Browse content similar to 12/06/2017. Check below for episodes and series from the same categories and more!
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Hello and welcome to the Daily Politics. | :00:38. | :00:40. | |
Theresa May prepares to meet Conservative MPs. | :00:41. | :00:42. | |
She says she'll serve a full term as Prime Minister, | :00:43. | :00:45. | |
Labour say they are ready to form a Government, | :00:46. | :00:52. | |
but with a Conservative working majority of 13, is there really any | :00:53. | :00:54. | |
The Brexit Secretary says we're still leaving the single market, | :00:55. | :01:03. | |
but does the general election mean there will have to be changes | :01:04. | :01:06. | |
And frozen in time - we'll look back at the general | :01:07. | :01:11. | |
All that in the next hour, and with us for the whole | :01:12. | :01:24. | |
of the programme today, an MP who's on so often he's | :01:25. | :01:30. | |
becoming the Shadow Minister for the Daily Politics, | :01:31. | :01:32. | |
And his predecessor in that role, but we haven't seen on the programme | :01:33. | :01:36. | |
for some time, former Conservative Party | :01:37. | :01:38. | |
Theresa May held her first Cabinet meeting this morning. | :01:39. | :01:46. | |
Later, she faces her backbench MPs at a meeting | :01:47. | :01:50. | |
It looks like there's no immediate plan to oust her. | :01:51. | :01:55. | |
So, how will this minority Government go about governing? | :01:56. | :01:57. | |
When the dust settled after election night, | :01:58. | :01:59. | |
the Conservatives ended up with 318 seats and Labour with 262. | :02:00. | :02:06. | |
All other parties combined took 70 seats, 10 of which were won | :02:07. | :02:09. | |
by the DUP, who've been courted by the Conservatives for a so-called | :02:10. | :02:12. | |
When one subtracts Sinn Fein MPs, who don't take their seats, | :02:13. | :02:21. | |
and the Speaker and Deputy Speakers, who traditionally don't vote, | :02:22. | :02:26. | |
the effective working majority for a Conservative Government that | :02:27. | :02:28. | |
Over the weekend Theresa May set about reshuffling her Cabinet. | :02:29. | :02:47. | |
Damian Green was elevated from Work and Pensions Secretary | :02:48. | :02:49. | |
to First Secretary of State - a move that's seen him | :02:50. | :02:52. | |
touted as effectively Theresa May's new deputy. | :02:53. | :02:54. | |
He was replaced as the man in charge of welfare policy by long-time | :02:55. | :02:57. | |
It was a return to the top table for one-time leadership | :02:58. | :03:01. | |
contender Michael Gove, who takes on the | :03:02. | :03:02. | |
While his fellow Leave campaigner Andrea Leadsom moved | :03:03. | :03:05. | |
across to become the new Leader of the House of Commons. | :03:06. | :03:08. | |
Liz Truss, who many had thought had something of a torrid time | :03:09. | :03:11. | |
at the Justice Department, becomes the new Chief | :03:12. | :03:13. | |
And was replaced as Justice Secretary and Lord Chancellor | :03:14. | :03:16. | |
So, as Theresa May prepares to face down her party | :03:17. | :03:23. | |
at the 1922 Committee tonight, all attention among her reorganised | :03:24. | :03:26. | |
staff will be on crafting a Queen's Speech for next Monday. | :03:27. | :03:29. | |
MPs will vote on its contents on 27th June. | :03:30. | :03:33. | |
That will count as the new minority Government's | :03:34. | :03:35. | |
Grant Shapps, what went wrong? Well, the manifesto, clearly, that was a | :03:36. | :03:50. | |
big issue on the doorstep. Specifically the social care policy? | :03:51. | :03:56. | |
Specifically, I think you can do a certain number of unpopular things | :03:57. | :04:00. | |
and people will say, OK, we understand you are taking tough | :04:01. | :04:06. | |
decisions, so maybe that was the pension triple-lock moving to a | :04:07. | :04:10. | |
double-lock. I don't think you can do everything, and what this | :04:11. | :04:14. | |
manifesto tried to do in the of responsibility fiscally, solving | :04:15. | :04:19. | |
long-term problems, was try to do everything and I think that was a | :04:20. | :04:24. | |
mistake. Was it arrogant? I think it was borne out of now departed from | :04:25. | :04:30. | |
Downing Street to some advisers who were not best at taking advice and | :04:31. | :04:34. | |
certainly didn't ask people who really would know about things like | :04:35. | :04:41. | |
long-term care sufficiently advanced with ministers for example not being | :04:42. | :04:45. | |
involved. But Theresa my is the one who hired the advisers and took | :04:46. | :04:51. | |
their advice, it cannot all be laid at their door? In the end of good | :04:52. | :04:54. | |
leader has to take responsibility for what happened and I very much | :04:55. | :04:57. | |
hope that when Theresa May comes to the 1922 this evening, she will come | :04:58. | :05:02. | |
and speak to Conservative MPs, that she doesn't do what seems to happen | :05:03. | :05:06. | |
on the doorstep on Friday... She did not take any responsibility. | :05:07. | :05:14. | |
Colleagues lost their jobs, but actually this expectation of this | :05:15. | :05:17. | |
election was allowed to get completely out of control, and when | :05:18. | :05:22. | |
that happens you end up in a mess. So I think what she will do later is | :05:23. | :05:28. | |
perhaps just show the progression of the fact that people have lost their | :05:29. | :05:34. | |
Parliamentary jobs for a general election which was not strictly | :05:35. | :05:38. | |
required and I hope take some questions from colleagues. But I | :05:39. | :05:41. | |
agree with you in the introduction, I don't think there is any great | :05:42. | :05:44. | |
feeling that we want an urgent leadership election, getting right | :05:45. | :05:49. | |
back into that, because, to coin a phrase, genuinely what the country | :05:50. | :05:53. | |
actually requires is some stability, so I think that leadership election | :05:54. | :05:56. | |
is not the first thing that should be on the cards. Were you surprised | :05:57. | :06:00. | |
she did not show much contrition on the doorstep on Friday. Yes. What | :06:01. | :06:06. | |
would you have liked to have heard from her? What she then said an hour | :06:07. | :06:17. | |
or two later, her colleagues have lost their seats, majorities had | :06:18. | :06:18. | |
been cut, and clearly in human terms this election did not go to plan, | :06:19. | :06:21. | |
the plan was to have a bigger majority and strengthen her upper | :06:22. | :06:25. | |
hand at Brexit negotiations, which is fine, but it is not what ended up | :06:26. | :06:30. | |
happening so you expect any speech about it to at least acknowledge the | :06:31. | :06:34. | |
fact it hasn't gone our way. But, as I say, I think she has then done a | :06:35. | :06:39. | |
series of the right things, I think she was right to move quickly to put | :06:40. | :06:46. | |
the Cabinet back in place, she dealt with the Downing Street advisers, | :06:47. | :06:49. | |
she is seeing the 1922 this evening. She was pressured to do that? By | :06:50. | :06:55. | |
circumstances, of course, but we are where we are with it, and you ask | :06:56. | :06:58. | |
whether I think there will be a leadership election and I think, no, | :06:59. | :07:02. | |
if the 1922 goes well for her deceiving. Should there be a | :07:03. | :07:06. | |
leadership contest if it does not go well? You would require, just on a | :07:07. | :07:13. | |
technical note, 48 MPs, 15%, 48 MPs to sign a letter will stop at an | :07:14. | :07:17. | |
emotional and personal level, you have outlined, she did not show | :07:18. | :07:22. | |
contrition on Friday. She went to the country because she wanted to | :07:23. | :07:26. | |
get a stronger mandate, a bigger mandate, she made the whole campaign | :07:27. | :07:31. | |
about her in a presidential style, promoted herself as strong and | :07:32. | :07:35. | |
stable and asked for a stronger mandate for Brexit, and it backfired | :07:36. | :07:40. | |
catastrophically for her personally. She lost a majority, Tories have | :07:41. | :07:45. | |
lost seats, as you said, you have gone backwards and she was dubbed a | :07:46. | :07:52. | |
Maybot in terms of her personal style. Does she not need to take | :07:53. | :07:57. | |
more responsibility? Not to acknowledge that was a mistake on | :07:58. | :08:01. | |
