06/09/2014 Dateline London


06/09/2014

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Transcript


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I'll be back with a full bulletin at the top of the hour. Now it is

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programme crow. `` Dateline. Yasmin Alibhai Brown,

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columnist with The Independent, Mina Al`Oraibi, assistant editor`in`chief

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of the newspaper, Asharq Al`Awsat, the US lecturer and broadcaster

:00:30.:00:33.

Jeffrey Kofman and from Russia, Even as a ceasefire

:00:34.:00:36.

in eastern Ukraine was agreed on Friday between pro`Russian

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separatists and the Kiev`based government, NATO was talking tough

:00:44.:00:46.

against President Putin, He's facing a further round of

:00:47.:00:50.

sanctions from the United States and the European Union, and the NATO

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summit ended with an agreement to station a spearhead force in Poland,

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ready to respond to any threat to On his way to the summit,

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President Obama told an audience in Estonia that "borders cannot be

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withdrawn at the barrel of a gun". Jeffrey Kofman, has

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the summit made that less likely? No, it feels like we are reliving

:01:13.:01:25.

the Cold War now that we have seen this strike force stationed on the

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borders of Russia. At this point, we have to see whether the extremists

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on both sides will abide by the cease`fire. It is by no means clear

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that this is over. Alexander? I don't think the cease`fire will

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hold. I have already heard that the Donetsk area was shelled. The

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problem is that the militia on the ground on both sides do not really

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listen to either Russia or President Poroshenko. They do their own thing.

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So I don't see it holding for long. There are other agendas involved.

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Other countries are being involved. The problem I have with the coverage

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of Ukraine in the Western media is that it is one`sided, unfortunately.

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And unfortunately, the general public does not know both sides of

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the story. It is not as simple as putting the invading Ukraine. It is

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not as simple as democracy loving protesters in the Kiev suddenly

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seizing power by themselves. It is a complicated matter. It is a

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historically compensated issue. It is like in Iraq, when the Americans

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and the British went in. They basically destroyed the fine balance

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is that had existed for centuries there. It is the same in Ukraine.

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Yasmin, one of those balances is the idea that nation states are

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sacrosanct and if you attack them, there have to be consequences. And

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yet, isn't NATO bolting the stable door after the horse has gone?

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Crimea is no longer part of the Ukraine. This is an important point.

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I don't agree that we are back in the Cold War. The Cold War was a

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certain thing. We knew the lines, we knew who was who. I know they played

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all kinds of spy games, but there was a clear shape that we

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understood. What is happening now around the world is all these

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subgroups, like you said, not loyal to this Parliament, doing their own

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thing. They are acting almost beyond the concept of nationhood. This is

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why it is so troubling. You are right about that. Part of the

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problem is that we look to the superpowers to solve this, but it is

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not like you can make one phone call and say, let's put this aside. These

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actors act independently. Mina, you were at the summit. Did you get the

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impression that President Obama even wanted to be the man making a phone

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call and telling people, here is the line and you don't cross? He

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definitely does not want to draw any more lines. We had that with Syria.

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He wanted to work within a coalition. That is what gives

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readers a sense of being united. He was clear in telling the allies from

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Eastern Europe that we have your back. But I don't think the Cold War

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was as clean cut as Yasmin says, I just think we knew less than we know

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now. The speed that news comes out, the amount of propaganda from both

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sides, it has been incredible. Seeing social media accounts that

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belong to officials or embassies going tit for tat on little

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cartoons, you never had this sort of thing. Unfortunately, the Cold War

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never went away. If the Cold War went away, NATO would have been

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disbanded, because NATO was created... But the fact that you had

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the NATO`Russia Council... It doesn't change anything. NATO was

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created to prevent the Soviet Union from attacking. Once the Soviet

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Union disappeared, NATO should have disbanded. When NATO started to move

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eastwards, the Russians felt threatened, because why would they

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move eastwards? But Putin came to the NATO summit in 2008. There was

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the idea of the opening of a new chapter, but things have changed

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since then. There are countries on the border of Russia that do feel

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vulnerable. There are countries with Russian minorities that think, what

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happens to us next? I agree that this volcano of information, we did

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not have in the Cold War. But I grew up in Uganda during the Cold War,

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and I can tell you that the most illiterate person knew what that

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meant. And I'm sorry, but it was a good time for Africans. Not

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necessarily for Europeans. But for some Africans, if the Soviets gave

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600 university scholarships, the US gave us a thousand. It was a good

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time! I agree that the militia are not under the direct control of

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either side, but they are influenced and get funding from either side.

