12/12/2011 GMT with George Alagiah


12/12/2011

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The dust settles on the EU summit and exposes new divisions and

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worries about the future. Odd man out. Britain's David Cameron is

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feeling the heat at home and abroad. Nicolas Sarkozy promises a legal

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framework in weeks. But his presidential opponent it says he'd

:00:27.:00:37.
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renegotiated. -- we negotiate it. Welcome to GMT. I'm George Alagiah.

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Also in the programme... What is America's legacy in Iraq? We ask

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Iraqis for their views. Italy's jobless youth demand a future. A

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new survey sees unemployment rising up the list of worries around the

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world. It's early morning in Washington, 8pm in Hong Kong and

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midday here in London, where David Cameron is due to make a key speech

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in the next few hours explaining his lone opposition at last week's

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European summit. He'll do so against a backdrop of criticism at

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home and abroad. In France, the head of the financial regulator

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said Mr Cameron's action now shows that the British right is the

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stupidest in the world. Here his coalition government partner, Nick

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Clegg, says he's "bitterly disappointed". The politics aside

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there's still the question - will the deal solve the problem?

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Britain's Parliament is getting ready to hear from the Prime

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Minister, David Cameron. Many of his own MPs will welcome his

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decision to veto European Union treaty changes. But his coalition

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partner, Nick Clegg, has said he is bitterly disappointed, and the

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Liberal Democrats are said to criticise Mr Cameron for isolating

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Europe. Senior figures, however, are trying to maintain calm in the

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coalition. I think the public and particularly the business community,

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which we want to continue investing and growing out of at a crisis, are

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not terribly interested in these tribal arguments. What we badly

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need is complete reassurance that we are fully committed to working

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in the European Union, millions of British jobs depend on it.

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President Sarkozy, of France, has told Le Monde newspaper that the

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legal aspects of last Friday's European summit deal will be worked

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out in the next 15 days. In the meantime, French Socialists have

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accused him of bowing to pressure from Germany.

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TRANSLATION: If I'm elected President I will renegotiate this

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deal to include what is missing today. I mean efficiency on the

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markets. Let's hope we won't be downgraded before that. I really

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hope, for the interest of my country. But in Brussels, Europe's

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economic affairs commissioner has said the new EU treaty will -- is

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better than first seemed. Well we would certainly have preferred a

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treaty at 27, this is called Compact treaty is, policy Wise,

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bold and effective and legally viable. It looks likely that 20

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sixth of the 27 members of the European Union will agree to the

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new accord setting out tougher Budget rolls. Britain is the

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notable exception. Later, David Cameron will explain why. We can

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now speak to the former British Europe minister, Labour MP Denis

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MacShane. What do you think David Cameron it should and could have

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done at this summit? Frankly, avoided taking a decision at 2:30am

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when they are all exhausted. We now face a triple crisis. Firstly, the

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diplomatic blunder that has left Britain utterly isolated. Secondly,

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you have without precedent in Britain the Deputy Prime Minister,

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number two and the government, open the attack in his Prime Minister.

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How do governments survive like that? Thirdly, what worries me is

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you are getting around the world the words Britain and isolated

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being linked. Some quite unpleasant stuff in European papers saying how

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the English hate Europe. I don't think we do. That, unfortunately,

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is the impression David Cameron has given to 26 other countries in

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Europe. Let's take the substance and what he thought he was trying

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to oppose. You've got Nicolas Sarkozy today saying that clearly

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there are two Europe's, I am quoting this. One that once more

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solidarity between member states and more regulation, and another

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that doesn't. Wasn't David Cameron to -- right to oppose greater

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regulation? Tony Blair opposed the Working Time Directive it. What he

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did was go and see Gerhard Schroeder and say, what do you

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want? What the Germans wanted was no directive from Brussels imposing

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and taking over deals on German companies without a lot more

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consultation. That was the deal. Tony Blair worked with Europeans,

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so did Margaret Thatcher. David Cameron hasn't picked up the phone

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to a single European leader and said, look, this is what I want,

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this is important for Britain, can you help me? Last Thursday, what

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they were wanting with things like the financial transaction tax, they

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were looking for boat -- they were looking for a budget oversight. You

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are not telling me the Labour Party would have said, OK, come and have

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a look at our books. We are all agreed that if we want in the

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eurozone, Epping give his agreed now that there has to be some

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mutual sharing of budgets, those are no secrets in any case. What we

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have to stop other debts of Ireland, Greece and Portugal, but they ran

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up. But had he not drawn a line in the sand their round them and gone

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along with this treaty, it would have been much harder further down

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the track to say, by the way, on the financial transactions tax,

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Britain doesn't want it. The Labour party presumably doesn't want that

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either. But the diplomatic blunder is that David Cameron has quit all

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relationships with other centre- right parties in Europe. He has

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that party of his dreams, he is so isolated. It's the diplomatic

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handling, it's the process that is so damaging. When in the New York

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Times you read the line, Britain is isolated. That frightens me because

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investors all over the world of thinking, where do we put our money

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tomorrow? If they see a Britain that seems to be disconnecting

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itself from the world's biggest market and which is at odds with 26

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other countries... In the past Britain has always had a few

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friends, big or small friends, David Cameron has left a cell alone.

