Browse content similar to Part Two. Check below for episodes and series from the same categories and more!
Line | From | To | |
---|---|---|---|
people around him I think organisationally, pretty weak. What | :00:00. | :00:00. | |
is going to happen to Brexit now? Theresa May called this election in | :00:00. | :00:08. | |
order to pursue the kind of Brexit you wanted and it doesn't look as | :00:09. | :00:12. | |
though she'll get the majority she wanted? What a huge error, to pick a | :00:13. | :00:18. | |
remainor to lead a Brexit negotiation. Massive mistake. I | :00:19. | :00:23. | |
think if we do get a Corbyn coalition, then Brexit is in some | :00:24. | :00:26. | |
trouble. And if Brexit is in some trouble, | :00:27. | :00:31. | |
will you come back into active politics and fight for what was | :00:32. | :00:36. | |
voted for only last summer? I would have absolutely no choice but to do | :00:37. | :00:40. | |
exactly that. That is interesting. We have to go. | :00:41. | :00:44. | |
We may be able to come back to you. But we have a result. | :00:45. | :00:49. | |
I here by give notice that the total number of votes given for each | :00:50. | :00:54. | |
candidate at the election is as follows: | :00:55. | :01:07. | |
Independent, 1,234. Green Party, 866. Liberal Democrats, 4,401. | :01:08. | :01:39. | |
Labour Party, 25... APPLAUSE | :01:40. | :01:55. | |
25,292. Conservative Party, 22... CHEERING | :01:56. | :02:14. | |
22,876. The Socialist Party of Great Britain, 32. UK Independence Party, | :02:15. | :02:36. | |
357. So Jane Ellison is defeated in Battersea. Labour takes Battersea. | :02:37. | :02:40. | |
And the swing in Battersea, let's see what that is. 46% and a swing of | :02:41. | :02:47. | |
10% from Conservative to Labour in an area that's almost 80% in favour | :02:48. | :02:54. | |
of Remain. Just under 80% in favour of Remain. I want to go back to | :02:55. | :02:59. | |
Nigel Farage, who we interrupted for that result. The last thing you said | :03:00. | :03:03. | |
was tantalising. You said you'd have to come back into active politics, | :03:04. | :03:07. | |
that's what you plan, is it? It's not what I plan. It's not what I | :03:08. | :03:12. | |
want. I was thrilled to lead Ukip to pressure Cameron into offering the | :03:13. | :03:16. | |
referendum, into working in that referendum campaign and into | :03:17. | :03:18. | |
winning. We've triggered Article 50. I thought it was all done. Mrs May | :03:19. | :03:23. | |
went for the big majority. She was found out, I think in this campaign. | :03:24. | :03:28. | |
What's remarkable about Corbyn's achievement is he's getting | :03:29. | :03:32. | |
Remainers in London voters for him. But he's getting Ukip voters around | :03:33. | :03:35. | |
the rest of the country voting for him too. Of course, he's not going | :03:36. | :03:39. | |
to be able to form a Government on his own, if it works out that way. | :03:40. | :03:43. | |
If we get a coalition with him and the SNP and whoever else, then we | :03:44. | :03:48. | |
may well be looking down the barrel of a second referendum. Is the whole | :03:49. | :03:55. | |
Brexit campaign, the Brexit decision, is it all in jeopardy now, | :03:56. | :03:59. | |
is the time table - does it mean anything any more? Well, let's see. | :04:00. | :04:07. | |
There's a long way to go. But I do think this: Let's say the other | :04:08. | :04:11. | |
result happens. Let's say May scrapes through with a small | :04:12. | :04:16. | |
majority or forms a minority government I don't know, I'm not | :04:17. | :04:19. | |
sure her credibility will be strong in Brussels. I think yes, the time | :04:20. | :04:23. | |
table, whatever happens here, is likely to get pushed back. How | :04:24. | :04:27. | |
confident are you that there'll still be what's called a hard Brexit | :04:28. | :04:31. | |
thaw wanted and that you think you won a year ago? I was always a bit | :04:32. | :04:37. | |
suspicious with Mrs May as to whether we get. It she was asked in | :04:38. | :04:42. | |
the campaign repeatedly, having backed Remain did she now believe in | :04:43. | :04:46. | |
Brexit, not once did she say yes. She just said she was carrying out | :04:47. | :04:51. | |
the will of the people. This may prove to be unfinished business. | :04:52. | :04:57. | |
Vicar of bray you think she is. I do, very much so. Yes, and in the | :04:58. | :05:03. | |
end, I think, when Corbyn said that they would end free movement, when | :05:04. | :05:07. | |
Corbyn said that under Labour we would leave, I think he kind of | :05:08. | :05:13. | |
boxed off Brexit as an issue for Ukip voters, many of whom did not | :05:14. | :05:16. | |
see the party as being relevant in this campaign. And ultimately the | :05:17. | :05:22. | |
shock we're seeing here tonight is all about personality. Ukip voters | :05:23. | :05:26. | |
want somebody they think is speaking for them. They want somebody who is | :05:27. | :05:30. | |
for change and what Theresa May tried to do is try to be the | :05:31. | :05:34. | |
establishment figure. Corbyn I thought through the campaign looked | :05:35. | :05:38. | |
comfortable in his skin. He appeared to be enjoying trchlt the Prime | :05:39. | :05:43. | |
Minister came -- the Prime Minister came across as insincere and Frankly | :05:44. | :05:48. | |
robotic. An Dumar has a question for you -- Andrew Marr has a question | :05:49. | :05:52. | |
for you. Do you think those very pro-Brexit, strong Brexit MPs in the | :05:53. | :05:55. | |
Tory Party will try to remove Theresa May as Prime Minister? Yes. | :05:56. | :06:00. | |
I also think - actually Andrew, I think on both sides of the debate | :06:01. | :06:05. | |
within the Conservative Party the Prime Minister's credibility as | :06:06. | :06:08. | |
leader of that party is fatally damaged. Thank you very much. Let's | :06:09. | :06:13. | |
rejoin Emily. We have got another result. Another gain for Labour. | :06:14. | :06:17. | |
From the Conservatives. This is their fourth gain of the night. | :06:18. | :06:22. | |
Labour have yet to lose a seat but it's early days. You can see | :06:23. | :06:27. | |
Stockton south puts Paul Williams in as the new MP for Labour here on 48% | :06:28. | :06:33. | |
share of the vote. You can see what has helped that along, as Mr Farage | :06:34. | :06:42. | |
was saying, Labour has picked up a lot of their vote. The Conservative | :06:43. | :06:46. | |
share hasn't moved at all. The swing here It's pretty solid from | :06:47. | :06:51. | |
Conservative to Labour. This was number 47 on the Labour target list. | :06:52. | :06:55. | |
They were hoping it would be competitive here. An outside chance | :06:56. | :06:58. | |
and they've picked tup. What I want to show you, because I've been | :06:59. | :07:02. | |
referring to this at intervals through the night so far is how our | :07:03. | :07:06. | |
exit poll compares to the results in so far. At one point it looked as if | :07:07. | :07:11. | |
we might have to recalibrate because the Conservatives were much lower | :07:12. | :07:14. | |
down on the exit poll than they were in real results. Now you can see | :07:15. | :07:18. | |
based on the results so far, just under 50 results so far, you can | :07:19. | :07:24. | |
actually see what's happened. The exit poll and the results so far are | :07:25. | :07:27. | |
showing much more similar pictures now. Ukip down in both 12%. The SNP | :07:28. | :07:34. | |
down 11 here. A bit further in real life and you can see what's happened | :07:35. | :07:40. | |
more or less the Conservative and Labour votes evening out and proving | :07:41. | :07:45. | |
the exit poll right so far. This is the result we've had in the last few | :07:46. | :07:49. | |
moments. Ealing central and Acton held by Labour. An important seat | :07:50. | :07:54. | |
this. The Greens stood aside to help Labour. Certainly she's on a | :07:55. | :07:58. | |
whopping 60% share of the vote now. It was number two on the | :07:59. | :08:02. | |
Conservative target list. But it looks as if Labour's having quite a | :08:03. | :08:06. | |
good night in London, so far. Conservatives down eight. Labour up | :08:07. | :08:11. | |
16%. They didn't need a very big swing to take this one. But you can | :08:12. | :08:15. | |
see what's happened. It's gone massively towards Labour. A bit like | :08:16. | :08:23. | |
that seat Putney, earlier, where Justine Greening held on. You're | :08:24. | :08:27. | |
seeing big swings to Labour. The direction of travel certainly | :08:28. | :08:30. | |
favours Labour in London so far tonight. | :08:31. | :08:35. | |
If the exit poll is proving right, that has the Conservatives short of | :08:36. | :08:39. | |
an overall majority. Boris Johnson, who has a vested interest in all | :08:40. | :08:43. | |
this, of course, the Foreign Secretary, talking about the odds of | :08:44. | :08:48. | |
his becoming Prime Minister have fall ton 5-1. He is -- fallen to | :08:49. | :08:52. | |
5-1. Whether he's being asked questions or not I do not know. ... | :08:53. | :08:58. | |
Contain themselves until they see - hello, how are you? Do you still | :08:59. | :09:03. | |
want to be leader of your party, Boris? Yeah well, quite sensibly not | :09:04. | :09:11. | |
answering any of that. Kirsty bring us up to date on what's going on in | :09:12. | :09:22. | |
Scotland. Well, we are about to get our first Glasgow seat. The SNP | :09:23. | :09:26. | |
seems to have held on by their finger nails, possibly with a | :09:27. | :09:30. | |
majority of less than 100. Glasgow central, a swing to the SNP two | :09:31. | :09:35. | |
years ago, that too may be in jeopardy. That's extraordinary | :09:36. | :09:40. | |
because the council has just lost, the Labour council, has just lost to | :09:41. | :09:43. | |
the SNP just a matter of months ago. Big change in Glasgow. Swings to | :09:44. | :09:47. | |
Labour. We don't know yet whether or not Glasgow central will go to | :09:48. | :09:51. | |
Labour. There's no doubt the SNP majority are going to be smashed. | :09:52. | :09:56. | |
After that Angus vote, that result, there is this tantalising result, | :09:57. | :10:00. | |
that if the exit poll was a little out, it could be the new | :10:01. | :10:05. | |
Conservative MPs in Scotland which give Theresa May a slender majority. | :10:06. | :10:09. | |
That would be extraordinary. Very much indeed. Well now we are at | :10:10. | :10:18. | |
2. 10am. Our exit poll which we gave at 10pm has not been changed yet in | :10:19. | :10:22. | |
the results we've had in. We've had 100 declared. We haven't yet gone | :10:23. | :10:26. | |
from the exit poll to what we call a forecast, which is when the results | :10:27. | :10:31. | |
that come in modify the exit poll. We're still saying Conservatives the | :10:32. | :10:39. | |
largest party on 314. Labour on 266. The SNP on 34. The Liberal Democrats | :10:40. | :10:48. | |
on 14. And Plaid Cymru on 3. The Greens on one. That's what we're | :10:49. | :10:57. | |
holding for the moment. We're ten minutes late with our news on the | :10:58. | :11:01. | |
hour, because so much is happening here in the election centre at the | :11:02. | :11:02. | |
BBC. But let's now have our news. With more than 90 seats counted in | :11:03. | :11:16. | |
the general election, Labour have gained three seats, one from the | :11:17. | :11:18. | |
SNP? Scotland and three from the Tories. | :11:19. | :11:21. | |
Labour have gained two seats - one from the SNP in Scotland and one | :11:22. | :11:24. | |
An exit poll for the BBC, ITV, and Sky has predicted the Tories | :11:25. | :11:29. | |
will be the biggest party - but that they won't win | :11:30. | :11:31. | |
It says they will have lost 17 seats, while Labour | :11:32. | :11:35. | |
The night began with a big projection, the exit poll. | :11:36. | :11:40. | |
But remember, it's still just a forecast. | :11:41. | :11:44. | |
It has the Conservatives as the largest party but short | :11:45. | :11:47. | |
Labour have held Wrexham, an area Theresa May visited several times | :11:48. | :12:00. | |
during the campaign. They held on in Darlington too, where only a | :12:01. | :12:03. | |
marginal swing to the Tories was nothing like the kind of shift they | :12:04. | :12:11. | |
need to fulfil Mrs May's hope of a big majority. | :12:12. | :12:14. | |
The SNP could be on course to lose a number of seats. Just look at the | :12:15. | :12:18. | |
mood in Hastings, hardly beaming confidence where the Home Secretary | :12:19. | :12:24. | |
is defending her seat. I'm just quietly waiting and keeping on eye | :12:25. | :12:27. | |
on everybody and everything. For some in Labour it's already a much | :12:28. | :12:31. | |
better night than they'd hoped. Theresa May's authority has been | :12:32. | :12:37. | |
undermined by this election. She is a damaged Prime Minister whose | :12:38. | :12:41. | |
reputation may never recover. The exit poll suggests the Tories would | :12:42. | :12:43. | |
have 314 seats, These exit polls have | :12:44. | :12:45. | |
been wrong in the past. I think in 2015 they | :12:46. | :12:55. | |
underestimated our vote. In a couple of elections before | :12:56. | :12:58. | |
that, they overestimated our vote. It's the real votes that count | :12:59. | :13:07. | |
though. There's the traditional race to see which constituency could | :13:08. | :13:11. | |
declare first. But two other seats won by Labour in north-east England | :13:12. | :13:14. | |
show the Tories have done better than the exit poll might have | :13:15. | :13:19. | |
suggested. The festival of democracy has been on full show. Watch out for | :13:20. | :13:23. | |
some upsets through the night. At least one minister's seat could be | :13:24. | :13:26. | |
in question and Ukip's vote appears to be collapsing in places. Jeremy | :13:27. | :13:33. | |
Corbyn arrived home in his North London constituency. If the exit | :13:34. | :13:37. | |
poll is correct, a big if, he will have confounded the expectations of | :13:38. | :13:43. | |
even some of his own MPs. While Theresa May's gamble to win big in a | :13:44. | :13:48. | |
snap election will have failed. The truth, inside those ballot | :13:49. | :13:52. | |
boxes, is still to be fully revealed. | :13:53. | :13:56. | |
With the news of the exit poll, the pound has been falling | :13:57. | :13:59. | |
against other currencies - including the dollar and the euro. | :14:00. | :14:02. | |
Let's get the latest reaction now from Sharanjit Leyl in Singapore. | :14:03. | :14:07. | |
That's right. The most immediate reaction in the markets as you say | :14:08. | :14:14. | |
has been from the British pound falling nearly 2% against the US | :14:15. | :14:17. | |
dollar after the exit poll suggested the Conservative Party could lose | :14:18. | :14:21. | |
its Parliamentary majority. It had recovered a little bit on some | :14:22. | :14:25. | |
evidence that the exit poll may not have been entirely accurate when we | :14:26. | :14:29. | |
saw the first results come in. I've been speaking to analysts and they | :14:30. | :14:32. | |
say it's likely the pound will continue falling through the day. A | :14:33. | :14:36. | |
hung Parliament being the worst case scenario for the pound, given the | :14:37. | :14:40. | |
political uncertainty it brings, because it complicates Brexit talks | :14:41. | :14:45. | |
even further. Uncertainty is something markets and investors | :14:46. | :14:50. | |
don't like. Having said all that, though, most Asian markets that have | :14:51. | :14:52. | |
opened are higher but only just. Welcome back to our Election Centre. | :14:53. | :15:25. | |
We are not yet doing it, but we are about I think to slightly increase | :15:26. | :15:32. | |
but not by very much, the forecast for the Conservative seats. It's | :15:33. | :15:36. | |
still going to be short of an overall majority. We'll get the | :15:37. | :15:40. | |
figures in a moment. Laura? This seems to be being borne out in Tory | :15:41. | :15:45. | |
headquarters. Ministers now do not expect to outperform the exit poll. | :15:46. | :15:50. | |
That means privately, as we speak, there is acceptance and discussion | :15:51. | :15:53. | |
of the fact that senior Tories do not now expect to have an overall | :15:54. | :15:58. | |
majority. That means if of course by the morning that remains the same, | :15:59. | :16:05. | |
Theresa May's roll of the dice looks to be one to have biggest political | :16:06. | :16:11. | |
mistakes we may have seen for some time. Jeremy Corbyn smiling in his | :16:12. | :16:16. | |
constituency. Like a Cheshire cat. He was elected by Labour Micks to | :16:17. | :16:21. | |
the -- Labour members to the establishment. The Labour ministers | :16:22. | :16:25. | |
tried to get rid of him, he was re-elected twice and now he looks to | :16:26. | :16:29. | |
have achieved one of the biggest political upsets in many, many | :16:30. | :16:33. | |
years. He's relished this campaign. You have seen day-by-day he's looked | :16:34. | :16:37. | |
more confident as if he's enjoyed it more and more, and he has, from the | :16:38. | :16:42. | |
time when he took on the Labour Leadership, believed that if given | :16:43. | :16:45. | |
the chance, he could begin to put together a sort of coalition of | :16:46. | :16:49. | |
young people of former Greens, people who'd moved away from the | :16:50. | :16:55. | |
Labour Party in the late 2000s and that might possibly be some way | :16:56. | :17:00. | |
towards getting Labour into power. Even 24 hours ago, even today, | :17:01. | :17:03. | |
nobody in the Labour Party would predict this kind of result. Both | :17:04. | :17:09. | |
the main parties got their numbers wrong if this is right. So what | :17:10. | :17:16. | |
happens in your experience, at Westminster if Theresa May goes back | :17:17. | :17:19. | |
without an overall majority in the House of Commons? I think the idea | :17:20. | :17:22. | |
that the Tories would somehow give up on trying to hold on to power is | :17:23. | :17:27. | |
for the birds. I think if she manages internally to stay on, | :17:28. | :17:31. | |
she'll try to put together a Government with, the technical | :17:32. | :17:36. | |
process is they'd put forward a Queen's Speech and get the others to | :17:37. | :17:40. | |
vote them down. Here is another result. | :17:41. | :17:51. | |
Angus Robertson, Scottish National Party, SNP, 18,478. Douglas Ross, | :17:52. | :18:07. | |
Scottish Conservative and unionist, 22, | :18:08. | :18:12. | |
CHEERING AND APPLAUSE. The Conservatives take that seat. | :18:13. | :18:18. | |
Angus Robertson asking two questions on behalf of the SNP is out of the | :18:19. | :18:23. | |
House and Douglases have there for the Conservatives. This is | :18:24. | :18:27. | |
significant because the SNP have been the third biggest party in | :18:28. | :18:30. | |
Westminster. So this is the equivalent of the Westminster leader | :18:31. | :18:34. | |
of the Lib Dems losing at a different kind of election. The | :18:35. | :18:39. | |
Tories pour huge resources into this, it seems to have paid off. | :18:40. | :18:45. | |
There's the result. A majority for the Conservatives of just over | :18:46. | :18:49. | |
4,000, taken from the SNP, the share of the vote 48% for the | :18:50. | :18:54. | |
Conservatives, 39% for the SNP, 11% for Labour. We can see those figures | :18:55. | :19:01. | |
there. Apparently we can't... I was going to show you them. 48% | :19:02. | :19:12. | |
Conservative, 39 SNP, 11% Labour, 2% Lib Dems. There is the change. It's | :19:13. | :19:18. | |
a swing from the SNP to the Conservatives of 14%. | :19:19. | :19:24. | |
Angus Robertson, leader of the SNP in Westminster is out. The | :19:25. | :19:29. | |
Conservatives take the seat. We have now had 122 declarations in and so | :19:30. | :19:37. | |
far Labour are up 5, Conservatives down 2, the SNP are down 3. That is | :19:38. | :19:41. | |
how we stand at the moment. We were talking about what is going | :19:42. | :19:45. | |
to happen and perhaps we should just talk about that. We have just been | :19:46. | :19:49. | |
rejoined by Peter Kellner, our election expert. Everybody around | :19:50. | :19:53. | |
this table ought to be an expert by now, but what do you think? Plenty | :19:54. | :19:59. | |
of practise recently. The SNP are down almost everywhere. We have had | :20:00. | :20:04. | |
a result from Scotland, by about 15 or 16, they'll end up on the current | :20:05. | :20:08. | |
form with about 35% of the vote, they'll be the largest party. They | :20:09. | :20:12. | |
may have a majority of seats but Fuad together the votes from the | :20:13. | :20:17. | |
Unionist Parties, Conservative, Labour, Liberal Democrats, they will | :20:18. | :20:22. | |
be almost outnumber votes of the SNP by almost 2-1. What do you deduce | :20:23. | :20:27. | |
from that? This skills Scottish independence. Do you think voters | :20:28. | :20:31. | |
were voting on the independence referendum? I think the SNP mandate | :20:32. | :20:41. | |
to have a referendum, they still have a majority in the Scottish | :20:42. | :20:44. | |
Parliament. They'll be the biggest party at Westminster of Scotland. | :20:45. | :20:48. | |
The votes tell a story that I think independence... I'm hearing that | :20:49. | :20:52. | |
Labour are also expecting to take Glasgow North East and wit question, | :20:53. | :20:56. | |
the metaphorical question on the ballot paper in Scotland was about | :20:57. | :20:59. | |
whether or not people wanted a second referendum, it was a | :21:00. | :21:02. | |
different question being asked to in other parts of the country. We have | :21:03. | :21:10. | |
a declaration coming from Greatkm Grimsby. Let us hear this. Liberal | :21:11. | :21:29. | |
Democrat, 954. The Conservative Party candidate, 14,980. Ukip, | :21:30. | :21:54. | |
1,648. Independent, 394. Labour Party, 17,545. | :21:55. | :22:04. | |
APPLAUSE. So, there is the result from Great | :22:05. | :22:12. | |
glimpse biwhich was nearly 50th in the Conservative hoped for. Labour | :22:13. | :22:18. | |
held on to it. Majority of 2,565. Let us see what the change and swing | :22:19. | :22:25. | |
was, 49% for Labour, it was up 1%, Conservative vote up 16%. Ukip vote | :22:26. | :22:32. | |
down 20%. The swing, Labour to Conservative, just over 3%. This is | :22:33. | :22:37. | |
another kind of the seats where the Tory state was they hoped to | :22:38. | :22:40. | |
replicate everywhere, that the Ukip vote they expected was swinging | :22:41. | :22:44. | |
across to them. That hasn't happened here. The numbers showed a huge drop | :22:45. | :22:49. | |
in the Ukip vote. Clearly, lots of those voters went back to Labour | :22:50. | :22:52. | |
rather than going across to the Tories. We mentioned it briefly | :22:53. | :22:56. | |
earlier that perhaps it was a strategic mistake for the Tories to | :22:57. | :23:01. | |
go very aggressively after that kind of vote rather than trying to... Why | :23:02. | :23:05. | |
do you think that is? You have been travelling around listening to all | :23:06. | :23:11. | |
of the constituents? I think there are a variety of reasons. Partly a | :23:12. | :23:18. | |
misinterpretation of who Ukip voters were, it wasn't Allwright wing, | :23:19. | :23:21. | |
there were plenty of traditional voters but also the Tory campaign's | :23:22. | :23:30. | |
been full of missteps. Theresa May you turning over one of her policies | :23:31. | :23:37. | |
which caused anxiety among older voters, people who are seen as small | :23:38. | :23:42. | |
C Conservative, olders voters were worried about this and we saw the | :23:43. | :23:46. | |
Labour Party cut through over police cuts. The awful terror attacks that | :23:47. | :23:53. | |
have froze the campaign at two different moments, the Labour Party | :23:54. | :23:55. | |
allowed to put together two issues, if you like, they were already | :23:56. | :23:59. | |
campaigning hard on austerity, they put together with the issue of | :24:00. | :24:03. | |
security and we heard that on the doorstep, that coming back, people | :24:04. | :24:06. | |
were concerned about police cuts. I think that's probably one of the | :24:07. | :24:09. | |
issues we have seen here that will have cut through, that took the | :24:10. | :24:16. | |
shine off the Tories at early stages and the early confidence that people | :24:17. | :24:19. | |
had in Theresa May. I said we were going to turn our exit poll into a | :24:20. | :24:23. | |
forecast on the basis of the results we have had in, 137 now. We have | :24:24. | :24:29. | |
still got 500 or so to go. Let us just see here on the facade of the | :24:30. | :24:34. | |
House of Commons what we are now saying. Conservatives on 322, 396 | :24:35. | :24:44. | |
would give them an overall majority. Labour on 261, the Conservatives | :24:45. | :24:46. | |
still the largest party. We have a result, Emily? Another | :24:47. | :25:10. | |
Conservative gain in Scotland. A handsome majority of 3,359. This was | :25:11. | :25:14. | |
128 on the target list, it wasn't within any of our sights, so they've | :25:15. | :25:18. | |
done extraordinarily well. Interesting to see not just the SNP | :25:19. | :25:22. | |
falling here but also Labour as well, maybe there's been a tactical | :25:23. | :25:27. | |
vote, a unionist vote towards the Conservatives, they're up 21%. I | :25:28. | :25:31. | |
said earlier we probably wouldn't be a bigger swing than the one we had | :25:32. | :25:37. | |
in Angus, this is another 16% swing from the SNP to the Conservatives | :25:38. | :25:41. | |
which land this one in safe Conservative territory. Tasmina act | :25:42. | :25:49. | |
head-Sheikh in second place, she took it from Labour last time. The | :25:50. | :25:53. | |
North West of England, this is Labour's fifth gain of the night, | :25:54. | :26:01. | |
54% share of the vote, David Nuttall is pushed out, that rebellious | :26:02. | :26:08. | |
Conservative MP is out and James Frith takes his place. 13% increase | :26:09. | :26:14. | |
in the share of the vote there. You can see how handsome that is from | :26:15. | :26:20. | |
the Conservative to Labour. One more that's just come in. Labour having a | :26:21. | :26:24. | |
very good night in Scotland. As are the Conservatives, to be fair. A | :26:25. | :26:30. | |
Labour gain from the SNP there in Midlothian on 36% to 34% share of | :26:31. | :26:34. | |
the vote. Owen Thompson out, Danielle Rowley is in and you can | :26:35. | :26:39. | |
see the drop in the SNP share of the vote, both those parties up. Lib | :26:40. | :26:43. | |
Dems not making much movement here. And the swing there is also of 11%. | :26:44. | :26:50. | |
We saw those ginormous swings of up to 40% towards the SNP last time | :26:51. | :26:55. | |
around and it looks as though Labour and the Conservatives are starting | :26:56. | :26:59. | |
to make some waves of their own north of the border in Scotland with | :27:00. | :27:03. | |
the gains back, suggesting that they are trying to push into the long | :27:04. | :27:09. | |
grass any talk of a second independence referendum. We'll come | :27:10. | :27:12. | |
back to you when we have some more. Thank you very much, Emily. Some | :27:13. | :27:16. | |
more comments from people. We are in an extraordinary situation where | :27:17. | :27:20. | |
Lord Ashcroft, the former Conservative chairman's just put out | :27:21. | :27:23. | |
a message saying: Kevin Maguire has tweeted a similar | :27:24. | :27:49. | |
thing. Ruth Davidson, has sent a message out saying fantastic in | :27:50. | :27:53. | |
Moray. So many, many Tories feeling that what they are doing in Scotland | :27:54. | :27:56. | |
could be the difference between them being in Government and not. | :27:57. | :28:01. | |
And interestingly, the Tories sofar tonight gained three in Scotland and | :28:02. | :28:07. | |
have lost four in England. Exactly. The new forecast, 322 Conservative | :28:08. | :28:11. | |
seats, still short of a majority, but politically, there's a big | :28:12. | :28:15. | |
depinks between the original forecast of 314 on those numbers the | :28:16. | :28:19. | |
Conservatives might well have failed to get a Queen's Speech through | :28:20. | :28:23. | |
Parliament. With 322 if that is the final figure, and it could move | :28:24. | :28:27. | |
either way, then it will be a Conservative Queen's Speech. They | :28:28. | :28:31. | |
may need to butter up the Democratic Unionists in Northern Ireland but | :28:32. | :28:36. | |
there's not an anti-Tory coalition of left and centre-left parties and | :28:37. | :28:39. | |
Scottish Nationals and so on that could combine to defeat the Tories. | :28:40. | :28:44. | |
So humiliated but they would carry on? Yes. Be but humiliated? Yes, but | :28:45. | :28:51. | |
if it moves another few seats up, they could have a majority, another | :28:52. | :28:55. | |
few seats down they may be out. We are in the area of small | :28:56. | :28:59. | |
differences, we'll be up well into the morning because the final few | :29:00. | :29:02. | |
results may determine the politics. I think that's absolutely right on | :29:03. | :29:06. | |
that forecasting. We can be relatively confident that the | :29:07. | :29:10. | |
unionist MPs in Northern Ireland would prop Theresa May up if the | :29:11. | :29:13. | |
numbers are in that kind of zone. The big flaw in that argument is | :29:14. | :29:19. | |
that her own authority would have been so damaged from chucking a ball | :29:20. | :29:25. | |
into the roulette wheel and making such a strategic error. All right, | :29:26. | :29:29. | |
thank you very much. We are going to go to Putney, then I want to talk to | :29:30. | :29:33. | |
Margaret Beckett in Derby about Labour. Let's go to the Education | :29:34. | :29:38. | |
Secretary Justine Greening in Putney. You only just scraped back | :29:39. | :29:43. | |
in Putney, didn't you? Well, I'm delighted to have been | :29:44. | :29:48. | |
re-elected as the MP for Putney, Roehampton and Southfield. It's | :29:49. | :29:51. | |
always a tough battle here in London, that's what we have seen | :29:52. | :29:55. | |
tonight. I think the other factor behind this is very much young | :29:56. | :30:00. | |
people really for the first time in many years finally choosing to use | :30:01. | :30:04. | |
the vote that they've got in the ballot box but yes, I'm delighted to | :30:05. | :30:08. | |
be able to continue to serve my local community. What is it about | :30:09. | :30:12. | |
the Conservative Party that doesn't appeal to young people? I think | :30:13. | :30:20. | |
Labour very much offered young people something that was appealing | :30:21. | :30:24. | |
to them in terms of the obvious policy around tuition fees, the fact | :30:25. | :30:29. | |
that it's unaffordable, the IFS said it had a black hole in a way was not | :30:30. | :30:36. | |
something that particularly necessarily dissuaded them from | :30:37. | :30:38. | |
thinking it was a policy they wanted to vote for. It's early on in the | :30:39. | :30:42. | |
evening and a lot of the seats that declare early now are more urban | :30:43. | :30:48. | |
seats. I think it's worth pointing out that Battersea and Putney are | :30:49. | :30:53. | |
the two seats in our country with the very youngest demographics, so | :30:54. | :30:56. | |
we have particularly seen that perhaps coming through in the votes | :30:57. | :30:59. | |
here. There is a very long way to go in this election through the course | :31:00. | :31:00. | |
of the night. We have made the forecast of 322, | :31:01. | :31:12. | |
short a majority. What's the future of the Tory Party and of Theresa May | :31:13. | :31:15. | |
and the Brexit negotiations if that is the final result? Well, I don't | :31:16. | :31:24. | |
think at this point it's particularly worthwhile getting into | :31:25. | :31:28. | |
speculation. There are huge numbers of results to still come through. As | :31:29. | :31:31. | |
I said at the beginning of this, London is always an incredibly hard | :31:32. | :31:35. | |
fought political environment. Everybody knows that down here who's | :31:36. | :31:39. | |
been out on the doorstep. I'm just delighted that I've been re-elected | :31:40. | :31:42. | |
to represent my own community. It's one that I've represented for 12 | :31:43. | :31:45. | |
years. I think it's fantastic that I get the chance to continue to do | :31:46. | :31:51. | |
that. Due expect a majority of 60, 70, 100, for the Conservatives? I | :31:52. | :31:58. | |
think it was very difficult to tell exactly how the election would play | :31:59. | :32:01. | |
out, not least because actually when you look at the polls, national | :32:02. | :32:06. | |
polls, but in practice we all know that perhaps results have never been | :32:07. | :32:10. | |
more regionally driven. Therefore the days that we can really look at | :32:11. | :32:15. | |
a global picture of somehow was going on across the UK and rely on | :32:16. | :32:19. | |
it to give us any kind of an accurate sense of what's really | :32:20. | :32:22. | |
happening on the ground, I think are gone. We saw that in some of the | :32:23. | :32:26. | |
poll that's were reported in the papers, this morning. I've often | :32:27. | :32:31. | |
thought that in 2005, if you'd interviewed a thousand people in my | :32:32. | :32:37. | |
constituency of Putney would you really see the swing that I was | :32:38. | :32:41. | |
about to get to get elected, I don't know. It shows it's exceptionally | :32:42. | :32:45. | |
hard in these political climates to see what's going on on the ground. | :32:46. | :32:49. | |
That's what we're seeing tonight. Does it make sense in those | :32:50. | :32:52. | |
circumstances to say I've concluded the only way to guarantee certainty | :32:53. | :32:56. | |
and stability for the years ahead is to hold this election which I've | :32:57. | :32:59. | |
said over and over again I won't hold. Words of the Prime Minister. I | :33:00. | :33:07. | |
think the Prime Minister was right to recognise that Britain was in a | :33:08. | :33:11. | |
very different place now than we were in 2015 and it was right to go | :33:12. | :33:18. | |
to the country and to ask them the question about what their views | :33:19. | :33:22. | |
were, what people's views were about the direction that they wanted for | :33:23. | :33:26. | |
the future. It may be, what we're seeing in this vote, is that people | :33:27. | :33:32. | |
are still in a debate about what that future direction should be. But | :33:33. | :33:37. | |
it is very, very early days. So I think it's easy to pick on some | :33:38. | :33:42. | |
results in some parts of the country and say that they are going to be | :33:43. | :33:46. | |
massively representative. I suspect you'll continue to see some very | :33:47. | :33:52. | |
locally driven results that will, on occasion, contrast, as we've seen | :33:53. | :33:55. | |
the Conservatives doing very well in Scotland, less well in London and I | :33:56. | :33:58. | |
think we'll have to see how this plays out through the night. Thank | :33:59. | :34:03. | |
you very much. As I said we're joined from Derby now by Margaret | :34:04. | :34:08. | |
Beckett. Good evening. If I'm not mistaken, you were one of the people | :34:09. | :34:14. | |
who gave Jeremy Corbyn your support in the leadership for the Labour | :34:15. | :34:17. | |
Party on the grounds there should be a fair contest and afterwards said | :34:18. | :34:21. | |
you were a complete moron for having done it. Are you still a moron? | :34:22. | :34:28. | |
Somebody else said that, I didn't think it was right to dissent. But | :34:29. | :34:34. | |
yes, I agree that it was a good thing to widen the debate. Then I | :34:35. | :34:38. | |
realised that it might be thought that I was suggesting that people | :34:39. | :34:42. | |
should vote for someone who as Jeremy was, had no experience at all | :34:43. | :34:47. | |
on the frontbench and so I made haste to say I think he should be | :34:48. | :34:51. | |
part of the debate, I don't think he should necessarily be the leader. | :34:52. | :34:55. | |
There you go. What do you make of what's happening? Well, there's no | :34:56. | :35:02. | |
question that I think the two things that I don't think you can dispute | :35:03. | :35:07. | |
about this election campaign, is that Jeremy has performed infinitily | :35:08. | :35:11. | |
better than anybody, probably including Jeremy, ever expected he | :35:12. | :35:16. | |
could. And that Theresa May has performed infinitily worse than | :35:17. | :35:22. | |
anybody expected she could. It's the conventional wisdom but why is it | :35:23. | :35:26. | |
conventional, because sometimes it's also wise, the British people don't | :35:27. | :35:30. | |
tend to like having an election they didn't have to have. What is the | :35:31. | :35:38. | |
consequence going to be if we're seeing a much weakened Prime | :35:39. | :35:42. | |
Minister, a much damaged Conservative Party? At this stage, | :35:43. | :35:47. | |
are you thinking there might be a Jeremy Corbyn Premiership? To be | :35:48. | :35:55. | |
honest, what I'm principally thinking is I'm wondering, fearing I | :35:56. | :35:59. | |
might say, whether I was pressient when we put our stuff away in the | :36:00. | :36:04. | |
garage tonight, I said let's do it carefully, because you never know we | :36:05. | :36:09. | |
might need it again soon. I missed what you said then, I had another | :36:10. | :36:16. | |
voice in my ear. When we put aware our equipment from the car -- away | :36:17. | :36:20. | |
the equipment from the car tonight, I said we better do it carefully | :36:21. | :36:25. | |
because you never know we might need it again soon. It was a joke. I hope | :36:26. | :36:29. | |
