Part Two Election 2017


Part Two

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people around him I think organisationally, pretty weak. What

:00:00.:00:00.

is going to happen to Brexit now? Theresa May called this election in

:00:00.:00:08.

order to pursue the kind of Brexit you wanted and it doesn't look as

:00:09.:00:12.

though she'll get the majority she wanted? What a huge error, to pick a

:00:13.:00:18.

remainor to lead a Brexit negotiation. Massive mistake. I

:00:19.:00:23.

think if we do get a Corbyn coalition, then Brexit is in some

:00:24.:00:26.

trouble. And if Brexit is in some trouble,

:00:27.:00:31.

will you come back into active politics and fight for what was

:00:32.:00:36.

voted for only last summer? I would have absolutely no choice but to do

:00:37.:00:40.

exactly that. That is interesting. We have to go.

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We may be able to come back to you. But we have a result.

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I here by give notice that the total number of votes given for each

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candidate at the election is as follows:

:00:55.:01:07.

Independent, 1,234. Green Party, 866. Liberal Democrats, 4,401.

:01:08.:01:39.

Labour Party, 25... APPLAUSE

:01:40.:01:55.

25,292. Conservative Party, 22... CHEERING

:01:56.:02:14.

22,876. The Socialist Party of Great Britain, 32. UK Independence Party,

:02:15.:02:36.

357. So Jane Ellison is defeated in Battersea. Labour takes Battersea.

:02:37.:02:40.

And the swing in Battersea, let's see what that is. 46% and a swing of

:02:41.:02:47.

10% from Conservative to Labour in an area that's almost 80% in favour

:02:48.:02:54.

of Remain. Just under 80% in favour of Remain. I want to go back to

:02:55.:02:59.

Nigel Farage, who we interrupted for that result. The last thing you said

:03:00.:03:03.

was tantalising. You said you'd have to come back into active politics,

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that's what you plan, is it? It's not what I plan. It's not what I

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want. I was thrilled to lead Ukip to pressure Cameron into offering the

:03:13.:03:16.

referendum, into working in that referendum campaign and into

:03:17.:03:18.

winning. We've triggered Article 50. I thought it was all done. Mrs May

:03:19.:03:23.

went for the big majority. She was found out, I think in this campaign.

:03:24.:03:28.

What's remarkable about Corbyn's achievement is he's getting

:03:29.:03:32.

Remainers in London voters for him. But he's getting Ukip voters around

:03:33.:03:35.

the rest of the country voting for him too. Of course, he's not going

:03:36.:03:39.

to be able to form a Government on his own, if it works out that way.

:03:40.:03:43.

If we get a coalition with him and the SNP and whoever else, then we

:03:44.:03:48.

may well be looking down the barrel of a second referendum. Is the whole

:03:49.:03:55.

Brexit campaign, the Brexit decision, is it all in jeopardy now,

:03:56.:03:59.

is the time table - does it mean anything any more? Well, let's see.

:04:00.:04:07.

There's a long way to go. But I do think this: Let's say the other

:04:08.:04:11.

result happens. Let's say May scrapes through with a small

:04:12.:04:16.

majority or forms a minority government I don't know, I'm not

:04:17.:04:19.

sure her credibility will be strong in Brussels. I think yes, the time

:04:20.:04:23.

table, whatever happens here, is likely to get pushed back. How

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confident are you that there'll still be what's called a hard Brexit

:04:28.:04:31.

thaw wanted and that you think you won a year ago? I was always a bit

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suspicious with Mrs May as to whether we get. It she was asked in

:04:38.:04:42.

the campaign repeatedly, having backed Remain did she now believe in

:04:43.:04:46.

Brexit, not once did she say yes. She just said she was carrying out

:04:47.:04:51.

the will of the people. This may prove to be unfinished business.

:04:52.:04:57.

Vicar of bray you think she is. I do, very much so. Yes, and in the

:04:58.:05:03.

end, I think, when Corbyn said that they would end free movement, when

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Corbyn said that under Labour we would leave, I think he kind of

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boxed off Brexit as an issue for Ukip voters, many of whom did not

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see the party as being relevant in this campaign. And ultimately the

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shock we're seeing here tonight is all about personality. Ukip voters

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want somebody they think is speaking for them. They want somebody who is

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for change and what Theresa May tried to do is try to be the

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establishment figure. Corbyn I thought through the campaign looked

:05:35.:05:38.

comfortable in his skin. He appeared to be enjoying trchlt the Prime

:05:39.:05:43.

Minister came -- the Prime Minister came across as insincere and Frankly

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robotic. An Dumar has a question for you -- Andrew Marr has a question

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for you. Do you think those very pro-Brexit, strong Brexit MPs in the

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Tory Party will try to remove Theresa May as Prime Minister? Yes.

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I also think - actually Andrew, I think on both sides of the debate

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within the Conservative Party the Prime Minister's credibility as

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leader of that party is fatally damaged. Thank you very much. Let's

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rejoin Emily. We have got another result. Another gain for Labour.

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From the Conservatives. This is their fourth gain of the night.

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Labour have yet to lose a seat but it's early days. You can see

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Stockton south puts Paul Williams in as the new MP for Labour here on 48%

:06:28.:06:33.

share of the vote. You can see what has helped that along, as Mr Farage

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was saying, Labour has picked up a lot of their vote. The Conservative

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share hasn't moved at all. The swing here It's pretty solid from

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Conservative to Labour. This was number 47 on the Labour target list.

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They were hoping it would be competitive here. An outside chance

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and they've picked tup. What I want to show you, because I've been

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referring to this at intervals through the night so far is how our

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exit poll compares to the results in so far. At one point it looked as if

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we might have to recalibrate because the Conservatives were much lower

:07:12.:07:14.

down on the exit poll than they were in real results. Now you can see

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based on the results so far, just under 50 results so far, you can

:07:19.:07:24.

actually see what's happened. The exit poll and the results so far are

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showing much more similar pictures now. Ukip down in both 12%. The SNP

:07:28.:07:34.

down 11 here. A bit further in real life and you can see what's happened

:07:35.:07:40.

more or less the Conservative and Labour votes evening out and proving

:07:41.:07:45.

the exit poll right so far. This is the result we've had in the last few

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moments. Ealing central and Acton held by Labour. An important seat

:07:50.:07:54.

this. The Greens stood aside to help Labour. Certainly she's on a

:07:55.:07:58.

whopping 60% share of the vote now. It was number two on the

:07:59.:08:02.

Conservative target list. But it looks as if Labour's having quite a

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good night in London, so far. Conservatives down eight. Labour up

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16%. They didn't need a very big swing to take this one. But you can

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see what's happened. It's gone massively towards Labour. A bit like

:08:16.:08:23.

that seat Putney, earlier, where Justine Greening held on. You're

:08:24.:08:27.

seeing big swings to Labour. The direction of travel certainly

:08:28.:08:30.

favours Labour in London so far tonight.

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If the exit poll is proving right, that has the Conservatives short of

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an overall majority. Boris Johnson, who has a vested interest in all

:08:40.:08:43.

this, of course, the Foreign Secretary, talking about the odds of

:08:44.:08:48.

his becoming Prime Minister have fall ton 5-1. He is -- fallen to

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5-1. Whether he's being asked questions or not I do not know. ...

:08:53.:08:58.

Contain themselves until they see - hello, how are you? Do you still

:08:59.:09:03.

want to be leader of your party, Boris? Yeah well, quite sensibly not

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answering any of that. Kirsty bring us up to date on what's going on in

:09:12.:09:22.

Scotland. Well, we are about to get our first Glasgow seat. The SNP

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seems to have held on by their finger nails, possibly with a

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majority of less than 100. Glasgow central, a swing to the SNP two

:09:31.:09:35.

years ago, that too may be in jeopardy. That's extraordinary

:09:36.:09:40.

because the council has just lost, the Labour council, has just lost to

:09:41.:09:43.

the SNP just a matter of months ago. Big change in Glasgow. Swings to

:09:44.:09:47.

Labour. We don't know yet whether or not Glasgow central will go to

:09:48.:09:51.

Labour. There's no doubt the SNP majority are going to be smashed.

:09:52.:09:56.

After that Angus vote, that result, there is this tantalising result,

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that if the exit poll was a little out, it could be the new

:10:01.:10:05.

Conservative MPs in Scotland which give Theresa May a slender majority.

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That would be extraordinary. Very much indeed. Well now we are at

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2. 10am. Our exit poll which we gave at 10pm has not been changed yet in

:10:19.:10:22.

the results we've had in. We've had 100 declared. We haven't yet gone

:10:23.:10:26.

from the exit poll to what we call a forecast, which is when the results

:10:27.:10:31.

that come in modify the exit poll. We're still saying Conservatives the

:10:32.:10:39.

largest party on 314. Labour on 266. The SNP on 34. The Liberal Democrats

:10:40.:10:48.

on 14. And Plaid Cymru on 3. The Greens on one. That's what we're

:10:49.:10:57.

holding for the moment. We're ten minutes late with our news on the

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hour, because so much is happening here in the election centre at the

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BBC. But let's now have our news. With more than 90 seats counted in

:11:03.:11:16.

the general election, Labour have gained three seats, one from the

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SNP? Scotland and three from the Tories.

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Labour have gained two seats - one from the SNP in Scotland and one

:11:22.:11:24.

An exit poll for the BBC, ITV, and Sky has predicted the Tories

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will be the biggest party - but that they won't win

:11:30.:11:31.

It says they will have lost 17 seats, while Labour

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The night began with a big projection, the exit poll.

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But remember, it's still just a forecast.

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It has the Conservatives as the largest party but short

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Labour have held Wrexham, an area Theresa May visited several times

:11:48.:12:00.

during the campaign. They held on in Darlington too, where only a

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marginal swing to the Tories was nothing like the kind of shift they

:12:04.:12:11.

need to fulfil Mrs May's hope of a big majority.

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The SNP could be on course to lose a number of seats. Just look at the

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mood in Hastings, hardly beaming confidence where the Home Secretary

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is defending her seat. I'm just quietly waiting and keeping on eye

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on everybody and everything. For some in Labour it's already a much

:12:28.:12:31.

better night than they'd hoped. Theresa May's authority has been

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undermined by this election. She is a damaged Prime Minister whose

:12:38.:12:41.

reputation may never recover. The exit poll suggests the Tories would

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have 314 seats, These exit polls have

:12:44.:12:45.

been wrong in the past. I think in 2015 they

:12:46.:12:55.

underestimated our vote. In a couple of elections before

:12:56.:12:58.

that, they overestimated our vote. It's the real votes that count

:12:59.:13:07.

though. There's the traditional race to see which constituency could

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declare first. But two other seats won by Labour in north-east England

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show the Tories have done better than the exit poll might have

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suggested. The festival of democracy has been on full show. Watch out for

:13:20.:13:23.

some upsets through the night. At least one minister's seat could be

:13:24.:13:26.

in question and Ukip's vote appears to be collapsing in places. Jeremy

:13:27.:13:33.

Corbyn arrived home in his North London constituency. If the exit

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poll is correct, a big if, he will have confounded the expectations of

:13:38.:13:43.

even some of his own MPs. While Theresa May's gamble to win big in a

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snap election will have failed. The truth, inside those ballot

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boxes, is still to be fully revealed.

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With the news of the exit poll, the pound has been falling

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against other currencies - including the dollar and the euro.

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Let's get the latest reaction now from Sharanjit Leyl in Singapore.

:14:03.:14:07.

That's right. The most immediate reaction in the markets as you say

:14:08.:14:14.

has been from the British pound falling nearly 2% against the US

:14:15.:14:17.

dollar after the exit poll suggested the Conservative Party could lose

:14:18.:14:21.

its Parliamentary majority. It had recovered a little bit on some

:14:22.:14:25.

evidence that the exit poll may not have been entirely accurate when we

:14:26.:14:29.

saw the first results come in. I've been speaking to analysts and they

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say it's likely the pound will continue falling through the day. A

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hung Parliament being the worst case scenario for the pound, given the

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political uncertainty it brings, because it complicates Brexit talks

:14:41.:14:45.

even further. Uncertainty is something markets and investors

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don't like. Having said all that, though, most Asian markets that have

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opened are higher but only just. Welcome back to our Election Centre.

:14:53.:15:25.

We are not yet doing it, but we are about I think to slightly increase

:15:26.:15:32.

but not by very much, the forecast for the Conservative seats. It's

:15:33.:15:36.

still going to be short of an overall majority. We'll get the

:15:37.:15:40.

figures in a moment. Laura? This seems to be being borne out in Tory

:15:41.:15:45.

headquarters. Ministers now do not expect to outperform the exit poll.

:15:46.:15:50.

That means privately, as we speak, there is acceptance and discussion

:15:51.:15:53.

of the fact that senior Tories do not now expect to have an overall

:15:54.:15:58.

majority. That means if of course by the morning that remains the same,

:15:59.:16:05.

Theresa May's roll of the dice looks to be one to have biggest political

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mistakes we may have seen for some time. Jeremy Corbyn smiling in his

:16:12.:16:16.

constituency. Like a Cheshire cat. He was elected by Labour Micks to

:16:17.:16:21.

the -- Labour members to the establishment. The Labour ministers

:16:22.:16:25.

tried to get rid of him, he was re-elected twice and now he looks to

:16:26.:16:29.

have achieved one of the biggest political upsets in many, many

:16:30.:16:33.

years. He's relished this campaign. You have seen day-by-day he's looked

:16:34.:16:37.

more confident as if he's enjoyed it more and more, and he has, from the

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time when he took on the Labour Leadership, believed that if given

:16:43.:16:45.

the chance, he could begin to put together a sort of coalition of

:16:46.:16:49.

young people of former Greens, people who'd moved away from the

:16:50.:16:55.

Labour Party in the late 2000s and that might possibly be some way

:16:56.:17:00.

towards getting Labour into power. Even 24 hours ago, even today,

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nobody in the Labour Party would predict this kind of result. Both

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the main parties got their numbers wrong if this is right. So what

:17:10.:17:16.

happens in your experience, at Westminster if Theresa May goes back

:17:17.:17:19.

without an overall majority in the House of Commons? I think the idea

:17:20.:17:22.

that the Tories would somehow give up on trying to hold on to power is

:17:23.:17:27.

for the birds. I think if she manages internally to stay on,

:17:28.:17:31.

she'll try to put together a Government with, the technical

:17:32.:17:36.

process is they'd put forward a Queen's Speech and get the others to

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vote them down. Here is another result.

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Angus Robertson, Scottish National Party, SNP, 18,478. Douglas Ross,

:17:52.:18:07.

Scottish Conservative and unionist, 22,

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CHEERING AND APPLAUSE. The Conservatives take that seat.

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Angus Robertson asking two questions on behalf of the SNP is out of the

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House and Douglases have there for the Conservatives. This is

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significant because the SNP have been the third biggest party in

:18:28.:18:30.

Westminster. So this is the equivalent of the Westminster leader

:18:31.:18:34.

of the Lib Dems losing at a different kind of election. The

:18:35.:18:39.

Tories pour huge resources into this, it seems to have paid off.

:18:40.:18:45.

There's the result. A majority for the Conservatives of just over

:18:46.:18:49.

4,000, taken from the SNP, the share of the vote 48% for the

:18:50.:18:54.

Conservatives, 39% for the SNP, 11% for Labour. We can see those figures

:18:55.:19:01.

there. Apparently we can't... I was going to show you them. 48%

:19:02.:19:12.

Conservative, 39 SNP, 11% Labour, 2% Lib Dems. There is the change. It's

:19:13.:19:18.

a swing from the SNP to the Conservatives of 14%.

:19:19.:19:24.

Angus Robertson, leader of the SNP in Westminster is out. The

:19:25.:19:29.

Conservatives take the seat. We have now had 122 declarations in and so

:19:30.:19:37.

far Labour are up 5, Conservatives down 2, the SNP are down 3. That is

:19:38.:19:41.

how we stand at the moment. We were talking about what is going

:19:42.:19:45.

to happen and perhaps we should just talk about that. We have just been

:19:46.:19:49.

rejoined by Peter Kellner, our election expert. Everybody around

:19:50.:19:53.

this table ought to be an expert by now, but what do you think? Plenty

:19:54.:19:59.

of practise recently. The SNP are down almost everywhere. We have had

:20:00.:20:04.

a result from Scotland, by about 15 or 16, they'll end up on the current

:20:05.:20:08.

form with about 35% of the vote, they'll be the largest party. They

:20:09.:20:12.

may have a majority of seats but Fuad together the votes from the

:20:13.:20:17.

Unionist Parties, Conservative, Labour, Liberal Democrats, they will

:20:18.:20:22.

be almost outnumber votes of the SNP by almost 2-1. What do you deduce

:20:23.:20:27.

from that? This skills Scottish independence. Do you think voters

:20:28.:20:31.

were voting on the independence referendum? I think the SNP mandate

:20:32.:20:41.

to have a referendum, they still have a majority in the Scottish

:20:42.:20:44.

Parliament. They'll be the biggest party at Westminster of Scotland.

:20:45.:20:48.

The votes tell a story that I think independence... I'm hearing that

:20:49.:20:52.

Labour are also expecting to take Glasgow North East and wit question,

:20:53.:20:56.

the metaphorical question on the ballot paper in Scotland was about

:20:57.:20:59.

whether or not people wanted a second referendum, it was a

:21:00.:21:02.

different question being asked to in other parts of the country. We have

:21:03.:21:10.

a declaration coming from Greatkm Grimsby. Let us hear this. Liberal

:21:11.:21:29.

Democrat, 954. The Conservative Party candidate, 14,980. Ukip,

:21:30.:21:54.

1,648. Independent, 394. Labour Party, 17,545.

:21:55.:22:04.

APPLAUSE. So, there is the result from Great

:22:05.:22:12.

glimpse biwhich was nearly 50th in the Conservative hoped for. Labour

:22:13.:22:18.

held on to it. Majority of 2,565. Let us see what the change and swing

:22:19.:22:25.

was, 49% for Labour, it was up 1%, Conservative vote up 16%. Ukip vote

:22:26.:22:32.

down 20%. The swing, Labour to Conservative, just over 3%. This is

:22:33.:22:37.

another kind of the seats where the Tory state was they hoped to

:22:38.:22:40.

replicate everywhere, that the Ukip vote they expected was swinging

:22:41.:22:44.

across to them. That hasn't happened here. The numbers showed a huge drop

:22:45.:22:49.

in the Ukip vote. Clearly, lots of those voters went back to Labour

:22:50.:22:52.

rather than going across to the Tories. We mentioned it briefly

:22:53.:22:56.

earlier that perhaps it was a strategic mistake for the Tories to

:22:57.:23:01.

go very aggressively after that kind of vote rather than trying to... Why

:23:02.:23:05.

do you think that is? You have been travelling around listening to all

:23:06.:23:11.

of the constituents? I think there are a variety of reasons. Partly a

:23:12.:23:18.

misinterpretation of who Ukip voters were, it wasn't Allwright wing,

:23:19.:23:21.

there were plenty of traditional voters but also the Tory campaign's

:23:22.:23:30.

been full of missteps. Theresa May you turning over one of her policies

:23:31.:23:37.

which caused anxiety among older voters, people who are seen as small

:23:38.:23:42.

C Conservative, olders voters were worried about this and we saw the

:23:43.:23:46.

Labour Party cut through over police cuts. The awful terror attacks that

:23:47.:23:53.

have froze the campaign at two different moments, the Labour Party

:23:54.:23:55.

allowed to put together two issues, if you like, they were already

:23:56.:23:59.

campaigning hard on austerity, they put together with the issue of

:24:00.:24:03.

security and we heard that on the doorstep, that coming back, people

:24:04.:24:06.

were concerned about police cuts. I think that's probably one of the

:24:07.:24:09.

issues we have seen here that will have cut through, that took the

:24:10.:24:16.

shine off the Tories at early stages and the early confidence that people

:24:17.:24:19.

had in Theresa May. I said we were going to turn our exit poll into a

:24:20.:24:23.

forecast on the basis of the results we have had in, 137 now. We have

:24:24.:24:29.

still got 500 or so to go. Let us just see here on the facade of the

:24:30.:24:34.

House of Commons what we are now saying. Conservatives on 322, 396

:24:35.:24:44.

would give them an overall majority. Labour on 261, the Conservatives

:24:45.:24:46.

still the largest party. We have a result, Emily? Another

:24:47.:25:10.

Conservative gain in Scotland. A handsome majority of 3,359. This was

:25:11.:25:14.

128 on the target list, it wasn't within any of our sights, so they've

:25:15.:25:18.

done extraordinarily well. Interesting to see not just the SNP

:25:19.:25:22.

falling here but also Labour as well, maybe there's been a tactical

:25:23.:25:27.

vote, a unionist vote towards the Conservatives, they're up 21%. I

:25:28.:25:31.

said earlier we probably wouldn't be a bigger swing than the one we had

:25:32.:25:37.

in Angus, this is another 16% swing from the SNP to the Conservatives

:25:38.:25:41.

which land this one in safe Conservative territory. Tasmina act

:25:42.:25:49.

head-Sheikh in second place, she took it from Labour last time. The

:25:50.:25:53.

North West of England, this is Labour's fifth gain of the night,

:25:54.:26:01.

54% share of the vote, David Nuttall is pushed out, that rebellious

:26:02.:26:08.

Conservative MP is out and James Frith takes his place. 13% increase

:26:09.:26:14.

in the share of the vote there. You can see how handsome that is from

:26:15.:26:20.

the Conservative to Labour. One more that's just come in. Labour having a

:26:21.:26:24.

very good night in Scotland. As are the Conservatives, to be fair. A

:26:25.:26:30.

Labour gain from the SNP there in Midlothian on 36% to 34% share of

:26:31.:26:34.

the vote. Owen Thompson out, Danielle Rowley is in and you can

:26:35.:26:39.

see the drop in the SNP share of the vote, both those parties up. Lib

:26:40.:26:43.

Dems not making much movement here. And the swing there is also of 11%.

:26:44.:26:50.

We saw those ginormous swings of up to 40% towards the SNP last time

:26:51.:26:55.

around and it looks as though Labour and the Conservatives are starting

:26:56.:26:59.

to make some waves of their own north of the border in Scotland with

:27:00.:27:03.

the gains back, suggesting that they are trying to push into the long

:27:04.:27:09.

grass any talk of a second independence referendum. We'll come

:27:10.:27:12.

back to you when we have some more. Thank you very much, Emily. Some

:27:13.:27:16.

more comments from people. We are in an extraordinary situation where

:27:17.:27:20.

Lord Ashcroft, the former Conservative chairman's just put out

:27:21.:27:23.

a message saying: Kevin Maguire has tweeted a similar

:27:24.:27:49.

thing. Ruth Davidson, has sent a message out saying fantastic in

:27:50.:27:53.

Moray. So many, many Tories feeling that what they are doing in Scotland

:27:54.:27:56.

could be the difference between them being in Government and not.

:27:57.:28:01.

And interestingly, the Tories sofar tonight gained three in Scotland and

:28:02.:28:07.

have lost four in England. Exactly. The new forecast, 322 Conservative

:28:08.:28:11.

seats, still short of a majority, but politically, there's a big

:28:12.:28:15.

depinks between the original forecast of 314 on those numbers the

:28:16.:28:19.

Conservatives might well have failed to get a Queen's Speech through

:28:20.:28:23.

Parliament. With 322 if that is the final figure, and it could move

:28:24.:28:27.

either way, then it will be a Conservative Queen's Speech. They

:28:28.:28:31.

may need to butter up the Democratic Unionists in Northern Ireland but

:28:32.:28:36.

there's not an anti-Tory coalition of left and centre-left parties and

:28:37.:28:39.

Scottish Nationals and so on that could combine to defeat the Tories.

:28:40.:28:44.

So humiliated but they would carry on? Yes. Be but humiliated? Yes, but

:28:45.:28:51.

if it moves another few seats up, they could have a majority, another

:28:52.:28:55.

few seats down they may be out. We are in the area of small

:28:56.:28:59.

differences, we'll be up well into the morning because the final few

:29:00.:29:02.

results may determine the politics. I think that's absolutely right on

:29:03.:29:06.

that forecasting. We can be relatively confident that the

:29:07.:29:10.

unionist MPs in Northern Ireland would prop Theresa May up if the

:29:11.:29:13.

numbers are in that kind of zone. The big flaw in that argument is

:29:14.:29:19.

that her own authority would have been so damaged from chucking a ball

:29:20.:29:25.

into the roulette wheel and making such a strategic error. All right,

:29:26.:29:29.

thank you very much. We are going to go to Putney, then I want to talk to

:29:30.:29:33.

Margaret Beckett in Derby about Labour. Let's go to the Education

:29:34.:29:38.

Secretary Justine Greening in Putney. You only just scraped back

:29:39.:29:43.

in Putney, didn't you? Well, I'm delighted to have been

:29:44.:29:48.

re-elected as the MP for Putney, Roehampton and Southfield. It's

:29:49.:29:51.

always a tough battle here in London, that's what we have seen

:29:52.:29:55.

tonight. I think the other factor behind this is very much young

:29:56.:30:00.

people really for the first time in many years finally choosing to use

:30:01.:30:04.

the vote that they've got in the ballot box but yes, I'm delighted to

:30:05.:30:08.

be able to continue to serve my local community. What is it about

:30:09.:30:12.

the Conservative Party that doesn't appeal to young people? I think

:30:13.:30:20.

Labour very much offered young people something that was appealing

:30:21.:30:24.

to them in terms of the obvious policy around tuition fees, the fact

:30:25.:30:29.

that it's unaffordable, the IFS said it had a black hole in a way was not

:30:30.:30:36.

something that particularly necessarily dissuaded them from

:30:37.:30:38.

thinking it was a policy they wanted to vote for. It's early on in the

:30:39.:30:42.

evening and a lot of the seats that declare early now are more urban

:30:43.:30:48.

seats. I think it's worth pointing out that Battersea and Putney are

:30:49.:30:53.

the two seats in our country with the very youngest demographics, so

:30:54.:30:56.

we have particularly seen that perhaps coming through in the votes

:30:57.:30:59.

here. There is a very long way to go in this election through the course

:31:00.:31:00.

of the night. We have made the forecast of 322,

:31:01.:31:12.

short a majority. What's the future of the Tory Party and of Theresa May

:31:13.:31:15.

and the Brexit negotiations if that is the final result? Well, I don't

:31:16.:31:24.

think at this point it's particularly worthwhile getting into

:31:25.:31:28.

speculation. There are huge numbers of results to still come through. As

:31:29.:31:31.

I said at the beginning of this, London is always an incredibly hard

:31:32.:31:35.

fought political environment. Everybody knows that down here who's

:31:36.:31:39.

been out on the doorstep. I'm just delighted that I've been re-elected

:31:40.:31:42.

to represent my own community. It's one that I've represented for 12

:31:43.:31:45.

years. I think it's fantastic that I get the chance to continue to do

:31:46.:31:51.

that. Due expect a majority of 60, 70, 100, for the Conservatives? I

:31:52.:31:58.

think it was very difficult to tell exactly how the election would play

:31:59.:32:01.

out, not least because actually when you look at the polls, national

:32:02.:32:06.

polls, but in practice we all know that perhaps results have never been

:32:07.:32:10.

more regionally driven. Therefore the days that we can really look at

:32:11.:32:15.

a global picture of somehow was going on across the UK and rely on

:32:16.:32:19.

it to give us any kind of an accurate sense of what's really

:32:20.:32:22.

happening on the ground, I think are gone. We saw that in some of the

:32:23.:32:26.

poll that's were reported in the papers, this morning. I've often

:32:27.:32:31.

thought that in 2005, if you'd interviewed a thousand people in my

:32:32.:32:37.

constituency of Putney would you really see the swing that I was

:32:38.:32:41.

about to get to get elected, I don't know. It shows it's exceptionally

:32:42.:32:45.

hard in these political climates to see what's going on on the ground.

:32:46.:32:49.

That's what we're seeing tonight. Does it make sense in those

:32:50.:32:52.

circumstances to say I've concluded the only way to guarantee certainty

:32:53.:32:56.

and stability for the years ahead is to hold this election which I've

:32:57.:32:59.

said over and over again I won't hold. Words of the Prime Minister. I

:33:00.:33:07.

think the Prime Minister was right to recognise that Britain was in a

:33:08.:33:11.

very different place now than we were in 2015 and it was right to go

:33:12.:33:18.

to the country and to ask them the question about what their views

:33:19.:33:22.

were, what people's views were about the direction that they wanted for

:33:23.:33:26.

the future. It may be, what we're seeing in this vote, is that people

:33:27.:33:32.

are still in a debate about what that future direction should be. But

:33:33.:33:37.

it is very, very early days. So I think it's easy to pick on some

:33:38.:33:42.

results in some parts of the country and say that they are going to be

:33:43.:33:46.

massively representative. I suspect you'll continue to see some very

:33:47.:33:52.

locally driven results that will, on occasion, contrast, as we've seen

:33:53.:33:55.

the Conservatives doing very well in Scotland, less well in London and I

:33:56.:33:58.

think we'll have to see how this plays out through the night. Thank

:33:59.:34:03.

you very much. As I said we're joined from Derby now by Margaret

:34:04.:34:08.

Beckett. Good evening. If I'm not mistaken, you were one of the people

:34:09.:34:14.

who gave Jeremy Corbyn your support in the leadership for the Labour

:34:15.:34:17.

Party on the grounds there should be a fair contest and afterwards said

:34:18.:34:21.

you were a complete moron for having done it. Are you still a moron?

:34:22.:34:28.

Somebody else said that, I didn't think it was right to dissent. But

:34:29.:34:34.

yes, I agree that it was a good thing to widen the debate. Then I

:34:35.:34:38.

realised that it might be thought that I was suggesting that people

:34:39.:34:42.

should vote for someone who as Jeremy was, had no experience at all

:34:43.:34:47.

on the frontbench and so I made haste to say I think he should be

:34:48.:34:51.

part of the debate, I don't think he should necessarily be the leader.

:34:52.:34:55.

There you go. What do you make of what's happening? Well, there's no

:34:56.:35:02.

question that I think the two things that I don't think you can dispute

:35:03.:35:07.

about this election campaign, is that Jeremy has performed infinitily

:35:08.:35:11.

better than anybody, probably including Jeremy, ever expected he

:35:12.:35:16.

could. And that Theresa May has performed infinitily worse than

:35:17.:35:22.

anybody expected she could. It's the conventional wisdom but why is it

:35:23.:35:26.

conventional, because sometimes it's also wise, the British people don't

:35:27.:35:30.

tend to like having an election they didn't have to have. What is the

:35:31.:35:38.

consequence going to be if we're seeing a much weakened Prime

:35:39.:35:42.

Minister, a much damaged Conservative Party? At this stage,

:35:43.:35:47.

are you thinking there might be a Jeremy Corbyn Premiership? To be

:35:48.:35:55.

honest, what I'm principally thinking is I'm wondering, fearing I

:35:56.:35:59.

might say, whether I was pressient when we put our stuff away in the

:36:00.:36:04.

garage tonight, I said let's do it carefully, because you never know we

:36:05.:36:09.

might need it again soon. I missed what you said then, I had another

:36:10.:36:16.

voice in my ear. When we put aware our equipment from the car -- away

:36:17.:36:20.

the equipment from the car tonight, I said we better do it carefully

:36:21.:36:25.

because you never know we might need it again soon. It was a joke. I hope

:36:26.:36:29.

it will remain a joke. As far as the future of the Labour Party goes,

:36:30.:36:33.

clearly the people you would recognise as on the left of the

:36:34.:36:38.

party, the part of the party thaw don't occupy, are making the running

:36:39.:36:42.

now. Whether it's Jeremy Corbyn or somebody else, do you think this is

:36:43.:36:45.

the new direction Labour's going to go in? Listen, I have always

:36:46.:36:52.

regarded myself as being either soft left or centre left depending on how

:36:53.:36:56.

you define these terms. Then other people, if I may say so, usually in

:36:57.:37:01.

your profession have moved the goal posts around me. It seems to me I've

:37:02.:37:08.

stayed where I am nearly e all the time -- nearly all the time. How

:37:09.:37:15.

have we moved the goal posts? You say you're not on the left. Yes, I

:37:16.:37:19.

think I am on the left. I still think I am. Margaret Beckett, thank

:37:20.:37:22.

you very much for joining us. We've got two more results in. I just want

:37:23.:37:26.

to show you this one. There's so much churn overnight it seems that

:37:27.:37:30.

the Conservatives are taking seats in Scotland from the SNP and it

:37:31.:37:34.

seems now from the Lib Dems in England. This one is Southport where

:37:35.:37:40.

John Pugh stood down and maybe that helped the Conservatives. We don't

:37:41.:37:45.

know. Damian Moore has taken it. Not only have they taken it, but they

:37:46.:37:48.

have pushed the Lib Dems into third place here. They had this seat

:37:49.:37:52.

before. The Lib Dems are now in third place. Conservatives on 39%

:37:53.:37:56.

share of the vote. I can show you what that change looks like. Gains

:37:57.:38:00.

then for Labour and for the Conservatives. That's at the expense

:38:01.:38:06.

it seems of Ukip and the Lib Dems. This wasn't a particularly high

:38:07.:38:09.

