Part 2 Election 2016: Scotland

has to be something else as well. Let us bring our correspondence in,

first of all from Glasgow. All-night people have been coming up

to me and seeing the turnout is All-night people have been coming up

terrible. There were visions of Tumbleweed throughout Glasgow but

that does not seem to be the case at all. The turnout can be notoriously

low, going down to 35%. But the figures we have indicate there has

been a substantial increase on last time around when it comes to

turnout. We are looking at around 43% being the lowest as opposed to

the best one. Some constituencies even have just over 50%. That seems

to be a big increase in what you usually get. Although to be fair

still down on what the Westminster turnout was, which was 61%. The mood

in the hall amongst Labour supporters has not right and in the

course of the evening. One person went past me and said, the Labour

ship is going down with all hands on deck. I think that summed up quickly

lay the mood in that camp. It seems that the Green camp might have done

very well. They think they might have come second in the Kelvin

constituency. That is the constituency that Patrick Harvie was

fighting. They usually get in on the second vote but were fighting their

constituency. That would be a Ford for them. They're filling is that

they would be second and Sandra for them. They're filling is that

White would retain it for the SNP. Still some time to go but one to

watch for. A quick word from Professor Nicola

McCune on turnout. How is that shaping up from the results we have

had so far and elsewhere? From the first 21 to constituencies

that have declared, the average is in the region of 55%, compared to

45% last time. The thing is, as before there is a variation around

the country. Glasgow Shettleston still 44% compared to Aberdeenshire

East which is turnout of 65%. That is a wide range. Still a lot of work

to be done to encourage political participation in cities like Glasgow

in less affluent areas where we know there is a problem. But across the

board there is a modest but perhaps significant increase in turnout.

We are going to cross the Election Cafe once again.

Much of our chat tonight has been about the main three as they battle

it out for the lion's share for the new parliament. But how will the

rest fear? I'm joined by Leslie Riddoch, Paul Hutcheon and Cat Boyd.

This could be the night that Ukip get their first seat in the rebel

parliament. That might not sit well with some bat they are forcing UK

politics. If they get a vote they are entitled

to a seat like anyone else. I'm surprised they have not done better

in Scotland. If you look at their policies, they are against the EU.

It is not everyone's cup of tea but I figured they had a Nigel Farage

figure in Scotland they would fare better but instead they have a

circus clone David Coburn. You have written a great deal about

the Green Party and said your list vote was going there. We have heard

they are doing well in Glasgow. What vote was going there. We have heard

are your thoughts? They could be doing very well

indeed. There are lots of reasons. They have inhabited the list since

the parliament was started. They have signposted the vote very well

towards them. It is strikingly listening to lots of result that

Labour have failed to do that. Lots of their voters think it is a

constituency for Gillette Labour on. Patrick Harvie has been a powerful

presence. Not just in leaders debates put on the whole referendum.

There has been a big way in which Labour supporters have lent their

vote to the Green Party and are finally going to get recognition on

their own right. How many seats could they get?

I don't know but this could be looking to double what they have

got. I know there has been a huge debate in the yes movement about the

wisdom of whether it is all fours SNP or whether you can safely split

your vote. I think there are a lot of SNP supporters who have quietly

done just that. They have not felt confident about seeing openly that

what they are doing but they have failed less have more robustness and

have that rainbow thing back in. And let's have people who are put their

life into the cause of land reform and have a great impact on the

debate. Somebody hoping to sweep that art is

cat Boyd who is a candidate for RISE. How do you lure people to your

party from the parties with more clout and for money?

I think a lot of organisations have more money than us. It would have

been quite easy for RISE not to have existed. We are the only party to

come out of the left movement and pulling that together. It would have

been easier to do nothing but a genuinely think we have got the

ideas to tackle problems faced across the western crisis, austerity

and climate change. We have done without a huge budget on media

profile and put themselves forward as a socialist alternative to the

SNP. We are seeing some pictures of

Patrick Harvie at the moment. We're talking about the affairs of the

other parties. We are also keen to hear what you are seeing. But be

keeping an eye on that overnight. If you want to join in the

conversation, user hash tag. Thank you for all your

contributions. What have you got for us, David?

The fortunes of the political parties have ebbed and flowed in

recent years. This is the share of the constituency vote over the past

three elections. Back in 2003, you could see the red line of Labour

three elections. Back in 2003, you picked up more votes but since then

they have fallen down to second place. Meanwhile, the SNP in yellow

have increased their share election by-election. It has got stronger.

The Conservatives in blue and the Liberal Democrats in orange were

fairly consistent but along here, in 2011, both parties to keep that.

That was after the got into coalition in Westminster. The other

parties have declined, shown by degree line. -- the array line.

You can see the SNP have gone from strength to strength while Labour

have stayed pretty static. The Conservatives have dipped. Look at

this line. The Lib Dems have dipped even more. The Greens peaked at 7%

and have been done at 4% ever since then. How will be doing tonight? As

ever, the pollsters have been trying to predict her divorce will fall

tonight. Let's look at those opinion polls and an average of the results

says last May's general election. Over here, taking us all the way

through to the last weeks of Over here, taking us all the way

campaigning on your right. You can see that the SNP are we out in

front. An astonishing figure of 58% support last summer. Dipping a

little to 51% over the last month or so but still very strong. Labour are

a long way behind but sitting fairly consistently. The Conservatives

peaking at 18%. They are hoping to overtake Labour but there are a few

points between them. The Liberal Democrats are way below that and the

other parties are between them. Is the polling any different when

voters are asked about the regional vote? The way the Kent it tends to

help the parties who do not top the constituency vote. Will voters split

their votes? Taking an average of the polls, since the general

their votes? Taking an average of election back here, we can see the

SNP are behind everyone else -- ahead. Averaging 44% over the last

month or so. Not quite as good as the high 50s they are getting in

this constituency polls we just saw. That is why they have campaigned

hard for both votes in the selection. Meanwhile, Labour and the

Conservatives seem to have got close together over the last year with the

Conservatives up from an average of about 13 last summer to 18%. Labour

peaked at 22 and have recently been averaging around 19. So the

Conservatives just a point behind Labour. We can see the Greens are

consistently slightly above the orange Lib Dems line.

Of course, these are just indicators, and as we know it is the

result not the polls that count. But it gives us an idea of how the

parties have in performing up until now.

I wonder how the Greens will do in this election. We saw those pictures

of Patrick Harvie a little earlier, but let us go to Cammack.

The percentage turnout was 63.2%. The total number of ballot reapers

rejected was 46. The total number of votes given to each candidate was as

follows, Rabin are no part in, Scottish Labour party, 6041. -- 641.

Tavish Scott, Scottish Liberal Democrats, 7440.

Dennis George Monk read scheme, Scottish National Party, 2945. And

Scottish Conservative and Unionist Party, 405.

Therefore are good public notice that have pushed Scott has been duly

Parliament for the Shetland Islands Parliament for the Shetland Islands

-- Tavish Scott. Let's just confirm the result in

Shetland. The Liberal Democrats hold Shetland. A birthday present for

Tavish Scott, who I think is 50 today. 7440 votes. He retains his

seat, beating the SNP's Danus Skene. Robina Barton was third, with 651

votes. Cameron Smith with 405. The turnout was 62%.

I above all want to make clear that, Nicola Sturgeon, you do not need

dodgy opinion polls to know whether you can win a second referendum. You

just need to listen to people, and people here have spoken very

clearly. I just want to thank my staff, and everyone who did so much

work to make it the most professional count I know any real

in Scotland. I want to thank the polling clerk surrender will

Shetland, right around the islands. It is a commendable operation that

you run. I am very grateful, as all the candidates are, not just in the

selection but in every election... The former Liberal Democrat leader

Tavish Scott re-elected in Shetland. There is no confirmed results. A

majority of 4895. What you make of that result, Nicholl Stephen?

Another fantastic result, and pretty much as good as the Orkney on from

latency. Those two results are very encouraging for the rest of the

night. I would be even more excited if we could win Edinburgh West and

North East Fife as well. But the bounce back has begun. A great

result from Tavish Scott and Great Britain present, if you are right.

Did I get the number rate as well? You could be spot on. I am sure he

will soon disputed if we have overestimated his number of years.

Aileen Clarke is with Patrick Harvie, call leader of the Greens.

Patrick Harvie, you opting here tonight surrounded by people

cheering. It seems you are man with something to cheer about. We are

very hopeful, we're getting good indications from people in Glasgow

and around the country of a good result. I have not even looked at

any of the ballot paper is that people are counting and checking at

the moment. My colleagues have, and they are feeling hopeful. We have a

couple of hours to wait for the final results. You are being a bit

bashful but what you people are telling me is that they are hopeful

that in the constituency in Kelvin you might even come second. If that

has happened, that would be our best constituency result at any level in

Scotland. Caroline Lucas has shown that Greens can win, but it takes

the consistent campaigning that we have been doing in Scotland. It is

the first time we have had the chance to contest an election with

the capacity needed to campaign on the skill required in communities

all over the country. That is what our campaigners, activist and

volunteers have been doing, knocking on doors in bigger numbers than ever

before. Hopefully that has led to a good strong result for us and

hopefully more Green MSPs, a strong group of Green MSPs, well help to

hold the Scottish Government to account, but constructively, in a

way that has got results in the last session.