it will remain a joke. As far as the future of the Labour Party goes, | :36:30. | :36:33. | |
clearly the people you would recognise as on the left of the | :36:34. | :36:38. | |
party, the part of the party thaw don't occupy, are making the running | :36:39. | :36:42. | |
now. Whether it's Jeremy Corbyn or somebody else, do you think this is | :36:43. | :36:45. | |
the new direction Labour's going to go in? Listen, I have always | :36:46. | :36:52. | |
regarded myself as being either soft left or centre left depending on how | :36:53. | :36:56. | |
you define these terms. Then other people, if I may say so, usually in | :36:57. | :37:01. | |
your profession have moved the goal posts around me. It seems to me I've | :37:02. | :37:08. | |
stayed where I am nearly e all the time -- nearly all the time. How | :37:09. | :37:15. | |
have we moved the goal posts? You say you're not on the left. Yes, I | :37:16. | :37:19. | |
think I am on the left. I still think I am. Margaret Beckett, thank | :37:20. | :37:22. | |
you very much for joining us. We've got two more results in. I just want | :37:23. | :37:26. | |
to show you this one. There's so much churn overnight it seems that | :37:27. | :37:30. | |
the Conservatives are taking seats in Scotland from the SNP and it | :37:31. | :37:34. | |
seems now from the Lib Dems in England. This one is Southport where | :37:35. | :37:40. | |
John Pugh stood down and maybe that helped the Conservatives. We don't | :37:41. | :37:45. | |
know. Damian Moore has taken it. Not only have they taken it, but they | :37:46. | :37:48. | |
have pushed the Lib Dems into third place here. They had this seat | :37:49. | :37:52. | |
before. The Lib Dems are now in third place. Conservatives on 39% | :37:53. | :37:56. | |
share of the vote. I can show you what that change looks like. Gains | :37:57. | :38:00. | |
then for Labour and for the Conservatives. That's at the expense | :38:01. | :38:06. | |
it seems of Ukip and the Lib Dems. This wasn't a particularly high | :38:07. | :38:09. | |
Leave area. The Lib Dems would have hoped to do well here. Yet, both | :38:10. | :38:14. | |
those parties, parties of Leave we now say, seem to have done better. | :38:15. | :38:20. | |
The swing is 7. 6% towards the Conservatives. So a bit of a ray of | :38:21. | :38:24. | |
light in England. Can I interrupt you for a result. We'll come back to | :38:25. | :38:29. | |
you. A result from Renfrewshire east. SNP held. ... Returning | :38:30. | :38:43. | |
officer for the east Renfrewshire constituency declare that the total | :38:44. | :38:48. | |
number of votes given to each candidate was as follows: Scottish | :38:49. | :39:00. | |
Conservative and Unionist, 21,496. Bloody hell. Scottish Labour Party, | :39:01. | :39:23. | |
14,346. The total number of votes cast was 53,805. The total number of | :39:24. | :39:28. | |
ballot papers rejected was 67. The ballot papers were rejected for the | :39:29. | :39:32. | |
following reasons: For want... Something's a little bit awry with | :39:33. | :39:35. | |
our system here. You should be able to see the SNP. The Conservatives | :39:36. | :39:40. | |
have leapt two places to top the ballot here. SNP were on 23 | :39:41. | :39:46. | |
thousand. The Conservatives with 21,000 have taken the seat. I'm not | :39:47. | :39:50. | |
sure what's happened to our figures. No doubt we can sort it out in a | :39:51. | :39:58. | |
moment. Shall we go back to where we were, Emily. This was number one on | :39:59. | :40:05. | |
the Plaid Cymru target list, and you can see what's happened here. They | :40:06. | :40:09. | |
haven't gained it. Labour has held it on 42% share of the vote. Plaid | :40:10. | :40:14. | |
Cymru has slipped down behind the Conservatives into third place. When | :40:15. | :40:17. | |
we look at the swing, what might have been on a good night a swing | :40:18. | :40:21. | |
towards Plaid Cymru, away from Labour, actually becomes a swing as | :40:22. | :40:26. | |
you can see from the Conservatives to Labour. 2. 1%. We will hand back | :40:27. | :40:31. | |
now. I think we have Renfrewshire east. We might even have | :40:32. | :40:50. | |
Dunbartonshire east. ... 869. I, returning officer for the UK | :40:51. | :40:57. | |
Parliamentary election, in the East Dunbartonshire county constituency | :40:58. | :41:00. | |
here by give notice that the total notice of votes polled each | :41:01. | :41:06. | |
candidate - He had a majority of just over 2,000 two years ago. | :41:07. | :41:14. | |
Scottish Labour Party, 7,531. APPLAUSE | :41:15. | :41:27. | |
Conservative and Unionist, 7,563. APPLAUSE | :41:28. | :41:38. | |
Scottish National Party, 15,684. Scottish Liberal Democrats, 21... | :41:39. | :41:49. | |
CHEERING 21,023. Joe Swinson, former minister | :41:50. | :42:14. | |
in the coalition for the Liberal Democrats recovers Dunbartonshire | :42:15. | :42:17. | |
east from John Nichol son, there on the right. Jo Swinson may make a | :42:18. | :42:25. | |
speech, we don't know. The Lib Dems will be thrilled by that result. | :42:26. | :42:31. | |
Because she was, when part of the coalition, seen as one of the more | :42:32. | :42:37. | |
talented of the next generation. For the SNP, John Nicholson another big | :42:38. | :42:40. | |
name for them gone. A prominent member of the SNP frontbench in | :42:41. | :42:43. | |
Westminster, somebody who was very often put forward by the party. He | :42:44. | :42:48. | |
loses his seat... Theresa May arriving at her count at Maidenhead | :42:49. | :42:53. | |
with her husband there. She'll have heard all this news. She's safe in | :42:54. | :43:00. | |
her seat in Maidenhead. Will anybody try to question her as she comes to | :43:01. | :43:06. | |
the count? I'm sure they'll try. Whether she will answer is another | :43:07. | :43:10. | |
question. She is looking pretty grim faced. Philip May smiling for the | :43:11. | :43:17. | |
cameras. The only new thing that we've discovered by the Prime | :43:18. | :43:21. | |
Minister is the naughtiest thing she ever did was walk through a wheat | :43:22. | :43:26. | |
field as a child. Running through wheat fields was maybe the | :43:27. | :43:29. | |
naughtiness of it. It seems this is a political disaster for her, this | :43:30. | :43:35. | |
night. Back no Jo Swinson, who was a feisty performer when she was in the | :43:36. | :43:40. | |
House of Commons, and could be a leader, potential leader. She's | :43:41. | :43:43. | |
talked of that sometimes in Lib Dem circles. She is talked of in that | :43:44. | :43:47. | |
way. Now she's back in Westminster. We'll see there's another former | :43:48. | :43:50. | |
leader of the Liberal Democrats, Nick Clegg arriving at his count. As | :43:51. | :43:55. | |
I was saying, Labour sources have told me they expect to take Hallam | :43:56. | :43:59. | |
from Nick Clegg. He's looking quite uneasy. She is looking very uneasy. | :44:00. | :44:05. | |
He had a good campaign. A lot of people thought he spoke well on | :44:06. | :44:09. | |
Brexit and all the rest of it, wanting the second referendum. I | :44:10. | :44:13. | |
wonder if he'd be relieved though to perhaps not remain in the House of | :44:14. | :44:16. | |
Commons having been leader of a small Liberal Democrat party. Since | :44:17. | :44:19. | |
2015 there was speculation about whether or not he would actually | :44:20. | :44:24. | |
stand again. I wonder, had this Parliament run to 2020, whether he | :44:25. | :44:27. | |
would have stood again. The earlier election that was called meant he | :44:28. | :44:32. | |
did stand again. You suspect that perhaps he will find other things to | :44:33. | :44:36. | |
do. If your information is correct that he's lost, we need just to make | :44:37. | :44:40. | |
sure that it is correct. We do. Labour sources have told me they're | :44:41. | :44:43. | |
confident of taking it. Of course, until we hear it from the returning | :44:44. | :44:48. | |
officer we can never be quite sure. Certainly his body language would | :44:49. | :44:51. | |
suggest that. We're also hearing the result on a knife edge for Tim | :44:52. | :44:55. | |
Farron, the Lib Dem leader too, potentially a recount there. Glasgow | :44:56. | :45:01. | |
east. Held by the SNP. With a majority of 10,000. | :45:02. | :45:11. | |
Thank you. The declaration will be made. Gone back to Sheffield. | :45:12. | :45:21. | |
I am the returning officer at the election held on Thursday, June 2017 | :45:22. | :45:35. | |
do here by give notice the number of votes cast for each candidate at the | :45:36. | :45:43. | |
election is as follows: Nick Clegg, Liberal Democrats, 19,756. | :45:44. | :45:53. | |
APPLAUSE. Jarrad Omar radio, Labour Party, | :45:54. | :45:58. | |
21,888... CHEERING AND APPLAUSE. | :45:59. | :46:13. | |
Logan Robin, Green Party, 823. Ukip, 929. The Conservative Party | :46:14. | :46:37. | |
candidate, 13,561. The Social Democrats party, 70. Spoilt papers | :46:38. | :46:46. | |
89 and I here bideclare that Mr O'Mara has the seat. He looks quite | :46:47. | :46:51. | |
saddened, Nick Clegg, by that. He was the man responsible for the | :46:52. | :46:54. | |
great experiment in politics in going into the coalition with the | :46:55. | :46:58. | |
Conservatives and paid a terrible price, his party did, and now | :46:59. | :47:02. | |
tonight he's paid the price and does look what you might call almost | :47:03. | :47:07. | |
visibly upset at having lost Sheffield Hallam. He does. He's been | :47:08. | :47:16. | |
the candidate there for years. He took on the brutal wound from being | :47:17. | :47:19. | |
part of the coalition. But to lose his seat, rather than being able to | :47:20. | :47:23. | |
curtail his career at a time of his own choosing, is of course not what | :47:24. | :47:27. | |
anyone would choose. All political careers end in failure don't they, | :47:28. | :47:33. | |
but I wonder too for the Liberal Democrats, their USP at this | :47:34. | :47:37. | |
election was that promise of a second referendum, but the most | :47:38. | :47:42. | |
prominent exponent of that of all, Nick Clegg, has lost his seat, so | :47:43. | :47:47. | |
we'll see through the night how that strategy of offering a second | :47:48. | :47:52. | |
referendum's played out in different places. We have seen Jo Swinson, but | :47:53. | :47:58. | |
it seems as though there's almost a different election taking place in | :47:59. | :48:01. | |
Scotland. Lord Ashcroft was saying earlier that Scotland could have | :48:02. | :48:05. | |
saved the Conservatives and the Liberal Democrats have now lost two | :48:06. | :48:08. | |
seats in England but are picking up seats in Scotland. They expect to | :48:09. | :48:13. | |
lose needs North West. We expect that to be a Labour gain too. This | :48:14. | :48:20. | |
two tribes election playing out in extraordinarily different ways... | :48:21. | :48:23. | |
How many Liberal Democrat seats do we have in so far? Our score board | :48:24. | :48:27. | |
there is showing just one Liberal Democrat seat and no change, is that | :48:28. | :48:32. | |
correct? I think that is right. Net one? Yes. I hope that is right. But | :48:33. | :48:40. | |
they may well pick up Vince Cable's old seat, Twickenham, maybe one or | :48:41. | :48:45. | |
two others in London. Ed Davey. The results we have had in from the | :48:46. | :48:47. | |
south-west, the Liberal Democrats have gone further back. I don't | :48:48. | :48:52. | |
think they'll pick anything up. As we said earlier, the Liberal | :48:53. | :48:56. | |
Democrats would be happy to hold on to what they had and make a couple | :48:57. | :49:00. | |
of gains. They weren't expecting much else. The victor there in | :49:01. | :49:07. | |
Sheffield Hallam, Jarrad O'Mara speaking and we'll just hang on for | :49:08. | :49:12. | |
a moment to see if we can hear Nick Clegg's speech. Let us just remind | :49:13. | :49:15. | |
you of the figures here in Sheffield. | :49:16. | :49:44. | |
The swing was from Liberal Democrat to Labour, 4%. Certainly a long | :49:45. | :49:51. | |
speech being made there but I think he may be coming to the end. I hope | :49:52. | :49:57. | |
Nick Clegg will be next to speak. I think it's worth hanging on for | :49:58. | :50:04. | |
that. Voters tell polsters they want politicians to put nation before | :50:05. | :50:09. | |
party, Nick Clegg did that massively after the 2010 election and it looks | :50:10. | :50:20. | |
as if voters don't reward politicians who voters before party. | :50:21. | :50:24. | |
I would like to invite Nick Clegg to say a few words, thank you. | :50:25. | :50:27. | |
APPLAUSE. Thank you very much for this | :50:28. | :50:32. | |
opportunity to say a few words and I would obviously like to start by | :50:33. | :50:37. | |
congratulating see ya Jarrad on his spectacular victory. It's been the | :50:38. | :50:43. | |
greatest privilege of my life to represent Sheffield Hallam for the | :50:44. | :50:47. | |
last 12 years and I wish Jarrad O'Mara the best of luck in | :50:48. | :50:51. | |
representing the families of communities in Sheffield Hallam with | :50:52. | :50:55. | |
the dedication that they deserve. I also obviously want to fully endorse | :50:56. | :51:00. | |
what Jarrad said about you as chief returning officer and all of you | :51:01. | :51:04. | |
staff in once again conducting the elections across our great city so | :51:05. | :51:08. | |
professionally. So thank you very much indeed. A huge special thanks | :51:09. | :51:17. | |
from me to Penny Baker, my agent, Andy Sanger and to the whole team | :51:18. | :51:22. | |
who not only supported me as ever so unflaggingly in this snap general | :51:23. | :51:25. | |
election, but also in the 12 years in which I have served as an MP in | :51:26. | :51:30. | |
Sheffield Hallam and prior to that my Liberal Democrat predecessor | :51:31. | :51:34. | |
Richard Allan as well. Thank you, thank you from the bottom of my | :51:35. | :51:36. | |
heart for everything that you have done. Thank you very much indeed. I | :51:37. | :51:44. | |
in my time in Parliament, I've never shirked from a political battle, | :51:45. | :51:49. | |
I've never retreated from the political battlefield, I've always | :51:50. | :51:52. | |
sought to stand by the liberal values I believe in, but I of course | :51:53. | :51:56. | |
have encountered this evening something that many people have | :51:57. | :51:59. | |
encountered before tonight and I suspect many people will encounter | :52:00. | :52:03. | |
after tonight which is in politics, you live by the sword and you die by | :52:04. | :52:08. | |
the sword. But I would like if I may to say a couple of words about what | :52:09. | :52:12. | |
faces the Parliament that is going to be a constitute in a few days' | :52:13. | :52:18. | |
time in Westminster. It is a Parliament which, in my judgment, | :52:19. | :52:23. | |
will not only face the excruciating task of trying to assemble a | :52:24. | :52:27. | |
sensible Government for this country, will not only need to deal | :52:28. | :52:31. | |
with the agonising decisions we face as a country as we navigate our way | :52:32. | :52:37. | |
towards Brexit, but as a Parliament that is presiding over a deeply, | :52:38. | :52:41. | |
deeply divided and polarised nation. We saw that in the Brexit referendum | :52:42. | :52:47. | |
last year and we see it here again tonight. Polarised between left and | :52:48. | :52:52. | |
right, between different regions and nations and areas of the country, | :52:53. | :52:58. | |
but most gravely of all, this huge gulf now between young and old and, | :52:59. | :53:03. | |
my only plea would be to all MPs, including Jarrad from all parties is | :53:04. | :53:08. | |
this, that we will not pick our way through the very difficult times | :53:09. | :53:12. | |
that our country faces if in the next Parliament MPs of all parties | :53:13. | :53:17. | |
simply seek to amplify what divides them. We must try and reach out to | :53:18. | :53:22. | |
each other to try and find common ground if we are to heal the | :53:23. | :53:30. | |
profound divisions. If we do not, it's my judgment that our country | :53:31. | :53:34. | |
will endure unprecedented hardship and difficulty in the years ahead | :53:35. | :53:41. | |
and whatever party you are from... Commonly known as Vince Cable, | :53:42. | :53:46. | |
Liberal Democrats, 34, CHEERING AND APPLAUSE. | :53:47. | :54:01. | |
The Twickenham result. 34,969. Labour Party, 6,114. | :54:02. | :54:15. | |
Conservative 25,207. APPLAUSE. | :54:16. | :54:28. | |
So one goes down and, as one goes down, the other one comes up. Vince | :54:29. | :54:35. | |
Cable, who was defeated at the last election for Twickenham, the Liberal | :54:36. | :54:39. | |
Democrat, Business Secretary in the coalition, has retaken Twickenham. | :54:40. | :54:43. | |
He will have heard of what has happened to Nick Clegg, he may not | :54:44. | :54:46. | |
have heard what Nick Clegg was saying, a rather moving speech about | :54:47. | :54:51. | |
the future of young people in the political system and the future that | :54:52. | :54:55. | |
the new House of Commons faces and the problems. Vince Cable is back. I | :54:56. | :55:00. | |
suppose... The electorate gives with one hand and takes away with the | :55:01. | :55:04. | |
other within moments of each other. Let's also remember a very, very | :55:05. | :55:08. | |
knife edge result in Westmoreland where Tim Farron, the current party | :55:09. | :55:14. | |
leader, is facing potential defeat. There is chatter about a recount. If | :55:15. | :55:19. | |
that were to happen, lo and behold, prominent Liberal Democrat Vince | :55:20. | :55:21. | |
Cable's just walked back into Westminster. With a huge majority. | :55:22. | :55:29. | |
Let us go to Lucy Manning. Hello from Tim Farron's count where | :55:30. | :55:32. | |
it's pretty much on a knife edge. We have a recount here. It's a bundle | :55:33. | :55:36. | |
recount so they are not going through every single vote, but | :55:37. | :55:39. | |
they're looking at the bundles, there seems to be some votes that | :55:40. | :55:43. | |
haven't been counted. It seems a bit of a mess down there, but what it | :55:44. | :55:49. | |
tells us is that this vote is tight. I was told initially perhaps a few | :55:50. | :55:52. | |
hundred votes in it, that's Tim Farron, the Liberal Democrat leader | :55:53. | :55:57. | |
who had a majority of nearly 9,000. I think whatberg seeing as the night | :55:58. | :56:01. | |
develops is that potentially it's a bit dicey for the Liberal Democrats, | :56:02. | :56:09. | |
not as good as it looked originally. Nick Clegg's lost his seat. -- I | :56:10. | :56:17. | |
think what we are seeing. They need to get more in Scotland for this to | :56:18. | :56:23. | |
be a good night for Tim Farron. If he doesn't do well, there'll be | :56:24. | :56:26. | |
questions about his leadership for the Liberal Democrats. | :56:27. | :56:29. | |
Thank you very much. We'll come back to you when I can. I was watching | :56:30. | :56:32. | |
Theresa May's face as she went into her count. I wonder if on the basis | :56:33. | :56:38. | |
of these results she might actually voluntarily stand down as leader of | :56:39. | :56:41. | |
the Conservative Party? I think at this stage that's quite a leap. She | :56:42. | :56:47. | |
didn't make it public ever but it was plain she had ambitions to take | :56:48. | :56:50. | |
office to be Prime Minister for quite some time. I think if she ends | :56:51. | :56:56. | |
up at the stage where the forecast is with support from the DUP where | :56:57. | :57:04. | |
the Tories look significantly more viable and there could be an | :57:05. | :57:09. | |
alliance, I think the chances of her rescinding the opportunity to put | :57:10. | :57:11. | |
together a Government are very slim. How long she could stay on doing | :57:12. | :57:15. | |
that though without making big changes is a different question and | :57:16. | :57:20. | |
I expect, if the result ends up in this territory by the morning, | :57:21. | :57:25. | |
she'll have to make changes and broaden out. We have had a result | :57:26. | :57:30. | |
from Glasgow North East. Let us take that. Scottish Liberal Democrats | :57:31. | :57:42. | |
637. Scottish National Party, 13,395. | :57:43. | :57:53. | |
Scottish Labour Party, 13,637. Scottish Conservative and Unionist | :57:54. | :58:02. | |
Party, 4,106. I declare that Glasgow North East | :58:03. | :58:18. | |
constituency is in Labour's hands. We'll have the figures there in a | :58:19. | :58:21. | |
moment. A Labour gain at the expense of the | :58:22. | :58:27. | |
SNP in north-east Glasgow. Now I'm determined to go and join Mishaal | :58:28. | :58:33. | |
Hussain who has an extremely appropriate guest, considering what | :58:34. | :58:35. | |
we have been talking about, with the Liberal Democrats. | :58:36. | :58:43. | |
Thank you, I'm sitting here with Sir Menzies Campbell and Lord pickles. | :58:44. | :58:47. | |
Let's talk about your thoughts on seeing Nick Clegg lose his seat in | :58:48. | :58:53. | |
that way? With great dignity and pointing up in a very sharp way the | :58:54. | :58:57. | |
fact that these elections with producing, not the kind of unity | :58:58. | :59:01. | |
which the Prime Minister hoped for, but division north and south, young | :59:02. | :59:07. | |
and old. Nick Clegg's served his country and his party with great | :59:08. | :59:12. | |
distinction. He took a bold step in 2010 in the public interest, he got | :59:13. | :59:23. | |
very little credit for that. Even after the quite tumultuous events of | :59:24. | :59:31. | |
2015, he buckled down and did, as was pointed out, spear headed the | :59:32. | :59:34. | |
campaign in relation to the European Union. Your party is in the position | :59:35. | :59:39. | |
today of having lost his seat, the seat of your current leader Tim | :59:40. | :59:43. | |
Farron is looking doubtful but you have had Vince Cable re-elected, Jo | :59:44. | :59:49. | |
Swinson also re-elected. What do you think the future holds, if the party | :59:50. | :59:53. | |
is in a position of looking for a new leader? Who will it turn to? I'm | :59:54. | :59:57. | |
not going to get into that speculation, but one can point to | :59:58. | :00:02. | |
the fact that after I resigned and before Nick Clegg was elected, Vince | :00:03. | :00:08. | |
Cable was the interim leader. So he has some understanding of leadership | :00:09. | :00:10. | |
and what the responsibilities are. But it's very good for the party to | :00:11. | :00:17. | |
have a genuinely heavy hitter back in the Parliamentary party. Let's | :00:18. | :00:21. | |
not forget Jo Swinson, one to have most talented of the younger | :00:22. | :00:23. | |
generation of MPs of any party. Back in the House of Commons? And the | :00:24. | :00:26. | |
fact she's back in the House of Commons is a great advantage. | :00:27. | :00:33. | |
I worked a lot with Nick Clegg and government. I always found him to be | :00:34. | :00:40. | |
a thoroughly decent man. I remember talking to a couple of years out | :00:41. | :00:46. | |
from the election, and he recognised that the Liberal Democrats would pay | :00:47. | :00:51. | |
a price for being in coalition. He worked hard with us. We know that | :00:52. | :00:57. | |
ministers are no longer expecting an overall majority. The latest | :00:58. | :01:00. | |
forecast we have seized the Conservatives ending the night on | :01:01. | :01:06. | |
322 seats, short of a majority. That means a deal will have to be done. | :01:07. | :01:11. | |
You said of Theresa May that she is the worst person in the world to do | :01:12. | :01:15. | |
a deal with. Finish the quote. And the quote is, if you make a | :01:16. | :01:22. | |
reasonable request, she will generally back it. What that means | :01:23. | :01:24. | |
in terms of Brexit and putting together a government, if people | :01:25. | :01:31. | |
come with outlandish ideas, she won't play. She'll will always go | :01:32. | :01:36. | |
for the national interest. If it is a reasonable process, we are in for | :01:37. | :01:40. | |
an interesting few days. What went wrong for you? We lost seats. That | :01:41. | :01:50. | |
is what went wrong. Wide? We have seen a bigger increased in the youth | :01:51. | :01:58. | |
vote. -- increase. Mr Corbyn managed to get the excitement of that. It | :01:59. | :02:03. | |
was straightforward pork barrel politics. We will pay for your fees | :02:04. | :02:10. | |
and write off your debt. That will prove to be extraordinarily | :02:11. | :02:16. | |
expensive would he attempt to do so. I suspect we may have another | :02:17. | :02:21. | |
general election. I would like to say a word about Scotland. It is | :02:22. | :02:26. | |
quite remarkable. The SNP losing to Labour and the Lib Dems, and losing | :02:27. | :02:32. | |
to the Conservatives. Both of your parties have been saved to some | :02:33. | :02:37. | |
extent by Scotland. Yes. When you think of the dominance after 2015, | :02:38. | :02:41. | |
it is quite extraordinary. There is a reason for it. That is the fact | :02:42. | :02:45. | |
that simply people don't want a rerun of the Independence | :02:46. | :02:54. | |
Referendum. Thank you both. We are keeping an eye and Jeremy | :02:55. | :02:59. | |
Corbyn in Islington. We have another important result. | :03:00. | :03:06. | |
This is a shock result. It is a game for Labour from the Conservatives in | :03:07. | :03:11. | |
Ipswich. In Suffolk. There is no other red territory around for | :03:12. | :03:16. | |
miles. Trueblue Tory country. It is the seat of Ben Gummer, who just | :03:17. | :03:22. | |
five days ago was rumoured to be the new Brexit secretary. Ben Gummer, | :03:23. | :03:27. | |
not only a cabinet office minister, but who has been instrumental in | :03:28. | :03:30. | |
writing some of the Conservative Party manifesto, in planning some of | :03:31. | :03:35. | |
this election campaign, he is now out. I was on the campaign trail | :03:36. | :03:39. | |
with him a couple of years ago, when he almost expected to lose them. He | :03:40. | :03:45. | |
held on in 2015. He has now lost to Sandy Martin. Islington North | :03:46. | :03:51. | |
declaration. It is a very, very safe seat for Jeremy Corbyn. We will | :03:52. | :03:55. | |
listen to it. And then hopefully hear from Mr Corbyn. | :03:56. | :04:02. | |
The election of the member of Parliament for Islington North on | :04:03. | :04:10. | |
Thursday June the 8th 2015. I been the acting returning officer the | :04:11. | :04:15. | |
election of a member of Parliament to the Islington North constituency | :04:16. | :04:21. | |
do hereby give notice that the number of votes recorded for each | :04:22. | :04:24. | |
candidate at the said election is as follows. Keith Angus, Liberal | :04:25. | :04:46. | |
Democrats, 4946. Suzanne Nandy, Independent, 41. James Toby Clark, | :04:47. | :05:05. | |
Conservatives, 6871. Jeremy Bernard Corbin, Labour party, 4000 -- 40000 | :05:06. | :05:13. | |
and 86. Michael Adam Foster, 208. Keith | :05:14. | :05:37. | |
Graham Fraser, UK Independence Party, 413. | :05:38. | :05:48. | |
Nigel Barrow, the official monster raving loony party, 106. | :05:49. | :05:59. | |
James William Martin, known as Bill Martin, the Socialist party GB, 21. | :06:00. | :06:11. | |
Andrew is Mendoza, the commonest league, seven. Caroline Russell, | :06:12. | :06:27. | |
Green Party, two to nine. -- 2229. The total number of ballot papers | :06:28. | :06:37. | |
rejected is as follows. Voting for more candidates than the voter was | :06:38. | :06:41. | |
entitled to, 40. Being on Marker Hotel devoid, 82. The turnout was | :06:42. | :06:49. | |
73.6%. I do hereby declare that Jeremy Bernard Corbin is duly | :06:50. | :06:53. | |
elected to serve as member of Parliament for the Islington North | :06:54. | :06:54. | |
constituency. -- Jeremy Corbyn. Thank you very much. I first of all | :06:55. | :07:19. | |
want to thank Lesley and her staff for the way this election has been | :07:20. | :07:24. | |
conducted. I know all the pressures that are put under the staff to | :07:25. | :07:27. | |
achieve this. Thank you very much to you and all the staff here tonight. | :07:28. | :07:31. | |
And all those that run our democratic services in this borough. | :07:32. | :07:35. | |
I also want to particularly thank the police further work today. And | :07:36. | :07:40. | |
their work last night in helping to ensure that the crowds were all | :07:41. | :07:44. | |
safe, but also, all the work they did last weekend during the horrors | :07:45. | :07:47. | |
of the attack that took place on London Bridge and the borrower. It | :07:48. | :07:55. | |
shows the importance of fully staffed police service. I do thank | :07:56. | :07:59. | |
the police further work last night -- last weekend and today. It is an | :08:00. | :08:07. | |
enormous honour to be elected to represent Islington North for the | :08:08. | :08:12. | |
ninth time in Parliament. And I'm very, very honoured and humbled by | :08:13. | :08:15. | |
the size of the vote that has been cast for me tonight as the Labour | :08:16. | :08:20. | |
candidate. And I pledge to represent the people of Islington North in the | :08:21. | :08:25. | |
best weather I possibly can. And to continue to learn from them as well | :08:26. | :08:29. | |
as represent them at the same time, because I believe representation is | :08:30. | :08:33. | |
as much about listening as about telling other people. And so I do | :08:34. | :08:37. | |
thank the people their support. I also want to say a huge thank you to | :08:38. | :08:43. | |
Islington North Labour party, two our agent Catherine Sloan, and all | :08:44. | :08:46. | |
the other people who've worked so hard in this campaign. And | :08:47. | :08:50. | |
unfortunately, are maybe fortunately for them, I have been on the road | :08:51. | :08:53. | |
for the last six weeks, so they have been holding the fort. I am very | :08:54. | :08:58. | |
grateful to them for all they have done. I am also very grateful to all | :08:59. | :09:05. | |
of my family, and to my wife, and to all the people that have worked so | :09:06. | :09:11. | |
hard in our team at Labour Party head office, as well as in the | :09:12. | :09:15. | |
constituency office here, for achieving this incredible result | :09:16. | :09:19. | |
tonight in Islington, and the results that are coming in from all | :09:20. | :09:22. | |
over the country. In terms of Islington, this is the highest | :09:23. | :09:27. | |
turnout at any election is in Islington since 1951. It is the | :09:28. | :09:31. | |
largest ever vote received for a winning candidate ever in the | :09:32. | :09:34. | |
history of this borrower. I of it, very humble and grateful to the | :09:35. | :09:38. | |
people of Islington for this great result. This election was called in | :09:39. | :09:50. | |
order for the Prime Minister to gain a large majority in order to assert | :09:51. | :09:57. | |
her authority. And the election campaign has gone on for the past | :09:58. | :10:00. | |
six weeks. I have travelled the whole country. I have spoken at | :10:01. | :10:04. | |
events and rallies all over the country. And you know what? Politics | :10:05. | :10:09. | |
has changed. And politics is not going back into the box where it was | :10:10. | :10:13. | |
before. What has happened is people have said they have had quite enough | :10:14. | :10:18. | |
of austerity politics. They have had quite enough of cuts in public | :10:19. | :10:23. | |
expenditure, underfunding the health service, schools, the education | :10:24. | :10:27. | |
service, and not giving our young people the chance they deserve in | :10:28. | :10:30. | |
our society. And I'm very, very proud of the campaign that my party | :10:31. | :10:37. | |
has run, our manifesto for the many not the few. And I'm very proud of | :10:38. | :10:40. | |
the results coming in all over the country tonight, of people voting | :10:41. | :10:46. | |
for hope, voting for hope for the future, and turning their backs on | :10:47. | :10:48. | |
austerity. CHEERING. | :10:49. | :10:56. | |
And so if there is a message from tonight's result, it is this. The | :10:57. | :11:02. | |
Prime Minister called the election because she wanted a mandate. When | :11:03. | :11:07. | |
the mandate she has got is lost Conservative seats, lost votes, lost | :11:08. | :11:11. | |
support and lost confidence. I would've that Tsenov to go, | :11:12. | :11:16. | |
actually, and make way for a government that will be truly | :11:17. | :11:19. | |
representative of all the people of this country. | :11:20. | :11:28. | |
And so, we await the rest of the results. But I can assure you of | :11:29. | :11:31. | |
this. In the new parliament we will do everything we can to ensure that | :11:32. | :11:36. | |
everything we have said in this campaign, and everything that is | :11:37. | :11:40. | |
included in our manifesto, is put before Parliament, so that this | :11:41. | :11:45. | |
country can be a different and, I believe, fundamentally better place. | :11:46. | :11:50. | |
The participation in this election by many who have not participated in | :11:51. | :11:55. | |
elections before shows the determination to do something very | :11:56. | :11:58. | |
differently in this country. And take a different stance towards the | :11:59. | :12:03. | |
rest of the world. And I'm very proud of what we have achieved here | :12:04. | :12:08. | |
in Islington. I'm very proud of the campaign our party as waste in this | :12:09. | :12:13. | |
election campaign. And I'm very confident of the future of the | :12:14. | :12:18. | |
future that we will grow even faster and further, and that we will be | :12:19. | :12:23. | |
able to carry out those pledges in our manifesto. To properly fund | :12:24. | :12:29. | |
health, education, social care, and give all of our young people a real | :12:30. | :12:34. | |
chance for a future, free from debt and full of opportunity. To the | :12:35. | :12:39. | |
people of Islington, I say thank you very much indeed. To the people of | :12:40. | :12:44. | |
this country, I say thank you to all those who have given such support | :12:45. | :12:47. | |
and such confidence in the Labour Party, and thank you to all those | :12:48. | :12:50. | |
all over the country who fought so hard for this day. We will carry on | :12:51. | :12:56. | |
because we believe in a better future for all. Thank you all very | :12:57. | :13:00. | |
much indeed. CHEERING. | :13:01. | :13:07. | |
Jeremy Corbyn says it is time for Theresa May to go and make way for | :13:08. | :13:11. | |
them. We have not had the count from Maidenhead. We will stay with | :13:12. | :13:17. | |
Maidenhead. When we get the count at least we will be there for the | :13:18. | :13:21. | |
count. No doubt Theresa May will have some words to say about the | :13:22. | :13:25. | |
outcome of the election as a whole. Or maybe she will just stick to | :13:26. | :13:29. | |
thank you. It will be interesting to see if she does. She has been | :13:30. | :13:33. | |
criticised for not being fulsome in the campaign, giving very little | :13:34. | :13:37. | |
detail of what she plans to do. She is not the kind of politician, one | :13:38. | :13:43. | |
of the criticisms levelled at her, who is nimble. That has caused such | :13:44. | :13:48. | |
trouble. This is a fascinating night. I am | :13:49. | :13:53. | |
going to take you to Scotland. We have 15 Labour gains. This one from | :13:54. | :13:59. | |
the SNP in East Lothian. Once again we are seeing it is turning out to | :14:00. | :14:04. | |
be a tough night for the SNP. Gains for the Conservatives. Not quite as | :14:05. | :14:13. | |
dramatic swing as we saw in those earlier Tory gains. 8.5%. This is | :14:14. | :14:19. | |
much more than they needed. This was gained in the Scottish parliament by | :14:20. | :14:24. | |
Labour. They will be very pleased to have this. Gordon Brown's old seat | :14:25. | :14:30. | |
of Kirkcaldy. We thought it was safe. It was taken last time round. | :14:31. | :14:36. | |
Roger Morlan is out and Lesley Laird takes his place. Very tightly | :14:37. | :14:44. | |
fought. The 23,000 majority under Gordon Brown. The SNP toggled on | :14:45. | :14:50. | |
9000. This is a slim majority. 259. They got this on more than a 9% | :14:51. | :14:58. | |
swing. 9.7%. Two more games for the Conservatives. This time it is | :14:59. | :15:02. | |
Aberdeen South. It has been taken from Callum McCaig of the SNP. This | :15:03. | :15:11. | |
was number 97 on their target list. 15%, the swing. We have seen the | :15:12. | :15:15. | |
Conservatives in the region. 15 to 16% when they are taking those seats | :15:16. | :15:21. | |
from the SNP. Labour were in second place. It was thought to be a Tory | :15:22. | :15:28. | |
target. And Eire and Carrick. We thought it was safe SNP. You can see | :15:29. | :15:32. | |
what has happened. The Conservatives on 40%. The SNP moving backwards, | :15:33. | :15:40. | |
down 15%. This was gained from Labour in 2015. That kind of | :15:41. | :15:45. | |
churning going from Labour to the SNP to the Conservatives shows that | :15:46. | :15:47. | |
Scotland is up in the air. And also Peterborough and Bedford. | :15:48. | :16:05. | |
Am told that Labour is expecting to win Canterbury in Kent. That has | :16:06. | :16:11. | |
been held by the Conservatives since 1918. If that is confirmed, that | :16:12. | :16:16. | |
would be the most dramatic example yet of a seat that looked impossible | :16:17. | :16:22. | |
for Labour, unless we saw significant youth turnout. The big | :16:23. | :16:25. | |
question was that we didn't know how the electorate would answer it, the | :16:26. | :16:31. | |