Friday, and I hope that has been recognised. The thing about Theresa | :08:02. | :08:06. | |
May, she is quite good at being Prime Minister, what she is not good | :08:07. | :08:10. | |
at Apple is the campaigning and that is what this election showed up, and | :08:11. | :08:16. | |
what was crazy, and I thought this all along, being party chairman I | :08:17. | :08:19. | |
thought about this long and hard, to allow expectations to run to the | :08:20. | :08:26. | |
point where there was May-mania and we would get hundreds of seats was | :08:27. | :08:30. | |
crazy insane. For the purpose of balance, the same think is happening | :08:31. | :08:35. | |
now, Jeremy Corbyn has lost a selection, he has far fewer MPs than | :08:36. | :08:40. | |
we do, only four more than their disastrous 2010, and now we have | :08:41. | :08:44. | |
Corbyn-mania. To stick to the main point, how these things get out of | :08:45. | :08:47. | |
control, we now have a Corbyn-mania which is every bit as mad as having | :08:48. | :08:51. | |
the May-mania beforehand. Politics does not have to be done in this | :08:52. | :08:57. | |
pibroch atmosphere. Do you think she will fight another election as | :08:58. | :09:00. | |
leader of the Conservative Party? At this point, I don't know. I suspect | :09:01. | :09:05. | |
that she won't. Do you think she will last the year? Will she, should | :09:06. | :09:09. | |
she make it to the Conservative Party conference? I think it would | :09:10. | :09:13. | |
be great if she now gets the Government in place, which she | :09:14. | :09:17. | |
started to do yesterday, and starts the negotiations, and then she can | :09:18. | :09:21. | |
herself make any decision about the future. I think it should be that | :09:22. | :09:24. | |
way round and I think the mood of the party is to allow for that time | :09:25. | :09:31. | |
and space to do that, and, as I say, what happens this evening in the | :09:32. | :09:35. | |
1922 will be vital to that because she, I think, will need to give the | :09:36. | :09:38. | |
sense that she has not always given in the past that she gets it. We can | :09:39. | :09:43. | |
see pictures of Boris Johnson, Foreign Secretary, confirmed back in | :09:44. | :09:48. | |
post, he has denied he is interested in the leadership, he is out | :09:49. | :09:51. | |
running, you might say he is limbering up. Look at that, amazing. | :09:52. | :09:56. | |
I will look at it for a brief moment, limbering up for a | :09:57. | :09:59. | |
leadership election, getting himself in shape for the top job? He says | :10:00. | :10:03. | |
not and I think that is probably true for the time being. Do you | :10:04. | :10:09. | |
believe him? I think if he was going to do it he would have already done | :10:10. | :10:13. | |
it. I think what we are moving towards here, my best assessment of | :10:14. | :10:18. | |
the situation, is she now has a bit of time and space to get things back | :10:19. | :10:25. | |
on something of an even keel, and with a working majority of 30 it is | :10:26. | :10:30. | |
perfectly possible to do this and actually the big issue, we always | :10:31. | :10:33. | |
like to state the Conservative Party is the party that puts the nation's | :10:34. | :10:38. | |
interest first, and before Barry scoffs that that you can look at the | :10:39. | :10:41. | |
Scottish referendum where at the time it was not in our best | :10:42. | :10:45. | |
interests to have Scotland leaving the UK but we still wanted to do | :10:46. | :10:49. | |
that and in the same spirit right now the most important thing is to | :10:50. | :10:53. | |
have the Brexit negotiations actually begin and that is why we | :10:54. | :10:57. | |
require that everything just comes down for the moment. Barry Gardiner | :10:58. | :11:01. | |
has been listening patiently! Why, though, has more party been so happy | :11:02. | :11:07. | |
about losing the election? I have not been happy about losing the | :11:08. | :11:10. | |
election, I don't think many people in my party have been happy... | :11:11. | :11:14. | |
Jeremy Corbyn looked delighted in the interview yesterday, he thought | :11:15. | :11:19. | |
he had won! What I think we have two be reasonably aware of is that we | :11:20. | :11:24. | |
have turned what the broadsheets were saying was going to be 120 to | :11:25. | :11:29. | |
150 sheet majority to the Conservatives into a reduced number | :11:30. | :11:32. | |
of seats to the Conservatives where they are now forming a minority | :11:33. | :11:37. | |
administration in conjunction with the DUP. More successful than even | :11:38. | :11:40. | |
you could have imagined but you still boss? Given where we were, we | :11:41. | :11:45. | |
have achieved an historic was urgent and I am pleased about that, but I'm | :11:46. | :11:49. | |
conscious there are many people out there in the country who were hoping | :11:50. | :11:58. | |
for the policies that we put in our manifesto to be delivered, and that | :11:59. | :12:01. | |
we have not done that is no solace to them. Let's talk about the | :12:02. | :12:03. | |
policies, Grant Shapps, which policies will be dropped from the | :12:04. | :12:06. | |
manifesto, because you did not win a mandate for it? Who knows? I cannot | :12:07. | :12:11. | |
answer that. I will tell you one straight off the bat, absolute | :12:12. | :12:15. | |
insanity to start to talk about changing fox-hunting laws, what on | :12:16. | :12:19. | |
earth was that about?! It was the moment where I thought there had | :12:20. | :12:23. | |
been a mistake made, perhaps an off-the-cuff comment and then I bet | :12:24. | :12:26. | |
the manifesto and discovered not only were we planning to allow a | :12:27. | :12:31. | |
free vote but it would be a Government bill in Government time. | :12:32. | :12:35. | |
It stands absolutely no chance of being passed and thank goodness. | :12:36. | :12:40. | |
What about the expansion of grammar schools? Things like grammar | :12:41. | :12:45. | |
schools, the future of education, social care, triple-lock, all of | :12:46. | :12:49. | |
those things I think will be in the mix with the discussions that will | :12:50. | :12:53. | |
now have to take place. Do you think they should be dropped, in a sense | :12:54. | :12:56. | |
that Winter Fuel Payments being cut to a certain number of pensioners, | :12:57. | :13:00. | |
we were never told who it was going to affect, social policy now with | :13:01. | :13:06. | |
its cap as well as its floor, are you saying that shouldn't happen? | :13:07. | :13:09. | |
Things like the social care policy literally went down like a lead | :13:10. | :13:16. | |
balloon, nobody was interested in hearing the explanation which, when | :13:17. | :13:20. | |
you dig into the policy, raising the four from 23 to ?100,000 and it | :13:21. | :13:24. | |
would help some people but no one was interested in getting into that | :13:25. | :13:28. | |
detail. What it did was send a signal that we somehow were not | :13:29. | :13:32. | |
interested in the aspirations of people who work hard and save all | :13:33. | :13:35. | |
their life and want to be able to keep some of that money. People | :13:36. | :13:38. | |
confused it with being about inheritance tax, | :13:39. | :13:52. | |
which it is not, so I think that policy needs to be shelved. So the | :13:53. | :13:56. | |
accusations that Labour had a magic monetary when it came to their | :13:57. | :13:58. | |
manifesto, it will be the Tories who will now go back on a lot of their | :13:59. | :14:01. | |
manifesto commitments and won't commit to bringing down the deficit | :14:02. | :14:04. | |
as in previous manifestos, and they will be spending money and giving | :14:05. | :14:06. | |
out freebies? I don't think that should and needs to be the case. | :14:07. | :14:09. | |
Doesn't it? But so many people voted for the Labour Party for a lot of | :14:10. | :14:13. | |
those policies, I'm not saying for a magic monetary, I'm saying for | :14:14. | :14:16. | |
spending more on public services. It is also possible a lot of people | :14:17. | :14:20. | |
voted Labour to show that they wanted, as people voted Brexit | :14:21. | :14:23. | |
thinking it would never happen, probably voted that way as well, | :14:24. | :14:36. | |
but on social care, for example, I'm not saying there are endless amounts | :14:37. | :14:40. | |
of money, we spent years with The Economist Andrew Dilnot working out | :14:41. | :14:43. | |
