08/12/2016 Daily Politics


08/12/2016

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The Commons gives its clear backing for the Government's timetable

:00:37.:00:44.

MPs voted overwhelmingly in favour of the plan to trigger Article 50

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by the end of March next year and so begin the formal negotiation

:00:52.:00:54.

In return, MPs say they want more detail on the plans.

:00:55.:00:58.

Once we've left the EU what should our immigration system look like?

:00:59.:01:03.

The Home Affairs Select Committee is launching a nationwide inquiry

:01:04.:01:06.

Its chair, Yvette Cooper, joins us live.

:01:07.:01:13.

Is Momentum, the campaign group set up to support

:01:14.:01:16.

Jeremy Corbyn's leadership, facing an existential crisis?

:01:17.:01:21.

We report on the divisions and infighting afflicting

:01:22.:01:25.

I'm welcoming the next Prime Minister of Britain Jeremy Corbyn.

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He thinks it's possible, despite what the polls say.

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But 2016 wasn't exactly a great year for pollsters, so could the idea

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of a Prime Minister Corbyn become a reality?

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All that in the next hour and with us for the whole

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of the programme today is the writer and broadcaster Paul Mason.

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Paul used to be a journalist for Channel 4 News and,

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He reported regularly from Athens. Newsnight before and then you went

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to Channel 4. He's now free of the strictures

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of broadcast news and able to offer his opinion on all manner

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of things, I dare say we may tease out a few of those

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opinions in the next hour. Unlike you. I'm envious of your

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position. Welcome back. Thank you. One day you might get an

:02:22.:02:24.

opportunity. I doubt it.

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First today, the Foreign Secretary Boris Johnson has

:02:31.:02:32.

accused Britain's ally, Saudi Arabia, of engaging in "proxy

:02:33.:02:35.

The Guardian newspaper has published footage in which Mr Johnson says

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Saudi Arabai and Iran are "puppeteering" in various

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He was speaking at a conference in Rome last week.

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There are politicians who are twisting and abusing

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religion and different strains of the same religion in order

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to further their own political objectives and that's one

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of the biggest political problems in the whole region.

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The tragedy for me - and that's why you have these proxy

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wars being fought the whole time in that area -

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is that there is not strong enough leadership in the

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You've got the Saudis, the Irans, everybody moving in and puppeteering

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We need to have some way of encouraging visionary leadership.

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Boris Johnson there. Paul Mason you must be delighted that the Foreign

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Secretary agrees with you? Substantially, I think he is right.

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But, of course, if you listen to the whole clip. There are two huge

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bloopers in T one is to diss the UK's strategic ally in the region.

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Remember, we are building a Royal Navy base in the Gulf, in Bahrain to

:03:54.:03:58.

support Saudi Arabia in its proxy war in Yemen and the rest. The other

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thing, if this weird notion that the Sunni and Shia conflict is the

:04:09.:04:10.

result of politicians that don't display leader sh. It is a

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fundamental fault line. Does he not have officials over there in the

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Foreign Office? Was there nobody there saying to him - Boris, you are

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going to speak about the Middle East, we have one ally, what is

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going on in the Foreign Office? Well, you are not the only one

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putting that question. The Prime Minister's spokesperson has in the

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last half an hour or so, responding to the commented from the Foreign

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Secretary, said that Theresa May wants to strengthen the relationship

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with Saudi Arabia. She said "We are supporting the Saudi-led coalition

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in support of the legitimate Government in Yemen against huety

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rebels." She said, "Those are the Prime Minister's views, the Foreign

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Secretary's views are knotted the Government's position on, for

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example -- are not the Government's position on, for example, Saudi

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Arabia and the region. If that's not a slapdown, I don't know what is

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Everybody who speaks in public has an off day but the clip there seemed

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to - Boris Johnson seemed to be pulling these ideas almost out of a

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spontaneous well-spring of ideas. A stream of consciousness. I think

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that's the word. The substantive problem is the May administration

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has inherited what I think is a very bad, combined foreign and defence

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strategy, in the Middle East. That is, it has this thing about global

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reach. To have global reach you need a base in Bahrain, the Saudis buying

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your fighters. After Trump, and falling apart of the globalisation,

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what does this mean? I would have liked to hear Boris Johnson talk

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about that. I think he probably does want to talk about that. I'm sure he

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does but at the moment there is now, there are two different positions.

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There is Theresa May and the Government's position and there is

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the Foreign Secretary, Boris Johnson's position As we will find

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out this, pervies the Government. It has divided positions on many thing,

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including Brexit which we are about to talk B but Britain, as an

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all-imperial power w responsibilities around the world,

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needs, with responsibilities around the world, needs its diplomatic

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service to feed into the Foreign Office, what is going on. If you

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have a policy you either stick to it or change it and you need

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competence. And I, not for the first time one finds oneself saying about

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Boris Johnson, the man is not competent to do this job. In terms

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of you either change the policy or stick to t the spokespersoned for

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the Prime Minister said "The Foreign Secretary will be in the region this

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weekend and that will be an opportunity for him to set the

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Government's position on relations with Saudi Arabia and others in the

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region" rather than his own. And asked if the Prime Minister had full

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confidence in Mr Johnson, the spokeswoman said "yes." It has come

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to something fairly early on whether you are questioning whether the

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Prime Minister still has confidence in her Home Secretary? There is no

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need for Mr Johnson to be picking this fight or inadvertent stumble

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over Saudy. It is not a substantive issue the Government is trying to

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deal with. The Iran deal will be blown up, when Trump becomes

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President. We need our diplomatic service on the case and our Foreign

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Secretary on the case in the Middle East to work out how we can save,

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because we are still part of the European European, which has signed

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a deal with Iran, this peace-making deal in the Gulf because nobody

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wants a nuclear armed war between these two powers. I wonder how

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emotions are running in the Foreign Office at the moment?

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The problem is, he speaks as a pundit. As a journalist? I could ask

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a question in the Gulf where I go regular lane I could have said that.

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He is not a -- regularly and I could have said that. But he is not a

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pundit, he is the Foreign Secretary And we had the position where the

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opposition try to defeat them on arming the Saudis. What does this

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sound like? The Saudis say - the British political establishment is

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not keen on us at the moment. They might have taken that away from the

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comments. Theresa May has given an interview

:08:08.:08:13.

in which she's criticised civil servants for using a certain word

:08:14.:08:17.

or phrase that's popular So our question today

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is, what's the word? A) Corbynism, b) Populism,

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c) The squeezed middle or d) Jams At the end of the show Paul will

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give us the correct answer. So last night MPs overwhelmingly

:08:26.:08:33.

passed a Government amendment calling on ministers to trigger

:08:34.:08:35.

