Browse content similar to 08/01/2016. Check below for episodes and series from the same categories and more!
Line | From | To | |
---|---|---|---|
The Government has denied exaggerating a warning | :00:37. | :00:43. | |
from the medical director of NHS England about the impact | :00:44. | :00:47. | |
of a possible strike by junior doctors. | :00:48. | :00:49. | |
We'll hear from the former health minister Norman Lamb. | :00:50. | :00:54. | |
After the City watchdog drops an investigation into the culture | :00:55. | :00:57. | |
and practices of banks, have we moved beyond | :00:58. | :00:59. | |
The United States claims 2,500 Islamic State fighter were killed | :01:00. | :01:11. | |
in December by coalition air-strikes. | :01:12. | :01:14. | |
We'll discuss the campaign against IS in Iraq and Syria. | :01:15. | :01:22. | |
And in the first of a new series of films, we talk to former Home | :01:23. | :01:28. | |
I always felt as Home Secretary there was some person who worked in | :01:29. | :01:35. | |
the department whose name you did not know, whose responsibilities you | :01:36. | :01:39. | |
had no idea of, who was going to destroy your career. | :01:40. | :01:44. | |
All that in the next hour and with us for the whole | :01:45. | :01:48. | |
of the programme today I'm joined by the Times columnist | :01:49. | :01:53. | |
Rachel Sylvester, and the Independent's Middle East | :01:54. | :01:55. | |
First, let's talk about a report in this morning's Independent that | :01:56. | :01:59. | |
officials working for Jeremy Hunt intervened in the writing | :02:00. | :02:04. | |
of a warning from NHS England's medical director Bruce Keogh | :02:05. | :02:06. | |
to the British Medical Association about the risks to patient care | :02:07. | :02:11. | |
in the event of a major terrorist attack during | :02:12. | :02:13. | |
Staff from the Department of Health urged Bruce Keogh | :02:14. | :02:19. | |
to make his warning as "hard-edged" as possible. | :02:20. | :02:20. | |
"Given it is the Government's ultimate responsibility to do | :02:21. | :02:28. | |
everything it can to ensure public safety, it is completely right | :02:29. | :02:33. | |
that the Department expressed a view on communication with the BMA". | :02:34. | :02:36. | |
Let's talk now to the former health minister, the Liberal Democrat | :02:37. | :02:40. | |
Norman Lamb, he's in our Norwich studio. | :02:41. | :02:44. | |
What is wrong with the medical director and the government wanting | :02:45. | :02:49. | |
to make sure that we'd be covered jawing a strike in the event of a | :02:50. | :02:56. | |
terrorist attack? I don't have any difficulty with liaison, discussion. | :02:57. | :03:01. | |
Indeed, when I was in the department there was constant discussion with | :03:02. | :03:06. | |
NHS England. But one of the principles of the Andrew Lansley | :03:07. | :03:08. | |
reforms was to create this independent body. And I suspect | :03:09. | :03:13. | |
you'd probably agree that it does look rather as if an independent | :03:14. | :03:18. | |
official within NHS England is being leaned on by the government on | :03:19. | :03:20. | |
something that ultimately very politically sensitive. But he | :03:21. | :03:25. | |
doesn't say that, he says it was entirely appropriate that the NHS | :03:26. | :03:30. | |
should coordinate the operational response to the strike threat. Well, | :03:31. | :03:36. | |
as I say, I have no difficulty with discussion between the department | :03:37. | :03:42. | |
and NHS England. But what concerns me most about all of this is that it | :03:43. | :03:48. | |
will probably damage trust further between the government and the | :03:49. | :03:52. | |
junior doctors. And what's in the interest of everyone is that | :03:53. | :03:57. | |
actually we get this dispute settled and settled very quickly. That's a | :03:58. | :04:01. | |
different matter. I understand that but it is a different matter. | :04:02. | :04:05. | |
There's been a brouhaha about this letter and trying to work out | :04:06. | :04:09. | |
exactly what's with it. Let me quote the letter, because the relevant | :04:10. | :04:14. | |
part is the following: "Will the BMA NCO that members will be available | :04:15. | :04:19. | |
to respond to a major incident whether this is declared because of | :04:20. | :04:24. | |
a single event or an unprecedented surge in activity? Will junior | :04:25. | :04:28. | |
doctors who would otherwise have been rostered for duty make | :04:29. | :04:32. | |
themselves available to respond in a timely way within an hour of a major | :04:33. | :04:34. | |
incident being declared?" What timely way within an hour of a major | :04:35. | :04:40. | |
wrong with the medical director request in that information? So if | :04:41. | :04:43. | |
you remember back to when this was released, it caused an enormous | :04:44. | :04:49. | |
furore among young doctors, they made clear at that time that of | :04:50. | :04:53. | |
course they would respond, it is part of their duty as doctors to | :04:54. | :04:57. | |
respond in the event of an emergency of that sort. And I suppose the | :04:58. | :05:02. | |
critical thing, Andrew, and you will understand this absolutely, is was | :05:03. | :05:06. | |
this politics getting involved? Was it actually to just six it up a bit | :05:07. | :05:13. | |
in order to put pressure on the BMA at a moment of intense pressure in | :05:14. | :05:19. | |
this dispute? What I'm interested in is finding ways of ratcheting down | :05:20. | :05:23. | |
the battle tween government and junior doctors to find a settlement | :05:24. | :05:29. | |
to this dispute rather than making it more difficult. All right, Norman | :05:30. | :05:33. | |
Lamb, thanks for joining us. Rachel, is there a story in this? We've been | :05:34. | :05:40. | |
there before with sexed up dossiers and the problem for the government | :05:41. | :05:44. | |
is that if it looks like they are playing politics with the NHS. It | :05:45. | :05:47. | |
looked as though they were exploiting the Paris terror attacks. | :05:48. | :05:52. | |
Surely it is the duty of the government, if it faces a junior | :05:53. | :05:55. | |
doctors strike, not talking about the ROMs or rights of that, but | :05:56. | :06:00. | |
facing a strike, is not the of the government to establish that these | :06:01. | :06:05. | |
junior doctors will, as they almost certainly would, make themselves | :06:06. | :06:08. | |
available in the event of a terrorist attack? Absolutely, but | :06:09. | :06:12. | |
the point was whether the letter was really written to be leaked. I think | :06:13. | :06:19. | |
it is about the politics, playing politics with the NHS, which applies | :06:20. | :06:25. | |
equally to the BMA. Patients and voters will not forgive politicians | :06:26. | :06:29. | |
or doctors who look as though they are playing politics. The government | :06:30. | :06:35. | |
could, or the Department of Health, could just have left Bruce Keogh to | :06:36. | :06:38. | |
write the letter in his own words in his own way? Yes, I mean this is | :06:39. | :06:45. | |
presented as being independent and it obviously isn't independent. It | :06:46. | :06:51. | |
also seems to be exploiting the massacre in Paris in a way, you | :06:52. | :07:02. | |
know, people were criticised for exploiting 9/11. But if you were the | :07:03. | :07:04. | |
government you exploiting 9/11. But if you were the | :07:05. | :07:08. | |
sure that these junior doctors were available in the event of a | :07:09. | :07:10. | |
terrorist attack given the atmosphere of the time, all talk was | :07:11. | :07:15. | |
Britain could just as easily be under threat, it was the duty of the | :07:16. | :07:18. | |
government to make sure that the doctors will turn up. I have no | :07:19. | :07:22. | |
reason to believe that they wouldn't. My guess is they would | :07:23. | :07:25. | |
break their strike and they would of course come into the hospitals, but | :07:26. | :07:28. | |
the government had to establish that. But that does not seem to have | :07:29. | :07:32. | |
