Browse content similar to 02/04/2014. Check below for episodes and series from the same categories and more!
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Farrage on points, quit a lot of them too seems to be the verdict on | :00:00. | :00:13. | |
the UKIP debate. It was more personal and bitter. By staying in | :00:14. | :00:17. | |
the European Union we are not going to be couped up on a Native | :00:18. | :00:20. | |
Americans are vase, what will you say next you are Crazy Horse or | :00:21. | :00:26. | |
Sitting Bull, you have to have a level-headed debate about this. We | :00:27. | :00:28. | |
are in Afghanistan, where the country is about to Doose choose a | :00:29. | :00:38. | |
new President. With this kind of rally it is emphasised having guns | :00:39. | :00:43. | |
is no longer enough. This country becomes one of the bigger, wealthy | :00:44. | :00:48. | |
international nations meeting the target for giving international aid. | :00:49. | :00:52. | |
Why should British tax-payers be obliged to give money to the less | :00:53. | :00:55. | |
fortunate and does it even do much good. The man who conceived the Gaya | :00:56. | :01:02. | |
theory of the world, talks about our prospects. Other species have died | :01:03. | :01:14. | |
out, why should we be given special tenure. Two grown men spending hours | :01:15. | :01:30. | |
trying to come up with pithy putdowns for the other. Did Nick | :01:31. | :01:34. | |
Clegg and Nigel Farage wonder at any point what a very odd trade they are | :01:35. | :01:38. | |
in. The judgment of others came earlier this evening when the two | :01:39. | :01:42. | |
men shrugged it out, hardly making eye contact much of the time. And | :01:43. | :01:49. | |
with trade-offs of accusations that neither was telling the truth. Emily | :01:50. | :01:54. | |
Maitlis won the lottery for front seat for the thriller. | :01:55. | :01:58. | |
Anyone in search of high-minded debate. Not so much the wolf of Wall | :01:59. | :02:03. | |
Street, but the dunce from Downing Street. Not from the two Muppets who | :02:04. | :02:09. | |
advised the last Chancellor. They would have done well to avoid PMQs | :02:10. | :02:15. | |
today. But by this evening it got better, Nigel Farage and Nick Clegg | :02:16. | :02:18. | |
arrived at the BBC for round two of the Europe debate. We were promised | :02:19. | :02:22. | |
more emotion from Nick Clegg. Is it going to get personal? I hope not, | :02:23. | :02:27. | |
the issues are very important. More hard figures from Nigel Farage, | :02:28. | :02:32. | |
Clegg's world of the evening was? Dangerous con. Repeated throughout | :02:33. | :02:38. | |
the hour. Farrage's response was? Career politicians, it is the career | :02:39. | :02:42. | |
political class. He's keen to distance UKIP from the idea that any | :02:43. | :02:45. | |
of them are politicians. Monitoring public opinion, or should we say the | :02:46. | :02:53. | |
hallowed and unrealistic bubble that is the Twittersphere. Demos tracked | :02:54. | :02:56. | |
who appeared to be winning and losing. It seems people are both | :02:57. | :03:01. | |
using Twitter to pour derision and talk about the individuals and | :03:02. | :03:04. | |
personalities involved rather than the politics. Things opened with a | :03:05. | :03:08. | |
question from Hannah, who asked each man what principles guided their | :03:09. | :03:13. | |
policies? If you do what Nigel Farage recommends and you isolate | :03:14. | :03:19. | |
Britain, a sort of "Billy no mates Britain", it would be worse it would | :03:20. | :03:25. | |
be "Billy no jobs Britain". I'm not a career politician, I was years in | :03:26. | :03:30. | |
by-election I got involved in this with the treaty we signed up to we | :03:31. | :03:35. | |
were giving away our birth rate. On to Ukraine, a week after Nigel | :03:36. | :03:41. | |
Farage defended the actions of one Mr Putin? I didn't say I admired | :03:42. | :03:48. | |
him, I said he outmanoeuvred you all on the Ukraine. I'm not going for | :03:49. | :03:53. | |
that. Nigel Farage is the leader of Putin. It all got a bit surreal, a | :03:54. | :03:58. | |
leaflet Mr Farrage said he had never seen. It is a picture of an unhappy | :03:59. | :04:05. | |
Native American, it says "he used to ignore immigration now he lives on a | :04:06. | :04:10. | |
reservation", the suggestion is the British people will be couped up on | :04:11. | :04:13. | |
a reservation. Nigel Farage, by staying in the European Union we are | :04:14. | :04:17. | |
not going to be couped up on a Native American reservation what are | :04:18. | :04:20. | |
you going to say next that you are Crazy Horse or Sitting Bull. I don't | :04:21. | :04:24. | |
recognise the leaflet and wouldn't endorse the sentiment. The sparks | :04:25. | :04:28. | |
started to fly when they started talking about European control of | :04:29. | :04:31. | |
British law, each using figures the other believed bogus. I was | :04:32. | :04:34. | |
astonished last week in the first of the debates when Nick Clegg claimed | :04:35. | :04:38. | |
that only 7% of our laws are made in Brussels. He said it was there in | :04:39. | :04:42. | |
the House of Commons library note and therefore was unequiff could. I | :04:43. | :04:47. | |
have got the -- unequiff could. I have got the note with me, and the | :04:48. | :04:51. | |
British Government estimates around 50% of UK legislation comes from | :04:52. | :04:55. | |
Brussels. The fact of the reality is that 7% of our primary law derives | :04:56. | :05:04. | |
from the European Union. I'm sorry, I said yes to the debates, I thought | :05:05. | :05:09. | |
you would make the pro-EU case, by saying 7% of the laws are made in | :05:10. | :05:14. | |
Brussels, you are willfully lying to the British public about the extent | :05:15. | :05:17. | |
we have given away control of our country and democracy. I'm shocked | :05:18. | :05:21. | |
