Browse content similar to 13/12/2011. Check below for episodes and series from the same categories and more!
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Tonight, a chorus of criticism from Europe, as Cameron's vetos labelled | :00:10. | :00:13. | |
selfish nationalism. There are always for Britain to return its | :00:13. | :00:17. | |
rebate money. The head of the commission says the PM's demands | :00:17. | :00:21. | |
were unworkable. The United Kingdom, in exchange for giving its | :00:21. | :00:25. | |
agreement, asked for specific protocol on financial services, | :00:25. | :00:30. | |
which, as presented, was a risk to the integrity of the internal | :00:30. | :00:35. | |
market. This made compromise impossible. | :00:35. | :00:38. | |
We will discuss the implications for Britain. | :00:38. | :00:44. | |
One step closer to the God particle, are we about to solve the mystery | :00:44. | :00:50. | |
of mass in the universe. Earlier scientists got their first | :00:50. | :01:00. | |
:01:00. | :01:01. | ||
tantalising results, as they hone in on the his boson. We take you | :01:01. | :01:11. | |
:01:11. | :01:18. | ||
So, the recriminations from Europe have begun in full, today two | :01:18. | :01:21. | |
senior figures voiced their criticism of David Cameron's's | :01:22. | :01:25. | |
decision to veto the new treaty, calling it lacking in solidarity. | :01:25. | :01:28. | |
Jose Manuel Barroso, said the demands made by the Prime Minister | :01:28. | :01:31. | |
could have undermined the rules of the Common Market, and the leader | :01:31. | :01:36. | |
of the European People's Party, the largest group in parliament, called | :01:36. | :01:40. | |
on Britain to return its budget rebate as a result of the decision. | :01:40. | :01:44. | |
The split with Britain has distracted attention from the fact | :01:44. | :01:47. | |
that the separate treaty, agreed by the other 26 members, has failed to | :01:47. | :01:52. | |
take the jitters out of the markets. Tonight, amid accusations that | :01:52. | :01:58. | |
Britain wants to break the internal market, we ask if Britain's demands | :01:58. | :02:03. | |
were unreasonable and what happens now. | :02:03. | :02:08. | |
Their dream of a united Europe shattered. Many on the continent | :02:08. | :02:11. | |
that David Cameron cold shouldered have wasted no time getting their | :02:11. | :02:16. | |
own back on Britain. Today, in the European Parliament, the leader of | :02:16. | :02:18. | |
the influential grouping that British Conservatives abandoned | :02:18. | :02:23. | |
some years ago, even threatened the rebate on the UK's budget | :02:23. | :02:27. | |
contributions. Hard won fruit of so many negotiations. | :02:27. | :02:31. | |
TRANSLATION: The British isolation clearly shows that country's | :02:31. | :02:34. | |
Government regards the European Union as a simple free trade area, | :02:34. | :02:38. | |
it has no consideration for solidarity and responsibility | :02:38. | :02:42. | |
towards its partners, and that, in my view, implies a change in the | :02:42. | :02:47. | |
behaviour of the 26, and also to an extent, within the European | :02:47. | :02:51. | |
institutions, in behaviour towards that country, in particular I think | :02:51. | :02:56. | |
the British check is now up for question. Meanwhile, this former | :02:56. | :03:01. | |
Prime Minister, scorned a language he's usually happy to use. Tran | :03:01. | :03:04. | |
President, I will be speaking my native language today, because I | :03:04. | :03:07. | |
don't think English would be a very appropriate language to use! | :03:07. | :03:13. | |
In the end, though, he did revert to plain English, to deliver this | :03:13. | :03:18. | |
swipe at Mr Cameron. To say it with an English expression to our | :03:18. | :03:21. | |
British friends, when you are invited to the table, either it is | :03:21. | :03:27. | |
as a guest or otherwise you are part of the man u. The commission's | :03:27. | :03:30. | |
President, often considered an anglophile, blamed British | :03:30. | :03:35. | |
intransigence for the failure of his attempts to bridge differences | :03:35. | :03:41. | |
at last week's summit. Fortunately we haven't seen a split between the | :03:41. | :03:44. | |
European Union between the 17 and the 10, this was indeed the | :03:44. | :03:50. | |
greatest risk ahead of the summit. This is not an agreement at 17 plus, | :03:50. | :03:55. | |
but an agreement of 27, my mus. the single market, finally | :03:55. | :04:00. | |
established by -- minus. But the single market is the aspect | :04:00. | :04:03. | |
of British intergrai, that Prime Ministers, including Margaret | :04:03. | :04:06. | |
Thatcher, and David Cameron, have championed for more than 20 years, | :04:06. | :04:10. | |
would the UK really compromise it. The single market only runs because | :04:10. | :04:15. | |
it runs on the basis of qualified majority voting. If you give each | :04:15. | :04:23. | |
of the 27 nations a veto on each piece of findishly complicated of | :04:23. | :04:25. | |
financial services regulations, chemical regulations, the single | :04:26. | :04:33. | |
market would never have worked. That is what Margaret Thatcher knew, | :04:33. | :04:37. | |
that is why she put it in place in the first place. Now for Cameron | :04:37. | :04:42. | |
say yes we will undermine that principle, Barroso had an issue | :04:42. | :04:46. | |
with that. David Cameron used his veto, he said, to defend the City, | :04:46. | :04:50. | |
but did he need to? One of the proposed European measure that is | :04:50. | :04:54. | |
institutions here most fear, a possible tax on financial | :04:54. | :04:59. | |
transactions, can only be levyed by unanimity any way. As for other | :04:59. | :05:03. | |
regulations that can be introduced by qualified majority voting, many | :05:03. | :05:07. | |
say that Britain's view on financial services would carry | :05:07. | :05:12. | |
particular weight. This investment director, his firm | :05:12. | :05:17. | |
manages �2 billion of assets, isn't sure what exactly in the City the | :05:17. | :05:24. | |
Prime Minister was protecting. the moat kwhrif for this veet -- | :05:24. | :05:28. | |
motive for this veto was to protect the financial services industry | :05:28. | :05:32. | |
from Brussels, we are not sure it achieves that outcome. In truth, we | :05:32. | :05:36. | |
are not really clear on what those threats might be. | :05:36. | :05:38. | |
Some people would be quite surprised to hear you say that, you | :05:38. | :05:41. | |
are in the financial services industry, and David Cameron said | :05:41. | :05:45. | |
