08/12/2015 Daily Politics


08/12/2015

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LineFromTo

Hello and welcome to the Daily Politics.

:00:36.:00:39.

David Cameron's told us he'll negotiate a new relationship

:00:40.:00:41.

with the EU, but do his demands live up to his promises?

:00:42.:00:46.

40,000 homes in North West England are still without power

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as communities begin the clear up after the floods.

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The Environment Secretary says climate change is responsible.

:00:54.:00:56.

George Osborne cancelled cuts to tax credits in last month's spending

:00:57.:01:00.

review, but will the same families be hit when they

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And what's it like being a working class woman in the rarified

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With us for the whole of the programme today is the Conservative

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Welcome to the programme this morning.

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First this morning, we've become used to eye-catching statements

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from the Republic Presidential front-runner, Donald Trump.

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Last night he surpassed those with this line delivered to journalists

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in a press release and then to an audience of supporters

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Donald J Trump is calling for a total

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and complete shutdown of Muslims entering the United States until our

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country's representatives can figure out what the hell is going on.

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That was Donald Trump. How would you respond to that? Gosh, it's almost

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terrifying, isn't it, to think there is a possibility that this man could

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win the nomination and could end up being the president of the United

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States. I almost sends a tactic here because his whole campaign seems to

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be hinged on making sensational announcements. The frightening thing

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is, each time he makes one of these announcements, his popularity and

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poll rating seems to increase and that the frightening thing. I think

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what we need to watch very closely at what happens to his poll ratings

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after this. If his poll ratings continue to rise, after such a

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polemic and outrageous announcement, then that is actually quite worrying

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because although I say on one hand this man can never win the

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nomination, can never be the president of the USA, if his poll

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rating increases after that statement, then I think we need to

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worry. Jeb Bush, another nominee, said Donald Trump is unhinged. What

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sort of reaction do you think is required when you hear that sort of

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comment in order, as you say, to try and dampen down the popularity?

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Yeah, Jeb Bush, from the dynasty, well experienced in politics, his

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entire family were experienced in politics, he's someone you think

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would know how to respond appropriately. I don't think anybody

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actually knows how to deal with the phenomena at the moment that is this

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runaway success of Donald Trump. So, I think what Jeb Bush, I don't

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like the language, unhinged, I think there's different language she

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could've used, but to highlight the fact that Donald Trump's entire

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rhetoric is just sensationalist, for his own benefit, to serve himself.

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We will find out what happens fairly soon.

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Which of these figures is the odd one out?

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At the end of the show we'll see if Nadine knows the correct answer.

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Yesterday, the European Council President

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Donald Tusk wrote to EU leaders to update them on the progress

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He says that David Cameron has provided a significant

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and far-reaching agenda for discussion at December's meeting

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But how does Mr Tusk's response to British demands stack up

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against promises made in the Conservative manifesto?

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In May, the Conservatives said, "We will not let the integration of

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the eurozone jeopardise the integrity of the Single Market

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And the manifesto called for the EU "to break down the remaining

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Donald Tusk says there is a "very strong determination" to

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boost competitiveness across Europe, and that a solution can be reached

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to ensure no discrimination against non-eurozone countries.

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What's more contentious is the manifesto promise to say "no" to the

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concept of "ever closer union" - one of the EU's founding principles.

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But Donald Tusk says that "ever closer union" already "allows

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for various paths of integration for different countries."

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The big sticking point is over migrant benefits.

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The manifesto makes some very clear promises about what David Cameron

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EU migrants who want to claim tax credits and child benefit should

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There should be a new four-year residency

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If an EU migrant's child is living abroad, they should not receive

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EU jobseekers should not be able to claim any job-seeking benefits

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If jobseekers haven't found a job within six months,

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And when new countries are admitted to the EU, free movement

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of people should not apply until their economies converge more

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Donald Tusk says a change to migrant benefits is the "most delicate"

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demand from the UK, and one that will require "substantive political

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He admits that there is "presently no consensus" among other

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Well, last night George Osborne was in New York, where he was

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Here's what the Chancellor had to say.

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It's a complicated and robust negotiation, but the information

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that's been released today by the European Council shows we're making

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much more progress than people would have imagined in getting agreement

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across member states to address these British issues.

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As I say, ultimately, it will be for the British people to

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We're joined now by former Conservative MP Laura Sandys, who

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Welcome to you. Do you think what Donald Tusk says in his letter bodes

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well for David Cameron at the European Council discussions this

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month? I think he sounds very positive about the majority of the

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requests and I think it sounds as if there is strong consensus. There's

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been a lot of work done in the background to make sure that in each

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of the capitals around Europe there has been greater convergence. I

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don't think we are so out of step. Obviously the last issue about

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benefit is going to be an issue and that needs to be more negotiation,

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more diplomacy. You say there is strong consensus but there is no

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consensus as Donald Tusk on that. The stickler is going to be on

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migrant benefits because other EU leaders regarded as the scum in a

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tree. Other EU leaders have said there's no negotiation to be on

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that. I think there is and also already there has been quite a lot

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of flexibility on this issue about sending child benefit abroad for

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children who are not actually resident in the UK. But what about

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the four year in work benefits? It either discriminatory or not. I

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think there needs to be negotiation on that. Where? The point is we have

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different countries wanting different things so the idea was no

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consensus doesn't mean to say all European countries are against what

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we are proposing. You have to have an agreement on it. Of course.

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Things are tough, it's not an easy process and it's not easy to get

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changed. However, I think we've established quite a lot of the key

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demands and I think we are moving in the right direction. On the basis of

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a letter where he says there's no consensus and bearing in mind this

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meeting is happening very shortly, whatever chance the David Cameron

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getting a moratorium agreement on benefits for migrant workers for

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four years. I don't think it's huge. I think his request is reasonable

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but already having water down from their original intent, from ten down

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to four now, we will end up almost a no platform, no basis for David

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Cameron to come to Parliament and say, here is a re-negotiation. It's

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entirely sensible for the four year breakdown, no benefits to be paid to

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those whose children don't even live in the UK. It's all entirely

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sensible stuff. The letter says no consensus. If David Cameron comes

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back to Parliament with absolutely no consensus, then I think it's not

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going to bode well for going forward with a re-negotiation. If that is

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the deal, and the deal is not include any sort of ban on in work

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benefits, will you be voting out? Absolutely. Nothing will convince

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you? From my own perspective, a very large parts of Europe are in

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complete financial crisis. We have a huge problem with immigration. This

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only problem is, we spent ?350 million a day there. We could build

