03/12/2012 Inside Out South


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Welcome to Inside Out. Here is what is coming up tonight. As prices of


ponies plummet, we will find out about plans to ensure their future.


They really don't like him, I'm afraid. He might not be a colt by


the end of next week. Richard West colt looks to the future of a


different sort of horse power as a new report suggests we are falling


out of love with a car -- the car. Statistically older drivers may be


safer, but how do you know if you My son, Neil, was a lovely young


man. Very conscientious, very close to his family, and his brothers. He


had so many plans and hopes for the future. March last year and 28


year-old Neil Colquhoun was with colleagues celebrating his first


few weeks of a new job. One of the girls, she wanted to go back to the


car and my son being the gentleman that he was, I like to think of him


as a gentleman, if escorted her back to her car. He was going to go


back to where the others were and thought better of it so he Text his


flatmate and said, put the Pizza on I am coming home now. But Neil was


never to make it home. His route back took him along the A30 dual-


carriageway. During the journey, Neil safely over took a BMW, all of


a sudden he was confronted by a car travelling the wrong way down the


carriage way. The two-car smash together in a head-on collision.


There was banging on my bedroom door and I were cut, it was my son


saying there is a policeman downstairs to speak with you. He


said, I'm afraid there has been an accident. If it is pretty much head


on. Neil's vehicle span around and collided with their car he was


overtaking as well and then they hit head-on. His vehicle taught --


caught fire and many witnesses did their best in an attempt to get


Neil out of the vehicle. It would have been a traumatic


scene to come across. There were flames, smoke. The driver of the


other vehicle was 89 year-old Dr Turner Wadell. Badly injured, he


and his wife were pulled away from their vehicle, but Neil remained


trapped in his car. The car caught alight. There was nothing left with


to identify my son. All that they could offer me was his burned


mobile phone which was just melted plastic. You laugh and you joke,


but it is hard, you are just breaking up. Of the tragic part of


this crash was that it could have been completely avoided at Dr


Turner Wadell was not fit to drive. On the day of the collision, we


found that he had no sight in one eye and below the legal limit in


the other. Therefore he could hardly see where he was going when


he was driving. Dr Turner Wadell received A9 month suspended


sentence after admitting causing death by careless driving. The


judge us family members of elderly drivers to think very carefully


whether their relatives should still be on the road. Dr Turner


Wadell's Serna tried to stop his father from driving, but he could


not convince him. A feeling of guilt that we could have done


something, but in hindsight we know we couldn't. We gave advice, I gave


advice and he listened, but he would not take it in. I even took


him on the bus and said look, it is so easy. You can do your shopping.


But, you know, it was probably arrogance. As you get older we all


think we are perfect drivers and can keep going forever, but


obviously not. At the age of 70, anyone driving has to reapply for


their licence every three years. It is a cell certifying system and one


that allowed motorists like Dr Turner Wadell to continue to drive.


When Julia Langdon's 90 year-old father started having accidents she


felt like she had a responsibility to stop him from driving.


regarded any other car on the road as an invitation to overtake. He


completely disregarded speed limits and thought-police men were young


boys who did not know what they were doing. When you said to him,


what about that accident with a lamp-post on the bypass? He would


say that was ridiculous, they just had to put the light on. He had


also beaten up about four of the neighbours' cars in the block of


flats that he and my mother lived in. The family got very anxious and


thought we should stop him driving before he killed someone and


possibly A1 mother. Julia decided to take direct action. I contacted


the DVLA and they said that if the doctor said he can go one driving,


he can go on driving. I said, but he is dangerous. And they said I


was infringing his human rights. PACTS recently published a paper


looking into how to keep elderly people save on the road. One of


their recommendations was that GPs should play more of an integral


part in the system. If you think that they are not physically able


to drive a car, you should ask them whether they are still driving


because it is a key role that you have as a health professional to


help save the lives of others as well as the life in front of you.


