02/04/2014 Newsnight


02/04/2014

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Farrage on points, quit a lot of them too seems to be the verdict on

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the UKIP debate. It was more personal and bitter. By staying in

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the European Union we are not going to be couped up on a Native

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Americans are vase, what will you say next you are Crazy Horse or

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Sitting Bull, you have to have a level-headed debate about this. We

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are in Afghanistan, where the country is about to Doose choose a

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new President. With this kind of rally it is emphasised having guns

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is no longer enough. This country becomes one of the bigger, wealthy

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international nations meeting the target for giving international aid.

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Why should British tax-payers be obliged to give money to the less

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fortunate and does it even do much good. The man who conceived the Gaya

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theory of the world, talks about our prospects. Other species have died

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out, why should we be given special tenure. Two grown men spending hours

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trying to come up with pithy putdowns for the other. Did Nick

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Clegg and Nigel Farage wonder at any point what a very odd trade they are

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in. The judgment of others came earlier this evening when the two

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men shrugged it out, hardly making eye contact much of the time. And

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with trade-offs of accusations that neither was telling the truth. Emily

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Maitlis won the lottery for front seat for the thriller.

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Anyone in search of high-minded debate. Not so much the wolf of Wall

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Street, but the dunce from Downing Street. Not from the two Muppets who

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advised the last Chancellor. They would have done well to avoid PMQs

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today. But by this evening it got better, Nigel Farage and Nick Clegg

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arrived at the BBC for round two of the Europe debate. We were promised

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more emotion from Nick Clegg. Is it going to get personal? I hope not,

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the issues are very important. More hard figures from Nigel Farage,

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Clegg's world of the evening was? Dangerous con. Repeated throughout

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the hour. Farrage's response was? Career politicians, it is the career

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political class. He's keen to distance UKIP from the idea that any

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of them are politicians. Monitoring public opinion, or should we say the

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hallowed and unrealistic bubble that is the Twittersphere. Demos tracked

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who appeared to be winning and losing. It seems people are both

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using Twitter to pour derision and talk about the individuals and

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personalities involved rather than the politics. Things opened with a

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question from Hannah, who asked each man what principles guided their

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policies? If you do what Nigel Farage recommends and you isolate

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Britain, a sort of "Billy no mates Britain", it would be worse it would

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be "Billy no jobs Britain". I'm not a career politician, I was years in

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by-election I got involved in this with the treaty we signed up to we

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were giving away our birth rate. On to Ukraine, a week after Nigel

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Farage defended the actions of one Mr Putin? I didn't say I admired

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him, I said he outmanoeuvred you all on the Ukraine. I'm not going for

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that. Nigel Farage is the leader of Putin. It all got a bit surreal, a

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leaflet Mr Farrage said he had never seen. It is a picture of an unhappy

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Native American, it says "he used to ignore immigration now he lives on a

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reservation", the suggestion is the British people will be couped up on

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a reservation. Nigel Farage, by staying in the European Union we are

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not going to be couped up on a Native American reservation what are

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you going to say next that you are Crazy Horse or Sitting Bull. I don't

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recognise the leaflet and wouldn't endorse the sentiment. The sparks

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started to fly when they started talking about European control of

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British law, each using figures the other believed bogus. I was

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astonished last week in the first of the debates when Nick Clegg claimed

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that only 7% of our laws are made in Brussels. He said it was there in

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the House of Commons library note and therefore was unequiff could. I

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have got the -- unequiff could. I have got the note with me, and the

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British Government estimates around 50% of UK legislation comes from

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Brussels. The fact of the reality is that 7% of our primary law derives

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from the European Union. I'm sorry, I said yes to the debates, I thought

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you would make the pro-EU case, by saying 7% of the laws are made in

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Brussels, you are willfully lying to the British public about the extent

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we have given away control of our country and democracy. I'm shocked

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and surprised you would try to do that. Let's see the audience

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reaction here? The last question sounded simple. What will the EU be

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like in ten years? It was here arguably that Nick Clegg mid-his

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worst mistake. I suspect it will be similar to what it is now. Tomorrow

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morning that might seem like something of an own goal. Nigel

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Farage meanwhile went all C her, Guvara. I would urge people come and

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join the people's army and topple the establishment who led us to this

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mess. Two polls issued towards the end declared Farrage the clear

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winner on 69 and 68%, a clear ten points better than this week. And

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then the worm started to fade away as Twitter, viewers, a saner world

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in general, went in search of another European clash, Chelsea

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versus PSG on the other side. Here now to pick their winner and loser

