Browse content similar to 06/12/2016. Check below for episodes and series from the same categories and more!
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Hello and welcome to the Daily Politics. | :00:36. | :00:38. | |
The Transport Secretary announces a shake-up of the railways | :00:39. | :00:41. | |
and promises passengers will see big improvements. | :00:42. | :00:44. | |
Theresa May jets in to Bahrain and promises closer | :00:45. | :00:49. | |
co-operation with Gulf states on defence and counter-terrorism. | :00:50. | :00:53. | |
The PM also says she's "ambitious" about Britain's Brexit future. | :00:54. | :00:56. | |
The man in charge of the EU's Brexit negotiations, | :00:57. | :01:03. | |
Commissioner Michel Barnier, says there'll only be time | :01:04. | :01:06. | |
for 18 months of talks once Article 50 is triggered | :01:07. | :01:09. | |
to ensure enough time for the deal to be approved. | :01:10. | :01:17. | |
I suspect that I will prove no more adept at pulling rabbits from hands | :01:18. | :01:26. | |
than my successor as Foreign Secretary has been a retrieving | :01:27. | :01:27. | |
balls from the back of scrums. And should senior Conservatives stop | :01:28. | :01:29. | |
making fun of Boris Johnson? All that in the next hour | :01:30. | :01:35. | |
and with us for the whole of the programme today the political | :01:36. | :01:39. | |
columnist Tim Montgomerie, who briefly resigned | :01:40. | :01:43. | |
from the Conservative Party earlier this year, before rejoining | :01:44. | :01:45. | |
following the referendum result. In the last hour the man in charge | :01:46. | :01:47. | |
of the European Union's Brexit negotiations, | :01:48. | :01:58. | |
Michel Barnier, has been giving his first press | :01:59. | :02:00. | |
conference in Brussels. He said Brexit must be | :02:01. | :02:01. | |
an orderly process, and that negotiations must be | :02:02. | :02:03. | |
completed within 18 months. All in all, there will be less than | :02:04. | :02:13. | |
18 months to negotiate. Once again, that is short. Should the UK notify | :02:14. | :02:23. | |
the Council by the end of March 2017, as the Prime Minister Theresa | :02:24. | :02:28. | |
May said she would, it is safe to say that negotiations would start a | :02:29. | :02:35. | |
few weeks later and an Article 50 agreement would be reached by | :02:36. | :02:36. | |
October 20 18th. -- 2018. Damian Grammaticas is our | :02:37. | :02:41. | |
Europe Correspondent in Brussels and was at | :02:42. | :02:43. | |
the press conference earlier. He also said to keep calm and | :02:44. | :02:54. | |
negotiate. No doubt that will negotiate -- resonate here in the | :02:55. | :02:58. | |
UK, but he is quite a tough cookie, Michel Barnier. Tell us about him. | :02:59. | :03:03. | |
Yes, he's a former French minister and former Commissioner in the | :03:04. | :03:12. | |
European Commission here. He is from the centre-right and has had a long | :03:13. | :03:17. | |
history of association with the EU and now has been put into this role | :03:18. | :03:21. | |
as the chief negotiator for the European Commission. By all | :03:22. | :03:27. | |
accounts, all descriptions of him are that he is a man who is | :03:28. | :03:32. | |
incredibly hard-working, always on top of his brief, very well briefed, | :03:33. | :03:38. | |
and a tough negotiator. I think in his press Conference we saw today | :03:39. | :03:42. | |
someone who was trying to exceed this sense of calm, competence, | :03:43. | :03:48. | |
preparing us, and he said he was convinced that the EU side -- side | :03:49. | :03:52. | |
were ready and it would be important when the uncertainty as quick as | :03:53. | :03:57. | |
possible, a little dig at the UK, really, saying that the other side | :03:58. | :04:01. | |
were not ready. There were quite a few knows for a better deal, and no | :04:02. | :04:08. | |
to an individual country by country negotiation, which we already knew | :04:09. | :04:12. | |
and he already repeated his phrase no to a negotiation before | :04:13. | :04:18. | |
notification. This is obviously one of his first explanations of the | :04:19. | :04:22. | |
stands he will take. Does it mean it will be very bruising, the encounter | :04:23. | :04:26. | |
between the UK and himself on these negotiations? I'm not sure bruising, | :04:27. | :04:34. | |
but if you read between the lines of what he is saying there are some | :04:35. | :04:38. | |
clear messages, and that is the fact that the view from the commission, | :04:39. | :04:43. | |
from Mr Barnier, and repeated by Angela Merkel in Germany, that there | :04:44. | :04:50. | |
will be no division on their side. The countries don't want to allow | :04:51. | :04:55. | |
themselves to be divided in these negotiations on the EU side, and the | :04:56. | :04:59. | |
basic fundamental freedoms and obligations of the single market as | :05:00. | :05:03. | |
well will not be divided. That is important, because Mr Barnier | :05:04. | :05:07. | |
addressed some of the questions raised in the UK recently, the idea | :05:08. | :05:13. | |
that the UK could get a special deal by paying into the budget. Could it | :05:14. | :05:17. | |
secure access to bits of the single market? What he said, and I asked | :05:18. | :05:24. | |
him about it, was that there could be, but only if you looked at the | :05:25. | :05:28. | |
existing deals in places like Norway, who pay into the budget and | :05:29. | :05:33. | |
accept the rules. What I think the message of that is is, no cherry | :05:34. | :05:40. | |
picking, no division of the freedoms of Europe, the freedom of movement | :05:41. | :05:46. | |
in particular, and the EU have a very principled stance, as they see | :05:47. | :05:49. | |
it, and they do not want to compromise on that. They do not want | :05:50. | :05:54. | |
the UK to start splitting that apart. Damien, thank you very much. | :05:55. | :05:59. | |
Is Theresa May fighting on all fronts here? That is what is going | :06:00. | :06:03. | |
to be happening on the EU side for David Davis, but here, there is an | :06:04. | :06:09. | |
opposition day debate tomorrow and the Labour Party have put down an | :06:10. | :06:12. | |
amendment saying they would like to see the broad plan of the | :06:13. | :06:16. | |
negotiations before Article 50 is triggered, and there are 15 or 20 | :06:17. | :06:21. | |
Tory MPs who might back the amendment. Dangerous territory for | :06:22. | :06:27. | |
Theresa May. It is. Some of her own backbenchers, and Anna Subaru has | :06:28. | :06:36. | |
been mentioned, are being unhelpful. -- Soubry. I think the government | :06:37. | :06:40. | |
have made things clear, like saying the freedom of movement should end, | :06:41. | :06:43. | |
which means coming out of the single market and that they want to do free | :06:44. | :06:47. | |
trade agreements with America which means leaving the customs union. We | :06:48. | :06:52. | |
had talked last week about paying money into the EU to help lubricate | :06:53. | :06:56. | |
any deal and I think that is a significant point of direction. And | :06:57. | :07:01. | |
they signed the patented agreement, which sounds a bit obscure, but it | :07:02. | :07:05. | |
means they are willing to opt into something that the European Court of | :07:06. | :07:08. | |
Justice has authority over. So if you add up all of the little things | :07:09. | :07:11. | |
that have been revealed, the idea that the government has given away | :07:12. | :07:16. | |
quite a lot of its direction I think is false. How much influence do you | :07:17. | :07:24. | |
think the Remainers in the Tory party have? You mentioned Anna | :07:25. | :07:28. | |
Soubry, Nicky Morgan, and others, who have said, looking at the | :07:29. | :07:32. | |
wording of the amendment, there's nothing there I can disagree with, | :07:33. | :07:35. | |
there's nothing wrong with setting up the broad negotiating position. | :07:36. | :07:39. | |
How much trouble could they cause? You say it's unhelpful, but in the | :07:40. | :07:44. | |
long run? One of the reasons it is unhelpful is there are 17 elections | :07:45. | :07:51. | |
across Europe over the next 12 or 18 months. We don't know who the | :07:52. | :07:54. | |
Chancellor of Germany will be, the President of France will be, or the | :07:55. | :07:57. | |
Prime Minister of Italy will be, and Spain could have a change of | :07:58. | :08:04. | |
government. Why, despite Mr Bernier's clarity this morning, he | :08:05. | :08:07. | |
doesn't know which leaders will be sat around the table with him -- Mr | :08:08. | :08:10. | |
