26/07/2011 Newsnight


26/07/2011

Similar Content

Browse content similar to 26/07/2011. Check below for episodes and series from the same categories and more!

Transcript


LineFromTo

There are all sorts of scapegoats, the Japanese tsunami, the Royal

:00:08.:00:11.

Wedding, but the plain fact is, that the British economy is in

:00:12.:00:16.

trouble. The latest figures out today show it is growing at 0.2%,

:00:16.:00:21.

not recession, but not recovery either. Just a nether world of

:00:21.:00:25.

stagnant growth, gathering inflation, and Government austerity.

:00:25.:00:28.

Can we escape from the zombie economy?

:00:28.:00:32.

Services are up, manufacturing is down, the economic rebalancing we

:00:32.:00:37.

were promised doesn't seem to be going quite according to plan.

:00:37.:00:40.

As the economy flatline, are we months from sustained recovery,

:00:40.:00:44.

years or even a decade? All three main political parties

:00:45.:00:50.

are here with their prescriptions. Last week we revealed accusations

:00:50.:00:55.

of celebrity phone hacking at the Sunday Mirror, now Mirror Group are

:00:55.:00:59.

launching a review of their journalistic standards, but still

:00:59.:01:03.

denying everything. A year tomorrow, the Olympics begin,

:01:03.:01:07.

the author, Ian Sinclair, asks if the huge costs can be justified.

:01:07.:01:11.

Many of the great things promised as a result of the Olympic legacy,

:01:11.:01:20.

are here already. Or were here and have disappeared.

:01:20.:01:28.

Paralympic gold medallists, Will Self are here, as is the Olympics

:01:28.:01:33.

board member, Tessa Jowell, with Baroness Gray-Thompson.

:01:33.:01:37.

Dismal is perhaps the best word to describe the state of the British

:01:37.:01:43.

recovery from recession, if you can really call growth of 0.2% recovery

:01:43.:01:47.

at all. The word the Government prefers is "stability" which is

:01:47.:01:50.

another thing all together. The opposition claimed again it was

:01:51.:01:56.

proof of the need for plan B. No chance, said Number Ten.

:01:56.:02:01.

0.2% is a bit of an unimpressive number, it tests the creativity of

:02:01.:02:08.

the politician to turn it into evidence of soaring success. I am

:02:08.:02:10.

afraid the conclusion is that George Osborne's policies have

:02:10.:02:14.

choked off the recovery in the previous nine months. It was 2.1%

:02:14.:02:18.

growth, now in the last nine months just 0.2% growth. This is a

:02:18.:02:22.

flatlining economy. Growth would have been a bit higher,

:02:22.:02:25.

except, you know how the Royal Wedding was going to be really good

:02:25.:02:29.

for the economy and everything, well it turns out it wasn't. Along

:02:29.:02:33.

with the Japanese tsunami and the warm weather in April, the Office

:02:33.:02:36.

for National Statistics have said they have had to revise their

:02:36.:02:40.

guests on growth by making some other guesses. The effects of these

:02:40.:02:44.

different special factors do go in different direction, and are

:02:44.:02:49.

subject to a high degree of uncertainty, but our overall broad

:02:50.:02:59.

brush and illustrative anal sis suggest that they together have sub

:02:59.:03:04.

- anal sis suggest that they have subjected from GDP

:03:04.:03:06.

There are more voices telling the Prime Minister to do something

:03:06.:03:11.

different, at the moment if we believe the rumour, one of those

:03:11.:03:16.

voices belongs to the Chancellor of the Exchequer, who wants, we are

:03:16.:03:19.

told, an early reduction in the top rate of income tax. Both sides are

:03:19.:03:22.

denying there is any sort of disagreement between them. Today,

:03:22.:03:25.

it was almost as if the Prime Minister and the Chancellor were

:03:25.:03:28.

reading from the same script. I think we should be positive,

:03:28.:03:32.

because the economy is growing. There is positive news today, which

:03:32.:03:36.

is the economy is growing. More people are in work than a year ago.

:03:36.:03:41.

We are creating jobs. Clearly we are, if you like, some stability in

:03:41.:03:45.

a very uncertain world. crucially, at a time when many

:03:45.:03:48.

other countries in the world face a lot of instability, we are

:03:49.:03:51.

providing stability in Britain, and we are a safe haven in the storm.

:03:51.:03:56.

Why has growth been a bit, well, mouse had-like. The graph has been

:03:56.:04:00.

falling for the past year, only just staying above the line in

:04:00.:04:03.

positive territory. How do you boost it? Some believe the

:04:03.:04:08.

Government has to retarget cuts in spending. You don't want to be

:04:08.:04:11.

hitting the people most likely to be spending all the money they have,

:04:11.:04:15.

and you don't want to be pushing people out of work, for instance,

:04:15.:04:19.

by removing child cautious which means often the second earner it

:04:19.:04:22.

might not be worthwhile them working any more. Some cuts you

:04:22.:04:25.

should be avoiding, if you want to find the money you need to look

:04:25.:04:29.

elsewhere. Where elsewhere? At the top end of the earnings

:04:29.:04:31.

distribution, if we have to find money, rather than hitting people

:04:31.:04:36.

who rely on childcare to work, take the money from top earners, and we

:04:36.:04:39.

spend a huge amount of money as a country still, we should look there

:04:39.:04:44.

first, rather than the lower to the middle ends of the income

:04:44.:04:47.

distribution. Is getting households to spend more really the answer to

:04:47.:04:50.

growth? We don't want them spending more, it is just a mistake to think

:04:50.:04:53.

there is some solution out there, some magic bullet where the

:04:53.:04:57.

Government runs even more debt and the private sector runs more debt.

:04:57.:05:01.

We need to get out of the debt as a country, that will be a long, slow

:05:01.:05:04.

and painful process. It is not likely, I think, to be a prd of

:05:04.:05:08.

quiet, some people suggest that - period of quiet, some people

:05:08.:05:13.

suggest that it might be like Japan in the 1990s where it was slow. I

:05:13.:05:19.

suggest it will be a bumpy ride, with some periods where we have

:05:19.:05:24.

recessions and others with rapid growth and quickly.

:05:24.:05:27.