Leave area. The Lib Dems would have hoped to do well here. Yet, both

:38:10.:38:14.

those parties, parties of Leave we now say, seem to have done better.

:38:15.:38:20.

The swing is 7. 6% towards the Conservatives. So a bit of a ray of

:38:21.:38:24.

light in England. Can I interrupt you for a result. We'll come back to

:38:25.:38:29.

you. A result from Renfrewshire east. SNP held. ... Returning

:38:30.:38:43.

officer for the east Renfrewshire constituency declare that the total

:38:44.:38:48.

number of votes given to each candidate was as follows: Scottish

:38:49.:39:00.

Conservative and Unionist, 21,496. Bloody hell. Scottish Labour Party,

:39:01.:39:23.

14,346. The total number of votes cast was 53,805. The total number of

:39:24.:39:28.

ballot papers rejected was 67. The ballot papers were rejected for the

:39:29.:39:32.

following reasons: For want... Something's a little bit awry with

:39:33.:39:35.

our system here. You should be able to see the SNP. The Conservatives

:39:36.:39:40.

have leapt two places to top the ballot here. SNP were on 23

:39:41.:39:46.

thousand. The Conservatives with 21,000 have taken the seat. I'm not

:39:47.:39:50.

sure what's happened to our figures. No doubt we can sort it out in a

:39:51.:39:58.

moment. Shall we go back to where we were, Emily. This was number one on

:39:59.:40:05.

the Plaid Cymru target list, and you can see what's happened here. They

:40:06.:40:09.

haven't gained it. Labour has held it on 42% share of the vote. Plaid

:40:10.:40:14.

Cymru has slipped down behind the Conservatives into third place. When

:40:15.:40:17.

we look at the swing, what might have been on a good night a swing

:40:18.:40:21.

towards Plaid Cymru, away from Labour, actually becomes a swing as

:40:22.:40:26.

you can see from the Conservatives to Labour. 2. 1%. We will hand back

:40:27.:40:31.

now. I think we have Renfrewshire east. We might even have

:40:32.:40:50.

Dunbartonshire east. ... 869. I, returning officer for the UK

:40:51.:40:57.

Parliamentary election, in the East Dunbartonshire county constituency

:40:58.:41:00.

here by give notice that the total notice of votes polled each

:41:01.:41:06.

candidate - He had a majority of just over 2,000 two years ago.

:41:07.:41:14.

Scottish Labour Party, 7,531. APPLAUSE

:41:15.:41:27.

Conservative and Unionist, 7,563. APPLAUSE

:41:28.:41:38.

Scottish National Party, 15,684. Scottish Liberal Democrats, 21...

:41:39.:41:49.

CHEERING 21,023. Joe Swinson, former minister

:41:50.:42:14.

in the coalition for the Liberal Democrats recovers Dunbartonshire

:42:15.:42:17.

east from John Nichol son, there on the right. Jo Swinson may make a

:42:18.:42:25.

speech, we don't know. The Lib Dems will be thrilled by that result.

:42:26.:42:31.

Because she was, when part of the coalition, seen as one of the more

:42:32.:42:37.

talented of the next generation. For the SNP, John Nicholson another big

:42:38.:42:40.

name for them gone. A prominent member of the SNP frontbench in

:42:41.:42:43.

Westminster, somebody who was very often put forward by the party. He

:42:44.:42:48.

loses his seat... Theresa May arriving at her count at Maidenhead

:42:49.:42:53.

with her husband there. She'll have heard all this news. She's safe in

:42:54.:43:00.

her seat in Maidenhead. Will anybody try to question her as she comes to

:43:01.:43:06.

the count? I'm sure they'll try. Whether she will answer is another

:43:07.:43:10.

question. She is looking pretty grim faced. Philip May smiling for the

:43:11.:43:17.

cameras. The only new thing that we've discovered by the Prime

:43:18.:43:21.

Minister is the naughtiest thing she ever did was walk through a wheat

:43:22.:43:26.

field as a child. Running through wheat fields was maybe the

:43:27.:43:29.

naughtiness of it. It seems this is a political disaster for her, this

:43:30.:43:35.

night. Back no Jo Swinson, who was a feisty performer when she was in the

:43:36.:43:40.

House of Commons, and could be a leader, potential leader. She's

:43:41.:43:43.

talked of that sometimes in Lib Dem circles. She is talked of in that

:43:44.:43:47.

way. Now she's back in Westminster. We'll see there's another former

:43:48.:43:50.

leader of the Liberal Democrats, Nick Clegg arriving at his count. As

:43:51.:43:55.

I was saying, Labour sources have told me they expect to take Hallam

:43:56.:43:59.

from Nick Clegg. He's looking quite uneasy. She is looking very uneasy.

:44:00.:44:05.

He had a good campaign. A lot of people thought he spoke well on

:44:06.:44:09.

Brexit and all the rest of it, wanting the second referendum. I

:44:10.:44:13.

wonder if he'd be relieved though to perhaps not remain in the House of

:44:14.:44:16.

Commons having been leader of a small Liberal Democrat party. Since

:44:17.:44:19.

2015 there was speculation about whether or not he would actually

:44:20.:44:24.

stand again. I wonder, had this Parliament run to 2020, whether he

:44:25.:44:27.

would have stood again. The earlier election that was called meant he

:44:28.:44:32.

did stand again. You suspect that perhaps he will find other things to

:44:33.:44:36.

do. If your information is correct that he's lost, we need just to make

:44:37.:44:40.

sure that it is correct. We do. Labour sources have told me they're

:44:41.:44:43.

confident of taking it. Of course, until we hear it from the returning

:44:44.:44:48.

officer we can never be quite sure. Certainly his body language would

:44:49.:44:51.

suggest that. We're also hearing the result on a knife edge for Tim

:44:52.:44:55.

Farron, the Lib Dem leader too, potentially a recount there. Glasgow

:44:56.:45:01.

east. Held by the SNP. With a majority of 10,000.

:45:02.:45:11.

Thank you. The declaration will be made. Gone back to Sheffield.

:45:12.:45:21.

I am the returning officer at the election held on Thursday, June 2017

:45:22.:45:35.

do here by give notice the number of votes cast for each candidate at the

:45:36.:45:43.

election is as follows: Nick Clegg, Liberal Democrats, 19,756.

:45:44.:45:53.

APPLAUSE. Jarrad Omar radio, Labour Party,

:45:54.:45:58.

21,888... CHEERING AND APPLAUSE.

:45:59.:46:13.

Logan Robin, Green Party, 823. Ukip, 929. The Conservative Party

:46:14.:46:37.

candidate, 13,561. The Social Democrats party, 70. Spoilt papers

:46:38.:46:46.

89 and I here bideclare that Mr O'Mara has the seat. He looks quite

:46:47.:46:51.

saddened, Nick Clegg, by that. He was the man responsible for the

:46:52.:46:54.

great experiment in politics in going into the coalition with the

:46:55.:46:58.

Conservatives and paid a terrible price, his party did, and now

:46:59.:47:02.

tonight he's paid the price and does look what you might call almost

:47:03.:47:07.

visibly upset at having lost Sheffield Hallam. He does. He's been

:47:08.:47:16.

the candidate there for years. He took on the brutal wound from being

:47:17.:47:19.

part of the coalition. But to lose his seat, rather than being able to

:47:20.:47:23.

curtail his career at a time of his own choosing, is of course not what

:47:24.:47:27.

anyone would choose. All political careers end in failure don't they,

:47:28.:47:33.

but I wonder too for the Liberal Democrats, their USP at this

:47:34.:47:37.

election was that promise of a second referendum, but the most

:47:38.:47:42.

prominent exponent of that of all, Nick Clegg, has lost his seat, so

:47:43.:47:47.

we'll see through the night how that strategy of offering a second

:47:48.:47:52.

referendum's played out in different places. We have seen Jo Swinson, but

:47:53.:47:58.

it seems as though there's almost a different election taking place in

:47:59.:48:01.

Scotland. Lord Ashcroft was saying earlier that Scotland could have

:48:02.:48:05.

saved the Conservatives and the Liberal Democrats have now lost two

:48:06.:48:08.

seats in England but are picking up seats in Scotland. They expect to

:48:09.:48:13.

lose needs North West. We expect that to be a Labour gain too. This

:48:14.:48:20.

two tribes election playing out in extraordinarily different ways...

:48:21.:48:23.

How many Liberal Democrat seats do we have in so far? Our score board

:48:24.:48:27.

there is showing just one Liberal Democrat seat and no change, is that

:48:28.:48:32.

correct? I think that is right. Net one? Yes. I hope that is right. But

:48:33.:48:40.

they may well pick up Vince Cable's old seat, Twickenham, maybe one or

:48:41.:48:45.

two others in London. Ed Davey. The results we have had in from the

:48:46.:48:47.

south-west, the Liberal Democrats have gone further back. I don't

:48:48.:48:52.

think they'll pick anything up. As we said earlier, the Liberal

:48:53.:48:56.

Democrats would be happy to hold on to what they had and make a couple

:48:57.:49:00.

of gains. They weren't expecting much else. The victor there in

:49:01.:49:07.

Sheffield Hallam, Jarrad O'Mara speaking and we'll just hang on for

:49:08.:49:12.

a moment to see if we can hear Nick Clegg's speech. Let us just remind

:49:13.:49:15.

you of the figures here in Sheffield.

:49:16.:49:44.

The swing was from Liberal Democrat to Labour, 4%. Certainly a long

:49:45.:49:51.

speech being made there but I think he may be coming to the end. I hope

:49:52.:49:57.

Nick Clegg will be next to speak. I think it's worth hanging on for

:49:58.:50:04.

that. Voters tell polsters they want politicians to put nation before

:50:05.:50:09.

party, Nick Clegg did that massively after the 2010 election and it looks

:50:10.:50:20.

as if voters don't reward politicians who voters before party.

:50:21.:50:24.

I would like to invite Nick Clegg to say a few words, thank you.

:50:25.:50:27.

APPLAUSE. Thank you very much for this

:50:28.:50:32.

opportunity to say a few words and I would obviously like to start by

:50:33.:50:37.

congratulating see ya Jarrad on his spectacular victory. It's been the

:50:38.:50:43.

greatest privilege of my life to represent Sheffield Hallam for the

:50:44.:50:47.

last 12 years and I wish Jarrad O'Mara the best of luck in

:50:48.:50:51.

representing the families of communities in Sheffield Hallam with

:50:52.:50:55.

the dedication that they deserve. I also obviously want to fully endorse

:50:56.:51:00.

what Jarrad said about you as chief returning officer and all of you

:51:01.:51:04.

staff in once again conducting the elections across our great city so

:51:05.:51:08.

professionally. So thank you very much indeed. A huge special thanks

:51:09.:51:17.

from me to Penny Baker, my agent, Andy Sanger and to the whole team

:51:18.:51:22.

who not only supported me as ever so unflaggingly in this snap general

:51:23.:51:25.

election, but also in the 12 years in which I have served as an MP in

:51:26.:51:30.

Sheffield Hallam and prior to that my Liberal Democrat predecessor

:51:31.:51:34.

Richard Allan as well. Thank you, thank you from the bottom of my

:51:35.:51:36.

heart for everything that you have done. Thank you very much indeed. I

:51:37.:51:44.

in my time in Parliament, I've never shirked from a political battle,

:51:45.:51:49.

I've never retreated from the political battlefield, I've always

:51:50.:51:52.

sought to stand by the liberal values I believe in, but I of course

:51:53.:51:56.

have encountered this evening something that many people have

:51:57.:51:59.

encountered before tonight and I suspect many people will encounter

:52:00.:52:03.

after tonight which is in politics, you live by the sword and you die by

:52:04.:52:08.

the sword. But I would like if I may to say a couple of words about what

:52:09.:52:12.

faces the Parliament that is going to be a constitute in a few days'

:52:13.:52:18.

time in Westminster. It is a Parliament which, in my judgment,

:52:19.:52:23.

will not only face the excruciating task of trying to assemble a

:52:24.:52:27.

sensible Government for this country, will not only need to deal

:52:28.:52:31.

with the agonising decisions we face as a country as we navigate our way

:52:32.:52:37.

towards Brexit, but as a Parliament that is presiding over a deeply,

:52:38.:52:41.

deeply divided and polarised nation. We saw that in the Brexit referendum

:52:42.:52:47.

last year and we see it here again tonight. Polarised between left and

:52:48.:52:52.

right, between different regions and nations and areas of the country,

:52:53.:52:58.

but most gravely of all, this huge gulf now between young and old and,

:52:59.:53:03.

my only plea would be to all MPs, including Jarrad from all parties is

:53:04.:53:08.

this, that we will not pick our way through the very difficult times

:53:09.:53:12.

that our country faces if in the next Parliament MPs of all parties

:53:13.:53:17.

simply seek to amplify what divides them. We must try and reach out to

:53:18.:53:22.

each other to try and find common ground if we are to heal the

:53:23.:53:30.

profound divisions. If we do not, it's my judgment that our country

:53:31.:53:34.

will endure unprecedented hardship and difficulty in the years ahead

:53:35.:53:41.

and whatever party you are from... Commonly known as Vince Cable,

:53:42.:53:46.

Liberal Democrats, 34, CHEERING AND APPLAUSE.

:53:47.:54:01.

The Twickenham result. 34,969. Labour Party, 6,114.

:54:02.:54:15.

Conservative 25,207. APPLAUSE.

:54:16.:54:28.

So one goes down and, as one goes down, the other one comes up. Vince

:54:29.:54:35.

Cable, who was defeated at the last election for Twickenham, the Liberal

:54:36.:54:39.

Democrat, Business Secretary in the coalition, has retaken Twickenham.

:54:40.:54:43.

He will have heard of what has happened to Nick Clegg, he may not

:54:44.:54:46.

have heard what Nick Clegg was saying, a rather moving speech about

:54:47.:54:51.

the future of young people in the political system and the future that

:54:52.:54:55.

the new House of Commons faces and the problems. Vince Cable is back. I

:54:56.:55:00.

suppose... The electorate gives with one hand and takes away with the

:55:01.:55:04.

other within moments of each other. Let's also remember a very, very

:55:05.:55:08.

knife edge result in Westmoreland where Tim Farron, the current party

:55:09.:55:14.

leader, is facing potential defeat. There is chatter about a recount. If

:55:15.:55:19.

that were to happen, lo and behold, prominent Liberal Democrat Vince

:55:20.:55:21.

Cable's just walked back into Westminster. With a huge majority.

:55:22.:55:29.

Let us go to Lucy Manning. Hello from Tim Farron's count where

:55:30.:55:32.

it's pretty much on a knife edge. We have a recount here. It's a bundle

:55:33.:55:36.

recount so they are not going through every single vote, but

:55:37.:55:39.

they're looking at the bundles, there seems to be some votes that

:55:40.:55:43.

haven't been counted. It seems a bit of a mess down there, but what it

:55:44.:55:49.

tells us is that this vote is tight. I was told initially perhaps a few

:55:50.:55:52.

hundred votes in it, that's Tim Farron, the Liberal Democrat leader

:55:53.:55:57.

who had a majority of nearly 9,000. I think whatberg seeing as the night

:55:58.:56:01.

develops is that potentially it's a bit dicey for the Liberal Democrats,

:56:02.:56:09.

not as good as it looked originally. Nick Clegg's lost his seat. -- I

:56:10.:56:17.

think what we are seeing. They need to get more in Scotland for this to

:56:18.:56:23.

be a good night for Tim Farron. If he doesn't do well, there'll be

:56:24.:56:26.

questions about his leadership for the Liberal Democrats.

:56:27.:56:29.

Thank you very much. We'll come back to you when I can. I was watching

:56:30.:56:32.

Theresa May's face as she went into her count. I wonder if on the basis

:56:33.:56:38.

of these results she might actually voluntarily stand down as leader of

:56:39.:56:41.

the Conservative Party? I think at this stage that's quite a leap. She

:56:42.:56:47.

didn't make it public ever but it was plain she had ambitions to take

:56:48.:56:50.

office to be Prime Minister for quite some time. I think if she ends

:56:51.:56:56.

up at the stage where the forecast is with support from the DUP where

:56:57.:57:04.

the Tories look significantly more viable and there could be an

:57:05.:57:09.

alliance, I think the chances of her rescinding the opportunity to put

:57:10.:57:11.

together a Government are very slim. How long she could stay on doing

:57:12.:57:15.

that though without making big changes is a different question and

:57:16.:57:20.

I expect, if the result ends up in this territory by the morning,

:57:21.:57:25.

she'll have to make changes and broaden out. We have had a result

:57:26.:57:30.

from Glasgow North East. Let us take that. Scottish Liberal Democrats

:57:31.:57:42.

637. Scottish National Party, 13,395.

:57:43.:57:53.

Scottish Labour Party, 13,637. Scottish Conservative and Unionist

:57:54.:58:02.

Party, 4,106. I declare that Glasgow North East

:58:03.:58:18.

constituency is in Labour's hands. We'll have the figures there in a

:58:19.:58:21.

moment. A Labour gain at the expense of the

:58:22.:58:27.

SNP in north-east Glasgow. Now I'm determined to go and join Mishaal

:58:28.:58:33.

Hussain who has an extremely appropriate guest, considering what

:58:34.:58:35.

we have been talking about, with the Liberal Democrats.

:58:36.:58:43.

Thank you, I'm sitting here with Sir Menzies Campbell and Lord pickles.

:58:44.:58:47.

Let's talk about your thoughts on seeing Nick Clegg lose his seat in

:58:48.:58:53.

that way? With great dignity and pointing up in a very sharp way the

:58:54.:58:57.

fact that these elections with producing, not the kind of unity

:58:58.:59:01.

which the Prime Minister hoped for, but division north and south, young

:59:02.:59:07.

and old. Nick Clegg's served his country and his party with great

:59:08.:59:12.

distinction. He took a bold step in 2010 in the public interest, he got

:59:13.:59:23.

very little credit for that. Even after the quite tumultuous events of

:59:24.:59:31.

2015, he buckled down and did, as was pointed out, spear headed the

:59:32.:59:34.

campaign in relation to the European Union. Your party is in the position

:59:35.:59:39.

today of having lost his seat, the seat of your current leader Tim

:59:40.:59:43.

Farron is looking doubtful but you have had Vince Cable re-elected, Jo

:59:44.:59:49.

Swinson also re-elected. What do you think the future holds, if the party

:59:50.:59:53.

is in a position of looking for a new leader? Who will it turn to? I'm

:59:54.:59:57.

not going to get into that speculation, but one can point to

:59:58.:00:02.

the fact that after I resigned and before Nick Clegg was elected, Vince

:00:03.:00:08.

Cable was the interim leader. So he has some understanding of leadership

:00:09.:00:10.

and what the responsibilities are. But it's very good for the party to

:00:11.:00:17.

have a genuinely heavy hitter back in the Parliamentary party. Let's

:00:18.:00:21.

not forget Jo Swinson, one to have most talented of the younger

:00:22.:00:23.

generation of MPs of any party. Back in the House of Commons? And the

:00:24.:00:26.

fact she's back in the House of Commons is a great advantage.

:00:27.:00:33.

I worked a lot with Nick Clegg and government. I always found him to be

:00:34.:00:40.

a thoroughly decent man. I remember talking to a couple of years out

:00:41.:00:46.

from the election, and he recognised that the Liberal Democrats would pay

:00:47.:00:51.

a price for being in coalition. He worked hard with us. We know that

:00:52.:00:57.

ministers are no longer expecting an overall majority. The latest

:00:58.:01:00.

forecast we have seized the Conservatives ending the night on

:01:01.:01:06.

322 seats, short of a majority. That means a deal will have to be done.

:01:07.:01:11.

You said of Theresa May that she is the worst person in the world to do

:01:12.:01:15.

a deal with. Finish the quote. And the quote is, if you make a

:01:16.:01:22.

reasonable request, she will generally back it. What that means

:01:23.:01:24.

in terms of Brexit and putting together a government, if people

:01:25.:01:31.

come with outlandish ideas, she won't play. She'll will always go

:01:32.:01:36.

for the national interest. If it is a reasonable process, we are in for

:01:37.:01:40.

an interesting few days. What went wrong for you? We lost seats. That

:01:41.:01:50.

is what went wrong. Wide? We have seen a bigger increased in the youth

:01:51.:01:58.

vote. -- increase. Mr Corbyn managed to get the excitement of that. It

:01:59.:02:03.

was straightforward pork barrel politics. We will pay for your fees

:02:04.:02:10.

and write off your debt. That will prove to be extraordinarily

:02:11.:02:16.

expensive would he attempt to do so. I suspect we may have another

:02:17.:02:21.

general election. I would like to say a word about Scotland. It is

:02:22.:02:26.

quite remarkable. The SNP losing to Labour and the Lib Dems, and losing

:02:27.:02:32.

to the Conservatives. Both of your parties have been saved to some

:02:33.:02:37.

extent by Scotland. Yes. When you think of the dominance after 2015,

:02:38.:02:41.

it is quite extraordinary. There is a reason for it. That is the fact

:02:42.:02:45.

that simply people don't want a rerun of the Independence

:02:46.:02:54.

Referendum. Thank you both. We are keeping an eye and Jeremy

:02:55.:02:59.

Corbyn in Islington. We have another important result.

:03:00.:03:06.

This is a shock result. It is a game for Labour from the Conservatives in

:03:07.:03:11.

Ipswich. In Suffolk. There is no other red territory around for

:03:12.:03:16.

miles. Trueblue Tory country. It is the seat of Ben Gummer, who just

:03:17.:03:22.

five days ago was rumoured to be the new Brexit secretary. Ben Gummer,

:03:23.:03:27.

not only a cabinet office minister, but who has been instrumental in

:03:28.:03:30.

writing some of the Conservative Party manifesto, in planning some of

:03:31.:03:35.

this election campaign, he is now out. I was on the campaign trail

:03:36.:03:39.

with him a couple of years ago, when he almost expected to lose them. He

:03:40.:03:45.

held on in 2015. He has now lost to Sandy Martin. Islington North

:03:46.:03:51.

declaration. It is a very, very safe seat for Jeremy Corbyn. We will

:03:52.:03:55.

listen to it. And then hopefully hear from Mr Corbyn.

:03:56.:04:02.

The election of the member of Parliament for Islington North on

:04:03.:04:10.

Thursday June the 8th 2015. I been the acting returning officer the

:04:11.:04:15.

election of a member of Parliament to the Islington North constituency

:04:16.:04:21.

do hereby give notice that the number of votes recorded for each

:04:22.:04:24.

candidate at the said election is as follows. Keith Angus, Liberal

:04:25.:04:46.

Democrats, 4946. Suzanne Nandy, Independent, 41. James Toby Clark,

:04:47.:05:05.

Conservatives, 6871. Jeremy Bernard Corbin, Labour party, 4000 -- 40000

:05:06.:05:13.

and 86. Michael Adam Foster, 208. Keith

:05:14.:05:37.

Graham Fraser, UK Independence Party, 413.

:05:38.:05:48.

Nigel Barrow, the official monster raving loony party, 106.

:05:49.:05:59.

James William Martin, known as Bill Martin, the Socialist party GB, 21.

:06:00.:06:11.

Andrew is Mendoza, the commonest league, seven. Caroline Russell,

:06:12.:06:27.

Green Party, two to nine. -- 2229. The total number of ballot papers

:06:28.:06:37.

rejected is as follows. Voting for more candidates than the voter was

:06:38.:06:41.

entitled to, 40. Being on Marker Hotel devoid, 82. The turnout was

:06:42.:06:49.

73.6%. I do hereby declare that Jeremy Bernard Corbin is duly

:06:50.:06:53.

elected to serve as member of Parliament for the Islington North

:06:54.:06:54.

constituency. -- Jeremy Corbyn. Thank you very much. I first of all

:06:55.:07:19.

want to thank Lesley and her staff for the way this election has been

:07:20.:07:24.

conducted. I know all the pressures that are put under the staff to

:07:25.:07:27.

achieve this. Thank you very much to you and all the staff here tonight.

:07:28.:07:31.

And all those that run our democratic services in this borough.

:07:32.:07:35.

I also want to particularly thank the police further work today. And

:07:36.:07:40.

their work last night in helping to ensure that the crowds were all

:07:41.:07:44.

safe, but also, all the work they did last weekend during the horrors

:07:45.:07:47.

of the attack that took place on London Bridge and the borrower. It

:07:48.:07:55.

shows the importance of fully staffed police service. I do thank

:07:56.:07:59.

the police further work last night -- last weekend and today. It is an

:08:00.:08:07.

enormous honour to be elected to represent Islington North for the

:08:08.:08:12.

ninth time in Parliament. And I'm very, very honoured and humbled by

:08:13.:08:15.

the size of the vote that has been cast for me tonight as the Labour

:08:16.:08:20.

candidate. And I pledge to represent the people of Islington North in the

:08:21.:08:25.

best weather I possibly can. And to continue to learn from them as well

:08:26.:08:29.

as represent them at the same time, because I believe representation is

:08:30.:08:33.

as much about listening as about telling other people. And so I do

:08:34.:08:37.

thank the people their support. I also want to say a huge thank you to

:08:38.:08:43.

Islington North Labour party, two our agent Catherine Sloan, and all

:08:44.:08:46.

the other people who've worked so hard in this campaign. And

:08:47.:08:50.

unfortunately, are maybe fortunately for them, I have been on the road

:08:51.:08:53.

for the last six weeks, so they have been holding the fort. I am very

:08:54.:08:58.

grateful to them for all they have done. I am also very grateful to all

:08:59.:09:05.

of my family, and to my wife, and to all the people that have worked so

:09:06.:09:11.

hard in our team at Labour Party head office, as well as in the

:09:12.:09:15.

constituency office here, for achieving this incredible result

:09:16.:09:19.

tonight in Islington, and the results that are coming in from all

:09:20.:09:22.

over the country. In terms of Islington, this is the highest

:09:23.:09:27.

turnout at any election is in Islington since 1951. It is the

:09:28.:09:31.

largest ever vote received for a winning candidate ever in the

:09:32.:09:34.

history of this borrower. I of it, very humble and grateful to the

:09:35.:09:38.

people of Islington for this great result. This election was called in

:09:39.:09:50.

order for the Prime Minister to gain a large majority in order to assert

:09:51.:09:57.

her authority. And the election campaign has gone on for the past

:09:58.:10:00.

six weeks. I have travelled the whole country. I have spoken at

:10:01.:10:04.

events and rallies all over the country. And you know what? Politics

:10:05.:10:09.

has changed. And politics is not going back into the box where it was

:10:10.:10:13.

before. What has happened is people have said they have had quite enough

:10:14.:10:18.

of austerity politics. They have had quite enough of cuts in public

:10:19.:10:23.

expenditure, underfunding the health service, schools, the education

:10:24.:10:27.

service, and not giving our young people the chance they deserve in

:10:28.:10:30.

our society. And I'm very, very proud of the campaign that my party

:10:31.:10:37.

has run, our manifesto for the many not the few. And I'm very proud of

:10:38.:10:40.

the results coming in all over the country tonight, of people voting

:10:41.:10:46.

for hope, voting for hope for the future, and turning their backs on

:10:47.:10:48.

austerity. CHEERING.

:10:49.:10:56.

And so if there is a message from tonight's result, it is this. The

:10:57.:11:02.

Prime Minister called the election because she wanted a mandate. When

:11:03.:11:07.

the mandate she has got is lost Conservative seats, lost votes, lost

:11:08.:11:11.

support and lost confidence. I would've that Tsenov to go,

:11:12.:11:16.

actually, and make way for a government that will be truly

:11:17.:11:19.

representative of all the people of this country.

:11:20.:11:28.

And so, we await the rest of the results. But I can assure you of

:11:29.:11:31.

this. In the new parliament we will do everything we can to ensure that

:11:32.:11:36.

everything we have said in this campaign, and everything that is

:11:37.:11:40.

included in our manifesto, is put before Parliament, so that this

:11:41.:11:45.

country can be a different and, I believe, fundamentally better place.

:11:46.:11:50.

The participation in this election by many who have not participated in

:11:51.:11:55.

elections before shows the determination to do something very

:11:56.:11:58.

differently in this country. And take a different stance towards the

:11:59.:12:03.

rest of the world. And I'm very proud of what we have achieved here

:12:04.:12:08.

in Islington. I'm very proud of the campaign our party as waste in this

:12:09.:12:13.

election campaign. And I'm very confident of the future of the

:12:14.:12:18.

future that we will grow even faster and further, and that we will be

:12:19.:12:23.

able to carry out those pledges in our manifesto. To properly fund

:12:24.:12:29.

health, education, social care, and give all of our young people a real

:12:30.:12:34.

chance for a future, free from debt and full of opportunity. To the

:12:35.:12:39.

people of Islington, I say thank you very much indeed. To the people of

:12:40.:12:44.

this country, I say thank you to all those who have given such support

:12:45.:12:47.

and such confidence in the Labour Party, and thank you to all those

:12:48.:12:50.

all over the country who fought so hard for this day. We will carry on

:12:51.:12:56.

because we believe in a better future for all. Thank you all very

:12:57.:13:00.

much indeed. CHEERING.

:13:01.:13:07.

Jeremy Corbyn says it is time for Theresa May to go and make way for

:13:08.:13:11.

them. We have not had the count from Maidenhead. We will stay with

:13:12.:13:17.

Maidenhead. When we get the count at least we will be there for the

:13:18.:13:21.

count. No doubt Theresa May will have some words to say about the

:13:22.:13:25.

outcome of the election as a whole. Or maybe she will just stick to

:13:26.:13:29.

thank you. It will be interesting to see if she does. She has been

:13:30.:13:33.

criticised for not being fulsome in the campaign, giving very little

:13:34.:13:37.

detail of what she plans to do. She is not the kind of politician, one

:13:38.:13:43.

of the criticisms levelled at her, who is nimble. That has caused such

:13:44.:13:48.

trouble. This is a fascinating night. I am

:13:49.:13:53.

going to take you to Scotland. We have 15 Labour gains. This one from

:13:54.:13:59.

the SNP in East Lothian. Once again we are seeing it is turning out to

:14:00.:14:04.

be a tough night for the SNP. Gains for the Conservatives. Not quite as

:14:05.:14:13.

dramatic swing as we saw in those earlier Tory gains. 8.5%. This is

:14:14.:14:19.

much more than they needed. This was gained in the Scottish parliament by

:14:20.:14:24.

Labour. They will be very pleased to have this. Gordon Brown's old seat

:14:25.:14:30.

of Kirkcaldy. We thought it was safe. It was taken last time round.

:14:31.:14:36.

Roger Morlan is out and Lesley Laird takes his place. Very tightly

:14:37.:14:44.

fought. The 23,000 majority under Gordon Brown. The SNP toggled on

:14:45.:14:50.

9000. This is a slim majority. 259. They got this on more than a 9%

:14:51.:14:58.

swing. 9.7%. Two more games for the Conservatives. This time it is

:14:59.:15:02.

Aberdeen South. It has been taken from Callum McCaig of the SNP. This

:15:03.:15:11.

was number 97 on their target list. 15%, the swing. We have seen the

:15:12.:15:15.

Conservatives in the region. 15 to 16% when they are taking those seats

:15:16.:15:21.

from the SNP. Labour were in second place. It was thought to be a Tory

:15:22.:15:28.

target. And Eire and Carrick. We thought it was safe SNP. You can see

:15:29.:15:32.

what has happened. The Conservatives on 40%. The SNP moving backwards,

:15:33.:15:40.

down 15%. This was gained from Labour in 2015. That kind of

:15:41.:15:45.

churning going from Labour to the SNP to the Conservatives shows that

:15:46.:15:47.

Scotland is up in the air. And also Peterborough and Bedford.

:15:48.:16:05.

Am told that Labour is expecting to win Canterbury in Kent. That has

:16:06.:16:11.

been held by the Conservatives since 1918. If that is confirmed, that

:16:12.:16:16.

would be the most dramatic example yet of a seat that looked impossible

:16:17.:16:22.

for Labour, unless we saw significant youth turnout. The big

:16:23.:16:25.

question was that we didn't know how the electorate would answer it, the

:16:26.:16:31.

younger part of the electorate who traditionally have stayed at home,

:16:32.:16:42.

seem to have turned out in droves. What have you got there? Bath is an

:16:43.:16:47.

interesting one. Chris Patten famously lost here in 1952. This is

:16:48.:16:52.

an up moment for the Lib Dems on a night which has brought gains and

:16:53.:16:56.

losses for them and some sad faces in Sheffield Hallam when Nick Clegg

:16:57.:17:00.

lost. But the Lib Dems have gained this one, the seat of Bath, from the

:17:01.:17:07.

Conservatives. They needed a 4.1% swing. They have got it on a 9.8%

:17:08.:17:13.

swing to the Lib Dems. Ukip got 7% of the vote here and that has gone

:17:14.:17:24.

now. You were just talking about Peterborough. This was number 16 on

:17:25.:17:31.

the Labour target list, very tightly fought. Just a percentage point

:17:32.:17:37.

between them. Ukip stood down here again, which the Tories might have

:17:38.:17:41.

thought would help them retain the seat, but it has gone on a swing

:17:42.:17:50.

towards Labour of 2.7%. Nobody would forget Chris Patten's face when he

:17:51.:17:53.

was chairman of the Conservative Party and fought the campaign but

:17:54.:17:58.

lost his own seat. That was in 1992. Here is Maidenhead. There is the

:17:59.:18:02.