It is very hard because it is requiring a doctor to think, should


I sentence this person to a life behind their front door unable to


get out? PACTS is recommending a national


driving assessment scheme. At the moment appraisals exist that differ


from county to county. 83 year-old Dennis Hilditch is worried about


his driving as he grows older. I am very concerned about it. It


seems almost impossible to imagine, but it will happen in due course.


How long have you been driving? Motorcycles from the time I was 17,


I am now 83 so you can do your maths. Do you worry about his


driving? Is he a good driver? he is. I don't look for the pedal


on my side. Today Dennis is taking a driver's assessment run by the


Royal Society For The Prevention Of Accidents. At the end of your road


we will turn to the right. I think the present scheme needs reviewing.


It relies on people self certifying, GP's looking at the repercussions


of taking Alison's of somebody. It is destructive to their one of the


-- quality of life. It is difficult but we need to have a more robust


system in place. Lots of parked vehicles, so what


are you looking for? Anything that moves. If absolutely. If being your


own critic is not good because you will always say you are perfectly


safe. If you need somebody else to be strong enough to say it is time


you stop. Members of your family won't let you know because they are


too kind to say you keep on driving. What can you see ahead? Stop lights


How was it? A I made some mistakes. Not as confident now. The moment of


truth then, how did he do? He is being hard on himself. There were a


few things I would need to point out, but overall if he gives the


impression that he is an experienced driver and more


importantly, he is conscious of the need to take account of other road


users in busy traffic. It is hoped that recommendations by PACTS for a


nationwide driving assessment scheme should help older people


like Dennis make the difficult decision of when to stop driving.


When is too old to drive? When you can no longer drive. When you are


no longer fit to drive is too old. Until then, you are still fit to


drive. Age does not come into it. It would be difficult to get used


to, but I hope we are wise enough to know the time, when it is time


to give up. The longer we discuss it, the more publicly we discuss it,


the further down the chain it will get. The problem is that the


automobile is your right to move around.


Patricia Colquhoun is hoping that people's right to move around does


not come at the cost of other people's lives. I don't hold the


driver who killed my son of responsible for my son's death. It


is the system because it is the system that allowed him to continue


driving. The sadness of the whole thing is


that my father, a well respected GP, should end his days taking a life.


He is deeply sorry for what happened, I know that. I must pass


our family's condolences to the Colquhoun family for what they have


been through. My son always came for dinner on a Sunday. The last


thing he said after dinner was, thanks mum, it was a lovely day


enough. See you next week. If I said, you take care, I love you.


And he called back, I love you too. It is a really difficult issue. Let


me know your thoughts. You know what, there is a rumour


that we are falling out of love with the car, but the question is,


Building roads is controversial. Not building them can be


controversial too. So how do planners get it right? How do they


decide where to spend our taxes - on road or rail?


The only way to ever be sure is to beam ourselves into the future. And


we all know how easy that is. When these fans were watching their


favourite series back in the '60s we thought we knew how we would be


travelling by 2012. There was talk of having a little personal car,


that flu. -- flew. But sci-fi got it wrong, most of us


get around now the same way we did 50 years ago - having your own jet


pack remains a distant dream. And ever since I can remember there


has been an assumption the traffic is just going to get worse and


worse. After all, we all love our cars don't we?


Well, maybe not. In transport circles there is a rumour going


round that we are falling out of love with four wheels.


They have even given it a name - Peak Car.


So what is Peak Car? Well, just look at UK traffic growth in the


'60s and '70s when we couldn't get enough cars, but by the '90s the


trend was already slowing, and by about 2002 average mileage per


person stalled. Is the love affair with the car Colin Byrne? What


seems to be happening in many advanced countries including even


America is that traffic growth, due to car use, simply is not going


ahead at the same rate that it used Well, now Inside out has been given


the first piece of in-depth research into Peak Car in the UK


and this report is full of surprises. It shows that while some


of us are driving more than ever, others are dramatically changing


the way we travel. Take young men for example.


Now when I was young, I couldn't wait to get my hands on my dad's


mark 4 Cortina with reversing lights. Passing your test was seen


as a rite of passage, but apparently that is changing.


