Browse content similar to 03/06/2014. Check below for episodes and series from the same categories and more!
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Scrap Help To Buy, increase council tax, spend more money. | :00:36. | :00:42. | |
The EU tells Britain how it should be running its economy - | :00:43. | :00:45. | |
David Cameron needs allies like Angela Merkel in Europe. | :00:46. | :00:50. | |
Should he do deals with her political rivals in Brussels? | :00:51. | :00:55. | |
Fees have gone up - now so have complaints from students. | :00:56. | :00:59. | |
Is ?9,000 a year for the privilege of studying | :01:00. | :01:01. | |
Vince Cable's friend's been plotting against Nick Clegg. | :01:02. | :01:10. | |
Today Vince and Nick are going to the pub - will there be a political | :01:11. | :01:14. | |
And with us for the whole programme today is John | :01:15. | :01:27. | |
Micklethwait, the editor-in-chief of the Economist magazine. | :01:28. | :01:30. | |
Let's start with the economy, because the latest figures from the | :01:31. | :01:35. | |
Nationwide suggest that house prices have risen by 11% over the last year | :01:36. | :01:38. | |
Well, it's definitely heated up extremely in London. It's boiling in | :01:39. | :01:53. | |
London. The problem is, the rest of the country is not moving as fast | :01:54. | :01:57. | |
and the Government do want to keep some element of life in the rest of | :01:58. | :02:01. | |
it and particularly Mark Carney - you talk to him and he is stuck in | :02:02. | :02:06. | |
this very difficult balancing act. At the moment I think he's probably | :02:07. | :02:10. | |
still pretty firmly behind the idea that the economy needs more growth | :02:11. | :02:13. | |
so he's unlikely to come in very hard in the short term. There is the | :02:14. | :02:18. | |
question you have raised interest rates because people are sitting on | :02:19. | :02:23. | |
large and high amounts of mortgage debt. The balancing act is going to | :02:24. | :02:27. | |
reach a tipping point. When do you think that will be? I think probably | :02:28. | :02:31. | |
sometime next year. That would feel about right. The problem is what you | :02:32. | :02:35. | |
do to be strained London in the meantime. A sort of things people | :02:36. | :02:40. | |
are talking about - and these are horrible words like Matt Crow | :02:41. | :02:45. | |
credentials. These are where you don't change the interest rates but | :02:46. | :02:48. | |
you change the amount that banks are allowed to lend, so you say 60%, | :02:49. | :02:54. | |
rather than 70 or 80 present. It's that sort of thing where I can | :02:55. | :02:59. | |
imagine Mark Carney coming in first. We're already hearing today from | :03:00. | :03:04. | |
people at Nationwide saying that activity, in terms of mortgage | :03:05. | :03:08. | |
applications being accepted, is starting to cool. So is it true to | :03:09. | :03:14. | |
say that some of the policies being put in place, some of the tightening | :03:15. | :03:17. | |
in terms of lending, is having an effect? Mortgages are all about | :03:18. | :03:23. | |
sentiment. So you, by merely debating it, are helping change it a | :03:24. | :03:29. | |
bit because people are hearing about higher interest rates possibly being | :03:30. | :03:32. | |
on the way and that makes a difference to how much you think | :03:33. | :03:35. | |
you'll end up paying and how much we're going to end up going in terms | :03:36. | :03:40. | |
of the housing market. But if you speak to somebody in the Midlands or | :03:41. | :03:44. | |
Liverpool or Manchester or Yorkshire, they will say they're | :03:45. | :03:48. | |
nowhere near the point of recovery, looking at the pre-crash levels. Is | :03:49. | :03:53. | |
it fair to do anything that might hold back some sort of recovery in | :03:54. | :03:56. | |
house prices in those parts of England? I was in the Midlands last | :03:57. | :04:01. | |
weekend and it isn't the same there. In the centre of London, it's going | :04:02. | :04:05. | |
well but the difficulty is trying to do both at the same time. Imagine | :04:06. | :04:10. | |
trying to do something like trying to limit the amount of money | :04:11. | :04:15. | |
available in the south-east while also playing about with mortgage | :04:16. | :04:17. | |
rules for foreigners and finally, of course, there is the fact that even | :04:18. | :04:24. | |
London, people are beginning to say "this is a lot of money to pay for | :04:25. | :04:29. | |
not much space". Do you think that is starting to bottom out now? Do | :04:30. | :04:35. | |
you think even foreign investors, who are accused of buying up real | :04:36. | :04:39. | |
estate, to use that American phrase, expensive postcodes and leaving them | :04:40. | :04:43. | |
empty, decide they won't pay more. I think there is an element of that | :04:44. | :04:47. | |
and the whole thing is cyclical. If I am a rich foreigner, I'd buy | :04:48. | :04:51. | |
property in London in part because I think other rich foreigners will do. | :04:52. | :04:56. | |
property in London in part because I If you are Chinese or somebody from | :04:57. | :04:58. | |
you are buying this is as a nest you are buying this is as a nest | :04:59. | :05:02. | |
egg. You like London because it is a liquid asset. You can sell it, you | :05:03. | :05:05. | |
think, liquid asset. You can sell it, you | :05:06. | :05:14. | |
want to come in... If you look at the prices | :05:15. | :05:15. | |
want to come in... If you look at against, say, Burlington - and there | :05:16. | :05:19. | |
are all sorts of reasons to against, say, Burlington - and there | :05:20. | :05:24. | |
foreigners you could meet against, say, Burlington - and there | :05:25. | :05:36. | |
interesting. That debate will rumble on. | :05:37. | :05:38. | |
or D - our guest of the day John Micklethwait? | :05:39. | :06:04. | |
They're anti-euro, want a leaner Brussels | :06:05. | :06:06. | |
had seven MEPs elected last week and want to sit with | :06:07. | :06:14. | |
David Cameron's Conservatives in the European Parliament. | :06:15. | :06:17. | |
Trouble is that David Cameron needs to keep | :06:18. | :06:19. | |
German Chancellor Angela Merkel on side if he's going achieve anything | :06:20. | :06:23. | |
in his renegotiation - and this new German Eurosceptic party is Angela | :06:24. | :06:28. | |
Merkel's sworn political enemy. that we want to put reforms on the | :06:29. | :06:55. | |
EU. We want to strengthen that we want to put reforms on the | :06:56. | :07:03. | |
European real estate policy and to bring it to one point, we are | :07:04. | :07:10. | |
heading for a European Union as a federation of | :07:11. | :07:13. | |
heading for a European Union as a sovereign democracies, and we oppose | :07:14. | :07:17. | |
strongly the idea of having a federal state, a European Union as a | :07:18. | :07:22. | |
federal state. I think this is the main point we're making and this is | :07:23. | :07:28. | |
our main political goal. This is what the Alternative for and this | :07:29. | :07:34. | |
will be our responsibility, to stress this issue. So perfect | :07:35. | :07:41. | |
partners for the British Conservative party? I guess so, yes. | :07:42. | :07:52. | |
We are highly compatible with the British Conservatives, as they want | :07:53. | :07:56. | |
to put reforms on the European Union also, and I would call ourselves the | :07:57. | :08:07. | |
natural allies of the Tory party and for the ECR group, who is | :08:08. | :08:11. | |
representing these ideas of re-formation of the EU within the | :08:12. | :08:15. | |
parliament. But do you accept you are the sworn enemy of the | :08:16. | :08:20. | |
Chancellor Angela Merkel? Well, I think at the moment, we're | :08:21. | :08:25. | |
opposing, on one very central point, and this is what we want to have a | :08:26. | :08:34. | |
