Browse content similar to 13/06/2017. Check below for episodes and series from the same categories and more!
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Hello and welcome to the Daily Politics. | :00:37. | :00:40. | |
It's the first day back at school for MPs after the election. | :00:41. | :00:44. | |
But with a hung parliament, could things start to get a little unruly | :00:45. | :00:47. | |
The Prime Minister will welcome the leader of the Democratic | :00:48. | :00:51. | |
Unionist Party to Downing Street shortly, to try to agree a deal | :00:52. | :00:55. | |
to allow the Conservatives to govern as a minority. | :00:56. | :00:58. | |
The leader of the Conservatives in Scotland, Ruth Davidson, | :00:59. | :01:04. | |
says the party's approach to Brexit must change following the election. | :01:05. | :01:07. | |
Parliament has 93 new MPs - a good number of whom didn't expect | :01:08. | :01:15. | |
So what's it like taking a seat in Parliament for the first time? | :01:16. | :01:20. | |
And it was a disappointing election night for Ukip, | :01:21. | :01:24. | |
resulting in the resignation of their leader Paul Nuttall. | :01:25. | :01:28. | |
We speak to one of those seeking to replace him. | :01:29. | :01:36. | |
And with us for the whole of the programme today is the former | :01:37. | :01:41. | |
leader of the Conservative Party, Michael Howard. | :01:42. | :01:42. | |
First today, the leader of the Democratic Unionist Party, | :01:43. | :01:53. | |
Arlene Foster, is due at Downing Street in the next half | :01:54. | :01:56. | |
an hour or so, for talks about supporting a Conservative | :01:57. | :01:58. | |
minority government on key government business. | :01:59. | :02:00. | |
Eleanor Garnier is in Downing Street. | :02:01. | :02:05. | |
Eleanor, what the are we expecting between the Conservatives and the | :02:06. | :02:13. | |
Democratic Unionist Party? This is going to be a looser deal, if you | :02:14. | :02:18. | |
like. It will not be a formal coalition like saw between the Lib | :02:19. | :02:24. | |
Dems and the Conservatives. It will be a confidence and supply | :02:25. | :02:28. | |
arrangement, where the DUP will agree to back the Conservatives on | :02:29. | :02:33. | |
big votes like the Budget, like the Queen's speech. But after that, | :02:34. | :02:38. | |
everything will be on an issue by issue, day by day basis. It will be | :02:39. | :02:42. | |
a looser arrangement. Remember how much Theresa May needs this deal to | :02:43. | :02:50. | |
be done. Without an overall majority she will not be able to govern. As | :02:51. | :02:55. | |
for the DUP leader, Arlene Foster, she wants to return home showing she | :02:56. | :02:59. | |
has got something out of this deal. An element about this will be a | :03:00. | :03:03. | |
transaction, cash for votes, if you like, some sort of investment. There | :03:04. | :03:10. | |
is a price Arlene Foster will want to extract from the Prime Minister. | :03:11. | :03:16. | |
What about the issue of Brexit? The DUP have concerns about cross-border | :03:17. | :03:23. | |
trade. Yes, the Brexit negotiations are something the leaders will be | :03:24. | :03:26. | |
talking about at Number 10 in the next hour. Certainly the issue about | :03:27. | :03:34. | |
the hard border between the Republic of Ireland and Northern Ireland. The | :03:35. | :03:37. | |
DUP don't want it. Theresa May doesn't want it. She has talked | :03:38. | :03:42. | |
about having a frictionless border. The DUP wanted to be as flexible as | :03:43. | :03:48. | |
possible. They do support Brexit, some of them enthusiastically so. | :03:49. | :03:51. | |
This idea of putting the economy first and having continued access to | :03:52. | :03:56. | |
people, workers, goods and services, that position from the DUP has | :03:57. | :04:01. | |
given, I think, some of those in the Conservative Party who want the | :04:02. | :04:05. | |
closest possible relationship with the EU, it has given them some hope. | :04:06. | :04:09. | |
We are expecting Arlene Foster to arrive in the next half an hour. We | :04:10. | :04:14. | |
did hear from Northern Ireland Secretary James Brokenshire this | :04:15. | :04:17. | |
morning. He said things are looking positive than the expected deal to | :04:18. | :04:22. | |
be done. Al, we will leave you to keep your eyes peeled. -- Eleanor. | :04:23. | :04:28. | |
Michael Howard, did you think your party would be in this position | :04:29. | :04:35. | |
before election night? No. How do you feel? I'm obviously | :04:36. | :04:39. | |
disappointed. It was not the result I had hoped to see. Was it down to a | :04:40. | :04:46. | |
disastrous campaign? It clearly wasn't a great campaign, but there | :04:47. | :04:49. | |
is nothing to be gained by looking back. No doubt people can reflect at | :04:50. | :04:54. | |
leisure on the lessons to be learned. I'm sure there are lessons | :04:55. | :04:57. | |
to be learned. I'm more interested in the present and the future. There | :04:58. | :05:04. | |
are lessons to be learned though, aren't there? The talks about to | :05:05. | :05:08. | |
start between Theresa May and Arlene Foster, much of it will be about | :05:09. | :05:13. | |
what price Arlene Foster wants to extract from Theresa May, including | :05:14. | :05:16. | |
perhaps some of the austerity measures she may feel should come | :05:17. | :05:21. | |
out of any legislative programme that the Conservatives want to put | :05:22. | :05:25. | |
forward, like the social care policy, the Winter Fuel Payments cut | :05:26. | :05:29. | |
in the Tory manifesto. While their mistakes in the campaign? Let's talk | :05:30. | :05:34. | |
about the present and the future and what Arlene Foster may want. Let's | :05:35. | :05:38. | |
wait and see. There is every prospect of a deal being reached | :05:39. | :05:44. | |
today. I hope the deal is reached. We will have to wait and see how | :05:45. | :05:48. | |
that deal plays out. We have been here before. This is not the first | :05:49. | :05:52. | |
time that there has been a government which has not had an | :05:53. | :05:56. | |
overall majority, which has been operating in a hung parliament and | :05:57. | :06:01. | |
has had to do deals with minority parties. It has been quite a long | :06:02. | :06:07. | |
time. The coalition was different. The coalition was completely | :06:08. | :06:09. | |
different. I'm old enough to remember the days of Prime Minister | :06:10. | :06:15. | |
Callinan. It is a long time ago. I'm getting on! That was the 1970s. You | :06:16. | :06:22. | |
also remember from those days that they can pull the plug at any time | :06:23. | :06:27. | |
here It is not an ideal situation. It is not where I hoped we would be. | :06:28. | :06:34. | |
Are you comfortable with a relationship, even a confidence and | :06:35. | :06:40. | |
supply relationship, with the DUP? They have ten elected members of | :06:41. | :06:45. | |
Parliament to the UK Parliament. They are legitimately elected | :06:46. | :06:49. | |
members of Parliament. If they are prepared to support us, yes. What | :06:50. | :06:53. | |
about what they might want in return for supporting the legislative | :06:54. | :06:59. | |
programme, the big financial, economic policies that a government | :07:00. | :07:03. | |
has to get through Parliament to survive? What would you be prepared | :07:04. | :07:07. | |
to give in terms of offering something to Arlene Foster? Since I | :07:08. | :07:11. | |
know perfectly well that I know I'm not going to be in that position, it | :07:12. | :07:16. | |
is something to which I have not given any thought. But there has to | :07:17. | :07:21. | |
be support from her own Conservative party. There have to be some lines | :07:22. | :07:25. | |
drawn. In terms of deficit reduction, are you prepared to see | :07:26. | :07:30. | |
quite a bit of money go to the DUP? I'm prepared to leave these things | :07:31. | :07:34. | |
do the good judgment of the Prime Minister. I'm sure she will have the | :07:35. | :07:37. | |
support of all Conservative members of Parliament on the deal Bear Cheek | :07:38. | :07:40. | |
will do with Arlene Foster this afternoon. Do you think she will | :07:41. | :07:49. | |
stay on, Theresa May? I think she should stay. She has a duty and | :07:50. | :07:54. | |
responsibility to stay. It would be immensely disruptive to Brexit | :07:55. | :07:59. | |
negotiations if we had a very Conservative leadership contest are | :08:00. | :08:02. | |
a general election while those negotiations are going on. We have | :08:03. | :08:06. | |
heard from the EU negotiating team that they want a strong team from | :08:07. | :08:12. | |
the UK with a mandate. There will be a strong team from the United | :08:13. | :08:15. | |
Kingdom. He will not be negotiating with members of Parliament. He will | :08:16. | :08:19. | |
not be negotiating with opposition parties. He would be negotiating | :08:20. | :08:24. | |