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What about here at home? The Liberal Democrats have said this

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won't make any difference to the coalition government, it will run

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until 2015. That clearly is something that most people will be

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glad of. The last thing people in Britain want his political upheaval.

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That I agree with. We are only 18 months into a government that is

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meant to be stable. I just find it constitutionally weird that you

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have the Deputy Prime Minister openly trashing the Prime Minister.

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Who represents Britain now - Nick Clegg or David Cameron? What do

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civil servants say and do, who do they take orders from? This may be

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a new constitutional Era we're getting into, but it is profoundly

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worrying. The country needs to unite around commonsense policies

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to get us out of this mess. We need to find partners everywhere in the

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world, including east of Calais will stop Mr Cameron unfortunately,

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in the way Mrs Thatcher would never have done, left Britain utterly

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isolated and alone. This is very Britain is not the only country

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where the outcome of Friday's European summit is proving divisive.

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In France, the opposition Socialist candidate for the presidency says

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he would seek to renegotiate the deal if elected next year. That may

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not be entirely surprising, coming from a politician running against

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Nicolas Sarkozy. But the view from the financial market seems to be

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equally sceptical. Ratings agency Moody's has declared the talks as

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failing to produce the size of policy measures. It is threatening

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to review the credit ratings of all EU states within the next three

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months. I'm joined now from Paris by a professor of economics at the

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Institute of political Studies. What do you think at the summit

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achieved last Thursday? I am trying to think about it. I am not finding

:09:17.:09:27.
:09:27.:09:27.

much about the conclusion of the summit. Apart from fiscal rules,

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and the fiscal sanctions, there is not much more than that. But the

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fiscal rules and sanctions are important. After all, if you don't

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have fiscal rules you can allow people to go on having bigger and

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bigger budget deficits. Well, they are important but not that

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important. They are not up to the point. The problem has not been

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fiscal indiscipline. Look at the case of Ireland or Spain or even

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Italy. They were respecting the stability pact. Even for Ireland

:10:13.:10:18.

and Spain, they have a surplus. Clearly the problem is not with

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fiscal discipline. The problem lies somewhere else. What do you think

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the summit leaders should have been talking about? There are at least

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two ways to decree the fiscal deficit. There is restriction and

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there is growth policies. If you constrained the other countries to

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have an austerity programme then you will lose growth. Then the

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ratings agency will attack the euro area because there is no growth,

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and or to repay the debt to one where there is no growth. It is not

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as simple as it is presented. why do people like you always make

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it sound as if it is either financial discipline or growth?

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Presumably you can have both, the financial discipline imposed, as

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this EU treaty is trying to do, and you can encourage growth. There is

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no historical example where austerity led to growth. A lot of

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study has been done on the subject, and especially by the International

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Monetary Fund. There is no such a thing as an austerity programme

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leading to growth. Of what are we speaking? We are speaking of dreams.

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It would be the best in the world if fiscal austerity led to growth.

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There would be the end of trade- offs for the government, and it

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would make the task of government fairly easy. The problem is not

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that. The problem is we are now in the middle of a recession. We have

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a jumping unemployment rate, we have a rate of growth which is

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going down each day, if not each minute. We are really advising at

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the lowest level the prospective for growth for the next years.

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have to leave it there. Thank you for your comments. Let's take a

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look at some of the other stories making headlines around the world

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today. Syria is holding local elections today despite the

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continuing violence between security forces and opposition

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supporters. The Syrian government says the elections are part of

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reforms it's introducing in response to the protests. But the

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opposition has rejected the move and called for a boycott. Turnout

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is expected to be very low with many voters not willing risk going

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to the polls fearing violence. Russians are rallying in support of

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Vladimir Putin in Moscow. Claims of fraud in this month's parliamentary

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elections won't affect the votes legitimacy or the result, despite

:13:21.:13:31.
:13:31.:13:33.