everything he did at the summit last week he did for you? Well, I | :05:45. | :05:49. | |
think there is, the financial services industry is clearly a very | :05:49. | :05:54. | |
important part of the UK economy. It generate as great deal of tax | :05:54. | :06:00. | |
revenue for the UK Government. The Government needs to be seen to be | :06:00. | :06:06. | |
supporting what is a very important industry. I'm not sure that this is | :06:06. | :06:12. | |
the most effective way to go about it. But, we can understand that the | :06:12. | :06:17. | |
principles behind his actions are sound. | :06:17. | :06:22. | |
Many in the City think Britain, with its Anglo-Saxon wariness of | :06:22. | :06:27. | |
regulation is right to be worried about a union dominated by powers | :06:27. | :06:30. | |
traditionally keener on state interference, but Britain isn't the | :06:30. | :06:37. | |
only EU member that takes that view, some way we would have protected | :06:37. | :06:41. | |
financial interests by all lying with others within the framework of | :06:41. | :06:45. | |
treaty negotiations. The countries most disappointed by Cameron's | :06:45. | :06:49. | |
walkout are Britain's traditional allies, the northern Europeans, the | :06:49. | :06:52. | |
central east Europeans, that have a lot of common interests in Britain, | :06:52. | :06:56. | |
in terms of keeping the single market going, keeping the EU open | :06:56. | :07:00. | |
to international trade, and making sure that the EU doesn't go down | :07:00. | :07:05. | |
the road of more social and tax legislation and harmonisation. | :07:05. | :07:09. | |
These countries want Britain to be in the room, to be a strong voice | :07:09. | :07:13. | |
to stand up for their joint interests. Tonight Downing Street | :07:13. | :07:18. | |
said Mr Cameron had only been seeking equal, not preferential | :07:18. | :07:21. | |
treatment for the financial services industry. Whether that | :07:21. | :07:25. | |
industry and the rest of our economy are sliding into a | :07:25. | :07:27. | |
dangerous isolation, or are now a little safer from the still | :07:27. | :07:32. | |
gathering storm in the your Roy zone s a question even the City | :07:32. | :07:37. | |
doesn't know the answer to. I'm joined by Aino Lepik Von Wiren, | :07:37. | :07:42. | |
the ambassador to the UK for Estonia, Margot James, the | :07:42. | :07:45. | |
Conservative MP, and from Strasbourg the Dutch MEP and vice | :07:45. | :07:48. | |
chair of the European People's Party, Corien Wortmann-Kool, thank | :07:48. | :07:53. | |
you very much for-to-all of you for joining us. Corien Wortmann-Kool, | :07:53. | :07:57. | |
to -- thank you very much to all of you for joining us. Corien | :07:57. | :08:00. | |
Wortmann-Kool, why would Jose Manuel Barroso say that David | :08:00. | :08:06. | |
Cameron's demands undermine the single market? It was actually an | :08:06. | :08:13. | |
example of a very bad timing at a very bad moment to defend the City. | :08:13. | :08:17. | |
Because 26 member states wanted to agree on more fiscal discipline, | :08:17. | :08:22. | |
which would be included in the treaty. It would not affect the UK, | :08:22. | :08:28. | |
but to use this moment, this timing, to get exemptions from financial | :08:28. | :08:35. | |
markets regulation, that is really a very bad, that is not how you co- | :08:35. | :08:39. | |
operate together. Margot James? Well, it never is the right time is | :08:39. | :08:43. | |
it, apparently, to stand up for a very key British interest. Which | :08:43. | :08:47. | |
should be an interest across the whole of the European Union as well. | :08:47. | :08:49. | |
Financial services is not just important to the UK, it is | :08:50. | :08:54. | |
important to everywhere else as well. The British Government is | :08:54. | :09:02. | |
very concerned about the impending threats of regulation. Wasn't it | :09:02. | :09:04. | |
interesting, you heard what the man from the financial services office | :09:05. | :09:08. | |
was saying there, actually this whole idea of demanding unanimity | :09:08. | :09:13. | |
on the Robinhood tax is something already in place. You -- Robin Hood | :09:13. | :09:16. | |
tax is something already in place, you didn't need to make that | :09:16. | :09:20. | |
demand? That is not the only one coming down the track, that is one | :09:20. | :09:24. | |
of more than 40 threatening regulations coming over on to the | :09:24. | :09:28. | |
financial services industry. There is the whole issue of having to | :09:28. | :09:35. | |
clear all our euro trade over on the continent as well. That is not, | :09:35. | :09:41. | |
that is subject to qualified majority votinging, it is not just | :09:41. | :09:49. | |
the -- majority voting, it is not just that which is the headline- | :09:49. | :09:55. | |
grabber. There is already the need for unanimity, so there was no | :09:56. | :09:59. | |
need? That is only one of 40 regulations on financial services, | :09:59. | :10:03. | |
it is the only one subject to unanimity, all the others are sublt | :10:04. | :10:07. | |
to qualified majority voting. Subject to qualified majority | :10:07. | :10:11. | |
voting. You are the newest member of the eurozone, when you saw the | :10:11. | :10:14. | |
negotiations as a country, did you think that David Cameron's position | :10:14. | :10:22. | |
was attractive to a smaller, newer country like your's? We went to | :10:22. | :10:28. | |
Brussels last week, hoping that all 27 countries could agree on the | :10:28. | :10:35. | |
financial dis Palestinian, and also that the market would regain its -- | :10:35. | :10:39. | |
discipline, and also that the market would regain its confidence | :10:39. | :10:44. | |
in the euro. It didn't happen, Estonia is happy about what was | :10:44. | :10:50. | |
decided, because it is nothing new for us, because our budget is | :10:50. | :10:57. | |
balanced, and for us it is new. There is never a moment you would | :10:57. | :11:01. | |
have taken Britain's side, where you would have imagined you being | :11:01. | :11:09. | |
part of the ten, on the outer block? We fully agree with what was | :11:09. | :11:16. | |
decided in Brussels. We are happy that it was 26 countries that it | :11:16. | :11:20. | |
didn't say with 17 and 10, so we are happy about it is decide. We | :11:21. | :11:25. | |
are hopeful that this will now be this new treaty will come as soon | :11:25. | :11:29. | |
as possible, because the most important thing for Estonia now is | :11:29. | :11:36. | |