Article 50 by the end They also approved a Labour motion

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calling on Ministers to publish a "plan for leaving the EU" before

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the exit negotiations begin. But what do we already

:08:44.:08:46.

know about what this MPs are asking Theresa May

:08:47.:08:48.

about her vision for Brexit but there were some clues

:08:49.:08:58.

in her speech to the Conservative The Prime Minister said leaving

:08:59.:09:00.

the European Union meant Britain would now be able to have

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"control of immigration". She also said the UK laws should

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no longer be subject Both of those statements were taken

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by some as a signal that the UK would not remain a member

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of the single market. Foreign Secretary, Boris Johnson,

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also outlined a four-point Brexit plan on the Andrew Marr Show last

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weekend. He said Brexit gave Britain

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the opportunity to take back control of our borders,

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our money, our laws, and to be able That fourth point on free trade

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could mean the UK will have Britain could still pay

:09:37.:09:43.

to get the best access to the single market -

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Brexit Secretary, David Davis, told MPs last week that the Government

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was considering it. The final exit deal is also

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expected to be voted upon by the House of Commons,

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after Mr Davis said it would be "inconceivable"

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for MPs not to have a vote. But will that be

:10:01.:10:04.

enough to satisfy MPs? And could the Supreme Court ask

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Ministers to go further in how they spell out the specifics

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of their exit plan? Well, there were many MPs calling

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for the Government to provide more detail during the debate

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in Parliament yesterday. I put the Government on notice,

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that if it fails to produce a plan by the time we are debating Article

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50 legislation, if we are - assuming the Government doesn't win

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- amendments from this side and possibly from the other side

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of the House, will be put forward, setting out the minimum requirements

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of a plan. In other words, we're not

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going to have a situation where the Government seeks a vote

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in a vacuum, or produces This is a negotiation,

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it is not a policy statement, and, therefore, where we are aiming for -

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and we may be on the same page on this - where we are aiming for,

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may not be the exact place of hints, I would merely remind

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the House that when Moses came down from the mountain bearing

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the tablet, He was pretty clear about what he

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was telling people what to do. Once again, the Labour

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front bench sides with They are out to try to frustrate

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and overturn the way Parliamentary sovereignty,

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Mr Speaker, is short hand The verdict of the people on June

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23rd was absolutely clear. It would be perverse to invoke

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parliamentary oversight and sovereignty as a pretext

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for dither and delay. Now they promised to publish a plan,

:11:58.:12:00.

but it's been quite clear to me from the Government's statement,

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from the statements of Conservative MPs outside this

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chamber in the last 24 hours that that plan will not be the white

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paper that the Brexit Secretary once promised, it will not answer the big

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questions about our vital access to the single market,

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the rights of UK citizens abroad and EU citizens here

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or issues such as tariffs. Now, to me, nothing could be

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clearer than what the I'm glad to see they

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find clarity amusing. I think they would benefit from some

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clarity but our position on the Government's side

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is very simple. We want to have some restriction

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on freedom of movement. We what a change in those

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arrangements, while having the widest possible access

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to the single market. Those are two very

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simple principles. I see various members of the front

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bench chuntering in their positions but even they should be able

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to understand this basic position. Joining me now is the Conservative

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MP, Bernard Jenkin, and the Labour Whack to you both. Bernard Jenkin,

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Iain Duncan Smith, your colleague fellow Brexiteer said last night's

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vote was "historic." Why? Well it was a bit of a watershed wasn't it?

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By a majority of hundreds, the House of Commons voted to invoke Article

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50 by 31st March. A non-binding op Opposition Day motion which doesn't

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technically force the Government to do anything. Correct but historic.

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Correct but it was an expression of the opinion of the House of Commons,

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that would have been unthinkable before the referendum. There you

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have it. It was the House of Commons accepting the referendum result.

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What did Labour achieve yesterday? I think we finally got the Government

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to confirm that it will produce and publish a plan. That will give us

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something to scrutinise. Do you have anything idea what the plan will

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look like? It sounds to me like they want a hard Brexit. What I meant

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was, the nature of the plan? Will it be a white paper, a green paper?

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Back of a fag packet sent over to you. . Back of an envelope. You gave

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in, if I can put it that way, without details of what the plan

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will be. I think it should be a white paper. We should push hard for

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that. Let's not have a childish reaction from the Government where

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they bring forward a two-line bill on 30th March. Let's have respect.

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And am tour debate based on a detailed plan. What do you think the

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Government will do? I think the Government is likely to produce a

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white paper. It is likely to be the Government's opening offer, the

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shape or opening of the Government's opening offer. For the negotiations?

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For the negotiations. What that white paper then be translated into

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legislation? No, that white paper would be the opening position for

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the negotiation of the withdrawal agreement.

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And the Commons would vote on the White Paper? If it wanted to, it

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could. Would that be enough? Yes, if the plan isn't good enough they

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would have to come back with a better one. It could be that the

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Supreme Court may rule that actually you need legislation to do this, a

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motion in parliament, even for a white Paper, doesn't change the law.

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I don't know if that is how they will rule but that is a strong

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argument that has been put by Lord Pannick on the side of the

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plaintiffs. If they do that, they motion would not be enough. We would

:15:52.:15:57.

then need a bill as well. While this is going on, anybody studying

:15:58.:16:02.

A-level politics should be watching the Supreme Court hearing because

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you are getting an almost English Civil War enunciation of the English

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Cottage Ouschan for first time by people who know about it -- English

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Constitution. The critical problem for the soft Brexiteers like me, I

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want the softest possible Brexit, we must do it, but I want to stay in

:16:28.:16:31.

the Single Market, I want minimal changes to the freedom of movement.

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If it isn't that and the Europeans at the end of the two years give us

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a very tough deal, what do you do? The people on the Labour benches and

:16:42.:16:46.

the Conservative rebels need to be prepared to say that they would vote

:16:47.:16:51.

it down. Let's go to the White Paper first. Do you think they would have

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to be legislation to enact the White Paper? No, the White Paper, we are

:16:55.:17:00.

muddling up two things, we may or may not need legislation to enact

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Article 50. The negotiation will result in an agreement and the

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agreement may or may not need legislation but the negotiating

:17:13.:17:17.

position could not be... Unless there is a mad amendment put in the

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Article 50 bill saying that the government must achieve this and

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this, that would be crazy. I assume that is what Labour would like to

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do, if the government laid out a negotiating position, its broad

:17:31.:17:35.

position in an act of Parliament... That would be crazy. You would want

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to amend it? We can't do the crystal ball gazing, if they come forward

:17:42.:17:45.

with a plan, a piece of legislation that isn't in the national interest

:17:46.:17:49.

and we have to go to them and say that you have to come back with a

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better one. The clear thing is not connecting it to not triggering

:17:54.:17:57.

Article 50. We need to hold the government to account, not the

:17:58.:18:01.

ransom. I'm trying to get clarity here -- not to ransom. He White

:18:02.:18:06.

Paper wouldn't be that long but it would outline the strategic aims of

:18:07.:18:12.

the government, and then almost a short, almost a three line act of

:18:13.:18:18.

