40.

the Bank of England concludes it has got to be done, I suspect it will

:11:41.:11:45.

be. I suspect he will hold off, not just for political reasons but the

:11:46.:11:48.

external pressures coming in on Britain at the moment are

:11:49.:11:54.

deflationary. The strength of sterling, the spectre of deflation

:11:55.:11:57.

in the Eurozone. I have just come back from Italy which has been hit

:11:58.:12:05.

by Italy, so has Greece, Spain and Portugal. Even Sweden, in the north.

:12:06.:12:13.

And this overcapacity in China, which will more than likely be

:12:14.:12:17.

dumped on Europe, these goods will come in cheaply. I suspect because

:12:18.:12:22.

of these deflationary pressures will not allow him to raise interest

:12:23.:12:28.

rates for a while? He will not want to do anything to choke off the

:12:29.:12:34.

recovery. And become political. We don't want to see people defaulting

:12:35.:12:38.

on their mortgages. Damien talks about a recovery but when we have

:12:39.:12:44.

half a million people on 0-hours contract 's, a million part-time

:12:45.:12:46.

workers who would like to move to full-time work but can't because

:12:47.:12:52.

their employers are not offering, or they cannot get the child care they

:12:53.:12:58.

need. It is not a recovery fully spread across all parts of the UK

:12:59.:13:03.

economy. It is spreading across all parts. One of the interesting things

:13:04.:13:09.

about this recovery is how balanced it is, it is not just a consumer

:13:10.:13:13.

recovery. Business investment as well. If it is not just consumers

:13:14.:13:20.

and businesses have got somewhere else to go, what else is it? It is

:13:21.:13:28.

exports as well. Overall, exports throughout the coalition's life have

:13:29.:13:36.

been a negative on growth. But they are coming in the right direction

:13:37.:13:39.

now. Manufacturing is doing better than people thought. A very low

:13:40.:13:51.

base? The base actor the recession was extremely low, it has now

:13:52.:14:00.

recovered under this government. And also the big issues leading up to

:14:01.:14:07.

these elections is immigration. The Prime Minister squeezed in a mention

:14:08.:14:11.

of it. You can look at the figures that show a big increase in the

:14:12.:14:15.

number of people coming from the EU as a success story. Jobs are being

:14:16.:14:17.

created and there is a record number of British people in jobs. If you

:14:18.:14:19.

are UKIP, you can say, we did not get it right about Romania and dog

:14:20.:14:23.

area but there is still a surge of people coming from the EU. It is

:14:24.:14:30.

whether the data can be read in more than one way. Do these figures that

:14:31.:14:34.

came out today, Vince Cable saying, I told you so. Or is Nigel Farage to

:14:35.:14:44.

save I don't care which bit of Europe came from, they are still

:14:45.:14:46.

coming. I suspect if they had gone on that it would have been more

:14:47.:14:52.

interesting. We will not see you for a few weeks. Just go and do some

:14:53.:15:01.

gardening, nothing else to do. We will see you on June 18. We will be

:15:02.:15:08.

counting the days. The weather will be nice, what ever

:15:09.:15:11.

you decide to do. How do you know that?

:15:12.:15:21.

I believe the BBC weather forecast. LED lights are becoming more

:15:22.:15:26.

popular, not just as flickering indicators are machines but for

:15:27.:15:29.

vehicle headlights, industrial lighting and even illuminating

:15:30.:15:33.

homes. They are seen as more efficient and longer lasting than

:15:34.:15:38.

traditional lamps. It is perhaps for this reason they are also being seen

:15:39.:15:42.

as an alternative option for street lighting by some councils. For soap

:15:43.:15:48.

box this week, we hear from Simon Nicholas who is a leading campaigner

:15:49.:15:53.

against LED street lighting in Trafford in South Manchester.

:15:54.:16:09.

and spreading across Britain. Now councils up and down the country

:16:10.:16:13.

want to use LEDs to light up our streets at night. Here in West

:16:14.:16:19.

London they have already made the switch. Here in West London they use

:16:20.:16:27.

them. They claim to use less energy. The cost of the PFI contract to

:16:28.:16:33.

install these is unknown. In my own borough of Old Trafford, the cost

:16:34.:16:38.

was similarly shrouded in secrecy. There is a question about how

:16:39.:16:44.

cost-effective it really is. In order to achieve savings over

:16:45.:16:46.

traditional lights, they must be supplied with a very high colour

:16:47.:16:52.

temperature omitting high levels in the blue spectrum. There is an

:16:53.:16:56.

increasing research which supports the view that blue

:16:57.:17:02.

bad for health and the environment. A number of studies suggests the

:17:03.:17:06.

blue lighting leads to the suppression of melatonin, a hormone

:17:07.:17:13.

which leads to sleep. A report in 2009 recommended caution before any

:17:14.:17:20.

widescale move to lean sodium lighting and broad-spectrum

:17:21.:17:22.

lighting. Here, people have complained the new lights have

:17:23.:17:28.

disrupted their sleep and they have had to use cardboard on the windows

:17:29.:17:31.

to block the lighting. I believe we need to halt and reverse the spread

:17:32.:17:38.

of LED lighting until wider research has been explored in the cold light

:17:39.:17:43.

of day. And Simon Nicholas is with me now.