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a new hospital with that every week. You're not going to be convinced

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come what may, even if he does secure that. What about your

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colleagues who are waverers? Will increase the chances of them voting

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to leave? No, many of them will be very concerned be gone from ten main

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points we wanted to discuss down to four and even those four are now

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falling apart. I hope, Laura, the Prime Minister can come back and

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say, here is a package I have renegotiated, this is what I can

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bring to the table, but I don't think other member states are going

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to do it. I think whatever the point Mr came back with, the Dean has been

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clear about her positions I'm not sure it would ever be enough for

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some Eurosceptics which is fine. There are going to be a lot of

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others who might have been persuaded that won't be if you can't get

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anything on those in work benefits. Every single time the UK has gone in

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and batted for UK interests in Europe, we have been very

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successful. It might not be completely the four options on the

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table, but there are still movement on the benefits issue when it comes

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to children overseas, there will be some movement on it. It might not be

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able to get total consensus in the next two or three weeks, but we are

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talking about a February decision and that requires a lot more

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diplomacy. Just to move it on slightly, the real price would be to

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bring down levels of immigration. Do you think anything David Cameron is

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asking for will reduce net migration into this country? There is

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potential but those two issues are just highlighted, there is potential

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in what he's asking, people may not want to emigrate to this country as

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economic migrants that there is not the work there and they don't get

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the benefits they thought they may be able to to support themselves

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well become established in this country but, those two points will

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not be, even if we get to February, it will not be anything like enough.

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That's not a re-negotiation. It's not a concession, package. But for

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people who want to come out, none of it was ever going to be enough. What

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we're going to end up with is, if you look at the public, the public

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don't believe we have a strong voice in Europe. Actually, if we go back

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to the facts, and with a re-negotiation David Cameron is

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doing now, it shows we do. It's totally important, our relationship

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with Europe, it's been a non-euro country. Let's move on to that. As a

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non-euro country, let's look at Donald Tusk's I game, because he

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says there are parts of integration regarding closer union but that's a

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fob off to David Cameron, isn't it? We already accept different

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countries move at different paces to ever closer union. There doesn't

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seem to be anything more given to David Cameron on that particular

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request. No, I think there will be because there's a lot of detail

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behind us. What we are absolutely key about is we should not have come

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as a non-euro country, be discriminated against by decisions

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made by the euro countries. That is something absolutely crucial. We've

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also got to the wider benefits here. The issue about migration, I want to

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know which option stops migration because if we end up still in the

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single market, we will have to have free movement but we won't be at the

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table re-negotiating like we are now. We will be outside kicking our

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heels. How low would levels of immigration or even net migration be

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if we came out of the EU? I don't think anyone has made an analysis

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prediction in terms of numbers. That is one of the big claims by

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campaigners it would come down. It travels down to tens or 20s or

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thousands. Getting greater control of our borders is possibly the first

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step in controlling. It wouldn't stop people wanting to come and work

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here and would you want that? Of course, I trained as a nurse in the

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NHS and of course we would not want to stop people coming here to work

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but we want people who can contribute to the economy and have

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skills. There's point system already. We also have a situation of

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hundreds of thousands of people who are in the country as illegal

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immigrants and we don't even know where they are. We don't have

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control of our borders. Illegal immigrants are not European

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migrants. But how do we know that because they are illegal? We don't

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know where they are. Fundamentally, if they are legal, anybody with free

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movement across Europe are by definition legal. We don't know who

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they are. And where they came from. But they're not European otherwise

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they would not be illegal. The issue is 50% of migration be having this

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country comes from outside Europe and that is something we can take

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of. I actually think we are in an invidious position, Northern Ireland

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two, if we came out but also we would move the jungle in Calais to

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Dover so we would be dealing with these things rather than in the

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collective weight where we are actually managing a very complicated

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international migration problem. Is it the most important thing for

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the leaders of the EU when it is very fragile? I would like to see

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Europe much more forward thinking about the migration problem.

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Ultimately, what they need to understand is as leaving Europe is

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an absolutely extra central threat to Europe itself, and I think they

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are incredibly omitted to deliver a deal for us but also for them --

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existential. Thank you. Thousands

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of people struggling with flooding in Cumbria and Lancashire have been

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warned they could face further 16 severe flood warnings are

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still in force in the region. Yesterday the Prime Minister

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visited the worst hit areas. This time apparently wearing ?12

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wellies from Asda after his ?89 The issue was also debated

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in the House of Commons It is not enough for the

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Prime Minister and the Environment Secretary to pledge to deal with

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the devastation and damage caused. We do need a commitment

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from them also to do all they can to The Environment Secretary's

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predecessor was, as we know, not someone who is prepared to

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acknowledge the risks posed Does this Secretary of State agree

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that extreme weather events are unfortunately increasingly a feature

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of British weather and government The Honourable Lady is absolutely

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right about the extreme weather As we say, it is consistent with

:17:07.:17:11.

the trends we are seeing Climate change is factored in to all

:17:12.:17:17.

the modelling work the Environment Agency does but clearly, in the

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light of this extreme weather, we are going to have to look at that

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modelling and make sure it's fit My view is that it's really

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important that we remain fair to people right across the country,

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and the people of Cumbria understand why those decisions are being made

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and also get the proper protection Liz Truss ending that report there.

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Liz Truss says freak weather conditions are the result of climate

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change. Is that the settled view on the Tory backbenches? Gosh, I don't

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know if it is a settled view. There is so much discussion about this. So

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many experts' opinion, so many contradictory opinions, so many

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newspaper headlines. I did think anybody is 100% convinced. I don't

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have to agree with everything they are saying. That is right, so you

:18:29.:18:34.

don't think it is down to climate change? I don't know. I read

:18:35.:18:39.

somewhere in the 1500 in England it rained every day for ten years. I

:18:40.:18:44.

don't know. I know other town in the 1600 switch was completely under

:18:45.:18:49.

flood. You don't sound convinced. We do have freak weather conditions. We

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do have climate change happening obviously. I don't know what is

:18:55.:18:58.

happening with Storm Desmond, obviously. I don't know what is

:18:59.:19:01.

the result of climate change or is it a freak weather condition? I'm

:19:02.:19:07.

sure that building on flood plains, climate change, many other factors

:19:08.:19:10.

contributed flooding and what happens as a result of flooding.

:19:11.:19:15.