Barnier. We don't really know what Europe is going to expect. I think | :08:11. | :08:16. | |
it is perfectly legitimate for Britain to hesitate in revealing | :08:17. | :08:19. | |
everything until the other side of the table is clear as well. Tory MPs | :08:20. | :08:24. | |
should not be making it more difficult for a Tory Prime Minister. | :08:25. | :08:27. | |
We will see what happens tomorrow. The vote is not binding, but it | :08:28. | :08:31. | |
would be a defeat if she were outvoted by that motion. And the | :08:32. | :08:36. | |
Supreme Court is still sitting this week of course. | :08:37. | :08:38. | |
Now it's time for our daily quiz and it seems Chinese companies | :08:39. | :08:41. | |
So our question for today is, what is their latest acquisition? | :08:42. | :08:45. | |
Is it a) The Angel of the North? | :08:46. | :08:47. | |
At the end of the show, Tim will give us the correct answer. | :08:48. | :08:55. | |
Now, today sees the government announce new policy on integrating | :08:56. | :08:57. | |
It's full steam ahead for a new overhaul | :08:58. | :09:05. | |
of the railways being launched by Transport Secretary | :09:06. | :09:06. | |
He wants each new rail franchise to be run | :09:07. | :09:13. | |
by joint-management teams, including representatives | :09:14. | :09:15. | |
from both the train operating company and Network Rail. | :09:16. | :09:21. | |
The first franchises on track for the changes | :09:22. | :09:24. | |
are East Midlands Trains and South Eastern, which runs | :09:25. | :09:26. | |
services between London and Kent, though not until mid-2018. | :09:27. | :09:32. | |
that the new line linking Cambridge and Oxford, to be known | :09:33. | :09:38. | |
as East West Rail, will be run separately from Network Rail | :09:39. | :09:41. | |
A further shake-up will see a national | :09:42. | :09:47. | |
roll-out of pay-as-you-go smartcards across the rail network | :09:48. | :09:51. | |
by the end of 2018, similar to London's Oyster cards. | :09:52. | :09:55. | |
Network Rail chief executive Mark Carne said he "welcomed" | :09:56. | :10:01. | |
the plan to bring more joined up working within the industry. | :10:02. | :10:04. | |
the RMT general secretary, said it was a "slippery slope | :10:05. | :10:09. | |
to privatisation" of rail repairs and warned it could take the UK back | :10:10. | :10:13. | |
This morning Chris Grayling explained why | :10:14. | :10:17. | |
he thinks Network Rail needs to change. | :10:18. | :10:23. | |
Network Rail needs to change. It is too big, too monolithic, too | :10:24. | :10:30. | |
centralised and has not got a great track record of delivering projects | :10:31. | :10:34. | |
on time and on budget. What needs to happen in Network Rail is that it | :10:35. | :10:38. | |
needs to become more of a collection of route based businesses with local | :10:39. | :10:41. | |
management focusing on what is best for their own line, their own | :10:42. | :10:46. | |
passenger -- passengers and community. Network Rail has not | :10:47. | :10:49. | |
focused enough on the needs of the passenger and that will change as a | :10:50. | :10:53. | |
result of pushing power down to the individual routes and it will change | :10:54. | :10:56. | |
as a result of joining up the operations with those of the train | :10:57. | :10:57. | |
operators. We did ask the Department | :10:58. | :10:59. | |
of Transport for an interview with We've been joined from central lobby | :11:00. | :11:02. | |
in the Houses of Parliament by the Shadow Transport | :11:03. | :11:06. | |
Secretary Andy McDonald. Welcome back to the Daily Politics. | :11:07. | :11:13. | |
Before we get into the policy, you have an urgent question today on | :11:14. | :11:16. | |
this. What is your frustration with Chris Grayling's announcement via | :11:17. | :11:23. | |
the media? He has got form of this to be honest, as he did it with HS2 | :11:24. | :11:28. | |
and with Southeast air capacity, so it's frustrating but people who | :11:29. | :11:31. | |
fought very hard about bringing this back to the Parliament and then they | :11:32. | :11:37. | |
have to put statements before the house. You have been out on the | :11:38. | :11:41. | |
airwaves criticising the announcement today, but if the plans | :11:42. | :11:47. | |
are so bad why is the Network Rail chief welcoming them? He doesn't | :11:48. | :11:49. | |
have much choice as the chief executive of Network Rail. Really? | :11:50. | :11:54. | |
Nicola Shaw carried out her own review at the government's behest, | :11:55. | :12:00. | |
and you wonder why they went all that trouble of at piece of work to | :12:01. | :12:07. | |
abandon the findings. I think this will just add greater complexity to | :12:08. | :12:12. | |
an already complex and fragmented industry. It's wholly unnecessary | :12:13. | :12:15. | |
and there will be costs involved. Who pays for that? The taxpayer and | :12:16. | :12:20. | |
the fare-paying passenger yet again. So here we are just completely | :12:21. | :12:26. | |
wasteful with resources. But not everyone in your party agrees with | :12:27. | :12:32. | |
you. One respected rail journalist, and your candidate in the recent | :12:33. | :12:36. | |
Richmond Park by-election, says the best railways in the world bring | :12:37. | :12:40. | |
together the network and train operators into companies that | :12:41. | :12:43. | |
operate boats. So why could that happen here? -- that operate both. | :12:44. | :12:50. | |
It works in Germany where they operate the infrastructure and | :12:51. | :12:55. | |
services, and in France to a large extent, but what we do is simply | :12:56. | :12:59. | |
subsidise the operations back in their home states. We do remember, | :13:00. | :13:04. | |
don't we, what happened with Railtrack and Ladbroke Grove and | :13:05. | :13:08. | |
Potters bar. The last time the private sector was involved in | :13:09. | :13:11. | |
safety and infrastructure. We don't want to go back to those days. But | :13:12. | :13:16. | |
is that a fair comparison? You said you don't have a problem with the | :13:17. | :13:19. | |
network and train operators being brought together into companies, so | :13:20. | :13:24. | |
what is your objection? It's the fact that the whole focus is about | :13:25. | :13:28. | |
extracting profit and value at every turn. We have franchisees wasting | :13:29. | :13:34. | |
money on the franchise process, and we have the operational costs, the | :13:35. | :13:40. | |
transactional costs and the intermission of those costs and the | :13:41. | :13:43. | |
profit margins which are opaque in the extreme. So there are millions | :13:44. | :13:48. | |
of pounds leaking out of the railway system every year into Private | :13:49. | :13:54. | |
entities. Why on earth should we, as taxpayers and fare-paying | :13:55. | :13:57. | |
passengers, be subsidising that structure? Stay with us. Tim, the | :13:58. | :14:01. | |
point that Andy McDonald makes that it's all about focusing on the | :14:02. | :14:05. | |
profit won't that damage the railways further? We have an | :14:06. | :14:09. | |
incredibly successful railway industry in the UK. If you look at | :14:10. | :14:13. | |
the station by travelling to, Waterloo, before privatisation about | :14:14. | :14:18. | |
100,000 people were coming into it every day and now it's a quarter of | :14:19. | :14:22. | |
a million. They can't cope with the numbers of people. That is why I | :14:23. | :14:27. | |
think the reform is a useful one. There's sometimes a clash between | :14:28. | :14:31. | |
the operating companies and Network Rail for the provision of | :14:32. | :14:33. | |
infrastructure and now they are bringing the two together which will | :14:34. | :14:36. | |
mean the train operating companies can get on with the work that needs | :14:37. | :14:40. | |
to be done more urgently themselves. But will they if there are only | :14:41. | :14:44. | |
looking at profit margins? If they're worried about punctuality | :14:45. | :14:48. | |
and hitting the targets they have to meet under the franchise agreement, | :14:49. | :14:51. | |
they will take that responsibility more seriously. Let's look at your | :14:52. | :14:57. | |
comparison to Railtrack, because it isn't exactly the same as what is | :14:58. | :15:00. | |
being proposed by Chris Grayling, because then the issue was | :15:01. | :15:02. | |
subcontracting to private companies and his proposal is about involving | :15:03. | :15:06. | |
train operating companies in decisions. It's not exactly the | :15:07. | :15:07. | |
same. Who's going to take responsibility | :15:08. | :15:13. | |
where there is a crossover if you are getting line that is crossover | :15:14. | :15:19. | |