younger part of the electorate who traditionally have stayed at home, | :16:32. | :16:42. | |
seem to have turned out in droves. What have you got there? Bath is an | :16:43. | :16:47. | |
interesting one. Chris Patten famously lost here in 1952. This is | :16:48. | :16:52. | |
an up moment for the Lib Dems on a night which has brought gains and | :16:53. | :16:56. | |
losses for them and some sad faces in Sheffield Hallam when Nick Clegg | :16:57. | :17:00. | |
lost. But the Lib Dems have gained this one, the seat of Bath, from the | :17:01. | :17:07. | |
Conservatives. They needed a 4.1% swing. They have got it on a 9.8% | :17:08. | :17:13. | |
swing to the Lib Dems. Ukip got 7% of the vote here and that has gone | :17:14. | :17:24. | |
now. You were just talking about Peterborough. This was number 16 on | :17:25. | :17:31. | |
the Labour target list, very tightly fought. Just a percentage point | :17:32. | :17:37. | |
between them. Ukip stood down here again, which the Tories might have | :17:38. | :17:41. | |
thought would help them retain the seat, but it has gone on a swing | :17:42. | :17:50. | |
towards Labour of 2.7%. Nobody would forget Chris Patten's face when he | :17:51. | :17:53. | |
was chairman of the Conservative Party and fought the campaign but | :17:54. | :17:58. | |
lost his own seat. That was in 1992. Here is Maidenhead. There is the | :17:59. | :18:02. | |
Prime Minister on the left. We will hear the result of the Maidenhead | :18:03. | :18:08. | |
vote. No risk of losing the seat. But there is a risk to her political | :18:09. | :18:13. | |
future. Look at the array of candidates. Stay with us why we hear | :18:14. | :18:21. | |
how each of them has done. UK Independence Party, 871. | :18:22. | :18:35. | |
Independent, 16. Lord bucket head, 249. Hill, Anthony | :18:36. | :18:55. | |
Charles, known as Tony Hill, Liberal Democrats, 6540. Hope, Alan, the | :18:56. | :19:12. | |
official Monster Raving Loony Party, 119. Andrew Knight, animal welfare | :19:13. | :19:30. | |
party, 282. Me, Theresa May, the Conservative Party candidate, 37,000 | :19:31. | :19:35. | |
718. -- 37,718. Patrick Meek Donald, | :19:36. | :19:49. | |
Labour Party, 11200 and 61. -- 11261. The just political party, | :19:50. | :20:25. | |
52. Bobby Smith, three. Grant Smith, independent, 152. Victor Edmonds, | :20:26. | :20:40. | |
Christian peoples Alliance, 69. Green Party, 907. The number of | :20:41. | :20:48. | |
ballot papers rejected was as follows. Want of official Mark, | :20:49. | :20:58. | |
zero. Voting for more candidates than the vote was entitled to, 19. | :20:59. | :21:06. | |
Writing or mark by which the voter could be identified, three. Being | :21:07. | :21:12. | |
unmarked or wholly void for uncertainty, 86. Rejected in part, | :21:13. | :21:24. | |
zero. Total rejected votes, 108. I hereby declare that Theresa May, the | :21:25. | :21:36. | |
Conservative Party candidate, has been elected. That is a good example | :21:37. | :21:40. | |
of what English democracy throws up in these seats where the Prime | :21:41. | :21:44. | |
Minister is. You get every Tom, Dick and Harry coming in on standing. I | :21:45. | :21:48. | |
reckon they made ?5,000 in lost deposits. But here is Theresa May to | :21:49. | :21:57. | |
speak. Thank you very much. First of all, on behalf of myself and all of | :21:58. | :22:01. | |
the candidates, may I thank the returning officer and all her staff | :22:02. | :22:05. | |
for the hard work they have put in today in running this election in | :22:06. | :22:10. | |
the Maidenhead constituency. Can I also thank the police, who have had | :22:11. | :22:15. | |
an extra job here tonight in ensuring the security of this event. | :22:16. | :22:22. | |
And thank you to all those who have once again supported me as the | :22:23. | :22:24. | |
member of Parliament for Maidenhead. It is a huge honour and a privilege | :22:25. | :22:31. | |
to be elected as the member of Parliament for this constituency, | :22:32. | :22:35. | |
and I pledge that I will continue to work for all my constituents, as I | :22:36. | :22:39. | |
have done over the period that I have been your member of Parliament. | :22:40. | :22:46. | |
This is a wonderful constituency and I look forward to continuing to work | :22:47. | :22:51. | |
with you and to see further improvements for the lives of those | :22:52. | :22:53. | |
living in the Maidenhead constituency. As we look more widely | :22:54. | :22:59. | |
across the country, returns are of course still coming in. We have yet | :23:00. | :23:04. | |
to see the full picture emerging. Votes are still being counted. But | :23:05. | :23:10. | |
at this time, more than anything else, this country needs a period of | :23:11. | :23:14. | |
stability. If, as the indications have shown, the Conservative Party | :23:15. | :23:20. | |
has won the most seats and probably the most votes, it will be incumbent | :23:21. | :23:26. | |
on us to ensure that we have a period of stability and that is what | :23:27. | :23:30. | |
we will do. I would like to thank all of those across the country who | :23:31. | :23:34. | |
have voted for the Conservative Party today. As we ran this | :23:35. | :23:42. | |
campaign, we set out to consider the issues that are the key priorities | :23:43. | :23:46. | |
for the British people - getting the Brexit deal right, ensuring that we | :23:47. | :23:51. | |
both identify and show how we can address the big challenges facing | :23:52. | :23:56. | |
our country, doing what is in the national interest. That is always | :23:57. | :24:00. | |
what I have tried to do in my time as a member of Parliament. And my | :24:01. | :24:07. | |
resolve to do that is the same this morning as it always has been. As we | :24:08. | :24:12. | |
look ahead and we wait to see what the final results will be, I know | :24:13. | :24:20. | |
the country needs a period of stability. Whatever the results are, | :24:21. | :24:26. | |
the Conservative Party will ensure that we will fulfil our duty in | :24:27. | :24:32. | |
ensuring that stability so that we can all go forward together. Thank | :24:33. | :24:38. | |
you. A curious choice of words. The country needs a period of stability, | :24:39. | :24:44. | |
suggesting that it is not a full parliament she is thinking of. I | :24:45. | :24:49. | |
think that is true. Ministers privately now say that clearly, they | :24:50. | :24:53. | |
do not expect to outperform the exit poll. We saw a very shaky Theresa | :24:54. | :24:58. | |
May there, who does not expect to be walking back into Downing Street | :24:59. | :25:02. | |
with a majority. Of course, it will only be in the hours to come that we | :25:03. | :25:05. | |
can confirm whether that is the case. But I think her wording | :25:06. | :25:11. | |
certainly implied that very heavily. She said there are still votes to be | :25:12. | :25:16. | |
counted, but if we are the largest party with the largest number of | :25:17. | :25:21. | |
votes, she said very carefully, it would be incumbent upon us to form a | :25:22. | :25:27. | |
government. So in the Prime Minister's own words, she chose to | :25:28. | :25:30. | |
mention the formulation that suggests a hung parliament - the | :25:31. | :25:35. | |
largest number of votes and the largest number of seats. But that is | :25:36. | :25:41. | |
half the story. She inherited a lead of 100 seats over Labour. She will | :25:42. | :25:44. | |
probably end up with a lead of 50 seats over Labour. She inherited a | :25:45. | :25:50. | |
seven percentage point lead over Labour in the last popular vote. So | :25:51. | :25:57. | |
yes, she is factually correct, the Conservatives are ahead on votes and | :25:58. | :26:01. | |
seats, but by only about half the Amanda David Cameron achieved two | :26:02. | :26:06. | |
years ago. She now has to contend with the horror of her Parliamentary | :26:07. | :26:12. | |
party. James Forsyth, the political editor of the Spectator, tweeted, do | :26:13. | :26:15. | |
not underestimate the fury of the Parliament drew party. They are | :26:16. | :26:21. | |
spitting. So Theresa May now has to try and find a way of communicating | :26:22. | :26:27. | |
that she is the right leader, if she believes she is. Tim Farron has | :26:28. | :26:31. | |
retained his seat, the leader of the Liberal Democrats. What has happened | :26:32. | :26:35. | |
over the last hour is that we have revised our forecast down a bit from | :26:36. | :26:40. | |
the Conservatives' point of view. Jeremy, you have those figures. | :26:41. | :26:46. | |
Let's look inside our virtual House of Commons. It is revised in the | :26:47. | :26:52. | |
Conservatives' they've very slightly. We started the night by | :26:53. | :26:56. | |
saying the exit poll had them on 314. It is now tempered by some of | :26:57. | :27:04. | |
the results we have had in. We have now got them on 318, down 13 seats | :27:05. | :27:09. | |
from the last general election two years ago but up from where we | :27:10. | :27:14. | |
started. Crucially, it is not crossed the line of three to six, | :27:15. | :27:18. | |
which is just above half the number of MPs in the House of Commons -- | :27:19. | :27:27. | |
326. So it looks like the Conservatives will not have their | :27:28. | :27:30. | |
majority in the House of Commons. We have slightly adjusted the Labour | :27:31. | :27:37. | |
figure, up one. The SNP are on 32, a bad night for them. The Liberal | :27:38. | :27:43. | |
Democrats, notwithstanding the Tim Farron news we just had, not doing | :27:44. | :27:47. | |
as well as we thought at the start of evening. Plaid Cymru are still | :27:48. | :27:52. | |
there with their three seats on the greens with their once it. -- the | :27:53. | :28:02. | |
greens with their once it. All kinds of other mathematics start to come | :28:03. | :28:07. | |
in. Sinn Fein MPs could be six by the end of the night. Take those six | :28:08. | :28:14. | |
away because they don't attend the House of Commons. The Conservatives | :28:15. | :28:22. | |
are still not quite there, but it brings it a tiny bit closer. The DUP | :28:23. | :28:26. | |
may have nine MPs by the end of the night. There are natural allies for | :28:27. | :28:33. | |
the Conservatives in this situation. So if you add the nine to the | :28:34. | :28:37. | |
Conservatives' 318, you get 327. But take a whirl around the House of | :28:38. | :28:41. | |
Commons with me now. Yes, there is a lot of blue. But a strengthened | :28:42. | :28:48. | |
Labour Party, a diminished SNP, a few more Lib Dems. It is really | :28:49. | :28:51. | |
going to be very complicated politics in here with many more | :28:52. | :28:59. | |
hours of conversation to come. It did go up to 322 at one point, so | :29:00. | :29:04. | |
the Conservative figure is moving around. Eastbourne has been taken by | :29:05. | :29:14. | |
the Liberal Democrats. Nick Robinson is in Islington. Let's join him | :29:15. | :29:21. | |
before he has to do the today show. It is extraordinary being here at my | :29:22. | :29:25. | |
local leisure centre and Jeremy Corbyn's local national centre, a | :29:26. | :29:31. | |
place where he has come for election after election. The result has | :29:32. | :29:34. | |
always been predictable and just as predictable has been the fact that | :29:35. | :29:37. | |
no one beyond these walls would listen to a single word he said. And | :29:38. | :29:42. | |
yet that figure, the maverick, stood on a stage here and effectively | :29:43. | :29:45. | |
called on the Prime Minister to quit and make him Prime Minister instead | :29:46. | :29:52. | |
and suddenly, that doesn't sound absurd. Contrast that with the face | :29:53. | :29:57. | |
of Theresa May, the look of a woman defeated, heavily made up as if she | :29:58. | :30:02. | |
had been in tears earlier, her voice cracking at times, I thought, | :30:03. | :30:05. | |
declaring that she would provide the stability the country needed. But | :30:06. | :30:09. | |
nothing like what she said she wanted to do, which was to have that | :30:10. | :30:13. | |
big majority which would deliver the country a strong mandate to | :30:14. | :30:17. | |
negotiate and deliver Brexit. We're going to Boston and Skegness. | :30:18. | :30:29. | |
Paul Nuttall, the leader of Ukip, fighting that seat. | :30:30. | :30:40. | |
Matthew Warman, 27,000 271. The number of ballot papers rejected was | :30:41. | :30:45. | |
as follows. Voting for more candidates than the vote was | :30:46. | :30:50. | |
entitled to, 11. A pretty humiliating defeat for Paul | :30:51. | :30:57. | |
Nuttall. 3308 only. Boston and Skegness. The highest area of Vote | :30:58. | :31:06. | |
Leave macro. Nearly three quarters voted to leave. Not giving him any | :31:07. | :31:17. | |
traction for Ukip. Let's go back to Nick Robinson. It will be no | :31:18. | :31:23. | |
surprise to you that Paul Nuttall did not do very well in Boston. Only | :31:24. | :31:29. | |
got 3000 votes. Just finish the point you were making. Sorry to have | :31:30. | :31:35. | |
interrupted you. Even a few hours ago when I was outside Jeremy | :31:36. | :31:38. | |
Corbyn's house, they were looking at those results to see just how much | :31:39. | :31:45. | |
will we have managed to cut Theresa May's majority. When they arrived | :31:46. | :31:49. | |
for the count, people were seriously asking questions about whether they | :31:50. | :31:53. | |
might be the largest party. About whether Jeremy Corbyn might in | :31:54. | :31:57. | |
certain circumstances be our next Prime Minister. I don't think that | :31:58. | :32:02. | |
is their central expectation but I know they have left this building to | :32:03. | :32:05. | |
give that proper and serious thought. They know that he is now in | :32:06. | :32:10. | |
play. That's the decisions he makes will matter not just for the future | :32:11. | :32:13. | |
direction of the Labour Party, but the future direction of the country. | :32:14. | :32:21. | |
Just a few weeks ago that would have seemed completely implausible not | :32:22. | :32:25. | |
just to most commentators but to Mr Corbyn himself. He has been placed | :32:26. | :32:29. | |
in a position of power ahead of perhaps the most difficult political | :32:30. | :32:32. | |
negotiations this country has seen since the Second World War. A | :32:33. | :32:37. | |
position of power he never, ever dreamt of. You were hearing Theresa | :32:38. | :32:44. | |
May. What do you think she will actually do know? Clearly she is | :32:45. | :32:49. | |
severely damaged by this result, particularly when she called an | :32:50. | :32:52. | |
election after she said she wouldn't. She has an election that | :32:53. | :32:57. | |
batters her reputation in the course of the campaign and the result. | :32:58. | :33:01. | |
Where does that leave her in the Tory party and in Parliament? There | :33:02. | :33:08. | |
are two answers. Where does it leave her in her mind? Probably doing her | :33:09. | :33:11. | |
duty. In other words, forming a government. If she has the most | :33:12. | :33:18. | |
seats and the most votes. The second question is, where does it leave her | :33:19. | :33:22. | |
in the minds of her own Cabinet, her own party? Will they take the view | :33:23. | :33:25. | |
that she has gambled and lost big-time, and therefore has to be | :33:26. | :33:30. | |
punished for it? The difficulty with that scenario is wondering who would | :33:31. | :33:36. | |
replace. If the Tory party were looking for a charismatic figure who | :33:37. | :33:40. | |
could give hope to the public at a future election, they would turn to | :33:41. | :33:44. | |
Boris Johnson, no doubt. If instead the job is not about winning the | :33:45. | :33:48. | |
election but the job is about doing a deal in Europe about those | :33:49. | :33:52. | |
negotiations, Boris Johnson would be regarded as deeply implausible, not | :33:53. | :33:57. | |
just in Brussels but by many others Cabinet colleagues. And that is the | :33:58. | :34:00. | |
place the Tories now find themselves. Do they focus on the | :34:01. | :34:04. | |
talks in Europe or do they focus on the possibility of another election | :34:05. | :34:11. | |
sometime soon, which Theresa May, it looks impossible for her to run | :34:12. | :34:15. | |
again. And if she did, she would surely lose. | :34:16. | :34:21. | |
There is never any lack of ambition on the Tory backbenches. Let's be | :34:22. | :34:25. | |
clear about that. But exactly as Nick points out, this is a very | :34:26. | :34:29. | |
curious position the Tories find themselves in. They ran on | :34:30. | :34:33. | |
competence, and being a safe pair of hands. Theresa May became Prime | :34:34. | :34:38. | |
Minister because she was the last grown-up left standing after the | :34:39. | :34:41. | |
Tory bloodbath over the referendum. But what do they do know? How can | :34:42. | :34:47. | |
they try in another general election to cling back that message of hope? | :34:48. | :34:54. | |
Ishii in a position to change her government? Is she in a position to | :34:55. | :34:57. | |
get rid of the Exchequer, which everybody said she would want to do, | :34:58. | :35:05. | |
after screwing up the budget? It will be much more pressed upon her | :35:06. | :35:09. | |
to take the Council of other people. There will be speculation about | :35:10. | :35:13. | |
whether or not she can cling on as the party leader. One senior Tory | :35:14. | :35:17. | |
has just said to me in terms of asking her if she can stay on, the | :35:18. | :35:22. | |
point is with Brexit looming over everything, it is a pretty bad time | :35:23. | :35:27. | |
to mock about. And I think our first instinct would be to try to convey | :35:28. | :35:31. | |
that message and stay on. Let's have the latest games. Pretty dramatic | :35:32. | :35:40. | |
gains for Labour. Warwick and Leamington, the kind of seat you | :35:41. | :35:43. | |
would expect Labour to take if there were winning the election. This is a | :35:44. | :35:49. | |
bellwether. Labour won it under Tony Blair is three times. David Cameron | :35:50. | :35:54. | |
won twice. A close share of the vote. A Labour game. They needed a | :35:55. | :36:03. | |
6-point 5% swing. They have done it on 7.6. Astonishing to have taken | :36:04. | :36:08. | |
this. Number 68 on their target list. Canterbury the same. This has | :36:09. | :36:12. | |
been Conservatives since World War I. It had a majority of 9700. Not | :36:13. | :36:20. | |
only that, Julian Brazier, the Conservative MP, has been here since | :36:21. | :36:26. | |
1987. Rosie Duffield has just outed him in the seat of Canterbury in | :36:27. | :36:30. | |
Kent. Not where you would expect a lot of Labour to appear. An extra | :36:31. | :36:36. | |
ordinary surge in their share, up 20%. And you can see the | :36:37. | :36:41. | |
Conservatives have made a tiny gains. That swing has been quite | :36:42. | :36:47. | |
dramatic. 9.3. You can see further down my list a lot of the Lib Dem | :36:48. | :36:52. | |
holes. Tom Brake thought he might be in danger. It is a very Leave part | :36:53. | :37:04. | |
of south London. But he stays in there. He once said it could be the | :37:05. | :37:08. | |
hardest election he has ever fought. It may well have been. You can see | :37:09. | :37:12. | |
what kind of a swing it has been. Just towards the Conservatives of | :37:13. | :37:20. | |
2.2. -- 0.2. Kingston has been taken by Ed Davy for the Lib Dems. Some of | :37:21. | :37:26. | |
these old faces, Vince cable, Ed Davey, coming back in. 4124 | :37:27. | :37:33. | |
majority. Ed Davy will be very pleased to take this. A rather | :37:34. | :37:37. | |
bittersweet night for the Lib Dems. They are seeing a former leader like | :37:38. | :37:40. | |
Nick Clegg loses seat but some of the former MPs from last time around | :37:41. | :37:47. | |
gained their seats. The Lib Dems have been making gains. Tim Farron | :37:48. | :37:51. | |
we talked about. Not only has he held on in Westmoreland, but the | :37:52. | :37:58. | |
9000 majority cut to 777. A massive swing in this part of the world away | :37:59. | :38:02. | |
from the Lib Dems towards the Conservatives. He has held on. One | :38:03. | :38:08. | |
more I just want to bring you. Norfolk North, Norman Lamb thought | :38:09. | :38:13. | |
he might be in danger. But he has, pop -- probably on a personal | :38:14. | :38:20. | |
popular vote, stays. The Green Party did not stand. That may have helped | :38:21. | :38:26. | |
the Lib Dems. A 0.7% swing towards the Conservatives but he did well to | :38:27. | :38:33. | |
hang on. One more. Case in -- Caithness Sutherland and Easter | :38:34. | :38:39. | |
Ross. The Lib Dems lost that seat in 2015. The SNP came in. The SNP | :38:40. | :38:47. | |
gained it from third place. It is now Jamie Stone who replaces the Lib | :38:48. | :38:53. | |
Dem John Thurso. He takes the seat back for the Lib Dems in Scotland. | :38:54. | :38:58. | |
They are having a pretty good night. All the Unionist parties having a | :38:59. | :39:01. | |
pretty good night against the SNP in Scotland. Let's have a look at that | :39:02. | :39:07. | |
swing and see what has happened. Again, a pretty sturdy swing towards | :39:08. | :39:10. | |
the Lib Dems from the SNP in Scotland. You can see all the Lib | :39:11. | :39:18. | |
Dem gains here. Some of them are holes and some of them have been | :39:19. | :39:25. | |
taken. Holds. Amber to extraordinary results for Labour. We are joined by | :39:26. | :39:35. | |
Alex Salmond. First of all, your own result. Do you think you have held | :39:36. | :39:39. | |
on? We will just have to wait and see. I feel we are sometime away | :39:40. | :39:46. | |
from a result yet. It is a very large rural constituency as very -- | :39:47. | :39:51. | |
as well as a varied and rule one. Ballot boxes have to travel a long | :39:52. | :39:56. | |
way in these parts. What you make of the net loss of 14 seats so far for | :39:57. | :40:03. | |
the SNP? Yeah, but that is off the tsunami of 2015. I don't think I | :40:04. | :40:09. | |
expected that to be repeated. I'm an old-fashioned type of politician and | :40:10. | :40:12. | |
you are an old-fashioned type of interview. I reckon you win | :40:13. | :40:16. | |
elections by winning more seats and more votes than any of the other | :40:17. | :40:21. | |
parties. It looks like the SNP will have more seats in Scotland than the | :40:22. | :40:26. | |
Unionist parties combined. On that measure the SNP will win the | :40:27. | :40:30. | |
election. You call them the Unionist parties. They have made huge inroads | :40:31. | :40:36. | |
into the SNP position. What were you, 56 in the last house of | :40:37. | :40:41. | |
Commons? Yeah. There are two things. But the opinion polls didn't see was | :40:42. | :40:48. | |
a late recovery in the Labour Party's fortunes. Ironically that | :40:49. | :40:53. | |
was based on people impressed by Jeremy Corbyn. Many Yes supporters. | :40:54. | :40:58. | |
Ironically again, that has cost the SNP some seats. Winning more seats | :40:59. | :41:06. | |
than any other party is important in politics. Theresa May would love to | :41:07. | :41:09. | |
be in a position now where she could say she is going to win a majority | :41:10. | :41:15. | |
of seats across the UK. Given that the SNP looked like we might just | :41:16. | :41:18. | |
have done it again in Scotland, you have to accord the SNP some credit | :41:19. | :41:22. | |
despite losing some important colleagues. Does it make a second | :41:23. | :41:28. | |
referendum on independence more likely are less likely? I think | :41:29. | :41:33. | |
there will be a second Independence Referendum. It is a question of | :41:34. | :41:38. | |
timing. A third irony of politics is that this -- SNP group will be going | :41:39. | :41:46. | |
into a parliament where it looks as if it will be very influential | :41:47. | :41:50. | |
indeed. That influence will be used on behalf of Scotland and on behalf | :41:51. | :41:54. | |
of Scottish democracy to defend the Scottish Parliament. People in | :41:55. | :41:58. | |
Scotland have the right to expect, if they elect SNP MPs in large | :41:59. | :42:03. | |
numbers, they will turn out to be influential in the next Parliament. | :42:04. | :42:06. | |
That looks at what is gone to happen. You don't yet know what is | :42:07. | :42:14. | |
going to happen over Brexit. You wanted to remain in the EU. That may | :42:15. | :42:20. | |
still be possible, I suppose, if Parliament is in total confusion. Do | :42:21. | :42:27. | |
you think there is a chance of the SNP... Yeah, on a balanced | :42:28. | :42:33. | |
parliament we would be in a position of great influence. We would seek a | :42:34. | :42:37. | |
progressive alternative to Tory rule. Let's talk plainly. If there | :42:38. | :42:42. | |
is no Conservative majority, Theresa May will not be Prime Minister | :42:43. | :42:47. | |
within the next 48 hours. You couldn't possibly survive having | :42:48. | :42:50. | |
called an election unnecessarily, failed to win a majority in | :42:51. | :42:54. | |
continuous Prime Minister. Boris Johnson is already on manoeuvres. It | :42:55. | :42:59. | |
doesn't surprise me. It certainly doesn't surprise me giving the -- | :43:00. | :43:02. | |
given the glaring deficiencies of Theresa May which have been exposed | :43:03. | :43:08. | |
on this election campaign. The SNP will use their position of | :43:09. | :43:10. | |
substantial influence to get the best deal they can for Scotland and | :43:11. | :43:15. | |
make sure we don't fall off that Brexit cliff edge which Theresa May | :43:16. | :43:19. | |
was careering the country towards. What do you make of what she said in | :43:20. | :43:24. | |
Maidenhead? If they have the largest number of seats and the largest | :43:25. | :43:28. | |
popular vote, their responsibility, their duty, is to restore stability. | :43:29. | :43:34. | |
That doesn't sound as if she is quitting any time soon. It sounded | :43:35. | :43:41. | |
like bravado to me. Consistency has not been one of the hallmarks of Mrs | :43:42. | :43:50. | |
May over recent weeks. This declaration, I shall continue | :43:51. | :43:54. | |
regardless of the verdict of the people, is total nonsense. It isn't | :43:55. | :43:58. | |
clear, David, who has won this election. That is certainly true. | :43:59. | :44:04. | |
But it is very, very clear who has lost the election. That is the Prime | :44:05. | :44:07. | |
Minister. She should face the consequences. Thank you. As we were | :44:08. | :44:12. | |
talking, you could see Nicola Sturgeon, the Beaver of the SNP in | :44:13. | :44:17. | |
Scotland at her account. We are going to go to Twickenham. And | :44:18. | :44:21. | |
joined Vince Cable. He took this seat. Vince Cable: -- good evening, | :44:22. | :44:28. | |
congratulations on your victory. You said it would be a tough fight and | :44:29. | :44:33. | |
you pulled it off. What do you make of the position of the Liberal | :44:34. | :44:35. | |
Democrats now and their role in the new parliament? Within the last few | :44:36. | :44:44. | |
minutes we have heard we have held Carshalton in Kingston, I believe | :44:45. | :44:47. | |
Richmond is hanging by a thread. We're down to three figures. We are | :44:48. | :44:51. | |
doing well in London. We are doing extremely well in Scotland. Norman | :44:52. | :44:56. | |
Lamb has held on in very difficult circumstances. Tim Farron. We are | :44:57. | :45:02. | |
going to get a significant increase in our Parliamentary party. We are | :45:03. | :45:06. | |
still mid teens. We have made very clear in terms of the big picture | :45:07. | :45:11. | |
that we are not going into coalition are packeds with other parties. | :45:12. | :45:14. | |
Obviously we want to be constructive. Be an opposition party | :45:15. | :45:17. | |
that gives constructive criticism. Clearly, the whole Brexit approach | :45:18. | :45:29. | |
is going to have to be rethought, and we will contribute to that. | :45:30. | :45:34. | |
Personal care also became a big issue. It is now clear that parties | :45:35. | :45:37. | |
will have to work together rather than shout at each other in this | :45:38. | :45:43. | |
different political landscape. How do you think Brexit can be | :45:44. | :45:47. | |
rethought? The mantra has been that Brexit means Brexit, meaning you | :45:48. | :45:53. | |
can't be in the single market. You are saying that can be turned on its | :45:54. | :45:58. | |
head? Well, the phrase Brexit means Brexit was always nonsense. It was | :45:59. | :46:07. | |
always possible to pursue a form of Brexit that means keeping the | :46:08. | :46:12. | |
customs union and keeping a lot of the collaborative arrangements that | :46:13. | :46:18. | |
have been very good for the UK. That is the kind of approach we will have | :46:19. | :46:23. | |
to rethink. The hard Ukip style Brexit that Theresa May had adopted | :46:24. | :46:26. | |
is no longer a viable option. But are you saying it will not be | :46:27. | :46:30. | |
politically possible for her to pursue that if she doesn't have a | :46:31. | :46:36. | |
majority in the House of Commons? Well, we don't know the arithmetic, | :46:37. | :46:42. | |
but to take an obvious point, the Government were proposing to | :46:43. | :46:44. | |
introduce a Great Repeal Bill that would have got rid of a lot of | :46:45. | :46:49. | |
regulatory aspects of the European Union around a single market. I | :46:50. | :46:54. | |
doubt that in the current House of Commons that has been elected | :46:55. | :46:57. | |
tonight, that that will be feasible. They will have to compromise. They | :46:58. | :47:03. | |
will have to find a way of accommodating the concerns of the | :47:04. | :47:09. | |
48% who voted to remain. Well just watching pictures of the Prime | :47:10. | :47:12. | |
Minister returning to London from Maidenhead. Vince Cable, what is | :47:13. | :47:16. | |
your reaction to Nick Clegg's defeat in Sheffield? I am very sad for him. | :47:17. | :47:23. | |
I had a defeat two years ago and it is painful. He will be looked upon | :47:24. | :47:29. | |
by historians as a major figure. With hindsight, the period of | :47:30. | :47:34. | |
coalition government was a period of stability and competent, successful | :47:35. | :47:37. | |
government. He was one of the main architects of that and deserves | :47:38. | :47:42. | |
credit for it. He will be a big loss to us and to Parliament because of | :47:43. | :47:45. | |
his expertise and understanding of European issues. Thank you for | :47:46. | :47:54. | |
joining us. We have now had 439 seats in and we have 211 to go. | :47:55. | :48:01. | |
Labour have gained 20. The Conservatives are down nine. The | :48:02. | :48:04. | |
Liberal Democrats are up four and the SNP are down 14. Ukip down one. | :48:05. | :48:17. | |
It looks as if the Conservatives will have 44% of the vote at the end | :48:18. | :48:20. | |
of the night across Great Britain. That is what Tony Blair got in his | :48:21. | :48:26. | |
landslide in 1997. 44% was what Margaret Thatcher got in her | :48:27. | :48:31. | |
landslide in 1983. Remember the Conservative vote is up, so why are | :48:32. | :48:36. | |
they doing so badly? Because we are back to party politics in England. | :48:37. | :48:43. | |
When you had three parties, 40% gave you a landslide. Into party | :48:44. | :48:49. | |
politics, 44% looks grim. But in terms of the actual share of the | :48:50. | :48:53. | |
vote, Theresa May can look Tony Blair and Margaret Thatcher in the | :48:54. | :48:56. | |
face and say, I matched what you did. I am trying to think when I | :48:57. | :49:01. | |
party got over 50% in the two party system. I think it is only about | :49:02. | :49:09. | |
once since the war. Yes, but the two-party politics is crucifying the | :49:10. | :49:13. | |
Conservative hopes of getting a majority. Their absolute vote is not | :49:14. | :49:17. | |
that bad. Let's find out what is happening in Hastings. John Hunt is | :49:18. | :49:24. | |
in Hastings. Is it true that there is a recap of what was Amber Rudd's | :49:25. | :49:25. | |
seat? -- a recount? Can you hear me? This is Hastings, David. There is a | :49:26. | :49:43. | |
recount going on. I am so sorry. Basically, the difference between | :49:44. | :50:05. | |
votes is a few hundred. This is the constituency of the Home Secretary, | :50:06. | :50:09. | |
Amber Rudd. She had a majority of over 4700 and it looks like at best, | :50:10. | :50:14. | |
that has been diminished to something in the hundreds, if at | :50:15. | :50:21. | |
all. So there is going to be a recount. It looks like there will | :50:22. | :50:25. | |
not be a result for another hour or two here. It was 1955 that the | :50:26. | :50:35. | |
Conservatives got 49.3% of the vote. Now we can go to Nicola Sturgeon, | :50:36. | :50:41. | |
with a bit of luck. The First Minister of Scotland. You are | :50:42. | :50:52. | |
currently down I don't know how many seats, it has just disappeared from | :50:53. | :50:56. | |
my screen for some extraordinary reason. How many seats do you reckon | :50:57. | :51:03. | |
you have lost? We are still waiting for the final tally. But we will | :51:04. | :51:09. | |
have won more seats than the other parties combined. The SNP has won | :51:10. | :51:15. | |
this election in Scotland. It will be our second best ever result in a | :51:16. | :51:21. | |
Westminster election. That said, yes, we are disappointed to have a | :51:22. | :51:25. | |
number of losses, not least the loss of Angus Robertson, who has been an | :51:26. | :51:31. | |
outstanding MP for Murray and an exceptional leader of the SNP group | :51:32. | :51:35. | |
in the House of Commons. So we have won this election, but we have some | :51:36. | :51:38. | |
reflection to do on the reasons why we also suffered some losses. Is it | :51:39. | :51:44. | |
right to say you have won the election? It is a UK election we are | :51:45. | :51:48. | |
talking about. You got more seats in Scotland. But it is pretty damaging | :51:49. | :51:55. | |
for you to have lost seats both to the Conservatives and the Liberal | :51:56. | :51:57. | |
Democrats and to Labour, who were thought to have been wiped out in | :51:58. | :52:05. | |
Scotland before this election. I am not trying to downplay the losses. | :52:06. | :52:09. | |
But I do think it is legitimate to say the SNP has won the election in | :52:10. | :52:15. | |
Scotland. We will have more seats in Scotland than all of the other | :52:16. | :52:19. | |
parties combined and more votes than any other party. So by any | :52:20. | :52:23. | |
definition, that is a winning of the election in Scotland. There have | :52:24. | :52:29. | |
been a number of factors at play. There has been a late surge to | :52:30. | :52:33. | |
Jeremy Corbyn across the UK, including in Scotland, which was not | :52:34. | :52:38. | |
necessarily detected in the polls in the same way that it was elsewhere | :52:39. | :52:43. | |
in the UK. Clearly, there is a post-Brexit uncertainty and | :52:44. | :52:48. | |
independence is a factor in that. I will reflect on that in the days to | :52:49. | :52:54. | |
come. Tonight is also a disaster for Theresa May. She called this | :52:55. | :52:59. | |
election voluntarily. She didn't need to. She thought she could | :53:00. | :53:02. | |
steam-roll the opposition and cruised to a landslide victory and | :53:03. | :53:06. | |
she has left tonight facing a disastrous election results. We will | :53:07. | :53:09. | |
need to wait and see how the final results look in terms of what that | :53:10. | :53:14. | |
means for the government of the UK. I hope the SNP can play a part in a | :53:15. | :53:18. | |
progressive alternative to a Tory government, but we will have to see | :53:19. | :53:24. | |
how the final results tally. You want both independent and you want | :53:25. | :53:29. | |
to remain in the EU. Both those aims, have they been improved by | :53:30. | :53:37. | |
this result and if so, how? Well, I will take time to reflect on this. | :53:38. | :53:40. | |
It is four o'clock in the morning and like all politicians, I have not | :53:41. | :53:44. | |
had any sleep in quite some time. So I am not going to rush to hasty | :53:45. | :53:49. | |
judgments. But clearly, there is thinking for me to do about the SNP | :53:50. | :53:54. | |
result. I am not going to lose sight of the fact that the SNP has won | :53:55. | :53:58. | |
this election, but I am going to gloss over the fact that we have | :53:59. | :54:03. | |
suffered some losses. Once we know the final result tomorrow, it is | :54:04. | :54:09. | |
likely that the SNP will be the third largest party in Westminster, | :54:10. | :54:13. | |
as we were in the last Parliament, if we can, we will want to be part | :54:14. | :54:18. | |
of a progressive alliance that is an alternative to the Tories. But that | :54:19. | :54:22. | |
will depend on how the arithmetic looks when the final results are in. | :54:23. | :54:27. | |
And I use slightly chastened when you say you have won the election | :54:28. | :54:33. | |
when you don't have over 50% of the popular vote in Scotland? It is only | :54:34. | :54:37. | |
the electoral system that allows you to say you are the largest party. Is | :54:38. | :54:46. | |
anybody listening to me right now is not going to hear someone try to | :54:47. | :54:53. | |
overplay the SNP results. But when we have emerged with more votes and | :54:54. | :55:01. | |
more seats than the other parties, it is OK to point to the fact that | :55:02. | :55:06. | |
the SNP has won the election here. Before 2015, the largest number of | :55:07. | :55:10. | |
seats the SNP had ever had was 11. Going into the 2015 election, we had | :55:11. | :55:15. | |