What about the blue team? The Scottish Secretary, Conservative MP

David Mundell, is live in Dumfries. Ruth Davidson spent the whole

campaign saying that the Tories would come second. She was asked

whether that was the case just yesterday and she said that she

thought so still. What do you think? I am confident we can achieve our

objective to become the official opposition in the Scottish

Parliament. That would be good for Scotland and the Scottish

Parliament. With Davidson has -- Ruth Davidson has shown that she can

go talk to tour with Nicola Sturgeon, can stand up against calls

for a second referendum, and make sure that the SNP deliver on

promises they have made on health and education. By doing that we will

get better Government in Scotland and that will be good for everyone

in Scotland. If that is how the evening turns

out, if that is the final result in the selection, what has changed in

Scottish politics? Is the Tory brand now detoxified? I think it will be a

seismic change in Scottish politics if the Scottish Conservatives are

the second party in the Scottish Parliament. I was a candidate back

in those first elections in 1999. It would be incredible to think that

the Scottish Conservatives could finish ahead of Labour and be the

official opposition. It demonstrates that Ruth Davidson has transformed

our party in Scotland, taking it forward and given it, I hope, be

very significant role in this very different and new parliament with

these additional tax and welfare powers. We will be able to hold the

Scottish Government to account, get them to focus on the domestic issues

which are important to the people of Scotland, and closed on this

constitutional sora. We talked a little bit about

possibility of a second referendum on independence during the course of

the next Parliament, if Nicola Sturgeon were to judge the

circumstances to have changed in a way that she thought that would be

worthwhile, and a that she thought, the SNP thought, independence might

be on the second time of asking. They believe she would have a

mandate to call that? I agree with Jim Sillars on this. There is no

mandate to call that? I agree with mandate in the SNP manifesto and it

is counter to the democratic will of the Scottish people that Nicola

Sturgeon herself should set herself up as the person who decides. One

moment she is saying, it is the Scottish people who will decide, the

moment she is saying, it is the next moment she is saying, I will

decide, I will be set on whatever polls or straws in the wind I judge

will best achieve the outcome that she once, which is independence.

That is just not on. There is no mandate for a second referendum. I

do not believe the people of Scotland want that, yes voters

clearly do not want that. They realise that we have made the

decision, a significant majority in that decision, and that the matter

is settled for a generation. I hope that we can move on and start

discussing how we use these significant tax and benefit powers,

how Nicola Sturgeon delivers on a promised to tackle the attainment

gap, sustain and improve the health service, these are the things that

are important ordinary people in Scotland.

I want to interrupt you, because whilst you have been speaking, some

news that will be welcome to you has come on, which is that the

Conservatives's Jackson Carlaw, as on the Eastwood constituency. The

Conservatives have been the Eastwood from Labour. Jackson Carlaw, elected

with 12,932 votes. The SNP's Stewart Maxwell finishing fairly close

behind in second place with 11300 and 21. And Labour's Ken Macintosh,

who has represented this constituency since 1999, pushed into

third place with 11,081 votes. The Liberal Democrats's John Duncan in

fourth place with 921. 60% turnout in Eastwood. 36% of the vote for the

Conservatives, the SNP and Labour taking 31%. The change since the

last time is obviously a big one. And here it comes. Compared to 2011,

a swing of 6% from the SNP to the Conservatives. But the big story

there is that Labour were pushed into third place and the

Conservatives take Eastwood, an area that used to be a very strong one

for the Tories. David Mundell is still with us in Dumfries. Your

reaction to that result. Thank you for the timing. I am absolutely

delighted for Jackson. He has stood in that area on a number of

occasions, he has championed Eastwood in the Scottish Parliament

and has a great track record locally. And of course, he is one of

the Conservatives's best-known figures in the Scottish Parliament

so I am absolutely delighted for him and the team behind him. Just a few

years ago people said that it was impossible for the Conservatives to

take Eastwood back from Labour. Here tonight we have done it. Well done,

Jackson. Thank you very much for being with

us and sharing your thoughts on that result. We have another conservative

veteran, if I can put it that way. Former Euro MP. Your reaction? I

think it is fantastic. Some Former Euro MP. Your reaction? I

predicted we would not hold any constituency seats. We need a huge

game in South Lanarkshire with Margaret Mitchell. I think we are on

a surge. What David Mundell has just said, Ruth Davidson has taken the

party by the scruff of the neck and I think the people of Scotland has

recognised that she is giving soul with leadership, clear programme,

and I think it is paying off in votes. We are seeing that now.

Martin McCluskey, we will talk to you in a moment. Another result in

from, Nick and Irvin Valley. That is an SNP hold, with Willie Coffey

re-elected as the MSP. Let's get the results from Greenock

and Inverclyde. Rejected because there was something

written are marked on the ballot paper by which the voter could be

identified, one. Ballots unmarked or unvoiced friend certainty, 100. It

clear that the total number of votes given to each candidate is as

follows. Graeme Brooks, Scottish

Conservatives and Unionist, 4487. Siobhan McCready, Scottish Labour

Party, 8802. Stuart McMillan, Scottish National Party, SNP, 17000

and 32. -- 17032. John Watson, Scottish Liberal Democrats, 1404.

Therefore, I gave public notice that Stuart McMillan is elected as the

Scottish member of Parliament for the Greenock and Inverclyde

constituency. That is a big win for the SNP in

Greenock and Inverclyde. The SNP gained that constituency from

Labour. Stuart McMillan elected with 17,032 votes. They were's Siobhan

McCready is second with 8802. Graeme Brooks is third, and the Liberal

Democrats's John Watson in fourth. The turnout 58%. The SNP with 54% of

the vote, Labour with just 28%. The Conservatives are on 14%, the

Liberal Democrats are on 4%. Let's cross the Dundee.

Scottish National Party, 16,070 votes. Scottish Labour Party, 7242,

Jim McFarlane, 642. Nicola Ross, conservative, 2820. There were 115

rejected papers. That is the Dundee City West result

with the SNP holding. Joe Fitzpatrick a minister in the last

government. Compared to last time, the SNP vote

up slightly. There is the swing. As we saw with

the vote share and the change of last time, a big shift from Labour

to the Conservatives. There is the SNP break through in Greenock and

Inverclyde. That is the total number of seats

declared so far and how they break down by party.

Let us speak to our panel. That Greenock and Inverclyde result

obviously very good for you. Fantastic for Stewart and a great

candidate and by such an amazing majority. We have got the two seat

gains which is excellent. Great camaraderie amongst the women

candidates which is nice to see. Defeat and not by a narrow margin.

There was almost a 23% swing to the SNP so we have taken the swing back

slightly. Just a touch on the eastward result. It is far too early

to draw on what was happening... We are going to go to ease call

bride. Scottish National Party, 19,000...

Scottish Labour Party, 8392. Scottish Liberal Democrats, 1009.

Graeme Simson, Scottish Conservative and Unionist Party, 5800 and 57.

Total ballot papers rejected were 159.

So the SNP hold his call bride. Linda Fabiani selected.

The SNP holding the East Kilbride constituency. From one winner to

another. A big smile on the face of the next man we're going to speak

to, Tavish Scott. Congratulations on your win. Tough campaign?

Yes, it has been tough. It has been six weeks. Thoroughly enjoyable but

we have fought the issues about important issues on the island

including cutting ferry fares which Nicola Sturgeon will have to do

because she promised that during the campaign. And investment in schools

and the health service. I plan to take those things back to Holyrood

next week. We do not know the final result but

the SNP is having a good night and making gains. Labour has suffered a

number of setbacks. The Conservatives have had a huge

breakthrough by picking up the self-immolation constituency --

Eastwood constituency. How do you read it?

If the SNP do not have an overall majority, we are in exciting times.

As for what might they have had, I do not know. You have more knowledge

than I do. What needs to happen is that there does need to be

opposition that hold the government to account but also there needs to

be a future government that is an alternative to perpetual nationalism

and that is some of the more interesting longer-term thinking

that some others will have to do now.

Can anyone party do that job does there need to be something of

realignment in Scottish politics for that alternative to emerge?

We will have to wait and see what kind of shape the new parliament has

and how the individual parties have done. Until we have all the results

from the regions we will not know that. But people look for

alternative government, they do not look for oppositional the time. The

look for parties that could form government and was only one in the

selection. If they haven't won a majority that has to be a huge

setback for Nicola Sturgeon. We have to work out how in future elections

people like me can provide an alternative government instead of

just talking about being in opposition.

It is an intriguing idea and we will perhaps pick up that thought and

develop it later in the programme. Thank you for talking to us.

One of the big emerging stories tonight is that conservative

breakthrough in Eastwood. Let us bring that declaration in full.

I declare that the total number of votes given to each candidate was as

follows. Jackson Carlaw, Conservatives, 12,000 932. John

Duncan, Scottish Liberal Democrats, 921. Ken Macintosh, Scottish Labour

Party, 11000 and 81. Stewart Maxwell, Scottish National Party

11,000... 11300 and 21. Therefore I give

public notice that David Jackson Carlaw is Julian elected -- Julie

elected as a member of the Eastwood constituency. Our kids

Jackson Carlaw elected with those votes.

Ken Macintosh has seat since 1999 but pushed into

third place. Here is another result just in. The

SNP holding. Here is the result from Dundee City

East. I give notice that the total number

of votes polled for each candidate is as follows. Conservatives, 4969.

Lib Dems, 911. Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition, 437. Scottish

Labour Party, 5611. SNP, 16,509. Socialist Coalition, 437. Scottish

There were 108 rejected votes. I declare that Sean Robertson is

elected to serve as constituency member for Dundee City East.