and surprised you would try to do that. Let's see the audience | :05:22. | :05:28. | |
reaction here? The last question sounded simple. What will the EU be | :05:29. | :05:34. | |
like in ten years? It was here arguably that Nick Clegg mid-his | :05:35. | :05:39. | |
worst mistake. I suspect it will be similar to what it is now. Tomorrow | :05:40. | :05:42. | |
morning that might seem like something of an own goal. Nigel | :05:43. | :05:48. | |
Farage meanwhile went all C her, Guvara. I would urge people come and | :05:49. | :05:54. | |
join the people's army and topple the establishment who led us to this | :05:55. | :06:01. | |
mess. Two polls issued towards the end declared Farrage the clear | :06:02. | :06:07. | |
winner on 69 and 68%, a clear ten points better than this week. And | :06:08. | :06:12. | |
then the worm started to fade away as Twitter, viewers, a saner world | :06:13. | :06:15. | |
in general, went in search of another European clash, Chelsea | :06:16. | :06:22. | |
versus PSG on the other side. Here now to pick their winner and loser | :06:23. | :06:30. | |
are the political strategist John McTernan and Conservative peer, Lord | :06:31. | :06:42. | |
Finkelstein. Do you share the received wisdom that Farrage won? We | :06:43. | :06:46. | |
are talking here about a Liberal Democrat versus UKIP debate about | :06:47. | :06:50. | |
the European Union. I don't suppose that many people were paying a huge | :06:51. | :06:57. | |
A attention to it. We were. But the political world wasn't. I think | :06:58. | :07:00. | |
Nigel Farage is very convincing at this sort of debate. And Nick | :07:01. | :07:03. | |
Clegg's problem is he has not adjusted to the public's perception | :07:04. | :07:09. | |
of him. It is just after the tuition fees and after their period in | :07:10. | :07:12. | |
Government, he cannot make Anne peel which he tried do in this debate | :07:13. | :07:18. | |
repeat lead on the basis of sincerity. Not making a judgment | :07:19. | :07:22. | |
about whether I thought he was right or wrong on the points. It is not an | :07:23. | :07:29. | |
appeal he can make and succeed on. There is dedevolution among | :07:30. | :07:32. | |
political parties when they get unpopular, if they find one of their | :07:33. | :07:36. | |
policies is more popular than them, they find if they embrace it vocally | :07:37. | :07:42. | |
and publicly they might match the popularity of the policy. That is | :07:43. | :07:46. | |
the Clegg point. They are only 11%, but a third or half of the country | :07:47. | :07:49. | |
like the European Union as much as them. It is insane. What the Deputy | :07:50. | :07:52. | |
Prime Minister, the Deputy Prime Minister of the United Kingdom did | :07:53. | :07:58. | |
was go and fight with man who doesn't have a single MP in the | :07:59. | :08:01. | |
House of Commons. It made man who has belittled himself already and | :08:02. | :08:06. | |
made all the mistakes that Danny set out, it made him look smaller than | :08:07. | :08:12. | |
he is and his party is. That is really bad. It was worth a try, the | :08:13. | :08:18. | |
Liberal Democrats have been at 10% since almost the win -- beginning of | :08:19. | :08:24. | |
the Government, they are still at 10%, nothing appears to work, the | :08:25. | :08:28. | |
differenciation strategy doesn't seem to work and I don't think it | :08:29. | :08:31. | |
will, he may have may as well try this, the strategy of trying to get | :08:32. | :08:34. | |
more of the pro-European votes and stand up for the things he thought | :08:35. | :08:39. | |
of. The problem he has is he cannot base that appeal upon he's more | :08:40. | :08:44. | |
sincere than Nigel Farage. That was never going to work. Nigel Farage | :08:45. | :08:47. | |
has the advantage he as an outsired, he talks a sort of -- outsider. He | :08:48. | :08:53. | |
talks a bluff common sense as far as people see it. For Nick Clegg to | :08:54. | :08:58. | |
think he's going to pierce that by saying you are a liar and I'm not. I | :08:59. | :09:02. | |
didn't think it would work and it didn't. The only cut through that | :09:03. | :09:06. | |
Nick Clegg has had in the two debates was the moment he stood and | :09:07. | :09:10. | |
listed the crimes people had committed, fled to the continent and | :09:11. | :09:14. | |
brought back by the European arrest warrant. That was the only bit that | :09:15. | :09:17. | |
cut through. Last week wasn't it? Last week, it was the only the time | :09:18. | :09:23. | |
he made a real case for Europe with real people and issues. He | :09:24. | :09:27. | |
completely misunderstood the lessons this week last week. He dug a deeper | :09:28. | :09:31. | |
hole this week. You can't win a debate from that position, leaving | :09:32. | :09:36. | |
aside the sincerity question. You can't win a European debate when you | :09:37. | :09:39. | |
are not prepared to guarantee a referendum. Even Nigel Farage | :09:40. | :09:45. | |
illustrates how difficult David Cameron will find. That when he | :09:46. | :09:50. | |
comes back with nobody epulis believes anything you say that is | :09:51. | :09:53. | |
very effective for people. It did illustrate a problem the | :09:54. | :09:56. | |
Conservatives will have making that argument. At the same time Nick | :09:57. | :10:06. | |
Clegg basically tried to win from a purist European position, I don't | :10:07. | :10:10. | |
think you can win it from that. Do you think Cameron and Miliband were | :10:11. | :10:16. | |
wise not to get involved? Totally you leave the two dwarves fighting | :10:17. | :10:22. | |
with each other. Classically this was two bald fighting over a comb. | :10:23. | :10:26. | |
There was little to when from Clegg's side and Farrage's side, | :10:27. | :10:30. | |
he's merely confirming with the public why they like or don't like | :10:31. | :10:36. | |