The Prime Minister was in Caerphilly, at a company that helps

:05:27.:05:32.

the jobless back to work. When we talk about growth figure, we are

:05:32.:05:35.

talking about the UK-wide average, there is a lot of regional

:05:35.:05:39.

variation within this. In this part of Wales, the average person

:05:39.:05:44.

contribute as fifth of the GDP that the average Londoner does. Although

:05:44.:05:52.

the economy has created jobs in the past year, 416,000 of them, 34

:05:52.:05:59.

4,000, or 80% went to people born over seas. There are people who

:05:59.:06:03.

come to me in my surgeries and constituency, and tell me they are

:06:03.:06:06.

better off staying on benefits rather than going to work. If that

:06:06.:06:11.

is the situation up and down the country, it is no wonder it is hard

:06:11.:06:17.

to get people into work, and make sure that culture of work expands.

:06:17.:06:22.

So changinging the welfare system is actually vital to the long-term

:06:22.:06:27.

growth of our economy. The problem, in case you hadn't noticed, is that

:06:27.:06:32.

money is a bit scarce. All the the options for growth seem to come

:06:32.:06:42.
:06:42.:06:43.

with hefty price tags, making a supersonic recovery a bit tricky.

:06:43.:06:47.

Why are these growth figures so rubbish? I think it is safe to say

:06:47.:06:52.

it is not because of the cuts. Although cuts in services and some

:06:52.:06:56.

job cuts started in March, April, they are not big enough to cause

:06:56.:07:00.

this level of flatlining. I think it is clear that it is because of

:07:00.:07:04.

this falling spending power. Which is what contributes to that,

:07:04.:07:08.

inflation, static wage, higher deductions from wage, it amounts to

:07:08.:07:12.

a cut in real wage a cut in spending power. When you add to

:07:12.:07:15.

that, people are worried when they hear all these stories, they are

:07:15.:07:18.

starting to pay down debt, pay down their credit cards, pay their

:07:18.:07:25.

mortgages off if they can. That is the problem. Now, is it a disaster,

:07:25.:07:29.

is, are three quarters of poor growth a disaster, after the crisis

:07:29.:07:33.

we went through, probably not. What they are, what we can begin the

:07:33.:07:37.

discussion among the politicians from, is they represent the

:07:37.:07:40.

Government missing its own target. It missed its own prediction. Let's

:07:40.:07:44.

look at the graph. It has set up this Office for Budget

:07:44.:07:48.

Responsibility, which is supposed to predict what happens to growth.

:07:48.:07:52.

Here are the first four prediction, the first three of which were

:07:52.:07:56.

pretty straight line upward growth. pretty straight line upward growth.

:07:56.:08:01.

Based from early 20106789 It had a go in March 2011 in

:08:01.:08:06.

bringing it down, here is reality, the actual growth is lower. We are

:08:06.:08:10.

1.5 percentage points less in the space of a yor than what the

:08:10.:08:16.

Government predicted. This has - - a year than what the Government

:08:16.:08:22.

predicted. This is has an affect on how people live but on what they

:08:22.:08:25.

predicted. Does that mean if they are 1.5

:08:25.:08:30.

percentage points fewer they need a plan B? Plan B has been knocked

:08:30.:08:35.

about a bit, we heard it when the IMF came and put a rubber stamp on

:08:35.:08:38.

it. It is more quantitative easing if you need it, printing more money,

:08:38.:08:43.

tax cuts, if you need it, you could always Miss Your deficit reduction

:08:43.:08:49.

targets, the IMF won't slap their wrist too much with that. These

:08:49.:08:51.

things Ron the horizon when Liberal Democrat and Conservative

:08:51.:08:56.

politicians start to talk about it. Waib waib waib at the weekend start

:08:56.:09:00.

- Stephen McCabe at the weekend started talking about more quees

:09:00.:09:07.

quees quees, and we had bore - quantitative easing, we had Boris

:09:07.:09:10.

Johnson talking about cuts in National Insurance. Will it work,

:09:10.:09:14.

quantitative easing, as we have already got it, isn't exactly

:09:14.:09:19.

pushing money out into the economy. You would have to ask, tax cuts for

:09:19.:09:23.

what? To give a short-term boost to next year, or tax cuts, as we heard,

:09:23.:09:26.

some of the Conservative politicians in David's piece, talk

:09:26.:09:30.

about, to restructure the economy. If you start talking about tax cuts,

:09:30.:09:34.

you suddenly have to explain to people what they are supposed to be

:09:34.:09:38.

doing. Thank you very much. Now we had hoped to interview a

:09:38.:09:45.

Treasury minister, but we were told no-one was available. But Michael

:09:45.:09:49.

Fallon Deputy Chairman of the Conservative Party is here, for his

:09:49.:09:52.

weekly visit, and Chuka Umunna and Lord Oakeshott from the Liberal

:09:52.:09:57.

Democrats is also here. The various excuses being canvased

:09:57.:10:00.

today, put out by the office of national statistic, there was a

:10:00.:10:04.

Royal Wedding, a tsunami, a bit of nice wedding, do you buy any of

:10:04.:10:08.

this? They said if you add all of them up growth would have been 0.7%

:10:08.:10:15.

rather than 0.2%, that is quite a big difference. You buy that

:10:15.:10:18.

explanation? They are an independent office of national

:10:18.:10:21.

statistics. I asked whether you believe them? I do believe them.

:10:21.:10:24.

They are independent. Do you believe them? Well they said it was

:10:24.:10:29.

broad brush and highly illustrative. I think you can have one quarter's

:10:30.:10:34.

excuses is fine, but when you have three in a row, why don't the

:10:34.:10:38.

tsunami and bad weather affect the Germans, when their economy is

:10:38.:10:42.

booming away. One wonders what will happen in the autumn? It is very

:10:42.:10:46.

worrying, I think these figures are a devastating indictment of George

:10:46.:10:48.

a devastating indictment of George Osborne's action, I tell you why.

:10:48.:10:54.

One of the things Paul mentioned was confidence, he used the most

:10:54.:10:56.

irresponsible language before the election to describe the state of

:10:56.:11:01.

the economy, decribing it as on the brink of bankruptcy. It was?