So the SNP Health Secretary at Holyrood re-elected as the MSP for

Dundee City East. And we have had a few results in the last few minutes

so pack up on those with narrow panel. And let me start at the other

end this time with Michael Stephen and that result a short-term ago

from Shetland. It is for you. The other not areas where the Lib Dems

In traditional Liberal Democrat read anything into results there?

In traditional Liberal Democrat stronghold is we are doing well

tonight. Willie Rennie in North East Fife must now have a good chance.

And in Edinburgh West, a seat that we held until last year in the UK

Parliament, the prospects are looking good. We are fighting back

and baking progress. Clearly that seems to be the pattern as well for

the Conservatives -- making progress. It is a disastrous night

for the Labour Party. Tavish Scott is absolutely right to flag up the

issue of the future of Scottish politics. What does he mean by those

who are not SNP need to understand how they can present as an

alternative garment? Is he mean something other than doing something

different than parties normally do? Is he talking about an alliance or

America? It is a huge challenge. Even he says that it is too early to

understand what the solution is. He says that the SNP will not be in

power forever more. There are not too many people, other than perhaps

those sitting next to me, and his colleagues, who won the future of

Scottish politics to be a Conservative future if the SNP lost

power. The challenge to all of us outside nationalist politics is to

work out a way forward. Perhaps he is suggesting that new cooperation

has to emerge. But as I point out, the disastrous night, the

obliteration, is of the Labour vote. The biggest introspection and the

biggest challenge will be for the Labour Party, we're from here in

Scotland for the Labour Party? Labour Party, we're from here in

is a question for you, we're now for Labour? It is too early to judge

where the sheep of Parliament will end up. These constituencies that we

are losing, we were having swings of 20% or 30% on last year's general

election. It was all is going to be challenging. Someone's head earlier

on radio Scotland that the party is going to limp on -- someone said

earlier. Kezia Dugdale has set out the terms of the last five years and

what the next five years of Scottish politics will look like. Whether

that is the cuts coming down the road, the challenges to the Scottish

Government in terms of tax, these are the things which will shape the

next five years. Do you think that non-SNP parties might need to think

about how they work together, to some extent, to counter the SNP in

Government? To provide an opposition and an alternative moment for next

time round? I do not think we are looking for any alliance with the

Liberal Democrats are other parties, but Nicol Stephen makes a good

point. Especially as we see the SNP again with a majority Government. We

need to ask serious questions about how Parliament holds that Government

to account. As Nicol Stephen said, the Parliament was meant to be about

consensual politics, we need to make sure that that is the way it is

going. I do not like the phrase 1-party state, it is not a good

phrase, but the idea that the SNP need to take responsibility and

govern for all. We are about to make our way to

Stornoway. I, the returning officer, hereby

give notice of the number of votes cast for each candidate.

Alistair Allan, Scottish National Party, SNP,

6874. HE SPEAKS IN GAELIC.

John Cormack, Christian party, 1162. HE SPEAKS IN GAELIC.

Ranald Fraser, Scottish Conservative and Unionist, 1499.

HE SPEAKS IN GAELIC. Rhoda Grant, Scottish Labour Party,

3378. HE SPEAKS IN GAELIC.

Kenneth Macleod Baillie Stewart, Scottish Liberal Democrats, 293.

HE SPEAKS IN GAELIC. There were 59 rejected papers. The

turnout was 61.14%. The SNP holding Na h-Eileanan an

Iar. Alistair Allan Israel elected, leaving Rhoda Grant with 3378.

This is how the boat breaks down. Let's see how that compares the last

time around. The SNP voters down. The Labour vote is also down, the

Conservatives is up 7%. The Christian party candidates is up 9%.

The swing in the Western Isles from 5% from the SNP to Labour, but the

SNP holding on to Na h-Eileanan an Iar. Carrick, Cumnock and Doon

Valley, the SNP have held dear, but it is a new SNP MSP, Jean Freeman.

Once upon a time, an adviser to Labour First Minister Jack

McConnell, and a key member of the women for independence movement. The

Conservatives are in third place, now let us get the result from

Clydesdale. I hereby give notice of the following. The electorate is

58,000 483. The total votes cast for 33,000 802. The percentage poll is

therefore 57.8%. The total number of votes polled for each candidate at

the election was as follows. Alec Allison, Scottish Conservative and

Unionist Party, 8842. Claudia Beamish, Scottish Labour Party,

6995. Aileen Campbell, Scottish National

Bev Gauld, 909, Independent. Scottish Liberal Democrats, 820.

Danny Meikle, Independent, 1332. The total ballot paper is rejected or

83, and it clear that Aileen Campbell is elected to serve in the

Scottish Parliament as a member for the Clydesdale constituency. So the

SNP hold Clydesdale. Another result from Glenrothes.

That is Ruth Davidson arriving at the count in Edinburgh. She has

shifted city from Glasgow to Edinburgh, where she is the weed

candidate for the Conservatives. She is also fighting the Central

constituency in Edinburgh. -- will lead candidate. The SNP are

defending, but with the new lead candidate. The SNP are

candidate. Clearly, whatever happens in her own constituency battle, Ruth

Davidson and her party would it have a very good night indeed. The

already have much to celebrate in Eastwood, with her deputy Jackson

Carlaw been elected the after an number of times standing as a

candidate. I did say that I would bring you a result from Glenrothes,

we will get to that in just a moment. That is an SNP old. Let's

pick up with Struan Stevenson, a former Conservative MEP. Do you wish

you were still around to benefit from this success? It is a long time

since I have sat here on election night and had something to smile

about. It is fantastic. Going back to what Tavish Scott was seeing, the

hero Lib Dem talking about plunging into coalition, and Tavish Scott

suggesting that the SNP will not have a majority, but I do not where

he is getting his information from. The big question of this whole

election campaign has been, will the Conservatives overtake Labour. We

have been the most successful party in opposition with Ruth Davidson. I

think we have a chance to become the official opposition. What difference

would that make, if Ruth Davidson in the centre of our picture there, was

the leader of the main opposition party? How will that change Holyrood

politics? She seems the only person capable of looking it I with Nicola

Sturgeon and taking on the SNP and providing the kind of effective

opposition that. The SNP going crazy when they have an absolute majority.

Tasmania and made Sheikh, is that how you see it? I can understand why

you are excited. I know that you have won one seat. The SNP have had

two sessions in Government, this is their third election. We have won 13

out of 16 seats with the Mid Fife and Glenrothes declaration, which we

have yet to see. That is outstanding for a third term in parliament, a

massive mandate from Nicola Sturgeon, if the evening pans out.

It is a great night for the SNP. I understand that the Lib Dems will

have been happy to have retained two understand that the Lib Dems will

seats, and also congratulations to Jackson, but we are doing very well.

Let us confirm some of the results we have had so far.

Let's take a look at the Mid Fife and Glenrothes result. I told you

that the SNP had held that constituency, and indeed they have.

Jenny Gilruth is the new MSP for that seat. 15,555 votes. That was

formerly represented by the Presiding Officer Tricia Marwick,

who is standing down at this election.

So, with 54% of the vote, the Scottish National Party. Compared to

the last thing, the Scottish National Party vote up 2%. The

Labour Party Downey 11%. Here is the swing. Eat 10% swing from the Labour

Party to the Conservatives. In Falkirk West. Michael Matheson. He

is re-elected with 18,000, 260 votes. Labour in second place, Mandy

Telford. 6980. The term note the votes. Labour in second place, Mandy

54%. The Scottish National Party with 57% of the vote. The Labour

Party down 12%. The Conservatives up and the Liberal Democrats up

slightly. Labour to the Scottish National Party, a swing of 7%.

Clydesdale. Aileen Campbell, she was re-elected with 14800 and 21. The

Conservative Party in second. Labour in fact. -- in front.

Labour were second last time round. The Conservatives have beaten them

into second place this time. The Liberal Democrats, a brother or six

place. 44% of the vote for the SNP. 26% for the Conservatives. The SNP

vote and shall by 6%. -- actually down. A swing of 15% from Labour to

the Conservatives, but it is an SNP victory. We can bring you up-to-date

with all the developments with Jackie. The results are coming in

thick and fast. The SNP to Greenock and Inverclyde from Labour. The

Conservatives won their first seat of the night in Eastwood, with

Jackson Carlaw taking the seat from the Labour Party. The Labour Party

have still to actually win a seat. Jack McConnell is still positive

about their prospects. I would still be surprised if the Conservatives

were in second place in terms of the overall percentage of the vote. I

suspect the SNP will get clear they have been roughly in the opinion

polls. In the South, Ukip have gained 70 council seats. The Labour

Party have lost 27 seats so far. David Clegg, he is saying that the

Liberal Democrats believe will hear any actually be the Scottish

National Party in West Fife. Here are the number of results and so

far. The Scottish National Party up their own 13. The Labour Party,

having lost three, have still to get on the scoreboard. David Henderson

has got the big picture so far. As we have been healing, a lot of no

coming in. A clear is emerging. The Labour shear of the vote is down in

every seat thus declared thus far. They have lost three seats. All of

them in the central belt, traditionally a place where the

Party has been very strong. In Rutherglen, that was the first one.