been the purpose of this letter and the publicity given to this letter. | :07:33. | :07:36. | |
This was to put pressure on the junior doctors. It does not seem to | :07:37. | :07:43. | |
have been a perfectly reasonable administrative instruction. It seems | :07:44. | :07:46. | |
to have had a very direct political intent. Just to ratchet things up? | :07:47. | :07:52. | |
To ratchet things up, and rather naive, knowing that if this got out | :07:53. | :07:56. | |
they would get a lot of egg on their face, which is what has happened. | :07:57. | :07:59. | |
The question for today is all about radio phone-ins. | :08:00. | :08:03. | |
Who is the latest politician to decide to join the likes | :08:04. | :08:06. | |
of Nigel Farage and Boris Johnson and host a regular show on LBC | :08:07. | :08:09. | |
Is it a) William Hague, b) Alex Salmond, | :08:10. | :08:12. | |
I guess he wouldn't have to come to the country coming he could do it | :08:13. | :08:25. | |
down the line. and Patrick will give us | :08:26. | :08:27. | |
the correct answer. It's pretty easy this week, isn't | :08:28. | :08:35. | |
it? I'm giving nothing away. That's what we like. | :08:36. | :08:38. | |
Are the Government and the regulators going soft on banks? | :08:39. | :08:41. | |
That's the fear among some MPs after the City watchdog announced | :08:42. | :08:43. | |
that it was shelving a review into banking culture. | :08:44. | :08:48. | |
The culture many people thought helped create the crisis in 2008. | :08:49. | :08:53. | |
MPs on the Treasury Select Committee have summoned the bosses | :08:54. | :08:55. | |
of the Financial Conduct Authority to give evidence later this month | :08:56. | :08:58. | |
George Osborne says he had no prior knowledge of the decision. | :08:59. | :09:04. | |
But, more broadly, is the Government shifting its tone | :09:05. | :09:06. | |
In June shortly after the general election George Osborne made | :09:07. | :09:13. | |
a speech to top bankers at the Mansion house in London. | :09:14. | :09:17. | |
In July, in his emergency budget, the Chancellor took further action | :09:18. | :09:38. | |
by reducing the bank levy and replacing it with a less onerous | :09:39. | :09:41. | |
Before the election HSBC declared that the bank levy was a factor | :09:42. | :09:48. | |
in its ongoing deliberation over whether to move its headquarters out | :09:49. | :09:50. | |
Later that month Martin Wheatley, the chief executive of the City | :09:51. | :10:08. | |
watchdog the Financial Conduct Authority - | :10:09. | :10:10. | |
Mr Wheatley was unpopular with city bosses. | :10:11. | :10:15. | |
For example, in 2014-15, the watchdog raised ?1.4 billion | :10:16. | :10:17. | |
in fines on banks and other financial companies, | :10:18. | :10:20. | |
more than in the previous four years combined. | :10:21. | :10:30. | |
And just last month the FCA revealed that it had shelved plans | :10:31. | :10:33. | |
for an inquiry into the culture, pay and behaviour of staff in banking. | :10:34. | :10:38. | |
The chairman of the Commons Treasury Select Committee, | :10:39. | :10:41. | |
Andrew Tyrie, said recent decisions by the FCA were giving | :10:42. | :10:44. | |
the impression of a "weakening of resolve". | :10:45. | :10:49. | |
George Osborne was asked about that yesterday on the BBC. | :10:50. | :10:52. | |
That was a completely independent decision that I had no foreknowledge | :10:53. | :11:04. | |
of. What did you think of it? It's got to be an independent decision | :11:05. | :11:08. | |
for our banking regulator. But you are the Chancellor and you must have | :11:09. | :11:11. | |
a view as to whether there should be that sort of investigation into the | :11:12. | :11:15. | |
way the banks have been behaving? I would say that we did have that | :11:16. | :11:20. | |
investigation, it was a cross-party parliamentary commission that | :11:21. | :11:22. | |
included people like the Archbishop of Canterbury on the. | :11:23. | :11:25. | |
We've been joined from Sheffield by the Labour MP John Mann, | :11:26. | :11:28. | |
who is a member of the Treasury Select Committee. | :11:29. | :11:30. | |
And in the studio is the stock broker and market commentator, | :11:31. | :11:33. | |
And I should just say that we did ask the Treasury for an interview | :11:34. | :11:38. | |
with a government minister on this, but none was available. | :11:39. | :11:45. | |
David Buik, is the government changing its attitude to the banking | :11:46. | :11:52. | |
industry? I don't think so. We have come a long way since John McFall's | :11:53. | :11:58. | |
committee after the financial crisis. He was the labour on Peter | :11:59. | :12:02. | |
chaired it under the last Labour government. Yes, keep late a leading | :12:03. | :12:07. | |
Andrew Svoboda versus role -- he played a leading and | :12:08. | :12:12. | |
it was a shambles and the government did not seem to know what was going | :12:13. | :12:18. | |
on. An awful lot of water has passed under the bridge, a lot of changing | :12:19. | :12:23. | |
personalities. I believe the situation now that Andrew Bailey is | :12:24. | :12:27. | |
responsible for Prudential banking, he has the great response of the | :12:28. | :12:30. | |
entire industry, he is a very good communicator. The regulations have | :12:31. | :12:35. | |
changed. We will not know if they are the right regulations until we | :12:36. | :12:39. | |
hit the next crisis, we never do. But are we really sure that the | :12:40. | :12:43. | |
culture has changed all that much? Are we really sure that a lot of the | :12:44. | :12:47. | |
kind of culture that created the crisis in 2007 and 2008 is still not | :12:48. | :12:53. | |
there? I absolutely think the changes have been implemented. | :12:54. | :12:57. | |
Because a lot of this stuff that has come up, the PPI stuff, you will see | :12:58. | :13:05. | |
a lot of court cases with people serving long prison sentences which | :13:06. | :13:10. | |
they deserve. Every time I'm told that by somebody in the city, | :13:11. | :13:15. | |
another scandal erupts. Yes but many of them, with great respect, our | :13:16. | :13:19. | |
historical, and it takes a long time to bring these people to book. As | :13:20. | :13:24. | |
far as I'm concerned Tracy McDermott has done a fantastic job. And she | :13:25. | :13:29. | |
is? She is basically the temporary head of the FCA until somebody is | :13:30. | :13:33. | |
appointed. She won't mind me saying this, she is around five, and she is | :13:34. | :13:39. | |
a brilliant Rottweilers. So why doesn't the government give her the | :13:40. | :13:43. | |
job? She doesn't want it. Maybe she knows something we don't. John Mann, | :13:44. | :13:47. | |
the Treasury Select Committee is going to bring in the bosses of the | :13:48. | :13:53. | |
FCA to find out why this enquiry was shelved. What do you think, at the | :13:54. | :13:57. | |
moment, is going on? Well we know what is going on. In August the FCA | :13:58. | :14:03. | |
had a huge amount of work ongoing into culture within banks and how to | :14:04. | :14:09. | |
ensure that the culture was appropriate. In September Martin | :14:10. | :14:16. | |
Wheatley left and instantly all that work was changed. Not just one piece | :14:17. | :14:22. | |
of work, but lots of pieces of work that have been going on for some | :14:23. | :14:27. | |
years. Every single bit of it dropped. In essence the FCA will | :14:28. | :14:33. | |
have no point for existing. But since the FCA is, we are told, in | :14:34. | :14:38. | |
independent regular tree authority, why would it dropped this enquiry | :14:39. | :14:43. | |
into culture, even if the government wanted it? The government has no | :14:44. | :14:50. | |
part in stopping it. It is my belief the government has interfered. I | :14:51. | :14:54. | |
think the enquiry will prove that, and hopefully prove precisely how | :14:55. | :14:59. | |
they have interfered. The FCA has not reached its own conclusions. Its | :15:00. | :15:05. | |
been told what to do. It's been told by the Treasury. And it's a bit | :15:06. | :15:10. | |