deep reform of, the European Union and the European institutions. We | :08:35. | :08:37. | |
don't want to have the European Union as a federal state and this is | :08:38. | :08:43. | |
what is pushed forward from Angela Merkel and from all the other German | :08:44. | :08:50. | |
parties, also, so this means that we have got a very important point but | :08:51. | :08:56. | |
we are opposing each other, that's true. John Micklethwait, this would | :08:57. | :09:01. | |
be ideal, wouldn't it, for the Conservative party, to be in the | :09:02. | :09:05. | |
same group? It would be wonderful except that everyone in Europe knows | :09:06. | :09:08. | |
the single person who decides everything in Europe, or has the | :09:09. | :09:11. | |
greatest negative power, is Angela Merkel. I think she has greater | :09:12. | :09:16. | |
power than any person has had in Europe for a very long time and it | :09:17. | :09:22. | |
would mildly annoy her - to put it mildly - if... Do you think, then, | :09:23. | :09:26. | |
that David Cameron won't entertain the idea of getting in bed with the | :09:27. | :09:31. | |
Alternative for Germany party? I think he will entertain the idea | :09:32. | :09:34. | |
because, as we heard, there is such a huge array of similar objectives. | :09:35. | :09:39. | |
That could almost have been a Conservative speaking, which is a | :09:40. | :09:42. | |
terrible thing to say about anyone, but that would have sounded very | :09:43. | :09:47. | |
similar. There is this basic barrier that if he wants anything to happen | :09:48. | :09:50. | |
in Europe, he's got to deal with Angela Merkel. Right, and that's the | :09:51. | :09:55. | |
realistic part of this whole political discussion. As far as | :09:56. | :09:59. | |
David Cameron and the Conservative party is concerned, Beatrix, Angela | :10:00. | :10:02. | |
Merkel is far more important than you. Well, if you look to the | :10:03. | :10:09. | |
European Parliament and you want to strengthen a constructive way of | :10:10. | :10:14. | |
reforms, even within the parliament, we need a strong group who support | :10:15. | :10:19. | |
this idea, so that means we need a strong... It would be good to have a | :10:20. | :10:26. | |
strong ECR and I think we would be good best to do so and I think, | :10:27. | :10:31. | |
finally, it's going to be the members of the European Parliament | :10:32. | :10:35. | |
who are voting us into the group and then it would be far more likely | :10:36. | :10:39. | |
that we have a constructive discussion going on about the | :10:40. | :10:44. | |
re-formation of the system and I think it would be a good sign to the | :10:45. | :10:49. | |
people also that the European Parliament is taking a responsible | :10:50. | :10:53. | |
position within this discussion. I think it would be a brilliant idea | :10:54. | :11:00. | |
to have German members express these points from the floor of Brussels | :11:01. | :11:04. | |
and Strasbourg. What do you think about David Cameron's plan for the | :11:05. | :11:09. | |
in-out referendum on Britain's relationship with the EU? We are | :11:10. | :11:14. | |
also very much supporting the idea of the self-determination of the | :11:15. | :11:17. | |
people so I think it's always a good idea to ask the people themselves | :11:18. | :11:24. | |
what they want. Even in Germany, we want to have these questions put to | :11:25. | :11:30. | |
the people because the parliament is not able, from our constitution, to | :11:31. | :11:38. | |
decide about giving up our sovereignty to whomever, or to the | :11:39. | :11:43. | |
European Union or other institutions. This is not what the | :11:44. | :11:51. | |
parliament has been voted for. They are not allowed to pass away our | :11:52. | :11:54. | |
sovereignty so it's always a very good point to ask the people to | :11:55. | :11:58. | |
participate in the political process. You've been described as a | :11:59. | :12:03. | |
German Eurosceptic party. What do you think of UKIP? Well, I think in | :12:04. | :12:11. | |
general, the ideas they are having are in the same direction. They want | :12:12. | :12:19. | |
to get out of the EU banned from the German taxpayers' point of view, | :12:20. | :12:24. | |
that isn't good for us, but I think it is good to ask the people and | :12:25. | :12:27. | |
this is what UKIP is heading for also, have a referendum on this | :12:28. | :12:37. | |
idea. If Britain leave the European Union, that would be sad. That would | :12:38. | :12:43. | |
not be our wish. But if the people decide likewise, that's the way it | :12:44. | :12:47. | |
is. It will step in democracy and that's always good. Jacob Rees-Mogg, | :12:48. | :12:55. | |
the Conservative MP, has battled through the traffic and made it in | :12:56. | :12:59. | |
the end. We've just been hearing from the Alternative for Germany | :13:00. | :13:03. | |
party, One Direction setting out, really, a Conservative agenda in | :13:04. | :13:07. | |
terms of reform in Europe. Are you going to join forces? I think there | :13:08. | :13:12. | |
is a difference between what goes on in the European Parliament and what | :13:13. | :13:16. | |
goes on inside it. In the European Parliament, the Conservatives cannot | :13:17. | :13:20. | |
be within the European people's party, and outright Federalist party | :13:21. | :13:25. | |
which believes the EU is a fantastic success. That is Angela Merkel's CDU | :13:26. | :13:30. | |
party. The Alternative fur Deutschland is a much more | :13:31. | :13:35. | |
attractive partner for the Conservatives in the context of the | :13:36. | :13:39. | |
European Parliament and it is therefore sensible for David Cameron | :13:40. | :13:42. | |
to maintain very friendly relations with Angela Merkel, which is crucial | :13:43. | :13:46. | |
to his getting his weight in the EU, to the extent that Britain ever gets | :13:47. | :13:51. | |
her way, but it's also sensible in the context of the alliances you | :13:52. | :13:54. | |
need within the European Parliament, for the Conservative group to align | :13:55. | :14:01. | |
with them because it is as close to us as you get in German politics to | :14:02. | :14:07. | |
our view of Europe. But you can't afford to alienate Angela Merkel in | :14:08. | :14:12. | |
any way. By making friends with this lady in Berlin, the Alternative fur | :14:13. | :14:15. | |
Deutschland party, you are going to do exactly that. I don't think | :14:16. | :14:18. | |
that's right. I don't pick we have any perpetual allies. We have the | :14:19. | :14:23. | |
British interest, which we must work towards. Angela Merkel was very | :14:24. | :14:31. | |
upset when we left her party but is now David Cameron's best friend in | :14:32. | :14:34. | |
Europe. Is she his best friend in Europe? She has a much higher | :14:35. | :14:39. | |
respect for him than she did then. The thing that is definitely true is | :14:40. | :14:44. | |
that she would be equally cross - I think more so, particularly when she | :14:45. | :14:48. | |
is trying to deliver a lot of things for Britain - if they did join that | :14:49. | :14:54. | |
group. Mrs Merkel supported Mr Sarkozy for the presidency of | :14:55. | :14:58. | |
France, then she didn't, now she has to get on with Francois Hollande. | :14:59. | :15:01. | |
That's how international politics works. That is a job of | :15:02. | :15:04. | |
international leaders to get on with each other to achieve their own | :15:05. | :15:07. | |
national interests. He has to achieve a lot in his big those years | :15:08. | :15:11. | |
because your Parliamentary colleagues are putting a lot of | :15:12. | :15:13. | |
pressure on him to come back with something tangible head of the 2015 | :15:14. | :15:17. | |
election. He needs Angela Merkel to deliver that. The strongest point to | :15:18. | :15:22. | |
get a good renegotiation is to say that if we don't go all we want, we | :15:23. | :15:26. | |
