Browse content similar to 03/12/2012. Check below for episodes and series from the same categories and more!
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In the next half an hour: It's not just Olympic heroes who can get | :00:02. | :00:05. | |
knocked off their bikes. I'm on two wheels to test the region's safety | :00:05. | :00:14. | |
record. You always wonder if cars ahead of you can actually see you | :00:14. | :00:16. | |
in their mirror. Can commuting seriously damage your | :00:16. | :00:19. | |
health as well as your wallet? measure the stress of a daily | :00:19. | :00:23. | |
commute on the A1. It's quite depressing, actually, | :00:23. | :00:25. | |
just sitting and sitting and crawling forward. Soul-destroying's | :00:25. | :00:30. | |
the right word for it. And is our love affair with the car | :00:30. | :00:36. | |
over? Not everyone hankers after the getting behind the wheel. | :00:36. | :00:39. | |
Everybody has got that used to using Facebook and their phones, I | :00:39. | :00:42. | |
don't think anybody cares about using cars any more. | :00:42. | :00:45. | |
Stories from the heart of the North East and Cumbria - this is Inside | :00:45. | :00:55. | |
:00:55. | :01:02. | ||
It's called the A1 for a reason - Britain's primary route. But if you | :01:02. | :01:05. | |
use it you might not think so, especially on Tyneside, where we've | :01:05. | :01:09. | |
spent a week giving it a road test to see if it's curving our health | :01:09. | :01:19. | |
:01:19. | :01:23. | ||
and wealth. Time Money Two things most of us don't have enough of. | :01:23. | :01:30. | |
The A1 robs us of both. Suzanne Tait uses it every working day. | :01:30. | :01:40. | |
:01:40. | :01:45. | ||
It's Monday morning. The road's just not big enough for | :01:45. | :01:48. | |
all of the cars that use it, I don't think. It's pretty horrific. | :01:48. | :01:52. | |
Over the course of this week, we'll find out the true cost of this road | :01:52. | :01:56. | |
- to our economy, to our time, and maybe even to Suzanne's health. | :01:56. | :02:06. | |
:02:06. | :02:08. | ||
The A1 is the spine of Britain. But it has an Achilles heel. The A 10 | :02:08. | :02:13. | |
western bypass still looking very slow. The Western Bypass - the bit | :02:13. | :02:16. | |
of the A1 from Washington Services, up to and beyond the region's | :02:16. | :02:21. | |
busiest airport. You are going to be stuck on the A1, it's almost | :02:21. | :02:24. | |
like an apathy. "Oh, here we go." You've got to add extra time | :02:24. | :02:27. | |
because you've got to use that A1 Western Bypass. | :02:27. | :02:30. | |
Suzanne Tait does the trip every day from her home in Country Durham | :02:30. | :02:33. | |
to the office. If traffic was flowing it should take 40 mintues, | :02:33. | :02:36. | |
in rush-hour, it's generally more than an hour. It's quite depressing, | :02:36. | :02:42. | |
actually, just sitting and sitting and crawling forward. All the | :02:42. | :02:52. | |
:02:52. | :02:53. | ||
people joining in and leaving at the slip roads. It really. Soul- | :02:53. | :02:56. | |
destroying's the right word for it. I wonder whether I should live | :02:56. | :02:59. | |
somewhere else, whether I should work somewhere else, but I don't | :02:59. | :03:01. | |
really want to do either of those things. | :03:01. | :03:04. | |
For this week, Suzanne has agreed to be our guinea pig. We've asked | :03:04. | :03:08. | |
her to see how long every journey to and from work takes. Much of her | :03:08. | :03:12. | |
free time gets vaporised on the A1. It impacts on a lot of things. My | :03:12. | :03:16. | |
sister's just had a baby. It impacts on the time I can spend | :03:16. | :03:19. | |
with her, because I don't get home till late, so it's probably passed | :03:19. | :03:22. | |
the baby's bed time. We're also wanting to dig a little | :03:22. | :03:25. | |
deeper, to see if the commute is even affecting her health. We're | :03:25. | :03:27. | |
using technology to monitor Suzanne's every move. What we've | :03:27. | :03:30. | |