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And that can feed in. So you could have a political resolution if there

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is enough pressure on both sides. This point about NATO is key. It is

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something in the West that we underestimate in the `` in that

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following the collapse of the Soviet Union, about ten Warsaw Pact

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countries came to NATO. We saw that as a natural evolution and that they

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did it willingly and therefore it was OK. Now we are discovering that

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great offence was taken by a certain segment of Russian society. What a

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big segment, yes. I don't want to make the parallel to strongly of

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post`World War I, when the assumption of Versailles was that

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this would lead to peace and we so miss read it. That is interesting,

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because people have bounced this word around, which is appeasement.

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They have said that because of history, we are responding to Putin

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and saying, we don't want to provoke this guy. Therefore, we say he can

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have Crimea. Then we say maybe he can have an autonomous region within

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Ukraine that looks to Moscow and can get finance and support from Moscow.

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But what specs? If you were in Estonia, can you see why you might

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say, when might they say Estonia is part of Russia? The Baltic states

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have played a dubious role in history, to be honest. During World

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War II, they sided with Nazi Germany. During the Cold War, the

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distrust between Russia and the West has not gone away. It never went

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away. When we had the 90s and we opened the doors to the West, we had

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terrible things happening, American companies going in, Western banks.

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And we had $20 trillion siphoned out of Russia by the Western banks and

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the oligarchs that are supposedly big businessmen, Russian oligarchs.

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What do you expect from people to think about America and the West

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after we have been basically destroyed economically by them? It

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was not just by them. The Russians made a lot of money. Yes, but the

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money was hidden in the West. The Western banks took this money and

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then started accusing Russia of not doing the reforms properly. The

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privatisation was conducted. I was a Kremlin adviser, a troubleshooter

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for the Kremlin security council and the finance ministry. I traced

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people in the West who stole money. And you also traced them to Moscow,

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no? No. Most of them just moved away. The banks helped them take the

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money. The problem is, this distrust stays on. Putin cannot take Crimea

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if the nation is not behind him. That is why there is a big

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difference between Putin, Obama and Cameron. He responds to what the

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people want. They do not. You may mean knock ever Putin, and I don't,

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but there is an important point Alexander has raised, which is the

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sheer arrogance of the West after the wall came down. These books

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about the end of history, we were all going to be frightfully

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wonderful, big capitalists. Actually, what we have created is a

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new empire, a kind of economic model empire. I can understand why people

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who are not really part of it are feeling disgruntled. I think a more

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pressing question is this issue around Eastern Europe and the

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countries that rely on Russian gas and oil. How do you walk this line

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and try to bring Putin in line and find common ground when so many of

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these countries' economies are so dependent on these pipelines? If we

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look at history, it was Ronald Reagan who said, you build these

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pipelines in Europe and Russia will have control over your economies and

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you will lose your leverage. Lo and behold, that is what we are seeing.

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After the summit, President Obama's Secretary of State John Kerry was

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heading to the Middle East to add to what the president called the core

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coalition of NATO members were linked to take on Islamic state with

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countries from the Arab world. Mina Al`Oraibi, will he find them? I do

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not agree with calling them Islamic state. To understand what this group

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is, we have to define it public. So the idea of calling ISIS or ISIL,

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they can't even get the acronym right. North Korea calls itself the

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Democratic Republic of Korea. We don't call it that. So why do we

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call it the Islamic State? There is a whole thing I don't want to go

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into. That is one thing. But if you look at this core coalition, the ten

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countries that got together on the sidelines of the summit, NATO kept

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saying, this is not our meeting, they don't want to seem like it is

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the West marching in. Turkey has an important role to play on so many

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levels, but Turkey has been keeping quite quiet. There are various

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reasons. First of all, the Turks have 48 hostages that were taken

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from Mosul from the Turkish consulate. So they have that to

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think of. They have also played a role in what is going on in Syria

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and now feel like everything is getting blown back at them. That is

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an interesting dynamic. Then like you said, there are the Arab

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partners. King Abdullah of Jordan was at the NATO summit. So now they

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are trying to see what they can do with Jordan. This is worrying. If

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you start having armed and military adventure starting in the region

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without knowing what the endgame is. When they talk about ISIS, they talk