Parliament simply saying, we now vote to trigger Article 50 and begin

:18:19.:18:23.

negotiations as laid out in the government White Paper. What the

:18:24.:18:26.

government has promised is a vote at the end of the Article 50 process. I

:18:27.:18:31.

think that's the key. This is so dynamic. On the deal? Yes. David

:18:32.:18:38.

Davies said yesterday that he thinks it is inconceivable that there

:18:39.:18:41.

wouldn't be a vote at the end of the two-year period. He probably said it

:18:42.:18:46.

was inconceivable that Donald Trump would win! I'm not a betting man.

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The bill won't mention the White Paper, the negotiation will not be

:18:54.:18:57.

made just as a bull in law. Our system works. The government

:18:58.:19:03.

proposes and Parliament disposes. If Parliament does not like the

:19:04.:19:09.

government's negotiating in the European Union, ultimately

:19:10.:19:11.

Parliament can sack the government and it would become an issue of

:19:12.:19:15.

confidence and I'm certain we would win on the issue. At the end of the

:19:16.:19:19.

process, what would happen if we have a vote, two years have gone and

:19:20.:19:24.

we have a deal, some will like it and some won't. If the Commons then

:19:25.:19:30.

voted for the deal, off we go, but if it votes against the deal, it

:19:31.:19:35.

isn't a vote for a better deal, it's not even a vote to stay or leave, it

:19:36.:19:41.

is just a vote for no deal. I think... These are all

:19:42.:19:44.

hypotheticals, but I think it's more possible than not, actually. It

:19:45.:19:50.

takes two to tango and the Europeans are in no mood to give us anything

:19:51.:19:54.

other than a hard, clear Brexit. That may suit the government. It

:19:55.:19:59.

might but it might not suit them because they need to sell to British

:20:00.:20:04.

industry this transitional deal of Nissan getting a piece of the

:20:05.:20:08.

action, the insurance industry getting equivalents. Even this

:20:09.:20:13.

fairly Eurosceptic Tory government would not accent a straightforward

:20:14.:20:19.

brick. Do you have a clear idea in your mind off what the broad

:20:20.:20:24.

strategic aims should be off Brexit? I can give my opinion, I don't have

:20:25.:20:29.

any inside knowledge. I think the government is likely to make a very

:20:30.:20:34.

broad offer, 00 offer on tariffs and an offered to translate the regular

:20:35.:20:41.

tui services for trade into a system of mutual recognition -- regulatory

:20:42.:20:48.

services. It is in everybody's interests to do that. The

:20:49.:20:52.

alternative, especially on tariffs, if they don't want to do that offer,

:20:53.:20:57.

we would go to the WTO tariffs and we would raise a lot of money on EU

:20:58.:21:02.

imports into the country which we could spend an Loring business

:21:03.:21:08.

taxation, improving incentives. -- Loring. -- Loring taxes. There is

:21:09.:21:16.

this talk about access to the Single Market. If they wanted us to pay for

:21:17.:21:20.

access, then they are caught tariffs and we will pay them. I didn't ask

:21:21.:21:25.

about tariffs, that's another issue. Where does this leave the Supreme

:21:26.:21:30.

Court? The top judge on the Supreme Court said, I'm not saying it's his

:21:31.:21:36.

opinion, I suspect it isn't but he said people will wonder, if

:21:37.:21:40.

Parliament has voted for Brexit, as it did by such a huge amount, what's

:21:41.:21:43.

the point of the Supreme Court? The answer perhaps is that the court may

:21:44.:21:49.

still insist that there has to be legislation. The court could insist

:21:50.:21:53.

that but I think we're beginning to see that this action has been rather

:21:54.:22:02.

otiose. Otiose? An American elevator? That's Otis! Unnecessary

:22:03.:22:12.

and time wasting. The Supreme Court had to get themselves out of a

:22:13.:22:17.

difficult spot. The courts don't like to interfere in Parliament. A

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rather odd situation where we are waiting for a judgment... Spending

:22:21.:22:26.

millions of pounds of taxpayers money on this otiose... On the other

:22:27.:22:36.

point you raised about the process, it is vital that we have a

:22:37.:22:39.

transitional arrangement as part of the withdrawal agreement. We aren't

:22:40.:22:44.

going to get the full deal with in the process. I'm going to stop you

:22:45.:22:48.

because we will definitely be back on this! More than once! Thank you

:22:49.:22:51.

both. Many MPs seem to agree

:22:52.:22:53.

that the referendum was a vote in favour of stronger

:22:54.:22:56.

controls on immigration. But beyond that, there doesn't seem

:22:57.:22:58.

to be much agreement on what our immigration system

:22:59.:23:00.

should look like once Well, today the Home Affairs Select

:23:01.:23:02.

Committee is launching a nationwide Its chair, Yvette Cooper,

:23:03.:23:06.

has been speaking this morning. Let's take a look at

:23:07.:23:10.

what she had to say. We know that immigration

:23:11.:23:13.

is important for Britain but it also has to be controlled and managed

:23:14.:23:16.

so that the system is fair, and so the public can

:23:17.:23:19.

have confidence in it Right now, that doesn't happen

:23:20.:23:21.

and public concern has steadily grown and it has consistently been

:23:22.:23:31.

among the highest concerns Often the debate about immigration

:23:32.:23:36.

has been angry and polarised and has been an excuse for some people

:23:37.:23:42.

to whip up fear or anger and divide communities,

:23:43.:23:47.

making it harder to have thoughtful discussion about the

:23:48.:23:50.

reforms that are needed. And some people have

:23:51.:23:56.

felt that they simply What do you think the referendum

:23:57.:24:05.

told us about people's opinions on immigration? I think for a lot of

:24:06.:24:09.

people it was about immigration and wanting more control. For others it

:24:10.:24:14.

wasn't and we shouldn't oversimplify it. For some people it was about

:24:15.:24:18.

sovereignty, for some people it was concerns about the economy, simply

:24:19.:24:23.

wanting change but for a lot of people it was about immigration. I

:24:24.:24:29.

think more widely, if you look at concern across the country, around

:24:30.:24:33.

half of the people in opinion polls will say that immigration benefits

:24:34.:24:36.

the economy but three quarters will say that they want the level to be

:24:37.:24:43.

lower. A mixture of opinions, in favour of coming in and staying out.

:24:44.:24:51.