Looking at the percentage. She won by 300 3500 forts, but when you see

the change from 2011, the Labour vote down by 11%. James Kelly, the

Labour MSP since 2007. He is the third on the regional List, so he

could still get in that way. Eastwood, we have been talking about

that. On the outskirts of Glasgow. Ken Mackintosh has held the seat

since 1999. He has lost that drew the deputy leader of the

Conservative Party Jackson Carlaw. ECB contest between the major

parties. Ken Mackintosh lost over main percent of the vote. The

conservative vote up 2%. To Greenock and Inverclyde. Another seat Labour

have killed since 1999. The MP retired. The shield of the vote fell

by 16% -- have held. A 14% swing from Labour to the

Scottish National Party. Look at the overall shear. This is the change

from five years ago. can see that the Labour Party are

down 10%. The Conservatives up 7% and the Scottish National Party up

2%. A fascinating and eight beginning to take shape, but so far,

a difficult night for the Labour Party. We can no speak to the deputy

leader of the Conservative Party in Scotland, Jackson Carlaw, who has

just been elected in Eastwood. When did you know that you had first one?

It was incredibly close all through the evening. It is not my first

attempt, so I approached these things with a degree of hope, but

also with fatalism. What has changed in that constituency which has

allowed the Conservatives to win after so many years out of the

limelight. I actually think a lot of this is down to the leadership of

Ruth Davidson. I think she reaches way beyond the vote the Conservative

Party have been reaching out to for too long. It is that working-class

Conservative -- conservatism. A lot of people here have worked very hard

to get really are today and they want other people to have that

opportunity. They are attracted by the type of leadership that Ruth

Davidson is offering. It was the sleeping fort that we were looking

for for people to vote for the Conservative Party. She is taking

the conservative message read it has not been for far too long. We can

see the First Minister. She is arriving at the Kent in Glasgow. She

is embracing the candidate in Pollock, who is hoping to replace

Johann Lamont, the former Labour Party leader in Scotland. Obviously,

the Scottish National Party look on course to win this election, but how

much? I am going to go rate out course to win this election, but how

there and see, I think she is going to win! I think they may be pegged

back just a little bit in some of the constituencies. But they can

stand a little bit of pegging back. But for the Labour Party, it is

down, down, down. It is a definite decline for them. We can now get the

result from Ayr Scottish Labour Party,

5283. John Scott, Scottish Conservative Party, 16,000.

16100 and 83. Robbie Simpson, Scottish Liberal Democrats, 716.

John Scott is duly elected as the member of the Scottish Parliament

for the Ayr constituency. The total number of votes cast was 30,000 730.

The number of rejected papers rose 115. For the following reasons,

The number of rejected papers rose voting for more than one candidate,

ten. Marking uncertainty 104. He has been a member of the Scottish

Parliament since 2000. He was re-elected for the Conservatives in

Ayr with 16100 and 83. The Scottish National Party in second place. The

Labour Party insert and the Liberal Democrats in fourth. The

Conservatives with 43%. The Scottish National Party 41%. The Labour Party

and 14% the Liberal Democrats 2%. The Conservatives up 4%, the SNP up

5%. The Labour Party domain percent. A swing of 7% from the Labour Party

to the Conservatives. John Scott re-elected. Nicola McEwan, an

emerging pattern in terms of support for the Labour Party. A chunk of

that is coming from the Labour Party. That would certainly seem to

be the case. We have to look at the bigger picture. We have to remember

that the Conservative Party have, up till now, though terribly in

devolved elections. This is still nothing. We have another

declaration. I hereby give notice that the votes cast for each

candidate where as follows. Roseanna Cunninghame, Scottish National

Party, 15,000 300. 15,000 315. Craig Fennelly, 544. Scott Nicholson,

Scottish Labour Party, 3389. Willie Roberson, Scottish Liberal

Democrats, 3000 and eight. As Smith, Scottish Conservative Party.

13,000 893. They were 112 spoilt ballot papers. The percentage was

62%. Just to confirm. The Scottish National Party hold on. The

government minister re-elected with 15,000 315. But the Conservatives

coming close. 13800 and 93. Scott Nicholson for Labour third. Peter

Mote of 61%. Let's hear from the SNP leader, the

First Minister Nicola Sturgeon, who as you have heard, is just arriving

at the Glasgow count. How would your second term be

different, if you see this as a second mandate? I will put education

at the very centre of my plans for a third term. We still have a lot of

results to come this evening so I am taking nothing for granted. I am in

specialist to invest in land reform health service, make education

system the best in the world, build on a real sense of confidence that I

believe exists in Scotland. I am optimistic about the opportunities.

At what stage would you head for a referendum? If you do not mind, I

will firstly see how the election develops.

Let's cross the Paisley. The votes given to each of the

candidates was as follows. George Adam, Scottish National Party,

14,682. Scottish Labour Party, 9483. Paul

Masterson, Scottish Conservative and Unionist Party, 3533. Eileen

McCartin, Scottish Liberal Democrats, 1766. The total number of

ballot papers rejected was 128. The total number of votes was 29,500 92.

-- 20 10500 and 92. George Adam is duly elected as member of the

Scottish Parliament for the Paisley constituency.

So the SNP holding the Paisley constituency. George Adam re-elected

with 14,682 votes. Neil Bibby second.

A turnout of 57%. The SNP on 50%, Labour on 32, the Conservatives on

12 and the Lib Dems on 6%. Compared to the last time, there you go...

And the swing in Paisley is 8% from Labour to the SNP.

There is the Falkirk East result. Angus MacDonald of the SNP welding

on the with 16,720 votes. -- holding on. A turnout of 54%. The SNP with

51% share there. The Conservatives on 19%, the Lib Dems on 3%. The SNP

up slightly and Falkirk East. Labour down 12, the Conservatives up 11 and

the live ends up slightly. The sling and Falkirk East, 12% from Labour to

the Conservatives. That is an SNP hold. More results, Moray. Richard

Lochhead, the cabinet set to, 15,742 votes for him. Douglas Ross, 12,867,

he is the lead candidate on the Conservatives's Highlands and

Islands list, so he may yet make it into Holyrood. The turnout there was

54%. The SNP have 47% of the vote.

Compared to last time, the SNP vote is down 12%, the Conservatives are

up 18%, Labour are down 2% and the Lib Dems up.

15% swing from the SNP to the Conservatives, but the SNP role.

The result is in from Angus South, the SNP's Graeme Day holding.

The electorate is 54000 and 54,164 ballot papers were verified, giving

a turnout of 63.21%. 101 ballot papers were rejected. It gets

noticed that the total number of votes cast for each candidate in the

election was as follows. Hugh Bell, Scottish Conservative and

Unionist Party, 5646. Roderick Campbell, Scottish National Party,

11400 and 63. -- 11463. Scottish Labour party, 2026. Willie Rennie,

Scottish Liberal Democrats, 14900 and 28. It clear Willie Rennie to be

elected to serve in the Scottish Parliament as a member for the North

Fife constituency. That is a sensational result for the

Liberal Democrats. The leader of the party has fought and won North East

Fife, gaining from the SNP. Willie Rennie has been elected. It

is sold goods to return North East Fife to the Liberal Democrats. I

have had the time of my life in this campaign. He might have seen that

going round the country, but genuinely, a positive, uplifting

campaign. A campaign that has looked to try to make Scotland the best,

again, in the world. Investing in education, guaranteeing our Civil

Liberties, protecting the environment. Something that is very

important to me is boosting mental health services. That is what my

team of liberal voices in the parliament will do for the next five

years. It has been a campaign that has also focused on North East Fife.

North East Fife is an area that I grew up in, was educated, where my

family had the shop in Auchtermuchty and Cooper.

The total number of votes cast was, Iain Gray, Scottish Labour Party,

14300 and 29. Rachael Hamilton, Scottish Conservative and Unionist

Party, 945. 9045, sorry. DJ Johnston-Smith, Scottish National

Party, 13,000 202. And the Scottish Johnston-Smith, Scottish National

Liberal Democrats, 1337. The total number of reject did votes was 118.

I can therefore confirm that Iain Gray is duly elected to serve as a

member of the Scottish Parliament for the East Lothian constituency.

That is the best news Labour have heard so far tonight. The former

party leader, Iain Gray, holding the East Lothian constituency. Here is

the result from Cowdenbeath. Annabelle Ewing, Scottish National

Party, SNP, 13,715. Bryn Jones, Scottish Liberal Democrats, 1094.

Alex Rowley, Scottish Labour Party, 10,600 74. -- 10600 and 74. The

total number of valid votes was 29,000 734. I did clear Annabelle

Ewing to be elected to serve at the Cowdenbeath constituency.

The SNP have won the Cowdenbeath constituency. Annabelle Ewing

elected for her party there. The deputy leader of the Labour Party,

Alex Rowley, has lost its constituency seat, although he lives

to fight another day as lead candidate on the list. There is the

Cowdenbeath results confirmed. The SNP gaining that seat from Labour.

Annabelle Ewing elected. Labour's Alex Rowley losing out. He picked up

this seat in a by-election following the death of a member.

turnout is 54%. Let's get the declaration from Inverness and

Nairn. The number of votes given for each

registered candidate, excluding any votes given on any rejected ballot

papers is as follows. Carolyn Caddick, Scottish Liberal Democrats,

5445. Fergus Ewing, Scottish National Party, 18,000 505. --

18505. Edward Mountain, Scottish Conservative and Unionist Party,

7648. David Stewart, Scottish Labour party, 6719. The total valid votes

cast included 222 rejected papers. Total votes cast 38539, turnout

57.8%. I hereby declare that Fergus Ewing has been duly elected a member

of the Scottish Parliament for the Inverness and nearing constituency.

The energy minister Fergus Ewing re-elected in Inverness and Nairn.