:11:01.:11:04.

serious economist denied that was the case. And of course, afterwards,

:11:04.:11:08.

when people heard what he was planning to do with his two far,

:11:08.:11:13.

too fast cuts, confidence fell. there something about our economy

:11:13.:11:16.

that makes it so much more difficult for it to grow at the

:11:16.:11:19.

rate some other economies can grow? Yes there is something about it,

:11:19.:11:22.

the reason, you weren't there, the reason is that Gordon Brown left it

:11:22.:11:27.

in such a very bad state with such a desperately flawed banking system.

:11:27.:11:31.

I mean it is much harder for us than it is say for Germany, but the

:11:31.:11:35.

fact is, the economy is only progressing at the pace of a lame

:11:35.:11:38.

snail, it is very disappointing, and we need to look at ways to try

:11:39.:11:43.

to get it going. Just hang on a moment, the economy is growing, it

:11:43.:11:47.

may be growing more slowly than you would like, but it is growing. That

:11:47.:11:50.

growth has added half a million new jobs in the last year, it is

:11:50.:11:55.

expanding every week, there are new jobs being created every week. Of

:11:55.:11:59.

course everybody would like it to be faster, we inherited, not only

:11:59.:12:03.

the worst deficit, but a very unbalanced economy. It is growing

:12:03.:12:09.

at a lower rate than you yourselves predicted? The office of budget

:12:09.:12:12.

responsibility is independent, it is a lower rate they predicted.

:12:12.:12:17.

Inflation is higher, there is a rise of commodity prices around the

:12:17.:12:22.

world that effects us as well. raising VAT help matters? That is

:12:22.:12:26.

part of sorting out the deficit. Did it help the rate of growth?

:12:26.:12:29.

There is a big difference between us and the turmoil in the eurozone,

:12:29.:12:33.

we had to deal with the definite, we announced a plan, we are stick

:12:33.:12:40.

to go that plan. That is why the market rates for which we borrow

:12:40.:12:44.

money is down there with the German rates, we are not in the mess that

:12:44.:12:49.

Spain or Italy are in. Michael talks about the eurozone, look at

:12:50.:12:54.

the strategies in Greece and Portugal, they whacked up VAT and

:12:54.:12:57.

imposed massive spending cuts, and look at the mess they are in. There

:12:57.:12:59.

is a lesson there. One of the problems with the strategy of the

:12:59.:13:05.

Government is it is self-defeating, we already know, the OBR has

:13:05.:13:09.

mentioned already there will be borrowing of �46 billion more than

:13:09.:13:12.

originally forecast. Why? Because growth will be slower, because that

:13:12.:13:16.

is also going to be linked to falling jobs. I am afraid you have

:13:16.:13:19.

to take some responsibility for your own last Government, we are in

:13:19.:13:23.

a mess here, because the banks are not lending, and because our

:13:23.:13:27.

deficit was very deep. Now, we are starting to get, I agree with

:13:27.:13:32.

Michael, we mustn't take chances and end up with an olive oil credit

:13:32.:13:36.

rating, but the problem we have got, you are right on this one, if

:13:36.:13:39.

growth is too slow we will not get the taxes in we need and welfare

:13:39.:13:45.

payment also go up. We need to take targeted measures. Stephen McCabe

:13:45.:13:51.

said for the Liberal Democrats over the weekend, there - Vince Cable

:13:51.:13:55.

said over the weekend we need to pump more money in through

:13:55.:13:58.

quantitative easing, but the other thing, I believe is important, if

:13:58.:14:02.

there is money for tax cuts, which George Osborne is talking about, we

:14:02.:14:07.

don't give it to the people at the stop who don't need it and won't

:14:07.:14:12.

spend it, we put it into a targeted tax cut, and my suggestion would be

:14:12.:14:16.

cutting VAT from 20% to 5% on home improvements and repairs, that

:14:17.:14:21.

would get white van man going. is something argued for by the

:14:21.:14:24.

Federation of Small Businesses. have been arguing it for years.

:14:24.:14:28.

by one. Let's continue the tax thing. This isn't just about

:14:28.:14:33.

balancing the books and sorting out the deficit, we have to help the

:14:33.:14:37.

economy grow, that means cutting business stackss, we have cut

:14:37.:14:39.

National Insurance, cut corporation tax for business, we have made it

:14:39.:14:44.

easier to start up business in the regions. It means deregulation,

:14:44.:14:47.

simplifying the systems. We have said the higher rates, we have got

:14:47.:14:51.

to be competitive, at the moment we have said these are temporary rates

:14:51.:14:54.

that we inherited, and we need to make sure, all the time, they are

:14:54.:14:57.

competitive. We have a study going on as to the yield they bring in.

:14:57.:15:02.

Is that really a priority, when life is really, really tough, day-

:15:02.:15:07.

to-day, for people outside London, it is not a priority to cut the 50p

:15:07.:15:11.

rate, why is George Osborne talking about it, why not put the tax cuts

:15:11.:15:17.

where they are working. We are not cutting the tax rate at the top. We

:15:17.:15:21.

are studying the yield to it. We need to make sure our tax rates in

:15:21.:15:24.

the country are competitive. That is the answer, we need to make the

:15:24.:15:28.

whole economy as competitive as we can, that means more deregulation,

:15:28.:15:32.

backing by-election helping people grow their businesses, so we can

:15:32.:15:35.

rebalance the system. We have been hearing this for the last year, and

:15:35.:15:40.

we have got 0.2% growth. inherited an economy with the worst

:15:40.:15:45.

deficit in the west. We inherited an economy that was fundamentally

:15:45.:15:50.

unbalanced. If you let me finish. In the previous nine months...It

:15:50.:15:53.

Was all on financial services and public spending. We need to

:15:53.:15:56.

encourage the rest of the economy, the real economy, manufacturing,

:15:56.:16:00.

science, innovation, in the regions. Manufacturing output has dropped in

:16:00.:16:03.

the figures we have seen, business services and finances has gone up.

:16:03.:16:06.

This magical rebalancing that apparently George Osborne is

:16:06.:16:09.

bringing about, we are not seeing happen. What about the point that

:16:09.:16:12.

Lord Oakeshott mentioned, which is more quantitative easing, more

:16:12.:16:16.

printing of money by the Bank of England. What about that? I don't

:16:16.:16:20.

see that at the moment. If inflation is as per the Bank of

:16:20.:16:23.