weaselly for George Osborne to say "I had no prior knowledge". We can | :15:11. | :15:16. | |
define that as saying, I personally wasn't informed, because the way I | :15:17. | :15:19. | |
operate is that they don't inform us of those, with a nod and a wink. His | :15:20. | :15:25. | |
officials knew what was going on and I predict that he wants one of his | :15:26. | :15:29. | |
senior officials to in fact run the FCA to complete the job for him, | :15:30. | :15:31. | |
which is to neuter it. So you believe that contrary to what | :15:32. | :15:40. | |
Mr Osborne told the BBC this week that the government was involved on, | :15:41. | :15:46. | |
if I put it this way, Leeming, pressuring, the FCA not to proceed | :15:47. | :15:52. | |
with this inquiry? Directly and specifically, not just generally but | :15:53. | :15:55. | |
specifically. I think that the Treasury committee inquiry will | :15:56. | :16:02. | |
uncover how that happened and it is a huge scandal in terms of the | :16:03. | :16:07. | |
approach of the government, not least because they're saying one | :16:08. | :16:12. | |
thing publicly, as Osborne did, but doing something else privately. But | :16:13. | :16:18. | |
also the motives for doing it. And in my view, George Osborne's motive | :16:19. | :16:23. | |
is to maximise the income he gets back in from selling of shares in | :16:24. | :16:28. | |
RBS and Lloyds bank. That's what this is about because the economy | :16:29. | :16:33. | |
isn't going as well as he wants and his projections, which he gets | :16:34. | :16:38. | |
independently from the OBR, are not going to be that good in his March | :16:39. | :16:43. | |
budget and later this year. He wants to compensate for that. It is | :16:44. | :16:48. | |
obviously a very important and serious accusation, that you are | :16:49. | :16:52. | |
saying the government did lean on this, and it would be fascinating to | :16:53. | :16:55. | |
see the evidence because the Treasury are saying that isn't what | :16:56. | :16:59. | |
happened. I'm saying it very specifically. Let me ask you this | :17:00. | :17:05. | |
question. Given that your inquiry hasn't yet started, your inquiry | :17:06. | :17:08. | |
into the lack of an inquiry, which is a what you're about to do, how do | :17:09. | :17:13. | |
you know all this? Because when we've had the FCA in front of us | :17:14. | :17:16. | |
before we are aware of what their work programme has been and their | :17:17. | :17:21. | |
priorities and it is not just this one inquiry that they were doing | :17:22. | :17:26. | |
into culture and the work on that, it's a series of things that they've | :17:27. | :17:30. | |
dropped. Some things have been announced. I believe there are other | :17:31. | :17:34. | |
pieces of work that have been dropped that were very important | :17:35. | :17:38. | |
internally in the FCA that have disappeared, stopped, ended. This is | :17:39. | :17:45. | |
a huge change in regulation and in essence, what has happened is that | :17:46. | :17:50. | |
the Prudential RideLondon to, the PR eight, and Mr Bailey, which looks at | :17:51. | :17:58. | |
the grand picture, is continuing its work but the precise regulation of | :17:59. | :18:04. | |
individual banks and individual bankers has come to an end. It is | :18:05. | :18:09. | |
self-regulation now for individual banks. That is a huge approach that | :18:10. | :18:14. | |
has not been agreed by Parliament and I don't believe there's a | :18:15. | :18:17. | |
consensus in the that it is right to do that. Let me put that. What is | :18:18. | :18:24. | |
your response? Obviously, he is privileged information but I don't | :18:25. | :18:28. | |
get but I think Andrew baby at the Prudential banking authority has a | :18:29. | :18:33. | |
very close relationship with the FCA and banks have transgressed. Nobody | :18:34. | :18:36. | |
is trying to get away from that. But they have been rubbished to a degree | :18:37. | :18:41. | |
where it is care to productive to recovery and I think Andrew Bailey | :18:42. | :18:44. | |
and his meetings with the FCA have probably decided that the work in | :18:45. | :18:49. | |
terms of dealing with the behavioural factor should be done | :18:50. | :18:55. | |
individually by each bank. John Mann can summon whoever he likes, or the | :18:56. | :19:00. | |
chairman, to ask an investigation and they are highly entitled to do | :19:01. | :19:04. | |
so but I believe that you deal with one individual bank, each one in | :19:05. | :19:09. | |
this country, on an individual basis and you will get a much better | :19:10. | :19:15. | |
result in the long term. Would it not be fair to surmise that the | :19:16. | :19:19. | |
government has taken fright at the prospect of HSBC moving its | :19:20. | :19:22. | |
headquarters from London? It is by far the biggest bank even though | :19:23. | :19:25. | |
most of its operations are not in this country. And indeed we learn | :19:26. | :19:34. | |
that the FCA is shelving, is not pursuing, action against HSBC over | :19:35. | :19:38. | |
its Swiss private banking arm, which was such a scandal last year. Again, | :19:39. | :19:44. | |
that was HSBC. You could put together a case to say that the | :19:45. | :19:48. | |
Government is kind of in retreat from the banks. You could and it | :19:49. | :19:55. | |
doesn't look terribly good but what I'm saying to you is that I believe | :19:56. | :19:58. | |
that within the importance of the Bank of England and all the | :19:59. | :20:01. | |
regulatory authorities, they have a duty of care to make sure that the | :20:02. | :20:05. | |
banking fraternity works as well as it possibly can. It is a matter of | :20:06. | :20:11. | |
wholesale indifference to Douglas and to Stuart Gulliver, the chairman | :20:12. | :20:14. | |
to the Executive of HSBC, whether they have their head office in | :20:15. | :20:17. | |
London or not because they can go pretty much anywhere. But it would | :20:18. | :20:25. | |
be huge reputational damage to the government if it was to lose HSBC. | :20:26. | :20:31. | |
It is more than that. It would be huge rotation or damage to the city | :20:32. | :20:34. | |
and on and the City of London Police financial sector contributes about | :20:35. | :20:38. | |
50% of GDP. I believe this is a pragmatic approach. John Mann and | :20:39. | :20:44. | |
his Treasury select committee have every right to have the drains up to | :20:45. | :20:47. | |
see why they've come around to these decisions but I haven't think it has | :20:48. | :20:51. | |
been done with the best interests of everybody, in the full knowledge | :20:52. | :20:55. | |
that the FCA will bring transgressors to book in a very | :20:56. | :20:58. | |
serious manner and we will find this out in the next three to six months | :20:59. | :21:02. | |
when loads of people are going to go to jail. Unless you are in HSBC's | :21:03. | :21:07. | |
Swiss banking arm. John Mann, I will give you the final word. David was | :21:08. | :21:11. | |
exactly right that watch it happen is that each bank is properly | :21:12. | :21:15. | |
regulated individually. That is exactly the change that is taking | :21:16. | :21:20. | |
place. That is the regulation that is not going to happen. It is all | :21:21. | :21:27. | |
going to be generalised - risks to the whole system. Mr Bailey's role | :21:28. | :21:32. | |
in it and the PRA. The regulator will in essence have no effective | :21:33. | :21:38. | |
role whatsoever in the future. This is a huge change. We need to expose | :21:39. | :21:42. | |
that and have a proper debate about whether that decision, inspired by | :21:43. | :21:47. | |
Osborne and the Treasury, is the right one. Obviously, I don't make | :21:48. | :21:52. | |
it is. I understand. Very briefly, Wendy you expect to have the FCA in | :21:53. | :21:57. | |
front of the select committee? It is this month. I also hope and think we | :21:58. | :22:00. | |
will have Mr Osborne and perhaps other Treasury officials as well. | :22:01. | :22:04. | |
Come back and taught was after you have these meetings? Will do. -- | :22:05. | :22:13. | |