You seem to have all of the information. The enquiry is going to

:24:52.:24:55.

look at three things. On Brexit, what does it mean? What kinds of

:24:56.:25:00.

controls do people want? What sorts of reforms could you have? Sometimes

:25:01.:25:05.

people have talked about work permits, points-based systems,

:25:06.:25:10.

controls on low skilled migration, free movement. There is a series of

:25:11.:25:15.

different things. We know people want change, but what kind of

:25:16.:25:19.

change? People don't have a voice in that because there is no government

:25:20.:25:23.

consultation happening. We want another Trinity for people across

:25:24.:25:26.

the country to get involved in the debate. -- and opportunity. When you

:25:27.:25:34.

look at Brexit and its effects, is it about Loring the number of

:25:35.:25:37.

immigrants coming here? It is going to be open to whatever anybody wants

:25:38.:25:43.

to raise with us. If people across the UK say that isn't what we voted

:25:44.:25:48.

for in the referendum, even if we voted Leave, and a lot of people say

:25:49.:25:52.

we are happy with immigration, then that is what you advise the

:25:53.:25:58.

government to do? I wouldn't expect that to be the conclusion but we

:25:59.:26:02.

should have a chance to have the debate. Would you admit that you

:26:03.:26:07.

didn't know what was going on in your own constituency and nor did

:26:08.:26:12.

many Labour MPs. Your seat is in Normington. If you look at the vote,

:26:13.:26:18.

63% voted leave, would you say that you are out of touch with your

:26:19.:26:22.

constituents? No, because I knew people were concerned about

:26:23.:26:25.

immigration. But you did nothing about it. And they were concerned

:26:26.:26:30.

about the EU as well. That's one of the reasons why I thought, even

:26:31.:26:34.

before the referendum, that we should have more restrictions on

:26:35.:26:38.

free movement and I argued that before the referendum because I

:26:39.:26:42.

think the real concern in an area like mine is immigration being

:26:43.:26:48.

exploited by employers using it to undercut wages and jobs. This isn't

:26:49.:26:53.

about one constituency. It is a place to start. It is about all over

:26:54.:27:00.

the country. You are a Labour MP and it is a start and David Miliband

:27:01.:27:06.

also said that you recognise the problem of too many low skilled

:27:07.:27:09.

migrants from Eastern Europe but were not prepared to end freedom of

:27:10.:27:14.

movement, were you? I called for reforms to freedom of movement

:27:15.:27:16.

because I thought we should have that within the EU, that is

:27:17.:27:20.

something I have always thought. David Cameron asked for that and did

:27:21.:27:24.

not get it. We had that debate in the referendum, but we know that the

:27:25.:27:30.

Brexit negotiations are going to start, the key thing is what our

:27:31.:27:34.

people are going to want from it? My view is that we shouldn't be arguing

:27:35.:27:38.

to carry on with free movement, there have been a series of issues.

:27:39.:27:42.

We should be looking at what controls people want. I don't want

:27:43.:27:47.

to prejudge what has to be a cross-party enquiry and a different

:27:48.:27:51.

kind of enquiry. Select committees don't normally do this kind of

:27:52.:27:54.

enquiry and we will go around the country listening to people's views

:27:55.:27:59.

and see if we can build a consensus. Often it has been too divided. And

:28:00.:28:03.

within the Labour Party because you say you recognise some of the

:28:04.:28:06.

concerns and would like restrictions on freedom of movement but Jeremy

:28:07.:28:13.

Corbyn, Diane Abbott and Emily form bree believes that immigration has

:28:14.:28:16.

been hugely beneficial, they have the figures to back it up, so how

:28:17.:28:21.

does Labour square that? You think the numbers should come down and

:28:22.:28:25.

they don't. I disagree with Jeremy and Diane on that and that's

:28:26.:28:30.

something I've said for some time. So does the party have an agreed

:28:31.:28:37.

position on the issue on which you are doing the enquiry? Party has to

:28:38.:28:40.

have its processes to make the decision and that is for the front

:28:41.:28:44.

bench but what we are trying to do is a backbench select committee

:28:45.:28:47.

enquiry where we are not driven by the front bench positions, whether

:28:48.:28:51.

that's what the government says or the Labour front bench day. We

:28:52.:28:56.

listen to evidence from around the country and try and pull together

:28:57.:28:59.

what a consensus should be. I agree that immigration has benefited,

:29:00.:29:05.

people coming from abroad, has benefited the country for centuries,

:29:06.:29:08.

it just has to be managed so the system is fair. We've talked about

:29:09.:29:12.

immigration for a long time, people may say that we have had a

:29:13.:29:16.

referendum, not Mrs Willey on immigration but it was a big part of

:29:17.:29:19.

it for many people in favour and against, so what will be enquiry do?

:29:20.:29:26.

-- not necessarily. There are two processes, one where the government

:29:27.:29:28.

gets a position on freedom of movement, it doesn't have one. The

:29:29.:29:32.

government says it wants to restrict freedom of movement. It has not

:29:33.:29:38.

given us any detail. Labour needs a national policy forum and must come

:29:39.:29:41.

up with what it wants to replace freedom of movement. Freedom of

:29:42.:29:45.

movement has gone, it is part of the Treaty of Lisbon, we will be out in

:29:46.:29:49.

two years, so all of the parties need a replacement. The process of

:29:50.:29:54.

democratic, liberal minded politicians trying to hear and also

:29:55.:29:58.

heal what is coming from working class communities. We have this kind

:29:59.:30:04.

of euphemism, concerned about migration. I come from a town where

:30:05.:30:09.

there hasn't been a lot of immigration but it is now the target

:30:10.:30:13.

of Ukip, they are apparently going to stand in the by-election. I know

:30:14.:30:17.

how migration has played with my dad's generation. It seemed to them

:30:18.:30:22.

that what was being said is that we have destroyed your union rights and

:30:23.:30:27.

many services you rely on and here is the ideal worker, somebody with

:30:28.:30:33.

no writes, no right to vote, and we need to be able to go to them and

:30:34.:30:37.

say, we have an answer, a clear political answer that allows you to

:30:38.:30:42.

be comfortable with what are inevitable high levels of migration

:30:43.:30:45.

with or without the EU. Do you think Jeremy Corbyn has been

:30:46.:30:53.

wrong to say he is not worried, relaxed about numbers, for those

:30:54.:30:56.

communities you talked about? He specifically said, somebody put to

:30:57.:30:59.

him, is there going to be a numbers thing? I think you don't start out

:31:00.:31:03.

from a number. You would then have to go to a General Hospital across

:31:04.:31:08.

the road in London and say which of the Greek, Italian or Spanish nurses

:31:09.:31:11.

you don't want to be there. You start from the principle of

:31:12.:31:14.

reengaging with people's genuine concerns. Thank you very much,

:31:15.:31:16.

Yvette Cooper. Fresh splits have emerged

:31:17.:31:22.

in the Corbynite campaigning organisation, Momentum,

:31:23.:31:24.

which was set up in the wake of Jeremy Corbyn's election

:31:25.:31:26.

as Labour leader in 2015. The power struggle has placed

:31:27.:31:31.

a question mark over the future of the organisation and those

:31:32.:31:34.

close to Jeremy Corbyn fear the emergence of what they call

:31:35.:31:36.

a "parallel party". Momentum emerged just over a year

:31:37.:31:49.

ago, following Jeremy Corbyn' elections. Now at the centre of a

:31:50.:31:53.

power struggle t has over 20,000 members and tens of thousands more

:31:54.:31:57.

on its valuable data base, currently in the hands of its founder. Join

:31:58.:32:03.