That is an SNP hold. Re-elected with 18505 faults. -- votes.

The SNP with 48% of the vote. The Liberal Democrats on 14. The SNP

vote is down three. The Conservatives are up eight, securing

them that second place. Labour are down for, the Lib Dems are up three.

The swing is 6% from the SNP to the Conservatives, but Fergus Ewing

holding Inverness for the SNP. Midlothian North and Musselburgh,

the SNP's Colin Beattie holding that seat.

49% for the SNP, 29 for a labourer, 18 for the Conservatives and 4% for

the Liberal Democrats. SNP are up 2%, Labour are down nine.

The string in Midlothian North and Musselburgh is from Labour to the

SNP fight sent stop -- 5%. Here is the Dunfermline results. The

SNP's Shirley-Anne Somerville, a win for the SNP but not strictly

speaking and gain because it was an SNP seat last time.

This time Cara Hilton finishes in second place. The Conservatives's

James Reekie is in third place. The SNP up 6%, the Labour Party

don't make the same margin. The swing 6% from Labour to the SNP.

Here is that result from Clydebank and Mill Gallery. Gil Paterson,

16100 and 58. Labour second. 7726. The Conservatives in the Liberal

Democrats fourth. The SNP with nearly half the vote. The Labour

Party 24%. The SNP fought up 6% of Labour down massively, 17%. The

Conservatives up main percent in the Liberal Democrats up 3%. A 12% swing

from Labour to the SNP. Any is you are sporting? The overall share, the

SNP are a very slightly up. Nearly one half of 1%. They are still

managing to pay all up the seats. The Conservatives are up 8% on the

night. If the replicated that on the List fought, the mate potentially

challenge Labour for second place, but no higher than that. Look at

that Labour share. Down 8.8%. The vote has condoned in virtually every

seat. -- come down. But we have not got that corrective List vote coming

in. The Green Party could gain in that. It could be the Labour decline

is spread across the parties, the Liberal Democrats could come back

into fourth place. 23 seats for the Scottish National

Party. Let me bring in Nicola. How do you

read the results? In the run-up to the election, we thought the story

would be about the decline of the Labour Party, rather than a sharp

RISE for the Conservatives. There is no doubt this is a good election for

the Conservative Party. But the Scottish National Party still seem

on course for an overall majority. There is nothing to suggest that

that will not happen yet. Because they have not won all of the

constituencies, they will probably pick up the odd one on the List. How

does this compare to the Westminster election last year as an opposition

Party. The same way, fading as the champions of Scotland. Nicola

Sturgeon always trot so the sling that we stand up for Scotland. That

is the main set. That is the post-referendum main set. They are

looking for champions in Scotland. Even in the United Kingdom general

election, they are looking for a Scottish context. They are looking

for the person who will stand up for them, the champion for them within

the United Kingdom. It used to be the Labour Party, now it appears to

definitely be the Scottish National Party. That is why they are winning.

We have got a declaration from Glenrothes. 8963, the Scottish

Labour Party. Lorna Jones, Scottish Liberal Democrats, 1291. Martin

Laidlaw, Scottish Conservative and Unionist Party, 4568. David

Torrance, Scottish National Party 16,000 350. -- 16,000 350. I declare

David Torrance to serve in the Scottish Parliament is the member

for the Kirkcaldy constituency. The man who won the last time. That was

the big breakthrough for David Torrance and the Scottish National

Party. He has been re-elected. 16,000. Clear bigger foreign labour

in second with 8963. -- clear Baker. 16,000. Clear bigger foreign labour

I said we would hear from some of the winners. We can cross no to Ayr

to hear from John Scott, the newly re-elected Scottish Conservatives.

How do you think than eight is shaping up from a conservative point

of view? Thank you for your congratulations. I think it is

tumbling into a very good night for the Conservatives. For my part, I am

delighted to haunt this famous seat for the first time and be

representing the constituents yet again in the Scottish parliament. I

would like to thank my team who have been a fantastic support to make and

also, as you would expect, the good people of Ayr and Prestwick who

voted for me today. If you turn the clock back, when Ruth Davidson came

into control of the Party, you were one of the few who came out

into control of the Party, you were back. Do you think she has won over

the doubters? Yes, she has worked tirelessly for the Party for many

years. I was a lot more positive than a lot of my colleagues. You can

spot talent from 1000 yards. When I first saw her, I knew she had

something extraordinary to offer the Party. Thank you very much for

joining her. -- for joining us. The new MSP for Fife north-east, the

leader of the Scottish Liberal Democrats. Congratulations, Willie

Rennie. I am not sure you can hear me. I am just congratulating you.

Thank you! It is a area where the Liberal Democrats have been very

strong. No, it is your constituency. How tough a fate was it? It feels

fantastic to have been victorious and won it back for the Party. A

majority of over 3000 against the Scottish Nationalist paid.

majority of over 3000 against the predecessor lavish Scott, re-elected

and is Shetland, was hinting at the need for opposition parties, all of

them, to think long and hard about how you present an alternative

government at the next election. Do you stick with the traditional Party

boundaries or does the need to be some kind of realignment,

cooperation or alliances? You know that Liberal Democrats are prepared

to work in partnership with other parties. We have always done that.

We worked with the Scottish National Party with regard to education. But

we challenge them on other aspects. We are used to working in

partnership. But in terms of any other arrangement, that is not

appropriate. You have been engaged in a battle for fourth place in this

election. You wanted to retain that, but the Green Party have set out to

overhaul you. The vote will come later when we get to the List

system. What is your assessment at the moment. Will you stay ahead of

them? You may have noticed I am not John Curtis. I do not make

predictions. We have made gains in North East Fife. I think we will win

in Edinburgh West. Two big wins from the Scottish National Party as a

tremendous result and that is what we are very pleased about. We will

see what happens in the rest of the country. We have fought a very

positive campaign based on the issues. Here is the Scottish

positive campaign based on the leader Kezia Dugdale arriving at the

Kent in Edinburgh. We will see what happens in the night ahead. We have

not seen all the results. She is being greeted by supporters and

engaging with the question about what has gone wrong. She is sticking

to the message that they have fought a positive campaign. Her

predecessor, she has something to celebrate, even the re-elected for

East Lothian. Elsewhere across Scotland, Labour has had a

particularly bad night. They have suffered a number of losses. They

seem to be losing quite a big chunk of its support to the Conservative

Party. This is part of the emerging pattern. But still Kezia Dugdale is

smiling. Despite all the problems and adversity. That has been

something of a hallmark of something of the week Kezia Dugdale has

conducted herself. She has fought a gallant campaign. But they have been

losing a percentage of the vote everywhere. They are in very serious

trouble of falling behind the Conservatives. It is not just a

labour squeeze. The Conservative Party are putting on a Shearer of

the vote across the country. The Party are putting on a Shearer of

List could change all of this. I think it is 19 team since Labour

were last heard in an election in Scotland. I did not cover that one

myself! I am being taught that news! We can cross to Haddington. Labour's

newly re-elected MSP Iain Gilley, the former leader of the Party in

Holyrood. Many congratulations. A bittersweet evening, given that the

Party has suffered losses elsewhere. First, I am absolutely delighted to

have the trust of the people who did meet once again. I had the smallest

Labour majority back in 2011. The majority is no increased maintains

what it was. I will celebrate that, but disappointed to see some of the

results from elsewhere. I am still optimistic about others. Like

crying, I did not fate the 1910 election, but I was around one year

ago and the changes in Fort share we are talking about are showing that

Scottish politics has changed a lot in five years. Last year, Labour

lost every constituency. I am not as despondent as perhaps others are and

you may think. But if you are pushed into third

place behind the Conservatives, you have in full long way back the

claim. In previous years, the Labour leader has been chased out. Is that

going to happen again? That certainly is not. Several years ago

I was the leader, we had a bad result, and I resigned. But I had

been leader for three years and that was an election which I was expected

to win and I lost badly. Since then we have changed leaders repeatedly

and it has not served us well. When Kezia Dugdale became leader she made

it absolutely clear that her leadership was aimed at the longer

term recovery of the Scottish Labour Party. She shaped this election in

many ways, her message about using the tax powers of the parliament,

stopping cuts and investing in services again, that has been what

this election has been about. Five years ago we were struggling to be

listened to at all. This term we years ago we were struggling to be

have shaped much of the election campaign and the message of it and

that is a platform we will take to the Scottish Parliament now and

argue every day for the next five years. Good to talk to you. Thank

you for joining us and congratulations.

We can bring you another result, confirming for you user result in

Perthshire in North, where, as you rightly expect if you know your

constituencies, the SNP have held. The Deputy First Minister re-elected

there, but look how close the The Deputy First Minister re-elected

Conservatives's one-time deputy leader, one-time deputy, -- one-time

leadership candidate came. The turnout was 63%. Let's get the

result from Cumbernauld and Kilsyth. Jamie Hepburn, Scottish National

Party, 17,015. Scottish Liberal Democrats, 688.

Anthony Newman, Scottish Conservative and Unionist Party,

3060. Total votes, 20 301. Jamie Hepburn is elected to serve for the

constituency. The SNP minister Jamie Hepburn is

re-elected there. Let's go to Edinburgh North and Leith.

Independence, 1344. -- independent. Scottish Labour

party, 10,576 votes. Scottish nationalist party, 13300 and 22.

Iain McGill, Scottish Conservative and Unionist 6081. And Scottish

Liberal Democrats 1779. Therefore, I give public notice that Ben

Macpherson is duly elected as the member of the Scottish Parliament.