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are the political strategist John McTernan and Conservative peer, Lord

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Finkelstein. Do you share the received wisdom that Farrage won? We

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are talking here about a Liberal Democrat versus UKIP debate about

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the European Union. I don't suppose that many people were paying a huge

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A attention to it. We were. But the political world wasn't. I think

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Nigel Farage is very convincing at this sort of debate. And Nick

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Clegg's problem is he has not adjusted to the public's perception

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of him. It is just after the tuition fees and after their period in

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Government, he cannot make Anne peel which he tried do in this debate

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repeat lead on the basis of sincerity. Not making a judgment

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about whether I thought he was right or wrong on the points. It is not an

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appeal he can make and succeed on. There is dedevolution among

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political parties when they get unpopular, if they find one of their

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policies is more popular than them, they find if they embrace it vocally

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and publicly they might match the popularity of the policy. That is

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the Clegg point. They are only 11%, but a third or half of the country

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like the European Union as much as them. It is insane. What the Deputy

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Prime Minister, the Deputy Prime Minister of the United Kingdom did

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was go and fight with man who doesn't have a single MP in the

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House of Commons. It made man who has belittled himself already and

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made all the mistakes that Danny set out, it made him look smaller than

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he is and his party is. That is really bad. It was worth a try, the

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Liberal Democrats have been at 10% since almost the win -- beginning of

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the Government, they are still at 10%, nothing appears to work, the

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differenciation strategy doesn't seem to work and I don't think it

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will, he may have may as well try this, the strategy of trying to get

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more of the pro-European votes and stand up for the things he thought

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of. The problem he has is he cannot base that appeal upon he's more

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sincere than Nigel Farage. That was never going to work. Nigel Farage

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has the advantage he as an outsired, he talks a sort of -- outsider. He

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talks a bluff common sense as far as people see it. For Nick Clegg to

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think he's going to pierce that by saying you are a liar and I'm not. I

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didn't think it would work and it didn't. The only cut through that

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Nick Clegg has had in the two debates was the moment he stood and

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listed the crimes people had committed, fled to the continent and

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brought back by the European arrest warrant. That was the only bit that

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cut through. Last week wasn't it? Last week, it was the only the time

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he made a real case for Europe with real people and issues. He

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completely misunderstood the lessons this week last week. He dug a deeper

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hole this week. You can't win a debate from that position, leaving

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aside the sincerity question. You can't win a European debate when you

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are not prepared to guarantee a referendum. Even Nigel Farage

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illustrates how difficult David Cameron will find. That when he

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comes back with nobody epulis believes anything you say that is

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very effective for people. It did illustrate a problem the

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Conservatives will have making that argument. At the same time Nick

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Clegg basically tried to win from a purist European position, I don't

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think you can win it from that. Do you think Cameron and Miliband were

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wise not to get involved? Totally you leave the two dwarves fighting

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with each other. Classically this was two bald fighting over a comb.

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There was little to when from Clegg's side and Farrage's side,

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he's merely confirming with the public why they like or don't like

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him. Gets more exposure, you don't want to I mean, you don't want to,

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if you are David Cameron or Ed Miliband, to elevate Nigel Farage

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any more than he is driven by the fact there is a European election

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and the fact he is articulating a situation that has a constituency.

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That was obviously the right thing not to appear in the debates. I

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think Nigel Farage will have gained something from it, we should all not

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overestimate how much attention people were paying to this. This is

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not the leadership debate or the general election. People when they

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are asked about it are not making the same kind of judgment. But it

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gets mire tension than it deserves because it is fill ago vacuum. One

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of the things -- filling a vacuum. One of the things is parliament has

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run its course, we have had our four years, we are ready for jacks,

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except we are locked into a five-year parliament. Whose fault is

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that? The coalition. I think the non-European aspects of this debate,

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few people regard Europe as the top item of the political agenda. When

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you watch Nigel Farage talking about immigration and dealing with the

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political classes. It is fascinating he folded big business into the

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political classes. He's aiming at the Labour vote there talking about

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a particular class, that is where UKIP has the base vote. It was

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pretty interesting and effect YICHLT I think the other parties won't have

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participated, but they will have watched and noted that is an

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effective appeal. It is a limited appeal there are some people willing

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to vote that in a general election, when it won't win any seats and you

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are choosing a Prime Minister it is limited. Before that we have the

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European elections. What affect will it have there? The battle for votes

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and seats is between UKIP and the Labour Party. What that means is

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that the result will be difficult for David Cameron. There is nothing

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after the election, the European elections that doesn't cause him