him. Gets more exposure, you don't want to I mean, you don't want to, | :10:37. | :10:40. | |
if you are David Cameron or Ed Miliband, to elevate Nigel Farage | :10:41. | :10:46. | |
any more than he is driven by the fact there is a European election | :10:47. | :10:51. | |
and the fact he is articulating a situation that has a constituency. | :10:52. | :10:54. | |
That was obviously the right thing not to appear in the debates. I | :10:55. | :10:57. | |
think Nigel Farage will have gained something from it, we should all not | :10:58. | :11:01. | |
overestimate how much attention people were paying to this. This is | :11:02. | :11:04. | |
not the leadership debate or the general election. People when they | :11:05. | :11:07. | |
are asked about it are not making the same kind of judgment. But it | :11:08. | :11:13. | |
gets mire tension than it deserves because it is fill ago vacuum. One | :11:14. | :11:16. | |
of the things -- filling a vacuum. One of the things is parliament has | :11:17. | :11:20. | |
run its course, we have had our four years, we are ready for jacks, | :11:21. | :11:23. | |
except we are locked into a five-year parliament. Whose fault is | :11:24. | :11:28. | |
that? The coalition. I think the non-European aspects of this debate, | :11:29. | :11:34. | |
few people regard Europe as the top item of the political agenda. When | :11:35. | :11:39. | |
you watch Nigel Farage talking about immigration and dealing with the | :11:40. | :11:43. | |
political classes. It is fascinating he folded big business into the | :11:44. | :11:50. | |
political classes. He's aiming at the Labour vote there talking about | :11:51. | :11:53. | |
a particular class, that is where UKIP has the base vote. It was | :11:54. | :11:57. | |
pretty interesting and effect YICHLT I think the other parties won't have | :11:58. | :12:02. | |
participated, but they will have watched and noted that is an | :12:03. | :12:09. | |
effective appeal. It is a limited appeal there are some people willing | :12:10. | :12:12. | |
to vote that in a general election, when it won't win any seats and you | :12:13. | :12:15. | |
are choosing a Prime Minister it is limited. Before that we have the | :12:16. | :12:26. | |
European elections. What affect will it have there? The battle for votes | :12:27. | :12:29. | |
and seats is between UKIP and the Labour Party. What that means is | :12:30. | :12:34. | |
that the result will be difficult for David Cameron. There is nothing | :12:35. | :12:39. | |
after the election, the European elections that doesn't cause him | :12:40. | :12:42. | |
pain. He has a backbench that are restive already, and ill | :12:43. | :12:45. | |
disciplined, and they use this issue, not the only issue they are | :12:46. | :12:49. | |
concerned about. I predict a summer of fighting inside the Tory Party | :12:50. | :12:52. | |
and the Labour Party you know there is four weeks in a row have now gone | :12:53. | :12:59. | |
and nobody has raised, in PMQs, Labour's position on Europe. David | :13:00. | :13:02. | |
Cameron doesn't want backbenchers to raise the issue of Europe in the | :13:03. | :13:05. | |
House of Commons E wants Europe done and -- he wants Europe done and | :13:06. | :13:09. | |
dusted as soon as possible. It will be a continuing sore for the | :13:10. | :13:14. | |
stories. They want to play the expectation games, UKIP have played | :13:15. | :13:18. | |
expectations on coming first. Certainly people are expecting a | :13:19. | :13:21. | |
meltdown of the Conservative Party. There is an element of control David | :13:22. | :13:27. | |
Cameron can exercise in that, can he show the Conservative Party to be | :13:28. | :13:31. | |
more disciplined after that result than people expect. So you know you | :13:32. | :13:35. | |
can do some things to offset it. But of course the reason why UKIP will | :13:36. | :13:39. | |
get much more in a European election than a general election is because | :13:40. | :13:42. | |
people vote differently because they don't think it really matters that | :13:43. | :13:46. | |
much. I remember the Greens surging in the 80s. A quick yes or no to | :13:47. | :13:51. | |
this, do you think Nigel Farage should be allowed to take part in | :13:52. | :13:55. | |
the leaders' debates before the general election, each of you? No. I | :13:56. | :14:00. | |
think the leaders' debate should be structured so as to give an | :14:01. | :14:07. | |
appearance on one but not with Miliband or Cameron, but allowed in | :14:08. | :14:15. | |
one. Man dressed in military uniform walk | :14:16. | :14:20. | |
today the Interior Ministry in Kabul, flicked a switch, and blew | :14:21. | :14:24. | |
himself to pieces and murdered six police officers. The attack was | :14:25. | :14:28. | |
almost certainly the work of the Taliban, whose violence has | :14:29. | :14:31. | |
intensified ahead of an election when Afghans get to choose a new | :14:32. | :14:36. | |
President. Hamid Karzai, the man who has led Afghanistan since the fall | :14:37. | :14:41. | |
of the Taliban in 2001 is stepping down. His successor will be one of | :14:42. | :14:48. | |
nine hopefuls, ranging from western-educated economists to | :14:49. | :14:51. | |
notorious warlords. Bid end of the year all foreign -- by the end of | :14:52. | :14:56. | |
the year, all foreign combat troops will have left. Afghanistan's most | :14:57. | :15:03. | |
important election is approaching, Afghans know that. For a decade or | :15:04. | :15:09. | |
more this country h marched to the tune of Hamid Karzai and a huge | :15:10. | :15:13. | |
contingent of foreign troops. That predictable beat is about to end. | :15:14. | :15:21. | |
Presidential hopefuls range from old fighters to a former Finance | :15:22. | :15:26. | |
Minister, to win they have to win here in conservative Kandahar. This | :15:27. | :15:34. | |