on to others, HS2, for example, or east-west lines conflicting with a | :15:20. | :15:22. | |
north-south lines, who's going to take responsibility for that? Is it | :15:23. | :15:26. | |
Network Rail or the train operating company? We are adding more | :15:27. | :15:29. | |
complexity to a system that doesn't need any more. Right. Why is it | :15:30. | :15:32. | |
adding complexity if you are bringing them together to joint | :15:33. | :15:37. | |
decision-making, surely it will simplify the set-up? That's the case | :15:38. | :15:42. | |
that's made, but I think in - we look at the south-west alliance | :15:43. | :15:46. | |
where similar proposition was made, that ultimately collapsed. It did | :15:47. | :15:49. | |
not work out well. Let's look at history. Let's look at these | :15:50. | :15:52. | |
alliances and see how they functioned. They haven't. Let's look | :15:53. | :15:57. | |
at Railtrack and see the disaster they rendered to this nation and | :15:58. | :16:01. | |
people expressing sadness about bereavements on our railways, we do | :16:02. | :16:05. | |
not want to be there again. Looking at the east-west railway from Oxford | :16:06. | :16:08. | |
to Cambridge that Chris Grayling is focussing on today, this will be | :16:09. | :16:12. | |
privately built. And privately run. Do you reject that proposal? Well, | :16:13. | :16:17. | |
what I do observe is that that's the slippery slope. This is clearly the | :16:18. | :16:21. | |
intention for the entire network. What we are making clear is that | :16:22. | :16:25. | |
train operating companies will come back under public ownership as those | :16:26. | :16:29. | |
franchises arise. Now the case in point, Oxford to Cambridge is a | :16:30. | :16:33. | |
separate and distinct issue, has to stand on its own merits. The rest of | :16:34. | :16:37. | |
the network will be looking to bring back into public ownership. That's | :16:38. | :16:41. | |
Labour policy. But what about this idea it's the slippery slope towards | :16:42. | :16:52. | |
privatising? Look, there are many companies, virgin trains network | :16:53. | :16:55. | |
that are popular with customers, it's a shame that Labour still have | :16:56. | :17:00. | |
this private sector bad public sector, good, mantra. We saw with | :17:01. | :17:04. | |
Jeremy Corbyn's famous train journey when he was sat on the train and | :17:05. | :17:10. | |
there were seats vacant. There is a negativity towards private trains | :17:11. | :17:13. | |
still in the Labour Party that's unjustified and doesn't celebrate | :17:14. | :17:17. | |
the fact that our railways now in Britain carry these extra passengers | :17:18. | :17:20. | |
and are one of the safest in the world. The safety record on our | :17:21. | :17:25. | |
railway network is beyond comparison to almost every other nation in the | :17:26. | :17:31. | |
world. Do sip that? Thank goodness it is a safe railway system. Let's | :17:32. | :17:35. | |
look it at some incidents that have occurred, people have been dragged | :17:36. | :17:39. | |
down platforms, we don't want to see... No one wants to see an | :17:40. | :17:43. | |
increase. We don't want to compromise on safety. A record of | :17:44. | :17:47. | |
doing this and that's exactly what will happen on this occasion because | :17:48. | :17:51. | |
profit will triumph and trump over safety on every occasion. Let me | :17:52. | :17:54. | |
pick you up on those things. At the moment you are saying that there is | :17:55. | :17:59. | |
a good safety record on the railways, as it stands, but you | :18:00. | :18:02. | |
think that more privatisation or private money or private funding | :18:03. | :18:06. | |
will automatically lead to more tragic accidents? We know this is | :18:07. | :18:11. | |
the case, the last time this experiment was conducted that's the | :18:12. | :18:16. | |
outcome we had with Railtrack. You have admitted this isn't like | :18:17. | :18:18. | |
Railtrack? It's another modification. But it's not the same? | :18:19. | :18:22. | |
I grant you that, it's a modification of the same principle. | :18:23. | :18:27. | |
But it's a starting point. We know the ideology of the Secretary of | :18:28. | :18:30. | |
State, we know where he wants to be. He wants... I suppose arguably you | :18:31. | :18:35. | |
are being idea logical on the other side, rightly or wrongly? It's about | :18:36. | :18:42. | |
having the right ideology. If ideology is wrong per se... You have | :18:43. | :18:46. | |
to have the right conviction. You are happy if it's your ideology but | :18:47. | :18:49. | |
you think obviously the Government's ideology is wrong. I do. I | :18:50. | :18:54. | |
understand your point. If we are looking to simplify the railways and | :18:55. | :18:57. | |
keep them safe, wouldn't it be better to see if these changes work? | :18:58. | :19:01. | |
You have already made up your mind they won't. Before pushing ahead | :19:02. | :19:06. | |
with what would be a disruptive and complicated renationalisation | :19:07. | :19:11. | |
programme. Well, no, not a comply - privatisation system, that's being | :19:12. | :19:15. | |
proposed. Hang on. Your proposal is a renationalisation programme. | :19:16. | :19:20. | |
Nicola Sure talked about route-based businesses, they've gone a long way | :19:21. | :19:23. | |
through the benchmarking process to bring that to fruition. I would put | :19:24. | :19:27. | |
it the other way. Why do we not let those changes bed down and let's see | :19:28. | :19:31. | |
what the benefits are? It may be that people are content with what | :19:32. | :19:34. | |
comes out of that process. All right. Thank you very much. | :19:35. | :19:40. | |
She's attending a meeting of the Gulf Co-operation Council | :19:41. | :19:43. | |
and this morning she made a short speech on board the Royal Navy's | :19:44. | :19:46. | |
This week, I am in Bahrain to attend the Gulf Co-operation Council, | :19:47. | :19:52. | |
to reaffirm our partnership with the GCC countries | :19:53. | :19:56. | |
and to step up our defence and security co-operation, | :19:57. | :19:59. | |
to keep British citizens safe at home and abroad. | :20:00. | :20:05. | |
And, to ensure the stability necessary for global | :20:06. | :20:08. | |
Here on HMS Ocean, all of you are a vital part of Britain's | :20:09. | :20:14. | |
global mission and your role in our commitment to | :20:15. | :20:17. | |
security in the Gulf could not be more important | :20:18. | :20:19. | |
and you can be very proud of everything you are doing. | :20:20. | :20:24. | |
A little earlier I spoke to the BBC's deputy political | :20:25. | :20:26. | |
editor John Pienaar, who's in Bahrain reporting | :20:27. | :20:29. | |
I asked him how Theresa May was going to square her design for | :20:30. | :20:38. | |
greater co-operation with the Gulf states with well documented human | :20:39. | :20:43. | |
rights abuses in the region? Well, I think Theresa May, it's a fairly | :20:44. | :20:46. | |
simple question, she's been spending the morning and will spend tomorrow | :20:47. | :20:50. | |
talking to a succession of Arab leaders. You can see one of the | :20:51. | :20:54. | |
King's many palaces behind me, there are a number in this area, it's the | :20:55. | :20:59. | |
ultra upmarket housing estate, you go from one to the other. She's met | :21:00. | :21:07. | |
the leader, later the King of Saudi Arabia, to her these are key allies, | :21:08. | :21:12. | |
for Britain's strategic interest as well as the region and the world as | :21:13. | :21:16. | |
well as the business of those lucrative arms sales. When it comes | :21:17. | :21:19. | |
to human rights she argues if you are not in the room with them you | :21:20. | :21:22. | |
can't raise questions of human rights. Which is an answer you have | :21:23. | :21:26. | |
heard from Prime Ministers, but for Theresa May her time as Home | :21:27. | :21:29. | |
Secretary I think has schooled her into thinking that questions of | :21:30. | :21:35. | |
practical security outweigh liberal sensitivities and she answers those | :21:36. | :21:39. | |
questions pretty much full-on. She can't escape the discussions over | :21:40. | :21:43. | |
Brexit, not least an opposition day debate tomorrow where Labour is | :21:44. | :21:47. | |
going to put down an amendment calling for the Government to set | :21:48. | :21:53. | |
out its plans. We have also heard from the main EU negotiating person | :21:54. | :21:56. | |
on Brexit who has said Britain can in the get a better deal outside the | :21:57. | :22:01. | |
EU than it had when it was a member. What does Theresa May say to that? | :22:02. | :22:05. | |
