10/05/2014 Dateline London


10/05/2014

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Hello and welcome to Dateline London. The world wakes up to the

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kidnapping of more than 200 Nigerian girls, so what can be done?

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Putin's triumphant arrival in Crimea.

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And Syrian rebels pull out of the centre of Homs. What does it mean

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for this endless and catastrophic war?

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My guests today are Vincent Magombe, of Africa Inform International,

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Irena Teranyuk, of BBC Global News, Abdel Bari Atwan, who is an Arab

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writer, and David Aaronovitch, of The Times.

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It has taken more than three weeks, but finally, the Nigerian government

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and and the rest of the world has woken up to the horrific kidnapping

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of more than 200 girls by the extreme Islamist gunmen of Boko

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Haram. What can be done about Boko Haram and, in talking of selling

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young women into slavery, who do they think they are appealing to?

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What say what kind of movement are they? I think originally we thought

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we and Al`Qaeda tape of movement. But they seem to know becoming more

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notorious, in terms of the extremity of what they are doing. They had

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some support in the political frame in northern Nigeria, but we are no

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seeing that has ebbed away. I do not think they have any support at all.

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If anyone has any brains, it is high time they thought very hard about

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trying to do the right thing. They have to release these children. I

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lay fighting children, are they fighting governments? When we talk

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about Islamic extremists, are the associated with other groups in

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terms of the way the act? In the course of the war, at the very

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beginning, they were seen by many people, many rebel groups sprang up

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to fight the president, it started a long time ago, the original rebel

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group has lost its way. Talking about the Americans and Boko Haram,

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when we see Americans now going into Nigeria and doing a very critical

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job to help arrest Boko Haram suspects, we wonder where the

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international community has been? That really, we have had two years

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now the Americans using special forces. I wonder whether we have a

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plan right now. I get a lot of e`mails from people and a lot of

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people are saying, we're as the world media been? The president only

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confirmed the couple of days ago that this attack happened. That is

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when the abduction of the hundreds of schoolgirls became global news.

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The president seems to have run out of luck, but on the other hand,

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maybe know that there are British and American experts there talking

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about it, though that he is asking the American military to send Jones

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to locate the girls, we still do not know where they are, in a forest in

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the north of the country, 200 children and a continent which no

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givers jailed soldiers is now giving us child slaves, child's grades. It

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is horrific. The first Lady making that radio speech instead of her

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husband, she was seeing, the girls in the future, the education

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matters. We simply cannot allow this to happen. It is interesting because

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we heard about the campaign in Afghanistan from the little girl who

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was shot by the Taliban, there is this belief that education is very

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important for schoolgirls. Yes, but this group have nothing to really do

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with Islam. They are damaging the Islamic image. They have put out a

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very strong statement condemning them. They are doing this, I

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believe, because they are extremists and having followed Al`Qaeda for 20

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years, they have never engaged in this sort of activity. I believe

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those people are unique and they are doing this simply for publicity. We

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have to remember they are functioning and a very dangerous

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area. There are a lot of very unstable states around the. You can

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see VR also able to move freely in these places. Why has there not

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being any interest, people do not want to talk about that part of the

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world. In Libya, who is talking about the abduction of diplomats?

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What they have done will be rejected by the vast majority of Muslims, but

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the likes of the Taliban have taken a very strong line against women

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being educated. It is not confined to Africa. People will see it as a

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minority, but it does with exist within Islam, this wish that women

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do not get an education. About 50 years ago, there was a huge drive

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against women being educated, but these people disappeared. We are

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noticing it happening again, and parts of Afghanistan and Pakistan.

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These people are not against education, it is to do with Western

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education. They did not want them educated in a Western way. For this

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year, there are 1500 people killed by Boko Haram. They find the right

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environment. Weapons are available because of the unstable situations

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in neighbouring countries. So they have decided to kidnap the

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schoolgirls because it was an easy target and for the publicity. The

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French government are putting 3000 troops into the region. It has been

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very slow for the West to react to what is going on. Why the West? We

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share this planet. It is amazing finally accept and criticise the

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likes of the American leadership and yet China became the largest economy

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recently and Russia seems to have a fair bit of free publicity, but

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nobody with ever think of any of these countries to contribute to the

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situation in Nigeria. It is partially about values, partially