:17:44.:17:49.

Let's look at the impact on health and sleep deprivation. How much

:17:50.:17:52.

evidence have you got to support the claims made in that film that LED

:17:53.:17:56.

lighting does have a negative impact? There is a lot of

:17:57.:18:02.

multinational research which have been published to support that. It

:18:03.:18:06.

is well acknowledged that blue light at night does affect sleep. And

:18:07.:18:10.

also, the whole issue will blue light in the environment affects not

:18:11.:18:15.

just human beings but also ecosystems of other animals and

:18:16.:18:19.

plants. It is not a naturally occurring to have blue light at

:18:20.:18:26.

night. There is a number of research that has been published. People are

:18:27.:18:30.

not going to be sleeping under the lights. It is not as if you are

:18:31.:18:35.

getting direct exposure, as if it was inside the house with you? I

:18:36.:18:40.

think you do get exposure if it is coming through your living room

:18:41.:18:44.

window in the evening and also, if you have a crack in the curtains, it

:18:45.:18:49.

can come through and liked the room. Also it has been suggested that you

:18:50.:18:53.

can get up in the middle of the night and walk into a room which

:18:54.:18:56.

does not have the curtains closed and it can trigger your body clock

:18:57.:19:02.

by just doing that. Is it true that even with the curtains closed, if

:19:03.:19:06.

you are standing in the bedrooms, if you have an LED light facing your

:19:07.:19:10.

house, you would have it streamed through the window? Guests. I went

:19:11.:19:19.

to a gentleman's house last night and he has a downstairs flat and it

:19:20.:19:22.

is streaming in almost like a floodlight from across the road into

:19:23.:19:24.

his bedroom. It does last longer than some of the traditional

:19:25.:19:28.

lighting that is used and is more efficient in terms of energy

:19:29.:19:31.

consumption. Is that the reason behind using them? It is more

:19:32.:19:37.

efficient but only if you tune it to omit a large amount of blue light.

:19:38.:19:46.

There are other issues as well such as glare. They are extremely bright.

:19:47.:19:52.

And also Flickr. There is concern and I have spoken to public health

:19:53.:19:57.

England about this, that different types of streetlights operating at

:19:58.:20:04.

different frequencies might cause problems in terms of seizures and

:20:05.:20:08.

that sort of thing. Have you actually won your battle in

:20:09.:20:14.

Trafford? In a sense, gas. They were in denial for a while about the

:20:15.:20:18.

issue of health. They have gone away and given me a commitment that they

:20:19.:20:25.

will not fit high colour temperature LEDs in Trafford. If more than -- is

:20:26.:20:32.

more benign specifications do not stack up financially, they will not

:20:33.:20:43.

be suppressed. I am worried about councils turning off the lights

:20:44.:20:46.

altogether. As somebody who regularly site 's home later

:20:47.:20:55.

tonight, there is research in a large amounts of accidents when the

:20:56.:20:59.

lights are turned off. Eric Pickles says people should not be doing

:21:00.:21:02.

aerobics at three o'clock in the morning. I do not think we want

:21:03.:21:05.

lessons from Eric and aerobics but I think it is important that we have a

:21:06.:21:11.

safe lighting system. Do you think this is? No, I think LED lights in

:21:12.:21:16.

Salford, they have installed them, they have cut their bill, it is a

:21:17.:21:21.

low-energy way of lighting the streets, councils are under pressure

:21:22.:21:25.

and a price freeze would reduce that but I do think blue light, it is the

:21:26.:21:35.

blue light which is most likely to keep us awake is staring at our

:21:36.:21:39.

hand-held phones and our computers and we do that voluntarily. What you

:21:40.:21:44.

say about the claim of Tory councils wanting to switch off the lights to

:21:45.:21:47.

save money. Eric Pickles says he loves them being switched off at

:21:48.:21:51.

night because it saves money and helps and sleep. Councils saving

:21:52.:22:01.

money is not sensible if they are not saving on essential things. The

:22:02.:22:08.

thing to do it is in areas where it does not make a difference. Having

:22:09.:22:11.

full streetlights on at three o'clock in the morning inroads where

:22:12.:22:18.

nobody walks down is not a sensible use of taxpayers' money. Is that

:22:19.:22:22.

stops a fatal car crash. Cars have headlights. Public health England

:22:23.:22:29.

has said that they are not convinced, there is research showing

:22:30.:22:34.

that they can cause problems. Public Health England is not convinced by

:22:35.:22:40.

that. The research on crime generally is almost perverse. It

:22:41.:22:44.

shows that crime goes down if you switch the lights off. I made that

:22:45.:22:48.

face as well when I heard that but it is fair to say that on the house

:22:49.:22:53.

aspects and the crime and safety aspects, the research is at best

:22:54.:23:00.

inconclusive. There is also environmental issues as well. Royal

:23:01.:23:05.

commission report said it advised government to do some research and

:23:06.:23:12.

not to rush into LED street lighting until the full environmental impact

:23:13.:23:15.

had been considered. Thank you and come and tell us what Trafford

:23:16.:23:26.

decide to do in the future. A crack team of researchers has been

:23:27.:23:32.

on to the House of Commons and they tell us that last year there was a

:23:33.:23:38.