man draw as big crowd, despite tight security in the birth place of theal | :15:35. | :15:43. | |
bap. He has been a key man and a world economist. Here it is his | :15:44. | :15:48. | |
tribal credentials that matters. In this heartland of Pashtun tribes. He | :15:49. | :15:57. | |
says they are all with him, descendants of the ancient Pashtun | :15:58. | :16:01. | |
kings. He grips the hand of Hamid Karzai's cousin. Kandahar is the | :16:02. | :16:17. | |
Hamid Karzai an ancestoral home. They are divided in this election. | :16:18. | :16:20. | |
He says he can bring peace to this area that has seen some of the worst | :16:21. | :16:25. | |
fight. But the Taliban are carrying out suicide bombings almost every | :16:26. | :16:29. | |
day now. Why would they talk to him if he wins. The context is | :16:30. | :16:33. | |
different, the international forces are not here. In the kind of numbers | :16:34. | :16:38. | |
that make them doubtful that they will ever leave. We have succeeded | :16:39. | :16:46. | |
at the military transition, we have brought about a massive | :16:47. | :16:49. | |
participation of the public in this election. Look, NOSHTHS south, east, | :16:50. | :16:53. | |
west, they are massively participating in the election. | :16:54. | :16:58. | |
Democratic processes are gaining ground and working. The mandate you | :16:59. | :17:09. | |
will have is very different. There is no doubt Afghanistan is | :17:10. | :17:14. | |
moving forward, although slowly. Afghans take huge pride in that. | :17:15. | :17:18. | |
These police stand guard in rush hour, to salute official vehicles as | :17:19. | :17:22. | |
they go by. But whatever sits in those cars next, should look beyond | :17:23. | :17:30. | |
the salute to the shadow, where one of the biggest challenges for the | :17:31. | :17:34. | |
next President lies. The jobless, these are the day labourers who | :17:35. | :17:39. | |
stand waiting for cars to stop and offering them work. There is less | :17:40. | :17:43. | |
work now, less aid and foreign investment as foreign troops pull | :17:44. | :17:48. | |
out. There This man had aments there is no work. Where is the Government? | :17:49. | :17:52. | |
They are only thinking about the elections, they don't know the | :17:53. | :17:59. | |
nation is jobless. Afghans don't want to lose what they have gained, | :18:00. | :18:09. | |
and women have the most to loose. "Rise, risers women, hold your head | :18:10. | :18:21. | |
up buy, break the chains of oppression" Afghan women are still | :18:22. | :18:24. | |
held back by tradition and they worry about Taliban threats. But | :18:25. | :18:35. | |
there are some success stories. This woman has been a minister of women's | :18:36. | :18:40. | |
fares, the only female governor in Afghan history. Now she's running | :18:41. | :18:46. | |
for Vice President. Do you believe in equality she asks? Yes they roar. | :18:47. | :18:55. | |
Do they want prosperity? There is a lot to fight for. If you come to | :18:56. | :19:02. | |
power, what for you would be the first priority if you want to move | :19:03. | :19:06. | |
women forward and keep the gains? The law, because if we didn't have | :19:07. | :19:12. | |
the progress in the constitution I was not standing as a Vice President | :19:13. | :19:16. | |
for some of the candidates. This is our constitution that gave me a | :19:17. | :19:20. | |
chance to stand as a Vice President for one of the tickets. That is why | :19:21. | :19:25. | |
law and constitution is much more important than the other things. | :19:26. | :19:32. | |
Drive anywhere in Afghanistan and there are the reminders of the | :19:33. | :19:36. | |
progress. Including girls going to school. Today we're driving north of | :19:37. | :19:41. | |
Kabul, to a rally for a candidate who believes the best people to run | :19:42. | :19:45. | |
Afghanistan are the men w fought its wars. This man is Islamist scholar, | :19:46. | :19:52. | |
one of the most notorious warlords, but in the past decade he has been | :19:53. | :19:56. | |
useful to the west. In this election he's even talking about women's | :19:57. | :20:05. | |
rights. How is the campaign going? I will meet you. He only moves with | :20:06. | :20:10. | |
his private army. He fought against the Taliban in this area, and he | :20:11. | :20:15. | |
still is at the top of their hitlist. Look Look at the people and | :20:16. | :20:22. | |
look at the guns, this is man of a lot of importance, and a lot of | :20:23. | :20:33. | |
enemies. Just look at the crowds that have gathered here to his | :20:34. | :20:38. | |
rally. This is a man who symbolises the bloodiest periods of Afghan | :20:39. | :20:43. | |
history, but the number of guns you hold still matters in Afghanistan w | :20:44. | :20:47. | |
this kind of rally also emphasising that having guns is no longer | :20:48. | :20:49. | |
enough. His rally brings out the men they | :20:50. | :21:03. | |
call mujahideen, they fought against Soviet troops in the 1990s. This | :21:04. | :21:07. | |
isn't gathering of voters, they devotees. The mujahideen are not | :21:08. | :21:19. | |
playing a big enough role in the Government he saying, it is not | :21:20. | :21:22. | |
enough to be just in the army and police. He says men like him are | :21:23. | :21:40. | |
misunderstood. We are not all men wearing Taliban with beards, they | :21:41. | :21:45. | |
are thinking that they don't know anything. We guided our nation, and | :21:46. | :21:57. | |
the very bad situation in the days of the war. When they were able to | :21:58. | :22:04. | |
divide the nation in that situation then to guide it in the smooth | :22:05. | :22:14. | |
situation it is 10,000 time easier than it was. In Kabul Afghans often | :22:15. | :22:19. | |
head to this manage any of sent shrine to offer prayers for their | :22:20. | :22:24. | |
wish, their worries. It is busy these days. But in a few days they | :22:25. | :22:29. | |