will leave. That is our absolute winner negotiating card, not be here | :15:27. | :15:30. | |
today, gone tomorrow support of Mrs Merkel. Angela Merkel has said she | :15:31. | :15:38. | |
backs him for the Commission President. We know what both | :15:39. | :15:45. | |
Beatrix's party and the Conservatives think about him. They | :15:46. | :15:51. | |
don't want him. The whole thing is a farce. You have him who does not | :15:52. | :16:01. | |
want this job and Mrs Merkel does not want him for the job. There is | :16:02. | :16:07. | |
an element whereby the Germans are hoping that some kind of blocking | :16:08. | :16:14. | |
coalition sort of emerges and I would, in the end, if you asked me | :16:15. | :16:19. | |
at the weekend, I would have bet that someone who was at least more | :16:20. | :16:23. | |
friendly to the British point of view might end up as the Commission | :16:24. | :16:26. | |
President. Alright. Before we let you go. Who do you want to see as | :16:27. | :16:32. | |
Commission President? I think we have got new member states from | :16:33. | :16:38. | |
Central and Eastern Europe. They have many talents to implement the | :16:39. | :16:42. | |
new spirit of Europe. OK. It is pretty clear we will not support | :16:43. | :16:56. | |
Juncker. Maybe we will come up with a President from Eastern Europe. | :16:57. | :17:07. | |
Richard Zilic would be a new face. Juncker is a representation of the | :17:08. | :17:19. | |
old Europe. Alright. He would be a new face. We should think about | :17:20. | :17:21. | |
something like that. OK. Thank you. Now, you'd be forgiven for thinking | :17:22. | :17:26. | |
wranglings over who will be its next President may have stopped the | :17:27. | :17:29. | |
European Commission from getting on with their day-to-day work, but have | :17:30. | :17:32. | |
no fear - they've found the time to offer Britain some economic | :17:33. | :17:34. | |
pointers. Every year the Commission offers | :17:35. | :17:37. | |
member states advice on how to ensure long-term growth - and | :17:38. | :17:40. | |
they've got some tips for David Cameron | :17:41. | :17:42. | |
and George Osborne. The European Union's executive | :17:43. | :17:45. | |
body has called on the UK to They say the UK should raise taxes | :17:46. | :17:47. | |
on higher value properties and build more houses to "alleviate | :17:48. | :17:53. | |
distortions in the housing market". And they recommend adjusting | :17:54. | :17:57. | |
the Help to Buy scheme and revaluing council tax bands - which | :17:58. | :17:59. | |
would put bills up for some people. Commission President Jose Manuel | :18:00. | :18:04. | |
Barroso said he recognised the advice might be | :18:05. | :18:09. | |
"politically unpopular" but member states "must play their part | :18:10. | :18:12. | |
in seeing these reforms through". The Treasury say they will listen | :18:13. | :18:16. | |
to the Commission with interest. But, | :18:17. | :18:20. | |
others have been less diplomatic. Conservative MP Dominic Raab said | :18:21. | :18:22. | |
the Chancellor should treat the Commission's advice as " | :18:23. | :18:25. | |
spam when it arrives in his inbox". So, is the Commission right to offer | :18:26. | :18:29. | |
Britain advice on the economy? We can speak now to | :18:30. | :18:32. | |
our political correspondent, Is this usually the way with the | :18:33. | :18:47. | |
Commission to offer this sort of advice to nation states? It is. It | :18:48. | :18:53. | |
is an annual process. It does coincide David Cameron lashing out | :18:54. | :18:59. | |
at what he called "bossy Brussels". This morning it has been framed in | :19:00. | :19:04. | |
some papers as an unwanted intrusion. This is an annual | :19:05. | :19:10. | |
process. It is non-binding guidance and they are far less interested in | :19:11. | :19:13. | |
what is going on in Britain than they are in other countries. France, | :19:14. | :19:20. | |
a huge concern here in Europe. Its sluggish growth, high unemployment | :19:21. | :19:25. | |
and the Commission says it needs dramatic structural economic reform | :19:26. | :19:30. | |
urgently. Italy needs to embark on an accelerated programme of | :19:31. | :19:33. | |
privatisation, so big stuff is being delivered to those capitals. In | :19:34. | :19:41. | |
terms of Britain, the Commission shares the concerns of the Governor | :19:42. | :19:45. | |
of the Bank of England and lots of politicians that it is getting very | :19:46. | :19:49. | |
hot in London and the South East. It does recommend things like a | :19:50. | :19:54. | |
restriction to the second phase of Help to Buy, more houses needs to be | :19:55. | :20:00. | |
built. It gets into the contentious area of council tax banding, which | :20:01. | :20:06. | |
has not been looked at since 1991. Alright. Thank you. Do you welcome | :20:07. | :20:15. | |
the advice, Jacob Rees-Mogg? I think the response is it will heal thy | :20:16. | :20:32. | |
self. It doesn't seem to be very intelligent of the European | :20:33. | :20:36. | |
Commission... We had the great advantage that we had a loose | :20:37. | :20:41. | |
monetary policy in return. Fiscal tightness and monetary tightness has | :20:42. | :20:49. | |
been a disaster for the eurozone. They should have been more humble in | :20:50. | :21:01. | |
their approach. They should not start telling HMG what they need to | :21:02. | :21:06. | |
start to do. Are you saying our economy is fixed and we can be smug | :21:07. | :21:10. | |
about it? It is a good deal better than what is going on in continental | :21:11. | :21:16. | |
Europe. We have our own currency and that has allowed us to have a | :21:17. | :21:19. | |
suitable monetary policy to go hand in hand with the fiscal tightness | :21:20. | :21:24. | |
that we had. And that has left us in a much stronger position than | :21:25. | :21:28. | |
France, or Italy, or Spain, or Greece. Monetary policy in the | :21:29. | :21:33. | |
European Union is still set for Germany. Is it bad advice that they | :21:34. | :21:39. | |
are giving you to stop the housing market, which John said is | :21:40. | :21:43. | |
overheating in London, that could lead to the sort of conditions that | :21:44. | :21:50. | |
resulted in the recession that started in 2008? Is that such bad | :21:51. | :21:56. | |
advice? It is two bits of advice. One is to raise taxes, which is | :21:57. | :22:01. | |
rotten advice. Increasing taxes on capital assets is bad advice because | :22:02. | :22:05. | |
there is no liquidity to pay the tax. The other bit is motherhood and | :22:06. | :22:11. | |
apple pie. Wouldn't it be nice to have an extremely stable housing | :22:12. | :22:15. | |
market? Of course it would. If you stabilise the housing market by | :22:16. | :22:19. | |
increasing interest rates, what affect do you have on businesses and | :22:20. | :22:25. | |
on marginal mortgage borrowers? It is no good saying it would be nice | :22:26. | :22:32. | |
if you did easy things. But the specific advice on raising taxation | :22:33. | :22:36. | |
is bad advice. Is Jacob Rees-Mogg being oversensitive? A little. The | :22:37. | :22:51. | |
fact is - it is a difficult thing for the Tories with the European | :22:52. | :22:55. | |
Commission. If you look at what most of us - we also oppose being part of | :22:56. | :23:00. | |
the euro. We want a much bigger single market. The only people who | :23:01. | :23:04. | |
are likely to get that delivered is the Commission. We are stuck in this | :23:05. | :23:07. | |
position that we - there is some stuff which the Commission is doing. | :23:08. | :23:12. | |
All the advice they are giving now - I agree, they haven't always given | :23:13. | :23:16. | |
perfect advice. But most of the advice they are giving is on the | :23:17. | :23:32. | |
good side. Right. Let's say you are being a bit oversensitive. If you | :23:33. | :23:38. | |