that the euro will be table and the market will get confidence. Corien | :11:36. | :11:41. | |
Wortmann-Kool, when your leader of the EPP, I'm meaning, talks about | :11:41. | :11:45. | |
selfish nationalism, it is very hard not to think of it as sour | :11:45. | :11:50. | |
grapes towards a leader who, in a big headline, left your grouping a | :11:50. | :11:58. | |
couple of years ago. Well, let's look to today. The attitude of | :11:58. | :12:05. | |
David Cameron. When 26 member states want to agree on something | :12:05. | :12:11. | |
which would not affect the British, on the contrary, the British people | :12:11. | :12:14. | |
would benefit from having the eurozone crisis calmed down, so it | :12:14. | :12:19. | |
would actually be in the interests of the British. When such a moment | :12:19. | :12:25. | |
is chosen to get something additional out for the British, I'm | :12:25. | :12:30. | |
afraid, oh no I'm not afraid, I expect this will really harm the | :12:30. | :12:35. | |
British position on the negotiating table, on key pieces of legislation, | :12:35. | :12:39. | |
which are currently under discussion with regards to | :12:39. | :12:42. | |
financial markets and regulations. It will easily work the other way | :12:42. | :12:46. | |
round. You heard it there, Margot James will be isolated from this | :12:46. | :12:50. | |
decision? Well, there is a great deal more to be gone through before | :12:50. | :12:58. | |
it is all settled down. I respect the other view, but there is no | :12:58. | :13:03. | |
doubt that the safeguards that David Cameron argued for were | :13:03. | :13:07. | |
modest, moderate, they were not extreme in any way, and he | :13:07. | :13:11. | |
exercised what is our country's right to exercise. In the defence | :13:11. | :13:15. | |
of our interests. Of course it is in our interests to have the | :13:15. | :13:18. | |
eurozone crisis solved. We have been arguing that for months now. | :13:18. | :13:22. | |
Let me just take it a step further, because the Times front page I'm | :13:22. | :13:25. | |
hearing is talking about Tory euro- sceptics trying to force Cameron's | :13:25. | :13:29. | |
hand to push for a referendum on Europe now. Is that something that | :13:29. | :13:33. | |
he will do, is he prepared to go that far? I don't think so, | :13:33. | :13:36. | |
obviously you would have to ask him that. Do you know if he has ruled | :13:36. | :13:39. | |
it out, would you like that? Nch I don't think the time is right now | :13:39. | :13:43. | |
for a referendum at all. I think the dust has to settle. Even if | :13:43. | :13:50. | |
he's riding high in the polls? still would think that the | :13:50. | :13:55. | |
referendum that we promised was, from before the election, and that | :13:55. | :13:59. | |
was on the Lisbon Treaty, that was ratified, and there is absolutely | :13:59. | :14:05. | |
no commitment from this Government to hold a referendum. Let...Unless | :14:05. | :14:10. | |
There are more powers, could I just say, that are argued to go to | :14:10. | :14:16. | |
Europe. In that case, if there were any treaties that were proposed | :14:16. | :14:21. | |
that would demand more powers go from this country to Europe, then | :14:21. | :14:24. | |
that would automatically trigger a referendum. You have already vetoed | :14:24. | :14:28. | |
a new treaty, the question lies with Britain now, with your | :14:28. | :14:32. | |
Government, will you stop the institutions from functioning in a | :14:32. | :14:36. | |
way that you are table to, because they are 26 not 27, is that | :14:36. | :14:43. | |
something you will do? I think if there is any attempt to use those | :14:43. | :14:46. | |
institutions to regulate the financial services industry, in the | :14:46. | :14:50. | |
way that is being proposed, I would expect the Government to use the | :14:50. | :14:55. | |
law to prevent that from happening, yes. Corien Wortmann-Kool, one | :14:55. | :15:00. | |
thing your leader was saying today, is Britain should return its rebate. | :15:00. | :15:03. | |
He made this rather funny speech, there are no Kalashnikovs, no | :15:03. | :15:08. | |
declaration of war, of course that is a declaration, at least, of a | :15:08. | :15:13. | |
diplomatic war, isn't it? Will you get the rebate back? No, this is a | :15:13. | :15:19. | |
parliament with lively debate, as is the British parliament. So., | :15:19. | :15:23. | |
what he wanted to make clear is it seems the British are only looking | :15:23. | :15:27. | |
to their own interests, and they only want to get things from the | :15:27. | :15:32. | |
European Union when they like it. But they also have to look to the | :15:32. | :15:41. | |
other 26. He was actually making clear that would be needed in order | :15:41. | :15:47. | |
to continue a fruitful co-operation. Aino Lepik Von Wiren, do you think, | :15:47. | :15:51. | |
briefly, that David Cameron made the wrong decision, when you saw | :15:51. | :15:54. | |
the way he negotiated, he didn't bring any other allies on board, | :15:54. | :16:04. | |
was that a mistake? We understand that the UK its decision. But | :16:04. | :16:09. | |
Estonia hopes in the future we will have 27 on the new agreement, and | :16:09. | :16:14. | |
it could be incorporated into the basic agreement in the EU, that it | :16:14. | :16:18. | |
will happen as soon as possible. Thank you very much. | :16:19. | :16:24. | |
Later in the propbl, we will be walking you through some of -- in | :16:24. | :16:30. | |
the programme, we will be walking you through some of the economic | :16:30. | :16:34. | |
blizzards in rather graphic form. The charts have been singled out by | :16:34. | :16:39. | |
some of our economists for what they tell us about the year we have | :16:39. | :16:42. | |
just had. Before then, a step closer to understanding the mystery | :16:42. | :16:46. | |
of mass, the scientists confirm they are on the verge of finding | :16:46. | :16:49. | |
what is called the God particle. The Higgs Boson is the last missing | :16:49. | :16:54. | |
piece in a leading theory, known as the standard model, which describes | :16:54. | :17:01. | |
how particles and forces interact to make the world we see about us. | :17:01. | :17:09. | |
Over to SERN, to our science editor. There is great excitement today in | :17:09. | :17:13. | |
Geneva with results that scientists say may be tantalising hints that | :17:13. | :17:19. | |
the Higgs Boson exists. Hundreds of scientists piled into packed | :17:19. | :17:24. | |
auditorium, and heard the latest data on the particle smashing | :17:24. | :17:32. | |