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pain. He has a backbench that are restive already, and ill

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disciplined, and they use this issue, not the only issue they are

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concerned about. I predict a summer of fighting inside the Tory Party

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and the Labour Party you know there is four weeks in a row have now gone

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and nobody has raised, in PMQs, Labour's position on Europe. David

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Cameron doesn't want backbenchers to raise the issue of Europe in the

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House of Commons E wants Europe done and -- he wants Europe done and

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dusted as soon as possible. It will be a continuing sore for the

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stories. They want to play the expectation games, UKIP have played

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expectations on coming first. Certainly people are expecting a

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meltdown of the Conservative Party. There is an element of control David

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Cameron can exercise in that, can he show the Conservative Party to be

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more disciplined after that result than people expect. So you know you

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can do some things to offset it. But of course the reason why UKIP will

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get much more in a European election than a general election is because

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people vote differently because they don't think it really matters that

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much. I remember the Greens surging in the 80s. A quick yes or no to

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this, do you think Nigel Farage should be allowed to take part in

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the leaders' debates before the general election, each of you? No. I

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think the leaders' debate should be structured so as to give an

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appearance on one but not with Miliband or Cameron, but allowed in

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one. Man dressed in military uniform walk

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today the Interior Ministry in Kabul, flicked a switch, and blew

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himself to pieces and murdered six police officers. The attack was

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almost certainly the work of the Taliban, whose violence has

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intensified ahead of an election when Afghans get to choose a new

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President. Hamid Karzai, the man who has led Afghanistan since the fall

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of the Taliban in 2001 is stepping down. His successor will be one of

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nine hopefuls, ranging from western-educated economists to

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notorious warlords. Bid end of the year all foreign -- by the end of

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the year, all foreign combat troops will have left. Afghanistan's most

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important election is approaching, Afghans know that. For a decade or

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more this country h marched to the tune of Hamid Karzai and a huge

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contingent of foreign troops. That predictable beat is about to end.

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Presidential hopefuls range from old fighters to a former Finance

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Minister, to win they have to win here in conservative Kandahar. This

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man draw as big crowd, despite tight security in the birth place of theal

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bap. He has been a key man and a world economist. Here it is his

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tribal credentials that matters. In this heartland of Pashtun tribes. He

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says they are all with him, descendants of the ancient Pashtun

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kings. He grips the hand of Hamid Karzai's cousin. Kandahar is the

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Hamid Karzai an ancestoral home. They are divided in this election.

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He says he can bring peace to this area that has seen some of the worst

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fight. But the Taliban are carrying out suicide bombings almost every

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day now. Why would they talk to him if he wins. The context is

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different, the international forces are not here. In the kind of numbers

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that make them doubtful that they will ever leave. We have succeeded

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at the military transition, we have brought about a massive

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participation of the public in this election. Look, NOSHTHS south, east,

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west, they are massively participating in the election.

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Democratic processes are gaining ground and working. The mandate you

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will have is very different. There is no doubt Afghanistan is

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moving forward, although slowly. Afghans take huge pride in that.

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These police stand guard in rush hour, to salute official vehicles as

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they go by. But whatever sits in those cars next, should look beyond

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the salute to the shadow, where one of the biggest challenges for the

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next President lies. The jobless, these are the day labourers who

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stand waiting for cars to stop and offering them work. There is less

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work now, less aid and foreign investment as foreign troops pull

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out. There This man had aments there is no work. Where is the Government?

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They are only thinking about the elections, they don't know the

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nation is jobless. Afghans don't want to lose what they have gained,

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and women have the most to loose. "Rise, risers women, hold your head

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up buy, break the chains of oppression" Afghan women are still

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held back by tradition and they worry about Taliban threats. But

:18:25.:18:35.

there are some success stories. This woman has been a minister of women's

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fares, the only female governor in Afghan history. Now she's running

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for Vice President. Do you believe in equality she asks? Yes they roar.

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Do they want prosperity? There is a lot to fight for. If you come to

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power, what for you would be the first priority if you want to move

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women forward and keep the gains? The law, because if we didn't have

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the progress in the constitution I was not standing as a Vice President

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for some of the candidates. This is our constitution that gave me a

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chance to stand as a Vice President for one of the tickets. That is why

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law and constitution is much more important than the other things.

:19:26.:19:32.

Drive anywhere in Afghanistan and there are the reminders of the

:19:33.:19:36.

progress. Including girls going to school. Today we're driving north of

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Kabul, to a rally for a candidate who believes the best people to run

:19:42.:19:45.