come back and talk to us. Thank you very much. A developing story that | :22:14. | :22:14. | |
we will be continuing to cover. The UK continues to fly intensive | :22:15. | :22:29. | |
armed reconnaissance missions across Syria and Iraq, | :22:30. | :22:31. | |
but missions in the last few days over northern Iraq, attacking | :22:32. | :22:36. | |
targets in Mosul and Ramadi. On the 30th of December, | :22:37. | :22:50. | |
Tornados returned to Ramadi, bombing two machine-gun positions | :22:51. | :22:53. | |
and assisting coalition aircraft in strikes on IS militants, | :22:54. | :22:58. | |
as Typhoons assisted the Peshmerga with an attack on a terrorist rocket | :22:59. | :23:06. | |
launcher team near Sinjar Typhoons and Tornados | :23:07. | :23:09. | |
continued to patrol the Sinjar area on the last day | :23:10. | :23:15. | |
of 2015, using Paveways against machine-gun positions | :23:16. | :23:20. | |
and a group of militants. On New Year's Day, an RAF Reaper | :23:21. | :23:24. | |
drone supported coalition air strikes in Ramadi, | :23:25. | :23:29. | |
and on the following day another Reaper used Hellfire missile | :23:30. | :23:32. | |
near the city of Fallujah. A city of certain iconic status in | :23:33. | :23:46. | |
whole story. At the beginning of this year, | :23:47. | :23:50. | |
Typhoons delivered a number of successful attacks in Ramadi | :23:51. | :23:52. | |
and Tornados and a Reaper drone attacked nine other targets | :23:53. | :23:55. | |
across northern Iraq. While the RAF continue to fly | :23:56. | :23:56. | |
surveillance missions over Syria, the last time a British aircraft | :23:57. | :23:59. | |
struck the country when an RAF Reaper hit a checkpoint | :24:00. | :24:01. | |
south of IS stronghold We can speak to the BBC's | :24:02. | :24:05. | |
defence correspondent Before we come onto the British, how | :24:06. | :24:24. | |
much credence is the defence community giving the American claims | :24:25. | :24:29. | |
that IS is now suffering real casualties from the air war? I think | :24:30. | :24:34. | |
there is credence and I think there is also evidence that IS are losing | :24:35. | :24:39. | |
ground. For example, Ron Mahdi is now in the hands of Iraqi security | :24:40. | :24:46. | |
forces, albeit there are pockets of resistance. The town has been | :24:47. | :24:49. | |
booby-trapped and is still difficult to move around but there is no doubt | :24:50. | :24:58. | |
that the territory it has has shrunk by 40% in Iraq, Tampa sent in Syria. | :24:59. | :25:02. | |
But on that point of casualties, it is interesting. In December, the | :25:03. | :25:08. | |
Coalition, the Pentagon essentially, said that 2500 IS fighters had been | :25:09. | :25:17. | |
killed. Overall, 5000 have been killed in the past year plus a few | :25:18. | :25:21. | |
months yet they still say that there are still about 30,000 IS fighters | :25:22. | :25:25. | |
so there are lots of people who aren't sure that this strategy of | :25:26. | :25:28. | |
killing them is going to work because other people pop up, as | :25:29. | :25:32. | |
we've seen in Iraq and Afghanistan. You take out high-value targets and | :25:33. | :25:36. | |
mid-level targets and the resort was somebody else who takes their place. | :25:37. | :25:39. | |
And on the British contribution, in Syria itself, are we right to be | :25:40. | :25:45. | |
quizzical about what would seem to be the lack of activity of the dish | :25:46. | :25:50. | |
forces over Syria? I don't think you'd be right to say the RAF has | :25:51. | :25:54. | |
been doing nothing because they have been very busy carrying out strikes | :25:55. | :25:58. | |
six days out of seven in Iraq, pretty much every day for the past | :25:59. | :26:02. | |
month. They have been supporting that operation and fast jets like | :26:03. | :26:07. | |
tornadoes and typhoons are like the cavalry, helping troops to the | :26:08. | :26:11. | |
ground. They are helping in a way they are not in Syria. You can ask | :26:12. | :26:15. | |
the question legitimately when the Prime Minister said ahead of that | :26:16. | :26:19. | |
quote, just over a month ago, that Britain would make a meaningful | :26:20. | :26:23. | |
difference, has Britain made a meaningful difference in Syria, and | :26:24. | :26:26. | |
the answer at the moment does not appear to be yes. I understand that | :26:27. | :26:32. | |
RAF Reaper is - and we saw an RAF Reaper doing a strike on Christmas | :26:33. | :26:36. | |
Day - have been looking out for high-value targets. They have seen | :26:37. | :26:41. | |
high-value targets, I'm told, but they haven't carried out attacks, | :26:42. | :26:44. | |
they haven't carried a out a Hellfire Missiles fire because there | :26:45. | :26:50. | |
hasn't been the right time. They do not want to cause a billion | :26:51. | :26:53. | |
casualties. There has to be the right time when they get those | :26:54. | :26:56. | |
individuals. -- cause civilian casualties. I think you can say that | :26:57. | :27:05. | |
reapers have been doing surveillance missions over Iraq. They are looking | :27:06. | :27:09. | |
out for individuals but they haven't made a difference yet. Thank you | :27:10. | :27:10. | |
very much for that. Let's discuss this campaign against | :27:11. | :27:20. | |
Islamic State with my two guests. You have a new book out called Chaos | :27:21. | :27:28. | |
and Caliphate. You briefed Labour MPs on air strikes in Syria before | :27:29. | :27:31. | |
the vote in parliament. What did you tell them? Well, I said that I was | :27:32. | :27:40. | |
all in favour of Islamic State being weakened or eliminated but what was | :27:41. | :27:46. | |
proposed really wouldn't have much effect. Already, before Britain | :27:47. | :27:51. | |
became involved, there were far more American air emissions than there | :27:52. | :27:55. | |
are actual attacks. In other words, there are more aircraft in the sky | :27:56. | :27:59. | |
looking for targets and they can find targets, so this was never | :28:00. | :28:07. | |
going to have much military impact. There are successes, like Ramadi, in | :28:08. | :28:13. | |
a sense. The Iraqi army moves in. But first of all, Ramadi is now in | :28:14. | :28:18. | |
ruins so we used to have a population of 600000 and these | :28:19. | :28:21. | |
people are now internally displaced. Some of them will be refugees | :28:22. | :28:27. | |
abroad. But as inevitable as part of a wall. But particularly this type | :28:28. | :28:33. | |
of war. It is presented as a victory for the Iraqi army but they have | :28:34. | :28:39. | |
been, in many cases, a mopping up force after the other side has been | :28:40. | :28:43. | |
eliminated or weakened by heavy air attack. So air attacks in Iraq have | :28:44. | :28:50. | |
played a role? Yes, but in very specific circumstances. Also in | :28:51. | :28:55. | |
Syria. If so-called Islamic State fighters, and they are very well | :28:56. | :28:58. | |
trained, dig in and fight to the last bullet in fixed positions that | :28:59. | :29:02. | |
you can identify with ground forces, they are going to suffer heavy | :29:03. | :29:06. | |
losses. They did this in the siege of Kobane which went on for four | :29:07. | :29:11. | |
months. And they did lose in the end. But in Ramadi, they haven't | :29:12. | :29:19. | |
really done that again. They leave 250 350 men behind, they don't fight | :29:20. | :29:23. | |
the last bullet. They are sort of reverting to being a gorilla force | :29:24. | :29:26. | |
so it becomes more difficult to target them. Let me ask you this. | :29:27. | :29:32. | |
Unlike a year ago, or even less, Islamic State is losing ground in | :29:33. | :29:37. | |
Iraq now. It has lost several cities or towns. The Pentagon, though I | :29:38. | :29:42. | |
would put a big question mark over their 25,000 figure - I remember the | :29:43. | :29:46. | |
Vietnam figures, which were fantastical as well do- but even so | :29:47. | :29:51. | |
we know they have been suffering casualties. There are also | :29:52. | :29:55. | |