Momentum, let's build our movement. It is a great campaigning tool and

:32:04.:32:08.

played a crucial role in helping get Jeremy Corbyn re-elected in the

:32:09.:32:13.

summer. But now, so-called younger movementists, complain of a takeover

:32:14.:32:19.

by older sectarianists. After a vote last Saturday handed power to a few

:32:20.:32:23.

dozen delegates, rather than giving thousands of members a vote in

:32:24.:32:28.

shaping Momentum's future direction. One on the winning side was Jill

:32:29.:32:31.

Mountford from the Alliance For Workers' Liberty. She is a member of

:32:32.:32:36.

Momentum's ruling committee but was ex#13e8d from the Labour Party. What

:32:37.:32:40.

direction does she want Momentum to move in? I want it to pryer

:32:41.:32:46.

advertise a campaign against austerity, against social inequality

:32:47.:32:50.

and a campaign that rises the idea that solidarity wants working class

:32:51.:32:53.

people fighting for a better national health service a better

:32:54.:32:57.

welfare state. For the public ownership of the utilities, of the

:32:58.:33:00.

banks of the railways. These are the things that Momentum should be

:33:01.:33:04.

campaigning for now. But some activists fear this could lead to a

:33:05.:33:10.

takeover of Momentum. One member of Jeremy Corbyn's office told me,

:33:11.:33:15.

"Momentum is starting to look like a parallel political party", describe

:33:16.:33:19.

Saturday's result as "extremely problem attic." Momentum's women's

:33:20.:33:24.

rep, Laura Murray was at the meeting and was horrified and wrote that the

:33:25.:33:28.

"Magsal committee was like a doughnut with a desire for change

:33:29.:33:32.

with a sticky centre of angry socialist stalwarts. She said the:

:33:33.:33:47.

Professor Cecile Wright was also at the meeting. I'm not quite sure

:33:48.:33:56.

whether we have lost a great deal. The thing is, members will still

:33:57.:34:01.

participate in the activities. I would have preferred the greater

:34:02.:34:05.

participation of one member one vote. Because, it's an in accord

:34:06.:34:11.

with what Momentum stands for. So, without wishing to reference the

:34:12.:34:15.

people's front of Judaea here, could this potential split of the

:34:16.:34:18.

left-of-centre left, be good news for the centre left? I don't think

:34:19.:34:23.

this is really good news for anyone in the Labour Party. Jeremy Corbyn

:34:24.:34:27.

has said we are on general election footing and Momentum who have

:34:28.:34:31.

brought in lots of new supporters in the party through Jeremy Corbyn's

:34:32.:34:34.

leadership have spent six weeks arguing about a meeting about a

:34:35.:34:37.

conference that is going to be taking place in two months' time.

:34:38.:34:41.

Instead of focussing on the kind of issues that we should be foe cousin

:34:42.:34:46.

on, in the lead-up to a general election. -- focussing on. How do

:34:47.:34:52.

this develop? The left issues that there are involved in the national

:34:53.:34:55.

committee, on this occasion, they want to be part of the mainstream, a

:34:56.:34:59.

mainstream platform to talk about socialist ideas. Floss desire

:35:00.:35:05.

whatsoever to be a Momentum party. But even the prospect of some

:35:06.:35:13.

Trotskyists being handed power to shape Momentum is already proving a

:35:14.:35:14.

contentious issue. We're joined now by Luke Akehurst

:35:15.:35:17.

who is secretary of Labour First, And spaul with us. Paul it was

:35:18.:35:31.

writeden in August that Trotskyists were infiltrating Momentum. And the

:35:32.:35:37.

Corbyn said he was pedalling conspiracy theories. The person

:35:38.:35:40.

there, Jill Mountford is not a member of the Labour Party. How she

:35:41.:35:45.

could have been infiltrating Labour by Momentum is difficult to see.

:35:46.:35:49.

Vieia. Why is this happening? In response to this big bust-up that

:35:50.:35:53.

happened in summer, Momentum was trying to gits act #20g9. The way it

:35:54.:35:57.

was trying to do -- get its act together. It was two fold. One

:35:58.:36:02.

member one vote and having an app, like on your cell phone to vote for

:36:03.:36:06.

things that you wanted. What is it there to do? To avoid tiny groups of

:36:07.:36:12.

he enactment Trotskyists from the 1970s taking over. That's their key

:36:13.:36:18.

skill. Are they trying to do that? Well, look some are not Trotskyists.

:36:19.:36:21.

What does that lady call them in the article there? You know a sticky

:36:22.:36:27.

centre of older people obsessed with sectarian methodology. Socialist

:36:28.:36:34.

stalwarts People who are obsessed with anti-Zionism, people obsessed

:36:35.:36:36.

with what we call single issue politics. So it is not just the

:36:37.:36:42.

small - some are not Trotskyists, some are rampant supporters of

:36:43.:36:45.

Vladimir Putin. And a lot of them are not in the Labour Party. We

:36:46.:36:49.

should - Momentum I'm a member of Momentum. The point if you are

:36:50.:36:53.

infiltrating, you are not in the Labour Party but you want to get

:36:54.:36:59.

into T The point of Momentum. It has a tiny apparatus and cannot police

:37:00.:37:02.

itself the way a party K one of the reasons why people like me joined

:37:03.:37:07.

it, is you have Labour First, you saw them there, we need an

:37:08.:37:11.

organisation in Labour that broadly supports Jeremy's politics. I need

:37:12.:37:15.

to bring him in. What due make of it? Well -- do you make? It is quite

:37:16.:37:20.

extraordinary. For people on my moderate wing of the Labour Party,

:37:21.:37:24.

we sat back, watching the spectacle of an organisation that just

:37:25.:37:28.

delivered us a second leadership election victory for Jeremy Corbyn,

:37:29.:37:32.

ripping itself apart over the most obscure issues of internal policy

:37:33.:37:37.

making. I don't understand why an inTesche grouping within the Labour

:37:38.:37:40.

Party needs -- an internal grouping within the Labour Party needs to

:37:41.:37:42.

have conferences and policy making. That's the job of the Labour Party.

:37:43.:37:46.

I don't understand why they didn't listen to what Tom Watson said in

:37:47.:37:51.

the summer. He said "These Trotskyists groups up to this,

:37:52.:37:55.

Momentum could straightforwardly say the Labour Party has expelled you

:37:56.:37:58.

because you are a member of an entryist organisation, you have no

:37:59.:38:02.

place in a group whose primary function is to operate inside the

:38:03.:38:06.

Labour Party." They didn't listen and made a rod for their own back.

:38:07.:38:11.

The daughter of the Unite Chief of Staff, Andrew Murray, a leading

:38:12.:38:16.

member of Momentum, she said of trod skiism "We would be engaging in

:38:17.:38:20.

collective self-denial if we were to downplay its prevalence in

:38:21.:38:25.