Prime Minister on the left. We will hear the result of the Maidenhead

:18:03.:18:08.

vote. No risk of losing the seat. But there is a risk to her political

:18:09.:18:13.

future. Look at the array of candidates. Stay with us why we hear

:18:14.:18:21.

how each of them has done. UK Independence Party, 871.

:18:22.:18:35.

Independent, 16. Lord bucket head, 249. Hill, Anthony

:18:36.:18:55.

Charles, known as Tony Hill, Liberal Democrats, 6540. Hope, Alan, the

:18:56.:19:12.

official Monster Raving Loony Party, 119. Andrew Knight, animal welfare

:19:13.:19:30.

party, 282. Me, Theresa May, the Conservative Party candidate, 37,000

:19:31.:19:35.

718. -- 37,718. Patrick Meek Donald,

:19:36.:19:49.

Labour Party, 11200 and 61. -- 11261. The just political party,

:19:50.:20:25.

52. Bobby Smith, three. Grant Smith, independent, 152. Victor Edmonds,

:20:26.:20:40.

Christian peoples Alliance, 69. Green Party, 907. The number of

:20:41.:20:48.

ballot papers rejected was as follows. Want of official Mark,

:20:49.:20:58.

zero. Voting for more candidates than the vote was entitled to, 19.

:20:59.:21:06.

Writing or mark by which the voter could be identified, three. Being

:21:07.:21:12.

unmarked or wholly void for uncertainty, 86. Rejected in part,

:21:13.:21:24.

zero. Total rejected votes, 108. I hereby declare that Theresa May, the

:21:25.:21:36.

Conservative Party candidate, has been elected. That is a good example

:21:37.:21:40.

of what English democracy throws up in these seats where the Prime

:21:41.:21:44.

Minister is. You get every Tom, Dick and Harry coming in on standing. I

:21:45.:21:48.

reckon they made ?5,000 in lost deposits. But here is Theresa May to

:21:49.:21:57.

speak. Thank you very much. First of all, on behalf of myself and all of

:21:58.:22:01.

the candidates, may I thank the returning officer and all her staff

:22:02.:22:05.

for the hard work they have put in today in running this election in

:22:06.:22:10.

the Maidenhead constituency. Can I also thank the police, who have had

:22:11.:22:15.

an extra job here tonight in ensuring the security of this event.

:22:16.:22:22.

And thank you to all those who have once again supported me as the

:22:23.:22:24.

member of Parliament for Maidenhead. It is a huge honour and a privilege

:22:25.:22:31.

to be elected as the member of Parliament for this constituency,

:22:32.:22:35.

and I pledge that I will continue to work for all my constituents, as I

:22:36.:22:39.

have done over the period that I have been your member of Parliament.

:22:40.:22:46.

This is a wonderful constituency and I look forward to continuing to work

:22:47.:22:51.

with you and to see further improvements for the lives of those

:22:52.:22:53.

living in the Maidenhead constituency. As we look more widely

:22:54.:22:59.

across the country, returns are of course still coming in. We have yet

:23:00.:23:04.

to see the full picture emerging. Votes are still being counted. But

:23:05.:23:10.

at this time, more than anything else, this country needs a period of

:23:11.:23:14.

stability. If, as the indications have shown, the Conservative Party

:23:15.:23:20.

has won the most seats and probably the most votes, it will be incumbent

:23:21.:23:26.

on us to ensure that we have a period of stability and that is what

:23:27.:23:30.

we will do. I would like to thank all of those across the country who

:23:31.:23:34.

have voted for the Conservative Party today. As we ran this

:23:35.:23:42.

campaign, we set out to consider the issues that are the key priorities

:23:43.:23:46.

for the British people - getting the Brexit deal right, ensuring that we

:23:47.:23:51.

both identify and show how we can address the big challenges facing

:23:52.:23:56.

our country, doing what is in the national interest. That is always

:23:57.:24:00.

what I have tried to do in my time as a member of Parliament. And my

:24:01.:24:07.

resolve to do that is the same this morning as it always has been. As we

:24:08.:24:12.

look ahead and we wait to see what the final results will be, I know

:24:13.:24:20.

the country needs a period of stability. Whatever the results are,

:24:21.:24:26.

the Conservative Party will ensure that we will fulfil our duty in

:24:27.:24:32.

ensuring that stability so that we can all go forward together. Thank

:24:33.:24:38.

you. A curious choice of words. The country needs a period of stability,

:24:39.:24:44.

suggesting that it is not a full parliament she is thinking of. I

:24:45.:24:49.

think that is true. Ministers privately now say that clearly, they

:24:50.:24:53.

do not expect to outperform the exit poll. We saw a very shaky Theresa

:24:54.:24:58.

May there, who does not expect to be walking back into Downing Street

:24:59.:25:02.

with a majority. Of course, it will only be in the hours to come that we

:25:03.:25:05.

can confirm whether that is the case. But I think her wording

:25:06.:25:11.

certainly implied that very heavily. She said there are still votes to be

:25:12.:25:16.

counted, but if we are the largest party with the largest number of

:25:17.:25:21.

votes, she said very carefully, it would be incumbent upon us to form a

:25:22.:25:27.

government. So in the Prime Minister's own words, she chose to

:25:28.:25:30.

mention the formulation that suggests a hung parliament - the

:25:31.:25:35.

largest number of votes and the largest number of seats. But that is

:25:36.:25:41.

half the story. She inherited a lead of 100 seats over Labour. She will

:25:42.:25:44.

probably end up with a lead of 50 seats over Labour. She inherited a

:25:45.:25:50.

seven percentage point lead over Labour in the last popular vote. So

:25:51.:25:57.

yes, she is factually correct, the Conservatives are ahead on votes and

:25:58.:26:01.

seats, but by only about half the Amanda David Cameron achieved two

:26:02.:26:06.

years ago. She now has to contend with the horror of her Parliamentary

:26:07.:26:12.

party. James Forsyth, the political editor of the Spectator, tweeted, do

:26:13.:26:15.

not underestimate the fury of the Parliament drew party. They are

:26:16.:26:21.

spitting. So Theresa May now has to try and find a way of communicating

:26:22.:26:27.

that she is the right leader, if she believes she is. Tim Farron has

:26:28.:26:31.

retained his seat, the leader of the Liberal Democrats. What has happened

:26:32.:26:35.

over the last hour is that we have revised our forecast down a bit from

:26:36.:26:40.

the Conservatives' point of view. Jeremy, you have those figures.

:26:41.:26:46.

Let's look inside our virtual House of Commons. It is revised in the

:26:47.:26:52.

Conservatives' they've very slightly. We started the night by

:26:53.:26:56.

saying the exit poll had them on 314. It is now tempered by some of

:26:57.:27:04.

the results we have had in. We have now got them on 318, down 13 seats

:27:05.:27:09.

from the last general election two years ago but up from where we

:27:10.:27:14.

started. Crucially, it is not crossed the line of three to six,

:27:15.:27:18.

which is just above half the number of MPs in the House of Commons --

:27:19.:27:27.

326. So it looks like the Conservatives will not have their

:27:28.:27:30.

majority in the House of Commons. We have slightly adjusted the Labour

:27:31.:27:37.

figure, up one. The SNP are on 32, a bad night for them. The Liberal

:27:38.:27:43.

Democrats, notwithstanding the Tim Farron news we just had, not doing

:27:44.:27:47.

as well as we thought at the start of evening. Plaid Cymru are still

:27:48.:27:52.

there with their three seats on the greens with their once it. -- the

:27:53.:28:02.

greens with their once it. All kinds of other mathematics start to come

:28:03.:28:07.

in. Sinn Fein MPs could be six by the end of the night. Take those six

:28:08.:28:14.

away because they don't attend the House of Commons. The Conservatives

:28:15.:28:22.

are still not quite there, but it brings it a tiny bit closer. The DUP

:28:23.:28:26.

may have nine MPs by the end of the night. There are natural allies for

:28:27.:28:33.

the Conservatives in this situation. So if you add the nine to the

:28:34.:28:37.

Conservatives' 318, you get 327. But take a whirl around the House of

:28:38.:28:41.

Commons with me now. Yes, there is a lot of blue. But a strengthened

:28:42.:28:48.

Labour Party, a diminished SNP, a few more Lib Dems. It is really

:28:49.:28:51.

going to be very complicated politics in here with many more

:28:52.:28:59.

hours of conversation to come. It did go up to 322 at one point, so

:29:00.:29:04.

the Conservative figure is moving around. Eastbourne has been taken by

:29:05.:29:14.

the Liberal Democrats. Nick Robinson is in Islington. Let's join him

:29:15.:29:21.

before he has to do the today show. It is extraordinary being here at my

:29:22.:29:25.

local leisure centre and Jeremy Corbyn's local national centre, a

:29:26.:29:31.

place where he has come for election after election. The result has

:29:32.:29:34.

always been predictable and just as predictable has been the fact that

:29:35.:29:37.

no one beyond these walls would listen to a single word he said. And

:29:38.:29:42.

yet that figure, the maverick, stood on a stage here and effectively

:29:43.:29:45.

called on the Prime Minister to quit and make him Prime Minister instead

:29:46.:29:52.

and suddenly, that doesn't sound absurd. Contrast that with the face

:29:53.:29:57.

of Theresa May, the look of a woman defeated, heavily made up as if she

:29:58.:30:02.

had been in tears earlier, her voice cracking at times, I thought,

:30:03.:30:05.

declaring that she would provide the stability the country needed. But

:30:06.:30:09.

nothing like what she said she wanted to do, which was to have that

:30:10.:30:13.

big majority which would deliver the country a strong mandate to

:30:14.:30:17.

negotiate and deliver Brexit. We're going to Boston and Skegness.

:30:18.:30:29.

Paul Nuttall, the leader of Ukip, fighting that seat.

:30:30.:30:40.

Matthew Warman, 27,000 271. The number of ballot papers rejected was

:30:41.:30:45.

as follows. Voting for more candidates than the vote was

:30:46.:30:50.

entitled to, 11. A pretty humiliating defeat for Paul

:30:51.:30:57.

Nuttall. 3308 only. Boston and Skegness. The highest area of Vote

:30:58.:31:06.

Leave macro. Nearly three quarters voted to leave. Not giving him any

:31:07.:31:17.

traction for Ukip. Let's go back to Nick Robinson. It will be no

:31:18.:31:23.

surprise to you that Paul Nuttall did not do very well in Boston. Only

:31:24.:31:29.

got 3000 votes. Just finish the point you were making. Sorry to have

:31:30.:31:35.

interrupted you. Even a few hours ago when I was outside Jeremy

:31:36.:31:38.

Corbyn's house, they were looking at those results to see just how much

:31:39.:31:45.

will we have managed to cut Theresa May's majority. When they arrived

:31:46.:31:49.

for the count, people were seriously asking questions about whether they

:31:50.:31:53.

might be the largest party. About whether Jeremy Corbyn might in

:31:54.:31:57.

certain circumstances be our next Prime Minister. I don't think that

:31:58.:32:02.

is their central expectation but I know they have left this building to

:32:03.:32:05.

give that proper and serious thought. They know that he is now in

:32:06.:32:10.

play. That's the decisions he makes will matter not just for the future

:32:11.:32:13.

direction of the Labour Party, but the future direction of the country.

:32:14.:32:21.

Just a few weeks ago that would have seemed completely implausible not

:32:22.:32:25.

just to most commentators but to Mr Corbyn himself. He has been placed

:32:26.:32:29.

in a position of power ahead of perhaps the most difficult political

:32:30.:32:32.

negotiations this country has seen since the Second World War. A

:32:33.:32:37.

position of power he never, ever dreamt of. You were hearing Theresa

:32:38.:32:44.

May. What do you think she will actually do know? Clearly she is

:32:45.:32:49.

severely damaged by this result, particularly when she called an

:32:50.:32:52.

election after she said she wouldn't. She has an election that

:32:53.:32:57.

batters her reputation in the course of the campaign and the result.

:32:58.:33:01.

Where does that leave her in the Tory party and in Parliament? There

:33:02.:33:08.

are two answers. Where does it leave her in her mind? Probably doing her

:33:09.:33:11.

duty. In other words, forming a government. If she has the most

:33:12.:33:18.

seats and the most votes. The second question is, where does it leave her

:33:19.:33:22.

in the minds of her own Cabinet, her own party? Will they take the view

:33:23.:33:25.

that she has gambled and lost big-time, and therefore has to be

:33:26.:33:30.

punished for it? The difficulty with that scenario is wondering who would

:33:31.:33:36.

replace. If the Tory party were looking for a charismatic figure who

:33:37.:33:40.

could give hope to the public at a future election, they would turn to

:33:41.:33:44.

Boris Johnson, no doubt. If instead the job is not about winning the

:33:45.:33:48.

election but the job is about doing a deal in Europe about those

:33:49.:33:52.

negotiations, Boris Johnson would be regarded as deeply implausible, not

:33:53.:33:57.

just in Brussels but by many others Cabinet colleagues. And that is the

:33:58.:34:00.

place the Tories now find themselves. Do they focus on the

:34:01.:34:04.

talks in Europe or do they focus on the possibility of another election

:34:05.:34:11.

sometime soon, which Theresa May, it looks impossible for her to run

:34:12.:34:15.

again. And if she did, she would surely lose.

:34:16.:34:21.

There is never any lack of ambition on the Tory backbenches. Let's be

:34:22.:34:25.

clear about that. But exactly as Nick points out, this is a very

:34:26.:34:29.

curious position the Tories find themselves in. They ran on

:34:30.:34:33.

competence, and being a safe pair of hands. Theresa May became Prime

:34:34.:34:38.

Minister because she was the last grown-up left standing after the

:34:39.:34:41.

Tory bloodbath over the referendum. But what do they do know? How can

:34:42.:34:47.

they try in another general election to cling back that message of hope?

:34:48.:34:54.

Ishii in a position to change her government? Is she in a position to

:34:55.:34:57.

get rid of the Exchequer, which everybody said she would want to do,

:34:58.:35:05.

after screwing up the budget? It will be much more pressed upon her

:35:06.:35:09.

to take the Council of other people. There will be speculation about

:35:10.:35:13.

whether or not she can cling on as the party leader. One senior Tory

:35:14.:35:17.

has just said to me in terms of asking her if she can stay on, the

:35:18.:35:22.

point is with Brexit looming over everything, it is a pretty bad time

:35:23.:35:27.

to mock about. And I think our first instinct would be to try to convey

:35:28.:35:31.

that message and stay on. Let's have the latest games. Pretty dramatic

:35:32.:35:40.

gains for Labour. Warwick and Leamington, the kind of seat you

:35:41.:35:43.

would expect Labour to take if there were winning the election. This is a

:35:44.:35:49.

bellwether. Labour won it under Tony Blair is three times. David Cameron

:35:50.:35:54.

won twice. A close share of the vote. A Labour game. They needed a

:35:55.:36:03.

6-point 5% swing. They have done it on 7.6. Astonishing to have taken

:36:04.:36:08.

this. Number 68 on their target list. Canterbury the same. This has

:36:09.:36:12.

been Conservatives since World War I. It had a majority of 9700. Not

:36:13.:36:20.

only that, Julian Brazier, the Conservative MP, has been here since

:36:21.:36:26.

1987. Rosie Duffield has just outed him in the seat of Canterbury in

:36:27.:36:30.

Kent. Not where you would expect a lot of Labour to appear. An extra

:36:31.:36:36.

ordinary surge in their share, up 20%. And you can see the

:36:37.:36:41.

Conservatives have made a tiny gains. That swing has been quite

:36:42.:36:47.

dramatic. 9.3. You can see further down my list a lot of the Lib Dem

:36:48.:36:52.

holes. Tom Brake thought he might be in danger. It is a very Leave part

:36:53.:37:04.

of south London. But he stays in there. He once said it could be the

:37:05.:37:08.

hardest election he has ever fought. It may well have been. You can see

:37:09.:37:12.

what kind of a swing it has been. Just towards the Conservatives of

:37:13.:37:20.

2.2. -- 0.2. Kingston has been taken by Ed Davy for the Lib Dems. Some of

:37:21.:37:26.

these old faces, Vince cable, Ed Davey, coming back in. 4124

:37:27.:37:33.

majority. Ed Davy will be very pleased to take this. A rather

:37:34.:37:37.

bittersweet night for the Lib Dems. They are seeing a former leader like

:37:38.:37:40.

Nick Clegg loses seat but some of the former MPs from last time around

:37:41.:37:47.

gained their seats. The Lib Dems have been making gains. Tim Farron

:37:48.:37:51.

we talked about. Not only has he held on in Westmoreland, but the

:37:52.:37:58.

9000 majority cut to 777. A massive swing in this part of the world away

:37:59.:38:02.

from the Lib Dems towards the Conservatives. He has held on. One

:38:03.:38:08.

more I just want to bring you. Norfolk North, Norman Lamb thought

:38:09.:38:13.

he might be in danger. But he has, pop -- probably on a personal

:38:14.:38:20.

popular vote, stays. The Green Party did not stand. That may have helped

:38:21.:38:26.

the Lib Dems. A 0.7% swing towards the Conservatives but he did well to

:38:27.:38:33.

hang on. One more. Case in -- Caithness Sutherland and Easter

:38:34.:38:39.

Ross. The Lib Dems lost that seat in 2015. The SNP came in. The SNP

:38:40.:38:47.

gained it from third place. It is now Jamie Stone who replaces the Lib

:38:48.:38:53.

Dem John Thurso. He takes the seat back for the Lib Dems in Scotland.

:38:54.:38:58.

They are having a pretty good night. All the Unionist parties having a

:38:59.:39:01.

pretty good night against the SNP in Scotland. Let's have a look at that

:39:02.:39:07.

swing and see what has happened. Again, a pretty sturdy swing towards

:39:08.:39:10.

the Lib Dems from the SNP in Scotland. You can see all the Lib

:39:11.:39:18.

Dem gains here. Some of them are holes and some of them have been

:39:19.:39:25.

taken. Holds. Amber to extraordinary results for Labour. We are joined by

:39:26.:39:35.

Alex Salmond. First of all, your own result. Do you think you have held

:39:36.:39:39.

on? We will just have to wait and see. I feel we are sometime away

:39:40.:39:46.

from a result yet. It is a very large rural constituency as very --

:39:47.:39:51.

as well as a varied and rule one. Ballot boxes have to travel a long

:39:52.:39:56.

way in these parts. What you make of the net loss of 14 seats so far for

:39:57.:40:03.

the SNP? Yeah, but that is off the tsunami of 2015. I don't think I

:40:04.:40:09.

expected that to be repeated. I'm an old-fashioned type of politician and

:40:10.:40:12.

you are an old-fashioned type of interview. I reckon you win

:40:13.:40:16.

elections by winning more seats and more votes than any of the other

:40:17.:40:21.

parties. It looks like the SNP will have more seats in Scotland than the

:40:22.:40:26.

Unionist parties combined. On that measure the SNP will win the

:40:27.:40:30.

election. You call them the Unionist parties. They have made huge inroads

:40:31.:40:36.

into the SNP position. What were you, 56 in the last house of

:40:37.:40:41.

Commons? Yeah. There are two things. But the opinion polls didn't see was

:40:42.:40:48.

a late recovery in the Labour Party's fortunes. Ironically that

:40:49.:40:53.

was based on people impressed by Jeremy Corbyn. Many Yes supporters.

:40:54.:40:58.

Ironically again, that has cost the SNP some seats. Winning more seats

:40:59.:41:06.

than any other party is important in politics. Theresa May would love to

:41:07.:41:09.

be in a position now where she could say she is going to win a majority

:41:10.:41:15.

of seats across the UK. Given that the SNP looked like we might just

:41:16.:41:18.

have done it again in Scotland, you have to accord the SNP some credit

:41:19.:41:22.

despite losing some important colleagues. Does it make a second

:41:23.:41:28.

referendum on independence more likely are less likely? I think

:41:29.:41:33.

there will be a second Independence Referendum. It is a question of

:41:34.:41:38.

timing. A third irony of politics is that this -- SNP group will be going

:41:39.:41:46.

into a parliament where it looks as if it will be very influential

:41:47.:41:50.

indeed. That influence will be used on behalf of Scotland and on behalf

:41:51.:41:54.

of Scottish democracy to defend the Scottish Parliament. People in

:41:55.:41:58.

Scotland have the right to expect, if they elect SNP MPs in large

:41:59.:42:03.

numbers, they will turn out to be influential in the next Parliament.

:42:04.:42:06.

That looks at what is gone to happen. You don't yet know what is

:42:07.:42:14.

going to happen over Brexit. You wanted to remain in the EU. That may

:42:15.:42:20.

still be possible, I suppose, if Parliament is in total confusion. Do

:42:21.:42:27.

you think there is a chance of the SNP... Yeah, on a balanced

:42:28.:42:33.

parliament we would be in a position of great influence. We would seek a

:42:34.:42:37.

progressive alternative to Tory rule. Let's talk plainly. If there

:42:38.:42:42.

is no Conservative majority, Theresa May will not be Prime Minister

:42:43.:42:47.

within the next 48 hours. You couldn't possibly survive having

:42:48.:42:50.

called an election unnecessarily, failed to win a majority in

:42:51.:42:54.

continuous Prime Minister. Boris Johnson is already on manoeuvres. It

:42:55.:42:59.

doesn't surprise me. It certainly doesn't surprise me giving the --

:43:00.:43:02.

given the glaring deficiencies of Theresa May which have been exposed

:43:03.:43:08.

on this election campaign. The SNP will use their position of

:43:09.:43:10.

substantial influence to get the best deal they can for Scotland and

:43:11.:43:15.

make sure we don't fall off that Brexit cliff edge which Theresa May

:43:16.:43:19.

was careering the country towards. What do you make of what she said in

:43:20.:43:24.

Maidenhead? If they have the largest number of seats and the largest

:43:25.:43:28.

popular vote, their responsibility, their duty, is to restore stability.

:43:29.:43:34.

That doesn't sound as if she is quitting any time soon. It sounded

:43:35.:43:41.

like bravado to me. Consistency has not been one of the hallmarks of Mrs

:43:42.:43:50.

May over recent weeks. This declaration, I shall continue

:43:51.:43:54.

regardless of the verdict of the people, is total nonsense. It isn't

:43:55.:43:58.

clear, David, who has won this election. That is certainly true.

:43:59.:44:04.

But it is very, very clear who has lost the election. That is the Prime

:44:05.:44:07.

Minister. She should face the consequences. Thank you. As we were

:44:08.:44:12.

talking, you could see Nicola Sturgeon, the Beaver of the SNP in

:44:13.:44:17.

Scotland at her account. We are going to go to Twickenham. And

:44:18.:44:21.

joined Vince Cable. He took this seat. Vince Cable: -- good evening,

:44:22.:44:28.

congratulations on your victory. You said it would be a tough fight and

:44:29.:44:33.

you pulled it off. What do you make of the position of the Liberal

:44:34.:44:35.

Democrats now and their role in the new parliament? Within the last few

:44:36.:44:44.

minutes we have heard we have held Carshalton in Kingston, I believe

:44:45.:44:47.

Richmond is hanging by a thread. We're down to three figures. We are

:44:48.:44:51.

doing well in London. We are doing extremely well in Scotland. Norman

:44:52.:44:56.

Lamb has held on in very difficult circumstances. Tim Farron. We are

:44:57.:45:02.

going to get a significant increase in our Parliamentary party. We are

:45:03.:45:06.

still mid teens. We have made very clear in terms of the big picture

:45:07.:45:11.

that we are not going into coalition are packeds with other parties.

:45:12.:45:14.

Obviously we want to be constructive. Be an opposition party

:45:15.:45:17.

that gives constructive criticism. Clearly, the whole Brexit approach

:45:18.:45:29.

is going to have to be rethought, and we will contribute to that.

:45:30.:45:34.

Personal care also became a big issue. It is now clear that parties

:45:35.:45:37.

will have to work together rather than shout at each other in this

:45:38.:45:43.

different political landscape. How do you think Brexit can be

:45:44.:45:47.

rethought? The mantra has been that Brexit means Brexit, meaning you

:45:48.:45:53.

can't be in the single market. You are saying that can be turned on its

:45:54.:45:58.

head? Well, the phrase Brexit means Brexit was always nonsense. It was

:45:59.:46:07.

always possible to pursue a form of Brexit that means keeping the

:46:08.:46:12.

customs union and keeping a lot of the collaborative arrangements that

:46:13.:46:18.

have been very good for the UK. That is the kind of approach we will have

:46:19.:46:23.

to rethink. The hard Ukip style Brexit that Theresa May had adopted

:46:24.:46:26.

is no longer a viable option. But are you saying it will not be

:46:27.:46:30.

politically possible for her to pursue that if she doesn't have a

:46:31.:46:36.

majority in the House of Commons? Well, we don't know the arithmetic,

:46:37.:46:42.

but to take an obvious point, the Government were proposing to

:46:43.:46:44.

introduce a Great Repeal Bill that would have got rid of a lot of

:46:45.:46:49.

regulatory aspects of the European Union around a single market. I

:46:50.:46:54.

doubt that in the current House of Commons that has been elected

:46:55.:46:57.

tonight, that that will be feasible. They will have to compromise. They

:46:58.:47:03.

will have to find a way of accommodating the concerns of the

:47:04.:47:09.

48% who voted to remain. Well just watching pictures of the Prime

:47:10.:47:12.

Minister returning to London from Maidenhead. Vince Cable, what is

:47:13.:47:16.

your reaction to Nick Clegg's defeat in Sheffield? I am very sad for him.

:47:17.:47:23.

I had a defeat two years ago and it is painful. He will be looked upon

:47:24.:47:29.

by historians as a major figure. With hindsight, the period of

:47:30.:47:34.

coalition government was a period of stability and competent, successful

:47:35.:47:37.

government. He was one of the main architects of that and deserves

:47:38.:47:42.

credit for it. He will be a big loss to us and to Parliament because of

:47:43.:47:45.

his expertise and understanding of European issues. Thank you for

:47:46.:47:54.

joining us. We have now had 439 seats in and we have 211 to go.

:47:55.:48:01.

Labour have gained 20. The Conservatives are down nine. The

:48:02.:48:04.

Liberal Democrats are up four and the SNP are down 14. Ukip down one.

:48:05.:48:17.

It looks as if the Conservatives will have 44% of the vote at the end

:48:18.:48:20.

of the night across Great Britain. That is what Tony Blair got in his

:48:21.:48:26.

landslide in 1997. 44% was what Margaret Thatcher got in her

:48:27.:48:31.

landslide in 1983. Remember the Conservative vote is up, so why are

:48:32.:48:36.

they doing so badly? Because we are back to party politics in England.

:48:37.:48:43.

When you had three parties, 40% gave you a landslide. Into party

:48:44.:48:49.

politics, 44% looks grim. But in terms of the actual share of the

:48:50.:48:53.

vote, Theresa May can look Tony Blair and Margaret Thatcher in the

:48:54.:48:56.

face and say, I matched what you did. I am trying to think when I

:48:57.:49:01.

party got over 50% in the two party system. I think it is only about

:49:02.:49:09.

once since the war. Yes, but the two-party politics is crucifying the

:49:10.:49:13.

Conservative hopes of getting a majority. Their absolute vote is not

:49:14.:49:17.

that bad. Let's find out what is happening in Hastings. John Hunt is

:49:18.:49:24.

in Hastings. Is it true that there is a recap of what was Amber Rudd's

:49:25.:49:25.

seat? -- a recount? Can you hear me? This is Hastings, David. There is a

:49:26.:49:43.

recount going on. I am so sorry. Basically, the difference between

:49:44.:50:05.

votes is a few hundred. This is the constituency of the Home Secretary,

:50:06.:50:09.

Amber Rudd. She had a majority of over 4700 and it looks like at best,

:50:10.:50:14.

that has been diminished to something in the hundreds, if at

:50:15.:50:21.

all. So there is going to be a recount. It looks like there will

:50:22.:50:25.

not be a result for another hour or two here. It was 1955 that the

:50:26.:50:35.

Conservatives got 49.3% of the vote. Now we can go to Nicola Sturgeon,

:50:36.:50:41.

with a bit of luck. The First Minister of Scotland. You are

:50:42.:50:52.

currently down I don't know how many seats, it has just disappeared from

:50:53.:50:56.

my screen for some extraordinary reason. How many seats do you reckon

:50:57.:51:03.

you have lost? We are still waiting for the final tally. But we will

:51:04.:51:09.

have won more seats than the other parties combined. The SNP has won

:51:10.:51:15.

this election in Scotland. It will be our second best ever result in a

:51:16.:51:21.

Westminster election. That said, yes, we are disappointed to have a

:51:22.:51:25.

number of losses, not least the loss of Angus Robertson, who has been an

:51:26.:51:31.

outstanding MP for Murray and an exceptional leader of the SNP group

:51:32.:51:35.

in the House of Commons. So we have won this election, but we have some

:51:36.:51:38.

reflection to do on the reasons why we also suffered some losses. Is it

:51:39.:51:44.

right to say you have won the election? It is a UK election we are

:51:45.:51:48.

talking about. You got more seats in Scotland. But it is pretty damaging

:51:49.:51:55.

for you to have lost seats both to the Conservatives and the Liberal

:51:56.:51:57.

Democrats and to Labour, who were thought to have been wiped out in

:51:58.:52:05.

Scotland before this election. I am not trying to downplay the losses.

:52:06.:52:09.

But I do think it is legitimate to say the SNP has won the election in

:52:10.:52:15.

Scotland. We will have more seats in Scotland than all of the other

:52:16.:52:19.

parties combined and more votes than any other party. So by any

:52:20.:52:23.

definition, that is a winning of the election in Scotland. There have

:52:24.:52:29.

been a number of factors at play. There has been a late surge to

:52:30.:52:33.

Jeremy Corbyn across the UK, including in Scotland, which was not

:52:34.:52:38.

necessarily detected in the polls in the same way that it was elsewhere

:52:39.:52:43.

in the UK. Clearly, there is a post-Brexit uncertainty and

:52:44.:52:48.

independence is a factor in that. I will reflect on that in the days to

:52:49.:52:54.

come. Tonight is also a disaster for Theresa May. She called this

:52:55.:52:59.

election voluntarily. She didn't need to. She thought she could

:53:00.:53:02.

steam-roll the opposition and cruised to a landslide victory and

:53:03.:53:06.

she has left tonight facing a disastrous election results. We will

:53:07.:53:09.

need to wait and see how the final results look in terms of what that

:53:10.:53:14.

means for the government of the UK. I hope the SNP can play a part in a

:53:15.:53:18.

progressive alternative to a Tory government, but we will have to see

:53:19.:53:24.

how the final results tally. You want both independent and you want

:53:25.:53:29.

to remain in the EU. Both those aims, have they been improved by

:53:30.:53:37.

this result and if so, how? Well, I will take time to reflect on this.

:53:38.:53:40.

It is four o'clock in the morning and like all politicians, I have not

:53:41.:53:44.

had any sleep in quite some time. So I am not going to rush to hasty

:53:45.:53:49.

judgments. But clearly, there is thinking for me to do about the SNP

:53:50.:53:54.

result. I am not going to lose sight of the fact that the SNP has won

:53:55.:53:58.

this election, but I am going to gloss over the fact that we have

:53:59.:54:03.

suffered some losses. Once we know the final result tomorrow, it is

:54:04.:54:09.

likely that the SNP will be the third largest party in Westminster,

:54:10.:54:13.

as we were in the last Parliament, if we can, we will want to be part

:54:14.:54:18.

of a progressive alliance that is an alternative to the Tories. But that

:54:19.:54:22.

will depend on how the arithmetic looks when the final results are in.

:54:23.:54:27.

And I use slightly chastened when you say you have won the election

:54:28.:54:33.

when you don't have over 50% of the popular vote in Scotland? It is only

:54:34.:54:37.

the electoral system that allows you to say you are the largest party. Is

:54:38.:54:46.

anybody listening to me right now is not going to hear someone try to

:54:47.:54:53.

overplay the SNP results. But when we have emerged with more votes and

:54:54.:55:01.

more seats than the other parties, it is OK to point to the fact that

:55:02.:55:06.

the SNP has won the election here. Before 2015, the largest number of

:55:07.:55:10.

seats the SNP had ever had was 11. Going into the 2015 election, we had

:55:11.:55:15.

six. We are likely to end up with about 30 when the final results are

:55:16.:55:20.

counted. So I am trying to be straight with you. I am not trying

:55:21.:55:25.

to gloss over some disappointing losses. But I think I am and have a

:55:26.:55:29.

point of the fact that we have won the election. I will reflect on the

:55:30.:55:35.

losses when we have analysed the reasons for that. No one could

:55:36.:55:40.

accuse you of being anything other than straight with us, Nicola

:55:41.:55:44.

Sturgeon. Thanks for talking to us. Let's go to Northern Ireland now.

:55:45.:55:51.

First of all, shots of the Prime Minister, coming back from

:55:52.:55:54.