what to do one care, it is perfectly good, costed policy. And you didn't | :14:44. | :14:46. | |
do it! How are you going to get your programme of legislation across? | :14:47. | :14:48. | |
Bite do we keep hearing Jeremy Corbyn will have an alternative | :14:49. | :14:51. | |
programme? I don't want to intervene in the cosy chat you have been | :14:52. | :14:55. | |
happening for the past quarter of an hour... It has not been cosy, I have | :14:56. | :14:59. | |
been taking him through what happened between the election. If I | :15:00. | :15:04. | |
can comment on that, it seems to me the real question people need | :15:05. | :15:09. | |
answered immediately is, what is the Queen's Speech? She went to the | :15:10. | :15:14. | |
country on a manifesto, most of the key policies of which she cannot | :15:15. | :15:18. | |
deliver because she is now finding them to be toxic, so what is | :15:19. | :15:22. | |
actually going to be in the Queen's Speech? Nothing. It is vacuous. What | :15:23. | :15:28. | |
I am saying to you is, how are you going to get your policies into any | :15:29. | :15:32. | |
sort of form the public the Ben Foden? You lost the election, none | :15:33. | :15:36. | |
of your manifesto policies are going to come into reality. We are not in | :15:37. | :15:41. | |
Government, absolutely. So why does Jeremy Corbyn say you will offer an | :15:42. | :15:44. | |
alternative programme for Government? There is no prospect of | :15:45. | :15:49. | |
you being able to do that. What the official opposition has to do in | :15:50. | :15:55. | |
Parliament is to put forward reasoned and reasonable alternatives | :15:56. | :16:03. | |
and to make the case so that people can see and ultimately, in a | :16:04. | :16:05. | |
parliament where actually things are so febrile and on a knife edge, | :16:06. | :16:08. | |
where there is a real chance of the Government losing the vote, then | :16:09. | :16:12. | |
actually to be putting forward the reasonable alternatives and trying | :16:13. | :16:17. | |
to build a consensus around that. What is your reasoned proposal on | :16:18. | :16:22. | |
social care that is different to the Government's we actually were in | :16:23. | :16:26. | |
favour of the do not report, we had bipartisan agreement about it until | :16:27. | :16:30. | |
the Conservatives ripped that up, but more than that we said, for | :16:31. | :16:34. | |
example, we would increase carers allowance by 17%, that is something | :16:35. | :16:38. | |
which again was deeply popular. We would restore the ?4.6 billion of | :16:39. | :16:43. | |
cuts the Conservatives made over the past three years. There is a lot of | :16:44. | :16:45. | |
difference there. Do you think those are the sorts of | :16:46. | :16:54. | |
things that should be part of the Queen's speech? Had cross-party | :16:55. | :16:59. | |
agreement on the Andrew deal not proposals. I disagree on going back | :17:00. | :17:05. | |
to the world that got us back into the financial crass and we have been | :17:06. | :17:12. | |
trying to recover ever since. You cannot keep... Grant Shapps... We're | :17:13. | :17:19. | |
not going to go back now in 2017 back to what happened in the | :17:20. | :17:23. | |
financial crash. Labour have not been in power since 2010, the | :17:24. | :17:28. | |
Conservatives have under a majority government. From 979 billion... You | :17:29. | :17:40. | |
cannot reduce debt until you reduce and eliminate the deficit. And you | :17:41. | :17:48. | |
haven't done. You did say he would eliminated by 2015. The policies you | :17:49. | :17:53. | |
are proposing beyond the care thing which we agree about will take us | :17:54. | :17:59. | |
back into the deficit. Can I ask about the DUP and confidence and | :18:00. | :18:03. | |
supply arrangement. Are you comfortable with that? I don't want | :18:04. | :18:09. | |
to be in coalition. I am very uncomfortable with many of the | :18:10. | :18:16. | |
social views as well, things I will literally never ever support. | :18:17. | :18:21. | |
However, the party is entitled to vote for our economic programme and | :18:22. | :18:26. | |
I hope an agreement can be made, confidence and supply agreement, can | :18:27. | :18:33. | |
be made to do that. Are you worried that actually the Government has | :18:34. | :18:37. | |
lost the capacity to hold the ring in the re-establishment of the | :18:38. | :18:42. | |
Assembly in Northern Ireland? Because now they are seen to be in | :18:43. | :18:55. | |
bed with one side, one party in that arrangement, and they can therefore | :18:56. | :18:56. | |
no longer in an impartial way deal with both sides. Let him answer that | :18:57. | :19:01. | |
straight question. I think transparency is important here and | :19:02. | :19:04. | |
we need to know what has been offered to the DUP in order to gain | :19:05. | :19:07. | |
the support, and the Government is not saying that. The deal as I | :19:08. | :19:15. | |
understand is not done yet, so when it is done I agree it should be | :19:16. | :19:19. | |
transparent. To answer your question, I do think that given the | :19:20. | :19:26. | |
DUP want to get the power-sharing going again, I don't think this will | :19:27. | :19:33. | |
be an impediment. As I say, if they want to agree with our economic | :19:34. | :19:38. | |
programme, and if in return they want for example the long-term care | :19:39. | :19:43. | |
we were just talking about, sheltered from the manifesto, fine, | :19:44. | :19:47. | |
let them vote with our programme. Were you uncomfortable when Gordon | :19:48. | :19:51. | |
Brown was having talks with the DUP in 2010? I have always said that if | :19:52. | :19:58. | |
we are the largest single party, we should govern as a minority | :19:59. | :20:03. | |
government. I believe it's the only honest way of doing things. Which | :20:04. | :20:07. | |
the Tories are going to try to do here. They are doing a deal. No, | :20:08. | :20:14. | |
it's a confidence and supply. Let's move on. | :20:15. | :20:18. | |
Now, this morning it was the Brexit Secretary David Davis | :20:19. | :20:20. | |
who was charged with getting the Government's message across. | :20:21. | :20:22. | |
With negotiations due to start next week, he was asked | :20:23. | :20:25. | |
whether the election would change their | :20:26. | :20:26. | |
The thing to understand is that the fundamental central aim | :20:27. | :20:29. | |
of trying to get a free trade agreement, a customs agreement, | :20:30. | :20:32. | |
and a continuing agreement on security and other matters | :20:33. | :20:34. | |
is still in the interests of both sides, so that | :20:35. | :20:37. | |
And that's what we driving for, and, frankly, that's | :20:38. | :20:41. | |
David Davis, Grant Shapps, do you accept Theresa May has no mandate | :20:42. | :20:57. | |
now for what she said in that Lancaster house speech in terms of | :20:58. | :21:03. | |
Brexit? No, firstly on Brexit I was a remainder. I like to think | :21:04. | :21:09. | |
middle-of-the-road on this in as much as I would agree the country | :21:10. | :21:14. | |
has voted to leave and we must now leave. And leave the single market? | :21:15. | :21:19. | |
The implication is it is very hard to leave in any other way and fulfil | :21:20. | :21:25. | |
the country has asked us to do but I've never been hardline about it. | :21:26. | :21:31. | |
What does that mean, hard line? I have always felt having a manifesto | :21:32. | :21:38. | |
objective of reducing immigration to an arbitrary figure of less than | :21:39. | :21:42. | |
100,000 is to say that this fact is more important than our economy, and | :21:43. | :21:48. | |
I think that is the wrong way round to have this. So you agree with Ruth | :21:49. | :21:53. | |
Davidson, the leader of the Tories in Scotland, and had a very good | :21:54. | :21:56. | |
night in her terms because she increased the number of seats in | :21:57. | :22:01. | |
Scotland for the Conservatives? She says she wants to put the economy | :22:02. | :22:04. | |
ahead of the issue of immigration, but what does that mean in terms of | :22:05. | :22:10. | |
changing fundamentally the shape of Brexit? So yes, I do entirely agree | :22:11. | :22:16. | |
with that. What it means is this. If you are talking about the single | :22:17. | :22:20. | |
market, it is clear we cannot be in the single market because that | :22:21. | :22:24. | |