listen to the Governor of the Bank of England, he's broadly said many | :23:39. | :23:41. | |
of the same things that have come from the Commission. Is it your | :23:42. | :23:45. | |
problem with Europe and its institutions saying these things | :23:46. | :23:48. | |
rather than what they are saying? You have to be careful about the | :23:49. | :23:57. | |
message and the effect the message has. We have to report back in a | :23:58. | :24:02. | |
year's time. The European Commission will visit the UK three times to see | :24:03. | :24:07. | |
whether we are following their recommendations or not. So, it is | :24:08. | :24:11. | |
right to be a bit sensitive that this is an ability of the Commission | :24:12. | :24:15. | |
to interfere in something that is central to national sovereignty and | :24:16. | :24:19. | |
where their advice has not worked in other countries. It is only advice. | :24:20. | :24:23. | |
It is only advice. It is not the same as - in fact, Osborne has said | :24:24. | :24:30. | |
- I don't think there is a lot George Osborne would disagree with. | :24:31. | :24:34. | |
What you really want is within the eurozone, you want them to have a | :24:35. | :24:40. | |
much stronger role. Alright. That would be a better Europe. Briefly? | :24:41. | :24:47. | |
Euro needs to revert to national currencies. Would you put the advice | :24:48. | :24:52. | |
in "spam"? That is a brilliant recommendation. Thank you. | :24:53. | :24:56. | |
Now, last week Vince Cable's friend, Lord Oakeshott, was at the centre | :24:57. | :24:58. | |
of a botched plot to remove Nick Clegg as Lib Dem leader. | :24:59. | :25:00. | |
This morning Nick Clegg was trying to show there were no hard feelings | :25:01. | :25:03. | |
Is this all kiss and make up? Jo, I'm not to be found at pubs at | :25:04. | :25:20. | |
midday on Tuesday! I'm here because of those Liberal Democrats who | :25:21. | :25:24. | |
staged this pub press event for us to see how well Vince Cable and Nick | :25:25. | :25:28. | |
Clegg are now getting on. They tried to resolve their differences over | :25:29. | :25:33. | |
this pint of London Pride! The two of them sat down inside the pub, sat | :25:34. | :25:38. | |
rather sheepishly together like a couple on a first date and tried to | :25:39. | :25:42. | |
make small-talk while we were peering in the window to see what | :25:43. | :25:48. | |
was going on. Notionally, they were here to flag up a new scheme for a | :25:49. | :25:52. | |
Code of Conduct for publicans who get into difficulties with their | :25:53. | :25:58. | |
breweries. This was like ye olde Tony Blair and Gordon Brown | :25:59. | :26:01. | |
ice-cream moment, a press stunt to flag up how well they were getting | :26:02. | :26:06. | |
on. Along they came, they sat down, Nick Clegg bought Vince Cable a | :26:07. | :26:11. | |
London Pride. He had a pint of Archers Mild. I'm told Vince Cable | :26:12. | :26:15. | |
did finish his pint and Nick Clegg didn't finish his. They sat in there | :26:16. | :26:20. | |
for 45 minutes wondering how they were going to get out without having | :26:21. | :26:24. | |
to confront the press scrum. The traffic was so bad they had a Walk | :26:25. | :26:29. | |
of Shame of 50 yards before they could get into a car. Out they came | :26:30. | :26:34. | |
with their Special Branch, surrounded by cameras, we were | :26:35. | :26:38. | |
bombarding them with questions about were they best pals, when was the | :26:39. | :26:42. | |
last time they went to a pub - they said nothing. They looked a bit | :26:43. | :26:46. | |
embarrassed, smiled, got into the car and headed off. I'm surprised | :26:47. | :26:52. | |
they didn't say anything(!) At least they didn't spill your pint! Are you | :26:53. | :27:00. | |
convinced that there is a proper rapprochement? Well, I would think | :27:01. | :27:05. | |
Nick Clegg will be just looking over his shoulder at Vince Cable for a | :27:06. | :27:09. | |
long time to come. Although we have had the protestations of them | :27:10. | :27:17. | |
believing Vince Cable, that he had nothing to do with it. There has to | :27:18. | :27:21. | |
be a suspicion. Paddy Ashdown, the man who threatened to cut off Lord | :27:22. | :27:26. | |
Oakeshott's delicate parts, when he was interviewed at the weekend he | :27:27. | :27:38. | |
warned about how you have to be careful who your Yargos are. I like | :27:39. | :27:48. | |
that characterisation. Despite the disastrous election results for the | :27:49. | :27:51. | |
Liberal Democrats, will the party stick with Nick Clegg? Well, we are | :27:52. | :27:59. | |
told that there is a growing number of local parties who are preparing | :28:00. | :28:04. | |
to hold emergency meetings to consider the future of Nick Clegg. | :28:05. | :28:07. | |
When you talk to those around Nick Clegg they say that is just because | :28:08. | :28:13. | |
the Liberal Democrats like to discuss everything. When you talk to | :28:14. | :28:16. | |
more critical elements, they say that is because there is a | :28:17. | :28:19. | |
groundswell of deep unease about where Nick Clegg is leading his | :28:20. | :28:23. | |
party and a growing fear that they are heading to the buffers at | :28:24. | :28:26. | |
high-speed at the next election. What we don't know is whether there | :28:27. | :28:30. | |
will be enough parties to reach a fairly high threshold - you have to | :28:31. | :28:35. | |
get 75 local parties demanding an emergency conference to trigger that | :28:36. | :28:40. | |
whole leadership contest. It is a high bar that has to be reached. So | :28:41. | :28:45. | |
far, there have only been a few dozen parties coming up with the | :28:46. | :28:47. | |
idea of holding an emergency meeting. Thank you. | :28:48. | :28:51. | |
Are established Western economies being overtaken by the fast-growing | :28:52. | :28:55. | |
emerging economic powerhouses in Asia and elsewhere in the world? | :28:56. | :28:57. | |
Our Guest of the Day - John Micklethwait - | :28:58. | :28:59. | |
has just written a book asking just that question - and whether we need | :29:00. | :29:02. | |
to rethink the nature of the Western nation state to compete. | :29:03. | :29:06. | |
One of the countries cited by John as a competitive threat is China. | :29:07. | :29:09. | |
Let's speak to the BBC's China editor, Carrie Gracie, | :29:10. | :29:12. | |
Welcome to the programme. The growth of the Chinese economy has slowed a | :29:13. | :29:21. | |
bit. Are there concerns about the way the economy is growing? There | :29:22. | :29:28. | |
are. China has an asset bubble. It is worried about how to deal with | :29:29. | :29:32. | |
that. It is trying to bring growth in this year at 7.5%. That is a | :29:33. | :29:38. | |
growth rate that many would envy. That still represents a difficult | :29:39. | :29:44. | |
compromise between keeping growth meaningful and not having too many | :29:45. | :29:47. | |
people out of work which presents of course a political threat. If they | :29:48. | :29:51. | |
get too many people on the breadline. Economically, they have | :29:52. | :29:59. | |
their response to the global financial crisis, was to put in a | :30:00. | :30:02. | |
big stimulus. They have, as a result of that, got a problem with the | :30:03. | :30:06. | |
property bubble. They have got lots of non-performing investment. They | :30:07. | :30:13. | |
have got lots of ghost cities. Oversized savings ratio and a | :30:14. | :30:16. | |
problem with consumption and they are trying to rebalance that. As the | :30:17. | :30:20. | |
President himself says, economic reform is entering a deep water | :30:21. | :30:25. | |
terrain and the difficulty is tackling vested interests in the | :30:26. | :30:27. | |
state-owned enterprises. democracy can sometimes be an | :30:28. | :30:38. | |
impediment to growth, is that why, in your view, China has been able to | :30:39. | :30:42. | |