England's central projection, I don't see how they can do another

:16:24.:16:27.

round of quantitative easing, it is incredibly inflationary, the other

:16:27.:16:30.

option in terms of monetary policy would be reducing interest rates,

:16:30.:16:35.

they are on the floor already. This is where the ball bounces straight

:16:35.:16:38.

back to the Government, people are looking for fiscal policy changes.

:16:38.:16:42.

The question is how bad does it have to get before George Osborne

:16:42.:16:45.

agrees to change course. Changing course, means, as you said,

:16:45.:16:51.

reversing the VAT cut, that means spending �12, �13 billion a year

:16:51.:16:55.

you haven't got. Coming off the. Can you just engage, let him engage

:16:56.:16:59.

with the question. Can you engage with the question of quantitative

:16:59.:17:02.

easing, more printing of money, what do you think? It is for the

:17:02.:17:06.

bank to decide how much money to print, there is no evidence that

:17:06.:17:10.

printing the money got through to the economy. There are bigger

:17:10.:17:13.

problems as Matthew identified, about bank lending and so on,

:17:13.:17:17.

getting money through to the banks. We have the new agreement with the

:17:17.:17:20.

banks, the Merlin agreement, so they have to lend more, it started

:17:20.:17:24.

in February, it is starting to come through. In the first quarter �2.2

:17:24.:17:29.

billion less than the target. big question is when the vicar's

:17:29.:17:33.

report comes out recommending major reforms on the banks, hopefully

:17:33.:17:37.

spliting them up, will Labour support it this time because they

:17:37.:17:40.

totally failed to before, will you support it now. I will interrupt

:17:40.:17:45.

you all there. The owners of Mirror Newspapers

:17:45.:17:48.

have begun an investigation into journalistic practices across the

:17:48.:17:51.

group's titles, last week a Newsnight investigation alleged

:17:52.:17:57.

that hacking was common place at some papers in the group. The

:17:57.:18:02.

Government, meanwhile, has released figures of how often the Government

:18:02.:18:05.

and their ministers met Rupert Murdoch and his staff. There were

:18:05.:18:07.

16 meetings by the Chancellor of the Exchequer alone since the

:18:07.:18:11.

election. Our political editor is here with more.

:18:11.:18:15.

So? You will recall on Friday, Richard Watson did a story for

:18:15.:18:19.

Newsnight based on a source a former journalist on the Sunday

:18:19.:18:23.

Mirror who had told him that phone hacking was prevalent in the past

:18:24.:18:29.

at the Sunday Mirror, against celebrity, including Liz Hurley,

:18:29.:18:36.

well, today, Trinity Mirror have announced a review of editorial

:18:36.:18:39.

control and procedures, they have told us it is not an investigation

:18:39.:18:42.

into phone hacking or any other allegation like that, and it is not

:18:42.:18:45.

a response to Friday's story on Newsnight. What about the meetings

:18:45.:18:48.

with the Murdoch organisation on the part of Government? These were

:18:48.:18:52.

promised by the Prime Minister a few days ago. Disclosure was

:18:52.:18:57.

promised? Yes. And of the 16 meetings that you mentioned George

:18:57.:19:01.

Osborne had over the last 15 months, two of those were with Rupert

:19:01.:19:07.

Murdoch, three of them with James Murdoch. Jeremy Hunt, the Culture

:19:07.:19:12.

Secretary, met Rupert Murdoch twice, James Murdoch three times, Rebekah

:19:12.:19:15.

Brooks once. What is interesting, Michael Gove, the Education

:19:15.:19:20.

Secretary, who has met, held six meetings in the last year or so,

:19:20.:19:24.

which he has met Rupert Murdoch, including three in the case of, in

:19:24.:19:30.

the space of just six weeks in May and June of this year. What I think

:19:30.:19:34.

is interesting about these links is it shows the extent to which senior,

:19:34.:19:38.

so many senior figures, were compromised, and to a degree were

:19:39.:19:43.

embarrassed by their links with Murdoch and the empire.

:19:43.:19:47.

Compromised? Potentially compromised. Michael Gove's case,

:19:47.:19:52.

he used to work for the Times, and Murdoch, highly regarded by him,

:19:52.:19:57.

his wife still works for the paper. One of the interesting aspects of

:19:57.:20:02.

what has don on over the last few weeks, is to the extent of which

:20:02.:20:05.

David Cameron has been isolate. People like Michael Gove or George

:20:05.:20:09.

Osborne, who might normally have come to his aid in public, haven't

:20:09.:20:12.

done so. In other interesting case, William Hague, who the details

:20:12.:20:16.

today don't suggest he had any particularly interesting meetings

:20:16.:20:20.

with News International. It is worth noting that he may well have

:20:20.:20:25.

been the man that introduced Andy Coulson to the Conservatives in the

:20:25.:20:30.

first place. Although George Osborne is often credited with that,

:20:30.:20:36.

calls calls calls, - Andy Coulson, way back in 2003, employed William

:20:36.:20:41.

Hague as a columnist at the News of the World at a salary of over

:20:41.:20:45.

�200,000 a year. What will you do tomorrow, in an unpredictable world,

:20:45.:20:48.

we can reasonably be confident that large numbers of us will be

:20:48.:20:51.

watching the same thing, the opening ceremony of the 2012 London

:20:51.:20:54.

Olympics will usher in the world's greatest festival of sport. The

:20:54.:20:59.

thing is on time and under budget, or under the budget that trebled

:20:59.:21:05.

after the bid went in, and will cost us all the thick end of �9

:21:05.:21:11.

billion. The massive expense was justified by the last Government

:21:11.:21:15.

because it would regenerate massive areas of East London. As we report,

:21:16.:21:20.

there is many a slip. This is how the dream took shape.

:21:20.:21:25.

Space age arenas for the world to visit. Built on three years, on

:21:25.:21:30.

wasteland and what were polluted industrial sites. The centre piece,

:21:30.:21:36.

the 80,000-seat Olympic Stadium. Amazing what a few billion can do.

:21:36.:21:42.