with the Prime Minister and the Brexit secretary. They will be | :08:25. | :08:27. | |
sitting on the other side of the table. She is weakened by the | :08:28. | :08:33. | |
result. George Osborne called her a dead man walking. You don't want a | :08:34. | :08:36. | |
leadership contest because you don't want to see Jeremy Corbyn of walking | :08:37. | :08:41. | |
into Number 10, so you are prepared to stick with her because there is | :08:42. | :08:46. | |
not a better option on the table? No, I want to stay because I think | :08:47. | :08:50. | |
any kind of contest would be immensely disruptive to the | :08:51. | :08:56. | |
negotiations Brexit. I think her MPs in Parliament should give her strong | :08:57. | :09:00. | |
and full support. Signs are that is exactly what will happen. | :09:01. | :09:01. | |
A new political drama will be coming to our screens this weekend. | :09:02. | :09:13. | |
c) Meryl Streep as Margaret Thatcher. | :09:14. | :09:20. | |
At the end of the show Michael will give us the correct answer. | :09:21. | :09:28. | |
When Theresa May called the election, she said | :09:29. | :09:31. | |
she needed a majority to be able to deliver Brexit and overcome | :09:32. | :09:34. | |
As it was she ended up losing her majority, and will now | :09:35. | :09:38. | |
But does this mean the government's approach to Brexit | :09:39. | :09:43. | |
The Government's white paper on the Brexit plans included 12 | :09:44. | :09:50. | |
principles for the negotiation, with the focus on controlling | :09:51. | :09:55. | |
immigration and leaving the Single Market, as well as leaving | :09:56. | :09:58. | |
the Customs Union to strike free trade deals with | :09:59. | :10:00. | |
Although a free trade deal with the EU was promised, | :10:01. | :10:07. | |
Theresa May's view that "no deal is better than a bad deal" was also | :10:08. | :10:12. | |
reflected in the manifesto, along with the continued commitment | :10:13. | :10:14. | |
to reduce net migration to the tens of thousands. | :10:15. | :10:17. | |
But after failing to win a majority, and the need | :10:18. | :10:22. | |
to come to a deal with DUP, some have suggested | :10:23. | :10:24. | |
DUP leader Arlene Foster has spoken out against leaving the EU | :10:25. | :10:30. | |
without a trade deal in place, and has raised the issue | :10:31. | :10:33. | |
of maintaining the open border between Northern Ireland | :10:34. | :10:34. | |
Last week's election result has also lead to many | :10:35. | :10:43. | |
within the Conservative Party calling for a changed stance | :10:44. | :10:45. | |
on Brexit, led by Scottish Conservative leader Ruth Davidson | :10:46. | :10:49. | |
who has called for an "open Brexit" which prioritises free trade | :10:50. | :10:52. | |
Labour, meanwhile, is also committed to leave the Single Market | :10:53. | :10:59. | |
to curbing free movement - something that Shadow | :11:00. | :11:02. | |
Chancellor John McDonnell reiterated at the weekend. | :11:03. | :11:06. | |
Prominent Conservative Leave campaigners insist all this means | :11:07. | :11:08. | |
the party's approach to Brexit won't change. | :11:09. | :11:16. | |
What we want, obviously, is to engage and discuss these | :11:17. | :11:20. | |
matters with people but, in essence, those negotiations | :11:21. | :11:21. | |
are due to start very, very shortly, ie next week, | :11:22. | :11:24. | |
and the Conservative government needs to get on and make sure | :11:25. | :11:27. | |
that they now start talking to our European allies and friends | :11:28. | :11:29. | |
about how we arrange to have the benefits, | :11:30. | :11:34. | |
as the Labour Party stood on the same manifesto, | :11:35. | :11:36. | |
they stood on a manifesto that said no to the single market, | :11:37. | :11:39. | |
no to customs union, control of our borders, | :11:40. | :11:41. | |
so the majority of the British people had in front of them two | :11:42. | :11:44. | |
parties that constituted the majority of the votes that | :11:45. | :11:46. | |
actually stood on very similar manifestos on Brexit. | :11:47. | :11:52. | |
To discuss this further, I'm joined by the Conservative MP, | :11:53. | :11:55. | |
and former Attorney General, Dominic Grieve. | :11:56. | :11:59. | |
Welcome back. Have the fundamentals of the Brexit negotiating position | :12:00. | :12:10. | |
changed after the election? The change that has taken place is that | :12:11. | :12:14. | |
the government does not have a majority, currently, though we may | :12:15. | :12:18. | |
succeed in doing that with the DUP. The second change is I think we need | :12:19. | :12:21. | |
to listen to the message which the electorate is giving to us. One of | :12:22. | :12:29. | |
the messages I picked was that the electorate are increasingly | :12:30. | :12:32. | |
concerned about the economic well-being of the country, that they | :12:33. | :12:37. | |
are fed up with austerity, partly because austerity was a means to an | :12:38. | :12:41. | |
end and they see this as a prominent state. It is not surprising in those | :12:42. | :12:45. | |
circumstances they should be troubled by it. I think there is | :12:46. | :12:49. | |
also an appreciation that Brexit may have opportunities but it also | :12:50. | :12:54. | |
carries risks. You don't agree with Iain Duncan Smith that the issue is | :12:55. | :12:59. | |
now settled? I've never thought the issue was settled. I didn't think it | :13:00. | :13:02. | |
was settled before the election. My view has always been that you need | :13:03. | :13:06. | |
to negotiate and you need to see what you can get from negotiation. | :13:07. | :13:10. | |
Secondly, you have to be realistic about what is in the national | :13:11. | :13:14. | |
interest at any given moment against a moving background. The background | :13:15. | :13:18. | |
is undoubtedly a moving one. The question is, what is in the best | :13:19. | :13:22. | |
interest of the country? If we spend years mired in Brexit negotiations, | :13:23. | :13:26. | |
which are damaging to the economy in the short to medium term, whatever | :13:27. | :13:31. | |
the opportunities may be in the longer term, then not sure the | :13:32. | :13:34. | |
electorate are going to thank us for that. I think they are looking for | :13:35. | :13:39. | |
trying to bring this matter to as clean and rapid a conclusion as | :13:40. | :13:44. | |
possible. What does it mean in practical terms? Does the | :13:45. | :13:48. | |
government's negotiating position need to change, or is it still the | :13:49. | :13:51. | |
case they will continue down the path of saying Britain is leaving | :13:52. | :13:56. | |
the single market and leaving the Customs Union? The government is | :13:57. | :14:00. | |
entitled to do just -- explore the options that may be on offer. But in | :14:01. | :14:05. | |
doing that, the government needs to be realistic about it on ability to | :14:06. | :14:09. | |
command a majority in the House, and secondly, needs to be realistic | :14:10. | :14:13. | |
about the national interest in terms of getting this matter resolved. | :14:14. | :14:18. | |
Provided they keep those things in mind and adopt a common sense | :14:19. | :14:24. | |
approach, we will probably emerge with the right conclusion. All | :14:25. | :14:28. | |
options are on the table? Yes, they should be. You didn't win the | :14:29. | :14:32. | |
election, Labour didn't win the election. Despite the fact in both | :14:33. | :14:36. | |
manifestos are clearly said, we are committed to leaving the single | :14:37. | :14:39. | |
market and the Customs Union, everything has changed? One thing | :14:40. | :14:45. | |
hasn't changed. Surprisingly enough, Dominic didn't actually mention it. | :14:46. | :14:50. | |
That is that just about a year ago, we had a referendum. And that | :14:51. | :14:55. | |
referendum resulted in a clear vote by the people of this country in | :14:56. | :14:59. | |
favour of leaving the European Union. Now, of course, I'm in total | :15:00. | :15:06. | |
agreement with Dominic that we need a common sense approach. I | :15:07. | :15:09. | |
absolutely agree that we must keep the national interest in mind at all | :15:10. | :15:13. | |
times. But as Iain Duncan Smith has reminded us, the truth is that I | :15:14. | :15:20. | |
hope -- heard Jeremy Corbyn say clearly on Sunday morning, we must | :15:21. | :15:23. | |
leave the single market. He said we must try to get a tariff free | :15:24. | :15:27. | |
agreement of access to the single market. That is the government | :15:28. | :15:32. | |
position. The Labour manifesto said leaving the European Union means the | :15:33. | :15:35. | |
end of free movement. That is the government position. So actually, | :15:36. | :15:41. | |
there is, as Ian said, an enormous degree of consensus between the two | :15:42. | :15:47. | |