will put their faith in ballot box again. Hoping a new leader will | :22:30. | :22:34. | |
emerge, who can help give them a safer and better life. | :22:35. | :22:40. | |
He has been called one of the world's top public intellectual, he | :22:41. | :22:45. | |
invented the Gaia idea, the theory that the world is a self-regulating | :22:46. | :22:50. | |
organism, and now at the end test age of 94 he's being celebrated in | :22:51. | :22:54. | |
the Science Museum in London, as one of the Titans of post-war science, a | :22:55. | :23:00. | |
man working outside the mainstream scientific institution, came up with | :23:01. | :23:03. | |
some of the most original ideas of our time. His latest book is a rough | :23:04. | :23:07. | |
guide to the future, which deals with the small matter of whether | :23:08. | :23:10. | |
mankind has a future? I went to talk to him. There is a tendency to think | :23:11. | :23:15. | |
that we are the end of the road, the final product of evolution, the most | :23:16. | :23:20. | |
important animal that has ever evolved. We're not I don't think. | :23:21. | :23:33. | |
We're just a step in a long progression. So the human race could | :23:34. | :23:39. | |
die out? Oh yes, other species have died out, why are we given special | :23:40. | :23:44. | |
tenure. Mainly because we are cleverer than the other ones? We | :23:45. | :23:48. | |
think we are. Are we not? Why not? Think we are so proud of ourselves | :23:49. | :23:55. | |
that we don't realise how ignorant we really are. What do you mean? | :23:56. | :23:59. | |
Well, I mean take this climate matter that everybody is thinking | :24:00. | :24:02. | |
about. They all talk, they pass law, they do things, as if they knew what | :24:03. | :24:09. | |
was happening. I don't think anyone of them really know what is | :24:10. | :24:12. | |
happening, they just guess at it. And a whole group of people meet | :24:13. | :24:17. | |
together and encourage each other's guesses. That latest report from the | :24:18. | :24:24. | |
international Panel on Climate Change did suggest there was | :24:25. | :24:29. | |
something inevitable about climate change. That it had already begun | :24:30. | :24:34. | |
and we had to adjust to it. All those things are true are they not, | :24:35. | :24:39. | |
as far as we know? That is true, that report, the last one, is very | :24:40. | :24:44. | |
similar to the statements that I made in the book about eight years | :24:45. | :24:49. | |
ago called The Revenge of GAIA. It is almost as if they are copied. | :24:50. | :24:56. | |
Sure, but you then after publishing these apocalyptic prediction, is, | :24:57. | :25:05. | |
you retracted them? That is my right, I'm an independent scientist, | :25:06. | :25:09. | |
I'm not funded by a commercial body or anything like. That if I make a | :25:10. | :25:14. | |
mistake I can go public on it. You have to, it is only by making | :25:15. | :25:18. | |
mistakes you can move ahead. It follows from that, that this Panel | :25:19. | :25:22. | |
on Climate Change, which harks as you point out -- has, as you point | :25:23. | :25:28. | |
out, vested interests and is more likely to make a mistake? That would | :25:29. | :25:33. | |
be a lot of hubris on my part to say that. But it is possible. Now, you | :25:34. | :25:41. | |
are evidently concerned about the effect of carbon upon the world, and | :25:42. | :25:46. | |
yet you part company with many environmentalists on the question of | :25:47. | :25:51. | |
nuclear power. Do you think, what's gone wrong with the perception of | :25:52. | :25:58. | |
nuclear power. I he wish I knew. I can offer a suggestion, nuclear | :25:59. | :26:04. | |
energy is a normal natural thing for the universe. Our not using it is | :26:05. | :26:09. | |
quite mad. The only reason we don't use it is that we felt quite guilty | :26:10. | :26:19. | |
about using that gift of nuclear energy for war time. Rather than | :26:20. | :26:24. | |
using it as a safe, clean and nearly perfect source of energy. It is | :26:25. | :26:29. | |
safer even than windmills. You can be killed by the blade of a windmill | :26:30. | :26:36. | |
if it spins off and hits your house or chops your head off. As far as | :26:37. | :26:41. | |
the other great bete noire of environmentalists go, fracking, | :26:42. | :26:47. | |
where are you on that? It is an awful word, you have to realise it | :26:48. | :26:51. | |
is just the kind of word to stir up a lot of fuss. Leaving that aside, | :26:52. | :26:56. | |
I'm fairly neutral about fracking. I think we in Britain may be falsely | :26:57. | :27:02. | |
use it, because -- maybe falsely use it because we don't have any easily | :27:03. | :27:08. | |
available sources of electricity, other than burning methane. You | :27:09. | :27:13. | |
don't worry about the potential collateral consequences said to flow | :27:14. | :27:16. | |
from fracking, water course pollution and the rest of it? I do, | :27:17. | :27:21. | |
I don't all together like it. But we may have no option but to just | :27:22. | :27:26. | |
fracking as our source. Because nothing I can imagine is much worse | :27:27. | :27:32. | |
environmentally than a sudden cessation of electricity supplies. | :27:33. | :27:42. | |
Just imagine London without any? As a society he would small apart -- we | :27:43. | :27:48. | |
would fall apart in a short amount of time. How much pressure was put | :27:49. | :27:56. | |
on the Co-Op bank to take over 632 branches of Lloyds Bank. Preparing | :27:57. | :28:00. | |
for the deals we have heard cost hundreds of million, made no | :28:01. | :28:04. | |
commercial sense and ultimately crippled the bank. Was there | :28:05. | :28:08. | |
political pressure on the regulator, the then Financial Services | :28:09. | :28:11. | |
Authority. Tonight we have found out that the Treasury and the regulator | :28:12. | :28:16. | |