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about capacity. It is an important point. When we talk globally, it is

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one of the things that we have to take into consideration. Secondly,

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we do not know where the schoolgirls are, but we do know that Boko Haram

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killed 200 people a week ago. The Cayman in tactical vehicles, I do

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not want to sound like some crazed warrior, but they are capable of

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being intercepted by drones. The third point is, one of the reasons

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why people knew late about this, Nigeria is a very big state itself,

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which contributes significant forces to African peacekeeping nations. It

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is not that isolated. The Nigerian government have been very slow. It

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is incredible that we have been hearing news that Nigeria is one of

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the biggest economies in Africa. They also contribute a lot of

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military and help other nations training academies. But I think, for

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me, it is more to do with the political fabric and infrastructure,

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that defines what the Army can do. Like many African countries, it is

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come out of a field political system. Very corrupt. Though it is

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not a dictatorship, a military dictatorship, but you see little

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sense and how the politicians are reacting. Part of the problem in

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northern Nigeria is because of the like of shaving of the wealth to the

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people. One of the best we've fought this to get the support of the

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people by northern Nigeria by sharing the wealth of the whole

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country with them. Russian's president Vladimir Putin

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now says that pro`Russian activists in Ukraine should not hold

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referendums and we should all wait for the Ukrainian presidential

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election at the end of this month. He also claims to have pulled back

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some Russian forces from the border, but then staged a theatrical visit

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to Crimea, roundly condemned as provocative in the West. What is he

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playing at? Those victory parades in Moscow yesterday. They had big

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echoes of 20 years ago. I wanted to send a word of caution, when people

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were saying that he had performed a U`turn over elections. He

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legitimises them and sees them as a way forward for Ukraine. Vladimir

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Putin It's not for turning. By doing the triumphant displays in Moscow.

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11,000 troops, rocket launchers in red Square. It is scary. It was the

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worst excesses of the Cold War. And then he goes to newly annexed

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Crimea, which he claims was returned to the Russian state after unfair

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grabbing by Ukraine. There he was selected and paraded by the Russian

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fleet and it was such, you may call it, a troubled mind, wanting these

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assets of power, these attributes of power. He rides a huge wave of self

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patriotism. There is nothing more of a winning formula. You lived in

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Moscow for a while? I did not meet Vladimir Putin. I understand where

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he is coming from. It is about power. I have got to compare him to

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the President of Uganda. These types of people, he may be sitting on a

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very progressive economy, but in terms of politics, they are

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dangerous people. They are absolute monarchists or whatever you want to

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call it. They live by power. I think that is what we are seeing. As we go

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on, I do not think even these people joining up, the Russian people

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themselves, will take it for very long before they say, the economy is

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going well, but we do not want democracy. There is a huge problem

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when you have been in power for a long time, by the time his term runs

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out he will have been in power for 20 years. There is not anybody in a

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mature democracy who gets to be in power for 20 years without a

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problem, being surrounded by people who say yes to them, who reflect

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things back to them, and also a sense of one's complete

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indispensability. Sure, flood your Putin has got Crimea, and that is a

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big blow for us, because we could guarantee nothing. `` Vladimir

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Putin. But the image that he has been incredibly clever, I think he

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has not been the master of events at all. I think events in Ukraine have

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gone on without him and represent a considerable amount of danger. We

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look at what has happened. We like to think the Russians are hugely

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involved, but there is also evidence that people are out of control in

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East Ukraine, who could be responsible for massacres,

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slaughters, something like that. He does not want that, either as part

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of his empire ought to be held responsible for it. It is no

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accident, he says he wants credit for being in Crimea but let us have

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an election in Ukraine. He might not be in control of events but in the

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past year he has been having quite a big say in Syria and now Crimea. He

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is in the driving seat in the Middle East and Europe. I believe he wants

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time to swallow Crimea, to digester it. If he is turning to pragmatism I

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think that is justified. `` digest it. Maybe the situation in Ukraine

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is out of his hands, they will go ahead with the referendum. We have

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to remember, the sanctions will start to bite, the Russian economy

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starts to suffer, the number of deaths is going up. A man like him,

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who stayed in power for 20 years, definitely, he will use the tactic

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used in Syria, when he managed to outmanoeuvre many people

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step`by`step. He has got this huge prize. Difference is the Syrian