Should we accept it and live with it or should the government be spending

:19:16.:19:19.

more money and looking at increasing the flood defences which already

:19:20.:19:24.

exist? Absolutely. When we see pictures like we have seen this

:19:25.:19:29.

week, and what happens is, that we see different parts of the country

:19:30.:19:32.

every time something happens. I think what we have to do is to

:19:33.:19:36.

accept that maybe flooding is a part of life in this century and wherever

:19:37.:19:40.

we know there will be flood issues, make sure the money is put into it.

:19:41.:19:45.

It will not be once in a hundred years which is what the government

:19:46.:19:51.

has said in the past. No, it is happening more frequently. It may be

:19:52.:19:56.

a result of climate change. We have increased the budget. The government

:19:57.:19:59.

has increased the budget in real terms, both year-on-year, and I

:20:00.:20:03.

think what we need to do is to make sure we look at what has happened in

:20:04.:20:09.

the floods this time. One of the main problems is the water is not

:20:10.:20:13.

receding as much as it could do, because the measures that were put

:20:14.:20:16.

in place to prevent the floods in the first place, to do a good job,

:20:17.:20:21.

apparently, have now stopped the water receding as quickly as it

:20:22.:20:24.

could. I think there are lessons will stop.

:20:25.:20:29.

Increased costs, software problems, delays.

:20:30.:20:31.

It's been a tricky journey for Universal Credit since

:20:32.:20:33.

Iain Duncan Smith set out his vision for welfare reform back in 2010.

:20:34.:20:37.

And with George Osborne still planning to make ?12 billion worth

:20:38.:20:39.

of savings to the welfare bill by 2020, some argue that

:20:40.:20:42.

Universal Credit will end up hitting those very people cheering

:20:43.:20:44.

the Chancellor's decision to axe cuts to tax credits.

:20:45.:20:46.

So what difference will Universal Credit really make?

:20:47.:20:48.

Actually, Iain Duncan Smith was more ambitious than the Spice Girls, he

:20:49.:21:18.

wants six to become one. Six benefits into Universal Credit. He

:21:19.:21:27.

says it is a way of making work pay so that people do not see their

:21:28.:21:31.

benefits drop off when they start working. At the moment it is being

:21:32.:21:36.

offered in three quarters of job centres. People on Universal Credit

:21:37.:21:41.

are more likely to be in work than on Jobseeker's Allowance. 100 people

:21:42.:21:47.

on JSA who go into work, 113 going for Universal Credit. It is a

:21:48.:21:54.

remarkable figure. There are currently 141,000 people on

:21:55.:21:58.

Universal Credit. Each week, nearly 6000 people start a new claim. The

:21:59.:22:03.

government wants to roll it out to 7 million people. There is broad

:22:04.:22:06.

support for the principle of Universal Credit, but Labour says

:22:07.:22:11.

things may not be as they seem. Not least because of the U-turn on tax

:22:12.:22:17.

credits. I have listened to the concerns. I hear and understand

:22:18.:22:21.

them, and because there is an improvement in the public finances,

:22:22.:22:26.

the simplest thing to do is not to faze these changes in, but to avoid

:22:27.:22:31.

them altogether. Tax credits are being phased out anyway as we

:22:32.:22:36.

introduce Universal Credit. We heard the Chancellor talking

:22:37.:22:39.

about the fact that tax credits would not go ahead will stop what we

:22:40.:22:45.

did not hear about is that Universal Credit cuts will still continue.

:22:46.:22:49.

Families who are affected will have a lower income from the government.

:22:50.:22:54.

That is due to the fact they are reducing the work allowance. The

:22:55.:22:58.

work allowance is the amount a claimant can earn before their

:22:59.:23:02.

benefits start being reduced. Some critics worry that the marginal

:23:03.:23:08.

reduction rate is still high. It could prove a disincentive to

:23:09.:23:14.

decrease your hours. Who better to ask for clarification than the man

:23:15.:23:19.

who came up with the system. Under the existing system, some people

:23:20.:23:23.

could lose huge sums of money as they move from 16 to 17 hours.

:23:24.:23:29.

Somewhat heavily subsidised at 16 hours. We have put in transitional

:23:30.:23:32.

protection because they would never get the same money as they would on

:23:33.:23:39.

Universal Credit. At 17, 18 or 19 hours, they are better off and below

:23:40.:23:42.

those hours they are better off on tax credits. In some cases your pen

:23:43.:23:48.

marginal reduction rates of 95p in a pound and this is all part of the

:23:49.:23:52.

process of making welfare work and it is about making sure we save

:23:53.:23:58.

money in welfare by getting people back to work. We do not -- it is

:23:59.:24:02.

about getting the deficit reduced. If we do not then we will not have

:24:03.:24:13.

as many people in work. According to IDS, it is the only way to be.

:24:14.:24:18.

That was a Lee Price reporting there. -- any price.

:24:19.:24:22.

We're joined now by the Work and Pensions Minister,

:24:23.:24:24.

Justin Tomlinson and the Shadow Work and Pensions Secretary, Owen Smith.

:24:25.:24:28.

According to the Institute for Fiscal Studies, Universal Credit

:24:29.:24:35.

means a worse deal for 2.6 million working families. These families

:24:36.:24:39.

will receive ?1600 less than they would have done under the current

:24:40.:24:44.

tax credit system. Is this your government's idea of helping working

:24:45.:24:49.

people? In the report they acknowledge that is a static

:24:50.:24:54.

analysis. It does not look at rising wages, the increase in the personal

:24:55.:24:58.

tax threshold, it is taking a like-for-like today but it is not

:24:59.:25:03.

today, it is going forwards. This will be removing artificial

:25:04.:25:09.

barriers, it is providing a personal adviser to provide help to

:25:10.:25:13.

navigate. But on the figures that people can claim, particularly new

:25:14.:25:18.

claimants, that number of families will lose ?1600 less, just looking

:25:19.:25:22.

at those figures alone, that you cannot guarantee to families. But

:25:23.:25:29.

that is a static analysis if it was introduced today. But it is over a

:25:30.:25:34.

number of years, by which time the increase in wages... But you don't

:25:35.:25:38.

know that those 2.6 million families will have increased wages or benefit

:25:39.:25:47.

from the other things. We know the national living wages coming in, we

:25:48.:25:47.

are seeing an economy creating more jobs are more hours for people to

:25:48.:25:51.

work, doubling of childcare and the fact you will have a personal

:25:52.:25:55.

adviser who can help you navigate these things. At the moment we have

:25:56.:25:59.

a complex chaotic benefit system where understandably people are

:26:00.:26:02.

having to deal with that rather than focusing on being able to get into

:26:03.:26:07.

work and removing those barriers, the Secretary of State said those

:26:08.:26:11.

people are stuck at 16 hours, it is not good for businesses. But a

:26:12.:26:15.

single parent with one child on a part-time Living Wage will be ?2800

:26:16.:26:25.

a year worse off under Universal Credit. That is true. It is true

:26:26.:26:29.

that they will be ?2800 a year off in terms of their benefit. But by

:26:30.:26:31.

the time they have gone through that system... It will make up ?2800?