given Suzanne for her commute journey is a pair of eye-tracking | :03:30. | :03:33. | |
goggles, which record a video scene of what she's looking at, but also | :03:33. | :03:36. | |
detects where the eye is actually looking. The other piece of | :03:36. | :03:39. | |
equipment we've given her is a bio- belt. That will measure breathing | :03:39. | :03:42. | |
rate and heart rate and from that we will be able to get some | :03:42. | :03:52. | |
:03:52. | :03:54. | ||
information about when she is in stressful situations. The Western | :03:54. | :03:56. | |
Bypass in particular is a particularly congested stretch of | :03:56. | :03:59. | |
road, running at about three times its desired capacity. On an average | :03:59. | :04:02. | |
week day, you've got something in excess of 120,000 vehicles per day | :04:02. | :04:06. | |
using that road. A Newcastle University study warned | :04:06. | :04:09. | |
it was not fit for purpose, even before it was opened in 1990, let | :04:09. | :04:14. | |
alone now. It's possible to work out how much money congestion on | :04:14. | :04:24. | |
:04:24. | :04:37. | ||
the A1 costs Tyneside. The road. 20 to 30,000 vehicles used it in the | :04:37. | :04:47. | |
:04:47. | :04:47. | ||
morning and evening. 250 working days of the year, that his a lot of | :04:47. | :04:51. | |
delay. So, in real terms, what's the cost | :04:51. | :04:54. | |
to individual businesses? Look at all these people - it's time and | :04:54. | :05:04. | |
:05:04. | :05:05. | ||
money. Typically half-a-dozen vehicles get delayed by 30 minutes | :05:05. | :05:09. | |
in the morning. You were looking at 30 pence an hour for those vehicles. | :05:09. | :05:14. | |
That is a lot of money -- �30 an hour. | :05:14. | :05:16. | |
Fergusons Transport has always been based in the Blyth Valley in | :05:16. | :05:19. | |
Northumberland, where jobs are scarce. But now, almost all of the | :05:19. | :05:22. | |
trucks are based on Wearside instead. The reason is the | :05:22. | :05:28. | |
congestion around Newcastle. I would say now it is probably | :05:29. | :05:32. | |
between 50 and 100 jobs that have moved down there that should have | :05:32. | :05:42. | |
:05:42. | :05:51. | ||
been in Northumberland. Over in Gateshead, the A1 is vital | :05:51. | :05:54. | |
for Team Valley business, but because it doesn't really flow, it | :05:54. | :05:57. | |
may be stifling the economy there too. John Seager works for UK Land | :05:57. | :06:00. | |
estates, which owns most of Team Valley. Apparently companies want | :06:00. | :06:03. | |
to move here, but his plans to build factories and offices for | :06:03. | :06:06. | |
them have been either blocked or delayed. The Highways Agency held | :06:06. | :06:09. | |
up the planning for quite some time. The single reason for the hold-up | :06:09. | :06:11. | |
in the planning process here is congestion on the A1. | :06:11. | :06:14. | |
It's a difficult balance and The Highways Agency which own the A1 | :06:14. | :06:17. | |
says it works closely with businesses on the Team Valley and | :06:17. | :06:20. | |
Gateshead Council. In the case of this site, it says it asked for | :06:20. | :06:23. | |
more information from UK Land Estates before considering the | :06:23. | :06:25. | |
plans to build new units. Very basically, companies have been | :06:25. | :06:28. | |
unable to expand, or they've been unable to take new premises and | :06:28. | :06:38. | |
:06:38. | :06:46. | ||
when it gets down to it, they've been unable to create new jobs. | :06:46. | :06:49. | |
am nearly at Washington services now and I have slowed down quite a | :06:49. | :06:57. | |
lot. I am doing about ten miles per hour. This is fairly standard. | :06:57. | :07:01. | |
Suzanne is wired up to see if the commute is affecting her stress | :07:01. | :07:03. | |
levels. I don't feel particularly stressed sitting in traffic, it's | :07:03. | :07:06. | |
the bits where, particularly at the Angel, where it goes from three | :07:06. | :07:09. | |
lanes to two, you get people roaring up in fast lane and pushing | :07:09. | :07:12. | |