Those questions follow her wherever she goes. A while ago she was aboard | :22:06. | :22:11. | |
HMS Ocean, the flagship of the Royal Navy here in Bahrain, the symbolism | :22:12. | :22:16. | |
is clear, Britain is to remain a world power after Brexit. Alliances | :22:17. | :22:20. | |
like those here count as well as getting a good deal in Europe. | :22:21. | :22:23. | |
That's a struggle too. Aboard that ship she looked like a war leader, | :22:24. | :22:27. | |
we are not at war but it is a struggle wherever she goes. At home | :22:28. | :22:31. | |
at Westminster, as you say, we are now hearing Minister after Minister | :22:32. | :22:34. | |
telling us that Britain may well be in the business of paying Europe for | :22:35. | :22:37. | |
access to the European market. She's leaving that open. She didn't put it | :22:38. | :22:41. | |
quite like that, she put it like this. Sometimes people look at this | :22:42. | :22:47. | |
as somehow the UK taking one particular model, the UK trying to | :22:48. | :22:51. | |
take some of the elements of membership. It's not about this sort | :22:52. | :22:54. | |
of Brexit or that sort of Brexit. It's about a red, white and blue | :22:55. | :22:57. | |
Brexit, that is the right Brexit, the right deal for Britain. | :22:58. | :23:02. | |
It's obviously going to be tough, tough with the EU negotiating | :23:03. | :23:05. | |
partners, they say at the moment they're going to make it difficult | :23:06. | :23:08. | |
for Britain. Yeah, everything that you hear suggests there's going to | :23:09. | :23:11. | |
be hard bargaining when those Article 50 talks, the talks on | :23:12. | :23:15. | |
leaving the EU finally get started. We are now hearing from different | :23:16. | :23:19. | |
ministers at different ends of the spectrum, David Davis, the Brexit | :23:20. | :23:24. | |
Secretary, Philip Hammond today saying we may be in the business of | :23:25. | :23:27. | |
give and take when it comes to paying into the EU. You heard there | :23:28. | :23:32. | |
a red, white and blue Brexit which means give and take. How much is | :23:33. | :23:36. | |
given and how much is taken, we don't know, she doesn't know and | :23:37. | :23:39. | |
they won't know until the talks are well under way and that will happen | :23:40. | :23:43. | |
when parliament gives its say. That will happen after the Supreme Court | :23:44. | :23:45. | |
says it's up to parliament to give its say. Theresa May struggling as | :23:46. | :23:49. | |
it were on so many fronts at once. Thank you. | :23:50. | :23:54. | |
Let me bring you some more news following on from that, about the | :23:55. | :23:57. | |
Government's position in terms of that debate tomorrow on the Brexit | :23:58. | :24:00. | |
negotiations. Downing Street refused to be drawn on whether it will try | :24:01. | :24:04. | |
to amend a Labour motion, that's a motion that's pushing Ministers to | :24:05. | :24:09. | |
reveal their stance on Brexit talks and as we discussed earlier, there | :24:10. | :24:15. | |
could be up to 20 or so Tory rebels backing that Labour motion. Pressed | :24:16. | :24:18. | |
on whether the Government would seek to amend the motion, the Prime | :24:19. | :24:21. | |
Minister's official spokesman said our approach to this debate and vote | :24:22. | :24:24. | |
tomorrow will be guided by the position we have taken thus far, we | :24:25. | :24:27. | |
don't intend to reveal our negotiating position ahead of | :24:28. | :24:30. | |
triggering Article 50 by the end of March. It looks at the moment as if | :24:31. | :24:34. | |
there isn't going to be an amendment but we will see. | :24:35. | :24:39. | |
The sudden resignation of Conservative MP Stephen Phillips | :24:40. | :24:41. | |
over disagreements with the Government about Brexit means | :24:42. | :24:43. | |
This time in rural Lincolnshire in the constituency | :24:44. | :24:45. | |
Voters returned a large Conservative majority | :24:46. | :24:50. | |
in 2015 but that was before the EU referendum. | :24:51. | :24:52. | |
By the end of the week there'll be a new political mix | :24:53. | :25:02. | |
At this family-run food supplier in Lincolnshire are some | :25:03. | :25:09. | |
of the 60% who backed Leave, working alongside the quarter | :25:10. | :25:13. | |
of its staff from Eastern Europe, equally waiting to see what kind | :25:14. | :25:16. | |
Obviously, Brexit's a big issue at the moment. | :25:17. | :25:21. | |
I think we should stick by whatever decision's been made. | :25:22. | :25:26. | |
In this mainly rural constituency a quarter of people are over 65 | :25:27. | :25:30. | |
Its last Conservative MP had a majority of 24,000. | :25:31. | :25:38. | |
But that was before the EU referendum. | :25:39. | :25:46. | |
So what do voters want to see on the big issue of Brexit now? | :25:47. | :25:49. | |
Really it's making the best out of the decision that's been taken. | :25:50. | :25:52. | |
Obviously, there's got to be a good deal, but a lot just seems to be | :25:53. | :25:59. | |
about when are we going to make the decision at the moment, | :26:00. | :26:02. | |
just make the decision and get it done as quickly as possible. | :26:03. | :26:05. | |
Get out so we can get our borders back. | :26:06. | :26:07. | |
This has been a Tory stronghold but following on from what happened | :26:08. | :26:10. | |
in Richmond, when Brexit played a big part in the by-election there, | :26:11. | :26:13. | |
in this pro-Leave constituency the UK Independence Party hopes | :26:14. | :26:15. | |
to capitalise and is pledging to stop the Government | :26:16. | :26:17. | |
By having a Ukip MP, not only will it shake the Government up, | :26:18. | :26:23. | |
because they'll be terrified of losing other seats, | :26:24. | :26:28. | |
but also I will hold them to account very vocally and very strongly. | :26:29. | :26:36. | |
30 seconds to say why you should be voting for them this week... | :26:37. | :26:39. | |
But the Liberal Democrat candidate, who voted for Remain, | :26:40. | :26:41. | |
taking part here in a BBC radio Lincolnshire hustings at a local | :26:42. | :26:45. | |
academy, thinks he can offer voters an alternative. | :26:46. | :26:55. | |
You do have the chance to change your mind, this | :26:56. | :26:57. | |
You don't have to stay with your original decision. | :26:58. | :27:01. | |
We have met many people on the doorstep who regret voting | :27:02. | :27:03. | |
to leave because of the lies that were told during the Brexit campaign | :27:04. | :27:06. | |
Its candidate decries six years of austerity and says his party | :27:07. | :27:12. | |
would best protect workers' rights and the NHS. | :27:13. | :27:15. | |
It's the Tories running the country, supported | :27:16. | :27:17. | |
They're the ones running the country, they're the ones that's | :27:18. | :27:22. | |
We had nothing in the Autumn Statement about extra | :27:23. | :27:25. | |
If you want to be taken for granted by the Conservatives, vote Tory. | :27:26. | :27:31. | |
If you to send a message to Theresa May vote for me. | :27:32. | :27:36. | |
Defending the seat for the Conservatives its candidate, | :27:37. | :27:39. | |
out canvassing here in Ruskington, says a vote for her will ensure | :27:40. | :27:42. | |
When we talk about Brexit what we say to people is, you know, | :27:43. | :27:46. | |
Theresa May has been very clear, the country voted to leave | :27:47. | :27:49. | |
We're going to leave the European Union. | :27:50. | :27:52. | |
The best way to ensure that, if that is important to you, | :27:53. | :27:58. | |
is to vote for a Conservative member of parliament so that Theresa May, | :27:59. | :28:01. | |
the Prime Minister, has the strongest majority | :28:02. | :28:03. | |
With just a few days left, voters will soon decide | :28:04. | :28:09. | |
whether to return a Tory to Westminster, or, | :28:10. | :28:11. | |
like in Richmond, whether Brexit may affect a different outcome. | :28:12. | :28:16. | |
And on your screens now is a full list of all the candidates | :28:17. | :28:20. | |
running in the Sleaford and North Hykeham by-election. | :28:21. | :28:24. | |
Joining us now from Edinburgh is the polling expert | :28:25. | :28:26. | |
You have been kept busy recently. Defending a majority of 24,000 would | :28:27. | :28:37. | |
normally seem a safe bet. But following the Lib Dems win in | :28:38. | :28:40. | |
Richmond is anything possible? I think the truth is there is a big | :28:41. | :28:45. | |
difference between Richmond and Sleaford. Zac Goldsmith might have | :28:46. | :28:48. | |