Afghanistan are the men w fought its wars. This man is Islamist scholar,

:19:46.:19:52.

one of the most notorious warlords, but in the past decade he has been

:19:53.:19:56.

useful to the west. In this election he's even talking about women's

:19:57.:20:05.

rights. How is the campaign going? I will meet you. He only moves with

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his private army. He fought against the Taliban in this area, and he

:20:11.:20:15.

still is at the top of their hitlist. Look Look at the people and

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look at the guns, this is man of a lot of importance, and a lot of

:20:23.:20:33.

enemies. Just look at the crowds that have gathered here to his

:20:34.:20:38.

rally. This is a man who symbolises the bloodiest periods of Afghan

:20:39.:20:43.

history, but the number of guns you hold still matters in Afghanistan w

:20:44.:20:47.

this kind of rally also emphasising that having guns is no longer

:20:48.:20:49.

enough. His rally brings out the men they

:20:50.:21:03.

call mujahideen, they fought against Soviet troops in the 1990s. This

:21:04.:21:07.

isn't gathering of voters, they devotees. The mujahideen are not

:21:08.:21:19.

playing a big enough role in the Government he saying, it is not

:21:20.:21:22.

enough to be just in the army and police. He says men like him are

:21:23.:21:40.

misunderstood. We are not all men wearing Taliban with beards, they

:21:41.:21:45.

are thinking that they don't know anything. We guided our nation, and

:21:46.:21:57.

the very bad situation in the days of the war. When they were able to

:21:58.:22:04.

divide the nation in that situation then to guide it in the smooth

:22:05.:22:14.

situation it is 10,000 time easier than it was. In Kabul Afghans often

:22:15.:22:19.

head to this manage any of sent shrine to offer prayers for their

:22:20.:22:24.

wish, their worries. It is busy these days. But in a few days they

:22:25.:22:29.

will put their faith in ballot box again. Hoping a new leader will

:22:30.:22:34.

emerge, who can help give them a safer and better life.

:22:35.:22:40.

He has been called one of the world's top public intellectual, he

:22:41.:22:45.

invented the Gaia idea, the theory that the world is a self-regulating

:22:46.:22:50.

organism, and now at the end test age of 94 he's being celebrated in

:22:51.:22:54.

the Science Museum in London, as one of the Titans of post-war science, a

:22:55.:23:00.

man working outside the mainstream scientific institution, came up with

:23:01.:23:03.

some of the most original ideas of our time. His latest book is a rough

:23:04.:23:07.

guide to the future, which deals with the small matter of whether

:23:08.:23:10.

mankind has a future? I went to talk to him. There is a tendency to think

:23:11.:23:15.

that we are the end of the road, the final product of evolution, the most

:23:16.:23:20.

important animal that has ever evolved. We're not I don't think.

:23:21.:23:33.

We're just a step in a long progression. So the human race could

:23:34.:23:39.

die out? Oh yes, other species have died out, why are we given special

:23:40.:23:44.

tenure. Mainly because we are cleverer than the other ones? We

:23:45.:23:48.

think we are. Are we not? Why not? Think we are so proud of ourselves

:23:49.:23:55.

that we don't realise how ignorant we really are. What do you mean?

:23:56.:23:59.

Well, I mean take this climate matter that everybody is thinking

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about. They all talk, they pass law, they do things, as if they knew what

:24:03.:24:09.

was happening. I don't think anyone of them really know what is

:24:10.:24:12.

happening, they just guess at it. And a whole group of people meet

:24:13.:24:17.

together and encourage each other's guesses. That latest report from the

:24:18.:24:24.

international Panel on Climate Change did suggest there was

:24:25.:24:29.

something inevitable about climate change. That it had already begun

:24:30.:24:34.

and we had to adjust to it. All those things are true are they not,

:24:35.:24:39.

as far as we know? That is true, that report, the last one, is very

:24:40.:24:44.

similar to the statements that I made in the book about eight years

:24:45.:24:49.

ago called The Revenge of GAIA. It is almost as if they are copied.

:24:50.:24:56.

Sure, but you then after publishing these apocalyptic prediction, is,

:24:57.:25:05.

you retracted them? That is my right, I'm an independent scientist,

:25:06.:25:09.

