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Jeremy Corbyn is the most unlikely leader of one of Britain's big two | :00:00. | :00:18. | |
He was elected Labour leader by a party electorate swollen | :00:19. | :00:21. | |
by an army of new, mostly young, radical members. | :00:22. | :00:24. | |
Anti-capitalist, anti-war, anti just about everything | :00:25. | :00:28. | |
My guest is Peter Mandelson, Lord Mandelson, one of the architects | :00:29. | :00:35. | |
What does Jeremy Corbyn mean for Labour and for Britain? | :00:36. | :01:12. | |
Peter Mandelson, welcome to HARDtalk. | :01:13. | :01:13. | |
Do you now feel like a stranger in your own political house? | :01:14. | :01:23. | |
I don't feel like a stranger, but I do feel very worried indeed | :01:24. | :01:26. | |
Look, the hard but simple truth is that a far-left figure, a far-left | :01:27. | :01:35. | |
leader like Jeremy Corbyn, with his views on the economy and public | :01:36. | :01:38. | |
spending, on national security, defence, his anti-Americanism and | :01:39. | :01:41. | |
all the rest, with those views, we are not going to be able to | :01:42. | :01:44. | |
construct an election-winning coalition at the next election. | :01:45. | :01:55. | |
And it grieves me to say it because I love my party much more | :01:56. | :01:58. | |
But we are, I'm afraid, in danger of being written off | :01:59. | :02:02. | |
The man has been in charge of the party for less than two months and | :02:03. | :02:08. | |
you've decided that he has no hope of ever winning a general election. | :02:09. | :02:13. | |
Well, my fear is that Labour supporters, Labour voters, let alone | :02:14. | :02:15. | |
the rest of the country, are being disenfranchised by his leadership. | :02:16. | :02:22. | |
I mean, they are people who have voted | :02:23. | :02:24. | |
Labour, want to vote Labour again, but can't vote for Jeremy Corbyn. | :02:25. | :02:29. | |
47% of people who voted Labour in the general election this year | :02:30. | :02:40. | |
say they do not see Jeremy Corbyn as Prime Ministerial material | :02:41. | :02:43. | |
Now, at 47% of Labour voters, I emphasise, that is a very, | :02:44. | :02:51. | |
very worrying, life-threatening reality that we have to face. | :02:52. | :02:58. | |
We'll talk about his policy propositions in a minute, | :02:59. | :03:02. | |
but you just seem to have missed out one rather important element of the | :03:03. | :03:05. | |
Corbyn story, which is that he won a stonking 60% of the vote in the | :03:06. | :03:09. | |
He drew in hundreds of thousands of new members to the party. | :03:10. | :03:16. | |
This is a man who has a mandate of extraordinary power | :03:17. | :03:19. | |
I do not deny for one moment that he speaks to a real chunk | :03:20. | :03:25. | |
of left-leaning, left-thinking people in this country. | :03:26. | :03:31. | |
But it's your party and your party declared that it wanted | :03:32. | :03:34. | |
But my party also wants to be elected to government | :03:35. | :03:38. | |
Yes, he speaks to that chunk of left-wing opinion | :03:39. | :03:46. | |
in the country, but that's only 5-10% of the electorate as a whole. | :03:47. | :03:51. | |
If we want to be elected again as the government of this country, | :03:52. | :03:59. | |
we have to get 30%, 35% of the country, not 5-10%. | :04:00. | :04:02. | |
Now, that is the reality that we've got to face up to. | :04:03. | :04:04. | |
Just on one point of detail about that election. | :04:05. | :04:07. | |
I don't want to spend too long on it, but there were a lot of rumours | :04:08. | :04:10. | |
that you tried very hard to find a way of stopping the Corbyn express | :04:11. | :04:14. | |
train, including at one point telling the other three candidates | :04:15. | :04:16. | |
in that election that they must pool their resources, | :04:17. | :04:18. | |
At one point, even saying to them, all of you pull out | :04:19. | :04:23. | |
because that will render the election null and void. | :04:24. | :04:25. | |
You read it on the front page of the Daily Telegraph. | :04:26. | :04:31. | |
I'm just asking if there's any truth in it? | :04:32. | :04:33. | |
Would it have been better if that election had been stopped? | :04:34. | :04:37. | |
I don't think it was possible to do that | :04:38. | :04:41. | |