President Medvedev launching an Iraq's Prime Minister, Nouri Al-

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Maliki, is due at the White House today, and top of the agenda will

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be America's impending military withdrawal from his country. All US

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troops are due to leave by the end of the year. BBC Arabic have been

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asking ordinary Iraqis what this means to them. This is what is left

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of the American presence on the streets here. Some personal

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belongings and products left over by troops. They are sold on the

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markets. Iraqis come to get a good bargain. A pair of sunglasses that

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normally costs around $50 will sell here for $5. There has been no sign

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of American troops on the streets of Iraq for more than a year, when

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they pulled out from the cities. Which is why the impact of the

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withdrawal seems invisible on the ground, even though it marks a

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momentous political event. It is also what time of reflection for

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many Iraqis, who are still gauging whether the American invasion

:14:37.:14:44.

brought good or evil to their country. Cancellation macro the

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positive sides are more than the negatives. They ousted Saddam and

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brought the end of the old regime. TRANSLATION: What have they done to

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us? They harmed us, people are killed. Saddam heard us, they came

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after him and did the same. There is no democracy, no freedom. They

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are occupiers, they have brought sedation and sectarianism. Despite

:15:08.:15:13.

ongoing attacks in several parts of the country, life goes on. But many

:15:13.:15:17.

things remind people every day of the state their country has sunk

:15:17.:15:23.

into since the ousting of the old regime. The people are completely

:15:23.:15:28.

indifferent about whether the American leave or not. The issues

:15:28.:15:34.

of their health, education, work, freedom, infrastructure, they can

:15:34.:15:40.

go safely from place to place. That is what concerns people. As nearly

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a decade of foreign presence sets on history, whole generations here

:15:46.:15:50.

that only new wall look for a better future. As for the legacy of

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the last eight years, it remains Still to come, a very lucky

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Australia and tells the story of a close encounter with a great white

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First, let's get the business. I said the dust is settling over

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Europe, it has exposed some strange things. Yes, this light market

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euphoria we saw on Friday after the agreement, that has gone. The

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markets have been Digest in this agreement, and although it is a

:16:41.:16:46.

step in the right direction, more is needed. That was backed up by

:16:46.:16:51.

Standard and Poor's, they said more summits are needed. They also said

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it is likely another big shock is needed before everybody starts

:16:54.:16:59.

reading from the same page. They are talking about the German bank

:16:59.:17:06.

raising money from the markets. There has been criticism about it

:17:06.:17:11.

eurozone leaders are. What are the markets looking for?

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Some kind of announcement from EU leaders that would help the ECB to

:17:17.:17:21.

undertake quantitative gazing at and unlimited purchases of

:17:21.:17:27.

government bonds. But that has not materialised. Mario Draghi last

:17:28.:17:32.

week said that under no to circumstances would the ECB

:17:32.:17:40.

purchase bonds without a change in the treaty, it is not legal.

:17:40.:17:46.

The markets want the ECB to step in. Let's go back to an event which

:17:46.:17:53.

started this. RBS, the bail-out from the British taxpayer. The

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regulator here has come out with a report, trying to make sense of

:17:58.:18:04.

that. It is our financial watchdog, criticised for having an park and

:18:04.:18:11.

no bite. The taxpayer owns a lot of RBS, but they are looking at the

:18:11.:18:17.

deal when RBS bought ABN-AMRO. That should not have gone ahead. Very

:18:17.:18:22.

critical towards RBS management, but the FSA said it failed to

:18:22.:18:29.

challenge RBS. Why has nobody been held to account?

:18:30.:18:35.

Under the current legal system, they do not have a case. Without

:18:35.:18:40.

doubt, RBS management made a huge error, but you would have to be

:18:40.:18:43.

able to prove they were negligent or fraudulent, and they do not have

:18:43.:18:49.

a case. But they say that, going forward, the rules that govern the

:18:49.:18:53.

management of bags will be much tougher, so if it happens again,

:18:53.:18:59.

the management will be on the Hawk. Bank chiefs in charge of a bank

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that fails may not be able to take one of the job at another bank, and

:19:04.:19:09.

they could lose financial -- they could face financial consequences

:19:09.:19:17.

themselves. It is the same old story, the eurozone crisis.

:19:17.:19:27.
:19:27.:19:29.

This is GMT. The headlines.

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David Cameron was shortly tell the UK parliament why he refused to

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sign the eurozone rescue treaty. In France, Nicolas Sarkozy has said

:19:39.:19:49.
:19:49.:19:51.

Unemployment is -- has joined corruption and poverty as the most

:19:51.:19:55.

talked-about topics across the globe. Almost one-fifth of the

:19:55.:19:59.

11,000 respondents of a survey said they discussed a job losses with

:19:59.:20:03.

friends and family over the previous month. This week, we are

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looking at how unemployment is affecting young people around the

:20:05.:20:11.

globe. We are taking a journey from Tuscany in the north of Italy to

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Naples in the south, meeting young people, for whom the future looks

:20:14.:20:23.

The city of Prato in northern Italy is dominated by factories making

:20:23.:20:27.

textiles. They once employed thousands of people. But the

:20:27.:20:32.

recession has not been kind. In recent months, benefactress like

:20:32.:20:38.

this have been forced to close. Italy, like Greece, Spain and

:20:38.:20:42.