six. We are likely to end up with about 30 when the final results are | :55:16. | :55:20. | |
counted. So I am trying to be straight with you. I am not trying | :55:21. | :55:25. | |
to gloss over some disappointing losses. But I think I am and have a | :55:26. | :55:29. | |
point of the fact that we have won the election. I will reflect on the | :55:30. | :55:35. | |
losses when we have analysed the reasons for that. No one could | :55:36. | :55:40. | |
accuse you of being anything other than straight with us, Nicola | :55:41. | :55:44. | |
Sturgeon. Thanks for talking to us. Let's go to Northern Ireland now. | :55:45. | :55:51. | |
First of all, shots of the Prime Minister, coming back from | :55:52. | :55:54. | |
Maidenhead and presumably going to Number Ten Downing Street. The | :55:55. | :56:03. | |
Northern Ireland story is interesting. We have the four main | :56:04. | :56:13. | |
parties, five in all. Chris Payne is there. Fill us in on what has | :56:14. | :56:21. | |
happened and what you think will happen in Northern Ireland? It has | :56:22. | :56:28. | |
been an extraordinarily good night for the biggest two parties in | :56:29. | :56:32. | |
Northern Ireland. The Democratic Unionist Party and Sinn Fein. Their | :56:33. | :56:35. | |
vote has surged. It has been a disastrous night for the nationalist | :56:36. | :56:39. | |
SDLP. They went into this election with three seats. They have lost all | :56:40. | :56:44. | |
three, their entire representation in the House of Commons. Not all of | :56:45. | :56:49. | |
the results from Northern Ireland are in yet, but on the basis of what | :56:50. | :56:54. | |
we have, I reckon the DUP are looking at ten seats, their best | :56:55. | :56:58. | |
ever result in a Westminster election. Sinn Fein could be on for | :56:59. | :57:05. | |
at least six, probably seven. Another seat has been won by an | :57:06. | :57:14. | |
independent lady, Sylvia Hermon. The DUP are in a strong position. Their | :57:15. | :57:21. | |
leader said the DUP would make their presence felt in the next | :57:22. | :57:25. | |
Parliament. He referenced a number of issues such as counterterrorism, | :57:26. | :57:29. | |
security, Brexit, the DUP in a strong pro-Brexit platform in this | :57:30. | :57:36. | |
election, but also the future in Northern Ireland. The DUP think it | :57:37. | :57:41. | |
has increased their hand when it comes to negotiations to restore the | :57:42. | :57:44. | |
Stormont government which has not operated since January. The DUP will | :57:45. | :57:49. | |
be in a strong position as a Brexit party and with Sinn Fein not taking | :57:50. | :57:58. | |
their seats in the House of Commons. Yes, they have made that clear. No | :57:59. | :58:02. | |
matter how tight things get in the House of Commons, Sinn Fein said | :58:03. | :58:05. | |
that candidate stood on an abstention is ticket, therefore | :58:06. | :58:10. | |
there is no way Sinn Fein will be taking their seats. With an increase | :58:11. | :58:16. | |
in Sinn Fein's representation on six seats, it looks like they are likely | :58:17. | :58:21. | |
to take a seventh in Fermanagh South, currently run by the Ulster | :58:22. | :58:24. | |
Unionist Party. Ulster Unionist sources tell me they are worried | :58:25. | :58:29. | |
about that seat. They have already lost their other seat to the DUP. So | :58:30. | :58:34. | |
with Sinn Fein not taking their seats in the House of Commons and | :58:35. | :58:38. | |
the SDLP losing their seats, it means there will no longer be any | :58:39. | :58:41. | |
nationalist MPs from Northern Ireland sitting in the House of | :58:42. | :58:47. | |
Commons and the vast majority, ten out of 11 MPs from Northern Ireland | :58:48. | :58:51. | |
sitting in the House of Commons will be pro-Brexit. And you say they will | :58:52. | :59:00. | |
play a hard game with the Prime Minister. They will be in a strong | :59:01. | :59:03. | |
position with the Tory party not having an overall majority, to get | :59:04. | :59:09. | |
what they want. That's right. Speaking to senior members of the | :59:10. | :59:13. | |
DUP, they are emphasising that they realised they might be in an | :59:14. | :59:17. | |
important position with regards to the stability of the country going | :59:18. | :59:22. | |
into Brexit negotiations, and they will go into discussions in that | :59:23. | :59:27. | |
spirit. However, the DUP are used to negotiations. Politics in Northern | :59:28. | :59:32. | |
Ireland operates on negotiations a lot of the time. In the last | :59:33. | :59:38. | |
election in 2015, a big part of their platform was that they | :59:39. | :59:41. | |
expected there to be a hung parliament and that they would be | :59:42. | :59:44. | |
best placed if they maximised their representation to get the best deal | :59:45. | :59:48. | |
for Northern Ireland. This time, they were not expecting a hung | :59:49. | :59:52. | |
parliament at all, didn't make it a big part of their campaign. But | :59:53. | :59:55. | |
tonight, they have realised that they are in a strong position. Thank | :59:56. | :59:57. | |
you. A word. Quick one person who is | :59:58. | :00:11. | |
enjoying this evening more than his former colleagues is George Osborne. | :00:12. | :00:17. | |
Now editor of the Evening Standard. He said today the worst thing she | :00:18. | :00:23. | |
has done is no longer running through a wheat field. We have got a | :00:24. | :00:29. | |
Dutch MEP who said Cameron gambled and lost, may gambled and lost, the | :00:30. | :00:34. | |
Tory party beginning to look like a casino. This is one of the running | :00:35. | :00:39. | |
themes of the night. We have got the front page of The Times newspaper. | :00:40. | :00:48. | |
It is pretty brutal. Theresa May's big gamble fails. That will be the | :00:49. | :00:52. | |
theme of all the headlines tomorrow. She has taken a massive gamble and | :00:53. | :00:59. | |
it has backfired. Let's go to Wales. Sian Lloyd. All of the Cardiff | :01:00. | :01:05. | |
Castles have finished and the results are in. They are all now | :01:06. | :01:11. | |
Labour MPs. Cardiff North has been regained by Labour. It is a huge | :01:12. | :01:16. | |
scalp. It was seen more as a safe Tory seat coming into this election. | :01:17. | :01:19. | |
What we have seen in Wales is that Labour have held onto their seats | :01:20. | :01:24. | |
and they have increased their majority, and they have taken seats | :01:25. | :01:28. | |
from the Conservatives. They have taken the veil of clue it, they have | :01:29. | :01:33. | |
taken Gower and Cardiff North. They have exceeded expectations that exit | :01:34. | :01:41. | |
poll. Opinion polls said the Conservatives would do very well. | :01:42. | :01:45. | |
There was still a suggestion of that in the exit poll. Labour has | :01:46. | :01:50. | |
defended well. They haven't just defended, they have made games. We | :01:51. | :01:56. | |
have been hearing from senior people who have been saying it has been | :01:57. | :02:01. | |
down to two things. The Welsh Labour brand they have campaigned -- | :02:02. | :02:05. | |
campaign so strongly on. And also Jeremy Corbyn as well. They seem to | :02:06. | :02:10. | |
be coming together. And the Conservatives in Wales already | :02:11. | :02:12. | |
saying that they perhaps should have been fighting more on a Welsh | :02:13. | :02:18. | |
Conservative brand. Those are the things we're hearing at the moment. | :02:19. | :02:24. | |
Plaid Cymru, we're not exactly sure what sort of night it grin to be | :02:25. | :02:28. | |
them. They have been relegated into third place. Labour increased their | :02:29. | :02:38. | |
majority from 229 to most 5000 in Ennis Mone. -- Ynys Mon. There is a | :02:39. | :02:47. | |
recount in Ceredigion. It is close between the Liberal Democrats and | :02:48. | :02:53. | |
Plaid Cymru. There may not be any Morra Liberal Democrats in Wales. It | :02:54. | :02:57. | |
is a recount. We now have a look at how things | :02:58. | :03:04. | |
stand. Go to New Broadcasting House. The BBC headquarters. The | :03:05. | :03:16. | |
Conservatives on 318. Labour on 267. This is a projection. The SMP on 32. | :03:17. | :03:24. | |
The Liberal Democrats on 11. The Conservatives still the largest | :03:25. | :03:26. | |
party but well short of an overall majority. I'm not quite sure how | :03:27. | :03:35. | |
many seats in but a lot of seats in. We haven't got them all up. 484 | :03:36. | :03:42. | |
seats in. Just after four o'clock in the morning let's have the news. | :03:43. | :03:45. | |
Here is rigid chakra Barty. Hello. With most 500 seats declared | :03:46. | :03:56. | |
in the general election, Labour has done far better than many expected | :03:57. | :04:00. | |
but the outcome remains uncertain. The Conservatives are on course to | :04:01. | :04:04. | |
be the biggest party but without an overall majority. Jeremy Corbyn | :04:05. | :04:07. | |
called on Theresa May to resign as your Mac. But Mrs May said the | :04:08. | :04:11. | |
country needed a period of stability. Tom Bateman has the | :04:12. | :04:21. | |
latest. She called this election early, a political gamble, the hope | :04:22. | :04:27. | |
that she would transform the Tories' fragile majority with a huge win. | :04:28. | :04:34. | |
Forecasts suggest the Conservatives may end up even worse off, without | :04:35. | :04:46. | |
even a majority. If the Conservative Party have won the most seats and | :04:47. | :04:49. | |
the most votes, it will be incumbent on us to make sure we have that | :04:50. | :04:53. | |
period of stability. That is what we will do. You can see what the Labour | :04:54. | :05:00. | |
leader makes of the results so far. A man his campaign confounded many | :05:01. | :05:04. | |
expectations, beaming smiles, with Labour on course for a far better | :05:05. | :05:13. | |
night than many thought. The Prime Minister called the election because | :05:14. | :05:18. | |
she wanted a mandate. She has got lost seats, lost votes, lost support | :05:19. | :05:22. | |
and lost confidence. I would've thought that is enough to go, | :05:23. | :05:26. | |
actually, and make way for a government that will be truly | :05:27. | :05:28. | |
representative of all of the people this country. | :05:29. | :05:35. | |
In Battersea, Labour have ousted a government minister on a swing of | :05:36. | :05:39. | |
10%. There have been Labour gains elsewhere in Stockton South and in | :05:40. | :05:45. | |
Scotland. Senior figures already appeared delighted. Theresa May's | :05:46. | :05:52. | |
authority has been undermined by this election. She is a damaged | :05:53. | :05:55. | |
Prime Minister whose reputation may never recover. Just look at the mood | :05:56. | :06:02. | |
in Hastings. Hardly beaming confidence where the Home Secretary | :06:03. | :06:06. | |
is defending her seat. I'm just quietly waiting. It is not just the | :06:07. | :06:17. | |
Tories suffering. In Sheffield, the Lib Dems former leader Nick Clegg | :06:18. | :06:23. | |
has lost his seat. The light began with a big projection. The exit poll | :06:24. | :06:27. | |
studied closely by the politician. Remember, it is still just a | :06:28. | :06:32. | |
forecast. It had the Conservatives as the largest party but short of an | :06:33. | :06:36. | |
overall majority. The Tories would have three and 14 seats, down 17 on | :06:37. | :06:43. | |
two years ago. It puts Labour on 266, up 34. The SNP would get 34 and | :06:44. | :06:51. | |
the Lib Dems 14. It was right to go to the country and ask them the | :06:52. | :06:54. | |
question about what their views work, what people's views were about | :06:55. | :06:59. | |
the direction they want for the future. There is encouraging news | :07:00. | :07:02. | |
for the Conservatives in Scotland. They have taken the seat of SNP | :07:03. | :07:11. | |
Westminster leader Angus Robertson. Democracy has been on full show. | :07:12. | :07:16. | |
Ministers under threat, senior SNP figures gone, the Ukip vote | :07:17. | :07:20. | |
collapsing in many places. Theresa May has left her constituency count. | :07:21. | :07:24. | |
The election campaign has been an unpredictable journey for her. | :07:25. | :07:29. | |
Already some Labour opponents saying tonight it should mean the end of | :07:30. | :07:32. | |
the road for her premiership. But remember, there is still a way to go | :07:33. | :07:40. | |
and more votes to be counted. The projected result of the vote has | :07:41. | :07:43. | |
seen the pound weakened. Let's get the latest from Sharanjit Leyl. Tell | :07:44. | :07:51. | |
us more? That is right. The most immediate reaction on the markets | :07:52. | :07:56. | |
has been from the British pound. Sterling falling nearly 2% against | :07:57. | :08:01. | |
the US dollar after the exit poll suggested the Conservative Party | :08:02. | :08:04. | |
could lose its overall majority. The good news is that it continues to | :08:05. | :08:10. | |
hold around the dollar and 27 mark. It hasn't fallen any further. | :08:11. | :08:14. | |
Analysts say it is likely the pound will continue weak through the day | :08:15. | :08:19. | |
because these early results suggest no clear winner. Given the political | :08:20. | :08:23. | |
uncertainty that brings, the Brexit process could become to get it | :08:24. | :08:28. | |
further. That is an uncertainty that markets and investors don't like. | :08:29. | :08:32. | |
But having said that, most Asian markets at the moment are trading | :08:33. | :08:39. | |
higher. The Nikkei up almost 1%. The Australian and Hong Kong markets | :08:40. | :08:42. | |
fairly flat. No clear direction on how Asia is reacting. Thank you. | :08:43. | :08:46. | |
Back to David. Welcome back to the election Centre. | :08:47. | :09:06. | |
Welcome back to the house of commons, where we are now | :09:07. | :09:10. | |
forecasting 318 for the Conservatives. Short of the | :09:11. | :09:19. | |
majority. Labour on 267. There are many, many stories to be told | :09:20. | :09:21. | |
tonight about what has happened. And Emily has a list of seats that have | :09:22. | :09:27. | |
changed hands which we haven't yet caught up with. | :09:28. | :09:32. | |
Labour is having a very good night in England. Leeds North West, Labour | :09:33. | :09:37. | |
has taken from the Lib Dems. They needed a 3.4% swing to take this. | :09:38. | :09:41. | |
They have doubled it. Nearly an 8-point swing. Greg Mulholland is | :09:42. | :09:49. | |
out. Let me take you to Lincoln. This is the oldest constituency seat | :09:50. | :09:53. | |
in the entire country. Founded in 1263. It is a Labour gain from the | :09:54. | :09:58. | |
Conservatives. It has been pretty much a bellwether since the October | :09:59. | :10:05. | |
election of 1974. Karen Lee has replaced Karl McCartney. Have a look | :10:06. | :10:08. | |
at this change overnight. Labour up eight points. Ukip down ten. They | :10:09. | :10:14. | |
got doubled the swing here as well. They needed 1.5 and they have got a | :10:15. | :10:23. | |
3% swing. This is number 11 on the Labour target list. A tiny majority. | :10:24. | :10:29. | |
806. If you want to see what that looks like as a swing, nearly 5%. | :10:30. | :10:34. | |
Tony Blair won here for a Labour three times. Graham Evans is out, | :10:35. | :10:41. | |
Mike Amesbury said. Some good news for the Conservatives in Scotland. | :10:42. | :10:47. | |
Three seats they have taken from the SNP, Aberdeenshire West, Stirling | :10:48. | :10:50. | |
and Berwickshire, which borders the one they're already had before this | :10:51. | :10:54. | |
election, and you can see these tremendous swings away from the SMP | :10:55. | :10:59. | |
towards the Conservatives. 14%, 11% and 11%. Everything has been up in | :11:00. | :11:07. | |
the years since 2015. Some of those humongous swings of 13, 14%. One | :11:08. | :11:17. | |
more. I will end with this. Edinburgh West has been gained by | :11:18. | :11:22. | |
the Lib Dems. They are having a mixed night. A better night in | :11:23. | :11:25. | |
Scotland. The Lib Dems taking this from the SNP. A swing 5.8%. On the | :11:26. | :11:34. | |
back of these results what he can say is the one Tory having an | :11:35. | :11:39. | |
excellent night is Davidson. We joined now by Jacob Rees Mogg. Ie | :11:40. | :11:47. | |
When Somerset or Bristol? Are you in Taunton? I'm in Somerset. In Bath | :11:48. | :12:00. | |
Bath University. You held your seat? I have, yes. Tell us about your view | :12:01. | :12:06. | |
of what has happened? Was the Prime Minister guilty of hubris by running | :12:07. | :12:10. | |
for this election when she said she wasn't going to? Is the result a | :12:11. | :12:17. | |
disaster for the Conservative Party? No, neither of those things is true. | :12:18. | :12:24. | |
And election was going to be inevitable after the Brexit result | :12:25. | :12:29. | |
and of having a new Prime Minister. The new Prime Minister required a | :12:30. | :12:33. | |
mandate. It was merely a question of time. As for the Conservative Party, | :12:34. | :12:36. | |
we seem to be starting out today where we finished before the last | :12:37. | :12:40. | |
parliament was dissolved. There isn't much change but there is some | :12:41. | :12:44. | |
rotation. I think that will probably mean we continue to form the | :12:45. | :12:48. | |
government. It is not a disaster but it is not as good as it could have | :12:49. | :12:54. | |
been. It is quite strange to say you are where you were before this | :12:55. | :12:57. | |
election when you did have a majority of 17 before the election. | :12:58. | :13:01. | |
You know don't have a majority, it seems. Well, we haven't had all the | :13:02. | :13:08. | |
seats in yet. It is not an enormous change. It is within the margin of | :13:09. | :13:14. | |
error. She said she wanted to guarantee certainty and stability | :13:15. | :13:18. | |
for the years ahead. Does this guarantee certainty and stability | :13:19. | :13:20. | |
for more than a couple of months, perhaps? The British people are | :13:21. | :13:26. | |
decided on the parliament they want and that is their right to do so. To | :13:27. | :13:29. | |
be governed according to their democratic world. The certainty and | :13:30. | :13:41. | |
security of the BBC reporting of the election. I congratulate you on your | :13:42. | :13:46. | |
tenth successive election night. You may have an 11th in October. Time | :13:47. | :13:50. | |
will tell. Leaving that aside for the moment, what do you think the | :13:51. | :13:55. | |
Prime Minister should do about the Brexit negotiations due to start in | :13:56. | :14:02. | |
11 days? Can it be pursued as nothing has happened? The Prime | :14:03. | :14:07. | |
Minister is the Prime Minister and will pursue these negotiations. The | :14:08. | :14:10. | |
very straightforward fact is that we leave the European Union at the end | :14:11. | :14:15. | |
of 2019 and negotiations are a prelude to that. Whether we have had | :14:16. | :14:24. | |
any negotiations are not, we leave in 2019. That is part of our law and | :14:25. | :14:29. | |
the European treaties. Willoughby opposition in the Parliamentary | :14:30. | :14:34. | |
party? You are a loyal supporter of the Prime Minister. But there will | :14:35. | :14:37. | |
be people in the Conservative Party will feel this is a terrible error | :14:38. | :14:41. | |
to have the election and it has done the party terrible damage, and she | :14:42. | :14:46. | |
should take the blame because it was her decision, walking on the hills | :14:47. | :14:49. | |
of Wales, that lead you where you are tonight? But I think the thing | :14:50. | :14:55. | |
to remember is that George Osborne is no longer a member of the | :14:56. | :14:58. | |
parliamentary party. He stood down. And although he may throw rocks from | :14:59. | :15:03. | |
the Evening Standard, he is not in the House of Commons to cause | :15:04. | :15:06. | |
trouble there. Why'd you mention George Osborne in particular? There | :15:07. | :15:11. | |
are many others in the Tory party. I think you know what I am talking | :15:12. | :15:12. | |
about. I am smiling because you have | :15:13. | :15:22. | |
already reported his comments. Mrs May will have a good deal of | :15:23. | :15:26. | |
support. She has only been the leader for under a year. She got in | :15:27. | :15:32. | |
on contested. I don't think the Conservative Party is so fickle that | :15:33. | :15:36. | |
it would not continue to back the Prime Minister. There appears to be | :15:37. | :15:42. | |
somebody dismantling the set behind you and I don't want you to suffer | :15:43. | :15:45. | |
the humiliation of being alone in the open air in some godforsaken | :15:46. | :15:56. | |
part of Bath! I think the day the Lord gave us is ended. Thank you for | :15:57. | :16:07. | |
joining us. Despite Jacob Rees Mogg's avowed loyalty to the Prime | :16:08. | :16:10. | |
Minister, there is a conversation going on among the Conservatives. | :16:11. | :16:16. | |
One former minister has said to me they find it hard to see how she can | :16:17. | :16:23. | |
stay after this result. Even for a week? Tomorrow will potentially be a | :16:24. | :16:27. | |
very eventful day. It will depend on the final numbers. Does it look like | :16:28. | :16:34. | |
with Northern Irish votes, she can comfortably be in government? We are | :16:35. | :16:38. | |
still in this situation where it feels very fragile. They used to be | :16:39. | :16:46. | |
an old rule in the Conservative Party that senior members would come | :16:47. | :16:53. | |
along and say to you in Number Ten, I'm sorry, your time is up, as they | :16:54. | :16:57. | |
did to Margaret Thatcher. Do you think they might say that to her | :16:58. | :17:02. | |
tomorrow? It is too early to say, but there are conversations among | :17:03. | :17:05. | |
the Tory party going on at 4am over what to do tomorrow. It is not a | :17:06. | :17:11. | |
question of everyone telling Theresa May, bad luck, you made a gamble and | :17:12. | :17:17. | |
it didn't go as you expected but we will stand behind you. It is going | :17:18. | :17:22. | |
to be more complicated. As a minimum, we are going to see demands | :17:23. | :17:25. | |
saying that she must widen her circle. She must move away from this | :17:26. | :17:31. | |
iron grip she has held within a tiny circle of trust. People may be | :17:32. | :17:36. | |
calling for her to go. One minister is urging everybody to have a good | :17:37. | :17:40. | |
night's sleep and a solution will be found that will not involve having | :17:41. | :17:46. | |
another election. The Tories are pragmatists. It is not a good moment | :17:47. | :17:50. | |
to change leader with the Brexit negotiations about to start. But we | :17:51. | :17:55. | |
saw a very shaky Theresa May imply heavily that she will try to put a | :17:56. | :18:00. | |
government together, but there are going to be real strains inside the | :18:01. | :18:04. | |
Tory party that are already emerging in conversations tonight about | :18:05. | :18:08. | |
whether they should take a different course of action. I am not saying | :18:09. | :18:12. | |
she's going to be out in the morning, but it is not going to be a | :18:13. | :18:16. | |
straightforward as Jacob Rees Mogg cheerily saying, of course we will | :18:17. | :18:20. | |
line up behind the Prime Minister. We have pictures of Jeremy Corbyn | :18:21. | :18:23. | |
arriving back home. He is the beneficiary of all this. And we have | :18:24. | :18:33. | |
a declaration coming from Alex Salmond's constituency. I was going | :18:34. | :18:39. | |
to ask you about Nick Timothy as well. There goes Mr Corbyn into his | :18:40. | :18:52. | |
house. He was the result -- here is the result from Gordon. David Evans, | :18:53. | :19:01. | |
Scottish Liberal Democrats, 6230. Scottish Labour Party, 6340. Alex | :19:02. | :19:18. | |
Salmond, Scottish National Party, SNP, 19353. | :19:19. | :19:34. | |
55 ballot papers were rejected. Total votes, 53740. Colin James | :19:35. | :19:46. | |
Clark is duly elected to serve in the UK Parliament. So the | :19:47. | :19:51. | |
Conservatives take Gordon and Alex Salmond, former leader of the SNP, | :19:52. | :19:54. | |
loses his seat in the House of Commons. We heard from him a moment | :19:55. | :20:00. | |
ago and here is the victorious Conservative candidate. Thank you to | :20:01. | :20:07. | |
Jim savage in Aberdeenshire Council for tonight's count. When did Alex | :20:08. | :20:15. | |
Salmond go into the House of Commons? I think in 1987 or 1992. He | :20:16. | :20:26. | |
was leading until the referendum on independence. The Conservatives came | :20:27. | :20:33. | |
not just from third place, but a distant third place a few years ago, | :20:34. | :20:39. | |
11.7%. Under the old rules, they would have lost their deposits two | :20:40. | :20:42. | |
years ago and now they have won deceit. It is remarkable. Those of | :20:43. | :20:48. | |
us who watch Scottish politics closely have known from local | :20:49. | :20:54. | |
election results in May that indeed, the SNP's vote was pivoting in | :20:55. | :20:58. | |
Scotland away from the north-east, an area of traditional strength for | :20:59. | :21:02. | |
the SNP, towards west central Scotland, towards Glasgow, towards | :21:03. | :21:06. | |
the places where the independence vote was highest. And conversely, | :21:07. | :21:10. | |
the advancing Conservative support which has been evident in Scotland | :21:11. | :21:13. | |
for the last 12 months was also strong in the north-east. An | :21:14. | :21:19. | |
interesting thing about the north-east is that despite the high | :21:20. | :21:24. | |
SNP vote their traditionally, it was not an area that voted in favour of | :21:25. | :21:32. | |
yes in 2014. And Murray in particular, which Angus Robertson | :21:33. | :21:37. | |
lost, was the constituency which almost voted for Brexit. Let's leave | :21:38. | :21:42. | |
Scotland and look at the UK as a whole. Are we heading for a hung | :21:43. | :21:48. | |
parliament? I think in truth now, the chances of the Conservatives | :21:49. | :21:52. | |
having an overall majority are no more than that. It is beginning to | :21:53. | :21:56. | |
look highly likely that the Conservatives will not have 326 | :21:57. | :22:01. | |
seats. That said, given that the DUP will probably have ten seats in | :22:02. | :22:05. | |
Northern Ireland, some of the talk we have heard about putting together | :22:06. | :22:10. | |
a progressive alternative will not work. They will not have the | :22:11. | :22:14. | |
numbers. Nobody is going to be happy with the result. We have a | :22:15. | :22:20. | |
declaration from Holburn and St Pancras, and also from Plymouth. | :22:21. | :22:24. | |
Keir Starmer was re-elected, by the way. Here is Plymouth. Oliver Newton | :22:25. | :22:35. | |
Colville, the Conservative Party candidate, 17,000 806. Richard | :22:36. | :22:40. | |
Michael Ellison, UK Independence Party, 1148. Luke Pollard, Labour | :22:41. | :23:01. | |
and co-operative party, 23808. The Green Party, 540. The number of | :23:02. | :23:12. | |
rejected ballot papers was 83. So Labour oust the Conservatives from | :23:13. | :23:23. | |
Plymouth at, a seat famously in the past that David Owen had it. Alan | :23:24. | :23:26. | |
Clark for the Conservatives had it. Now it is back in Labour's hands. He | :23:27. | :23:35. | |
was a candidate therein 2015 and the Conservatives took it in 2010. We | :23:36. | :23:44. | |
can now join Ruth Davidson, I hope, the leader of the Scottish | :23:45. | :23:47. | |
Conservative Party. You are looking extremely cheerful, and no surprise | :23:48. | :23:55. | |
in view of the results you have had. Let's deal with Scotland. What do | :23:56. | :24:02. | |
you make of the inroads there? This is a historic night for the Scottish | :24:03. | :24:05. | |
Conservatives. We haven't taken multiple seats here for more than 20 | :24:06. | :24:09. | |
years. The first election I could vote in was in 1997, when I was in | :24:10. | :24:14. | |
the first year at university and I had to watch the results in the | :24:15. | :24:19. | |
student union as I didn't own a telly. I had to watch every | :24:20. | :24:26. | |
Conservative seat in Scotland for, surrounded by 200 Labour people | :24:27. | :24:29. | |
bellowing about the results. So I have waited a long time for us to | :24:30. | :24:32. | |
come back and I am proud of my team. We have fought so hard from the | :24:33. | :24:38. | |
Highlands and back again. There is a lot of noise behind you, but I hope | :24:39. | :24:44. | |
you can hear me. Is the problem for the Conservative Party in the UK as | :24:45. | :24:48. | |
a whole that Theresa May doesn't have the lustre that attaches itself | :24:49. | :24:56. | |
to you in Scotland? Well, I know it is getting late, David, but I didn't | :24:57. | :25:00. | |
expect such competent! I think we can leave my lustre somewhere else | :25:01. | :25:06. | |
if that is all right. We had a clear message in this campaign, which was | :25:07. | :25:08. | |
about the big issue in Scotland right now, which was the issue of | :25:09. | :25:12. | |
Nicola Sturgeon trying to ram through a second independence | :25:13. | :25:17. | |
referendum in March. Theresa May was right to tell her, not now. And the | :25:18. | :25:23. | |
people of Scotland were able to give their verdict on that. You have seen | :25:24. | :25:26. | |
the number of SNP seats that have fallen. Indyref two is dead in | :25:27. | :25:32. | |
Scotland. I don't know what you think I was referring to. I was | :25:33. | :25:37. | |
referring to political lustre! You may have had a different | :25:38. | :25:40. | |
interpretation. Looking at what has happened to the Tory party, | :25:41. | :25:44. | |
something was clearly wrong about the decision to call an election, | :25:45. | :25:52. | |
wasn't it? Well, we still have hundreds of results to come in, many | :25:53. | :25:55. | |
of them in rural constituencies, where we know there is a high | :25:56. | :26:00. | |
Conservative vote. So it is a bit premature before we see the whole | :26:01. | :26:04. | |
picture. I could hear Professor Curtice and even his poll didn't | :26:05. | :26:08. | |
look at what the Scottish Conservatives were going to do. But | :26:09. | :26:17. | |
it does look as if we have scored in the mid-40s, possibly even higher | :26:18. | :26:21. | |
than Tony Blair's landslide election in terms of share of the vote. So | :26:22. | :26:25. | |
there is a lot of information to unpack from tonight and I am not | :26:26. | :26:29. | |
sure that this time in the morning is the time to do it. Would you like | :26:30. | :26:36. | |
to leave the Conservative Party? Dashed when would you like to lead | :26:37. | :26:42. | |
this Conservative Party? I already live the Scottish Conservative | :26:43. | :26:46. | |
Party. I know, but I am asking if you would like to lead the | :26:47. | :26:50. | |
Conservative Party in the UK. If I wanted to be in the UK Parliament, I | :26:51. | :26:54. | |
would have stood in a UK constituency. I have a job to do | :26:55. | :26:58. | |
here. I lead the main opposition in the Scottish parliament. I have four | :26:59. | :27:03. | |
years to turn us into a credible alternative government for Scotland. | :27:04. | :27:06. | |
Last year, we stopped the SNP having a majority and we doubled our | :27:07. | :27:13. | |
results in the local government elections. We are able to make | :27:14. | :27:16. | |
significant gains and we will be challenging Nicola Sturgeon for the | :27:17. | :27:19. | |
government of Scotland in four years' time. But can I tempt you one | :27:20. | :27:25. | |
more time not to become the leader of the Tory party in the UK as a | :27:26. | :27:28. | |
whole, but to look at the problem the Tory party faces at Westminster | :27:29. | :27:32. | |
and how you think that will work out? There is going to be a wedge of | :27:33. | :27:38. | |
SNP MPs there, 33 at the current rate. It sounds as if there is going | :27:39. | :27:45. | |
to be a hung parliament. Do you think this spells danger for the | :27:46. | :27:52. | |
Tory party as a whole? And that might reflect on the Tory party in | :27:53. | :27:58. | |
Scotland in the end. I don't think the Labour Party can rely on the | :27:59. | :28:02. | |
SNP. Their history shows that they can't. The SNP helped bring down the | :28:03. | :28:06. | |
Labour government, which allowed Margaret Thatcher to become Prime | :28:07. | :28:11. | |
Minister. So there is lots to be unpacked from this evening. But we | :28:12. | :28:15. | |
have learned from Scotland that referendums shake up the snow globe | :28:16. | :28:19. | |
of party politics. We have seen it with the Scottish referendum. The | :28:20. | :28:23. | |
rest of the UK has seen it with having an election after a Brexit | :28:24. | :28:27. | |
referendum. Sometimes, it takes time for the flex to fall. So let's take | :28:28. | :28:34. | |
a bit of time to see where we are as a country. We still have hundreds of | :28:35. | :28:38. | |
seats to be declared. The time for analysis is later. Ruth Davidson, | :28:39. | :28:45. | |
thank you. We actually have 100 seats to be declared. From our | :28:46. | :28:54. | |
helicopter, we see pictures of Theresa May coming to the | :28:55. | :29:00. | |
Conservative Party headquarters. She would have been expecting to be | :29:01. | :29:03. | |
cheered on by staff lined up on the steps to greet her, even if the | :29:04. | :29:10. | |
majority was 40 or 50. We should use a drone for these shots, not a | :29:11. | :29:14. | |
helicopter. It is very out of date to use a helicopter. She is going | :29:15. | :29:20. | |
into Conservative Party headquarters in Smith Square, near the House of | :29:21. | :29:29. | |
Commons. It is slightly around the corner. They moved out of Smith | :29:30. | :29:34. | |
Square with the old symbolic building and the famous pictures of | :29:35. | :29:36. | |
Margaret Thatcher hang out of the window. But the contrast to the Tory | :29:37. | :29:47. | |
expectations... She will have had gone there to watch the results come | :29:48. | :29:54. | |
in. But why did she not go back to Downing Street? There is a question. | :29:55. | :29:59. | |
Traditionally, the leaders would watch in the party headquarters, in | :30:00. | :30:02. | |
anticipation of their glorious walk back to triumph up Downing Street in | :30:03. | :30:08. | |
the morning, by which point people like me are waiting for them. | :30:09. | :30:22. | |
Margaret Thatcher and John Major went back to Conservative Party | :30:23. | :30:30. | |
headquarters. She is right. Jeremy Vine, let's have a look at the | :30:31. | :30:35. | |
popular vote. Why don't we take a look at the projected national | :30:36. | :30:40. | |
share? It is always a big moment. We try to give you where we think the | :30:41. | :30:47. | |
percentages will be. 550 seats in. We are flashing the gains. Maybe | :30:48. | :30:54. | |
less dramatic than it looks when we go through them one at a time. A lot | :30:55. | :30:59. | |
of seats stay the way they are. But a seat like Canterbury going to | :31:00. | :31:04. | |
Labour with a 10,000 majority previously, that is extraordinary. | :31:05. | :31:08. | |
Stroud as well. Some red flashing in England. A lot of gains for the | :31:09. | :31:15. | |
Liberal Democrats, Labour and the Conservatives, which changes the | :31:16. | :31:23. | |
terrain. That is how the map looks. Let's turn to the percentages. This | :31:24. | :31:28. | |
is how we think the night will enter up. We have enough results now to | :31:29. | :31:32. | |
give you these. The Conservatives on 43%. Labour on 40%. The Liberal | :31:33. | :31:42. | |
Democrats on 8%. Ukip on just 2%. And the Green Party on 2%. The | :31:43. | :31:47. | |
interesting thing about this election outside Scotland is the way | :31:48. | :31:50. | |
that so many votes are just aggregated around the two main | :31:51. | :31:54. | |
parties. With this Labour 40%, even though they have lost the election, | :31:55. | :31:59. | |
that is higher than one of the percentages Tony Blair got when he | :32:00. | :32:03. | |
won and election. A remarkable figure. 43 for the Conservatives. | :32:04. | :32:11. | |
Let's look at the change from last time. The Conservatives are up six. | :32:12. | :32:17. | |
They have had a reverse in many senses but they are up six. Labour's | :32:18. | :32:24. | |
increase is more dramatic. Up 10% on 2015. The explanation is here. The | :32:25. | :32:32. | |
crash in the Ukip vote. It is so dramatically down. It has released a | :32:33. | :32:37. | |
lot of voters into the system. A lot of assumptions had been they would | :32:38. | :32:41. | |
go straight to the blue party but quite a few of them have gone to | :32:42. | :32:46. | |
Labour. The Lib Dems not relieve benefiting. They are just up 1% on | :32:47. | :32:51. | |
what was a terrible election result for them last time. Their vote seems | :32:52. | :32:57. | |
to be focused this election. There we go. Labour have made a tremendous | :32:58. | :33:01. | |
advance in this election. The Conservatives remain the winners. To | :33:02. | :33:05. | |
see the second placed party getting 40% is really remarkable. Thank you. | :33:06. | :33:15. | |
Yes. Let's go to Broxtowe and join Anna Soubry. Good morning. Here we | :33:16. | :33:21. | |
are, down the other end of the lens. You scraped in in Broxtowe. | :33:22. | :33:26. | |
Congratulations. You are under a thousand majority. Remember the | :33:27. | :33:36. | |
first time I got elected here the majority was 389. In my terms, the | :33:37. | :33:42. | |
