Browse content similar to 16/01/2017. Check below for episodes and series from the same categories and more!
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Hello, and welcome to the Daily Politics. | :00:00. | :00:40. | |
It will be "a great thing", and Britain is "smart to get out". | :00:41. | :00:43. | |
How quickly could a trade deal be done with the | :00:44. | :00:46. | |
The Northern Ireland Government is on the verge of collapse | :00:47. | :00:51. | |
as the deadline approaches for the appointment | :00:52. | :00:53. | |
of a new Deputy First Minister, after the resignation of Martin | :00:54. | :00:55. | |
Should MPs and peers stay put during the proposed ?3.5 billion | :00:56. | :01:02. | |
Or could brushing shoulders with the builders end up costing | :01:03. | :01:05. | |
While Brexit Nativity does have an undeniable ring to it... | :01:06. | :01:16. | |
And how the marketing men and women are muscling | :01:17. | :01:18. | |
of the programme today are two of British politics' | :01:19. | :01:34. | |
campaigner Dominic Raab who now sits of the Brexit Select Committee. | :01:35. | :01:41. | |
And former Shadow Cabinet Minister Mary Creagh. | :01:42. | :01:42. | |
So, the man who will be US President by the end of the week has | :01:43. | :01:51. | |
love-bombed Britain, confirming what a big fan | :01:52. | :01:53. | |
Donald Trump's intervention comes as more details emerge of the stance | :01:54. | :01:56. | |
the UK will adopt in negotiations with the EU. | :01:57. | :01:59. | |
Tomorrow, Theresa May makes her big speech on leaving the EU, | :02:00. | :02:01. | |
where she is expected to push for a so-called "hard Brexit", | :02:02. | :02:04. | |
prioritising immigration controls and take us out of the customs union | :02:05. | :02:07. | |
Meanwhile, Chancellor Phillip Hammond, in an interview with German | :02:08. | :02:10. | |
newspaper Welt am Sonntag, warned that if the EU limits UK | :02:11. | :02:12. | |
market access after Brexit, Britain could look at an alternative | :02:13. | :02:15. | |
economic model, seen as a warning to the EU that UK could further | :02:16. | :02:18. | |
In an interview in the Times with former Conservative Cabinet | :02:19. | :02:21. | |
Minister Michael Gove, Donald Trump, who will become | :02:22. | :02:23. | |
President on Friday, said that a trade deal with the UK | :02:24. | :02:26. | |
would come "very quickly" and be done "properly". | :02:27. | :02:28. | |
He said it would be "good for both sides". | :02:29. | :02:30. | |
Mr Trump said he would be meeting Theresa May "right after I get | :02:31. | :02:33. | |
The President-elect said he had "great respect" for Angela Merkel, | :02:34. | :02:36. | |
but said that she made "one very catastrophic mistake" by opening | :02:37. | :02:39. | |
Germany's doors to what he called "all of these illegals from wherever | :02:40. | :02:42. | |
The European Union, Mr Trump said, is "a vehicle for Germany" | :02:43. | :02:45. | |
which is why Britain was right to get out. | :02:46. | :02:48. | |
He predicted other countries would soon follow Britain's lead. | :02:49. | :03:21. | |
I thought the UK was so smart in getting out. | :03:22. | :03:24. | |
And you were there, and you guys wrote it and put | :03:25. | :03:27. | |
Trump said that Brexit is going to happen. | :03:28. | :03:31. | |
Obama said they'd go to the back of the line, | :03:32. | :03:40. | |
meaning, if it does happen, and then he had to retract. | :03:41. | :03:43. | |
Are his comments on getting a quick deal a vindication of the Brexit | :03:44. | :03:57. | |
referendum? I think they are one instruction of | :03:58. | :04:02. | |
where the EU tried and failed to get a free trade deal, there are others | :04:03. | :04:07. | |
from Latin America to China and India, and shows Britain outside the | :04:08. | :04:11. | |
EU is well-placed to do those deals. Huge benefits for jobs, cutting | :04:12. | :04:18. | |
prices in the country it confirms what is already written into the | :04:19. | :04:23. | |
political and business markets, there are advantages and it is clear | :04:24. | :04:27. | |
we will have those. Can you trust Donald Trump to | :04:28. | :04:32. | |
deliver a trade deal? The truth is, as with all trade | :04:33. | :04:36. | |
deals with the US, we have to go through Congress. We have a new | :04:37. | :04:40. | |
president taking the opportunity of saying there is a win- win. His | :04:41. | :04:46. | |
language was interesting. That must be better than under President | :04:47. | :04:52. | |
Barack Obama who said we are at the back of the queue. | :04:53. | :04:56. | |
The rhetoric is better. It is nonsense. Looking at that photo of | :04:57. | :05:02. | |
Michael Gove, I was struck by the words, Lala land. No trade deal is | :05:03. | :05:08. | |
seen as completely fair on both sides. It can only take place after | :05:09. | :05:14. | |
2019 when we can leave the EU at earliest. Michael Gove says he wants | :05:15. | :05:21. | |
agencies -- a transitional vote. Trump won the election saying he was | :05:22. | :05:26. | |
against open trade, against the trade deal with the TE TEP. A | :05:27. | :05:33. | |
protectionist president. The idea he will open up to our market, we Stade | :05:34. | :05:43. | |
Toulousain our food standards and assurances. | :05:44. | :05:46. | |
He has a track record of God had it in himself -- to our market, we will | :05:47. | :05:57. | |
lose our food standards. But this cannot happen until we | :05:58. | :06:01. | |
leave the EU so it cannot be that quick. The EU commission has | :06:02. | :06:06. | |
reiterated that timetable, no free trade deal can be confirmed until | :06:07. | :06:12. | |
the UK has left the EU. I can understand why those on the | :06:13. | :06:17. | |
Remain side are disappointed. But it must be a good thing America with | :06:18. | :06:23. | |
its massive market is saying, we are up for this. | :06:24. | :06:27. | |
But not before 2019. We couldn't sign it before then. But | :06:28. | :06:34. | |
people have been talking about 20 years to do this deal. But it is a | :06:35. | :06:39. | |
priority for him. I am not sure why someone the other side feel so | :06:40. | :06:45. | |
disappointed by something which must be good news for British firms, jobs | :06:46. | :06:49. | |
and consumer prices. How can you be confident it will be | :06:50. | :06:55. | |
good news? It may well be, and they will want to hear more about the | :06:56. | :07:01. | |
deal. But, if you look at TTIP, which predates him, there was a lot | :07:02. | :07:08. | |
of concern about opening up our health service. People believe there | :07:09. | :07:12. | |
could have been public services opened up to the American privately | :07:13. | :07:15. | |
owned company, could that happen with a trade deal? | :07:16. | :07:22. | |
I think it is rather flawed. The way it was characterised was | :07:23. | :07:27. | |
wrong. But what was particularly subject to criticism was the dispute | :07:28. | :07:32. | |
settlement mechanism. The advantage of being outside the EU is we have | :07:33. | :07:38. | |
our own dispute settlement division which would kill this scaremongering | :07:39. | :07:40. | |
about the NHS. Looking at the UK economy, Mark | :07:41. | :07:49. | |
Carney, who was sceptical about post-Brexit, has said the economy is | :07:50. | :07:54. | |
growing faster than predicted. Now we have Donald Trump saying he can | :07:55. | :07:58. | |
get a quick trade deal. Brexit does seem to be working at the moment. | :07:59. | :08:07. | |