Momentum." And goes on to talk bits vocal, disruptive, overbearing but

:38:26.:38:29.

they have won key positions in the regional commented and comments "The

:38:30.:38:34.

sectarian attitude taken by Trotskyite groups within Momentum is

:38:35.:38:37.

destructive in our movement? I would say that's broadly right. What I

:38:38.:38:43.

would finish is what you said, although slightly less VIP

:38:44.:38:47.

dictively. Momentum needs to become ready to be an affiliated society

:38:48.:38:51.

for Labour. Everybody has to be in the Labour Party, and confirm to

:38:52.:38:55.

Labour Party rules, and if somebody breaks Labour rules as for example,

:38:56.:39:02.

Jackie Watson was doomed to have done, so she's suspended from the

:39:03.:39:06.

party. So a modern Tribune group? Yes but not like Tribune in this

:39:07.:39:11.

sense, we need to be a network, observe, broad and diverse. Would

:39:12.:39:17.

that satisfy you? Well, yes, I don't - I think it is fine for

:39:18.:39:22.

organisations with particular left-wing policy stance that want to

:39:23.:39:25.

take Labour in a particular direction to exist inside the Labour

:39:26.:39:30.

Party, as long as they are not providing a bridgehead for people

:39:31.:39:33.

whose loyalty is to another party. You think they are. . So Jill

:39:34.:39:39.

Mountford she is a members of Alliance For Workers' Liberty, she

:39:40.:39:42.

was expelled from the Labour Party for that. It was a separate

:39:43.:39:46.

political party registered on the Electoral Commission. It is blatant

:39:47.:39:50.

in its wish to enter into the Labour Party and recruit people and try to

:39:51.:39:55.

take it over. Were you with David Aaron Viv, a former member of the

:39:56.:39:59.

Communist Party of Great Britain. He said "Labour is just a carcass for

:40:00.:40:03.

the trots to feast off." I don't think it is that far gone but if it

:40:04.:40:08.

car advice on at this level that's had you it'll end up. I think the

:40:09.:40:13.

party is in healthier state below the national level, where Momentum

:40:14.:40:16.

as a whole is being pushed back. Being pushed back? Being pushed back

:40:17.:40:24.

at regional conferences and constituency parties AGMs. The

:40:25.:40:28.

people on my side of the party are in fine fettle. You are in Momentum.

:40:29.:40:35.

Tell us what it is like. Buzz Feed published an account of a meeting,

:40:36.:40:39.

it involved 18 members of the national committee, including the

:40:40.:40:43.

fire union boss, pretty much on the hard left along with for people on

:40:44.:40:48.

the Trotskyite group, Mack 2, which you have referred to. How many are

:40:49.:40:54.

---ing Mc-2. How many are in this appliance, I don't think you would

:40:55.:40:58.

need a double Devon and Cornwall bus. -- Alliance For Workers'

:40:59.:41:09.

Liberty and Labour Party Marxists. I think that's Red Labour. I have

:41:10.:41:12.

tried to research. My short answer, I have no idea. I have never been to

:41:13.:41:18.

a meeting. Why did you join them? Out of solidarity. The majority of

:41:19.:41:22.

new members, the energy that they brought, whilst you are right, that

:41:23.:41:29.

some of our local constituency party is increedably vibrant and include

:41:30.:41:33.

people from all parts of the country but to get things done you need to

:41:34.:41:36.

have some form of local organisation. But I can tell you

:41:37.:41:40.

this, if Jill Mountford is not allowed into the Labour Party and I

:41:41.:41:45.

cannot see her in short order being allowed to be in it and remains an

:41:46.:41:50.

expelled member of the party and remains in Momentum I will not

:41:51.:41:53.

remain it and nor will, I can tell you thousands of us. This will be

:41:54.:41:57.

sorted in the direction of party loyalty, discipline and a moving on,

:41:58.:42:00.

very quickly. Well, I hope it is sorted. Because it is really

:42:01.:42:05.

confusing. Me, too, actually. It is like the People's Front of Judaea.

:42:06.:42:12.

What does PC stand for? Provisional committee. Even they said it was a

:42:13.:42:20.

coup I looked it up. People need to look at the other faction of

:42:21.:42:22.

Momentum and the background of people. Certainly in terms of family

:42:23.:42:27.

background but Laura Murray's dad, is or was on the Poll it Borough of

:42:28.:42:33.

the Communist Party of Britain. There is an element of Stalinists

:42:34.:42:36.

Trotskyism going on here. That is not yet a crime. Final li, I would

:42:37.:42:44.

suggest interestingly, finally, I would suggest it is interesting,

:42:45.:42:48.

maybe from Mr Corbyn's position is Len McCluskey and him standing again

:42:49.:42:51.

for election, as I understand t you are a member of Unite. What do you

:42:52.:42:56.

make? You shouldn't underestimate the strategic pornces of this, if

:42:57.:43:01.

Len was to lose to injury articled Coin who will probably be the

:43:02.:43:06.

moderate candidate. -- Gerard. Do you think he will? I think it is

:43:07.:43:12.

possible. That it is very important in ter with the big blocks of vote

:43:13.:43:14.

that is come with Unite and I the push lined

:43:15.:43:33.

jeered Coin will be the push on labour's rights and stop interfering

:43:34.:43:36.

in the policies of the Labour Party so much.

:43:37.:43:42.

Our MPs are all elected by a simple majority in one

:43:43.:43:44.

But across the Kingdom we will now use a variety of electoral systems.

:43:45.:43:48.

But now Conservative MP, Ranil Jayawardena, wants first past

:43:49.:43:51.

the post for every election in England as he told

:43:52.:43:55.

It is first-past-the-post that gives our constituents the certainty

:43:56.:44:00.

of knowing who their representative is in this place and this is widely

:44:01.:44:04.

understood by the people of this country as well.

:44:05.:44:09.

In the referendum of 2011, first-past-the-post was strongly

:44:10.:44:12.

supported by a margin of more than 2-1.

:44:13.:44:14.

Its greatest strength, of course, is that every person has

:44:15.:44:16.

one vote and the candidate who gets the most votes wins.

:44:17.:44:20.

It does not unnecessarily burden the taxpayer with equipment

:44:21.:44:27.

and administration costs and the results are declared

:44:28.:44:29.

quickly, which provides additional certainty,

:44:30.:44:31.

And the Conservative MP Ranil Jaywardena joins me now.

:44:32.:44:40.

And we're also joined from Cardiff by Katie Ghose

:44:41.:44:42.

from the Electoral Reform Society, which campaigns for more

:44:43.:44:45.

Welcome to both of you. What are you so worried about? The way that

:44:46.:44:58.

people voted in 2011 was very clear, 2-to-1, they want to keep first past

:44:59.:45:02.

the post and bit by bit it is being chipped away. We should listen to

:45:03.:45:07.

the people. The problem with first past the post is that you can't turn

:45:08.:45:11.

the clock back, we have a range of different systems used for different

:45:12.:45:14.

elections and it gives other parties a chance. We are turning the clock

:45:15.:45:19.

back according to the wishes of the people in terms of the European

:45:20.:45:22.