because the election had begun with the acting leader, Harriet Harman, | :04:42. | :04:45. | |
sort of throwing open the windows and doors of our house and saying, | :04:46. | :04:48. | |
We don't care who you are, where you come from, | :04:49. | :04:52. | |
or how you voted in the past, we want you to vote for our leader. | :04:53. | :04:56. | |
Now, of course, she changed her views as the | :04:57. | :04:58. | |
Let's look at one or two facts about this too. | :04:59. | :05:06. | |
Jeremy Corbyn fought rather a good campaign. | :05:07. | :05:13. | |
I mean, he caught a popular mood, a sort of antiestablishment, | :05:14. | :05:16. | |
sort of anti-elite sentiment or mood that's present not just | :05:17. | :05:18. | |
He was faced with alternative candidates who were, let's face it, | :05:19. | :05:29. | |
a bit sort of business-as-usual, a bit sort of buttoned up | :05:30. | :05:32. | |
But also, and I say this with an element of self-criticism, | :05:33. | :05:41. | |
the modernisers in the Labour Party had failed to modernise themselves. | :05:42. | :05:45. | |
We had failed to renew our own offer to our own party. | :05:46. | :05:49. | |
So, you know, we are all at fault in a sense. | :05:50. | :05:52. | |
He did seem to offer a rather exciting alternative, | :05:53. | :06:01. | |
even though it wasn't an election-winning alternative, | :06:02. | :06:03. | |
Although - just bear this in mind, if you will, Stephen - I mean, the | :06:04. | :06:11. | |
votes of the actual party members, as opposed to the sort of ?3 people | :06:12. | :06:16. | |
who signed up and the affiliates who were sort of harvested by our big | :06:17. | :06:20. | |
super-union, the number of votes that he got | :06:21. | :06:24. | |
in the actual party were fewer than the total votes that the other | :06:25. | :06:27. | |
When you say things like that, Diane Abbott and other allies of Corbyn | :06:28. | :06:35. | |
say, this is a man - Peter Mandelson - who is sort of in denial. | :06:36. | :06:39. | |
You cannot accept what your own party has done | :06:40. | :06:42. | |
I've heard her say this and, yes, they did elect Jeremy Corbyn | :06:43. | :06:46. | |
and we have to face up to the consequences of that. | :06:47. | :06:49. | |
But it was not quite the stonking great mandate that you | :06:50. | :06:51. | |
have characterised it as and we have to... | :06:52. | :06:56. | |
What we have to do in the party is go back to our party membership and | :06:57. | :07:00. | |
engage them in a very serious debate about how we are going to become, | :07:01. | :07:05. | |
or remain, a genuine party of government, rather than be relegated | :07:06. | :07:08. | |
What you seem to be engaged in right now is planning, developing strategy | :07:09. | :07:18. | |
I mean, this is a leaked memo that the New Statesman | :07:19. | :07:25. | |
got hold of, purportedly from you, which says, "Nobody can replace him | :07:26. | :07:28. | |
- Corbyn - until he demonstrates his unelectability at the polls. | :07:29. | :07:32. | |
It would be wrong to force the issue before the public have | :07:33. | :07:35. | |
issued a verdict, but we must be ready when that happens." | :07:36. | :07:43. | |
and he judges that really, he is not the election-winning leader that he | :07:44. | :07:46. | |
has presented himself as and he chooses to take himself off, | :07:47. | :07:49. | |
And what we have to be ready with more than anything else is serious, | :07:50. | :07:56. | |
new, fresh policy ideas to win support for in the party | :07:57. | :07:58. | |
We haven't done enough of that for a very long time. | :07:59. | :08:07. | |
So you're saying with, what, London mayoral elections coming up, with | :08:08. | :08:15. | |
Scottish elections coming up, both of them significant tests of where | :08:16. | :08:18. | |
Labour stands next year, you're saying that right now, Labour people | :08:19. | :08:21. | |
should be developing plans on the premise that Labour will do | :08:22. | :08:23. | |
very badly and thinking about how a new leader can be | :08:24. | :08:26. | |
What I'm saying is that people in the party should judge him by what | :08:27. | :08:36. | |
He said he was going to be a guy who believed greatly in equality, | :08:37. | :08:45. | |
for example, and then appointed the top four posts in his Shadow | :08:46. | :08:48. | |