Brexit has not happened yet. The referendum, Mark Carney took very | :08:08. | :08:11. | |
strong action in the weeks following the referendum in order to shore up | :08:12. | :08:15. | |
the British economy. In the Autumn Statement from Philip Hammond, we | :08:16. | :08:21. | |
saw a ?59 billion black hole. What economic evidence is there to | :08:22. | :08:26. | |
say in the aftermath of the referendum the economy has tanked? | :08:27. | :08:31. | |
The reduction in our tax intake is the evidence of the economy has not | :08:32. | :08:35. | |
done as well. Downgrading the economy, the fact the pound is | :08:36. | :08:39. | |
trading... Hang on. | :08:40. | :08:44. | |
We are the fastest growing economy in the G7. In the aftermath of June, | :08:45. | :08:49. | |
growth went up, not down. Mark Carney dudes some action for | :08:50. | :08:56. | |
quantitive easing to stave off a shock to the UK economy -- Mark | :08:57. | :09:05. | |
Carney took action. The action the bank of England governor took has | :09:06. | :09:09. | |
postponed that shock. You are still expecting there to be | :09:10. | :09:11. | |
a shock? And the pound is now trading down. | :09:12. | :09:21. | |
The markets have reacted to some extent to what Theresa May is going | :09:22. | :09:25. | |
to say and Philip Hammond did say about taking action if you can't get | :09:26. | :09:30. | |
the deal you want with the EU. Are you worried? People might have said | :09:31. | :09:34. | |
the pound was overvalued, if it continues to slide and stayed at a | :09:35. | :09:39. | |
low level for a sustained period, that will hurt people. | :09:40. | :09:47. | |
15% devotion is pretty healthy. Mervyn King said the economy is | :09:48. | :09:51. | |
better placed to shift from a consumer spending model... You | :09:52. | :09:59. | |
haven't heard... He said better placed | :10:00. | :10:03. | |
post-referendum to move to a manufacturing and exporting model. | :10:04. | :10:09. | |
Actually, devaluation within certain parameters is a good thing. | :10:10. | :10:14. | |
For exports, it is better. No, our exports are made using | :10:15. | :10:20. | |
dollar traded, euro traded imports. Most things made in this country are | :10:21. | :10:25. | |
from components from outside the country. | :10:26. | :10:27. | |
Manufactures in Wakefield are concerned their prices are going up | :10:28. | :10:31. | |
and they cannot put their export prices up as much. | :10:32. | :10:34. | |
The construction industry is entering recession. | :10:35. | :10:41. | |
But it is going up, inflation. The global talent competitive | :10:42. | :10:44. | |
rankings have written post-Brexit moving up from seventh to third. We | :10:45. | :10:50. | |
need to be a competitive country driving growth, looking out to the | :10:51. | :10:56. | |
world. The EU is important but the point about Brexit, is actually that | :10:57. | :11:05. | |
the real opportunities for the future for businesses and consumers | :11:06. | :11:13. | |
as will be the growth markets. We export more to parts of Europe | :11:14. | :11:18. | |
and the idea we will leave this market, we are leaving it. | :11:19. | :11:27. | |
These are two different things. We are almost certainly going to leave | :11:28. | :11:31. | |
being a formal member of the customs union. But the opportunities... | :11:32. | :11:42. | |
To retain strong trade is acknowledged on the European side. | :11:43. | :11:46. | |
But not by those who are disappointed those outcomes had not | :11:47. | :11:52. | |
come to fruition. We'll get merry back on to | :11:53. | :11:55. | |
scrutinise this. Do you agree more countries will | :11:56. | :11:59. | |
leave the EU? I hope not. I don't think they will | :12:00. | :12:06. | |
because there is a mood... I was in Brussels in November, and there is a | :12:07. | :12:11. | |
determination from European leaders the EU will not fall apart as a | :12:12. | :12:16. | |
result of our vote. Some of the other statements less scrutinised by | :12:17. | :12:22. | |
Trump, dropping sanctions on Russia, and talking about native being | :12:23. | :12:26. | |
obsolete, these are things which will affect our security in the | :12:27. | :12:31. | |
months to come. What will Theresa May tomorrow say? | :12:32. | :12:36. | |
What would you like to hear about our negotiating position? | :12:37. | :12:41. | |
She has been clear since October the things we are not going to do, being | :12:42. | :12:46. | |
faithful to the referendum verdict, not subject to the free movement. | :12:47. | :12:53. | |
Get control over immigration, not subject to ECJ jurisdiction. | :12:54. | :12:57. | |
What we now need to do is turn the page and start talking with | :12:58. | :13:04. | |
confidence, the economy has proved resilient, and with a general state | :13:05. | :13:10. | |
of spirit, looking for the win- win. The EU is a flawed political club. | :13:11. | :13:15. | |
We still want strong trade, security cooperation. We are going into that | :13:16. | :13:22. | |
and Theresa May will spelt this out, the positive case for our | :13:23. | :13:27. | |
post-Brexit relationship with Europe. | :13:28. | :13:31. | |
And the unity between both sides? I don't agree with Donald Trump on | :13:32. | :13:35. | |
Russia but that is an illustration where the EU is irrelevant and | :13:36. | :13:41. | |
outside the EU we can demonstrate we can be a strong ally to our native | :13:42. | :13:45. | |
friends. The Chancellor implied if he | :13:46. | :13:51. | |
couldn't get a trade deal, Britain would take other action. -- Can be a | :13:52. | :14:01. | |
strong ally with our Nato friends. I do not want to see us moving to a | :14:02. | :14:08. | |
low welfare, no regulation type of offshoot of the US. That is a wrong | :14:09. | :14:12. | |
feature and not what people voted for in the referendum. | :14:13. | :14:15. | |
Theresa May is used to appearing in the newspapers. | :14:16. | :14:19. | |
But we learnt over the weekend that she's about to take a starring role | :14:20. | :14:22. | |
So, our question for today is, which magazine | :14:23. | :14:25. | |
At the end of the show, Dominic and Mary will give | :14:26. | :14:34. | |
pubs he doesn't know. He might know which one it isn't, put it that way. | :14:35. | :14:49. | |
Top gear. The Northern Ireland government | :14:50. | :14:51. | |
is on the verge of collapse this afternoon which could force | :14:52. | :14:53. | |
the Secretary of State, James Brokenshire, | :14:54. | :14:55. | |
to call fresh elections. At the moment we can't go to | :14:56. | :15:01. | |
Northern Ireland so we are going to talk about Parliament in terms of | :15:02. | :15:02. | |
the restoration. MPs and peers are being asked | :15:03. | :15:04. | |
to move out of the Houses of Parliament for five to eight | :15:05. | :15:07. | |
years whilst a ?3.5 billion But now, up to 100 MPs | :15:08. | :15:10. | |
of all parties are backing which allow them to remain | :15:11. | :15:13. | |
in the Palace of Westminster The Conservative MP | :15:14. | :15:17. | |
Shailesh Vara is one of them. This beautiful Gothic revival | :15:18. | :15:21. | |
celebration of democracy, designed by Charles Barry, | :15:22. | :15:42. | |
is almost 150 years old. And now it's due for | :15:43. | :15:48. | |
another major repair job. A recent report by my fellow MPs | :15:49. | :15:51. | |
and peers on the restoration and renewal of the Palace | :15:52. | :16:00. | |
of Westminster has recommended that the Commons and peers together | :16:01. | :16:03. | |
with all the other people who work on the site should leave the Palace | :16:04. | :16:10. | |