Union, the people have said that we should leave, why don't we listen to

:45:23.:45:27.

what they said in 2011 by more than 2-to-1 and allow people a clear

:45:28.:45:32.

choice? What was the turnout? You have that data, not me. 67% of

:45:33.:45:38.

people voted. The turnout was lower than we would like because it wasn't

:45:39.:45:43.

a local election day. Another part of the bill was to increase turnout

:45:44.:45:48.

in local elections. What do you say in response to the idea that this is

:45:49.:45:53.

listening to the people? It is unusual to have this conversation

:45:54.:45:56.

about turning the clock back. This proposal would be a big step

:45:57.:46:00.

backwards for democracy just at a time when people are wanting to

:46:01.:46:04.

support more parties than ever before and to have a real choice.

:46:05.:46:09.

Downgrading institutions and officeholder elections that are

:46:10.:46:14.

important to the most archaic voting system would actually denied people

:46:15.:46:17.

a choice in the vote that counts and there's a reason why every new is

:46:18.:46:22.

the Jewish in an office like the police and crime commissioners have

:46:23.:46:27.

adopted a fairer system -- white is a new institution and office.

:46:28.:46:29.

Is there grounds for the voting public to change the system even

:46:30.:46:37.

further? There is definitely growing support for the growing principle

:46:38.:46:43.

that votes should be fairly reflected in Parliament. But

:46:44.:46:46.

changing the first past the post system? What's the evidence that

:46:47.:46:51.

people want change it? The latest research shows three quarters of

:46:52.:46:54.

people believe there should be a much better reflection of votes cast

:46:55.:47:00.

in the number of seats that parties get in parliaments and assemblies.

:47:01.:47:05.

We live in a multiparty democracy whichever way you luck at it,

:47:06.:47:10.

although Labour the Tories dominate. In 2011, they got two thirds of the

:47:11.:47:18.

vote. This is about whether we want political parties to be able to

:47:19.:47:24.

stage deals up, like, sadly, the coalition, which is thankfully a

:47:25.:47:28.

rarity. Was the coalition a mistake? I want a majority government so that

:47:29.:47:33.

the people know... That was first past the post. It is a rarity.

:47:34.:47:39.

People need a clear choice. People knew what Tony Blair was going to

:47:40.:47:43.

achieve, they can make a clear choice and kick out a government and

:47:44.:47:49.

they can't do that with PR. That is simple, everybody understands first

:47:50.:47:52.

past the post. When you look at the other ways of voting, the

:47:53.:47:56.

alternative vote, single transferable vote, I'm not sure I

:47:57.:47:59.

could give you a definitive expiration of each of them. People

:48:00.:48:05.

understand first past the post. People understand and are coping

:48:06.:48:08.

extremely well with a variety of systems that we have in place in the

:48:09.:48:13.

UK and I don't think it would be for any of us to say to Scottish or

:48:14.:48:16.

Welsh voters and people who voted in the London assembly elections that

:48:17.:48:21.

they can't cope. I didn't say they can't cope, they may say they prefer

:48:22.:48:27.

a simple system. There is no evidence and certainly not a

:48:28.:48:31.

groundswell for people to stay with the status quo. The two choice

:48:32.:48:37.

system, supplementary vote for the mayor and police commissioners. If

:48:38.:48:43.

you have quite a lot of executive power, it is important to have the

:48:44.:48:47.

broad support of your community and that is why the two choice system,

:48:48.:48:51.

the supplementary vote system, was introduced, so people could have

:48:52.:48:59.

legitimacy. So there is no evidence? The Electoral Reform Society is

:49:00.:49:03.

supposedly a charity but they are not very independent at all. Bernard

:49:04.:49:07.

Jenkins looked at this before as chairman of the public

:49:08.:49:11.

administration committee. Not independent, based on what? Katie

:49:12.:49:15.

has previously sought selection as a Labour Party candidate. Most Labour

:49:16.:49:20.

MPs support first past the post. It is important not to allow the

:49:21.:49:23.

society to speak for the whole country. The people who spoke for

:49:24.:49:27.

the country are the people who spoke in the referendum. You must answer

:49:28.:49:30.

that point that you are not independent. I am proud to be the

:49:31.:49:36.

chief executive of a nonpartisan organisation, every day of the week

:49:37.:49:41.

we work with parties from all just make people from all parties and

:49:42.:49:43.

none. We are concerned about voter choice. People have changed voting

:49:44.:49:49.

patterns for a long time, wanting to support a wider range of parties

:49:50.:49:53.

than ever before. The problem is that we are trying to cram what

:49:54.:49:57.

worked for a 2-party system when most of us voted for Conservative or

:49:58.:50:01.

Labour, doesn't work any more. People are wanting a real choice in

:50:02.:50:06.

their politics and that's what myself and my organisation are all

:50:07.:50:11.

about. Why do you think it would be particularly appropriate in these

:50:12.:50:14.

turbulent times? People want to be able to decide on a host of issues,

:50:15.:50:18.

how the country is taken forward and how their local area is governed. We

:50:19.:50:24.

haven't discussed giving people a super Thursday, a chance to shape

:50:25.:50:28.

local government across every area of government, which works in other

:50:29.:50:33.

countries and we would save over ?20 million, and it would give people a

:50:34.:50:36.

decisive decision over how the country is governed. That's it,

:50:37.:50:45.

thank you. Interesting development being reported by Bloomberg, the

:50:46.:50:48.

McDonald's Corporation saying is going to create a new holding

:50:49.:50:55.

company based in the UK, moving from Luxembourg and paying tax on the

:50:56.:50:59.

royalties it receives from food sales everywhere in the world

:51:00.:51:03.

outside the United States. Interesting development. HMRC may be

:51:04.:51:04.

opening the champagne. Now, it's that time of year

:51:05.:51:06.

when the pundits get out their crystal balls and start

:51:07.:51:09.

making predictions for But if you'd bet this time 12 months

:51:10.:51:11.

ago on Britain voting to leave the European Union, or

:51:12.:51:16.

Donald Trump being elected President of spare cash to enjoy this

:51:17.:51:19.

Christmas. So, what could the new

:51:20.:51:25.

year have in store? For instance, could 2017 be the year

:51:26.:51:27.

when we see Jeremy Corbyn walk We'll be discussing that with our

:51:28.:51:30.

Guest of the Day in a moment. But first here's a look back on some

:51:31.:51:34.

of the more unexpected Just as warning, there's some flash

:51:35.:51:37.

photography in the mix. Good God. I will be advocating vote

:51:38.:51:48.

lead. -- Leave. The British people have spoken and the answer is, we're

:51:49.:51:59.

out. Extraordinary moment. Brexit! I think the country requires fresh

:52:00.:52:02.

leadership to take it in this direction. I no longer have

:52:03.:52:12.

confidence in his leadership and he then dismissed me from the Shadow

:52:13.:52:16.