requires completely free movement of people but we already accept in this | :22:25. | :22:27. | |
country some people to come and go and there may be a deal around | :22:28. | :22:33. | |
having some sort of visa system that enables people to work here, which | :22:34. | :22:38. | |
provides sufficient movement for work and jobs only of course. Which | :22:39. | :22:47. | |
might in your terms be a softer approach to Brexit rather than the | :22:48. | :22:50. | |
hard lines of this only being about a particular figure. You were saying | :22:51. | :22:56. | |
earlier about hardline or hard Brexit. So let's be specific about | :22:57. | :23:00. | |
what we mean, you are still in agreement about leaving the single | :23:01. | :23:04. | |
market? And still an agreement with what the party put in its manifesto | :23:05. | :23:10. | |
on the customs union? So it's about tone? I think that is what the | :23:11. | :23:17. | |
country itself agreed... And you are in total agreement with that too, | :23:18. | :23:26. | |
Barry? Many Conservatives previously go along with a hard Brexit have now | :23:27. | :23:30. | |
said it is the economy and jobs that must govern the ultimate deal we | :23:31. | :23:34. | |
have with Europe. His Labour still committed to leaving the single | :23:35. | :23:39. | |
market? Yes, because it is clear the single market is the internal market | :23:40. | :23:43. | |
of the European Union, if we leave the European Union, then relieve the | :23:44. | :23:49. | |
internal market and with that we cannot have a deal where there is | :23:50. | :23:54. | |
single market or internal market that is without the four freedoms. | :23:55. | :23:59. | |
What did you mean when you said, we need those benefits and when they | :24:00. | :24:02. | |
are achieved through reformed membership of the single market, | :24:03. | :24:09. | |
it's actually secondary to achieving the benefit. So for you you want to | :24:10. | :24:14. | |
see a reformed membership of the single market? No, you have quoted | :24:15. | :24:17. | |
me accurately but what I said was we wanted the benefits of the single | :24:18. | :24:23. | |
market, which is exactly what Grant says he wants. We have been | :24:24. | :24:28. | |
absolutely clear on this. We want those benefits, and actually the | :24:29. | :24:32. | |
issue of how we get them is secondary... But that is not the | :24:33. | :24:36. | |
same as reformed membership because you have said you still want | :24:37. | :24:39. | |
membership of the single market, you just want to reform it. No, it said | :24:40. | :24:47. | |
unless you can get a reform deal so that the whole way the internal | :24:48. | :24:51. | |
market is structured as reformed... So you think you could stay in the | :24:52. | :24:55. | |
single market and have a deal on immigration? The Government has | :24:56. | :25:00. | |
ruled that out, we have said it is highly unlikely because of the | :25:01. | :25:05. | |
reasons we have just talked about in terms of the four freedoms, the EU | :25:06. | :25:08. | |
have made it clear they will not give membership of the internal | :25:09. | :25:12. | |
market unless it is accompanied by the four freedoms. What we are | :25:13. | :25:16. | |
saying is, if they were to offer that would we turn it down? So if | :25:17. | :25:23. | |
they were to offer that, but reform the four freedoms you talked about, | :25:24. | :25:29. | |
you would accept that? Then we have changed the basis of what EU | :25:30. | :25:32. | |
membership constitutes. I think it is highly unlikely. I was simply | :25:33. | :25:39. | |
being exact about where we were. But nothing has changed fundamentally. | :25:40. | :25:43. | |
The two parties are exactly the same in terms of wanting to... Hang on, | :25:44. | :25:49. | |
let me say what it is first. You are the same on the issue of coming out | :25:50. | :25:53. | |
of the single market and coming out of the customs union? They would | :25:54. | :25:59. | |
actually go to World Trade Organisation rules and David Davis | :26:00. | :26:04. | |
on your programme made it quite clear he thinks that is something we | :26:05. | :26:09. | |
should keep as a threat. This is something we think is ridiculous. | :26:10. | :26:14. | |
It's not that that is no deal, there are outcomes here... I think I can | :26:15. | :26:20. | |
clear this up actually. On the surface it sounds like we are saying | :26:21. | :26:23. | |
the same thing about the single market and customs union but I think | :26:24. | :26:30. | |
the approach you are suggesting where there is no backdrop, if we | :26:31. | :26:35. | |
cannot get at least something reasonable we have negotiated, our | :26:36. | :26:39. | |
backstop is to say no to a deal. If you don't say no to a deal, you tell | :26:40. | :26:44. | |
people in our fans they can push you around. Now because of this election | :26:45. | :26:49. | |
and what happened, and her call for a stronger mandate has been rejected | :26:50. | :26:55. | |
by the people, the EU will now think they can probably push the UK | :26:56. | :27:00. | |
around. To finish my previous point, this is what happened when David | :27:01. | :27:09. | |
Cameron went to the EU to renegotiate, you made it clear there | :27:10. | :27:11. | |
was nothing that would happen if they didn't give him anything, they | :27:12. | :27:14. | |
didn't give him anything because they knew he had already shown his | :27:15. | :27:19. | |
hand. It is like playing a very poor hand and you are proposing we do | :27:20. | :27:23. | |
that as a country. Do you think it is a weak negotiating hand to save | :27:24. | :27:30. | |
no deal is better than a bad deal? My point is simply this, that | :27:31. | :27:35. | |
Article 50 being triggered, there's two years to conclude and | :27:36. | :27:38. | |
negotiation before you were rejected onto WTO terms. World Trade | :27:39. | :27:47. | |
Organisation. So the idea that somehow there is a cardio play... | :27:48. | :27:54. | |
Let him answer. The idea that there is a card to be played here which is | :27:55. | :27:59. | |
that we will walk away is nonsense. That is already built into the rules | :28:00. | :28:04. | |
of these negotiations, and therefore the point here is which is the | :28:05. | :28:09. | |
better outcome for the British people? Is it better to say that | :28:10. | :28:13. | |
actually we will just not conclude and negotiation within that period | :28:14. | :28:18. | |
and we will then go onto WTO rules which means we have all the tariff | :28:19. | :28:22. | |
barriers, all the nontariff barriers, all the problems for our | :28:23. | :28:27. | |
companies and businesses and exporters, or do we say that we must | :28:28. | :28:32. | |
conclude a deal within that time, hopefully with transitional | :28:33. | :28:38. | |
arrangements. We are going to have to finish it there but I want to say | :28:39. | :28:43. | |
the Prime Minister's official spokesman has refused to confirm the | :28:44. | :28:47. | |
date of the Queen's speech, the legislative programme that would be | :28:48. | :28:51. | |
presented. It's going to be delayed for a few days, what does that say | :28:52. | :28:58. | |
to you? I haven't heard that news. It has just been announced. If | :28:59. | :29:02. | |
that's because they cannot agree on what to go in the Queen's speech? | :29:03. | :29:04. | |
Let's move on. The general election in Scotland | :29:05. | :29:20. | |
told a rather different story The Conservatives actually gained | :29:21. | :29:22. | |
12 seats, the Scottish Conservative leader - | :29:23. | :29:25. | |
Ruth Davidson - being seen as the party's knight in shining | :29:26. | :29:27. | |
armour and yesterday. Miss Davidson, never shy | :29:28. | :29:29. | |
of the cameras, staged a photo opportunity with the successful | :29:30. | :29:31. | |
candidates that she's Labour were also successful, | :29:32. | :29:33. | |
gaining six seats in Scotland, All of this at the expense | :29:34. | :29:36. | |
of the SNP who, if you can Well, joining me now | :29:37. | :29:41. | |
is the SNP's Stephen Gethins. Welcome to the programme. It was a | :29:42. | :29:50. | |
bad night for you. We managed to win the majority of the seats in which | :29:51. | :29:56. | |
we stored. We did lose seats and we lost some fine parliamentarians and | :29:57. | :29:59. | |
that was obviously disappointing but we still managed to win the election | :30:00. | :30:03. | |