Already they are laying the running track, for the 100 sms. But then

:21:42.:21:46.

the most ambitious - 100ms, but then the most ambitious pledges are

:21:46.:21:49.

still to be kept. London got the Olympic, not only because they

:21:49.:21:53.

could put on a big show on time, but because of what they promised

:21:53.:21:57.

to come next. The regeneration of London's poorest areas. This is to

:21:57.:22:01.

be the launch pad, the future is supposed to start here. Behind the

:22:01.:22:06.

�9 billion plus of public money, there is, of course, a buzzword,

:22:06.:22:12.

the buzzword is "legacy". Legacy seems to be mean different

:22:12.:22:17.

things to different people. A point gleefully seized by the current BBC

:22:17.:22:21.

satire. The Olympics isn't really about sport at all, this whole

:22:21.:22:26.

thing starts when the sport ends. Sustainability is closely related

:22:26.:22:31.

to legacy? They are not the same, sorry. The original London bid

:22:31.:22:34.

promised legacy would mean the regeneration of an entire community

:22:35.:22:38.

for the benefit of everyone who lives there.

:22:39.:22:44.

Most of the Olympics will happen in the East London borough of Newham,

:22:44.:22:47.

the locals have already faced years of disruption with the building

:22:47.:22:52.

work, there is no let up. The mayor says it will only be worth it if

:22:52.:22:56.

they see the benefits? This is an area of poverty, and has been for a

:22:56.:23:00.

century. We want to change that. You are worried at the moment that

:23:00.:23:04.

people could end up resenting things. We will have an opening

:23:04.:23:08.

ceremony dress rehearsal, we want residents at that. We don't get the

:23:08.:23:11.

opening ceremony, but the dress rehearsal. We will get the feel of

:23:11.:23:14.

an Olympics being in the park. There is lots of things to do to

:23:14.:23:19.

get a feel and be part of the Olympics. You believe local

:23:19.:23:22.

residents should be invited to that? Of course they should. In the

:23:23.:23:27.

longer term East London needs job. The mayor, Sir Robin Wales, says

:23:27.:23:31.

construction of the new �1.5 billion shopping centre, privately

:23:31.:23:34.

funded, has offered far better prospects than the Olympic project.

:23:35.:23:38.

But the man so far delivering the Olympics on time and under budget

:23:38.:23:45.

says that is unfair. I could not have built this relying on Robin

:23:45.:23:49.

turning up with people to provide the labour force to the contractors.

:23:49.:23:53.

You always want to get the thing built on time and create jobs. We

:23:53.:23:59.

gave more focus here than in my experience we have ever done to

:23:59.:24:02.

creating training opportunities for people, we made it a condition of

:24:02.:24:06.

the contract with the contractors that they had to employ a certain

:24:06.:24:09.

percentage of trainees with their work force. These youngsters

:24:09.:24:13.

training in south London, are part of a charitable project run in the

:24:13.:24:19.

most deprived boroughs, to encower participation in sport. It has no

:24:19.:24:24.

olympics funding, but its director is unconvinced by promises of the

:24:24.:24:28.

game's sporting legacy. In the original bid, Lord Coe pledged the

:24:28.:24:32.

London Games would inspire a new generation of youth to greater

:24:32.:24:34.

sporting activity. Some believe no- one at the Olympics is delivering

:24:34.:24:38.

on that promise. I'm not sure who is taking

:24:38.:24:41.

responsibility, at the moment I'm not sure who it is. There are

:24:41.:24:45.

various people you could say, Sebastian Coe was obviously the

:24:45.:24:49.

person in Singapore who made the comment. Since then it is unclear

:24:49.:24:52.

whose responsibility it is to create the participation and aspect

:24:52.:24:56.

of the legacy. If you don't know who to ask, then what hope is

:24:56.:25:02.

there? I think there are many sports where participation is

:25:02.:25:05.

decreasing overall. We're hoping that the legacy will be obviously

:25:05.:25:10.

something that will happen after the Olympics. In order to have

:25:10.:25:18.

success we need to plan now. Michael di Giorgio's GreenHouse

:25:18.:25:22.

project has been lauded for encouraging sport not just for

:25:22.:25:26.

those doing it but for everyone. There are many programme where is

:25:26.:25:29.

people go in and say there are 50,000 people doing this now, and

:25:29.:25:32.

there weren't before. Yes, but you are not going to make any

:25:32.:25:36.

difference to their lives by going in for a short-term. They will stop

:25:36.:25:40.

doing it in a few weeks time? Absolutely. Perhaps the biggest

:25:40.:25:44.

headache of the games will be transporting millions of visitors,

:25:44.:25:51.

the satirists of 2012 have already made hey. It is low flying

:25:51.:25:55.

aeroplane, if you get it right everybody noticed, if you get it

:25:55.:26:00.

wrong, first everybody notices it and then they die. Stratford, home

:26:00.:26:03.

of the Olympic Park, is a growing transport hub, with 14 rail lines

:26:03.:26:08.

in and out. But the sheer volume of passengers for the games will be a

:26:08.:26:12.

challenge, and the roads, already notorious for snarl ups, are a real

:26:12.:26:20.

concern. At the Railway tap vern, just opposite the Olympic Village,

:26:20.:26:25.

- tavern, just opposite the Olympic Village business is booming. The

:26:25.:26:28.

landlady is worried, next year the road outside will be closed for 18

:26:28.:26:33.

hours a day for three months, the beer lorries won't get through.

:26:33.:26:37.

have already had the road shut for 18 months when we were dismandling

:26:37.:26:42.

a new bridge. How did you cope? managed, we were part of a building

:26:42.:26:46.

site. I know we were going to have disruption, because we are so close

:26:46.:26:53.

to the proximity of the actual site. I understand that. And people do

:26:53.:26:59.

speak to you, they just seem to think it is the Olympics, and

:26:59.:27:03.

that's it, you have to swallow. But the head of the Olympic legacy

:27:03.:27:07.

company, the man in charge of the future, says it will pay off. He

:27:08.:27:11.

knows the real regeneration of niece London will take another 20

:27:11.:27:14.

years, and private investors with further billions to spend. And

:27:14.:27:19.

there are no guarantees. If the idea that is being floated around

:27:19.:27:23.

the country at the moment, for greater realisation, stuff moving

:27:23.:27:27.

away from London to the region, maybe London won't need to grow any

:27:27.:27:30.