majority of 800 isn't bad. You always lived dangerously, we know | :33:43. | :33:47. | |
that. I should have got much more. That is the whole point. What do you | :33:48. | :33:52. | |
make of the decision to call this election and its consequence? There | :33:53. | :33:57. | |
was a of merit in calling it. Theresa May wanted her own mandate. | :33:58. | :34:03. | |
One year in with somebody else's manifesto, I think that completely | :34:04. | :34:08. | |
made sense. You know my views about strengthening the Brexit hand. I'm | :34:09. | :34:15. | |
afraid we ran a pretty dreadful campaign. That is probably me being | :34:16. | :34:19. | |
generous. I can't explain exactly what has happened. As Jeremy has | :34:20. | :34:25. | |
just identified, you have seen these incredible shares. In Broxtowe I put | :34:26. | :34:29. | |
on more votes but Labour put on more votes as well. We are not quite sure | :34:30. | :34:35. | |
where they came from. But we have won in Mansfield, an astonishing | :34:36. | :34:40. | |
result. We failed to win deadly, Nottingham South and there is a | :34:41. | :34:46. | |
recount in Nashville. The Labour MP had a majority of more than 7000. | :34:47. | :34:51. | |
That is astonishing. A lot of it depends on the candidate and the | :34:52. | :34:55. | |
campaign. And it depends on being a good sensible, moderate | :34:56. | :34:59. | |
Conservative. You said you were being generous when you called it a | :35:00. | :35:03. | |
dreadful campaign. In what sense was a dreadful campaign? Where'd you | :35:04. | :35:10. | |
want me to begin? Anywhere you like. It was a dreadful campaign. Lots of | :35:11. | :35:19. | |
parts of the manifesto are extremely good. If you're going to look at | :35:20. | :35:23. | |
social care, you have to put that policy in, in a way that explains | :35:24. | :35:30. | |
this is a good thing that you are going to do. When you talk about the | :35:31. | :35:33. | |
changes you are going to make in school lunches, you start with the | :35:34. | :35:37. | |
headline that says children from poorer families will now get two | :35:38. | :35:42. | |
free meals a day. You don't start from the basis that some children | :35:43. | :35:46. | |
will lose a free school mill. All the way along, those sorts of | :35:47. | :35:50. | |
messages were appalling. And then the change of heart on social care, | :35:51. | :35:56. | |
I'm afraid, deeply flawed Theresa May. They did not make her look a | :35:57. | :36:00. | |
strong and stable Prime Minister and leaders she said she was. That was a | :36:01. | :36:06. | |
very difficult and serious blow in terms of her own credibility. And | :36:07. | :36:10. | |
the way the campaign was being run, which was about her and what she | :36:11. | :36:14. | |
wanted to do. She put her mark absolutely on this campaign. Can she | :36:15. | :36:23. | |
remain Prime Minister? That is a matter for her, David. That sounds | :36:24. | :36:34. | |
like a no. It is bad. It is a matter for her. I think she is in a very | :36:35. | :36:42. | |
difficult place. She is remarkable. She is a very talented woman. And | :36:43. | :36:47. | |
she doesn't shy from difficult decisions. She has to consider her | :36:48. | :36:51. | |
position. We haven't had all the results. We need to see where we | :36:52. | :36:56. | |
are. Teresa did put her mark on the campaign. She takes responsibility | :36:57. | :37:00. | |
for the running of the campaign as well. It was a tightly knit group | :37:01. | :37:04. | |
and it was her group that when the campaign. Do you have any idea of | :37:05. | :37:11. | |
who might take over as leader of the Conservative Party? Who would you | :37:12. | :37:18. | |
like to see lead? You raised the issue. I am not going to get into | :37:19. | :37:26. | |
that. I didn't, actually. You asked me if she could stay on and I said | :37:27. | :37:30. | |
she needs to consider her position. I won't go further than that. | :37:31. | :37:35. | |
Considering your position means you go, doesn't it? It is a dreadful | :37:36. | :37:40. | |
night. I have lost some proper, sound, moderate of Conservatives -- | :37:41. | :37:48. | |
moderate. One nation Conservatives. We never thought at the beginning of | :37:49. | :37:51. | |
this day that we would be in a position where we are actually | :37:52. | :37:56. | |
losing seat and seat which we have held with excellent MPs over some | :37:57. | :38:00. | |
considerable time. This is a very bad moment for the Conservative | :38:01. | :38:04. | |
Party. And we need to take stock. Our leader needs to take stock as | :38:05. | :38:10. | |
well. You have always been an opponent of Brexit and a believer in | :38:11. | :38:14. | |
remaining in the EU. What happens to Brexit now? The announcement that we | :38:15. | :38:20. | |
are leaving the EU has been made. Do you expect everything to change now? | :38:21. | :38:25. | |
A departure more in the style that you might be able to accept, to | :38:26. | :38:31. | |
succeed from the hard Brexit? Luck, I have accepted the result. One of | :38:32. | :38:38. | |
the things that was released writing in the campaign in Broxtowe was that | :38:39. | :38:42. | |
most people, very few people, had not accepted the result. Most people | :38:43. | :38:47. | |
like me had accepted the result. A lot of people want are the result. | :38:48. | :38:51. | |
But there was no desire to go back for a second referendum, no desire | :38:52. | :38:56. | |
to go back on the result of almost a year ago. What people do want is | :38:57. | :39:00. | |
they want a good deal and they want somebody who is good to get that | :39:01. | :39:10. | |
good deal. We are in a very difficult position. You know my | :39:11. | :39:12. | |
views. I put in my own literature that I believe in the single market | :39:13. | :39:15. | |
and will make the case for the single market and will make the | :39:16. | :39:18. | |
positive case for the benefits of immigration to this country, and I'm | :39:19. | :39:20. | |
proud to have been elected on that manifesto in Broxtowe. | :39:21. | :39:23. | |
Anna Soubry, thank you. Some results... | :39:24. | :39:30. | |
I will start with Halifax, the place were Theresa May lobster manifesto. | :39:31. | :39:35. | |
It should have been an easy game for the Conservatives. They only needed | :39:36. | :39:39. | |
a 0.5% swing. It was number five on their target list. Labour has taken | :39:40. | :39:47. | |
it with the majority of more than 5000. They have done astonishingly | :39:48. | :39:56. | |
well. This is a part of the country were the Conservatives focused their | :39:57. | :40:00. | |
energy. They were taken on a 5.1% swing. That was just a hold. You can | :40:01. | :40:05. | |
see what happens in a place where they have done better. Colne Valley, | :40:06. | :40:11. | |
a similar part of the world. We thought it was safe Conservative. It | :40:12. | :40:14. | |
used to be a 3-way marginal. Possibly the loss that make the drop | :40:15. | :40:19. | |
in the Lib Dem vote has helped Labour. Thelma Walker is the new MP. | :40:20. | :40:26. | |
She has gained 13% more share of the vote. And this swing here is 5.5%, | :40:27. | :40:34. | |
giving her a majority in this new seat for Labour. One more which | :40:35. | :40:41. | |
again suggests what we were saying about Ruth Davidson in Scotland, who | :40:42. | :40:45. | |
is emerging as the real bright spark of the Conservatives tonight. 48% to | :40:46. | :40:56. | |
39%, Conservative gain in the Cedar Banff and Buchan. Alex Salmond held | :40:57. | :41:00. | |
this EP Fourie became leader and went on to hold the seat of Gordon. | :41:01. | :41:13. | |
We have seen all the drama of the swing in the Tory gains. This is the | :41:14. | :41:19. | |
biggest one we have seen tonight. 20% from the SNP to the | :41:20. | :41:23. | |
Conservatives. You can see why Nicola Sturgeon were starting to | :41:24. | :41:27. | |
sound less sure about the position of independence for Scotland. We | :41:28. | :41:34. | |
have a result coming in. Laura, you want to say something. Iain Duncan | :41:35. | :41:37. | |
Smith is waiting with Michelle Hossain. After that very clear call | :41:38. | :41:44. | |
from the former minister, Anna Soubry, ... Let's interrupt you. | :41:45. | :41:52. | |
This is held by Simon Kirby, the Conservatives. | :41:53. | :41:58. | |
Doktor Haze, independent, 212. Simon Kirby, Conservative Party, 18,000 -- | :41:59. | :42:08. | |
18 835. Lloyd Russell-Moyle, Labour party, 28,000 703. Emily Louise | :42:09. | :42:20. | |
tester, Liberal Democrat, 1457. A pretty sensational victory for | :42:21. | :42:25. | |
Labour in Brighton Kemptown. Simon Kirby defeated by something like a | :42:26. | :42:32. | |
majority of nearly 10,000. That is another minister gone. We have seen | :42:33. | :42:35. | |
ministers go to night. I was just saying before we went to the result, | :42:36. | :42:40. | |
there is clearly turmoil inside the Tory ranks. We heard Anna Soubry | :42:41. | :42:45. | |
essentially calling Theresa May to go. Consider your position. That is | :42:46. | :42:50. | |
cold for summary should leave. Another Tory source has just told me | :42:51. | :42:54. | |
that Theresa May is 50-50 to go tomorrow. One source, I stress, but | :42:55. | :43:01. | |
a good source. Another minister has just messaged me saying, as William | :43:02. | :43:07. | |
Hague said, the Tory party is absolute monarchy registered by | :43:08. | :43:14. | |
regicide. That is the territory we are now in. They are ruthless. The | :43:15. | :43:19. | |
thing with Theresa May is, if somebody looks like a loser, it even | :43:20. | :43:23. | |
though she is on course to be the biggest party, the Tories are | :43:24. | :43:27. | |
ruthless if a leader looks like they can't deliver. There is clearly a | :43:28. | :43:32. | |
lot of turmoil. I will not make any firm predictions about what she may | :43:33. | :43:37. | |
do. She is meeting with her advisers right now. Michelle Hossain is | :43:38. | :43:43. | |
upstairs. Iain Duncan Smith this year. As is a | :43:44. | :43:51. | |
former Labour Party adviser. Should you consider her position? It would | :43:52. | :43:56. | |
be a grave error to suddenly going into the turmoil after the result. | :43:57. | :44:01. | |
We need some stability right now. We have to figure out what the final | :44:02. | :44:08. | |
result is and then, can we lead a government, that is the critical | :44:09. | :44:13. | |
question to ask. These things have to be decided. You can't say you are | :44:14. | :44:16. | |
going to have a leadership election. That would plunge everything into | :44:17. | :44:22. | |
turmoil. Are you saying she should have a period of time and then she | :44:23. | :44:26. | |
could step down? No. I am saying that we need to make that might find | :44:27. | :44:32. | |
it for the result is. Whether it is feasible to put the government | :44:33. | :44:35. | |
together. We don't know that yet. We don't know the final result. If that | :44:36. | :44:43. | |
is feasible, then that changes the complexion of what we are dealing | :44:44. | :44:47. | |
with. And then the party has to meet, they have to talk to her and | :44:48. | :44:51. | |
decide whether this is what she wants to do. And if she does, | :44:52. | :44:55. | |
frankly, we need that stability. I am not in favour of launching these | :44:56. | :45:00. | |
kind of off the cuff vendettas. I think the truth is we need to stay | :45:01. | :45:06. | |
calm and stable. It can't be business as usual, can it? People | :45:07. | :45:11. | |
must be annoyed you have ended up in this position. It is clearly not | :45:12. | :45:16. | |
going to be business as usual. The irony is this result is full of | :45:17. | :45:20. | |
peculiar things. Poll rating has gone up but we have got the worst | :45:21. | :45:24. | |
result. People like me have had higher vote shares but a smaller | :45:25. | :45:28. | |
majority. We have lost colleagues around the country. Of course there | :45:29. | :45:34. | |
is turmoil. But the key point here is the next 24-hour is we need | :45:35. | :45:38. | |
stability. But we don't want is any kind of rush to say change, leave, | :45:39. | :45:44. | |
let's see with the results are and whether we can form the Gutman. | :45:45. | :45:49. | |
Ayesha Hazarika, in 2015 the Labour vote share was 30%. Jeremy Corbyn | :45:50. | :45:58. | |
has achieved over 40%. It has been an extraordinary night for Labour. I | :45:59. | :46:02. | |
think there were Labour MPs up and down the country wondering if they | :46:03. | :46:07. | |
would survive the night. Jeremy Corbyn ran the opposite of the | :46:08. | :46:11. | |
Theresa May campaign. It was open and full of hope and popular, and he | :46:12. | :46:16. | |
was visible. It is incredible that we are in this situation. Theresa | :46:17. | :46:21. | |
May called this election and was 20 points ahead in the polls. She | :46:22. | :46:26. | |
called it on leadership and now we are having conversations about | :46:27. | :46:29. | |
whether she will still be around in the morning. In February, you said | :46:30. | :46:32. | |
the only way Jeremy Corbyn could save the Labour Party was by | :46:33. | :46:37. | |
stepping down. I completely got it wrong, along with a lot of people. | :46:38. | :46:44. | |
But what he has done brilliantly is for people hope. This country has | :46:45. | :46:48. | |
been sick of seven years of austerity rule, and they wanted a | :46:49. | :46:52. | |
change. They wanted somebody to offer them hope. Credit where credit | :46:53. | :46:59. | |
is due, I hold my hands up and say I was one of the people who got it | :47:00. | :47:05. | |
wrong. The Labour manifesto as well, particularly in contrasts of the | :47:06. | :47:07. | |
Tory manifesto, which didn't offer anything and was a shambolic U-turn | :47:08. | :47:15. | |
on the dementia tax. Was it a dreadful campaign? It clearly wasn't | :47:16. | :47:20. | |
the greatest campaign, or we would be in a different position now. The | :47:21. | :47:24. | |
key element is that there will be time for my party to have a look | :47:25. | :47:27. | |
through what didn't go right and what went wrong. Theresa May, having | :47:28. | :47:37. | |
gone into the election, found her position diminished. Right now, all | :47:38. | :47:47. | |
my colleagues need to just take a deep breath and not go on the media. | :47:48. | :47:52. | |
They need to keep quiet until we have figured out where we are. The | :47:53. | :47:57. | |
oldest rule in the book is, no way your starting point is. I want | :47:58. | :48:04. | |
Theresa May to stay for that reason. Do you fear that Brexit may not be | :48:05. | :48:09. | |
delivered, or not the sort of Brexit you would like? I just want Brexit. | :48:10. | :48:13. | |
We will see what that means. The Labour Party has already said they | :48:14. | :48:20. | |
were signed up to Brexit. The Labour Party position has been good on | :48:21. | :48:24. | |
Brexit, but it is extraordinary to think that she started this whole | :48:25. | :48:28. | |
campaign saying "My leadership will be strong and stable", and she is | :48:29. | :48:31. | |
the one now facing leadership challenges. She has had a stinker of | :48:32. | :48:39. | |
a campaign. It happens. Nothing is perfect, but I do want stability and | :48:40. | :48:46. | |
I want her to stay. You want something strong and stable. I will | :48:47. | :48:51. | |
just settle for stability right now. She remains Prime Minister and the | :48:52. | :48:57. | |
country has to come first. For anyone watching, if you are Prime | :48:58. | :49:03. | |
Minister, stay put and then we can figure out what our position is. | :49:04. | :49:09. | |
Iain Duncan Smith and Ayesha Hazarika, thank you. | :49:10. | :49:11. | |
We are joined now from stricken by Chuka Umunna, one of those who were | :49:12. | :49:15. | |
rather critical of the leadership of Jeremy Corbyn and indeed voted him | :49:16. | :49:22. | |
out. Congratulations on your victory, first of all. Your vote | :49:23. | :49:28. | |
went up by 12,000 or something. But let's cut to the chase. What do you | :49:29. | :49:33. | |
make of what has happened? You and many others misjudged Jeremy Corbyn, | :49:34. | :49:42. | |
didn't you? First of all, the Prime Minister held this election for | :49:43. | :49:46. | |
naked party political reasons. It was opportunism writ large, and she | :49:47. | :49:51. | |
wanted a personal mandate to pursue an extremely job destroying Brexit. | :49:52. | :49:56. | |
And she has been denied that. I am delighted about that. Let's be frank | :49:57. | :50:00. | |
about the reason she has been denied that. It isn't just that she ran a | :50:01. | :50:05. | |
terrible campaign and clearly is not up to campaigning by being with | :50:06. | :50:12. | |
people and talking to them about the issues, whereas Jeremy is absolutely | :50:13. | :50:18. | |
at home campaigning, talking to people, getting involved in the | :50:19. | :50:22. | |
debate. But the reason why many people will have changed their | :50:23. | :50:29. | |
minds, the reason I voted no confidence last year was that I was | :50:30. | :50:33. | |
angry because I felt we could have done more to ensure that we got a | :50:34. | :50:38. | |
Remain vote in that referendum. But the effect of Jeremy running this | :50:39. | :50:43. | |
kind of campaign, positive, optimistic, dynamic, engaging young | :50:44. | :50:46. | |
people, putting forward policies, we saw looked loved that from the | :50:47. | :50:50. | |
Tories and as ie she just said, the one big thing people will remember | :50:51. | :50:54. | |
about the Tory manifesto is the dementia tax. But the effect of | :50:55. | :50:59. | |
actually putting forward this agenda has thwarted Theresa May's attempts | :51:00. | :51:05. | |
to pursue a hard Brexit. I give Jeremy and the entire Labour team | :51:06. | :51:08. | |
full credit for that, because it was a solid, good national campaign and | :51:09. | :51:14. | |
we have amazing local operations. I temper this just by making this | :51:15. | :51:19. | |
observation, which is that the Labour Party was founded 117 years | :51:20. | :51:23. | |
ago by Keir Hardie and others, not only to be the representative of | :51:24. | :51:27. | |
workers in parliament, but to govern in their interests too. We don't | :51:28. | :51:29. | |
know what will happen because we don't know the final numbers or | :51:30. | :51:34. | |
whether Labour will be part of whatever comes out of this. But it | :51:35. | :51:40. | |
is a positive step forward to government today. Ultimately, we | :51:41. | :51:43. | |
must get into government in the future to make our values real. If | :51:44. | :51:55. | |
you were now offered a position back in the Shadow Cabinet, assuming it | :51:56. | :51:57. | |
is still a Shadow Cabinet, would you accept it? I have never been asked | :51:58. | :52:04. | |
to serve in the Shadow Cabinet under Jeremy before. But I want to get | :52:05. | :52:13. | |
Labour back into government. I can work in any way to make that happen. | :52:14. | :52:17. | |
I would not rule out being part of a Shadow Cabinet if I was asked. I | :52:18. | :52:23. | |
don't presume that I will be asked, but I intend to play a full role in | :52:24. | :52:28. | |
making sure we do what we need to do to deliver on our values. My guess | :52:29. | :52:36. | |
is that you began this campaign thinking that at the end of it, | :52:37. | :52:39. | |
there might be a vacancy for the leadership of the Labour Party, and | :52:40. | :52:46. | |
that has now been postponed. I wouldn't describe it as my dream. I | :52:47. | :52:53. | |
did not dream of having the majority that Labour activists have just | :52:54. | :52:57. | |
secured here in Streatham. My wife was here with me earlier and she | :52:58. | :53:00. | |
asked me at the beginning of the campaign not to make any | :53:01. | :53:02. | |
predictions, because she said before the last general election, you | :53:03. | :53:05. | |
thought Labour would end up in government and you didn't. You | :53:06. | :53:09. | |
thought the Remain side would win the EU referendum campaign, and then | :53:10. | :53:12. | |
you assured me we wouldn't see a president Donald Trump and we do. | :53:13. | :53:16. | |
She said, I am not going to believe predictions from you and I don't | :53:17. | :53:20. | |
think you make any. For the start of this campaign, I went on the Daily | :53:21. | :53:24. | |
Politics and other programmes and people ask, do you think Labour will | :53:25. | :53:27. | |
win? And I have said, anything is possible. What this illustrates | :53:28. | :53:38. | |
is... Chuka Umunna, thank you much. I want to hear the result from | :53:39. | :53:42. | |
Hastings and see whether Amber Rudd has held on. Liberal Democrats, | :53:43. | :53:54. | |
1885. Michael Sheridan Phillips, Ukip, 1479. Amber Rudd, the | :53:55. | :54:07. | |
Conservative Party candidate, 25668. Nicholas John Wilson, independent, | :54:08. | :54:13. | |
412. The total number of ballot papers rejected was 97. The turnout | :54:14. | :54:19. | |
was 70%. Therefore, I give public notice that Amber Rudd is duly | :54:20. | :54:22. | |
elected as the member of Parliament for the Hastings and write | :54:23. | :54:28. | |
constituency. So the Home Secretary holds onto her seat. There was talk | :54:29. | :54:31. | |
that it would be difficult for her, but she holds on. I would like to | :54:32. | :54:38. | |
thank the returning officer and the fantastic counting agents who have | :54:39. | :54:41. | |
done the job twice this evening. We are grateful to you for staying late | :54:42. | :54:46. | |
and doing a professional job. I would also like to thank my team who | :54:47. | :54:53. | |
have done a fantastic job supporting me and making sure we had a good | :54:54. | :54:56. | |
turnout on the day. I would particularly like to thank the | :54:57. | :55:02. | |
Labour candidate, who I know well and I am sure will continue in his | :55:03. | :55:05. | |
role as leader of the council. Thank you for a fair fight. I am deeply | :55:06. | :55:13. | |
honoured to have been re-elected for now for the third time by the | :55:14. | :55:17. | |
residents of Hastings and Rye. This is a fantastic place to live and | :55:18. | :55:23. | |
work and I hope I will continue to build on the great opportunities and | :55:24. | :55:26. | |
the great regeneration that has been taking place in this area, improving | :55:27. | :55:31. | |
our schools, improving our NHS and getting the infrastructure | :55:32. | :55:34. | |
investment that we need. This is what matters to me and this is what | :55:35. | :55:39. | |
I hope to continue to deliver for the fantastic constituency of | :55:40. | :55:46. | |
Hastings and Rye. So Amber Rudd, with the seagulls behind her. She | :55:47. | :55:55. | |
was generally seen to have had a good campaign. Is there a | :55:56. | :55:59. | |
possibility that she might be in the line for becoming leader of the | :56:00. | :56:02. | |
Conservative Party? She has been talked about. But having had such a | :56:03. | :56:10. | |
narrow result and having been a big part of a campaign that is judged to | :56:11. | :56:14. | |
be a disaster, it looks harder for her now than it would have done a | :56:15. | :56:21. | |
couple of weeks ago. At that time, she would have been top of the list. | :56:22. | :56:26. | |
She was widely tipped to be Theresa May's next Chancellor if Theresa May | :56:27. | :56:35. | |
ends up staying on. She was certainly considered as a potential | :56:36. | :56:39. | |
leadership candidate in the future. But I wonder whether her judgment on | :56:40. | :56:43. | |
this campaign and her role in it makes that less likely. She was the | :56:44. | :56:54. | |
Prime Minister's understudy and she is a formidable character. She is a | :56:55. | :57:03. | |
Remainer, but widely respected. Let's see what Nigel Farage has been | :57:04. | :57:09. | |
up to in the last couple of hours. He has stormed back into the | :57:10. | :57:13. | |
political conversation. In a sense, he never went away, but with Paul | :57:14. | :57:17. | |
Nuttall as the leader of Ukip having a bad result, Nigel Farage has been | :57:18. | :57:21. | |
vocal. He said tonight that Article 50 had been triggered and we were on | :57:22. | :57:26. | |
our way. May has put this in jeopardy. Even David Davis is now | :57:27. | :57:30. | |
making Brexit concessions. There is a clear mood developing from lots of | :57:31. | :57:35. | |
people who were fervent Brexiteers, including Iain Duncan Smith, that | :57:36. | :57:38. | |
they are annoyed at what is happening. That is Nigel Farage's | :57:39. | :57:42. | |
quote. Paddy Ashdown has also weighed in on the issue of Brexit. | :57:43. | :57:46. | |
The former Lib Dem leader says if this election was about Brexit, must | :57:47. | :57:50. | |
we not conclude that Britain has rejected Mrs May's hard Brexit? So | :57:51. | :57:55. | |
there are lots of people on inside of the Brexit camp trying to use | :57:56. | :58:00. | |
this result is a way of casting judgment on the Brexit referendum of | :58:01. | :58:03. | |
2016. Chris Evans, editor of the Daily Telegraph, is also talking | :58:04. | :58:08. | |
about the softening of Brexit. He says the DUP are already outlining | :58:09. | :58:13. | |
terms for a soft Brexit as the price for propping up the Tories. And the | :58:14. | :58:19. | |
Financial Times says it is almost as if Theresa May looked at Hillary's | :58:20. | :58:24. | |
campaign and said, let's do that. That is as cruel as you can get. | :58:25. | :58:34. | |
Here is the latest Daily Mail front page. Theresa May of course had huge | :58:35. | :58:37. | |
support from most of the British press. One of her main spin doctors | :58:38. | :58:44. | |
is a former Daily Mail political editor. They are very disappointed | :58:45. | :58:50. | |
at the result. And they say there are fears of Brexit chaos. Emily, | :58:51. | :58:58. | |
another result? Look at Enfield Southgate. This was where we had the | :58:59. | :59:05. | |
Portillo moment in 1997 and you can see what has happened. It has been a | :59:06. | :59:09. | |
Labour gain from the Conservatives again. In Portillo's day, there was | :59:10. | :59:19. | |
a 15,000 majority. Labour has taken it on a 4000 majority. Come back to | :59:20. | :59:26. | |
me! Have a glass of water. That is a fascinating seat. It is outer | :59:27. | :59:31. | |
London, not in London, where you have lots of students and very | :59:32. | :59:36. | |
trendy left. Enfield Southgate is not the home of the trendy Islington | :59:37. | :59:42. | |
left. Enfield Southgate is a sort of Middle Britain seat that happens to | :59:43. | :59:46. | |
be in the south-east. And there we see a big Labour gain. At the | :59:47. | :59:50. | |
beginning of the night, we never would have thought we would see that | :59:51. | :59:57. | |
kind of swing. Let me pick up here. Don't choke to death this time. | :59:58. | :00:01. | |
Sangakkara it is the excitement of the night, or maybe a stray | :00:02. | :00:05. | |
blueberry. 9.7% swing from the Conservatives to Labour in this | :00:06. | :00:11. | |
seat, which really was a moment in 1997. | :00:12. | :00:17. | |
We are looking at places that Blair won for the first time. Some of | :00:18. | :00:24. | |
these are on the chart for the first time since then. It is extraordinary | :00:25. | :00:28. | |
to think of these different characters, Tony Blair and Jeremy | :00:29. | :00:33. | |
Corbyn, but to see the same kind of places cropping up. The next one is | :00:34. | :00:39. | |
Keighley. Again, quite far down the Labour targets. It is a neck and | :00:40. | :00:44. | |
neck vote between the Labour Party and the Conservatives, but enough | :00:45. | :00:48. | |
for a Labour to gain it. A big drop in the Ukip vote. They needed a 3.1% | :00:49. | :00:54. | |
swing. You can see what has happened. They have taken it, just, | :00:55. | :01:01. | |
on a 3.3% swing. Some quite interesting ones. Derbyshire | :01:02. | :01:05. | |
Northeast has been a gain for the Conservatives. It was 18 on their | :01:06. | :01:09. | |
list. Lee Rowley pushing out Natascha Engel, quite a well-known | :01:10. | :01:19. | |
name for Labour. You can see a 4.8% swing from Labour to the | :01:20. | :01:23. | |
Conservatives. That is the seat just outside Chesterfield. Broadly the | :01:24. | :01:28. | |
kind of seats we are seeing turned red to are ones that very few people | :01:29. | :01:32. | |
would have had on any kind of rational target list at the | :01:33. | :01:36. | |
beginning of the night. They are places taking a lot of us by | :01:37. | :01:39. | |
surprise. John Woodcock is the Labour MP for | :01:40. | :01:44. | |
Barrow and Furness. His majority, squeaking in at 209. A special | :01:45. | :01:52. | |
adviser to Gordon Brown. Everybody is having their words thrown back at | :01:53. | :01:57. | |
them tonight. Words I want to throw baguette you are, Labour is on | :01:58. | :02:00. | |
course for an historic and catastrophic defeat. So what went | :02:01. | :02:07. | |
right for Labour?! Well, David I have no idea! And I'm | :02:08. | :02:14. | |
not sure anyone who you will have on this programme actually genuinely | :02:15. | :02:17. | |
has an idea either. And if they say that they do, I think they are | :02:18. | :02:23. | |
probably winging it. There have been utterly extraordinary results. In | :02:24. | :02:29. | |
places where Labour has struggled, we have gained ground. In Canterbury | :02:30. | :02:37. | |
we have produced an incredible victory out of nowhere. I don't know | :02:38. | :02:41. | |
what is going on in British politics. I think the one thing | :02:42. | :02:45. | |
which is clear is that this is wide open. There is a space and there is | :02:46. | :02:53. | |
a need for a progressive force to take the country forward and give | :02:54. | :03:01. | |
them more hope than that which has been said over these last couple of | :03:02. | :03:03. | |
years by the Conservative government. And that force we have | :03:04. | :03:10. | |
shown overnight can be the Labour Party. I am deeply, deeply proud. | :03:11. | :03:16. | |
Unexpectedly, I have to say. But I am deeply proud to be returned as | :03:17. | :03:22. | |
one of their MPs. Can you sign up to the kind of policies that Jeremy | :03:23. | :03:28. | |
Corbyn has been promoting, when you actually clearly thought they were | :03:29. | :03:31. | |
completely wrong, wrong for the Labour Party, but much more | :03:32. | :03:37. | |
importantly, wrong for the country? Well, the Labour Party has always | :03:38. | :03:43. | |
been a Broadchurch. And probably never broader than it has been at | :03:44. | :03:47. | |
the moment. One of the things which gave me so much heart locally was | :03:48. | :03:53. | |
the way that local party members who were deeply aggrieved by what I said | :03:54. | :04:01. | |
about the leader, they all came together in this campaign to get us | :04:02. | :04:06. | |
over the line and to keep a Labour MP, to keep me here. And that shows, | :04:07. | :04:13. | |
actually, that we can unite and there will be a huge question, of | :04:14. | :04:17. | |
course, for the party as to what direction we take. What vision we | :04:18. | :04:23. | |
put forward. But this result shows that we can do it. Actually, there | :04:24. | :04:30. | |
is not the appetite in this country for the paucity of vision, the lack | :04:31. | :04:34. | |
of hope, the doing down of our country, that we have seen from this | :04:35. | :04:37. | |
Conservative government over the last couple of years. People want | :04:38. | :04:41. | |
change. And we have an opportunity to provide that. And that is | :04:42. | :04:44. | |
brilliant. Thank you bring much indeed. It is time for another | :04:45. | :04:53. | |
update on the news. Let's have that with the forecast of the moment | :04:54. | :05:00. | |
showing... We can show it? We can't. I don't know if we can or not. Can | :05:01. | :05:06. | |
we show the forecast, they are asking? I don't know. They haven't | :05:07. | :05:12. | |
got it. We haven't got the forecast. We have the news. | :05:13. | :05:18. | |
Good morning. With less than 50 seats still to be declared, the | :05:19. | :05:22. | |
outcome of the general election is still uncertain. Labour has done | :05:23. | :05:27. | |
better-than-expected. Although the Conservatives looked like being the | :05:28. | :05:30. | |
biggest party, they are not likely to get a majority. Jeremy Corbyn has | :05:31. | :05:35. | |
called for Theresa May to resign. The Prime Minister says the country | :05:36. | :05:40. | |
needs stability. The night saw Alex Salmond and Nick Clegg lose their | :05:41. | :05:44. | |
seats. Tom Bateman's port contains flash photography. -- report. She | :05:45. | :05:53. | |
called this election early, a political gamble, the hope that she | :05:54. | :05:57. | |
would transform the Tories' fragile majority with a huge win. Forecasts | :05:58. | :06:04. | |
suggest the Conservatives may end up even worse off without even a | :06:05. | :06:08. | |
majority. If, as the indications have shown, if this is correct, that | :06:09. | :06:15. | |
the Conservative Party won the most seats and probably the most votes, | :06:16. | :06:18. | |
then it would be incumbent on us to make sure we have that period of | :06:19. | :06:22. | |
stability, and that is exactly what we will do. You can see what the | :06:23. | :06:27. | |
Labour leader makes of these results so far. A man whose campaign | :06:28. | :06:33. | |
confounded expectations, beaming smiles, with Labour on course for a | :06:34. | :06:38. | |
far better night than many thought. The Prime Minister call the election | :06:39. | :06:41. | |
because she wanted a mandate. Will a mandate she has got is lost | :06:42. | :06:49. | |
Conservative seats, lost votes, lost votes and lost confidence. I would | :06:50. | :06:54. | |
have thought that's enough to go, actually. In Battersea, Labour had | :06:55. | :06:59. | |
ousted a government Minister on a swing of 10%. There have been Labour | :07:00. | :07:04. | |
gains elsewhere. In Stockton South from the Conservatives and in | :07:05. | :07:09. | |
Scotland, Rutherglen from the SNP. It is not just the Tories suffering. | :07:10. | :07:14. | |
In Sheffield, former Lib Dem leader Nick Clegg lost his seat. I have | :07:15. | :07:21. | |
encountered this evening something that many people have encountered | :07:22. | :07:24. | |
before tonight and I suspect many people encounter after tonight, | :07:25. | :07:29. | |
which is that you live by the sword and by thy -- die by the sword in | :07:30. | :07:34. | |
politics. The night began with a projection, the exit poll. It had | :07:35. | :07:37. | |
the Conservatives as the largest party but short of an overall | :07:38. | :07:41. | |
majority. It put the Tories on three other than 14 seats, down 17. Labour | :07:42. | :07:50. | |
would be up 34 seats. The SNP down to 34 MPs. The Lib Dems on 14. The | :07:51. | :07:56. | |
SNP have lost big names on a disappointing night compared with | :07:57. | :08:01. | |
their Scottish landslide two years ago. Deputy leader Angus Robertson | :08:02. | :08:05. | |
was ousted by the Conservatives. Former leader Alex Salmond lost his | :08:06. | :08:10. | |
seat as well. Now one of Theresa May's on MPs is laying the blame on | :08:11. | :08:15. | |
her. She is in a difficult place. She is a very talented woman and she | :08:16. | :08:19. | |
doesn't shy from difficult positions. But she now obviously has | :08:20. | :08:23. | |
to consider your position. V Festival of democracy has been on is | :08:24. | :08:28. | |
full show, as have the upsets. Theresa May has left her | :08:29. | :08:32. | |
constituency count. The election campaign has been an unpredictable | :08:33. | :08:34. | |
journey. Already some Labour opponents are saying tonight it | :08:35. | :08:39. | |
should bring the end of the road for her premiership. But there is still | :08:40. | :08:43. | |
a way to go and more votes still to be counted. The pound's position on | :08:44. | :08:51. | |
currency markets has weakened following early results. Overnight | :08:52. | :08:55. | |
sterling suffered one of its biggest falls since January, sinking to a | :08:56. | :09:00. | |
low of almost 2% against the dollar as the euro. A clearer picture of | :09:01. | :09:03. | |
the markets will emerge when trading opens across Europe. And the final | :09:04. | :09:07. | |
results of the election coming. Time for the weather. | :09:08. | :09:14. | |
Good morning. This is how we ended the day in Highland Scotland. For | :09:15. | :09:18. | |
much of Scotland and Northern Ireland it was a wet day on | :09:19. | :09:21. | |
Thursday. Today we saw the rain in Scotland petering out. Showers | :09:22. | :09:26. | |
heading eastwards. Much prior across Northern Ireland. Some sharp showers | :09:27. | :09:30. | |
across western England and Wales. They will become heavily for the | :09:31. | :09:33. | |
released this afternoon, as they will in parts of Scotland. We are | :09:34. | :09:39. | |
talking hail and risk of thunder. Much drier and brighter with some | :09:40. | :09:42. | |
sunshine for the West. It will feel warmer well. It doesn't last. As we | :09:43. | :09:47. | |
go through the evening, more rain of the Atlantic. Wetter for Northern | :09:48. | :09:53. | |
Ireland. As we move into Saturday, for Scotland. The South and east | :09:54. | :09:57. | |
probably not seeing that much rain. Still quite muggy and one. The rain | :09:58. | :10:01. | |
clears further north to reveal sunshine and showers. Eventually | :10:02. | :10:06. | |
that weather front clears all parts going from Saturday to Sunday. | :10:07. | :10:10. | |