That is a big win for the SNP. The member of the Scottish Parliament.

first result from Edinburgh tonight. The SNP have gained that seat from

Labour. The former Minister Malcolm Chisholm is standing going to be

replaced at Holyrood by the SNP's Ben Macpherson, with 17,324 votes.

Phishing Lesley Hinds, a prominent figure on the local council, down to

10500 and 76. 10500 and 76.

-- pushing. The SNP take 47% of the vote. The

SNP are up 70. Labour are down 13, the Conservatives are up seven.

Here is the swing, from Labour to the SNP, a 10% swing. The SNP

gaining Edinburgh Northern and Leith.

Let's cross to Brian for more analysis of the results so far.

There is one big story, several stories but one huge story. The SNP

is winning and will form the next Scottish Government. Nicola Sturgeon

will continue as First Minister and it looks as if they will have an

overall majority, it looks very strongly that they will have an

overall majority. We are yet to get the list votes. On the swings we're

seeing, Labour could find themselves in third place. The kit that massive

tranche of SNP members, couple of Conservatives. So far, 32 the SNP's

three, to the Liberal Democrats, two for the Conservatives, one for a

labourer, zero for the Greens, zero for the others. The greens of course

labourer, zero for the Greens, zero come into play on the list. Let's

take a look at the constituency share next, which tells a bit of a

story. SNP 47% constituency share. I think it was 49.99 they gained in

the UK general election, generally expressed as 50% but it was not

quite. Could they get over that figure tonight? Perhaps not. They

are winning out the park, I think they can afford to people little

bit. Look how close the Conservatives are, on that

constituency share, with a list votes still to come. The Liberal

vote is holding up, it has slightly increased. When those list votes

check-in we will see the battle between the Greens and the Lib Dems.

Right now they are holding on. Let's take a look at the change, SNP, not

much change, 0.5%, but that is from 2011. That is when they won an

overall majority against the trend of a voting system design to prevent

exactly that. Labour are nine points down, they have lost share in

virtually every constituency that has been can -- declared so far. The

Conservatives have gone eight points up, they are doing very well

tonight. If that is reflected on the list, then the crude overtake

Labour. Liberal Democrats, as I said earlier, we have yet to hear from

the others, because they will kick in when the Greens's vote on the

list vote kicks in. We had a couple of changes on our

panel, including the arrival of the former MSP for Aberdeen shirt yeast.

I think we are about to find out who has replaced Alex Salmond in that

constituency in the Scottish Parliament. We also have a new

Liberal Democrat member on our panel, Lord Purves, former member of

the Scottish Parliament, and now sits in the House of lords for his

party. Mark McCluskey -- Martin McCluskey is your foreign labour. We

are about to get the result from Aberdeen shirt yeast --

Aberdeenshire East. What would your prediction be, Alex Salmond? Will

your replacement in the SNP win? Yes. It is a very short answer. Yes,

it is the first time she has stood in that seat. I have the great

benefit of knocking about North East of Scotland politics almost as long

as Brian Taylor has been talking about me doing it. I think she will

go on to great things in the Scottish Parliament. When you hear

the sort of night that your party is Scottish Parliament. When you hear

having under Nicola Sturgeon's readership, do you wonder if you

should have stuck around? No, timing is very important thing. The timing

of me handing over the Nicola Sturgeon absolutely correct. It is

important to note that she is receiving her own mandate. It is one

thing being collected by the Scottish Parliament, quite another

thing been chosen by the Scottish people, that is what is happening

tonight. What is your estimate in terms of the total number of seats?

If you cannot put an exact figure on it, what about in terms of an

overall majority? I do know think that, but as I said earlier on, just

a few hours ago, this is the most extraordinary thing, to get a

majority in the system is very difficult. It is not certain yet,

but as Brian said, it looks like Nicola Sturgeon might achieve that

ability to get an overall majority, despite the regional list system

which is designed to prevent that from happening. What difference will

it make to her in terms of having the personal mandate? Elections are

job applications for the leaders of political parties. She has made a

job application to the Scottish political parties. She has made a

people and they have selected her for the short list. That is

precisely the key point about this election. She is an outstanding

First Minister, she is proving that. But they have the personal

vindication from the people, nothing quite matches that. I think we can

hear from another former leader of the Scottish National Party. John

Swinney is live for us in Perth. He has been re-elected in his

constituency, congratulations. But I did notice that Murdo Fraser ran you

a lot closer than he has done before. Clearly across the country

the support for the Conservatives is rising. I have been returned here in

Perthshire in North with nearly 50% of the vote. Right around the

country the SNP, on the constituency voting so far, is basically

commanding the support of about half of the electorate of Scotland, which

is an astonishing achievement given that we have been in office for nine

years as a Government. It represents a tremendous vote of confidence from

the people of Scotland. As I was discussing with Alex

Salmond, Nicola Sturgeon sort that personal mandate and suggested that

she would draw that from an overall majority. How will that change the

way that she leads the Government? Nicola Sturgeon has brought her own

style to the leadership of the Government and demonstrated during

this campaign and in her term in office, to set out her clear

priorities, and she has communicated those openly to the people of

Scotland, they have commanded tremendous endorsement. If the

pattern is maintained across the course of the evening, it will

represent a very strong endorsement of the agenda that she has set out

and a clear mandate for Nicola Sturgeon to govern on behalf of the

people Scotland, given that she looks very close to getting about

50% of the share of the vote of the looks very close to getting about

people of our country in this election campaign. She will bring

her agenda, the agenda that she set out to the public, very much to the

fore. is a if the Conservatives become the

main Party of opposition, and all that changed Scottish politics in

the next Parliament? We have to wait and see what happens during the

course of the evening. The government will do what it has

always done, which is to act in the interests of the people of Scotland.

To act wisely and carefully and meeting the needs of all the people

in the country. That approach has been at the heart of the

administration over the past decade and I am sure Nicola Sturgeon will

continue to act in that fashion as First Minister as she reaches out to

every part of Scotland. Thank you very much for joining us. We can

join our panel once again. You have made a breakthrough tonight in that

you won back a constituency on the mainland. What difference does that

make, not just to have the two seats in the aliens? I do not think we

should take for granted the victories in Orkney or Shetland. Our

results there have been phenomenal. But having that sleaze of Gaunt on

the mainland which will e-learning has managed is a real boost for the

Party. It is also a message to the people that if they wanted reformist

message, they can vote Liberal Democrat once again. And I think

Willie Rennie has such enthusiasm, that has shown in a huge majority,

over 3000. Your Party used to be strong in Aberdeenshire.

Aberdeenshire East, I promised you that result and we can bring it no.

Gillian Martin. Aberdeenshire East. No longer Alex Salmond. A new face

for the Party. The Conservatives, Colin Clark, in second place. The

Liberal Democrats and third, Christine Jordan, 6611. The Labour

Party in fourth place. The term note 55%. He lives the share of the vote.

46% for the Scottish National Party, 29% for the Conservative Party. The

Scottish National Party vote down 19%, the Conservatives up 15%. That

is the swing of 17% from the Scottish National Party to the

Conservatives, but the Scottish National Party holding the seat.

Your reaction to the result. I am delighted for Gillian Martin and her

team. She is a number of strong young women candidates moving into

the Scottish Parliament and will do a great job for the constituency. If

you are looking at the swing. When I moved them, I won it from the

Liberal Democrats and then increased the majority. For many years it was

a Liberal Democrat constituency. She is standing for the first time.

Another declaration. Edinburgh. Scottish Conservatives, 5585.

Paul Hamilton, Scottish Liberal Democrats, 6000 606.

The Scottish National Party 15,000, 685.

I give notice that Alex Hamilton is duly elected for the Edinburgh West

constituency. A big victory for the Liberal Democrats in Edinburgh

Western. 16600 and 45. Taking the constituency from the Scottish

National Party. It must have been one of the most closely fought

National Party. It must have been contests in the election. Battling

each other side by side. Both of the team is working very hard to secure

the victory, but it went to the Liberal Democrats. C from the new

MSP. I thank my fellow candidates for a very spirited contest. I thank

my election team. Our success tonight is built on the legacy of

trust in community service that you established for three decades in the

city. We have built our campaign in the finest traditions of the Party.

Every step of the journey I have been carried. I result for Glasgow

Anniesland. I give notice that the total number of votes cast for each

candidate was as follows. Bill Butler, Scottish Labour Party. Bill

Kidd, the Scottish National Party. Adam Tomkins, Scottish

Conservatives, 4057. ID clear that Bill Kidd is elected to serve for

the Glasgow Anniesland constituency. That is a lot more comfortable than

it was last aim for Bill Kidd. He had a majority of just seven in five

years ago. The Party leaders smiling at that result. The Scottish

National Party holding Glasgow Anniesland. The Labour Party in

second place. The Conservatives in third. Adam Tomkins is top of the

Party List for the city of Glasgow. The term note 50%. The SNP taking

over half the vote. Compared to five years ago, the Scottish National

Party up 9%, the Labour Party down 15%, the Conservatives up 6%, the

Liberal Democrats down slightly. A swing of 11% from Labour to the

Scottish National Party. We can catch up on all developments so far

in this remarkable election. A good night for the Scottish National

Party so far. Reflected in the Smailes of the leader, Nicola

Sturgeon, arriving at the school cant.

We can see the Conservative leader arriving in Edinburgh. They have

also enjoyed a good night. Ian Gilly held onto his seat in East Lothian.