in Scotland. But you went backwards and Ruth Davidson coined the phrase | :30:04. | :30:12. | |
peeking out, do you agree with her? Lost some good colleagues, excellent | :30:13. | :30:17. | |
parliamentarians and that was obviously disappointing. I'm | :30:18. | :30:21. | |
disappointed to have lost Mike Weir, Alex Salmond, Angus Robertson, who | :30:22. | :30:27. | |
have provided tremendous asset to the constituency and been strong | :30:28. | :30:31. | |
voices for Scotland. Indyref2 is dead, isn't it? That is something | :30:32. | :30:36. | |
the Scottish Parliament has voted on so I will leave it with the Scottish | :30:37. | :30:42. | |
parliament. In your mind, plans for the second Scottish referendum, | :30:43. | :30:45. | |
which you campaigned on, that has gone, you haven't got the mandate | :30:46. | :30:49. | |
for it now? Something I found astonishing during the general | :30:50. | :30:52. | |
election campaign was we spent a lot of time with the Tories and others | :30:53. | :30:55. | |
wanting to talk about this rather than the records. The Tories had a | :30:56. | :31:01. | |
poor record on where we are in Europe. They did well in Scotland | :31:02. | :31:06. | |
for someone with a poor record. They still lost the election in Scotland | :31:07. | :31:12. | |
but they made progress... There are more Tories in Scotland than pandas | :31:13. | :31:22. | |
now, aren't there? We have to get more pandas! You didn't want to talk | :31:23. | :31:25. | |
about it because you knew the people of Scotland didn't want it. We also | :31:26. | :31:31. | |
need to talk about the Westminster issues. Like your record on | :31:32. | :31:32. | |
education. We want to talk about issues like | :31:33. | :31:42. | |
where you will get the funding from, there is a direct impact on | :31:43. | :31:45. | |
education in Scotland. There were interesting remarks about the | :31:46. | :31:48. | |
movement we will have to see, and critically something will have to | :31:49. | :31:51. | |
happen down here, Westminster will have to change its culture and those | :31:52. | :31:55. | |
of us at Westminster are going to have to talk to each other, find | :31:56. | :31:59. | |
agreement where we can, and try to work together not least on Europe. | :32:00. | :32:03. | |
Let's talk about Europe, Nicola Sturgeon called for a Brexit pause. | :32:04. | :32:07. | |
Isn't the truth that you just want to stop it? Not at all, I think if | :32:08. | :32:12. | |
you look back you will see the only Government to provided anything of | :32:13. | :32:15. | |
substance around watch it happen next on Europe was the compromise | :32:16. | :32:19. | |
the Scottish Government released across the UK, a pan UK compromise, | :32:20. | :32:23. | |
if that was rejected there was a Scottish element as well. It was | :32:24. | :32:27. | |
rejected by the Government at the time. Freedom of movement, EU | :32:28. | :32:30. | |
nationals who have made this country that home should be allowed to stay, | :32:31. | :32:34. | |
universities getting some kind of certainty, all these issues that are | :32:35. | :32:37. | |
now open for discussion and that is why we are asking for a pause. You | :32:38. | :32:42. | |
want to reopen the debate about the single market? I think we should be | :32:43. | :32:47. | |
members of the single market. Asking for a pause the discussion. Given | :32:48. | :32:51. | |
Theresa May has just taken six critical weeks out of the | :32:52. | :32:54. | |
negotiation period, I think a few days to reflect on the general | :32:55. | :32:58. | |
election, access the results, which the story still have to do, and have | :32:59. | :33:01. | |
a discussion about what happens next... What gives the SNP the right | :33:02. | :33:06. | |
to dictate what should happen now in terms of Brexit? You lost seats. I | :33:07. | :33:12. | |
think you are falling back on the old Westminster habit of thinking | :33:13. | :33:15. | |
1-party dictate. These are policy suggestions we are open to | :33:16. | :33:18. | |
discussing with other political parties. These two have agreed, | :33:19. | :33:23. | |
ostensibly, on Brexit in terms of single market membership, they want | :33:24. | :33:28. | |
out. I would be surprised if the Labour Party will let the Tories off | :33:29. | :33:32. | |
the hook so easily. You think Labour might be on your side for the single | :33:33. | :33:37. | |
market? There are a large number of areas where we can find common | :33:38. | :33:41. | |
ground with colleagues in the Labour Party, freedom of the bid, the | :33:42. | :33:43. | |
single market, issues that have a direct impact on jobs and the | :33:44. | :33:49. | |
economy and issues for young people. Ironically you could work with Ruth | :33:50. | :33:53. | |
Davidson, CHI also wants to perhaps have an open discussion, she says, | :33:54. | :33:56. | |
on Brexit and some of the areas around it, you could join with her. | :33:57. | :34:01. | |
If I can find common ground on issues I think will benefit my | :34:02. | :34:04. | |
constituents on these issues and of course I will work together with | :34:05. | :34:08. | |
members of other political parties. In this parliament we will all have | :34:09. | :34:11. | |
to get used to talking to one another, listening to one another as | :34:12. | :34:13. | |
well. Gone are the days when the Tories can get a third of | :34:14. | :34:28. | |
the vote and command a majority, those days have clearly gone now and | :34:29. | :34:31. | |
in Hollywood it is something that has happened for years, Westminster | :34:32. | :34:34. | |
will have to get behind it. How long do you want the talks to pause for? | :34:35. | :34:37. | |
I think a few days while we have some time, let's see how long it | :34:38. | :34:40. | |
takes because we have to reflect on the election result, the Tory hard | :34:41. | :34:42. | |
Brexit is finished and we need to listen to people from other | :34:43. | :34:44. | |
political parties, get the devolved administrations involved, which has | :34:45. | :34:47. | |
not happened previously. Should the devolved administrations be | :34:48. | :34:50. | |
involved? Ruth Davidson obviously wants to have more involvement and | :34:51. | :34:54. | |
has some basis for fixing a muscle. What about bringing in the SNP and | :34:55. | :34:58. | |
Labour in a more cross-party committee other than a select | :34:59. | :35:01. | |
Committee which already exists on Brexit, to talk about it? It is a | :35:02. | :35:06. | |
good idea to have a consensus in politics and I'm fascinated to hear | :35:07. | :35:10. | |
it from the SNP. I used to stand just next Angus Robertson, and the | :35:11. | :35:16. | |
banter backwards and forwards, he was the most tribal of politicians I | :35:17. | :35:20. | |
ever used to come across. Unbelievable. And actually, as a | :35:21. | :35:26. | |
group, I don't think there were more tribal group of MPs than the SNP. | :35:27. | :35:34. | |
So, can you work... In the last Parliament, if you go back and look | :35:35. | :35:37. | |
at the motions, my amendments on the European issue, I was able to get | :35:38. | :35:43. | |
support from Labour, even some Tories, David Davis even backed my | :35:44. | :35:46. | |
call for the referendum date to be changed. That was due to the | :35:47. | :35:50. | |
approach of other colleagues in the house more than anything else. Where | :35:51. | :35:54. | |
is the common ground between you? One of the key aspect where there is | :35:55. | :36:00. | |
real disagreement on Brexit is over regulation and deregulation. | :36:01. | :36:03. | |
Conservatives want a deregulated economy. In order to be able to | :36:04. | :36:07. | |
continue to have the access of which Grant speaks but which his party has | :36:08. | :36:14. | |
difficulty to negotiate because of their view on regulation, we | :36:15. | :36:17. | |
actually need to have equivalents with the EU. Will you vote down the | :36:18. | :36:22. | |
Great Repeal Bill? We have already said we will vote down the Great | :36:23. | :36:26. | |
Repeal Bill because we want our rights and protections built, | :36:27. | :36:29. | |
exactly that area of regulation, they want to do away with the | :36:30. | :36:33. | |
regulations that are actually providing us with protection for our | :36:34. | :36:38. | |
clean air, environmental, birds and habitats directive, something that | :36:39. | :36:44. | |