been defend ago big majority from the last general election but this | :28:49. | :28:53. | |
was a constituency that elected a Liberal Democrat MP from 1997 to | :28:54. | :28:58. | |
2010. In contrast, Sleaford has done nothing other than ever vote for a | :28:59. | :29:02. | |
Conservative MP and to that extent at least a Conservative defeat here | :29:03. | :29:06. | |
would, I think, be a spectacular result in the way that the wasn't | :29:07. | :29:10. | |
quite in Richmond. That said, by-elections are never easy for | :29:11. | :29:13. | |
governments. The Conservatives had 56% of the vote last time. We | :29:14. | :29:18. | |
shouldn't be surprised if it's only just hanging on to about 40%, but | :29:19. | :29:22. | |
40% of the vote should be enough to win this constituency. Right. Is | :29:23. | :29:28. | |
there any evidence Ukip claim that they are gaining ground in the | :29:29. | :29:31. | |
constituency because people are impatient with the pace of Brexit, | :29:32. | :29:34. | |
they would say that, wouldn't they, but is there evidence of that? They | :29:35. | :29:38. | |
would say that, but we don't know because we have not had opinion | :29:39. | :29:41. | |
polls in this constituency but certainly the interesting question | :29:42. | :29:45. | |
that is being carried forward from Richmond is whether or not indeed | :29:46. | :29:49. | |
the question of Brexit is going to begin to reshape British politics. | :29:50. | :29:52. | |
Ukip on the one hand are going to try to appeal to the majority of | :29:53. | :29:56. | |
voters in this constituency who voted to Leave and say you need to | :29:57. | :30:01. | |
hold Theresa May's nose to the fire. In contrast, the Liberal Democrats, | :30:02. | :30:05. | |
OK, it's only a 38% Leave vote but they'll be looking to try to | :30:06. | :30:09. | |
persuade those voters who are unhappy about the vote to leave to | :30:10. | :30:15. | |
come across to them. Certainly given how badly they did in 2010 - 2015 in | :30:16. | :30:21. | |
this constituency only just saving their deposit, if there is evidence | :30:22. | :30:23. | |
of a Liberal Democrats revival in the wake of the Richmond result, the | :30:24. | :30:28. | |
party should be getting itself at minimum back into double figures so | :30:29. | :30:30. | |
far as percentage share of the vote is concerned. | :30:31. | :30:35. | |
Do you think Brexit will start to shape British politics at every | :30:36. | :30:42. | |
opportunity, for example in by-elections? It depends how well it | :30:43. | :30:46. | |
goes. The Liberal Democrats did well in Richmond Park last week but that | :30:47. | :30:49. | |
was where, as John said, it was a strong constituency. In the West | :30:50. | :30:59. | |
Country they need to win seats but the West Country was a probe leave | :31:00. | :31:04. | |
area and the strong stands Tim Farren is taking in the by-elections | :31:05. | :31:10. | |
might bring short turns a short-term dividends, but it might be a barrier | :31:11. | :31:13. | |
in the south-west through a Liberal Democrat combat. It's a mixed | :31:14. | :31:18. | |
message for all parties. For Ukip, holding the government's speak to | :31:19. | :31:22. | |
the fire in areas where there is a strong feeling for the league | :31:23. | :31:28. | |
campaign, will that be winning seats in councils, will that bring people | :31:29. | :31:34. | |
over to them -- leave. This is to you, John. I do apologise. I'm | :31:35. | :31:38. | |
looking at you, but you can't see me. Could you say it again? Could | :31:39. | :31:45. | |
Ukip make gains by holding the government's feet to the fire over | :31:46. | :31:50. | |
the place of Brexit? In constituencies like this the | :31:51. | :31:52. | |
Conservative vote is so large it will be difficult for Ukip to win | :31:53. | :31:56. | |
the seat. In a marginal, it might be possible. There is another prize | :31:57. | :32:02. | |
Ukip could look to, which is managing to come second and | :32:03. | :32:05. | |
defeating the Labour Party and there is another important question. The | :32:06. | :32:10. | |
Labour Party developing -- defending a poor percentage of the vote | :32:11. | :32:15. | |
doesn't make progress and they should do so in by-elections, but | :32:16. | :32:18. | |
the record in Richmond and Whitney and the two by-elections since June | :32:19. | :32:23. | |
20 -- disappointing that the party. The crucial battle is that if Ukip, | :32:24. | :32:29. | |
second they will claim they are back on the road having had a rocky six | :32:30. | :32:35. | |
months. If Ukip come second they might have to rethink their | :32:36. | :32:39. | |
strategy. They say they want to replace neighbour in the North. | :32:40. | :32:44. | |
Obviously Theresa May cannot afford to lose the seat because she has a | :32:45. | :32:47. | |
slim majority already and has lost one in Richmond. This is a must win | :32:48. | :32:53. | |
for the Conservatives. I think John identifies exactly the right thing | :32:54. | :32:55. | |
the Conservatives will be looking for. If Labour looked like they are | :32:56. | :33:00. | |
making no progress at all, that will give Downing Street a lot of | :33:01. | :33:05. | |
comfort. That is what the Tory hopes are predicated on, that the Labour | :33:06. | :33:08. | |
vote is so soft that come the general election the Tories will | :33:09. | :33:13. | |
make gains compared to the last David Cameron election victory. | :33:14. | :33:15. | |
With over 800 peers it's got more legislators | :33:16. | :33:19. | |
And that's prompted some members of the Lords to argue it should | :33:20. | :33:31. | |
Yesterday, peers debated the issue and here are some highlights. | :33:32. | :33:38. | |
The time for reform has come and it is for us to take the initiative and | :33:39. | :33:48. | |
work with government, not for us to wait for government to decide and | :33:49. | :33:53. | |
then to impose. Significantly, when the public are asked to express a | :33:54. | :33:58. | |
preference there is a much bigger group now demanding total abolition | :33:59. | :34:06. | |
rather than supporting the present unsatisfactory appointment system or | :34:07. | :34:09. | |
any other proposed modifications of it. So that those in this house who | :34:10. | :34:16. | |
continue to obstruct real democratic reform risk and increasing public | :34:17. | :34:21. | |
demand for a unified parliament, which me and my colleagues do not | :34:22. | :34:29. | |
support. This would diminish the range of expertise and using | :34:30. | :34:31. | |
election results to determine the numbers of this house would | :34:32. | :34:36. | |
encourage us to be even more political. The result, my lord, is | :34:37. | :34:41. | |
that it would be hard to tell apart from the House of Commons. We would | :34:42. | :34:49. | |
have all devices without -- all the vices without the virtues. Whereas, | :34:50. | :34:57. | |
if we reach consensus on what this House of Lords exists for, and unite | :34:58. | :35:01. | |
in promoting that purpose, I truly believe we would become more | :35:02. | :35:07. | |
effective. To me, it is an affront when APS says he thought his peerage | :35:08. | :35:12. | |
was a reward for his success as a composer and he did not expect to | :35:13. | :35:17. | |
attend the debate and vote on policy issues. Likewise, one adviser sent | :35:18. | :35:24. | |
here as lobby fodder who cannot speak, they do as I believe a | :35:25. | :35:28. | |
disservice. The mother of Parliaments is not mute. I believe | :35:29. | :35:33. | |
this house is an excellent job. It needs to be reduced in size. I agree | :35:34. | :35:37. | |
with many of the ideas that have been put forward by my friend Lord | :35:38. | :35:42. | |
Tebbit and Lord Cormack in his excellent address. This is not a | :35:43. | :35:44. | |
place to work out how. We've been joined by Tina Stowell, | :35:45. | :35:47. | |
a Conservative peer and former And also by Alan Beith, | :35:48. | :35:50. | |
a Lib Dem peer. The motion was agreed last night, | :35:51. | :36:03. | |
and some might say calling for a reduction in PAs is like turkeys | :36:04. | :36:08. | |
voting for Christmas. Is it? There is a general it is too big and once | :36:09. | :36:13. | |
you get to specific proposals will be a section of a house against all | :36:14. | :36:16. | |
the proposals but we are starting from the wrong end. Although the | :36:17. | :36:19. | |
House of Lords is too big most people don't realise that. The idea | :36:20. | :36:24. | |
in the public is that the House of Lords being too big is an issue is | :36:25. | :36:29. | |
wrong. We want to work out a way of having democracy in the House of | :36:30. | :36:32. | |