It was Labour's first victory of the night. For the Liberal Democrats,

success in Edinburgh Western, which they won from the SNP. In percentage

terms so far, in the constituency vote, the Conservatives are up

nearly 8% and Labour down by 8%. The is small marginal entries for the

Scottish National Party. There has also been an increased term note. We

can now go to Motherwell. Clear Adamson, Scottish National

Party, 15,000. Yvonne Finglas, Scottish Liberal

Democrats, 761. Megan Gallagher, Scottish Conservatives, 3991. John

Pentland, Scottish Labour Party, 9068. The number of rejected papers,

133. ID clear that clear Adamson is duly elected to serve in the

Scottish Parliament for this constituency. The Scottish National

Party have taken Motherwell and Wishaw, the former seat of the First

Minister, Jack McConnell. It is a gain for the SNP from Labour. John

Pentland coming in second place. 6000 votes before. The Conservatives

third. The Liberal Democrats in fourth place. The term note 51%.

The SNP share up 11%. The Labour Party down 15%, the Conservatives up

7% and the Liberal Democrats up 1%. The swing, 12% from Labour to the

SNP. The SNP gaining Motherwell and Wishaw from the Labour Party. C from

David Henderson. He is looking at the results so far. We have from the

leader of the Liberal Democrats Willie Rennie saying he has had the

time of his life during this campaign. It has been a good night

for his Party. We can look at his constituency. In the last

Parliament, he got this seat through the regional vote. He got 44% of the

vote. The share of the vote up 15% this

time, with all the other parties down. A swing from the SNP to the

Liberal Democrats of 9%. Is that the leadership effect? Possibly. No to

the northern Isles. Actually, we will go to Edinburgh East, really is

a declaration. Scottish Liberal Democrats, 1264.

Kezia Dugdale, 11,000, 673. notice that Ash Denham is elected.

The is the new member of the Scottish parliament. She has beat in

the Labour leader, Kezia Dugdale. The turnout is 56%. Compared to

2011, no change in the SNP vote, but Labour down seven. The party leader

contesting that seat. The Conservative vote up by eight

percentage votes. The Lib Dem vote down slightly.

The SNP are holding with their new MSP in Ash Denham.

We were talking about the leadership factor in North East Fife, but

actually the Liberal Democrats did better in Edinburgh West. That is a

very good result for the SNP. That is a seat or the use to weigh the

Labour vote. A phrase which will perhaps need to be expunged from the

Scottish political vocabulary, Labour heartlands, there are not any

any more. Nicola McEwing? It is a really interesting results so far.

Labour and the Conservatives are just about tied, Labour slightly

ahead. The Conservatives are just about tied, Labour slightly

expected to do quite well in a few. We back at the beginning, we must

wait on the regional list vote to understand how the share of forts

will be spread across Parliament. Surmise you up -- some idea of how

the list vote is going? Counting up the regional wistful within

constituencies, Tartu in Dundee which put Labour down. If that was

the part in, across the country, that would suggest that the Labour

Party would still be second. Dundee is probably not typical.

Thank you. Let's bring in our politicians on the other side of our

panel. Obviously a good result for the SNP in Edinburgh Easter in. A

new MSP replacing Kenny MacAskill. I am sure that she will do very well.

There are number of SNP candidates, Ben Macpherson, young advocate, they

will make their mark in the parliament. We are fighting

basically 73 constituencies to win. Other parties can concentrate their

resources to when to three constituencies, and all credit to

them, they deserve to win if they do it well. If you're fighting in every

single seat, then off fiercely you can get things like the game in

Edinburgh East at the loss in Edinburgh all West. If you cannot

win with your leader standing, then you do have problems.

The total number of boats pulled for each candidate was as follows.

Richard John Brodie, Scottish Liberal Democrats, 1267. Joan

McAlpine, Scottish National Party, 12,000 306. Oliver Mundell, Scottish

Conservative and Unionist Party, 13500 and 36. Elaine Murray,

Scottish Labour Party, 9151. I hereby declare...

That Oliver Mundell has been Julie elected to serve as the member of

That Oliver Mundell has been Julie the Scottish Parliament for the

Dumfriesshire County constituency. That is a big win for the

Conservatives and Dumfriesshire. They have taken that seat from

Labour. It was the safest seat in the country, but the person who has

represented that constituency, its predecessors since 1999, Elaine

Murray, down into third place. And the Scottish Secretary David

Mandel's son, Oliver, has been elected. The SNP's Joan McAlpine is

second with 12,000 306. -- 12306. The turnout in Dumfriesshire, 60%.

The Conservatives are taking 37% of the vote. The Conservatives are up

eight, the SNP are up eight, Labour are down 14. Here is the swing in

Dumfriesshire, and 11% swing from the SNP to the Conservatives. That

does not seem to be quite right. Because the Conservatives have

obviously gained that constituency from Labour. We might need to do

some work on that. Edinburgh Central. Sarah Boyack,

Scottish Labour Party, 7546 votes. Ruth Davidson, Scottish Conservative

and Unionist, 10,399 votes. Alison Dickie, SNP, 9799 votes.

Alison Johnstone, Scottish Green Party, 4644 votes. And Tom Laird,

Scottish Libertarian party, 100 19 votes. -- 119 votes. Therefore Ruth

Davidson is Julie elected as member of the Scottish Parliament for the

Central Edinburgh constituency. If you were in any doubt before, you

should not be now. The Conservatives are back and their leader, Ruth

Davidson, has just been elected in Edinburgh Central, winning that seat

from the SNP. The Conservatives with 10,399 votes. Alison Dickie

finishing second. Thank you to the staff who have

conducted the count and the police, who have taken the role very

seriously. I would like to thank my fellow candidates for the regress

campaign which has been conducted in the rate manner. One thing we are

learning as the night goes on is that there are people right across

Scotland sending the SNP message. Their voices and the decision that

we made as a country will not be ignored. Nowhere is that more

evident than in Edinburgh Central, where we were coming from forward

position. It has been a tremendous fight in Edinburgh Central. I would

like to thank my agent, James Tweedy, who is also my organiser

right across Edinburgh. He is one of the finest and most hard-working

people I have ever had the great joy to know within the Scottish

Conservative Party. I would like to thank my national team and my

Conservative Party. I would like to colleagues across Edinburgh. We will

have a better idea later tonight just how well or otherwise we as a

party have done. I cannot thank those who have helped me and my

fellow candidates enough. If I am by any small measure elected to be the

main opposition party, I promise that I will serve the very best of

my ability, it is a role that I take very seriously. This is the seat

that I was born in, the seat I was educated at university in, and the

seat that I live and work in. It is the seat but I hope to serve for

many years to come. Thank you very much.

That is one of the big moments of the night so far. Ruth Davidson

That is one of the big moments of collected in Edinburgh Central. We

have had a result from Glasgow from the polyp in section C, or the

farmer Labour Leader Johann Lamont was defending a challenge from Humza

Yousaf. -- Pollock. Johann Lamont, 8834. Ian Leech,

Scottish tree nest and Socialist coalition, 535. Scottish Lib Dems,

585. Humza Yousaf, SNP, 15,000. I coalition, 535. Scottish Lib Dems,

declare that Humza Yousaf is elected to serve the Scottish Parliament as

a member for the Glasgow Pollok constituency.

That is a big win for the SNP. The Europe minister, Humza Yousaf. Humza

Yousaf elected with 15,316 vote. Johann Lamont the second.

The turnout was 46%. Let's go to Aberdeenshire West for the result

beer. I hereby give notice that the total

number of votes cast for each candidate was as follows.

Alexander Burnett, 13400 votes. Sarah Duncan, Scottish Labour Party,

2036 votes. Dennis Robertson, Scottish National Party, 12500

votes. Mike Rumbles, Scottish Liberal Democrats, 76 to votes.

Total rejected votes was 83. Alexander Burnett is collected serve

for the Scottish Conservative and Unionist Party.

That is another Conservative gain in Aberdeenshire West. They have picked

that up from the SNP. They are beating the SNP's Dennis Robertson.

147 to two. -- 14700 and 22. Scottish Conservative and Unionist

Party, 4752. Scottish Labour Party, 9864. The total number of ballot

papers rejected was 129. And the total number of votes was 29,000

810. Therefore, it clear Tom Arthur is Julie elected as the member of

the Scottish Parliament for the Renfrewshire South stitch and see.

the Scottish Parliament for the Edinburgh Pentland. Scottish Liberal

Democrats, 1636 votes. Scottish Labour Party, 7811 votes. Gordon

Lindhurst, Scottish Conservative and Unionist, 10,725 votes. Gordon

MacDonald, SNP, 13,181 votes. We will go to Maryhill and

Springburn in Glasgow. 2535. Scottish National Party, 13109.

Patricia Ferguson, Scottish Labour Party, seven five 07. James Wallace,

Scottish Liberal Democrats, 691. ID clear that Bob Lorenz is elected to

serve in the Scottish parliament. He did not do it last time, but he has

this time. Bob Doris Winning. Defeating Patricia Ferguson. John

Anderson for the Conservatives in thought and James Harrison for the

Liberal Democrats in fourth. The term note law than in many other

places, 44%. The SNP with 56% of the vote. Compared to five years ago,

the SNP up 14%, Labour down 16%, the Conservatives up 4% in the Liberal

Democrats down 1%. A quick look at the swing. 15% swing from Labour to

the Scottish National Party. Again for the SNP from Glasgow. A flurry

of results the. We can bring in our political panel. Your reaction to

that. Can I just see a bit about the loss of Dennis Robertson. He has

conducted himself as a member of the Scottish Parliament and been

extremely effective as a member of the Scottish parliament. He will

genuinely be a big loss to the parliament. For the results that

have gone against people, that is them man I feel is most unjust. We

had the result from Glasgow. It looks like Labour is losing all its

constituencies in Glasgow. We are seeing much smaller swings against

Labour and we did in the Westminster election. But it will be interesting

to see how the List results stack up. And we have seen a lot of local

constituencies, where local issues have played. I think we will see in

Edinburgh South and Dumbarton, I believe there is a recount going on.