He said he was all for open debate and yet | :08:49. | :08:55. | |
when he faced defeat on the issue of Trident at our party conference, | :08:56. | :08:58. | |
he promptly closed down the debate and transferred it to Scotland. | :08:59. | :09:03. | |
He said he wasn't going to be a sectarian leader | :09:04. | :09:05. | |
and yet the appointments he's made to his own top staff are people who | :09:06. | :09:09. | |
have the barest connection with mainstream Labour Party thinking. | :09:10. | :09:15. | |
One of whom, the head of policy, has described hard-working | :09:16. | :09:18. | |
Labour MPs as 'Tories' and urged people to vote for their opponents. | :09:19. | :09:27. | |
Now, this is not quite what people thought they were getting | :09:28. | :09:30. | |
And therefore, he has to be judged as much as anything, Stephen, on his | :09:31. | :09:37. | |
competence and his professionalism and how consistent he is being with | :09:38. | :09:40. | |
what he first advertised himself as during the campaign. | :09:41. | :09:44. | |
Understood, and I think it's pretty plain where your judgment lies. | :09:45. | :09:48. | |
But I'm keen to ask you again about this notion of preparing - both in | :09:49. | :09:51. | |
terms of personnel and policy - for post-Corbyn Labour, which you say | :09:52. | :09:54. | |
could be as early as next year because if the results | :09:55. | :09:57. | |
go against him next year, you think that will be the end of him. | :09:58. | :10:03. | |
I haven't actually put a time limit on it, but we do have to prepare... | :10:04. | :10:07. | |
No, chiefly, we have to prepare by thinking through our policies. | :10:08. | :10:17. | |
We are not going to win re-election as a party in this country | :10:18. | :10:20. | |
We've tried that, it didn't succeed the first time, | :10:21. | :10:25. | |
We had to undertake the sort of renewal of our policies, our outlook | :10:26. | :10:32. | |
We have to do that now, just as we did in the 1990s | :10:33. | :10:38. | |
Now, I'm not saying that we should go back to the same policies | :10:39. | :10:43. | |
I'm not saying that we need the same team or the same apparatus as we had | :10:44. | :10:49. | |
in the 1990s, but we do need something as strong and potent and | :10:50. | :10:55. | |
appealing to the country as a whole if we're going to succeed in winning | :10:56. | :10:58. | |
Do you see anybody active in the party today who, | :10:59. | :11:08. | |
in your words, will be 'ready, should the eventuality arise'? | :11:09. | :11:10. | |
Stephen, it's not a matter of individuals. | :11:11. | :11:12. | |
We all have to play our part in working out our new policies, | :11:13. | :11:17. | |
reconnecting ourselves with the electorate in this country, | :11:18. | :11:20. | |
demonstrating convincingly that we remain a serious party of | :11:21. | :11:28. | |
government, and organising - both amongst our own grassroots as a | :11:29. | :11:33. | |
party, but also, in those communities and neighbourhoods | :11:34. | :11:35. | |
And everyone in the party has a responsibility to | :11:36. | :11:40. | |
Just one element of policy, arguably the most important for any party, | :11:41. | :11:47. | |
I mean, the polls showed that Ed Miliband | :11:48. | :11:54. | |
lost primarily because people didn't trust him and the Labour | :11:55. | :11:56. | |
Party with managing the economy. | :11:57. | :11:58. | |
Now, Jeremy Corbyn's taken the party in a different economic | :11:59. | :12:01. | |
He's got very strong, clear policies. | :12:02. | :12:03. | |
People's quantitative easing, nationalisation. | :12:04. | :12:06. | |
And he talks about nationalisation of the banks, of the railways, | :12:07. | :12:15. | |
and changing the whole sort of energy economy in this country. | :12:16. | :12:17. | |
And he's not very keen on markets and he's not keen | :12:18. | :12:20. | |
on private business, and therefore, he's not keen on | :12:21. | :12:24. | |
the overwhelming source of jobs that people undertake in this country... | :12:25. | :12:26. | |
If you were asked today, who do you trust more to manage | :12:27. | :12:35. | |
the British economy - George Osborne and the Tories or | :12:36. | :12:37. | |
Jeremy Corbyn and John McDonnell and Labour - what would you say? | :12:38. | :12:40. | |