Market trader Lee Vernon is 19, but he won't be adding to the traffic


around Mansfield Nottinghamshire any time soon. He is selling up


because he has just been quoted �2,800 to insure his three-wheeler.


I'll have it, it is a great looking car, it is a classic car, but the


insurance is too much and I can't afford it.


The research shows Lee is not alone. Young men are driving 2,000 miles a


year less than they were in 1995. Women though, young and old, are


actually driving more than they used to. So what is going on?


is changed in attitudes is that everybody gave up and got used to


using Facebook and mobile phones and sitting around or using public


transport, and I don't think anybody even cares about cars any


more. There are a lot of possible explanations for young men not


driving so much, rising insurance costs and so on, but the important


point is that this -- if this trend carries on BOC less car traffic and


less car ownership. -- we will see less car traffic.


So what else has the report found? Well, this is the rainy 7.16am from


Warwick Parkway to Marylebone. Over the last 2 years the numbers using


this line have gone up by a staggering 40%.


And according to the report that is in line with a national trend.


Since the mid-'90s the distance the average person travels by rail has


soared by more than 60%, the last time the trains were this busy was


during the war. The key growth we have seen is in two areas, business


travel in the morning with people getting to work and leisure travel,


especially at weekends, and actually train travel has become


much cheaper. It costs more to travel by car, so that value


equation builds, in favour of the railways. Gadgets mean that you


can't keep busy while you are on the move by you can even book your


ticket on the train. While business travel by rail is up,


company car mileage is down - by 40% between 1995 and 2007 - so that


is before any recession. Scrapping tax breaks made the


difference and it has had a big impact on traffic in London.


Despite more people moving to the capital, there are fewer cars. But


the report found in the countryside people seem to be driving as much


if not more than ever. Of course in big cities you have a lot more


options for getting around. Here is a question. What does this research


mean for the future of the UK car industry? After all, we have had a


boom recently. The UK is on course to produce more cars than at any


time since 1972, not because we are applying ourselves a new motor, 80%


of them are being exported - these manys are heading for the Asia and


South America. -- Minis. And it is not just the car industry


that will be looking at this research. The Department for


Transport is planning a major road building programme based on their


model that traffic will increase by a 44% increase over the next two


decades or so. But what if they have got it wrong?


After all since 1989, successive governments have overestimated


traffic growth. This is the range of predictions. The red line is


what actually happened. There is also a risk of forecasts being


significantly wrong, but we take a wide and which set of data, we


ensure that data is rigorously analysed. There are a lot of useful


things in this research for us to have a look at, so I am not yet


convinced that we have reached Peak Car.


The government points out the UK population is predicted to grow by


another 10 million in the next 25 years. And the RAC Foundation who


helped fund the report says that means we are still going to need


more roads. This is not the end of the car. The use of cars has been


declining but, for 70% of the population, people will need to use


cars unless they have other ways available and most people will not


have those things. Almost half a century ago when Star


Trek started this is what we thought travel in the 23rd century


might look like - and it is pure '60s. It all goes to show just how


hard it is to predict the future. The danger is, you assume that it


is going to be like a bigger version of what we have today. The


motor car has been the Tuzkoy story of the last 50 years, and I never


thought I would say this but it might not be the transport story of


the next 50 years. What does this button do again?! If you want to


see air traffic has changed where you live, log on to our website.