Local issues may carry people through tonight. I think we need to

see the List results. But there could be a situation where the

Conservative Party push Labour into third. It is still too early to

tell. We will see the sheep of the Parliament tomorrow morning. It

looks like the Scottish National Party will need to pick up seats in

the List to get the overall majority. That becomes a lot harder.

As I said that the very start, you cannot compare swings from the

general election from really Scottish National Party were coming

from 20%. I know when you're having a difficult night, you can see

strange things, but that is very strange. I think we can be

reasonably confident a majority. I think it augurs well for the List.

Scottish National Party. Charles Dundas, Scottish Liberal Democrats,

1000. Newell Findlay Scottish Labour Party, 10,000 and 82. Stephanie

Smith, Scottish Conservative and Unionist Party, 5308. ID clear that

Constance is duly elected as member of the Scottish Parliament for the

constituency. The Education Secretary Angela Constance. Almond

Valley. The Scottish National Party hold. Newell Findlay was the big

challenge of the for the Labour Party. Stephanie Smith for the

Conservatives insert and Charles Dundas in fourth place for the

Liberal Democrats. The term note 54%. Turnout --. We believe that

result to speak to one of the winners from tonight. We can go to

Edinburgh to speak to Alex Hamilton, elected for Edinburgh West.

Congratulations. What made the difference? A number of factors.

Basically, there was a message from the Liberal Democrats about using

income tax for education. But also the Liberal Democrats about using

the grassroots services that people in Edinburgh West Durham have been

used to for many years. We have reconnected with the constituents.

We have rediscovered our political writs on the doorstep and people

We have rediscovered our political have been understanding that we are

interested in public service and community service and people of

connected with that. Following the election last year and SNP member

was elected and then stood down when there was questions about her

financial dealings. We are going to leave at the, because we have

another Glasgow result. James Dornan, Scottish National Party,

16,000. Scottish Labour Party, 6810. Brian Smith, Scottish Trade Unionist

and Socialist Coalition, 909. Kyle Thornton, Scottish Conservative and

Unionist Party, 4514. ID clear that James Dornan is elected to serve in

Unionist Party, 4514. ID clear that the Scottish parliament as the

member of the constituency. The SNP haunt Glasgow Cathcart. James Dorman

re-elected the. The SNP close to taking all of the seats in Glasgow.

I think we still have Glasgow Kelvin to come. It certainly seems the SNP

are on course to take all of the seats in Glasgow. When you think of

the history of the city, it is quite an extraordinary result. Going back

to the point I made earlier, if the Westminster seat went to the

Scottish National Party. We lost every seat but one to them. But this

is a different election. It every seat but one to them. But this

we knew it would be a challenging time for the Labour Party. It was

always going to be challenging. time for the Labour Party. It was

can go to Edinburgh. We can speak to the leader of the Scottish

Conservative Party, Ruth Davidson. She has a big smile. Congratulations

on winning the seat and the other games your Party are making to need.

Do you think you will be the leader of the main opposition Party for

over the next five years. I said yesterday I thought we had edged

ahead. There is a whole lot of results to come in. C how the List

results pan out. But it is looking like a good night for the Scottish

Conservatives. It must feel good. As I said in my acceptance speech, it

is indicative of how people can change and make a really considered

choice. This is a seat really Conservatives were fourth in five

years ago. I am not under any of your vision is that everyone who

voted for me is the true blue conservative. They want us to do a

very specific job. It is a job we take exceptionally serious. We need

to haul the SNP to account. It is a job we can do. We are hearing some

news from Dumbarton. We will take the result from there. Jackie

Baillie, Scottish Labour Party 135 to two. 13,000 500. Scottish

Conservative Party, 4891. Elaine Martin, Scottish Liberal Democrats,

1131. Angela Milner, independent, 631. Gill Robertson, -- Gill

Robertson, 13,000. The total number of forts

canst the number of ballot papers rejected was 100 and 52. ID clear

that the member elected is Jackie Baillie. Jackie Baillie has healed

the Dunbartonshire constituency. Gail Robertson defeating of the

Scottish National Party. Remember, the voted yes in the referendum. The

Conservative Party thought. The Liberal Democrats in fourth place

and the independent in fifth. It might of 61%. Labour holding

Dumbarton. Can the take Edinburgh Southern? We will bring you that in

just a moment. You can see the sheer of the vote. Neck and neck between

Labour and the Scottish National Party. Labour ageing it. We can now

get that result in Edinburgh. The total number of votes was as

follows. Scottish Conservative and Unionist, 9972 votes. Scottish

National Party, 12474 votes. Scottish Labour party, 13597 votes.

That is the Edinburgh Southern results, Labour gaining that seat

from the SNP. That is the only Labour gain from the SNP so far this

evening, Labour's Daniel Johnson, collected with 13597. Here is the

Glasgow Kelvin result. I hereby give notice that the total

number of votes polled for each candidate was as follows.

Carole Ford, Scottish Lib Dems, 1050. Patrick Harvie, Scottish Green

Party, 6916. Scottish Conservative and Unionist Party, 3346. Tom

Muirhead, independent, 198. Michael Shanks, Scottish Labour, 5968.

Sandra White, Scottish National Party, 10964. I'd clear Sandra White

is elected to serve in the Scottish Parliament as the member of lads go

Kelvin constituency -- Glasgow Kelvin.

Sandra White has been re-elected as the SNP MSP for that constituency.

But look at the patter non-your screen. The second place goes to a

Green candidate. Patrick Harvie, co-convenor of the party, finishing

in second place. In one of only three constituencies where the

Greens are fielding candidates in this election. Sandra White

Greens are fielding candidates in Patrick Harvie in second place. That

may be an indication that the party is set to do well on the list vote.

Labour's Michael Shanks is third. Aberdeen Central. Total votes cast,

26841. Turnout, 51%. I hereby give notice that the total number of

votes pulled for each candidate at the election was as follows. Lewis

Macdonald, Scottish Labour, seven to 99. -- 7299. Conservatives, 7299.

Lib Dems, 1735. SNP, 11600. The following candidate is elected

to serve for the Aberdeen Central constituency, Kevin Stewart.

So in Aberdeen, in the Central constituency, the SNP have held.

Kevin Stewart Israel elected with 11648. -- is re-elected.

Compared to last time, the SNP are up for votes, Bluebird on ten votes.

-- Labour are down ten votes. Kevin Stewart holding that seat for the

Scottish National Party. Let's take a look at the picture overall at

this stage. Results coming thick and fast now. The SNP now have 49

constituency seat in the Scottish Parliament. The Conservatives have

five, that is up four. The Lib Dems have four, that is up two seats. And

the Greens, who will be relying on the list for the MS P

representation, have yet to get on the scoreboard. Let's bring in

Nicola McKeown at this stage. Observations? There is a really

interesting polarisation of the boat around the constitutional question

that we are seeing in this election as well as in the previous one. The

Conservative Party were very successful in occupying the ground

of the defence of the union, of unequivocably being the party to

defend the union. That has brought short-term Games, -- gains, but it

presents longer-term challenges. Ruth Davidson was indicating that

people who traditionally support parties like Labour have almost lent

the Tories supported the selection. Yes, and squeezed them out of it.

There are patterns emerging in the SNP vote as well. There appears to

be a clear link between the size of the vote for Yes in the referendum

and the share of the vote for the SNP. Where it is up on average

Israeli tended to do quite well in terms of the Yes vote. This year has

gone down slightly, where there was a No vote.

There is a correlation between where the SNP was before. It is difficult

under these circumstances to get people out to vote when you are shoe

in to win the seat. If you take Ruth Davidson's vote, she was saying it

was a victory on the constitution. But if you book at the result, it is

the intervention of a Green candidate, and her large vote that

affected the result. Glasgow south side. An important

result. I hereby give notice that the total

number of votes pulled for each candidate was as follows. Graham

Hutchison, Scottish Conservative and Unionist Party, 3100. Kevin Lewsey,

Scottish Liberal Democrats, eight to two. Nicola Sturgeon. Scottish

National Party, 15 287. Scottish Labour Party, 5694. I'd clear that

Nicola Sturgeon is elected to serve in the Scottish Parliament as the

member for the Glasgow south side constituency.

May I begin by thanking the returning officer and all of her

staff are the very efficient conduct of the day's collection and this

evening's count. May I also thank my fellow candidates for a friendly and

civilised campaign. I want to thank in particular my awesome campaign

team led by the even more awesome marry Hunter, my election agent. All

campaign teams of all parties in all constituencies do a tremendous job

and work incredibly hard. But the campaign team are the party leader

who spends much of her time visiting other constituencies in other parts

of the country carry a particular responsibility. My campaign team has

been absolutely outstanding. I owe them an enormous debt of gratitude,

you will know who you are. Thank you from the bottom of my heart. I want