grow so successfully despite the concerns you set out there? That is | :30:43. | :30:50. | |
a very large question and there are many different answers to it. I | :30:51. | :30:55. | |
would say that the current situation in China, the politics of China, | :30:56. | :30:58. | |
where we are just about to mark the 25th anniversary of the Tiananmen | :30:59. | :31:05. | |
Square democracy protests and the crackdown on those protests, and | :31:06. | :31:10. | |
since then China has had a politics where it may not speak its name. You | :31:11. | :31:15. | |
have politics where the Chinese government says it wants the rule of | :31:16. | :31:19. | |
law but is locking up lawyers. You can't have a functioning 21st | :31:20. | :31:24. | |
economy without effective law but increasingly, the problem is that | :31:25. | :31:29. | |
the party is controlling the economy and the law itself. It is conflicted | :31:30. | :31:35. | |
and paradoxical state on that and a number of other issues. It says it | :31:36. | :31:41. | |
wants to deal with corruption but locks of those who try to campaign | :31:42. | :31:44. | |
on par-4 whistle-blowers. The question of what kind of politics | :31:45. | :31:57. | |
can't be answered simply. Joining John now is the Economist Will | :31:58. | :32:00. | |
Hutton. Welcome to the programme. In your view, what is the reason for | :32:01. | :32:06. | |
the West's decline? Should we try to mimic what is going on in China? | :32:07. | :32:10. | |
Certainly not, in the sense of ruling pushing democracy. What the | :32:11. | :32:13. | |
book is about is not really the economy but about government. Our | :32:14. | :32:18. | |
argument is that if you went back to 1600, you would have bet on China | :32:19. | :32:23. | |
being the future. They have the most advanced government in the world | :32:24. | :32:29. | |
with 3000 civil servants in the city. That was given anywhere in | :32:30. | :32:34. | |
Europe. Ever since then, the West has had a series of revolutions in | :32:35. | :32:38. | |
government, to do with security and liberalism and the welfare state, | :32:39. | :32:42. | |
and each time we jump forward. What is interesting about what is | :32:43. | :32:45. | |
happening in China now is that having caught up economically, they | :32:46. | :32:49. | |
are now trying to look for ways to catch up politically and make their | :32:50. | :32:53. | |
government work better. Some of that is authoritarian but looking at | :32:54. | :32:57. | |
places like Sweden, not a particularly authoritarian Place, | :32:58. | :32:59. | |
London, not particularly authoritarian, and Singapore, | :33:00. | :33:06. | |
looking for new ways to try to catch up because their view is that they | :33:07. | :33:09. | |
used to be the best at government, we got much better and now they are | :33:10. | :33:12. | |
in a contest. From our point of view, the danger is not that China | :33:13. | :33:16. | |
is particularly great but much more that we're the equivalent of the | :33:17. | :33:20. | |
Cyclopedia Britannica, sitting there worrying about other reference | :33:21. | :33:29. | |
books, and what is going to eat our lunch is Wikipedia. You mentioned | :33:30. | :33:34. | |
how bad the Chinese authoritarian thing is but would you rather be a | :33:35. | :33:39. | |
poor person in China or in India? Will Hutton, which would you rather | :33:40. | :33:42. | |
have been? I want to talk about bloated government. That is what | :33:43. | :33:48. | |
many Conservatives and I think you also point to as holding that | :33:49. | :33:51. | |
growth. It is an extraordinary prison to look at both now and in | :33:52. | :33:58. | |
the last 250 years. -- prism. If I had to explain why things have gone | :33:59. | :34:07. | |
up in the West, I would not let the government. I would argue that the | :34:08. | :34:17. | |
reason is that we had the European argument and we had things that | :34:18. | :34:22. | |
would best marshal the fruits of technology. I don't think the reason | :34:23. | :34:27. | |
why we're in trouble at the minute is because of bloated government. I | :34:28. | :34:31. | |
think it's because we miss organise institutions of capitalism. I think | :34:32. | :34:38. | |
corporations without owners who have become pay owners for top executives | :34:39. | :34:41. | |
who don't invest in R and innovation, not thinking about what | :34:42. | :34:45. | |
the structures are that support innovation and investment, turning a | :34:46. | :34:51. | |
blind eye to any quality and the dealer Tories affect that has on | :34:52. | :34:54. | |
growth, have been what we should be worrying about. Bloated government | :34:55. | :35:00. | |
is not brilliant and obviously, as he says in his book with his | :35:01. | :35:03. | |
colleague, responsive government is better than the alternative to put | :35:04. | :35:07. | |
that top of your list is a category error. You've made a category | :35:08. | :35:10. | |
error. It isn't about bloated government. I would argue that it | :35:11. | :35:19. | |
sits at the bottom at the moment. You look at the European elections | :35:20. | :35:21. | |
we just had and what is going to happen in America in the midterms, | :35:22. | :35:25. | |
people are streaming to the polls and they have two feelings. One is | :35:26. | :35:29. | |
that they're furious with their governments but the other is that | :35:30. | :35:32. | |
they expect nothing to change and the lesson of our book is to look at | :35:33. | :35:37. | |
history and government can change fairly dramatically when it wants | :35:38. | :35:40. | |
to. That is something it can do again. One of the reasons why people | :35:41. | :35:45. | |
don't believe it's worthwhile voting is because they don't think there is | :35:46. | :35:49. | |
going to be change. The reason they don't think there is going to be | :35:50. | :35:52. | |
changes because the discourse is entirely about if vision is, | :35:53. | :35:56. | |
privatisation, deregulation, good housekeeping, austerity, not about | :35:57. | :36:07. | |
fairness etc. I think democracy has been denuded because the only | :36:08. | :36:10. | |
paradigms in which the argument takes place is the one you occupy | :36:11. | :36:14. | |
and the one you occupied for my money is making a category error. I | :36:15. | :36:19. | |
think the idea that fairness is not part of the political debate is | :36:20. | :36:23. | |
rubbish. You look at the race in America between Obama and Romney and | :36:24. | :36:26. | |
fairness was possibly the biggest single issue. It's just coming back. | :36:27. | :36:34. | |
It's a sensation because it is so unusual. There are many more books | :36:35. | :36:42. | |
about fairness and inequality. You are the last-gasp of the old. In | :36:43. | :36:47. | |
terms of admiring other economies, you can't deny the growth rate in a | :36:48. | :36:52. | |
country like China. Under Chairman Mao, the growth rate from 1949 to | :36:53. | :37:00. | |
1976 in China was 4.6%. It's very hard in China to get the growth rate | :37:01. | :37:07. | |
much under 5%. I don't take the view of looking open-mouthed at China. I | :37:08. | :37:11. | |
think the fact that it isn't a rule of Law Society... There are things | :37:12. | :37:15. | |
like patents and property rights, being able to do banking where you | :37:16. | :37:18. | |
can get your money back, the scope of corruption... I agree with all | :37:19. | :37:26. | |
that. You cannot see it through just the prism of the growth | :37:27. | :37:33. | |
that. You cannot see it through just Singapore is more democratic. | :37:34. | :37:46. | |
that. You cannot see it through just in Singapore, you | :37:47. | :37:50. | |
litigiousness. China's problem is inequality. | :37:51. | :38:03. | |
litigiousness. China's problem is wealth of the top 50 people in the | :38:04. | :38:05. | |