PMQs after the Queens speech I stand corrected! But now there is some

:23:39.:23:42.

doubt about it. There are several anti-EU groups

:23:43.:23:53.

in each electoral region, including ex-UKIP MEP Mike Nattrass and his

:23:54.:24:00.

"An Independence from Europe" Party. Let's have a look

:24:01.:24:04.

at their election broadcast. No one would have believed that in

:24:05.:24:24.

the first years of the 21st century, Britain's affairs were being watched

:24:25.:24:30.

and scrutinised by an alien world. With our three political parties who

:24:31.:24:34.

lie to the public about their intentions, minds more Eurocrat than

:24:35.:24:41.

ours, slowly and surely drew their plans against us. And then it came.

:24:42.:24:49.

The hideous body of the EU, smashing our democracy and destroying our

:24:50.:24:55.

laws. Plotting to annihilate our currency and sucking up our pension

:24:56.:25:00.

funds. And Mike Nattrass is here in the

:25:01.:25:06.

studio. Welcome to the Daily Politics. There is the United

:25:07.:25:09.

kingdom Independence party and now there is the An Independence From

:25:10.:25:15.

Europe party. It is a bit like the people's Judaean front and the

:25:16.:25:20.

Judaean front... Traditionally in British politics, it was the far

:25:21.:25:24.

left that went into endless factions. I think there were 16

:25:25.:25:28.

different Trotskyite groups. Are you not in danger of doing the same? No,

:25:29.:25:35.

we are not the same. We are to the left of UKIP. We do not believe in

:25:36.:25:40.

privatisation which is being bandied around by Nigel who does tend to

:25:41.:25:44.

wreck policy on the hoof. We are against privatisation especially in

:25:45.:25:48.

the National Health Service but of course we want to get out of Europe.

:25:49.:25:54.

That is our main policy. By referendum? Not necessarily. Our own

:25:55.:25:59.

sticky issue and does not need a referendum. It really needs MPs with

:26:00.:26:04.

a backbone to get us out. They need a referendum because otherwise they

:26:05.:26:09.

are scared to do it. Am I right in thinking the main motivation of this

:26:10.:26:14.

party is to get Nigel? There is no personal animosity? No, there is...

:26:15.:26:27.

Do you despise him? Jelena I would rather stay away. Of the 12 MEPs he

:26:28.:26:33.

had, there are now six. Where you kicked out of UKIP or did you leave?

:26:34.:26:39.

I resigned when I found that he was trying to change the members' ballot

:26:40.:26:41.

when he trying to change the members' ballot

:26:42.:26:46.

order of the list of candidates. I walked out of a meeting in

:26:47.:26:50.

Strasbourg where he was gerrymandering the list. Your

:26:51.:26:54.

election broadcast seems rather similar to one that UKIP had. It was

:26:55.:27:03.

mine, I own it. I paid for it. In the early 2000s I think I did four

:27:04.:27:09.

broadcasts for UKIP. I was the deputy leader at the time. Do you

:27:10.:27:15.

have problems as UKIP has had that people are saying rather outlandish

:27:16.:27:23.

and Ed Jepson of all things. -- and objection all things. Not so far. I

:27:24.:27:27.

have had some amusing telephone calls. Mostly people ringing up and

:27:28.:27:35.

saying good luck. Have you had any far right problems? I do not think

:27:36.:27:41.

so. You have somebody from the Dutch Freedom party. They left the Dutch

:27:42.:27:45.

Freedom party for that reason. In the same way that some people from

:27:46.:27:50.

UKIP have distanced themselves because he has joined a group in the

:27:51.:27:54.

European Parliament which is probably obnoxious. You both want to

:27:55.:27:58.

leave Europe, you differ on privatisation but what other

:27:59.:28:03.

distinguishing characteristic you have other than you are not Nigel

:28:04.:28:09.

Farage? I am a grammar school kid, I did not go to public school. Just

:28:10.:28:16.

one policy, quickly. We think assemblies should not exist in their

:28:17.:28:20.

present form. Regional assemblies. They should be occupied by MPs who

:28:21.:28:24.

break from Westminster, it leaving the English to deal with English

:28:25.:28:29.

matters in the English Parliament. Very well. We have to leave it there

:28:30.:28:35.

but thank you. We have to pick who won guessed the year. -- the winner

:28:36.:28:40.

is Ruth Duffy from Lancashire. We'll be back tomorrow

:28:41.:28:46.

at noon with all the big political We'll be joined by pensions expert

:28:47.:28:52.

Ros Altman, so do join us then.

:28:53.:28:57.

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