:26:32.:26:41.

People once they progress in work will be able to keep more money. It

:26:42.:26:49.

will not be ?2800. There is an increase in the personal tax

:26:50.:26:53.

threshold, an increase in the Dublin of childcare. It will provide a less

:26:54.:26:57.

complicated more stable system which supports people, not just in

:26:58.:27:01.

financial terms but with a personal adviser to help them navigate. Will

:27:02.:27:05.

they be better off or worse off, that single parent with one child,

:27:06.:27:11.

will they be better off? We will see as the changes come forward. What

:27:12.:27:17.

I'm trying to get you to admit is there will be losers. The Institute

:27:18.:27:33.

for Fiscal Studies has said there will be losers. I take on board what

:27:34.:27:35.

you say about the transitional arrangement and the Living Wage will

:27:36.:27:38.

go up and there will be extra childcare, but it will not make up

:27:39.:27:40.

2008 hundred pounds. George Osborne's cancelling of this tax

:27:41.:27:43.

credit cuts, has been pushed further down the line onto new claimants who

:27:44.:27:46.

will be worse off. They may be less worse off but they will still be

:27:47.:27:48.

worse off. The current -- a couple on the national Living Wage will be

:27:49.:27:57.

3000 pounds worse off. Going back to the tax credits, they were saying we

:27:58.:28:01.

understand why changes are coming forward but you have to allow extra

:28:02.:28:06.

supports, extra childcare, the changes to the rise in wages and

:28:07.:28:14.

other changes to filter through. Crucially, people will get

:28:15.:28:17.

personalised support, the artificial barriers are removed and we have

:28:18.:28:20.

already seen with the 8000 people who were sampled, 86% are now

:28:21.:28:26.

feeling they can go and get extra work. This is making a huge

:28:27.:28:32.

difference to people. Let's take it in the round. You have still got ?3

:28:33.:28:36.

billion worth of savings you want to make from the welfare bill in 2020,

:28:37.:28:41.

and it has to come from somewhere, but you are still picking the

:28:42.:28:46.

pockets of working families. You are working on the assumption that we

:28:47.:28:50.

are always having to take money from people. By taking people off

:28:51.:28:54.

benefits, helping them pay tax into the system, this is beneficial for

:28:55.:29:00.

the individual, beneficial for the economy... But not if you're losing

:29:01.:29:05.

money. The government said people currently claiming tax credits would

:29:06.:29:09.

be protected, protected from what? Protected from the new system of a

:29:10.:29:14.

shift on to Universal Credit. By admitting they are being protected,

:29:15.:29:17.

you are admitting other people will be much worse off under Universal

:29:18.:29:22.

Credit. That is because you are looking at that could 16 hour cliff

:29:23.:29:26.

edge approach. We will be smoothing that out so that every extra hour

:29:27.:29:30.

you will work, you will keep more money. You say that but actually,

:29:31.:29:36.

single parents must work at least 16 hours a week if they claim working

:29:37.:29:41.

tax credits. Under Universal Credit, single parents. To lose their

:29:42.:29:50.

benefit once they have worked the benefit -- ten hours. A single

:29:51.:29:58.

parent will start to lose their benefits are just ?5,000 under the

:29:59.:30:03.

new system. That is a massive cliff edge. You are highlighting the

:30:04.:30:08.

problem at the moment, there are six different benefits, highly

:30:09.:30:11.

complicated, people are struggling to navigate this complicated system.

:30:12.:30:15.

We will provide a simple system which supports people as they

:30:16.:30:19.

progress in work, but only with the childcare provision you have

:30:20.:30:22.

highlighted, rising wages, more jobs, more hours, having that

:30:23.:30:26.

adviser who can navigate you through that system, signpost you if you

:30:27.:30:34.

need extra training and making sure people get the benefits they are

:30:35.:30:37.

entitled to. There will be a 2 tier system.

:30:38.:30:42.

There will be those that start claiming if their circumstances

:30:43.:30:47.

change they will be identified as new claimants starting under

:30:48.:30:51.

Universal Credit will be worse off. You highlight the point about people

:30:52.:30:55.

circumstances changing. But you are not highlighting that. You won't

:30:56.:31:02.

have to wait to get support. This will be good of you have a

:31:03.:31:05.

fluctuating health issue, your hours change week to week, personal

:31:06.:31:10.

adviser to signpost you. This is a broadly supported scheme, a huge

:31:11.:31:14.

change which is being done in a controlled manner and at helping

:31:15.:31:18.

people who want to work more. Do you support Universal Credit? Yes, it's

:31:19.:31:23.

a really good idea. If you weather system which could sympathise six

:31:24.:31:29.

benefits. Unfortunately, it doesn't do the second piece, the job, which

:31:30.:31:34.

is make work pay. He can't slip away from the truth that you've outlined

:31:35.:31:38.

very clearly that against the current system, they are going to

:31:39.:31:42.

make ?10 billion worth of savings, they announce it on Friday last week

:31:43.:31:46.

and that money is going to come from people in work, out of the ?3

:31:47.:31:52.

billion a year change for the work allowance. If you are a single

:31:53.:31:56.

mother with two children working full-time on the minimum wage, you

:31:57.:32:00.

will be ?3000 worse off. It's exactly the amount of money they

:32:01.:32:04.

were going to save and tax credits. If you are in favour of Universal

:32:05.:32:08.

Credit and accept it's a complicated system, there has to be some sort of

:32:09.:32:12.

cut-off point. If you're going to make it more generous, which I

:32:13.:32:16.

presume is what you're saying, you're going to spend more on

:32:17.:32:20.

welfare? First of all, let's be clear, are we talking about welfare

:32:21.:32:24.

or support for people in work because that is what we are

:32:25.:32:27.

debating, not supporting people out of work. People think supported on

:32:28.:32:32.

low wages. That Bill will go up under Labour? You will put it up.

:32:33.:32:39.

No, the bill has gone up under the Tories. It's not fair to say the

:32:40.:32:47.

bill would not go up under your party. We would protect these

:32:48.:32:51.

people, we've campaigned for a full reversal of the tax credit cut and

:32:52.:32:56.

we got it, we are now campaigning for a full reversal of the Universal

:32:57.:33:00.