main parties for those objectives. The only parties that were really | :15:48. | :15:51. | |
seeking to one do Brexit in the general election where the SNP, | :15:52. | :15:57. | |
which is substantially lost ground, and the Liberal Democrats, which | :15:58. | :15:58. | |
failed to gain any brand. So the principle set out in the | :15:59. | :16:06. | |
White Paper are still the principles the government is going to negotiate | :16:07. | :16:11. | |
on. I was very happy to endorse the principle set out in the White Paper | :16:12. | :16:14. | |
and the longest house speech, if the Prime Minister can achieve those | :16:15. | :16:18. | |
objectives. I think people would recognise was a remarkable outcome. | :16:19. | :16:28. | |
I don't disagree with... If we leave the single market would you accept | :16:29. | :16:32. | |
that we are still single to the four freedoms, as they are called, by the | :16:33. | :16:37. | |
EU, including freedom of movement of people, would we be leaving the EU? | :16:38. | :16:40. | |
Yes, of course we would be leaving the EU but it is a different way of | :16:41. | :16:45. | |
leaving the EU and it is a legitimate subject of debate as to | :16:46. | :16:48. | |
whether the national interest should take one route or another. Both are | :16:49. | :16:53. | |
leaving the EU, certainly in terms of the question was put to the | :16:54. | :16:58. | |
electorate last year. So both, in my view, are capable, and should be | :16:59. | :17:02. | |
capable, being debated. That is not to say that the Prime Minister's | :17:03. | :17:06. | |
approach as set out like as has speech was wrong. Do you accept that | :17:07. | :17:11. | |
that is another virgin? There has been a lot of debate within your own | :17:12. | :17:17. | |
party as well as the other parties, including Labour, that what people | :17:18. | :17:25. | |
voted for in that referendum was, yes, to leave the EU, take back | :17:26. | :17:25. | |
control and sovereignty but yes, to leave the EU, take back | :17:26. | :17:28. | |
necessarily to be the single market. If we remain subject to freedom of | :17:29. | :17:31. | |
movement, one of the four freedoms you mentioned, and if we remain | :17:32. | :17:36. | |
subject to the jurisdiction of the European court of justice we will | :17:37. | :17:39. | |
not have taken back control, people will not have got what they voted | :17:40. | :17:44. | |
for a year ago and we will not in any real sense have left the | :17:45. | :17:49. | |
European Union. Even Ruth Davidson, the leader of the Tories in | :17:50. | :17:52. | |
Scotland, who has increased the number of Tory MPs in Scotland and | :17:53. | :17:57. | |
now has a certain amount of influence that she can bring to bear | :17:58. | :18:02. | |
to the negotiations, she is calling very strongly, saying we need to | :18:03. | :18:05. | |
look again at the Brexit strategy and she is also saying it is not | :18:06. | :18:10. | |
just a Tory Brexit, we need to include all the parties. Bennies to | :18:11. | :18:14. | |
be much more consensus. Is she right? Depends what she means Archy | :18:15. | :18:18. | |
has called for an open Brexit. I'm afraid I have no idea what an open | :18:19. | :18:22. | |
Brexiteers. She doesn't want immigration to be at the forefront. | :18:23. | :18:25. | |
Is she right that the economy should come before a commitment to tens of | :18:26. | :18:31. | |
thousands in terms of net migration? I don't believe the commitment to | :18:32. | :18:34. | |
tens of thousands is going to form part of the negotiation. When we | :18:35. | :18:38. | |
were in the Brexit campaign, I used to say, and I meant, that the Brexit | :18:39. | :18:43. | |
campaign was not about lowering immigration, it was about who | :18:44. | :18:47. | |
decides what our level of immigration should be, and taking | :18:48. | :18:51. | |
back control means that we should have the right to decide in this | :18:52. | :18:55. | |
country for ourselves who we need to come into the country and who they | :18:56. | :19:01. | |
should be. Is this a Remain fightback? Is this an attempt by | :19:02. | :19:04. | |
Remainers across the House of Commons to say, we don't want to | :19:05. | :19:08. | |
leave the single market and we are being buoyed by the fact that there | :19:09. | :19:13. | |
has been a snap poll of 700 members of the Institute of Directors that | :19:14. | :19:15. | |
has found a dramatic drop in confidence following a hung | :19:16. | :19:19. | |
parliament and they're worried about access to skilled labour? Does that | :19:20. | :19:24. | |
not bring more pressure to bear for that view? Certainly we should | :19:25. | :19:26. | |
listen to what the business community is saying. The | :19:27. | :19:29. | |
Conservative Party has usually built its reputation on quiet government | :19:30. | :19:34. | |
and sound economic management. If we are not delivering those two things, | :19:35. | :19:38. | |
then we shouldn't be surprised when people get attracted to other | :19:39. | :19:43. | |
visions and we have to face up to the fact that Brexit was in its own | :19:44. | :19:48. | |
weight in revolutionary act and the trouble with revolutions is they | :19:49. | :19:52. | |
tend to breed further revolutionary act as a consequence. Those of us | :19:53. | :19:54. | |
who have responsibility to ensure good governance have to keep that in | :19:55. | :19:58. | |
mind when we are trying to find the right way forward to respond | :19:59. | :20:02. | |
properly to the message that the electorate is giving us and, at the | :20:03. | :20:06. | |
same time, to ensure that we have the sort of quiet, good government | :20:07. | :20:11. | |
which makes people confident about their future and ultimately prevents | :20:12. | :20:14. | |
this country from lurching around from one crisis to another. Do you | :20:15. | :20:19. | |
agree with that? Of course we have to do all those things, while also | :20:20. | :20:24. | |
complying with the instruction given to us by the British people a year | :20:25. | :20:30. | |
ago to leave the European Union. But, of course, listening to Dominic | :20:31. | :20:32. | |
Grieve, he is saying we are going to have to broaden the options on the | :20:33. | :20:38. | |
table. Do you see these calls for - and it is a loaded term - a | :20:39. | :20:42. | |
softening of Brexit? Does that worry you? Do you think that maybe | :20:43. | :20:46. | |
Brexiters just not going to happen? I have no idea what these phrases | :20:47. | :20:50. | |
mean. I don't know what is done by hard Brexit, a soft Brexit or an | :20:51. | :20:55. | |
open Brexit. What I think it is more useful to concentrate on the | :20:56. | :20:58. | |
substantive issues which, to be fair, we have just been discussing. | :20:59. | :21:03. | |
Do we leave the single market? Do we retain control over freedom of | :21:04. | :21:09. | |
movement. Do we continue to subject ourselves to the jurisdiction of the | :21:10. | :21:13. | |
European Court of Justice? Those are the issues that really matter and | :21:14. | :21:16. | |
they need to be resolved one way or another in the negotiations. You can | :21:17. | :21:20. | |
understand people's concerns when they hear that the NHS was facing a | :21:21. | :21:25. | |
staffing crisis after Brexit because it sparked a jaw-dropping 96% fall | :21:26. | :21:30. | |
in EU nurses applying for jobs. That would make people think, I want to | :21:31. | :21:34. | |
rethink that decision to leave the single market. Well, I think people | :21:35. | :21:38. | |
are drawing the wrong conclusions from the likely outcome of the | :21:39. | :21:42. | |
Brexit negotiations. But it is already happening, the applications | :21:43. | :21:45. | |
are falling, so they are taking that message away. If we... When we | :21:46. | :21:51. | |
leave, we will have control over immigration policy. If it is the | :21:52. | :21:54. | |
case, as it is quite likely to be, we need people to come into the | :21:55. | :21:58. | |
country to help nursing people in the NHS, we will be able to frame an | :21:59. | :22:03. | |
immigration policy accordingly. But it is all ready putting people off - | :22:04. | :22:07. | |
that the evidence from some of these surveys. Do you now see a clear path | :22:08. | :22:11. | |
for a much longer transition, a much longer transitional period that | :22:12. | :22:15. | |
could take several years and would keep Britain under EU single market | :22:16. | :22:20. | |
terms? I think it is ludicrously premature to talk about a transition | :22:21. | :22:23. | |
when we don't know what the outcome of the negotiation is going to be. | :22:24. | :22:27. | |
But that will be part of the negotiation. Well, it may be. I've | :22:28. | :22:32. | |
no doctrinal objection to a transition period but that is | :22:33. | :22:37. | |
something you decide on when you've completed the negotiations, you've | :22:38. | :22:38. | |