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about Iraq. Nvidia wants to discuss Syria. You can't just talk about

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Iraq and not Syria. Whether you have a Sunni minister of finance or a

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minister of foreign affairs will not make a difference. You have to look

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at the core problems inside the country, both Syria and Iraq, things

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like people being detained for years without trial. Their families will

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feel disgruntled and look at alternatives, horrible and barbaric

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as they are. So no matter how many discussions they have with

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coalitions, they have to look at how the problems in Iraq and Syria are

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solved. But the elephant, there are two elephants in the room. Maybe

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three. They are Saudi Arabia, Qatar and increasing evidence coming

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through of Kuwait. These very, very determined and very rich Sunni

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countries have a particular view of what they want to see the Islamic

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world becoming. And now they are in a bad place, because there is a

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wonderful book by Patrick Cockburn which has just been written where he

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says Saudi Arabia has been funding Wahhabi Islam across the world,

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including in this country, and nobody has done a thing. But now,

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apparently the rich families in Saudi Arabia are partly funding

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whatever you want to call it, I will call it I guess because I can't get

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into the debates. And the rulers are getting unnerved by that. So there

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is politics within politics, but no one can deny that so much of what

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has been happening in Syria and Iraq, you have to lay at the feet of

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Saudi Arabia. I think that one of the things we are guilty of in the

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West is not holding these Arab countries to account. There is a

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kind of delicacy around these issues. We have end nears and Kings

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and rulers. These are dictatorships, not accountable or transparent.

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Particularly Kuwait and Qatar, they have helped fund ISIL or whatever

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you want to call it. Now they realise they have created a monster

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and Kuwait are pulling back a bit. This will not be solved by a Western

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coalition. If there is one lesson we have learned from Iraq, it is that

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NATO or the West cannot solve this. It has to come from within the Arab

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world. We have at least seen encouraging signs from the UAE this

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week, trying to release take some minor leadership role. And Iran. But

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why are we forgetting the most important point? Russia has been

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warning America, Britain and France, stop funding those extremists in

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Syria. You will pay the price. They will go to other countries. They

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will become a danger to you. They have been saying it all along during

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the Syrian crisis. The Americans, the British comedy French and the

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others didn't listen. Arms flowing in. There was training and

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equipment. It emerged from that opposition, it

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emerged from the wall where they were fighting the extremists on the

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ground but some of them were so`called Democrats. But the danger

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was... There were dangerous elements that are forgetting that equipment.

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It is unfair that if certain things are not reported in the Western

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media that we take for granted that they don't exist. The UN actually

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named names, for individuals `` four individuals who were then taken out

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in terms of having their funding cut or being jailed. They think it is

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wrong to start going down this sectarian line. They have to take on

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responsible to as if it is their fault. There are so many nuances. It

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is a question of these being Islamic nations, we cannot expect the West

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to come in and say, don't worry, we will solve it. So many of these

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problems started because the West came in in the first place, they

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cannot walk away. It is a mix. The whole project started in the 19th

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century. The oil and money made it more possible. You cannot plug is on

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four or five families. There are more people within Iraq as a whole

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that are being killed for a particular sect but everyone says to

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look at minorities. They are all being attacked so the problem is,

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when you go down the sectarian narrative, it feeds right into what

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extremists on both sides, weather the sunny militias or weather they

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are ISIL `` be Sunni militia. Do you think that President Putin will be

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more willing to see some action against ISIS. Russia were warning

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the West that these elements were penetrating Russia and were going to

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penetrate the West and nobody was listening. They were blaming the

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Russians for taking on the Chechen thanks. Now they are listening. They

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are but without Russia's involvement, there will be no

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resolution to this crisis. It has influence in Iran and Syria. It is a

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crucial player. For NATO to say they will attack you or have this

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reaction force or whatever. It is rubbish. They should have sat down

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and said to the Russians, we have a problem, they are moving into our

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territory with British passports, they can attack targets. They are

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already here. I have to take you up on this. What the Russians were

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doing to Chechens was unspeakable... No, I disagree. Of

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course you do. And what Russian... You are all hacks who are writing

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rubbish. Let her make her point. You are talking rubbish. What the

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Russians were doing two Chechen women and children was unacceptable.

:20:11.:20:15.

Can you let me speak? Sorry, this is not a Russian parliament. This is a

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BBC programme. I have the right to speak. I have to speak. This is not

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your parliament, this is a programme. I have to speak. What

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Russia did when the Syrian problem was solvable was unforgivable, so do

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not make excuses for Russia. You scuppered all of the UN attempts.