in at last minute. You can see accidents waiting to happen, that | :07:12. | :07:15. | |
is quite stressful. In situations like that, definitely my heart rate | :07:15. | :07:25. | |
:07:25. | :07:27. | ||
will be up. Just moment of laps of conversation, driving a bit too | :07:27. | :07:35. | |
close. Drivers's error. This Wednesday morning alone | :07:35. | :07:37. | |
Steve Mordue's dealt with four incidents, two of them multi- | :07:37. | :07:47. | |
:07:47. | :07:50. | ||
vehicle crashes., for the feeder roads as well, it causes huge | :07:50. | :08:00. | |
:08:00. | :08:01. | ||
delays. So what is the solution? More lanes, we need three lanes. | :08:01. | :08:06. | |
Another win would not hurt. That is not realistic. The government is | :08:06. | :08:12. | |
not even due to look at this stretch of the road until 2014. A | :08:12. | :08:16. | |
local solution would be a small local road to divert traffic. The | :08:16. | :08:22. | |
council says it would not cost nearly as much. It is peanuts. That | :08:22. | :08:26. | |
is a project that can make an impact right now and could be done | :08:26. | :08:31. | |
within two years, we think. It is a matter of fact that when the | :08:31. | :08:34. | |
Government hand out cash for road improvements the north-east has not | :08:34. | :08:42. | |
get its fair share. We understand that this central government's | :08:42. | :08:47. | |
plans are �5 per capita for those in the north, and �207,000 for her | :08:47. | :08:56. | |
people in the not -- in the south- east. That clearly isn't there. | :08:57. | :09:03. | |
The A 1 is an embarrassment to the government. They are miles of road | :09:03. | :09:07. | |
which are fantastic. He seemed to reach a barrier when you get to the | :09:07. | :09:12. | |
north-east. Why and where did the investments stop. | :09:12. | :09:22. | |
It is results day. We will check to see whether they can eat up it A 1 | :09:22. | :09:28. | |
will have an effect on her help -- on her health. The green dots here | :09:29. | :09:32. | |
are tracking your eye movements. He can see the way they too were | :09:32. | :09:35. | |
looking about traffic and that lorries and thinking about | :09:35. | :09:42. | |
overtaking. I think this is leading up to Washington services. Here, | :09:42. | :09:48. | |
you were slowing down. It is increasing your heart rate. Going | :09:48. | :09:55. | |
up to 120. You have talked about around the Angel of the art. Here, | :09:55. | :09:59. | |
her heart rate and breathing rate shoot up again. The data shows that | :09:59. | :10:05. | |
she is under pressure. I find that quite stressful because they will | :10:05. | :10:09. | |
cut in at the last minute. You're looking at so many different | :10:09. | :10:13. | |
objects at the same time. On the rights, the left, and in front. It | :10:13. | :10:19. | |
must be a stressful thing to do on a daily basis. It can be. And that | :10:19. | :10:24. | |
is every single day? That is completely normal. Making constant | :10:24. | :10:29. | |
decisions in heavy traffic affect her body. It places unnecessary | :10:29. | :10:36. | |
strain on her heart. This was a normal working week. We | :10:36. | :10:46. | |
asked Newcastle's urban traffic management control to record data. | :10:46. | :10:49. | |
There are over 28,000 hours of delays during the morning and | :10:49. | :10:53. | |
afternoon periods alone. According to the government's figures on the | :10:53. | :10:58. | |
business cost of congestion, it left the North East 100 -- 810p out | :10:58. | :11:06. | |
of pocket. But perhaps the greatest cost of all is lost time. It is | :11:06. | :11:09. | |
taking the five hours per week longer than it should take. I could | :11:09. | :11:14. | |
have been working, sleeping, going to the gym, being with my family. | :11:14. | :11:24. | |
:11:24. | :11:29. | ||
Lots of things that are more useful Lots of things that are more useful | :11:29. | :11:34. | |
Lots of things that are more useful Lots of things that are more useful | :11:34. | :11:41. | |
than sitting in the car. Never | :11:41. | :11:44. | |