decided what needs to happen and then you can make a sensible | :22:39. | :22:42. | |
decision about how long that's going to take and if that involves a | :22:43. | :22:47. | |
transition the rearrangement or an implementation period, I would have | :22:48. | :22:50. | |
no doctrinal difficulty with that but it is not something to be | :22:51. | :22:54. | |
decided now. We're going to talk briefly about austerity, which you | :22:55. | :22:57. | |
mentioned at the beginning. Before we do, there does seem to be a | :22:58. | :23:03. | |
certain amount of turmoil within the department that is in charge of | :23:04. | :23:06. | |
Britain leave the EU. David Jones has been sacked, George Bridges, | :23:07. | :23:10. | |
Melissa in the Lords, has quit. James Chapman, head of | :23:11. | :23:14. | |
Communications, has left. It isn't going to inspire confidence in the | :23:15. | :23:19. | |
negotiations. David Davis is still there. But he seems to have lost a | :23:20. | :23:25. | |
whole team of people. At our position has been laid out, as | :23:26. | :23:28. | |
Dominic reminded us, both in the White Paper and the Lancaster House | :23:29. | :23:32. | |
speech. So our opening position has been laid out very clearly and I | :23:33. | :23:37. | |
can't see any reason why the negotiations shouldn't start next | :23:38. | :23:41. | |
week, and I think we all hope that they reach a rapid speedy | :23:42. | :23:46. | |
conclusion, which is good for both of us. The European Union don't want | :23:47. | :23:50. | |
the United Kingdom to become an impoverished country, they want us | :23:51. | :23:54. | |
to prosper and we want them to prosper, and it's in our mutual | :23:55. | :23:58. | |
interests to reach a sensible, constructive agreement. That's | :23:59. | :24:02. | |
Brexit for the moment. Let's dog-leg but about austerity because Theresa | :24:03. | :24:06. | |
May's new chief of staff Gavin Barwell told Panorama that accident | :24:07. | :24:09. | |
were Brexit and austerity called the Conservative Party to lose seats, | :24:10. | :24:17. | |
including his own. There was a conversation I particularly remember | :24:18. | :24:20. | |
with a teacher who had voted for me in 2010 and 2015 and said, "I | :24:21. | :24:23. | |
understood the need for a pay freeze for a few years to deal with the | :24:24. | :24:27. | |
deficit but you are now asking that potentially to go on for ten more | :24:28. | :24:31. | |
years and that is too much" it that is the Jeremy Corbyn was able to tap | :24:32. | :24:35. | |
into. Just to make clear, Gavin Barwell was recorded for the | :24:36. | :24:38. | |
programme before he was made Theresa May's new chief of staff. Do you | :24:39. | :24:43. | |
agree with him? Yes, I do. I think it was quite clear that austerity | :24:44. | :24:46. | |
was a necessity born of the 2008 financial crisis. That is why the | :24:47. | :24:51. | |
Coalition was set up and it is also why we were re-elected in 2015. Was | :24:52. | :24:55. | |
an appreciation that our financial management made mistakes but was | :24:56. | :25:00. | |
pretty good and the economy was recovering. The difficulty we now | :25:01. | :25:05. | |
have is that the events of last year create instability and anxiety about | :25:06. | :25:10. | |
the future and if that becomes a state of permanence, people then | :25:11. | :25:15. | |
start asking, "I'm quite prepared to make sacrifices of I think it is | :25:16. | :25:18. | |
leading to an outcome which is going to be good to me and my family but | :25:19. | :25:22. | |
if it becomes a state of semi-permanence and you can't show | :25:23. | :25:24. | |
the direction of travel in which you are going, then it is going to | :25:25. | :25:31. | |
become much harder". Is austerity over? I think we need to be | :25:32. | :25:36. | |
realistic. Before we suddenly start chucking billions of pounds of | :25:37. | :25:39. | |
public services, we have also to look at what the consequences of | :25:40. | :25:42. | |
doing that might be. If Jeremy Corbyn had won this election, this | :25:43. | :25:45. | |
country would be on the road to economic ruin very, very quickly. | :25:46. | :25:51. | |
You might say that. I am absolutely convinced of it. The thing is, you | :25:52. | :25:58. | |
are going to do exactly, partly - I'm not saying wholesale - what's | :25:59. | :26:02. | |
Jeremy Corbyn was suggesting in his manifesto. You're going to reverse | :26:03. | :26:06. | |
austerity. I don't know what the primaries and the Chancellor... You | :26:07. | :26:09. | |
just said it would be the right thing to do. What the Prime Minister | :26:10. | :26:12. | |
and the Chancellor need to do, and I think they recognise this, is that | :26:13. | :26:16. | |
one has to understand the extent to which the austerity which has been | :26:17. | :26:27. | |
seen as an -- a necessity. Has gone on too long? Has limits of | :26:28. | :26:30. | |
reasonableness been reached with the electorate? This is going to be a | :26:31. | :26:34. | |
very big challenge because if as a result of turning a tap on public | :26:35. | :26:37. | |
expenditure, we start to undermine wealth creation in this country, in | :26:38. | :26:41. | |
the long term we will leave an even worse legacy. This has always been | :26:42. | :26:45. | |
the conundrum for all respectable governments. Jeremy Corbyn didn't | :26:46. | :26:49. | |
offer respectable government to dug-in fantasy vision. He did quite | :26:50. | :26:53. | |
well and a lot better than you expected. If respectable government | :26:54. | :26:57. | |
cannot offer a credible vision, the fantasists will soon creep into the | :26:58. | :27:01. | |
picture. Except that your vision was not accepted either by the majority | :27:02. | :27:06. | |
of people in terms of seats, so do you agree this was a protest about | :27:07. | :27:10. | |
ongoing austerity, hitting those who are less well off? Well, it is | :27:11. | :27:16. | |
entirely understandable, as Dominic has said that people should be | :27:17. | :27:24. | |
increasingly frustrated by austerity. We all completely | :27:25. | :27:27. | |
understand that. So why did you keep offering it in the manifesto? | :27:28. | :27:31. | |
Because on the other hand, as a country, we have to try to get to a | :27:32. | :27:35. | |
situation in which we are living within our means. We are not living | :27:36. | :27:38. | |
within our means at the moment, we haven't been living within our means | :27:39. | :27:43. | |
for quite a long time and, at some point, we have to try and get back | :27:44. | :27:46. | |
to that situation. Accepted as the priorities that were wrong. | :27:47. | :27:55. | |
Balancing that objective with responding to the understandable | :27:56. | :27:57. | |
desire of the electorate for something different is going to be | :27:58. | :28:01. | |
one of the great challenges facing the government. Would you be in | :28:02. | :28:05. | |
favour of the public sector pay freeze ending? I'm not the | :28:06. | :28:09. | |
Chancellor of the Exchequer. I know that. Do you have an opinion, | :28:10. | :28:14. | |
Michael Howard? I don't want to second-guess all first guess the | :28:15. | :28:16. | |
Chancellor of the Exchequer. It is one of the challenges he faces and I | :28:17. | :28:20. | |
wish the best of fortune as the addresses it. I'm sure you do. | :28:21. | :28:22. | |
Dominic Grieve, thank very much. Now, 93 newly elected MPs | :28:23. | :28:25. | |
are polishing their shoes, dusting down their suits and getting | :28:26. | :28:28. | |
ready for their first day Our Ellie has been finding out | :28:29. | :28:30. | |
how they're feeling. MUSIC PLAYS | :28:31. | :28:51. | |
if you thought Thursday night's result was a surprise, spare a | :28:52. | :28:55. | |
thought for those candidates who had not expected it either. | :28:56. | :28:57. | |
And now they've got new jobs, starting today. One of the Tories' | :28:58. | :29:03. | |
newest, newest and most surprised didn't even have a suit. I had to go | :29:04. | :29:08. | |
and buy one to date it I genuinely didn't own one. I had an old Primark | :29:09. | :29:13. | |
one so I have been and splashed out at matter land today. Also not | :29:14. | :29:22. | |
turning up in a suit yet, a new Labour MP who used to work at | :29:23. | :29:27. | |
Parcelforce. Lee Waters old shirt down to Westminster. How are you? | :29:28. | :29:34. | |
Nice to see you. Thursday jitters? Not jitters. It reminds me of my | :29:35. | :29:37. | |
first day on the labour ward. No, not that kind of Labour! He is a | :29:38. | :29:43. | |
doctor. I knew a little bit about what I was doing, trying to help | :29:44. | :29:46. | |
mothers deliver their babies safely but I didn't have much experience | :29:47. | :29:50. | |
and I have a lot to learn. The good thing is that the midwives on the | :29:51. | :29:53. | |
other doctors were very helpful and mine hoping for a bit of that today. | :29:54. | :29:57. | |