whilst work is carried out. The argument is that this | :16:11. | :16:13. | |
would be the cheaper option, rather than work being carried out | :16:14. | :16:15. | |
whilst we stay on-site. If this proposal does go ahead then | :16:16. | :16:19. | |
the Commons would move into the Department of Health along | :16:20. | :16:22. | |
Whitehall just along there and the Lords would move | :16:23. | :16:25. | |
into the QE2 Centre just The figures that are used | :16:26. | :16:28. | |
in the report don't take account The loss of revenue | :16:29. | :16:40. | |
at the QE2 Centre. Or the ?600 million that would be | :16:41. | :16:50. | |
spent in patch-up work before In fact, the report itself says that | :16:51. | :16:55. | |
significantly more work needs to be done before budgets can | :16:56. | :17:01. | |
be properly costed. Hardly surprising therefore | :17:02. | :17:06. | |
that the powerful and influential Treasury Select Committee | :17:07. | :17:09. | |
is carrying out an investigation We are told that the work needs | :17:10. | :17:12. | |
to be done urgently. So urgently that the full decant | :17:13. | :17:23. | |
would take place in six years' time. Instead, I'm suggesting that work | :17:24. | :17:30. | |
commences immediately Much of it in the basement | :17:31. | :17:33. | |
where lights are needed So if the work is done | :17:34. | :17:43. | |
round the clock in three shifts instead of one, | :17:44. | :17:48. | |
then clearly the timeframe would be Following the referendum result, | :17:49. | :17:51. | |
at a time when we need to make new friends abroad and secure | :17:52. | :17:56. | |
favourable trade agreements, we should be making the most of this | :17:57. | :18:01. | |
iconic building that is Parliament. At this crucial time, | :18:02. | :18:09. | |
it is absurd that we should be seeking to sell UK PLC | :18:10. | :18:12. | |
from a temporary building in the courtyard of | :18:13. | :18:17. | |
the Department of Health. The notion that we should be leaving | :18:18. | :18:21. | |
the Palace of Westminster for the convenience of the builders | :18:22. | :18:24. | |
is simply wrong. The Palace comprises | :18:25. | :18:29. | |
of some eight acres. There is plenty of room here for us | :18:30. | :18:33. | |
to stay while the work And Shailesh Vara joins us now, | :18:34. | :18:36. | |
as does the Labour MP, Chris Bryant, who sits of the Restoration | :18:37. | :18:46. | |
and Renewal Joint Committee. Welcome to both of you. Why can't | :18:47. | :18:57. | |
the restoration work be done around MPs while they remain in the Palace | :18:58. | :19:02. | |
of Westminster? There is restoration work to another moment, the rooms | :19:03. | :19:05. | |
are being done because there was a strange construction, one metre | :19:06. | :19:11. | |
square cast-iron slab put in in the 19th century, and that work can go | :19:12. | :19:16. | |
on now but what can't go on now is the major mechanical and electrical | :19:17. | :19:19. | |
engineering business that needs to be tackled. You only showed a tiny | :19:20. | :19:23. | |
proportion of that. It is the pipes. The building has 1.2 miles of | :19:24. | :19:28. | |
corridor in the basement and that is now chock-a-block with cables, | :19:29. | :19:34. | |
high-pressure steam central heating system next to electrical cables, | :19:35. | :19:39. | |
you would never put them next to each other and asbestos. Why are you | :19:40. | :19:46. | |
waiting to start the work if it's that urgent? Because we've got to do | :19:47. | :19:49. | |
it properly, strip out the electrics in the whole building, there's only | :19:50. | :19:52. | |
one drainage system and ends up just underneath the speakers Gardens and | :19:53. | :19:59. | |
so you can't split the building up into bits. I understand lots of MPs | :20:00. | :20:05. | |
would like to stay sitting in the chamber. That's what we did in the | :20:06. | :20:08. | |
19th century which led to a dramatic increase in the cost, and meant it | :20:09. | :20:14. | |
overran by 42 years. If that problem will have now. They have done the | :20:15. | :20:18. | |
work on it. You have come to it later. They have been through | :20:19. | :20:24. | |
endless research and quotes and budgets and surveys of the whole | :20:25. | :20:27. | |
building. Surely they are best placed to know what will cost less | :20:28. | :20:32. | |
and be the most efficient in terms of carrying out this work? I don't | :20:33. | :20:36. | |
accept that because anyone who reads the report will see it abundantly | :20:37. | :20:40. | |
clear they start off with the premise they want us out. Why would | :20:41. | :20:47. | |
they want that? The report only quotes people who say we should | :20:48. | :20:51. | |
leave. The fact is that the report makes a passing acknowledgement that | :20:52. | :20:57. | |
they could work there. They could do 12 stages and I think it's important | :20:58. | :21:02. | |
to remember 74% of the work is cables and pipes, much of it | :21:03. | :21:07. | |
underground, so there's no reason why a lot of the work can't carry on | :21:08. | :21:13. | |
underground. It only gives recognition to having one shift of | :21:14. | :21:16. | |
work. I'm sorry, the facts are wrong. They are not wrong. You are | :21:17. | :21:24. | |
just wrong about this. It's not all underground. There's only one | :21:25. | :21:29. | |
electric system, there's only one central heating system, | :21:30. | :21:35. | |
high-pressure steam system which is very unusual in the UK. You got to | :21:36. | :21:41. | |
take it out in one go. You can do that over the summer holidays? No, | :21:42. | :21:48. | |
it will take several years. There are 98 risers and at any moment if | :21:49. | :21:51. | |
you had a fire like we had the other day, completely inaccessible to the | :21:52. | :21:58. | |
fire patrols which go around 24 hours a day, because our building is | :21:59. | :22:02. | |
exempt from the fire regulations in the rest of the country, it would | :22:03. | :22:06. | |
spread throughout the building very rapidly. Our report only refers to | :22:07. | :22:14. | |
people saying you have to move out, that's because we asked every expert | :22:15. | :22:18. | |
could we stay in and they all said no, you've got to move out otherwise | :22:19. | :22:22. | |
it will cost more. Experts are not popular necessary following the | :22:23. | :22:27. | |
referendum but do you think it would be worth listening to them? No,... | :22:28. | :22:37. | |
Well, that was fairly clear! Visit a number of experts have given them | :22:38. | :22:39. | |
the answers they want. At the time the Brexit, we should make sure we | :22:40. | :22:45. | |
make the most use of this iconic building, parliament. Imagine our | :22:46. | :22:49. | |
opponents overseas, going out on our own, and saying, this is the new | :22:50. | :22:54. | |
headquarters of the UK Parliament. What if it falls into disrepair? It | :22:55. | :23:01. | |
won't. Why are they proposing six years? On one hand, they say there's | :23:02. | :23:06. | |
going to be a catastrophe if we don't do the work urgently and then | :23:07. | :23:10. | |
they want to do it in six years. In the meantime, they will spend ?100 | :23:11. | :23:16. | |
million every year on catch up work. Sorry, you've already done a film. | :23:17. | :23:21. | |
The opening paragraph of the report says a significant amount of work | :23:22. | :23:24. | |
needs to be done to ascertain the problem of budgets. Hang on, let | :23:25. | :23:30. | |
Chris speak. It sounds to me like there's been work done, quite a few | :23:31. | :23:34. | |