Never has cycling seemed so popular - and so dangerous. Inspired by the | :11:44. | :11:47. | |
heroics of Bradley Wiggins, we're getting on our bikes in numbers not | :11:47. | :11:50. | |
seen for decades. But when the world's number one cyclist is | :11:50. | :11:53. | |
himself knocked off his bicycle, and with the numbers killed or | :11:53. | :11:55. | |
seriously injured rising fast, calls are mounting for radical | :11:55. | :11:58. | |
safety measures on the region's roads. There's a battle for control | :11:58. | :12:01. | |
of our streets. Motorists and cyclists are fighting for space on | :12:01. | :12:10. | |
our busy roads. We ever spent too long catering to one modern | :12:10. | :12:15. | |
transport, and that is the car. Those It's a war with high | :12:15. | :12:22. | |
casualties. You are extremely vulnerable out there. Cycling is | :12:22. | :12:25. | |
fighting back, boosted by its biggest boom in a generation. As an | :12:25. | :12:29. | |
on-the-road reporter for more than two decades, I like to think I know | :12:29. | :12:31. | |
the region's roads like the back of my hand. | :12:31. | :12:35. | |
But it is always by car. Today I am on a bike. I am going on a seven- | :12:35. | :12:38. | |
mile commuter journey through the rush hour. Let's see what happens. | :12:38. | :12:41. | |
I am joining a small but growing number of people willing to brave | :12:41. | :12:45. | |
our urban streets to get to around by bike. The attraction - it's | :12:45. | :12:53. | |
healthy, green, and cheap. But it seems, also more dangerous. | :12:53. | :12:55. | |
moments before this vehicle knocked the champion cyclist off his bike | :12:55. | :13:05. | |
last night as he left a Lancashire petrol station. Wiggins had been on | :13:05. | :13:09. | |
a training ride close to his home - the victim of another accident on | :13:09. | :13:11. | |
Britain's roads. This cyclist had a similar | :13:11. | :13:13. | |
experience in Gateshead. Normal Friday pedalling home, I am | :13:13. | :13:17. | |
travelling at 15-20mph. Next thing I know a car has turned left in | :13:17. | :13:20. | |
front of us. Somehow I managed to throw the bike sideways. I | :13:20. | :13:23. | |
clattered on my left shoulder, landed on the deck and looked up to | :13:23. | :13:33. | |
:13:33. | :13:36. | ||
see the car speeding up the bank there. The latest figures suggest | :13:36. | :13:39. | |
that bike crashes are becoming more common. Last year there was a 15 | :13:39. | :13:42. | |
per cent increase in the number of cyclists seriously injured across | :13:42. | :13:45. | |
the country. But in the North East and Cumbria the rise was even | :13:45. | :13:53. | |
steeper - up 18 per cent on 2010. Elizabeth Brown, a physiotherapist, | :13:53. | :14:03. | |
was cycling to work in Cramlington last year. She was cycling along a | :14:03. | :14:12. | |
dual carriageway. And a van drove straight into her. In April at | :14:12. | :14:17. | |
Newcastle Crown Court, the tribal was cleared of causing death by a | :14:17. | :14:21. | |
dangerous driving. I know he did not mean to do it and sending him | :14:21. | :14:24. | |
to jail would not have done any good. It is hard not to be angry | :14:24. | :14:29. | |
about it. I have said this to all of her friends, she absolutely | :14:29. | :14:33. | |
loved cycling. The last thing she would have wanted was for her | :14:33. | :14:36. | |
accident to have stopped people from cycling. I think the more | :14:36. | :14:41. | |
people that it cycle, the bigger voice may be Doll had to get | :14:41. | :14:47. | |
improvements. He would stop these kind of accident happening in the | :14:47. | :14:57. | |
:14:57. | :15:07. | ||
future. The trouble is you get all these strains which get in the way. | :15:07. | :15:12. | |
I am trying to avoid them, but also let traffic past. I am sticking to | :15:12. | :15:18. | |
the side of the road, but try not to hit the drains. I am already | :15:18. | :15:21. | |
understanding why people in Tyneside are unwilling to get on | :15:21. | :15:29. | |