Do you even know where the toilets and the coffee shop are? I'm sure I | :29:58. | :30:02. | |
will find it! I'm sure you will. See you soon. Goodbye to it good luck. | :30:03. | :30:06. | |
Other newcomers have had to have awkward conversations with their | :30:07. | :30:10. | |
bosses. I care about it, it is important to me, but don't worry, I | :30:11. | :30:14. | |
will be back on Monday the 12th. And they were like, "OK, off you go," | :30:15. | :30:20. | |
and I won. They are getting the hang of how to introduce themselves. I'm | :30:21. | :30:26. | |
Wera Hobhouse, I am the Liberal Democrat MP for Bafta Tocco, no, I | :30:27. | :30:30. | |
am the MP for Bath. Others aren't so new but had a break for seven years, | :30:31. | :30:35. | |
like David Drew who lost his seat in 2010 and found it again this time. | :30:36. | :30:39. | |
It is all very different. There are things like you get your laptop and | :30:40. | :30:43. | |
iPad, I never had that before. So there are some good things but the | :30:44. | :30:46. | |
downside is I'm still going to have to wait up to six weeks for an | :30:47. | :30:49. | |
office so nothing changes completely! So far, it has been all | :30:50. | :30:55. | |
about photo calls for the new MPs. The work gets under way in | :30:56. | :30:58. | |
Westminster this afternoon with the election of the Speaker, and then | :30:59. | :31:01. | |
they will get sworn in over the coming days. | :31:02. | :31:03. | |
And I'm joined here by two more new members of Parliament. | :31:04. | :31:06. | |
Emma Dent Coad won the seat of Kensington for the Labour Party. | :31:07. | :31:09. | |
And Christine Jardine won Edinburgh West for | :31:10. | :31:11. | |
Congratulations to both of you. I hope I'm not being impolite by | :31:12. | :31:20. | |
saying you must have been slightly surprised to have won the Labour | :31:21. | :31:26. | |
stronghold of Kensington? Not had all, actually. I'm born and bred | :31:27. | :31:29. | |
there. I know a lot of different communities. A lot of people had | :31:30. | :31:40. | |
felt completely alienate it from the process, and suddenly they became | :31:41. | :31:47. | |
engaged. A lot of conservatives who are appalled by the inequalities, | :31:48. | :31:52. | |
not only Brexit, but the inequalities in Kensington, also | :31:53. | :31:55. | |
voted for me. They have been even -- e-mailing me asking me to come and | :31:56. | :32:01. | |
talk to them. What was your experience of the night like? Tense. | :32:02. | :32:07. | |
Waiting for the phone call. The first surprise was when the poll | :32:08. | :32:12. | |
said it would be a hung parliament. I have to be honest and say we were | :32:13. | :32:15. | |
quite confident going into the night. We weren't taking it for | :32:16. | :32:19. | |
granted. But we had very good returns, a very good feeling on the | :32:20. | :32:23. | |
doorsteps. We knew it would be close. But we were close -- | :32:24. | :32:28. | |
confident we could do it. There were a lot of close results on the night. | :32:29. | :32:33. | |
We had Stephen Gethins on yesterday. He held his seat by two volts. How | :32:34. | :32:40. | |
many recounts Werther in Kensington? I had three. I felt sorry for the | :32:41. | :32:47. | |
counters. They were totally exhausted. I think there were some | :32:48. | :32:51. | |
press pictures of them. They had to go to work the next day. That was | :32:52. | :32:56. | |
rather unfair. We had three. We were on tenterhooks. What about the | :32:57. | :33:04. | |
moment when they announced the numbers and you realised you had got | :33:05. | :33:09. | |
it? That is pretty special. They take you into the candidates' | :33:10. | :33:14. | |
briefing room to tell you. By that time you suspect. But you don't know | :33:15. | :33:18. | |
the actual numbers. That is pretty special. And it is exciting. It is | :33:19. | :33:24. | |
exciting for the people around you who have worked very hard for months | :33:25. | :33:28. | |
and years to make it happen. And it is their work and their moment as | :33:29. | :33:33. | |
much, sometimes more, than it is yours. They are the ones who have | :33:34. | :33:38. | |
delivered the victory. What were the issues that won it for you? | :33:39. | :33:42. | |
Independence. Right across the board. We had local issues in | :33:43. | :33:51. | |
Edinburgh West. But the impatience in Scotland with the SNP, another | :33:52. | :33:58. | |
Independence Referendum, keeping the ball rolling, it has worn very thin. | :33:59. | :34:04. | |
Even with some SNP supporters. They would rather they got on with | :34:05. | :34:09. | |
governing Scotland. We were getting that everywhere. What about the | :34:10. | :34:13. | |
first day? Are you nervous? Not at all. It feels quite natural, | :34:14. | :34:19. | |
actually. I feel bizarrely calm. What happens on the first day? You | :34:20. | :34:25. | |
get lots of inductions. It is not unlike being a councillor. It is | :34:26. | :34:29. | |
more or less what I expected. Very busy. Have you been shown around? | :34:30. | :34:37. | |
Have you got an office? Not yet. I have actually worked here before. I | :34:38. | :34:42. | |
worked for a spell in the coalition. I knew my way around the estate but | :34:43. | :34:48. | |
you see it very differently. You can now go in members' only areas. The | :34:49. | :34:53. | |
important thing is not to get too carried away. It is just part of the | :34:54. | :34:58. | |
job. The big parties back in the constituency. You have got some way | :34:59. | :35:03. | |
to travel. You are a little closer. You put your Ph.D. On I understand? | :35:04. | :35:10. | |
I have. I was doing architecture, politics and ideology under General | :35:11. | :35:15. | |
Franco in Spain. We are going to Parker for a little while. I hope to | :35:16. | :35:19. | |
negotiate with my university but I will be getting back to that at some | :35:20. | :35:24. | |
point. That indicates you are quite expecting to win on the night? We | :35:25. | :35:30. | |
had a plan! You were a broadcaster? I worked for the BBC. What is it | :35:31. | :35:37. | |
like on the other side? You get used to it. It is funny. Particularly in | :35:38. | :35:43. | |
Scotland. If I am on good morning Scotland I am quite often being | :35:44. | :35:45. | |
interviewed by the person who used to be my producer. The producer was | :35:46. | :35:52. | |
a researcher... Can you remember your first day, Michael? Allow me | :35:53. | :35:57. | |
first to congratulate both of you on your victories. It is a huge | :35:58. | :36:02. | |
privilege, walking through the gate, just amazing. A tremendous privilege | :36:03. | :36:06. | |
and a tremendous feeling. I do remember. I had agreed with Sandra | :36:07. | :36:12. | |
to go on breakfast television on the Friday morning immediately after | :36:13. | :36:20. | |
with Tim Brinton, who you will remember, and Jan, his wife. The | :36:21. | :36:25. | |
four of us were there. He was giving me advice, showing me the ropes on | :36:26. | :36:31. | |
television. And since then, all these years in Parliament, you | :36:32. | :36:36. | |
haven't regretted a moment? Well, I'm sure there are things I regret! | :36:37. | :36:45. | |
It is an enormous privilege. And that sense of privilege will never | :36:46. | :36:52. | |
leave you. I don't think. And it's a privilege that has to be earned and | :36:53. | :36:59. | |
earned again. It isn't a job for life, unless you have a safe seat. | :37:00. | :37:05. | |
Not only is it not a job for life, it is not something you should ever | :37:06. | :37:09. | |
take for granted. Did you expect the hung parliament? I thought it would | :37:10. | :37:17. | |
be close. But who knows? No. I don't think the world expected that. It | :37:18. | :37:21. | |
was much better than some of us feared. It is always possible. If we | :37:22. | :37:27. | |
can turn Kensington red, we can do anything. That may be true. What | :37:28. | :37:33. | |
about some of the issues you will be pursuing? Obviously independence was | :37:34. | :37:39. | |
an issue. Brexit will be hugely important. It was very important in | :37:40. | :37:42. | |
Scotland as well because Edinburgh, for example, the majority of people | :37:43. | :37:46. | |
in Edinburgh West voted two to stay in the UK and in the European Union. | :37:47. | :37:50. | |
We have two ensure we get the best possible deal. Hopefully, Mrs May | :37:51. | :37:56. | |
will see that the election result means that perhaps she didn't quite | :37:57. | :38:00. | |
have the mandate she thought for a hard Brexit, and that is glad to be | :38:01. | :38:04. | |
something the parties will be pursuing. Could you see yourselves | :38:05. | :38:08. | |
working with Ruth Davidson in Scotland in terms of pursuing a | :38:09. | :38:12. | |
similar approach to Brexit? I don't know. We have to see what happens. | :38:13. | :38:19. | |