machine, the hadron collider, they looked at various graphs, which was | :17:32. | :17:38. | |
largely impet traibl to journalists there. The reason it has physicists | :17:38. | :17:42. | |
excited, is the two teams working separately have seen a spike in | :17:42. | :17:49. | |
their data at the same point, 125 gig ga electron votes, that is a | :17:49. | :17:55. | |
possible measure of the mass of the Higgs Boson. The mass range for the | :17:55. | :17:59. | |
Higgs Boson was like this at the beginning of the year, and now it | :17:59. | :18:04. | |
was moving and now we are here. In the open window, which is the most | :18:05. | :18:09. | |
likely one, there are fluctuations and intriguing hints, that is | :18:09. | :18:12. | |
exciting. Does that mean you are seeing the first hints of the Higgs | :18:12. | :18:17. | |
Boson? We may be seeing the first hints of the Higgs Boson. One of | :18:17. | :18:20. | |
the things we have just found out this week is the mass regions where | :18:20. | :18:25. | |
we are looking for the Higgs, the places where we see the possible | :18:25. | :18:32. | |
signals for the Higgs, it turns out they are consistent geen the two | :18:32. | :18:37. | |
experiments. Why is it important? If they are in the same place the | :18:37. | :18:41. | |
Higgs is there, if it was not there there would be no reason for them | :18:41. | :18:51. | |
:18:51. | :18:52. | ||
to be in the same place. Does this mean the Higgs exists or not? | :18:52. | :18:55. | |
Unfortunately, on that crucial point we have lost our science | :18:55. | :19:05. | |
:19:05. | :19:15. | ||
editor, but let's hear what she We don't really know why everything | :19:15. | :19:23. | |
around us exists. Why the universe has form. Why objects have mass. | :19:23. | :19:28. | |
The fundamental question about why we are here remains unanswered. But | :19:28. | :19:37. | |
today's announcement could change all of that. For decades scientists | :19:37. | :19:41. | |
have been searching for a particle, a particle that will give us an | :19:41. | :19:46. | |
insight into the workings of the universe, the Higgs Boson. To find | :19:46. | :19:52. | |
it, they have had to recreate the conditions of the Big Bang. | :19:52. | :19:57. | |
Billions have been spent in the hunt for the elusive Higgs, to | :19:57. | :20:03. | |
detect it, scientists have built the largest particle accel lator, | :20:03. | :20:09. | |
the Large Hadron Collider, an 18- mile tunnel below the French-Swiss | :20:09. | :20:12. | |
border. Sub atomic particles are fired through opposite directions | :20:12. | :20:16. | |
through the tunnel, at a rate approaching the speed of light. | :20:16. | :20:22. | |
With the help of magnets they smash into each other. Detectors monitor | :20:22. | :20:25. | |
the conditions, and search the debris for signs of the Higgs Boson. | :20:25. | :20:34. | |
But what is the Higgs Boson? For the last two years, scientists at | :20:34. | :20:38. | |
the SERN nuclear laboratory have been searching their results on the | :20:38. | :20:43. | |
hunt for the Higgs. The theory about its existence has been around | :20:43. | :20:50. | |
for 50 years. Until now no-one had seen any sign of it. | :20:50. | :20:54. | |
As the universe cooled after the Big Bang, an invisible force known | :20:54. | :20:59. | |
as the Higgs field formed, together with its associated Higgs Boson | :20:59. | :21:04. | |
particle. The field permeates the entire universe, and when a | :21:04. | :21:08. | |
particle without mass passes through the field it accumulates | :21:08. | :21:11. | |
mass, it develops form, that is why there is something rather than | :21:11. | :21:17. | |
nothing. It is very exciting, and it is also very important, because | :21:17. | :21:23. | |
physics needs us to be driven by a mixture of good theories, but of | :21:23. | :21:30. | |
solid experimental data. This hunt for the Higgs is like fishing where | :21:30. | :21:35. | |
instead of using modern tools you were in the water from the pond. It | :21:35. | :21:41. | |
might be looking at the endous, but it is the only very clean way -- at | :21:41. | :21:46. | |
the endous, but -- tedious, it is the only way when you have removed | :21:46. | :21:50. | |
the water from the pond to find any fish. In the run up to today's | :21:50. | :21:53. | |
announcement there was a real buzz, a sense we were on the verge of | :21:53. | :21:58. | |
something big. I would say it would be a milestone in this particular | :21:58. | :22:03. | |
field. Whatever the results will be. We took data now for two years, and | :22:03. | :22:08. | |
I was pretty much involved in data taking. Of course, it is big | :22:08. | :22:14. | |
excitement. In the control room at CERN, they are testing the | :22:14. | :22:21. | |
Clydeer's capabilities. Collider's capablities. When the machines | :22:21. | :22:25. | |
aren't being used, it is time for the engineers to see how far they | :22:25. | :22:30. | |
can push it to its limits. Harnessing the power of this | :22:30. | :22:37. | |
machine is very exciting. It has become a Holy Grail quest, a large | :22:37. | :22:40. | |
part of the motivation for the Large Hadron Collider was to find | :22:40. | :22:46. | |
the Higgs Boson, or whatever replaces it, this really is a | :22:46. | :22:50. | |
culminating point. The Higgs Boson is part of what is known as the | :22:50. | :22:56. | |
standard model of physic -- physics. This is an instruction booklet for | :22:56. | :23:01. | |
how the Cosmos works, to explain how the different particles and | :23:01. | :23:08. | |
forces react. This is the former head of theoretical physics at CERN, | :23:08. | :23:11. | |
Anwar expert at spotting particles amongst the debris. The standard | :23:11. | :23:19. | |
model explains all the fundamentals of particle physics, it can be seen | :23:19. | :23:23. | |
as on enormous jigsaw puzzle and there is a bit missing in the | :23:23. | :23:28. | |
middle. We have been looking for it for 30 years, and behind the sofa | :23:28. | :23:35. | |
we are finally finding it. Without the Higgs, the standard | :23:35. | :23:40. | |
model is incomplete, finding it would help confirm everything we | :23:40. | :23:46. | |
know about modern physics. Built layer upon layer since 19000. But | :23:46. | :23:49. | |
then in September, something happened that could blow all of | :23:49. | :23:59. | |
:23:59. | :24:01. | ||
this apart. For nearly a century scientists | :24:01. | :24:06. | |
thought nothing could travel faster than the speed of light. | :24:06. | :24:10. | |
neutrons are arriving faster than they should. The speed of light is | :24:10. | :24:13. | |