I'm not funded by a commercial body or anything like. That if I make a

:25:10.:25:14.

mistake I can go public on it. You have to, it is only by making

:25:15.:25:18.

mistakes you can move ahead. It follows from that, that this Panel

:25:19.:25:22.

on Climate Change, which harks as you point out -- has, as you point

:25:23.:25:28.

out, vested interests and is more likely to make a mistake? That would

:25:29.:25:33.

be a lot of hubris on my part to say that. But it is possible. Now, you

:25:34.:25:41.

are evidently concerned about the effect of carbon upon the world, and

:25:42.:25:46.

yet you part company with many environmentalists on the question of

:25:47.:25:51.

nuclear power. Do you think, what's gone wrong with the perception of

:25:52.:25:58.

nuclear power. I he wish I knew. I can offer a suggestion, nuclear

:25:59.:26:04.

energy is a normal natural thing for the universe. Our not using it is

:26:05.:26:09.

quite mad. The only reason we don't use it is that we felt quite guilty

:26:10.:26:19.

about using that gift of nuclear energy for war time. Rather than

:26:20.:26:24.

using it as a safe, clean and nearly perfect source of energy. It is

:26:25.:26:29.

safer even than windmills. You can be killed by the blade of a windmill

:26:30.:26:36.

if it spins off and hits your house or chops your head off. As far as

:26:37.:26:41.

the other great bete noire of environmentalists go, fracking,

:26:42.:26:47.

where are you on that? It is an awful word, you have to realise it

:26:48.:26:51.

is just the kind of word to stir up a lot of fuss. Leaving that aside,

:26:52.:26:56.

I'm fairly neutral about fracking. I think we in Britain may be falsely

:26:57.:27:02.

use it, because -- maybe falsely use it because we don't have any easily

:27:03.:27:08.

available sources of electricity, other than burning methane. You

:27:09.:27:13.

don't worry about the potential collateral consequences said to flow

:27:14.:27:16.

from fracking, water course pollution and the rest of it? I do,

:27:17.:27:21.

I don't all together like it. But we may have no option but to just

:27:22.:27:26.

fracking as our source. Because nothing I can imagine is much worse

:27:27.:27:32.

environmentally than a sudden cessation of electricity supplies.

:27:33.:27:42.

Just imagine London without any? As a society he would small apart -- we

:27:43.:27:48.

would fall apart in a short amount of time. How much pressure was put

:27:49.:27:56.

on the Co-Op bank to take over 632 branches of Lloyds Bank. Preparing

:27:57.:28:00.

for the deals we have heard cost hundreds of million, made no

:28:01.:28:04.

commercial sense and ultimately crippled the bank. Was there

:28:05.:28:08.

political pressure on the regulator, the then Financial Services

:28:09.:28:11.

Authority. Tonight we have found out that the Treasury and the regulator

:28:12.:28:16.

clashed over a crucial problem that would have scuppered the deal a year

:28:17.:28:21.

before it went bad and collapsed. The regulator didn't exactly win the

:28:22.:28:25.

fight. What is this all about? Essentially it is all about who or

:28:26.:28:30.

what killed the Co-Op Bank, the view has grown that this was down to an

:28:31.:28:34.

independent drug-taking Methodist minister and inept directors who

:28:35.:28:38.

really didn't know what they were doing banking-wise. But there is

:28:39.:28:41.

another side of the story, a side I have been hearing from former

:28:42.:28:45.

directors that know about banking and were within the Co-Op Bank, they

:28:46.:28:52.

said it was two years of stretching to buy the Lloyd's branches that

:28:53.:29:01.

sealed the Co-Op's fate. Mr Flowers was talked to the regulator about t

:29:02.:29:06.

his point of contact was Andrew Bailey, in charge of advising banks

:29:07.:29:11.

then, and still in charge of it as the deputy go Governor of the Bank

:29:12.:29:18.

of England. They announced their intention to bid, and the directors

:29:19.:29:24.

from the Co-Op were leaving the company and going to the regulator

:29:25.:29:29.

saying they didn't think it made commercial sense and asking Andrew

:29:30.:29:33.

Bailey why didn't he block it. In March 2012 the Government came up

:29:34.:29:40.

with a roadblock to the deal? What was that? They told the Treasury and

:29:41.:29:46.

Co-Op group that it was swallowing so many banks that it was more like

:29:47.:29:51.

a bank with a supermarketed bolted on and it to be regulated, it had to

:29:52.:29:58.

be on the line for any losses the bank had and it would have to clear

:29:59.:30:02.

out the boards. Executives instead of being democratically elected in

:30:03.:30:05.

the Co-Op way were instead approved by the regulator. By the Co-Op that

:30:06.:30:10.

was a deal breaker, they were public about that, saying this would be a

:30:11.:30:16.

deal breaker for them and they weren't sure they could do the deal.

:30:17.:30:20.

The Treasury said they didn't like what the regulator was recommending?

:30:21.:30:24.