interviews on the in-depth research done into this issue. There may be a | :23:35. | :23:41. | |
huge number of caveats but when you look at the project now and the cost | :23:42. | :23:47. | |
element, ?3.5 billion, are you saying that the cost would double if | :23:48. | :23:53. | |
you didn't move out and work around MPs and peers? That's the experience | :23:54. | :23:56. | |
of the 19th century and I can't see why are we any different. Let Chris | :23:57. | :24:05. | |
answer. The truth is, just one basic point, because there is one set of | :24:06. | :24:08. | |
electrics and all the rest of it, if you want to stay in the building, | :24:09. | :24:14. | |
and keep a bit of the building open during the work, you have got to put | :24:15. | :24:19. | |
temporary electrics and all the rest in and that immediately adds an | :24:20. | :24:22. | |
extra amount to the cost, added to which, as I understand it, his | :24:23. | :24:27. | |
proposal is the Commons should sit in the House of Lords and the Lords | :24:28. | :24:30. | |
should go in the gallery like happened in the Second World War but | :24:31. | :24:33. | |
the problem is, the Second World War, there were no divisions and | :24:34. | :24:38. | |
about 30 people turned up everyday. You are suggesting we would move | :24:39. | :24:44. | |
every day when there is a vote, 650 MPs going from portcullis house to | :24:45. | :24:51. | |
the House of Lords, walking along a public payment, the biggest security | :24:52. | :24:56. | |
risk you can imagine. Cut this objection actually delay the sale | :24:57. | :25:00. | |
process? That's my biggest anxiety. The government needs to allow the | :25:01. | :25:04. | |
House of Commons and the House of Lords, two different bodies, to make | :25:05. | :25:08. | |
their own decision about what had happened and the first thing is, we | :25:09. | :25:12. | |
shouldn't be saying let's do this, done, we should say, let's set up a | :25:13. | :25:17. | |
delivery authority like we did for the Olympics to make sure there's | :25:18. | :25:20. | |
proper coherent body of people and they can put together the business | :25:21. | :25:28. | |
plan. Six years to do that? The business plan will be ready in 18 | :25:29. | :25:31. | |
months' time. We looked at this for one year. Are you prepared to move | :25:32. | :25:41. | |
out? First of all, I deferred to the infinitely superior knowledge of the | :25:42. | :25:43. | |
House of Commons. Although they don't agree. I will make whatever | :25:44. | :25:50. | |
solution works the best. I would like to say the least disruption for | :25:51. | :25:54. | |
the lowest cost and those other two big entities. It's the classic | :25:55. | :25:59. | |
construction dilemma, like working on the tube and railways forth the | :26:00. | :26:04. | |
evidence is, if you work on a live system could cost you twice as much | :26:05. | :26:07. | |
and take three times as long so my evidence from being Shadow Transport | :26:08. | :26:12. | |
Secretary, it's always best to move out. It's an iconic building at | :26:13. | :26:17. | |
every tourist in the world wants to have their photograph taken in front | :26:18. | :26:20. | |
of which is why we have to protect it. Don't talk over each other. With | :26:21. | :26:27. | |
the asbestos especially, the building could be closed down | :26:28. | :26:30. | |
tomorrow in definitely. Before I let you go, do you want to be Speaker of | :26:31. | :26:37. | |
the house? The Mail on Sunday rang me on Saturday, and I failed to | :26:38. | :26:42. | |
predict anything last year in politics. I'm finding it difficult | :26:43. | :26:44. | |
to predict anything this year. My ability to predict even my own | :26:45. | :26:51. | |
future, let alone John Bercow's is not. You would like to? I can't | :26:52. | :26:57. | |
predict anything. I'm not asking you to predict. I think that is yes. | :26:58. | :27:01. | |
Anyway, thank both very much. The Northern Ireland government | :27:02. | :27:04. | |
is on the verge of collapse this afternoon which could force | :27:05. | :27:07. | |
the Secretary of State, James Brokenshire, | :27:08. | :27:09. | |
to call fresh elections. The crisis has been prompted | :27:10. | :27:10. | |
by the resignation last week of Deputy First Minister, | :27:11. | :27:13. | |
Martin McGuiness, in protest at First Minister Arlene Foster's | :27:14. | :27:15. | |
involvement in the renewable heat incentive scheme - the so called | :27:16. | :27:17. | |
"cash for ash" scandal. Let's talk to our correspondent | :27:18. | :27:20. | |
Stephen Walker who's at Stormont. Stephen, give us the timings of | :27:21. | :27:31. | |
today. I understand 5pm is the deadline for Sinn Fein to find | :27:32. | :27:36. | |
another Deputy First Minister? Actually, in the last 20 minutes, | :27:37. | :27:39. | |
we've had political drama because the do you P have nominated Arlene | :27:40. | :27:44. | |
Foster as First Minister, it was expected, and Sinn Fein refused | :27:45. | :27:50. | |
declined to nominate Martin McGuinness and that was flagged up | :27:51. | :27:53. | |
in advance. We knew that was going to happen so now we are moving | :27:54. | :27:57. | |
towards this 5pm deadline when the Secretary of State has to call an | :27:58. | :28:02. | |
election. Basically, you can't have a First Minister without a Deputy | :28:03. | :28:07. | |
First Minister or vice versa pulled up they go together in this | :28:08. | :28:12. | |
executive. We have a situation now where we have a First Minister and | :28:13. | :28:15. | |
we don't have a Deputy First Minister, so there's got to be a | :28:16. | :28:20. | |
call at 5pm and it's looking like a certainty we will have an election. | :28:21. | :28:25. | |
What impact will that have on Brexit negotiations and Northern Ireland's | :28:26. | :28:30. | |
role in that? The British government to some extent are playing that | :28:31. | :28:34. | |
down. David broken Shire is saying just because we don't have a working | :28:35. | :28:38. | |
executive, it doesn't mean the views of Northern Ireland would be taken | :28:39. | :28:42. | |
on board. He said he is Northern Ireland Aqaba 's representative in | :28:43. | :28:45. | |
the Cabinet and will put those views forward and still have discussions | :28:46. | :28:49. | |
with committees and it will still take place in London. He says the | :28:50. | :28:55. | |
views of people install Montt, and the views of people in Northern | :28:56. | :28:58. | |
Ireland will be taken on board, so whilst they didn't want this to | :28:59. | :29:04. | |
happen, and it's an enormous headache for Downing Street, James | :29:05. | :29:06. | |
Brokenshire is saying the views of people in Northern Ireland, when it | :29:07. | :29:10. | |
comes to Brexit, will still be taken on board. If fresh elections are | :29:11. | :29:14. | |
called, it's likely we will have the do you P and Sinn Fein as the two | :29:15. | :29:20. | |
players gain full stop well they have resolved their differences, | :29:21. | :29:23. | |
because when I interviewed both sides, it went way beyond | :29:24. | :29:28. | |
cash-for-ash. Not at the end of this election campaign. What you are | :29:29. | :29:33. | |
looking at is a divisive campaign, the First Minister Arlene Foster is | :29:34. | :29:36. | |
on record as saying it's going to be a brutal campaign, some people | :29:37. | :29:40. | |
saying it's not an orange and green issue but the competence of people | :29:41. | :29:43. | |
behind me. It's going to be a divisive campaign, all those issues, | :29:44. | :29:50. | |