not an abitary speed limit we made up because we like it, it is built | :24:14. | :24:17. | |
into our understanding of the very space and time around us. It is the | :24:17. | :24:22. | |
very stage on which physics happens. What has so rocked the world of | :24:22. | :24:30. | |
physics was a beam of neutrinos, the most common and weird of all | :24:30. | :24:34. | |
fundamental particles. They had been sent 450 miles from CERN to a | :24:34. | :24:39. | |
laboratory underground, deep inside a mountain in Italy. But they had | :24:39. | :24:44. | |
arrived 60 billionths of a second sooner than light would have done | :24:44. | :24:48. | |
travelling the same distance. Some scientists thought CERN had sent | :24:48. | :24:53. | |
them in bunches too wide to monitor accurately. So they did it again, | :24:53. | :24:58. | |
with a narrower beam. We sent the beam for two nanoseconds to the | :24:58. | :25:04. | |
target producing neutrinos and they measured it in Italy, you have a | :25:04. | :25:07. | |
precise timing measurement on it, it was the same as the measurements | :25:07. | :25:12. | |
they did before with the long beams. Professor Jon Butterworth works in | :25:12. | :25:16. | |
one of the two teams searching for the Higgs at CERN, he thinks there | :25:16. | :25:21. | |
are many ways the neutrino experiment could have gone wrong. | :25:21. | :25:26. | |
It is such an out-there result, there are many, many thousands of | :25:26. | :25:32. | |
results that confirm relativity, and one that challenges it. Before | :25:32. | :25:35. | |
you throw it away and challenge our understanding so much you want to | :25:35. | :25:39. | |
be sure. In the end it was a careful experiment, they have | :25:39. | :25:44. | |
raised any of the systematics that people raised initially, you have | :25:44. | :25:47. | |
to repeat the result until you are sure, as with any science. Making | :25:47. | :25:54. | |
sense of these results throws up all sorts of possiblities. Some | :25:54. | :26:02. | |
theories talk of ten dimensions of space. So could the neutrinos have | :26:02. | :26:07. | |
taken a short cut through another dimension? Arriving in Italy, back | :26:07. | :26:14. | |
in our dimension sooner than expected. | :26:14. | :26:17. | |
The result is so revolutionary, it has to be repeated before it is | :26:18. | :26:23. | |
seen as robust, but even if it is, would it mean anything to all of us | :26:23. | :26:30. | |
in the real world. I'm sure if you asked Einstien back in 1905 what | :26:30. | :26:34. | |
real world applications would his theory of relativity have, he | :26:34. | :26:39. | |
wouldn't give an answer. Now of course we know that relativeity has | :26:39. | :26:44. | |
to be taken into account in the global positions system, sat-nav. | :26:44. | :26:48. | |
Travelling faster than the speed of light, this is perhaps a crazy | :26:48. | :26:52. | |
remark. But I notice that in the financial world, they are now | :26:52. | :26:59. | |
timing their trades at the level of nanoseconds. So if you could make | :26:59. | :27:03. | |
neutrinos go a little bit faster than light, maybe someone would | :27:03. | :27:08. | |
find a competitive edge. With each of us facing our daily troubles, | :27:08. | :27:12. | |
and with the world of finance and politics in turmoil all around us, | :27:12. | :27:18. | |
why should it matter if we find the Higgs and whether the neutrinos go | :27:18. | :27:22. | |
faster than the speed of light, if there is some deeper symmetry under | :27:22. | :27:27. | |
the surface or not. There is in my opinion a very important means for | :27:27. | :27:35. | |
investing, this is very tiny amount of our wealth, in the future. In | :27:35. | :27:41. | |
what is curiosity-driven research. Without that, without that, we are | :27:41. | :27:50. | |
doomed. It has been within of the most incredible years for physics, | :27:50. | :27:55. | |
hints of the Higgs, and from nowhere, particles that could have | :27:55. | :27:58. | |
broken the cosmic speed limit, we could be on the verge of a new | :27:58. | :28:05. | |
physics, a new understanding of our universe, and our place within it. | :28:05. | :28:10. | |
We are going to tryen to that slightly dodgy line to -- try on | :28:10. | :28:18. | |
that slightly dodgy line to cross to Geneva to when of the CERN | :28:18. | :28:24. | |
physicists join in the hunt for Higgs. She talked there about the | :28:24. | :28:28. | |
sense of this year really, the moment that physics had become fun | :28:28. | :28:31. | |
again, and had become revolutionary. Why do you think this is so central | :28:31. | :28:38. | |
to that, why does this matter? has been a fantastic year for CERN | :28:39. | :28:43. | |
and the Large Hadron Collider, we have been waiting for this for 20 | :28:43. | :28:45. | |
years, people have been talking about building these experiments. | :28:45. | :28:49. | |
Already in the summer, in the units we count the number of collision | :28:49. | :28:54. | |
that is have been created in the LHC, we had one inverse part of | :28:54. | :28:58. | |
data to look at. We were already starting to exclude certain masses | :28:58. | :29:02. | |
for the standard model Higgs Boson, today we were looking at five | :29:02. | :29:07. | |
inverse parts of data, five-times more data. For us it was a | :29:07. | :29:12. | |
tremenduously exciting day. The Higgs Boson is a key part of the | :29:12. | :29:15. | |
standard theory, the standard model that describes the way particles | :29:15. | :29:19. | |
interact, it describes the forces between the particles. Without the | :29:19. | :29:22. | |
Higgs Boson, none of the fundamental particles would have | :29:22. | :29:25. | |
any mass, they would whizz around at the speed of light. The universe | :29:25. | :29:30. | |
would not at all be as we know T the standard model has been | :29:30. | :29:33. | |
extremely successful in predicting the way particles interact, the | :29:34. | :29:38. | |
results of all of the collision experiments we have done up to now | :29:38. | :29:41. | |
are very well described by the standard model. Without the Higgs | :29:41. | :29:45. | |
Boson, the whole things falls apart. The question Susan never got to | :29:45. | :29:48. | |
answer before she disappeared, probably into a parallel universe | :29:48. | :29:52. | |
or different dimension, is does the Higgs exist, would you put money on | :29:52. | :29:58. | |
that now? We are certainly a step closer, we know the Higgs Boson is | :29:58. | :30:02. | |