Lords while retaining some of its character in doing its job of making | :36:33. | :36:35. | |
the Commons think again when it needs to. Isn't it a start? Some | :36:36. | :36:39. | |
would say there's not even enough room for the if they did actually | :36:40. | :36:44. | |
attend all the time. -- the peers. That would be a good place to begin | :36:45. | :36:49. | |
reform. Everywhere is a bad place to start. Simply chopping the numbers. | :36:50. | :36:54. | |
Although I agree it's too large, it eggs the question, what does the | :36:55. | :36:58. | |
House of Lords do, how should people be elected to it -- begs -- and what | :36:59. | :37:04. | |
should the total size B? We had a perfectly good scheme that was | :37:05. | :37:09. | |
brought forward with support of all parties but the Labour Party would | :37:10. | :37:11. | |
not support the measures necessary to get it through. The wrong place | :37:12. | :37:16. | |
to start? I do think it's the wrong place to start but where we are | :37:17. | :37:21. | |
united is that there are some passengers we need to deal with is | :37:22. | :37:28. | |
the term that Lord Fowler used. And what we need to focus on is on | :37:29. | :37:32. | |
behaviours. Like Alan was saying about what people talk about in the | :37:33. | :37:36. | |
pub, they don't talk about numbers, they talk about behaviours. Do they | :37:37. | :37:40. | |
talk about the House of Lords at all? Probably not. And that's one of | :37:41. | :37:45. | |
the things that we, as an institution, have to bear in mind. | :37:46. | :37:49. | |
If it's not the subject of conversation they are doing their | :37:50. | :37:56. | |
job well. What I mean is, if you think about what the House of Lords | :37:57. | :38:03. | |
exists for, and I describe it as a house that exists to consummate the | :38:04. | :38:06. | |
House of Commons in giving people confidence in the laws that cover -- | :38:07. | :38:11. | |
Parliament makes, and I always emphasise giving people confidence. | :38:12. | :38:15. | |
Because if you know, when you become a Lord, that is why you go into the | :38:16. | :38:19. | |
building and you going to scrutinise and revise, but why are you doing | :38:20. | :38:25. | |
it? That would drive your decisions on when to go, how to conduct | :38:26. | :38:29. | |
yourself when you are there, and also when to retire. But who is not | :38:30. | :38:36. | |
following those general broad rules you have outlined? You talked about | :38:37. | :38:39. | |
fellow passengers that need to go and people who are behaving | :38:40. | :38:46. | |
properly. Who are they? The reason why I think that starting with the | :38:47. | :38:51. | |
absolute size of the house is the wrong place to start Mrs the proper | :38:52. | :38:59. | |
measure that is most relevant. There are too many Lib Dems, for instance? | :39:00. | :39:06. | |
You can't possibly think that. I'm sure you love them one and all, but | :39:07. | :39:10. | |
there are a lot of Liberal Democrat peers in a house that you yourself | :39:11. | :39:15. | |
would like to abolish and that seems to be a great irony. As Tina herself | :39:16. | :39:21. | |
rightly said, and she spoke in the debate, it's not an exact copy of | :39:22. | :39:28. | |
the House of Commons like the last election because it would not have | :39:29. | :39:31. | |
the independence to make the house think again. When people talk about | :39:32. | :39:35. | |
the House of Lords is when we make the life of the government more | :39:36. | :39:40. | |
difficult, so when they voted against the tax credit cuts | :39:41. | :39:43. | |
everybody was talking about the Lords, and that is when we are at | :39:44. | :39:47. | |
our most popular. Yes, but who should make the decision about what | :39:48. | :39:49. | |
happens to the House of Lords? Should be the or you? I think the | :39:50. | :39:55. | |
House of Lords should be the place where decisions are made about its | :39:56. | :40:01. | |
changes and reforms -- should it be the government or you? And I believe | :40:02. | :40:06. | |
the House of Lords has got all the power it needs to make change | :40:07. | :40:10. | |
happen. It doesn't need legislation or the government. What the peers | :40:11. | :40:15. | |
need to do is unite in agreeing about why we exist. If there is | :40:16. | :40:19. | |
unity in that, the kind of behaviour is that sometimes attract criticism | :40:20. | :40:24. | |
would be dealt with. I think most peers who are not currently | :40:25. | :40:28. | |
government ministers agree on what the House of Lords is therefore, to | :40:29. | :40:31. | |
make the government think again, to review legislation and to make sure | :40:32. | :40:36. | |
we get the law right. And sometimes to bite as well as Bach, otherwise | :40:37. | :40:40. | |
you don't have the power to change the legislation. -- as well as Bach. | :40:41. | :40:46. | |
As a former member of the Cabinet and the person responsible for | :40:47. | :40:51. | |
getting legislation through the House of Lords, I would never | :40:52. | :40:55. | |
disagree that that house should not sometimes obstruct government | :40:56. | :40:58. | |
legislation. But not too often. Well, clearly it shouldn't be doing | :40:59. | :41:03. | |
it in a way that calls into question the legitimacy of it as an unelected | :41:04. | :41:09. | |
house alongside the elected House of Commons. The elected house should | :41:10. | :41:13. | |
always have the final say. The problem is that Prime Minister 's | :41:14. | :41:19. | |
have been stuffing the House of Lords with their charms for a very | :41:20. | :41:23. | |
long time, and that has caused it to become bloated and out of control. I | :41:24. | :41:28. | |
think that is the danger. From my work, I have to do read debates in | :41:29. | :41:33. | |
the House of Commons and House of Lords, and again and again, the | :41:34. | :41:36. | |
quality of the debate in the Lords is superior to the House of Commons. | :41:37. | :41:39. | |
You have largely a group of people with more experience and expertise. | :41:40. | :41:44. | |
That must be protected at all costs. The danger is that some of the | :41:45. | :41:49. | |
recent resignations and other lists from David Cameron and previous | :41:50. | :41:55. | |
prime ministers have been to like cronyism. It is people who are loyal | :41:56. | :42:00. | |
to the party rather than a cause or discipline and that will ruin the | :42:01. | :42:03. | |
House of Lords, I'm afraid. But at the moment I think the quality of | :42:04. | :42:06. | |
debate still stands good examination. On that basis, because | :42:07. | :42:10. | |
people will say you are over represented as a party in the House | :42:11. | :42:14. | |
of Lords wrap -- bearing in mind the number of MPs in the House of | :42:15. | :42:17. | |
Commons, are you going to vote against the triggering of Article | :42:18. | :42:22. | |
50? The house is unlikely to have a vote on the issue. You will | :42:23. | :42:27. | |
certainly want the government to set out what it's trying to achieve in | :42:28. | :42:33. | |
negotiations, hard Brexit, soft Brexit, customs union or no customs | :42:34. | :42:37. | |
union. Nobody enters into negotiations without making it | :42:38. | :42:40. | |
public what the objectives are. The bottom line is we would challenge | :42:41. | :42:44. | |
the government to do that, but the real decision on that will be taken | :42:45. | :42:48. | |
in the House of Commons. But if it comes to the Lords, which it would | :42:49. | :42:52. | |
do if there was legislation following on from what the Supreme | :42:53. | :42:55. | |
Court rules, even a short Bill, that would be going to be scrutinised by | :42:56. | :43:01. | |
you, and if it wasn't clear if we were going to stay in or out of the | :43:02. | :43:05. | |
single market or the customs union, would you add an amendment or try to | :43:06. | :43:09. | |
delay the bill? I think we would try to amend the bill. But we cannot | :43:10. | :43:13. | |
have a situation in which the House of Commons decides to go ahead and | :43:14. | :43:17. | |
the House of Lords says no you can't. I don't think anybody would | :43:18. | :43:20. | |
want that to happen. But that would be fair enough, wouldn't it? I think | :43:21. | :43:25. | |
everybody in a privileged position of power, whether you sit in the | :43:26. | :43:29. | |
Commons or the Lords, your own business, or in the media, everybody | :43:30. | :43:35. | |
needs to recognise that it is about behaviours and giving people some | :43:36. | :43:41. | |