Maidenhead and presumably going to Number Ten Downing Street. The

:55:55.:56:03.

Northern Ireland story is interesting. We have the four main

:56:04.:56:13.

parties, five in all. Chris Payne is there. Fill us in on what has

:56:14.:56:21.

happened and what you think will happen in Northern Ireland? It has

:56:22.:56:28.

been an extraordinarily good night for the biggest two parties in

:56:29.:56:32.

Northern Ireland. The Democratic Unionist Party and Sinn Fein. Their

:56:33.:56:35.

vote has surged. It has been a disastrous night for the nationalist

:56:36.:56:39.

SDLP. They went into this election with three seats. They have lost all

:56:40.:56:44.

three, their entire representation in the House of Commons. Not all of

:56:45.:56:49.

the results from Northern Ireland are in yet, but on the basis of what

:56:50.:56:54.

we have, I reckon the DUP are looking at ten seats, their best

:56:55.:56:58.

ever result in a Westminster election. Sinn Fein could be on for

:56:59.:57:05.

at least six, probably seven. Another seat has been won by an

:57:06.:57:14.

independent lady, Sylvia Hermon. The DUP are in a strong position. Their

:57:15.:57:21.

leader said the DUP would make their presence felt in the next

:57:22.:57:25.

Parliament. He referenced a number of issues such as counterterrorism,

:57:26.:57:29.

security, Brexit, the DUP in a strong pro-Brexit platform in this

:57:30.:57:36.

election, but also the future in Northern Ireland. The DUP think it

:57:37.:57:41.

has increased their hand when it comes to negotiations to restore the

:57:42.:57:44.

Stormont government which has not operated since January. The DUP will

:57:45.:57:49.

be in a strong position as a Brexit party and with Sinn Fein not taking

:57:50.:57:58.

their seats in the House of Commons. Yes, they have made that clear. No

:57:59.:58:02.

matter how tight things get in the House of Commons, Sinn Fein said

:58:03.:58:05.

that candidate stood on an abstention is ticket, therefore

:58:06.:58:10.

there is no way Sinn Fein will be taking their seats. With an increase

:58:11.:58:16.

in Sinn Fein's representation on six seats, it looks like they are likely

:58:17.:58:21.

to take a seventh in Fermanagh South, currently run by the Ulster

:58:22.:58:24.

Unionist Party. Ulster Unionist sources tell me they are worried

:58:25.:58:29.

about that seat. They have already lost their other seat to the DUP. So

:58:30.:58:34.

with Sinn Fein not taking their seats in the House of Commons and

:58:35.:58:38.

the SDLP losing their seats, it means there will no longer be any

:58:39.:58:41.

nationalist MPs from Northern Ireland sitting in the House of

:58:42.:58:47.

Commons and the vast majority, ten out of 11 MPs from Northern Ireland

:58:48.:58:51.

sitting in the House of Commons will be pro-Brexit. And you say they will

:58:52.:59:00.

play a hard game with the Prime Minister. They will be in a strong

:59:01.:59:03.

position with the Tory party not having an overall majority, to get

:59:04.:59:09.

what they want. That's right. Speaking to senior members of the

:59:10.:59:13.

DUP, they are emphasising that they realised they might be in an

:59:14.:59:17.

important position with regards to the stability of the country going

:59:18.:59:22.

into Brexit negotiations, and they will go into discussions in that

:59:23.:59:27.

spirit. However, the DUP are used to negotiations. Politics in Northern

:59:28.:59:32.

Ireland operates on negotiations a lot of the time. In the last

:59:33.:59:38.

election in 2015, a big part of their platform was that they

:59:39.:59:41.

expected there to be a hung parliament and that they would be

:59:42.:59:44.

best placed if they maximised their representation to get the best deal

:59:45.:59:48.

for Northern Ireland. This time, they were not expecting a hung

:59:49.:59:52.

parliament at all, didn't make it a big part of their campaign. But

:59:53.:59:55.

tonight, they have realised that they are in a strong position. Thank

:59:56.:59:57.

you. A word. Quick one person who is

:59:58.:00:11.

enjoying this evening more than his former colleagues is George Osborne.

:00:12.:00:17.

Now editor of the Evening Standard. He said today the worst thing she

:00:18.:00:23.

has done is no longer running through a wheat field. We have got a

:00:24.:00:29.

Dutch MEP who said Cameron gambled and lost, may gambled and lost, the

:00:30.:00:34.

Tory party beginning to look like a casino. This is one of the running

:00:35.:00:39.

themes of the night. We have got the front page of The Times newspaper.

:00:40.:00:48.

It is pretty brutal. Theresa May's big gamble fails. That will be the

:00:49.:00:52.

theme of all the headlines tomorrow. She has taken a massive gamble and

:00:53.:00:59.

it has backfired. Let's go to Wales. Sian Lloyd. All of the Cardiff

:01:00.:01:05.

Castles have finished and the results are in. They are all now

:01:06.:01:11.

Labour MPs. Cardiff North has been regained by Labour. It is a huge

:01:12.:01:16.

scalp. It was seen more as a safe Tory seat coming into this election.

:01:17.:01:19.

What we have seen in Wales is that Labour have held onto their seats

:01:20.:01:24.

and they have increased their majority, and they have taken seats

:01:25.:01:28.

from the Conservatives. They have taken the veil of clue it, they have

:01:29.:01:33.

taken Gower and Cardiff North. They have exceeded expectations that exit

:01:34.:01:41.

poll. Opinion polls said the Conservatives would do very well.

:01:42.:01:45.

There was still a suggestion of that in the exit poll. Labour has

:01:46.:01:50.

defended well. They haven't just defended, they have made games. We

:01:51.:01:56.

have been hearing from senior people who have been saying it has been

:01:57.:02:01.

down to two things. The Welsh Labour brand they have campaigned --

:02:02.:02:05.

campaign so strongly on. And also Jeremy Corbyn as well. They seem to

:02:06.:02:10.

be coming together. And the Conservatives in Wales already

:02:11.:02:12.

saying that they perhaps should have been fighting more on a Welsh

:02:13.:02:18.

Conservative brand. Those are the things we're hearing at the moment.

:02:19.:02:24.

Plaid Cymru, we're not exactly sure what sort of night it grin to be

:02:25.:02:28.

them. They have been relegated into third place. Labour increased their

:02:29.:02:38.

majority from 229 to most 5000 in Ennis Mone. -- Ynys Mon. There is a

:02:39.:02:47.

recount in Ceredigion. It is close between the Liberal Democrats and

:02:48.:02:53.

Plaid Cymru. There may not be any Morra Liberal Democrats in Wales. It

:02:54.:02:57.

is a recount. We now have a look at how things

:02:58.:03:04.

stand. Go to New Broadcasting House. The BBC headquarters. The

:03:05.:03:16.

Conservatives on 318. Labour on 267. This is a projection. The SMP on 32.

:03:17.:03:24.

The Liberal Democrats on 11. The Conservatives still the largest

:03:25.:03:26.

party but well short of an overall majority. I'm not quite sure how

:03:27.:03:35.

many seats in but a lot of seats in. We haven't got them all up. 484

:03:36.:03:42.

seats in. Just after four o'clock in the morning let's have the news.

:03:43.:03:45.

Here is rigid chakra Barty. Hello. With most 500 seats declared

:03:46.:03:56.

in the general election, Labour has done far better than many expected

:03:57.:04:00.

but the outcome remains uncertain. The Conservatives are on course to

:04:01.:04:04.

be the biggest party but without an overall majority. Jeremy Corbyn

:04:05.:04:07.

called on Theresa May to resign as your Mac. But Mrs May said the

:04:08.:04:11.

country needed a period of stability. Tom Bateman has the

:04:12.:04:21.

latest. She called this election early, a political gamble, the hope

:04:22.:04:27.

that she would transform the Tories' fragile majority with a huge win.

:04:28.:04:34.

Forecasts suggest the Conservatives may end up even worse off, without

:04:35.:04:46.

even a majority. If the Conservative Party have won the most seats and

:04:47.:04:49.

the most votes, it will be incumbent on us to make sure we have that

:04:50.:04:53.

period of stability. That is what we will do. You can see what the Labour

:04:54.:05:00.

leader makes of the results so far. A man his campaign confounded many

:05:01.:05:04.

expectations, beaming smiles, with Labour on course for a far better

:05:05.:05:13.

night than many thought. The Prime Minister called the election because

:05:14.:05:18.

she wanted a mandate. She has got lost seats, lost votes, lost support

:05:19.:05:22.

and lost confidence. I would've thought that is enough to go,

:05:23.:05:26.

actually, and make way for a government that will be truly

:05:27.:05:28.

representative of all of the people this country.

:05:29.:05:35.

In Battersea, Labour have ousted a government minister on a swing of

:05:36.:05:39.

10%. There have been Labour gains elsewhere in Stockton South and in

:05:40.:05:45.

Scotland. Senior figures already appeared delighted. Theresa May's

:05:46.:05:52.

authority has been undermined by this election. She is a damaged

:05:53.:05:55.

Prime Minister whose reputation may never recover. Just look at the mood

:05:56.:06:02.

in Hastings. Hardly beaming confidence where the Home Secretary

:06:03.:06:06.

is defending her seat. I'm just quietly waiting. It is not just the

:06:07.:06:17.

Tories suffering. In Sheffield, the Lib Dems former leader Nick Clegg

:06:18.:06:23.

has lost his seat. The light began with a big projection. The exit poll

:06:24.:06:27.

studied closely by the politician. Remember, it is still just a

:06:28.:06:32.

forecast. It had the Conservatives as the largest party but short of an

:06:33.:06:36.

overall majority. The Tories would have three and 14 seats, down 17 on

:06:37.:06:43.

two years ago. It puts Labour on 266, up 34. The SNP would get 34 and

:06:44.:06:51.

the Lib Dems 14. It was right to go to the country and ask them the

:06:52.:06:54.

question about what their views work, what people's views were about

:06:55.:06:59.

the direction they want for the future. There is encouraging news

:07:00.:07:02.

for the Conservatives in Scotland. They have taken the seat of SNP

:07:03.:07:11.

Westminster leader Angus Robertson. Democracy has been on full show.

:07:12.:07:16.

Ministers under threat, senior SNP figures gone, the Ukip vote

:07:17.:07:20.

collapsing in many places. Theresa May has left her constituency count.

:07:21.:07:24.

The election campaign has been an unpredictable journey for her.

:07:25.:07:29.

Already some Labour opponents saying tonight it should mean the end of

:07:30.:07:32.

the road for her premiership. But remember, there is still a way to go

:07:33.:07:40.

and more votes to be counted. The projected result of the vote has

:07:41.:07:43.

seen the pound weakened. Let's get the latest from Sharanjit Leyl. Tell

:07:44.:07:51.

us more? That is right. The most immediate reaction on the markets

:07:52.:07:56.

has been from the British pound. Sterling falling nearly 2% against

:07:57.:08:01.

the US dollar after the exit poll suggested the Conservative Party

:08:02.:08:04.

could lose its overall majority. The good news is that it continues to

:08:05.:08:10.

hold around the dollar and 27 mark. It hasn't fallen any further.

:08:11.:08:14.

Analysts say it is likely the pound will continue weak through the day

:08:15.:08:19.

because these early results suggest no clear winner. Given the political

:08:20.:08:23.

uncertainty that brings, the Brexit process could become to get it

:08:24.:08:28.

further. That is an uncertainty that markets and investors don't like.

:08:29.:08:32.

But having said that, most Asian markets at the moment are trading

:08:33.:08:39.

higher. The Nikkei up almost 1%. The Australian and Hong Kong markets

:08:40.:08:42.

fairly flat. No clear direction on how Asia is reacting. Thank you.

:08:43.:08:46.

Back to David. Welcome back to the election Centre.

:08:47.:09:06.

Welcome back to the house of commons, where we are now

:09:07.:09:10.

forecasting 318 for the Conservatives. Short of the

:09:11.:09:19.

majority. Labour on 267. There are many, many stories to be told

:09:20.:09:21.

tonight about what has happened. And Emily has a list of seats that have

:09:22.:09:27.

changed hands which we haven't yet caught up with.

:09:28.:09:32.

Labour is having a very good night in England. Leeds North West, Labour

:09:33.:09:37.

has taken from the Lib Dems. They needed a 3.4% swing to take this.

:09:38.:09:41.

They have doubled it. Nearly an 8-point swing. Greg Mulholland is

:09:42.:09:49.

out. Let me take you to Lincoln. This is the oldest constituency seat

:09:50.:09:53.

in the entire country. Founded in 1263. It is a Labour gain from the

:09:54.:09:58.

Conservatives. It has been pretty much a bellwether since the October

:09:59.:10:05.

election of 1974. Karen Lee has replaced Karl McCartney. Have a look

:10:06.:10:08.

at this change overnight. Labour up eight points. Ukip down ten. They

:10:09.:10:14.

got doubled the swing here as well. They needed 1.5 and they have got a

:10:15.:10:23.

3% swing. This is number 11 on the Labour target list. A tiny majority.

:10:24.:10:29.

806. If you want to see what that looks like as a swing, nearly 5%.

:10:30.:10:34.

Tony Blair won here for a Labour three times. Graham Evans is out,

:10:35.:10:41.

Mike Amesbury said. Some good news for the Conservatives in Scotland.

:10:42.:10:47.

Three seats they have taken from the SNP, Aberdeenshire West, Stirling

:10:48.:10:50.

and Berwickshire, which borders the one they're already had before this

:10:51.:10:54.

election, and you can see these tremendous swings away from the SMP

:10:55.:10:59.

towards the Conservatives. 14%, 11% and 11%. Everything has been up in

:11:00.:11:07.

the years since 2015. Some of those humongous swings of 13, 14%. One

:11:08.:11:17.

more. I will end with this. Edinburgh West has been gained by

:11:18.:11:22.

the Lib Dems. They are having a mixed night. A better night in

:11:23.:11:25.

Scotland. The Lib Dems taking this from the SNP. A swing 5.8%. On the

:11:26.:11:34.

back of these results what he can say is the one Tory having an

:11:35.:11:39.

excellent night is Davidson. We joined now by Jacob Rees Mogg. Ie

:11:40.:11:47.

When Somerset or Bristol? Are you in Taunton? I'm in Somerset. In Bath

:11:48.:12:00.

Bath University. You held your seat? I have, yes. Tell us about your view

:12:01.:12:06.

of what has happened? Was the Prime Minister guilty of hubris by running

:12:07.:12:10.

for this election when she said she wasn't going to? Is the result a

:12:11.:12:17.

disaster for the Conservative Party? No, neither of those things is true.

:12:18.:12:24.

And election was going to be inevitable after the Brexit result

:12:25.:12:29.

and of having a new Prime Minister. The new Prime Minister required a

:12:30.:12:33.

mandate. It was merely a question of time. As for the Conservative Party,

:12:34.:12:36.

we seem to be starting out today where we finished before the last

:12:37.:12:40.

parliament was dissolved. There isn't much change but there is some

:12:41.:12:44.

rotation. I think that will probably mean we continue to form the

:12:45.:12:48.

government. It is not a disaster but it is not as good as it could have

:12:49.:12:54.

been. It is quite strange to say you are where you were before this

:12:55.:12:57.

election when you did have a majority of 17 before the election.

:12:58.:13:01.

You know don't have a majority, it seems. Well, we haven't had all the

:13:02.:13:08.

seats in yet. It is not an enormous change. It is within the margin of

:13:09.:13:14.

error. She said she wanted to guarantee certainty and stability

:13:15.:13:18.

for the years ahead. Does this guarantee certainty and stability

:13:19.:13:20.

for more than a couple of months, perhaps? The British people are

:13:21.:13:26.

decided on the parliament they want and that is their right to do so. To

:13:27.:13:29.

be governed according to their democratic world. The certainty and

:13:30.:13:41.

security of the BBC reporting of the election. I congratulate you on your

:13:42.:13:46.

tenth successive election night. You may have an 11th in October. Time

:13:47.:13:50.

will tell. Leaving that aside for the moment, what do you think the

:13:51.:13:55.

Prime Minister should do about the Brexit negotiations due to start in

:13:56.:14:02.

11 days? Can it be pursued as nothing has happened? The Prime

:14:03.:14:07.

Minister is the Prime Minister and will pursue these negotiations. The

:14:08.:14:10.

very straightforward fact is that we leave the European Union at the end

:14:11.:14:15.

of 2019 and negotiations are a prelude to that. Whether we have had

:14:16.:14:24.

any negotiations are not, we leave in 2019. That is part of our law and

:14:25.:14:29.

the European treaties. Willoughby opposition in the Parliamentary

:14:30.:14:34.

party? You are a loyal supporter of the Prime Minister. But there will

:14:35.:14:37.

be people in the Conservative Party will feel this is a terrible error

:14:38.:14:41.

to have the election and it has done the party terrible damage, and she

:14:42.:14:46.

should take the blame because it was her decision, walking on the hills

:14:47.:14:49.

of Wales, that lead you where you are tonight? But I think the thing

:14:50.:14:55.

to remember is that George Osborne is no longer a member of the

:14:56.:14:58.

parliamentary party. He stood down. And although he may throw rocks from

:14:59.:15:03.

the Evening Standard, he is not in the House of Commons to cause

:15:04.:15:06.

trouble there. Why'd you mention George Osborne in particular? There

:15:07.:15:11.

are many others in the Tory party. I think you know what I am talking

:15:12.:15:12.

about. I am smiling because you have

:15:13.:15:22.

already reported his comments. Mrs May will have a good deal of

:15:23.:15:26.

support. She has only been the leader for under a year. She got in

:15:27.:15:32.

on contested. I don't think the Conservative Party is so fickle that

:15:33.:15:36.

it would not continue to back the Prime Minister. There appears to be

:15:37.:15:42.

somebody dismantling the set behind you and I don't want you to suffer

:15:43.:15:45.

the humiliation of being alone in the open air in some godforsaken

:15:46.:15:56.

part of Bath! I think the day the Lord gave us is ended. Thank you for

:15:57.:16:07.

joining us. Despite Jacob Rees Mogg's avowed loyalty to the Prime

:16:08.:16:10.

Minister, there is a conversation going on among the Conservatives.

:16:11.:16:16.

One former minister has said to me they find it hard to see how she can

:16:17.:16:23.

stay after this result. Even for a week? Tomorrow will potentially be a

:16:24.:16:27.

very eventful day. It will depend on the final numbers. Does it look like

:16:28.:16:34.

with Northern Irish votes, she can comfortably be in government? We are

:16:35.:16:38.

still in this situation where it feels very fragile. They used to be

:16:39.:16:46.

an old rule in the Conservative Party that senior members would come

:16:47.:16:53.

along and say to you in Number Ten, I'm sorry, your time is up, as they

:16:54.:16:57.

did to Margaret Thatcher. Do you think they might say that to her

:16:58.:17:02.

tomorrow? It is too early to say, but there are conversations among

:17:03.:17:05.

the Tory party going on at 4am over what to do tomorrow. It is not a

:17:06.:17:11.

question of everyone telling Theresa May, bad luck, you made a gamble and

:17:12.:17:17.

it didn't go as you expected but we will stand behind you. It is going

:17:18.:17:22.

to be more complicated. As a minimum, we are going to see demands

:17:23.:17:25.

saying that she must widen her circle. She must move away from this

:17:26.:17:31.

iron grip she has held within a tiny circle of trust. People may be

:17:32.:17:36.

calling for her to go. One minister is urging everybody to have a good

:17:37.:17:40.

night's sleep and a solution will be found that will not involve having

:17:41.:17:46.

another election. The Tories are pragmatists. It is not a good moment

:17:47.:17:50.

to change leader with the Brexit negotiations about to start. But we

:17:51.:17:55.

saw a very shaky Theresa May imply heavily that she will try to put a

:17:56.:18:00.

government together, but there are going to be real strains inside the

:18:01.:18:04.

Tory party that are already emerging in conversations tonight about

:18:05.:18:08.

whether they should take a different course of action. I am not saying

:18:09.:18:12.

she's going to be out in the morning, but it is not going to be a

:18:13.:18:16.

straightforward as Jacob Rees Mogg cheerily saying, of course we will

:18:17.:18:20.

line up behind the Prime Minister. We have pictures of Jeremy Corbyn

:18:21.:18:23.

arriving back home. He is the beneficiary of all this. And we have

:18:24.:18:33.

a declaration coming from Alex Salmond's constituency. I was going

:18:34.:18:39.

to ask you about Nick Timothy as well. There goes Mr Corbyn into his

:18:40.:18:52.

house. He was the result -- here is the result from Gordon. David Evans,

:18:53.:19:01.

Scottish Liberal Democrats, 6230. Scottish Labour Party, 6340. Alex

:19:02.:19:18.

Salmond, Scottish National Party, SNP, 19353.

:19:19.:19:34.

55 ballot papers were rejected. Total votes, 53740. Colin James

:19:35.:19:46.

Clark is duly elected to serve in the UK Parliament. So the

:19:47.:19:51.

Conservatives take Gordon and Alex Salmond, former leader of the SNP,

:19:52.:19:54.

loses his seat in the House of Commons. We heard from him a moment

:19:55.:20:00.

ago and here is the victorious Conservative candidate. Thank you to

:20:01.:20:07.

Jim savage in Aberdeenshire Council for tonight's count. When did Alex

:20:08.:20:15.

Salmond go into the House of Commons? I think in 1987 or 1992. He

:20:16.:20:26.

was leading until the referendum on independence. The Conservatives came

:20:27.:20:33.

not just from third place, but a distant third place a few years ago,

:20:34.:20:39.

11.7%. Under the old rules, they would have lost their deposits two

:20:40.:20:42.

years ago and now they have won deceit. It is remarkable. Those of

:20:43.:20:48.

us who watch Scottish politics closely have known from local

:20:49.:20:54.

election results in May that indeed, the SNP's vote was pivoting in

:20:55.:20:58.

Scotland away from the north-east, an area of traditional strength for

:20:59.:21:02.

the SNP, towards west central Scotland, towards Glasgow, towards

:21:03.:21:06.

the places where the independence vote was highest. And conversely,

:21:07.:21:10.

the advancing Conservative support which has been evident in Scotland

:21:11.:21:13.

for the last 12 months was also strong in the north-east. An

:21:14.:21:19.

interesting thing about the north-east is that despite the high

:21:20.:21:24.

SNP vote their traditionally, it was not an area that voted in favour of

:21:25.:21:32.

yes in 2014. And Murray in particular, which Angus Robertson

:21:33.:21:37.

lost, was the constituency which almost voted for Brexit. Let's leave

:21:38.:21:42.

Scotland and look at the UK as a whole. Are we heading for a hung

:21:43.:21:48.

parliament? I think in truth now, the chances of the Conservatives

:21:49.:21:52.

having an overall majority are no more than that. It is beginning to

:21:53.:21:56.

look highly likely that the Conservatives will not have 326

:21:57.:22:01.

seats. That said, given that the DUP will probably have ten seats in

:22:02.:22:05.

Northern Ireland, some of the talk we have heard about putting together

:22:06.:22:10.

a progressive alternative will not work. They will not have the

:22:11.:22:14.

numbers. Nobody is going to be happy with the result. We have a

:22:15.:22:20.

declaration from Holburn and St Pancras, and also from Plymouth.

:22:21.:22:24.

Keir Starmer was re-elected, by the way. Here is Plymouth. Oliver Newton

:22:25.:22:35.

Colville, the Conservative Party candidate, 17,000 806. Richard

:22:36.:22:40.

Michael Ellison, UK Independence Party, 1148. Luke Pollard, Labour

:22:41.:23:01.

and co-operative party, 23808. The Green Party, 540. The number of

:23:02.:23:12.

rejected ballot papers was 83. So Labour oust the Conservatives from

:23:13.:23:23.

Plymouth at, a seat famously in the past that David Owen had it. Alan

:23:24.:23:26.

Clark for the Conservatives had it. Now it is back in Labour's hands. He

:23:27.:23:35.

was a candidate therein 2015 and the Conservatives took it in 2010. We

:23:36.:23:44.

can now join Ruth Davidson, I hope, the leader of the Scottish

:23:45.:23:47.

Conservative Party. You are looking extremely cheerful, and no surprise

:23:48.:23:55.

in view of the results you have had. Let's deal with Scotland. What do

:23:56.:24:02.

you make of the inroads there? This is a historic night for the Scottish

:24:03.:24:05.

Conservatives. We haven't taken multiple seats here for more than 20

:24:06.:24:09.

years. The first election I could vote in was in 1997, when I was in

:24:10.:24:14.

the first year at university and I had to watch the results in the

:24:15.:24:19.

student union as I didn't own a telly. I had to watch every

:24:20.:24:26.

Conservative seat in Scotland for, surrounded by 200 Labour people

:24:27.:24:29.

bellowing about the results. So I have waited a long time for us to

:24:30.:24:32.

come back and I am proud of my team. We have fought so hard from the

:24:33.:24:38.

Highlands and back again. There is a lot of noise behind you, but I hope

:24:39.:24:44.

you can hear me. Is the problem for the Conservative Party in the UK as

:24:45.:24:48.

a whole that Theresa May doesn't have the lustre that attaches itself

:24:49.:24:56.

to you in Scotland? Well, I know it is getting late, David, but I didn't

:24:57.:25:00.

expect such competent! I think we can leave my lustre somewhere else

:25:01.:25:06.

if that is all right. We had a clear message in this campaign, which was

:25:07.:25:08.

about the big issue in Scotland right now, which was the issue of

:25:09.:25:12.

Nicola Sturgeon trying to ram through a second independence

:25:13.:25:17.

referendum in March. Theresa May was right to tell her, not now. And the

:25:18.:25:23.

people of Scotland were able to give their verdict on that. You have seen

:25:24.:25:26.

the number of SNP seats that have fallen. Indyref two is dead in

:25:27.:25:32.

Scotland. I don't know what you think I was referring to. I was

:25:33.:25:37.

referring to political lustre! You may have had a different

:25:38.:25:40.

interpretation. Looking at what has happened to the Tory party,

:25:41.:25:44.

something was clearly wrong about the decision to call an election,

:25:45.:25:52.

wasn't it? Well, we still have hundreds of results to come in, many

:25:53.:25:55.

of them in rural constituencies, where we know there is a high

:25:56.:26:00.

Conservative vote. So it is a bit premature before we see the whole

:26:01.:26:04.

picture. I could hear Professor Curtice and even his poll didn't

:26:05.:26:08.

look at what the Scottish Conservatives were going to do. But

:26:09.:26:17.

it does look as if we have scored in the mid-40s, possibly even higher

:26:18.:26:21.

than Tony Blair's landslide election in terms of share of the vote. So

:26:22.:26:25.

there is a lot of information to unpack from tonight and I am not

:26:26.:26:29.

sure that this time in the morning is the time to do it. Would you like

:26:30.:26:36.

to leave the Conservative Party? Dashed when would you like to lead

:26:37.:26:42.

this Conservative Party? I already live the Scottish Conservative

:26:43.:26:46.

Party. I know, but I am asking if you would like to lead the

:26:47.:26:50.

Conservative Party in the UK. If I wanted to be in the UK Parliament, I

:26:51.:26:54.

would have stood in a UK constituency. I have a job to do

:26:55.:26:58.

here. I lead the main opposition in the Scottish parliament. I have four

:26:59.:27:03.

years to turn us into a credible alternative government for Scotland.

:27:04.:27:06.

Last year, we stopped the SNP having a majority and we doubled our

:27:07.:27:13.

results in the local government elections. We are able to make

:27:14.:27:16.

significant gains and we will be challenging Nicola Sturgeon for the

:27:17.:27:19.

government of Scotland in four years' time. But can I tempt you one

:27:20.:27:25.

more time not to become the leader of the Tory party in the UK as a

:27:26.:27:28.

whole, but to look at the problem the Tory party faces at Westminster

:27:29.:27:32.

and how you think that will work out? There is going to be a wedge of

:27:33.:27:38.

SNP MPs there, 33 at the current rate. It sounds as if there is going

:27:39.:27:45.

to be a hung parliament. Do you think this spells danger for the

:27:46.:27:52.

Tory party as a whole? And that might reflect on the Tory party in

:27:53.:27:58.

Scotland in the end. I don't think the Labour Party can rely on the

:27:59.:28:02.

SNP. Their history shows that they can't. The SNP helped bring down the

:28:03.:28:06.

Labour government, which allowed Margaret Thatcher to become Prime

:28:07.:28:11.

Minister. So there is lots to be unpacked from this evening. But we

:28:12.:28:15.

have learned from Scotland that referendums shake up the snow globe

:28:16.:28:19.

of party politics. We have seen it with the Scottish referendum. The

:28:20.:28:23.

rest of the UK has seen it with having an election after a Brexit

:28:24.:28:27.

referendum. Sometimes, it takes time for the flex to fall. So let's take

:28:28.:28:34.

a bit of time to see where we are as a country. We still have hundreds of

:28:35.:28:38.

seats to be declared. The time for analysis is later. Ruth Davidson,

:28:39.:28:45.

thank you. We actually have 100 seats to be declared. From our

:28:46.:28:54.

helicopter, we see pictures of Theresa May coming to the

:28:55.:29:00.

Conservative Party headquarters. She would have been expecting to be

:29:01.:29:03.

cheered on by staff lined up on the steps to greet her, even if the

:29:04.:29:10.

majority was 40 or 50. We should use a drone for these shots, not a

:29:11.:29:14.

helicopter. It is very out of date to use a helicopter. She is going

:29:15.:29:20.

into Conservative Party headquarters in Smith Square, near the House of

:29:21.:29:29.

Commons. It is slightly around the corner. They moved out of Smith

:29:30.:29:34.

Square with the old symbolic building and the famous pictures of

:29:35.:29:36.

Margaret Thatcher hang out of the window. But the contrast to the Tory

:29:37.:29:47.

expectations... She will have had gone there to watch the results come

:29:48.:29:54.

in. But why did she not go back to Downing Street? There is a question.

:29:55.:29:59.

Traditionally, the leaders would watch in the party headquarters, in

:30:00.:30:02.

anticipation of their glorious walk back to triumph up Downing Street in

:30:03.:30:08.

the morning, by which point people like me are waiting for them.

:30:09.:30:22.

Margaret Thatcher and John Major went back to Conservative Party

:30:23.:30:30.

headquarters. She is right. Jeremy Vine, let's have a look at the

:30:31.:30:35.

popular vote. Why don't we take a look at the projected national

:30:36.:30:40.

share? It is always a big moment. We try to give you where we think the

:30:41.:30:47.

percentages will be. 550 seats in. We are flashing the gains. Maybe

:30:48.:30:54.

less dramatic than it looks when we go through them one at a time. A lot

:30:55.:30:59.

of seats stay the way they are. But a seat like Canterbury going to

:31:00.:31:04.

Labour with a 10,000 majority previously, that is extraordinary.

:31:05.:31:08.

Stroud as well. Some red flashing in England. A lot of gains for the

:31:09.:31:15.

Liberal Democrats, Labour and the Conservatives, which changes the

:31:16.:31:23.

terrain. That is how the map looks. Let's turn to the percentages. This

:31:24.:31:28.

is how we think the night will enter up. We have enough results now to

:31:29.:31:32.

give you these. The Conservatives on 43%. Labour on 40%. The Liberal

:31:33.:31:42.

Democrats on 8%. Ukip on just 2%. And the Green Party on 2%. The

:31:43.:31:47.

interesting thing about this election outside Scotland is the way

:31:48.:31:50.

that so many votes are just aggregated around the two main

:31:51.:31:54.

parties. With this Labour 40%, even though they have lost the election,

:31:55.:31:59.

that is higher than one of the percentages Tony Blair got when he

:32:00.:32:03.

won and election. A remarkable figure. 43 for the Conservatives.

:32:04.:32:11.

Let's look at the change from last time. The Conservatives are up six.

:32:12.:32:17.

They have had a reverse in many senses but they are up six. Labour's

:32:18.:32:24.

increase is more dramatic. Up 10% on 2015. The explanation is here. The

:32:25.:32:32.

crash in the Ukip vote. It is so dramatically down. It has released a

:32:33.:32:37.

lot of voters into the system. A lot of assumptions had been they would

:32:38.:32:41.

go straight to the blue party but quite a few of them have gone to

:32:42.:32:46.

Labour. The Lib Dems not relieve benefiting. They are just up 1% on

:32:47.:32:51.

what was a terrible election result for them last time. Their vote seems

:32:52.:32:57.

to be focused this election. There we go. Labour have made a tremendous

:32:58.:33:01.

advance in this election. The Conservatives remain the winners. To

:33:02.:33:05.

see the second placed party getting 40% is really remarkable. Thank you.

:33:06.:33:15.

Yes. Let's go to Broxtowe and join Anna Soubry. Good morning. Here we

:33:16.:33:21.

are, down the other end of the lens. You scraped in in Broxtowe.

:33:22.:33:26.

Congratulations. You are under a thousand majority. Remember the

:33:27.:33:36.

first time I got elected here the majority was 389. In my terms, the

:33:37.:33:42.

majority of 800 isn't bad. You always lived dangerously, we know

:33:43.:33:47.

that. I should have got much more. That is the whole point. What do you

:33:48.:33:52.

make of the decision to call this election and its consequence? There

:33:53.:33:57.

was a of merit in calling it. Theresa May wanted her own mandate.