pinned down into a much smaller range of mass than we knew before. | :30:02. | :30:06. | |
Within that mass range we have a tantalising hint, we have spikes | :30:06. | :30:11. | |
from the two experiments, ATLAS and CMS, what's more they have looked | :30:11. | :30:15. | |
at different ways the Higgs Boson might decay, so different channels, | :30:15. | :30:18. | |
different Higgs decay modes, we are seeing a hint of something lining | :30:18. | :30:22. | |
up. We are not at the point where we could claim we have evidence of | :30:22. | :30:25. | |
the Higgs Boson. The Last Years of Edward Thomas experiment, there is | :30:25. | :30:29. | |
still something like a 1% probability that the effects we are | :30:29. | :30:33. | |
seeing today could be a fluctuation of the backgrounds, for CMS about | :30:33. | :30:38. | |
5%. So it is not the end of the road for us. This is the way a | :30:38. | :30:42. | |
Higgs Boson signal would be emerging, but it is too early to | :30:42. | :30:45. | |
say something definitive. Let me ask you. There has been, as we can | :30:45. | :30:49. | |
hear from you, huge progress in this one area, if you expand this | :30:49. | :30:53. | |
out, where else do you think physics is becoming truly ground- | :30:53. | :30:59. | |
breaking now, what is exciting for you? The LHD programme, the Higgs | :31:00. | :31:04. | |
Boson discovery or exclues is just one component of the LHC programme. | :31:04. | :31:09. | |
The next steps for the Higgs will be to finalise the results we were | :31:10. | :31:14. | |
looking at today. Today we were showing preliminary results, in the | :31:14. | :31:17. | |
next few months we will publish those results. We will combine the | :31:17. | :31:22. | |
results of the two experiments, ATLAS and CMS, in 2012 we expect to | :31:22. | :31:26. | |
have something like four-times more data. We will be able to close the | :31:26. | :31:29. | |
book on the standard model Higgs Boson in the coming year. But then | :31:29. | :31:33. | |
the Clydeer will be shut down, we will be refurbishing parts of the | :31:33. | :31:36. | |
connections between the magnets and we will be able to resume taking | :31:36. | :31:40. | |
data at twice the energy. We are hoping to then start to explore | :31:41. | :31:44. | |
problems of physics beyond the standard model. One possibility | :31:44. | :31:50. | |
that we are very excited about is the theory of supersymmetry w the | :31:50. | :31:53. | |
low mass Higgs Boson that we may have seen some first glimpses of, | :31:54. | :31:58. | |
this would be consistent with this theory of supersymmetry, that says | :31:58. | :32:03. | |
all the normal particles we know, have a supersymmetric heavier | :32:03. | :32:08. | |
partner. Why supersymmetry is an appealing theory? One thing is does | :32:08. | :32:12. | |
is have the lowest mass supersymmetric particle, which | :32:12. | :32:15. | |
could explain dark matter. The matter we know and love described | :32:15. | :32:19. | |
by the standard model only makes up 4% of the universe, we don't know | :32:19. | :32:23. | |
what 96% of the Cosmos is made of. One of the hopes for the LHC will | :32:23. | :32:26. | |
be that we find a candidate for this missing dark matter that is | :32:26. | :32:29. | |
making up a huge fraction of the universe. | :32:29. | :32:35. | |
We would love to have you back at that point. Thank you very much. | :32:35. | :32:40. | |
Perhaps it was wrong for Twitter to call our next sequence chart porn, | :32:40. | :32:45. | |
br for those interested in economic data, it certainly doesn't get more | :32:45. | :32:48. | |
salacious than this. We have brought together 11 leading | :32:48. | :32:51. | |
economists to single out the graphic that best demonstrates the | :32:51. | :32:56. | |
key trend in this chilly economic year. The results are an know tated | :32:56. | :33:01. | |
and explained. We will ask a few of the contributors afterwards what it | :33:01. | :33:11. | |
:33:11. | :33:14. | ||
the contributors afterwards what it tells us about the Tate we are in. | :33:14. | :33:20. | |
This chart shows the ten-year bonds in the eurozone. Before the euro | :33:20. | :33:24. | |
was created the markets thought there was differences in credit | :33:24. | :33:28. | |
worthiness in different countries. Greece had to pay for more debt, | :33:28. | :33:33. | |
Germany didn't have to pay very much. The euro was created and the | :33:33. | :33:36. | |
markets thought there was no delivering prospects of the | :33:36. | :33:39. | |
different countries. They all merged into one rate, practically. | :33:39. | :33:44. | |
Then we had Lehmans and the financial crisis, and the mood | :33:44. | :33:47. | |
changes significantly. There was clearly no support mechanism for | :33:47. | :33:57. | |
:33:57. | :34:03. | ||
private sector has been paying down debt under zero interest rate | :34:03. | :34:07. | |
circumstances, which is highly unusual. People may be paying down | :34:07. | :34:11. | |
debt at higher interest rates, when the rate is at zero, they should be | :34:11. | :34:14. | |
borrowing and spending money. That is not happening in the UK. It is | :34:14. | :34:20. | |
not happening in the US or in Ireland or in Spain. This is not | :34:20. | :34:23. | |
what we learn in universities. So we are in a completely different | :34:23. | :34:33. | |
:34:33. | :34:38. | ||
world compared to what we learned shows competitiveness of one | :34:38. | :34:43. | |
country against another in Europe, the horzontal axis shows their | :34:43. | :34:47. | |
relative trade performance. The countries in the top lefthand | :34:47. | :34:55. | |
corner have declining competitiveness and declining trade. | :34:55. | :35:03. | |
That is the underlying problem the eurozone is trying to grapple with. | :35:03. | :35:06. | |
This chart a really interesting because it shows the | :35:06. | :35:10. | |
competitiveness problem within the eurozone. Unit labour costs in | :35:10. | :35:15. | |
Germany have hardly risen since the euro was formed. But the vulnerable | :35:15. | :35:20. | |
ones, the ones in trouble, have seen their costs rise by 30-40%. In | :35:20. | :35:25. | |
the old days they could out of that by devaluing their currency. Now | :35:25. | :35:28. | |
they can't, they are locked within the euro. The interesting thing | :35:28. | :35:32. | |
about this, this is not being dealt with at all by any of the summits, | :35:32. | :35:36. | |
negotiations or deals. This is not a problem that can be solved by | :35:36. | :35:44. | |
bailouts, or write-offs. I think the graph is very striking, | :35:44. | :35:48. | |