the new Secretary of State, something for the new Secretary of | :36:45. | :36:48. | |
State for environment... Who is Michael Gove, a great friend of | :36:49. | :36:53. | |
yours. He has said he is against it. If you all talk over each other, no | :36:54. | :36:58. | |
one can hear. The Great Repeal Bill thanks to take all of the | :36:59. | :37:02. | |
legislation and put it into British law wholesale and in particular | :37:03. | :37:05. | |
protect workers' rights and environmental. We have two ended | :37:06. | :37:09. | |
there because we have to let Stephen Gethin 's goat. You won by two | :37:10. | :37:15. | |
votes? Yes, they all count, that is the thing to take away, they all | :37:16. | :37:19. | |
count in every constituency. Who will replace Angus Robertson in | :37:20. | :37:24. | |
Westminster? That is something we have to discuss over the next few | :37:25. | :37:29. | |
days, and also we need to take some time to relax and family and the | :37:30. | :37:33. | |
public as well! Yesterday, Jeremy Corbyn said he is | :37:34. | :37:37. | |
ready to fight another election this year. Theresa May said on the other | :37:38. | :37:38. | |
hand she wants to fight of all time. So is there any public appetite | :37:39. | :37:45. | |
for an early election? We thought we'd test that idea | :37:46. | :37:53. | |
with the only scientific method known to man - | :37:54. | :37:56. | |
the Daily Politics moodbox. We have only just recovered from the | :37:57. | :38:01. | |
last one, and now we are asking whether we are going to do it again. | :38:02. | :38:03. | |
The question for commuters, should there be another early election, yes | :38:04. | :38:08. | |
or no? Why is that? We're exhausted! I've got loads of energy! I'm going | :38:09. | :38:16. | |
to say yes. No, we have to get on and do stuff. Works, be productive. | :38:17. | :38:25. | |
Yes, there should. Why? Because it is too unstable at the moment. Who | :38:26. | :38:31. | |
is up for another early election? There has to be, nothing has been | :38:32. | :38:35. | |
decided yet and we have doubts agreement across the political | :38:36. | :38:39. | |
divide that we have. How soon? Within six months. We need a proper | :38:40. | :38:44. | |
Government to negotiate on our behalf. You are up for another one? | :38:45. | :38:52. | |
No, but I think we need one! I think now we will get a better opinion, | :38:53. | :38:56. | |
people will see what other people have said, that we are fed up with | :38:57. | :39:01. | |
it and need some more stability. No, we are fed up with elections. Fed up | :39:02. | :39:09. | |
with it all? Yes! Made her mind up the first time, doesn't want to do | :39:10. | :39:14. | |
it again. Sick of elections! Will you vote in hours? Oh, God. Oh, God, | :39:15. | :39:24. | |
yes or no? It is disruptive, we should decide who is representing us | :39:25. | :39:27. | |
before we go into those negotiations. Commuters, it seems, | :39:28. | :39:32. | |
are up for it, because the yeses are pulling ahead. Yes or no? Doesn't | :39:33. | :39:39. | |
vote, doesn't vote in elections... Yes or no? You have to give the ball | :39:40. | :39:47. | |
back! Trying to steal our balls! He is up for it again. I am up for it | :39:48. | :39:59. | |
again. She just voted in the wrong box! I am going to have to do this | :40:00. | :40:09. | |
to balance it out. We've just been moved on! We're not wanted here. | :40:10. | :40:15. | |
What's the point in doing something again when it was a disaster in the | :40:16. | :40:20. | |
first place? She is the walking dead. No one wants to vote for her, | :40:21. | :40:24. | |
no one is interested and I think it is back to the polls. There are lots | :40:25. | :40:28. | |
of people who will want to express the feelings and I think another | :40:29. | :40:33. | |
election would be a good way to do that. Would it turn out any | :40:34. | :40:38. | |
different? I think it would. Voter fatigue? Not here. They want to go | :40:39. | :40:40. | |
back to the ballot box. Barry, does it fill you with joy | :40:41. | :40:47. | |
that there are people out there who would like to see a second election? | :40:48. | :40:52. | |
I think, having just come off seven weeks of campaigning, I am weary and | :40:53. | :40:56. | |
I don't fancy going straight back into it! Jeremy Corbyn does! But | :40:57. | :41:02. | |
what I think is significant there is that Chaplin said, I don't want one | :41:03. | :41:07. | |
but I think we need one. And actually what the country needs and | :41:08. | :41:12. | |
what business needs is clarity and certainty, and at the moment what | :41:13. | :41:16. | |
they have got is total instability. Why? Because we have a minority | :41:17. | :41:23. | |
Government that doesn't know from day to day even whether it is going | :41:24. | :41:26. | |
to put its own manifesto into the Queen's Speech, far less whether it | :41:27. | :41:30. | |
is going to be able to deliver on any of the promises. And it has been | :41:31. | :41:34. | |
delayed, the Queen's Speech, for a few days so we don't know when it | :41:35. | :41:38. | |
will be. Grant, is she a dead man walking as George Osborne, former | :41:39. | :41:41. | |
Chancellor, said yesterday, and therefore there has to be an | :41:42. | :41:44. | |
election, just because you don't have a better idea at the moment? I | :41:45. | :41:50. | |
watched that interview at the moment and you have to bear in mind that | :41:51. | :41:53. | |
George was fired by Theresa so he certainly has some calls and | :41:54. | :41:57. | |
passion, and I don't think that is necessarily the case. The reason I | :41:58. | :42:03. | |
say that is, if this supply and confidence agreement gets going, the | :42:04. | :42:06. | |
majority of 13 is actually not dissimilar to where we were in the | :42:07. | :42:12. | |
last Parliament and actually the one we have just had for... But she has | :42:13. | :42:17. | |
lost personal authority? We are able to get on and do the business of | :42:18. | :42:23. | |
Government. Undeniably, it would be crazy to sit here and say, no, there | :42:24. | :42:28. | |
is no loss of... It has only been four days and I hear what you are | :42:29. | :42:32. | |
saying about timing and the Queen's Speech, it has only been three days | :42:33. | :42:35. | |
since we had the results so I think allowing a little bit of time, we | :42:36. | :42:39. | |
may find we have a more stable Government than anyone expects. | :42:40. | :42:48. | |
We might all be photographers now - there were certainly plenty | :42:49. | :42:50. | |
of selfies on the campaign trail - but sometimes there's no substitute | :42:51. | :42:53. | |
And the master of political photography is Stefan Rousseau. | :42:54. | :42:57. | |
If you see a picture of a politician in the papers, it's probably his. | :42:58. | :43:00. | |
Here's a selection of his images from the election campaign. | :43:01. | :43:50. | |
And the Press Association's Stefan Rousseau joins us now. | :43:51. | :43:56. | |
It has been a memorable campaign, some people may not have enjoyed it | :43:57. | :44:04. | |
as much as others, but what are your memories of the campaign? My | :44:05. | :44:08. | |
memories are it has been a very controlled campaign, so soon after | :44:09. | :44:12. | |
2015, it felt quite flat, there was not any great highlights. I don't | :44:13. | :44:16. | |
remember anyone pictured jumping out at me like there was in 2015, 2010, | :44:17. | :44:21. | |
you can go through all the campaigns and think of one picture but there | :44:22. | :44:22. | |
is nothing for this one. None of the parties were really ready, they | :44:23. | :44:37. | |
weren't prepared. That is the measure of a snap election, I | :44:38. | :44:40. | |
suppose! Let's look at some of the photographs you have chosen, there | :44:41. | :44:42. | |
is the first one, a picture from the first day of campaigning. This is | :44:43. | :44:44. | |
Northumberland, the start of the campaign proper, the Conservative | :44:45. | :44:46. | |
campaign bus in rural Northumberland but it was a sign of things to come | :44:47. | :44:51. | |
because this is what we got, the Prime Minister on a platform with a | :44:52. | :44:54. | |
very tight group of people around her, and this is what we saw, we | :44:55. | :44:58. | |
went to so many places over a month and it was the same thing. Whether | :44:59. | :45:02. | |
you think that is good or bad, it is not for me to judge, but from a | :45:03. | :45:05. | |