Cabinet. I don't think Jeremy is in a position to provide the leadership

:52:17.:52:20.

we need to be able to offer the voters and the country. Keep Corbyn!

:52:21.:52:28.

Jeremy Corbyn is elected the leader of the Labour Party. After just 18

:52:29.:52:35.

days in charge it is reported that Diane Jaynes has quit as leader of

:52:36.:52:39.

Ukip. There's never been a US presidential campaign quite like it.

:52:40.:52:46.

OK! They have just called Florida for Donald Trump.

:52:47.:52:54.

An amazing evening, it's been an amazing two year period and I love

:52:55.:53:02.

this country. Thank you, thank you very much. You don't often hear that

:53:03.:53:09.

in American presidential candidates, loving America!

:53:10.:53:11.

What memories, and that was just the short version.

:53:12.:53:13.

Paul Mason is still with us and we're joined now

:53:14.:53:15.

by Philip Collins from The Times who was also a former

:53:16.:53:18.

Have the odds improved on Mr Corbyn becoming Prime Minister? I don't

:53:19.:53:24.

think so, unfortunately. If you are 16 points behind at this stage it is

:53:25.:53:30.

probably not likely. To be fair to Mr Corbyn, you must say that

:53:31.:53:33.

Labour's problems go back before he was the leader, it is going to be

:53:34.:53:37.

difficult for Labour to win if it can't regain a significant number of

:53:38.:53:40.

seats in Scotland and it lost that before he became the leader. Indeed.

:53:41.:53:47.

So the task is very difficult. The polls don't have a great track

:53:48.:53:51.

record but they have often been wrong within a margin of error, like

:53:52.:53:55.

the US election and they were not that inaccurate on the popular vote

:53:56.:54:00.

there. They would have to be really wrong about Mr Corbyn for him to be

:54:01.:54:05.

the next Prime Minister. I don't think they're wrong, but they may

:54:06.:54:08.

underestimate Labour support in England and Wales by a bit. At the

:54:09.:54:12.

moment that spy will be where we are. -- that's probably where we

:54:13.:54:17.

are. Britain leaves the European Union, that is big and we are in a

:54:18.:54:23.

new crisis which is going to get worse next year. What Labour then

:54:24.:54:29.

has to do is basically come to power as an insurgency and say that we

:54:30.:54:35.

have a solution, if the Tory government falls apart. They are to

:54:36.:54:39.

be screaming at each other in number ten over this Boris Johnson thing.

:54:40.:54:43.

As soon as they try to do anything positive they fall apart. That's how

:54:44.:54:47.

I see Labour getting into a position to form a government. In order to

:54:48.:54:52.

suggest that Labour could form a government you have two postulate

:54:53.:54:56.

some kind of catastrophe for the Theresa May government over the next

:54:57.:54:59.

year or so and the obvious way to do that is to say that leaving the EU

:55:00.:55:05.

will be a disaster for the country. I don't take the apocalypse view, I

:55:06.:55:09.

don't think it's going to be a disaster and even if there is

:55:10.:55:12.

economic detriment come I don't think it is going to be a decisive

:55:13.:55:16.

event like black Wednesday, I think it will be incremental and slow, so

:55:17.:55:19.

the political consequences when to be as slow and -- as immediate. Can

:55:20.:55:30.

we see Mr Corbyn in the same anti-mainstream vein as Donald

:55:31.:55:34.

Trump? I wouldn't put him there because if you look at immigration,

:55:35.:55:38.

he hasn't made a single attempt to be populist about it. I don't think

:55:39.:55:43.

the left in general is populist at the moment but it has answers about

:55:44.:55:48.

what Britain must become as a post-Brexit society and in a world

:55:49.:55:54.

where globalisation falls apart and the European Union, our closest

:55:55.:55:58.

market, is falling apart and we have a security situation with Russia, we

:55:59.:56:04.

will need parties that can embody social justice and have historic

:56:05.:56:08.

links with working people. The idea that we had a recession, that the

:56:09.:56:13.

answer to that would be... We're going to have a recession. Let's

:56:14.:56:17.

assume we do, extraordinary to suppose that the answered to that

:56:18.:56:21.

will be Jeremy Corbyn and John McDonnell, when they are 20 points

:56:22.:56:25.

behind the Conservatives. It wasn't the answer in the 1930s. It seems

:56:26.:56:33.

unlikely that any... I don't think any leader, any leadership team has

:56:34.:56:36.

come back from the kind of deficits that Labour is running against the

:56:37.:56:42.

Tories. The reaction against what you could call recessionary levels

:56:43.:56:50.

of unemployment in Italy, Spain and Portugal, especially places like

:56:51.:56:53.

France, has been a move to the right, the hard right rather than

:56:54.:56:57.

the hard left. That's been because the social Democratic party in

:56:58.:57:00.

France for example has proved incapable of moving to the left.

:57:01.:57:04.

They tried when they came to power and then they gave it up. They tried

:57:05.:57:13.

with Francois Mitterrand in 92. Places where radical left solutions

:57:14.:57:19.

have been tried, like Greece, they may have been defeated by the IMF

:57:20.:57:22.

but they won two elections and remained in power, an important

:57:23.:57:29.

shield for the Greek people. 20% for the radical left in Spain, three

:57:30.:57:32.

major cities are being run well by them. That is what Labour would have

:57:33.:57:44.

done if Jeremy were not in power. Is Jeremy Corbyn a transitional figure

:57:45.:57:47.

for Labour to something else, something on the left? Very

:57:48.:57:51.

probably, it is probable the next leader will be on the left, not

:57:52.:57:57.

quite where Jeremy Corbyn is. If I was 67 and if someone suggested

:57:58.:58:03.

anything other ban me being transitional why would be surprised.

:58:04.:58:05.

We will need decades to reinvent Labour as a radical left party.

:58:06.:58:12.

Decades? You said that there is a recession coming. The recession is

:58:13.:58:17.

predicted next year by the OBR. No, they didn't. Much more important, we

:58:18.:58:22.

should have an election as soon as possible. Labour have to keep saying

:58:23.:58:26.

that, I believe we can win it. Thank you.

:58:27.:58:28.

There's just time before we go to find out the answer to our quiz.

:58:29.:58:32.

I can't remember the? Back -- the question!

:58:33.:58:37.

What is the correct answer? I don't know where it is. Just about

:58:38.:58:51.

managing, the Jams. You should have told me! That's the point of the

:58:52.:58:53.

quiz. The one o'clock news is starting

:58:54.:58:54.

over on BBC One now. I am on This Week tonight

:58:55.:58:56.

with Liz Kendall, Michael Portillo, Dermot Murnagan and

:58:57.:59:01.

Miriam Gonzalez Durantez. He's a scientist.

:59:02.:59:09.

Brilliant, apparently.

:59:10.:59:12.

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