Credit cut. Working people the support, we will put that money back

:33:01.:33:06.

in if we were in power. We are crystal clear about that. Where

:33:07.:33:11.

would you get that ?3 billion of savings you said in the election you

:33:12.:33:14.

are going to reform the welfare bill? And you're not. Had I been

:33:15.:33:20.

Chancellor, unfortunately we did not get the chance to set the budget, I

:33:21.:33:25.

would've taken the extra ?27 billion he had in tax receipts and put that

:33:26.:33:28.

towards this relief. I might not have had a ?10 billion projected

:33:29.:33:35.

surplus at the end of the spending period, but it would make different

:33:36.:33:39.

political choices to use money in the system to support working

:33:40.:33:42.

people. That's a different choice the Tories made. The one choice the

:33:43.:33:47.

Tories made which outstripped labour and Ed Miliband Microsoft, they put

:33:48.:33:51.

the living wage up much higher. They beat you on that. It's not a

:33:52.:33:58.

question of who beat too. It's important for families. Why doesn't

:33:59.:34:04.

that count in this argument over welfare changes. If Justin Tomlinson

:34:05.:34:07.

is right in terms of a living wage going up and there's more childcare,

:34:08.:34:11.

that will bridge the gap to making people work a bit harder and a bit

:34:12.:34:17.

longer at getting more money. If it would, I would be supporting these

:34:18.:34:21.

changes but the truth is, Justin was not being straightforward. The ISS

:34:22.:34:25.

are factored in all of these things, except for the change to 85% of

:34:26.:34:32.

childcare costs being covered for three-year-olds and four-year-olds,

:34:33.:34:35.

it's a maximum benefit of ?700 if your child is three or four. But you

:34:36.:34:42.

will still be losing around ?3000 a year so does not make up for it and

:34:43.:34:47.

no way Iain Duncan Smith can cut the figures. The truth is working

:34:48.:34:50.

families are losing out and they would not be under Labour. The key

:34:51.:34:55.

point is, a lot of this is going forward into the future so we'll

:34:56.:35:00.

have to see what happens. 8000 people are on Universal Credit now

:35:01.:35:06.

against 8000 people on jobseeker's allowance. 86% felt they could not

:35:07.:35:14.

increase their working hours. 36% have gone into work. We are moving

:35:15.:35:19.

those barriers. We have a complex system. It's about the growing

:35:20.:35:23.

dynamic of the economy and something very important. Were you pleased the

:35:24.:35:28.

Chancellor cancelled that cuts to tax credits in the Autumn

:35:29.:35:31.

Statement? Absolutely because I did not vote for it. How money people

:35:32.:35:37.

have claimed credit, the Labour Party, Conservative backbenchers,

:35:38.:35:39.

the media, everybody is claiming credit for it. I'm not claiming

:35:40.:35:47.

credit. You just did, you said you removed it as a result of your

:35:48.:35:51.

campaigning. We now need to campaign to get the Universal Credit changed.

:35:52.:35:52.

Thank you. How in touch are those in the

:35:53.:35:55.

upper echelons of British politics Well back in 2012 our guest of the

:35:56.:35:58.

day, Nadine Dorries, made headlines when she used this programme to

:35:59.:36:02.

speak her mind about the two men Unfortunately, I think that, not

:36:03.:36:05.

only are Cameron and Osborne two posh boys who don't know the price

:36:06.:36:10.

of milk, but they are two arrogant posh boys who show no remorse, no

:36:11.:36:15.

contrition and no passion to want to understand the lives of others

:36:16.:36:20.

and that is their real crime. There is actually talk now that

:36:21.:36:26.

Cameron may not even go into the next election as Prime Minister

:36:27.:36:29.

because he has become so remote, so elite and so distant and so

:36:30.:36:33.

lacking in ability to compromise. It almost seems like he finds it

:36:34.:36:36.

impossible to put out a hand to actually really understand

:36:37.:36:38.

what it is other people go through. And we're joined now by the Labour

:36:39.:36:47.

MP Jess Phillips. Welcome to the Daily Politics. Let's

:36:48.:36:58.

look at those statistics. 32% of MPs going to private school, is that

:36:59.:37:03.

surprising? Not at all. How representative of the public would

:37:04.:37:08.

you say your cabinet is? I don't think Parliament is representative

:37:09.:37:12.

of the general public. I don't think MPs, their life experiences, the way

:37:13.:37:16.

they think, the way they vote. That's across the house, not just in

:37:17.:37:21.

my party. The same in the Shadow Cabinet? I think the Shadow Cabinet

:37:22.:37:26.

is probably more representative but it's something that could be wagered

:37:27.:37:30.

every single party in this place, every single group. This morning, we

:37:31.:37:36.

were both on the childcare Bill committee and I could speak

:37:37.:37:38.

specifically from my experiences of having some of the benefits and

:37:39.:37:43.

childcare problems and I think that the people sat opposite me were

:37:44.:37:46.

confounded because they can't argue with my personal experiences. Chloe,

:37:47.:37:53.

also on the committee, I don't think any of them had children in

:37:54.:37:56.

childcare which is one not argue to be fair. You made very good points

:37:57.:38:01.

and it a very good speech and I challenge anybody to read it because

:38:02.:38:05.

it was fascinating. There are only some of us, I'm the same, who can

:38:06.:38:09.

come to Parliament, who know what it's like to have been hungry. I

:38:10.:38:14.

remember hiding under the sink in our council has and my mum will kill

:38:15.:38:18.

me if I'm watching this, from the rent man because the rent man used

:38:19.:38:23.

to come and we didn't have the money to pay the rent because my dad had

:38:24.:38:28.

his feet amputated. He was off work on long-term sick and they were not

:38:29.:38:31.

benefit payments then. We know what it's like to struggle and I think

:38:32.:38:36.