We have a specific pro-EU approach. Before the referendum, Ruth Davidson | :38:20. | :38:23. | |
was very pro-Remain. We will have to wait to see what happens. Good luck | :38:24. | :38:28. | |
to both of you. Enjoy. We will see you again soon. Come back on. | :38:29. | :38:32. | |
So there are a couple of constitutional fixes | :38:33. | :38:33. | |
or conventions that might help Mrs May's government be a little bit | :38:34. | :38:36. | |
Among them is the power of Evel - not a cheap Hollywood horror flick, | :38:37. | :38:41. | |
but the relatively new concept of English Votes for English Laws, | :38:42. | :38:43. | |
designed to stop MPs from Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland helping | :38:44. | :38:46. | |
The other is the much older Salisbury Convention, | :38:47. | :38:50. | |
created to protect a government's democratically supported manifesto | :38:51. | :38:54. | |
If that isn't all clear yet, don't worry, we have an expert. | :38:55. | :38:59. | |
Dr Alan Renwick from the Consitition Unit who is in Oxford. | :39:00. | :39:07. | |
Welcome to the programme. Thank you. I'm so sorry. I would have to | :39:08. | :39:18. | |
interrupt. We can just see Arlene Foster checking how Watts. She is on | :39:19. | :39:23. | |
the a few minutes late. She was expected at 12:30pm. Going in with | :39:24. | :39:29. | |
Nigel Dodds. Her support is absolutely critical to Theresa May. | :39:30. | :39:34. | |
So that she can actually govern. First of all she has to get her | :39:35. | :39:38. | |
queen's speeds through Parliament, Theresa May. These talks will be | :39:39. | :39:43. | |
crucial. It is a lifeline to Theresa May. It comes after the Prime | :39:44. | :39:48. | |
Minister apologised to MPs for the election result, telling them, I got | :39:49. | :39:52. | |
us into this mess and I will get us out of it. We will return of that | :39:53. | :39:56. | |
meeting finishes. Sorry for interrupting before you had even | :39:57. | :40:00. | |
begun. Tell us about these constitutional fixes. Will the | :40:01. | :40:06. | |
government be able to push through legislation relying only on English | :40:07. | :40:14. | |
MPs? No is the simple answer. Sorry, my earpiece as pop died. They are | :40:15. | :40:24. | |
very unreliable. Hold it. Eva lives not likely to make any difference. | :40:25. | :40:30. | |
-- Evel. It introduces an extra element into the process. Matters | :40:31. | :40:38. | |
that affect only England can be vetoed by English MPs. There is a | :40:39. | :40:45. | |
step in the process where English MPs have two agree to those laws. | :40:46. | :40:49. | |
Those laws are still subject to a vote by the whole of the House of | :40:50. | :40:54. | |
Commons. Although it is the case that Theresa May does have a | :40:55. | :40:57. | |
majority, quite a comfortable majority of 60 MPs in England, that | :40:58. | :41:02. | |
doesn't help are terribly much. She will still have to get anything | :41:03. | :41:06. | |
through the whole of the House of Commons as well. She has got an | :41:07. | :41:10. | |
issue, for example, like expanding grammar schools, expanding grammar | :41:11. | :41:15. | |
schools in England because education is devolved, she would still have to | :41:16. | :41:19. | |
get that passed the whole House before she can go to English-only | :41:20. | :41:24. | |
MPs, and she doesn't have a majority for everything. So she will still | :41:25. | :41:32. | |
have the same problems as with any other legislation? Yes, absolutely. | :41:33. | :41:38. | |
What the English Votes for English Laws provision doors is, if there | :41:39. | :41:41. | |
were a government which was the other way around, say the Labour | :41:42. | :41:47. | |
Party had one 50 or more seats, and it were the party leading a minority | :41:48. | :41:55. | |
government or a coalition government with a small number of MPs, then it | :41:56. | :42:04. | |
would have been constrained by the English Votes for English Laws | :42:05. | :42:07. | |
provision because it would not have a majority in England. At that point | :42:08. | :42:10. | |
the provision would have been important. But for this government | :42:11. | :42:16. | |
it doesn't make any difference. Let's talk about the Salisbury | :42:17. | :42:19. | |
Convention and the House of Lords. If something is in the manifesto and | :42:20. | :42:23. | |
a government wins a majority, that in the House of Lords should abide | :42:24. | :42:29. | |
by that manifesto commitment. If we look at restricting Winter Fuel | :42:30. | :42:32. | |
Payments for pensions -- pensioners, it is in the manifesto, but Mrs May | :42:33. | :42:37. | |
didn't get that majority, can she still putted to the House of Lords | :42:38. | :42:42. | |
using the Salisbury Convention? The Salisbury Convention is only a | :42:43. | :42:45. | |
convention. Members of the House of Lords are not bound by it. There are | :42:46. | :42:48. | |
different views as to what the convention means. Some would say the | :42:49. | :42:55. | |
convention does apply, even when the government does not have a majority | :42:56. | :42:59. | |
in the house of Commons. Others take the view that in that circumstance | :43:00. | :43:05. | |
it should not be regarded. The Salisbury Convention was introduced | :43:06. | :43:09. | |
in 1945 when the Labour Party had a very large majority in the House of | :43:10. | :43:14. | |
Commons but was well behind in the House of Lords. At that point, the | :43:15. | :43:17. | |
Leader of the House of Lords, Lord Salisbury, said, we recognise the | :43:18. | :43:22. | |
mandate of the Labour government and we should respect that. But it is | :43:23. | :43:26. | |
not clear, really, whether the House of Lords should see itself as being | :43:27. | :43:31. | |
bound by the mandate of the current government, because, as we know, the | :43:32. | :43:35. | |
government doesn't have a majority of MPs. Thank you very much. Michael | :43:36. | :43:42. | |
Howard. Problems ahead in the House of Lords. It is a convention and | :43:43. | :43:47. | |
they don't necessarily have to abide by it, and the Tories do not have a | :43:48. | :43:51. | |
majority in the House of Lords. When it comes to plans for Brexit, for | :43:52. | :43:55. | |
example, that no deal is better than a bad deal, that could go in the | :43:56. | :44:00. | |
House of Lords? You're looking many years ahead. We will cross that | :44:01. | :44:05. | |
bridge if and when we ever reach it. I hope the Salisbury Convention will | :44:06. | :44:10. | |
be respected. The Conservative party got 44% of the vote. Many more seats | :44:11. | :44:15. | |
than Labour. But they didn't win. Why should it be? You'll are depends | :44:16. | :44:20. | |
what you mean by win. No other party won. It is a convention. I think it | :44:21. | :44:30. | |
should apply in these circumstances. We shall see. When the Prime | :44:31. | :44:34. | |
Minister has got the Queen's speeds through the Commons, it will be | :44:35. | :44:39. | |
difficult. There will be problems of certain parts of that are held up by | :44:40. | :44:44. | |
the House of Lords? There may be all sorts of difficulties ahead. The | :44:45. | :44:49. | |
House of Lords should respect the authority of the House of Commons, | :44:50. | :44:52. | |
for a start. The Salisbury Convention should apply. | :44:53. | :45:00. | |
In Brexit, looking ahead to the Great Repeal Bill, there are already | :45:01. | :45:04. | |
people saying they won't support that bill is the next substantial | :45:05. | :45:09. | |
vote when it comes to Brexit. Let's see what the Great Repeal Bill | :45:10. | :45:12. | |
contains. I hope everyone will look at it and vote on its merits and, as | :45:13. | :45:16. | |
I say, we will cross those bridges if and when we come to them. We | :45:17. | :45:20. | |
talked earlier about parts of the manifesto that will possibly have to | :45:21. | :45:24. | |
be junked. Do you see that there will be part of a manifesto that was | :45:25. | :45:27. | |
fought on in this campaign that will have to go? Well, the Queen's speech | :45:28. | :45:33. | |
is going to result from discussions between the government and the DUP | :45:34. | :45:38. | |
and so, busy, if there are things in the manifesto which the DUP is not | :45:39. | :45:42. | |
prepared to support, it is not terribly likely that they will find | :45:43. | :45:45. | |
their way into the Queen's speech but that is going to be the subject | :45:46. | :45:48. | |
of the discussions which are probably taking place as we speak. | :45:49. | :45:53. | |
Yes, they are, indeed. I don't know how long they will be in there while | :45:54. | :45:58. | |
they are negotiating. Back on English roots for English laws, but | :45:59. | :46:02. | |
is effectively a veto and is not going to help Theresa May at all in | :46:03. | :46:06. | |