national People's Congress is $50 billion. They are trying to compete | :38:06. | :38:13. | |
at government and from their point of view, this was the thing they | :38:14. | :38:17. | |
think they were really good at. The thing about places | :38:18. | :38:19. | |
think they were really good at. The that they've managed to combine all | :38:20. | :38:21. | |
those things while having much better services. The | :38:22. | :38:25. | |
those things while having much to ask is, you look at Singapore and | :38:26. | :38:28. | |
those things while having much there is some stuff about Asian | :38:29. | :38:30. | |
values but fundamentally, it does deliver twice as good schools, | :38:31. | :38:33. | |
values but fundamentally, it does as good hospitals, twice as good | :38:34. | :38:38. | |
welfare for half the money. Last point. | :38:39. | :38:45. | |
responsive government. I championed this throughout my | :38:46. | :38:51. | |
re-engineering that one would have re-engineering that one would have | :38:52. | :38:55. | |
to do, I'm completely with you. But I won't do it because I want | :38:56. | :38:58. | |
government to do stuff, not just with schools. I want the government | :38:59. | :39:03. | |
to engage with the underlying structures of our companies, our | :39:04. | :39:06. | |
to engage with the underlying financial system, the | :39:07. | :39:08. | |
to engage with the underlying innovate, not just the problems of | :39:09. | :39:14. | |
the public realm. I think the way to revived tomography is that way. | :39:15. | :39:24. | |
If you are a student watching this in England or Wales, | :39:25. | :39:25. | |
you may want to ask yourself, are you getting value for money for | :39:26. | :39:30. | |
Because it seems an increasing number of you feel you aren't. | :39:31. | :39:34. | |
The BBC has compiled responses from 120 universities across the UK | :39:35. | :39:37. | |
and has found that more than 20,000 students complained about | :39:38. | :39:40. | |
And the total number of academic appeals and complaints | :39:41. | :39:44. | |
rose 10% in the two years following the rise in fees, despite the | :39:45. | :39:47. | |
So are the universities getting worse or have the students simply | :39:48. | :39:52. | |
had enough of poor standards now they are paying for it? | :39:53. | :39:55. | |
He runs the higher education consumer website Student Hut. | :39:56. | :40:05. | |
Damn, were you surprised by the numbers? I was a little bit | :40:06. | :40:12. | |
surprised and shocked, yes. -- Dan, were you surprised. The fact that | :40:13. | :40:17. | |
students now pay ?9,000 year means they are going to be in increasing | :40:18. | :40:20. | |
levels of debt which they will be paying off over years. I can see why | :40:21. | :40:25. | |
people are taking that decision seriously and expecting more from | :40:26. | :40:29. | |
their education. In some ways, that is hardly a surprise. They are going | :40:30. | :40:33. | |
to want value for money but they clearly don't think they are getting | :40:34. | :40:38. | |
it. That's right. We did a survey of our users and we got over 3400 | :40:39. | :40:43. | |
responses and we were quite surprised by some of the findings, | :40:44. | :40:46. | |
in terms of the top complaints of the students. We found that nearly | :40:47. | :40:52. | |
20% of students actually had the complaint that teaching standards | :40:53. | :40:57. | |
were poor at a university. This is a big investment of money and time and | :40:58. | :41:00. | |
that clearly isn't good enough and needs to be improved, in my | :41:01. | :41:04. | |
opinion. Other complaints we had were that 29% of students surveys | :41:05. | :41:08. | |
felt they needed more contact hours and 30% of students felt there | :41:09. | :41:12. | |
wasn't enough emphasis on gaining real world experience. Obviously | :41:13. | :41:16. | |
they're looking ahead to the jobs market when they leave university | :41:17. | :41:21. | |
with their degrees. Is this a case, do you think, standards getting | :41:22. | :41:24. | |
worse or just because students are now paying those fees, they feel | :41:25. | :41:28. | |
they have a right to complain? I think people are taking the decision | :41:29. | :41:32. | |
more seriously than ever before and rightly so. I advise prospective | :41:33. | :41:36. | |
students and parents to take that decision more seriously. First of | :41:37. | :41:43. | |
all, should I go to university? How will it benefit me? It isn't for | :41:44. | :41:46. | |
everybody. People need to take the decision of the course they choose | :41:47. | :41:50. | |
very seriously, rather than just floating into university. There are | :41:51. | :41:54. | |
a number of ways of looking into the cause you can choose. Universities | :41:55. | :42:00. | |
provide information on a number of -- the number of contact hours and | :42:01. | :42:04. | |
how you will be assessed but another great factor is the fat that | :42:05. | :42:07. | |
students can see what previous students have said in comments | :42:08. | :42:15. | |
online. Thank you very much. The universities minister David Willetts | :42:16. | :42:19. | |
joins us now. Were you shocked and surprised by | :42:20. | :42:21. | |
the numbers of students complaining, with 20% of the | :42:22. | :42:28. | |
students in the survey we talked about complaining that teaching was | :42:29. | :42:31. | |
when they are playing up to ?9,000 a year. They are not paying up front. | :42:32. | :42:36. | |
But students are more and more demanding and quite rightly so. The | :42:37. | :42:41. | |
fact is, in the old system, universities were competing | :42:42. | :42:45. | |
intensely on research quality and not paying attention to the quality | :42:46. | :42:48. | |
of the teaching experience for students. They have to raise their | :42:49. | :42:53. | |
game and now students can say that with ?9,000 of resource behind them, | :42:54. | :42:59. | |
what are they getting? But isn't that the problem? The market isn't | :43:00. | :43:03. | |
working, is it, because if everybody, or certainly a large | :43:04. | :43:07. | |
percentage of good universities are charging top dollar, ?9,000 a year, | :43:08. | :43:12. | |
as you say funded by the taxpayer at the moment, and some of them are | :43:13. | :43:16. | |
offering below par teaching, there is nowhere else to go, is there? | :43:17. | :43:21. | |
When we look at the trends, what is happening - slowly, but happening - | :43:22. | :43:24. | |
is that the amount of hours of teaching is going up. You've got | :43:25. | :43:29. | |
evidence to show that, have you? The number of classes in small groups is | :43:30. | :43:33. | |
going up and universities are saying there is a massive cultural change | :43:34. | :43:36. | |
going on and they are now focusing on the quality of teaching | :43:37. | :43:40. | |
experience. But there are large numbers of students who have not | :43:41. | :43:42. | |
historically have the quality of teaching they are inclined to expect | :43:43. | :43:49. | |
but I think students are now far more demanding than ever before and | :43:50. | :43:53. | |
quite rightly so. But at the moment, sitting here now, would you say that | :43:54. | :43:56. | |
all those universities charging ?9,000 a year are value for money? I | :43:57. | :44:02. | |
think going to university is, for many people, a fantastic experience | :44:03. | :44:07. | |
and very worthwhile but I do think universities need to raise their | :44:08. | :44:10. | |
game and improve the quality of the teaching experience. But is it right | :44:11. | :44:15. | |
that the taxpayer is having to foot this bill, certainly temporarily, if | :44:16. | :44:20. | |
they're not now offering value for money because you are one in 150 | :44:21. | :44:28. | |
people sitting in a big lecture hall with a teacher that isn't making the | :44:29. | :44:32. | |