That's right, the Treasury disagreed, I found out they were

:30:25.:30:27.

completely opposed in their views, the Treasury on the one hand saying

:30:28.:30:32.

they could get around the rule and it didn't have to be that the Co-Op

:30:33.:30:39.

was regulated like a bank. And the Financial Services Authority

:30:40.:30:42.

disagreeing that. The events that played out showed the disagreement,

:30:43.:30:47.

it wasn't the SFA that won. Andrew bail year, the regulator -- Bailey,

:30:48.:30:53.

the regulate to approved in 2012 a wavier that allowed the Co-Op off

:30:54.:30:58.

the rules. Suddenly the whole business of being regulated by a

:30:59.:31:02.

bank was no longer a problem and the deal was back on. This is a

:31:03.:31:06.

complicated tale what are the Treasury and regulator saying now?

:31:07.:31:09.

They have both maintained that there was no improper influence. I have

:31:10.:31:17.

also learned that Mark Hobon was discussing this, with Andrew Bailey,

:31:18.:31:21.

the regulator, he was also discussing it with Co-Op directors,

:31:22.:31:25.

but both the Treasury and the FSA say there was no undue political

:31:26.:31:29.

influence. But we know now that the regulator was aware that insiders

:31:30.:31:32.

the Co-Op thought the deal didn't make sense and on the other hand the

:31:33.:31:38.

Government really wanted it. Some on the Treasury Select Committee agreed

:31:39.:31:41.

that the fact that the regulator seemed to have lost the argument

:31:42.:31:44.

demonstrates it was not a decision left down to them. It is the

:31:45.:31:49.

Treasury and Treasury ministers and George Osborne who pressured the FSA

:31:50.:31:53.

as the regulator to clear the way in the same way they did with the

:31:54.:31:57.

European Union to clear the way to allow the Co-Op to bid for these

:31:58.:32:02.

branches. That's why the court went ahead and that is why the FSA

:32:03.:32:11.

cleared the way for them. The other Treasury ministers will have a

:32:12.:32:15.

chance to dig deeper because the Chancellor is answering questions

:32:16.:32:19.

among other things about this to the Select Committee.

:32:20.:32:25.

?11. 4 billion, all of it taken from the people in this country by force

:32:26.:32:28.

of law, and all given to people and organisations in Government

:32:29.:32:30.

somewhere else. The British Government is actually rather proud

:32:31.:32:35.

of that total, for it makes this one the first of the bigger, richer

:32:36.:32:39.

nations to meet the UN's target of 0. 07% of national income on

:32:40.:32:46.

development aid T represents the honouring of a commitment years ago.

:32:47.:32:55.

Most of it went to Africa. This might be the future of money. It is

:32:56.:33:03.

called. Mepahasa, it is an electronic money service, that

:33:04.:33:07.

allows Kenyans to wire money immediately to people only using

:33:08.:33:11.

mobile phones. For the east African country it has been

:33:12.:33:15.

transformational. Today more than two-thirds of adult Kenyans are

:33:16.:33:24.

using it. What foresaw that? The British Government. Britain put

:33:25.:33:29.

?900,000 to get the scheme off the ground. Most people think of aid

:33:30.:33:34.

being food coming off the backs of lorries and planes, in truth very

:33:35.:33:39.

little aid is humanitarian relief, most is investment and things like

:33:40.:33:44.

education and health and stuff like this. Today Britain hit a target. It

:33:45.:33:54.

has met its aspiration to spend 0. 7% of national target on aid. That

:33:55.:33:58.

is how much they would spend on the developing countries. How are

:33:59.:34:01.

neighbours doing? Looking back to 2012, the last year for which we

:34:02.:34:05.

have final number, can you see we were somewhere between Scandinavia

:34:06.:34:09.

and other rich countries on the proportion of our income that we

:34:10.:34:14.

spent on aid. Since our economy is so much bigger than the Nordic

:34:15.:34:21.

nations, that makes us an Aid superpower. In 2013 our to theal

:34:22.:34:29.

rose to ??11. 4 billion. Only the US spends more than Britain on

:34:30.:34:34.

traditional development aid. Given the sums involved there is a lot of

:34:35.:34:42.

scepticism about aid spending, afterall sucks is very rare much --

:34:43.:34:48.

success is very rare. It is whether it is working well in the private

:34:49.:34:55.

sector. I spent 20 years as an emerging money manager, the

:34:56.:35:05.