terms of pushing through English-only laws. For the reasons | :46:07. | :46:09. | |
given by your expert commentator, it is unlikely to have a very | :46:10. | :46:12. | |
significant effect in this Parliament, I agree. Briefly on the | :46:13. | :46:16. | |
fixed term Parliament act, that is on the statute. Do you think that | :46:17. | :46:19. | |
makes a five-year term for Mrs May more likely? It makes a five-year | :46:20. | :46:27. | |
term a little bit more likely, yes, because, as you know, there are | :46:28. | :46:31. | |
provisions which have to be satisfied in order for an election | :46:32. | :46:33. | |
to take place within that five years. However, those conventions | :46:34. | :46:39. | |
did not seem to be much of a bar to the calling of an election just a | :46:40. | :46:44. | |
few weeks ago and I suspect they won't be much of a bar to the | :46:45. | :46:48. | |
calling of an election within the five-year period if that's what | :46:49. | :46:52. | |
people want to. Do you think that should be scrapped? It was in the | :46:53. | :46:58. | |
Conservative manifesto. I think the fixed five-year parliament was | :46:59. | :47:00. | |
absolutely necessary for the Coalition because you had to have | :47:01. | :47:05. | |
provision which stopped one party cutting and running when it thought | :47:06. | :47:08. | |
it would be to its electoral advantage but I'm not convinced it | :47:09. | :47:13. | |
is necessary as a permanent feature of our constitution. So you wouldn't | :47:14. | :47:18. | |
be unhappy if it went? No. Was the first things our new MPs have to do | :47:19. | :47:20. | |
is elect their speaker. That post was held in the last | :47:21. | :47:29. | |
Parliament by John Bercow and he had been expected to face a challenge | :47:30. | :47:32. | |
after increasing But with a hung parliament, | :47:33. | :47:34. | |
one of the Speaker's most vocal detractors, | :47:35. | :47:37. | |
Conservative MP James Duddridge, said there "is not an appetite | :47:38. | :47:39. | |
to push it to a vote", adding that there are "more | :47:40. | :47:42. | |
important battles to fight". I'm joined now by Bobby Friedman, | :47:43. | :47:44. | |
who has written a biography Welcome back to the Daily Politics. | :47:45. | :47:53. | |
When we're talking about winners and losers in this election, John Bercow | :47:54. | :47:57. | |
it seems is a winner. He is. Is a bit Teflon and has been extremely | :47:58. | :48:01. | |
lucky because over the period since 2009, he has had all the cards fall | :48:02. | :48:07. | |
in the right place for him to stay a speaker and it has happened again | :48:08. | :48:10. | |
because as James Duddridge said, there was the appetite or ability to | :48:11. | :48:13. | |
do it because the Conservative Party have more pressing issues. But that | :48:14. | :48:18. | |
does imply that there was quite a lot of opposition to him. Tell us a | :48:19. | :48:23. | |
bit about some of the criticism of John Bercow. There has always been a | :48:24. | :48:27. | |
huge amount of opposition to him, particularly with Alyssa | :48:28. | :48:29. | |
Conservative Party. When he was elected in 2009 it was because | :48:30. | :48:33. | |
Labour still had a majority at that time and they voted for the | :48:34. | :48:38. | |
Conservative MP they knew David Cameron liked the least. David | :48:39. | :48:41. | |
Cameron has always hated John Bercow but never quite had the votes all | :48:42. | :48:45. | |
the political will to get it through and then, of course, just when it | :48:46. | :48:48. | |
looked like Theresa May might have a big majority that might allow the | :48:49. | :48:51. | |
Conservatives to finally get rid of him - and this is particularly | :48:52. | :48:55. | |
important because John Bercow during the campaign has said he is going to | :48:56. | :48:58. | |
stay in for a full term, having pledged early to say the nine years, | :48:59. | :49:02. | |
then this opportunity has gone as well. There was an opportunity to | :49:03. | :49:08. | |
unseat him in 2015 undefiled, didn't it? There was that attempt and an | :49:09. | :49:13. | |
attempt more recently this year, where there was a motion going round | :49:14. | :49:17. | |
which didn't get that many signatures. Again, it's because they | :49:18. | :49:20. | |
haven't ever been quite that majority. John Bercow, in fairness | :49:21. | :49:23. | |
to him, does have support from a number of Conservative MPs and as | :49:24. | :49:27. | |
the years go on, that kind of visceral hatred of him that we had | :49:28. | :49:30. | |
in 2009 has lessened a bit and many people think he has been a fairly | :49:31. | :49:34. | |
reasonable speaker, so the longer it goes on, and without that big | :49:35. | :49:38. | |
Conservative majority, he is not going to get unseated because he has | :49:39. | :49:41. | |
support on the other side of the House. Do you like him, Michael? It | :49:42. | :49:46. | |
would be foolhardy in the extreme for a member of the House of Lords | :49:47. | :49:49. | |
to express a view on the speakership of the House of commons and you | :49:50. | :49:53. | |
wouldn't expect me to trespassers on something which is totally within | :49:54. | :49:58. | |
the sovereignty of the House of Commons. That makes it sound like | :49:59. | :50:01. | |
you don't like him. Can I answer that question of this is an example | :50:02. | :50:06. | |
of why John Bercow was so unpopular. When Michael Howard was leader of | :50:07. | :50:09. | |
the Conservative Party the two might have got on and John Bercow went to | :50:10. | :50:12. | |
Lord Howard and said he thought that Ann Widdecombe was right when she | :50:13. | :50:15. | |
said there was something of the night about him and that was the | :50:16. | :50:18. | |
party leader at the time. Maybe that is why you are not very keen to talk | :50:19. | :50:29. | |
be pleased to see another term for John Bercow? I respect the | :50:30. | :50:31. | |
differences between the House of Lords the House of Commons and it | :50:32. | :50:34. | |
certainly wouldn't be right for me to make any... I think you should | :50:35. | :50:36. | |
break with convention for once! Backbenchers are going to be even | :50:37. | :50:38. | |
more empowered in this new parliament, a hung parliament, and | :50:39. | :50:41. | |
he has got a reputation, John Bercow, rightly or wrongly, of | :50:42. | :50:44. | |
trying to give more time to backbench MPs, hasn't he? That's | :50:45. | :50:48. | |
right it appears always said he is the backbencher speaker and he has | :50:49. | :50:51. | |
been much better at holding the government to account in some ways. | :50:52. | :50:56. | |
Weather that is because he hasn't liked the Conservative primaries as | :50:57. | :50:59. | |
is a moot point but ultimately he does get backbenchers more involved | :51:00. | :51:03. | |
but parliamentarians are really going to have their say in this | :51:04. | :51:06. | |
Parliament about thing John Bercow will allow that. Do you think that | :51:07. | :51:10. | |
has been a good thing, empowering Parliament to stand up to the | :51:11. | :51:14. | |
Executive, giving them more time, backbench MPs, in PMQs, which does | :51:15. | :51:18. | |
now overrun. Has that been a positive? Yes. And it should | :51:19. | :51:25. | |
continue? Yes, I'm sure it will. I suppose it is easy when you are not | :51:26. | :51:29. | |
the leader of the party any more to say that. If Tory MPs are moaning | :51:30. | :51:32. | |
less about him, do you think that has gone, any attempt to get rid of | :51:33. | :51:36. | |
him in future? I think yes, for the next parliament, assuming he doesn't | :51:37. | :51:40. | |
want to try and stay on again for another Parliament. There just | :51:41. | :51:43. | |
aren't those votes there and when you are government together, as | :51:44. | :51:46. | |
Theresa May is going to have to do, she just won't have that political | :51:47. | :51:50. | |
capital to be able to do it. So I think he has been very lucky but I | :51:51. | :51:54. | |
think he is safe for the next five years. What about relations between | :51:55. | :51:58. | |
him and Andrea Leadsom, who is now the new Leader of the House, taking | :51:59. | :52:02. | |
over from David Lidington. How do you see that relationship going? | :52:03. | :52:05. | |
John Bercow has a real habit of falling out with people he has to | :52:06. | :52:08. | |
deal with so I wouldn't rule that out but at the moment, things are | :52:09. | :52:12. | |
probably a little bit better than they have been. David Cameron really | :52:13. | :52:17. | |
disliked him. Theresa May sort of tolerates him and gave quite a nice | :52:18. | :52:23. | |
bit for one of his leaflets in the run-up to the election endorsing him | :52:24. | :52:26. | |
so he is getting on OK with the current leadership of the | :52:27. | :52:29. | |
Conservative Party and I think inevitably it will be a bit rocky | :52:30. | :52:34. | |