We're at their New Forest pony market. Prices are at rock bottom


and there is concern about one of the South's most iconic animals, so


what is their future likely to hold? The annual stallion


inspection in the New Forest. This is a hot competition to choose


which stallions will be allowed to mate with the mares. All of them


are owned by Commoners, people who live in the Forest with rights to


graze animals. Among them is Nicky Stevens whose pony is Branston


Pickle. First he and the other ponies are inspected to see if


they're good enough to breed from. He is a proper, rough and tough New


Forest pony. He was born on the Forest. He has lived there since he


was six months old, but we're looking at this confirmation. That


is how he fits the agreed criteria, and we give him a mark out of five,


if he is a top line, whether he has got good feet, and a nice head. He


has got to look like Kate Middleton, really, I suppose! I would like him


too great, but it is up to the judges. If it is good or bad,


fingers crossed. We are pleased that he has passed, so we're on to


the second stage, the vets. Once Pickle has been passed by the vet,


more rigorous judging is on its way. Especially as this year as fewer


stallions than ever before will be chosen to go on the Forest. That's


because there's a bit of crisis out there. It may look wild and free,


but in fact the herds of ponies are carefully managed. And this year,


because of rock-bottom prices, they want to dramatically reduce the


number of foals. The foal market has collapsed. You can sell a


steady riding pony. They make good riding ponies when they are five


years old, but the far managed to sell his false. One took the riding


schools have gone out of business and they are our biggest market.


With fewer stallions, there should be fewer foals, and hopefully


prices will recover. The man who has to make sure all this works is


the head Agister, Jonathan Gorelli, who's also a Commoner. This year,


we have only turned out at 10 stallions and only for a month.


That is the lowest number of a tower and out onto the forest. That


is simply because we're hoping to produce fewer falls by doing that,


and by selecting the better stallions, we will be producing a


nice fall, that the Commoner can take on and market and find a good


home for. Quality is important, but without quantity you lose diversity,


and that could have disastrous consequences for the 4,500 ponies


out on the Forest. If you narrow the gene pool too much you're


leaving yourself a problem. If there is some sort of genetic


problem with the pony, if you have got a diverse range of gene pool,


that problem might not manifest itself all only come out in a small


number of animals but if you now prodigy in Poole and two of their


animals do not have that defective gene, that can come out in the


progeny and it can cause immense problems to did read. We are


nowhere near that situation but it is something that you have to be


Back at the final stage of the inspection, will Pickle be one of


the chosen few to go out on the Forest? It'll be a few weeks before


the owners find out. The judges, the Verderers, will check their


bloodlines to check on the all- important diversity. So how will


that affect Pickle's chances? Unfortunately Pickle is by a


popular stallion. He has got quite a lot of colts already registered


by the same sire. But they have taken the bloodlines of the mayor,


as well, so we will just have to wait and see to decide what they


might want to do. If they don't like him, I'm afraid he might not


be a colt, by the end of next week! A month haspassed and I'm glad to


tell you Pickle still has the full package. But he's not going out on


the Forest this year. Instead he's been put on reserve, and is now on


his way to a temporary home away from the mares. He has been round


bout with the rest of the young stallions and he will be


represented next year as a three- year-old, and it is up to the verge


of us again, and this next year he should be turned out in the New


Forest as a sort of acting stallion. I never expected him to be so


highly thought of. But there is one stallion whose time is now. This is


Woodfidley Top Gun, a three year- old, who was chosen to go out this


year. He immediately rounds up the mares. He's got just one month to


enjoy himself. What do you think swung it for Rhyl? He is good


looks! He has got a good confirmation, he has got everything


we like in a stallion and that is really all there is to it. We want


to produce something that is going to live on a forest or be a


saleable item, so he takes all the boxes. Hopefully, he will cover as


many mayors as he can, so hopefully, he will do his business and get on


with it and we will see some nice falls next year. Pickle has arrived


at his new home and there's another colt belonging to the Head


Agister's family who's also being turned out. Both will stay here,


free of charge to the owner, till next year when they'll be inspected


again. By keeping a pool of stallions, the Verderers have a


choice of ponies that can be turned out when they need them, and,


hopefully, ensure a wider gene pool for the future. The New Forest


ponies are an icon, a fixture of the landscape, they have always


been here, and a mention back in the mists of time, the Domesday


Book etc, there have always been ponies in the forest and therefore


Commoners, and they are hopeful that in 60 years' time when I am


long gone there will still be New Forest ponies out there, hopefully


still strong and robust, and that we can keep it all going, but we


must be careful, and we must not let things slip, and I would like


to think the measures we have in place at the moment will keep it


going for future generations. the wild ponies that age would be


together, anyway, they would be on the edge of the herd, as a little


bachelor hair. They will have passed their test and grown up.


Some stunning pictures of those stallions. More stories from the


south next week. Until then, We find one couple from Hampshire


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