Sunday day of sunny spells and showers. | :10:11. | :10:14. | |
That is a look of the weather. Let's return to David Dimbleby. | :10:15. | :10:27. | |
Dawn has broken over Westminster. And a cruel dawn for the Tory party. | :10:28. | :10:38. | |
After the results that have come in, we have still got 44 to come in. A | :10:39. | :10:43. | |
lot of talk from sources within the Tory party about Theresa May's | :10:44. | :10:48. | |
future. We have had the call for her to go. Pretty much a call for her to | :10:49. | :10:56. | |
go from Anna Soubry, a backbencher, famously outspoken. People Laura | :10:57. | :10:59. | |
Kuenssberg have been speaking to have said something needs to be done | :11:00. | :11:04. | |
fairly dramatically and swiftly. There is another interesting aspect. | :11:05. | :11:11. | |
The votes have gone back to the two main parties, Conservative and | :11:12. | :11:16. | |
Labour. Not since 1970 have both parties had over 12 million people | :11:17. | :11:20. | |
voting for them. The current rate is Labour on 12 million and 100,000, | :11:21. | :11:28. | |
the Conservatives on 12 million and 6000. The smaller parties, the | :11:29. | :11:32. | |
Liberals, and all the other parties, had given way to a 2-party vote, | :11:33. | :11:37. | |
which in a way is like that campaign was. There were two very clearly | :11:38. | :11:43. | |
distinct messages being given from the Conservatives on the one hand | :11:44. | :11:48. | |
with Theresa May saying strong and stable and all that, and Jeremy | :11:49. | :11:50. | |
Corbyn on the other hand saying, there is another way. Less | :11:51. | :11:55. | |
austerity, more spending,, the government should do this and that. | :11:56. | :11:59. | |
There was a poor rises and on the parties and it seems the voters have | :12:00. | :12:01. | |
been attracted to the polarisation. They are getting two very clear and | :12:02. | :12:09. | |
distinct messages. We will now look at how the parties stand. | :12:10. | :12:15. | |
Let's do that. We started many hours ago in our virtual Downing Street | :12:16. | :12:19. | |
and we give you our exit poll. A lot of people were saying on social | :12:20. | :12:22. | |
media it can't be right. The forecast, with only about 44 seats | :12:23. | :12:27. | |
to go, is very close to what we were saying at five minutes to ten. The | :12:28. | :12:31. | |
Conservatives falling short. 318 we think now. Let's look at Labour. | :12:32. | :12:39. | |
Quite a long way back but exceeding all expectations. That is the point | :12:40. | :12:43. | |
about the Labour performance. They have done better than even they | :12:44. | :12:47. | |
thought as we have heard from some of the extraordinary interviews we | :12:48. | :12:51. | |
have heard. 318 for the Conservatives. You will see where | :12:52. | :12:54. | |
these individual paving stones, which are all individual | :12:55. | :12:57. | |
constituencies, where they are darker blue we have not got a | :12:58. | :13:02. | |
result. Back here we have got those results in. It is just the darker | :13:03. | :13:08. | |
blue. Most are solid blue. Not many more results. The ones we're waiting | :13:09. | :13:13. | |
for, places like Kensington, Richmond Park, Crawley, Dumfries, | :13:14. | :13:17. | |
Winchester, Thirsk, Truro, St Ives etc, still waiting for them. The | :13:18. | :13:23. | |
exit polls stabilised with these results. 318, the Conservatives | :13:24. | :13:30. | |
short of an overall majority. 650 MPs in the House of Commons, so you | :13:31. | :13:34. | |
need just over half to be in control. Theresa May will not be. | :13:35. | :13:39. | |
She will have to find friends in the House of Commons. It will be the | :13:40. | :13:42. | |
Liberal Democrats this time. Have a look at the Labour line. You could | :13:43. | :13:47. | |
say the Labour result is no better than Gordon Brown did when he lost | :13:48. | :13:51. | |
the 2010 election. They have got a handsome share of the vote. Part of | :13:52. | :13:56. | |
that is rather surprising numbers of Ukip voters going to Labour, which | :13:57. | :14:01. | |
commentators did not predict. Also, younger voters. I'm sure we will | :14:02. | :14:04. | |
find out many of them have been involved in the election. Labour | :14:05. | :14:11. | |
262, that's what we are now forecasting, just down four from | :14:12. | :14:17. | |
what we said at 10pm. These early seats that we are still waiting for. | :14:18. | :14:28. | |
Hendon, Ilford North, Dudley... Most of these lines are solid red, solid | :14:29. | :14:33. | |
blue. This is the situation. What a blow for Theresa May, to call an | :14:34. | :14:39. | |
election when she was 16 points clear in the polls, thinking about | :14:40. | :14:43. | |
the landslide of 100 and she didn't even get an overall majority. It is | :14:44. | :14:48. | |
politically devastating for her. That is why we just saw Jeremy | :14:49. | :14:52. | |
Corbyn giving the thumbs up. Amazing. John Curtice, you are being | :14:53. | :15:00. | |
a bit cautious about your exit poll, not your exit poll, the BBC, sky, | :15:01. | :15:08. | |
ITV exit poll, I have to say that for copyright reasons... This | :15:09. | :15:12. | |
combined exit poll. You were being courses at the beginning, saying | :15:13. | :15:15. | |
maybe it is not quite as bad as that for the Tories. -- cautious. It now | :15:16. | :15:21. | |
looks like you were spot on? One always has to be cautious because | :15:22. | :15:25. | |
the truth is one knows the fragility. Two years ago we | :15:26. | :15:30. | |
underestimated the Tory target by 18 seats. It looks as though this time | :15:31. | :15:34. | |
we might be possibly three seats out, but that is about it. It looks | :15:35. | :15:38. | |
as though our forecast is going to prove remarkably accurate. Maybe in | :15:39. | :15:44. | |
the end of the most accurate exit poll yet. We will wait to see. | :15:45. | :15:51. | |
Is there any possibility of it not being a hung parliament now? There | :15:52. | :15:58. | |
is no way the Conservatives can get to the 326 mark. There is going to | :15:59. | :16:04. | |
be a hung parliament. Plus some of the questions Laura was raising | :16:05. | :16:10. | |
about Theresa May's future. It is worth remembering that the | :16:11. | :16:15. | |
international academic extra says that calling snap elections often | :16:16. | :16:19. | |
doesn't work, because voters ask themselves, hang on, what is it that | :16:20. | :16:23. | |
is coming around the corner that they are trying to hide from us? If | :16:24. | :16:27. | |
you think about the snap elections we have had in the UK in the past, | :16:28. | :16:32. | |
1970, Harold Wilson suddenly went to the country when he thought the June | :16:33. | :16:36. | |
tweet polls had turned in his favour. He lost. In February in | :16:37. | :16:42. | |
1974, Edward Heath went to the country suddenly because of the | :16:43. | :16:48. | |
miners strike. He lost. Now very suddenly and unexpectedly indeed, | :16:49. | :16:51. | |
Theresa May has gone to the country. Her party has not managed to lose, | :16:52. | :16:56. | |
but maybe we will find that she has ended up the loser of this election. | :16:57. | :17:00. | |
She should have talked to you before she decided to do it! If she had | :17:01. | :17:09. | |
read the international literature, it shows that although being able to | :17:10. | :17:15. | |
call an election when you think it is a good idea might seem an | :17:16. | :17:19. | |
advantage, if you try to call an election very early in a parliament, | :17:20. | :17:26. | |
it can rebound on you. Laura, we know that she has a tight circle of | :17:27. | :17:30. | |
political advisers ma Fiona Hill and Nick Timothy in particular. She must | :17:31. | :17:34. | |
have consulted them. They are the ones who must take the blame for | :17:35. | :17:39. | |
this. I understand she is currently closeted with them in Tory HQ, | :17:40. | :17:45. | |
discussing their next moves. One minister has said to me, I don't | :17:46. | :17:48. | |
think she has to go, but things will have to change. There will be | :17:49. | :17:55. | |
demands from inside the 1922 committee and among ministers that | :17:56. | :17:59. | |
she must change her style of working. She must expand beyond that | :18:00. | :18:09. | |
tiny group of people. That is where the discussion is. But is she | :18:10. | :18:13. | |
capable of changing her way of working? She doesn't seem to move an | :18:14. | :18:22. | |
inch without Nick Timothy and Fiona Hill telling her what to do. She's | :18:23. | :18:26. | |
famed for her stubbornness. She could try to cast that as being | :18:27. | :18:30. | |
resolute. That is what she tried to do in this election, boasting that | :18:31. | :18:33. | |
she could be a bloody difficult woman. But if you will not change | :18:34. | :18:37. | |
your mind and you have made the wrong decision, it is not great. We | :18:38. | :18:46. | |
are joined by Simon Hamilton from the Democratic Unionist Party in | :18:47. | :18:50. | |
Northern Ireland and the member of the Northern Ireland Assembly. I | :18:51. | :18:54. | |
think you now have eight for the DUP? We increased our seats from | :18:55. | :19:05. | |
eight in the last parliament to ten. You are clearly going to be a | :19:06. | :19:10. | |
potentially attractive partner to a Tory Prime Minister who doesn't have | :19:11. | :19:13. | |
an overall majority. What are you going to be asking for? Well, the | :19:14. | :19:20. | |
results are still coming in and we will soon know what the final shape | :19:21. | :19:23. | |
of the parliament is. Let's see what the final result is. The impact of | :19:24. | :19:32. | |
Northern Ireland will be not just in respect of the Democratic Unionist | :19:33. | :19:35. | |
Party, but also Sinn Fein, who don't take their seats in Westminster, | :19:36. | :19:40. | |
which will have an impact on the overall working majority in | :19:41. | :19:48. | |
parliament. First and foremost, the DUP will be looking to achieve our | :19:49. | :19:52. | |
goals in respect of the best deal for Northern Ireland. We are also | :19:53. | :19:58. | |
mindful of our responsibilities in terms of the national political | :19:59. | :20:02. | |
scene. This is a difficult time for the UK. There are a lot of | :20:03. | :20:06. | |
challenges, particularly with respect to terrorism and a attack on | :20:07. | :20:11. | |
democracy in the last few weeks, but also the challenges and | :20:12. | :20:13. | |
opportunities that Brexit presents and the need to get not just a good | :20:14. | :20:19. | |
deal for Northern Ireland, but a good deal for the UK. Laura, you | :20:20. | :20:27. | |
watch Westminster closely. Can you interpret for me what the DUP | :20:28. | :20:34. | |
position would actually mean in terms of votes in the House? What | :20:35. | :20:39. | |
kind of pressure will they be able to bring? Significant pressure. In | :20:40. | :20:43. | |
the last Parliament, the DUP were able to do privately call shots on | :20:44. | :20:47. | |
some issues. But if there were to be any sort of backsliding on Brexit, | :20:48. | :20:52. | |
what would you consider to be something unacceptable? We have | :20:53. | :20:56. | |
already heard that there may be Tory MPs calling for a reconsideration of | :20:57. | :21:01. | |
the idea of staying in the single market. Would that be something you | :21:02. | :21:05. | |
would consider as acceptable in the Brexit negotiations? Northern | :21:06. | :21:11. | |
Ireland has particular circumstances in respect of Brexit, because we | :21:12. | :21:19. | |
have a border with Ireland which will be the UK's border with the | :21:20. | :21:22. | |
European Union after Brexit. The UK will be leaving the EU, but there | :21:23. | :21:29. | |
are particular circumstances shaped by our history, geography and | :21:30. | :21:32. | |
economy that we want to see reflected in any deal. That is | :21:33. | :21:37. | |
something we would be talking very early to a new government about. Is | :21:38. | :21:43. | |
it clear to you that you would only do a kind of vote by vote | :21:44. | :21:46. | |
understanding or would you consider something more formal with the | :21:47. | :21:50. | |
Conservatives? Let's see what happens over the next few hours. | :21:51. | :21:54. | |
Clearly, our votes will be important. In the last Parliament, | :21:55. | :21:59. | |
our votes were not needed in the way they may be in the new parliament. | :22:00. | :22:04. | |
On a range of issues, we were able to take a position which was | :22:05. | :22:08. | |
consistent with our policies as a party but were also in the best | :22:09. | :22:12. | |
interests of the people of Northern Ireland, and we will continue to do | :22:13. | :22:21. | |
that. You are in favour of leaving the EU. What kind of border do you | :22:22. | :22:27. | |
want with the South? We want to see a frictionless border between | :22:28. | :22:30. | |
Northern Ireland and the Republic of Ireland. There are a lot of | :22:31. | :22:33. | |
movements on a daily basis between people who work on both sides of the | :22:34. | :22:37. | |
border and a lot of movements in respect of the economy and trade. | :22:38. | :22:41. | |
The rest of the UK remains our biggest seller 's market. So you | :22:42. | :22:48. | |
think people who worry about that border and think that for instance, | :22:49. | :22:52. | |
in terms of immigration into the UK, it is an open door from the Republic | :22:53. | :23:00. | |
into the north, they are wrong? The Common travel area has existed | :23:01. | :23:03. | |
between Northern Ireland and the Republic of Ireland since the 1920s. | :23:04. | :23:12. | |
There has been a lot of talk in the last year about the creation of a | :23:13. | :23:15. | |
hard border. That is not something we want. Sorry to interrupt, but | :23:16. | :23:22. | |
were talking about Polish workers and Romanian workers coming from the | :23:23. | :23:25. | |
EU who have open access at the moment to the mainland of Britain. | :23:26. | :23:30. | |
They will surely be able to come into the Republic through Northern | :23:31. | :23:34. | |
Ireland and into Britain. I know you have had a common border with the | :23:35. | :23:37. | |
South, but that is going to allow anyone to come from anywhere in | :23:38. | :23:42. | |
Europe into the mainland of Britain, isn't it? The detail of how it would | :23:43. | :23:52. | |
work in practice would have to be worked out through the course of the | :23:53. | :23:55. | |
next number of years as we go through the Article 50 process. We | :23:56. | :24:01. | |
want a good deal for Northern Ireland as we exit the European | :24:02. | :24:06. | |
Union. We were reassured by what the Prime Minister, David Davis and | :24:07. | :24:09. | |
other Cabinet members said about their desire not to see a hard | :24:10. | :24:14. | |
border. That is something we don't want on the Dublin government don't | :24:15. | :24:16. | |
want to see that either. Brussels officials have also said that, so | :24:17. | :24:21. | |
there is a recognition of the circumstances of Northern Ireland. | :24:22. | :24:27. | |
That is something we will want to be dealt with early in the new | :24:28. | :24:31. | |
parliament. Mr Hamilton, thank you. You mentioned David Davis. We have | :24:32. | :24:39. | |
been trying to get Boris Johnson to talk to us. No. David Davis? No. | :24:40. | :24:52. | |
Philip Hammond? No. Senior figures in the Tory party stumm, unlike | :24:53. | :25:03. | |
Mishal's guests. Were ordered by Alistair Campbell, former director | :25:04. | :25:05. | |
of Downing Street implications and the Guardian journalist Paul Mason. | :25:06. | :25:09. | |
Paul, did you dare to hope for these sorts of games for Labour? Yes. I | :25:10. | :25:14. | |
knew as soon as we did the left-wing manifesto that we could get back to | :25:15. | :25:18. | |
35%. I'm not sure what the final percentage will be, but it looks | :25:19. | :25:23. | |
like we are on 12 million votes for Labour, which is pushing close to | :25:24. | :25:27. | |
what the first two Tony Blair results were. What has then it is | :25:28. | :25:33. | |
the severe deprivation across the areas of Britain that are voting for | :25:34. | :25:40. | |
us. 12 million people picked up the Daily Mail and the # And read these | :25:41. | :25:45. | |
headlines about Corbyn and McDonnell being Marxist terror supporters and | :25:46. | :25:49. | |
threw them mentally in the bin. So for you, it was the | :25:50. | :25:54. | |
anti-austerity election? Absolutely. I was campaigning in Plymouth, the | :25:55. | :26:00. | |
home of the Trident submarine, or where they refurbish them. It looks | :26:01. | :26:04. | |
like Labour will win both Plymouth seats. Even to that military | :26:05. | :26:09. | |
community, home of the Royal Marine commandos, it is desperate out there | :26:10. | :26:13. | |
in many working class communities, and nobody in politics has noticed. | :26:14. | :26:19. | |
You are making it sound like a win, which it isn't. Alastair Campbell, | :26:20. | :26:23. | |
what do you think? It has been an extraordinary night. I do think that | :26:24. | :26:29. | |
an election that Theresa May called to strengthen her position, because | :26:30. | :26:31. | |
she looked at the numbers on Jeremy Corbyn and thought it was unlosable, | :26:32. | :26:39. | |
and she has lost. She cannot survive for long in the position she has | :26:40. | :26:44. | |
got. I think Jeremy Corbyn is onto something in relation to how deep | :26:45. | :26:47. | |
the austerity is going and the public saying they want something | :26:48. | :26:52. | |
better. As you mentioned, Mishal, it is important to emphasise that she | :26:53. | :27:01. | |
has lost and Labour hasn't won. The country is essentially still saying, | :27:02. | :27:06. | |
we don't really want either of you. But they are doing it at a time when | :27:07. | :27:11. | |
a government has to go into the most difficult negotiations that any | :27:12. | :27:15. | |
government has had since the war. For your party, it means that | :27:16. | :27:20. | |
Blairism is even more firmly part of the past. Jeremy Corbyn's wing of | :27:21. | :27:27. | |
the party will lead it for the foreseeable future. Well, I want and | :27:28. | :27:32. | |
hope that the Labour Party can encapsulate and encompass all of | :27:33. | :27:35. | |
that space. The only way the Labour Party will get back into winning and | :27:36. | :27:40. | |
having a Labour Prime Minister is if you have that coalition that has the | :27:41. | :27:46. | |
left, but also has the centre ground. I want to get over this new, | :27:47. | :27:53. | |
old, Blair, Brown macro thing. History has put us in an amazing | :27:54. | :27:57. | |
edition. Of course we haven't won and we have to facilitate a stable | :27:58. | :28:03. | |
conservative/ DUP government forming itself, because this country is | :28:04. | :28:07. | |
under attack from terror. So what Jeremy Corbyn and Emily Thornberry | :28:08. | :28:12. | |
are signalling about looking... We don't know what the final arithmetic | :28:13. | :28:20. | |
is. But in the next 12 hours, Amber Rudd has to carry on being Home | :28:21. | :28:25. | |
Secretary. You are right that Labour now needs to learn from this. I | :28:26. | :28:29. | |
would like to see some of those big hitters from the brown and Blair era | :28:30. | :28:32. | |
come into the Shadow Cabinet, reset the balance within Labour, re-look | :28:33. | :28:43. | |
at what our offer on Brexit is. We have won this is committed to | :28:44. | :28:47. | |
Brexit. That is how you win in places like Manchester and Bolton. | :28:48. | :28:52. | |
But the kind of Brexit now has to be one that embraces an engagement with | :28:53. | :28:57. | |
Europe. One of her big mistakes was that since the referendum, she has | :28:58. | :29:03. | |
governed for the 40% with two fingers up to the 52%. You cannot | :29:04. | :29:08. | |
govern for the country with such a big decision to be pursued like | :29:09. | :29:15. | |
that. So no matter what configuration, there will have to be | :29:16. | :29:18. | |
a much more consensual approach to what Britain's relationship with | :29:19. | :29:20. | |
Europe becomes. Let's join Yvette Cooper in | :29:21. | :29:31. | |
Wakefield. Thank you for joining us at this early hour of the morning. | :29:32. | :29:37. | |
You are safely back in your seat. You were one of those who wanted to | :29:38. | :29:43. | |
leave the Labour Party. What do you make of what has happened and what | :29:44. | :29:46. | |
lessons does it contain for people like you on the right or the centre | :29:47. | :29:55. | |
of Labour? I think it is great that we're winning back constituencies | :29:56. | :29:59. | |
for and we are seeing hard work across the country. I applaud the | :30:00. | :30:06. | |
work Jeremy, Tom, members and activists have been doing across the | :30:07. | :30:09. | |
country to win back those constituencies. We have also had a | :30:10. | :30:14. | |
small number of losses, that is very sad. People like Natascha Engel have | :30:15. | :30:19. | |
been fantastic MPs in Parliament. But overall we have seen some great | :30:20. | :30:24. | |
results. But of course what it means now is it looks like this is a hung | :30:25. | :30:29. | |
parliament. I think that Theresa May called this as a referendum on | :30:30. | :30:33. | |
herself and she has lost that. I do not see how she can carry on because | :30:34. | :30:37. | |
I don't see she has a mandate for the manifesto she set out. That | :30:38. | :30:41. | |
means it will be quite complicated in terms of what happens now. We | :30:42. | :30:46. | |
have to keep up the pressure in terms of what we should be doing. We | :30:47. | :30:53. | |
need to stand up for people to get a Labour government. And you are no | :30:54. | :30:56. | |
happy with Jeremy Corbyn's leadership where you were not | :30:57. | :31:01. | |
before? We had leadership elections in the party. That is how we do | :31:02. | :31:09. | |
things. Jeremy Corbyn won twice. And that is why we had the whole party | :31:10. | :31:15. | |
come together as part of this campaign, the all party campaigning | :31:16. | :31:19. | |
across the country. I have been to about 20 constituencies across the | :31:20. | :31:22. | |
country campaigning for those Labour candidates. It is great to see many | :31:23. | :31:28. | |
of them elected this morning. What is happening behind you? Who is | :31:29. | :31:36. | |
being applauded? Jon Trickett was just making his speech. He has been | :31:37. | :31:42. | |
re-elected as the MP for Handsworth. -- Hemsworth. You were wrong about | :31:43. | :31:51. | |
the leadership of Jeremy Corbyn. It turns out he is a better leader than | :31:52. | :31:54. | |
anybody else you could have produced. I you happy to serve in a | :31:55. | :32:00. | |
shadow cabinet with him, indeed if he becomes Prime Minister serving | :32:01. | :32:08. | |
cabinet with him? You back onside? I think we have all been working | :32:09. | :32:12. | |
together in this election. We have been fighting for every vote, every | :32:13. | :32:15. | |
single member of the party, every single candidate. We have been doing | :32:16. | :32:21. | |
so together. That has been really important. That is why we have won | :32:22. | :32:25. | |
support right across the country, a broad range of support. I think you | :32:26. | :32:30. | |
would certainly agree it would be very presumptuous of me or anybody | :32:31. | :32:33. | |
else to talk about what happens next. That is for the party. The one | :32:34. | :32:39. | |
thing that should happen next is that Theresa May, I do think, cannot | :32:40. | :32:45. | |
carry on as Prime Minister when she has lost what was a referendum she | :32:46. | :32:50. | |
called on herself. We haven't seen the strong and stable claims that | :32:51. | :32:54. | |
she made. We have seen the complete opposite happened. We have this | :32:55. | :33:00. | |
really important Brexit negotiations? To start in about 11 | :33:01. | :33:09. | |
days. -- due to start. There will have to be more transparency. There | :33:10. | :33:12. | |
will have to be more negotiations and discussions in Parliament | :33:13. | :33:17. | |
itself. There will have to be a proper, wide-open debate about what | :33:18. | :33:21. | |
kind of Brexit Britain and the British government is pursuing. They | :33:22. | :33:25. | |
can't do things the old ways and think they can get away with it | :33:26. | :33:29. | |
after this election result. Thank you. We have now got a 29 seats | :33:30. | :33:35. | |
still to declare. And we are now able, officially, so to speak, to | :33:36. | :33:42. | |
say there is going to be, at the end when everything is in, there is | :33:43. | :33:45. | |
going to be a hung parliament. No surprise there. With the | :33:46. | :33:51. | |
Conservatives as the larger party. The largest party. Labour on 262. | :33:52. | :33:57. | |
But remember, the Conservatives need 326. So far from guaranteeing | :33:58. | :34:05. | |
certainty and stability for the years ahead, Theresa May called this | :34:06. | :34:13. | |
election and she has lost 17 majority in favour of a hung | :34:14. | :34:19. | |
parliament that has her on 318 only. Yes, we are just contemplating that | :34:20. | :34:23. | |
inside our virtual parliament. Remember in 2010 when the | :34:24. | :34:28. | |
Conservatives got 306 seats and they needed friends. They looked to the | :34:29. | :34:32. | |
Liberal Democrats and you got the coalition. What may happen this | :34:33. | :34:36. | |
time? Let me just show you the numbers here. Remarkably similar to | :34:37. | :34:43. | |
the numbers we give you at the start of the night. 318, Conservative, 262 | :34:44. | :34:50. | |
Labour. I'm going to show you how it would work if the Conservatives say | :34:51. | :34:56. | |
to the DUP, the Democratic Unionist Party, help us. They haven't got the | :34:57. | :35:02. | |
crucial 326 seats. How does it work? We take out, first of all, how do | :35:03. | :35:10. | |
you get this to line up again? It doesn't matter if we see you. While | :35:11. | :35:15. | |
you do that, let me explain. Here are the parties. The Conservatives, | :35:16. | :35:24. | |
308. We are looking for 326. It is pretty simple now. We undertake the | :35:25. | :35:30. | |
DUP and we have got them down as ten. Add them to it. They are there. | :35:31. | :35:36. | |
It is pretty, pretty close. It is very painful for Theresa May. It is | :35:37. | :35:40. | |
that simple thing of saying to the DUP, will you help us? For Theresa | :35:41. | :35:47. | |
May to reach out and ask them to at least get the Queen's speeds | :35:48. | :35:51. | |
through. That arrangement involves all kinds of trade having to be | :35:52. | :35:56. | |
made. Yvette Cooper saying there will be more focus on what is said | :35:57. | :36:00. | |
and done in and around the chamber of the House of Commons. It could be | :36:01. | :36:04. | |
done. A pretty simple calculation. They got close enough to the line to | :36:05. | :36:10. | |
only need the support of the DUP. Let's see what this looks like | :36:11. | :36:14. | |
inside the house of Commons. We had the Conservatives short. You can see | :36:15. | :36:19. | |
the finishing line. Three than 26 seats needed. They haven't made it. | :36:20. | :36:24. | |
It is a hung parliament. They use the DUP to get across the line. Take | :36:25. | :36:30. | |
a look at the opposition benches. Labour on 262. The SNP on 35. The | :36:31. | :36:37. | |
Lib Dems recovering a bit. You can see the other parties. We have | :36:38. | :36:39. | |
filled out the Northern Ireland parties. Labour exceeding all | :36:40. | :36:46. | |
expectations. If you have a whirl around the House of Commons, you | :36:47. | :36:49. | |
will see it is dominated, as before, by blue. But of course the crucial | :36:50. | :36:54. | |
thing, the action around this line, this 327 line danger is the problem | :36:55. | :37:01. | |
for Mrs May. That is why she will need help to pass laws and govern, | :37:02. | :37:06. | |
if indeed she stays in power. And if she doesn't stay in power, those who | :37:07. | :37:10. | |
like a little bit of history at 20 to six in the morning, she will be | :37:11. | :37:18. | |
the shortest term Prime Minister 's since Andrew Bonar Law, the | :37:19. | :37:23. | |
Conservative Prime Minister, who served 210 days from 1922 to 1923. | :37:24. | :37:31. | |
She has done 230 days. Nothing to be proud of. And the absolutely | :37:32. | :37:38. | |
upside-down version of what he thought was kind to happen. She was | :37:39. | :37:40. | |
expecting to be the first Conservative leader for 30 years to | :37:41. | :37:46. | |
have a proper Conservative majority. Don't forget, David Cameron only | :37:47. | :37:52. | |
made coalition in 2010. In 2015 he had a puny majority. This is the | :37:53. | :37:55. | |
upside-down version of what Theresa May was anticipating. At the | :37:56. | :37:59. | |
beginning of the campaign I remember there were a lot of opinion polls | :38:00. | :38:04. | |
saying that people infinitely preferred her to Jeremy Corbyn. By | :38:05. | :38:08. | |
quite big margins. Even if they didn't like the Conservative Party. | :38:09. | :38:13. | |
People assumed it was her style, they liked are not being flashy, the | :38:14. | :38:18. | |
light are not being as flashy as David Cameron, showing his toes off | :38:19. | :38:23. | |
on an Instagram with his wife on holiday. She wasn't that kind of | :38:24. | :38:28. | |
woman. A very private. She went on television and revealed nothing | :38:29. | :38:31. | |
except that her husband put at the dustbins. People like that | :38:32. | :38:39. | |
rectitude. Absolutely. We heard on the doorstep that people thought she | :38:40. | :38:42. | |
wasn't like the other Tories, she was in the past boy. She was like | :38:43. | :38:47. | |
during child's head teacher. She was calm, she had authority. I think one | :38:48. | :38:54. | |
of the things that really hurt was not just the social care policy and | :38:55. | :38:57. | |
the manifesto that frankly panicked a lot of elderly Conservative | :38:58. | :39:03. | |
voters, it was probably largely due to the presentation not the actual | :39:04. | :39:08. | |
policy. It panicked her. And then she changed her mind. That idea that | :39:09. | :39:12. | |
she was stable, that she was resolute, but she had authority, was | :39:13. | :39:20. | |
hugely undermined by the fact she did a U-turn on manifesto within | :39:21. | :39:24. | |
days. That had never happened before. Secondly, the issue of | :39:25. | :39:28. | |
police cuts in the wake of the terror attacks came up the rails in | :39:29. | :39:34. | |
the closing days of the campaign. Just as you would normally expect | :39:35. | :39:40. | |
the Conservatives to respond, the electorate to respond more | :39:41. | :39:43. | |
positively to the Conservatives on security, traditionally a plus for | :39:44. | :39:47. | |
them, in reverse, it appears to have gone the other way. So again, on the | :39:48. | :39:53. | |
result and on the reaction of the campaign, a topsy-turvy election in | :39:54. | :39:59. | |
that sense. It was weird, the turnabout on the care for people in | :40:00. | :40:03. | |
their homes. It was absolutely clear reading the manifesto that what she | :40:04. | :40:08. | |
was saying was, you can keep your last ?100,000, but you will pay for | :40:09. | :40:13. | |
the rest of your care. There was no mention that you wouldn't have to | :40:14. | :40:18. | |
pay more than 70 5000. Yet when they suddenly said, we will put that in | :40:19. | :40:23. | |
so you can keep 100, and you won't have to pay more than 75, she just | :40:24. | :40:27. | |
couldn't bring herself to say it was a change. You say the old people may | :40:28. | :40:35. | |
not have been too worried but it was the fact that clearly everybody knew | :40:36. | :40:40. | |
she had changed her position. The public are much more forgiving than | :40:41. | :40:44. | |
Westminster. The concept of a U-turn. If you front up to it. In | :40:45. | :40:49. | |
human life, everybody makes mistakes, finally you put your hands | :40:50. | :40:53. | |
up and say, that is what happened. Theresa May stood there at repeated | :40:54. | :40:57. | |
press conferences, answering question after question, saying | :40:58. | :41:01. | |
nothing has changed, nothing has changed. We'll knew something had | :41:02. | :41:05. | |
changed. We reported it. The public completely knew something had | :41:06. | :41:09. | |
changed. That undermined her brand of not being like the rest. What is | :41:10. | :41:15. | |
it with this nick, Timothy and Fiona Hill, that they can take on one side | :41:16. | :41:20. | |
and say, don't give way, which is presumably what they were doing? | :41:21. | :41:25. | |
Presumably she will have felt that. They are a core trio that I worked | :41:26. | :41:30. | |
together for years. But to present her as not being able to make a | :41:31. | :41:34. | |
wrong mind up is not fair. In our last couple of years at the Home | :41:35. | :41:40. | |
Office, the to -- two of them had already left. The story is too | :41:41. | :41:44. | |
tempting to imagine as a politician having strings pulled by people | :41:45. | :41:48. | |
behind the scenes. The thing about Theresa May is she is extremely | :41:49. | :41:52. | |
self-contained. She doesn't trust people easily. Since she moved into | :41:53. | :41:56. | |
Number 10 people have been saying, she will have to broaden her circle. | :41:57. | :42:00. | |
You can run that kind of tight ship if you are in a department. At | :42:01. | :42:07. | |
Number 10, you have to be nimble. What we saw in this campaign, that | :42:08. | :42:11. | |
was the one thing Theresa May seemed not capable of doing, was being | :42:12. | :42:17. | |
nimble. The next 24-hour is she needs to survive. She is gone to | :42:18. | :42:20. | |
need to be nimble. I understand she has been talking the Tory staff. | :42:21. | :42:25. | |
Apparently her mood was calm, sombre. She didn't directly address | :42:26. | :42:30. | |
the issue of her future. She didn't say she was going to stay, we will | :42:31. | :42:35. | |
carry on together. The application of course not mentioning it is that | :42:36. | :42:41. | |
she hasn't made of her mind. -- made up her mind. I will come back to you | :42:42. | :42:50. | |
in a minute. This is a list of seats still to declare. Have a look at | :42:51. | :42:55. | |
this. The Tories have to win all of these bar one. All of these bar one. | :42:56. | :43:03. | |
There is the less. These are all being counted at the moment. They | :43:04. | :43:09. | |
have taken Devon West and torrid. They have to take all of them bar | :43:10. | :43:14. | |
one. If they lose two, it is a hung parliament. That is why we are | :43:15. | :43:22. | |
forecasting a hung parliament. What reaction have you got? Not just | :43:23. | :43:30. | |
social media. I am text on relentlessly. I text it | :43:31. | :43:35. | |
a former Tory minister, can she survived? I will not telling the | :43:36. | :43:40. | |
utilities. The response was, I doubt it. As Laura has been reporting and | :43:41. | :43:46. | |
discussing, this election was called about the single issue of Brexit. | :43:47. | :43:51. | |
Theresa May wanted a mandate to connect -- to negotiate with | :43:52. | :43:55. | |
conviction. It is clear looking at what we are seeing on social media | :43:56. | :44:02. | |
that people who backed Remain, they are very much emboldened. We have a | :44:03. | :44:08. | |
declaration from Ashfield. Gloria Del Piero, 21,000 285. Tony | :44:09. | :44:19. | |
Harper, Conservative Party, 20800 and 44. Green Party candidate, 398. | :44:20. | :44:34. | |
Putting people before politics, 4612. Ray Young, Ukip, for the | :44:35. | :44:51. | |
number of ballot papers rejected... Gloria Del Piera has been there | :44:52. | :44:56. | |
since 2010. A former political correspondent for television. Once | :44:57. | :45:01. | |
described as Tony Blair's favourite broadcaster. She has held onto | :45:02. | :45:04. | |
Ashfield. The previous majority was 8000. This is down in the hundreds. | :45:05. | :45:12. | |
But anywhere, Ashfield has been held. Ashfield in Nottinghamshire. | :45:13. | :45:27. | |
The Remainers, people like Ed Miliband, were meant to be | :45:28. | :45:32. | |
vanquished by this election. The idea was that by getting a big | :45:33. | :45:36. | |
mandate, Theresa merguez cover their ambitions. But actually, these guys | :45:37. | :45:41. | |
are massively happy about this result. Ed Miliband has put out a | :45:42. | :45:44. | |
message in the last hour saying, we know Theresa May can't now negotiate | :45:45. | :45:49. | |
Brexit for Britain because she told us losing a majority would destroy | :45:50. | :45:53. | |
her authority, and it has. Pretty brutal stuff from Ed Miliband. There | :45:54. | :46:00. | |
are lots of people who are almost celebrity opponents of Brexit. Simon | :46:01. | :46:03. | |
Schama, the historian, is one of them. He has put out a message | :46:04. | :46:08. | |
saying hard Brexit is dead ma May on life support. Democracy is alive and | :46:09. | :46:13. | |
kicking, a great thing. We are going to have lots of complex battles | :46:14. | :46:16. | |
inside the Conservative Party and the House of Commons over the next | :46:17. | :46:20. | |
few weeks, but that is not the only battle. The other 27 members of the | :46:21. | :46:24. | |
European Union will be looking at this result. I think they agreed | :46:25. | :46:28. | |