but given where the majority stands at the moment, I think Andrea | :52:35. | :52:37. | |
Leadsom will ultimately have to work with John Bercow. The other thing is | :52:38. | :52:41. | |
in a hung parliament, I suppose is or becomes even more important. He | :52:42. | :52:44. | |
has better relations with Theresa May. Is he going to mind his peace | :52:45. | :52:48. | |
and queues in the future or just carry on as if nothing has changed? | :52:49. | :52:59. | |
I years ever done that so -- see that starting up. He is into his | :53:00. | :53:03. | |
last five years so we may see him getting even more demob happy, | :53:04. | :53:07. | |
speaking out more on issues, not staying as impartial as he did over | :53:08. | :53:10. | |
the EU referendum, so I think we will see him trespassing into other | :53:11. | :53:14. | |
areas, as he started to do earlier this year. So you think you can | :53:15. | :53:18. | |
actually cause a little more trouble in the future? Yes, just putting a | :53:19. | :53:22. | |
little bit of poison now and then. What advice would you give to John | :53:23. | :53:33. | |
Bercow? I'm not asking you to say whether you like him or not but what | :53:34. | :53:36. | |
advice in this hung parliament in his position as arbiter of a hung | :53:37. | :53:39. | |
parliament? You are asking a member of the House of Lords to advise the | :53:40. | :53:42. | |
Speaker of the House of Commons. Well, only generally. You can give | :53:43. | :53:44. | |
friendly advice. You don't have to be unfriendly about it. I very much | :53:45. | :53:47. | |
doubt that he would ask for my advice, even further doubt that he | :53:48. | :53:50. | |
would accept it and I don't think it is for me to give it to him. Thank | :53:51. | :53:55. | |
you very much for coming in. Now we can return to Number Ten because we | :53:56. | :53:59. | |
saw Arlene Foster, the leader of the Democratic Unionist Party walking | :54:00. | :54:02. | |
about famous street into Number Ten. Those discussions obviously still | :54:03. | :54:05. | |
going on. Norman, what can you tell us? You keep looking over your | :54:06. | :54:10. | |
shoulder just in case she comes out of that door. I was looking at a | :54:11. | :54:13. | |
much more interesting fight about to erupt, it seems, between Larry and | :54:14. | :54:21. | |
another cat. That is a serious clash that could be just about to unfold | :54:22. | :54:25. | |
it up I don't know whether I should intervene! Is he actually making | :54:26. | :54:38. | |
ground? Is Larry lying there? Larry is lying there and Parmeston turned | :54:39. | :54:41. | |
up and I thought he was chancing his arm. I think Larry has woken up now | :54:42. | :54:45. | |
and has realised there is trouble! Is this a euphemism for what is | :54:46. | :54:49. | |
going on behind the black door? Arlene Foster arrived a short time | :54:50. | :54:54. | |
ago and we shouted at her about "Is there going to be a deal"? At she | :54:55. | :54:58. | |
said absolutely nothing I think the expectation is that there will be | :54:59. | :55:02. | |
some sort of agreement, even if it is only the headlines of agreement | :55:03. | :55:04. | |
because, let's be honest, there was a mutual vested interest for both | :55:05. | :55:10. | |
parties to reach some sort of accommodation. They are both | :55:11. | :55:14. | |
fervently anti-Jeremy Corbyn's Labour Party. Mrs May absolutely | :55:15. | :55:17. | |
need the deal to get a Commons majority so she can govern and for | :55:18. | :55:20. | |
the DUP, they will hope they will get money on it that there will be | :55:21. | :55:25. | |
cash for economic regeneration and reconstruction. There is a mutual | :55:26. | :55:30. | |
self-interest in reaching a bargain. I suspect it will be handshakes, | :55:31. | :55:34. | |
smiles and photo opportunities today. I think the trouble is more | :55:35. | :55:39. | |
down the line as to whether this sort of arrangement can actually | :55:40. | :55:44. | |
stick and lasting longer tempted In the short-term, we're still waiting, | :55:45. | :55:48. | |
aren't we, for a date for the Queen's speech, for the legislative | :55:49. | :55:51. | |
programme to be presented to Parliament and, presumably, wants | :55:52. | :55:55. | |
these talks are over, and if an arrangement has been reached by the | :55:56. | :56:00. | |
two ladies, then we will find out when that Queen's Speeches going to | :56:01. | :56:05. | |
be? Well, perhaps there is one scenario where the DUP just decide | :56:06. | :56:11. | |
to play hardball and they say, that is very interesting, this is all | :56:12. | :56:13. | |
good stuff and I'm sure we can reach an agreement but we've just got to | :56:14. | :56:16. | |
go away and finesse a few things. In other words, they don't sign on the | :56:17. | :56:21. | |
dotted line today but to increase their leverage... They are basically | :56:22. | :56:25. | |
going to keep Mrs May waiting, in which case the premise cannot say to | :56:26. | :56:28. | |
the Queen, next Monday we are on for the Queen's Speech. So it depends | :56:29. | :56:35. | |
whether the DUP are ready to actually sign on the dotted line | :56:36. | :56:40. | |
today or they choose to keep Mrs May waiting a bit longer, in which case | :56:41. | :56:43. | |
we really do not know when the Queen's Speeches going to be. Thank | :56:44. | :56:47. | |
you very much and keep Parmeston and Larry apart and keep your eye on the | :56:48. | :56:52. | |
black door! They are having a face-off now, actually! I will leave | :56:53. | :56:54. | |
you to concentrate on Number Ten. For the fourth time | :56:55. | :56:57. | |
in 12 months, Ukip Their last leader, Paul Nuttall, | :56:58. | :57:00. | |
resigned after the party failed to win a seat in the general | :57:01. | :57:03. | |
election last week. We'll be speaking to all | :57:04. | :57:06. | |
the candidates on Daily Politics. First is David Coburn, | :57:07. | :57:08. | |
who joins us from Strasbourg. We haven't got very long with you | :57:09. | :57:13. | |
but thank you for joining us. You say you are running for Ukip leader | :57:14. | :57:16. | |
to stop at Trieste, dilettantes and a single issue loonies. What do you | :57:17. | :57:21. | |
mean by that? Two is the what I'm doing as I am hoping that Nigel is | :57:22. | :57:24. | |
going to stand. My hope is that Nigel Farage is going to be our | :57:25. | :57:28. | |
leader again. I think he is the best man for the job but if he doesn't | :57:29. | :57:32. | |
stand, I will have to stand to make sure we don't have people coming in | :57:33. | :57:36. | |
who have not got the right idea. We want to go back to good | :57:37. | :57:42. | |
old-fashioned Ukip, which Idol had working beautifully and we want to | :57:43. | :57:46. | |
have that again, not this nonsense. At the risk of sounding like Brenda | :57:47. | :57:49. | |
during the general election campaign, Nigel again? Yes, well, I | :57:50. | :57:57. | |
regret he even left in the first place, quite frankly, but I'm hoping | :57:58. | :57:59. | |
that he will stand but if he doesn't, I will be standing. I want | :58:00. | :58:04. | |
to make sure we offer what we've always offered, which is the | :58:05. | :58:07. | |
ordinary working guy and girl, give them a good run for their money, | :58:08. | :58:13. | |
make sure they get treated fairly, keep taxes low, make sure we get | :58:14. | :58:18. | |
Brexit. We've seen what's happened with the Conservative Party, it has | :58:19. | :58:22. | |
disintegrated. The ridiculous election they've had has resulted a | :58:23. | :58:25. | |
disaster so obviously we've got to be there to make sure... Just very | :58:26. | :58:31. | |
briefly, was Paul Matt Allwright to resign? Yes, I think you did the | :58:32. | :58:37. | |
right thing. I think he was ill advised by the people around him but | :58:38. | :58:41. | |
I think he was right to resign. We've got serious problems in | :58:42. | :58:46. | |
Scotland. People worry about Ruth Davidson. She promised Brexit energy | :58:47. | :58:51. | |
is reneging. We have to leave it there. I am sorry to quit you short | :58:52. | :58:54. | |
but thank you very much for joining us briefly. | :58:55. | :58:57. | |
There's just time before we go to find out the answer to our quiz. | :58:58. | :59:00. | |
The question was, which of these is the odd one out? | :59:01. | :59:03. | |
Was it A - Will Barton as Boris Johnson? | :59:04. | :59:05. | |
C - Meryl Streep as Margaret Thatcher? | :59:06. | :59:08. | |
So, Michael, what's the correct answer? | :59:09. | :59:13. | |
Michael Gove? No, it is Meryl Streep that Margaret Thatcher. You didn't | :59:14. | :59:19. | |
noted that because she was in a film and the others are a docudrama. I | :59:20. | :59:21. | |
think that the answer. I hope so! The one o'clock news is starting | :59:22. | :59:24. | |
over on BBC One now. | :59:25. | :59:30. |