I would say that it is a very, very bad and sad day for this country... | :12:41. | :12:44. | |
No, that's not answering the question. | :12:45. | :12:45. | |
..when we do not have a serious | :12:46. | :12:47. | |
opposition, a serious alternative to | :12:48. | :12:48. | |
It's not just a problem for Labour, the fact that we're looking future | :12:49. | :12:54. | |
defeat in the eyes, it's a problem for the country as a whole. | :12:55. | :12:58. | |
This country and its democracy needs a credible, effective opposition, an | :12:59. | :13:02. | |
alternative government, and we are not offering that at the moment. | :13:03. | :13:05. | |
So if I pursue the logic of what you are saying, | :13:06. | :13:08. | |
you are saying that right now, with Labour in the state it's in, | :13:09. | :13:13. | |
offering the policy propositions it is offering, you would rather have | :13:14. | :13:15. | |
the Tories in power than Jeremy Corbyn and John McDonnell? | :13:16. | :13:19. | |
No, I'm saying I want a Labour government. | :13:20. | :13:22. | |
I want it elected at the next election and the only | :13:23. | :13:25. | |
possibility of that happening is if we get credible, serious | :13:26. | :13:27. | |
policies which mainstream people in this country can vote for. | :13:28. | :13:33. | |
Does it ever strike you that Jeremy Corbyn has achieved something | :13:34. | :13:39. | |
that, certainly in the latter years of New Labour, you, | :13:40. | :13:41. | |
He's energised a whole group of new people into politics. | :13:42. | :13:47. | |
I'm just looking at one recent Ipsos Mori poll. | :13:48. | :13:51. | |
Overall, it wasn't very good for Jeremy Corbyn, but it did show | :13:52. | :13:55. | |
that while only 20% of over-55s approve of the way Corbyn started | :13:56. | :13:58. | |
his job, 57% of 18-34s thought he was doing an OK job. | :13:59. | :14:07. | |
He is attracting young people, and also, | :14:08. | :14:10. | |
people who had felt disenfranchised from politics altogether. | :14:11. | :14:12. | |
And you and your politics failed to do that. | :14:13. | :14:14. | |
I think that's a really, really good point. | :14:15. | :14:16. | |
We looked like more of the same towards the end | :14:17. | :14:26. | |
We also had a tendency - and I'll be frank about this - | :14:27. | :14:32. | |
to come across to many people as sort of valueless pragmatists, | :14:33. | :14:37. | |
rather than idealists, people who were really working for change. | :14:38. | :14:40. | |
Partly, it's being in government for so long. | :14:41. | :14:51. | |
Secondly, when Blair left Downing Street in 2007, he sort | :14:52. | :14:54. | |
He was succeeded first of all by a leader in Gordon Brown who | :14:55. | :14:59. | |
chose not to emphasise New Labour or the achievements of the government | :15:00. | :15:03. | |
But also, didn't generate the new policy ideas with | :15:04. | :15:10. | |
He was then, in turn, succeeded by another leader, | :15:11. | :15:16. | |
Ed Miliband, who spent a lot of his time telling people what a terrible | :15:17. | :15:24. | |
disappointment - almost a betrayal - the New Labour government had been. | :15:25. | :15:27. | |
But whilst he was busy burying us, he didn't generate or produce any | :15:28. | :15:30. | |
alternative or new policies of his own. | :15:31. | :15:37. | |
And I think people just looked at this and said - where are they | :15:38. | :15:40. | |
They're not New Labour, but what are they? | :15:41. | :15:44. | |
Yeah, I mean, that answer rather delicately poured a lot of the blame | :15:45. | :15:47. | |
onto Gordon Brown, but people who used to be close to you like Matthew | :15:48. | :15:51. | |
Taylor, Geoff Mulgan, they've thought about this very hard and | :15:52. | :15:53. | |
they say one of the big problems that Mandelson, Blair and others | :15:54. | :15:56. | |
have to own up to is that your style of politics was top-down, | :15:57. | :16:00. | |
centralising, secretive, not transparent, and that the British | :16:01. | :16:03. | |
public and indeed the Labour Party became absolutely sick | :16:04. | :16:06. | |
Well, I don't accept that and there's no evidence amongst | :16:07. | :16:13. | |
I don't believe that the public tired of or rejected what the | :16:14. | :16:25. | |
If they felt as strongly as you characterised the voters then | :16:26. | :16:39. | |