Jess this morning has articulated their own struggles as a working

:38:37.:38:40.

parent. You grew up about 100 miles or so or less from each other. You

:38:41.:38:46.

describe it as working class families. Why do you now sit here

:38:47.:38:49.

representing different sides of the political debate? I can't imagine

:38:50.:39:04.

why Medina sits on that side. -- Medina. She is considerably more

:39:05.:39:11.

poor than mine. My own experience of poverty came in my adult life, to be

:39:12.:39:14.

truthful. My parents were very working class. My childhood was not

:39:15.:39:21.

uncomfortable, but my own experiences came when I have my own

:39:22.:39:27.

children. Right to buy is what sealed it for me. One of the very

:39:28.:39:32.

first policies. That's when it came in, 1997. We lived in a council

:39:33.:39:36.

house and were given the opportunity to buy it and it was a step out of

:39:37.:39:42.

poverty onto the ladder which was just amazing because everybody

:39:43.:39:47.

started planting their gardens, painting their fences, painting

:39:48.:39:50.

their front doors, improving their house. It made people aspirational

:39:51.:39:54.

and gave people pride to own their own house. The think Labour needs to

:39:55.:39:58.

be more aspirational? Do you think in order to capture people like the

:39:59.:40:04.

Dean and others, you need to be more aspirational? That word means

:40:05.:40:08.

nothing any more because get talked about so much of the Labour Party

:40:09.:40:12.

doesn't need as though it got the people at the bottom in the top.

:40:13.:40:16.

There's a huge swathe of a country which exists in the middle and it

:40:17.:40:20.

would put myself in that category. Now I'm at the top of the person who

:40:21.:40:23.

I was talking about in the committee, was a middle person. I

:40:24.:40:28.

think that the Labour Party don't talk about that enough. With regard

:40:29.:40:33.

to right to buy, you would be very lucky now in the same situation you

:40:34.:40:36.

would get a council house because of right to buy. Whilst your

:40:37.:40:43.

aspiration... And my granny brought her council has and are not adequate

:40:44.:40:49.

size people who did that, although my father criticised her at the

:40:50.:40:53.

time, there is a -2 aspiration and those people now can't aspire to

:40:54.:40:57.

have a home. But it's learning from those policies because the big

:40:58.:41:01.

mistake about that policy in that time was not ploughing the money

:41:02.:41:04.

which came in into building more council houses but that's not the

:41:05.:41:08.

case today because with right to buy and other policies the government

:41:09.:41:11.

bring in, there is a criteria that money will go back into funding will

:41:12.:41:14.

council houses and it's a big problem. That is the claim certainly

:41:15.:41:20.

but you previously called David Cameron and a George Osborne

:41:21.:41:24.

arrogant posh boys. They don't have the price of milk. They've done

:41:25.:41:27.

quite well despite that. They have, yes. The mail on Sunday wrote a

:41:28.:41:33.

headline which I had nothing to do with. Does it still matter?

:41:34.:41:42.

Basically, David Cameron came the leader of the party exactly ten

:41:43.:41:48.

years ago. Ten years ago yesterday. I think he's travelled a long road

:41:49.:41:53.

and is certainly a different person today than he was ten years ago. I

:41:54.:41:58.

think that, today, I wouldn't make those comments. Really? I would. I'm

:41:59.:42:07.

not including George Osborne in that comment and I think David Cameron is

:42:08.:42:11.

someone who is now, from my own experience, as a Prime Minister,

:42:12.:42:16.

when we went into the election, I was actually quite pleased he was

:42:17.:42:20.

the person. Do you think George Osborne is out of touch? I'm not

:42:21.:42:25.

going to make any comments. I think... Could he be the next

:42:26.:42:34.

leader? I would say the answer would be no. Over? No. So George Osborne

:42:35.:42:43.

is not made that journey in your mind David Cameron has. He still

:42:44.:42:47.

privileged and out of touch in your mind? George Osborne has spent the

:42:48.:42:52.

last ten giving sweeties to conservative backbenchers and Labour

:42:53.:42:58.

Party members. Buying friends. Giving out the jobs. He's run out of

:42:59.:43:05.

jobs to give people. He spent ten years buying the backbenchers and

:43:06.:43:11.

the frontbenchers, two, so that one day they will vote for George

:43:12.:43:15.

Osborne to be leader. If that happens, then I think what we need

:43:16.:43:20.

to do really, in all parties, is look at how the political system

:43:21.:43:25.

works, because I don't think it is right anybody of privilege should be

:43:26.:43:28.

able to come into Parliament and use their privilege and the education

:43:29.:43:34.

and background to secure the career progression into the role of Prime

:43:35.:43:38.

Minister into the future. If George Osborne becomes Prime Minister, that

:43:39.:43:41.

is how he has done it. Would you leave the party at that point? We

:43:42.:43:45.

may have this discussion another day. We have to put two people

:43:46.:43:51.

forward to the country and I don't believe George Osborne will be in

:43:52.:43:56.

those two people. I think it will be Theresa May Boris Johnson. What did

:43:57.:44:00.

you think of Nadine Dorries topping up her MP salary with reality TV

:44:01.:44:07.

appearance? I would do is to click dancing. Sometimes when people say,

:44:08.:44:13.

wide-eyed become an MP I play the long game because a female MP has

:44:14.:44:17.

never been on strictly come dancing. I hope you get your

:44:18.:44:21.

invitation for next season. You can permit your way out of the studio.

:44:22.:44:22.

Thank you. Now, how long does it take to decide

:44:23.:44:24.

whether to build a third runway Politicians have been thinking

:44:25.:44:28.

about it for at least 25 years and this government started the

:44:29.:44:31.

process of making the decision over three years ago - but it now looks

:44:32.:44:33.

like they need a bit more time. Heathrow says

:44:34.:44:37.

a third runway would add But last week a committee of MPs

:44:38.:44:39.

said the airport still needs to prove that a new runway would meet

:44:40.:44:46.

air quality standards. In 2009, Gordon Brown's government

:44:47.:44:50.

said they would build Then in 2010 the new Prime Minister

:44:51.:44:52.

David Cameron scrapped those plans. This was after he made a "no ifs,

:44:53.:45:02.

no buts" pledge that he wouldn't But in September 2012

:45:03.:45:06.

the government asked the economist Howard Davies to lead an independent

:45:07.:45:11.

commission into airport capacity. In July, the Airports Commission

:45:12.:45:16.

finally reported, giving a green The government said they'd make

:45:17.:45:18.

a final decision before the end of the year but it now looks

:45:19.:45:25.

like that could be delayed And joining me now are two

:45:26.:45:28.

Conservative MPs Tania Mathias - she's against expansion at

:45:29.:45:36.

Heathrow - Welcome to both of you. You must be

:45:37.:45:46.

delighted. It looks as if the government will kick this into the

:45:47.:45:51.

long grass. I have not heard anything officially. My concern is

:45:52.:45:56.

the same today as if there had been a decision. I have concerns about

:45:57.:46:02.