increasing reports that they're suffering increasing defections as | :29:56. | :29:59. | |
well. Would it not be possible to argue, or at least consider, but | :30:00. | :30:03. | |
Islamic State is now passed its peak? | :30:04. | :30:10. | |
Yes, they are being attacked by different forces at different | :30:11. | :30:17. | |
points. But losing ground? One thing to bear in mind is that the | :30:18. | :30:20. | |
battlefield is about the size of Great Britain and a lot of this | :30:21. | :30:25. | |
ground is desert or semi desert. 40% of Syria is step land or does it. | :30:26. | :30:31. | |
All of this stuff that comes out of the Pentagon, saying 14% lost to | :30:32. | :30:38. | |
Islamic State territory, it is pretty meaningless. The population | :30:39. | :30:41. | |
is very concentrated along the rivers and in the cities. So yes, | :30:42. | :30:46. | |
they are under pressure, yes, they have suffered losses, but all these | :30:47. | :30:52. | |
very precise figures like 2500 dead, obviously amiss. Take with a big | :30:53. | :30:57. | |
inch of salt. They have tunnels underground, they do not appear | :30:58. | :31:00. | |
outside, they do not publish casualties figures. They are an | :31:01. | :31:06. | |
attempt to produce finite figures that Isis, Islamic State, is not | :31:07. | :31:10. | |
only passed its peak, but going down, and there really isn't any | :31:11. | :31:14. | |
evidence for that at the moment. But less than a year ago Islamic State | :31:15. | :31:18. | |
looked like it was unstoppable. There were even stories it was going | :31:19. | :31:23. | |
to get to Baghdad at one stage. It doesn't have that situation now, | :31:24. | :31:27. | |
does it? No. Well there are two things, aren't there? Islamic State | :31:28. | :31:30. | |
the military force and Islamic State the ideology. The more thing is that | :31:31. | :31:35. | |
the ideologies shows no signs of being defeated and that seems to be | :31:36. | :31:39. | |
spreading around the world. So this isn't just about troops on the | :31:40. | :31:43. | |
ground, winning or who's losing a ground war in or Syria, it's also | :31:44. | :31:48. | |
about the spread of an awful and dreadful, wicked ideology to Britain | :31:49. | :31:54. | |
and other countries. And it's being exported and spreading. And you are | :31:55. | :31:58. | |
seeing young girls being radicalised in their bedrooms in the east of | :31:59. | :32:05. | |
London. The chief henchman wielding his sword is a British man. And | :32:06. | :32:10. | |
that's the battle. It is a battle of ideas. At least, if not more than a | :32:11. | :32:16. | |
battle of guns, I'd say. Rachel talks about the ideology of Islamic | :32:17. | :32:23. | |
State spreading into other parts of the world, into the Maghreb. How | :32:24. | :32:28. | |
significant is the Islamic State presents now in Libya? Well, it's | :32:29. | :32:34. | |
pretty significant. You have seen that they blew up a police academy | :32:35. | :32:39. | |
yesterday with a vehicle packed with explosives. They killed 65, 100 | :32:40. | :32:46. | |
people. They have spread along the coast from the city of Sirte. That | :32:47. | :32:54. | |
is now one of their strongholds. They have tried to take over two of | :32:55. | :33:00. | |
the big oil ports, there. So they have taken over a huge chunk of | :33:01. | :33:05. | |
territory. Just a slightly different view from Rachel, it is important to | :33:06. | :33:08. | |
Islamic State that they actually have a functioning state. It may be | :33:09. | :33:13. | |
under pressure. Because they want the caliphate. And that was not a | :33:14. | :33:22. | |
name of Al-Qaeda, they did not run a state. They also have an | :33:23. | :33:25. | |
administration, they conscript locals for soldiers. I do not | :33:26. | :33:28. | |
believe this 30,000 figure, I think it is far more. From the Western | :33:29. | :33:34. | |
European point of view, these are terrorist attacks, but what makes | :33:35. | :33:37. | |
them so different from the old al-Qaeda, this is backed by a state | :33:38. | :33:42. | |
with money, with resources. Revenue raising powers and so on. If it | :33:43. | :33:47. | |
fails five times it can try another five times. That is what it is | :33:48. | :33:50. | |
trying to do in Libya and Yemen, set up ministates. You cover all this in | :33:51. | :33:58. | |
your book? I do. In good book shops now. Good and bad. | :33:59. | :34:03. | |
Here at the Daily Politics, we like to spoil our loyal viewers | :34:04. | :34:06. | |
So sit back, get comfy, and enjoy the first of a new series | :34:07. | :34:11. | |
where Giles Dilnot has been talking to former home secretaries | :34:12. | :34:14. | |
about leading one of the great offices of state. | :34:15. | :34:29. | |
Whitehall, the heart of government. | :34:30. | :34:33. | |
But do you think you could handle the police, the security services, | :34:34. | :34:36. | |
counterterrorism and, once upon a time, prisons? | :34:37. | :34:38. | |
Very little good news crosses the Home Secretary's | :34:39. | :34:44. | |
Not many people come out of the Home Office with their | :34:45. | :34:49. | |
It's extremely hard work, which isn't often | :34:50. | :34:54. | |
You go to bed at night thinking everything is calm | :34:55. | :35:01. | |
You're woken up at two in the morning and some | :35:02. | :35:04. | |
It has nothing to do with you but in the | :35:05. | :35:13. | |
morning, everyone is going to be out for your blood, saying | :35:14. | :35:16. | |
Jill Rutter was a senior civil servant and is now at the Institute | :35:17. | :35:20. | |
for Government, and of all Whitehall jobs she thinks this one's | :35:21. | :35:23. | |
The Home Office used to be a real political graveyard. | :35:24. | :35:28. | |
That was particularly when it had responsibility for prisons, | :35:29. | :35:30. | |
which it's lost, but it's still in charge | :35:31. | :35:32. | |
of things - counterterrorism, police, immigration - | :35:33. | :35:35. | |
where the big question is, what will go wrong? | :35:36. | :35:39. | |
So the Home Secretary knows that something will go wrong somewhere | :35:40. | :35:42. | |
They don't know what and they don't know when. | :35:43. | :35:47. | |
So one of the key attributes of being Home | :35:48. | :35:49. | |
Secretary is to be able to manage those risks, | :35:50. | :35:53. | |
react calmly and not be panicked by headlines into bad | :35:54. | :35:56. | |
That level of responsibility can be daunting when offered the job. | :35:57. | :36:04. | |
Even the Prime Minister, Gordon Brown, when he asked me to do | :36:05. | :36:07. | |
the job, started the conversation by saying, "Jacqui, I expect this | :36:08. | :36:10. | |
And I managed to avoid the F word that Margaret Beckett | :36:11. | :36:17. | |
used when asked to be Foreign Secretary but I think | :36:18. | :36:20. | |
something unguarded came out of my mouth at that particular moment. | :36:21. | :36:23. | |
I'd actually asked him, if at all possible, | :36:24. | :36:29. | |
It's surprising that one of the things that makes the job | :36:30. | :36:33. | |
a challenge is the department itself. | :36:34. | :36:35. | |
Kenneth Baker, who was one of my predecessors and a friend, | :36:36. | :36:40. | |
he said to me, shortly before the 1997 | :36:41. | :36:43. | |
election, "Listen, Jack,", he said, "Good luck as Home Secretary. | :36:44. | :36:45. | |
One always felt as Home Secretary there was some | :36:46. | :36:51. | |
person who worked under a discreet department, | :36:52. | :36:54. | |
whose name you didn't know, whose responsibilities you had | :36:55. | :36:56. | |
no idea of, and as you put your head on your pillow at night, | :36:57. | :37:00. | |
And I think that's probably pretty accurate because in any big | :37:01. | :37:09. | |
organisation, things go wrong and you don't necessarily know | :37:10. | :37:12. | |
about them until they go wrong and then | :37:13. | :37:16. | |
the buck stops with the Secretary of State. | :37:17. | :37:21. | |
This personal responsibility combines with the seriousness | :37:22. | :37:23. | |