reassurance that the motive behind whatever it is that people are | :43:42. | :43:46. | |
trying to do in order to get the best future for our country outside | :43:47. | :43:51. | |
the European referendum is inspired by that, but not by some political | :43:52. | :43:59. | |
or self-interest. What I would argue with the Lib Dems or anyone else in | :44:00. | :44:02. | |
the House of Lords over is that making sure that any action, when it | :44:03. | :44:12. | |
comes to Brexit, Article 50 or anything else, is properly and | :44:13. | :44:15. | |
clearly motivated that it is in the public interest. They would argue it | :44:16. | :44:21. | |
is in the public interest. There is no bigger public interest question | :44:22. | :44:24. | |
than Britain securing a good future after the negotiations. I think we | :44:25. | :44:30. | |
just need to recognise that people who have voted out, and I was in the | :44:31. | :44:38. | |
Remain campaign, but the people who voted out and are now supportive of | :44:39. | :44:42. | |
the change associated with Brexit, whether they voted in or out, they | :44:43. | :44:47. | |
are looking for those of us in great positions of power to reflect on the | :44:48. | :44:50. | |
way we behave and why we take the decisions we do. That sounds like a | :44:51. | :44:54. | |
gentle warning. It's an encouragement to do what I will do | :44:55. | :44:59. | |
throughout, which is to try to serve the best British interest and make | :45:00. | :45:02. | |
sure we get out of a process we would not have started, with an | :45:03. | :45:05. | |
outcome where people's jobs and livelihoods and the peace of Europe | :45:06. | :45:09. | |
is safely guaranteed. Thank you very much. | :45:10. | :45:14. | |
Nato's foreign ministers are meeting in Brussels to discuss how | :45:15. | :45:16. | |
the alliance can maintain peace and stability at a time | :45:17. | :45:20. | |
On the agenda will be not only Russian involvement in Ukraine, | :45:21. | :45:24. | |
but also the build-up of missiles and troops along | :45:25. | :45:27. | |
Ahead of today's session, Nato's Secretary General, | :45:28. | :45:32. | |
suggested if both sides toned down their rhetoric, | :45:33. | :45:35. | |
it might take some of the heat out of the situation. | :45:36. | :45:38. | |
I welcome any toning down of the rhetoric because I think | :45:39. | :45:42. | |
words matter and less aggressive rhetoric can be a first step | :45:43. | :45:48. | |
At the same time, words matter, but of course | :45:49. | :46:02. | |
Therefore, the important thing is what we see, | :46:03. | :46:10. | |
what kind of actions we see from the Russian side. | :46:11. | :46:14. | |
And we're joined now by the Conservative MP | :46:15. | :46:16. | |
Daniel Kawczynski, who sits on the Foreign Affairs Committee. | :46:17. | :46:23. | |
Welcome. First of all, Tim Montgomerie, there is evidently | :46:24. | :46:31. | |
concern amongst the Baltic states, understandably because of where they | :46:32. | :46:35. | |
are, about the Russian threat. Is any talk of a new cold war an | :46:36. | :46:39. | |
exageration? I don't think so. If you look at some of rush why's | :46:40. | :46:44. | |
tactics they're deploying in the region, how they used undercover | :46:45. | :46:50. | |
troops to invade eastern Ukraine. How they are involved in | :46:51. | :46:55. | |
destabilising democracies around the world. Their interference confirmed | :46:56. | :47:00. | |
by intelligence agencies in America, in the US election, involved in the | :47:01. | :47:07. | |
WikiLeaks controversy over Hillary Clinton's emails, on a range of | :47:08. | :47:10. | |
fronts Russia is reverting to the behaviour that comes naturally to | :47:11. | :47:15. | |
Vladimir Putin. Vladimir Putin was trained as a KGB agent and I am | :47:16. | :47:20. | |
afraid you can't always teach an old dog new tricks. He is still behaving | :47:21. | :47:23. | |
as he did in the past. How do you deal with a power that behaves in | :47:24. | :47:29. | |
that way? There is no evidence to back up that Vladimir Putin is | :47:30. | :47:34. | |
moving towards some sort of cordial relationship with Europe, for | :47:35. | :47:41. | |
example? Well, I think the clip that you played is extremely important. | :47:42. | :47:47. | |
We met with him at the European Parliament recently and I asked how | :47:48. | :47:50. | |
are you going to, as Secretary General of Nato, how are you going | :47:51. | :47:54. | |
to lower tensions with Russia? And he talked about his experience when | :47:55. | :47:57. | |
he was Prime Minister of Norway and a Nato country that borders Russia. | :47:58. | :48:02. | |
He had in that position as Prime Minister of Norway a very pragmatic | :48:03. | :48:09. | |
and effective policy of dealing with Russia on the bilateral basis and I | :48:10. | :48:12. | |
very much hope he will use that experience to try to lower tensions | :48:13. | :48:17. | |
with Russia, he himself has said it's vitally important that despite | :48:18. | :48:20. | |
the differences we have with them, we want to ease some of the tensions | :48:21. | :48:24. | |
that's building up. Isn't it more than just differences and a | :48:25. | :48:28. | |
bilateral with authorway is one thing but dealings with Russia on a | :48:29. | :48:36. | |
range of issues when it's moving missiles closer, launching cyber | :48:37. | :48:39. | |
attacks, seeking to influence elections, makes it more difficult? | :48:40. | :48:45. | |
I went this summer to the Polish-Russian border and that is | :48:46. | :48:50. | |
already becoming the most highly militaryised part of Europe. If the | :48:51. | :48:54. | |
tit-for-tat deployment of missiles continues at the pace it has been, | :48:55. | :48:59. | |
that area of Europe will become akin to the north and south Korean | :49:00. | :49:04. | |
border, a no-man's-land and it will just take a spark to cause a | :49:05. | :49:08. | |
confrontation between the two sides. Yes, be strong and tough with them, | :49:09. | :49:12. | |
yes, spend more on defence but we need to engage with them to try to | :49:13. | :49:16. | |
build up some sort of mutual trust and respect. Otherwise we are | :49:17. | :49:18. | |
heading towards some sort of confrontation. Painting Russia as | :49:19. | :49:23. | |
the bogeyman all the time and talking about the Cold War won't | :49:24. | :49:28. | |
that escalate tensions? Would a different tone really, in your mind, | :49:29. | :49:34. | |
change the balance of relations? I think Daniel officially I think | :49:35. | :49:37. | |
represents Shrewsbury in parliament but has more of a record I am afraid | :49:38. | :49:43. | |
for representing Riyadh in Saudi Arabia and Moscow in Russia, he | :49:44. | :49:55. | |
Russia - he has been an apologist. If you remember the defence shield | :49:56. | :50:00. | |
America promised for the Czech republic and Poland, Hillary Clinton | :50:01. | :50:03. | |
then reset relations with Russia. The message to Russia was exactly as | :50:04. | :50:09. | |
Daniel has recommended, we sort of accommodate ourselves to Putin he is | :50:10. | :50:14. | |
aggressiveness. Since then Putin saw that as a green light, he saw | :50:15. | :50:20. | |
weakness and invaded Ukraine and bombs Aleppo. I am afraid the kind | :50:21. | :50:25. | |
of recipe that Daniel always wants us to follow in the West, to be | :50:26. | :50:30. | |
kinder and more indulgent to dictatorships is exactly the sort of | :50:31. | :50:35. | |
thing that inflames aggression and endangers peace, rather than the | :50:36. | :50:39. | |
reverse. You are an apologist for a dictator? Well, this is what the | :50:40. | :50:45. | |
likes of MrMontgomerie and others, I was called last week by a right-wing | :50:46. | :50:51. | |
think tank in America a trojan horse for the Kremlin. If Members of | :50:52. | :50:56. | |
Parliament don't dovetail into this very popular narrative which is | :50:57. | :51:00. | |
peddled by MrMontgomerie and others, which is these regimes are bad, they | :51:01. | :51:06. | |
have to be kept away, they are going to cause problems, if anybody dares | :51:07. | :51:10. | |
challenge that very popular and fashionable concept, as to whether | :51:11. | :51:15. | |
or not it is in our country's national strategic interest to | :51:16. | :51:17. | |
completely ostracise these countries and not have dialogue... No one's | :51:18. | :51:24. | |
talking about - you shouldn't misrepresent the views of your | :51:25. | :51:27. | |
critics. I will come back to you. His views are highly dangerous. We | :51:28. | :51:33. | |
need to engage with Russia. Are your views highly dangerous, what is your | :51:34. | :51:36. | |