their bikes. In Newcastle the 2% her getting on their bikes, a tiny | :15:29. | :15:37. | |
fraction compared to that when town in the Netherlands which is 60 %. | :15:37. | :15:41. | |
In his Newcastle a good place to cycle? A no, I think we have a very | :15:41. | :15:47. | |
long way to go. That is diplomatically pit. Even though we | :15:47. | :15:54. | |
have our own diplomatic -- dedicated traffic lights? This is | :15:54. | :15:59. | |
over-designed. This dedicated space is what we need. The cross to a | :15:59. | :16:04. | |
moment ago. We had right of way and a cyclist came through in front of | :16:04. | :16:09. | |
us thrill red light. They are cheating. People say that we only | :16:09. | :16:13. | |
have ourselves to blame. A you know that you have to abide by the rules | :16:13. | :16:18. | |
of the road so most of the tiny are bending things just is safe -- stay | :16:18. | :16:28. | |
:16:28. | :16:31. | ||
safe. The is a ten-year plan to get us on our bikes. | :16:31. | :16:35. | |
We're putting together her schemes were we are hoping we can work with | :16:35. | :16:40. | |
cycling bodies to double and treble that over the next few years. Here | :16:40. | :16:48. | |
is an example of what has already gone and. This street Newcastle has | :16:48. | :16:58. | |
:16:58. | :17:04. | ||
But there are fans of the levy. Adam cycles to work and so do lots | :17:04. | :17:14. | |
:17:14. | :17:20. | ||
of his staff at this new technology company. They come in via buses, | :17:20. | :17:27. | |
trams, bikes, you name it. Some even walk! People change behaviour | :17:27. | :17:33. | |
and actually getting the bus and train isn't that bad. It gives you | :17:33. | :17:40. | |
a better quality of life. You get to work fresher, and you can enjoy | :17:40. | :17:44. | |
the city as well, rather than seeing it as a place to go and | :17:44. | :17:49. | |
leave every day. If we are going to improve the mix of businesses and | :17:49. | :17:52. | |
the creativity in the City, it takes the city council to take bold | :17:52. | :18:02. | |
:18:02. | :18:08. | ||
A the city may well be bold but the big question is, will it work? | :18:08. | :18:13. | |
only other city in the world to try this is over 9000 miles away in | :18:13. | :18:20. | |
Perth Australia. To end this film, we asked a reporter with a | :18:20. | :18:23. | |
television station in the City to tell us how it is going down under. | :18:23. | :18:27. | |
The parking levy was introduced in Perth more than 12 years ago. Now, | :18:28. | :18:33. | |
this tax has since made parking in Perth the 8th more expensive in the | :18:33. | :18:39. | |
world, more costly than midtown New York City. This is a high cost time | :18:39. | :18:43. | |
and place in which to do business. The presence of a parking levy and | :18:43. | :18:47. | |
son of a burden to businesses which are struggling. We haven't seen | :18:47. | :18:52. | |
congestion eased. As difficult to see what the point of it all was. | :18:52. | :18:55. | |
Parking in the City is shocking. this too expensive to park in the | :18:55. | :19:02. | |
City. At about $35 a day. If I did Park in the City, which I do | :19:02. | :19:07. | |
occasionally, I'll expect to pay about $25. The revenue raised from | :19:07. | :19:12. | |
this levy promised to support a better public transport system. 12 | :19:12. | :19:16. | |
years on, the latter is still in question. Nottingham, you might | :19:16. | :19:20. | |
want to think again about a parking levy but I guess it is too late for | :19:20. | :19:28. | |
that full expression of -- too late for that! | :19:28. | :19:33. | |
From cars to bicycles now. This year marks the 125th anniversary of | :19:33. | :19:37. | |
rally macro. But its peak, the firm employed 12,000 people at its | :19:37. | :19:45. | |
Nottingham factory. Adams and it told wrote about its heyday it. -- | :19:45. | :19:55. | |
:19:55. | :20:30. | ||
Throw was a time when his bike Half a century ago, are our | :20:30. | :20:34. | |
favourite method of transport was the bus. Since then, we've fallen | :20:34. | :20:39. | |