clashed over a crucial problem that would have scuppered the deal a year | :28:17. | :28:21. | |
before it went bad and collapsed. The regulator didn't exactly win the | :28:22. | :28:25. | |
fight. What is this all about? Essentially it is all about who or | :28:26. | :28:30. | |
what killed the Co-Op Bank, the view has grown that this was down to an | :28:31. | :28:34. | |
independent drug-taking Methodist minister and inept directors who | :28:35. | :28:38. | |
really didn't know what they were doing banking-wise. But there is | :28:39. | :28:41. | |
another side of the story, a side I have been hearing from former | :28:42. | :28:45. | |
directors that know about banking and were within the Co-Op Bank, they | :28:46. | :28:52. | |
said it was two years of stretching to buy the Lloyd's branches that | :28:53. | :29:01. | |
sealed the Co-Op's fate. Mr Flowers was talked to the regulator about t | :29:02. | :29:06. | |
his point of contact was Andrew Bailey, in charge of advising banks | :29:07. | :29:11. | |
then, and still in charge of it as the deputy go Governor of the Bank | :29:12. | :29:18. | |
of England. They announced their intention to bid, and the directors | :29:19. | :29:24. | |
from the Co-Op were leaving the company and going to the regulator | :29:25. | :29:29. | |
saying they didn't think it made commercial sense and asking Andrew | :29:30. | :29:33. | |
Bailey why didn't he block it. In March 2012 the Government came up | :29:34. | :29:40. | |
with a roadblock to the deal? What was that? They told the Treasury and | :29:41. | :29:46. | |
Co-Op group that it was swallowing so many banks that it was more like | :29:47. | :29:51. | |
a bank with a supermarketed bolted on and it to be regulated, it had to | :29:52. | :29:58. | |
be on the line for any losses the bank had and it would have to clear | :29:59. | :30:02. | |
out the boards. Executives instead of being democratically elected in | :30:03. | :30:05. | |
the Co-Op way were instead approved by the regulator. By the Co-Op that | :30:06. | :30:10. | |
was a deal breaker, they were public about that, saying this would be a | :30:11. | :30:16. | |
deal breaker for them and they weren't sure they could do the deal. | :30:17. | :30:20. | |
The Treasury said they didn't like what the regulator was recommending? | :30:21. | :30:24. | |
That's right, the Treasury disagreed, I found out they were | :30:25. | :30:27. | |
completely opposed in their views, the Treasury on the one hand saying | :30:28. | :30:32. | |
they could get around the rule and it didn't have to be that the Co-Op | :30:33. | :30:39. | |
was regulated like a bank. And the Financial Services Authority | :30:40. | :30:42. | |
disagreeing that. The events that played out showed the disagreement, | :30:43. | :30:47. | |
it wasn't the SFA that won. Andrew bail year, the regulator -- Bailey, | :30:48. | :30:53. | |
the regulate to approved in 2012 a wavier that allowed the Co-Op off | :30:54. | :30:58. | |
the rules. Suddenly the whole business of being regulated by a | :30:59. | :31:02. | |
bank was no longer a problem and the deal was back on. This is a | :31:03. | :31:06. | |
complicated tale what are the Treasury and regulator saying now? | :31:07. | :31:09. | |
They have both maintained that there was no improper influence. I have | :31:10. | :31:17. | |
also learned that Mark Hobon was discussing this, with Andrew Bailey, | :31:18. | :31:21. | |
the regulator, he was also discussing it with Co-Op directors, | :31:22. | :31:25. | |
but both the Treasury and the FSA say there was no undue political | :31:26. | :31:29. | |
influence. But we know now that the regulator was aware that insiders | :31:30. | :31:32. | |
the Co-Op thought the deal didn't make sense and on the other hand the | :31:33. | :31:38. | |
Government really wanted it. Some on the Treasury Select Committee agreed | :31:39. | :31:41. | |
that the fact that the regulator seemed to have lost the argument | :31:42. | :31:44. | |
demonstrates it was not a decision left down to them. It is the | :31:45. | :31:49. | |
Treasury and Treasury ministers and George Osborne who pressured the FSA | :31:50. | :31:53. | |
as the regulator to clear the way in the same way they did with the | :31:54. | :31:57. | |
European Union to clear the way to allow the Co-Op to bid for these | :31:58. | :32:02. | |
branches. That's why the court went ahead and that is why the FSA | :32:03. | :32:11. | |
cleared the way for them. The other Treasury ministers will have a | :32:12. | :32:15. | |
chance to dig deeper because the Chancellor is answering questions | :32:16. | :32:19. | |
among other things about this to the Select Committee. | :32:20. | :32:25. | |
?11. 4 billion, all of it taken from the people in this country by force | :32:26. | :32:28. | |
of law, and all given to people and organisations in Government | :32:29. | :32:30. | |
somewhere else. The British Government is actually rather proud | :32:31. | :32:35. | |
of that total, for it makes this one the first of the bigger, richer | :32:36. | :32:39. | |
nations to meet the UN's target of 0. 07% of national income on | :32:40. | :32:46. | |
development aid T represents the honouring of a commitment years ago. | :32:47. | :32:55. | |
Most of it went to Africa. This might be the future of money. It is | :32:56. | :33:03. | |
called. Mepahasa, it is an electronic money service, that | :33:04. | :33:07. | |
allows Kenyans to wire money immediately to people only using | :33:08. | :33:11. | |
mobile phones. For the east African country it has been | :33:12. | :33:15. | |
transformational. Today more than two-thirds of adult Kenyans are | :33:16. | :33:24. | |
using it. What foresaw that? The British Government. Britain put | :33:25. | :33:29. | |
?900,000 to get the scheme off the ground. Most people think of aid | :33:30. | :33:34. | |
being food coming off the backs of lorries and planes, in truth very | :33:35. | :33:39. | |