mark. You aren't sitting in a one in three tutorial. What happens, and | :44:33. | :44:38. | |
when I talk to the student unions, this is what they talk about now, is | :44:39. | :44:42. | |
that they say, there is this resource going in and how many hours | :44:43. | :44:47. | |
of teaching are we getting? My view is that the argument about the level | :44:48. | :44:50. | |
of these is one of the things that empowers students and enables them | :44:51. | :44:56. | |
to expect more. Increasingly, as our requirements on universities to | :44:57. | :44:58. | |
produce information on all these crucial benchmarks but Boorman is | :44:59. | :45:02. | |
becomes available on websites and all kinds of advertising the | :45:03. | :45:05. | |
websites like the one you've been talking to, students will be able to | :45:06. | :45:09. | |
choose the university that offers them the best quality teaching | :45:10. | :45:15. | |
experience. Students can compete and grow if they have more students who | :45:16. | :45:22. | |
want to go to them. I come back to the market. They can't charge more | :45:23. | :45:30. | |
at the moment and the others are still charging the top whack. It is | :45:31. | :45:36. | |
part of a great sorting out. It is going back to the argument with Will | :45:37. | :45:42. | |
Hutton and me and my book. You look at America, exactly the same thing | :45:43. | :45:45. | |
is happening. Students are complaining and saying, "We are not | :45:46. | :45:50. | |
getting value for money." That's correct. People need to really | :45:51. | :45:54. | |
carefully look at exactly how good their universities are. The other | :45:55. | :45:59. | |
thing is, in the end, it looks evermore likely that bad | :46:00. | :46:02. | |
universities will be replaced by things on the internet and the | :46:03. | :46:06. | |
really valuable bit of the universities, the tuition bit, will | :46:07. | :46:10. | |
go towards individuals. Are tuition fees working? They are generally | :46:11. | :46:14. | |
working. They are giving people some idea of a value attached to this. It | :46:15. | :46:19. | |
is wrong fundamentally, if you don't go to university, you are more | :46:20. | :46:24. | |
likely to end up poorer. It is bad that people, from that end, end up | :46:25. | :46:29. | |
subsidising people like all us three who went to university. John is | :46:30. | :46:34. | |
right. If graduates end up in well-paid jobs, they should pay | :46:35. | :46:38. | |
back. The competition between universities is not simply on the | :46:39. | :46:41. | |
level of fees. A student who said, "I'm going to..." That is what they | :46:42. | :46:46. | |
are looking at. There is a big difference to putting the money on | :46:47. | :46:48. | |
the table before you start and paying it back. Competition is | :46:49. | :46:52. | |
between the universities as to which university the student chooses and | :46:53. | :46:55. | |
the way we are changing the system - it is in the spirit of John's | :46:56. | :47:02. | |
excellent book - it is to put more pressure... I can see all this came | :47:03. | :47:08. | |
about! Now, we have got, now that they can choose, universities are | :47:09. | :47:11. | |
competing on quality. As the students don't pay the money | :47:12. | :47:15. | |
upfront, students that say, "I'm going to save money and go to | :47:16. | :47:19. | |
university." That isn't how the system works. They can say, "We want | :47:20. | :47:24. | |
a high quality experience." And the next generation students will be | :47:25. | :47:28. | |
able to choose the universities that offer them best quality. If you get | :47:29. | :47:34. | |
so many complaints, if there are so many students unhappy, will you put | :47:35. | :47:39. | |
pressure on those institutions who come up with the most criticised by | :47:40. | :47:43. | |
students for not high enough standards? There is an independent | :47:44. | :47:48. | |
body. They ultimately receive the complaints. They publish the | :47:49. | :47:51. | |
information about the breakdown of complaints, the type of complaints. | :47:52. | :47:56. | |
There is no sanction? They can. Behind this, there is the power of | :47:57. | :48:00. | |
law. Ultimately, the fees are a contract to deliver a service, so | :48:01. | :48:05. | |
the OIA has real clout and if a university lets a student down by | :48:06. | :48:12. | |
poor quality teaching, the OIA can ask the university to change its | :48:13. | :48:18. | |
practices. You heard it here. John has an interesting job proposition | :48:19. | :48:22. | |
for you. I spent the weekend with a wide variety of Europeans and | :48:23. | :48:26. | |
British Tories and when asked who should be the next British | :48:27. | :48:29. | |
Commissioner for Europe, there was support for you. Something to think | :48:30. | :48:33. | |
about when you leave the studio. Thank you very much for joining us. | :48:34. | :48:37. | |
Has the death of the dead tree press been exaggerated? | :48:38. | :48:39. | |
With the arrival of free news on the internet, why would you pay | :48:40. | :48:42. | |
Well, some of us still are as Adam's been finding out. | :48:43. | :48:48. | |
On the outside, a normal newsagent. Inside, one of the biggest | :48:49. | :48:54. | |
selections of papers and magazines you will find. More than 3,000 of | :48:55. | :49:00. | |
them. So, a good place to ponder the issues facing print which all seem | :49:01. | :49:03. | |
to involve the internet. Lately, the big news has been about this big | :49:04. | :49:11. | |
paper, The Venerable New York Times. According to an internal document, | :49:12. | :49:15. | |
it doesn't look so venerable on the web. The report found that only 30% | :49:16. | :49:21. | |
of online users ever read the home page, while the newsroom was | :49:22. | :49:25. | |
obsessed with what was on page one of the newspaper. Incompatible. They | :49:26. | :49:29. | |
also found that sometimes people read New York Times content more | :49:30. | :49:34. | |
when it was on other people's websites. An article about the death | :49:35. | :49:40. | |
of Nelson Mandela which appeared on the Huffington Post. Then there's | :49:41. | :49:45. | |
staff. The report was filled with killer quotes from journalists who | :49:46. | :49:49. | |
left the paper and digital journalists who turned down job at | :49:50. | :49:52. | |
the paper because they thought it was a bit rubbish. Here, newspapers | :49:53. | :49:57. | |
are still working out how to prosper online and off. The Times has an | :49:58. | :50:09. | |
absolute paywal - you pay to read everything on line. No one is sure | :50:10. | :50:16. | |
what will work best. A scary time to launch a new title, eh? Not for this | :50:17. | :50:28. | |
woman. It is so posh it makes Horse and Hound look like Heat magazine. | :50:29. | :50:34. | |
Social media is important. The online version of Town and Country | :50:35. | :50:39. | |
is important. We do have a website, a digital version. We have a Twitter | :50:40. | :50:42. | |
account. All of that is important. It is part of a conversation, it is | :50:43. | :50:46. | |
not the only bit of the conversation. There is something | :50:47. | :50:52. | |
authentic and you can hold this. It means something. It is not | :50:53. | :51:02. | |
disposable. The team also produces Harpers bazaar. Maybe things aren't | :51:03. | :51:06. | |
so bleak after all. There is a place for excellence, there is a place for | :51:07. | :51:11. | |
quality. And the market appears to be bearing that out. I think it all | :51:12. | :51:15. | |
adds up to if your newspaper or magazine is good, you might be OK in | :51:16. | :51:20. | |
the modern world. But it's a bewildering time to be a journalist. | :51:21. | :51:24. | |
Anyway, I'm off to read about the inner life of Lazy Rose! -- Lady | :51:25. | :51:33. | |
Rose! John, the Economist is one of the few news publications where your | :51:34. | :51:36. | |