:20:39.:20:45.

Tell me that was propaganda, it is all propaganda. Of course not. This

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is your own mindset. They are killing innocent civilians in

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Ukraine. Liberal propaganda. You're one of the examples of a liberal.

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You are a feminist liberal. And you hate Russia. I am, I am glad I am

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not a mouthpiece like you. Nobody expects the liberal view any more.

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There is a crisis into a liberal society. I am curious, baffled by

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this conversation. I use an Russian army, I know we're going back to

:21:20.:21:22.

where we began but are you saying that the Russians had not intervened

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in Ukraine? There are volunteers. There are no regular troops. If you

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listen to the UN observers on the border, there are no regular troops

:21:36.:21:38.

in Ukraine. They are volunteers. Of course. But with Russian arms. Just

:21:39.:21:56.

like in Iraq with ISIS, there are British and French fighters there.

:21:57.:22:05.

In Ukraine, there are American and Swiss volunteers. We are talking

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about people travelling out of their comfort zones...

:22:11.:22:12.

Whilst John Kerry is off to the Gulf,

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President Obama made a much shorter trip from Wales to Stonehenge,

:22:15.:22:17.

the ancient ring of standing stones in southern England.

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He was, he said, ticking it off his bucket list.

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Yasmin, where would you send a world leader

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in search of some post`summit inspiration?

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This very aisle and an energetic world leader needs to get home, take

:22:28.:22:36.

some vitamins, lots of vitamins and get back to the job. He cannot be

:22:37.:22:39.

wandering around old stones and praying for some pagan gods. It is

:22:40.:22:46.

not done. Stonehenge is marvellous and it is worth seeing. It is on the

:22:47.:22:50.

bucket list but what is most disconcerting is that the word that

:22:51.:22:54.

Obama chose to describe this incredible monument is cool. Maybe

:22:55.:23:03.

in the vernacular of today, you would call it awesome. What to call

:23:04.:23:09.

it cool is... There is something so cloying about that that it makes you

:23:10.:23:13.

cringe. It is like his constant use of folks. He needs to stop using

:23:14.:23:22.

that. "We torched `` we tortured some folks." He is tried be a man of

:23:23.:23:30.

the people. He went there for less than an hour. The fact that he was

:23:31.:23:37.

so well behaved and did not play any golf while being on a golf course,

:23:38.:23:42.

Leone that trip. It is a good place to go. Anywhere else? London is so

:23:43.:23:51.

great and full of great things, he went out summer. I would send him to

:23:52.:23:55.

Kew Gardens because that is one of my favourite spots. It is not

:23:56.:24:00.

exactly in Central London but it is great was what would get out of it?

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He would realise how marvellous the world is with the species not

:24:10.:24:17.

killing each other. Let him stand in the queue! It is a long queue. Which

:24:18.:24:27.

waxwork would you think would be most is racial question the one of

:24:28.:24:33.

himself! There are a lot of former American President is there, maybe

:24:34.:24:38.

Truman, given the way the world is going. Obama is trying to grasp away

:24:39.:24:44.

of writing history as the clock ticks down. For so many of his

:24:45.:24:48.

supporters, what we have seen is a great disappointment. There were so

:24:49.:24:54.

much hope and his ability to `` his inability to deliver, part of which

:24:55.:24:58.

is down to the paralysis of the American system. Is there anywhere

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you would send him? Somewhere quiet. Some beautiful mountaintop where he

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could have some time on his own. As President, you don't get time to

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reflect and breathe the air. He could have prayed with Cameron in

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some small church in Wales. Do you remember Bush and Blair? Oh, please!

:25:18.:25:25.

You said he should be back working. Being charitable, where would you

:25:26.:25:30.

like him to be? I meant that. I have never felt the world was so

:25:31.:25:36.

dangerous all at the same time. Not 911, none of that time. As a Shia

:25:37.:25:42.

Muslim, as all sorts of things, we are in a bad place. I am sorry,

:25:43.:25:47.

until retirement, back on the job. A sober end. Thank you all for joining

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us on Dateline. The time has gone quickly.

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That's it for Dateline London, Gavin Esler will be back next week.

:25:59.:26:01.

You can also comment on the programme on Twitter.

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From all of us, have a good week. Goodbye.

:26:09.:26:13.

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