photographer's point of view it is difficult to make it look | :45:06. | :45:10. | |
different... And come alive. Let's look at the style in contrast of the | :45:11. | :45:13. | |
Labour campaign, one picture from it, there is Jeremy Corbyn. A? This | :45:14. | :45:26. | |
is Oxford East, the candidate and her family, but he was quite good at | :45:27. | :45:29. | |
that, very natural, very good with children, and he seemed to enjoy and | :45:30. | :45:31. | |
relish it, this was right at the beginning of the campaign and I | :45:32. | :45:34. | |
think people saw this and thought, this is his strength, and they did | :45:35. | :45:37. | |
more of this as the campaign went on. He is known, being a natural | :45:38. | :45:39. | |
campaigner, you says himself he has campaigned almost permanently for 30 | :45:40. | :45:43. | |
years or so and actually this picture that you have picked out, | :45:44. | :45:47. | |
the third one from the night of the party debate in Cambridge, which was | :45:48. | :45:51. | |
a week or so before the election, that told a different story which | :45:52. | :45:56. | |
was quite revealing. Indeed, if you look, Corbyn is leading everyone | :45:57. | :46:00. | |
out, he's people would have loved this picture because he looks like | :46:01. | :46:04. | |
he is in charge. Possibly the most senior politician, Amber Rudd, | :46:05. | :46:06. | |
tucked in the doorway at the back and he is leading them out into the | :46:07. | :46:11. | |
debate, Cambridge, I think, the BBC debate. Quite a strong picture for | :46:12. | :46:15. | |
him. Natural as well because they didn't know I was there, I think had | :46:16. | :46:24. | |
they known there would have been advisers are advising them not to | :46:25. | :46:27. | |
walk that way, security guards, but they didn't know I was around the | :46:28. | :46:29. | |
corner. It was an interesting line-up because they would not have | :46:30. | :46:31. | |
thought about it but you captured them on the way at... He was going | :46:32. | :46:36. | |
out first, not knowing there were any any cameras there. Symbolic that | :46:37. | :46:40. | |
Amber Rudd, the minister, is at the back, and in between we have the | :46:41. | :46:46. | |
other party leaders, Caroline Lucas on the Greens, Leanne Wood for Plaid | :46:47. | :46:49. | |
Cymru and Tim Farron for the Liberal Democrats. And the final one you | :46:50. | :46:53. | |
picked out from the weekend is when Theresa May returned to Number Ten | :46:54. | :46:56. | |
Downing Street having been to see the Queen. What did this say to you? | :46:57. | :47:02. | |
I did this same picture ten months ago when she walked through the door | :47:03. | :47:05. | |
for the first time and the mood was remarkably the same, I was quite | :47:06. | :47:10. | |
surprised. When they walk in traditionally the Prime Minister | :47:11. | :47:12. | |
gets clapped in by the staff so I was there to record that, this great | :47:13. | :47:16. | |
moment when the door first opened and she walks across the threshold | :47:17. | :47:19. | |
and you get all the staff clapping on the way down. The mood was very | :47:20. | :47:23. | |
similar, I wondered how it would be because it was not the victory she | :47:24. | :47:31. | |
wanted but if you put the two pictures together from last year and | :47:32. | :47:34. | |
this year you would not believe there was 12 months apart. And this | :47:35. | :47:36. | |
was after, as Grant Shapps said, earlier she had not shown enough in | :47:37. | :47:39. | |
terms of taking account from what happened on election night, there | :47:40. | :47:43. | |
had been reports she had been crying overnight, which David Davis said he | :47:44. | :47:46. | |
hadn't seen, but you could imagine that, in a way, when the results | :47:47. | :47:52. | |
came in? I have heard everyone asked if she cried a lot but we have to | :47:53. | :47:55. | |
accept none of us were there. But you can imagine how difficult it | :47:56. | :48:00. | |
was. Fighting elections is quite an emotional business, you think about | :48:01. | :48:04. | |
your own lives and your family and everyone you know, but if you are | :48:05. | :48:07. | |
doing it as Prime Minister then of course the emotions must be much | :48:08. | :48:09. | |
stronger because you have got a lot It had all been up all night the | :48:10. | :48:19. | |
previous day so emotions run much stronger after that and goodness | :48:20. | :48:22. | |
knows what was going through her mind. Walking through the door | :48:23. | :48:25. | |
having not really achieved what she thought she was going to achieve. | :48:26. | :48:31. | |
Stefan Rousseau, thank you very much. | :48:32. | :48:32. | |
Let's get back into the here and now and speak to two people who use | :48:33. | :48:37. | |
the notebook and pen rather than the camera to | :48:38. | :48:39. | |
Jack Blanchard of the Mirror and Sam Coates of the Times. | :48:40. | :48:53. | |
Your reflections of today, she's going to have to address her own | :48:54. | :48:58. | |
MPs, what's that going to be like for her, Sam Coates? Undoubtedly | :48:59. | :49:04. | |
quite sticky but there is one driving force underneath everything | :49:05. | :49:07. | |
that's going on at the moment. Over the weekend the Tory MPs took a look | :49:08. | :49:12. | |
at Theresa May and decided about Prime Minister is better than no | :49:13. | :49:16. | |
Prime Minister. They decide they didn't want a leadership contest | :49:17. | :49:20. | |
because it might destabilise a Prime Minister hanging by a thread even | :49:21. | :49:25. | |
more and lead to a general election. Why don't they want a general | :49:26. | :49:35. | |
election? Because they are worried Labour might do even better, | :49:36. | :49:37. | |
propelling Jeremy Corbyn into Downing Street. So however sticky it | :49:38. | :49:40. | |
is, and it will be sticky, they are basically setting I suspect a low | :49:41. | :49:43. | |
bar for Theresa May this afternoon and they will complained but they | :49:44. | :49:50. | |
want to make sure she functions as a Prime Minister for now while they | :49:51. | :49:53. | |
work out what to do with that manifesto that was so palpably | :49:54. | :49:57. | |
unpopular. But there are challenges to functioning, to use your word. | :49:58. | :50:04. | |
The DUP said there hadn't been a deal over the weekend, it was | :50:05. | :50:10. | |
corrected by Michael Fallon today. We were expecting the Queen's speech | :50:11. | :50:15. | |
on a date and now that has been delayed so are we already seeing | :50:16. | :50:20. | |
difficulties here to hold it together? You bet. We have a Prime | :50:21. | :50:23. | |
Minister who spent seven weeks warning the nation about a coalition | :50:24. | :50:28. | |
of chaos that would happen if Jeremy Corbyn was voted into power and two | :50:29. | :50:32. | |
days after the election she is at the helm of a coalition of chaos. | :50:33. | :50:36. | |
She has been unable to strike a deal with the DUP so far, | :50:37. | :50:48. | |
the Queen's speech has been delayed, we don't know if the Brexit talks | :50:49. | :50:52. | |
will start on time. The Government is floundering around and all the | :50:53. | :50:54. | |
things she was scaremongering before the election have come to pass but | :50:55. | :50:57. | |
with her at the helm. How long do you think she will survive, Sam | :50:58. | :51:02. | |
Coates? I think it will be months not weeks. She has effectively got | :51:03. | :51:07. | |
two coalitions in her own party that she has to manage. She has the DUP | :51:08. | :51:16. | |
and those talks are ongoing, but she also has the Scottish Tories under | :51:17. | :51:22. | |
Ruth Davidson. It looks pretty tricky. I don't think necessarily | :51:23. | :51:26. | |
the delay of the Queen's speech is a sign there is a crisis but she needs | :51:27. | :51:32. | |
to get a deal with both sides that keeps everybody happy and in the end | :51:33. | :51:35. | |
I think the thing that will trip her up as legislation and what happens | :51:36. | :51:39. | |
in the House of Commons. Let's talk about Labour, Jack. Jeremy Corbyn is | :51:40. | :51:46. | |
feeling jubilant even though Labour lost the election and there is a | :51:47. | :51:50. | |
sense there may be discussions on Brexit. John McDonnell was clear | :51:51. | :51:53. | |
about coming out of the single market but do you think there are | :51:54. | :51:58. | |