circulation has gone up, how have you managed that? We have tried to | :51:37. | :51:42. | |
find people who will pay for it. You heard that there. The debate - he is | :51:43. | :51:48. | |
right - this is the biggest debate, you look at the New York Times memo, | :51:49. | :51:51. | |
it made substantial doubts about whether the New York Times bundle, | :51:52. | :51:55. | |
which is what they try and pay for, can keep going. So many people go to | :51:56. | :51:59. | |
websites and it applies to us as well, they come through social | :52:00. | :52:02. | |
feeds, so they don't go to your home page, they don't go to our channel | :52:03. | :52:07. | |
pages, they come through Facebook, through Twitter. Yes. What is | :52:08. | :52:13. | |
interesting is the lady at the end, with the glossy Town and Country, | :52:14. | :52:16. | |
there are some bits of the advertising market which are still | :52:17. | :52:20. | |
holding up. No one model is right, is it? It is fair to say that people | :52:21. | :52:25. | |
predicted the end of daily newspapers - and their circulation | :52:26. | :52:33. | |
has gone down in some cases. The Economist is different. It is not a | :52:34. | :52:37. | |
daily. And we are talking from quite a small base to start with. So, you | :52:38. | :52:43. | |
could say you only had up to go? No, you could say that our base is | :52:44. | :52:46. | |
larger than all the quality newspapers in Britain put together. | :52:47. | :52:50. | |
Worldwide. Well, compared - worldwide, we do have a bigger | :52:51. | :52:54. | |
circulation, 1.6 million is not a small number. The reason though is | :52:55. | :52:59. | |
that most people are pushing towards roughly the same area. The web | :53:00. | :53:04. | |
arrived, everyone went free and a lot of us realised that was a | :53:05. | :53:08. | |
mistake and particularly with the arrival of apps, of iPads, the | :53:09. | :53:13. | |
Kindles, a tablet, so many people are reading what we have on either | :53:14. | :53:18. | |
phones, or tablets, and that is the new problem. That is particularly | :53:19. | :53:22. | |
what's happening hitting magazines, particularly what is happening with | :53:23. | :53:26. | |
newspapers. The main time when people are reading the New York | :53:27. | :53:29. | |
Times was on a smartphone. You need to come up with new products to | :53:30. | :53:33. | |
adjust to that. This, at least, what is happening, the good news - and | :53:34. | :53:37. | |
the New York Times is an example of this so far - is that people have | :53:38. | :53:41. | |
found a way to make people pay for things on those gadgets in a way | :53:42. | :53:45. | |
they haven't on the web. Right. The web, people still want things for | :53:46. | :53:49. | |
free. When you get an app, you tend to be much happier about paying. | :53:50. | :53:51. | |
Let's leave it there. Now, MPs and Lords are preparing to | :53:52. | :53:55. | |
battle it out tonight in a tug-of-war and, no, that's not | :53:56. | :53:57. | |
a metaphor. They'll be raising money for | :53:58. | :54:00. | |
charity, and Giles is on the Green It has to be said, there are a | :54:01. | :54:10. | |
number of events that the Lords and MPs tussle over. There's the dog | :54:11. | :54:17. | |
competition, there is also the pancake race, which the Lords won. | :54:18. | :54:21. | |
The tug-of-war is a feature. I hate myself for taking part in several of | :54:22. | :54:25. | |
them. Usually, I ended up damaged! I'm not going to take part this year | :54:26. | :54:29. | |
because I have put my back out. I am here with - we have the Lords - the | :54:30. | :54:36. | |
anchorman, Lord Kennedy, you are very much part of the team. How many | :54:37. | :54:43. | |
times? Four times now. You are the anchorman for the men's MPs? Not | :54:44. | :54:50. | |
wearing the T-shirt at the moment. Couldn't get it in the suitcase! The | :54:51. | :54:56. | |
ladies' tug-of-war team, they do put in all the effort. They have not | :54:57. | :55:04. | |
been that successful? No, I understand the McMillan Ladies have | :55:05. | :55:11. | |
been practising for weeks and my team have done no preparation at | :55:12. | :55:15. | |
all. I suspect this is probably why our track record... All trains lead | :55:16. | :55:21. | |
to Newark! This is probably why we don't have a glorious record. It is | :55:22. | :55:26. | |
not a glorious record. A little bit of technique. This is the grudge | :55:27. | :55:30. | |
match. It really is. Who is going to win this year? It was 1-1 at one | :55:31. | :55:36. | |
stage last year. The Commons always beats the Lords in the end. It was | :55:37. | :55:41. | |
2-1 last year. We won the rowing this year. We are going for the | :55:42. | :55:47. | |
tug-of-war. I think you need to pull it out and show us. It is not just | :55:48. | :55:52. | |
about pulling. There is technique. Let's have a pre-grudge match here. | :55:53. | :55:56. | |
Go for it! They are supposed to get as low to the ground as possible. | :55:57. | :56:03. | |
That is very cruel. Not showing a great deal of technique, but they do | :56:04. | :56:09. | |
this every year raising a lot of money, which is why you are happy to | :56:10. | :56:17. | |
do this. The effort is all in his face! We shall try and show that for | :56:18. | :56:24. | |
you this year. It's the Queen's Speech tomorrow. We will try and get | :56:25. | :56:27. | |
you some pictures and show you them on Thursday. I bet you are sad you | :56:28. | :56:31. | |
are missing out. I am. Never mind. There saulz next year. -- there is | :56:32. | :56:34. | |
always next year. There's just time before we go to | :56:35. | :56:39. | |
find out the answer to our quiz. The question was | :56:40. | :56:41. | |
which person is the odd one out? a) George Osborne, b) Ed Balls, c) | :56:42. | :56:43. | |
Princess Beatrix of the Netherlands, I think it is Ed Balls, for which I | :56:44. | :56:59. | |
have to thank the Guardian. We all went to the Bilderberg Conference in | :57:00. | :57:02. | |
Copenhagen. He didn't have a ticket and was unable to get in. | :57:03. | :57:09. | |
The answer is that they all went to the secretive Bilderberg Conference | :57:10. | :57:11. | |
last weekend, but Shadow Chancellor Ed Balls was the only one to be | :57:12. | :57:15. | |
refused entry because he'd forgotten his pass. | :57:16. | :57:20. | |
Here he is having his "senior moment". | :57:21. | :57:25. | |
But, clearly, the security didn't know who our very own | :57:26. | :57:39. | |
Shadow Chancellor Ed Balls was - despite a passport being offered. | :57:40. | :57:44. | |
And as with us all, Ed, if you don't have the right ID | :57:45. | :57:47. | |
He did manage to get in later, I am told. | :57:48. | :57:54. | |
What was it like? It is interesting. Journalists ask me why do you go to | :57:55. | :58:01. | |
these off-the-record things. It is a chance to talk to politicians, to | :58:02. | :58:04. | |
business people. You go there and you don't talk about it! Beyond | :58:05. | :58:08. | |
that, I can't say much. They debate things in the same way as any | :58:09. | :58:12. | |
conference. What about the mix of people? The mix of people is from | :58:13. | :58:19. | |
Europe and from America. So it tends to be people from - there's a degree | :58:20. | :58:23. | |
of business people and politicians. You had both. It is a place - they | :58:24. | :58:26. | |
probably won't like me for saying this, it is a place where you can | :58:27. | :58:30. | |
see George Osborne and Ed Balls having a drink quite normally. That | :58:31. | :58:36. | |
is not a bad thing. There is a revelation! They are normal! | :58:37. | :58:37. | |
Thangss. -- thanks. Thanks to our guests - especially | :58:38. | :58:43. | |
John for being our Guest of the Day. The One O'Clock News is | :58:44. | :58:48. | |
starting over on BBC One now. | :58:49. | :58:53. |