of the issue into quite a bruising mix. | :37:24. | :37:25. | |
If you're in another department, there's quite a reasonable chance | :37:26. | :37:35. | |
that the mistake you make will be in some dark, | :37:36. | :37:38. | |
hidden corner, where no-one's looking. | :37:39. | :37:41. | |
There are no dark, hidden corners in the Home Office. | :37:42. | :37:47. | |
When I was told that I had to release a prisoner | :37:48. | :37:52. | |
because he was convicted of an offence which didn't exist, | :37:53. | :37:56. | |
because I had failed to have that offence renewed in the Prevention | :37:57. | :38:00. | |
of Terrorism Temporary Provisions Order, and what had happened | :38:01. | :38:03. | |
was an official had left off a little D | :38:04. | :38:06. | |
from the list, and so of course I go to the House of Commons and explain | :38:07. | :38:10. | |
that Chummy, who is plainly guilty, is going to be | :38:11. | :38:13. | |
It is complete incompetence by J Straw. | :38:14. | :38:17. | |
You just have to accept these things. | :38:18. | :38:20. | |
Managing the internal structure and culture of the Home Office | :38:21. | :38:23. | |
There were obvious times when what I wanted to do was a shock | :38:24. | :38:32. | |
to the system within the department, which | :38:33. | :38:35. | |
was used to saying, "I don't think, Home Secretary, we really can do | :38:36. | :38:38. | |
This is outside the purview or the scope of what is possible". | :38:39. | :38:42. | |
And I never accepted that for a minute. | :38:43. | :38:47. | |
There were occasions when press officers would phone... | :38:48. | :38:51. | |
When journalists would phone the press office to ask | :38:52. | :38:55. | |
what the Home Office line was on whatever | :38:56. | :39:00. | |
it was and they would be told, "Well, the Home Office line is A, | :39:01. | :39:03. | |
And on top of trying to push your own agenda, | :39:04. | :39:12. | |
there is the constant intrusion of crises. | :39:13. | :39:20. | |
The day I arrived, it was a beautiful, clear, | :39:21. | :39:22. | |
sunlit day and the permanent secretary, Richard Wilson, | :39:23. | :39:24. | |
said to me, "Jack, what can you see out in the sky?" | :39:25. | :39:27. | |
At any moment an Exocet, which you can't see, | :39:28. | :39:35. | |
will come through the sky and it will land right there and it | :39:36. | :39:38. | |
will explode unless you're very careful". | :39:39. | :39:42. | |
Jacqui Smith had to handle a terrorist attack on Glasgow | :39:43. | :39:47. | |
Airport and be judged on how she coped. | :39:48. | :39:51. | |
There was a certain element of that which was, "Good grief, | :39:52. | :39:55. | |
she didn't come running screaming out of Downing Street - | :39:56. | :39:57. | |
Well, I always knew I was going to hold it together | :39:58. | :40:02. | |
because I was a well-briefed, confident, | :40:03. | :40:04. | |
experienced politician at that point. | :40:05. | :40:11. | |
But that probably did some good in overcoming people's | :40:12. | :40:13. | |
apprehensions at whether I was going to be able to manage it. | :40:14. | :40:16. | |
For me, I suppose the thing that came out of the blue | :40:17. | :40:19. | |
was the advisory council on the misuse of drugs | :40:20. | :40:21. | |
If anyone remembers anything about my time in office, | :40:22. | :40:28. | |
they remember that, and I still get not exactly fan mail - | :40:29. | :40:31. | |
the opposite of fan mail - about that. | :40:32. | :40:33. | |
But that came out of a clear blue sky. | :40:34. | :40:36. | |
But Charles Clarke didn't believe in the department | :40:37. | :40:38. | |
I thought that just about all crises - perhaps not the intruder | :40:39. | :40:48. | |
in the Queen's bedroom but just about every other crisis - | :40:49. | :40:51. | |
is, broadly speaking, predictable in general, | :40:52. | :40:52. | |
And so the job of the Home Office, I thought, was to be | :40:53. | :40:58. | |
able to predict what might happen, to understand what the risks | :40:59. | :41:01. | |
were and put preventative strategies in place, | :41:02. | :41:03. | |
Trying to focus on your political agenda on the one hand and fend off | :41:04. | :41:09. | |
If you were to describe it graphically, | :41:10. | :41:15. | |
it's like being in a ship, knowing your destination and having | :41:16. | :41:18. | |
it vaguely in sight but in the middle of | :41:19. | :41:23. | |
a tempest, in a storm, and winds which are buffeting | :41:24. | :41:25. | |
you one way and the other every day, and trying to deal with | :41:26. | :41:29. | |
them while at the same time reaching your destination. | :41:30. | :41:32. | |
The only caveat I would put on that is that the destination | :41:33. | :41:35. | |
Being such an all-consuming job is perhaps | :41:36. | :41:44. | |
why so few Home Secretaries go on to be Prime Minister. | :41:45. | :41:52. | |
You ignore the skills and nuances you'd need | :41:53. | :41:54. | |
You ignore the skills and nuances you'd need to move upwards. | :41:55. | :41:56. | |
Probably obsessed is not far off the mark with changing things | :41:57. | :42:01. | |
that I probably didn't devote enough time and energy to the presentation. | :42:02. | :42:16. | |
It is often a frustration at Number Ten that they feel | :42:17. | :42:21. | |
the people who are the departmental heads in their words "go native" | :42:22. | :42:24. | |
and stop thinking about the broader politics and start | :42:25. | :42:27. | |
thinking about the actual job itself. | :42:28. | :42:30. | |
And I think that was probably a criticism that could be | :42:31. | :42:33. | |
And certainly that aspect of what I had to do | :42:34. | :42:37. | |
as Home Secretary was always with me. | :42:38. | :42:39. | |
The politics of the moment not always and in some ways, | :42:40. | :42:41. | |
Isn't it an irony of one of Whitehall's toughest jobs that | :42:42. | :42:46. | |
for the sake of keeping us all safe, the Home Secretary is worst | :42:47. | :42:49. | |
Giles Dilnot, with the first instalment of his new series, | :42:50. | :43:00. | |
So You Want To Be A Secretary Of State. | :43:01. | :43:06. | |
Rachel, when you listen to all these former Home Secretary 's talking | :43:07. | :43:12. | |
about the difficulties of the dangers, you go to sleep at night, | :43:13. | :43:17. | |
who knows what is going to happen when you wake up? Isn't it all the | :43:18. | :43:21. | |
more remarkable, at least in terms of longevity, that Mrs May, | :43:22. | :43:28. | |
appointed in 2010, is still Home Secretary in 2015? And still | :43:29. | :43:32. | |
considered a potential leader of the Tory party. It hasn't destroyed her | :43:33. | :43:37. | |
career. Absolutely. It is the Department for things that go wrong. | :43:38. | :43:41. | |
Crime, Law and order, drugs. Things that matter directly to voters, too. | :43:42. | :43:48. | |
And also safety and security. John Reid one said it is a bit like a | :43:49. | :43:51. | |
five-year-old football match, everybody chasing after the ball and | :43:52. | :43:54. | |
everybody forgets another disaster is unfolding on the other side of | :43:55. | :43:58. | |
the pitch. Everything going wrong on all sides. It is extraordinary that | :43:59. | :44:02. | |
she has not only survived but is still considered a potential future | :44:03. | :44:07. | |
prime ministers. What the Home Office covers, it is less than it | :44:08. | :44:11. | |
used to, it used to include justice as well, there is now a separate | :44:12. | :44:17. | |
department. It has domestic security, police, security services, | :44:18. | :44:23. | |
counterterrorism, prisons... I think they come under justice now. But is | :44:24. | :44:30. | |
the Home Office right to have one department for all of this, do you | :44:31. | :44:34. | |
think, Patrick, in this sophisticated age? Yes, why not? I | :44:35. | :44:38. | |
thought they were all looking for a sympathy vote that wasn't quite as | :44:39. | :44:46. | |
deserved as they imagine. And people do not blame people long term for | :44:47. | :44:51. | |