in love with the car. Inside Out has been given exclusive access to | :20:39. | :20:43. | |
research out today which suggests that that love affair is turning | :20:43. | :20:53. | |
:20:53. | :20:56. | ||
rather cold. The BBC's Transport Building roads is controversial but | :20:56. | :21:04. | |
not building them can be controversial as well. So how do | :21:04. | :21:07. | |
planners get it right? How do they decide where to spend our taxes - | :21:07. | :21:11. | |
on road or rail? The only way to ever be sure is to | :21:11. | :21:21. | |
beam ourselves into the future. And we all know how easy that is. | :21:21. | :21:24. | |
When these fans were watching their favourite series back in the '60s | :21:24. | :21:27. | |
we thought we knew how we would be travelling by 2012. | :21:27. | :21:30. | |
There was talk of having a little personal car that flew. | :21:30. | :21:34. | |
But sci-fi got it wrong, most of us get around now the same way we did | :21:34. | :21:38. | |
50 years ago - having your own jet pack remains a distant dream. | :21:38. | :21:41. | |
And ever since I can remember there has been an assumption the traffic | :21:41. | :21:50. | |
is just going to get worse and worse. After all, we all love our | :21:50. | :21:56. | |
cars, don't we? Well, maybe not. In transport | :21:56. | :21:59. | |
circles there is a rumour going round that we are falling out of | :21:59. | :22:06. | |
love with four wheels. They have even given it a name - | :22:06. | :22:11. | |
Peak Car. So what is Peak Car? Well, just | :22:11. | :22:15. | |
look at UK traffic growth in the '60s and '70s when we couldn't get | :22:15. | :22:18. | |
enough cars, but by the '90s the trend was already slowing, and by | :22:18. | :22:28. | |
:22:28. | :22:31. | ||
about 2002 average mileage per person stalled. He is the love | :22:31. | :22:37. | |
affair with a car cooling down? What seems to be happening in many | :22:37. | :22:41. | |
advanced countries, including America, is that traffic growth due | :22:41. | :22:45. | |
to car use simply is not going ahead at the same rate that it used | :22:45. | :22:50. | |
Well, now Inside out has been given the first piece of in-depth | :22:50. | :22:53. | |
research into Peak Car in the UK and this report is full of | :22:53. | :22:57. | |
surprises. It shows that while some of us are driving more than ever, | :22:57. | :23:01. | |
others are dramatically changing the way we travel. | :23:01. | :23:07. | |
Take young men for example. Now when I was young, I couldn't | :23:08. | :23:11. | |
wait to get my hands on my dad's mark 4 Cortina with reversing | :23:11. | :23:17. | |
lights. Passing your test was seen as a rite of passage, but | :23:17. | :23:25. | |
apparently that is changing. Market trader Lee Vernon is 19, but | :23:25. | :23:27. | |
he won't be adding to the traffic around Mansfield Nottinghamshire | :23:27. | :23:33. | |
any time soon. He is selling up because he has just been quoted | :23:33. | :23:43. | |
:23:43. | :23:45. | ||
�2,800 to insure his three-wheeler. I really love it. It's a classic | :23:45. | :23:51. | |
car. They are rare. But insurance is too much and I cannot afford it. | :23:51. | :23:56. | |
The research shows Lee is not alone. Young men are driving 2,000 miles a | :23:56. | :24:00. | |
year less than they were in 1995. Women though, young and old, are | :24:00. | :24:09. | |
actually driving more than they used to. So what is going on? | :24:09. | :24:14. | |
Everybody gave up and got used to using Facebook and their phones, | :24:14. | :24:18. | |
sitting around or using public transport, that I don't think | :24:18. | :24:25. | |
anyone even cares about cars any more. One of the big things from | :24:25. | :24:29. | |
this report is that young men are not driving so much. There are lots | :24:29. | :24:34. | |
of explanations, rising higher education, rise in insurance and so | :24:34. | :24:38. | |
on. The thatched and carries on, then we will see a lot less car | :24:38. | :24:42. | |
traffic and a lot less car ownership as well. | :24:42. | :24:47. | |