as feeling, they would have elected a Conservative majority government. | :16:40. | :16:41. | |
I mean, they didn't re-elect us, that's true, but they didn't give | :16:42. | :16:48. | |
David Cameron and the Conservative Party a majority either. | :16:49. | :16:50. | |
I think they were sort of left somewhat in suspension between | :16:51. | :16:56. | |
a Labour Party that had become a Labour government that, to them, | :16:57. | :16:59. | |
had become less exciting than it had been when it started, a Labour | :17:00. | :17:03. | |
government which they weren't absolutely sure | :17:04. | :17:05. | |
what it stood for any more under Gordon Brown, and a Tory party and | :17:06. | :17:08. | |
a leadership who they didn't really like and didn't want to see becoming | :17:09. | :17:11. | |
And that's why you got the result that you did in 2010. | :17:12. | :17:18. | |
Let's come back to 2015 and the future. | :17:19. | :17:28. | |
And the result was a massive defeat for us in 2010. | :17:29. | :17:33. | |
And as you've characterised it, a leadership now which is taking | :17:34. | :17:35. | |
I will leave the Labour Party when I am taken off this Earth in my | :17:36. | :17:48. | |
Well, there is another option, actually. | :17:49. | :17:51. | |
I was thinking of the Labour Party divorcing itself from you. | :17:52. | :17:59. | |
I mean, Michael Meacher, the late Michael Meacher, | :18:00. | :18:03. | |
said after one of your explosions of anger at Jeremy Corbyn, he said that | :18:04. | :18:09. | |
your words were 'close to treachery'. | :18:10. | :18:13. | |
"Many think Mandelson is bringing the party into disrepute and | :18:14. | :18:16. | |
on those grounds, he could be expelled". | :18:17. | :18:18. | |
And he was then immediately repudiated in saying that, both by | :18:19. | :18:21. | |
But my point is that there are people... | :18:22. | :18:25. | |
Well, there are people inside Labour who | :18:26. | :18:28. | |
disagree with my politics, who don't like New Labour, you know, who don't | :18:29. | :18:32. | |
There are plenty of people in all sorts of parties who disagree | :18:33. | :18:36. | |
I mean, do you ever think - I've become toxic to my own party? | :18:37. | :18:41. | |
But the point I'm making to them is very, very simple. | :18:42. | :18:44. | |
You know, we have to decide whether we are | :18:45. | :18:48. | |
going to be a party of government again or whether we're simply going | :18:49. | :18:51. | |
And if you want to become a party of government, then you've got to | :18:52. | :19:01. | |
People may not like it, but I'm afraid it's reality. | :19:02. | :19:14. | |
But if they indicate they want to be a party of protest, then don't | :19:15. | :19:17. | |
you owe it to yourself, to the country, | :19:18. | :19:19. | |
to create a new left-of-centre alignment or join the Lib Dems, or | :19:20. | :19:24. | |
People like me in the Labour Party - and there are very many people who | :19:25. | :19:29. | |
think like me, who want the party to be re-elected to government in this | :19:30. | :19:32. | |
country - have got to go out and re-persuade, re-convince people in | :19:33. | :19:35. | |
the Labour Party that if we want to be re-elected, | :19:36. | :19:37. | |
Let me, if I may, end by turning to one specific policy area which you | :19:38. | :19:47. | |
are very involved in at the moment and the Labour Party is navel-gazing | :19:48. | :19:50. | |
You are one of the leaders of the Stay-In campaign | :19:51. | :19:53. | |
when it comes to the future British referendum on the European Union. | :19:54. | :19:56. | |
Do you worry that such is the volatility of the electorate at | :19:57. | :20:02. | |
the moment and it seems the sort of frustration with politics as usual, | :20:03. | :20:09. | |
that this is a time when the public could be persuaded to take the risk, | :20:10. | :20:13. | |
if you see it that way, and leave the European Union? | :20:14. | :20:15. | |
Not just in our country, but in many others across Europe. | :20:16. | :20:21. | |
There is the volatility that you describe and it's true, there is a | :20:22. | :20:27. | |
great risk that when the referendum comes, people determine their vote | :20:28. | :20:29. | |
not on the basis of whether we should stay in the European Union or | :20:30. | :20:40. | |