with Theresa May's analysis. Had she got a big increase in her majority, | :46:29. | :46:32. | |
she would have had a stronger bargaining position. Now it is much | :46:33. | :46:36. | |
weaker. Whoever runs the government over the next few weeks and months | :46:37. | :46:41. | |
will find it much harder to get any deal out of the other 27 members. | :46:42. | :46:52. | |
But if their mandate is weaker here, the strongest contingent in the | :46:53. | :46:54. | |
Conservative Party is the Eurosceptics. So with a weaker | :46:55. | :47:00. | |
mandate, there are potentially more likely to push her around and | :47:01. | :47:05. | |
therefore a hard Brexit could be back on the table. Let's hear from | :47:06. | :47:09. | |
the Conservative Party, a man who contended for the Conservative Party | :47:10. | :47:12. | |
leadership until he dropped out, Stephen Crabb, who has held his | :47:13. | :47:20. | |
Welsh seat by just over 300, down from 5000 or so. Thank you for | :47:21. | :47:25. | |
joining us. Tell us what you think of the state of affairs for your | :47:26. | :47:29. | |
party and which direction it should now go in? I have not been able to | :47:30. | :47:36. | |
follow the full unfolding results or what the current state of the | :47:37. | :47:41. | |
arithmetic is of what the new parliament will be but clearly, | :47:42. | :47:45. | |
something has gone awry here. We set out on this election campaign | :47:46. | :47:48. | |
wanting to provide the country with more stability and more unity ahead | :47:49. | :47:51. | |
of the Brexit negotiations, and we are emerging with a situation in | :47:52. | :47:55. | |
parliament where there are more divisions and less stability. So we | :47:56. | :48:00. | |
clearly need to take stock of what has gone on and think about what | :48:01. | :48:05. | |
these big overarching challenges with the Brexit negotiations, and | :48:06. | :48:07. | |
take time to rethink what the correct approach is in the national | :48:08. | :48:11. | |
interest. Can the Prime Minister hang on? Is absolutely she can. I | :48:12. | :48:18. | |
don't know what the current state of affairs is with the number of seats | :48:19. | :48:24. | |
being won, but if she is the leader of the largest party, there is a | :48:25. | :48:26. | |
duty upon her as Prime Minister to seek to form a viable government. | :48:27. | :48:32. | |
The last thing we should be doing right now while the election results | :48:33. | :48:36. | |
are still coming in, is called for more political turbulence and knee | :48:37. | :48:40. | |
jerk decisions. We need to be calm about this. Theresa May clearly | :48:41. | :48:47. | |
understands the seriousness of the situation. But we should avoid hasty | :48:48. | :48:51. | |
decisions that add to the instability. Leaving aside the | :48:52. | :48:56. | |
leadership, in terms of policy, you are stored Remainer -- a staunch | :48:57. | :49:03. | |
Remainer. You don't want to see Britain leave the EU in difficult | :49:04. | :49:09. | |
circumstances and go into the World Trade Organisation. Do you think | :49:10. | :49:14. | |
this election will have a salutary effect on the decisions that are | :49:15. | :49:22. | |
made about Brexit as a Remainer? Well, I voted for Remain, but I | :49:23. | :49:25. | |
understood the result of the referendum last year and recognised | :49:26. | :49:30. | |
the need to strike a pragmatic and realistic Brexit position. I think | :49:31. | :49:36. | |
it is important to avoid falling back on this hard edge Brexit | :49:37. | :49:41. | |
relying on World Trade Organisation rules. And yes, one of the messages | :49:42. | :49:44. | |
from the results tonight will be that the government needs to seek a | :49:45. | :49:50. | |
balanced, pragmatic approach, strike that deal with the European Union if | :49:51. | :49:55. | |
we can. Ideally, given that it is unlikely that there will be one | :49:56. | :49:58. | |
party with an overall majority, we need to be trying to forge as much | :49:59. | :50:04. | |
cross-party consensus on this as possible. Stephen Crabb, thank you. | :50:05. | :50:07. | |
While you were talking, we were watching Zac Goldsmith at Richmond | :50:08. | :50:12. | |
Park, where there appear to have been two recounts. He is looking | :50:13. | :50:16. | |
very chirpy. That is him, the blond fellow in the background, who is | :50:17. | :50:19. | |
fighting the Conservative cause against the Liberal Democrats, who | :50:20. | :50:26. | |
took over his seat in a by-election. Let's hear from our reporter there | :50:27. | :50:37. | |
if we can. We can't. So we will leave him there, mulling over | :50:38. | :50:40. | |
whatever it is that has happened, and go to North East Fife. It is | :50:41. | :50:45. | |
difficult to interpret people's faces. And we have lost North East | :50:46. | :50:50. | |
Fife as well. But I'm sure everyone will come back in time. So we have a | :50:51. | :50:59. | |
hung parliament, we think. 20 seats to go now and the Tories are on 306. | :51:00. | :51:10. | |
We think they will end up at 318. Is it time to remind ourselves of what | :51:11. | :51:16. | |
happens with a hung parliament? I am sure it is. The technical rules. Who | :51:17. | :51:22. | |
governs while it is resolved? The incumbent Prime Minister is still in | :51:23. | :51:27. | |
office. Whatever happens with the Tory party, the government in power | :51:28. | :51:32. | |
gets the first chance to form a government. If they can't do that | :51:33. | :51:38. | |
and they try to put something forward to the Commons and it fails, | :51:39. | :51:41. | |
then the Prime Minister has to resign. We may not get to that | :51:42. | :51:45. | |
territory. We will have to leave your lecture. We are going to | :51:46. | :52:04. | |
Southampton. The Conservative candidate, 16006. If Labour hold | :52:05. | :52:15. | |
this one, it is a hung parliament. Independent, 680. | :52:16. | :52:26. | |
Southampton independent, 716. Labour Party, 27509. That is it. He has | :52:27. | :52:39. | |
increased his agility, so it is a hung parliament. The Tories had to | :52:40. | :52:43. | |
take that one if they were to have any chance of reaching 326. They now | :52:44. | :52:48. | |
don't. We forecast a hung parliament and it now is a hung parliament. | :52:49. | :52:52. | |
This is the official moment where we can say Theresa May's gamble has | :52:53. | :52:57. | |
spectacularly backfired. She has lost the majority she inherited from | :52:58. | :53:02. | |
David Cameron. She herself is in a vulnerable position at a time when | :53:03. | :53:07. | |
whoever is in charge faces the most competitive political task in | :53:08. | :53:12. | |
decades. Astonishing. You can go back to reading your rules. So the | :53:13. | :53:20. | |
Prime Minister is still entitled. Does she go to the palace? No. I | :53:21. | :53:30. | |
think she still will go to the palace. There still has to be a | :53:31. | :53:33. | |
formal request after a general election. Then she goes back to the | :53:34. | :53:37. | |
House of Commons. A vote of confidence then? That would be up to | :53:38. | :53:44. | |
the 1922 committee. But what will she do as Prime Minister? The first | :53:45. | :53:49. | |
move would be to put forward what she plans to do. Parliament State | :53:50. | :53:56. | |
opening is on the 19th of June, so she would try to put forward a | :53:57. | :53:59. | |
Queen's Speech and essentially dare the other parties to vote you down. | :54:00. | :54:04. | |
It may be that things are moving so fast that we might not get there but | :54:05. | :54:07. | |
technically, the largest party is entitled to put forward a Queen's | :54:08. | :54:10. | |
Speech and see what the other parties make of it. On these | :54:11. | :54:13. | |
numbers, it may be that if Theresa May makes it through the Tory | :54:14. | :54:21. | |
grinder, her Queen's Speech would go through and then she could carry on, | :54:22. | :54:28. | |
albeit very much damaged but still in charge. But it is too | :54:29. | :54:36. | |
straightforward to say she has to get it through Parliament, because | :54:37. | :54:40. | |
the opposition parties might not want to force another election now | :54:41. | :54:47. | |
or form another government. So they can call back or abstain. They can | :54:48. | :54:53. | |
do all sorts of things. Let her stew in her own juice for a bit. She has | :54:54. | :54:59. | |
already voiced that up on her own petard. There we go, two analogies! | :55:00. | :55:07. | |
The rules create the backdrop of all of this. But the political mood is | :55:08. | :55:14. | |
more important. Where there is a will, there's a way. If the party | :55:15. | :55:20. | |
allows her to stay and she wants to carry on when she's so damaged, then | :55:21. | :55:25. | |
maybe she can. But somebody in 11 days' time has to go and speak to Mr | :55:26. | :55:33. | |
Barnier about leaving. So who does that? If Theresa May stays on, you | :55:34. | :55:36. | |
would assume it would be David Davis, if he doesn't get moved to | :55:37. | :55:40. | |
another job. But it would be an astonishing thing where whoever it | :55:41. | :55:44. | |
is turned up opposing the other 27 countries around the table. Emily | :55:45. | :55:51. | |
has more results for us. We know it is now a hung parliament, but let's | :55:52. | :55:55. | |
see what has come in. I wonder if we are starting to feel the pace of the | :55:56. | :56:00. | |
shy Remainer in these results. This is Chipping Barnet, a north London | :56:01. | :56:05. | |
suburb by showing that although Theresa Villiers has kept the seat, | :56:06. | :56:10. | |
look at the swing, again away from her towards Labour of 6.9%. Same | :56:11. | :56:17. | |
sort of direction as the one we saw with Justine Greening in Putney. | :56:18. | :56:25. | |
They are holding on here. Dumfriesshire is the one that has | :56:26. | :56:38. | |
been held for the Conservatives. It does start to look like a rejection | :56:39. | :56:44. | |
of independence, whether you are talking about the Scottish | :56:45. | :56:50. | |
referendum, or maybe a start of the shy Remain vote in England. We have | :56:51. | :56:55. | |
seen some extraordinary swings in Scotland on a summer of 20%. This is | :56:56. | :57:00. | |
not as big, but it is still pretty hefty, and 11 point swing towards | :57:01. | :57:09. | |
the Conservatives away from the SNP. Even when you see the old, let's | :57:10. | :57:19. | |
look at the change. The Ukip vote is again deeply down, Labour making | :57:20. | :57:24. | |
those gains which holds the seat for the Conservatives. In Scotland, we | :57:25. | :57:29. | |
are seeing a real rejection of independence, with all the parties | :57:30. | :57:32. | |
taking away from the SNP. Will we start to interpret the same sort of | :57:33. | :57:37. | |
movement in some of the gains that Labour is making from the | :57:38. | :57:41. | |
Conservatives? So it could be that one of the effects of this election | :57:42. | :57:46. | |
will be to give hope to the 48% who voted Remain in the referendum last | :57:47. | :57:49. | |
summer? They will think there is now something to play for again. You | :57:50. | :57:54. | |
have heard the Remainers saying the 48% felt forgotten. Perhaps over the | :57:55. | :58:03. | |
course of this year, the Remainers are the ones who have felt their | :58:04. | :58:06. | |
voice was ignored and it is starting to come through. This is the voice | :58:07. | :58:15. | |
of the shy Remainers, but they have not decamped en masse to the Lib | :58:16. | :58:19. | |
Dems. It was the Lib Dem strategy to relentless target the 40% in the | :58:20. | :58:22. | |
hope that they would all come over to the yellow column, but that has | :58:23. | :58:34. | |
not happened, interestingly. Well, the 326 seats that the Tories needed | :58:35. | :58:39. | |
if they were to have a majority, even a minuscule one, is now | :58:40. | :58:44. | |
impossible. So it is a hung parliament. The Conservatives have | :58:45. | :58:52. | |
309 seats. Labour 258. There is no way the Conservatives can go to 326. | :58:53. | :59:00. | |
That is how it is at the moment. We have not shown the other parties. I | :59:01. | :59:08. | |
don't think we have even mentioned whether the Green Party won in | :59:09. | :59:11. | |
Brighton. We are still waiting for that result, Caroline Lucas. That is | :59:12. | :59:18. | |
how things are. It is a hung parliament, and that's the story. | :59:19. | :59:22. | |
And it has taken us from ten o'clock, when it was quite | :59:23. | :59:26. | |
astonishing to get the exit poll, to now, just before six o'clock, to be | :59:27. | :59:32. | |
certain that that is how things are. Peter. In the light of the | :59:33. | :59:38. | |
referendum a year ago, Scotland was doing one thing, London was doing | :59:39. | :59:42. | |
one thing, and the rest of England and Wales. It is like that tonight. | :59:43. | :59:46. | |
These three quite different operations. Scotland, a massive | :59:47. | :59:50. | |
swing from SNP to Conservative. In a huge swing to Labour, especially in | :59:51. | :59:56. | |
the Tory marginals. The rest of England and Wales, a small swing to | :59:57. | :00:00. | |
Labour. So once again, the shadow of Brexit and the referendum is telling | :00:01. | :00:07. | |
in these results. A while ago, Southgate went back to Labour. The | :00:08. | :00:11. | |
remarkable thing is that it was actually in line with all the other | :00:12. | :00:14. | |
Conservative marginals in London. The surprising thing is that it was | :00:15. | :00:17. | |
not a surprise in terms of what was happening in London tonight. | :00:18. | :00:22. | |
Cordova it is six o'clock and some of you will have had your alarm | :00:23. | :00:28. | |
clocks winging in your ear. You will be will wanting to know what | :00:29. | :00:37. | |
happened. The news from the Election Centre, it is a hung parliament. | :00:38. | :00:41. | |
Theresa May, having gone to get what she called certainty and stability | :00:42. | :00:47. | |
for the years ahead, has totally failed. She had a majority of 17 | :00:48. | :00:52. | |
when this election was called a few weeks back, she now doesn't have a | :00:53. | :00:57. | |
majority at all. From her point of view, it's a total disaster. It was | :00:58. | :01:03. | |
a call she made and it fell flat. That's how things are. For the next | :01:04. | :01:07. | |
hour and the rest of the day, we will discuss the ramifications. All | :01:08. | :01:11. | |
sorts of ramifications, whether she stays on this, what happens on | :01:12. | :01:18. | |
policy. 11 days from now, we have to start discussing with EU the terms | :01:19. | :01:22. | |
of Brexit. If you are yawning and about to do your morning exercises, | :01:23. | :01:24. | |
that is the news for you. Up here with me, two people whose | :01:25. | :01:33. | |
job it is to decipher these messages into newsprint and onto the | :01:34. | :01:34. | |
airwaves. Let's start with the point a moment | :01:35. | :01:43. | |
ago, Andrew, do you think this was the voice of the shy Remainer coming | :01:44. | :01:49. | |
back? I said earlier I thought there was an element of the angry Remainer | :01:50. | :01:54. | |
who had been ignored for most of the campaign, expressing itself in some | :01:55. | :01:58. | |
of the results. There is a lot to this result, but the big headline is | :01:59. | :02:03. | |
this is the most stunning reversal of fortunes. Just a month ago, the | :02:04. | :02:07. | |
local elections, it now appears to be the Jurassic in love. Labour was | :02:08. | :02:11. | |
absolutely hammered at those elections. -- the Jurassic era. Fast | :02:12. | :02:21. | |
forward now, stunningly better results for Jeremy Corbyn, when most | :02:22. | :02:25. | |
expected, including me, and most of his MPs... Some of that is obviously | :02:26. | :02:30. | |
down to the dreadful Conservative campaign, but credit where it is | :02:31. | :02:36. | |
due, Labour has run a very effective campaign, confounding so many | :02:37. | :02:40. | |
expectations. Until a minute to ten last night, many Labour MPs were | :02:41. | :02:44. | |
waiting to come out anticipating a dreadful drubbing. Some who have | :02:45. | :02:48. | |
appeared on this programme over the course of the evening, perhaps | :02:49. | :02:53. | |
preparing to launch leadership campaigns. All that is for the birds | :02:54. | :02:58. | |
now. What do you think this was about? I think we are all going to | :02:59. | :03:04. | |
concentrate on Theresa May falling short in her gamble, but we should | :03:05. | :03:09. | |
not miss the big driver, that Jeremy Corbyn did vastly better than people | :03:10. | :03:14. | |
expected and had analysed. His idea was Ed Miliband did not energise | :03:15. | :03:20. | |
people beyond the ordinary people who vote in elections, and we can do | :03:21. | :03:25. | |
that with a new message. Everybody outside their group thought that was | :03:26. | :03:28. | |
an eccentric theory, it wouldn't happen. They were right, we were | :03:29. | :03:34. | |
wrong. That is one of the big drivers of the election. People | :03:35. | :03:38. | |
thought Labour would get 30%, it got above 40%. No one saw that coming. | :03:39. | :03:44. | |
That is a bigger feature of the election. Why would that happen? One | :03:45. | :03:50. | |
of the reasons is obviously Remain versus Leave. When David | :03:51. | :04:11. | |
Cameron had the election in 2015, real income growth was going up. Now | :04:12. | :04:15. | |
it is going down. Everything political science tells you, you | :04:16. | :04:17. | |
have to make the election about something else. She tried to make it | :04:18. | :04:19. | |
about the Brexit negotiations, but it ended up being a lot about | :04:20. | :04:22. | |
austerity. Not an election winning number of voters for Labour. Mr | :04:23. | :04:24. | |
Corbyn and his team were right, they seem to have been proved correct in | :04:25. | :04:27. | |
attaching onto the idea that after seven years, a lot of the public is | :04:28. | :04:34. | |
heartily sick of austerity. Even if they did not think plausible the | :04:35. | :04:39. | |
whole Labour programme... Is it a campaign when not much could have | :04:40. | :04:45. | |
been done? It is worth noting Labour did not actually win the election. | :04:46. | :04:53. | |
The really interesting question is, is there a way of taking the | :04:54. | :04:56. | |
excitement Jeremy Corbyn brings to the campaign and linking it with | :04:57. | :05:01. | |
feeling they could actually govern, which would then produce the extra | :05:02. | :05:06. | |
votes that would allow them to actually win a majority themselves? | :05:07. | :05:09. | |
Because it is important not to be carried away by expectations and | :05:10. | :05:13. | |
think that Labour won the election. In circumstances where the economy | :05:14. | :05:17. | |
was going backwards and there was a Remain feeling, of course they fall | :05:18. | :05:22. | |
short, so we need to analyse that too. What are you hearing from | :05:23. | :05:26. | |
within the party about Theresa May's future? Because everyone is busy, I | :05:27. | :05:32. | |
am not hearing one way or another, but if you fight an election because | :05:33. | :05:35. | |
you want a mandate and you don't get a mandate, that puts your position | :05:36. | :05:39. | |
in question. The problem for the Conservative Party is there is no | :05:40. | :05:43. | |
majority in the Conservative Party that would then command a majority | :05:44. | :05:50. | |
on Brexit in the Commons, and in the Lords actually. Where they would go | :05:51. | :05:52. | |
and where the Conservative Party would go is different. The | :05:53. | :05:55. | |
leadership on a platform to govern... There is also the personal | :05:56. | :06:02. | |
factor with Mrs May. I have watched other Prime Ministers go through | :06:03. | :06:08. | |
this. David Cameron said before the referendum result he would not | :06:09. | :06:12. | |
resign as Prime Minister. He woke up and realised the loss of authority | :06:13. | :06:18. | |
and that he could not carry on plausibly in those circumstances. | :06:19. | :06:21. | |
She will obviously be considering, the people closest to her, most of | :06:22. | :06:26. | |
all her husband... If enough of them want me to carry on, would it be | :06:27. | :06:30. | |
worth it? Having tried to sell myself in this way and been rejected | :06:31. | :06:36. | |
by the people, do I want to try and go hand to mouth, knowing that a lot | :06:37. | :06:40. | |
of my party are absolutely furious with me, having to cut day by day | :06:41. | :06:45. | |
deals with the Ulster Unionists? I wonder. Thank you. | :06:46. | :06:51. | |
Let's turn to the Green Party. They have in effect only one candidate | :06:52. | :07:00. | |
with a chance of winning. It is of course Caroline Lucas, co-leader of | :07:01. | :07:05. | |
the Greens in Brighton Pavilion. Worth thinking for a moment for | :07:06. | :07:10. | |
those people who voted Green, if she does get in, we will get the result | :07:11. | :07:15. | |
in a moment, over half a million people voted Green, so she | :07:16. | :07:19. | |
represents half a million of the electorate. 13 million voted | :07:20. | :07:26. | |
Conservative and they get 310 seats. 12.5 million voted Labour and they | :07:27. | :07:34. | |
get 258. The Lib Dems get 12. Under half a million, the SNP get 34. Over | :07:35. | :07:42. | |
half a million and the Greens get one. Worth reflecting on. Let's get | :07:43. | :07:46. | |
the result from Brighton Pavilion and see whether she did actually to | :07:47. | :07:49. | |
represent... The Brighton Boolean constituency is | :07:50. | :08:06. | |
as follows. Ian Buchanan, 630, Ukip. Solomon Curtis, Labour Party... | :08:07. | :08:22. | |
Caroline Lucas, Green Party, 30,149. Emma Warman, Conservatives... The | :08:23. | :08:28. | |
number of other papers rejected were as follows. Mark identifying vote, | :08:29. | :08:39. | |
three. Unmarked, 133. The total rejected votes come 154. So Caroline | :08:40. | :08:46. | |
Lucas has increased her majority. She is up by 6722. A majority of | :08:47. | :08:57. | |
nearly 15,000. Here she is, the co-leader of the Green Party. Thank | :08:58. | :09:02. | |
you so much to the returning officer and his amazing staff tonight. Thank | :09:03. | :09:06. | |
you to the other candidates. Thank you to my really amazing campaign | :09:07. | :09:10. | |
team and the Legion of volunteers who did so much in this campaign. | :09:11. | :09:15. | |
Going well beyond the call of duty. I want to say a huge thank you to | :09:16. | :09:24. | |
Matt, Gabriel, my campaign manager and my agent, you have been so | :09:25. | :09:29. | |
fantastic. Thank you so much. Thank you to my amazing family, as ever, | :09:30. | :09:32. | |
always with me every step of the way. And most of all, thank you to | :09:33. | :09:37. | |
the wonderful people of Brighton Pavilion, whom it has been such an | :09:38. | :09:41. | |
honour and privilege to serve. Thank you for putting your faith in me | :09:42. | :09:46. | |
again. Caroline Lucas, winning her seat in Brighton Pavilion again. At | :09:47. | :09:56. | |
6.10, time for some news. Dawn has broken. A fine day. And my goodness, | :09:57. | :10:02. | |
down there in those few square miles around Westminster, the people | :10:03. | :10:08. | |
coming back, the people in Downing Street, the people in Tory party | :10:09. | :10:14. | |
head office, the Labour Party offices, yak yak yak, trying to | :10:15. | :10:19. | |
decide what on earth to do. All of our BBC yak gag yakkers will be | :10:20. | :10:25. | |
going down there, including Laura Kuenssberg. Not quite yet, but | :10:26. | :10:33. | |
shortly. At some point, we expect Theresa May to come out. I'm not | :10:34. | :10:38. | |
sure whether she is back in there already, but it is on mornings like | :10:39. | :10:43. | |
this that back entrances to official buildings come into their own. | :10:44. | :10:49. | |
Waving from the window... John Major in defeat was televised | :10:50. | :10:58. | |
making a live speech to staff, a gracious speech, when he lost in | :10:59. | :11:04. | |
1997. It's normal to go back to Central office. It's not normal to | :11:05. | :11:07. | |
be completely hidden away. Westminster Abbey, the end east | :11:08. | :11:14. | |
there, and the Union Flag flying over the House of lords. -- the East | :11:15. | :11:18. | |
end there. Let us not be deflected any further | :11:19. | :11:30. | |
by the beauty of this scene of London and the dawn, and let's | :11:31. | :11:33. | |
instead have the latest news. With Louise Minchin. | :11:34. | :11:38. | |
Theresa May's decision to call a snap general | :11:39. | :11:42. | |
election has backfired, and there will be a hung parliament. | :11:43. | :11:45. | |
With only a handful of seats left to declare, the Conservatives have | :11:46. | :11:48. | |
Labour has done better than expected in the general election, | :11:49. | :11:54. | |
and Jeremy Corbyn has called for Theresa May to resign. | :11:55. | :11:56. | |
The Prime Minister says the country needs stability. | :11:57. | :11:59. | |
The night saw both Alex Salmond and Nick Clegg lose their seats. | :12:00. | :12:02. | |
Our political correspondent Tom Bateman's report | :12:03. | :12:04. | |
A political gamble - the hope that she would transform | :12:05. | :12:15. | |
the Tories' fragile advantage in Parliament with a huge win. | :12:16. | :12:19. | |
But the smiles of the campaign trail have vanished. | :12:20. | :12:23. | |
Forecasts suggest the Conservatives may end up even worse off, | :12:24. | :12:25. | |
If, as the indications have shown, if this is correct, | :12:26. | :12:32. | |
that the Conservative Party has won the most seats, and probably | :12:33. | :12:35. | |
the most votes, then it will be incumbent on us to ensure we have | :12:36. | :12:40. | |
that period of stability, and that is what we will do. | :12:41. | :12:45. | |
And you can see what the Labour leader makes | :12:46. | :12:48. | |
A man whose campaign confounded many expectations. | :12:49. | :12:53. | |
Beaming smiles, with Labour on course for a far better | :12:54. | :12:56. | |
The Prime Minister called the election because | :12:57. | :13:01. | |
Well, the mandate she's got is lost Conservative seats, | :13:02. | :13:07. | |
lost votes, lost support, and lost confidence. | :13:08. | :13:11. | |
I would have thought that is enough to go, actually. | :13:12. | :13:15. | |
In Battersea, Labour have ousted a government | :13:16. | :13:18. | |
There have been Labour gains elsewhere - in Stockton South | :13:19. | :13:24. | |
from the Conservatives, and in Scotland, | :13:25. | :13:27. | |
And just look at the mood during the count in Hastings. Home Secretary | :13:28. | :13:39. | |
Amber Rudd only just scraped home by 346 votes. It's not just the Tories | :13:40. | :13:44. | |
suffering. In Sheffield, the Lib Dem's former | :13:45. | :13:47. | |
leader Nick Clegg has lost his seat. I, of course, have encountered this | :13:48. | :13:50. | |
evening something that many people have encountered before tonight, | :13:51. | :13:52. | |
and I suspect many people will encounter after tonight, | :13:53. | :13:55. | |
which is in politics you live by the sword and you | :13:56. | :13:57. | |
die by the sword. The night began with | :13:58. | :14:01. | |
a projection - the exit poll. This morning, with most seats | :14:02. | :14:13. | |
counted, the BBC forecast has the Conservatives as the largest party | :14:14. | :14:17. | |
but short of an overall majority. Labour are on course to increase | :14:18. | :14:22. | |
their number of seats by around 30. The SNP have lost big names on a | :14:23. | :14:27. | |
disappointing night compared with their Scottish landslide two years | :14:28. | :14:30. | |
ago. Angus Robertson was ousted by the Conservatives, and their former | :14:31. | :14:34. | |
leader Alex Salmond lost his seat too. One of Theresa May's own MPs is | :14:35. | :14:41. | |
laying the blame on her. She is in a very difficult place. She is a | :14:42. | :14:44. | |
remarkable, talented woman and she does not shy from difficult | :14:45. | :14:47. | |
decisions but she has to consider her position. Democracy has been on | :14:48. | :14:54. | |
full show. So have the upsets. Now an unpredictable journey for Theresa | :14:55. | :14:59. | |
May as dawn breaks on renewed political uncertainty. As she | :15:00. | :15:03. | |
arrives at her party HQ, she knows there are those saying this result | :15:04. | :15:07. | |
should bring the end of the road for a Premiership. The seating | :15:08. | :15:10. | |
arrangement in this place has changed significantly, or because | :15:11. | :15:14. | |
Theresa May asked you to decide. Now she has the answer. | :15:15. | :15:24. | |
The pound has fallen sharply, as traders react to the results. A | :15:25. | :15:35. | |
clearer picture of the markets will continue to emerge when trading | :15:36. | :15:40. | |
opens across Europe. In other news, 1-1 is investigating the terror | :15:41. | :15:43. | |
attack at London Bridge in which eight people died have made another | :15:44. | :15:47. | |
arrest. A 29-year-old man was detained in east London, bringing | :15:48. | :15:53. | |
the total number of people in custody to five. 12 others were | :15:54. | :15:56. | |
released without charge. The Trump administration has denied | :15:57. | :16:12. | |
allegations by James Comey that the president tried to impede an | :16:13. | :16:15. | |
investigation into last year's presidential election. Mr Trump's | :16:16. | :16:20. | |
lawyers said the testimony finally confirm publicly that the president | :16:21. | :16:22. | |
was not under investigation. He has also called for Mr Comey | :16:23. | :16:28. | |
to be prosecuted for leaking Mr Comey has now admitted that he is | :16:29. | :16:46. | |
one of these leakers. He has now admitted that he unilaterally and | :16:47. | :16:51. | |
surreptitiously made unauthorised disclosure to the press. Back to | :16:52. | :16:57. | |
election news in a couple of moments, after an update on the | :16:58. | :17:00. | |
weather, with Matt Taylor. Good morning. | :17:01. | :17:05. | |
Good morning. Overall, a sunny story for most of you today. But you might | :17:06. | :17:09. | |
need your umbrella just in case, there will be some chicks in the | :17:10. | :17:17. | |
forecast. The showers will be moving eastwards during the day. But some | :17:18. | :17:28. | |
gaps in between the showers. With a bit more sunshine then yesterday, it | :17:29. | :17:31. | |
will probably feel just a touch warmer. Tonight, temperatures will | :17:32. | :17:35. | |
hold up, with cloud spilling in once again. That will be bringing rain | :17:36. | :17:40. | |
into many areas for the start of Saturday. The driest and brightest | :17:41. | :17:49. | |
of the weather will be across parts of the Midlands, East Anglia and the | :17:50. | :17:51. | |
south-east of England. Quite a humid day tomorrow. Sunday, driest again | :17:52. | :17:58. | |
in the south-east corner. Further north and west, it will feel a | :17:59. | :18:03. | |
little bit cooler. Time now to hand you back to David Dimbleby. | :18:04. | :18:17. | |
Welcome back. Where is the Prime Minister, and what is she up to? Ben | :18:18. | :18:24. | |
Wright is outside Tory party headquarters. Good morning. Good | :18:25. | :18:34. | |
morning. We believe she is now in No 10, having spent quite a long time | :18:35. | :18:38. | |
here at Tory HQ mulling over what to do next. She did talk to Tory | :18:39. | :18:45. | |
staffers just before she left and I understand she said things would be | :18:46. | :18:50. | |
different, but the Tories would continue to be a party which works | :18:51. | :18:53. | |
for everyone. I am told there was no mention about her own intentions, | :18:54. | :18:57. | |
weather she will stay or go. One source in there told me that her | :18:58. | :19:04. | |
mood was down, sombre but calm. I'm told that she has left here and gone | :19:05. | :19:09. | |
to Downing Street. There are a. Of Tory party staffers trudging out, | :19:10. | :19:12. | |
looking pretty desolate. They thought this would be a morning of | :19:13. | :19:17. | |
jubilation and celebration. I was with the Tory battle bus this week, | :19:18. | :19:22. | |
going around Labour held seats which they thought would all be turning | :19:23. | :19:25. | |
blue this morning. None of them were expecting this. Things will change, | :19:26. | :19:31. | |
meaning...? Laura Kuenssberg has been talking about, she would have | :19:32. | :19:36. | |
to change the way she does things - could that be what she meant, or | :19:37. | :19:41. | |
could it mean, you may not have me around any more? I think it is more | :19:42. | :19:48. | |
likely to be the former. She will be well aware that as this campaign has | :19:49. | :19:52. | |
progressed, there have been a growing degree of frustration and | :19:53. | :19:57. | |
anger I think within Tory party ranks, the Parliamentary | :19:58. | :20:00. | |
Conservative ranks, about how she runs the show, how this campaign was | :20:01. | :20:04. | |
conducted, I think there is real anger not just about social care and | :20:05. | :20:07. | |
how that policy unravelled within a couple of days and had to be | :20:08. | :20:11. | |
amended, but also the offerings on tensions, benefits, on the triple | :20:12. | :20:18. | |
lock, on the repeated mantra that all Britain needed was strong and | :20:19. | :20:21. | |
stable leadership, a campaign built entirely around Theresa May. There | :20:22. | :20:25. | |
was a lot of disquiet, particularly in the last couple of weeks, about | :20:26. | :20:29. | |
how this campaign had been wrong and what it said about how Theresa May | :20:30. | :20:33. | |
runs her inner circle. I think there had already been demands for that to | :20:34. | :20:39. | |
change. Had she won this election comfortably and carried on as Prime | :20:40. | :20:42. | |
Minister in the months and years ahead, I think she would have been | :20:43. | :20:45. | |
forced to make some changes on that front. That might be watching was | :20:46. | :20:50. | |
referring to. You say you were on the campaign bus, and I know there | :20:51. | :20:54. | |
was a lot of talk about, for instance, Jeremy Corbyn would go and | :20:55. | :20:59. | |
speak to 1000 people, or 2000 people, and she would go into an | :21:00. | :21:04. | |
empty factory, where 12 workers were brought out to listen to her - was | :21:05. | :21:08. | |
it actually like that, is that how it felt, that she wasn't making any | :21:09. | :21:14. | |
real eye contact with people, wasn't arguing her case, was keeping away | :21:15. | :21:21. | |
from the crowds? Not entirely fair. I went to some of the factory | :21:22. | :21:24. | |
visits, where often the workers in these places were given no clue as | :21:25. | :21:31. | |
to who was about to turn up, they were just told a VIP was about to | :21:32. | :21:35. | |
appear, and they were quite stand to see the Prime Minister. She would | :21:36. | :21:39. | |
then stay for up to half an hour, taking any questions they wanted to | :21:40. | :21:43. | |
ask. When you are in the workplace setting, it is a bit odd quizzing | :21:44. | :21:46. | |
the Prime Minister with no notice of. But there was a degree of | :21:47. | :21:50. | |
interaction. What there wasn't was any of the colour and Carnival and | :21:51. | :21:54. | |
the mass rallies that we saw from Jeremy Corbyn. The Tory campaign was | :21:55. | :22:00. | |
entirely different. On the whole, Theresa May made the same short | :22:01. | :22:05. | |
speech to 100, that's 200 Tory activists who had been bussed into a | :22:06. | :22:09. | |
venue, with messages given to them by Tory party staffers, and it was | :22:10. | :22:15. | |
often white hard to find a pulse on this Tory campaign. It was not | :22:16. | :22:19. | |
exciting, it was just a robotic thing, driven, rammed home message, | :22:20. | :22:26. | |
which did not change, really, join the campaign. I think they will feel | :22:27. | :22:30. | |
it did the job in terms of getting the message onto the television | :22:31. | :22:33. | |
screens, that was what the campaign was about. It was only in the last | :22:34. | :22:38. | |
couple of days that it had some feel of a general election campaign, it | :22:39. | :22:41. | |
had more pace, there were rallies where Theresa May became more | :22:42. | :22:45. | |
animated. But it felt a strange campaign inside the bubble of it. | :22:46. | :22:51. | |
Interesting picking up on what Ben Wright was saying, inevitably, the | :22:52. | :22:55. | |
blame game inside Tory headquarters has already started. This campaign, | :22:56. | :23:02. | |
like the previous ones, was run by Lynton Crosby, the Australian | :23:03. | :23:07. | |
suppose it my stroke. Sources inside Tory HQ are telling me that Crosby's | :23:08. | :23:13. | |
team did not understand Theresa May. They did not get her, they did not | :23:14. | :23:18. | |
understand her. They walked in with their prepared attack lines about | :23:19. | :23:22. | |
the coalition of chaos, and strong and stable... And then what was | :23:23. | :23:27. | |
describes me as sensible people who knew Theresa May asked for changes | :23:28. | :23:31. | |
in species and told Crosby that the strong and stable slogan had become | :23:32. | :23:35. | |
a joke, all those suggestions were basically pushed out. Of course, | :23:36. | :23:41. | |
everybody is now trying to rewrite history and saying, of course I said | :23:42. | :23:45. | |
it was going to be a disaster! But it seems the public have rejected | :23:46. | :23:49. | |