any of these disasters, they know that whoever is Home Secretary is | :44:52. | :44:55. | |
not responsible for them. At the time, yes, there is a great sort of | :44:56. | :44:59. | |
media coverage, who is to blame and so on. But I don't think that lasts | :45:00. | :45:04. | |
which is why so many of these people, they've might not become a | :45:05. | :45:07. | |
Prime Minister, but then most people don't. But long-term there are not | :45:08. | :45:13. | |
people that live in the imagination of British people as being demonic | :45:14. | :45:18. | |
or appalling, because I think people are more sensible than that. | :45:19. | :45:24. | |
What we have with the Home Office now, it is like a ministry of the | :45:25. | :45:30. | |
interior on continental Europe now. It used to be overarching. Yes, and | :45:31. | :45:37. | |
the more liberal aspects of law and order, whether it is prisons and | :45:38. | :45:41. | |
rehabilitation or legal, have gone to the Ministry of Justice so it is | :45:42. | :45:44. | |
a much more crime, Law and order apartment. Giles will be back with | :45:45. | :45:59. | |
another report shortly. In five months, people in Scotland will vote | :46:00. | :46:02. | |
in fresh elections to the Scottish Parliament. The SNP leader and First | :46:03. | :46:06. | |
Minister of Scotland, Nicola Sturgeon, has pledged she won't make | :46:07. | :46:08. | |
the campaign all about independence for Scotland. The new party launched | :46:09. | :46:13. | |
this week is determined to make the relationship between Scotland and | :46:14. | :46:16. | |
the rest of the UK a central issue in this election. It is called A | :46:17. | :46:20. | |
Better Britain Unionist Party and one of its founding members is | :46:21. | :46:22. | |
Stephen Gordon, who joins us from Glasgow. There are already three | :46:23. | :46:26. | |
Unionists parties in Scotland, the Labour party, the Liberal Democrats, | :46:27. | :46:33. | |
among them, why do you need another one? I would consider there to be no | :46:34. | :46:40. | |
particularly Unionist party in Scotland at the moment. We believe | :46:41. | :46:46. | |
the other parties are nominally Unionist because they purport to | :46:47. | :46:49. | |
support the union but what we have seen is a development of a range of | :46:50. | :46:56. | |
policies through the Smith commission and in the latest interim | :46:57. | :47:00. | |
report, which showed that a lot of concessions have been made in as | :47:01. | :47:04. | |
much as what we are heading for is devolution max, for which there is | :47:05. | :47:08. | |
no mandate from the people of Scotland to develop these policies | :47:09. | :47:13. | |
and we believe that these policies ultimately lead to what has been | :47:14. | :47:18. | |
called independence light and do not benefit Scotland or the United | :47:19. | :47:22. | |
Kingdom and, indeed, are further danger to the UK. So none of these | :47:23. | :47:28. | |
existing Unionist parties, we believe, actually do want to forward | :47:29. | :47:32. | |
the union. They seem to be courting the SNP agenda. They are part of a | :47:33. | :47:36. | |
5-part group that developed these policies and the reason we want to | :47:37. | :47:39. | |
get into politics in Hollywood now is that we don't see anybody | :47:40. | :47:44. | |
following web of filling that gap and providing a truly Unionist | :47:45. | :47:50. | |
perspective. Am I right in thinking that you would like to see some | :47:51. | :47:55. | |
powers that Edinburgh, Holyrood, currently has, returned to | :47:56. | :47:59. | |
Westminster? No, that is not the case at all. When they had the | :48:00. | :48:04. | |
initial vote on whether we should have a Scottish Parliament, whether | :48:05. | :48:09. | |
it should have tax-raising powers, almost a third of the electorate in | :48:10. | :48:12. | |
Scotland voted against those tax-raising powers. Almost a quarter | :48:13. | :48:19. | |
voted not to have a Scottish Parliament at all. Since these | :48:20. | :48:22. | |
things have come in, we've seen that the Scottish Parliament can do great | :48:23. | :48:26. | |
things and introduce good policies that are good for the people of | :48:27. | :48:31. | |
Scotland. We would like to see it using what is essentially a budget | :48:32. | :48:35. | |
surplus to be able to introduce policies in Scotland that I believe | :48:36. | :48:41. | |
could be leading to good practice across the UK. It could provide | :48:42. | :48:46. | |
synergies for the UK and to date we have been able to do that. The | :48:47. | :48:50. | |
problem is that what we have from the Smith commission, based on... | :48:51. | :48:57. | |
Ultimately, to tell you how the party started, we were all working | :48:58. | :49:00. | |
for the better together campaign and we could see that the way that the | :49:01. | :49:04. | |
politicians were heading was actually to take us further down the | :49:05. | :49:08. | |
road to independence without actually winning the vote and that | :49:09. | :49:13. | |
is a thing that we had a particular concern about because we didn't | :49:14. | :49:16. | |
believe that the existing so-called Unionist parties were promoting the | :49:17. | :49:20. | |
policies that would help us be better together that were actually | :49:21. | :49:26. | |
promoting policies which actually almost amounted to independence, | :49:27. | :49:29. | |
which is something that the Scottish people... Can I just clarify, | :49:30. | :49:34. | |
because I'm not exactly sure what it is you stand for. I know you stand | :49:35. | :49:43. | |
for the union but I'm not sure... Is it your position that the status | :49:44. | :49:46. | |
quo, the current division of power between Westminster and Holyrood, | :49:47. | :49:51. | |
should remain? That, I believe, can deliver the kind of synergies, best | :49:52. | :49:54. | |
practice and benefits for Scotland that we have currently seen. What we | :49:55. | :49:59. | |
believe is that the further powers outlined in the Smith commission | :50:00. | :50:03. | |
report, which is in development, will lead to something that is far | :50:04. | :50:08. | |
greater than that and could lead to problems within the United Kingdom | :50:09. | :50:11. | |
because of the lack of uniformity in the way of doing things. We have | :50:12. | :50:17. | |
seen some powers, we believe, abused by the current Scottish Government | :50:18. | :50:20. | |
in terms of setting things up like Police Scotland in a way that is | :50:21. | :50:25. | |
different from the rest of the UK and using those powerless to do | :50:26. | :50:28. | |
things that take us out of step with the UK in as much as it facilitates | :50:29. | :50:37. | |
independence. How many seats are you going to win? We have been very | :50:38. | :50:44. | |
realistic for stock we would be very happy with one list MSP. Ultimately | :50:45. | :50:48. | |
that would be under the proportional representation system. One is | :50:49. | :50:53. | |
modest. It is modest but then again... Yes. Thank you. | :50:54. | :51:02. | |
We've had talk of cauliflowers in the corridors of power - | :51:03. | :51:04. | |
and warnings of dangerous economic cocktails. | :51:05. | :51:06. | |
Here's Ellie with the political week in just 60 seconds. | :51:07. | :51:08. | |
The PM's new year's resolution got off to a flying start with trips | :51:09. | :51:11. | |
He still wants to ban EU workers from | :51:12. | :51:14. | |
claiming benefits for four years but says he is open to suggestions. | :51:15. | :51:17. | |
He also gave his Euro-sceptic Cabinet | :51:18. | :51:19. | |
They will be allowed to campaign to vote to leave. | :51:20. | :51:23. | |
Jeremy Corbyn had a January detox with a reshuffle | :51:24. | :51:26. | |
It took days but in the end he sacked two | :51:27. | :51:31. | |
frontbenchers, prompting another three to walk out in protest. | :51:32. | :51:34. | |
By Wednesday, he wanted to talk about | :51:35. | :51:37. | |
something else, like flood defences, but at PMQs, David Cameron | :51:38. | :51:39. | |