not, but how happy they are with the government or the Prime Minister, or | :20:41. | :20:43. | |
what they don't like about a host of other policies that they want to | :20:44. | :20:47. | |
protest against, and use the referendum as an opportunity to do | :20:48. | :20:51. | |
so. So it's a very big problem for us. It is. | :20:52. | :20:54. | |
The message you represent, if I may say so, is the message | :20:55. | :20:56. | |
of defending the status quo and a sort of negativity. | :20:57. | :20:59. | |
Saying, you know what, you may not like the European Union | :21:00. | :21:01. | |
very much, but it's better than the alternative, going it alone. | :21:02. | :21:05. | |
The message is certainly that the benefits that the European Union | :21:06. | :21:07. | |
gives us - greater prosperity, greater safety, greater influence | :21:08. | :21:13. | |
in the world - all those are true, the benefits outweigh the cost. | :21:14. | :21:17. | |
Of course we don't think the European Union is perfect | :21:18. | :21:20. | |
And the Prime Minister is right to argue and work for reform. | :21:21. | :21:25. | |
But in the meantime, the benefits of our staying in | :21:26. | :21:29. | |
and that's why we should remain in the European Union. | :21:30. | :21:33. | |
The problem for you is that inside your own party, the one that you're | :21:34. | :21:36. | |
insistent you're going to stay in, the message is that the reform | :21:37. | :21:39. | |
Europe needs is to be a much more social Europe, a Europe with more | :21:40. | :21:43. | |
regulation in many areas, when Cameron's going to Europe | :21:44. | :21:54. | |
and saying, we need less regulation, we need to be more open. | :21:55. | :21:57. | |
I'm sorry, I don't think it is as simple as that. | :21:58. | :22:00. | |
The Labour Party does have a pro-European view and Jeremy | :22:01. | :22:02. | |
Corbyn has had to accept that if he were to move against Britain's | :22:03. | :22:06. | |
continued membership, there would be a heck of a ruckus, there would be | :22:07. | :22:09. | |
He knows it, which is why he's shying away from it now. | :22:10. | :22:13. | |
When you look at the dynamic, and the polls suggest it's going to | :22:14. | :22:16. | |
be very close, what do you believe Cameron needs to bring back from | :22:17. | :22:20. | |
this so-called renegotiation process with European leaders to convince | :22:21. | :22:22. | |
the public that he's got enough to vote Yes to stay in? | :22:23. | :22:28. | |
I think he has to satisfy British public opinion that Europe is not | :22:29. | :22:32. | |
on some inexorable course to ever-closer union, | :22:33. | :22:36. | |
to sort of creating some sort of United States of Europe. | :22:37. | :22:39. | |
I don't happen to think for one moment that people | :22:40. | :22:41. | |
But he's got to satisfy the British public that that is not the case. | :22:42. | :22:53. | |
Secondly, he's got to do something on the pool that we have | :22:54. | :22:57. | |
in this country through the working of our welfare system for many EU | :22:58. | :23:00. | |
Incidentally, the same number of British people go | :23:01. | :23:03. | |
out to other member states of Europe to work there. | :23:04. | :23:06. | |
But the last thing he has to do and this is very, very important indeed. | :23:07. | :23:18. | |
He has to get a satisfactory way of conducting a relationship as a | :23:19. | :23:23. | |
country which is outside the euro, that doesn't use that currency, | :23:24. | :23:25. | |
We must not have our interests and our rights and prerogatives | :23:26. | :23:30. | |
within the single market compromised by people who are taking decisions | :23:31. | :23:33. | |
against those interests within the Eurozone, that's very important. | :23:34. | :23:35. | |
Are you absolutely convinced you're going to win? | :23:36. | :23:37. | |
I think on balance, we will win because we have stronger arguments. | :23:38. | :23:47. | |
I think that is showing every day of the campaign so far. | :23:48. | :23:58. | |
But it is going to be a huge battle and one which all those who | :23:59. | :24:02. | |
care about our future prosperity and security in this country, have | :24:03. | :24:04. | |
Lord Mandelson, thank you very much for coming on HARDtalk. | :24:05. | :24:10. |