cash-for-ash, legacy, the past, the Irish language, are not going to be | :29:51. | :29:53. | |
resolved during the campaign but what people are saying is when they | :29:54. | :29:57. | |
come back after the campaign, they will have to do have negotiations | :29:58. | :30:02. | |
and if they can't solve that through the negotiations, technically, there | :30:03. | :30:06. | |
it will be another election and if that does not happen, then you would | :30:07. | :30:11. | |
think about the British government having direct rule serve as a whole | :30:12. | :30:13. | |
series of questions in this political crisis. Thank you very | :30:14. | :30:20. | |
much. When you think back to previous Prime Minister's and their | :30:21. | :30:24. | |
involvement in Northern Ireland and the peace process, bringing the two | :30:25. | :30:29. | |
sides together, Tony Blair or John Major, do you think Theresa May has | :30:30. | :30:31. | |
been present enough in this dispute? Not at all, the question for the | :30:32. | :30:41. | |
British Government is whether Brexit taking up all the political and | :30:42. | :30:48. | |
administrative bandwidth? The key thing is to protect that piece which | :30:49. | :30:52. | |
was so hard on after so many decades of war, and provide political | :30:53. | :30:55. | |
stability. Could she have done more to stop the | :30:56. | :30:59. | |
collapse of this coalition? It is disappointing to see this | :31:00. | :31:04. | |
political point scoring. We have no idea on the amount of | :31:05. | :31:13. | |
ground work which has been done. Any Westminster -based position | :31:14. | :31:17. | |
delving into Northern Ireland politics, that is precarious. | :31:18. | :31:21. | |
It is keyed to make sure we have as much stability and make sure we have | :31:22. | :31:27. | |
the mechanisms of dialogue to cover the well-known concerns over the | :31:28. | :31:31. | |
Common travel area but the opportunities of Brexit for the | :31:32. | :31:35. | |
whole country and different communities so they are fed through. | :31:36. | :31:41. | |
It is clear that has happened. We need to see these elections through. | :31:42. | :31:47. | |
And have some statesman is like behaviour on this side of the Irish | :31:48. | :31:52. | |
Sea. So we can support the sides coming to an agreement. | :31:53. | :31:58. | |
It is known when British prime ministers have got involved to try | :31:59. | :32:01. | |
and be an honest broker, it has worked. | :32:02. | :32:06. | |
You are talking about in relation to the conflict which was preceded by a | :32:07. | :32:13. | |
huge amount beneath the surface. I am sure that is going on. I don't | :32:14. | :32:17. | |
think anyone has been asleep at the wheel. There are clearly huge local | :32:18. | :32:24. | |
tensions. On the heat incentive scheme, that | :32:25. | :32:28. | |
was the trigger, but there are broader issues. | :32:29. | :32:33. | |
There is an issue around the Prime Minister needing the votes of the | :32:34. | :32:40. | |
Democratic Unionist Party, they have indicated they would support the | :32:41. | :32:43. | |
Brexit plans. I don't think that gets in a way of | :32:44. | :32:47. | |
what we all want to see in Westminster which is elections, the | :32:48. | :32:51. | |
democratic process set up after the Good Friday agreement, to make sure | :32:52. | :32:56. | |
Northern Irish politicians can resolve their problems locally as | :32:57. | :33:00. | |
far as possible. We have two respect that. And tried | :33:01. | :33:06. | |
to be a force for stability. Will it be difficult if the Supreme | :33:07. | :33:10. | |
Court upholds the view of the High Court before it's about giving the | :33:11. | :33:17. | |
devolved Assembly some say in Article 50 and triggering it, and | :33:18. | :33:22. | |
there are elections going on, and it has collapsed. How would that work | :33:23. | :33:28. | |
giving Northern Ireland invoice? The Supreme Court, we are expecting | :33:29. | :33:32. | |
a judgment in ten days. I am not clear whether we will get a judgment | :33:33. | :33:36. | |
on the constitutional issues in that at the same time. | :33:37. | :33:43. | |
It is clear to me the issues of the border, the potential imposition of | :33:44. | :33:48. | |
a hard border, are of great concern. The head of the Northern Ireland's | :33:49. | :33:53. | |
Police Federation has warned any hard border would be a target for | :33:54. | :34:00. | |
distance. We don't want to, there is a dilemma. If you keep borders open | :34:01. | :34:05. | |
you create a back channel for people traffickers. | :34:06. | :34:15. | |
That is not a domestic stability point on the radar. | :34:16. | :34:20. | |
Will the people of Northern Ireland to be heard if there are elections? | :34:21. | :34:24. | |
Nobody is speaking for them while Article 50 is ongoing. | :34:25. | :34:30. | |
Now, standing in the drizzle outside Parliament are two of Westminster's | :34:31. | :34:32. | |
But before we speak to them, let's have a look at the stories | :34:33. | :34:36. | |
Tonight, Jeremy Corbyn will address Labour MPs | :34:37. | :34:40. | |
Could there be some anxious faces as they try to work out who else | :34:41. | :34:44. | |
might take Tristram Hunt's lead and leave Parliament? | :34:45. | :34:46. | |
Tomorrow, Theresa May is making her first major speech | :34:47. | :34:49. | |
detailing the Government's strategy for leaving the EU. | :34:50. | :34:52. | |
We're being told she'll make the optimistic case for Brexit. | :34:53. | :34:57. | |
Also tomorrow, anyone who's anyone will be | :34:58. | :34:59. | |
gathering for the start of the World Economic | :35:00. | :35:01. | |
And then on Wednesday, the Prime Minister and Jeremy Corbyn | :35:02. | :35:04. | |
However, all this pales into insignificance because Friday | :35:05. | :35:08. | |
Donald Trump will be sworn in as the 45th President | :35:09. | :35:12. | |
We're joined now by the New Stateman's Anoosh Chakelian | :35:13. | :35:17. | |
and James Lyons from the Sunday Times. | :35:18. | :35:21. | |
Welcome. Anoosh, what do you expect to hear | :35:22. | :35:29. | |
from Theresa May tomorrow? We are expecting her to say she is | :35:30. | :35:33. | |
prepared to leave the single market, customs union, and take Britain out | :35:34. | :35:39. | |
of the European Court of Justice. This isn't new, we have known | :35:40. | :35:43. | |
Theresa May was going to put immigration ahead of the economy for | :35:44. | :35:48. | |
Brexit but she has been under fire for not having a plan. | :35:49. | :35:54. | |
At least we are hearing it now. And James? I expect to hear as | :35:55. | :35:59. | |
little as possible she can get away with saying. She does not like to | :36:00. | :36:04. | |
volunteer information willingly. She is being forced to deliver this | :36:05. | :36:08. | |
speech because of the Supreme Court case bearing down on us. | :36:09. | :36:14. | |
We are heading for what some might call a hard or clean Brexit. | :36:15. | :36:19. | |
Was that underlined by Philip Hammond in his interview with the | :36:20. | :36:22. | |
German paper at the weekend when he said he would take the required | :36:23. | :36:25. | |
action if he could not get a deal with the EU? | :36:26. | :36:30. | |
It was like he was issuing an ultimatum, saying, we could become | :36:31. | :36:34. | |
this aggressive corporate tax haven or you could let us have access to | :36:35. | :36:39. | |
the single market but us needing to keep free movement or any of the | :36:40. | :36:43. | |