Heathrow with two runways, let alone three runways, and I believe we do

:46:03.:46:08.

need an answer for the UK's aviation capacity. You want a decision to be

:46:09.:46:13.

made one way or the other? I want a decision that would be made on an

:46:14.:46:17.

economic level, that works for the country and does not have

:46:18.:46:20.

environmental impact that Heathrow would have. According to the CBI,

:46:21.:46:27.

delaying on this issue could cost ?5 billion in lost exports. Do MPs bear

:46:28.:46:35.

responsibility in that? The Davis commission also talked about no

:46:36.:46:37.

night flights and that means there would not be flights to our markets

:46:38.:46:42.

and Southeast Asia. So I don't see how the economic benefit comes with

:46:43.:46:48.

a third runway at Heathrow. Royston, the CBI says the decision shows a

:46:49.:46:56.

failure in leadership and now looks like there will not be definitive

:46:57.:47:02.

decision. Is David Cameron being too indecisive? It is difficult. If you

:47:03.:47:06.

make a know with snow but commitment but then circumstances change, you

:47:07.:47:13.

have sort of tide a bit. -- ain't no ifs, no buts commitment. Politicians

:47:14.:47:17.

want a straight answer and sometimes when you do then that can come back

:47:18.:47:23.

to bite you. When I was leader of Southampton City Council, people

:47:24.:47:27.

advised us and politicians made decisions. We have had the Davis

:47:28.:47:34.

commission. If the decision is to do nothing, that is a decision, but

:47:35.:47:40.

until we do, no one, Tania in particular and her constituents,

:47:41.:47:44.

cannot move on. Do you think the government will just go for Heathrow

:47:45.:47:50.

eventually? It would be my favoured option. The government will make its

:47:51.:47:53.

decision based on all sorts of factors. I think if they made a

:47:54.:47:57.

decision based on the Davis commission and the economic case,

:47:58.:48:01.

then they would make a decision for a third runway at Heathrow. Do you

:48:02.:48:06.

think it is politics? Are they being cynical because Zac Goldsmith's the

:48:07.:48:14.

Conservative candidate for mayor who is dead against Heathrow expansion

:48:15.:48:18.

and says will resign the whip if a third runway goes ahead. Do you

:48:19.:48:27.

think that is why they are denying it -- delaying it? I don't think

:48:28.:48:31.

they are. We see a lot of people who are independently minded which is

:48:32.:48:35.

very good for your constituents. Some of the things you say and do

:48:36.:48:40.

for your constituents quite rightly will not sit with government

:48:41.:48:43.

policy. However this I am going to resign if I don't get my own way, is

:48:44.:48:48.

not something which I think is a good idea. Zac Goldsmith stood on

:48:49.:48:53.

that platform and there was the no ifs, no buts from David Cameron.

:48:54.:49:01.

That was 2009 from David Cameron. I remember because I am next door to

:49:02.:49:06.

Zach's constituency, I am in Twickenham, and I remember at big

:49:07.:49:09.

public meetings, it was very powerful when Zac was a candidate.

:49:10.:49:18.

He said I know people feel very strongly. What I am saying is, I

:49:19.:49:24.

want to fight as the MP for Twickenham, because I want to

:49:25.:49:29.

improve Heathrow right now, and I do believe with the environmental audit

:49:30.:49:34.

committee report, there is more we can do to make Heathrow better, not

:49:35.:49:40.

bigger. But if they go for that third runway, Tania, do you think

:49:41.:49:44.

there will be Cabinet resignations over this? We know Justine

:49:45.:49:48.

Greening, the MP for Putney, and her views which are very against a third

:49:49.:49:54.

runway. I don't know. I have two basic like other MPs, but I want to

:49:55.:49:59.

see an end result, however long it takes. My predecessor before last,

:50:00.:50:04.

Toby Jessel, in his maiden speech said almost the same thing I did in

:50:05.:50:10.

my maiden speech and that was in 1970. The point is to carry on the

:50:11.:50:15.

fight. When I have debated in Parliament, Toby, although he is

:50:16.:50:19.

retired, has said good, you are doing the same arguments, we have to

:50:20.:50:25.

keep fighting for residents. How can you recommend that the government

:50:26.:50:29.

plumps for Heathrow when the environmental audit committee has

:50:30.:50:32.

warned that issues of public health and noise pollution have not been

:50:33.:50:36.

dealt with, that they would be breaching EU guidelines? I think a

:50:37.:50:41.

lot of that has been answered in reports. We know wherever you put a

:50:42.:50:46.

third runway or another runway or another airport, you are going to

:50:47.:50:50.

have an airport pollution. You will have that. But I don't think in this

:50:51.:50:54.

case, with the new technology of aeroplanes, they are far different

:50:55.:50:58.

than they ever were before. I am a former engineer. I know how aircraft

:50:59.:51:02.

technology has changed over the years. They are far less polluting

:51:03.:51:06.

than they ever were and they are becoming less polluting. So why

:51:07.:51:13.

doesn't the government just say Heathrow? I am not talking on the

:51:14.:51:16.

half of the government... But you admit there is no question to

:51:17.:51:21.

answer. I am saying I think Heathrow is the right solution. I think what

:51:22.:51:28.

Tania is doing is the right thing for her constituents. This is about

:51:29.:51:32.

representation and I think Tania is doing a proper job. If you resign

:51:33.:51:36.

the whip and you are not in the party any more, your influence would

:51:37.:51:41.

be less. Tania is fighting in the party for her constituents. But

:51:42.:51:46.

should the government ignore MPs like Tania and Justine Greening?

:51:47.:51:51.

No, they should listen to everyone's opinions but... It is a

:51:52.:51:57.

fairly binary decision. If I was in Twickenham, I would like Tania

:51:58.:52:02.

fighting for me. Point of information, I love the fact you

:52:03.:52:06.

haven't engineering background but we are dealing with a serious

:52:07.:52:12.

increase to number of flights. It is not NIMBY -ism. If nitrous dioxide

:52:13.:52:18.

was red in colour we would see it all over London. And when we talk

:52:19.:52:25.

about WHO and EU 55 average decibel levels, we are getting to 83 and as

:52:26.:52:30.

you know, 83 decibels, that only came up because resident groups

:52:31.:52:34.

asked for more information. That is the A380. People realise Heathrow is

:52:35.:52:40.

not being a good neighbour. There is a lot more could do, for the UK as

:52:41.:52:45.

well as West London. We will hear a decision, even if it is one to delay

:52:46.:52:48.

in the next week. Thank you. The left-wing grassroots group

:52:49.:52:54.