because it shows so many things in one picture. Firstly, if you look | :35:48. | :35:52. | |
at what happened when Lehman Brothers went down in late 2008, | :35:52. | :35:55. | |
you can see all of a sudden the Bank of England's calculation | :35:55. | :35:59. | |
suggesting the market did think a chance that a country like Ireland | :35:59. | :36:05. | |
would default on its debt in the last four years. Recently you see | :36:05. | :36:09. | |
that is paled into incision with the things happening elsewhere. In | :36:09. | :36:16. | |
Greece there is suggestions of 100% default in the next five years. | :36:16. | :36:19. | |
The reason I think this chart is interesting, is because it tells me | :36:19. | :36:24. | |
that the rate at which the UK economy can grow sustainably over | :36:24. | :36:28. | |
the medium term, which people thought was 2.5% a year. Is now | :36:28. | :36:33. | |
down to half a periods or lower. If the economy does only -- half a per | :36:34. | :36:39. | |
cent or low. If it does that, unless there is deflation, that | :36:39. | :36:47. | |
will mean defaults on mortgages and the banks not lending. That is the | :36:47. | :36:54. | |
issue George Osborne needs to worry issue George Osborne needs to worry | :36:54. | :36:57. | |
about most. Those are our charts, and back by | :36:57. | :37:02. | |
popular demand the Financial Times US managing editor, Gillian Tett, | :37:02. | :37:06. | |
and Ann Pettifor from Prime scam economics. You should have heard | :37:06. | :37:10. | |
the gasps coming out of the corner of the study. | :37:10. | :37:14. | |
Anne, take us through your graph, first of all, and why you think it | :37:14. | :37:20. | |
tells us so much. My graph is taken from the | :37:20. | :37:25. | |
Government, the Treasury's budget report in March, it is striking to | :37:25. | :37:31. | |
me because it shows the growth in private sector debt in Britain from | :37:32. | :37:37. | |
1987-2010. It is taken from the McKenzie report on global debt, | :37:37. | :37:44. | |
they have excluded public debt. That is the bottom bar. It is less | :37:44. | :37:49. | |
than 50% of the beginning, and rises just above 50 towards the end. | :37:49. | :37:54. | |
So relative to that vast amount of private sector debt, public debt is | :37:54. | :37:58. | |
very small. But all of the public policy making and politicians and | :37:58. | :38:01. | |
economists are focused on the consequence of the growth of that | :38:01. | :38:10. | |
private debt. When the Government talks it talk about the problem | :38:10. | :38:15. | |
with public sector borrowing and bringing that down. If Ann's chart | :38:15. | :38:18. | |
is right the emphasis is completely wrong? The other chart on the | :38:18. | :38:21. | |
Newsnight website looking at the percentage of global Government | :38:21. | :38:28. | |
debt as a percentage the of GDP. It shows since the crisis has began it | :38:28. | :38:31. | |
has shot up very fast. I would say that the creation of Government | :38:31. | :38:38. | |
debt, over the last couple of years, has been extraordinarily rapid, and | :38:38. | :38:42. | |
forecasts for 2012, 2013 continue to see that. In fact, you are | :38:42. | :38:46. | |
looking at a tripling of UK Government debt, in about ten years, | :38:47. | :38:51. | |
if you forecast on a few years. That is why it gets ideolgical? | :38:51. | :38:56. | |
That is because it is a consequence of the crisis. My point is if you | :38:56. | :39:01. | |
don't address the collapse, the delefrpbaging of that private debt | :39:01. | :39:08. | |
now, -- deleverageing of that private debt and focusing on the | :39:08. | :39:12. | |
public debt, you are losing the cause of the crisis. Should the | :39:12. | :39:17. | |
Government sort out private debt, that is not its role? It can't step | :39:17. | :39:21. | |
in a heavy-handed moment now. If you look at the totality of the | :39:21. | :39:25. | |
charts the basic message is telling that many of the fundamental issues | :39:25. | :39:31. | |
to do with the eurozone were absolutely unworkable. You look | :39:31. | :39:35. | |
back at the charts on competitiveness, it is astonishing | :39:35. | :39:39. | |
anybody thought the eurozone could work in its form. It is not just | :39:39. | :39:43. | |
the eurozone that is a problem, the debt is key across the western | :39:43. | :39:48. | |
world, in the UK and US as well. The markets are panicking about it, | :39:48. | :39:53. | |
the level of stress in the markets is worrying. There is one more | :39:53. | :39:58. | |
thing these charts show, it is the defeatism of economists. There | :39:58. | :40:02. | |
aren't solutions in these charts, only problems, only the end of the | :40:02. | :40:08. | |
world, actually. Except for one, that is Ken. If you look at the | :40:08. | :40:12. | |
charts we have seen today, the dashboard we are presenting for | :40:12. | :40:14. | |
policy makers, flying the global economic aeroplane, if you like, it | :40:14. | :40:18. | |
is very different from a decade ago. A decade ago people were watching | :40:18. | :40:22. | |
things like equity markets, and inflation data. It shows in many | :40:22. | :40:26. | |
ways people have been simply watching the wrong metrics in the | :40:26. | :40:31. | |
run up to the crisis. Jo that is what my chart will actually show. - | :40:31. | :40:35. | |
- That is what my chart will actually show. Basically, what | :40:35. | :40:39. | |
Gillian said is completely right, everybody focus on equity markets, | :40:40. | :40:47. | |
bond markets, completely ignore the sexy world of what I have looked at | :40:47. | :40:54. | |
FRA, ORIA spread shart. The FRA is like, the cost of a three-month | :40:54. | :41:01. | |
loan for a bank, and how much more expensive that is, when there is an | :41:01. | :41:07. | |
over night loan from the ECB done over three months. It is the extra | :41:07. | :41:12. | |
cost a bank has to pay for a three- month loan, in these wholesale | :41:12. | :41:17. | |
markets, that are jamming up. In the summer the extra cost was only | :41:17. | :41:23. | |
0.2%, it is now up it a full 1% nor more. If you look it has been | :41:23. | :41:27. | |
forever rising, there is no oh the politician also do something, the | :41:27. | :41:33. | |
rate comes down. Is the ECB on that chart? It is not a real ECB, a rate | :41:33. | :41:37. | |
that is tied to. This is more the banks go into the wholesale market | :41:37. | :41:41. | |
and try to borrow money. This shows you the extra cost of them trying | :41:41. | :41:45. | |