status quo. In terms of Theresa May saying she | :36:44. | :36:47. | |
wasn't going to give a running commentary, the markets have | :36:48. | :36:53. | |
reacted. One of my colleagues at the Sunday | :36:54. | :36:58. | |
Times was told by people in Government last week they expected a | :36:59. | :37:05. | |
market correction. We were joking about buying some euros over the | :37:06. | :37:11. | |
weekend. There will be further market | :37:12. | :37:14. | |
reaction tomorrow. Jeremy Corbyn said yesterday in his | :37:15. | :37:18. | |
interview with Andrew Marr he said he thought Labour had had a good | :37:19. | :37:22. | |
week. Their week was mixed. Jeremy Corbyn | :37:23. | :37:27. | |
was prevaricating over immigration not saying whether he agreed Labour | :37:28. | :37:32. | |
was in favour of free movement. It has been his relaunch as a | :37:33. | :37:36. | |
populist leader. He keeps using language like, the system is raped, | :37:37. | :37:40. | |
the elite are taking Britain for a ride. | :37:41. | :37:45. | |
In a way that is working, his policy about wanting a wage cap on bosses | :37:46. | :37:49. | |
who earn 20 times more than their employees was popular. | :37:50. | :37:55. | |
You are looking quizzical, James? I don't think anyone could describe | :37:56. | :38:00. | |
it as mixed for Labour, it was a catastrophe, the diabolical relaunch | :38:01. | :38:05. | |
and the resignation of Tristram Hunt. | :38:06. | :38:11. | |
The interesting polling over the weekend was the one that showed | :38:12. | :38:15. | |
Theresa May has a 12 point lead on health. Traditionally the strongest | :38:16. | :38:21. | |
subject for Labour. That was in the middle of an NHS crisis last week. | :38:22. | :38:26. | |
Like you. No doubt you will be watching the inauguration. | :38:27. | :38:32. | |
A diabolical relaunch last week? We had a series of U-turns within 24 | :38:33. | :38:40. | |
hours and what annoyed Labour MPs was after a reasonable performance | :38:41. | :38:45. | |
at Prime Minister is question is, to have the Leader of the Opposition | :38:46. | :38:48. | |
spokesperson briefing on Nato issues which were not raised, casting doubt | :38:49. | :38:56. | |
on whether a future Labour Government would respond under an | :38:57. | :39:01. | |
Article 5 provocation. That was appalling. | :39:02. | :39:04. | |
That person needs to be reined in. Does Labour support nuclear power? | :39:05. | :39:11. | |
We do, as part of an energy mix. We have dangerously low levels of | :39:12. | :39:16. | |
capacity in the British system. Jeremy Corbyn has a principled view | :39:17. | :39:21. | |
of being antinuclear but he says there should be a mix. Does he need | :39:22. | :39:25. | |
to say more in terms of what he believes about nuclear power when it | :39:26. | :39:30. | |
comes to the Copeland by-election? Workers want reassurance any Labour | :39:31. | :39:36. | |
and would protect their jobs and pensions, something we have tried to | :39:37. | :39:40. | |
do in opposition during the enterprise Bill. And before the | :39:41. | :39:46. | |
by-election was announced, we sought to do that through the back door | :39:47. | :39:49. | |
without Parliamentary scrutiny. Labour politicians have stood | :39:50. | :39:54. | |
alongside the workers of Sellafield and we will continue to stand by | :39:55. | :39:57. | |
them. You would like to hear Jeremy Corbyn | :39:58. | :40:02. | |
Seymore. In unequivocal terms. How dangerous | :40:03. | :40:07. | |
could Copeland be? Copeland and Stoke on Trent are | :40:08. | :40:11. | |
Hartland Labour seats which we held in 2015, and election we lost badly. | :40:12. | :40:18. | |
We have reasonable majorities and the Tories do not have much | :40:19. | :40:23. | |
representation locally. These are seats we should hold onto | :40:24. | :40:27. | |
particularly with the NHS in that area, the proposals to move the | :40:28. | :40:32. | |
maternity unit from -- down the road to Carlisle. | :40:33. | :40:38. | |
The poll says that Theresa May is more trusted over the NHS. | :40:39. | :40:44. | |
We need to see action in the polls as well, see movement. | :40:45. | :40:50. | |
The PLP meeting today, what will the atmosphere be like? Tristam Hunt, | :40:51. | :40:56. | |
Jamie Reid, stepping down to take jobs outside of politics. Do you | :40:57. | :41:01. | |
know any other politics -- Labour colleagues doing the same? Are you | :41:02. | :41:08. | |
surprised by this? No, I don't. I know Joan -- I know | :41:09. | :41:14. | |
Jamie had an eight hour journey to London with young children still at | :41:15. | :41:21. | |
home. This job is a vocation as much as employment. If people have the | :41:22. | :41:25. | |
opportunity to pursue a different location outside Parliament or feel | :41:26. | :41:29. | |
this is no longer their vocation, people have the right to make the | :41:30. | :41:32. | |
changes right for them and their families. | :41:33. | :41:38. | |
We stand again in 2020? Yes. Whenever the next election comes. | :41:39. | :41:45. | |
There has been criticism about Jeremy Corbyn by both those MPs | :41:46. | :41:48. | |
leaving. Do you agree? Both of them have been | :41:49. | :41:57. | |
critical. Last year, 122 MPs did a vote of no-confidence. That is not | :41:58. | :42:01. | |
something that exceptional. I do think people are looking to | :42:02. | :42:08. | |
their futures and working out what is best for them and their families. | :42:09. | :42:13. | |
We are a party that wants people to have better lives and it is allowed | :42:14. | :42:15. | |
for Labour MPs to have better lives. And back to that interview | :42:16. | :42:24. | |
with Donald Trump. In a moment, I'll be talking | :42:25. | :42:26. | |
to Michael Gove who conducted First, here's the President-elect | :42:27. | :42:28. | |
on his mother and her The UK, my mother | :42:29. | :42:32. | |
was very ceremonial. I think that's where I got this | :42:33. | :42:34. | |
aspect, cos my father She loved the ceremony | :42:35. | :42:37. | |
and the beauty, because nobody does And she had great | :42:38. | :42:47. | |
respect for the Queen. It was fascinating interviewing him, | :42:48. | :43:04. | |
he is a force of nature. You don't even need to ask a question. But it | :43:05. | :43:11. | |
comes, commentary on everything from Nato to Twitter. | :43:12. | :43:13. | |
Is he somebody ready to lead the free world? | :43:14. | :43:20. | |
What do you make of him? President Trump will be different from the | :43:21. | :43:28. | |
candidate. The candidate had a deliberate campaign style which was | :43:29. | :43:34. | |
big, bombastic, brash. As president, of course he will still be the | :43:35. | :43:37. | |
personality we know but he will look at things in a more businesslike | :43:38. | :43:42. | |
way. There is a difference between the marketeer, and the deal-maker in | :43:43. | :43:46. | |
office. We haven't seen evidence in change | :43:47. | :43:51. | |
in style, he is still tweeting away, will he continue? | :43:52. | :43:55. | |
He was clear he will continue to tweet, he regards that as a way of | :43:56. | :44:01. | |
cutting through what he regards as media distortion. | :44:02. | :44:03. | |
If you look at the people he has built around him in the Cabinet, | :44:04. | :44:12. | |
James Matias, it would have been unlikely someone of his stature | :44:13. | :44:19. | |
would have agreed to serve in Cabinet. | :44:20. | :44:21. | |
The team he is assembling, some of the things he says in an interview, | :44:22. | :44:26. | |
suggests he will govern not innate radically different way but in a | :44:27. | :44:30. | |