alternative solution to dealing with Russia, is it containment? Well, I | :51:37. | :51:42. | |
think what we certainly have to be doing now is, the alternative to not | :51:43. | :51:45. | |
the kind of military identificationation on borders that | :51:46. | :51:49. | |
Daniel describes, is allowing Russia to bring in their people in green | :51:50. | :51:55. | |
berets and hidden essentially Russian troops to destabilise | :51:56. | :51:59. | |
countries like Estonia. If we do not make it clear to Russia there will | :52:00. | :52:03. | |
be enormous consequences for them destabilising other parts of the | :52:04. | :52:07. | |
world, what we will get from Putin is more of the kind of | :52:08. | :52:11. | |
indiscriminate bombing of civilian populations we have seen in Aleppo. | :52:12. | :52:15. | |
Aleppo wasn't the first time, of course, that Putin bombed civilian | :52:16. | :52:19. | |
populations. Before he came to power as Russian President in Chechnya, | :52:20. | :52:24. | |
that is how he behaved. He is a very nasty piece of work. When we have an | :52:25. | :52:30. | |
apologist like Daniel for him, then we are inviting further aggression. | :52:31. | :52:33. | |
You have dialogue. You do not have indulgence. I won't take any | :52:34. | :52:38. | |
lectures from Mr Montgomerie on this issue. . I am the only only British | :52:39. | :52:43. | |
member of parliament to have been born in Poland. I spent my childhood | :52:44. | :52:48. | |
listening to my grandfather about the catastrophic destruction of | :52:49. | :52:58. | |
Poland during the Second World War, Warsaw razeg -- razed to the ground. | :52:59. | :53:03. | |
All I am interested in is making sure that those frontline states | :53:04. | :53:07. | |
that we are Allianced to, countries like Poland are not destroyed and | :53:08. | :53:10. | |
devastated in another world war. What is, as I said, what is | :53:11. | :53:18. | |
happening with the pole border is frightening and anybody who doesn't | :53:19. | :53:21. | |
understand the concerns of that trajectory of conflict is wrong. May | :53:22. | :53:25. | |
I just say lastly, a lot of people actually, if you talk to people on | :53:26. | :53:29. | |
the ground, whether it's in Shrewsbury or anywhere else, they | :53:30. | :53:33. | |
expect politicians to go the extra mile to engage and to do whatever | :53:34. | :53:38. | |
they can through diplomacy. What evidence is there that has worked? | :53:39. | :53:42. | |
Sanctions haven't worked. There have been attempts at dialogue and | :53:43. | :53:46. | |
they've been rejected in many people's minds by Vladimir Putin | :53:47. | :53:49. | |
himself. He is only worried about his sphere of influence and he feels | :53:50. | :53:55. | |
under threat from the EU and that that's why he annexed Crimea and got | :53:56. | :53:59. | |
involved in military incursion in Ukraine. There is no evidence to | :54:00. | :54:02. | |
show that Vladimir Putin is interested in anything else than | :54:03. | :54:06. | |
increasing his sphere of influps, hence getting involved in Syria -- | :54:07. | :54:10. | |
influence. On the basis of getting rid of Islamic State. That's the | :54:11. | :54:17. | |
pivotal question and we are doing a report currently on Anglo-Russian | :54:18. | :54:19. | |
relations. We have been doing this for the last year. The report will | :54:20. | :54:22. | |
be published in... What's the evidence he would respond to | :54:23. | :54:27. | |
dialogue? The evidence is this, our policy seems to amount to | :54:28. | :54:31. | |
confrontation and sanctions. The sanctions aren't working. | :54:32. | :54:36. | |
Interestingly, Russian trade with America, China, Brazil, and India is | :54:37. | :54:39. | |
at record levels. So whilst we are imposing sanctions on Russia and by | :54:40. | :54:42. | |
the way British companies have lost ten billion a year as a result of | :54:43. | :54:47. | |
these sanctions, our international competitors, the Americans, the | :54:48. | :54:49. | |
Chinese and Brazilians, are continuing to trade. Sanctions will | :54:50. | :54:54. | |
only work if their implemented by all the countries, not just western | :54:55. | :54:57. | |
Europe. Are you going to be out of step with your views now when we | :54:58. | :55:03. | |
look at President Donald Trump who, of course, has signalled friendlier | :55:04. | :55:08. | |
relations with Russia and Vladimir Putin. And in the end this is a new | :55:09. | :55:15. | |
chapter in terms of Russian relations with the rest of the | :55:16. | :55:18. | |
world? The article I wrote for The Times that I think you were wroting, | :55:19. | :55:23. | |
I am worried about the fact that Daniel's views are becoming more | :55:24. | :55:26. | |
popular amongst certain right-wing groups. We might be cuddling up to | :55:27. | :55:31. | |
Russia at exactly the wrong moment, in a sense if you look at the | :55:32. | :55:35. | |
Russian economy, it's a basket case. The reason why Putin is amounting | :55:36. | :55:40. | |
these overseas aggressions, is because he's not able to meet the | :55:41. | :55:44. | |
economic needs of his own people. Half the tax revenues of the Russian | :55:45. | :55:48. | |
state come from oil and gas. Therefore, the oil price of recent | :55:49. | :55:51. | |
times has meant it's been difficult for the Russian state to be stable. | :55:52. | :55:57. | |
So, until Russia has domestic reform it will be an unr unstable partner | :55:58. | :56:01. | |
for us and will continue to be aggressive overseas. Actually, the | :56:02. | :56:06. | |
economic isolation is more important that we continue that, because if we | :56:07. | :56:10. | |
don't then Russia will be able to expand its military actions. From a | :56:11. | :56:16. | |
moral standpoint, is there really justification of pursuing an | :56:17. | :56:19. | |
Anglo-Russian relationship when there are accusations of war crimes | :56:20. | :56:26. | |
in Aleppo, and Russians have been accused of protecting terrorists? Is | :56:27. | :56:30. | |
there anything to salvage from that, even if there could be improved | :56:31. | :56:34. | |
trade, for example, between Russia and the UK? In the deepest depths of | :56:35. | :56:42. | |
the Cold War, 1984, we were still, the general Secretary of the | :56:43. | :56:47. | |
Communist Party, we were still engaging with Russia, they were in | :56:48. | :56:51. | |
Afghanistan, they had occupied half of Europe, had downed a Korean | :56:52. | :56:56. | |
airliner the previous year, we were at heightened tensions, but at that | :56:57. | :57:01. | |
time Reagan invited them for talks in Washington. Thatcher invited the | :57:02. | :57:07. | |
next generation to discussions at Chequers. Those politicians at that | :57:08. | :57:13. | |
time realised the importance of no matter how difficult tensions they | :57:14. | :57:16. | |
needed to continue to engage... What we don't want is people like you | :57:17. | :57:19. | |
excusing the war crimes that are taking place in Aleppo, the human | :57:20. | :57:24. | |
rights abuses that are taking place in Ukraine and it's having someone | :57:25. | :57:27. | |
in the British parliament who seems to represent the Kremlin, more than | :57:28. | :57:31. | |
the British people. That's a disgrace. It's typically, because | :57:32. | :57:36. | |
you are losing the arcment, you try to cast people like me in a maligned | :57:37. | :57:40. | |
way, it's bad for democracy. We need this debate. We need this debate, | :57:41. | :57:44. | |
can I just say there are growing numbers now of Conservative MPs who | :57:45. | :57:48. | |
are joining this thought process about the importance of engaging | :57:49. | :57:52. | |
with Russia. No one is disputing dialogue. You are shooting at a | :57:53. | :57:54. | |
false target. On that, thank you very much. | :57:55. | :58:00. | |
There's just time before we go to find out the answer to our quiz. | :58:01. | :58:04. | |
The question was what's the latest British asset the Chinese have | :58:05. | :58:06. | |
Tim, what is it? Have they bought some pub chain? I think that's the | :58:07. | :58:30. | |
answer. You are correct. It was a good guess. What do you think about | :58:31. | :58:34. | |
the Chinese buying up British assets? A post-Brexit world, it's | :58:35. | :58:38. | |
vital we are open for overseas investment. I worry about | :58:39. | :58:42. | |
investments in strategic interests, but pub chains I think we can put up | :58:43. | :58:43. | |
with that. I'll be back at 11.30am tomorrow | :58:44. | :58:46. | |
with Andrew for live coverage | :58:47. | :58:53. |