more? London is always growing, it is projected to grow between seven

:27:30.:27:35.

to eight million people, it is a global city, it needs to

:27:35.:27:38.

accommodate the growth. Look at all the buildings in the back drop,

:27:38.:27:41.

that is testimony to the fact that London is growing, this will be a

:27:41.:27:47.

new centre for London. Predicting whether 2012 has a

:27:47.:27:51.

successful legacy is an exercise in speculation. Because legacy is

:27:51.:27:55.

something which by definition can only be really judged with

:27:55.:28:00.

hindsight. So we will have to wait until after next year, in fact,

:28:00.:28:06.

until years after 2012, before we can really see whether the �9

:28:06.:28:15.

billion plus gamble is paying off. Tessa Jowell MP is here now, she's

:28:15.:28:20.

a member of the linlic 2012 Board, and former Olympics minister, she

:28:20.:28:25.

shadows the department. Why has the legacy plan gone wrong? It hasn't.

:28:25.:28:29.

It had two elements, the first the regeneration of East London. You

:28:29.:28:34.

have seen the evidence of that. The second was transforming a

:28:34.:28:39.

generation of young people through sport. Young people, in our country,

:28:39.:28:44.

are playing more sport than ever before. We had disagreemented with

:28:44.:28:49.

the coalition Government's decision to dismantle ...They Are playing

:28:49.:28:53.

more sport than ever before because the Olympics are coming here?

:28:53.:28:57.

Olympics are certainly an element. Certainly, when I was in Government,

:28:57.:29:03.

we put substantial amounts of money into sport that every level there

:29:03.:29:07.

is, because of the Olympics. This is a legacy before the event?

:29:07.:29:13.

you are going to create legacy you have to plan beforehand. The sports

:29:13.:29:18.

programme that we created, which saw every child playing, between

:29:18.:29:24.

three and four hours of sport a week. That took eight years to

:29:24.:29:29.

realise. The increase in budget, the original bid was �2.4 billion?

:29:29.:29:36.

We put in what is called an indicative bid. It wasn't very

:29:36.:29:41.

indicative, the original bid was �2.4 billion, and the final bid

:29:41.:29:46.

will be the best part of �9 billion. I made clear to parliament if we

:29:46.:29:49.

won the right to host the games we would have to review the budget,

:29:49.:29:54.

which we did. The substantial part of the increase was contingency,

:29:54.:30:00.

security after 7/7, VAT and the decision to be bolder and do more

:30:00.:30:04.

on regeneration than the original budget suggested S My question is

:30:04.:30:07.

given the budget was three times what you thought it was going to be

:30:07.:30:12.

when you put in the bid, have you got three times the legacy? I think

:30:12.:30:17.

without any shadow of a doubt. do so many people in the area think

:30:17.:30:21.

that is a question mark? I take that very seriously. We can talk

:30:21.:30:26.

here in west London about the Olympics in East London, and people,

:30:26.:30:36.
:30:36.:30:40.

the people that Robin Wales are talking about. Robin Wales is being

:30:40.:30:44.

a first-class champion for the people of Newham. He wants them to

:30:44.:30:49.

have a fair share of the cake. is the population of Newham, about

:30:49.:30:53.

a quarter of a million. Is it a gesture of good faith they have had

:30:53.:30:59.

to pay �30,000 to get tickets for 100 events. Is that a gesture of

:30:59.:31:04.

their involvement? I hope that what that means is that children from

:31:04.:31:10.

Newham schools, and so forth, will be able to come to the games.

:31:10.:31:15.

free? I don't know exactly how Newham are planning to distribute

:31:15.:31:23.

their tickets, Newham will get, as do tower hamlets, as the other six

:31:23.:31:27.

Olympic boroughs. They have asked for more, they will get them will

:31:27.:31:30.

they? We are talking about legacy. And a very important part of the

:31:30.:31:34.

legacy is changing the nature of the economy, in the poorest

:31:34.:31:39.

boroughs in the country, certainly in London. What we have seen,

:31:39.:31:44.

40,000 people will work on the Olympic Park, twice the number of

:31:44.:31:50.

local people, the emphasis on' present tisships, actually creating,

:31:50.:31:55.

- apprenticeships, actually creating the legacy. This is for �9

:31:55.:32:00.

billion? You can turn up your nose and sneer at this. I'm not, I'm

:32:00.:32:04.

asking how you justify this vast amount of money? It will actually

:32:04.:32:10.

be rather less than �9 billion. The cost of the park will be �7.2

:32:10.:32:14.

billion. A snip! You have to remember that either this great

:32:14.:32:21.

tract was going to remain as contaminated wasteland, or become

:32:21.:32:26.

the largest urban park in Europe for 150 years, with 2,700 homes in

:32:26.:32:31.

the first stage, state-of-the-art, sporting venues, and the

:32:31.:32:36.

opportunity for jobs, because what East London needs is jobs and

:32:36.:32:39.

investment. We will explore a bit more of this in a moment or two,

:32:39.:32:43.

the vast sums of money being spent on the Olympics were committed

:32:43.:32:48.

before the nation woke up to how broke we are. Worth it, we are told,

:32:48.:32:52.

for the legacy, but inheritance is notoriously much more easily

:32:52.:32:56.

dreamed than realised. That is someone else's problem, as the

:32:56.:32:59.

author Ian Sinclair knows, we have heard these sorts of promises

:33:00.:33:06.

before, indeed we have begin legacies before.

:33:06.:33:10.

If the drama of international competition, man against man on the

:33:10.:33:15.

track was required, then Hackney Wick, found ways to provide it, as

:33:15.:33:18.

a modest private investment, the nation didn't have to go into hock

:33:18.:33:25.

to pull in the punters. It is my contention that many of

:33:25.:33:30.

the great things promised as a result of the Olympic legacy are

:33:30.:33:34.

here already. Or were here and have disappeared and been allowed to

:33:34.:33:38.

wither away for lack of investment. We couldn't afford to keep them,

:33:38.:33:43.

examples of some of these things, these great ghosts of London can be

:33:43.:33:53.
:33:53.:33:59.

found behind me in Victoria Park. This was once the Crowning glory of

:33:59.:34:03.