to do that in the wholesale market. This is symptomatic, because the | :41:45. | :41:48. | |
bank is effectively insolvent and people are worried about lending | :41:48. | :41:54. | |
for them. Is this tell us, all the political argument about whether | :41:54. | :42:00. | |
the ECB should step in to bail out the eurozone? But they are stepping | :42:00. | :42:04. | |
in. This is telling us the ECB is not working. The Central Bankers | :42:04. | :42:08. | |
when they try to, all the things they announce, to try to alleviate | :42:08. | :42:13. | |
the problems in the markets t ain't working, clearly. The issue is, | :42:13. | :42:19. | |
this isn't chart born porn, this is chart mang er, it is the way of | :42:19. | :42:22. | |
communicating fatastically complex issues and geeky bits of the market | :42:22. | :42:27. | |
people have ignored for far too long, to the public at large. It is | :42:27. | :42:29. | |
fatastically important to democracy and that politicians understand | :42:29. | :42:34. | |
this stuff and understand the other issues you are pointing too as well | :42:34. | :42:40. | |
Ann. Can I say the only reason economists and politicians came to | :42:40. | :42:43. | |
look at credit masters is because of the great work by Gillian Tett. | :42:43. | :42:48. | |
There is a real interest in the data, the royal data, the peeling | :42:48. | :42:51. | |
away of all the soundbites and the politics, do you think that is | :42:51. | :42:55. | |
because of the state of the summits and the eurozones and all stuff we | :42:55. | :42:58. | |
have talking about? We need to get the public engaged and understand | :42:58. | :43:02. | |
how money goes around the world, or how right now it is not going to | :43:02. | :43:05. | |
around the markets effectively. People don't trust either | :43:05. | :43:09. | |
economists or politicians, because they have been conned. They were | :43:09. | :43:14. | |
told, don't worry, join the euro and there is fairyland there after, | :43:14. | :43:18. | |
go out and take a credit card, borrow to your heart's delight and | :43:18. | :43:23. | |
all will be well, we were encouraged by the politicians and | :43:23. | :43:28. | |
the Alan Green sldfan spans of the world and Central Bank governors, | :43:28. | :43:33. | |
and respected economists. You can also put it aside -- put it on | :43:33. | :43:37. | |
chart. The way you two disagreed about the way you read public- | :43:37. | :43:42. | |
private borrowing suggests that? is about the way economists look at | :43:42. | :43:50. | |
symptoms and not causes. The thing about my charred chart, I think it | :43:50. | :43:55. | |
is ideolgical to have a blindspot for the debts. For a decade we | :43:55. | :44:01. | |
pretended the debt wasn't there and focused on the public sector, that | :44:01. | :44:04. | |
is ideolgical. If can you map a system, you can start to see what | :44:04. | :44:08. | |
people aren't watching, the dark corners, they really matter. Ann | :44:08. | :44:12. | |
deserve as lot of credit, she was trying to highlight these issues | :44:12. | :44:17. | |
many years ago, unfortunately weren't enough people trying to map | :44:17. | :44:21. | |
a system, model it and modify it. We have to map the financial system | :44:21. | :44:27. | |
and work out how to change it. Politicians have very good at | :44:27. | :44:31. | |
blinding us with the science of modelling. The reason why the | :44:31. | :44:34. | |
wholesale credit markets are important, is because if banks | :44:34. | :44:39. | |
can't fund themselves, they cannot then turn around and give that | :44:39. | :44:45. | |
money to businesses and individuals. That is called a credit crunch. | :44:45. | :44:49. | |
Post Lehman, the credit crunch caused massive damage to the global | :44:49. | :44:53. | |
economy, not just the eurozone, the US economy, to the global economy. | :44:53. | :44:58. | |
This is important, these are markets people need to feck cuss on, | :44:58. | :45:03. | |
not equities and -- focus on, not equities and bonds. You can see 11 | :45:03. | :45:07. | |
gorgeous graphs selected by some leading economists on the Newsnight | :45:07. | :45:10. | |
website. Let me take you briefly through the front pages of the | :45:10. | :45:20. | |
:45:20. | :45:20. | ||
Apology for the loss of subtitles for 51 seconds | :45:20. | :46:12. | |
An interesting poll that has reached us, the Conservatives have | :46:12. | :46:15. | |
overtaken Labour in an opinion poll for the first time this year. This | :46:15. | :46:20. | |
is a bounce they are saying on the back of Prime Minister's veto of | :46:20. | :46:29. | |
the new European Union treaty. This comes from a riot areers -- Reuters | :46:29. | :46:38. | |
poll, Cameron more popular. A review from the press hacking | :46:38. | :46:48. | |
:46:48. | :47:07. | ||
inquiry tomorrow, from all of us Some pretty serious weather in the | :47:07. | :47:11. | |
forecast, particularly from the end of the week. Overnight tonight it | :47:11. | :47:14. | |
is cold and showery in some places, developing the theme as we go | :47:14. | :47:18. | |
through the day. Some showers falling as snow, not just over the | :47:18. | :47:22. | |
high ground in the north, anywhere could have a flake or two of snow | :47:22. | :47:26. | |
as we go through the day. Some places will see a lot of sunshine | :47:26. | :47:29. | |
through the afternoon, one or two places seeing lively showers and | :47:29. | :47:34. | |
wintry showers too. Maybe down to low levels. Southern coastal areas | :47:34. | :47:38. | |
are most prone to heavy and thundery showers. Hail and a gusty | :47:38. | :47:43. | |
wind. Even across the south west of England a few flakes of snow. It | :47:43. | :47:47. | |
will be cold everywhere, despite some places seeing sunshine. | :47:47. | :47:51. | |
Temperatures around 5-6, when the showers come along they fall away | :47:51. | :47:54. | |
by several degrees. It is not all bad news, for Northern Ireland | :47:54. | :47:58. | |
plenty of sunshine, largely bright and breezy through the afternoon. | :47:58. | :48:01. | |
Showers still affecting northern and western parts of Scotland. | :48:01. | :48:04. | |
Further south and east, after another showery start, things will | :48:04. | :48:08. | |
tend to dry out. On Thursday, some sunshine, for a time, rain clouds | :48:08. | :48:13. | |
gathering across the south west. There is a lot of uncertainty about | :48:13. | :48:17. | |
what happens after that. The low pressure system winding itself up | :48:17. | :48:20. | |
down to the south west is not sure of the way to go. There is the | :48:20. | :48:25. |