So what else has the report found? Well, this is the rainy 7.16am from | :24:47. | :24:57. | |
:24:57. | :24:58. | ||
Warwick Parkway to Marylebone. Over the last 2 years the numbers using | :24:58. | :25:03. | |
this line have gone up by a staggering 40%. We've seen growth | :25:03. | :25:06. | |
in business travel when you go to work and on leisure travel, | :25:06. | :25:16. | |
:25:16. | :25:20. | ||
especially at weekends. Train travel has become much cheaper. | :25:20. | :25:23. | |
While business travel by rail is up, company car mileage is down - by | :25:23. | :25:28. | |
40% between 1995 and 2007 - so that is before any recession. | :25:29. | :25:31. | |
Fairfax Hall runs a London company making specialist gin and vodka and | :25:32. | :25:34. | |
thinks he has distilled the perfect formula for company travel. | :25:34. | :25:38. | |
Whenever they need a car or van they book it from a car club and | :25:38. | :25:48. | |
:25:48. | :25:48. | ||
pick it up from a designated parking space 15 minutes later. | :25:48. | :25:51. | |
Like a lot of small start-up businesses, you don't have a lot of | :25:51. | :25:56. | |
money. We invested everything into the distillery. Investing loads of | :25:56. | :26:00. | |
money into a van just didn't seem like a good use of capital so it is | :26:00. | :26:04. | |
relatively low cost. The other benefit is flexibility. You can | :26:04. | :26:08. | |
jump in what is essentially a brand-new vehicle and drive it 15 | :26:08. | :26:15. | |
minutes' notice. So here is a question,.what does | :26:15. | :26:18. | |
all this research mean for the future of cars and the car | :26:18. | :26:22. | |
industry? After all, we have had a bit of a boom recently. | :26:22. | :26:27. | |
The UK is on course to produce more cars than at any time since 1972. | :26:27. | :26:32. | |
But that is not because we are all buying ourselves a new motor. 80% | :26:32. | :26:35. | |
are being exported - these Minis are heading to Asia and South | :26:35. | :26:45. | |
:26:45. | :26:46. | ||
America. And it is not just the car industry that will be looking at | :26:46. | :26:49. | |
this research. The Department for Transport is planning a major road | :26:49. | :26:51. | |
building programme based on their model that traffic will increase by | :26:51. | :26:55. | |
a 44% increase over the next two decades or so. But what if they | :26:55. | :26:58. | |
have got it wrong? After all since 1989, successive governments have | :26:58. | :27:03. | |
overestimated traffic growth. This is the range of predictions. The | :27:03. | :27:12. | |
red line is what actually happened. There is always a risk forecasting | :27:12. | :27:18. | |
will be wrong but the key thing the model does is take a wide sense of | :27:18. | :27:22. | |
data. It ensures that data is rigorously analysed. There is a lot | :27:22. | :27:25. | |
of useful things in this research for us to go away and look at. I'm | :27:25. | :27:32. | |
not convinced we have reached Prak Car. | :27:32. | :27:35. | |
The government points out the UK population is predicted to grow by | :27:35. | :27:38. | |
another 10 million in the next 25 years. And the RAC Foundation who | :27:38. | :27:42. | |
helped fund the report says that means we are still going to need | :27:42. | :27:49. | |
more roads. This is not the end of the car. People will need to use | :27:49. | :27:56. | |
cars. Most people will not have buses and railways available. | :27:56. | :27:59. | |
Almost half a century ago when Star Trek started this is what we | :27:59. | :28:03. | |
thought travel in the 23rd century might look like - and it is pure | :28:03. | :28:13. | |
:28:13. | :28:14. | ||
'60s. It goes to show how hard predicting the future is. For motor | :28:14. | :28:19. | |
car has been at the transport story of the last 50 years and I'd never | :28:19. | :28:22. | |
thought I'd say this but it just might not be the transport story of | :28:22. | :28:32. | |
:28:32. | :28:35. | ||
the next 50. What does this button And that's it for another week. | :28:35. | :28:45. | |
:28:45. | :28:46. |