Momentum, formed in the wake of Jeremy Corbyn's election victory,

:52:55.:52:56.

has said today it will move to bar non-Labour Party members from taking

:52:57.:52:59.

part in some of its meetings. The group has been under scrutiny

:53:00.:53:02.

over the extent to which it could be used as a vehicle for so-called

:53:03.:53:05.

hard-left activists to infiltrate the Labour Party and deselect

:53:06.:53:07.

insufficiently left-wing MPs. Yesterday,

:53:08.:53:09.

I asked Adam Klug of Momentum about reports that at a meeting

:53:10.:53:11.

of the group in Lambeth, there were leaflets calling for the deselection

:53:12.:53:14.

of local Labour MP Chuka Ummuna. Momentum does support reselection

:53:15.:53:18.

and deselection of candidates. This was from Conservative Home,

:53:19.:53:21.

Mark Wallace, his account. Do you deny that those leaflets

:53:22.:53:28.

were being handed out? I wasn't at the event

:53:29.:53:36.

but my understanding from speaking to people who were, it was an event

:53:37.:53:38.

hosted by Momentum, Lambeth and some Momentum's goalless

:53:39.:53:44.

for Labour to win the election in 2020, and to build the Labour Party

:53:45.:53:53.

and engage with the grassroots. If a small section of people came

:53:54.:53:58.

in, which I believe did happen, But they were handing leaflets

:53:59.:54:01.

at the door. Are you saying it was hijacked

:54:02.:54:07.

by these people? Do you condemn those leaflets

:54:08.:54:10.

and what they are saying about It is not the place

:54:11.:54:17.

for non-Labour Party members to be campaigning on the selection or

:54:18.:54:21.

deselection of candidates. Well, joining us now is James Ivens

:54:22.:54:23.

of the Socialist Party, You believe you were

:54:24.:54:34.

mischaracterised on this programme yesterday by Momentum, white? There

:54:35.:54:38.

was a lot of talking about hijacking. There is no move to

:54:39.:54:46.

hijack Momentum. We were arguing the Labour Party should be against

:54:47.:54:50.

austerity and against war and MPs who stand for austerity and war

:54:51.:54:55.

should be deselected. Were you not the man in the pink T-shirt is said

:54:56.:55:00.

to the couple sitting next to you, there were now two Labour parties in

:55:01.:55:04.

one and that people ought to be in control and your final point was

:55:05.:55:09.

Chuka Umunna must be deselected? I would support all of those things.

:55:10.:55:12.

It is not just the Socialist Party who are saying this, there are big

:55:13.:55:16.

sections of the Labour Party membership, particularly the new

:55:17.:55:20.

membership, and people who want to see it standing against war and

:55:21.:55:25.

austerity who are incensed. But thousands of people in Chuka

:55:26.:55:29.

Umunna's constituency have voted for him. But the membership has changed

:55:30.:55:35.

now. The Labour Party, there was a big surge in support of Jeremy

:55:36.:55:42.

Corbyn. Wide-out you join the Labour Party? We would like to. The

:55:43.:55:47.

Socialist Party is ready to join the Labour Party. We were excluded in

:55:48.:55:53.

the 1990s. We are currently not allowed to join. And you will not be

:55:54.:55:58.

allowed to join now. Momentum so you cannot go to their meetings. That is

:55:59.:56:04.

a mistake. We are there to defend Momentum and Jeremy Corbyn's

:56:05.:56:09.

anti-austerity leadership. You talk about this red scare being very

:56:10.:56:13.

unfair in this witchhunt, but you cannot be surprised that the

:56:14.:56:18.

majority of Labour MPs who did not support Jeremy Corbyn are concerned

:56:19.:56:21.

that people who are not members of the Labour Party are, as you have

:56:22.:56:25.

just admitted, trying to change policy and trying to get them

:56:26.:56:30.

deselected? They feel their career is on the line. There are millions

:56:31.:56:33.

of people is on the line. There are millions

:56:34.:56:36.

do not agree with the line they are putting which is cut back on jobs

:56:37.:56:40.

and services, son of public services, go to war, bomb civilians

:56:41.:56:44.

in Syria. A lot of people do not agree with that and I think ordinary

:56:45.:56:50.

Labour members should have every right to deselect them. We would

:56:51.:56:52.

absolutely want to affiliate the Labour Party. But you're only

:56:53.:56:57.

wanting to join the Labour Party to deselect MPs who do not reflect your

:56:58.:57:01.

views on certain issues but Momentum is a private group. Why is it so

:57:02.:57:06.

wrong for them to decide who comes to their meetings which are about

:57:07.:57:12.

the Labour Party of which were not a member. This was a Tory, this was a

:57:13.:57:17.

member of the Conservative Party who was at Momentum. We have every right

:57:18.:57:21.

to go in and argue this case. He has done this to whip up a witchhunt and

:57:22.:57:26.

this has been picked up by the right wing of the Labour Party who fear

:57:27.:57:28.

for their careers and who want to put a similar line to the Tory party

:57:29.:57:36.

and it seems the leadership of Momentum is now under enormous

:57:37.:57:39.

pressure. People want to move against Jeremy Corbyn's leadership.

:57:40.:57:43.

But if the majority of people feel like you have articulated, then

:57:44.:57:46.

Labour would have won the last election. People had a chance to go

:57:47.:57:56.

out and choose Labour or not. If, as you claim, all these people both in

:57:57.:57:59.

the Labour Party and out in the public feel like you do, then Labour

:58:00.:58:04.

would now be a government. But at the last election, Labour were not

:58:05.:58:12.

standing on an anti-austerity platform, they were standing on a

:58:13.:58:15.

pro-austerity platform. There is the old Blair project... Do you think

:58:16.:58:20.

you would have the numbers to win a general election? And do you think

:58:21.:58:24.

you have the right to say to 50,000 or 80,000 people who voted for these

:58:25.:58:30.

Labour MPs in their constituency, that their vote was invalid because

:58:31.:58:34.

you say so? I will have to break it there, James, thank you.

:58:35.:58:36.

There's just time before we go to find out the answer to our quiz.

:58:37.:58:40.

The question was: Which of these is the odd one out?

:58:41.:58:42.

Donald Trump, Jeremy Corbyn, Angela Merkel, Abu Bakr Al-Baghdadi?

:58:43.:58:45.

Can I just say that I don't think you should be just I is the head of

:58:46.:58:54.

Identity think we are.

:58:55.:58:55.

All the others have been shortlisted for Time Magazine's

:58:56.:59:00.

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