Government lent ?1 brill I don't know to overseas countries, and it

:35:06.:35:10.

dwarfed the predicted figure. When you looked a successful countries

:35:11.:35:17.

like the North Korea who had GDP capital per head is now one of the

:35:18.:35:22.

richest women in the world. Through investment and trade and not through

:35:23.:35:26.

Government hand-outs. Furthermore aid leads to awkward decision, it is

:35:27.:35:32.

really not clear who should get it. Take India, Britain's biggest

:35:33.:35:38.

recipient in 2012. It got 292 million. That is understandable an

:35:39.:35:46.

estimated 300 million people live in poverty in the country. But it does

:35:47.:35:52.

have riches of its own, and its Government has chosen to spend money

:35:53.:35:56.

on space programme and nuclear arms. That is why the UK last decided to

:35:57.:36:02.

taper off its support. Take Rwanda, the war-scarred site of a genocide.

:36:03.:36:07.

It used to be a big recipient of British aid too. But the current

:36:08.:36:13.

secretary, Justine Greening has cancelled it for the Government.

:36:14.:36:17.

Saying the Government could be supporting rebels in the

:36:18.:36:20.

neighbouring Congo. These things are difficult because they really

:36:21.:36:23.

matter. That is because aid can help. Look back over the next ten

:36:24.:36:31.

years, we have seen three million fewer child deaths, and out of

:36:32.:36:41.

school numbers fall. Gains over death by hospital diseases. This is

:36:42.:36:44.

all where the taxpayer has contributed and Britain has forged

:36:45.:36:48.

what counts as a leadership position in the international community, that

:36:49.:36:52.

is something to be proud of. It cost as lot t causes controversy there

:36:53.:36:57.

are also problems with the money going where it should do. British

:36:58.:37:02.

voters are sceptical about aid too. Is it worth it? That's a value

:37:03.:37:10.

judgment. When it works it buys a lot. Here now is the Conservative MP

:37:11.:37:22.

Peter Bone and Bellini Mara, an expert on international relations.

:37:23.:37:24.

Are you pleased about the target being met? Yes, I think it is stay

:37:25.:37:29.

to celebrate. And it will be by many, not only in this country but

:37:30.:37:34.

overseas T has taken 40 years to reach this point. But Britain has

:37:35.:37:39.

joined the ranks of the Nordic countries who have already met the

:37:40.:37:47.

targets. What do you think? I don't know another department where you

:37:48.:37:50.

decide what is needed to be spent and then decide on it. It should be

:37:51.:37:55.

based on need not a mythical target. Why 20. 7, why not 0. 8 or three or

:37:56.:38:04.

two. You have to go back to history and ask people why they presented

:38:05.:38:08.

that target. The fact of the matter is it is currently a very important

:38:09.:38:12.

aspect of Britain's soft power projection in the world, against us,

:38:13.:38:16.

influence, it is not just the right thing to do but it also gains us

:38:17.:38:23.

respect and friends in the world. The important point is the world has

:38:24.:38:30.

changed. We have understand such as India, Brazil and China which used

:38:31.:38:34.

to be recipients but now donors themselves. The world has changed in

:38:35.:38:39.

that we have more poor people living in middle income places than 20

:38:40.:38:44.

years ago. It is timely to have a debate about how much, more whom and

:38:45.:38:49.

for what? That is absolutely timely to have that debate, let's keep the

:38:50.:38:57.

bigger picture in mind. We started saying this is tax-payers' money,

:38:58.:39:03.

??11. 5 billion, it is not, we are borrowing it, it is our children's

:39:04.:39:08.

money we are giving away. It has gone up 30% in this year. Tell me

:39:09.:39:12.

any Government department that has an increase, most had to cut. We

:39:13.:39:17.

became into power with the coalition Government, ?7 billion was spend on

:39:18.:39:21.

overseas aid, that was enough. We have put back on some of the

:39:22.:39:25.

countries, some of the waste, Justine greening is doing well on

:39:26.:39:32.

it. We are paying ?5 billion. The extra ?4 billion could be a billion

:39:33.:39:36.

on tax cut, reducing spending and the deficit by ?2 billion. That

:39:37.:39:41.

might help the long-term economic plan a little better than giving

:39:42.:39:48.

money to dictators and spending money on how people fart in

:39:49.:39:53.