East London, the Victoria Park boating lake, temporarily drained,

:34:03.:34:07.

as part of the grand Olympic make- over. And including an

:34:07.:34:10.

extraordinary structure that looks like an east German border post. It

:34:10.:34:17.

is a recreation of a Chinese pagoda, and the original had come out of

:34:17.:34:19.

Hyde Park at the time of the great exhibition, it decayed as the way

:34:19.:34:23.

these things do, and it is such a strange notion, that when we are

:34:23.:34:27.

trying to invent London again, we go back to something that had its

:34:27.:34:37.
:34:37.:34:54.

This locked doorway is to what was once the Eton Mission, whereby

:34:54.:34:57.

benevolent figures from the great English public schools came to

:34:57.:35:01.

Hackney and provided everything that the Olympic games is now

:35:01.:35:08.

promising to do. They had playing fields, boating, they had swimming,

:35:08.:35:13.

they had allotments, and inside this particular building they also

:35:13.:35:18.

did culture, they were teaching people to paint. Now, unfortunately,

:35:18.:35:22.

all that is gone, we can't get inside the building and that

:35:22.:35:32.
:35:32.:35:35.

building will disappear very soon. Brought through from the pool room

:35:35.:35:40.

of the now closed Eton Mission, into the grander space of St Mary's

:35:40.:35:44.

Church, we have what really is the legacy of the first attempt to

:35:44.:35:48.

bring sports and athletics to the people of East London. All that we

:35:48.:35:54.

are left with are a series of quiet haunting images of the sporting

:35:54.:35:59.

teams of the past. A sort of cabinet of curiosities for a great

:35:59.:36:09.
:36:09.:36:24.

High above Hackney Wick, if we're looking for the one big cultural

:36:24.:36:28.

legacy of the Olympics, maybe we should just observe more closely

:36:28.:36:33.

what is around us, rather than trying to impose something massive

:36:33.:36:37.

and spectacular, a lot of the best qualities are the very things that

:36:37.:36:42.

you have to tease out for yourself, by going up in weird elevators into

:36:42.:36:49.

the tops of mysterious buildings. If I look over there, I see water

:36:49.:36:58.

playing, remediating over a pile of rubble, and for me that is as good

:36:58.:37:08.
:37:08.:37:14.

I feel that the real legacy is the place itself, which is something

:37:14.:37:18.

you can't predict. So legacy is defined as being the unpredictable,

:37:18.:37:23.

and should be kept away from all kind of planners and promoters, and

:37:23.:37:25.

left to the people themselves hidden within these buildings to

:37:25.:37:29.

fix their own legacy and to write their own history, and anything

:37:29.:37:39.
:37:39.:37:40.

else is false, impractical and, in the end, wrong.

:37:40.:37:50.

Tessa Jowell is still with us, I'm joined by Will Self and Baroness

:37:50.:37:57.

Gray, who has won 16 gold medals. What is Britain trying to say with

:37:57.:38:00.

these Olympics? It is part of the same old song of what our society

:38:00.:38:04.

has been doing during the boom years. This is a creation

:38:04.:38:08.

essentially of capital, capital has to find things to do with itself.

:38:08.:38:14.

It is essentially a kind of boosterism, huge monumental

:38:14.:38:18.

buildings, massive amounts of infrastructure, mood music, you

:38:18.:38:24.

heard it all from Tessa, state-of- the-art was a phrase we heard there,

:38:24.:38:30.

it is not about social capital, it is about capital capital. Watch out,

:38:30.:38:35.

she's looking very angry here? don't agree with you Will? What a

:38:35.:38:40.

surprise? We have done this before. What I think the Olympics is saying

:38:40.:38:47.

about us is that we are a proud, modern, open and diverse country,

:38:47.:38:51.

that celebrates tolerance, and that it is quite different from some of

:38:51.:38:57.

the is iteryo types of Britain. never understand - Stereotypes of

:38:57.:39:01.

Britain. I never understand what elite athletes have to do with the

:39:01.:39:06.

state of Britain. Do you see it like that? It is hugely positive.

:39:06.:39:12.

The Paralympics will be an amazing legacy, having 4,500 disabled

:39:12.:39:16.

athletes in London, will change attitudes and legislation more than

:39:16.:39:22.

anything else will be able to do. Any more than seeing the same thing

:39:22.:39:25.

on television anywhere else? will be in London and they will be

:39:25.:39:29.

around. London is an old city, incredibly expensive and difficult

:39:29.:39:33.

to change. Having the athletes here will do more to normalise

:39:33.:39:37.

disability than anything we see. Disabled people are still excluded

:39:37.:39:41.

from society. Paralympic sport is about elite sport, it also has a

:39:41.:39:45.

secondary message. For me, the legacy of the Olympics what that

:39:45.:39:49.

can do to change the Paralympics. It is one organising committee

:39:49.:39:54.

promoting itself as two games, will be incredibly powerful. Is it not

:39:54.:39:58.

the case that this obsession with elite sport, as in the Olympics, is

:39:58.:40:04.

damaging some grassroots sport? There is the view that elite sport

:40:04.:40:07.

doesn't help long-term grassroots participation. However there will

:40:07.:40:11.

be a Wimbledon effect. In the weeks after the games, lots and lots of

:40:11.:40:15.

young people will want to do sport, they will want to do art, and lots

:40:15.:40:18.

of different things. It is how we are then geared up to deal with it.

:40:18.:40:22.

That is another part of it, will the clubs be ready, will the

:40:22.:40:25.

governing bodies be ready, will the volunteers and coaches be there to

:40:25.:40:29.

accept all the young people who will come in. What do you make of

:40:29.:40:34.

the legacy argument? It is not there at all, really. It is a sort

:40:34.:40:37.

of boon dog, I don't think it matters whether you talk in terms

:40:37.:40:40.

of disabled, young people, or you talk in terms, I had dinner with

:40:40.:40:46.

days abled friend this week who said, I'm afraid to say is a big

:40:46.:40:48.

critic of the Paralympics and doesn't feel it does that for the

:40:48.:40:52.

disabled community at all. There are many disabled people who stand

:40:52.:40:58.

in the same relationship to elite disabled athletes as you or I do to

:40:58.:41:03.

the elite athletes. There aren't the resource there is, we have had

:41:03.:41:08.

a decade or two decades, where playing fields have been sold off

:41:08.:41:13.

by local authorities, and swimming pools. It is beginning to make me

:41:13.:41:19.

slightly angry. Simon Jenkin, by no means a firebrand on this issue,

:41:19.:41:28.

said the games would be elitist, and stupifying in his column today,

:41:28.:41:34.

that is the perception in the games. Sepp Blatter will be riding in

:41:35.:41:42.

special lanes to this games, with his cronies, and that is where the

:41:42.:41:47.