little aid is humanitarian relief, most is investment and things like | :33:40. | :33:44. | |
education and health and stuff like this. Today Britain hit a target. It | :33:45. | :33:54. | |
has met its aspiration to spend 0. 7% of national target on aid. That | :33:55. | :33:58. | |
is how much they would spend on the developing countries. How are | :33:59. | :34:01. | |
neighbours doing? Looking back to 2012, the last year for which we | :34:02. | :34:05. | |
have final number, can you see we were somewhere between Scandinavia | :34:06. | :34:09. | |
and other rich countries on the proportion of our income that we | :34:10. | :34:14. | |
spent on aid. Since our economy is so much bigger than the Nordic | :34:15. | :34:21. | |
nations, that makes us an Aid superpower. In 2013 our to theal | :34:22. | :34:29. | |
rose to ??11. 4 billion. Only the US spends more than Britain on | :34:30. | :34:34. | |
traditional development aid. Given the sums involved there is a lot of | :34:35. | :34:42. | |
scepticism about aid spending, afterall sucks is very rare much -- | :34:43. | :34:48. | |
success is very rare. It is whether it is working well in the private | :34:49. | :34:55. | |
sector. I spent 20 years as an emerging money manager, the | :34:56. | :35:05. | |
Government lent ?1 brill I don't know to overseas countries, and it | :35:06. | :35:10. | |
dwarfed the predicted figure. When you looked a successful countries | :35:11. | :35:17. | |
like the North Korea who had GDP capital per head is now one of the | :35:18. | :35:22. | |
richest women in the world. Through investment and trade and not through | :35:23. | :35:26. | |
Government hand-outs. Furthermore aid leads to awkward decision, it is | :35:27. | :35:32. | |
really not clear who should get it. Take India, Britain's biggest | :35:33. | :35:38. | |
recipient in 2012. It got 292 million. That is understandable an | :35:39. | :35:46. | |
estimated 300 million people live in poverty in the country. But it does | :35:47. | :35:52. | |
have riches of its own, and its Government has chosen to spend money | :35:53. | :35:56. | |
on space programme and nuclear arms. That is why the UK last decided to | :35:57. | :36:02. | |
taper off its support. Take Rwanda, the war-scarred site of a genocide. | :36:03. | :36:07. | |
It used to be a big recipient of British aid too. But the current | :36:08. | :36:13. | |
secretary, Justine Greening has cancelled it for the Government. | :36:14. | :36:17. | |
Saying the Government could be supporting rebels in the | :36:18. | :36:20. | |
neighbouring Congo. These things are difficult because they really | :36:21. | :36:23. | |
matter. That is because aid can help. Look back over the next ten | :36:24. | :36:31. | |
years, we have seen three million fewer child deaths, and out of | :36:32. | :36:41. | |
school numbers fall. Gains over death by hospital diseases. This is | :36:42. | :36:44. | |
all where the taxpayer has contributed and Britain has forged | :36:45. | :36:48. | |
what counts as a leadership position in the international community, that | :36:49. | :36:52. | |
is something to be proud of. It cost as lot t causes controversy there | :36:53. | :36:57. | |
are also problems with the money going where it should do. British | :36:58. | :37:02. | |
voters are sceptical about aid too. Is it worth it? That's a value | :37:03. | :37:10. | |
judgment. When it works it buys a lot. Here now is the Conservative MP | :37:11. | :37:22. | |
Peter Bone and Bellini Mara, an expert on international relations. | :37:23. | :37:24. | |
Are you pleased about the target being met? Yes, I think it is stay | :37:25. | :37:29. | |
to celebrate. And it will be by many, not only in this country but | :37:30. | :37:34. | |
overseas T has taken 40 years to reach this point. But Britain has | :37:35. | :37:39. | |
joined the ranks of the Nordic countries who have already met the | :37:40. | :37:47. | |
targets. What do you think? I don't know another department where you | :37:48. | :37:50. | |
decide what is needed to be spent and then decide on it. It should be | :37:51. | :37:55. | |
based on need not a mythical target. Why 20. 7, why not 0. 8 or three or | :37:56. | :38:04. | |
two. You have to go back to history and ask people why they presented | :38:05. | :38:08. | |
that target. The fact of the matter is it is currently a very important | :38:09. | :38:12. | |
aspect of Britain's soft power projection in the world, against us, | :38:13. | :38:16. | |
influence, it is not just the right thing to do but it also gains us | :38:17. | :38:23. | |
respect and friends in the world. The important point is the world has | :38:24. | :38:30. | |
changed. We have understand such as India, Brazil and China which used | :38:31. | :38:34. | |
to be recipients but now donors themselves. The world has changed in | :38:35. | :38:39. | |
that we have more poor people living in middle income places than 20 | :38:40. | :38:44. | |
years ago. It is timely to have a debate about how much, more whom and | :38:45. | :38:49. | |
for what? That is absolutely timely to have that debate, let's keep the | :38:50. | :38:57. | |
bigger picture in mind. We started saying this is tax-payers' money, | :38:58. | :39:03. | |
??11. 5 billion, it is not, we are borrowing it, it is our children's | :39:04. | :39:08. | |
money we are giving away. It has gone up 30% in this year. Tell me | :39:09. | :39:12. | |
any Government department that has an increase, most had to cut. We | :39:13. | :39:17. | |
became into power with the coalition Government, ?7 billion was spend on | :39:18. | :39:21. | |
overseas aid, that was enough. We have put back on some of the | :39:22. | :39:25. | |
countries, some of the waste, Justine greening is doing well on | :39:26. | :39:32. | |
it. We are paying ?5 billion. The extra ?4 billion could be a billion | :39:33. | :39:36. | |