different way to how he campaigned. Did you give him a proper grilling? | :44:31. | :44:35. | |
We were there for one hour, we had the opportunity to ask questions on | :44:36. | :44:40. | |
a range of issues. The critical thing is when you are talking to | :44:41. | :44:46. | |
someone like Donald Trump, you can try to argue with him but he is like | :44:47. | :44:51. | |
a river in spate, when you ask a question, the flow of language just | :44:52. | :44:54. | |
comes at a torrent. Where were the difficult questions | :44:55. | :45:06. | |
from you on his links to Vladimir Putin? We asked specifically whether | :45:07. | :45:09. | |
or not he would stand by what he said Nato. He did shifters position. | :45:10. | :45:16. | |
We ask them about everything from the wrong deal to whether or not he | :45:17. | :45:20. | |
would stand down his campaign promise on Muslims, and he provided | :45:21. | :45:25. | |
that. The critical thing I thought was it was important for me and my | :45:26. | :45:32. | |
colleague from Germany to cover a wide range of topics and allow | :45:33. | :45:39. | |
newspaper readers to form their own opinion. You didn't challenge him on | :45:40. | :45:42. | |
his inconsistencies and there were many on very pressing issues. You | :45:43. | :45:49. | |
say yourself you asked on a wide-ranging topic, but why didn't | :45:50. | :45:51. | |
you challenge him before Christmas he said he wanted a nuclear arms | :45:52. | :45:56. | |
race with Russia. Very provocative language. Now he says he wants to | :45:57. | :46:05. | |
reduce it. Which is it? You can ask him when he appears on this | :46:06. | :46:08. | |
programme. But you had him therefore one hour. We managed to generate | :46:09. | :46:14. | |
from him compelling news on a variety of issues including a | :46:15. | :46:17. | |
commitment to a rapid trade deal with Theresa May. Do you trust that, | :46:18. | :46:24. | |
with his inconsistencies, like Syria, he was praised in Russia for | :46:25. | :46:27. | |
getting involved in that because they were bashing Isis and now he | :46:28. | :46:32. | |
says in your interview actually it has caused a humanitarian crisis in | :46:33. | :46:36. | |
Syria. These are diametrically opposite views so when he says he | :46:37. | :46:40. | |
wants a quick trade deal, do you trust him? I think he will be | :46:41. | :46:48. | |
different from candidates from. I think that inconsistency is a | :46:49. | :46:52. | |
different thing. A dangerous thing when it comes to foreign policy. | :46:53. | :46:56. | |
Many things he said as a candidate are deeply worrying and I hope in | :46:57. | :47:00. | |
the interests of the world he rolls back from some of them as President. | :47:01. | :47:05. | |
I think what he said about Nato during the course of the campaign | :47:06. | :47:10. | |
was dangerous and I think in the interview he suggests a more nuanced | :47:11. | :47:13. | |
approach. I hope that will be the case. But my role in the interview | :47:14. | :47:19. | |
was to make sure that he could speak for himself and people will form | :47:20. | :47:24. | |
their own judgments. There are inconsistencies between what he said | :47:25. | :47:27. | |
on the stump and what we may see in the White House. We can form a | :47:28. | :47:32. | |
judgment like the American people, about whether or not they think he's | :47:33. | :47:36. | |
doing a good job. The whole question of trust is ultimately one for the | :47:37. | :47:39. | |
American people and for the world leaders who will engage with him. I | :47:40. | :47:44. | |
was doing my job as a reporter to ensure he cover the waterfront and | :47:45. | :47:49. | |
then each of us, as citizens, will form our judgment. I said during the | :47:50. | :47:55. | |
campaign but I would have voted for Hillary Clinton and I've also said, | :47:56. | :48:00. | |
some of the things he said are not acceptable but there's a difference. | :48:01. | :48:06. | |
The BBC understands the reporter who allows a politician to speak for | :48:07. | :48:10. | |
themselves, and an individual who can form a judgment about what they | :48:11. | :48:15. | |
say. It's also about challenging, as a politician at the other end. If we | :48:16. | :48:21. | |
look at the picture here of you with Donald Trump, is that a very | :48:22. | :48:27. | |
professional, do you think? Thumbs up? Do you do that with all the | :48:28. | :48:34. | |
politicians you do? Yes, if you want to have a selfie with me afterwards, | :48:35. | :48:38. | |
you can. I've always never had the opportunity. Your German partner in | :48:39. | :48:45. | |
this didn't stand with his thumbs up. People might just say that's a | :48:46. | :48:48. | |
bit frivolous but you don't think so? I think the people should have | :48:49. | :48:54. | |
their own views about that picture. I think I got a smile on my face and | :48:55. | :49:03. | |
so has he. On that basis, you got there before Boris Johnson and | :49:04. | :49:06. | |
Theresa May in terms of face time with Donald Trump. Euan Nigel | :49:07. | :49:11. | |
Farage. Is not going to be Ambassador. Could you? I don't think | :49:12. | :49:16. | |
diplomacy is my strong suit. Would you like to? No, I like being an MP | :49:17. | :49:24. | |
and writing for the times. Why not a good ambassador? They require | :49:25. | :49:29. | |
different skills but we got a very good primer list at the moment in | :49:30. | :49:35. | |
Theresa May and a very good ambassador. How did the interview | :49:36. | :49:44. | |
come about? We approach them and Donald Trump thought was a good idea | :49:45. | :49:48. | |
to talk to Britain's best newspaper and the most successful newspaper. | :49:49. | :49:54. | |
And they chose you to do the interview, none of the other | :49:55. | :49:58. | |
political journalists? We made sure that we sent a professional team, | :49:59. | :50:03. | |
the photographer did a brilliant job, and I hope Times readers will | :50:04. | :50:09. | |
appreciate what we did but if people think it was shoddy journalism I can | :50:10. | :50:13. | |
only apologise because I'm a valid serve newcomer to the trade and I'll | :50:14. | :50:19. | |
do better with my next job. What is your job? You are elected by the | :50:20. | :50:27. | |
people in Surrey but you talk about standing up to people... Nothing | :50:28. | :50:33. | |
about comments on women. You are talking about a journalist as your | :50:34. | :50:39. | |
colleague but it creates questions about the second job you have got. I | :50:40. | :50:43. | |
think people will form their own judgment about the appropriateness | :50:44. | :50:49. | |
about politicians writing. And thumbs up? Whether it's Boris | :50:50. | :50:57. | |
Johnson or Tony Benn? Michael Foot would never have done that stand in | :50:58. | :51:01. | |
a million years. We can't know but Michael Foot combined a very | :51:02. | :51:05. | |
successful career as a local politician would also being a | :51:06. | :51:09. | |
journalist and was editor of the Evening Standard and worked for Lord | :51:10. | :51:12. | |
Beaverbrook. Before he was leader of the Labour Party. And I would never | :51:13. | :51:16. | |
want to be the leader of the Labour Party. And on that stunning piece of | :51:17. | :51:22. | |
news that are not going to be the Labour Party! We will stop this now. | :51:23. | :51:26. | |
Thank you for coming in. Now, are we seeing | :51:27. | :51:28. | |
the commercialisation of politics? By the end of the week, | :51:29. | :51:33. | |