Portugal, in serious financial difficulty. In the 1980s, the

:20:42.:20:46.

Government spent too much money, and now it has to pay that money

:20:46.:20:52.

back. For students at the local college, that means jobs are hard

:20:52.:20:59.

to come by. The Head Teacher says the future looks bleak.

:20:59.:21:03.

TRANSLATION: I am not just worried former students, but for the whole

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new generation. I and my father, I am very worried. Travel south to

:21:09.:21:15.

the rural areas, the problem is much worse. This is Pompeii, in the

:21:15.:21:18.

shadow of Mount Vesuvius, traditionally known for farming and

:21:18.:21:22.

agriculture. Unemployment here has always been high, but over the last

:21:22.:21:28.

few years, it has jumped, and particularly amongst young people.

:21:28.:21:33.

The rate of unemployment is now the highest in Italy. It now stands at

:21:33.:21:38.

42%. But here, instead of protesting about the problems, they

:21:38.:21:47.

are making music. They say it gives them a voice. TRANSLATION: The

:21:47.:21:51.

crisis in Italy is huge. We have a weapon against the economic crisis.

:21:51.:21:58.

It is the music. TRANSLATION: Sometimes, I do small jobs to get

:21:58.:22:03.

money for me and my parents, but it is so difficult. It is all about

:22:03.:22:08.

who you know. Many want to leave Italy, but with the crisis now

:22:08.:22:11.

engulfing Europe, finding a job elsewhere can be just as difficult

:22:11.:22:21.
:22:21.:22:32.

Joining Li Na from Geneva, Jose We have just seen the problem of

:22:32.:22:42.
:22:42.:22:43.

youth unemployment in Italy. How universal is this problem? Yes,

:22:43.:22:47.

unfortunately, it is quite widespread. The crisis was very

:22:47.:22:52.

synchronised in many countries. Developed countries, Curate, the

:22:52.:22:59.

United States, and eight stronger impact in the developing countries.

:22:59.:23:05.

-- a stronger impact. The young people are some of the most

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formidable. -- most vulnerable. In some countries, the or unemployment

:23:12.:23:19.

rate among young people is three or four times the rate for adults. But

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there are other situations, Kim people with temporary jobs, or in

:23:26.:23:29.

long-term on employment -- young people. There are many difficult

:23:29.:23:36.

situations. Why do you think young people of being hit

:23:36.:23:46.
:23:46.:23:48.

disproportionately? Well, there are a number of special circumstances,

:23:48.:23:53.

characteristics of young people. One of the most important, they are

:23:53.:24:00.

younger, they have never had work experience before. Employers look

:24:00.:24:08.

not only for technical competence but also for some work experience,

:24:08.:24:13.

teamwork abilities, communication abilities, etc, and many of them to

:24:13.:24:19.

not have that experience. They are in a catch 22, a vicious circle.

:24:19.:24:22.

That is why it is so important to have programs that allow them to

:24:23.:24:31.

have that kind of internship or work experience. Briefly, looking

:24:31.:24:35.

into the future, what do you think the consequences of this kind of

:24:35.:24:44.

youth unemployment are? The social consequences? We have been warning,

:24:44.:24:53.

even before the crisis, a lot of human suffering for the young

:24:53.:24:58.

people, it is a waste of human capital, and you could have a lost

:24:58.:25:02.

generation, or a generation marred by the experience of not entering

:25:02.:25:11.

the labour market in time. The long term scarring effects, it is clear

:25:11.:25:14.

that they will find it more difficult to find jobs in the

:25:14.:25:23.

To a species we definitely know about, the Great White Shark. The

:25:23.:25:27.

surfer has had a close shave after an encounter with one. It leapt out

:25:28.:25:32.

of the waves, taking a chunk out of his surfboard, but luckily, he

:25:32.:25:42.
:25:42.:25:44.

To close to Mall, the bite that missed a surfer by a whisker. The

:25:44.:25:49.

board-erves ahead of the intended main course, Stephen King. I am the

:25:49.:25:53.

luckiest guy on two legs. Unbelievable. The shark swam off

:25:53.:25:58.

with only a mouthful of surfboard. It left Stephen with a few minor

:25:59.:26:06.

injuries. Just as I was taking off, there was a banned from the side, I

:26:06.:26:11.

cartwheel through the air. The thrashing beside me. He says he has

:26:12.:26:18.

never seen one here in 22 years of surfing. But unlike his board, he

:26:18.:26:24.

made it back to shore in one piece. Very relieved, we are lucky that he

:26:24.:26:29.

is with us still. They have been a few fatal shark attacks around

:26:29.:26:33.

Australia this year, experts say there is always some danger.

:26:33.:26:37.

have got to be realistic, this is their territory. We are just the

:26:37.:26:47.
:26:47.:26:49.

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