was determined to have his pound of flesh. | :51:40. | :51:42. | |
It was a revenge reshuffle so it was going to be | :51:43. | :51:45. | |
Speaking at PMQs, Jeremy Corbyn revealed why | :51:46. | :51:54. | |
he's so good at that geography teacher side-eye thing. | :51:55. | :51:57. | |
It's because he used to be a geography teacher. | :51:58. | :51:59. | |
And finally, George Osborne warned the UK faces a cocktail of serious | :52:00. | :52:02. | |
I think the Shadow Cabinet reshuffle is over. You can correct me if I'm | :52:03. | :52:23. | |
wrong. Where do we go from here with Mr Corbyn and his team? I just | :52:24. | :52:28. | |
thought watching that, each party has done its worst this week. The | :52:29. | :52:34. | |
Tories' Europe divisions are up there in lights and Labour is back | :52:35. | :52:37. | |
to questions on whether it can handle national security and be | :52:38. | :52:40. | |
trusted to protect the nation, and most basic fundamental issue that | :52:41. | :52:45. | |
voters care about. I thought the sacking of Pat McFadden was just an | :52:46. | :52:49. | |
extraordinary way of demonstrating, by Jeremy Corbyn, that he's not | :52:50. | :52:53. | |
going to win credibility on that. And we have Mr Livingstone on this | :52:54. | :53:01. | |
programme, slaps down quite quickly by Labour headquarters, but raising | :53:02. | :53:04. | |
the issue of whether we should remain members of native or stop in | :53:05. | :53:08. | |
the last election Labour work not trusted on leadership and stop they | :53:09. | :53:12. | |
have now added the economy and security into that mix. Where do you | :53:13. | :53:18. | |
see Mr Corbyn? It seems to me that he has strengthened his position in | :53:19. | :53:21. | |
the party. He sat some people. There were a lot of people I had never | :53:22. | :53:27. | |
heard of being replaced by a lot of other people I had not heard of. But | :53:28. | :53:32. | |
maybe that is my mistake. Maybe he has strengthened his position there. | :53:33. | :53:39. | |
Clearly it is a mess but I thought that the coverage of it, of "This is | :53:40. | :53:45. | |
a mess of messes", I don't think people really care how long it | :53:46. | :53:51. | |
takes. Did he set out to fire Hilary Benn? I'm sure he did and he wasn't | :53:52. | :53:56. | |
able to because he would have lost too many other members of the Shadow | :53:57. | :54:00. | |
Cabinet and I think Patrick is absolutely right - he may have | :54:01. | :54:03. | |
strengthened his position in his party, or asserted some kind of | :54:04. | :54:07. | |
authority, but he has weakened his position with the electorate, which | :54:08. | :54:09. | |
is, in the end, what matters with political parties and it was totemic | :54:10. | :54:13. | |
of whether or not Labour is really there to win power or as a protest | :54:14. | :54:18. | |
group and I think Jeremy Corbyn really is showing he's on the | :54:19. | :54:19. | |
protest group side of really is showing he's on the | :54:20. | :54:22. | |
rather than the potential government side. We shall take it from there. | :54:23. | :54:29. | |
If there are any more Shadow ministers or government ministers | :54:30. | :54:31. | |
who would like to resign, you know where we are. | :54:32. | :54:34. | |
Now it's time to find out the answer to our quiz. | :54:35. | :54:37. | |
The question was, which politician has decided to join the likes | :54:38. | :54:39. | |
of Nigel Farage and Boris Johnson and host their own radio phone-in? | :54:40. | :54:42. | |
I think we can count at Donald Trump but who is it? It is Alex Salmond. | :54:43. | :54:58. | |
Absolutely right. Yes, the former first minister | :54:59. | :55:02. | |
of Scotland Alex Salmond is the latest politician | :55:03. | :55:04. | |
to willingly put himself in front of the microphone and take | :55:05. | :55:06. | |
on the callers at LBC. That is a London talk station but | :55:07. | :55:11. | |
can be heard throughout the country via satellite. | :55:12. | :55:13. | |
He says he's going to stop biting his tongue and start shooting | :55:14. | :55:16. | |
from the hip, which is a surprise to those of us who've been listening | :55:17. | :55:20. | |
Let's have a look at him promoting the new show, reading out some | :55:21. | :55:24. | |
Mr Paul Robinson says, "Alex Salmond has Fuzzy Felt eyebrows". | :55:25. | :55:33. | |
"Wish I had a device that instantly zaps all | :55:34. | :55:36. | |
sound from the radio whenever Alex Salmond's irritating | :55:37. | :55:38. | |
"If Alex Salmond was chocolate, it'd be dark and bitter". | :55:39. | :55:48. | |
I actually like plain chocolate Bounty, myself. | :55:49. | :55:51. | |
That was Alex Salmond promoting his new slot on LBC. | :55:52. | :55:58. | |
It'll be taking place during Iain Dale's drivetime show, | :55:59. | :56:00. | |
Do you have any idea what you have unleashed tear? I think we do, | :56:01. | :56:13. | |
actually. He is loving the commercials. I think is going to be | :56:14. | :56:20. | |
natural. He has done a lot of phone-ins. Boris Johnson and Nigel | :56:21. | :56:23. | |
Farage are doing at the moment. Nick Clegg was the first but probably is | :56:24. | :56:27. | |
the most famous. We are hoping to do for Alex Salmond what we did for | :56:28. | :56:31. | |
Nick Clegg, reduce the party from 57 to eight seats. But he's a natural | :56:32. | :56:39. | |
broadcaster. He is a natural broadcaster and he is going to have | :56:40. | :56:44. | |
a view on anything. He shoots from the hip and I think he is going to | :56:45. | :56:48. | |
be quite entertaining. He kind of gives the impression that he is now | :56:49. | :56:52. | |
off the leash. He is free of the reins. But he is actually the | :56:53. | :56:57. | |
party's foreign affairs spokesman in the House of Commons so he could | :56:58. | :57:03. | |
have a view hostages to fortune. He is but he also asks more questions | :57:04. | :57:06. | |
in the House of Commons than I think any other MP on a whole range of | :57:07. | :57:10. | |
issues so he is going to have an opinion on any thing. He says he is | :57:11. | :57:14. | |
going to take the caller Matt Busby is back to the House of Commons, | :57:15. | :57:19. | |
rather like Jeremy Corbyn does,. -- the callers' views. | :57:20. | :57:33. | |
Somebody said on Twitter the other day that LBC's Monica is leading | :57:34. | :57:36. | |
Briton's conversation because we are a national station now, not just | :57:37. | :57:40. | |
London. But I think we are going to change it for this half-hour and be | :57:41. | :57:43. | |
caught leaving Briton's conversation. You might confuse | :57:44. | :57:48. | |
people about the European Union. Are you going to tune in? Certainly. I | :57:49. | :57:54. | |
think it will be great fun. It is a really interesting way for | :57:55. | :57:57. | |
politicians to reach out to ordinary voters and somehow bypass all of us | :57:58. | :58:00. | |
mainstream media, as Jeremy Corbyn likes to call us. But I think it can | :58:01. | :58:05. | |
work quite well for them. I thought Nick Clegg and Boris Johnson had | :58:06. | :58:11. | |
both benefited from doing it. In the end, the so-called gaffes don't | :58:12. | :58:13. | |
matter if people look like human beings. We like to think we know | :58:14. | :58:18. | |
what questions should be asked of politicians but the general public | :58:19. | :58:20. | |
often have a much better view of what should be asked. | :58:21. | :58:29. | |
You going to find a few minutes? There's a sort of menacing gravitas | :58:30. | :58:32. | |
that he has. You always feel like he is about to lash out. When does it | :58:33. | :58:38. | |
start? Wednesday at 4pm on LBC. We will look forward to it. | :58:39. | :58:42. | |
Thanks to Rachel, Patrick and all my guests. | :58:43. | :58:45. | |
I'll be back on BBC One at 11am on Sunday with the Sunday Politics, | :58:46. | :58:49. | |
When I will be joined by the shadow education secretary, Lucy power. | :58:50. | :58:55. | |
Jo will be here on BBC Two on Monday with more | :58:56. | :58:59. |