�9 billion. That wouldn't be so if we had the sell-out games. It was a

:41:48.:41:53.

clever piece of marketing. Tickets sold at prices that people could

:41:54.:41:58.

have afford. Two-thirds of tickets �50 or less, the Robin Hood tax on

:41:58.:42:03.

the corporates to get kids from schools into the Olympic Stadium,

:42:03.:42:08.

watching Olympic sport. At every level, at every single level these

:42:08.:42:13.

Olympics have been, you can't answer every single challenge,

:42:13.:42:20.

focusing on training young people, creating jobs for young people.

:42:20.:42:26.

many jobs were created. 40,000 people have worked on it. How many

:42:26.:42:32.

were local. 25%. I think I could create more than 10,000 jobs, if

:42:32.:42:36.

you give me �9 billion, I can create a lot more than that. I

:42:36.:42:41.

could have cleaned up that whole area. 40,000 people working in the

:42:41.:42:47.

park, 8,000 when Westfield hope, another 8,000 in the press and

:42:48.:42:53.

broadcast. These are sustainable aspect of it is a shopping centre.

:42:53.:42:57.

With an academy to train people in the retail industry. It is a

:42:57.:43:00.

shopping centre and a training academy for people to sell more

:43:00.:43:04.

things. I'm not seeing that as particularly sustainable. Retail is

:43:04.:43:08.

an important part of our economy, we had a gloomy discussion at the

:43:08.:43:11.

beginning. East London will become an engine of growth. But in the

:43:11.:43:15.

meantime, in the meantime, as a country, as the evidence is, and

:43:15.:43:19.

the number of people who volunteered to take part, the kids

:43:19.:43:25.

who want to be part of team GD, the rate of ticket sales, the country

:43:25.:43:30.

is getting behind this. You're on theing willcy, that is two weeks,

:43:30.:43:34.

what comes afterwards? Hang on skaebgd, please, as an athlete,

:43:34.:43:44.
:43:44.:43:49.

what do you make of it, these concerns are widely held, as an

:43:49.:43:53.

athlete? The atmosphere during games time is very different, it is

:43:53.:43:56.

how to harness that for a positive value. The trouble with legacy is

:43:57.:44:00.

it means different things to different people. Athletes aren't

:44:00.:44:04.

that bothered about legacy. From my experience is from the five games I

:44:04.:44:09.

competed at and the one that I worked at, is that we all need to

:44:09.:44:13.

be responsible for legacy. There is so much of what is happening at the

:44:14.:44:18.

moment we are are panicking about it. This is my analogy, Sebastian

:44:18.:44:22.

Coe is a multi-millionaire who has made an awful lot of money out of

:44:22.:44:27.

sports club and being a global brand ambassador for Nike shoes, he

:44:27.:44:32.

gets a lot of tax-payers' money, it is like giving a brewer money to

:44:32.:44:38.

mount an Octoberfest. Sebastian Coe has done a fantastic job as

:44:38.:44:43.

chairman of the organising committee, let's hope for every

:44:44.:44:49.

Tany Gray. Not that there will be many. There will only be one.

:44:49.:44:55.

we will have 16 gold medals and more kids playing sport and feeling

:44:55.:45:02.

better. Where will they play it about, they will not play it in the

:45:02.:45:06.

cracked Olympic buildings that will reside back into the marshes where

:45:06.:45:09.

they came from. Even the centre is not fit for purpose. They are

:45:09.:45:14.

trying to sell it to a football team who don't really, it is not an

:45:14.:45:17.

ideal football. It is a multipurpose stadium. This could go

:45:17.:45:22.

on for a long time. It will go on for a year at least. Thank you all

:45:22.:45:25.

very much. That is all from Newsnight tonight, friend and

:45:25.:45:32.

family of the singer Amy Winehouse, sent her off today with a funeral

:45:32.:45:35.

service in North London, she was 27. Here she is at the height of her

:45:35.:45:40.

powers. # Black

:45:40.:45:50.
:45:50.:45:50.

Tl # Black # Black

:45:50.:45:57.

# I go to # I go back to

:45:57.:46:04.

# We only said goodbye with words # I died a hundred times

:46:04.:46:10.

# You go back to her # And I go

:46:11.:46:18.

# We only said goodbye with words # I died a hundred times

:46:18.:46:28.
:46:28.:46:39.

# You go back her Hello there, the western side of

:46:39.:46:43.

the UK saw the sunniest weather we had, that is where we will start

:46:43.:46:45.

with most of the sunshine in the morning. We will keep more cloud

:46:45.:46:49.

for central and eastern areas of England, sunny spells in Scotland.

:46:49.:46:52.

Rain will eventually arrive into Northern Ireland and the Western

:46:52.:46:55.

Isles. For northern England though it should be dry, we will have

:46:55.:46:59.

sunshine. It may brighten up a touch to the Pennines. The odd

:46:59.:47:03.

shower feeding to the east of London. Better chance of seeing

:47:03.:47:06.

some sunshine as you head further best for the south west of England.

:47:07.:47:13.

It should be a dry day. 23, 24 degrees, it will feel pleasant when

:47:13.:47:17.

the sun is out. Patchy cloud around here and in Wales in the afternoon.

:47:17.:47:22.

Still some sunshine as well. For Northern Ireland a bright start in

:47:22.:47:26.

the east and west. Drizzley rain heading towards Belfast by the end

:47:26.:47:29.

of the afternoon. By that time seeing rain heading into the

:47:29.:47:34.

mainland of Scotland, ahead of it sunshine, a warmer day in

:47:34.:47:44.
:47:44.:47:54.

Aberdeenshire, and 24 degrees in For Scotland, we see the rain

:47:54.:47:56.

Download Subtitles

SRT

ASS