that much more controlled kind of campaigning, very similar to what | :23:50. | :23:53. | |
David Cameron did. Theresa May did not play it any different to what | :23:54. | :23:59. | |
David Cameron did under Lynton Crosby. But it seems that model did | :24:00. | :24:03. | |
not fit for her, a very different kind of politician, and that kind of | :24:04. | :24:09. | |
campaign just didn't work. Kamal Ahmed, very briefly, and I will come | :24:10. | :24:13. | |
back to you for the wider implications - Stirling, what has | :24:14. | :24:17. | |
happened, can you afford to go on holiday any more? Just about, David, | :24:18. | :24:21. | |
I'm sure you will be able to afford it. I was asking on behalf of the | :24:22. | :24:27. | |
US! We were here on Brexit night, and the market has once again shown | :24:28. | :24:30. | |
its unerring ability to misjudge election outcomes. The market was | :24:31. | :24:36. | |
positioned for a pretty solid Theresa May majority. That didn't | :24:37. | :24:41. | |
happen. From the moment of the exit poll, Stirling has been weak, it has | :24:42. | :24:49. | |
fallen by up to 2%. It has slightly rallied. But if we think about where | :24:50. | :24:54. | |
the economy is, when politics hits the uncertainty button, the economy | :24:55. | :25:01. | |
keeps going. Real incomes are still falling, rove has slowed down, and | :25:02. | :25:05. | |
now the uncertainty around the direction of travel for the | :25:06. | :25:08. | |
Government on tackling these big economic issues has only increased, | :25:09. | :25:14. | |
overlaid on the Brexit issue and how the Government is going to negotiate | :25:15. | :25:18. | |
with Europe in this tight time frame. That is going to mean a | :25:19. | :25:21. | |
weaker pound, investors being more nervous about the UK. At the same | :25:22. | :25:26. | |
time as, in the Eurozone, for example, growth has increased, and | :25:27. | :25:35. | |
in America, growth is coming back. And so, for investors, they have got | :25:36. | :25:41. | |
options, where they put their money. Lowball capital is global capital. | :25:42. | :25:44. | |
And that will be the worry for investors and businesses in the UK | :25:45. | :25:49. | |
about, we have this period of uncertainty, overlaid on Brexit, | :25:50. | :25:53. | |
that is only going to cause the UK economy more problems, and those | :25:54. | :25:56. | |
deep-seated problems, like real incomes falling will not be tackled | :25:57. | :26:00. | |
by the Government, because the Government will not be clear on what | :26:01. | :26:04. | |
its political approach will be. Let's have a look at these seats. | :26:05. | :26:14. | |
The updated prediction now, remember, the Conservatives needed | :26:15. | :26:19. | |
326 to have a majority, they're 12 short, and Labour is on 260. We have | :26:20. | :26:25. | |
not looked at for some time, for people who have just got up and want | :26:26. | :26:31. | |
to see it, some of the key constituencies which told the story | :26:32. | :26:34. | |
tonight - can we do that? It has been a night of the big beasts with | :26:35. | :26:39. | |
some pretty poignant losses, and one of those was in Sheffield Hallam. | :26:40. | :26:43. | |
Nick Clegg saying that he never shirk from fighting political | :26:44. | :26:48. | |
battles and that he stood up in the national interest to form that | :26:49. | :26:50. | |
coalition with the Conservatives. But here, you can see what happened | :26:51. | :26:56. | |
possibly as a result of that, or possibly as a result of Labour | :26:57. | :26:58. | |
straightening here. The seat has been taken from the click by Labour. | :26:59. | :27:11. | |
It was on the Labour target list but there was quite forlorn moment, | :27:12. | :27:17. | |
watching Nick Clegg realise that his political future, in terms of his | :27:18. | :27:20. | |
constituency MP work, had ended tonight. So, a 4% swing to Labour | :27:21. | :27:27. | |
from the Lib Dems. We also saw Angus Robertson, was always on that list, | :27:28. | :27:36. | |
the SNP leader in Westminster, often called, in the old days, the voice | :27:37. | :27:40. | |
of real opposition to the Conservatives, in the days when the | :27:41. | :27:43. | |
SNP were not taking Labour very seriously. He has lost his seat, | :27:44. | :27:47. | |
been replaced by Douglas Ross for the Conservatives. Gordon, a real | :27:48. | :27:52. | |
big beast here, Alex Salmond, losing this seat. He took it from the Lib | :27:53. | :27:58. | |
Dems, and now the Conservatives have taken it from the SNP. So, that loss | :27:59. | :28:05. | |
of some big figures. In Twickenham, Vince Cable is back for the Lib | :28:06. | :28:12. | |
Dems. They have lost Nick Clegg, but possibly Vince Cable coming in there | :28:13. | :28:19. | |
again. Hastings, Amber Rudd, the Home Secretary, just holding on, | :28:20. | :28:25. | |
after two recounts in which she looked vulnerable. And Caroline | :28:26. | :28:29. | |
Lucas has increased majority, she has virtually doubled it, she is now | :28:30. | :28:43. | |
at nearly 15,000 majority, an astonishing personal performance for | :28:44. | :28:46. | |
a very popular Ringleader as well as MP. -- very popular Green leader. We | :28:47. | :29:05. | |
have an announcement coming... Scottish Labour Party, 4026. | :29:06. | :29:16. | |
Scottish National Party, 13,743. Tony Macklin is capable Scottish | :29:17. | :29:28. | |
Conservative unionist party, 10,088. Scottish Liberal Democrats, 13,741. | :29:29. | :29:42. | |
Independent Sovereign Democratic Briton, 224. The total number of | :29:43. | :29:51. | |
ballot papers allocated, 41,822... So, the SNP holds on by two votes! | :29:52. | :30:05. | |
The Liberal Democrats very nearly took the seat. Can I thank you for | :30:06. | :30:13. | |
your ordinary efforts tonight in what has been quite an extraordinary | :30:14. | :30:18. | |
evening. Thank you to you. Can I thank Elizabeth, Tony and Rosalind | :30:19. | :30:24. | |
for a well fought campaign, thank you for the campaign that we fought. | :30:25. | :30:31. | |
It has been a close one, it's fair to say! Can I also thank the | :30:32. | :30:40. | |
volunteers, first of all my extraordinary team, thank you. | :30:41. | :30:43. | |
Second, the volunteers from every political party that make democracy | :30:44. | :30:47. | |
work, and have been trudging around in the pouring rain today. You have | :30:48. | :30:52. | |
my thanks as well. And finally, presiding Officer, on a personal | :30:53. | :30:57. | |
note, my wife had a baby halfway through this election. She has been | :30:58. | :31:03. | |
an absolute hero. Thank you. We will leave five Northeast. The last | :31:04. | :31:10. | |
election as close as that was Mark oaten, in Winchester, way back. He | :31:11. | :31:14. | |
had a majority of two and there was a legal challenge and the election | :31:15. | :31:19. | |
was fought again, and he then won. By a landslide. | :31:20. | :31:25. | |
Barry Gardiner, the shadow international Trade Secretary. He | :31:26. | :31:30. | |
joins us from Brent North. Good morning. Good morning. So what do | :31:31. | :31:40. | |
you make of all this? It has been an extraordinary night. If you look | :31:41. | :31:45. | |
back seven weeks to what was being predicted in the broadsheets, the | :31:46. | :31:50. | |
Prime Minister expected a floodgate, a tsunami. She was looking at a | :31:51. | :31:58. | |
120-150 seat majority, and she said she needed this in order to be able | :31:59. | :32:03. | |
to negotiate in Europe a good Brexit deal for the UK. We are now in a | :32:04. | :32:09. | |
situation which is far less about which party is up and down, it's | :32:10. | :32:15. | |
much more about the fact that in a week, we will be the -- starting | :32:16. | :32:25. | |
negotiations. She has gambled and has lost. It is written that has | :32:26. | :32:31. | |
lost, because she will go into that negotiation and be considered a | :32:32. | :32:36. | |
laughing stock with those whom she has to negotiate with. -- it is | :32:37. | :32:45. | |
Britain that has lost. Have you spoken to Jeremy Corbyn, your party | :32:46. | :32:51. | |
leader? John McDonnell? Not since the election results, no. You didn't | :32:52. | :32:58. | |
expect this to happen, did you? You are taken by surprise, like many | :32:59. | :33:03. | |
other Labour Party people? Sorry, I was working to win this election... | :33:04. | :33:08. | |
I said you didn't expect it to happen. I didn't take anything for | :33:09. | :33:15. | |
granted, but I have to say I didn't have an expectation, because there | :33:16. | :33:17. | |
are real storms sweeping across British politics. Rex it was one of | :33:18. | :33:22. | |
them. This was a general election which proved very difficult for the | :33:23. | :33:28. | |
Conservatives. -- Brexit was one of them. In terms of their manifesto, | :33:29. | :33:34. | |
but also it was blighted by the appalling events of Manchester and | :33:35. | :33:39. | |
London Bridge. So there are very different, swirling measures that | :33:40. | :33:42. | |
meant this was a very difficult election to predict. So what I | :33:43. | :33:48. | |
concentrated on was the manifesto we had, the clarity of our policies, my | :33:49. | :33:53. | |
belief that they were the right actions to take to help people in | :33:54. | :33:58. | |
this country who really needed a change of government. And needed a | :33:59. | :34:06. | |
fairer society. And I deeply, deeply disappointed that we didn't manage | :34:07. | :34:10. | |
achieve a Labour victory so we could put those policies into effect. Put | :34:11. | :34:17. | |
it this way, are you concerned... You talked about Brexit talks | :34:18. | :34:22. | |
starting in 11 days. You think the Prime Minister will have to go? Do | :34:23. | :34:27. | |
you expect to still be on the opposition benches, facing a Prime | :34:28. | :34:33. | |
Minister supported maybe by the Northern Ireland parties? What do | :34:34. | :34:35. | |
you think the future in Parliament is? Look, probably there are only | :34:36. | :34:41. | |
two people who know that. Theresa May and her husband. She is in the | :34:42. | :34:47. | |
driving seat in this, but of course she has lost the confidence of her | :34:48. | :34:53. | |
party. That is very, very clear. It really is a matter of what she can | :34:54. | :34:56. | |
broker within the Conservative Party. But this is a time when she | :34:57. | :35:01. | |
should be focusing on what she can broker within Europe. That is why | :35:02. | :35:06. | |
it's so deeply damaging to our nation. Politics is not a game | :35:07. | :35:11. | |
between the political parties. It's ultimately supposed to be about the | :35:12. | :35:15. | |
benefit of the British people, and she has put that all in jeopardy by | :35:16. | :35:20. | |
this, and she has lost. Barry Gardiner, thank you for joining us. | :35:21. | :35:26. | |
He started by describing it as an extraordinary night. I have pulled | :35:27. | :35:29. | |
out three tweets which tell the story succinctly. The first, from | :35:30. | :35:34. | |
Fraser Nelson, the editor of the Spectator. If Corbyn does take | :35:35. | :35:39. | |
Labour to 40%, he will have done more to increase the party vote | :35:40. | :35:49. | |
share since Clement Attlee in 1945. The second, Mark Wallace. An of the | :35:50. | :35:59. | |
record quote from a Tory MP, we basically ran the Remain campaign, | :36:00. | :36:02. | |
it was just about doom and disaster if you vote the other way. | :36:03. | :36:08. | |
Recriminations about how inside Tory HQ they are thinking about what went | :36:09. | :36:13. | |
wrong. And now the more panoramic, major story of this evening which we | :36:14. | :36:17. | |
will talk about for months and years ahead. Harry Smith, a 94-year-old | :36:18. | :36:22. | |
Labour activist who served in the Second World War, very trenchant | :36:23. | :36:27. | |
online. He says, this morning, Britain's Young have shown they can | :36:28. | :36:32. | |
become the greatest generation of the 21st century. You have my | :36:33. | :36:36. | |
respect. This has been about young people coming out and swinging party | :36:37. | :36:39. | |
towards Jeremy Corbyn and taking many of us buy supplies. Thanks. We | :36:40. | :36:45. | |
know that the Prime Minister has gone back to Number Ten. -- many of | :36:46. | :36:53. | |
us by surprise. Jeremy Vine is outside. People are waking up and | :36:54. | :37:00. | |
wondering what we have been through with this extraordinary result. | :37:01. | :37:03. | |
Let's take you through it, how by hour. Until 2am, the first handful | :37:04. | :37:13. | |
of seats, you can see that seats Labour thought were maybe on the | :37:14. | :37:20. | |
edge of being marginal, Hartlepool, the Vale of Clwyd, they stayed | :37:21. | :37:24. | |
Labour. Labour were defending their territory. The Conservatives took | :37:25. | :37:28. | |
Angus in Scotland, which it look like they had no prospect of doing, | :37:29. | :37:33. | |
on paper. At 3am, let's see what we knew. By this stage, looking at the | :37:34. | :37:39. | |
Labour line, they have taken Sheffield Hallam, Nick Clegg is out | :37:40. | :37:43. | |
of the House of Commons. Glasgow North East goes Labour. An | :37:44. | :37:50. | |
interesting result in Scotland. Ipswich goes from blue to red. Very | :37:51. | :37:57. | |
interesting. The Conservatives hanging on to what they have got, | :37:58. | :38:01. | |
Cleethorpes for example, but they would expect to hang onto those | :38:02. | :38:05. | |
kinds of seats. What are they doing to move them forward? Nothing | :38:06. | :38:06. | |
outside Scotland at all. At 4am, you can see Batley and Spen | :38:07. | :38:20. | |
for Labour, the late Jo Cox's constituency that came back as | :38:21. | :38:25. | |
Labour. In London, Labour posted quite high percentages in places | :38:26. | :38:28. | |
like Vauxhall and Brent and Hammersmith and Dagenham. | :38:29. | :38:33. | |
Underpinning this idea that in Remain seats, particularly those | :38:34. | :38:37. | |
with lots of young voters, Labour were doing very well indeed. | :38:38. | :38:41. | |
Scotland was constantly offsetting the bad news for the Conservatives | :38:42. | :38:47. | |
in the meantime. Aberdeenshire West, Stirling, Berwickshire, all going to | :38:48. | :38:50. | |
the Conservatives in Scotland, against any predictions made. At | :38:51. | :38:54. | |
5am, we are nearly there... The Conservatives get the result of | :38:55. | :39:05. | |
Hastings. Amber Rudd, the Home Secretary's constituency. That was | :39:06. | :39:09. | |
very, very close. She would not have been expecting to be in that nip and | :39:10. | :39:13. | |
tuck fight in Hastings, but that was the case with quite a few | :39:14. | :39:17. | |
Conservative seats. Meanwhile, OK, Labour are behind by doing much | :39:18. | :39:22. | |
better than anyone expected. They take Enfield, Southgate off the | :39:23. | :39:26. | |
Conservatives, the history of that seat with Michael Portillo being | :39:27. | :39:31. | |
kicked out by Tony Blair's party in 1997. A 10% swing for Labour in that | :39:32. | :39:37. | |
seat. By six o'clock, let's bring on the rest. The Conservatives are | :39:38. | :39:41. | |
ahead, but we knew by this stage they weren't going to make the | :39:42. | :39:46. | |
finishing line of 326. They took Southampton, chipping barnet, but | :39:47. | :39:52. | |
they would never have expected to be in trouble in those safe seats. | :39:53. | :40:02. | |
Labour at this point, you can see Southampton, Gloria de Piero's seat. | :40:03. | :40:08. | |
Hove had been assumed to be pretty marginal but Labour took it. Held | :40:09. | :40:15. | |
it. So what a situation. We are very near the line. We have not yet got | :40:16. | :40:25. | |
every seat. If they are dark blue, dark red, we don't know the final | :40:26. | :40:30. | |
result. Truro, Cornwall Southeast, Crewe, Cornwall North, Kensington... | :40:31. | :40:38. | |
But the one thing we do know, the Conservatives cannot make this 326 | :40:39. | :40:44. | |
line. That is just over half the total number of MPs in the House of | :40:45. | :40:48. | |
Parliament. They can't do it, and therefore it has been a terrible, | :40:49. | :40:52. | |
terrible mistake for Theresa May to throw away the majority won by David | :40:53. | :40:58. | |
Cameron in 2015. Yes, Labour have come second but they have done far | :40:59. | :41:03. | |
better than almost anyone expected. David, that is the story. Amazing. | :41:04. | :41:09. | |
Laura Kuenssberg, our political editor, has been sitting here since | :41:10. | :41:14. | |
ten o'clock last night. You have to go to Downing Street. Do we know | :41:15. | :41:18. | |
when Theresa May is speaking? We thought it might be ten o'clock, but | :41:19. | :41:22. | |
we are told it is not, so I'm going to go, in case it is sooner than | :41:23. | :41:28. | |
that. Just summarise for us how you think things stand, and the way you | :41:29. | :41:33. | |
think politics will develop at Westminster over the next few days? | :41:34. | :41:39. | |
Unquestionably, a total political disaster for Theresa May. This is on | :41:40. | :41:44. | |
her, it was her decision to do it. A huge success were Jeremy Corbyn. Not | :41:45. | :41:50. | |
the largest party but he has massively outperformed expectations. | :41:51. | :41:54. | |
-- for Jeremy Corbyn. He has achieved far more than he himself | :41:55. | :41:58. | |
thought. The hat-trick, if you like. He won the lass ship against | :41:59. | :42:03. | |
expectation. -- the Labour leadership. He survived the contest. | :42:04. | :42:14. | |
He has performed better than Labour in 2015 and 2010. A huge success. | :42:15. | :42:18. | |
For us, we know the Tories are the largest party and they have the | :42:19. | :42:22. | |
right to try and form the Government. They are tantalisingly | :42:23. | :42:26. | |
close to actually getting a majority, and they would have a | :42:27. | :42:32. | |
workable majority because we know the Northern Ireland Unionist MPs | :42:33. | :42:37. | |
would come alongside them. But we do not know at the moment if Theresa | :42:38. | :42:41. | |
May is the person to try to form that government. It may be her. She | :42:42. | :42:48. | |
may be forced to stay on as a sort of caretaker and do some kind of | :42:49. | :42:51. | |
deal behind-the-scenes about standing down later on. She may | :42:52. | :42:55. | |
decide to quit after this humiliation. Or she may be privately | :42:56. | :43:01. | |
being forced to do so right now. So we know the result but we don't know | :43:02. | :43:04. | |
for sure who our Prime Minister is going to be. Tell us about Jeremy | :43:05. | :43:09. | |
Corbyn's character. He must be tough as old boots having gone through | :43:10. | :43:13. | |
that campaign, having been monster by the press. -- monstered by the | :43:14. | :43:21. | |
press. 80% of his own MPs against him. In visible on the backbenches | :43:22. | :43:27. | |
all of his career, generally known for voting against everything... A | :43:28. | :43:33. | |
protester, indeed. The one thing we have always known about Jeremy | :43:34. | :43:37. | |
Corbyn is he thrives on campaigning. He has been a protester, a | :43:38. | :43:42. | |
campaigner. He was a political outsider. The gamble for the Labour | :43:43. | :43:48. | |
Party was whether an outsider could ever have enough appeal to the | :43:49. | :43:50. | |
floating voter, the person in the middle. Watching him over the last | :43:51. | :43:54. | |
couple of years, even though he has had brickbats thrown at him by his | :43:55. | :43:58. | |
own party, you see he has drawn energy from the campaigning that he | :43:59. | :44:03. | |
has had to do. Day by Day in this campaign, it was almost like he was | :44:04. | :44:07. | |
plugging in a charger to the crowd to get his energy to keep him going. | :44:08. | :44:13. | |
That's what we have seen here. A protester turned campaigner that has | :44:14. | :44:19. | |
been reinforced. How will he take to success? A whole different ball | :44:20. | :44:23. | |
game. He has had success in his own way. On one of the last days of | :44:24. | :44:30. | |
campaigning, he said it's not just about electing MPs. My normal | :44:31. | :44:35. | |
campaigning and convention you say, it's only about electing MPs, that | :44:36. | :44:41. | |
is the point. Most people thought it is eight crackpot view, not about | :44:42. | :44:45. | |
winning, but most people would say it is a movement. But that formula | :44:46. | :44:49. | |
has got the Labour Party further along the line than its last couple | :44:50. | :44:57. | |
of leaders. Quite something. An amazing achievement, but clearly | :44:58. | :45:01. | |
they are not the largest party. No question it is the Tory party that | :45:02. | :45:06. | |
will try to form the Government. So while Labour have had an extremely | :45:07. | :45:09. | |
good night, it's not the situation that somehow he has actually been | :45:10. | :45:14. | |
able to overthrow that. But once again, just as in 2015, just as in | :45:15. | :45:21. | |
the referendum, the Great British public have thrillingly, | :45:22. | :45:23. | |
audaciously, boldly reminded the political established that they are | :45:24. | :45:26. | |
the ones who call the shots. That is why these nights are so exciting. | :45:27. | :45:32. | |
Laura Kuenssberg, you had better get down to Number Ten. We are going to | :45:33. | :45:38. | |
go down there to join John Pienaar, waiting for you to arrive. Good | :45:39. | :45:45. | |
morning to you. I suppose the obvious question is, first of all, | :45:46. | :45:49. | |
do you have any news about what the Prime Minister is going to do? And | :45:50. | :45:52. | |
secondly, what are your reflections on the campaign? | :45:53. | :45:58. | |
The news is that there is no news. It is anyone's guess, about what the | :45:59. | :46:15. | |
Prime Minister will do after this most Phyrric of election victories. | :46:16. | :46:22. | |
We will find out when she makes that statement. I was in contact by text | :46:23. | :46:28. | |
with a senior Tory figure just a few moments ago, asking, would Theresa | :46:29. | :46:33. | |
May be soldiering on, and the answer was, no idea. I think he would have | :46:34. | :46:38. | |
been speaking for an awful lot of people when he said that. Suggesting | :46:39. | :46:42. | |
not too subtly that she should fall on her sword, one person saying. | :46:43. | :46:46. | |
Another figure in the party, Jacob Rees Mogg am saying, we need that | :46:47. | :46:49. | |
stability, she needs to stick around. And then, another member of | :46:50. | :46:55. | |
the 1922 Committee, the tribal odours of the Tory party, his | :46:56. | :46:58. | |
position was, this is the wrong time to go, with the Brexit negotiations | :46:59. | :47:02. | |
just a few days away. We will wait and see. We will have that statement | :47:03. | :47:06. | |
before too long. I would imagine, if she sticks around, we will see a | :47:07. | :47:11. | |
significant change in her way of running the party and the | :47:12. | :47:14. | |
government. Not just because she will see that is necessary but | :47:15. | :47:18. | |
because I think the party around her will be insisting that that is what | :47:19. | :47:22. | |
happens, and that will take a number of different forms, I think. You | :47:23. | :47:26. | |
will see the Prime Minister being pressed to listen much more | :47:27. | :47:29. | |
carefully to the party at large, to her MPs, to the tribal elders of the | :47:30. | :47:34. | |
1922 Committee. In Whitehall, around here, there are very senior civil | :47:35. | :47:39. | |
servants who say privately that they want to see their departments, their | :47:40. | :47:44. | |
voices, not just heard but he did in number 10 Downing Street. We know | :47:45. | :47:48. | |
how Theresa May relies very closely on a very small circle of close | :47:49. | :47:53. | |
senior advisers. Many people feel excluded from all of that fish you | :47:54. | :47:58. | |
will see MPs and senior civil servants in a more deferential sort | :47:59. | :48:01. | |
of way looking for that circle to be widened, for the listening to be | :48:02. | :48:07. | |
made rather more attentive and for what they say to be responded to. | :48:08. | :48:11. | |
All of that is for the future. And while, today, we will hear from the | :48:12. | :48:15. | |
Prime Minister a little later on, having absorbed what has happened | :48:16. | :48:20. | |
overnight, telling us weather she is going to carry on. Meanwhile, the | :48:21. | :48:24. | |
Labour Party will be considering its own future, which now looks so very | :48:25. | :48:28. | |
different. We have had a realignment of British politics overnight - and | :48:29. | :48:35. | |
that's not overstating it. Thank you very much indeed, that was a great | :48:36. | :48:39. | |
help to us. We will be back in the street when the Prime Minister comes | :48:40. | :48:44. | |
out to speak. Can we look at a summary of how things stand? Yes. | :48:45. | :48:49. | |
Imagine if you were a normal person, if you stayed up to watch the exit | :48:50. | :48:53. | |
poll at ten clock and a new thought, I will go to bed and wake up in the | :48:54. | :48:57. | |
morning and see what has happened. That exit polls which John Curtice | :48:58. | :49:01. | |
brought us suggested the Conservatives would be on about 314 | :49:02. | :49:07. | |
seats, Labour would be on 256. It is impossible for you to imagine the | :49:08. | :49:11. | |
kind of turmoil which all of us in the studio have been through, | :49:12. | :49:13. | |
wondering just how accurate that would be. Well, look. At this time | :49:14. | :49:23. | |
of the morning, coming up to seven o'clock, these are the seats which | :49:24. | :49:28. | |
are in, and they are nearly all counted. The Conservatives sitting | :49:29. | :49:36. | |
on 313 - they have lost 12. Labour sitting on 260 - they have made | :49:37. | :49:43. | |
gains of 29 so far with six or seven still remaining. The SNP on 35, we | :49:44. | :49:48. | |
predicted they would be down by 22, they have lost 21. The Lib Dems we | :49:49. | :49:52. | |
said would be on 12, and they have done just that. What I want to do is | :49:53. | :49:57. | |
to show you what this looks like as a percentage of the vote. Suddenly, | :49:58. | :50:02. | |
it all becomes an extraordinary and stock story when you tell it, as we | :50:03. | :50:08. | |
have been looking at it, in terms of these poll numbers. Labour, just two | :50:09. | :50:18. | |
percentage points behind the Conservatives. The SNP on only 3%, | :50:19. | :50:22. | |
even though they have all of those seats in Scotland. And the Greens, | :50:23. | :50:27. | |
only one point behind them, even though they just have that one seat. | :50:28. | :50:34. | |
But this is the moment which is quite a triumph for our exit | :50:35. | :50:40. | |
pollsters. This is what we brought you at the beginning of the night. | :50:41. | :50:53. | |
This is what we suggested. Showing Labour up, Ukip and the SNP down, | :50:54. | :50:59. | |
amongst others. That is what we gave you. We held our breath, we tried | :51:00. | :51:03. | |
not to tremble when we showed you the results on air. And these are | :51:04. | :51:07. | |
the results, with nearly all of them in. And you can see just how similar | :51:08. | :51:16. | |
those patterns are. Labour up 10%, the Conservatives up 6% and the | :51:17. | :51:22. | |
other is pretty much in line. So this is the moment where you will | :51:23. | :51:25. | |
probably want to turn to John Curtice with a big pat on the back. | :51:26. | :51:29. | |
John Curtice is beaming with pleasure, hearing that. Does the | :51:30. | :51:36. | |
exit poll deserve a pat on the back? Well, I hope you found it useful and | :51:37. | :51:40. | |
that it helped to inform your coverage during the course of the | :51:41. | :51:43. | |
night, David. The crucial thing about the exit polls is not | :51:44. | :51:46. | |
necessarily whether it is right or wrong, but it gives people a guide | :51:47. | :51:51. | |
as to what the results might be. You will remember that actually, very | :51:52. | :51:54. | |
early in the night, it was not clear that it was right, because most of | :51:55. | :51:58. | |
the results came in from the north-east, particularly Newcastle | :51:59. | :52:01. | |
and Sunderland, and the exit polls overestimated how Labour would do in | :52:02. | :52:05. | |
that part of the world. But while that was going on, we were hearing | :52:06. | :52:09. | |
all sorts of commentary about what was going on in seats further south, | :52:10. | :52:13. | |
particularly crucial marginal seats. And it was fairly clear to us early | :52:14. | :52:17. | |
on that we have got the broad picture right. And therefore | :52:18. | :52:22. | |
hopefully it means that the programme started off on the right | :52:23. | :52:27. | |
leg. But it is not just me, I have a wonderful set of colleagues here who | :52:28. | :52:30. | |
have done an awful lot of computer programming and hard work, not just | :52:31. | :52:34. | |
tonight but all the way through the election campaign. And of course, | :52:35. | :52:39. | |
the interviewers from Ipsa Smillie and JFK, stood outside polling | :52:40. | :52:43. | |
stations, in some cases in inclement weather, collecting the data. We | :52:44. | :52:50. | |
could not have got this right but for the data they collected, which | :52:51. | :52:55. | |
fruit for the most part to be highly accurate. So you're just the front | :52:56. | :53:01. | |
man? I hope I might have contributed something to the analysis, and my | :53:02. | :53:03. | |
colleagues might agree! But without their support, I would not be...! | :53:04. | :53:09. | |
You're just the public face! Sky, ITV, BBC... The reason it is a | :53:10. | :53:16. | |
co-operative poll is because we used to get it, everybody had a different | :53:17. | :53:19. | |
one and then blame the other lot for getting it wrong. John, thank you | :53:20. | :53:24. | |
very much and congratulations on it. Let's join Michelle for a moment up | :53:25. | :53:29. | |
in the gods. I am sitting here with David Lammy MP, Labour MP for | :53:30. | :53:34. | |
Tottenham, comfortably re-elected earlier on. Congratulations on that. | :53:35. | :53:40. | |
You have been a prominent Remain campaigner, you voted against the | :53:41. | :53:43. | |
triggering of Article 50 - want to ask what you think tonight means for | :53:44. | :53:48. | |
the Brexit process. George Osborne has said hard Brexit is now in the | :53:49. | :53:53. | |
bin. I think George Osborne is right. Theresa May had committed to | :53:54. | :53:57. | |
leaving the single market, she had committed to leaving the customs | :53:58. | :54:00. | |
union. She asked the country to back her, give her a bigger majority, | :54:01. | :54:05. | |
that now lies in tatters. There has to be now a different course. And I | :54:06. | :54:11. | |
might say that MPs like Ken Clarke, like Anna Soubry, MPs that do not | :54:12. | :54:18. | |
want a hard Brexit, are emboldened within the party, with such a small | :54:19. | :54:21. | |
minority government which effectively she has to form. In a | :54:22. | :54:27. | |
sense, you voted against triggering Article 50, Jeremy Corbyn, your | :54:28. | :54:30. | |
leader, took a different position - in the end, his approach, perhaps | :54:31. | :54:36. | |
that was one of the keys to holding together the disparate groups of | :54:37. | :54:38. | |
Labour voters and delivering this result. My view remains largely the | :54:39. | :54:44. | |
view of London, and you have seen a massive Remain position here in | :54:45. | :54:49. | |
London, where Labour have done well. But of course, across the country it | :54:50. | :54:56. | |
looks like Jeremy Corbyn got it right. His assessment was, we have | :54:57. | :55:01. | |
to have a Brexit but broadly, it has to be a soft Brexit. And that has | :55:02. | :55:08. | |
shined in the country. That's why those predictions that we would lose | :55:09. | :55:12. | |
the north of England, that white working-class Britain had deserted | :55:13. | :55:14. | |
Labour, this morning were proved wrong. Jeremy and the Labour Party | :55:15. | :55:20. | |
have kept those seats in Yorkshire, the north-east and north-west. | :55:21. | :55:24. | |
Against your expectations but are we actually my view was always the | :55:25. | :55:28. | |
expectation that those Ukip voters would just go to the Conservatives | :55:29. | :55:31. | |
was an overstatement. I know why colleagues feared it, but actually, | :55:32. | :55:35. | |
we have seen a third of those voters coming over to Labour. I'm joined | :55:36. | :55:44. | |
now by Peter Hennessy, who has arrived with a book called The | :55:45. | :55:51. | |
Cabinet Manual. Just describe to us, is the process of continuing the | :55:52. | :55:55. | |
governments of Britain complex or is it straightforward? I rarely leave | :55:56. | :56:01. | |
home without this Cabinet manual, but it is quite complicated. | :56:02. | :56:06. | |
Politics can always make a difference to the prescribed drills. | :56:07. | :56:12. | |
After a night of political convulsion, I fear for Mrs May. My | :56:13. | :56:17. | |
old friend John Ramsey, historian of the Conservative Party, once | :56:18. | :56:21. | |
describe the Tory leadership as autocracy tempered by assassination. | :56:22. | :56:25. | |
The big question is, will she be assassinated by her own hand, by | :56:26. | :56:29. | |
other people sounds, sooner rather than later? It's going to be the | :56:30. | :56:35. | |
most extraordinary day. For the last briefing elections, we have had a | :56:36. | :56:37. | |
drill laid out, we never had it before. But there is a drill for it | :56:38. | :56:42. | |
in here, the ministers resigning either individually or on behalf of | :56:43. | :56:47. | |
their own government. What about not resigning, with a minority | :56:48. | :56:49. | |
government, is there a drill for that? There's several drills, | :56:50. | :56:55. | |
they're all in here. Several drills? Several possibilities, whether you | :56:56. | :56:59. | |
do a deal, whether you have a line of confidence, or whether you try | :57:00. | :57:03. | |
and soldier it out as the largest single party. But I think she will | :57:04. | :57:07. | |
go and call upon the Queen, if she follows Ted heath's pattern in 1974, | :57:08. | :57:12. | |
he went to see the Queen to explain what he was going to try to do over | :57:13. | :57:15. | |
the weekend, in terms of doing deals with the Liberals and a few from | :57:16. | :57:20. | |
Northern Ireland, so I think that President will probably be followed, | :57:21. | :57:25. | |
but who knows? We are coming up to seven o'clock, and there is a shift | :57:26. | :57:31. | |
change coming now. That they just work it out. Jeremy Vine is staying, | :57:32. | :57:36. | |
yes? Michelle, your work is done... And you're going home. Emily? | :57:37. | :57:42. | |
Staining. You're staying right through the day. Are you staying or | :57:43. | :57:51. | |
going? Going. And you're going? Not home, I'm going back to... We have | :57:52. | :57:58. | |
got jobs to do, David! We have got day jobs! We have been on the air | :57:59. | :58:03. | |
all the way through the night, it has been the most fascinating night, | :58:04. | :58:07. | |
I don't think any of six, when we sat down here, when I got that exit | :58:08. | :58:11. | |
poll in that secret room out the back and we looked at it aghast, we | :58:12. | :58:18. | |
could not believe it, in fact I will put it on eBay one day! Nothing had | :58:19. | :58:22. | |
prepared us for it. Politics is always surprising, who politics is | :58:23. | :58:28. | |
exciting. And one of the complaints often, particularly among young | :58:29. | :58:31. | |
people, is that they find it boring. This election showed that young | :58:32. | :58:36. | |
people can be energised by politics. That's really what Jeremy Corbyn | :58:37. | :58:39. | |
managed to do, he managed to get people really involved and intrigued | :58:40. | :58:44. | |
by it and seeing a different way of doing politics, not just the same | :58:45. | :58:48. | |
old way. And I said earlier on that here the fascinating thing is that | :58:49. | :58:52. | |
we have reverted effectively to a two-party system, an absolute binary | :58:53. | :58:58. | |
choice between the Tory party and the Labour Party, the other parties | :58:59. | :59:02. | |
have fallen aside. For the first time since 1970, we have 13.5 | :59:03. | :59:08. | |
million Tory, nearly 13,000,004 Labour. So, the bulk of voters - and | :59:09. | :59:14. | |
we still have to find out who they were, what the young kid, what the | :59:15. | :59:19. | |
old did, what the people in the towns in the cities did, all that | :59:20. | :59:24. | |
stuff - but nevertheless, we have moved back towards two-party | :59:25. | :59:27. | |
politics. All to play for no, because Theresa May, as we have been | :59:28. | :59:30. | |
saying, must be under extreme pressure, having originally called | :59:31. | :59:35. | |
this election, the guaranteed certainty and stability for the | :59:36. | :59:41. | |
years ahead. Our coverage carries on on BBC One throughout the day. There | :59:42. | :59:44. | |
will be all kinds of developments and Huw Edwards will be back in the | :59:45. | :59:48. | |
chair here to take us through the afternoon and no doubt into this | :59:49. | :59:52. | |
evening, as we work out the ramifications of what has happened. | :59:53. | :59:56. | |
But now, coming up to seven o'clock, from me, David Dimbleby, here's the | :59:57. | :00:00. |