on tax cut, reducing spending and the deficit by ?2 billion. That | :39:37. | :39:41. | |
might help the long-term economic plan a little better than giving | :39:42. | :39:48. | |
money to dictators and spending money on how people fart in | :39:49. | :39:53. | |
Columbia. What a waste of money. That is trivialising where a budget | :39:54. | :39:57. | |
goes. You are not saying it doesn't go there. I'm not defending, I don't | :39:58. | :40:02. | |
have a need to have a the lodge calm defence of the 0 -- theological | :40:03. | :40:07. | |
defence of the 0. 7% target. I would like to say this debate about which | :40:08. | :40:11. | |
countries should be the recipients of aid, there is a live one. You | :40:12. | :40:19. | |
have the OECD assistance. There are 140 countries recipients of aid, and | :40:20. | :40:23. | |
there is a right discussion about whether the countries to which they | :40:24. | :40:29. | |
are going right now is the one that is will benefit. Stop having the | :40:30. | :40:34. | |
sticky plaster of aid and open up the European markets. If you let | :40:35. | :40:40. | |
India trade more freely with the European, that is the solution, | :40:41. | :40:45. | |
trade not aid. Aid just puts off a problem and gives it next year. If | :40:46. | :40:53. | |
you stopped the European super power stopping countries trading that | :40:54. | :40:55. | |
would be a better discussion. I think the thing to remember is this | :40:56. | :40:58. | |
is an issue about Britain's role in the world. I think this was about | :40:59. | :41:02. | |
the first point you made was about British soft power. In what sense | :41:03. | :41:08. | |
are British interests advanced by doubling aid to a country like | :41:09. | :41:13. | |
Nigeria whose policy on gay rights, for example, is utterly | :41:14. | :41:19. | |
indefenceable to the Princes of the country. How does that advocate soft | :41:20. | :41:23. | |
power? That is the kind of debate we should be HACHLTH how much, for | :41:24. | :41:29. | |
which countries to do what. No, no, we are not giving them to countries, | :41:30. | :41:34. | |
you well know that more of the aid is given to organisations like | :41:35. | :41:41. | |
euro-aid. He We haven't doubled the amount of money we give to Nigeria | :41:42. | :41:47. | |
but increased to ubeganed dark both discriminate against gay people | :41:48. | :41:53. | |
which we think is something intolerable. I was working and | :41:54. | :41:59. | |
saying all the money coming in is going on the black market. You could | :42:00. | :42:05. | |
get British aid products sold in the market. They are not going to people | :42:06. | :42:09. | |
with a purpose. When you have a 0. 7% target the department is spend, | :42:10. | :42:13. | |
spend, spend because you have to reach the target. Not looking at as | :42:14. | :42:20. | |
you argue whether it is necessary to spend the money. The issue of | :42:21. | :42:25. | |
accountability with high is important, and this country ranks | :42:26. | :42:30. | |
highly in indicators. We have the issue of aid effectiveness, which | :42:31. | :42:34. | |
looks closely into the effectiveness of aid investment. I think most | :42:35. | :42:38. | |
people tend to look at this as an investment, an investment in | :42:39. | :42:41. | |
political stability around the world. Whether it should be | :42:42. | :42:47. | |
ring-fenced or not should be up for discussion. This is a false choice | :42:48. | :42:51. | |
between aid and trade. How can that possibly be of any benefit at all. I | :42:52. | :42:58. | |
think if this argument is some how about colonial soft power, that is a | :42:59. | :43:03. | |
terrible reason to give overseas aid. The reason to give it is to | :43:04. | :43:10. | |
help countries grovel. Grow. If you can't get them in you are wasting | :43:11. | :43:16. | |
your aid money. This country is the most generous in the world, when | :43:17. | :43:21. | |
outside they say that Britain has joined the ranks of the G5, | :43:22. | :43:28. | |
countries that have reached the zero % target. I don't think people will | :43:29. | :43:38. | |
be saying yipee for cuts in their constituency and then aid being | :43:39. | :43:43. | |
given. It is about values and the image that Britain wants to probing | :43:44. | :43:55. | |
post ject. In -- protect. Comic Relief was good at raising money. | :43:56. | :44:01. | |
You heard Jacob in the beginning how countries are transformed by private | :44:02. | :44:06. | |
aid and trade. That is how you solve the problem, not the sticky plaster | :44:07. | :44:12. | |
of towel doling money out. It is like earlier in the wees about ODI, | :44:13. | :44:21. | |
we do see that aid works if the right accountability mechanisms are | :44:22. | :44:25. | |
in place. We need to make sure it is not direct today corrupt countries. | :44:26. | :44:31. | |
I argued and said to the International Development Minister I | :44:32. | :44:34. | |
said there is a problem with sume trafficking in central Europe, let's | :44:35. | :44:38. | |
put some of the overseas aid money into poorer countries in central | :44:39. | :44:43. | |
Europe to stop girls being traffiked here for sexuality exploitation. We | :44:44. | :44:48. | |
don't do it because it was not recognised as part of ODA. That is | :44:49. | :44:52. | |
the problem, it is a tick-box exercise and not looking at the real | :44:53. | :44:56. | |
issues. I'm going to have to interrupt you, sadly we have run out | :44:57. | :44:58. | |
of time. The front pages now. That's all for tonight, Kirsty is | :44:59. | :45:42. | |
here tomorrow, until then good nationwide. | :45:43. | :46:23. | |
For Thursday, not an awful lot of change on the weather front, | :46:24. | :46:28. | |
effectively, the further west and north you live the more likely you | :46:29. | :46:30. | |
are | :46:31. | :46:32. |