:33:58.:34:03.

One year in with somebody else's manifesto, I think that completely

:34:04.:34:08.

made sense. You know my views about strengthening the Brexit hand. I'm

:34:09.:34:15.

afraid we ran a pretty dreadful campaign. That is probably me being

:34:16.:34:19.

generous. I can't explain exactly what has happened. As Jeremy has

:34:20.:34:25.

just identified, you have seen these incredible shares. In Broxtowe I put

:34:26.:34:29.

on more votes but Labour put on more votes as well. We are not quite sure

:34:30.:34:35.

where they came from. But we have won in Mansfield, an astonishing

:34:36.:34:40.

result. We failed to win deadly, Nottingham South and there is a

:34:41.:34:46.

recount in Nashville. The Labour MP had a majority of more than 7000.

:34:47.:34:51.

That is astonishing. A lot of it depends on the candidate and the

:34:52.:34:55.

campaign. And it depends on being a good sensible, moderate

:34:56.:34:59.

Conservative. You said you were being generous when you called it a

:35:00.:35:03.

dreadful campaign. In what sense was a dreadful campaign? Where'd you

:35:04.:35:10.

want me to begin? Anywhere you like. It was a dreadful campaign. Lots of

:35:11.:35:19.

parts of the manifesto are extremely good. If you're going to look at

:35:20.:35:23.

social care, you have to put that policy in, in a way that explains

:35:24.:35:30.

this is a good thing that you are going to do. When you talk about the

:35:31.:35:33.

changes you are going to make in school lunches, you start with the

:35:34.:35:37.

headline that says children from poorer families will now get two

:35:38.:35:42.

free meals a day. You don't start from the basis that some children

:35:43.:35:46.

will lose a free school mill. All the way along, those sorts of

:35:47.:35:50.

messages were appalling. And then the change of heart on social care,

:35:51.:35:56.

I'm afraid, deeply flawed Theresa May. They did not make her look a

:35:57.:36:00.

strong and stable Prime Minister and leaders she said she was. That was a

:36:01.:36:06.

very difficult and serious blow in terms of her own credibility. And

:36:07.:36:10.

the way the campaign was being run, which was about her and what she

:36:11.:36:14.

wanted to do. She put her mark absolutely on this campaign. Can she

:36:15.:36:23.

remain Prime Minister? That is a matter for her, David. That sounds

:36:24.:36:34.

like a no. It is bad. It is a matter for her. I think she is in a very

:36:35.:36:42.

difficult place. She is remarkable. She is a very talented woman. And

:36:43.:36:47.

she doesn't shy from difficult decisions. She has to consider her

:36:48.:36:51.

position. We haven't had all the results. We need to see where we

:36:52.:36:56.

are. Teresa did put her mark on the campaign. She takes responsibility

:36:57.:37:00.

for the running of the campaign as well. It was a tightly knit group

:37:01.:37:04.

and it was her group that when the campaign. Do you have any idea of

:37:05.:37:11.

who might take over as leader of the Conservative Party? Who would you

:37:12.:37:18.

like to see lead? You raised the issue. I am not going to get into

:37:19.:37:26.

that. I didn't, actually. You asked me if she could stay on and I said

:37:27.:37:30.

she needs to consider her position. I won't go further than that.

:37:31.:37:35.

Considering your position means you go, doesn't it? It is a dreadful

:37:36.:37:40.

night. I have lost some proper, sound, moderate of Conservatives --

:37:41.:37:48.

moderate. One nation Conservatives. We never thought at the beginning of

:37:49.:37:51.

this day that we would be in a position where we are actually

:37:52.:37:56.

losing seat and seat which we have held with excellent MPs over some

:37:57.:38:00.

considerable time. This is a very bad moment for the Conservative

:38:01.:38:04.

Party. And we need to take stock. Our leader needs to take stock as

:38:05.:38:10.

well. You have always been an opponent of Brexit and a believer in

:38:11.:38:14.

remaining in the EU. What happens to Brexit now? The announcement that we

:38:15.:38:20.

are leaving the EU has been made. Do you expect everything to change now?

:38:21.:38:25.

A departure more in the style that you might be able to accept, to

:38:26.:38:31.

succeed from the hard Brexit? Luck, I have accepted the result. One of

:38:32.:38:38.

the things that was released writing in the campaign in Broxtowe was that

:38:39.:38:42.

most people, very few people, had not accepted the result. Most people

:38:43.:38:47.

like me had accepted the result. A lot of people want are the result.

:38:48.:38:51.

But there was no desire to go back for a second referendum, no desire

:38:52.:38:56.

to go back on the result of almost a year ago. What people do want is

:38:57.:39:00.

they want a good deal and they want somebody who is good to get that

:39:01.:39:10.

good deal. We are in a very difficult position. You know my

:39:11.:39:12.

views. I put in my own literature that I believe in the single market

:39:13.:39:15.

and will make the case for the single market and will make the

:39:16.:39:18.

positive case for the benefits of immigration to this country, and I'm

:39:19.:39:20.

proud to have been elected on that manifesto in Broxtowe.

:39:21.:39:23.

Anna Soubry, thank you. Some results...

:39:24.:39:30.

I will start with Halifax, the place were Theresa May lobster manifesto.

:39:31.:39:35.

It should have been an easy game for the Conservatives. They only needed

:39:36.:39:39.

a 0.5% swing. It was number five on their target list. Labour has taken

:39:40.:39:47.

it with the majority of more than 5000. They have done astonishingly

:39:48.:39:56.

well. This is a part of the country were the Conservatives focused their

:39:57.:40:00.

energy. They were taken on a 5.1% swing. That was just a hold. You can

:40:01.:40:05.

see what happens in a place where they have done better. Colne Valley,

:40:06.:40:11.

a similar part of the world. We thought it was safe Conservative. It

:40:12.:40:14.

used to be a 3-way marginal. Possibly the loss that make the drop

:40:15.:40:19.

in the Lib Dem vote has helped Labour. Thelma Walker is the new MP.

:40:20.:40:26.

She has gained 13% more share of the vote. And this swing here is 5.5%,

:40:27.:40:34.

giving her a majority in this new seat for Labour. One more which

:40:35.:40:41.

again suggests what we were saying about Ruth Davidson in Scotland, who

:40:42.:40:45.

is emerging as the real bright spark of the Conservatives tonight. 48% to

:40:46.:40:56.

39%, Conservative gain in the Cedar Banff and Buchan. Alex Salmond held

:40:57.:41:00.

this EP Fourie became leader and went on to hold the seat of Gordon.

:41:01.:41:13.

We have seen all the drama of the swing in the Tory gains. This is the

:41:14.:41:19.

biggest one we have seen tonight. 20% from the SNP to the

:41:20.:41:23.

Conservatives. You can see why Nicola Sturgeon were starting to

:41:24.:41:27.

sound less sure about the position of independence for Scotland. We

:41:28.:41:34.

have a result coming in. Laura, you want to say something. Iain Duncan

:41:35.:41:37.

Smith is waiting with Michelle Hossain. After that very clear call

:41:38.:41:44.

from the former minister, Anna Soubry, ... Let's interrupt you.

:41:45.:41:52.

This is held by Simon Kirby, the Conservatives.

:41:53.:41:58.

Doktor Haze, independent, 212. Simon Kirby, Conservative Party, 18,000 --

:41:59.:42:08.

18 835. Lloyd Russell-Moyle, Labour party, 28,000 703. Emily Louise

:42:09.:42:20.

tester, Liberal Democrat, 1457. A pretty sensational victory for

:42:21.:42:25.

Labour in Brighton Kemptown. Simon Kirby defeated by something like a

:42:26.:42:32.

majority of nearly 10,000. That is another minister gone. We have seen

:42:33.:42:35.

ministers go to night. I was just saying before we went to the result,

:42:36.:42:40.

there is clearly turmoil inside the Tory ranks. We heard Anna Soubry

:42:41.:42:45.

essentially calling Theresa May to go. Consider your position. That is

:42:46.:42:50.

cold for summary should leave. Another Tory source has just told me

:42:51.:42:54.

that Theresa May is 50-50 to go tomorrow. One source, I stress, but

:42:55.:43:01.

a good source. Another minister has just messaged me saying, as William

:43:02.:43:07.

Hague said, the Tory party is absolute monarchy registered by

:43:08.:43:14.

regicide. That is the territory we are now in. They are ruthless. The

:43:15.:43:19.

thing with Theresa May is, if somebody looks like a loser, it even

:43:20.:43:23.

though she is on course to be the biggest party, the Tories are

:43:24.:43:27.

ruthless if a leader looks like they can't deliver. There is clearly a

:43:28.:43:32.

lot of turmoil. I will not make any firm predictions about what she may

:43:33.:43:37.

do. She is meeting with her advisers right now. Michelle Hossain is

:43:38.:43:43.

upstairs. Iain Duncan Smith this year. As is a

:43:44.:43:51.

former Labour Party adviser. Should you consider her position? It would

:43:52.:43:56.

be a grave error to suddenly going into the turmoil after the result.

:43:57.:44:01.

We need some stability right now. We have to figure out what the final

:44:02.:44:08.

result is and then, can we lead a government, that is the critical

:44:09.:44:13.

question to ask. These things have to be decided. You can't say you are

:44:14.:44:16.

going to have a leadership election. That would plunge everything into

:44:17.:44:22.

turmoil. Are you saying she should have a period of time and then she

:44:23.:44:26.

could step down? No. I am saying that we need to make that might find

:44:27.:44:32.

it for the result is. Whether it is feasible to put the government

:44:33.:44:35.

together. We don't know that yet. We don't know the final result. If that

:44:36.:44:43.

is feasible, then that changes the complexion of what we are dealing

:44:44.:44:47.

with. And then the party has to meet, they have to talk to her and

:44:48.:44:51.

decide whether this is what she wants to do. And if she does,

:44:52.:44:55.

frankly, we need that stability. I am not in favour of launching these

:44:56.:45:00.

kind of off the cuff vendettas. I think the truth is we need to stay

:45:01.:45:06.

calm and stable. It can't be business as usual, can it? People

:45:07.:45:11.

must be annoyed you have ended up in this position. It is clearly not

:45:12.:45:16.

going to be business as usual. The irony is this result is full of

:45:17.:45:20.

peculiar things. Poll rating has gone up but we have got the worst

:45:21.:45:24.

result. People like me have had higher vote shares but a smaller

:45:25.:45:28.

majority. We have lost colleagues around the country. Of course there

:45:29.:45:34.

is turmoil. But the key point here is the next 24-hour is we need

:45:35.:45:38.

stability. But we don't want is any kind of rush to say change, leave,

:45:39.:45:44.

let's see with the results are and whether we can form the Gutman.

:45:45.:45:49.

Ayesha Hazarika, in 2015 the Labour vote share was 30%. Jeremy Corbyn

:45:50.:45:58.

has achieved over 40%. It has been an extraordinary night for Labour. I

:45:59.:46:02.

think there were Labour MPs up and down the country wondering if they

:46:03.:46:07.

would survive the night. Jeremy Corbyn ran the opposite of the

:46:08.:46:11.

Theresa May campaign. It was open and full of hope and popular, and he

:46:12.:46:16.

was visible. It is incredible that we are in this situation. Theresa

:46:17.:46:21.

May called this election and was 20 points ahead in the polls. She

:46:22.:46:26.

called it on leadership and now we are having conversations about

:46:27.:46:29.

whether she will still be around in the morning. In February, you said

:46:30.:46:32.

the only way Jeremy Corbyn could save the Labour Party was by

:46:33.:46:37.

stepping down. I completely got it wrong, along with a lot of people.

:46:38.:46:44.

But what he has done brilliantly is for people hope. This country has

:46:45.:46:48.

been sick of seven years of austerity rule, and they wanted a

:46:49.:46:52.

change. They wanted somebody to offer them hope. Credit where credit

:46:53.:46:59.

is due, I hold my hands up and say I was one of the people who got it

:47:00.:47:05.

wrong. The Labour manifesto as well, particularly in contrasts of the

:47:06.:47:07.

Tory manifesto, which didn't offer anything and was a shambolic U-turn

:47:08.:47:15.

on the dementia tax. Was it a dreadful campaign? It clearly wasn't

:47:16.:47:20.

the greatest campaign, or we would be in a different position now. The

:47:21.:47:24.

key element is that there will be time for my party to have a look

:47:25.:47:27.

through what didn't go right and what went wrong. Theresa May, having

:47:28.:47:37.

gone into the election, found her position diminished. Right now, all

:47:38.:47:47.

my colleagues need to just take a deep breath and not go on the media.

:47:48.:47:52.

They need to keep quiet until we have figured out where we are. The

:47:53.:47:57.

oldest rule in the book is, no way your starting point is. I want

:47:58.:48:04.

Theresa May to stay for that reason. Do you fear that Brexit may not be

:48:05.:48:09.

delivered, or not the sort of Brexit you would like? I just want Brexit.

:48:10.:48:13.

We will see what that means. The Labour Party has already said they

:48:14.:48:20.

were signed up to Brexit. The Labour Party position has been good on

:48:21.:48:24.

Brexit, but it is extraordinary to think that she started this whole

:48:25.:48:28.

campaign saying "My leadership will be strong and stable", and she is

:48:29.:48:31.

the one now facing leadership challenges. She has had a stinker of

:48:32.:48:39.

a campaign. It happens. Nothing is perfect, but I do want stability and

:48:40.:48:46.

I want her to stay. You want something strong and stable. I will

:48:47.:48:51.

just settle for stability right now. She remains Prime Minister and the

:48:52.:48:57.

country has to come first. For anyone watching, if you are Prime

:48:58.:49:03.

Minister, stay put and then we can figure out what our position is.

:49:04.:49:09.

Iain Duncan Smith and Ayesha Hazarika, thank you.

:49:10.:49:11.

We are joined now from stricken by Chuka Umunna, one of those who were

:49:12.:49:15.

rather critical of the leadership of Jeremy Corbyn and indeed voted him

:49:16.:49:22.

out. Congratulations on your victory, first of all. Your vote

:49:23.:49:28.

went up by 12,000 or something. But let's cut to the chase. What do you

:49:29.:49:33.

make of what has happened? You and many others misjudged Jeremy Corbyn,

:49:34.:49:42.

didn't you? First of all, the Prime Minister held this election for

:49:43.:49:46.

naked party political reasons. It was opportunism writ large, and she

:49:47.:49:51.

wanted a personal mandate to pursue an extremely job destroying Brexit.

:49:52.:49:56.

And she has been denied that. I am delighted about that. Let's be frank

:49:57.:50:00.

about the reason she has been denied that. It isn't just that she ran a

:50:01.:50:05.

terrible campaign and clearly is not up to campaigning by being with

:50:06.:50:12.

people and talking to them about the issues, whereas Jeremy is absolutely

:50:13.:50:18.

at home campaigning, talking to people, getting involved in the

:50:19.:50:22.

debate. But the reason why many people will have changed their

:50:23.:50:29.

minds, the reason I voted no confidence last year was that I was

:50:30.:50:33.

angry because I felt we could have done more to ensure that we got a

:50:34.:50:38.

Remain vote in that referendum. But the effect of Jeremy running this

:50:39.:50:43.

kind of campaign, positive, optimistic, dynamic, engaging young

:50:44.:50:46.

people, putting forward policies, we saw looked loved that from the

:50:47.:50:50.

Tories and as ie she just said, the one big thing people will remember

:50:51.:50:54.

about the Tory manifesto is the dementia tax. But the effect of

:50:55.:50:59.

actually putting forward this agenda has thwarted Theresa May's attempts

:51:00.:51:05.

to pursue a hard Brexit. I give Jeremy and the entire Labour team

:51:06.:51:08.

full credit for that, because it was a solid, good national campaign and

:51:09.:51:14.

we have amazing local operations. I temper this just by making this

:51:15.:51:19.

observation, which is that the Labour Party was founded 117 years

:51:20.:51:23.

ago by Keir Hardie and others, not only to be the representative of

:51:24.:51:27.

workers in parliament, but to govern in their interests too. We don't

:51:28.:51:29.

know what will happen because we don't know the final numbers or

:51:30.:51:34.

whether Labour will be part of whatever comes out of this. But it

:51:35.:51:40.

is a positive step forward to government today. Ultimately, we

:51:41.:51:43.

must get into government in the future to make our values real. If

:51:44.:51:55.

you were now offered a position back in the Shadow Cabinet, assuming it

:51:56.:51:57.

is still a Shadow Cabinet, would you accept it? I have never been asked

:51:58.:52:04.

to serve in the Shadow Cabinet under Jeremy before. But I want to get

:52:05.:52:13.

Labour back into government. I can work in any way to make that happen.

:52:14.:52:17.

I would not rule out being part of a Shadow Cabinet if I was asked. I

:52:18.:52:23.

don't presume that I will be asked, but I intend to play a full role in

:52:24.:52:28.

making sure we do what we need to do to deliver on our values. My guess

:52:29.:52:36.

is that you began this campaign thinking that at the end of it,

:52:37.:52:39.

there might be a vacancy for the leadership of the Labour Party, and

:52:40.:52:46.

that has now been postponed. I wouldn't describe it as my dream. I

:52:47.:52:53.

did not dream of having the majority that Labour activists have just

:52:54.:52:57.

secured here in Streatham. My wife was here with me earlier and she

:52:58.:53:00.

asked me at the beginning of the campaign not to make any

:53:01.:53:02.

predictions, because she said before the last general election, you

:53:03.:53:05.

thought Labour would end up in government and you didn't. You

:53:06.:53:09.

thought the Remain side would win the EU referendum campaign, and then

:53:10.:53:12.

you assured me we wouldn't see a president Donald Trump and we do.

:53:13.:53:16.

She said, I am not going to believe predictions from you and I don't

:53:17.:53:20.

think you make any. For the start of this campaign, I went on the Daily

:53:21.:53:24.

Politics and other programmes and people ask, do you think Labour will

:53:25.:53:27.

win? And I have said, anything is possible. What this illustrates

:53:28.:53:38.

is... Chuka Umunna, thank you much. I want to hear the result from

:53:39.:53:42.

Hastings and see whether Amber Rudd has held on. Liberal Democrats,

:53:43.:53:54.

1885. Michael Sheridan Phillips, Ukip, 1479. Amber Rudd, the

:53:55.:54:07.

Conservative Party candidate, 25668. Nicholas John Wilson, independent,

:54:08.:54:13.

412. The total number of ballot papers rejected was 97. The turnout

:54:14.:54:19.

was 70%. Therefore, I give public notice that Amber Rudd is duly

:54:20.:54:22.

elected as the member of Parliament for the Hastings and write

:54:23.:54:28.

constituency. So the Home Secretary holds onto her seat. There was talk

:54:29.:54:31.

that it would be difficult for her, but she holds on. I would like to

:54:32.:54:38.

thank the returning officer and the fantastic counting agents who have

:54:39.:54:41.

done the job twice this evening. We are grateful to you for staying late

:54:42.:54:46.

and doing a professional job. I would also like to thank my team who

:54:47.:54:53.

have done a fantastic job supporting me and making sure we had a good

:54:54.:54:56.

turnout on the day. I would particularly like to thank the

:54:57.:55:02.

Labour candidate, who I know well and I am sure will continue in his

:55:03.:55:05.

role as leader of the council. Thank you for a fair fight. I am deeply

:55:06.:55:13.

honoured to have been re-elected for now for the third time by the

:55:14.:55:17.

residents of Hastings and Rye. This is a fantastic place to live and

:55:18.:55:23.

work and I hope I will continue to build on the great opportunities and

:55:24.:55:26.

the great regeneration that has been taking place in this area, improving

:55:27.:55:31.

our schools, improving our NHS and getting the infrastructure

:55:32.:55:34.

investment that we need. This is what matters to me and this is what

:55:35.:55:39.

I hope to continue to deliver for the fantastic constituency of

:55:40.:55:46.

Hastings and Rye. So Amber Rudd, with the seagulls behind her. She

:55:47.:55:55.

was generally seen to have had a good campaign. Is there a

:55:56.:55:59.

possibility that she might be in the line for becoming leader of the

:56:00.:56:02.

Conservative Party? She has been talked about. But having had such a

:56:03.:56:10.

narrow result and having been a big part of a campaign that is judged to

:56:11.:56:14.

be a disaster, it looks harder for her now than it would have done a

:56:15.:56:21.

couple of weeks ago. At that time, she would have been top of the list.

:56:22.:56:26.

She was widely tipped to be Theresa May's next Chancellor if Theresa May

:56:27.:56:35.

ends up staying on. She was certainly considered as a potential

:56:36.:56:39.

leadership candidate in the future. But I wonder whether her judgment on

:56:40.:56:43.

this campaign and her role in it makes that less likely. She was the

:56:44.:56:54.

Prime Minister's understudy and she is a formidable character. She is a

:56:55.:57:03.

Remainer, but widely respected. Let's see what Nigel Farage has been

:57:04.:57:09.

up to in the last couple of hours. He has stormed back into the

:57:10.:57:13.

political conversation. In a sense, he never went away, but with Paul

:57:14.:57:17.

Nuttall as the leader of Ukip having a bad result, Nigel Farage has been

:57:18.:57:21.

vocal. He said tonight that Article 50 had been triggered and we were on

:57:22.:57:26.

our way. May has put this in jeopardy. Even David Davis is now

:57:27.:57:30.

making Brexit concessions. There is a clear mood developing from lots of

:57:31.:57:35.

people who were fervent Brexiteers, including Iain Duncan Smith, that

:57:36.:57:38.

they are annoyed at what is happening. That is Nigel Farage's

:57:39.:57:42.

quote. Paddy Ashdown has also weighed in on the issue of Brexit.

:57:43.:57:46.

The former Lib Dem leader says if this election was about Brexit, must

:57:47.:57:50.

we not conclude that Britain has rejected Mrs May's hard Brexit? So

:57:51.:57:55.

there are lots of people on inside of the Brexit camp trying to use

:57:56.:58:00.

this result is a way of casting judgment on the Brexit referendum of

:58:01.:58:03.

2016. Chris Evans, editor of the Daily Telegraph, is also talking

:58:04.:58:08.

about the softening of Brexit. He says the DUP are already outlining

:58:09.:58:13.

terms for a soft Brexit as the price for propping up the Tories. And the

:58:14.:58:19.

Financial Times says it is almost as if Theresa May looked at Hillary's

:58:20.:58:24.

campaign and said, let's do that. That is as cruel as you can get.

:58:25.:58:34.

Here is the latest Daily Mail front page. Theresa May of course had huge

:58:35.:58:37.

support from most of the British press. One of her main spin doctors

:58:38.:58:44.

is a former Daily Mail political editor. They are very disappointed

:58:45.:58:50.

at the result. And they say there are fears of Brexit chaos. Emily,

:58:51.:58:58.

another result? Look at Enfield Southgate. This was where we had the

:58:59.:59:05.

Portillo moment in 1997 and you can see what has happened. It has been a

:59:06.:59:09.

Labour gain from the Conservatives again. In Portillo's day, there was

:59:10.:59:19.

a 15,000 majority. Labour has taken it on a 4000 majority. Come back to

:59:20.:59:26.

me! Have a glass of water. That is a fascinating seat. It is outer

:59:27.:59:31.

London, not in London, where you have lots of students and very

:59:32.:59:36.

trendy left. Enfield Southgate is not the home of the trendy Islington

:59:37.:59:42.

left. Enfield Southgate is a sort of Middle Britain seat that happens to

:59:43.:59:46.

be in the south-east. And there we see a big Labour gain. At the

:59:47.:59:50.

beginning of the night, we never would have thought we would see that

:59:51.:59:57.

kind of swing. Let me pick up here. Don't choke to death this time.

:59:58.:00:01.

Sangakkara it is the excitement of the night, or maybe a stray

:00:02.:00:05.

blueberry. 9.7% swing from the Conservatives to Labour in this

:00:06.:00:11.

seat, which really was a moment in 1997.

:00:12.:00:17.

We are looking at places that Blair won for the first time. Some of

:00:18.:00:24.

these are on the chart for the first time since then. It is extraordinary

:00:25.:00:28.

to think of these different characters, Tony Blair and Jeremy

:00:29.:00:33.

Corbyn, but to see the same kind of places cropping up. The next one is

:00:34.:00:39.

Keighley. Again, quite far down the Labour targets. It is a neck and

:00:40.:00:44.

neck vote between the Labour Party and the Conservatives, but enough

:00:45.:00:48.

for a Labour to gain it. A big drop in the Ukip vote. They needed a 3.1%

:00:49.:00:54.

swing. You can see what has happened. They have taken it, just,

:00:55.:01:01.

on a 3.3% swing. Some quite interesting ones. Derbyshire

:01:02.:01:05.

Northeast has been a gain for the Conservatives. It was 18 on their

:01:06.:01:09.

list. Lee Rowley pushing out Natascha Engel, quite a well-known

:01:10.:01:19.

name for Labour. You can see a 4.8% swing from Labour to the

:01:20.:01:23.

Conservatives. That is the seat just outside Chesterfield. Broadly the

:01:24.:01:28.

kind of seats we are seeing turned red to are ones that very few people

:01:29.:01:32.

would have had on any kind of rational target list at the

:01:33.:01:36.

beginning of the night. They are places taking a lot of us by

:01:37.:01:39.

surprise. John Woodcock is the Labour MP for

:01:40.:01:44.

Barrow and Furness. His majority, squeaking in at 209. A special

:01:45.:01:52.

adviser to Gordon Brown. Everybody is having their words thrown back at

:01:53.:01:57.

them tonight. Words I want to throw baguette you are, Labour is on

:01:58.:02:00.

course for an historic and catastrophic defeat. So what went

:02:01.:02:07.

right for Labour?! Well, David I have no idea! And I'm

:02:08.:02:14.

not sure anyone who you will have on this programme actually genuinely

:02:15.:02:17.

has an idea either. And if they say that they do, I think they are

:02:18.:02:23.

probably winging it. There have been utterly extraordinary results. In

:02:24.:02:29.

places where Labour has struggled, we have gained ground. In Canterbury

:02:30.:02:37.

we have produced an incredible victory out of nowhere. I don't know

:02:38.:02:41.

what is going on in British politics. I think the one thing

:02:42.:02:45.

which is clear is that this is wide open. There is a space and there is

:02:46.:02:53.

a need for a progressive force to take the country forward and give

:02:54.:03:01.

them more hope than that which has been said over these last couple of

:03:02.:03:03.

years by the Conservative government. And that force we have

:03:04.:03:10.

shown overnight can be the Labour Party. I am deeply, deeply proud.

:03:11.:03:16.

Unexpectedly, I have to say. But I am deeply proud to be returned as

:03:17.:03:22.

one of their MPs. Can you sign up to the kind of policies that Jeremy

:03:23.:03:28.

Corbyn has been promoting, when you actually clearly thought they were

:03:29.:03:31.

completely wrong, wrong for the Labour Party, but much more

:03:32.:03:37.

importantly, wrong for the country? Well, the Labour Party has always

:03:38.:03:43.

been a Broadchurch. And probably never broader than it has been at

:03:44.:03:47.

the moment. One of the things which gave me so much heart locally was

:03:48.:03:53.

the way that local party members who were deeply aggrieved by what I said

:03:54.:04:01.

about the leader, they all came together in this campaign to get us

:04:02.:04:06.

over the line and to keep a Labour MP, to keep me here. And that shows,

:04:07.:04:13.

actually, that we can unite and there will be a huge question, of

:04:14.:04:17.

course, for the party as to what direction we take. What vision we

:04:18.:04:23.

put forward. But this result shows that we can do it. Actually, there

:04:24.:04:30.

is not the appetite in this country for the paucity of vision, the lack

:04:31.:04:34.

of hope, the doing down of our country, that we have seen from this

:04:35.:04:37.

Conservative government over the last couple of years. People want

:04:38.:04:41.

change. And we have an opportunity to provide that. And that is

:04:42.:04:44.

brilliant. Thank you bring much indeed. It is time for another

:04:45.:04:53.

update on the news. Let's have that with the forecast of the moment

:04:54.:05:00.

showing... We can show it? We can't. I don't know if we can or not. Can

:05:01.:05:06.

we show the forecast, they are asking? I don't know. They haven't

:05:07.:05:12.

got it. We haven't got the forecast. We have the news.

:05:13.:05:18.

Good morning. With less than 50 seats still to be declared, the

:05:19.:05:22.

outcome of the general election is still uncertain. Labour has done

:05:23.:05:27.

better-than-expected. Although the Conservatives looked like being the

:05:28.:05:30.

biggest party, they are not likely to get a majority. Jeremy Corbyn has

:05:31.:05:35.

called for Theresa May to resign. The Prime Minister says the country

:05:36.:05:40.

needs stability. The night saw Alex Salmond and Nick Clegg lose their

:05:41.:05:44.

seats. Tom Bateman's port contains flash photography. -- report. She

:05:45.:05:53.

called this election early, a political gamble, the hope that she

:05:54.:05:57.

would transform the Tories' fragile majority with a huge win. Forecasts

:05:58.:06:04.

suggest the Conservatives may end up even worse off without even a

:06:05.:06:08.

majority. If, as the indications have shown, if this is correct, that

:06:09.:06:15.

the Conservative Party won the most seats and probably the most votes,

:06:16.:06:18.

then it would be incumbent on us to make sure we have that period of

:06:19.:06:22.

stability, and that is exactly what we will do. You can see what the

:06:23.:06:27.

Labour leader makes of these results so far. A man whose campaign

:06:28.:06:33.

confounded expectations, beaming smiles, with Labour on course for a

:06:34.:06:38.

far better night than many thought. The Prime Minister call the election

:06:39.:06:41.

because she wanted a mandate. Will a mandate she has got is lost

:06:42.:06:49.

Conservative seats, lost votes, lost votes and lost confidence. I would

:06:50.:06:54.

have thought that's enough to go, actually. In Battersea, Labour had

:06:55.:06:59.

ousted a government Minister on a swing of 10%. There have been Labour

:07:00.:07:04.

gains elsewhere. In Stockton South from the Conservatives and in

:07:05.:07:09.

Scotland, Rutherglen from the SNP. It is not just the Tories suffering.

:07:10.:07:14.

In Sheffield, former Lib Dem leader Nick Clegg lost his seat. I have

:07:15.:07:21.

encountered this evening something that many people have encountered

:07:22.:07:24.

before tonight and I suspect many people encounter after tonight,

:07:25.:07:29.

which is that you live by the sword and by thy -- die by the sword in

:07:30.:07:34.

politics. The night began with a projection, the exit poll. It had

:07:35.:07:37.

the Conservatives as the largest party but short of an overall

:07:38.:07:41.

majority. It put the Tories on three other than 14 seats, down 17. Labour

:07:42.:07:50.

would be up 34 seats. The SNP down to 34 MPs. The Lib Dems on 14. The

:07:51.:07:56.

SNP have lost big names on a disappointing night compared with

:07:57.:08:01.

their Scottish landslide two years ago. Deputy leader Angus Robertson

:08:02.:08:05.

was ousted by the Conservatives. Former leader Alex Salmond lost his

:08:06.:08:10.

seat as well. Now one of Theresa May's on MPs is laying the blame on

:08:11.:08:15.

her. She is in a difficult place. She is a very talented woman and she

:08:16.:08:19.

doesn't shy from difficult positions. But she now obviously has

:08:20.:08:23.

to consider your position. V Festival of democracy has been on is

:08:24.:08:28.

full show, as have the upsets. Theresa May has left her

:08:29.:08:32.

constituency count. The election campaign has been an unpredictable

:08:33.:08:34.

journey. Already some Labour opponents are saying tonight it

:08:35.:08:39.

should bring the end of the road for her premiership. But there is still

:08:40.:08:43.

a way to go and more votes still to be counted. The pound's position on

:08:44.:08:51.

currency markets has weakened following early results. Overnight

:08:52.:08:55.

sterling suffered one of its biggest falls since January, sinking to a

:08:56.:09:00.

low of almost 2% against the dollar as the euro. A clearer picture of

:09:01.:09:03.

the markets will emerge when trading opens across Europe. And the final

:09:04.:09:07.

results of the election coming. Time for the weather.

:09:08.:09:14.

Good morning. This is how we ended the day in Highland Scotland. For

:09:15.:09:18.

much of Scotland and Northern Ireland it was a wet day on

:09:19.:09:21.

Thursday. Today we saw the rain in Scotland petering out. Showers

:09:22.:09:26.

heading eastwards. Much prior across Northern Ireland. Some sharp showers

:09:27.:09:30.

across western England and Wales. They will become heavily for the

:09:31.:09:33.

released this afternoon, as they will in parts of Scotland. We are

:09:34.:09:39.

talking hail and risk of thunder. Much drier and brighter with some

:09:40.:09:42.

sunshine for the West. It will feel warmer well. It doesn't last. As we

:09:43.:09:47.

go through the evening, more rain of the Atlantic. Wetter for Northern

:09:48.:09:53.

Ireland. As we move into Saturday, for Scotland. The South and east

:09:54.:09:57.

probably not seeing that much rain. Still quite muggy and one. The rain

:09:58.:10:01.

clears further north to reveal sunshine and showers. Eventually

:10:02.:10:06.

that weather front clears all parts going from Saturday to Sunday.