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president never escaped to another country, but the tactics are the

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same. I think he let the genie out of the bottle, separatism, in

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eastern Ukraine, and he cannot control it. The local thugs who are

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terrorising local population cannot control it either. His biggest fear

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has been to stop Ukraine integrating. That he has succeeded

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in, but Ukraine has the support of the West, and with the eastern

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regions without them, it will slowly have to get closer to Europe to get

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rid of this rampant corruption that has been blighting Ukraine for years

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and led to them feeling disenfranchised. I want to move on

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to Syria, because rebel fighters in homes have pulled out of the centre

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of the city. `` Homs. Opposition fighters said the deal was agreed

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with between Iranian, are we seeing further evidence that this proxy war

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can only be ended by the outsiders? It definitely is a proxy war between

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Russia and the United States and Iran. That is the situation,

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summarised in Syria. As for what happened in Homs, that was actually

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a boost for the president. He goes into an election in two weeks, he

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will definitely win because it is not a democracy. I wonder what sort

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of swing he will get. I think 99%. No question about that. I believe

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now this Homs victory is shaking many people in the region. The

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government called for urgent meetings, the Friends of Syria are

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holding a meeting in London to deal with the situation. What happened,

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exactly, after two years of siege of about 1500 people in the heart of

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Homs, they had to give up. The Iranian intervened because they had

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hostages. They were also near to towns under siege from the rebels.

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The Iranian are a major player in Syria, they have boosted support for

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the president, who has the upper hand. He is gaining advantages on

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the battlefields and several areas. The Russians are also backing him.

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It is the Americans who are retreating, they don't want to

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interfere. The head of the Syrian opposition was in Washington and

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still is, he is asking for advanced weapons. The Americans are worried

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that an advanced weapon could fall into the hands of Al`Qaeda. I cannot

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see the situation improving in the coming years. It is almost as if

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outsiders are prepared to fight. I don't see America involved at all in

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any kind of meaningful way apart from occasionally talking. I take

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the point about the Iranian and Saudi Arabians, because it is

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impossible Syrians could come to an agreement by themselves. They

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require interlocutors to deal with these minor points. If you ask me

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frankly, I cannot for the life of me tell you what will be the situation

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in Syria in five years. I cannot tell you whether they will settle

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down as they did under the President's father. It seems very

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unlikely to me that they can go back to the status quo, and therefore

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what you're looking at is 10`20 years of instability. Spilling out.

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Yes, continually, into Lebanon, Iraq, possibly Turkey. The one great

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advantage from the point of view of discussions of the Middle East is it

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has made any discussion of what happens between the Israelis and

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Palestinians seem redundant. I don't think that is an advantage but it is

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there. I want to cry for Syria, because when it started, it was a

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pro`democracy movement. What does that tell us in Africa? We are

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trying to struggle for democracy. In Uganda, there are two debates

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saying, should we use violence, and the other, airships political

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parties, they say we should use peaceful means. I think it is right

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that the people of Syria found that it was ethical to overthrow him

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without force, but now it has degenerated into a civil conflict

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which could be a civil war. Perhaps it is now. It is. As I say, in

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Africa, it is something we have to study very carefully. The methods of

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how you overthrow a person like this. On one hand you do not want to

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degenerate into a civil conflict. In Uganda we have fought war against

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India means `` Idi Amin. The Americans, this year, they said in

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2014 there will be a war. I seem to be part of this whole thing. I think

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Syria, this bloody mess that Syria has become over the last three years

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shows the fragility of any world order, just like Ukraine, Crimea

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show the fragility of old and new Europe. Also, how many complicated

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issues and get totally out of control because you have proxy

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interests, Saudi Arabia, Iran, Russia, China. They constantly block

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any attempts to adopt a security resolution. Now that China has

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stopped supporting Russia after Ukraine, maybe there is hope of some

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movement on Syria. Thank you very much. That is it for this week. You

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can comment on the programme on the Internet. We will be back at the

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same time next week. Goodbye. The overnight rain beats a quick

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retreat from much of the UK this morning, but even though brighter

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skies have followed, there are showers. That is the rain heading

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away but it is still hanging back across eastern part of Scotland, so

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it is rather cool, cloudy and damp. For the rest of us, showers,

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blustery, and a

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