potential problems for that line within Labour? I think there could | :51:59. | :52:02. | |
be but they are trying to keep it as vague as possible because the moment | :52:03. | :52:06. | |
they try to pin it down to firm with the same divisions will open up in | :52:07. | :52:11. | |
Labour as well. Jeremy Corbyn is riding sky-high at the moment, | :52:12. | :52:16. | |
nobody thought he would pull off this election... And nobody will | :52:17. | :52:21. | |
challenge him. Exactly. But I do think the is nuanced with regards to | :52:22. | :52:26. | |
access to the single market, what does that mean, the terms are quite | :52:27. | :52:31. | |
vague and I think Labour will be able to forge it for now. Both of | :52:32. | :52:36. | |
you, does it matter who the papers back any more in elections? We offer | :52:37. | :52:41. | |
strong and stable coverage of everybody. Well done! I'm not sure | :52:42. | :52:48. | |
that phrase will be used in future elections. It's not very often the | :52:49. | :52:54. | |
Mirror chalks up what it can call a win and we will take this one! I | :52:55. | :52:59. | |
will leave on a high then for both of you. Thank you. | :53:00. | :53:01. | |
So, all the pollsters got the general election result | :53:02. | :53:03. | |
There was one polling company, called Survation, that predicted | :53:04. | :53:08. | |
Their chief executive, Damian Lyons-Lowe, came | :53:09. | :53:15. | |
on the programme on the eve of polling day last week, and, | :53:16. | :53:18. | |
well, got a predictably sceptical reception. | :53:19. | :53:19. | |
One point would mean a hung parliament and the Tories | :53:20. | :53:22. | |
It would mean, using our most recent Scotland figures | :53:23. | :53:28. | |
from the Sunday Post, plugging those into a Scotland | :53:29. | :53:30. | |
predictor and plugging the... doing a simple national swing | :53:31. | :53:35. | |
and a few tweaks, nothing too special, it would mean | :53:36. | :53:38. | |
there would be a no overall majority situation with at least | :53:39. | :53:41. | |
a requirement for support from the DUP and perhaps | :53:42. | :53:44. | |
That's a yes, it's a hung parliament? | :53:45. | :53:51. | |
I was giving you my workings, so, yes, a hung parliament. | :53:52. | :53:54. | |
I was beginning to lose the will to live! | :53:55. | :54:00. | |
I'm a massive outlier here, I'm going to be the most | :54:01. | :54:03. | |
wrong or the most right, so I think showing my working... | :54:04. | :54:06. | |
As they say in Glasgow, is your jacket hanging | :54:07. | :54:08. | |
Is this Survation poll an outlier or in the mainstream? | :54:09. | :54:24. | |
It's an outlier and, in a word, no, I don't think so. | :54:25. | :54:36. | |
Things turned out Damian's, not Deborah's way, and so we've | :54:37. | :54:39. | |
brought them both back together this afternoon. | :54:40. | :54:44. | |
We are good like that on the Daily Politics. You should eat it, like | :54:45. | :54:53. | |
Paddy Ashdown had to eat his hat. Why did you get its own right and | :54:54. | :54:59. | |
others got it wrong? Because we have a consistent method that is | :55:00. | :55:03. | |
delivered a consistent results, and in short everybody else apart from | :55:04. | :55:14. | |
us had changed the turnout models to assume that voters would behave in a | :55:15. | :55:19. | |
certain way, and it have the effects of suppressing increases in Labour | :55:20. | :55:25. | |
support and the support from the young, and suppressing the reverse. | :55:26. | :55:32. | |
So effectively the fully weighted raw numbers were correct, we all had | :55:33. | :55:38. | |
the correct average Conservative and Labour numbers. However, after that | :55:39. | :55:43. | |
weeks they had done to correct the problems after the 2015 election, it | :55:44. | :55:49. | |
have the effect of Dublin the Conservative lead over Labour -- | :55:50. | :55:55. | |
doubling. You can eat your humble pie now if you like but in terms of | :55:56. | :55:59. | |
a knee jerk reaction do you think there was overcompensation from | :56:00. | :56:05. | |
getting it wrong in 2015? It is so interesting, it is all about how the | :56:06. | :56:10. | |
data was weighted, but you look at its constituency by constituency, it | :56:11. | :56:15. | |
looks like it might be to do with a broader... Under 30s rather than | :56:16. | :56:21. | |
under 24s, and there might be an education thing as well. So the | :56:22. | :56:25. | |
constituencies where there were more graduates for example had a higher | :56:26. | :56:30. | |
turnout and favoured Labour. But was it simply a case of many more young | :56:31. | :56:36. | |
people turning out to vote or is that too simplistic? There were | :56:37. | :56:40. | |
seats like Canterbury for example, which has been Conservative for as | :56:41. | :56:44. | |
long as I remember and it went Labour. Was that down to lots of | :56:45. | :56:49. | |
young people, and when I say young I mean under 35. There are | :56:50. | :56:54. | |
constituency by constituency examples. Let's take Cardiff | :56:55. | :56:59. | |
Central, where you have got something like 34% of the population | :57:00. | :57:04. | |
are 18-24. In that case you will have an extreme example of 18-24 | :57:05. | :57:12. | |
getting that percentage correct. But the problem is they don't turnout. | :57:13. | :57:19. | |
Sorry to interrupt but they did turn out in the EU referendum, 60% of | :57:20. | :57:26. | |
them turned out 18-24s, and both that group and 30-35 groups had | :57:27. | :57:32. | |
shown net new registrations up since the comparable period in the 2015 | :57:33. | :57:37. | |
general election, so this is a broad... And one more point is that | :57:38. | :57:43. | |
our method also factors in the likelihood to vote of older people. | :57:44. | :57:47. | |
There were lots of policies that were unattractive for older people | :57:48. | :57:51. | |
and it may have affected the turnout. We were all discussing the | :57:52. | :57:55. | |
winter fuel payments, the social care policy that would now include | :57:56. | :57:59. | |
your house, that must have had an impact. When we get the detail from | :58:00. | :58:04. | |
the exit poll we will know for sure but my hunch is that older people | :58:05. | :58:10. | |
also sat on the hands of it. That seems to make sense, which would | :58:11. | :58:14. | |
obviously be damaging for the Conservatives. But broadly, the | :58:15. | :58:18. | |
Tories have a problem with young voters. That last point was | :58:19. | :58:25. | |
absolutely right, door after door of older voters saying I'm not going to | :58:26. | :58:32. | |
vote. And on the young? Yes, this particular generation have forgotten | :58:33. | :58:38. | |
that Labour introduced tuition fees. These things change every election. | :58:39. | :58:43. | |
When have you done really well amongst the 18-25s? We have done | :58:44. | :58:53. | |
very well in Scotland in the past and now come back in Scotland, and | :58:54. | :58:58. | |
for example in 2015 people told me as party chairman we cannot win with | :58:59. | :59:02. | |
ethnic minorities and we did a lot better if not win with that group. | :59:03. | :59:07. | |
Labour canvassing got it wrong a lot of the time. Speaking off the record | :59:08. | :59:11. | |
to Labour candidates at the time, they weren't sensing Labour would do | :59:12. | :59:16. | |
as well as they did in terms of the share of the vote so what went | :59:17. | :59:21. | |
wrong? It is actually what went right. We were doing the work but | :59:22. | :59:25. | |
this was a short campaign. You cannot get round your entire | :59:26. | :59:29. | |
electorate, and in a short campaign you focus on the people who | :59:30. | :59:34. | |
previously have canvassed for you and the to a certain extent you are | :59:35. | :59:37. | |
trying to shore up the vote you think will be yours. We are out of | :59:38. | :59:43. | |
programme time, we literally have ten seconds. Inquiry, yes or no? | :59:44. | :59:51. | |
Yes. I think it is so obviously doesn't need an inquiry. Thank you | :59:52. | :59:56. | |
to you for being my guests today. I will be back tomorrow with more. | :59:57. | :59:59. | |
Goodbye. For the first time, the Science | :00:00. | :00:10. | |
Museum is opening its doors so you can vote for | :00:11. | :00:13. | |
Britain's greatest invention. | :00:14. | :00:17. |