:10:07.:10:10.

Sunday day of sunny spells and showers.

:10:11.:10:14.

That is a look of the weather. Let's return to David Dimbleby.

:10:15.:10:27.

Dawn has broken over Westminster. And a cruel dawn for the Tory party.

:10:28.:10:38.

After the results that have come in, we have still got 44 to come in. A

:10:39.:10:43.

lot of talk from sources within the Tory party about Theresa May's

:10:44.:10:48.

future. We have had the call for her to go. Pretty much a call for her to

:10:49.:10:56.

go from Anna Soubry, a backbencher, famously outspoken. People Laura

:10:57.:10:59.

Kuenssberg have been speaking to have said something needs to be done

:11:00.:11:04.

fairly dramatically and swiftly. There is another interesting aspect.

:11:05.:11:11.

The votes have gone back to the two main parties, Conservative and

:11:12.:11:16.

Labour. Not since 1970 have both parties had over 12 million people

:11:17.:11:20.

voting for them. The current rate is Labour on 12 million and 100,000,

:11:21.:11:28.

the Conservatives on 12 million and 6000. The smaller parties, the

:11:29.:11:32.

Liberals, and all the other parties, had given way to a 2-party vote,

:11:33.:11:37.

which in a way is like that campaign was. There were two very clearly

:11:38.:11:43.

distinct messages being given from the Conservatives on the one hand

:11:44.:11:48.

with Theresa May saying strong and stable and all that, and Jeremy

:11:49.:11:50.

Corbyn on the other hand saying, there is another way. Less

:11:51.:11:55.

austerity, more spending,, the government should do this and that.

:11:56.:11:59.

There was a poor rises and on the parties and it seems the voters have

:12:00.:12:01.

been attracted to the polarisation. They are getting two very clear and

:12:02.:12:09.

distinct messages. We will now look at how the parties stand.

:12:10.:12:15.

Let's do that. We started many hours ago in our virtual Downing Street

:12:16.:12:19.

and we give you our exit poll. A lot of people were saying on social

:12:20.:12:22.

media it can't be right. The forecast, with only about 44 seats

:12:23.:12:27.

to go, is very close to what we were saying at five minutes to ten. The

:12:28.:12:31.

Conservatives falling short. 318 we think now. Let's look at Labour.

:12:32.:12:39.

Quite a long way back but exceeding all expectations. That is the point

:12:40.:12:43.

about the Labour performance. They have done better than even they

:12:44.:12:47.

thought as we have heard from some of the extraordinary interviews we

:12:48.:12:51.

have heard. 318 for the Conservatives. You will see where

:12:52.:12:54.

these individual paving stones, which are all individual

:12:55.:12:57.

constituencies, where they are darker blue we have not got a

:12:58.:13:02.

result. Back here we have got those results in. It is just the darker

:13:03.:13:08.

blue. Most are solid blue. Not many more results. The ones we're waiting

:13:09.:13:13.

for, places like Kensington, Richmond Park, Crawley, Dumfries,

:13:14.:13:17.

Winchester, Thirsk, Truro, St Ives etc, still waiting for them. The

:13:18.:13:23.

exit polls stabilised with these results. 318, the Conservatives

:13:24.:13:30.

short of an overall majority. 650 MPs in the House of Commons, so you

:13:31.:13:34.

need just over half to be in control. Theresa May will not be.

:13:35.:13:39.

She will have to find friends in the House of Commons. It will be the

:13:40.:13:42.

Liberal Democrats this time. Have a look at the Labour line. You could

:13:43.:13:47.

say the Labour result is no better than Gordon Brown did when he lost

:13:48.:13:51.

the 2010 election. They have got a handsome share of the vote. Part of

:13:52.:13:56.

that is rather surprising numbers of Ukip voters going to Labour, which

:13:57.:14:01.

commentators did not predict. Also, younger voters. I'm sure we will

:14:02.:14:04.

find out many of them have been involved in the election. Labour

:14:05.:14:11.

262, that's what we are now forecasting, just down four from

:14:12.:14:17.

what we said at 10pm. These early seats that we are still waiting for.

:14:18.:14:28.

Hendon, Ilford North, Dudley... Most of these lines are solid red, solid

:14:29.:14:33.

blue. This is the situation. What a blow for Theresa May, to call an

:14:34.:14:39.

election when she was 16 points clear in the polls, thinking about

:14:40.:14:43.

the landslide of 100 and she didn't even get an overall majority. It is

:14:44.:14:48.

politically devastating for her. That is why we just saw Jeremy

:14:49.:14:52.

Corbyn giving the thumbs up. Amazing. John Curtice, you are being

:14:53.:15:00.

a bit cautious about your exit poll, not your exit poll, the BBC, sky,

:15:01.:15:08.

ITV exit poll, I have to say that for copyright reasons... This

:15:09.:15:12.

combined exit poll. You were being courses at the beginning, saying

:15:13.:15:15.

maybe it is not quite as bad as that for the Tories. -- cautious. It now

:15:16.:15:21.

looks like you were spot on? One always has to be cautious because

:15:22.:15:25.

the truth is one knows the fragility. Two years ago we

:15:26.:15:30.

underestimated the Tory target by 18 seats. It looks as though this time

:15:31.:15:34.

we might be possibly three seats out, but that is about it. It looks

:15:35.:15:38.

as though our forecast is going to prove remarkably accurate. Maybe in

:15:39.:15:44.

the end of the most accurate exit poll yet. We will wait to see.

:15:45.:15:51.

Is there any possibility of it not being a hung parliament now? There

:15:52.:15:58.

is no way the Conservatives can get to the 326 mark. There is going to

:15:59.:16:04.

be a hung parliament. Plus some of the questions Laura was raising

:16:05.:16:10.

about Theresa May's future. It is worth remembering that the

:16:11.:16:15.

international academic extra says that calling snap elections often

:16:16.:16:19.

doesn't work, because voters ask themselves, hang on, what is it that

:16:20.:16:23.

is coming around the corner that they are trying to hide from us? If

:16:24.:16:27.

you think about the snap elections we have had in the UK in the past,

:16:28.:16:32.

1970, Harold Wilson suddenly went to the country when he thought the June

:16:33.:16:36.

tweet polls had turned in his favour. He lost. In February in

:16:37.:16:42.

1974, Edward Heath went to the country suddenly because of the

:16:43.:16:48.

miners strike. He lost. Now very suddenly and unexpectedly indeed,

:16:49.:16:51.

Theresa May has gone to the country. Her party has not managed to lose,

:16:52.:16:56.

but maybe we will find that she has ended up the loser of this election.

:16:57.:17:00.

She should have talked to you before she decided to do it! If she had

:17:01.:17:09.

read the international literature, it shows that although being able to

:17:10.:17:15.

call an election when you think it is a good idea might seem an

:17:16.:17:19.

advantage, if you try to call an election very early in a parliament,

:17:20.:17:26.

it can rebound on you. Laura, we know that she has a tight circle of

:17:27.:17:30.

political advisers ma Fiona Hill and Nick Timothy in particular. She must

:17:31.:17:34.

have consulted them. They are the ones who must take the blame for

:17:35.:17:39.

this. I understand she is currently closeted with them in Tory HQ,

:17:40.:17:45.

discussing their next moves. One minister has said to me, I don't

:17:46.:17:48.

think she has to go, but things will have to change. There will be

:17:49.:17:55.

demands from inside the 1922 committee and among ministers that

:17:56.:17:59.

she must change her style of working. She must expand beyond that

:18:00.:18:09.

tiny group of people. That is where the discussion is. But is she

:18:10.:18:13.

capable of changing her way of working? She doesn't seem to move an

:18:14.:18:22.

inch without Nick Timothy and Fiona Hill telling her what to do. She's

:18:23.:18:26.

famed for her stubbornness. She could try to cast that as being

:18:27.:18:30.

resolute. That is what she tried to do in this election, boasting that

:18:31.:18:33.

she could be a bloody difficult woman. But if you will not change

:18:34.:18:37.

your mind and you have made the wrong decision, it is not great. We

:18:38.:18:46.

are joined by Simon Hamilton from the Democratic Unionist Party in

:18:47.:18:50.

Northern Ireland and the member of the Northern Ireland Assembly. I

:18:51.:18:54.

think you now have eight for the DUP? We increased our seats from

:18:55.:19:05.

eight in the last parliament to ten. You are clearly going to be a

:19:06.:19:10.

potentially attractive partner to a Tory Prime Minister who doesn't have

:19:11.:19:13.

an overall majority. What are you going to be asking for? Well, the

:19:14.:19:20.

results are still coming in and we will soon know what the final shape

:19:21.:19:23.

of the parliament is. Let's see what the final result is. The impact of

:19:24.:19:32.

Northern Ireland will be not just in respect of the Democratic Unionist

:19:33.:19:35.

Party, but also Sinn Fein, who don't take their seats in Westminster,

:19:36.:19:40.

which will have an impact on the overall working majority in

:19:41.:19:48.

parliament. First and foremost, the DUP will be looking to achieve our

:19:49.:19:52.

goals in respect of the best deal for Northern Ireland. We are also

:19:53.:19:58.

mindful of our responsibilities in terms of the national political

:19:59.:20:02.

scene. This is a difficult time for the UK. There are a lot of

:20:03.:20:06.

challenges, particularly with respect to terrorism and a attack on

:20:07.:20:11.

democracy in the last few weeks, but also the challenges and

:20:12.:20:13.

opportunities that Brexit presents and the need to get not just a good

:20:14.:20:19.

deal for Northern Ireland, but a good deal for the UK. Laura, you

:20:20.:20:27.

watch Westminster closely. Can you interpret for me what the DUP

:20:28.:20:34.

position would actually mean in terms of votes in the House? What

:20:35.:20:39.

kind of pressure will they be able to bring? Significant pressure. In

:20:40.:20:43.

the last Parliament, the DUP were able to do privately call shots on

:20:44.:20:47.

some issues. But if there were to be any sort of backsliding on Brexit,

:20:48.:20:52.

what would you consider to be something unacceptable? We have

:20:53.:20:56.

already heard that there may be Tory MPs calling for a reconsideration of

:20:57.:21:01.

the idea of staying in the single market. Would that be something you

:21:02.:21:05.

would consider as acceptable in the Brexit negotiations? Northern

:21:06.:21:11.

Ireland has particular circumstances in respect of Brexit, because we

:21:12.:21:19.

have a border with Ireland which will be the UK's border with the

:21:20.:21:22.

European Union after Brexit. The UK will be leaving the EU, but there

:21:23.:21:29.

are particular circumstances shaped by our history, geography and

:21:30.:21:32.

economy that we want to see reflected in any deal. That is

:21:33.:21:37.

something we would be talking very early to a new government about. Is

:21:38.:21:43.

it clear to you that you would only do a kind of vote by vote

:21:44.:21:46.

understanding or would you consider something more formal with the

:21:47.:21:50.

Conservatives? Let's see what happens over the next few hours.

:21:51.:21:54.

Clearly, our votes will be important. In the last Parliament,

:21:55.:21:59.

our votes were not needed in the way they may be in the new parliament.

:22:00.:22:04.

On a range of issues, we were able to take a position which was

:22:05.:22:08.

consistent with our policies as a party but were also in the best

:22:09.:22:12.

interests of the people of Northern Ireland, and we will continue to do

:22:13.:22:21.

that. You are in favour of leaving the EU. What kind of border do you

:22:22.:22:27.

want with the South? We want to see a frictionless border between

:22:28.:22:30.

Northern Ireland and the Republic of Ireland. There are a lot of

:22:31.:22:33.

movements on a daily basis between people who work on both sides of the

:22:34.:22:37.

border and a lot of movements in respect of the economy and trade.

:22:38.:22:41.

The rest of the UK remains our biggest seller 's market. So you

:22:42.:22:48.

think people who worry about that border and think that for instance,

:22:49.:22:52.

in terms of immigration into the UK, it is an open door from the Republic

:22:53.:23:00.

into the north, they are wrong? The Common travel area has existed

:23:01.:23:03.

between Northern Ireland and the Republic of Ireland since the 1920s.

:23:04.:23:12.

There has been a lot of talk in the last year about the creation of a

:23:13.:23:15.

hard border. That is not something we want. Sorry to interrupt, but

:23:16.:23:22.

were talking about Polish workers and Romanian workers coming from the

:23:23.:23:25.

EU who have open access at the moment to the mainland of Britain.

:23:26.:23:30.

They will surely be able to come into the Republic through Northern

:23:31.:23:34.

Ireland and into Britain. I know you have had a common border with the

:23:35.:23:37.

South, but that is going to allow anyone to come from anywhere in

:23:38.:23:42.

Europe into the mainland of Britain, isn't it? The detail of how it would

:23:43.:23:52.

work in practice would have to be worked out through the course of the

:23:53.:23:55.

next number of years as we go through the Article 50 process. We

:23:56.:24:01.

want a good deal for Northern Ireland as we exit the European

:24:02.:24:06.

Union. We were reassured by what the Prime Minister, David Davis and

:24:07.:24:09.

other Cabinet members said about their desire not to see a hard

:24:10.:24:14.

border. That is something we don't want on the Dublin government don't

:24:15.:24:16.

want to see that either. Brussels officials have also said that, so

:24:17.:24:21.

there is a recognition of the circumstances of Northern Ireland.

:24:22.:24:27.

That is something we will want to be dealt with early in the new

:24:28.:24:31.

parliament. Mr Hamilton, thank you. You mentioned David Davis. We have

:24:32.:24:39.

been trying to get Boris Johnson to talk to us. No. David Davis? No.

:24:40.:24:52.

Philip Hammond? No. Senior figures in the Tory party stumm, unlike

:24:53.:25:03.

Mishal's guests. Were ordered by Alistair Campbell, former director

:25:04.:25:05.

of Downing Street implications and the Guardian journalist Paul Mason.

:25:06.:25:09.

Paul, did you dare to hope for these sorts of games for Labour? Yes. I

:25:10.:25:14.

knew as soon as we did the left-wing manifesto that we could get back to

:25:15.:25:18.

35%. I'm not sure what the final percentage will be, but it looks

:25:19.:25:23.

like we are on 12 million votes for Labour, which is pushing close to

:25:24.:25:27.

what the first two Tony Blair results were. What has then it is

:25:28.:25:33.

the severe deprivation across the areas of Britain that are voting for

:25:34.:25:40.

us. 12 million people picked up the Daily Mail and the # And read these

:25:41.:25:45.

headlines about Corbyn and McDonnell being Marxist terror supporters and

:25:46.:25:49.

threw them mentally in the bin. So for you, it was the

:25:50.:25:54.

anti-austerity election? Absolutely. I was campaigning in Plymouth, the

:25:55.:26:00.

home of the Trident submarine, or where they refurbish them. It looks

:26:01.:26:04.

like Labour will win both Plymouth seats. Even to that military

:26:05.:26:09.

community, home of the Royal Marine commandos, it is desperate out there

:26:10.:26:13.

in many working class communities, and nobody in politics has noticed.

:26:14.:26:19.

You are making it sound like a win, which it isn't. Alastair Campbell,

:26:20.:26:23.

what do you think? It has been an extraordinary night. I do think that

:26:24.:26:29.

an election that Theresa May called to strengthen her position, because

:26:30.:26:31.

she looked at the numbers on Jeremy Corbyn and thought it was unlosable,

:26:32.:26:39.

and she has lost. She cannot survive for long in the position she has

:26:40.:26:44.

got. I think Jeremy Corbyn is onto something in relation to how deep

:26:45.:26:47.

the austerity is going and the public saying they want something

:26:48.:26:52.

better. As you mentioned, Mishal, it is important to emphasise that she

:26:53.:27:01.

has lost and Labour hasn't won. The country is essentially still saying,

:27:02.:27:06.

we don't really want either of you. But they are doing it at a time when

:27:07.:27:11.

a government has to go into the most difficult negotiations that any

:27:12.:27:15.

government has had since the war. For your party, it means that

:27:16.:27:20.

Blairism is even more firmly part of the past. Jeremy Corbyn's wing of

:27:21.:27:27.

the party will lead it for the foreseeable future. Well, I want and

:27:28.:27:32.

hope that the Labour Party can encapsulate and encompass all of

:27:33.:27:35.

that space. The only way the Labour Party will get back into winning and

:27:36.:27:40.

having a Labour Prime Minister is if you have that coalition that has the

:27:41.:27:46.

left, but also has the centre ground. I want to get over this new,

:27:47.:27:53.

old, Blair, Brown macro thing. History has put us in an amazing

:27:54.:27:57.

edition. Of course we haven't won and we have to facilitate a stable

:27:58.:28:03.

conservative/ DUP government forming itself, because this country is

:28:04.:28:07.

under attack from terror. So what Jeremy Corbyn and Emily Thornberry

:28:08.:28:12.

are signalling about looking... We don't know what the final arithmetic

:28:13.:28:20.

is. But in the next 12 hours, Amber Rudd has to carry on being Home

:28:21.:28:25.

Secretary. You are right that Labour now needs to learn from this. I

:28:26.:28:29.

would like to see some of those big hitters from the brown and Blair era

:28:30.:28:32.

come into the Shadow Cabinet, reset the balance within Labour, re-look

:28:33.:28:43.

at what our offer on Brexit is. We have won this is committed to

:28:44.:28:47.

Brexit. That is how you win in places like Manchester and Bolton.

:28:48.:28:52.

But the kind of Brexit now has to be one that embraces an engagement with

:28:53.:28:57.

Europe. One of her big mistakes was that since the referendum, she has

:28:58.:29:03.

governed for the 40% with two fingers up to the 52%. You cannot

:29:04.:29:08.

govern for the country with such a big decision to be pursued like

:29:09.:29:15.

that. So no matter what configuration, there will have to be

:29:16.:29:18.

a much more consensual approach to what Britain's relationship with

:29:19.:29:20.

Europe becomes. Let's join Yvette Cooper in

:29:21.:29:31.

Wakefield. Thank you for joining us at this early hour of the morning.

:29:32.:29:37.

You are safely back in your seat. You were one of those who wanted to

:29:38.:29:43.

leave the Labour Party. What do you make of what has happened and what

:29:44.:29:46.

lessons does it contain for people like you on the right or the centre

:29:47.:29:55.

of Labour? I think it is great that we're winning back constituencies

:29:56.:29:59.

for and we are seeing hard work across the country. I applaud the

:30:00.:30:06.

work Jeremy, Tom, members and activists have been doing across the

:30:07.:30:09.

country to win back those constituencies. We have also had a

:30:10.:30:14.

small number of losses, that is very sad. People like Natascha Engel have

:30:15.:30:19.

been fantastic MPs in Parliament. But overall we have seen some great

:30:20.:30:24.

results. But of course what it means now is it looks like this is a hung

:30:25.:30:29.

parliament. I think that Theresa May called this as a referendum on

:30:30.:30:33.

herself and she has lost that. I do not see how she can carry on because

:30:34.:30:37.

I don't see she has a mandate for the manifesto she set out. That

:30:38.:30:41.

means it will be quite complicated in terms of what happens now. We

:30:42.:30:46.

have to keep up the pressure in terms of what we should be doing. We

:30:47.:30:53.

need to stand up for people to get a Labour government. And you are no

:30:54.:30:56.

happy with Jeremy Corbyn's leadership where you were not

:30:57.:31:01.

before? We had leadership elections in the party. That is how we do

:31:02.:31:09.

things. Jeremy Corbyn won twice. And that is why we had the whole party

:31:10.:31:15.

come together as part of this campaign, the all party campaigning

:31:16.:31:19.

across the country. I have been to about 20 constituencies across the

:31:20.:31:22.

country campaigning for those Labour candidates. It is great to see many

:31:23.:31:28.

of them elected this morning. What is happening behind you? Who is

:31:29.:31:36.

being applauded? Jon Trickett was just making his speech. He has been

:31:37.:31:42.

re-elected as the MP for Handsworth. -- Hemsworth. You were wrong about

:31:43.:31:51.

the leadership of Jeremy Corbyn. It turns out he is a better leader than

:31:52.:31:54.

anybody else you could have produced. I you happy to serve in a

:31:55.:32:00.

shadow cabinet with him, indeed if he becomes Prime Minister serving

:32:01.:32:08.

cabinet with him? You back onside? I think we have all been working

:32:09.:32:12.

together in this election. We have been fighting for every vote, every

:32:13.:32:15.

single member of the party, every single candidate. We have been doing

:32:16.:32:21.

so together. That has been really important. That is why we have won

:32:22.:32:25.

support right across the country, a broad range of support. I think you

:32:26.:32:30.

would certainly agree it would be very presumptuous of me or anybody

:32:31.:32:33.

else to talk about what happens next. That is for the party. The one

:32:34.:32:39.

thing that should happen next is that Theresa May, I do think, cannot

:32:40.:32:45.

carry on as Prime Minister when she has lost what was a referendum she

:32:46.:32:50.

called on herself. We haven't seen the strong and stable claims that

:32:51.:32:54.

she made. We have seen the complete opposite happened. We have this

:32:55.:33:00.

really important Brexit negotiations? To start in about 11

:33:01.:33:09.

days. -- due to start. There will have to be more transparency. There

:33:10.:33:12.

will have to be more negotiations and discussions in Parliament

:33:13.:33:17.

itself. There will have to be a proper, wide-open debate about what

:33:18.:33:21.

kind of Brexit Britain and the British government is pursuing. They

:33:22.:33:25.

can't do things the old ways and think they can get away with it

:33:26.:33:29.

after this election result. Thank you. We have now got a 29 seats

:33:30.:33:35.

still to declare. And we are now able, officially, so to speak, to

:33:36.:33:42.

say there is going to be, at the end when everything is in, there is

:33:43.:33:45.

going to be a hung parliament. No surprise there. With the

:33:46.:33:51.

Conservatives as the larger party. The largest party. Labour on 262.

:33:52.:33:57.

But remember, the Conservatives need 326. So far from guaranteeing

:33:58.:34:05.

certainty and stability for the years ahead, Theresa May called this

:34:06.:34:13.

election and she has lost 17 majority in favour of a hung

:34:14.:34:19.

parliament that has her on 318 only. Yes, we are just contemplating that

:34:20.:34:23.

inside our virtual parliament. Remember in 2010 when the

:34:24.:34:28.

Conservatives got 306 seats and they needed friends. They looked to the

:34:29.:34:32.

Liberal Democrats and you got the coalition. What may happen this

:34:33.:34:36.

time? Let me just show you the numbers here. Remarkably similar to

:34:37.:34:43.

the numbers we give you at the start of the night. 318, Conservative, 262

:34:44.:34:50.

Labour. I'm going to show you how it would work if the Conservatives say

:34:51.:34:56.

to the DUP, the Democratic Unionist Party, help us. They haven't got the

:34:57.:35:02.

crucial 326 seats. How does it work? We take out, first of all, how do

:35:03.:35:10.

you get this to line up again? It doesn't matter if we see you. While

:35:11.:35:15.

you do that, let me explain. Here are the parties. The Conservatives,

:35:16.:35:24.

308. We are looking for 326. It is pretty simple now. We undertake the

:35:25.:35:30.

DUP and we have got them down as ten. Add them to it. They are there.

:35:31.:35:36.

It is pretty, pretty close. It is very painful for Theresa May. It is

:35:37.:35:40.

that simple thing of saying to the DUP, will you help us? For Theresa

:35:41.:35:47.

May to reach out and ask them to at least get the Queen's speeds

:35:48.:35:51.

through. That arrangement involves all kinds of trade having to be

:35:52.:35:56.

made. Yvette Cooper saying there will be more focus on what is said

:35:57.:36:00.

and done in and around the chamber of the House of Commons. It could be

:36:01.:36:04.

done. A pretty simple calculation. They got close enough to the line to

:36:05.:36:10.

only need the support of the DUP. Let's see what this looks like

:36:11.:36:14.

inside the house of Commons. We had the Conservatives short. You can see

:36:15.:36:19.

the finishing line. Three than 26 seats needed. They haven't made it.

:36:20.:36:24.

It is a hung parliament. They use the DUP to get across the line. Take

:36:25.:36:30.

a look at the opposition benches. Labour on 262. The SNP on 35. The

:36:31.:36:37.

Lib Dems recovering a bit. You can see the other parties. We have

:36:38.:36:39.

filled out the Northern Ireland parties. Labour exceeding all

:36:40.:36:46.

expectations. If you have a whirl around the House of Commons, you

:36:47.:36:49.

will see it is dominated, as before, by blue. But of course the crucial

:36:50.:36:54.

thing, the action around this line, this 327 line danger is the problem

:36:55.:37:01.

for Mrs May. That is why she will need help to pass laws and govern,

:37:02.:37:06.

if indeed she stays in power. And if she doesn't stay in power, those who

:37:07.:37:10.

like a little bit of history at 20 to six in the morning, she will be

:37:11.:37:18.

the shortest term Prime Minister 's since Andrew Bonar Law, the

:37:19.:37:23.

Conservative Prime Minister, who served 210 days from 1922 to 1923.

:37:24.:37:31.

She has done 230 days. Nothing to be proud of. And the absolutely

:37:32.:37:38.

upside-down version of what he thought was kind to happen. She was

:37:39.:37:40.

expecting to be the first Conservative leader for 30 years to

:37:41.:37:46.

have a proper Conservative majority. Don't forget, David Cameron only

:37:47.:37:52.

made coalition in 2010. In 2015 he had a puny majority. This is the

:37:53.:37:55.

upside-down version of what Theresa May was anticipating. At the

:37:56.:37:59.

beginning of the campaign I remember there were a lot of opinion polls

:38:00.:38:04.

saying that people infinitely preferred her to Jeremy Corbyn. By

:38:05.:38:08.

quite big margins. Even if they didn't like the Conservative Party.

:38:09.:38:13.

People assumed it was her style, they liked are not being flashy, the

:38:14.:38:18.

light are not being as flashy as David Cameron, showing his toes off

:38:19.:38:23.

on an Instagram with his wife on holiday. She wasn't that kind of

:38:24.:38:28.

woman. A very private. She went on television and revealed nothing

:38:29.:38:31.

except that her husband put at the dustbins. People like that

:38:32.:38:39.

rectitude. Absolutely. We heard on the doorstep that people thought she

:38:40.:38:42.

wasn't like the other Tories, she was in the past boy. She was like

:38:43.:38:47.

during child's head teacher. She was calm, she had authority. I think one

:38:48.:38:54.

of the things that really hurt was not just the social care policy and

:38:55.:38:57.

the manifesto that frankly panicked a lot of elderly Conservative

:38:58.:39:03.

voters, it was probably largely due to the presentation not the actual

:39:04.:39:08.

policy. It panicked her. And then she changed her mind. That idea that

:39:09.:39:12.

she was stable, that she was resolute, but she had authority, was

:39:13.:39:20.

hugely undermined by the fact she did a U-turn on manifesto within

:39:21.:39:24.

days. That had never happened before. Secondly, the issue of

:39:25.:39:28.

police cuts in the wake of the terror attacks came up the rails in

:39:29.:39:34.

the closing days of the campaign. Just as you would normally expect

:39:35.:39:40.

the Conservatives to respond, the electorate to respond more

:39:41.:39:43.

positively to the Conservatives on security, traditionally a plus for

:39:44.:39:47.

them, in reverse, it appears to have gone the other way. So again, on the

:39:48.:39:53.

result and on the reaction of the campaign, a topsy-turvy election in

:39:54.:39:59.

that sense. It was weird, the turnabout on the care for people in

:40:00.:40:03.

their homes. It was absolutely clear reading the manifesto that what she

:40:04.:40:08.

was saying was, you can keep your last ?100,000, but you will pay for

:40:09.:40:13.

the rest of your care. There was no mention that you wouldn't have to

:40:14.:40:18.

pay more than 70 5000. Yet when they suddenly said, we will put that in

:40:19.:40:23.

so you can keep 100, and you won't have to pay more than 75, she just

:40:24.:40:27.

couldn't bring herself to say it was a change. You say the old people may

:40:28.:40:35.

not have been too worried but it was the fact that clearly everybody knew

:40:36.:40:40.

she had changed her position. The public are much more forgiving than

:40:41.:40:44.

Westminster. The concept of a U-turn. If you front up to it. In

:40:45.:40:49.

human life, everybody makes mistakes, finally you put your hands

:40:50.:40:53.

up and say, that is what happened. Theresa May stood there at repeated

:40:54.:40:57.

press conferences, answering question after question, saying

:40:58.:41:01.

nothing has changed, nothing has changed. We'll knew something had

:41:02.:41:05.

changed. We reported it. The public completely knew something had

:41:06.:41:09.

changed. That undermined her brand of not being like the rest. What is

:41:10.:41:15.

it with this nick, Timothy and Fiona Hill, that they can take on one side

:41:16.:41:20.

and say, don't give way, which is presumably what they were doing?

:41:21.:41:25.

Presumably she will have felt that. They are a core trio that I worked

:41:26.:41:30.

together for years. But to present her as not being able to make a

:41:31.:41:34.

wrong mind up is not fair. In our last couple of years at the Home

:41:35.:41:40.

Office, the to -- two of them had already left. The story is too

:41:41.:41:44.

tempting to imagine as a politician having strings pulled by people

:41:45.:41:48.

behind the scenes. The thing about Theresa May is she is extremely

:41:49.:41:52.

self-contained. She doesn't trust people easily. Since she moved into

:41:53.:41:56.

Number 10 people have been saying, she will have to broaden her circle.

:41:57.:42:00.

You can run that kind of tight ship if you are in a department. At

:42:01.:42:07.

Number 10, you have to be nimble. What we saw in this campaign, that

:42:08.:42:11.

was the one thing Theresa May seemed not capable of doing, was being

:42:12.:42:17.

nimble. The next 24-hour is she needs to survive. She is gone to

:42:18.:42:20.

need to be nimble. I understand she has been talking the Tory staff.

:42:21.:42:25.

Apparently her mood was calm, sombre. She didn't directly address

:42:26.:42:30.

the issue of her future. She didn't say she was going to stay, we will

:42:31.:42:35.

carry on together. The application of course not mentioning it is that

:42:36.:42:41.

she hasn't made of her mind. -- made up her mind. I will come back to you

:42:42.:42:50.

in a minute. This is a list of seats still to declare. Have a look at

:42:51.:42:55.

this. The Tories have to win all of these bar one. All of these bar one.

:42:56.:43:03.

There is the less. These are all being counted at the moment. They

:43:04.:43:09.

have taken Devon West and torrid. They have to take all of them bar

:43:10.:43:14.

one. If they lose two, it is a hung parliament. That is why we are

:43:15.:43:22.

forecasting a hung parliament. What reaction have you got? Not just

:43:23.:43:30.

social media. I am text on relentlessly. I text it

:43:31.:43:35.

a former Tory minister, can she survived? I will not telling the

:43:36.:43:40.

utilities. The response was, I doubt it. As Laura has been reporting and

:43:41.:43:46.

discussing, this election was called about the single issue of Brexit.

:43:47.:43:51.

Theresa May wanted a mandate to connect -- to negotiate with

:43:52.:43:55.

conviction. It is clear looking at what we are seeing on social media

:43:56.:44:02.

that people who backed Remain, they are very much emboldened. We have a

:44:03.:44:08.

declaration from Ashfield. Gloria Del Piero, 21,000 285. Tony

:44:09.:44:19.

Harper, Conservative Party, 20800 and 44. Green Party candidate, 398.

:44:20.:44:34.

Putting people before politics, 4612. Ray Young, Ukip, for the

:44:35.:44:51.

number of ballot papers rejected... Gloria Del Piera has been there

:44:52.:44:56.

since 2010. A former political correspondent for television. Once

:44:57.:45:01.

described as Tony Blair's favourite broadcaster. She has held onto

:45:02.:45:04.

Ashfield. The previous majority was 8000. This is down in the hundreds.

:45:05.:45:12.

But anywhere, Ashfield has been held. Ashfield in Nottinghamshire.

:45:13.:45:27.

The Remainers, people like Ed Miliband, were meant to be

:45:28.:45:32.

vanquished by this election. The idea was that by getting a big

:45:33.:45:36.

mandate, Theresa merguez cover their ambitions. But actually, these guys

:45:37.:45:41.

are massively happy about this result. Ed Miliband has put out a

:45:42.:45:44.

message in the last hour saying, we know Theresa May can't now negotiate

:45:45.:45:49.

Brexit for Britain because she told us losing a majority would destroy

:45:50.:45:53.

her authority, and it has. Pretty brutal stuff from Ed Miliband. There

:45:54.:46:00.

are lots of people who are almost celebrity opponents of Brexit. Simon

:46:01.:46:03.

Schama, the historian, is one of them. He has put out a message

:46:04.:46:08.

saying hard Brexit is dead ma May on life support. Democracy is alive and

:46:09.:46:13.

kicking, a great thing. We are going to have lots of complex battles

:46:14.:46:16.

inside the Conservative Party and the House of Commons over the next

:46:17.:46:20.

few weeks, but that is not the only battle. The other 27 members of the

:46:21.:46:24.