a marketing man will be in the White House and an increasing | :51:34. | :51:37. | |
number of companies seem to have recognised the commercial | :51:38. | :51:41. | |
opportunities presented by politics. President Obama loves music | :51:42. | :51:42. | |
and has long been a fan So much so that he recently joked | :51:43. | :51:50. | |
that he was hoping for a job with the company when he | :51:51. | :51:56. | |
left the White House. And it seems Spotify's boss has just | :51:57. | :52:03. | |
the vacancy for him. He tweeted Obama a spoof | :52:04. | :52:06. | |
job description for So if you go for this job, | :52:07. | :52:08. | |
you should have at least eight years' experience of running | :52:09. | :52:13. | |
a highly regarded nation, a warm and friendly attitude | :52:14. | :52:15. | |
and a Nobel Peace Prize. In contrast, President-elect Trump | :52:16. | :52:21. | |
is used as the butt of a joke "Hurry, it won't last. | :52:22. | :52:25. | |
It's limited, very limited." He'll be voting Leave | :52:26. | :52:36. | |
on his next appraisal. The other big political campaign | :52:37. | :52:43. | |
of 2016, the EU referendum, has been used by several companies | :52:44. | :52:46. | |
in their marketing. The vote was often a hot topic | :52:47. | :52:48. | |
in Britain's public houses and possibly even more so in those | :52:49. | :52:51. | |
owned by Brexit-backer and pub He printed 200,000 beer mats | :52:52. | :52:54. | |
promoting the Leave campaign. Meanwhile, Ryanair offered cut-price | :52:55. | :53:02. | |
flights for people to fly And for those unhappy | :53:03. | :53:04. | |
with the Leave result, the chance to see no Europe, | :53:05. | :53:12. | |
hear no Europe and speak no Europe. Ryanair launched a sale with flights | :53:13. | :53:16. | |
costing just ?10 for people wanting But please note, other music | :53:17. | :53:20. | |
websites, food outlets, Here with us now to cast an expert | :53:21. | :53:24. | |
eye over those adverts is Murray MacLennan, | :53:25. | :53:38. | |
the worldwide CEO of the advertising Welcome to the Daily Politics. What | :53:39. | :53:46. | |
do you make of these companies using politics in the advertising? There's | :53:47. | :53:49. | |
nothing new in some respects because what we attempt to do is reflect | :53:50. | :53:55. | |
society and understand the target audience and the last three years | :53:56. | :53:59. | |
has seen unprecedented interest and emotion in politics, party politics, | :54:00. | :54:04. | |
but issues, independence, Brexit, Donald Trump, and its arguments | :54:05. | :54:10. | |
tween not just YouTube are people in the pub to advertisers and people | :54:11. | :54:12. | |
down the football ground, so people are going to companies to but the | :54:13. | :54:19. | |
minute advertising. We used to joke these things work not joked about | :54:20. | :54:25. | |
down in the dog and duck but now they are. Do think it's an effective | :54:26. | :54:29. | |
way of engaging consumers? It shows we are humorous. I think it would | :54:30. | :54:33. | |
take a brave advertiser to take sides. Ryanair does but their | :54:34. | :54:39. | |
history is about being opinionated and combative, so it's in their | :54:40. | :54:44. | |
brand, but I don't think you will see Tesco, NatWest, taking sides | :54:45. | :54:49. | |
shortly. They are very cautious, aren't they? It's not their job. | :54:50. | :54:55. | |
Over the New Year, we saw Lego take a stand against the Daily Mail and | :54:56. | :54:58. | |
not advertise whereas John Lewis said it's not our job to take sides. | :54:59. | :55:02. | |
Our customers have different views and were not there to tell them | :55:03. | :55:07. | |
that. Do you think those lines will be blurred in the future and it will | :55:08. | :55:11. | |
become more difficult for them not to take sides, even if it actually | :55:12. | :55:16. | |
is part of their moderate? They may choose to because what we are seeing | :55:17. | :55:19. | |
more and more companies and brands having points of view. They are | :55:20. | :55:24. | |
meant to fulfil something in society over and about making money for | :55:25. | :55:28. | |
their shareholders and a social purpose if you like and can you have | :55:29. | :55:34. | |
a social purpose without politics? Often but not always. I think with | :55:35. | :55:37. | |
greater engagement on these emotional subjects, and that need | :55:38. | :55:43. | |
for companies to have a point of view, you could do. Is it a growing | :55:44. | :55:50. | |
trend or these exceptions? I think they are so deep-rooted and | :55:51. | :55:54. | |
long-running, I think over the next two or three years we'll see more | :55:55. | :55:58. | |
companies having views, using the engagement of people in the | :55:59. | :56:04. | |
advertisements in these big issues, whether it is Brexit or trump. I | :56:05. | :56:09. | |
think it could well be a trend, I'm afraid. Does it surprise you? Not | :56:10. | :56:17. | |
really because it's been part of the political fabric for so long and I | :56:18. | :56:20. | |
can see the pitfalls, businesses being perceived to back a side, or | :56:21. | :56:26. | |
getting a challenge back themselves. I think for the politicians it's a | :56:27. | :56:31. | |
good thing. When you think about Brexit, 72% turnout, far higher than | :56:32. | :56:35. | |
people expected, and all forms of mediums, getting product placement, | :56:36. | :56:42. | |
to reach parts and voters in a way traditional politics doesn't appeal, | :56:43. | :56:45. | |
is a good thing. Would you advise any of your clients to piggyback big | :56:46. | :56:51. | |
political events which have happened like the referendum and the trump | :56:52. | :56:57. | |
inauguration? It depends on the brand and the company. It there is | :56:58. | :57:01. | |
strong brand and has political roots, spotter five know their | :57:02. | :57:06. | |
target audience. We have to know what their values are. If you are | :57:07. | :57:10. | |
reflecting their values, they like to be challenged, then we would do, | :57:11. | :57:17. | |
yes. What you think of this? I love the adverts. Britain is brilliant at | :57:18. | :57:21. | |
advertisements, and our industry is precious globally, loved and | :57:22. | :57:25. | |
revered, and our creativity and quirky character comes out in that | :57:26. | :57:35. | |
and I watched La La Land at the weekend and I watched an advert for | :57:36. | :57:40. | |
NatWest bank talking about climate change and I thought to myself, | :57:41. | :57:45. | |
there you go, NatWest are part of a crisis which means people have never | :57:46. | :57:48. | |
pay rise for eight years but now they are trying to do good. I'm glad | :57:49. | :57:54. | |
you've made that clear on the programme. The other thing is, I | :57:55. | :57:59. | |
think politics is more at the front now than it's ever been our public | :58:00. | :58:03. | |
discourse so why wouldn't you talk about the things people are talking | :58:04. | :58:09. | |
about? Just stay with us for the end of the programme. | :58:10. | :58:10. | |
There's just time before we go to find out the answer to our quiz. | :58:11. | :58:14. | |
The question was, which magazine will Theresa May be featuring in? | :58:15. | :58:16. | |
Vogue. It could be top gear. You both got it right. I'm going to | :58:17. | :58:39. | |
tread very carefully. Thanks very much to all of our guests today. | :58:40. | :58:41. | |
The One O'Clock News is starting over on BBC One now. | :58:42. | :58:44. | |
I'll be here at noon tomorrow with all the big | :58:45. | :58:47. |