Columbia. What a waste of money. That is trivialising where a budget

:39:54.:39:57.

goes. You are not saying it doesn't go there. I'm not defending, I don't

:39:58.:40:02.

have a need to have a the lodge calm defence of the 0 -- theological

:40:03.:40:07.

defence of the 0. 7% target. I would like to say this debate about which

:40:08.:40:11.

countries should be the recipients of aid, there is a live one. You

:40:12.:40:19.

have the OECD assistance. There are 140 countries recipients of aid, and

:40:20.:40:23.

there is a right discussion about whether the countries to which they

:40:24.:40:29.

are going right now is the one that is will benefit. Stop having the

:40:30.:40:34.

sticky plaster of aid and open up the European markets. If you let

:40:35.:40:40.

India trade more freely with the European, that is the solution,

:40:41.:40:45.

trade not aid. Aid just puts off a problem and gives it next year. If

:40:46.:40:53.

you stopped the European super power stopping countries trading that

:40:54.:40:55.

would be a better discussion. I think the thing to remember is this

:40:56.:40:58.

is an issue about Britain's role in the world. I think this was about

:40:59.:41:02.

the first point you made was about British soft power. In what sense

:41:03.:41:08.

are British interests advanced by doubling aid to a country like

:41:09.:41:13.

Nigeria whose policy on gay rights, for example, is utterly

:41:14.:41:19.

indefenceable to the Princes of the country. How does that advocate soft

:41:20.:41:23.

power? That is the kind of debate we should be HACHLTH how much, for

:41:24.:41:29.

which countries to do what. No, no, we are not giving them to countries,

:41:30.:41:34.

you well know that more of the aid is given to organisations like

:41:35.:41:41.

euro-aid. He We haven't doubled the amount of money we give to Nigeria

:41:42.:41:47.

but increased to ubeganed dark both discriminate against gay people

:41:48.:41:53.

which we think is something intolerable. I was working and

:41:54.:41:59.

saying all the money coming in is going on the black market. You could

:42:00.:42:05.

get British aid products sold in the market. They are not going to people

:42:06.:42:09.

with a purpose. When you have a 0. 7% target the department is spend,

:42:10.:42:13.

spend, spend because you have to reach the target. Not looking at as

:42:14.:42:20.

you argue whether it is necessary to spend the money. The issue of

:42:21.:42:25.

accountability with high is important, and this country ranks

:42:26.:42:30.

highly in indicators. We have the issue of aid effectiveness, which

:42:31.:42:34.

looks closely into the effectiveness of aid investment. I think most

:42:35.:42:38.

people tend to look at this as an investment, an investment in

:42:39.:42:41.

political stability around the world. Whether it should be

:42:42.:42:47.

ring-fenced or not should be up for discussion. This is a false choice

:42:48.:42:51.

between aid and trade. How can that possibly be of any benefit at all. I

:42:52.:42:58.

think if this argument is some how about colonial soft power, that is a

:42:59.:43:03.

terrible reason to give overseas aid. The reason to give it is to

:43:04.:43:10.

help countries grovel. Grow. If you can't get them in you are wasting

:43:11.:43:16.

your aid money. This country is the most generous in the world, when

:43:17.:43:21.

outside they say that Britain has joined the ranks of the G5,

:43:22.:43:28.

countries that have reached the zero % target. I don't think people will

:43:29.:43:38.

be saying yipee for cuts in their constituency and then aid being

:43:39.:43:43.

given. It is about values and the image that Britain wants to probing

:43:44.:43:55.

post ject. In -- protect. Comic Relief was good at raising money.

:43:56.:44:01.

You heard Jacob in the beginning how countries are transformed by private

:44:02.:44:06.

aid and trade. That is how you solve the problem, not the sticky plaster

:44:07.:44:12.

of towel doling money out. It is like earlier in the wees about ODI,

:44:13.:44:21.

we do see that aid works if the right accountability mechanisms are

:44:22.:44:25.

in place. We need to make sure it is not direct today corrupt countries.

:44:26.:44:31.

I argued and said to the International Development Minister I

:44:32.:44:34.

said there is a problem with sume trafficking in central Europe, let's

:44:35.:44:38.

put some of the overseas aid money into poorer countries in central

:44:39.:44:43.

Europe to stop girls being traffiked here for sexuality exploitation. We

:44:44.:44:48.

don't do it because it was not recognised as part of ODA. That is

:44:49.:44:52.

the problem, it is a tick-box exercise and not looking at the real

:44:53.:44:56.

issues. I'm going to have to interrupt you, sadly we have run out

:44:57.:44:58.

of time. The front pages now. That's all for tonight, Kirsty is

:44:59.:45:42.

here tomorrow, until then good nationwide.

:45:43.:46:23.

For Thursday, not an awful lot of change on the weather front,

:46:24.:46:28.

effectively, the further west and north you live the more likely you

:46:29.:46:30.

are

:46:31.:46:32.

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