European Union will be looking at this result. I think they agreed

:46:25.:46:28.

with Theresa May's analysis. Had she got a big increase in her majority,

:46:29.:46:32.

she would have had a stronger bargaining position. Now it is much

:46:33.:46:36.

weaker. Whoever runs the government over the next few weeks and months

:46:37.:46:41.

will find it much harder to get any deal out of the other 27 members.

:46:42.:46:52.

But if their mandate is weaker here, the strongest contingent in the

:46:53.:46:54.

Conservative Party is the Eurosceptics. So with a weaker

:46:55.:47:00.

mandate, there are potentially more likely to push her around and

:47:01.:47:05.

therefore a hard Brexit could be back on the table. Let's hear from

:47:06.:47:09.

the Conservative Party, a man who contended for the Conservative Party

:47:10.:47:12.

leadership until he dropped out, Stephen Crabb, who has held his

:47:13.:47:20.

Welsh seat by just over 300, down from 5000 or so. Thank you for

:47:21.:47:25.

joining us. Tell us what you think of the state of affairs for your

:47:26.:47:29.

party and which direction it should now go in? I have not been able to

:47:30.:47:36.

follow the full unfolding results or what the current state of the

:47:37.:47:41.

arithmetic is of what the new parliament will be but clearly,

:47:42.:47:45.

something has gone awry here. We set out on this election campaign

:47:46.:47:48.

wanting to provide the country with more stability and more unity ahead

:47:49.:47:51.

of the Brexit negotiations, and we are emerging with a situation in

:47:52.:47:55.

parliament where there are more divisions and less stability. So we

:47:56.:48:00.

clearly need to take stock of what has gone on and think about what

:48:01.:48:05.

these big overarching challenges with the Brexit negotiations, and

:48:06.:48:07.

take time to rethink what the correct approach is in the national

:48:08.:48:11.

interest. Can the Prime Minister hang on? Is absolutely she can. I

:48:12.:48:18.

don't know what the current state of affairs is with the number of seats

:48:19.:48:24.

being won, but if she is the leader of the largest party, there is a

:48:25.:48:26.

duty upon her as Prime Minister to seek to form a viable government.

:48:27.:48:32.

The last thing we should be doing right now while the election results

:48:33.:48:36.

are still coming in, is called for more political turbulence and knee

:48:37.:48:40.

jerk decisions. We need to be calm about this. Theresa May clearly

:48:41.:48:47.

understands the seriousness of the situation. But we should avoid hasty

:48:48.:48:51.

decisions that add to the instability. Leaving aside the

:48:52.:48:56.

leadership, in terms of policy, you are stored Remainer -- a staunch

:48:57.:49:03.

Remainer. You don't want to see Britain leave the EU in difficult

:49:04.:49:09.

circumstances and go into the World Trade Organisation. Do you think

:49:10.:49:14.

this election will have a salutary effect on the decisions that are

:49:15.:49:22.

made about Brexit as a Remainer? Well, I voted for Remain, but I

:49:23.:49:25.

understood the result of the referendum last year and recognised

:49:26.:49:30.

the need to strike a pragmatic and realistic Brexit position. I think

:49:31.:49:36.

it is important to avoid falling back on this hard edge Brexit

:49:37.:49:41.

relying on World Trade Organisation rules. And yes, one of the messages

:49:42.:49:44.

from the results tonight will be that the government needs to seek a

:49:45.:49:50.

balanced, pragmatic approach, strike that deal with the European Union if

:49:51.:49:55.

we can. Ideally, given that it is unlikely that there will be one

:49:56.:49:58.

party with an overall majority, we need to be trying to forge as much

:49:59.:50:04.

cross-party consensus on this as possible. Stephen Crabb, thank you.

:50:05.:50:07.

While you were talking, we were watching Zac Goldsmith at Richmond

:50:08.:50:12.

Park, where there appear to have been two recounts. He is looking

:50:13.:50:16.

very chirpy. That is him, the blond fellow in the background, who is

:50:17.:50:19.

fighting the Conservative cause against the Liberal Democrats, who

:50:20.:50:26.

took over his seat in a by-election. Let's hear from our reporter there

:50:27.:50:37.

if we can. We can't. So we will leave him there, mulling over

:50:38.:50:40.

whatever it is that has happened, and go to North East Fife. It is

:50:41.:50:45.

difficult to interpret people's faces. And we have lost North East

:50:46.:50:50.

Fife as well. But I'm sure everyone will come back in time. So we have a

:50:51.:50:59.

hung parliament, we think. 20 seats to go now and the Tories are on 306.

:51:00.:51:10.

We think they will end up at 318. Is it time to remind ourselves of what

:51:11.:51:16.

happens with a hung parliament? I am sure it is. The technical rules. Who

:51:17.:51:22.

governs while it is resolved? The incumbent Prime Minister is still in

:51:23.:51:27.

office. Whatever happens with the Tory party, the government in power

:51:28.:51:32.

gets the first chance to form a government. If they can't do that

:51:33.:51:38.

and they try to put something forward to the Commons and it fails,

:51:39.:51:41.

then the Prime Minister has to resign. We may not get to that

:51:42.:51:45.

territory. We will have to leave your lecture. We are going to

:51:46.:52:04.

Southampton. The Conservative candidate, 16006. If Labour hold

:52:05.:52:15.

this one, it is a hung parliament. Independent, 680.

:52:16.:52:26.

Southampton independent, 716. Labour Party, 27509. That is it. He has

:52:27.:52:39.

increased his agility, so it is a hung parliament. The Tories had to

:52:40.:52:43.

take that one if they were to have any chance of reaching 326. They now

:52:44.:52:48.

don't. We forecast a hung parliament and it now is a hung parliament.

:52:49.:52:52.

This is the official moment where we can say Theresa May's gamble has

:52:53.:52:57.

spectacularly backfired. She has lost the majority she inherited from

:52:58.:53:02.

David Cameron. She herself is in a vulnerable position at a time when

:53:03.:53:07.

whoever is in charge faces the most competitive political task in

:53:08.:53:12.

decades. Astonishing. You can go back to reading your rules. So the

:53:13.:53:20.

Prime Minister is still entitled. Does she go to the palace? No. I

:53:21.:53:30.

think she still will go to the palace. There still has to be a

:53:31.:53:33.

formal request after a general election. Then she goes back to the

:53:34.:53:37.

House of Commons. A vote of confidence then? That would be up to

:53:38.:53:44.

the 1922 committee. But what will she do as Prime Minister? The first

:53:45.:53:49.

move would be to put forward what she plans to do. Parliament State

:53:50.:53:56.

opening is on the 19th of June, so she would try to put forward a

:53:57.:53:59.

Queen's Speech and essentially dare the other parties to vote you down.

:54:00.:54:04.

It may be that things are moving so fast that we might not get there but

:54:05.:54:07.

technically, the largest party is entitled to put forward a Queen's

:54:08.:54:10.

Speech and see what the other parties make of it. On these

:54:11.:54:13.

numbers, it may be that if Theresa May makes it through the Tory

:54:14.:54:21.

grinder, her Queen's Speech would go through and then she could carry on,

:54:22.:54:28.

albeit very much damaged but still in charge. But it is too

:54:29.:54:36.

straightforward to say she has to get it through Parliament, because

:54:37.:54:40.

the opposition parties might not want to force another election now

:54:41.:54:47.

or form another government. So they can call back or abstain. They can

:54:48.:54:53.

do all sorts of things. Let her stew in her own juice for a bit. She has

:54:54.:54:59.

already voiced that up on her own petard. There we go, two analogies!

:55:00.:55:07.

The rules create the backdrop of all of this. But the political mood is

:55:08.:55:14.

more important. Where there is a will, there's a way. If the party

:55:15.:55:20.

allows her to stay and she wants to carry on when she's so damaged, then

:55:21.:55:25.

maybe she can. But somebody in 11 days' time has to go and speak to Mr

:55:26.:55:33.

Barnier about leaving. So who does that? If Theresa May stays on, you

:55:34.:55:36.

would assume it would be David Davis, if he doesn't get moved to

:55:37.:55:40.

another job. But it would be an astonishing thing where whoever it

:55:41.:55:44.

is turned up opposing the other 27 countries around the table. Emily

:55:45.:55:51.

has more results for us. We know it is now a hung parliament, but let's

:55:52.:55:55.

see what has come in. I wonder if we are starting to feel the pace of the

:55:56.:56:00.

shy Remainer in these results. This is Chipping Barnet, a north London

:56:01.:56:05.

suburb by showing that although Theresa Villiers has kept the seat,

:56:06.:56:10.

look at the swing, again away from her towards Labour of 6.9%. Same

:56:11.:56:17.

sort of direction as the one we saw with Justine Greening in Putney.

:56:18.:56:25.

They are holding on here. Dumfriesshire is the one that has

:56:26.:56:38.

been held for the Conservatives. It does start to look like a rejection

:56:39.:56:44.

of independence, whether you are talking about the Scottish

:56:45.:56:50.

referendum, or maybe a start of the shy Remain vote in England. We have

:56:51.:56:55.

seen some extraordinary swings in Scotland on a summer of 20%. This is

:56:56.:57:00.

not as big, but it is still pretty hefty, and 11 point swing towards

:57:01.:57:09.

the Conservatives away from the SNP. Even when you see the old, let's

:57:10.:57:19.

look at the change. The Ukip vote is again deeply down, Labour making

:57:20.:57:24.

those gains which holds the seat for the Conservatives. In Scotland, we

:57:25.:57:29.

are seeing a real rejection of independence, with all the parties

:57:30.:57:32.

taking away from the SNP. Will we start to interpret the same sort of

:57:33.:57:37.

movement in some of the gains that Labour is making from the

:57:38.:57:41.

Conservatives? So it could be that one of the effects of this election

:57:42.:57:46.

will be to give hope to the 48% who voted Remain in the referendum last

:57:47.:57:49.

summer? They will think there is now something to play for again. You

:57:50.:57:54.

have heard the Remainers saying the 48% felt forgotten. Perhaps over the

:57:55.:58:03.

course of this year, the Remainers are the ones who have felt their

:58:04.:58:06.

voice was ignored and it is starting to come through. This is the voice

:58:07.:58:15.

of the shy Remainers, but they have not decamped en masse to the Lib

:58:16.:58:19.

Dems. It was the Lib Dem strategy to relentless target the 40% in the

:58:20.:58:22.

hope that they would all come over to the yellow column, but that has

:58:23.:58:34.

not happened, interestingly. Well, the 326 seats that the Tories needed

:58:35.:58:39.

if they were to have a majority, even a minuscule one, is now

:58:40.:58:44.

impossible. So it is a hung parliament. The Conservatives have

:58:45.:58:52.

309 seats. Labour 258. There is no way the Conservatives can go to 326.

:58:53.:59:00.

That is how it is at the moment. We have not shown the other parties. I

:59:01.:59:08.

don't think we have even mentioned whether the Green Party won in

:59:09.:59:11.

Brighton. We are still waiting for that result, Caroline Lucas. That is

:59:12.:59:18.

how things are. It is a hung parliament, and that's the story.

:59:19.:59:22.

And it has taken us from ten o'clock, when it was quite

:59:23.:59:26.

astonishing to get the exit poll, to now, just before six o'clock, to be

:59:27.:59:32.

certain that that is how things are. Peter. In the light of the

:59:33.:59:38.

referendum a year ago, Scotland was doing one thing, London was doing

:59:39.:59:42.

one thing, and the rest of England and Wales. It is like that tonight.

:59:43.:59:46.

These three quite different operations. Scotland, a massive

:59:47.:59:50.

swing from SNP to Conservative. In a huge swing to Labour, especially in

:59:51.:59:56.

the Tory marginals. The rest of England and Wales, a small swing to

:59:57.:00:00.

Labour. So once again, the shadow of Brexit and the referendum is telling

:00:01.:00:07.

in these results. A while ago, Southgate went back to Labour. The

:00:08.:00:11.

remarkable thing is that it was actually in line with all the other

:00:12.:00:14.

Conservative marginals in London. The surprising thing is that it was

:00:15.:00:17.

not a surprise in terms of what was happening in London tonight.

:00:18.:00:22.

Cordova it is six o'clock and some of you will have had your alarm

:00:23.:00:28.

clocks winging in your ear. You will be will wanting to know what

:00:29.:00:37.

happened. The news from the Election Centre, it is a hung parliament.

:00:38.:00:41.

Theresa May, having gone to get what she called certainty and stability

:00:42.:00:47.

for the years ahead, has totally failed. She had a majority of 17

:00:48.:00:52.

when this election was called a few weeks back, she now doesn't have a

:00:53.:00:57.

majority at all. From her point of view, it's a total disaster. It was

:00:58.:01:03.

a call she made and it fell flat. That's how things are. For the next

:01:04.:01:07.

hour and the rest of the day, we will discuss the ramifications. All

:01:08.:01:11.

sorts of ramifications, whether she stays on this, what happens on

:01:12.:01:18.

policy. 11 days from now, we have to start discussing with EU the terms

:01:19.:01:22.

of Brexit. If you are yawning and about to do your morning exercises,

:01:23.:01:24.

that is the news for you. Up here with me, two people whose

:01:25.:01:33.

job it is to decipher these messages into newsprint and onto the

:01:34.:01:34.

airwaves. Let's start with the point a moment

:01:35.:01:43.

ago, Andrew, do you think this was the voice of the shy Remainer coming

:01:44.:01:49.

back? I said earlier I thought there was an element of the angry Remainer

:01:50.:01:54.

who had been ignored for most of the campaign, expressing itself in some

:01:55.:01:58.

of the results. There is a lot to this result, but the big headline is

:01:59.:02:03.

this is the most stunning reversal of fortunes. Just a month ago, the

:02:04.:02:07.

local elections, it now appears to be the Jurassic in love. Labour was

:02:08.:02:11.

absolutely hammered at those elections. -- the Jurassic era. Fast

:02:12.:02:21.

forward now, stunningly better results for Jeremy Corbyn, when most

:02:22.:02:25.

expected, including me, and most of his MPs... Some of that is obviously

:02:26.:02:30.

down to the dreadful Conservative campaign, but credit where it is

:02:31.:02:36.

due, Labour has run a very effective campaign, confounding so many

:02:37.:02:40.

expectations. Until a minute to ten last night, many Labour MPs were

:02:41.:02:44.

waiting to come out anticipating a dreadful drubbing. Some who have

:02:45.:02:48.

appeared on this programme over the course of the evening, perhaps

:02:49.:02:53.

preparing to launch leadership campaigns. All that is for the birds

:02:54.:02:58.

now. What do you think this was about? I think we are all going to

:02:59.:03:04.

concentrate on Theresa May falling short in her gamble, but we should

:03:05.:03:09.

not miss the big driver, that Jeremy Corbyn did vastly better than people

:03:10.:03:14.

expected and had analysed. His idea was Ed Miliband did not energise

:03:15.:03:20.

people beyond the ordinary people who vote in elections, and we can do

:03:21.:03:25.

that with a new message. Everybody outside their group thought that was

:03:26.:03:28.

an eccentric theory, it wouldn't happen. They were right, we were

:03:29.:03:34.

wrong. That is one of the big drivers of the election. People

:03:35.:03:38.

thought Labour would get 30%, it got above 40%. No one saw that coming.

:03:39.:03:44.

That is a bigger feature of the election. Why would that happen? One

:03:45.:03:50.

of the reasons is obviously Remain versus Leave. When David

:03:51.:04:11.

Cameron had the election in 2015, real income growth was going up. Now

:04:12.:04:15.

it is going down. Everything political science tells you, you

:04:16.:04:17.

have to make the election about something else. She tried to make it

:04:18.:04:19.

about the Brexit negotiations, but it ended up being a lot about

:04:20.:04:22.

austerity. Not an election winning number of voters for Labour. Mr

:04:23.:04:24.

Corbyn and his team were right, they seem to have been proved correct in

:04:25.:04:27.

attaching onto the idea that after seven years, a lot of the public is

:04:28.:04:34.

heartily sick of austerity. Even if they did not think plausible the

:04:35.:04:39.

whole Labour programme... Is it a campaign when not much could have

:04:40.:04:45.

been done? It is worth noting Labour did not actually win the election.

:04:46.:04:53.

The really interesting question is, is there a way of taking the

:04:54.:04:56.

excitement Jeremy Corbyn brings to the campaign and linking it with

:04:57.:05:01.

feeling they could actually govern, which would then produce the extra

:05:02.:05:06.

votes that would allow them to actually win a majority themselves?

:05:07.:05:09.

Because it is important not to be carried away by expectations and

:05:10.:05:13.

think that Labour won the election. In circumstances where the economy

:05:14.:05:17.

was going backwards and there was a Remain feeling, of course they fall

:05:18.:05:22.

short, so we need to analyse that too. What are you hearing from

:05:23.:05:26.

within the party about Theresa May's future? Because everyone is busy, I

:05:27.:05:32.

am not hearing one way or another, but if you fight an election because

:05:33.:05:35.

you want a mandate and you don't get a mandate, that puts your position

:05:36.:05:39.

in question. The problem for the Conservative Party is there is no

:05:40.:05:43.

majority in the Conservative Party that would then command a majority

:05:44.:05:50.

on Brexit in the Commons, and in the Lords actually. Where they would go

:05:51.:05:52.

and where the Conservative Party would go is different. The

:05:53.:05:55.

leadership on a platform to govern... There is also the personal

:05:56.:06:02.

factor with Mrs May. I have watched other Prime Ministers go through

:06:03.:06:08.

this. David Cameron said before the referendum result he would not

:06:09.:06:12.

resign as Prime Minister. He woke up and realised the loss of authority

:06:13.:06:18.

and that he could not carry on plausibly in those circumstances.

:06:19.:06:21.

She will obviously be considering, the people closest to her, most of

:06:22.:06:26.

all her husband... If enough of them want me to carry on, would it be

:06:27.:06:30.

worth it? Having tried to sell myself in this way and been rejected

:06:31.:06:36.

by the people, do I want to try and go hand to mouth, knowing that a lot

:06:37.:06:40.

of my party are absolutely furious with me, having to cut day by day

:06:41.:06:45.

deals with the Ulster Unionists? I wonder. Thank you.

:06:46.:06:51.

Let's turn to the Green Party. They have in effect only one candidate

:06:52.:07:00.

with a chance of winning. It is of course Caroline Lucas, co-leader of

:07:01.:07:05.

the Greens in Brighton Pavilion. Worth thinking for a moment for

:07:06.:07:10.

those people who voted Green, if she does get in, we will get the result

:07:11.:07:15.

in a moment, over half a million people voted Green, so she

:07:16.:07:19.

represents half a million of the electorate. 13 million voted

:07:20.:07:26.

Conservative and they get 310 seats. 12.5 million voted Labour and they

:07:27.:07:34.

get 258. The Lib Dems get 12. Under half a million, the SNP get 34. Over

:07:35.:07:42.

half a million and the Greens get one. Worth reflecting on. Let's get

:07:43.:07:46.

the result from Brighton Pavilion and see whether she did actually to

:07:47.:07:49.

represent... The Brighton Boolean constituency is

:07:50.:08:06.

as follows. Ian Buchanan, 630, Ukip. Solomon Curtis, Labour Party...

:08:07.:08:22.

Caroline Lucas, Green Party, 30,149. Emma Warman, Conservatives... The

:08:23.:08:28.

number of other papers rejected were as follows. Mark identifying vote,

:08:29.:08:39.

three. Unmarked, 133. The total rejected votes come 154. So Caroline

:08:40.:08:46.

Lucas has increased her majority. She is up by 6722. A majority of

:08:47.:08:57.

nearly 15,000. Here she is, the co-leader of the Green Party. Thank

:08:58.:09:02.

you so much to the returning officer and his amazing staff tonight. Thank

:09:03.:09:06.

you to the other candidates. Thank you to my really amazing campaign

:09:07.:09:10.

team and the Legion of volunteers who did so much in this campaign.

:09:11.:09:15.

Going well beyond the call of duty. I want to say a huge thank you to

:09:16.:09:24.

Matt, Gabriel, my campaign manager and my agent, you have been so

:09:25.:09:29.

fantastic. Thank you so much. Thank you to my amazing family, as ever,

:09:30.:09:32.

always with me every step of the way. And most of all, thank you to

:09:33.:09:37.

the wonderful people of Brighton Pavilion, whom it has been such an

:09:38.:09:41.

honour and privilege to serve. Thank you for putting your faith in me

:09:42.:09:46.

again. Caroline Lucas, winning her seat in Brighton Pavilion again. At

:09:47.:09:56.

6.10, time for some news. Dawn has broken. A fine day. And my goodness,

:09:57.:10:02.

down there in those few square miles around Westminster, the people

:10:03.:10:08.

coming back, the people in Downing Street, the people in Tory party

:10:09.:10:14.

head office, the Labour Party offices, yak yak yak, trying to

:10:15.:10:19.

decide what on earth to do. All of our BBC yak gag yakkers will be

:10:20.:10:25.

going down there, including Laura Kuenssberg. Not quite yet, but

:10:26.:10:33.

shortly. At some point, we expect Theresa May to come out. I'm not

:10:34.:10:38.

sure whether she is back in there already, but it is on mornings like

:10:39.:10:43.

this that back entrances to official buildings come into their own.

:10:44.:10:49.

Waving from the window... John Major in defeat was televised

:10:50.:10:58.

making a live speech to staff, a gracious speech, when he lost in

:10:59.:11:04.

1997. It's normal to go back to Central office. It's not normal to

:11:05.:11:07.

be completely hidden away. Westminster Abbey, the end east

:11:08.:11:14.

there, and the Union Flag flying over the House of lords. -- the East

:11:15.:11:18.

end there. Let us not be deflected any further

:11:19.:11:30.

by the beauty of this scene of London and the dawn, and let's

:11:31.:11:33.

instead have the latest news. With Louise Minchin.

:11:34.:11:38.

Theresa May's decision to call a snap general

:11:39.:11:42.

election has backfired, and there will be a hung parliament.

:11:43.:11:45.

With only a handful of seats left to declare, the Conservatives have

:11:46.:11:48.

Labour has done better than expected in the general election,

:11:49.:11:54.

and Jeremy Corbyn has called for Theresa May to resign.

:11:55.:11:56.

The Prime Minister says the country needs stability.

:11:57.:11:59.

The night saw both Alex Salmond and Nick Clegg lose their seats.

:12:00.:12:02.

Our political correspondent Tom Bateman's report

:12:03.:12:04.

A political gamble - the hope that she would transform

:12:05.:12:15.

the Tories' fragile advantage in Parliament with a huge win.

:12:16.:12:19.

But the smiles of the campaign trail have vanished.

:12:20.:12:23.

Forecasts suggest the Conservatives may end up even worse off,

:12:24.:12:25.

If, as the indications have shown, if this is correct,

:12:26.:12:32.

that the Conservative Party has won the most seats, and probably

:12:33.:12:35.

the most votes, then it will be incumbent on us to ensure we have

:12:36.:12:40.

that period of stability, and that is what we will do.

:12:41.:12:45.

And you can see what the Labour leader makes

:12:46.:12:48.

A man whose campaign confounded many expectations.

:12:49.:12:53.

Beaming smiles, with Labour on course for a far better

:12:54.:12:56.

The Prime Minister called the election because

:12:57.:13:01.

Well, the mandate she's got is lost Conservative seats,

:13:02.:13:07.

lost votes, lost support, and lost confidence.

:13:08.:13:11.

I would have thought that is enough to go, actually.

:13:12.:13:15.

In Battersea, Labour have ousted a government

:13:16.:13:18.

There have been Labour gains elsewhere - in Stockton South

:13:19.:13:24.

from the Conservatives, and in Scotland,

:13:25.:13:27.

And just look at the mood during the count in Hastings. Home Secretary

:13:28.:13:39.

Amber Rudd only just scraped home by 346 votes. It's not just the Tories

:13:40.:13:44.

suffering. In Sheffield, the Lib Dem's former

:13:45.:13:47.

leader Nick Clegg has lost his seat. I, of course, have encountered this

:13:48.:13:50.

evening something that many people have encountered before tonight,

:13:51.:13:52.

and I suspect many people will encounter after tonight,

:13:53.:13:55.

which is in politics you live by the sword and you

:13:56.:13:57.

die by the sword. The night began with

:13:58.:14:01.

a projection - the exit poll. This morning, with most seats

:14:02.:14:13.

counted, the BBC forecast has the Conservatives as the largest party

:14:14.:14:17.

but short of an overall majority. Labour are on course to increase

:14:18.:14:22.

their number of seats by around 30. The SNP have lost big names on a

:14:23.:14:27.

disappointing night compared with their Scottish landslide two years

:14:28.:14:30.

ago. Angus Robertson was ousted by the Conservatives, and their former

:14:31.:14:34.

leader Alex Salmond lost his seat too. One of Theresa May's own MPs is

:14:35.:14:41.

laying the blame on her. She is in a very difficult place. She is a

:14:42.:14:44.

remarkable, talented woman and she does not shy from difficult

:14:45.:14:47.

decisions but she has to consider her position. Democracy has been on

:14:48.:14:54.

full show. So have the upsets. Now an unpredictable journey for Theresa

:14:55.:14:59.

May as dawn breaks on renewed political uncertainty. As she

:15:00.:15:03.

arrives at her party HQ, she knows there are those saying this result

:15:04.:15:07.

should bring the end of the road for a Premiership. The seating

:15:08.:15:10.

arrangement in this place has changed significantly, or because

:15:11.:15:14.

Theresa May asked you to decide. Now she has the answer.

:15:15.:15:24.

The pound has fallen sharply, as traders react to the results. A

:15:25.:15:35.

clearer picture of the markets will continue to emerge when trading

:15:36.:15:40.

opens across Europe. In other news, 1-1 is investigating the terror

:15:41.:15:43.

attack at London Bridge in which eight people died have made another

:15:44.:15:47.

arrest. A 29-year-old man was detained in east London, bringing

:15:48.:15:53.

the total number of people in custody to five. 12 others were

:15:54.:15:56.

released without charge. The Trump administration has denied

:15:57.:16:12.

allegations by James Comey that the president tried to impede an

:16:13.:16:15.

investigation into last year's presidential election. Mr Trump's

:16:16.:16:20.

lawyers said the testimony finally confirm publicly that the president

:16:21.:16:22.

was not under investigation. He has also called for Mr Comey

:16:23.:16:28.

to be prosecuted for leaking Mr Comey has now admitted that he is

:16:29.:16:46.

one of these leakers. He has now admitted that he unilaterally and

:16:47.:16:51.

surreptitiously made unauthorised disclosure to the press. Back to

:16:52.:16:57.

election news in a couple of moments, after an update on the

:16:58.:17:00.

weather, with Matt Taylor. Good morning.

:17:01.:17:05.

Good morning. Overall, a sunny story for most of you today. But you might

:17:06.:17:09.

need your umbrella just in case, there will be some chicks in the

:17:10.:17:17.

forecast. The showers will be moving eastwards during the day. But some

:17:18.:17:28.

gaps in between the showers. With a bit more sunshine then yesterday, it

:17:29.:17:31.

will probably feel just a touch warmer. Tonight, temperatures will

:17:32.:17:35.

hold up, with cloud spilling in once again. That will be bringing rain

:17:36.:17:40.

into many areas for the start of Saturday. The driest and brightest

:17:41.:17:49.

of the weather will be across parts of the Midlands, East Anglia and the

:17:50.:17:51.

south-east of England. Quite a humid day tomorrow. Sunday, driest again

:17:52.:17:58.

in the south-east corner. Further north and west, it will feel a

:17:59.:18:03.

little bit cooler. Time now to hand you back to David Dimbleby.

:18:04.:18:17.

Welcome back. Where is the Prime Minister, and what is she up to? Ben

:18:18.:18:24.

Wright is outside Tory party headquarters. Good morning. Good

:18:25.:18:34.

morning. We believe she is now in No 10, having spent quite a long time

:18:35.:18:38.

here at Tory HQ mulling over what to do next. She did talk to Tory

:18:39.:18:45.

staffers just before she left and I understand she said things would be

:18:46.:18:50.

different, but the Tories would continue to be a party which works

:18:51.:18:53.

for everyone. I am told there was no mention about her own intentions,

:18:54.:18:57.

weather she will stay or go. One source in there told me that her

:18:58.:19:04.

mood was down, sombre but calm. I'm told that she has left here and gone

:19:05.:19:09.

to Downing Street. There are a. Of Tory party staffers trudging out,

:19:10.:19:12.

looking pretty desolate. They thought this would be a morning of

:19:13.:19:17.

jubilation and celebration. I was with the Tory battle bus this week,

:19:18.:19:22.

going around Labour held seats which they thought would all be turning

:19:23.:19:25.

blue this morning. None of them were expecting this. Things will change,

:19:26.:19:31.

meaning...? Laura Kuenssberg has been talking about, she would have

:19:32.:19:36.

to change the way she does things - could that be what she meant, or

:19:37.:19:41.

could it mean, you may not have me around any more? I think it is more

:19:42.:19:48.

likely to be the former. She will be well aware that as this campaign has

:19:49.:19:52.

progressed, there have been a growing degree of frustration and

:19:53.:19:57.

anger I think within Tory party ranks, the Parliamentary

:19:58.:20:00.

Conservative ranks, about how she runs the show, how this campaign was

:20:01.:20:04.

conducted, I think there is real anger not just about social care and

:20:05.:20:07.

how that policy unravelled within a couple of days and had to be

:20:08.:20:11.

amended, but also the offerings on tensions, benefits, on the triple

:20:12.:20:18.

lock, on the repeated mantra that all Britain needed was strong and

:20:19.:20:21.

stable leadership, a campaign built entirely around Theresa May. There

:20:22.:20:25.

was a lot of disquiet, particularly in the last couple of weeks, about

:20:26.:20:29.

how this campaign had been wrong and what it said about how Theresa May

:20:30.:20:33.

runs her inner circle. I think there had already been demands for that to

:20:34.:20:39.

change. Had she won this election comfortably and carried on as Prime

:20:40.:20:42.

Minister in the months and years ahead, I think she would have been

:20:43.:20:45.

forced to make some changes on that front. That might be watching was

:20:46.:20:50.

referring to. You say you were on the campaign bus, and I know there

:20:51.:20:54.

was a lot of talk about, for instance, Jeremy Corbyn would go and

:20:55.:20:59.

speak to 1000 people, or 2000 people, and she would go into an

:21:00.:21:04.

empty factory, where 12 workers were brought out to listen to her - was

:21:05.:21:08.

it actually like that, is that how it felt, that she wasn't making any

:21:09.:21:14.

real eye contact with people, wasn't arguing her case, was keeping away

:21:15.:21:21.

from the crowds? Not entirely fair. I went to some of the factory

:21:22.:21:24.

visits, where often the workers in these places were given no clue as

:21:25.:21:31.

to who was about to turn up, they were just told a VIP was about to

:21:32.:21:35.

appear, and they were quite stand to see the Prime Minister. She would

:21:36.:21:39.

then stay for up to half an hour, taking any questions they wanted to

:21:40.:21:43.

ask. When you are in the workplace setting, it is a bit odd quizzing

:21:44.:21:46.

the Prime Minister with no notice of. But there was a degree of

:21:47.:21:50.

interaction. What there wasn't was any of the colour and Carnival and

:21:51.:21:54.

the mass rallies that we saw from Jeremy Corbyn. The Tory campaign was

:21:55.:22:00.

entirely different. On the whole, Theresa May made the same short

:22:01.:22:05.

speech to 100, that's 200 Tory activists who had been bussed into a

:22:06.:22:09.

venue, with messages given to them by Tory party staffers, and it was

:22:10.:22:15.

often white hard to find a pulse on this Tory campaign. It was not

:22:16.:22:19.

exciting, it was just a robotic thing, driven, rammed home message,

:22:20.:22:26.

which did not change, really, join the campaign. I think they will feel

:22:27.:22:30.

it did the job in terms of getting the message onto the television

:22:31.:22:33.

screens, that was what the campaign was about. It was only in the last

:22:34.:22:38.

couple of days that it had some feel of a general election campaign, it

:22:39.:22:41.

had more pace, there were rallies where Theresa May became more

:22:42.:22:45.

animated. But it felt a strange campaign inside the bubble of it.

:22:46.:22:51.

Interesting picking up on what Ben Wright was saying, inevitably, the

:22:52.:22:55.

blame game inside Tory headquarters has already started. This campaign,

:22:56.:23:02.

like the previous ones, was run by Lynton Crosby, the Australian

:23:03.:23:07.

suppose it my stroke. Sources inside Tory HQ are telling me that Crosby's

:23:08.:23:13.

team did not understand Theresa May. They did not get her, they did not

:23:14.:23:18.

understand her. They walked in with their prepared attack lines about

:23:19.:23:22.

the coalition of chaos, and strong and stable... And then what was

:23:23.:23:27.

describes me as sensible people who knew Theresa May asked for changes

:23:28.:23:31.

in species and told Crosby that the strong and stable slogan had become

:23:32.:23:35.

a joke, all those suggestions were basically pushed out. Of course,

:23:36.:23:41.

everybody is now trying to rewrite history and saying, of course I said

:23:42.:23:45.

it was going to be a disaster! But it seems the public have rejected

:23:46.:23:49.

that much more controlled kind of campaigning, very similar to what

:23:50.:23:53.

David Cameron did. Theresa May did not play it any different to what

:23:54.:23:59.

David Cameron did under Lynton Crosby. But it seems that model did

:24:00.:24:03.

not fit for her, a very different kind of politician, and that kind of

:24:04.:24:09.

campaign just didn't work. Kamal Ahmed, very briefly, and I will come

:24:10.:24:13.

back to you for the wider implications - Stirling, what has

:24:14.:24:17.

happened, can you afford to go on holiday any more? Just about, David,

:24:18.:24:21.

I'm sure you will be able to afford it. I was asking on behalf of the

:24:22.:24:27.

US! We were here on Brexit night, and the market has once again shown

:24:28.:24:30.

its unerring ability to misjudge election outcomes. The market was

:24:31.:24:36.

positioned for a pretty solid Theresa May majority. That didn't

:24:37.:24:41.

happen. From the moment of the exit poll, Stirling has been weak, it has

:24:42.:24:49.

fallen by up to 2%. It has slightly rallied. But if we think about where

:24:50.:24:54.

the economy is, when politics hits the uncertainty button, the economy

:24:55.:25:01.

keeps going. Real incomes are still falling, rove has slowed down, and

:25:02.:25:05.

now the uncertainty around the direction of travel for the

:25:06.:25:08.

Government on tackling these big economic issues has only increased,

:25:09.:25:14.

overlaid on the Brexit issue and how the Government is going to negotiate

:25:15.:25:18.

with Europe in this tight time frame. That is going to mean a

:25:19.:25:21.

weaker pound, investors being more nervous about the UK. At the same

:25:22.:25:26.

time as, in the Eurozone, for example, growth has increased, and

:25:27.:25:35.

in America, growth is coming back. And so, for investors, they have got

:25:36.:25:41.

options, where they put their money. Lowball capital is global capital.

:25:42.:25:44.

And that will be the worry for investors and businesses in the UK

:25:45.:25:49.

about, we have this period of uncertainty, overlaid on Brexit,

:25:50.:25:53.

that is only going to cause the UK economy more problems, and those

:25:54.:25:56.

deep-seated problems, like real incomes falling will not be tackled

:25:57.:26:00.

by the Government, because the Government will not be clear on what

:26:01.:26:04.

its political approach will be. Let's have a look at these seats.

:26:05.:26:14.

The updated prediction now, remember, the Conservatives needed

:26:15.:26:19.

326 to have a majority, they're 12 short, and Labour is on 260. We have

:26:20.:26:25.

not looked at for some time, for people who have just got up and want

:26:26.:26:31.

to see it, some of the key constituencies which told the story

:26:32.:26:34.

tonight - can we do that? It has been a night of the big beasts with

:26:35.:26:39.

some pretty poignant losses, and one of those was in Sheffield Hallam.

:26:40.:26:43.

Nick Clegg saying that he never shirk from fighting political

:26:44.:26:48.

battles and that he stood up in the national interest to form that

:26:49.:26:50.

coalition with the Conservatives. But here, you can see what happened

:26:51.:26:56.

possibly as a result of that, or possibly as a result of Labour

:26:57.:26:58.

straightening here. The seat has been taken from the click by Labour.

:26:59.:27:11.

It was on the Labour target list but there was quite forlorn moment,

:27:12.:27:17.

watching Nick Clegg realise that his political future, in terms of his

:27:18.:27:20.

constituency MP work, had ended tonight. So, a 4% swing to Labour

:27:21.:27:27.

from the Lib Dems. We also saw Angus Robertson, was always on that list,

:27:28.:27:36.

the SNP leader in Westminster, often called, in the old days, the voice

:27:37.:27:40.

of real opposition to the Conservatives, in the days when the

:27:41.:27:43.

SNP were not taking Labour very seriously. He has lost his seat,

:27:44.:27:47.

been replaced by Douglas Ross for the Conservatives. Gordon, a real

:27:48.:27:52.

big beast here, Alex Salmond, losing this seat. He took it from the Lib

:27:53.:27:58.

Dems, and now the Conservatives have taken it from the SNP. So, that loss

:27:59.:28:05.

of some big figures. In Twickenham, Vince Cable is back for the Lib

:28:06.:28:12.

Dems. They have lost Nick Clegg, but possibly Vince Cable coming in there

:28:13.:28:19.

again. Hastings, Amber Rudd, the Home Secretary, just holding on,

:28:20.:28:25.

after two recounts in which she looked vulnerable. And Caroline

:28:26.:28:29.

Lucas has increased majority, she has virtually doubled it, she is now

:28:30.:28:43.

at nearly 15,000 majority, an astonishing personal performance for

:28:44.:28:46.

a very popular Ringleader as well as MP. -- very popular Green leader. We

:28:47.:29:05.

have an announcement coming... Scottish Labour Party, 4026.

:29:06.:29:16.

Scottish National Party, 13,743. Tony Macklin is capable Scottish

:29:17.:29:28.

Conservative unionist party, 10,088. Scottish Liberal Democrats, 13,741.

:29:29.:29:42.

Independent Sovereign Democratic Briton, 224. The total number of

:29:43.:29:51.

ballot papers allocated, 41,822... So, the SNP holds on by two votes!

:29:52.:30:05.

The Liberal Democrats very nearly took the seat. Can I thank you for

:30:06.:30:13.

your ordinary efforts tonight in what has been quite an extraordinary

:30:14.:30:18.

evening. Thank you to you. Can I thank Elizabeth, Tony and Rosalind

:30:19.:30:24.

for a well fought campaign, thank you for the campaign that we fought.

:30:25.:30:31.

It has been a close one, it's fair to say! Can I also thank the

:30:32.:30:40.

volunteers, first of all my extraordinary team, thank you.

:30:41.:30:43.

Second, the volunteers from every political party that make democracy

:30:44.:30:47.

work, and have been trudging around in the pouring rain today. You have

:30:48.:30:52.

my thanks as well. And finally, presiding Officer, on a personal

:30:53.:30:57.

note, my wife had a baby halfway through this election. She has been

:30:58.:31:03.

an absolute hero. Thank you. We will leave five Northeast. The last

:31:04.:31:10.

election as close as that was Mark oaten, in Winchester, way back. He

:31:11.:31:14.

had a majority of two and there was a legal challenge and the election

:31:15.:31:19.

was fought again, and he then won. By a landslide.

:31:20.:31:25.

Barry Gardiner, the shadow international Trade Secretary. He

:31:26.:31:30.

joins us from Brent North. Good morning. Good morning. So what do

:31:31.:31:40.

you make of all this? It has been an extraordinary night. If you look

:31:41.:31:45.

back seven weeks to what was being predicted in the broadsheets, the

:31:46.:31:50.

Prime Minister expected a floodgate, a tsunami. She was looking at a

:31:51.:31:58.

120-150 seat majority, and she said she needed this in order to be able

:31:59.:32:03.

to negotiate in Europe a good Brexit deal for the UK. We are now in a

:32:04.:32:09.

situation which is far less about which party is up and down, it's

:32:10.:32:15.

much more about the fact that in a week, we will be the -- starting

:32:16.:32:25.

negotiations. She has gambled and has lost. It is written that has

:32:26.:32:31.

lost, because she will go into that negotiation and be considered a

:32:32.:32:36.

laughing stock with those whom she has to negotiate with. -- it is

:32:37.:32:45.

Britain that has lost. Have you spoken to Jeremy Corbyn, your party

:32:46.:32:51.

leader? John McDonnell? Not since the election results, no. You didn't

:32:52.:32:58.

expect this to happen, did you? You are taken by surprise, like many

:32:59.:33:03.

other Labour Party people? Sorry, I was working to win this election...

:33:04.:33:08.

I said you didn't expect it to happen. I didn't take anything for

:33:09.:33:15.

granted, but I have to say I didn't have an expectation, because there

:33:16.:33:17.

are real storms sweeping across British politics. Rex it was one of

:33:18.:33:22.

them. This was a general election which proved very difficult for the

:33:23.:33:28.

Conservatives. -- Brexit was one of them. In terms of their manifesto,

:33:29.:33:34.

but also it was blighted by the appalling events of Manchester and

:33:35.:33:39.

London Bridge. So there are very different, swirling measures that

:33:40.:33:42.

meant this was a very difficult election to predict. So what I

:33:43.:33:48.

concentrated on was the manifesto we had, the clarity of our policies, my

:33:49.:33:53.

belief that they were the right actions to take to help people in

:33:54.:33:58.

this country who really needed a change of government. And needed a

:33:59.:34:06.

fairer society. And I deeply, deeply disappointed that we didn't manage

:34:07.:34:10.

achieve a Labour victory so we could put those policies into effect. Put

:34:11.:34:17.

it this way, are you concerned... You talked about Brexit talks

:34:18.:34:22.

starting in 11 days. You think the Prime Minister will have to go? Do

:34:23.:34:27.

you expect to still be on the opposition benches, facing a Prime

:34:28.:34:33.

Minister supported maybe by the Northern Ireland parties? What do

:34:34.:34:35.

you think the future in Parliament is? Look, probably there are only

:34:36.:34:41.

two people who know that. Theresa May and her husband. She is in the

:34:42.:34:47.

driving seat in this, but of course she has lost the confidence of her

:34:48.:34:53.

party. That is very, very clear. It really is a matter of what she can

:34:54.:34:56.

broker within the Conservative Party. But this is a time when she

:34:57.:35:01.

should be focusing on what she can broker within Europe. That is why

:35:02.:35:06.

it's so deeply damaging to our nation. Politics is not a game

:35:07.:35:11.

between the political parties. It's ultimately supposed to be about the

:35:12.:35:15.

benefit of the British people, and she has put that all in jeopardy by

:35:16.:35:20.

this, and she has lost. Barry Gardiner, thank you for joining us.

:35:21.:35:26.

He started by describing it as an extraordinary night. I have pulled

:35:27.:35:29.

out three tweets which tell the story succinctly. The first, from

:35:30.:35:34.

Fraser Nelson, the editor of the Spectator. If Corbyn does take

:35:35.:35:39.

Labour to 40%, he will have done more to increase the party vote

:35:40.:35:49.

share since Clement Attlee in 1945. The second, Mark Wallace. An of the

:35:50.:35:59.

record quote from a Tory MP, we basically ran the Remain campaign,

:36:00.:36:02.

it was just about doom and disaster if you vote the other way.

:36:03.:36:08.

Recriminations about how inside Tory HQ they are thinking about what went

:36:09.:36:13.

wrong. And now the more panoramic, major story of this evening which we

:36:14.:36:17.

will talk about for months and years ahead. Harry Smith, a 94-year-old

:36:18.:36:22.

Labour activist who served in the Second World War, very trenchant

:36:23.:36:27.

online. He says, this morning, Britain's Young have shown they can

:36:28.:36:32.

become the greatest generation of the 21st century. You have my

:36:33.:36:36.

respect. This has been about young people coming out and swinging party

:36:37.:36:39.

towards Jeremy Corbyn and taking many of us buy supplies. Thanks. We

:36:40.:36:45.

know that the Prime Minister has gone back to Number Ten. -- many of

:36:46.:36:53.

us by surprise. Jeremy Vine is outside. People are waking up and

:36:54.:37:00.

wondering what we have been through with this extraordinary result.

:37:01.:37:03.

Let's take you through it, how by hour. Until 2am, the first handful

:37:04.:37:13.

of seats, you can see that seats Labour thought were maybe on the

:37:14.:37:20.

edge of being marginal, Hartlepool, the Vale of Clwyd, they stayed

:37:21.:37:24.

Labour. Labour were defending their territory. The Conservatives took

:37:25.:37:28.

Angus in Scotland, which it look like they had no prospect of doing,

:37:29.:37:33.

on paper. At 3am, let's see what we knew. By this stage, looking at the

:37:34.:37:39.

Labour line, they have taken Sheffield Hallam, Nick Clegg is out

:37:40.:37:43.

of the House of Commons. Glasgow North East goes Labour. An

:37:44.:37:50.

interesting result in Scotland. Ipswich goes from blue to red. Very

:37:51.:37:57.

interesting. The Conservatives hanging on to what they have got,

:37:58.:38:01.

Cleethorpes for example, but they would expect to hang onto those

:38:02.:38:05.

kinds of seats. What are they doing to move them forward? Nothing

:38:06.:38:06.

outside Scotland at all. At 4am, you can see Batley and Spen

:38:07.:38:20.

for Labour, the late Jo Cox's constituency that came back as

:38:21.:38:25.

Labour. In London, Labour posted quite high percentages in places

:38:26.:38:28.

like Vauxhall and Brent and Hammersmith and Dagenham.

:38:29.:38:33.

Underpinning this idea that in Remain seats, particularly those

:38:34.:38:37.

with lots of young voters, Labour were doing very well indeed.

:38:38.:38:41.

Scotland was constantly offsetting the bad news for the Conservatives

:38:42.:38:47.

in the meantime. Aberdeenshire West, Stirling, Berwickshire, all going to

:38:48.:38:50.

the Conservatives in Scotland, against any predictions made. At

:38:51.:38:54.

5am, we are nearly there... The Conservatives get the result of

:38:55.:39:05.

Hastings. Amber Rudd, the Home Secretary's constituency. That was

:39:06.:39:09.

very, very close. She would not have been expecting to be in that nip and

:39:10.:39:13.

tuck fight in Hastings, but that was the case with quite a few

:39:14.:39:17.

Conservative seats. Meanwhile, OK, Labour are behind by doing much

:39:18.:39:22.

better than anyone expected. They take Enfield, Southgate off the

:39:23.:39:26.

Conservatives, the history of that seat with Michael Portillo being

:39:27.:39:31.

kicked out by Tony Blair's party in 1997. A 10% swing for Labour in that

:39:32.:39:37.

seat. By six o'clock, let's bring on the rest. The Conservatives are

:39:38.:39:41.

ahead, but we knew by this stage they weren't going to make the

:39:42.:39:46.

finishing line of 326. They took Southampton, chipping barnet, but

:39:47.:39:52.

they would never have expected to be in trouble in those safe seats.

:39:53.:40:02.

Labour at this point, you can see Southampton, Gloria de Piero's seat.

:40:03.:40:08.

Hove had been assumed to be pretty marginal but Labour took it. Held

:40:09.:40:15.

it. So what a situation. We are very near the line. We have not yet got

:40:16.:40:25.

every seat. If they are dark blue, dark red, we don't know the final

:40:26.:40:30.

result. Truro, Cornwall Southeast, Crewe, Cornwall North, Kensington...

:40:31.:40:38.

But the one thing we do know, the Conservatives cannot make this 326

:40:39.:40:44.

line. That is just over half the total number of MPs in the House of

:40:45.:40:48.

Parliament. They can't do it, and therefore it has been a terrible,

:40:49.:40:52.

terrible mistake for Theresa May to throw away the majority won by David

:40:53.:40:58.

Cameron in 2015. Yes, Labour have come second but they have done far

:40:59.:41:03.

better than almost anyone expected. David, that is the story. Amazing.

:41:04.:41:09.

Laura Kuenssberg, our political editor, has been sitting here since

:41:10.:41:14.

ten o'clock last night. You have to go to Downing Street. Do we know

:41:15.:41:18.

when Theresa May is speaking? We thought it might be ten o'clock, but

:41:19.:41:22.

we are told it is not, so I'm going to go, in case it is sooner than

:41:23.:41:28.

that. Just summarise for us how you think things stand, and the way you

:41:29.:41:33.

think politics will develop at Westminster over the next few days?

:41:34.:41:39.

Unquestionably, a total political disaster for Theresa May. This is on

:41:40.:41:44.

her, it was her decision to do it. A huge success were Jeremy Corbyn. Not

:41:45.:41:50.

the largest party but he has massively outperformed expectations.

:41:51.:41:54.

-- for Jeremy Corbyn. He has achieved far more than he himself

:41:55.:41:58.

thought. The hat-trick, if you like. He won the lass ship against

:41:59.:42:03.

expectation. -- the Labour leadership. He survived the contest.

:42:04.:42:14.

He has performed better than Labour in 2015 and 2010. A huge success.

:42:15.:42:18.

For us, we know the Tories are the largest party and they have the

:42:19.:42:22.

right to try and form the Government. They are tantalisingly

:42:23.:42:26.

close to actually getting a majority, and they would have a

:42:27.:42:32.

workable majority because we know the Northern Ireland Unionist MPs

:42:33.:42:37.

would come alongside them. But we do not know at the moment if Theresa

:42:38.:42:41.

May is the person to try to form that government. It may be her. She

:42:42.:42:48.

may be forced to stay on as a sort of caretaker and do some kind of

:42:49.:42:51.

deal behind-the-scenes about standing down later on. She may

:42:52.:42:55.

decide to quit after this humiliation. Or she may be privately

:42:56.:43:01.

being forced to do so right now. So we know the result but we don't know

:43:02.:43:04.

for sure who our Prime Minister is going to be. Tell us about Jeremy

:43:05.:43:09.

Corbyn's character. He must be tough as old boots having gone through

:43:10.:43:13.

that campaign, having been monster by the press. -- monstered by the

:43:14.:43:21.

press. 80% of his own MPs against him. In visible on the backbenches

:43:22.:43:27.

all of his career, generally known for voting against everything... A

:43:28.:43:33.

protester, indeed. The one thing we have always known about Jeremy

:43:34.:43:37.

Corbyn is he thrives on campaigning. He has been a protester, a

:43:38.:43:42.

campaigner. He was a political outsider. The gamble for the Labour

:43:43.:43:48.

Party was whether an outsider could ever have enough appeal to the

:43:49.:43:50.

floating voter, the person in the middle. Watching him over the last

:43:51.:43:54.

couple of years, even though he has had brickbats thrown at him by his

:43:55.:43:58.

own party, you see he has drawn energy from the campaigning that he

:43:59.:44:03.

has had to do. Day by Day in this campaign, it was almost like he was

:44:04.:44:07.

plugging in a charger to the crowd to get his energy to keep him going.

:44:08.:44:13.

That's what we have seen here. A protester turned campaigner that has

:44:14.:44:19.

been reinforced. How will he take to success? A whole different ball

:44:20.:44:23.

game. He has had success in his own way. On one of the last days of

:44:24.:44:30.

campaigning, he said it's not just about electing MPs. My normal

:44:31.:44:35.

campaigning and convention you say, it's only about electing MPs, that

:44:36.:44:41.

is the point. Most people thought it is eight crackpot view, not about

:44:42.:44:45.

winning, but most people would say it is a movement. But that formula

:44:46.:44:49.

has got the Labour Party further along the line than its last couple

:44:50.:44:57.

of leaders. Quite something. An amazing achievement, but clearly

:44:58.:45:01.

they are not the largest party. No question it is the Tory party that

:45:02.:45:06.

will try to form the Government. So while Labour have had an extremely

:45:07.:45:09.

good night, it's not the situation that somehow he has actually been

:45:10.:45:14.

able to overthrow that. But once again, just as in 2015, just as in

:45:15.:45:21.

the referendum, the Great British public have thrillingly,

:45:22.:45:23.

audaciously, boldly reminded the political established that they are

:45:24.:45:26.

the ones who call the shots. That is why these nights are so exciting.

:45:27.:45:32.

Laura Kuenssberg, you had better get down to Number Ten. We are going to

:45:33.:45:38.

go down there to join John Pienaar, waiting for you to arrive. Good

:45:39.:45:45.

morning to you. I suppose the obvious question is, first of all,

:45:46.:45:49.

do you have any news about what the Prime Minister is going to do? And

:45:50.:45:52.

secondly, what are your reflections on the campaign?

:45:53.:45:58.

The news is that there is no news. It is anyone's guess, about what the

:45:59.:46:15.

Prime Minister will do after this most Phyrric of election victories.

:46:16.:46:22.

We will find out when she makes that statement. I was in contact by text

:46:23.:46:28.

with a senior Tory figure just a few moments ago, asking, would Theresa

:46:29.:46:33.

May be soldiering on, and the answer was, no idea. I think he would have

:46:34.:46:38.

been speaking for an awful lot of people when he said that. Suggesting

:46:39.:46:42.

not too subtly that she should fall on her sword, one person saying.

:46:43.:46:46.

Another figure in the party, Jacob Rees Mogg am saying, we need that

:46:47.:46:49.

stability, she needs to stick around. And then, another member of

:46:50.:46:55.

the 1922 Committee, the tribal odours of the Tory party, his

:46:56.:46:58.

position was, this is the wrong time to go, with the Brexit negotiations

:46:59.:47:02.

just a few days away. We will wait and see. We will have that statement

:47:03.:47:06.

before too long. I would imagine, if she sticks around, we will see a

:47:07.:47:11.

significant change in her way of running the party and the

:47:12.:47:14.

government. Not just because she will see that is necessary but

:47:15.:47:18.

because I think the party around her will be insisting that that is what

:47:19.:47:22.

happens, and that will take a number of different forms, I think. You

:47:23.:47:26.

will see the Prime Minister being pressed to listen much more

:47:27.:47:29.

carefully to the party at large, to her MPs, to the tribal elders of the

:47:30.:47:34.

1922 Committee. In Whitehall, around here, there are very senior civil

:47:35.:47:39.

servants who say privately that they want to see their departments, their

:47:40.:47:44.

voices, not just heard but he did in number 10 Downing Street. We know

:47:45.:47:48.

how Theresa May relies very closely on a very small circle of close

:47:49.:47:53.

senior advisers. Many people feel excluded from all of that fish you

:47:54.:47:58.

will see MPs and senior civil servants in a more deferential sort

:47:59.:48:01.

of way looking for that circle to be widened, for the listening to be

:48:02.:48:07.

made rather more attentive and for what they say to be responded to.

:48:08.:48:11.

All of that is for the future. And while, today, we will hear from the

:48:12.:48:15.

Prime Minister a little later on, having absorbed what has happened

:48:16.:48:20.

overnight, telling us weather she is going to carry on. Meanwhile, the

:48:21.:48:24.

Labour Party will be considering its own future, which now looks so very

:48:25.:48:28.

different. We have had a realignment of British politics overnight - and

:48:29.:48:35.

that's not overstating it. Thank you very much indeed, that was a great

:48:36.:48:39.

help to us. We will be back in the street when the Prime Minister comes

:48:40.:48:44.

out to speak. Can we look at a summary of how things stand? Yes.

:48:45.:48:49.

Imagine if you were a normal person, if you stayed up to watch the exit

:48:50.:48:53.

poll at ten clock and a new thought, I will go to bed and wake up in the

:48:54.:48:57.

morning and see what has happened. That exit polls which John Curtice

:48:58.:49:01.

brought us suggested the Conservatives would be on about 314

:49:02.:49:07.

seats, Labour would be on 256. It is impossible for you to imagine the

:49:08.:49:11.

kind of turmoil which all of us in the studio have been through,

:49:12.:49:13.

wondering just how accurate that would be. Well, look. At this time

:49:14.:49:23.

of the morning, coming up to seven o'clock, these are the seats which

:49:24.:49:28.

are in, and they are nearly all counted. The Conservatives sitting

:49:29.:49:36.

on 313 - they have lost 12. Labour sitting on 260 - they have made

:49:37.:49:43.

gains of 29 so far with six or seven still remaining. The SNP on 35, we

:49:44.:49:48.

predicted they would be down by 22, they have lost 21. The Lib Dems we

:49:49.:49:52.

said would be on 12, and they have done just that. What I want to do is

:49:53.:49:57.

to show you what this looks like as a percentage of the vote. Suddenly,

:49:58.:50:02.

it all becomes an extraordinary and stock story when you tell it, as we

:50:03.:50:08.

have been looking at it, in terms of these poll numbers. Labour, just two

:50:09.:50:18.

percentage points behind the Conservatives. The SNP on only 3%,

:50:19.:50:22.

even though they have all of those seats in Scotland. And the Greens,

:50:23.:50:27.

only one point behind them, even though they just have that one seat.

:50:28.:50:34.

But this is the moment which is quite a triumph for our exit

:50:35.:50:40.

pollsters. This is what we brought you at the beginning of the night.

:50:41.:50:53.

This is what we suggested. Showing Labour up, Ukip and the SNP down,

:50:54.:50:59.

amongst others. That is what we gave you. We held our breath, we tried

:51:00.:51:03.

not to tremble when we showed you the results on air. And these are

:51:04.:51:07.

the results, with nearly all of them in. And you can see just how similar

:51:08.:51:16.

those patterns are. Labour up 10%, the Conservatives up 6% and the

:51:17.:51:22.

other is pretty much in line. So this is the moment where you will

:51:23.:51:25.

probably want to turn to John Curtice with a big pat on the back.

:51:26.:51:29.

John Curtice is beaming with pleasure, hearing that. Does the

:51:30.:51:36.

exit poll deserve a pat on the back? Well, I hope you found it useful and

:51:37.:51:40.

that it helped to inform your coverage during the course of the

:51:41.:51:43.

night, David. The crucial thing about the exit polls is not

:51:44.:51:46.

necessarily whether it is right or wrong, but it gives people a guide

:51:47.:51:51.

as to what the results might be. You will remember that actually, very

:51:52.:51:54.

early in the night, it was not clear that it was right, because most of

:51:55.:51:58.

the results came in from the north-east, particularly Newcastle

:51:59.:52:01.

and Sunderland, and the exit polls overestimated how Labour would do in

:52:02.:52:05.

that part of the world. But while that was going on, we were hearing

:52:06.:52:09.

all sorts of commentary about what was going on in seats further south,

:52:10.:52:13.

particularly crucial marginal seats. And it was fairly clear to us early

:52:14.:52:17.

on that we have got the broad picture right. And therefore

:52:18.:52:22.

hopefully it means that the programme started off on the right

:52:23.:52:27.

leg. But it is not just me, I have a wonderful set of colleagues here who

:52:28.:52:30.

have done an awful lot of computer programming and hard work, not just

:52:31.:52:34.

tonight but all the way through the election campaign. And of course,

:52:35.:52:39.

the interviewers from Ipsa Smillie and JFK, stood outside polling

:52:40.:52:43.

stations, in some cases in inclement weather, collecting the data. We

:52:44.:52:50.

could not have got this right but for the data they collected, which

:52:51.:52:55.

fruit for the most part to be highly accurate. So you're just the front

:52:56.:53:01.

man? I hope I might have contributed something to the analysis, and my

:53:02.:53:03.

colleagues might agree! But without their support, I would not be...!

:53:04.:53:09.

You're just the public face! Sky, ITV, BBC... The reason it is a

:53:10.:53:16.

co-operative poll is because we used to get it, everybody had a different

:53:17.:53:19.

one and then blame the other lot for getting it wrong. John, thank you

:53:20.:53:24.

very much and congratulations on it. Let's join Michelle for a moment up

:53:25.:53:29.

in the gods. I am sitting here with David Lammy MP, Labour MP for

:53:30.:53:34.

Tottenham, comfortably re-elected earlier on. Congratulations on that.

:53:35.:53:40.

You have been a prominent Remain campaigner, you voted against the

:53:41.:53:43.

triggering of Article 50 - want to ask what you think tonight means for

:53:44.:53:48.

the Brexit process. George Osborne has said hard Brexit is now in the

:53:49.:53:53.

bin. I think George Osborne is right. Theresa May had committed to

:53:54.:53:57.

leaving the single market, she had committed to leaving the customs

:53:58.:54:00.

union. She asked the country to back her, give her a bigger majority,

:54:01.:54:05.

that now lies in tatters. There has to be now a different course. And I

:54:06.:54:11.

might say that MPs like Ken Clarke, like Anna Soubry, MPs that do not

:54:12.:54:18.

want a hard Brexit, are emboldened within the party, with such a small

:54:19.:54:21.

minority government which effectively she has to form. In a

:54:22.:54:27.

sense, you voted against triggering Article 50, Jeremy Corbyn, your

:54:28.:54:30.

leader, took a different position - in the end, his approach, perhaps

:54:31.:54:36.

that was one of the keys to holding together the disparate groups of

:54:37.:54:38.

Labour voters and delivering this result. My view remains largely the

:54:39.:54:44.

view of London, and you have seen a massive Remain position here in

:54:45.:54:49.

London, where Labour have done well. But of course, across the country it

:54:50.:54:56.

looks like Jeremy Corbyn got it right. His assessment was, we have

:54:57.:55:01.

to have a Brexit but broadly, it has to be a soft Brexit. And that has

:55:02.:55:08.

shined in the country. That's why those predictions that we would lose

:55:09.:55:12.

the north of England, that white working-class Britain had deserted

:55:13.:55:14.

Labour, this morning were proved wrong. Jeremy and the Labour Party

:55:15.:55:20.

have kept those seats in Yorkshire, the north-east and north-west.

:55:21.:55:24.

Against your expectations but are we actually my view was always the

:55:25.:55:28.

expectation that those Ukip voters would just go to the Conservatives

:55:29.:55:31.

was an overstatement. I know why colleagues feared it, but actually,

:55:32.:55:35.

we have seen a third of those voters coming over to Labour. I'm joined

:55:36.:55:44.

now by Peter Hennessy, who has arrived with a book called The

:55:45.:55:51.

Cabinet Manual. Just describe to us, is the process of continuing the

:55:52.:55:55.

governments of Britain complex or is it straightforward? I rarely leave

:55:56.:56:01.

home without this Cabinet manual, but it is quite complicated.

:56:02.:56:06.

Politics can always make a difference to the prescribed drills.

:56:07.:56:12.

After a night of political convulsion, I fear for Mrs May. My

:56:13.:56:17.

old friend John Ramsey, historian of the Conservative Party, once

:56:18.:56:21.

describe the Tory leadership as autocracy tempered by assassination.

:56:22.:56:25.

The big question is, will she be assassinated by her own hand, by

:56:26.:56:29.

other people sounds, sooner rather than later? It's going to be the

:56:30.:56:35.

most extraordinary day. For the last briefing elections, we have had a

:56:36.:56:37.

drill laid out, we never had it before. But there is a drill for it

:56:38.:56:42.

in here, the ministers resigning either individually or on behalf of

:56:43.:56:47.

their own government. What about not resigning, with a minority

:56:48.:56:49.

government, is there a drill for that? There's several drills,

:56:50.:56:55.

they're all in here. Several drills? Several possibilities, whether you

:56:56.:56:59.

do a deal, whether you have a line of confidence, or whether you try

:57:00.:57:03.

and soldier it out as the largest single party. But I think she will

:57:04.:57:07.

go and call upon the Queen, if she follows Ted heath's pattern in 1974,

:57:08.:57:12.

he went to see the Queen to explain what he was going to try to do over

:57:13.:57:15.

the weekend, in terms of doing deals with the Liberals and a few from

:57:16.:57:20.

Northern Ireland, so I think that President will probably be followed,

:57:21.:57:25.

but who knows? We are coming up to seven o'clock, and there is a shift

:57:26.:57:31.

change coming now. That they just work it out. Jeremy Vine is staying,

:57:32.:57:36.

yes? Michelle, your work is done... And you're going home. Emily?

:57:37.:57:42.

Staining. You're staying right through the day. Are you staying or

:57:43.:57:51.

going? Going. And you're going? Not home, I'm going back to... We have

:57:52.:57:58.

got jobs to do, David! We have got day jobs! We have been on the air

:57:59.:58:03.

all the way through the night, it has been the most fascinating night,

:58:04.:58:07.

I don't think any of six, when we sat down here, when I got that exit

:58:08.:58:11.

poll in that secret room out the back and we looked at it aghast, we

:58:12.:58:18.

could not believe it, in fact I will put it on eBay one day! Nothing had

:58:19.:58:22.

prepared us for it. Politics is always surprising, who politics is

:58:23.:58:28.

exciting. And one of the complaints often, particularly among young

:58:29.:58:31.

people, is that they find it boring. This election showed that young

:58:32.:58:36.

people can be energised by politics. That's really what Jeremy Corbyn

:58:37.:58:39.

managed to do, he managed to get people really involved and intrigued

:58:40.:58:44.

by it and seeing a different way of doing politics, not just the same

:58:45.:58:48.

old way. And I said earlier on that here the fascinating thing is that

:58:49.:58:52.

we have reverted effectively to a two-party system, an absolute binary

:58:53.:58:58.

choice between the Tory party and the Labour Party, the other parties

:58:59.:59:02.

have fallen aside. For the first time since 1970, we have 13.5

:59:03.:59:08.

million Tory, nearly 13,000,004 Labour. So, the bulk of voters - and

:59:09.:59:14.

we still have to find out who they were, what the young kid, what the

:59:15.:59:19.

old did, what the people in the towns in the cities did, all that

:59:20.:59:24.

stuff - but nevertheless, we have moved back towards two-party

:59:25.:59:27.

politics. All to play for no, because Theresa May, as we have been

:59:28.:59:30.

saying, must be under extreme pressure, having originally called

:59:31.:59:35.

this election, the guaranteed certainty and stability for the

:59:36.:59:41.

years ahead. Our coverage carries on on BBC One throughout the day. There

:59:42.:59:44.

will be all kinds of developments and Huw Edwards will be back in the

:59:45.:59:48.

chair here to take us through the afternoon and no doubt into this

:59:49.:59:52.

evening, as we work out the ramifications of what has happened.

:59:53.:59:56.

But now, coming up to seven o'clock, from me, David Dimbleby, here's the

:59:57.:00:00.

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